Fantasy Football Today - FFT Express - 4 MOST SHOCKING Projections from Heath Cummings! (06/12 Fantasy Football Advice)

Episode Date: June 12, 2026

Heath Cummings has some bold 2026 fantasy football projections, and Adam Azier is breaking down the most surprising ones on this episode of FFT Express!Will Sam LaPorta lead all tight ends in touchdowns? Can Kyle Pitts really command 138 targets? Is Zay Flowers headed for a massive 143-target season? And what does Heath's projection of an even split between Jonathan Brooks and Chuba Hubbard mean for fantasy managers?Adam reviews four of Heath's most shocking projections, explains where he agrees and disagrees, and discusses the fantasy football impact for some of the biggest names in 2026 drafts.

Prepare to be shocked. Heath Cummings with shocking predictions and projections for the 2026 fantasy season right now on FFT Express. All right, I'm Adam. He's Heath. Let's do it. Kick it off with something shocking. Something shocking. Sam Laporta is projected to score more touchdowns than any other tight end in fantasy football. And I think if you think about it, it shouldn't really be that shocking. We've talked about the potential Drew Petzig effect Leportez.

is a guy that on 252 targets in his career has scored 20 touchdowns. He plays on one of the top five scoring offenses in the NFL. A target boost could absolutely put him in contention for number one in tight-end touchdowns. Yeah, this is definitely a guy you like, and I'm pretty sure we're going to have, we're going to talk to Ryan Heath shortly. I think he likes Sam Laporta as well. He's going to give me some personnel reasons for that. And why don't we go to the other.

tight end that you like a lot, and projection for Pitts. Yeah, Kyle Pitts, and this is one where I've been trying to massage the target projections for Kyle Pitts and Sam Laporta, but Kyle Pitts still has 138 projected targets, which is, I believe, the third most in my projections. It's mostly a Kevin Stefansky thing, also a Tua thing, assuming two is a starting quarterback, which I am right now. I think he'll be get the ball out of his hand quicker and on time more often. And in his Tfansky offense, a lot of those targets do go to the tight end.

Pitts does have two seasons with at least 110 targets. He's never had 120 targets in a season. I am projecting him for 138. Boy, I mean, 138 targets. How could he not be basically the best value in fantasy if he gets that? It's, I just don't know. I don't know. He's, it's a lot.

And let me go back to LaPorta here. LaPorta had had 120 targets as a rookie, 17 games. Since then, 83 targets in 16 games, 49 targets and nine games. And, you know, as a rookie, when he had those 120 targets, you had James and Williams playing only 12 games, earning only 42 targets and 12 games. not even four targets per game. So I think if Sam Leporta does, you know, well, you said touchdown, you said leading in touchdowns.

How many targets? Yeah, I have Sam Loporta with a lot of projected targets also. Yeah, I don't know. I mean, I feel like that would be bad news for Alman Rass St. Brown. Like Jameson Williams isn't going to be a big target guy. You know, he might get 100 or so. But I don't know how Leporta gets it unless St. Brown has a dip. Yeah.

I think, I mean, the answer is probably just that nobody else matters. Like, I have them projected for 581 pass attempts, so a little above average. And I've got 174 targets going to St. Brown, 116 going to LaPorte, 99 to Jameson Williams, and 87 to Jemir Gibbs. Yeah, you want to hear actually an interesting stat real quick. Hold on, please. it's actually about Jamir Gibbs. He was the guy who really benefited from LaPorta's absence last year. He had a 21% target share in weeks 11 through 18 and a 13.3% target share in weeks 1 through 10.

So it started as soon as LaPorta went out. They just got Jamir Gibbs so much more involved in the passing. game and it wasn't, at some point, David Montgomery stopped being a factor, but it wasn't right away. It was, uh, how close to that was when Dan Campbell took over play calling? Oh, I'm not sure. That's a good question, but Gibbs, you know, 28.2% target per route run rate and a 66% route participation rate for Jamir Gibbs after the Laporta injury.

It was 51%. So went from 51% route participation rate to 66% after. the Sam LaPorte injury and the target share 13.3% to 21.2%. Shocking, shocking stat from Adam. Tusha. All right, we'll give you a couple of tight-end notes there. We'll take a break and give you some more shocking predictions from Heath. All right, Heath.

What else we got here in the shocking world? I think this qualifies. Zave Flowers. I have projected for 134 targets, which would be, I believe, a full target per game. more than he has ever had in his career. Really, I think, took a step forward that it was acknowledged last year. Like, he was a top 12 wide receiver, but I'm not sure everybody realizes just how much of a step forward it was.

29% target share last year, averaged 2.53 yards per route run. He would have been even better if it hadn't been the most insane, low touch, low pass volume, even for a Ravens' offense, 420 pass attempts for. that team. Lamar Jackson has been on a pace for about 480 for most of his career. I think the expectation

should be 50 to 60 more passes with the potential that a new coordinator wants to throw the ball more than that. And I don't think they added anybody to this roster that's going to take significant targets away from him. Flowers could be a 30% target share guy if a team throws 500

times. That's 150 targets. Yep, he's another guy we're going to talk about with Ryan Heath in terms of personnel usage. He's one of these guys that when the team goes heavy personnel, he doesn't leave the field and he's not competing with other wide receivers really for targets. They do have a new offensive coordinator. Will things change a little bit personnel-wise for the Baltimore Ravens? All, give me one more. The last crazy projection I think we should do.

I've moved Jonathan Brooks into a completely even split with Chuba Hubbard and St. in terms of touches. Rush attempts, targets, they're just even split. And it's not going to be that way. I've got this with the Bears past catchers right now, too, where Luther Bird and Roma Dunesay and Colston Levin are just tied and projected targets

because we don't really know who's going to be the one. And that's, I feel like we don't know who's going to be the lead running back for the Carolina Panthers by the middle of the season. And in my opinion, it just depends on whether or not Jonathan Brooks is able to get to 100% and stay at 100%. It's been a steady drumbeat recently

of talk about how excited the Panthers are about Brooks, the fact that he was on the field this early in the offseason for teamwork. I think he takes this job and runs with it as long as he stays healthy. He's averaged 2.4 yards per carry in his career, Heath. Nine carries for 22 yards. But in all seriousness, I do.

wish we we had some sense of what kind of NFL running back Jonathan Brooks was. We're just assuming. And he's coming, you know, he's coming off his second one ACL. So, yeah, I think if Chuba Hubbard, if Chuba Hubbard loses his job to a guy who's basically never played in the NFL, didn't play all that much in college, and it's coming off two torn ACLs, it doesn't speak, it doesn't speak highly of him. And I fear that they're going to split so evenly. that it would be annoying.

Oh, if they split evenly, then it's possible than neither one of them matters. Right, exactly. They'll matter because they want to run the ball, but not in a predictable, fun, good way. All right, thank you, Heath. Shocking episode of Fantasy Football Today Express. I'll talk to you next time.

See you right.