Fantasy Football Today - Dak Prescott Stats; Mailbag (07/23 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Episode Date: July 23, 2021

Nominate us on PodcastAwards.com! https://www.podcastawards.com/app/signup We've got one good stat and one bad stat for Dak Prescott (3:30) and then your questions via Apple Podcast (8:00) and emails... (31:15) at fantasyfootball@cbsi.com 'Fantasy Football Today' is available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, Google Podcasts, Castbox, and wherever else you listen to podcasts. Follow our FFT team on Twitter: @FFToday, @AdamAizer, @JameyEisenberg, @daverichard, @heathcummingssr, @ctowerscbs, @BenSchragg Watch FFT on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/fantasyfootballtoday Join our Facebook group https://www.facebook.com/groups/FantasyFootballToday/ Sign up for the FFT newsletter https://www.cbssports.com/newsletter You can listen to Fantasy Football Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Football Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Football Today podcast." To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:59 BetMGM operates pursuant to an operating agreement with iGaming Ontario. Happy Friday, everybody. This is touchdown. Oh, he's done it again. Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie, Heath, and Beck. Happy Friday, everybody. Technically, happy Wednesday for us. Wednesday afternoon, recording your Friday mailbag here. Fantasy Football at cbsi.com. That is the letter I. Send us your emails.
Starting point is 00:01:38 Leave us a nice five-star review on Apple Podcasts. We will read your questions on the show. Dave and Chris were talking about fast food before I hit record. I didn't want to break that up. It sounded very good, but am I really to understand that Giannis Antetokounmpo
Starting point is 00:01:55 after winning the championship drove to Chick-fil-A with the trophy in his lap? This morning. It wasn't like right after. Obviously Chick-fil-A is not open late. True. With the trophy in his lap? This morning. It wasn't right out. Obviously, Chick-fil-A is not open late. True. With the trophy in his lap, I'd order 50 chicken nuggets. 50?
Starting point is 00:02:12 I want to say he might have gone back for a second 50. He's very cool. He's lovely. He really seems like just a genuinely great dude. That was cool.
Starting point is 00:02:27 Congratulations to the Bucs. Never seen a player like Giannis. Just amazing. Probably better than Jordan, right, Dave? No. No, not quite. But 50 Nuggets. That might be better than Jordan.
Starting point is 00:02:40 I don't know if MJ's ever polished off 50 Nuggets in one sitting with a 50-50 Sprite lemonade. No ice. Do you think you could do that? Yes. You think so? I have an ice cream sandwich sitting right next to me. Well, that's just gonna melt me. I'm at least 30 pounds overweight. I could
Starting point is 00:02:57 definitely take down 50 chicken nuggets. He's legitimately eating an ice cream sandwich right now. The thing for me with all of those is like, could I do it? Yes. Would I? Also, yes. I'm 33.
Starting point is 00:03:11 I'm too old for it. Are you kidding me? I'm 45. I know. You're too old for it, too. Oh, thanks, Dad. I'm not going to bounce back like I used to. Dr. Towers here.
Starting point is 00:03:21 Don't eat fried food. Yeah, I've heard that before. Oh, no. I'm not saying don't eat fried food. Yeah, I've heard that before. Oh, no, I'm not saying don't eat fried food. I eat lots of fried food. I ordered Chick-fil-A after I saw Giannis make his stop there. But 50 nuggets, that's just too many nuggets. How many nuggets could you take down, Chris?
Starting point is 00:03:38 Comfortably. Comfortably? I mean, 20 Chick-fil-A nuggets would be pretty easy. Could you do 30? Again, it's not a question of could I. It's not a question of what I'm physically capable of. Okay. You know, it's what's advisable.
Starting point is 00:03:57 I don't think I've ever had the chicken nuggets at Chick-fil-A. Yeah, that's a good point. Not advisable. Yeah, I've had the chicken sandwiches and stuff. I don't think I've ever had the chicken nuggets. I will say the milkshakes at Chick-fil-A, as I recall, were top notch. Then again, it's hard to have bad milkshakes. Basically tastes the same as the sandwich, just it doesn't have bread on it.
Starting point is 00:04:15 The milkshake tastes like that? Yes. Yes, exactly. Well, that's if you get the chicken nugget milkshake. Yeah, yeah. There's 50 of them. With Polynesian sauce mixed in. Oh, terrific.
Starting point is 00:04:25 Alright, so let's do one good stat, one bad stat. See how this goes for the second consecutive day. Dak Prescott. Dak Prescott, good stat. Pretty simple. Was the number two quarterback in fantasy in 2019. Was per game, number two in four
Starting point is 00:04:41 point. Number four in six point, but very, very close to number two per game in 2020. So obviously he could be a top two quarterback. Let's be real. The bad stat, weird stat, not sure what to make of it stat, of the 10 best quarterbacks in fantasy last year, that would be in no particular order, Jackson, Rogers, Tannehill, Allen, Watson, Wilson, Murray, Mahomes, Brady, Prescott.
Starting point is 00:05:08 He had by far the fewest fantasy points per pass attempt. By far. So, you know, Lamar Jackson was by far number one. So the rushing quarterbacks, it favors them. But I was surprised by that. He was way... That's weird. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:05:29 Mahomes, Brady, and Prescott were the bottom three. But Prescott was way in the back of this list. I'm trying to figure out what would have led to it. I thought, okay, maybe he didn't have many rush touchdowns. Well, he had three and five games. He just threw so many passes. He caught a touchdown. He didn't really have a ton of interceptions.
Starting point is 00:05:51 He had three fumbles, but I don't know how many of them were lost. But you look at it all together, and it doesn't really make sense. I know. It's just a relatively low touchdown passing rate, which that's been a thing for his career. Among the very, very best quarterbacks, he's been a relatively low touchdown rate guy, 4.6% for his career.
Starting point is 00:06:11 Career high is 5.0. And that makes sense. This is a Cowboys team. This is something you've actually seen for the Cowboys. If you go back to the Troy Aikman years, he had very low touchdown rates. It's because they love to give their running backs touchdowns i don't know if it's like a jerry jones thing that he just loves to see a running back score a touchdown but um i don't
Starting point is 00:06:34 know if there's anything there really to take away from it you know dac will have to be more efficient next season on a per pass attempt basis in order to justify, you know, a top six ranking just cause he's probably not going to throw 46 passes a game. Like he was on pace for, or actually probably closer to 50 since he left the giants game early. But I think he will be more efficient. So I'm not particularly worried about it. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:07:00 I don't know, Dave, if there's anything, it's just that the last two seasons he's benefited from a very high volume. I don't really see why he wouldn't have that, but maybe quarterbacks, but he runs a lot. So that's how he makes up for it. Duh. That's why we love rushing quarterbacks when it comes to fantasy football, especially guys like Lamar Jackson. The stat that I like about Dak is that I have him with 29.6 fantasy points per game.
Starting point is 00:07:38 So that's really good. And in those games, he wasn't number one, but he was close to it. That's still a super huge number. Last year, 2019, or I should say the year before that, 2019, when he did play a lot, he was fifth best with 23.5 fantasy points per game. That's still pretty darn good. You'd be happy to have that as your floor for Dak Prescott this year with the ceiling being, I don't think we can call it 29, but 26, 27, maybe 27 and a half. That'd be great. So hopefully the efficiency does a little bit better because I can't expect him to throw more than he did last year.
Starting point is 00:08:11 And hopefully he runs a little bit too. Helps him, helps out his stats. All right. It is time now to read your Apple podcast questions, but it's also time for us to once again, ask you for your help. We're going to have to start getting a little bit more aggressive with this promotion as we are in the final 10 days of this stretch here. We're finalists for the sports category of the People's Choice Podcast Awards, and we need your help to advance to the final round. So please, right now, unless you're driving, stop what you're doing. Go to podcastawards.com slash app slash sign up. Podcastawards.com slash app, slash sign up. If that's too complicated for you, just click the link
Starting point is 00:08:48 in the episode description. It's right at the top of the episode description. When you do go there, toggle down to the sports category and nominate fantasy football today. We would very much appreciate it and thank you very much.
Starting point is 00:09:00 It won't even take you a minute. Podcastawards.com slash app, slash sign up or just click the link in the episode description. This is Dawson from a southern Georgia city that may or may not have a creek.
Starting point is 00:09:14 That may or may not have a creek. I was going to say Valdosta until you said the creek part. Dawson's Creek. Dawson's Creek. No? In Georgia? No, his name is It's just, you know, Dawson's Creek. Dawson's Creek. Dawson's Creek. No. In Persia? No, his name is Dawson.
Starting point is 00:09:30 Okay. Oh, oh, oh, I get it. Okay. Thank you. I'm thinking of starting a very basic one-year fantasy league with some buddies. What do you all recommend as the most traditional slash basic settings for the league? Chris, you're basic as scott white would say yeah um i am pretty basic did you want me to answer the question yeah sure while you insult
Starting point is 00:09:54 me yeah that's fine um one quarterback two running backs two wide receivers one tight end one kicker one dst if you want to keep it really basic you go with non-ppr but i think at this point ppr is the is the basic um you know fairly small rosters uh your your nine starting spots plus um nine eight uh that's how many receivers plus five five or six bench spots so you have a pretty active waiver wire. Um, basically you probably don't want to go with fab. You probably just want to keep it traditional waivers.
Starting point is 00:10:31 Um, yeah. Yeah. And traditional waivers or just free agency, you know, you should decide to run waivers every night. Oh, Hey Ben,
Starting point is 00:10:40 you had something to say. What's up? Yeah. I am a big proponent of free-for-all free agency for the most casual fantasy league. Yeah, I think that's a good idea. I just think it can get really... I think that can get frustrating for the guys
Starting point is 00:10:54 who don't have the time to sit around and react to the breaking news all the time. I think one thing about traditional waivers, and this is probably something that a lot of hardcore fantasy players don't like about it, but it levels the playing field. And I think when you're playing in a very basic laid-back league, the most level playing field is the best thing that you can go for because it keeps everyone engaged. It's unfair. What happens if everybody's busy and there's breaking news? It's the one guy in in the league that
Starting point is 00:11:25 you know doesn't have a life and is sitting on his phone all day or sitting on twitter all day that can go and make the moves every single time wait it sucks to be in a league with people and there's one guy in the league who adds the you know the hot name du jour off the waiver wire right but immediately it's very important every Every time. Very important. They're so valuable in football compared to other fans. Waivers. Okay. Very important distinction here. The guy who's on his phone,
Starting point is 00:11:51 picking up the player to shore definitely has a life because that's like all of our listeners. So let's just make, make that clear, but not all of our listeners playing leagues where it's a free for all for ad drops. I know, I know.
Starting point is 00:12:04 I'm just saying, or like, or even like on a Sunday when, when a stud running back goes down, But not all of our listeners play in leagues where it's a free-for-all for ad drops. I know, I know. I'm just saying. Or even like on a Sunday when a stud running back goes down, when Christian McCaffrey leaves with an injury, that guy is there picking up Mike Davis while the game is happening. Players lock at game time. I've been in leagues where they do not lock. I just want to say it's not fair for Adam to assume that everyone has a life while also
Starting point is 00:12:26 being on their phone and on Twitter a lot. Because I definitely don't. It's worth being clear. Nothing wrong with not having a life. I think waivers are so easy to understand that even the most basic of fantasy leagues can have it. I would agree with that as well.
Starting point is 00:12:41 Okay, fine. No consensus there. Do what you want with transactions. This is from Alan from a coastal town in Massachusetts, Dave, that may or may not have a creek. Fairmouth. Dear Vince, Drama E and Turtle. Those are the Ninja Turtles.
Starting point is 00:12:58 Yes. They have a Ninja Turtle called Turtle? Yeah. He's Turtle the Ninja Turtle. The red one was my favorite. Drama. I drew the seven spot. Rafael was full of drama.
Starting point is 00:13:10 Seven spot in my 10-team standard league. I believe I'll have access to the following players at 7 and 14. I love your advice on the best combos. Zeke, Taylor, Jones, Gibson, Mixon. Adams, Hill, Diggs, Hopkins, Ridley. This is a standard scoring league. Pick two of those, basically. Zeke, Taylor, Jones, Gibson, Mixon,
Starting point is 00:13:35 Adams, Hill, Diggs, Hopkins, Ridley. Well, if you take Adams, you're probably not going to have access to Zeke, Taylor Taylor at the very least. And maybe Hill as well, if you take those guys at seven. So you do have to keep in mind that, you know, it's either one of Adams and Hill and one of the later running backs, Gibson or Mixon, or one of the early running backs,
Starting point is 00:13:58 plus Diggs, Hopkins, and Ridley. I think I would probably go... If I could do Ridley and Zeke, I think would be the way that I would go. I'm taking Taylor first, Zeke second. I would take Jones third, and I would look for one of those three at seven. I would put my hands together and pray to the fantasy gods that Antonio Gibson or Joe Mixon would make it back to me at 14. If they're not there, I'm taking the best available wide receiver. Yeah, they're going to.
Starting point is 00:14:37 I'm assuming Kelsey is gone. Yeah, if Kelsey's there at seven, I'm taking him. In a non-PPR league, you're taking Kelsey over Zeke Taylor? Yeah. Okay. From Gronk324. Dear McCorkle, Cameron, Brian, and Jarrett. Those are quarterbacks on the New England Patriots.
Starting point is 00:14:57 Oh. Nice. Including McCorkle. Oh, that's right. Yeah. That's short for Mac. Right. Daddy. Full PPR. Wait, his name is McCorkle. Oh, that's right. Yeah. That's short for Mac. Daddy. Full PPR.
Starting point is 00:15:08 Wait, his name is McCorkle Jones? Yeah, right? That's his name, right? I don't remember if McCorkle is his first name or middle name. Okay. His official name. Michael McCorkle Jones. Okay.
Starting point is 00:15:22 If his given name was McCorkle Jones, I would have questions about him going in the first round. That's how I feel about Travis Kels, as I've already said on this show. If his name is really Kels, I'm not interested. Full PPR, 10-team redraft. How early is too early for Kelsey?
Starting point is 00:15:39 I have the fifth spot, PPR. I'm torn between him and Derek Henry and Devontae Adams. If I take Kelsey, what do I do after that with my next three or four picks? Chris, this question's made for you, man. Yeah, it's Kelsey for me. If he's available and it's between him, Derrick Henry, and Devontae Adams, Travis Kelsey is my number three player. In a PPR format, I think he's the biggest gap that you can get
Starting point is 00:16:03 at any position with the exception of Christian McCaffrey, assuming he does something similar to what he did in 2018 and 2019. If Kelsey continues his pace from the last couple of seasons, he's like a cheat code. I want to say he outscored the number 12 tight end last season by something like 120 points. I believe that's correct. It was an outrageous number.
Starting point is 00:16:29 Number 12, it was... Sorry, I undersold him. 168 points is how much Travis Kelsey outscored the number 12 tight end in 2020. I don't think he'll be quite as good as he was last season, but yeah, I'm taking him at number five. And if I end up with kelsey and i don't get you know one of the top seven or eight running backs in the second round i'm totally fine going wide receiver heavy after that and and you know
Starting point is 00:16:58 veering into a zero rb build because you know kelsey the thing about zero rb is you have to have an edge at pretty much every other position. Kelsey gives you the biggest one. Wait, so how many points? 168. Okay, because Henry was 120-ish points better than RB12.
Starting point is 00:17:18 Yeah, that's pretty good. Right, and then if you compare them to RB24, I don't really know. It's like... It's not exactly the same. 64 or something. It's a big deal, but it's not quite as obvious.
Starting point is 00:17:37 And there are more ways for things to go wrong for Derrick Henry than there are for Travis Kelsey. I think Derrick Henry... I think Derek Henry, I'm going to try to find the tweet, but it was something like he had the most rushing yards since 2012. Sorry. Most carries since 2014, the most rushing yards since 2012, and the most rushing touchdowns since 2016. He had basically the best rushing season for a running back over the last decade.
Starting point is 00:18:07 Yeah, but his 2019 was... Not nearly as good. It was so much better than Kelsey's. It was 300 fantasy points for Derek Henry in full PPR in 2019, which is almost as much as what Kelsey had last year. Kelsey had 313
Starting point is 00:18:24 fantasy points last year, but Kelsey didn't even come close to that. No, no, no. Derek Henry's going down to score Travis Kelsey. That's not the question. I mean, if they're both healthy and things go right. It's the edge that they give you. Derek Henry, to have a similar edge over the number 24 running back last season
Starting point is 00:18:40 as Kelsey had over the number 12, Henry needed the best rushing season of the last decade. That's where I think the difference is. All right, Dave, who would you take? I'm taking Henry. I like Chris's argument a lot for why Kelsey is worthy of a pick that high, and I'm taking him ahead of every other receiver
Starting point is 00:19:00 in full PPR and most other running backs. He's a first-round pick for sure, but I know that IPR and most other running backs. He's a first round pick for sure. But I know that I have to start two running backs in my fantasy league. I know that I only have to start one tight end. This is a 10 team league, especially that we're talking about. I know that when I'm up in round two, if I really want to have that tight end and use that positional advantage, I'm pretty confident that at least one from Darren Waller or George Kittle will be there for me with that pick. And are they going to be as good as Travis Kelsey? Probably not as good, but they're still going to give me a positional edge. I can still have that
Starting point is 00:19:36 edge over the majority of my league while still having a positional edge at running back with Derrick Henry. As for things going wrong with them, there's really only one real way for Derrick Henry's season to go wayward, and that's if he gets hurt, whether he plays through injury and loses playing time or he gets hurt so bad that he has to miss some games. Henry could also, or Henry, Kelsey could get hurt and miss some games,
Starting point is 00:19:57 and Mahomes could also get hurt and hurt Travis Kelsey, which is what we saw a few years back. So I just, I think that that argument is kind of like an equalizer between the two I just, I think that that argument is kind of like an equalizer between the two of them. I don't mind taking Derek Henry even in a full PPR league. Both of these guys are candidates for over 300 points a year to date. I think Henry can get considerably more than that and he's proven it. And the offense that he's in is going to be great.
Starting point is 00:20:20 And I think there's a chance his efficiency can go up because defenses can't guard him and can't defend him the way that they did in prior years now that julio jones is there okay next email is from macaroni daddy this is an apple podcast not an email hey bridget daniel aaron and chandler those are the friends from friends no oh those are j. Yeah, that's right. How would you rank the positions in terms of draft importance for a 12-team PPR super flex redraft league? Three receivers. All right, yeah, so quarterback's got to be one, right? Not to say that Mahomes is clearly the number one pick,
Starting point is 00:21:01 but quarterback's... It's got to be up there. If it's not one, it's two. the number one pick, but quarterbacks isn't quarterback number one. If it's not one, it's two. The only reason it wouldn't be is because there's only one of them. But even then, since you're starting two, you're starting as many quarterbacks as you are running
Starting point is 00:21:17 backs on 90% of teams in a super flex league. And they score more points and they're not quite as plentiful as running backs when you can start two of them that gobbles up the supply and it raises the demand so i would put quarterbacks ahead of running backs i would put receivers last on this list so three receiver league they're last so they're last just a super flex and not a flex plus a super flex. I think that's probably reasonable. See, that's where I am always thinking.
Starting point is 00:21:48 Like, do you put, I think I would go, I think I would go quarterback running back tight end receiver. But to me, and as I'm always on an Island, I feel like with this, but once I get past the top three quarter, three tight ends, it's a super flex league with three receivers. I just don't really care that much about tight end. Unless I fall in love with Pitts, Hawkinson, or Andrews or something.
Starting point is 00:22:13 But certainly after that, just forget it. Because you add that second quarterback, there's so much more scoring. So I'd rather have a wide receiver who's going to crush the tight end in scoring. And forget about the positional scarcity at that point. I think when you... But you have to remember it in those early rounds when you're considering possibly taking Kelsey with
Starting point is 00:22:34 the top 12 pick and Waller and Kittle with the top 30 a pick. Right. I wasn't really answering the question that way with just the elite guys. I just think overall because they're just different. I mean, they're top.
Starting point is 00:22:46 You know what? I would look at it like this. It's either quarterback or running back at the top. If you're going to go with an elite quarterback, that probably means the choices you're going to be picking from it. Running back. When you come back in the second and third round are going to be a lot less interesting than the guys you would be taking in the second and third round are going to be a lot less interesting than the guys you would be
Starting point is 00:23:08 taking in the first round certainly but also the potential quarterbacks in the second round and so i kind of think your strategy here should probably be either elite quarterbacks or elite running backs and then wide receivers um and you can take one of the elite tight ends too if you if you really want to push it there. But I think you kind of do have to prioritize either QB or running back. Yeah, at least we all agree on the top two. Okay, we're going to be live Tuesday night,
Starting point is 00:23:34 7 p.m. Eastern on our YouTube channel, which is youtube.com slash fantasyfootballtoday, another live mock draft. Hit the subscribe button on the channel. We'll see you on youtube.com slash fantasy football today, Tuesday night at 7 p.m. This one is from Shinedog from a growing town east of the Emerald City. Kirkland.
Starting point is 00:23:55 Sure. Hey, Marge, Lois, Peggy, and Leela. By the way, it's Bellevue. But Marge, Lois, Peggy, and Leela. I know them. Those are, I don't know if Le, and Lila. I know them. Those are... I don't know if Lila's a mom. She's not.
Starting point is 00:24:10 They're all like the leads of... Animated. Well, they're animated. Two of them are. Oh, no. All Fox shows. Yeah, Fox shows. That's true, but yeah.
Starting point is 00:24:21 My league, 12-team PPR Keeper League, where you add a three-round penalty to where you drafted the player the prior year. I like this. Is transitioning from flex to super flex. Ooh. Personally, I would say you should just redraft, but fine. I've decided I'm keeping Joe Burrow in round eight
Starting point is 00:24:40 and one of Waller in round four or Dobbins in round five. Who would you take there? Probably Waller in round four or Dobbins in round five. Who would you take there? Probably Waller, who I would draft ahead of Dobbins in a typical draft anyway. Yeah. And their values are basically the same. The argument that you can make for Dobbins is if you keep him
Starting point is 00:25:00 and he is awesome this year, you'll be able to keep him next year for a second round pick. Whereas Waller, if you wanted to keep him next year for a second round pick. Whereas Waller, if you wanted to keep him next year, it would cost you a first. That's probably not going to be something that you would do.
Starting point is 00:25:11 I just have a hard time seeing Dobbins being worth a second round pick in that offense unless something drastically changes. That's just kind of where I'm at on it. From Jason from a town just north of Boston. North of Boston. Haverhill.
Starting point is 00:25:27 Dear Hendrix, King, Little, and Dave. Do you know what this is? Well, he explains it. Oh, he does? Sorry. Yes. Oh. Richards. Richards.
Starting point is 00:25:44 Richards. That's awesome. Sorry, Dave. I should have gotten that. I didn't get it. Ted Team, half PPR, Keeper League, six point per passing touchdown. It's my last year to keep Kamara,
Starting point is 00:25:58 and I get to draft him at 208, and I have 103. I expect Henry and Taylor to be kept by other managers. I don't expect McCaffrey or Cook to drop to 103. So what is the best strategy? Should I take Zeke or Barkley? Should I take Kelsey? Kittle's going to be kept.
Starting point is 00:26:16 Waller will not be available with my third pick. So I'm leaning Kelsey. I think Chris would agree. Dave, if Henry and McCaffrey and Cook and Taylor are all off the board and he's keeping Alvin Kamara, who would you take? I have Barkley
Starting point is 00:26:31 ranked ahead of Zeke as of now, but I might get cold feet by the time you get to the draft because we don't know if Saquon is going to be full go anytime soon. If he's participating in training camp, he's not on the pub list.
Starting point is 00:26:46 That'll make me feel a little bit better about taking Barkley ahead of Zeke. And plus he's got crazy up. They both do. They both have huge upside. So I would probably be more inclined to take Barkley, pair him with Camara, have, you want to talk about a positional edge.
Starting point is 00:27:01 That's a hell of a positional edge that you would have at running back over the rest of the league. And it's half PPR, so the sting of missing out on Kelsey isn't quite as bad. All right, last one from Apple Podcasts. This is from Brett.
Starting point is 00:27:15 Dear Hank, Marty, Romeo, Todd, and Andy. Those are Azers. They are. They are Chiefs head coaches. Great show, and the Azer stats have changed my perception of life. Hmm. Chiefs head coaches. Great show, and the Acer stats have changed my perception
Starting point is 00:27:26 of life. All right, Brett. This guy really wanted to get his email read. I mean, is that like saying that when I measure my waist, if I skip like 7 through 12 and just don't count those, I'm actually like a size 34?
Starting point is 00:27:42 Sure. Is that what a life-changing Acer stat would be? Acer stats are supposed to make you feel better about something. So yeah, perfect. That would make me feel better.
Starting point is 00:27:52 Thank you. Keeper question for a $200 salary cap league. One keeper each year. And this is the first year with a super flex position added to our standard scoring league.
Starting point is 00:28:01 Is this the same league that we just answered a question about? I doubt it. They're changing to Superflex? Who should I keep? $200 salary cap. Diggs for 27,
Starting point is 00:28:15 Gibson for 22, Swift for 23, or Jalen Hurts for 12? They're all good. It's got to be Hurts, right? For 12, Superflex? Sure. they're all good it's got to be hertz right for 12 super flex sure and the reason why that works out is because then you still have like most of your budget left to go after other players um do you i guess the other side to it is do you really see Jalen Hurts going for... Okay, so I'm turning this into a math equation. We need to figure out what would Diggs, Gibson, and Swift go for in this salary
Starting point is 00:28:55 cap draft. And then you subtract what we think they'd go for from what the actual cost is, do the same thing with Hurts. Whoever has the biggest discrepancy, that's the one that you actually want to hang on to. Because if I keep for 12 but i think well wait a minute if i can if i can get him back on my team for 17 that's only five more whereas digs at 27 and gibson at 22 like those guys for sure are going to go for more than that probably more than five five bucks more than that so i don't think it's quite a slam dunk. So the first thing we have to do is, all right, you've got a 200 budget.
Starting point is 00:29:30 What's your max bid on Jalen Hurts? Is it even 20? In a super flex league? Is it even 20? I think it is. Is it 25? I think it's probably 25. Okay, so let's say it's 25.
Starting point is 00:29:46 So that's a difference of 13. What's your bid going to be on Diggs? Yeah, he's going to get probably above 40. Right. Yeah. So 40 at a bare minimum is the same difference as Hertz would be at 25. That's 13.
Starting point is 00:30:01 But you don't have to get Stefan Diggs back. I mean, that's the faulty logic. You don't have to, but if you're going to go and get somebody like Stefan Diggs, it's probably going to cost you in the same kind of range. But you're also, by getting Hertz, you're saving $15 compared to Diggs.
Starting point is 00:30:17 So one thing to keep in mind, though, is not every dollar. No, no, he's $15 cheaper than Diggs. So the thing to keep in mind in a 200 league is every dollar is not the same you know it's it's marginal dollars and in a 200 league as opposed to like the standard hundred dollar leagues that we play your elite players shouldn't you don't just double a player's value your elite players should go for much more because your dollar players aren't going to become two dollar players necessarily
Starting point is 00:30:50 you're still going to have some dollar players so you have not just more overall money to play with but more of it should be concentrated in your best players and so it's not just Diggs is 27 instead of 40. It might be Diggs is 27 instead of, I mean, legitimately it might be 60. All right, so who are you keeping? I'm changing my answer. I think I would go Diggs. Dave? I think I'm going to go Diggs as well.
Starting point is 00:31:22 Okay, keep Diggs. We'll take a break. When we come back, your email is at fantasyfootballatcbsi.com. Did you know that across Ontario, utility damage happens 19 times a day? That's over 4,222 incidents a year. Don't let your next dig be one that causes costly delays or safety risks. Before you break ground, make it a point to request a locate. It's not just the law. It's a step to keep your team and community safe. And we're back.
Starting point is 00:31:59 This is from Kaylin. Greetings, Rod, Dave, Rico, Kevin, and Denise. Wait, I don't know them. Who is it? Hot Rod. Oh, so underrated. Love it. Alright, grade this Dynasty Superflex trade. I sent Chris Carson and a 2022 first round
Starting point is 00:32:20 pick for Ezekiel Elliott. You should see this ice cream sandwich. It's a total mess now. You didn't finish it? That was 30 minutes ago. It's been sitting here the whole time. Total mess. Still delicious, but messy. I think that's a C+.
Starting point is 00:32:37 Carson and a 2022 first round rookie pick for Zeke. I think it's going to... I think it gives you a better chance to win now for obvious reasons. Okay. And I don't think it'll sting you too bad next year
Starting point is 00:32:50 because I think Zeke will still be on the Cowboys next year unless he just absolutely turns to trash this year. Great it. So if it's, I'm going to give it a B plus for the Zeke side.
Starting point is 00:32:59 From Cody, dear Danny, Joey, Jesse, and Becky. Everywhere you know. All right. Need a little assist. The Jesse, and Becky. Everywhere you are. All right. Need a little assistance.
Starting point is 00:33:07 That's the mamas and the papas. Yeah. Need a little assistance with my keeper league. Oh, by the way, Chris, do you know who sings the song Reunited and it feels so good? I have no idea. Why don't you take like 30 seconds to think about it
Starting point is 00:33:21 while I eat this? It's a 10-team half PPR league. I have the ninth overall pick. Do I keep Camara in the first, McLaurin in the fifth, or Kyler Murray in the sixth? 10-team half PPR. I'm keeping Camara. Yeah, I think it's Camara. Ninth overall.
Starting point is 00:33:43 Solid value. The values on Kyler and mclaurin aren't that great they're good they're just not great so yeah i mean kyler is pretty close to a wash maybe a slight value in a 10 team league and mclaurin he's probably a fourth rounder in a 10 team right yeah you know just so everybody, there have been a few emails, including this one, that have had Cam Akers listed as one of the keeper's choices. He probably would have been the slam-dunk answer there
Starting point is 00:34:11 in the fifth round. There have been a few of those. Cam Akers is just such great keeper value this year. Sorry. Yeah, I lost him in my biggest league. I lost him in my dynasty league. I lost him in my dynasty league. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:34:27 I hate to see it. This is B from a city in the southwest. Albuquerque. Hello, some combination of Ron, Brick, Brian, and Champ. Whammy. I was talking to my dad the other day. He doesn't really like Will Ferrell. I really don't think I can be friends with him anymore.
Starting point is 00:34:45 Does he like when he's drumming for the Red Hot Chili Peppers? He does like the Chili Peppers. Great story about my dad. He got so excited that, I think I've told this before, that the Chili Peppers were coming to town. He's like, we got it. We're buying tickets. They're playing at Parker Playhouse,
Starting point is 00:35:02 which is a really, really small venue. Oh my God, no. This happened to Brandon Wise, too, the combat sports editor for CBS Sports. Yeah, I'm like, Dad, there's no way they're playing there. That's this teeny tiny venue for plays. And he's like, I'm telling you, I went to the website, this band called the Red Hot Chili Pipers, a Scottish bagpipe band that must do this to like 10 people a show
Starting point is 00:35:26 but show up in Chili Peppers. It's a good bit. That's smart. That's how they sell out Playhouse. Start a band called Pearl Gem. But they don't play. It's not like they do Chili Pepper songs on bagpipes. They just call themselves the Red Hot Chili Pipers.
Starting point is 00:35:42 I love it. And they tricked my dad. But luckily I caught on before we bought tickets. Okay. B from Albuquerque drafted a super flex dynasty team, 12 teams. I'm concerned about long-term quarterback depth. I've got Tannehill, Cousins, and Bridgewater. Are you confident enough in Tua that you would trade your first-round rookie pick for him? No.
Starting point is 00:36:03 The nice thing about, and we kind of saw this with with uh with the quarterbacks this year is that there is demand for them in super flex rookie drafts but it's not necessarily like automatically the the best quarterbacks go first second third and then that's it so i would keep your one you can always draft a rookie quarterback with that pick next year. And you've got enough to get by this year. Yeah, it's not like you need a, it's not like Tannehill cousins especially are likely to retire at the end of this season.
Starting point is 00:36:34 Yeah, you probably still have two years at least of productive play. This is from Jason Cleveland, a hardcore FFT listener. And it sounded like I said his name is Jace and he's in Cleveland, but his name is Jason Cleveland. Hey, Vince, Mick, Nicky, and Tommy.
Starting point is 00:36:51 The crew. Yeah, good job. I had to look that one up. I need help deciding on a keeper. We get two at last year's draft position. I'm keeping Dobbins in the 10th. Kelsey in the second or Gaskin in the eighth? It's Kelsey.
Starting point is 00:37:11 Yeah. All right. I think this is our last one from Ryan. Okay, I thought this was an interesting email. Ryan says, I've noticed that when you guys analyze a keeper question, more often than not, I disagree with the value you choose based on where someone is kept.
Starting point is 00:37:27 It often seems like people lean towards the better player and don't put enough value on when you can take them as much as they should. At least this is where I often find myself not agreeing. I think a good exercise that I'd like to hear would be this. Provide not just the kept player, but also the other player based on the ADP of the pick that they save. For example, 12-team half PPR. I can keep Nick Chubb with a third-round pick or DJ Moore for a ninth-round pick. But when comparing,
Starting point is 00:37:57 provide the audience with the two combos the person has to choose, not just the player. So Nick Chubb with player adp of about 114th or like nick chubb plus a player that's going 114th or dj more plus a player that's going 30th is that do you want me to back up no i got you maybe because the player that you would take at 114 is where you would take more or where you would keep more so it's easier if you're reading it in case you lost it. It's this hypothetical scenario.
Starting point is 00:38:29 I can keep Nick Chubb in the third or DJ Moore in the ninth. Well, what, what our emailer is saying, what Ryan is saying is we should say, okay, so your options are either Nick Chubb in the third plus this ninth round pick who would be according to ADP,
Starting point is 00:38:43 this guy, Nick Chubb and Antonio Brown. Yeah, or DJ Moore and the ninth and whoever's going. Who? David Montgomery. David Montgomery. I think probably a little higher end than that, though. No?
Starting point is 00:38:57 Although. Maybe. Third round. Yeah. Dobbins. Miles Sanders. Now, that's a great point. You could do that type of combo here.
Starting point is 00:39:07 But my question is, should we not, if everybody's keeping one player, should we not drop 12 picks in ADP, basically? We should. Okay, so... And what if it's two players and you're dropping even more than that?
Starting point is 00:39:19 So really, it's like, I keep DJ Moore in the ninth and a fourth round pick instead of a third, right? Right. And I keep Nick Chubb in the ninth and a fourth round pick instead of a third, right? And I keep Nick Chubb in the third and a tenth round pick instead of a ninth round pick. That's an interesting way to do it. Yeah, but the reason why
Starting point is 00:39:34 we usually pick the player who's better is because they're the better player and you get to start building your team with them already on your roster. Yeah. And the other thing is value doesn't decline linearly during the course of a draft. You know, it's not like the difference between the first pick and the second pick isn't the same as the difference between the 11th and the 12th.
Starting point is 00:39:58 Let's say it's just picked to the gap gets smaller with each pick. That's why ADP matters less. You know, once you start getting to the fifth, sixth round even, you can kind of throw ADP out of the window a little bit because there's a wider range of where players can go and it's a lot more about personal preference. And so the one, you know, the reason you tend to value the more valuable player even with a higher cost is just because
Starting point is 00:40:27 the cost of a third round pick that you can getting a first round caliber player for a third round pick is just more valuable than getting a fourth round player for a ninth round pick even if the gap in rounds is larger right and would it be fair to say that if you kept DJ Moore in the ninth and threw back Nick Chubb, who you could have kept for a third-round pick, the player you're getting in the third round is not going to be as good as Nick Chubb because you have all these players who were kept. Yeah. And, yeah, that's going to, yeah.
Starting point is 00:41:02 So, actually, now that I think of it, you shouldn't add 12 picks because if somebody's keeping DJ Moore in the ninth, that's not really going to factor into who you're taking in the third round because he's not going to go ahead of that spot. No, you'd have to consider players who were already being drafted in the early rounds. And so, you know, last year it's, you know, like,
Starting point is 00:41:26 I'm trying to find. I'm just keeping Chubb. All right. Yeah, I mean, Chubb in the third versus Moore in the ninth is a bigger gap. That one is, you know, usually we're not talking about gaps that big. Usually we're talking about, like,
Starting point is 00:41:42 Kelsey in the second and Gaskin in the eighth, where, like, Gaskin could be worth nothing. So the fact that youaskin in the eighth where like Gaskin could be worth nothing so the fact that you got him in the eighth round doesn't really matter whereas more should be very good at the very least all right thanks everybody thank you for listening have a wonderful weekend keep those emails coming at fantasyfootballatcbsi.com and keep on sending your apple podcast questions as well That's a great way to get on the show. Apple podcast questions, leave a five-star review with a question and we will make some time for your
Starting point is 00:42:10 question. And if we, if you sent us one and it didn't get read on the air, that's probably because just the timing didn't work out and we'll have to save it for next week, but we will not overlook your Apple podcast questions for Chris and Dave and Ben. I'm Adam.
Starting point is 00:42:23 Talk to you Monday.

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