Fantasy Football Today - FFT Express - 6 BOLD Fantasy Predictions from Adam Aizer! Cowboys Bust? Chiefs Break Fantasy? (09/02 Fantasy Football Podcast)

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Starting point is 00:00:52 Free of charge. BetMGM operates pursuant to an operating agreement with Eye Gaming Ontario. Adam Azer is bringing the heat with his bold predictions for 2025. Next on FFT Express. What's up, everybody? Dave Richard, joined by Adam Hazer, who told me seconds ago he had six bold predictions. Let's hear one of them. And I'm going to grade them on a scale of A to F on how bold they are, Adam.

Starting point is 00:01:27 Oh, well, I'm starting with the. least bold and going. Here comes your F. Yes. Bold prediction number one, Nico Collins will be wide receiver one. Oh, I don't think that that's an F at all. Why do you think he's going to be wide receiver one? I think he is, you know, obviously the clear target leader for Houston. I think they're going to throw the ball enough. And in the first four weeks of the season before his hamstring injury last year, Nico Collins was on pace for more than 2,000 receiving yards and over 180 targets. So that's obviously awesome.

Starting point is 00:02:02 He is perennially one of the leaders in yards per outrun, yards per target. He is, I think, obviously, in fantasy circles, we know him. You ask a casual football fan. I think Nico Collins might be the best player that people don't really know about in the NFL. So I'm looking forward to him having a huge breakout season from an attention standpoint and really entering the chat, as they say, as one of the truly elite players. I don't think it's that bold of a take because I have him as my wide receiver two.

Starting point is 00:02:32 Most people have him on our, you know. Right, I've got him fourth. So I think Michael Collins has his year where everybody realizes how good he is and he's going to be wide receiver one, bold prediction. I think about that run game in Houston and if they can't get it on track, that means more pass attempts for C.J. Stroud.

Starting point is 00:02:48 I'm going to give that a C. On the bold scale. So not enough whatsoever. Number two, Adam. Number two, I went with Ricky Pearsall out scores Garrett Wilson. Okay. Oh, you want me to give the, okay.

Starting point is 00:03:03 I thought you would explain it. Yeah. Give me a little bit. Well, you know, with Garrett Wilson, he's been over 140 targets every year of his career, and I think his highest finish was wide receiver 19 per game

Starting point is 00:03:15 in full PPR last year. Justin Fields doesn't throw a lot of touchdowns. Now, Garrett Wilson, I think you look at the DJ Moore year with Justin Fields, which was terrific. DJ Moore had a lot of very long touchdown pass.

Starting point is 00:03:26 touchdown catches, right? He had these big explosive plays. That has been something that's been missing from Garrett Wilson. He's been, since entering the league, one of the worst. So here's been his explosive play rate in three seasons. There's usually about 85 to 90 wide receivers with 50 or more targets. Garrett Wilson's been 54th, 75th, and 61st. I don't really think this isn't necessarily a Garrett Wilson problem because I watched all of his

Starting point is 00:03:51 targets of 20 or more air yards last year. And I think Aaron Rogers was really to blame missed him. lot, Garrett Wilson can get by people. He can get open. I just don't think that Justin Fields is necessarily the quarterback that's going to make this work for him and finally give Garrett Wilson this breakout season because, again, he's had the targets. I'm not worried about the targets. I'm worried about the touchdowns, really. Pierceall, first round pick last year, got the gunshot wound. He was worried about living and not just playing football. He said that his season was basically his training camp because he didn't have that. So, you know,

Starting point is 00:04:26 Obviously, a much better offseason for him, steps into a big role, terrifically talented player, better offense, great yak guy. It's going to be better than Garrett Wilson. 12.7, 13.0, 14.8 are the full PPR per game averages for Garrett Wilson with 4.14.8 coming last year. Over nine targets per game for Garrett Wilson, each of the past two seasons. Listen, I think this one's definitely got a good shot of happening. I'm a big Pearsall guy. I give that one to see.

Starting point is 00:04:56 Number three, Adam. All right. So I said Nico Collins would be wide receiver one. Let's how about this? This honestly doesn't require that much explanation. Tyreek Hill will be wide receiver one. He, you know, because coming off two straight 1,700-yard seasons, had a pre-season wrist injury, lost a lot of targets to Johnny Smith.

Starting point is 00:05:16 John Smith isn't on the team anymore. I don't think the dolphins can be great. And they have been very good. As Jamie pointed out, when Tua has been held, What were they? 20 and 11 under Mike McDaniel. So they're a good team. I don't think they can get back to that without Tyree Kill being a huge part of it.

Starting point is 00:05:33 Tyree Kill will be wide receiver one. He averaged 14.9 ppr points per game on 7.9 targets per game in 11 games with Tua starting last year. That includes a game that Tua did not finish. If we take that game out, it's actually 15.8 ppr points per game. I'm worried about the upside. I'm going to give that bold take a C. We'll be back with Adam's next three bold takes right after this. With Amex Platinum, access to exclusive Amex pre-sale tickets can score you a spot trackside.

Starting point is 00:06:03 So being a fan for life turns into the trip of a lifetime. That's the powerful backing of Amex. Pre-sale tickets for future events subject to availability and vary by race. Terms and conditions apply. Learn more at Amex.com.com. Adam Bold Tag number four. Let's hear it. Very bullish on the rookie running backs.

Starting point is 00:06:21 I will say that two rookie running backs will finish. top five. One of them will definitely be Ashton Genty. I think Hampton's got a great chance. I think Trayvion Henderson has a decent chance to do it. After that, I think it would be a little surprising, but R.J. Harvey has a shot. But I'll say, look, nobody thought Bucky Irving was going to be as good as he was. He wasn't top five, but he could have been for a full season if they had just gave him the chances.

Starting point is 00:06:45 So two rookie running backs will finish top five. All right. Not bad. Not bad. I'll give that one a C. Next bowl prediction. All right. My next tour are about offenses here.

Starting point is 00:06:56 The Kansas City offense will break fantasy in a good way. This has been a team that, and I'm about to talk about this on CBS Sports Network, but this has been a team that's been so dedicated to getting their explosive plays back. And I think it's so funny to think they lost in the Super Bowl and they're coming off a disappointing season. But I do feel like they have to evaluate their team and say, look, we've got to get the explosives back. They kept talking about it. We saw it in the preseason game against the Bears. I think they're going to go nuts.

Starting point is 00:07:27 I think they're going to be great values. And can you believe that we don't have a single Kansas City chief being drafted in the top, like, 48? Like Mahomes is right around there. It's been so long since that's been the case. We usually had three, you know, Kelsey, Mahomes, and whether it was Tyreek Hill or Isaiah Pacheco. I'm guessing we may have four in some seasons. So I think that they could be absolute steals this year and they're going to break fantasy in a good way. This is the lowest we've been able to draft Patrick Mahomes since 2018.

Starting point is 00:08:03 And that was before Patrick Mahomes was Patrick Mahomes. So definitely value there. I've seen Worthy go as a top 48 pick, but I haven't seen any chiefs going as a top 36 pick. So to your point, they definitely have a lot of talent. And I think people are just a little bit nervous about another, you know, okay. from the Chiefs, but they've definitely talked about being more explosive. We'll see if they can do it. What grade do you think I'm going to give you?

Starting point is 00:08:29 B. No, I think I'm going to go C. You've got one bold prediction left. Let's hear it. I do think this is my boldest one. The Dallas offense will be crap. They were 18th in scoring last year with Dak Prescott. If you remember the way the season per cent,

Starting point is 00:08:52 I'm just going to pull it up real quick for C.D. Lamb. He had that one big fourth quarter against the 49ers. And in that game, C.D. Lamb scored 39 fantasy points. Other than that, 13, 19, 8, 22, 11, 15, 15. That was what C.D. Lamb did with that Prescott last year. There was no George Pickens. There was Zach Martin last year. There was probably a better running back with Rico Dowdell. People are very concerned about their offensive line. It's not being considered as to be a good one. I know Pete Prisco on the Draftathon said he does like it. He says they're young, but he likes the young guys. Dak Prescott last year had a pretty troubling trend where he was running less. And his sack rate went way up despite his pressure rate not going up. So are we at the point in Dack's career where he has lost some mobility?

Starting point is 00:09:44 Those two things would suggest, yes, I think he could bounce back from that. So I'm not exactly drafting this way. But I just want people to remember that CD Lamb was a bus last year. And that was with DAC, and that was without George Pickens being on the team. So Pickens gives me hope for their offense, but their offensive line does not. Dax, you know, getting up there in age of that old, but might not be running as much. Their run game could be abysmal. And I don't really believe in Brian Schottenheimer.

Starting point is 00:10:12 I think he has, oh, gosh, I have this. He's like three top 10 offenses in his entire career as a play caller. So I had some really great years of Russell Wilson, but also some very, a very underwhelming resume. I think the Cowboys are a mess, and this could be the end of a long, sustained era of offensive greatness for the Dallas Cowboys. And unfortunately, one that's going to cost them on the salary cap because they paid deck what they did.

Starting point is 00:10:40 As far as getting a gauge on the offensive line, I'm going to read you the early season schedule for the Cowboys, you tell me when you think we're going to know what that offensive line is given the matchups week one and week two well week one and week two is against Philadelphia and the Giants and those are two teams with good pass rushes and they play Green Bay and

Starting point is 00:11:00 Michael Parsons in week four in between then Chicago week three like if they if they stink in all four of those games then yes we've made a huge mistake on the Cowboys people that drafted a lot of DAC and a lot of lamb and a lot of pickings are probably going to need to adjust

Starting point is 00:11:16 expectations I can't give you a C for that one The gag was giving you a C for every single one, but that one on the boldness scale, that's an A-minus, that one's good. And there you have it, six bold predictions from Adam Azer. We will see you next time on FFT Express. No, don't whisper.

Fantasy Football Today - FFT Express - 6 BOLD Fantasy Predictions from Adam Aizer! Cowboys Bust? Chiefs Break Fantasy? (09/02 Fantasy Football Podcast)

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