Fantasy Football Today - FFT Express - BUST ALERT! Players to Avoid in 2025 Fantasy Football! (05/15 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Starting point is 00:00:00 The following was recorded from inside an ice plunge. Ah! Woo! Okay. Alright. When a core's light is cold enough, the mountains on the can turn blue! So the next time you want a cold lager, cold filter, cold package, core's light, just wait until those glorious mountains on the can turn blue.

Starting point is 00:00:26 Whoo! It's easy to say that fast when you're freezing gold. We're talking biggest busts, potential busts, right now on Fantasy Football Today Express. ["Fantasy Football Today Express Theme"] Hi, Jamie, I got a problem with this topic. You know me. I'm just such a positive person.

Starting point is 00:00:41 I just, I love every player. And I have a problem. I can't figure out any busts. It's just, I love every player and I have a problem. I can't figure out any busts. It's just, they're all going to be great. Nice guy. I know, you know me, the fantasy, what's the name? Fantasy guy who loves everyone. Yes. Fantasy smiles. That's you. There you go. Fantasy smiles, fantasy hugs and kisses. Okay. So who are some busts at the quarterback position? Quarterback is tough for me because it's such a deep position that I don't really look at it and say right now that I want to see what the 80 PS are because that's typically what

Starting point is 00:01:16 it how it drives it for me. So it'll it'll probably end up being Lamar Jackson or Josh Allen, depending on who goes first in the first round. I just can't justify taking one of those guys that early based on how the position goes year over year where we get somebody or two or three guys that come out of the undrafted pool or the late round options that are just close to that production or at least productive enough that you get standout performances. And some guys last year, Jay Daniels clearly, he was, you know,

Starting point is 00:01:47 if drafted as a starter, a late round starter, Baker Mayfield was a superstar. Bo Nix was a, you know, capable starter for, you know, the back half of the season. You know, it just doesn't make sense to reach for those guys early. So I understand why they're being drafted early because, you know, we talk about not losing your league when you pick these vol to players in the first couple rounds and these guys are typically. Standout quarterbacks for reason but i just can't justify taking them in the first round so we can get a quarterback for now that's more of a conversation. I'll start at the top though it's a guy that a lot of people think is you know first overall and that's a one barkley for me i won't be drafting him. A lot if he's going in the first five overall

Starting point is 00:02:25 picks. Clearly he was amazing last year. I was excited about him last year and that proved itself to be better than I think most people's expectations because the tush push didn't crush him. He ran for over 2,000 yards. He was a superstar in every aspect of the game and looked like the guy that we saw early in his Giants tenure. But based on everything that he's coming off of, the workload is too much. The history of 2,000 yard rushers, there's a slight decline, you know, for almost all these guys. There have been eight prior to him. He's the ninth guy to ever do it in NFL history.

Starting point is 00:02:57 And two of the eight got hurt the next year in Terrell Davis and Derrick Henry. And so the track record is just not in his favor of being as good or better. And so, you know, we talked about this just on the full length episode. We talked about maybe doing an episode about this, drafting guys at their ceiling. Most first round picks are getting drafted

Starting point is 00:03:16 at their ceiling anyway, but it feels like everybody's expecting him just to roll out and do the exact same thing they did a year ago. And for me, that's a little bit too hard to justify. Yeah. Barclay, he, in addition to the, you know, the downfall, not the downfall, the decrease in production, Jamie, that you see from the 2000 yard running backs, pretty sure every single 2000 yard running back has lost at least one yard per carry from the previous

Starting point is 00:03:42 season. So the efficiency is going to go down. He averaged 5.8 yards per carry and he only had, he only was on a pace for 35 catches. So his profile is really not that different from Derek Henry's, right? I mean, Henry had 19 catches, Barclay had 35. It's not nothing, but they're both kind of lower catch guys rely a lot on touchdowns, efficiency workload. Henry Henry goes a lot later than, than Saquon Barkley. So that's worth any other bus. You want to talk about running back? We go with the guy that was in news this week and that's Alvin Camaro. You know, looking

Starting point is 00:04:20 at the situation now quarterback play could be awful, so we know that the scoring potential for the Saints could be pretty bad. You've done a great job illustrating how bottom offenses, what they produce, it's usually at least one good running back or one good wide receiver. I think he'll still be good, but we're talking about a guy that missed three games last year with a groin injury, is 30 years old now. I think we'll lose some touches to whether it's Kendre Miller or Devin Neal, who they drafted. And who knows what Kellen Moore will do in terms of throwing the ball to him as much.

Starting point is 00:04:50 Remember, this was somewhat of a seamless transition for the coaching staff when Sean Payton left. It was a lot of the same guys stayed and Dennis Allen kind of continued a lot of the same things that they were doing. And I don't know if Kellen Moore is going to do that. I mean, you just mentioned Saquon Barkley's receptions. We know Barkley's been one of the best pass catching running backs in his tenure in the league,

Starting point is 00:05:10 and they did not do that. So whether it's Tyler Schuck or Spencer Rattler, whoever it is, I mean, think about the quarterback potential of this team, it could just be completely awful. And so we know he doesn't score a lot of rushing touchdowns to begin with, and he's not going to get better running the ball at his age with this offense. So if the receptions, I don't want to say crater because I don't think that's gonna be the case. But if they come down

Starting point is 00:05:31 20 receptions, more than that, like it could be awful for him. So he's somebody that I'm terrified of, even in PPR. All right, Alvin Kamara and St. Juan Barclay. All right, we're gonna take a break, come back and talk wide receivers and tight ends bust potential right, rightvin Kamara and St. Juan Barclay. All right, we're gonna take a break, come back and talk wide receivers and tight ends, bust potential right after this on FFT Express. LA plus what's better than playoff hockey, overtime, playoff hockey, get more from the game with live overtime markets, download FanDuel today and get more with North America's number one sports book. Please play responsibly 19 plus and physically located in Ontario. If you have questions or concerns about your gambling or the gambling of someone close to you, please contact connects Ontario when it's six, six, five, three, one, two, six, zero, zero to speak to an advisor free of charge.

Starting point is 00:06:19 All right. So how about some wide receivers? I'll start with Mike Evans. You know, last year he finished the season amazing once again, and you know, did a good enough job before he suffered the hamstring injury was out for four games. But when you go back to those first seven games, it was week seven when both he and Chris Godwin got injured. He was not the best receiver on his team. Chris Godwin was outperforming him by significant margin. It was like five PPR points per game at that point. And so he had some spike games in there, but clearly was not the same guy who was averaging around 14 PPR points per game. He finished better than that in the back end of the season.

Starting point is 00:06:51 Well, what did the Bucs do? They re-signed Chris Godwin and they drafted a receiver in the first round. And so while Evans should still be the best receiver for the Bucs, and you can sit here and say, Ibuka may not play very much in his rookie campaign and Godwin's coming off a significant injury, may not be the same guy Those are valid arguments, but you also are talking about Mike Evans turning 32 and we know the track record of those guys So for me, I'm almost certainly out on Mike Evans If you have to draft him in the first three rounds and every draft I've seen so far He goes basically in the first three rounds round four

Starting point is 00:07:19 I think is worth the gamble anything after that is certainly a steal But for me, I don't plan on targeting him very much this season. I think it's going to be frustrating to be in the Mike Evans camp because of all the mouse defeat in Tampa Bay. Yeah. Also another thing I never really talk about, and I don't know if this is going to happen again, obviously, but Baker Mayfield, weeks one through nine, he averaged 35 pass attempts per game. Weeks 10 through season. Um, he averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game and they went four and five in their first nine games. They went six and three down the stretch when they were running the ball more throwing it less. Now I think the schedule had a lot to do with that. They had some easier opponents there, but I, I

Starting point is 00:07:59 guess I wouldn't be too surprised if they were a little bit more conservative, a little bit more run heavy this year than, than what we might expect might expect. Okay, anyone else you want to talk about? I'm trying to find my list so I give you all the accurate ones. While you do that, Mike Evans was the number 23 wide receiver per game with Chris Goblin for six games of the year. He was on pace for only 119 targets. Godman was on pace for 150 targets in those six games. It was a big, big role reversal really for Evans. Once Goblin got hurt, Evans became the clear alpha. What do you got? That's pretty crazy, right? How much better Godman was. Yeah, it really is. He was top. He was the number two receiver, number four per game. Anything else? Sorry, I'm trying to kill time for you.

Starting point is 00:08:52 Devante Adams still scares me. I know he talked about this the other day, but you know, going from the one to the two, I don't know if I'm going to call him a bus, but it's just somebody that makes me concerned. So you look at the situation for the Rams. It's great, right? He could be Cooper Cup Cup was off to a great start But what if Adams was not is not that guy and the way that they finished the season how Cooper Cubs role Devolves and it was all pukin Akua Again, 32 year old receiver. Is he gonna still produce at that level? I'm concerned and I think there's reasons to be a little bit worried about the Vante Adams, especially again based on the How fantasy managers still value his name and what he was able to do with the Jets.

Starting point is 00:09:26 Well, remember what he was with the Raiders when he didn't have Aaron Rodgers? Wasn't great. Well, he was the one year he was great with. No, no, no. I mean, last year before the trade. Oh, last year. Yeah. Yeah.

Starting point is 00:09:39 Wasn't great. And you know, we're talking about a guy that was, if I remember that correctly, like 14 PPR points per game. that's nerve-racking if you're taking him in the third round to be that caliber of player. So this was what it was. Three games with the Raiders, he was at 14.9 PPR points per game. Very serviceable number to receiver if that's what he's getting, but that's more toward the back end of the position as opposed to the front end.

Starting point is 00:10:01 So it still makes me a little bit concerned going to the Rams, knowing that Pucca is going to get so many opportunities. And we've never really seen Devontae Adams clearly in the number two role. And I think he'll be in the number two role. And this is another team, the Rams that got very run heavy down the stretch, weeks 13 through 17, Matthew Stafford through 24, 30, 27, 19, 32 passes. Playoff winning against Minnesota, he threw 27 passes. Then he threw 44 in the loss to Philadelphia. But there's another team that might want to be very run heavy

Starting point is 00:10:32 if they're in the right game script, if they're winning games, and they probably will win a good amount of games this year. All right. That's it for Jamie and me. I'm Adam Azer. That's it for Fantasy Football Today Express. We will talk to you next week. Have a great weekend, everybody.

Fantasy Football Today - FFT Express - BUST ALERT! Players to Avoid in 2025 Fantasy Football! (05/15 Fantasy Football Podcast)

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