Fantasy Football Today - FFT Express - AFC South Preview: Sleepers, Breakouts & Busts for 2025 Drafts!

Starting point is 00:00:00 This episode is brought to you by Dazon. For the first time ever, the 32 best soccer clubs from across the world are coming together to decide who the undisputed champions of the world are in the FIFA Club World Cup. The world's best players, Messi, Holland, Kane and more are all taking part. And you can watch every match for free on Dazon, starting on June 14th and running until July 13th. Sign up now at dazone.com slash FIFA. That's D-A-Z-N dot com slash FIFA. All right, everybody. Welcome to Fantasy Football Today Express. We're looking at the AFC South Sleepers Breakouts and Busts right now. We welcome you here. I'm Adam Azer with Heath Comics and Heath, the AFC South.

Starting point is 00:00:48 Not the most exciting division, but there's some players that you take exception to this. Well, I mean, I don't know exactly what you mean by exciting, but you've got Brian Thomas Jr. Who's a top pick in the top two rounds. You've got Jonathan Taylor, who's one of the best running backs in football. Nico Collins. The guys we got some players. Yeah, this is a great division.

Starting point is 00:01:12 Well, you had me until that word. Give me a sleeper in the AFC South. This is the division of sleepers, I would say. You can make the argument for whatever Jacksonville running back that you would like to. I've talked a lot about how I don't totally get the Basial Toot and stuff. He's currently, I believe in CBS ADP, the earliest Jags running back being drafted, but all three of them are going after PIC 100. I love ETN and Bigsby at cost. A Jacksonville running back though is an excellent sleeper choice. Also, they have a tight end. Brenton Strange is going to be taking over for Evan

Starting point is 00:01:51 Ingram this year and should be the clear number one tight end and rarely even getting drafted before round 12 in most of our drafts. I could keep going in this division. Josh Downs, ADP's way too low, a very good sleeper opportunity. Maybe even TyJ Spears. I also like Christian Kirk. I think people are forgetting about Christian Kirk. He doesn't have to be great to justify his cause. Christian Kirk is not even a top 120 pick. So round 11 or later, you're not a fan.

Starting point is 00:02:30 I'm well, I, I just think that's probably not a pass heavy offense. Nico's going to be a dominant wide receiver one and they drafted Jayden Higgins and Jaylen Noll, who I think are both pretty good. So yeah, maybe Kirk is a, in like a Wondale Robinson kind of way. Yeah. He's been so much better than Wondale Robinson. Last year's A-dot was way too high. It was ridiculous before that. I mean, he was outperforming Calvin Ridley two years ago. Yeah, Higgins and Knoll, they don't really bother me.

Starting point is 00:02:57 Round three wide receivers typically wouldn't affect a solid veteran. I still think he's a solid veteran. And again, you don't have to take him with one of your first 10 picks, Christian Kirk. Like, Nico was off to a great start last year and Stefan Diggs was very good in that slot role. I think Christian Kirk will step into that. I don't think he'll be as targeted as Diggs, but it'll be good. All right, whatever. You know, I'm fine. Fine. I don't care. Who's a breakout? That is more difficult to find in this division. I think if we get a breakout, it'll be your favorites kind of breakout. And that is the rookie breakout.

Starting point is 00:03:29 What did he break out from? He never played before. Well, you can be a breakout as a rookie and they have some outstanding options. We just talked about Travis Hunter on the main FFT and the, the mystery box potential with him, arguably, and I'm not even sure it was arguable, the best player in college football last year. And then they trade up to take him number two overall. Anything is possible.

Starting point is 00:03:53 Tyler Warren, many people's favorite tight end one in this class. And you listen about OTAs and they are just finding all kinds of ways to get him the ball. He could break out as a rookie tight end. I don't think there's actually a breakout candidate on the Texans. So I will skip over them, but you do have the 101 cam ward. Certainly a breakout candidate. I think you maybe could argue that Nico Collins is, is a breakout. If he could put together a full season of being unbelievable, which

Starting point is 00:04:25 I think it could. But yeah, I think that's people debate that maybe as much as the rookie, but if you've done it for multiple seasons over 12 games, is it a breakout if you do it over 17? I think he can be better. I think he could. I think he could be wide receiver one. Yeah. Okay. Yeah. I mean, I'm very, very high on him. And if people are considering drafting him in round one, I

Starting point is 00:04:49 think you should at least have the hope that he could be wide receiver one. All right. So those are some sleepers and breakouts. Maybe this division has a lot of bus we'll see. Oh, by the way, now before we go to break, I thought maybe you throw Josh Downs in the breakout category. Get him as a sleeper. What do you think the upside is for Josh Downs? I know he's a kind of a internet favorite. He is an internet favorite.

Starting point is 00:05:09 And that depends on, like I would never call a guy that I think might sneak into the top 24 wide receivers or breakout when I'm doing the show with you. Cause I know breakouts when you league, sleepers when you weeks. And when you're two quarterbacks are Daniel Jones and Anthony Richardson,

Starting point is 00:05:24 I'm not sure that you have the league winning potential, but I definitely think he could be a top 24 wide receiver if everything goes right. All right. I want to share my screen here. Let's take a look at this Twitter poll. I just put up, here we go. Can you be a breakout as a rookie? Pretty close.

Starting point is 00:05:44 55. Yes. 55. Yes. 55%. Yes. 45%. No. The great thing is like, I write breakout articles. And so I determine what a breakout is within that article. You, you host a podcast.

Starting point is 00:05:59 And so for as long as you're talking, you can determine what a breakout is, but that ends when I start talking. I unfortunately will also have to write breakouts this year, like I did last year. Looking forward to that. Yeah, well, that makes one of us. Okay, we'll be right back on Fantasy Football Today Express. Let's get some busts in the AFC South. This is a strange thing because you kind of poo-pooed this division at the start of the stream and I wouldn't do that. But also there are bust candidates, but nobody that I'm really concerned about that's being drafted in the first five rounds validating their draft cost. So I wrote my bust call and there was nobody on any of these four teams that turned out to be a bust.

Starting point is 00:06:44 So I'll tell you one guy on each team and how they could be a bust. Tony Pollard, if Taijay Spears stays healthy all year and the split of carries we saw inside the five yard line stays the same and Taijay Spears is both handling more of the passing downs work and scoring more touchdowns than Tony Pollard, then Tony Pollard will be a bust. Joe Mixon, I think we've probably factored in his injury risk enough, the fact that he's in a walking boot and his age, but if he's just not healthy, which the last time we saw him he wasn't, then Joe Mixon could be a bust.

Starting point is 00:07:21 I don't really see how the Colts are going to be busted. You can make the argument for Jonathan Taylor because Anthony Richardson for the first time in his career is going to stop Jonathan Taylor from scoring touchdowns. I don't really believe that. I suppose Brian Thomas Jr. could be a bust if Travis Hunter is the best wide receiver on the team. You didn't mention Nick Chubb when talking about mixing. Not a concern for you. I, that's, that's another reason that Joe Mixon could be a bust.

Starting point is 00:07:50 I have a really hard time. Bearing a 29 year old running back who's played 10 games over the last two seasons and was one of the worst rushers in terms of efficiency in football last year. Yeah. I, um, I was going to go with Tai-Jay Spears. That was the first name. I'm sorry with, with, uh, Tony Pollard. That was the only name that really, I just don't, I don't, it seems like,

Starting point is 00:08:19 like mixing, cause there's some risk with mixing. It seems like with polar that's being mostly factored into his ADP. Nope. I don't think people are drafting Tony Pollard as a top 24 running wreck. I know. I think just outside of that. And I think Josh Downs does have the chance of being overdrafted in a range where you could get like a Matthew golden or something like that.

Starting point is 00:08:39 Yeah. And CBS ADP is outside of the top 100. Yeah. SADP is outside of the top 100. So I guess in best ball, he might be 80th, but he's probably wide receiver 45. In that format. Are you serious? Because that's exactly what he is. He's 81st and he's wide receiver 45 on fantasy pros. That was 100% a guess. Okay, well, very good. Thank you. If he's a top 80 pick, that's probably too soon for Josh Downs. But Y receiver 45 wouldn't necessarily be that. Okay, Heath, thank you very much.

Starting point is 00:09:10 This is FFT Express. We'll talk to you tomorrow. By the way, on FFT Express, you should know that this feed is getting a new name and a brand new show. This is going to be Fantasy Football Today, Beyond the Box Score, hosted by Jacob Gibbs and Dan Schneier.

Starting point is 00:09:25 So if you love Beyond the Box Score, this is your place for it. For these quick hit episodes, they're gonna live in the main Fantasy Football Today feed. The best thing to do is just subscribe to Fantasy Football Today and stay right here for Beyond the Box Score. We'll talk to you tomorrow.

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Fantasy Football Today - FFT Express - AFC South Preview: Sleepers, Breakouts & Busts for 2025 Drafts!

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