Fantasy Football Today - FFT Express - 5 Must-Draft Rookies We're Targeting! Emeka Egbuka, TreVeyon Henderson & More! (07/22 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Starting point is 00:00:00 We love rookies who are Dave's favorite rookies at their current values. We'll tell you right now on FFT Express. All right. So yeah, it'd be easier to say these are our favorite rookies, but we're going to look at it with ADP in mind as well. And it's July 22nd. ADP is going to change a lot, but what you come up with, you want to go five, four, three, two, one here? Dave Korsunsky No, I'm going to go in order of ADP and I'm going to pass on, I'm not saying I'm going to pass on drafting Ash and Gentian on Marion Hampton, but those are two guys. I think the consensus is going to be very, very high on those two. So I'm skipping them. We're not even going to talk about them, but we are going to talk about Travis Hunter, who's going as a late five pick in full PPR.

Starting point is 00:00:43 I'm on board with that. I think he's absolutely going to get good target volume, more of a short and intermediate target for Jacksonville. What he did at Colorado after the catch was absolutely amazing. Huge numbers, high catch rate, gonna get a lot of passes going his way and he's gonna try and catch them all. He will have some games at him.

Starting point is 00:01:00 You will get to make your Pokemon joke. Eight targets, eight catches, good numbers to go along with it. Lot of hype around Travis Hunter, but I still think he's going to come through as a borderline wide receiver too, that you can draft in that round five, round six range and feel pretty good about.

Starting point is 00:01:16 All right, I'll give you some Travis Hunter oars. Travis Hunter or Devante Smith. I'm gonna go Hunter over Smith. Okay. Let's just hope Dallas Goddard doesn't get hurt. Then we're going to might regret that. We would regret that. Travis Hunter or Cortland Sutton?

Starting point is 00:01:35 Of course, if Brian Thomas Jr were to get hurt, we'd rather have Travis Hunter. We can play that game that way. Who's the name you gave? It doesn't matter. Cortland Sutton. Why does that not matter? I do like Sutton more than Hunter. Yeah. Okay, how about next rookie on the list? Trevion Henderson, his ADP on fantasy pros, I believe it's right around the 5-6 turn. I think in full PPR, he'll be worth that. And I don't expect him to be the feature back for New England, at least certainly not to start the

Starting point is 00:02:07 year. Maybe he morphs into that role around midseason. But I do think he's going to catch a ton of passes. I think that that's a strength that he brings into the National Football League. We'll see how many carries he can take away from Ramadre Stevenson. It wouldn't surprise me if by Halloween, he was getting more playing time and more carries. Will he work the goal line ahead of Ramon D. Stevenson? That's something that I'm nervous about. He didn't do a ton of that in college, but I think he's a very talented running back and in full PPR. I think he can get you close to 14 PPR points per game, and he'll have some weeks where he just absolutely busts out, kind of in the mold of a No-Sean Moreno type of running back,

Starting point is 00:02:42 and that type of player is who did very well with Josh McDaniels in Denver. It was No-Sean who did well with Josh McDaniels in Denver. I'm thinking that McDaniels is going to try and make that the ceiling for Trevion Henderson. Just won't rush there to do it. I would take Trevion Henderson with a top 65 ish pick. Henderson or Deandre Swift? Henderson for me.

Starting point is 00:03:06 Henderson or David Montgomery? It's going to be close, but I'm going to lean Montgomery as of now. Okay. Let's get number three on your list. We're going way down in ADP now. These next three players all have an ADP of over 90th, maybe even 100th. Wow. Where you look, we talked about a Mecca about Emeka Buka on the main show. I'm not

Starting point is 00:03:27 going to get into it much more now. But precise route runner can line up anywhere and make an impact on the field, could be the slot guy for Tampa right away in Week 1. We don't know when Chris Godwin is going to be back to his old self. I think that matters more than whatever you want to say about Mike Evans and him getting old. But he's going to be the guy that ends up stepping into an even larger opportunity if Godwin isn't ready to go, if Godwin is limited, if Godwin or Evans misses time during the season. And I think Abouka is just an NFL-ready, route-running, good-hands type of receiver that can help fantasy managers. And his AD ADP is it's a dream at this point. A push back on that a little. I don't think it's a dream. I think it's appropriate. 117th. I don't know. I don't really feel like I'm getting a steal there for a guy who

Starting point is 00:04:20 could have been a steal. Well, he could end up being a steal. Absolutely. But I also think he could end up being a steal. Well, he could end up being a steal. Absolutely. But I also think he could end up being a bust. I think he could be dropable, which is probably the case. No, no, look, I don't think that, let's say, maybe correct me if I'm wrong, I don't think Michael Pittman could end up being a steal. I don't, people might disagree with me on this, but I don't really think Brandon I.U. could end up being a steal.

Starting point is 00:04:45 Nope. And those are the guys that are going right around a Buka. So if you want to just look at it at upside, maybe a Buka has it and rookie wide receivers often outperform their ADP. But I mentioned JSN on the other show that we did, he had 93 targets as a rookie behind Metcalf and Lockett. I could see that reality for a Buka and Targets is going to be a guy who's on and off the waiver wire, I think. You're probably right. And if that comes to pass,

Starting point is 00:05:09 that means that whoever drafts Mike Evans and Chris Godwin should be very happy with what they get out of him this year. Okay. Abuca is a really exciting player though. It's very exciting and just tons of contingency upside. Right. Right. Because it's not like one of, there are ways that don't necessarily involve a guy leaving with an injury or whatever for him to step up. Okay. Let's take a break. And we got two more rookies that Dave likes at their ADPs after this. Back on FFT Express. All right. We've got so far Travis Hunter, Trevion Henderson, Emeka Buka. Who's next? I'm going to combine the last two, Adam, because they're both tight ends and you already know

Starting point is 00:05:52 who they are. If I'm combining two rookie tight ends based on ADP, it's Tyler Warren, who's going according to fantasy pros at 115.2 and Colson Loveland with the Bears who's going 117.7. So they're both in that round 10 range. I do like Warren better. I think he's going to see more targets. I think there's a chance he leads the Colts in all the Receiving Categories this year. I think he is that good. Slash, I think the Colts wide receivers just aren't that good. But I see the talent in both of them. And they're both different. Loveland, to me, is much more of a finesse receiver. He can win on the seam downfield. It's just a matter of target crunch for him because he's sharing with DJ Moore, Roma dunze, Luther Burden, DeAndre Swift, Chicago's offense.

Starting point is 00:06:34 Still kind of a question mark. I think it's an upgrade, obviously, with Ben Johnson and his play calling and play designs. But Caleb Williams does have to come through. We don't know if that's something that we can just absolutely guarantee. The quarterback situation in Indianapolis is even worse. But I think Tyler Warren isn't there to necessarily work the seam all the time. I think he's going to be a short-area target who can bounce off defenders and add yards after the catch. And that's something that I think the Colts have kind of been missing in their offense, certainly in the red zone when they want to throw, not necessarily when they're inside the three, but more when they're from like, call it the five yard line all the way back to the 20,

Starting point is 00:07:07 they need somebody who can win regularly in the red zone. I think Warren can do that for them. And these are both guys that have tons of upside and low ADP, just like a Bucca, where if they end up not working out for you, all right, it sucks, but it's around 10 pick. Or maybe their ADP goes up and it's around nine pick, and you can find another tight end off the waiver or you can draft

Starting point is 00:07:30 one of these tight ends with a veteran tight end, have two tight ends on your team to start the year and hope that one of the two tight ends ends up being good for your fancy team. I can't tell you how many teams I've drafted with Tucker Kraft and Tyler Warren. Those two guys seem to be my guys when I don't get a good value on one of the, you know, top seven or eight tight ends at the beginning of my draft.

Starting point is 00:07:51 What is better value, David Njoku in round nine or let's call him eight, nine turn or these rookies in round 10? I'll take Njoku because we've seen it from him literally anytime over the last two, when he's been on the field with a quarterback not named Deshaun Watson, he's been money. And I mean, we talked about this on the main show, like, what could it look like in Cleveland if they begin the year with Kenny Pickett as their starting quarterback or Dylan Gabriel as their starting quarterback? They're on Shadr Sanders as well. I think that's going to be worse for the wide receivers, but not so much for

Starting point is 00:08:26 Najoku because his role in that offense isn't to run downfield all the time. He's running a lot of shorter routes. Those are easier throws for any quarterback to make. And so I think Najoku could still be okay with Pickett or Dylan Gabriel or Shadr Sanders. Of course, with Joe Flacco, I think he'd be best off. I think the receivers would be two in cleveland just as an aside but i i think the joker at this point he's he's burned he's won us over in fantasy and

Starting point is 00:08:50 deserves to be drafted as better than a player that goes at ninety overall thank you very much to dave richard this is ffp express and we'll talk to you tomorrow with another episode See you later. We love rookies who are Dave's favorite rookies at their current values. We'll tell you right now on FFT Express. All right. So yeah, it'd be easier to say these are our favorite rookies, but we're going to look at it with ADP in mind as well. And it's July 22nd, ADP is going to change a lot.

Starting point is 00:09:31 But what you come up with, you want to go five, four, three, two, one here? No, I'm going to go in order of ADP and I'm going to pass on, I'm not saying I'm going to pass on drafting Ash and Gentian on Marion Hampton, but those are two guys. I think the consensus is going to be very, very high on those two. So I'm skipping them. We're not even gonna talk about them, but we are gonna talk about Travis Hunter, who's going as a late five pick in full PPR.

Starting point is 00:09:53 I'm on board with that. I think he's absolutely going to get good target volume, more of a short and intermediate target for Jacksonville. What he did at Colorado after the catch was absolutely amazing. Huge numbers, high catch rate, gonna get a lot of passes going his way and he's gonna try and catch them all. He will have some games, Adam. You will get to make your Pokemon joke. Eight targets, eight catches, good numbers to go along with it. A lot of hype around Travis Hunter, but I still think he's going

Starting point is 00:10:17 to come through as a borderline wide receiver too that you can draft in that round five round six range and feel pretty good about. All right. I'll give you some Travis Hunter ors Travis Hunter or Devante Smith. I'm going to go Hunter over Smith. Okay. Let's just hope Dallas got her doesn't get hurt. Then we're going to might regret that.

Starting point is 00:10:41 We would regret that. Yeah. Travis Hunter or Cortland Sutton. Of course, if Brian Thomas Jr were to get hurt We would regret that. Travis Hunter or Courtland Sutton. Course if Brian Thomas Jr were to get hurt. We'd rather have Travis Hunter. We can play that game that way. Who's the name you gave?

Starting point is 00:10:52 It doesn't matter. Courtland Sutton. Courtland Sutton. Why does that not matter? I do like Sutton more than Hunter. Yeah. Okay. How about next rookie on the list? Trevion Henderson, his ADP on fantasy pros.

Starting point is 00:11:04 I believe it's right around the 5.6 turn. I think in full PPR, he'll be worth that. And I don't expect him to be the feature back for New England, at least certainly not to start the year. Maybe he morphs into that role around midseason. But I do think he's going to catch a ton of passes. I think that that's a strength that he brings in in the National Football League. We'll see how many carries he can take away from Ramadre Stevenson. Wouldn't surprise me if by Halloween, he was getting more playing time and more carries. Will he work the goal line ahead of Ramadre Stevenson? That's something that I'm nervous about. He didn't do a ton of that in college. But I think he's a very talented running back and in full PPR. I think he can get you close to 14 PPR points per game. And he'll have some weeks where he just absolutely busts out, kind of in the mold of a No-Sean Moreno type of running back.

Starting point is 00:11:52 And that type of player is who did very well with Josh McDaniels in Denver. It was No-Sean who did well with Josh McDaniels in Denver. I'm thinking that McDaniels is going to try and make that the ceiling for Trevion Henderson just won't rush there to do it. I would take Trevion Henderson with the top 65 ish pick. Henderson or Deandre Swift? Henderson for me. Henderson or David Montgomery? It's going to be close, but I'm going to lean Montgomery as of now. Okay. Let's get number three on your list. We're going way down an ADP. Now, these

Starting point is 00:12:28 next three players all have an ADP of over 90th, maybe even 100th. Wow. Where you look, we talked about a Mecca, a buka on the main show, I'm not going to get into it much more now. But precise route runner can line up anywhere and make an impact on the field could be the slot guy for Tampa right away in Week 1. We don't know when Chris Godwin is going to be back to his old self. I think that matters more than whatever you want to say about Mike Evans and him getting old. But he's going to be the guy that ends up stepping into an even larger opportunity if Godwin isn't ready to go, if Godwin is limited, if Godwin or Evans misses time during the season.

Starting point is 00:13:05 I think Abouka is just an NFL ready route running good hands type of receiver that can help fantasy managers and his ADP is it's a dream at this point. Push back on that a little. I don't think it's a dream. I think it's appropriate. A hundred and seventeenth. I don't think it's a dream. I think it's appropriate. 117th? I don't know. I don't really feel like I'm getting a steal there

Starting point is 00:13:28 for a guy who could have- I think you could end up being a steal. Well, he could end up being a steal. Absolutely. But I also think he could end up being a bust. I think he could be dropable, which is probably the case. No, no, look, I don't think that, let's say, maybe correct me if I'm wrong, I don't think Michael Pittman could end up being a steal. I don't, people might disagree with me,

Starting point is 00:13:51 and I said, I don't really think Brandon IU could end up being a steal. Nope. And those are the guys that are going right around a Buka. So if you want to just look at upside, maybe a Buka has it and rookie wide receivers often outperform their ADP. But I mentioned JSN on the other show that we did, he had 93 targets as a rookie behind Metcalf and Lockett. I could see that reality for a Bucca and 93 targets is going to be a guy who's on and off the waiver wire, I think. You're probably right. And if that comes to pass, that means that whoever drafts Mike Evans and Chris Godwin

Starting point is 00:14:22 should be very happy with what they get out of him this year. Okay. Bucca is a really exciting player though. It's very exciting and just tons of contingency upside. Right. Right. Because it's not like one of there are ways that don't necessarily involve a guy leaving with an injury or whatever for him to step up.

Starting point is 00:14:44 Okay. Let's take a break. And we got two more rookies that Dave likes at their ADPs after this. No frills delivers. Get groceries delivered to your door from no frills with PC express. Shop online and get $15 in PC optimum points on your first five orders. Shop now at nofrills.ca. Back on FFT Express.

Starting point is 00:15:06 All right. We've got so far Travis Hunter, Trevion Henderson, Emeka Abouka. Who's next? I'm going to combine the last two, Adam, because they're both tight ends and you already know who they are. If I'm combining two rookie tight ends based on ADP, it's Tyler Warren, who's going according to fantasy pros at 115.2 and Colson Loveland with the Bears, who's going, according to Fantasy Pros, at 115.2. And Colson Loveland with the Bears, who's going 117.7. So they're both in that round 10 range. I do like Warren better. I think he's going to see more

Starting point is 00:15:32 targets. I think there's a chance he leads the Colts in all the Receiving Categories this year. I think he is that good. Slash, I think the Colts wide receivers just aren't that good. But I see the talent in both of them, and they're both different. Loveland, to me, is much more of a finesse receiver. He can win on the seam downfield. It's just a matter of target crunch for him, because he's sharing with DJ Moore, Roma Dunze, Luther Burden, Deandre Swift. Chicago's offense, still kind of a question mark. I think it's an upgrade, obviously, with Ben Johnson and his play calling and play designs. But Caleb Williams does have to come through. We don't know if that's something that we can just absolutely guarantee. The quarterback situation in Indianapolis is even worse. But I think Tyler Warren isn't there to necessarily work the seam all the time. I think he's going to be a short area target who can bounce off defenders and add yards after the

Starting point is 00:16:20 catch. And that's something that I think the Colts have kind of been missing in their offense, certainly in the red zone when they want to throw, not necessarily when they're inside the 3, but more when they're from like, caught the 5-yard line all the way back to the 20. They need somebody who can win regularly in the red zone. I think Warren can do that for them. And these are both guys that have tons of upside and low ADP, just like a Buka, where if they end up not working out for you, all right, it sucks, but it's around 10 pick. Or maybe their ADP goes up and it's around 9 pick, and you can find another tight end off the wave wire. Or you can draft one of these tight ends with a veteran tight end, have two tight ends on your team to start the year, and hope that one of the two tight ends ends up being good for your fancy team. I can't tell you how many teams I've drafted with Tucker Kraft and Tyler Warren. Those two guys seem to be my guys when I don't get a good value on one of the,

Starting point is 00:17:11 you know, top seven or eight tight ends at the beginning of my draft. What is better value, David Njoku in round nine or let's call him eight, nine turn or these rookies in round 10? I'll take the joke because we've seen it from him literally anytime over the last two years, when he's been on the field with a quarterback not named Deshaun Watson, he's been money. And I mean, we talked about this on the main show, like what could it look like in Cleveland if they begin the year with Kenny Pickett as their starting quarterback or Dylan Gabriel as their starting quarterback, even they're on Shadr Sanders as well.

Starting point is 00:17:47 I think that's going to be worse for the wide receivers, but not so much for Najoku because his role in that offense isn't to run downfield all the time. He's running a lot of shorter routes. Those are easier throws for any quarterback to make. And so I think Najoku could still be okay with Pickett or Dylan Gabriel or Shadr Sanders. Of course, with Joe Flacco, i think he'd be best off i think the receivers would be two in cleveland just as an aside but i think the joku at this point he's he's earned he's won us over in fantasy and deserves to be drafted as better than a player that goes at 90th overall.

Starting point is 00:18:21 Thank you very much to dave richard this is fft express and we'll talk to you tomorrow with another episode. See you very much to Dave Richard. This is FFT Express and we'll talk to you tomorrow with another episode. See you later. Paramount Podcasts.

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Fantasy Football Today - FFT Express - 5 Must-Draft Rookies We're Targeting! Emeka Egbuka, TreVeyon Henderson & More! (07/22 Fantasy Football Podcast)

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