Fantasy Football Today - FFT Express - David Montgomery Traded to Texans! Fantasy Football Impact + Is Jahmyr Gibbs the FIRST PICK in 2026? (03/02 Fantasy Football Podcast)

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Starting point is 00:00:58 David Montgomery. To the Texans. Let's talk about it right now on Fantasy Football Today Express. You listen to the very end of our NFL Combine show. We've got the breaking news and we got Jamie going, whoa, whoa, whoa. Do you want to take back any of those woes? You want to add any more? How do you feel about it?

Starting point is 00:01:23 Now they've had some time to think about it. Whoa. Yeah, all right. Joey Lawrence. Joey Lawrence over there, am I right? So let's, Jamie, give me a round. 12-team PPR League. Give me a round for David Monka.

Starting point is 00:01:36 Um, six or seven. Dave. I'm right there with you and all the pre teenagers of America. That's not great. Well, neither is Montgomery going to Houston, which historically has not been a haven for short yardage touchdowns where I am pretty sure he will split work. Just like Nick Chubb did, just like Woody Marks did, just like all the other. running backs that they tried to wedge in there who weren't named Joe Mixon did in the tenure of Demecco Ryans, Demiko Ryans. And it's going to be a good opportunity for the 29-year-old

Starting point is 00:02:19 running back. But I can't, I view him a little bit more of a descending player who will get good opportunities. What are the odds he scores 10 touchdowns? I don't think they're going to be very high. And that just makes me nervous to trust them as anything more than what we've been trusting him for years, which is low-end number two touchdown-dependent RV. Well, I would say prior to last year, he was more of a mid-number-two running back based on the volume that he was still getting at the time and the touchdown. I mean, he scored 33 touchdowns in three years in Detroit. Like, that's pretty impressive.

Starting point is 00:02:54 I think you're right. He's not going to score as many touchdowns, but he's going to get more opportunities to touch the ball, certainly than he did in 2025. That's fair. So while he's most likely sharing still. I would expect, given his pedigree, he's probably the lead running back. I don't think Woody Marks, we talked about this last week with the sophomore running backs. He didn't do anything really to secure himself as the featured guy or the slam dunk.

Starting point is 00:03:18 He's going to be our guy, quote unquote, from the Texans perspective. And clearly this trade does that. It's also very minimal capital to go out and get somebody, you know, to trade a fifth round pick. And I believe a lineman along with it, you know, to make this trade happen. Detroit allows himself to get out of the salary, giving Montgomery a chance to go play somewhere where he's going to get a chance to start. This was as ideal landing spot as you could find for a player of his age and what he looked like last season. So he gets a chance to sort of get one last hurrah. Maybe he gets a contract extension on top of it.

Starting point is 00:03:54 I'm sure this is probably going to be discussed. So I think you view Montgomery as that borderline RB2 flex type of player, kind of what we were talking about, marks could be. And now this, you know, somewhat, I think A, crushes Woody Mark's draft capital going in, but also somebody who want to invest in with a late-round pick because, again, Montgomery's 29. He's battled injuries the last couple of seasons, you know, missing some time here and there. And that gives Woody Marks the opportunity to sort of do what he did this year, which step in and, you know, get a lot of work and sometimes look like he can be a potential starter. You talked about this last week also, Adam, that, you know, we kind of heard about his past catching ability and

Starting point is 00:04:34 it kind of went away as the season went on, like that first couple of appearances, certainly that first game against Tennessee that he had, he was usually involved in the passing game. And then it just sort of just completely disappeared. So I think we get, you know, a good late round player to stash on your bench just to see what happens in case Montgomery can't,

Starting point is 00:04:52 you know, sort of live up to the billing as they're featured guy. All right. When we come back, we'll talk about Jemir Gibbs. Is he the number one pick in fantasy right now? We'll talk about that after this on Fantasy Football Today Express. Jamir Gibbs. Is he the number one pick in fantasy right now? We'll talk about that right now on Fantasy Football Today Express.

Starting point is 00:05:11 So, yeah, last year in full PPR, Gibbs average 21.6 PPR points per game, all with Montgomery on the field. In the middle of the set. I was there, Dave. I was right to do it. Not really. He was RB3. Now he played three games at the end of the 20. 24 season without Montgomery.

Starting point is 00:05:37 He scored 25.4, 26.3, and 46 fantasy points. Then he had the playoff game against Washington, where Montgomery was, I think, very limited. I barely played. And Jemir Gibbs scored 35.5 fantasy points. So I think it's a pretty compelling case. Here's one more. The Detroit Lions, here's their running back carry, or just their carries from the three-yard line or closer last year.

Starting point is 00:06:01 David Montgomery had 13 and Jemir Gibbs had four. and Jemir Gibbs still average 21.7 PPR fantasy points per game. Now, if you make it a five yard liner closer, Montgomery had 16 and Gibbs had 10, but obviously a big obstacle for Gibbs to reach his full fantasy potential. Dave is Gibbs the number one player in fantasy? As long as the Lions don't add a running back like David Montgomery, the answer is yes, and it's obvious that Jemir Gibbs should be the 101. I would venture to say that he would be the consensus across the world.

Starting point is 00:06:34 if this is the case where the lions, I'm sure the lions are going to add another running back. As long as it's not somebody that's just like, you look at David Montgomery, you see his body work, you say to yourself, okay, that guy can score from the goal line,

Starting point is 00:06:47 no problem. As long as they don't have a guy like that, you should feel great about taking Jamir Gibbs as the first pick in the draft and potentially just breaking fantasy. We've talked about it before. He averaged, you gave the numbers that comes out to over 30 ppr points per game in those three games without David.

Starting point is 00:07:04 I don't think we'll be that high, but I think he'll be in position to get north of 24 PPR points per game. That's, it's impossible to take away in a one QB league and redraft. Don't sign Tyler Algier. There, right. Bang, perfect. If they go and get Tyler Alger to replace David Montgomery, I think we go right back to Bijon Robinson as the 101.

Starting point is 00:07:28 I mean, I think right now if I were drafting, I would take Gibbs with the first overall pick. First of all, I mean, he's a slam dunked on first rounder anyway. a huge reach take him. He's two. Right. Well, he's two? He was two before the straight. Right.

Starting point is 00:07:43 Jamir Davis was RB2 or two of a lot. He was my number two. He was my number two too. Oh, really? Okay. So, yeah, not a big stretch. But I guess I just question if they will legitimately turn him into a 17 plus carry per game kind of guy or if they're going to be somebody else.

Starting point is 00:08:02 There's already a report. Tom Pelliserro just, just, uh, posted on X, that Dan Campbell wants to get back to playing their brand of football, and that starts with reestablishing a dominole offensive line. So they got juice Scruggs as part of the trade from Houston, you know, to get another offensive lineman in the mix there. When you hear their brand of football,

Starting point is 00:08:24 he loved Dan Campbell loved Dave Montgomery. Absolutely loved Montgomery. He clearly loves Jamir Gibbs. They're going to have to pay Jamir Gibbs. That's the next part of this, you know, transaction, I'm sure, is that they're going to give Gibbs a contract extension, so I don't have to go into the offseason next year with him unhappy about his deal. So I think what comes from the next part of this is, as Dave was alluded to, like who's the partner?

Starting point is 00:08:46 Who's the physical running back that if Gibbs needs a breather, if they want to use somebody else at the goal line, if they want to just, you know, have someone that's more Dan Campbell's mindset, mind frame, you know, always going for on fourth down and they don't want to, you know, use Gibbs for that entire. in its entirety, then that's the biggest question. You know, so it would be kind of ironic if we're excited about Bison losing Tyler Alger and that's the type of player that goes and joins Demir Gibbs. So there's going to be somebody else. You know, I mean, most likely given their salary cap situation and moving on from Montgomery

Starting point is 00:09:20 and the fact that he's 29, it's probably somebody younger. So day two, day three of the draft, that's what we're looking at here. And that's the most ideal situation for Gibbs. If it's somebody who's established and they go out and they get somebody, that could be frustrated. So could it be Aaron Jones if he's let go. I'm not worried about that for Jemir Gibbs.

Starting point is 00:09:40 Could it be? Well, let me give you some, can I give you some other names? I'm just saying, like, you know, if they get, you know, Mike Washington, for example, I hate that for Jemir Gibbs. Yeah, I would hate that too, yeah.

Starting point is 00:09:53 Here are some free agents. Rashad White. He's been a shore yardage guy before. Brian Robinson. Kareem Hunt. Well, and that would be interesting. Yeah. Kareem Hunt, if they wanted just a one-year band-aid.

Starting point is 00:10:07 Naji, if they wanted somebody who coming off with an injury, but they don't ask them to do anything more than, you know, short yardage and change of pace and all that stuff. Rico Dowdell, I know we don't look at him as one of those physical grinding guys. He had a 75% success rate on carries inside the five last year. Aaron Jones was at 66.7%. Yeah, I think if it's not necessarily somebody who, who's just, if it's somebody that's just going to steal touchdowns,

Starting point is 00:10:36 we've already seen this for Jemir Gibbs. I'm still taking him first overall. Okay. Yeah, it's, and what, you didn't even have that good of an offensive line last year. I mean, PFF graded them 11th best run blocking.

Starting point is 00:10:51 ESPN had them 20th. Like if it's Travis E.N., like that's disgusting. You know, like something along those lines. Oh, yeah, that'd be bad. Yeah.

Starting point is 00:11:00 But why would they do that? You know, just turned Gibbs loose. Obviously, he's a phenomenal, incredible player. And, yeah, this is exciting for him and maybe exciting for Montgomery. It's interesting that the Texans traded you Scruggs.

Starting point is 00:11:14 They just, they were 32nd out of 32nd out of 32nd in run-block win rate per ESPN. They were 21st in run-blocking per PFF. So better in the PFF grading. But Montgomery, 29 years old, behind a worse offensive line. Yeah, they've traded too long. in the last 24 hours. Yeah, okay, so there's your analysis.

Starting point is 00:11:42 I don't think there's much else to say. Anyone else affected by this? Mark, we tested it. Okay, well, thank you to Dave and Jamie. This is FFT Express, and there's your David Montgomery to the Texans analysis, and we'll talk to you on Wednesday with a fresh edition of FFT.

Fantasy Football Today - FFT Express - David Montgomery Traded to Texans! Fantasy Football Impact + Is Jahmyr Gibbs the FIRST PICK in 2026? (03/02 Fantasy Football Podcast)

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