Fantasy Football Today - FFT Express - 3 OVERRATED Players to AVOID in Your Draft! (07/25 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Episode Date: July 25, 2026

Jamey Eisenberg is joined by Dan Schneier to give his picks for overrated players heading into draft season, including Jaxson Dart, TreVeyon Henderson, & Tetairoa McMillan. Dan explains why the Gi...ants run-heavy offense under Matt Nagy could lead to a year 2 regression for Dart, why Rhamondre Stevenson's running and pass blocking ability clouds Henderson's outlook, and why McMillan's talent may be limited by Bryce Young and the Panthers offensive line. Before your upcoming fantasy draft, find out why avoiding these potential busts could help you build a stronger, championship-caliber roster.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Taking a look at some overrated players here on Fantasy Football Today Express. Welcome to the show. I'm Jamie Eisenberg. That's Dan Schneier. We're talking about some overrated players going into the early part of the draft process for 2026. Dan's got three players to tell us about. And maybe some guys you should avoid on draft day. All right, Dan, let's start with the first guy. Jackson Dart, your Giants quarterback. He's overrated for you. No one saw this coming. And when I did my rankings and my tears two nights ago, I really put a lot of time into four and a half hours. I love the process every minute of it. I couldn't find myself ranking Jackson Dart any higher than QB17, which is crazy for most to hear as a borderline QB1. But I think the issues are related to pretty much where the Giants are moving as an offense. Now, the news of meek neighbor is not landing on Pupp.
Starting point is 00:00:51 Definitely helps Darts value. But what the Giants want to do under Matt Nagy has become a. physical team that's going to be run first and slower pace. And none of these things are good for Jackson Dart. But worse, I think at least, is that he scored four of his nine touchdowns inside the three yard line last year for his nine rushing touchdowns. Those are going away. They're not going to run him anymore. That was a Brian Dable thing. And if you look at Matt Nagy's history, he doesn't run his quarterbacks in the red zone around the goal line. So that's a big issue for me in addition to the pace and also question marks surrounding what Matt Nagy is as a coordinator
Starting point is 00:01:25 and what he means for DART's fantasy value. I think it's an interesting debate about DART because what we saw last year was really nothing with Malik neighbors. Neighbors got hurt in the first game Darts started in a week four. Obviously, no Isaiah likely, no Darnal Mooney, but like you said, the coaching change is significantly different. And for the majority of the season, you didn't have Camp Scada Boo either.
Starting point is 00:01:46 So there are a lot of different, you know, personnel situations going on here for the Giants. And I think the thing that hopefully will separate DART, your touchdown potential here is scary, but can he still be one of the better running quarterback? I think if he does, he'll be okay. If he doesn't, then we are going to be in a little bit of a problem with Dart. And I hope we're not looking at one of these guys.
Starting point is 00:02:08 We've seen this many a time, just the recent example. CJ Stroud, great rookie season, terrible sophomore campaign. He's never really recovered. Jane Daniels, I think the profile makes sense. Great rookie season, struggle with injuries year two. If we do we do see Dart running a lot, then we could have an injury concern for him. And as we know, the concussions were a problem for him, even during his fantastic rookie campaign. So he's going to be one of the more fascinating quarterbacks we look at, especially when we talk about his average draft position and comparing him to some of those guys with that, I guess mid-round picks, you know, depending on how your league drafts quarterback.
Starting point is 00:02:40 So I'm going to guess you're going to take Trevor Lawrence ahead of him, Justin Herbert ahead of him, Caleb Williams is going to go ahead of him. Brock Purdy, you're taking head of him? Yeah, these are the ones who are locked into that tier, but I'm even going a tier lower than that, Jamie. I'm taking guys like Kyler Murray ahead of him. That press got ahead of him, Bo Nicks ahead of him, Patrick Mahomes ahead of him. So he's way down there for me. Yeah, you're probably going to be one of the lowest in the industry on Jackson Dart. And again, you have a lot of reasons to want Dart to be a good fantasy quarterback.
Starting point is 00:03:09 So we'll see how that all plays itself out. Let's go to the next guy that you have. And that's Trevion Henderson, who is just kind of crazy how I think we're all hoping that he's going to take a step forward in his sophomore season. but as we saw last year, that was not the case in his rookie campaign when he shared with Remandre Stevenson. He's going about 50th overall right now, RB21, based on his average draft position on fantasy pros. That's just too soon for you.
Starting point is 00:03:34 Way too soon for me. I think what really sold it for me, Jamie, was digging into all the numbers and seeing just how successful Remandre Stevenson was as a runner last year. I don't think people recognize he was the third most in explosive runs last year, which I think you hear the names. It's like Jamar Gibbs, Devon, H&Mandre Stevenson. You look at the yards after contact per carry. You look at the force miss tackle rate.
Starting point is 00:03:54 They're all really good. From an efficiency standpoint, he was a much better runner than Trayon Henderson was. Now, add that to the fact that Remindre Stevenson gave up fewer pressures in his career as a pass protector than Henderson gave up all of his rookie season. That's an insane stat. Jacob Gibbs pulled out. It's like, okay, so this guy's not going to probably come off the field on third down. If any, if the playoffs were any indication of it, they trust him more overall to him, major extent. I just think remandre is a better player right now than Trayvion Henderson. I'm not even
Starting point is 00:04:25 sure he won't be a better player throughout their whole entire season. He's a very underrated back. So for me, my most egregious rank, I always call it, because I was talking about it with Jacob. I have Remandre ahead of Trayon Henderson in my fantasy football rankings. And that one I'm to toying with because Ramondre really hasn't been able to score that many fantasy points, but he's been hyper efficient and he really found something down the stretch run of the season. And I think we're all just kind of forgetting that and just being like, all right, well, it's Trevion Henderson's backfield now, and I don't really see why. Let's take a quick break, and we'll talk more about Trevionn Henderson and Dan's
Starting point is 00:04:56 third overrated player, which is Tedaroa and McMillan. So Dan's just hating on all the sophomores. I'll come back next year on Fantasy Football to Express. All right, so Dan, I agree with you about Trevion and Henderson, except for one thing that you said, but you're not wrong, is that he's the better player. I think if they both had the same amount of touches, we would have better fantasy player. let's put it that way. Both had the same amount of touches.
Starting point is 00:05:21 Trevion Henderson would do a lot more with those touches because he's a much more explosive player. But we always fall into this trap when we see, oh my God, here is this unbelievable talent, but he doesn't do everything that the coaches want. And that keeps him from being on the field. He was clearly amazing in the three games that Ramandre Stevenson missed last year.
Starting point is 00:05:42 And Stevenson can't do that. And then he had the two other games where he was exceptional. One was against Buffalo. I forget what the other one was. But he had basically five good games last year. You take away those five games, which I always had to do because you're taking away players top end production. But you take away those five games, Dan,
Starting point is 00:05:56 he averaged under seven PPR points per game to Trevion and Henderson. So the hope would be is that if Stevenson misses any time, you're talking about a top 10, maybe top five player in Treviont Henderson, because I struggle with the same thing. And then you're looking at, okay, does he take a step forward in a sophomore season? Because he's done a better job in past protection. He's done a better job in,
Starting point is 00:06:17 learning that you can take the three-yard run and not always have to look for the 30-yard run. Is he doing a better job in his route running? He's doing better job just being a veteran or being an NFL player and getting closer to being a veteran as opposed to just an inexperienced rookie. And those are the things that, you know, take a player from getting that second contract to struggling and then bouncing around the league, especially at that position. So it's going to be fascinating to see how he sort of performs. Up until this week, I was, you know, I'm going to take the two veteran guys. I'm not with you. I still take Henderson over Stevenson, but not our party. But I was taking the two veteran guys that nobody wants and Tony Pollard and Chubbard,
Starting point is 00:06:51 ahead of Trevion Henderson. And then I'm thinking to myself, that's not the way I would want to draft because I'd rather take the upside play versus the safe play. But again, floor versus ceiling. I don't think anybody's sealing outside of the first, you know, a couple of round running backs match what Henderson can do. But the floor is almost non-existent. So it makes a lot of sense to be concerned about him.
Starting point is 00:07:10 And I do agree he is overrated. I was talk about Tedaroa and McMillan and why he's overrated for you. It's a tough one for me because from a pure talent standpoint. point is an actual NFL player. I think he's underrated based on where he's going in fantasy drafts. But that's not how this thing works. And that's not how I've ever drafted. And that's not how I've ever planned out my fantasy football teams or my analysis and advice to others listening. And the issue for me is I haven't seen from the film we've done and on Beyond the Box where we've watched a lot of Panthersome, too much Panthers film, I would say. And from the analytics and the
Starting point is 00:07:39 stats that says that Bryce Young can operate a rhythmic passing game. And worse than that, I don't know if he can operate in the ways that he needs you to get Terra McMill in the ball on a consistent basis. So it's a Bryce Young issue for me. It's also a Carolina Panthers tackle issue for me. They're going to be without their two starting offensive tackles most likely for the first whoever knows how many weeks of the season, at least four. Now they got some guys Monroe Freeling in the draft first round pick and they signed Rashid Walker from Green Bay. They have some contingency plans, but it's not the first plan. So if they have issues with the offensive line, especially a tackle to start the season with all quarterback, I already have major concerns about a
Starting point is 00:08:15 really difficult schedule. When you look into it, they're past defenses. They have one of the most, if you look at just any of the strength of schedule metrics, I'll shout out Justin Boone, who does a great job at Yahoo Sports. They're 28th there,
Starting point is 00:08:25 sharp football, their 30th, just horrible schedule for quarterbacks and for passing game. It all just adds up to me like we're looking at a great talent who's not in a situation that can really accentuate that talent. And I'm okay drafting that, but for me it's closer to the wide receiver back end, wide receiver two,
Starting point is 00:08:41 borderline wide receiver three range than the mid, you know, back end wide receiver one early wide receiver two range he's going in. Yeah, we're on the same page of this one. I think the positive recently is the report that he may play more in the slot. So that'll hopefully give him some easy targets because we know Bryce Young, that's where he struggles is, you know, throwing on the boundary and all those things that a smaller quarterback, especially the way that he's performed has done. But we did on, I think it was Wednesday's episode on Fantasy Football today,
Starting point is 00:09:12 stats that matter. And this one stood out to me. The last five games of the season, including the one playoff game that the Panthers played against the Rams, Jalen Coker and Tetero and Millen almost identical in terms of targets per game, which is alarming in itself. So 6.2 targets per game for Tetero and Milan, 6.0 targets per game for Coker, those five games.
Starting point is 00:09:31 Coker averaged 14.1 p.m.m. P.P.R. points per game during those five games, Tedero and McMillan 8.9.8. So he was outplayed by another player on his team over a good enough stretch that I think it does matter. And then you take into account, Jalen Coker missed the first half of the season, didn't come back until in the middle of the year. You get that ramp up period.
Starting point is 00:09:50 And we know that a lot of people love Jalen Coker. The value for Jalen Coker is fantastic. I'm not saying you should be taking J.L. J.L. Coker ahead of Tedderman McMillan, that's not the conversation. But I do think when you start to put McMillan up against those other receivers in the group that you're talking about of Luther Burden and Jalen Waddle and DJ Moore and Mike Evans and all these other guys, like, you can make stronger arguments for why those guys could be better. Now, you do like the fact that McMillan had a thousand-yard rookie campaign.
Starting point is 00:10:13 That's usually a good baseline of what these guys can do moving forward. But it just feels like his offensive environment. I said this a lot. I feel like what we got from the last year, you're hoping just to replicate as opposed to expecting a lot more. And I think a lot of people are expecting a lot more. So I just don't think that Bryce Young and Dave Canales and the place that he plays on top of the fact that the offensive line, which I thought was going to be a huge strength, now could be a little bit of a weakness, at least in the early part of the season. So if you really want Tedderall-McMillan, see if he gets off to a slow start because of the offensive line woes, and then maybe you trade for him in the second half when we get that, hopefully
Starting point is 00:10:46 stretch run where he's playing a little bit better into the latter part of the second half of his sophomore campaign. All right, great job, Dan. These are three overrated players by Dan Schneier, just in case you need the review. It's Jackson Dart. It's Trevionn Henderson. It's Teddorola McMillan. Hopefully, like some other sophomore players. You can find out more from Dan on Beyond the Box Square. Check that out wherever podcasts are available. And obviously, make sure you stay tuned to fantasy football today and fantasy football today Express for dan schneier i'm janey eyesberg thanks for watching thanks for listening

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