Fantasy Football Today - Hunting for UPSIDE! Who Has the Most League-Winning Potential?  (03/26 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Episode Date: May 27, 2025

How important is upside when you make your draft picks (2:15)? Is it more important than the floor? We'll take a look at trios of players who are being drafted similarly and discuss who has the most ...upside after a look at our news and notes (4:40) including an encouraging update on Javonte Williams ... Who has the most upside among Drake London, Tee Higgins and Tyreek Hill (14:35)? It might be Hill, but he might be the lowest in the rankings! Who has the most upside among James Cook, Chase Brown and Joe Mixon (21:00)? And then we debate a trio of wide receivers who are being drafted around the 3/4 turn (26:40) ... Does Omarion Hampton have more upside than two older yet very accomplished running backs (37:05)? Does Dak Prescott have more upside than a couple of exciting Year 2 quarterbacks (43:30)? And who has the most upside among Courtland Sutton, Xavier Worthy and DK Metcalf (50:30)? ... Email us at fantasyfootball@cbsi.com Fantasy Football Today is available for free on the Audacy app as well as Apple Podcasts, Spotify and wherever else you listen to podcasts Watch FFT on YouTube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ https://www.youtube.com/fantasyfootballtoday⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Shop our store: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠shop.cbssports.com/fantasy⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠  SUBSCRIBE to FFT Express on Apple: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fantasy-football-today-express/id1528634304⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Follow FFT Express on Spotify: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://open.spotify.com/show/6qyGWfETSBFaciPrtvoWCC?si=6529cbee20634da8⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ SUBSCRIBE to FFT Dynasty on Apple: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fantasy-football-today-dynasty/id1696679179⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ FOLLOW FFT Dynasty on Spotify: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://open.spotify.com/show/2aHlmMJw1m8FareKybdNfG?si=8487e2f9611b4438&nd=1⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ SUBSCRIBE to FFT DFS on Apple: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fantasy-football-today-dfs/id1579415837⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ FOLLOW FFT DFS on Spotify: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://open.spotify.com/show/5zU7pBvGK3KPhfb69Q1hNr?si=1c5030a3b1a64be2⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Follow our FFT team on Twitter:⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ @FFToday⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ @AdamAizer⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ @JameyEisenberg⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ @daverichard⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ @heathcummingssr⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Follow the brand new FFT TikTok account: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.tiktok.com/@fftoday⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Join our Facebook group⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ https://www.facebook.com/groups/FantasyFootballToday/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Sign up for the FFT newsletter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ https://www.cbssports.com/newsletter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ You can listen to Fantasy Football Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fan To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:54 Can you believe this? No, I can't. It's time to dominate your fantasy league. Yeah! This is gonna go the distance! Now, here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie and Heath. Did you miss us? Long weekend here. We go from Thursday to Tuesday. This is an extra day, but it felt like we were away for a long time. Hope everybody had a great Memorial Day weekend
Starting point is 00:01:21 filled with hot dogs and hamburg hamburger. What'd you guys eat? Hot dogs and hamburgers? Chicken tenders and pizza. Okay, that's not bad. Dave? I had a steak on Saturday that was really good. That does sound good. Okay, I had a cheeseburger yesterday.
Starting point is 00:01:40 I will probably make some hot dogs and ribs tonight. Just got postponed today. But anyway, welcome back. Today we're gonna look at groups of three. We're gonna look at three players, for example, Drake London, T Higgins, Tyree Kill. I looked at our most recent draft and took three running backs, wide receivers,
Starting point is 00:01:55 or quarterbacks who were drafted almost back to back to back. And we're gonna talk about who has the most upside. But before we get into that, Jamie, is that the only thing that matters? What percentage of your evaluation is upside when you're making a pick? Does it matter at what point in the draft you are?
Starting point is 00:02:13 Let's just talk about upside because it's not necessarily the be all end all, but it is very important. I heard Dan Schneier say this recently and a lot of people draft this way to you're either gonna be first or draft this way, you're either going to be first or last. So if you're not going in with the idea of the team that you're building initially is
Starting point is 00:02:32 to only win the league as opposed to get yourself to the playoffs and see what happens, there's just a mindset I think of how people approach going into the season. So you're building the team with the most upside. So you're trying to leave your draft with, if this guy hits, he's going to do this. If this guy hits, he's going to do that. And we have this conversation a lot. I know you feel this way, Adam, like when you're drafting one of these mid-round receivers, you talk about this a lot, that you want him to be a top 10 player, for example, right?
Starting point is 00:03:01 Not necessarily just somebody who's going to be drafted as a 20th receiver to finish as a 20th receiver. You're drafting him with the idea of, and I don't wanna put words in your mouth, but with the idea that he's got top 10 upside, right? Yeah, well, look, I don't think you wanna draft a player as wide receiver 25 or something if he doesn't have any chance or any realistic chance of being a top 12 receiver.
Starting point is 00:03:21 It's not, you know, you at least wanna give yourself that chance to hit a home run. Right, it's, you know, you at least want to give yourself that chance to hit a home run. Right, it's, you know, the floor versus the ceiling conversation. So I think with the, with the idea of your roster build, like I always like try to have a little bit of a mix, you know, like I'm going to, you know, clearly 10 trend toward the player with the most upside.
Starting point is 00:03:40 But in the case of, you know, I saw the list that you sent us, there's a couple of situations where that player has so much downside that it might outweigh the upside. Sure. You know, so Tyree Kill is somebody that I know we're going to discuss, you know, so the upside is clear. We've seen it in two of the three years in Miami, but the third year that he's coming off of was awful. And he's older and, you know, has a lot of, you you know flaws potentially versus what the upside could be so he's someone you know when You're debating one of these high-end wide receiver twos because that's where he's now living It's it's a little bit concerning for someone like him for example where the upside is clearly there, but also the downside I think is worse Dave you want to weigh in or should we just get on with the show?
Starting point is 00:04:25 Let's get on with it. All right, some quick news and notes here. According to Jeremy Fowler of ESPN, Kirk Cousins would be on Pittsburgh's radar if they can't sign Aaron Rodgers. We should know pretty soon about Aaron Rodgers. It still looks like Pittsburgh's a strong possibility. He's still dropping hints.
Starting point is 00:04:42 He mentioned that there's a certain team that plays at Chicago in 2025 that he could sign with. And I'm sure he was mentioning the Steelers. So unless I'm the notes in New Orleans, he did say no to New Orleans, unless Louisiana, unless I'm missing something. The biggest news of the last few days to me is what Givante Williams said. Because remember, like I said with Chris Godwin, took Chris Godwin two seasons to get back to normal from his knee injury. Givante tore his ACL, his LCL, and something called his posterior lateral corner in 2022. He says he's finally back to feeling fully healthy.
Starting point is 00:05:23 He says he could still be a little bit more flexible, but Givante Williams says he's finally back to feeling fully healthy. He says he could still be a little bit more flexible, but Gervonta Williams says he feels completely like himself. So as I personally was really excited about the Jaden Blue draft pick, I think Dave, I think Gervonta, if he's really, if maybe it just took him long time, and he said everybody's recovery is different. This was on Cowboys.com.
Starting point is 00:05:44 He could be a sleeper, even though he's not going like super late. If he Cowboys.com. He could be a sleeper, even though he's not going like super late. If he's around eight pick, he could be a sleeper, I think, Givante, if he's healthy. He won't go in round eight. If there's buzz about him in training camp, he'll be around five pick if that happens. But it's got no, if it looks like he's old school Givonta Williams and everybody's excited that this guy could be drafted as a, you know, middle to low end RB two and ends up being top 15 because he could have as the every touch back in Dallas.
Starting point is 00:06:16 You're gonna see him rise like a meteor, but he's got to do it. He's got to show up at camp and he's got to look like his old self. It's been a long, he's never averaged even. He's got to show up at camp and he's got to look like his old self. It's been a long, he's never averaged even 12 PPR points per game. Right, so his old self,
Starting point is 00:06:30 we got a little bit of a glimpse of it just off top of my head. His rookie year, he was splitting with Melvin Gordon, right? And then there was the one, was it Gordon? Yep. And then there's one game that Gordon missed and Gervonta had scored like 20 points or something. He just had an amazing game.
Starting point is 00:06:43 I think it was like 33. Oh, was it? Yeah, he's caught a bunch of passes. It was just fantastic. Second year, he was probably slightly disappointing, but it was only about a month. And then he had that horrible knee injury. 10 and a half PPR points per game.
Starting point is 00:06:57 Yeah, he left one of those games, obviously, with an injury. But yeah, all right. So we don't really, I don't even know that we know what the real Javante Williams is, I guess't even know that we know what the, what the real Gervonta Williams is, I guess is what I'm saying. He had very little opportunity before the knee injury to be a feature back. I mean, if, if there's a hope, you hope that he's JK Dobbins, right? Guy that was completely forgotten, goes to a new team, coming off an injury, great opportunity and completely took advantage of it clearly
Starting point is 00:07:25 had another injury concern as well when you miss four games but I think if you approach it the right way like I don't care what the Cowboys say and even what he looks like in the preseason if you're drafting him in round five please do so because that's a huge huge waste of a pick if you're taking him in round seven, maybe round seven. Like that to me is okay, but like no way round five. No, but if he is J.K. Dobbins, J.K. Dobbins would have been worth a round five pick. I think he was RB 17.
Starting point is 00:07:55 But he also doesn't have J.K. Dobbins resume though. That's a big difference. No, I know. Yeah, I mean round five, but like if Gervonta, okay, sorry to belabor the point. To Dave's point of saying like, if Gervonta Williams is back, he's healthy, he's looking good. There's buzz about him and we go into the season going with this is the starting running
Starting point is 00:08:10 back for the Dallas Cowboys. I don't know. I mean, is round five really crazy because round five guys like James Connor, Trevion Henderson in our drafts. You're talking about guys that have established themselves and done something in the league and don't have this ambiguous situation that's still clouding them. I mean, Jayden Blue could easily be the best running back in Dallas. Look, look, we went into the last season with Rico Dowdle was the lead running back for
Starting point is 00:08:36 the Cowboys on paper and it didn't take him until the middle of the year to show something. Like this, this is not the, the, the old Dallas Cowboys offensive line. This is a new coach. This is, you know, DAC 32 years old coming off of a hamstring injury. Like there's a lot of flaws here. And I know Dave wouldn't say to take him around five. They were saying the ADP could be around five. I don't, I don't think anybody's going to advocate for him around five, but it's just like, don't do that. It's all qualified based on if he is the guy and he looks like if he looks like
Starting point is 00:09:08 Javante Williams, when he came into the league, that's when you would say, Okay, now I got to really try hard to get this guy. And yes, I would take James Connor of head of him. But I don't know, like if that guy exists, if that guy shows up in the middle of the preseason, and just the headlines are just like, he's amazing. He looks great. Everybody's saying so. People that go to Dallas camp in California, they see him and they say he looks like a different dude. People are going to buy into him. And maybe round five, late round five is kind of a reach. But people are going to clamor for running backs. We've talked about it already. Like when you get to round six, seven in our drafts now in May, like the running backs that are left, they've all got huge question marks. Javante is going to fall right in there.
Starting point is 00:09:56 If it's a huge, if that he ends up being the guy what's more likely is that he doesn't get those types of reports. He looks okay. Jane blue is going to be a threat. types of reports. He looks okay. Jane Blue is gonna be a threat. They're gonna have a committee. And ultimately what's gonna happen is this team's gonna pass a ton. And we would laugh at the idea of Javante Williams
Starting point is 00:10:14 in round seven, much less round five. That's probably what's going to happen. All right, moving on. Next news item is about Tennessee. Brian Callahan, their head coach, he said that their rookie offensive tackle, J.C. Latham, was overweight at the end of the year. And so they're moving, I just want to bring this up, they are moving him to right tackle.
Starting point is 00:10:36 They are hoping for a much better year from Latham. He played left tackle last year. They signed Dan Moore from Pittsburgh. They're moving Latham to right tackle. And they're also hoping to have Ligeria Snead ready for the fall. According to a report, Ligeria Snead was their big ticket free agent signing cornerback from Kansas City. He had, you know, almost a relevant year last year because he had so many injuries and now he seems to have a chronic knee injury. So at his best, Ligeria Snead was a lockdown corner, but I don't know if we're going to get that version of him. Dave Burkett of the,
Starting point is 00:11:10 sorry, if I'm saying that wrong, of the Detroit free press, he expects the Lions to throw the ball downfield more this season. Any, any written content you guys want to promote? What's coming up on the website from, from you fellas? So we're in the midst of our player outlooks and getting those all on the site. So when you click on each player page, you can see all the research that we've been doing
Starting point is 00:11:34 and we break this up by division, except for Jacob who's doing all the rookies. So that's gonna be a fun assignment for him. And I'm sure he's enjoying it. And then what we're doing is we're turning that into some stories so you can just see some of like the highlights of the top players and how that research sort of just can be action items when you're doing your draft.
Starting point is 00:11:51 Because a lot of you guys do live drafts and don't have always the opportunity to read all this stuff. And if you can get ahead of it and you have some of that information at your fingertips beforehand, you'll know, okay, if you're deciding between Gervonta Williams and let's say Jalen Warren, or, you know, one of these type of players that, you know, you're going to be in a similar range, you already say, okay, I read about this in June, as opposed to, oh, my God, I'm on the clock with 30 seconds left, and I got to make a decision. We're trying to make that as easy for you guys as possible. Right. So that's one thing. Sleepers, breakouts, and bus have been on the site for Jamie
Starting point is 00:12:22 and Heath for a week or two now. And so this week I'm going to add mine. And we've started to put together a few fan mock drafts. It's been fun. I think an ADP review of our early fan mock drafts is in order. Let's see how you guys have been drafting in May. Yeah. All right.
Starting point is 00:12:41 I participated in an OnlyFans draft on Friday. It was a lot of fun. And yes, thank you from Mile Hi Luke. Sneed was traded. I said he was a free agent. He was traded to the Tennessee Titans. All right, we're gonna start our upside conversation in just a moment.
Starting point is 00:12:57 We'll be back after this quick break to say, to talk about upside for Drake London, T Higgins, Tyree Kill. Who has the most upside? Is this an easy answer? Is it easily Tyree Kill? We'll talk about it after this. The Battle of Ontario is on.
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Starting point is 00:13:26 with North America's number one sports book. Please play responsibly. 19 plus and physically located in Ontario. If you have questions or concerns about your gambling or the gambling of someone close to you, please contact Connects Ontario when it's 66-531-2600 to speak to an advisor free of charge. Tough one for the Panthers last night, guys.
Starting point is 00:13:40 We got a rebound. We got a rebound. We got to get in that cup final. All right, who is the most? That was a, you know, you don't want to lose at home. But yeah, that's tough. How about your next? No, we'll talk about it. If there's something to talk about tomorrow, we can begin to address that. But we still have
Starting point is 00:13:55 a long way to go. All right, who has the most upside here? Drake London T Higgins Tyreek Hill. Is this an easy one, guys? Is it easily Tyreek Hill? Yeah, I think so. We've seen it in 2022 and 2023. 20 plus PPR points per game double digit targets with two a tongue of aloha. That's the that's the recipe. I don't know if I'm not drafting it this way. I'm going to take draft Drake London before Tyree kill on draft day. But he's the one that's got the
Starting point is 00:14:23 best chance at 20 plus because we've seen it and we know that he could do it again. If his wrist is healthy, he's healthy, two is healthy, the dolphins throw the ball more than three yards downfield, et cetera, et cetera. Who has a second most upside London or Higgins behind Tyreek Hill? Second most upside London or Higgins behind Tyreek Hill? Higgins. I mean, I'll make the case for London, but I think it's close. Yeah, I'm drafting London first. But again, we're talking upside like Jamar Chase gets hurt.
Starting point is 00:14:57 Let's do a non injury upside. Oh, non injuries. I still think Higgins I mean, he showed you that now in that, uh, what three touchdown game, right? He has the best quarterback of these guys. So with a defense that probably is going to stink again. And if he stays healthy, his health, because that's been an issue for him. I think it's a little bit better than Drake London's upside.
Starting point is 00:15:24 I mean, he scored two more PPR points per game than London last year. So we saw it last year that Higgins hit his upside. He did it on 9.1 targets per game. He scored a ton of touchdowns. If we can bank on him doing that again, then maybe the right move is to get T Higgins because you're right about the quarterback. You're right about the offense, but I worry about what T Higgins because you're right about the quarterback. You're right about the offense, but I worry about what T Higgins is injuries aside if he doesn't get
Starting point is 00:15:50 Massive touchdown production and drake london could always get massive touchdown production if pennix is that dude So let me give you their 17 game paces for Higgins. It was 103 catches. For London, if you remove week nine, he had 19% of the snaps, played 19% of the snaps. So we're gonna look at Higgins 17 game pace, he played 12 games. We're gonna look at London.
Starting point is 00:16:15 On the Bucks game? I honestly don't remember. I don't think so, but maybe. For London, we're gonna look at his 17 game pace, just removing week nine. So for Higgins, it's 103 catches. For London, it're going to look at his 17 game pace just removing week nine. So for Higgins, it's 103 catches. For London, it's 104 catches. For Higgins, it's 1,291 yards.
Starting point is 00:16:33 For London, for Higgins, Higgins 1,291 yards. I don't know what I said. For London, 30 more yards, 1,321. We are almost identical in catches and yards. Targets, 166 for London, 154 for Higgins. Touchdowns, 14 for Higgins, nine for London. That was their 17 game pace. So if you think touchdowns are unpredictable,
Starting point is 00:16:56 now obviously you think Joe Burrow's gonna throw a lot more touchdowns than Penics, but I'll give you one reason to believe in London's touchdowns going up actually. Nine is a lot lot by the way. The Falcons were 31st in green zone pass attempts. Only the Saints had fewer pass attempts from the 10 yard line or closer.
Starting point is 00:17:17 They had the lowest pass rate in football. The Falcons had a lower pass rate inside the 10 yard line than the Eagles, than every team in football. So London was a guy who had the highest percentage of his team's targets from that distance, but they barely threw it from near the end zone. So that's an upside case for London. And Higgins obviously had never done anything like what we saw last year for what that's worth. And he's been with Joe Burrow for his whole career. That's a tough one, though. But you guys been with Joe burrow for his whole career. That's
Starting point is 00:17:45 a tough one though. But you guys, you rank London higher than Higgins upside. I think it's debatable, but it seems like you think Higgins has a little more upside. Well, I, again, you know, I know you don't want to discuss health, but I think it applies for both these guys. Cause you saw the one game that Pennix played with London without Mooney in week 18. And he was an absolute monster with 40 PPR points. And Higgins, we, I don't think I've seen a significant stretch of him, maybe even ever, of no Jamar Chase and Higgins with a healthy Joe Burrow because Burrow's been so banged up.
Starting point is 00:18:14 So- We have Jamie actually. With Burrow at 100%? I mean, 100% I don't know, but it's been pretty good. It's been like- You mean when Chase had the hip injury? Yeah, yeah. I can look it up for you
Starting point is 00:18:27 because I just remember giving this stat going into last year. Let's see. I'm sorry. I got it a few times. Is he good with Jamar Chase? Oh, four games in 2022 without Jamar Chase. 13.9, 13.0, 23.8, 24..4 eight or more targets and three. He very good. I
Starting point is 00:18:48 mean like like top like 18 plus point potential without question. Right. So okay. So I think it's fair both ways because if they lose their running mate, you know, things clearly improve. I would still probably lean toward Higgins improving a little bit better than Mooney because that was a week 18 game that really didn't matter. In any event, I just look at it this way. If you say everything is perfect for these guys, Higgins' upside is a little bit better. And I think you illustrated it perfectly. It's so minimal that it's really not worth the debate.
Starting point is 00:19:20 So if you're going to take the floor, to me the floor is safer for London. Sure. All right. And I'm going to say that Tyreek Hill is the most, yeah, he's the most interesting player in fantasy this year. I just, I don't know that you can find a guy that can be the number, well, not as late. He's not, McCaffrey is going to go around and a half before Hill. I don't know when Hill's going to go. I know where he goes in our drafts. He might be a mid round two pick in ADP. I don't know how people are going to feel about him, but. Would you like to know how they feel about him through four mock? Yeah, I would. I mean, that's the whole reason why we're doing the fan mock, right? The only fans mock. Yeah, for sure. He's a round four pick. Round four.
Starting point is 00:20:01 38.5. Yeah, there's no chance that happens. This guy is 24th overall. Two straight seasons with 1700 or more yards. It was at 1800 yards in 2023. I think unbelievable. I mean, all right, we can spend a whole show on him. Let's go to our next one here. Top three or these three players who has the most upside.
Starting point is 00:20:23 James Cook, Chase Brown, Joe Mixon, James Cook, Chase Brown, Joe Mixon, all of them drafted in round three of our most recent mock draft, the CBS mock draft, not the ones with the fans. Who has the most upside, Jamie? Chase Brown. Dave. It's close between Brown and Mixon, but I think the case is a little bit easier to make for Brown than Mixon.
Starting point is 00:20:48 All right. So you guys are saying Chase Brown, is he your favorite in that group? Yes. Yeah. Yo, I feel like Mixon might be just a little underrated. He's going kind of late in round three in most of our drafts. He played 18% of the snaps in week 18. So if you take that out, you're looking at his pace was 314 carries, 46 catches, and basically 1700 total yards
Starting point is 00:21:17 and 15 touchdowns. Joe Mixon was a freaking beast last year. So why do you think chase Brown is the most upside? I mean, for me it's age, it's, you know, offensive line. I think, I hope it didn't take a step back for the Texans, but it's hard not to say that it did when they lose their best offensive lineman stone is prime. And I think from what we saw from chase Brown in the second half of the season, really the, you know, beginning part of the first half or ending part of the second half of the season, really the beginning part of the first half or ending part of the first half of the season, but really the majority of the stretch run is hopefully going to carry over to this year.
Starting point is 00:21:52 And so again, it's like the Higgins versus London conversation in terms of upside because I think it's going to be relatively close, but I think Chase Brown is on the ascension and Joe Mixon, I think takes a little bit of step back. Easy to think that just because of age. Jamie mentioned it from week six on chase Brown had 18 PPR points per game. He played 80% of the snaps in a huge chunk of those games. I am hoping that he continues to play 80% of the snaps this year. I don't know if Zach Moss and some IGP Ryan are going to just take a lot of work away from him.
Starting point is 00:22:27 I'd be shy. And Taj Boyd. Taj Brooks. Brooks, sorry. Yeah. I mean, if they do, I'd be surprised if they try and narrow it down to like 65%. And that would open the door for Mixon if he stays healthy to do better on a per game basis than Brown. But I'm going to bank on offense here. I'm going to bank on what we saw from Brown last year. I think he's got the most upside. I think he's a sneaky candidate to get to 20 PPR points too. Trey Lockerbie – Who do you think has more? Because I think these guys could have similar ADPs. Although personally, I suspect Tyreek Hill will have a round two ADP when it's all said and
Starting point is 00:23:03 done. But as of now, I see them going similarly. Who do you think has more league winning potential, Chase Brown or Tyreek Hill? If we're just talking about potential, it's Tyreek Hill. Yeah, but it's close. All right, so you said Chase Brown was regularly playing more than 80% of the snaps down the stretch. You know, James Cook has played more than two thirds of the snaps one time in his
Starting point is 00:23:27 entire career. He's never played more than 75% of the snaps last year. I don't think he ever played more than 62% of the snaps that is week one. And he never reached that height again. Um, is there any case that Joe that James Cook has more upside than Joe Mixon and chase Brown? It's hard to expect more touchdowns for him this year. So you know, that might have been what we see, maybe the best of his career. But I hope he can come close to it and maybe match it. But you know what Josh Allen does when they get down there. And that's not going to change, I don't
Starting point is 00:23:59 think dramatically. I think they'll give Ray Davis a little bit more work, you know, Ty Johnson's back. So I'll have a little bit of a role in the passing game as well So he doesn't catch the ball to the same level as I think either of these two guys right now he could but I just don't think he will and Those things are just hard to replicate then you have the contract situation that's hanging over, you know All of us right now specifically him in the bills you know all of us right now specifically him in the bills and so we have to see how this you know plays itself out there's gonna be a lot of interesting contracts discussions over the next few months I think you know
Starting point is 00:24:32 with guys that are either going to be in the case of cook probably a training camp headache Terry McClellan skip you know the commander's OTAs you know so we'll see if there's you know an issue issue I play there There's gonna be a few of these So cook while now being drafted still in the range of these guys, I think he's gonna be the one that slips the most All right, I get this I throw this up here Thomas James cook let me zoom in huh that help Zoom where are you zoom? I'll just take your notifications every now and then.
Starting point is 00:25:06 What do you mean? Oh, James Cook is only the second running back in the last eight seasons to lead the position in rushing touchdowns and finish lower than RB five per game in PPR. Cook was RB 11 per game. The only other running back that's done that in the last eight years, lead the position in rushing touchdowns and not be a top five running back per game was Jamal Williams in 2022.
Starting point is 00:25:31 It's just crazy to think that James Cook scored 18 total touchdowns and was RB 11 per game. You know, kind of weird. That was more than Gibbs? No, he was tied, I think with Gibbs and Henry as the most rushing touchdowns, 16 rushing touchdowns, 18 total touchdowns. All right. Next up, next group, who has the most upside between these wide receivers that you're going to start seeing go
Starting point is 00:25:56 toward the three, four turn in the 12 team league? Marvin Harrison, Jr. Terry McLaurin, Garrett Wilson. Harrison Jr, Terry McLaurin, Garrett Wilson. I'll say Garrett Wilson, nervously. I would agree. Marvin Harrison Jr, Terry McLaurin, Garrett Wilson. I'm surprised you guys are saying Garrett Wilson. I think I would have said Harrison there. Why would you say Garrett Wilson? Well, talent wise, he's the best of the three. It's
Starting point is 00:26:25 based on target volume. Wait a second. Wait, Garrett Wilson, talent wise is the best of the three. I think he's the best of the three than McLaurin and Harrison. There's nothing that you can say about Marvin Harrison that would suggest that he's better talent wise than Garrett Wilson. Nothing that we've seen in the NFL. After what we just saw last year, zero.
Starting point is 00:26:46 Yeah. Okay, I'm not like this is a devil's advocate argument. Like, Marvin Harrison was the number, what, four pick in the draft. He was the best wide receiver prospect in solo. I know he had a bad rookie season, but Garrett Wilson, like, he's had a stat on Garrett Wilson about his like yards per target basically, because he's had three seasons of 140 or more targets and he hasn't turned it into really anything. I mean, he's never been a top 24 wide receiver. Right? Am I right about that?
Starting point is 00:27:17 I'm pretty sure I'm right about that. Sure. But how many times was McLaurin a top 24 receiver before he scored 13 touchdowns last year? Per game, zero times. Right. And so, and Marvin Harrison, he's got one year in the league. We know that he's put on muscle this off season. I don't think he's doing that to get faster.
Starting point is 00:27:34 I think he's doing that to win more contested catches and to break more tackles. And those are things that are going to help him be a better fantasy receiver. I just don't think he's got that same type of upside that Garrett Wilson does. He's going back to being the No. 1 target getter in the Jets offense. I do think the Jets are going to run a lot. I don't think this offense is going to be particularly awesome. But he's got familiarity of Justin Fields. I went back and I looked at this, like, Fields' catchable target rate to his receivers, like the big time receivers, was pretty high. Bickens last year, pretty high. DJ Moore two years ago, really high. And so if Garrett Wilson can put it all together and he can be a very good YAC receiver, we're talking about a guy who can outperform both McLaurin and Marvin Harrison, especially in non PPR, but definitely in half and
Starting point is 00:28:23 full too. So I don't really care all that much about these rate stats that I threw out, like maybe yards per outrun, but I do think it's important to illustrate. This is amazing. I didn't know this until just now. And I was wrong about Garrett Wilson, by the way, he was wide receiver 19 per game last year in PPR, 25th in non PPR. Garrett Wilson averaged 7.2 yards per target last year. His career high is 7.5 yards per target. Marvin Harrison Jr. averaged 7.6 yards per target last year as a rookie. So it's better than anything, slightly, slightly better
Starting point is 00:29:01 than anything we've seen from Garrett Wilson. I do think Garrett Wilson is better than his numbers, but it is worth pointing out in three seasons, his numbers kind of suck. His yards per target is really, really bad for the amount of targets he's gotten bad for like bad for a guy who was a first round pick that we have high expectations for. He makes very few explosive plays thus far in his career. I think it's quarterback related, but I do want to point that out that he's been a very underwhelming player statistically Garrett Wilson so far. And that's true. I mean, I think that the things that you have to hope for here are,
Starting point is 00:29:39 you know, you said a lot of it is quarterback related and that still may be the case this year if he struggles because Justin Fields you know in the in the small sample size that we have of him with a You know, I don't what do you what would you say? He's played with two receivers that are Close to top tier. I don't know if they're even in the top tier yet You know DJ Moore is kind of hovered around that range and George Pickens I don't think is you know worth putting in that you know tier yet. So the one full season he had with DJ Moore,
Starting point is 00:30:09 Moore was was pretty special. Now you could say you know the the couple games that he missed there and you know how much is is that offense and how it relates to Justin Fields gonna carry over to this offense you know to Dave's point they're probably gonna run a lot, but you look at the competition for targets. This is what separates it for me is McLaurin got some additional players to have to deal with you know one Specifically in in Debo Samuel if he's healthy is going to take targets away by comparison more so than the other guys did in Washington last year and Marvin Harrison still has a contend with Jamie pride who's gonna still most likely, in my opinion, be the
Starting point is 00:30:45 number one target getter for the Cardinals. So Wilson had what 190 targets last year? Something insane? No, Wilson? No, he had 154. I think he was on pace on pace for like 190. He was on pace for one night. He was on pace for 190 before Devante Adams. For the yeah, yeah. So I would think that the targets, even in a run centric offense, are still going to favor Garrett Wilson in this case. And I would think personally that Justin Fields will do enough for him, similar to what he
Starting point is 00:31:21 was doing with Rodgers before Adams last year, similar to what we've seen from him, at least in his rookie campaign When he had the terrible quarterback situation was like four or five guys there for the Jets that this could be his best situation You know factoring in that six game stretch that he had with with Rogers last year So it's a great conversation with all these guys cuz McLaurin's got the best quarterback and looked finally like the guy we've been waiting for I'll see all his career last year And Harrison I still think has plenty of upside, but to me, it's Wilson by just a smidge.
Starting point is 00:31:49 Okay. And remember what you said to start the conversation, Adam, these are receivers that are going where? Three, four turnish. Right. So we're not talking about any one of these guys being drafted as like a top 15 receiver. We've made that mistake with Wilson and Harrison very recently. This is more about your shopping for a wide receiver to you've already made at least a couple of picks. And these are the names that you're going to be looking at, and you're going to think about which one is going to be able to over deliver based on value. Is gonna be able to over deliver based on value. And I think the guy that's gonna hog targets and still has a chance to make a lot of plays after the catch. Is the one that you turn to and it's close between McLaurin and Wilson.
Starting point is 00:32:34 When you think about it that way but McLaurin I don't wanna buy into like crazy touchdown production again. A because of Debo being there but B because it's the only time he's done it. And it was like a third of his percentage of fantasy points last year came on touchdowns. This catches and yardage, weren't that far off from what he'd been doing over the course of his career. No, yeah, it was mostly touchdowns. Um, Heath had this tweet that Garrett Wilson and Deontay Johnson are the only two receivers who have seen at least 400 targets in their first three seasons and averaged less than seven yards per target.
Starting point is 00:33:10 And that's per stat head. All right, so we've got to take a break, but before we do that, Thomas, up to you. If you want to come on, you actually picked Marvin Harrison Jr. in our most recent draft before Garrett Wilson and Terry McLaurin. So you had the first pick of round four, 37th overall, you took Marvin
Starting point is 00:33:26 Harrison Jr. You could have taken, um, McLaurin or Garrett Wilson or DJ Moore, DK Metcalf for what it's worth. Uh, why did you go with Harrison? I've been burned by Garrett Wilson the last two years. So I figure I'm buying low with, uh, more Harrison Jr. Everybody had him. Well, at least we did. We had him as a late round one pick last year. So I feel like that's good value if he's actually what his draft capital was.
Starting point is 00:33:56 So that's why I went with that. But it was between Harrison and Gary Wilson. Who do you think went first in, who's first in our ADP of the fan mocks? McLaurin. Yeah. If Tyree is going around for, I'd say McLaurin. I'll tell you after the break. Okay.
Starting point is 00:34:13 I love it, Dave. All right. We'll be right back after this. All right. Oh, Dave, what's the answer? It is Adam Azer, four arms close between Garrett Wilson and Marvin Harrison Jr. Garrett Wilson, 37.8 is his ADP, Marvin Harrison Jr. 38.0, and then Terry McLorin's at 40.5.
Starting point is 00:34:33 So they're all in that same range of early round four. And it's kind of pick your favorite flavor. The other thing I'll add is that I don't think there's, I think anything can come out about Garrett Wilson this preseason that will not make his value go up. There could be stuff about Marvin Harrison that comes out from Cardinals camp that could get people excited. Yeah, right. So we're talking about ADP there, but we have to obviously not fall into the trap of getting too excited from training camp. And when I talk about things like that, we hear from camp, I'm not talking about coach speak
Starting point is 00:35:07 as much as I am like reporters saying, wow, this guy actually looks a lot different. Sure. All right. Let's talk about some running backs and who has the most upside in this trio of running backs. Alvin Camara, kind of an easy, similar to Tyreek Hill, I suppose. Right. I mean, he's shown it very recently. I mean, he showed it last year in PPR. Yeah. He didn't suck last year. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:35:32 Um, Alvin Camara, O'Marian Hampton and James Connor, who has the most upside Alvin Camara, uh, Chargers rookie running back, O'Marian Hampton or 30 year old James Connor. Camara. Yep. Kamara and PPR. See Kamara is going to be 30 in July. So two 30 year olds and a rookie. And we're going with Alvin Kamara with the most upside here. What if I change it to half PPR? Who has the most upside? Still Kamara.
Starting point is 00:36:03 I think so. I think so. I think so. OK. James Connor left, I think, two games with an injury, played less than 30% of the snaps in weeks 6 and 17. If you look at his healthy games, sorry, I keep doing that today, you're talking about an easy top 12 running back last year, James Connor. Maybe closer to like RB 10 per game. And on pace for, in his healthy games,
Starting point is 00:36:30 James Connor was on pace for 1,765 total yards, 50 catches and 11 total touchdowns. And he was amazing in the fantasy playoff, scored 22.2 or more PPR fantasy points in all three games. So James Connor really hasn't slowed down, but Kamara of course, I mean, what was he number? RB, it was Kamara last year, it was RB five per game in full PPR.
Starting point is 00:36:54 Do you still see the same upside for Kamara or is it worse because of the situation, the quarterback situation? I think it's slightly worse. You know, we didn't have a lot of Derek Carr for stretches of last season So you got to keep that in mind and I think the coaching is going to be better You know with Kellen Moore as the play caller, so I think that's a plus for Camaro
Starting point is 00:37:14 But you look again at what this team is around him He's still their best player. You know, we're waiting for Chris Olave, you know, Rashid Shahid I don't think is going to be their best playmaker. And you have a quarterback situation that's clearly going to be troubling. So if you're just looking at a team and environment, he's in the worst situation of these guys. But that really hasn't mattered for him. You just gave the stat last year in terms of their green zone production, and he still was very good in his role, which I don't think is going to change.
Starting point is 00:37:43 You pencil him in for 60 plus catches if he's healthy for 13 plus games. He's done, you know, that basically his entire career. And so he's got 80 catch potential. And I think whether Spencer Rattler, who apparently looked good or Tyler Schuck, who's probably going to be the starter for the majority of the games, at least I would hope if this is the group they're going with, then they're going to rely on him so much, you know, and if he can somehow find his way to eight plus touchdowns
Starting point is 00:38:09 Then he's got a chance to really shatter what is probably gonna be a reasonable ADP for him I don't want to say it's gonna be great value because he's still gonna be a top four round pick but you know if he can get to 13 plus games like he played last year. We had played 14 games last year missed the final three So he wasn't there for you in the fantasy playoffs. Age is obviously a concern because he's 30. Situation's awful, but again, those catches count. And in this format, he's still going to be better than these two guys. He may have more catches than these two combined. It's funny. Yeah. All right. Are you interested in the track record of running backs with Kellen Moore?
Starting point is 00:38:44 All right. Are you interested in the track record of running backs with Kellen Moore? Sure. Well, you know what Saquon did last year, and I think he's an outlier, 23.6 PPR points per game. The year before was Eckler, 5.3 targets per game, 16.4 PPR points per game. 2022 Dallas Zeke was at 16.5. He barely had any targets. Pollard was there too. He averaged 14.5. Pollard averaged 3.4 targets per game. There were definitely some weeks where Zeke was out and Pollard played more and vice versa. The three C's got at least 16.7 PPR points per game. Bottom line is we're seeing a lot of good numbers for running backs under Kellen Moore, both in terms of PPR points per game and targets per game. And I think that that's absolutely going to continue on with Kamara. Plus if they stink, like he's, he's going to go to Checkdown City all the time. And that's just going to boost his number and full PPR. It's easier to bet on that older running back compared to Connor. And I took a
Starting point is 00:39:49 look at this this morning, Adam, and I shared it with you. Can you name the last running back who was a rookie who averaged 15 points per game with Greg Roman or Jim Harbaugh? No, I mean, that's kind of tough, but Frank Gore? It's tough because Gore stuff never happened. Yeah. And no rookie running back has even had 12 points per game with Harbaugh and Roman. Now they've never had a first round running back. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:40:15 I mean, I don't know that a rookie wide receiver had. In fact, I almost guarantee you a rookie wide receiver had never done as well as lad McConkey under Greg. Yeah, that's entirely possible to. Yeah. a rookie wide receiver had never done as well as lad McConkey under Greg Roman. Yeah, that's entirely possible too. Yeah. Um, I mean, maybe Sammy walk. I mean, I think, I think Sammy, I'll give you a pause for a second on Hampton, because if, if they're going to treat him with kid gloves or bring them along slowly,
Starting point is 00:40:41 and they absolutely can do that, they've gotten nausea already on the team. They might have Dobbins too. That would make me just a little bit worried about Hampton getting off to a great start to begin the year. And it certainly would worry me about Hampton having like, yeah, a rookie of the year type season where he's getting 18 PPR points per game, something sick like that. I mean, going into last year, Greg Roman had been an offensive coordinator for 10 seasons and he had produced one top 12 wide receiver on a per game basis and it was Sammy Watkins and then McConkey I think he just missed. He was um oh no he was 20th on a per game
Starting point is 00:41:22 basis so I guess this doesn't really help me. He had a really good year though. 14.9 PPR fantasy points. He had a great second half of the year. Yeah, his first half wasn't so good. Yeah, something like that could happen to Hampton. All right next up. Let's get some quarterbacks in who has the most upside Bo Nix Caleb Williams or Dak Prescott we talked about last week, but this is where Dak has finished in the last six seasons on a per game basis in six point per passing touchdown leagues. Dak has been on a per game basis again, QB four, four, seven, nine, two, and 21 last year. So who has the most upside? Bo Nix, Caleb Williams or Dak Prescott? Jamie.
Starting point is 00:42:04 It's so tough. These are actually back to back to back in my rankings. I just moved next ahead of Prescott. So I'm going to say next but this is seven, eight, nine for me and just love the potential for all three of these guys me Williams if he hits could be an absolute monster. Based on everything that's going on around him. Next gave you such a good glimpse of what he could be and adding another weapon plus another year in Sean Payton's system,
Starting point is 00:42:29 which is the biggest part of this as his coach. And you mentioned Dak's track record, the fact that he's 32 and coming off a pretty significant injury is a little troubling, but got a pretty nice weapon this off season as well with a terrible run game most likely around him. So I lean Nick slightly, but again, they're all in a very similar range for me. Dave, I'll say that.
Starting point is 00:42:51 You'll say that. I just want to give you a stat on Bo Nicks real quick. I've got off to a slow start his last 13 games though. He was actually the number five quarterback per game. Bo Nicks, insane. He was awesome. Do you think he runs as much? The pace in that stretch was 418 rushing yards. I don't think I'll get quite there, but I don't, that's not outlandish, right? I mean, it's not, you know, it's in his profile. No question. But I wonder if like Dallas didn't have a run game last year.
Starting point is 00:43:22 So I think Nick's kind of picked up the slack a little bit there. Denver. If Harvey, yeah, that's what I meant. Sorry. If Harvey ends up being really good, then I think that could obviously take both pass attempts and rush attempts away from Bo Nix. I've got Nick's ranked the highest of the three. I'm taking him before Dak Prescott because I know what the floor is for Dak Prescott. And we might be, we might have seen it last year. And, you know, sorry, Cowboys fans, we might see it again this year. But the track record before last year was awesome. Adam, you lay it out perfectly every time. The run game, humongous question mark. The defense, there are a lot of defenders on that Dallas team coming back from injury. We do not know when they'll be back or how good they'll be.
Starting point is 00:44:05 And he's got a great trio in Lamb, Pickens and Ferguson. I think he's gonna be a busy dude. I think Dak Prescott, if he stays healthy, is gonna throw a lot. And I think he can get close to that 24 point per game mark. And I think Nix in his second season could see a step back. We see that from quarterbacks a lot. I was thinking about this with Dak Prescott, you know, for a guy who has been a top four
Starting point is 00:44:31 quarterback per game and top three of the last six seasons and top seven per game or eight per game, whatever it was in five of the last six seasons. Now, I don't think the general football fan thinks about fantasy finish, but obviously fantasy finish equates to success. He's never regarded as that kind of a quarterback, you know, as like, how did he do it? It's not like he runs that much. How that Prescott's had kind of an underrated career, but I never really think of him as like an upper echelon quarterback,
Starting point is 00:45:05 even though he's been unbelievable for fantasy. Just a thought of mine. Right. He'll go down in history as one of those players that was better for fantasy than for reality. It's almost like the guy that that preceded him. Same thing. Yeah. Yeah. But I don't know. I mean, I feel like people were, I feel like Romo got a little bit more respect than, than DAC. Maybe his teams were better. That's no, that seems to have been pretty good too. Yeah. I think, I think unfortunately for DAC, he's kind of living off of the, the Romo regime. You know, the, the fact that they haven't had playoff success has carried over to DAC as well. And it's just kind of like, they're stuck in this purgatory of, you know, having
Starting point is 00:45:44 some of these great regular seasons and then never being able to finish well. And it's just kind of like they're stuck in this purgatory of, you know, having some of these great regular seasons and then never being able to finish it. And they watch the Giants win two Super Bowls and the Eagles make it to one and, or excuse me, win two, you know, and make it to three. And you know, it's got to be frustrating for Cowboys fans. The thing about Dak is like, you know, if he stays healthy, I think you pencil him in for a top 10 season, just based on how he's performed and what he's looking at.
Starting point is 00:46:10 The concern would be is that his age and the injury that he's coming off of, maybe some of these younger quarterbacks are better or some of the running quarterbacks like Fields and maybe Kyler and potentially even Anthony Richardson. These guys seem like they have more upside than Dak. But again, you look at what he's done and you even go back to the 2023 season when it was really him just relying on one guy and one guy having that monster campaign in CDLAM. And now he's got two really good wide receivers.
Starting point is 00:46:43 One's proven and elite and one could get to a higher level if his head's on right and getting the opportunities and targets as we saw even last year with Russell Wilson, George Pickens was really good during those first six games. So there's a lot to like about Dak Prescott's scenario, which is why I think he should be drafted as a number one quarterback. But I think the one thing with this position in particular, you know, to go back to your question to start the show, this is the easiest position to shoot for upside. You know, so when you look at the top six guys, you know, throw Mahomes still in that
Starting point is 00:47:10 group, you know, so Lamar, Josh Allen, Daniels Hertz, Burrow, Mahomes, whatever order you have them in. I think those six are going to be the first six quarterbacks. Then I think it comes down to like, what are you looking for in terms of who can hit to the highest level? You know, so the next group, again, whatever order it's these three guys, it's Baker, it's Kyler, it's Fields, it's I think you throw Rich and then you throw Drake May and there's Trevor Lawrence and there, you know, there's a lot of, a lot of ways you can go with this.
Starting point is 00:47:39 I'm sure I'm missing a guy or two. And if you miss on them, then you have guys that are still really good, but they just may not have the same upside and Jared Goff and Brock Purdy and Tua and guys that have, you know, hit to the 19, 20, 21, 22 points. You know, that may not have that extra gear and they might, you know, they might get there. You know, Goff could easily go to 25. You know, Tua can easily get to 25 point per game per season. But they're just such easy fallback options that you can pair one of these high upside players. I mean, Caleb Williams was awful last year. And we're all, I don't want to say everybody,
Starting point is 00:48:11 but you know, the the industry for the most part is, you know, breakout quarterback breakout quarterback breakout quarterback, you know, he falls in that category in that bucket. And it's it's understandable why. But it's easy just to take swings at this position and then still get a good second quarterback and you're fine. So Dave said Dak Prescott, so it was Caleb Williams, Bo Nix, Dak Prescott, Dave said Dak, sorry, MJ, who'd you say? Nix. Nix, okay.
Starting point is 00:48:37 I think I'd probably go Caleb. Yeah, and again, make strong cases for all three. Yeah. All right, let's get to our last one here. This one, man, I pull my hair out. I just have no idea. Three wide receivers, DK Metcalf, Cortland Sutton, and Xavier Worthy. Who has the most upside?
Starting point is 00:48:55 DK Metcalf, Cortland Sutton, Xavier Worthy. They all went around the four or five turn in our most recent draft. So again, it's Metcalf, Sutton, Worthy. Dave, who has the most upside? Xavier Worthy has the most upside. He's the most explosive of the three. He's got the best quarterback of the three. He's on a team that wants to be more explosive. He's shown us what he can do when he is explosive. That was over a six game stretch toward the end of the year. us what he can do when he is explosive. That was over a six game stretch toward the end of the year. And he's, he's got the best shot of any of these three to finish as a top 10
Starting point is 00:49:31 fantasy receiver. Okay. Xavier worthy over Matt, Kevin Sutton, Jamie, how about you? Well, I agree. All hardly. I think everything Dave said is, is a hundred percent accurate. And again, I know we're not factoring an injury here, but we do have his running mate coming off of a pretty significant injury. And so if Rashi rice is not factoring an injury here, but we do have his running mate coming off of a pretty significant injury. And so if Rashi Rice is not ready to go week one, you saw what Worthy was to finish the season, you know, Super Bowl included, which, you know, a lot of people will say, okay, he did a lot of his, he had a lot of couple of his big plays against backups.
Starting point is 00:49:58 I don't care. You know, he still looked the part. He could easily be, you know, the best receiver for the Chiefs right now. And I think Sutton has hit his ceiling the last two years, which is pretty good. And I think he could do it again. And Metcalf, look, we don't know what the quarterback situation is going to be for the Steelers. We have an idea of what we think is going to happen, but like he could be awful. Well, give him Aaron Rodgers for the sake of this argument. Yeah, but it's still a 41 year old Aaron Rodgers and that, you know, was good at times for his number one receiver last year.
Starting point is 00:50:35 But is it going to be Garrett Wilson good or is it going to be Devonte Adams good? Oh, well, it would be. So that's a tough thing because I see more upside for Metcalf than I think you guys do because Aaron Rodgers fixates on his number one receiver. But the problem is the Jets were one of the most pass heavy teams in football last year. So when you look at Devont, you look at Garrett Wilson on pace for 190 targets in six games before the Adams trade, you look at Adams on pace for one. This is amazing.
Starting point is 00:51:05 Adams on pace for 176 targets in 11 games with Aaron Rodgers. And that was with Rodgers throwing a lot, but not a ton, like 33.4 pass attempts per game. That's amazing with Garrett Wilson on the field. Now I don't think Rodgers will throw 33.4 passes per game with Arthur Smith if he is on the Steelers, right? But I still think there's 145, 150 target potential for DK Metcalf if Aaron Rodgers is the quarterback. Maybe people think I'm too high, I don't know, but I don't think Xavier Worthy has that target potential if Rashi Rice is playing a full season. And Sutton, I do think has that, but that would be the very high end of it.
Starting point is 00:51:46 Sutton, last 10 games for Sutton, he was the number 10 wide receiver per game, and on pace for 150 targets. So that's what you gotta hope for there. But I don't know, I see, like, I just look at the way he peppers these guys with targets, Aaron Rodgers, and Metcalf is the only guy that would justify that.
Starting point is 00:52:03 He stands alone in that receiving core, so I see a little more upside, I think that most people do there, but I do think worthy is the answer here. I agree with you guys. He's just so I have, I have Sutton ranked the highest of this trio, but I would go upside as worthy one Metcalf too. And those guys are close and Sutton third, because I do think that Sutton's ceiling has again, somewhat been reached but you are talking about a nine touchdown average in two years with Sean Payton and that's hard to overlook and you know Payton's track record with his number one receiver is pretty good as well you know so even with the addition of Evan Ingram I think Sutton's still gonna
Starting point is 00:52:39 get pepper with targets. I think this is a great you know trio to because, again, if Metcalf does get the Rogers treatment, then he could be fantastic. And he's never really been in that situation because he's always had somebody to sort of be a little bit of an anchor on the other side. He doesn't have that right now. I don't think they're done with their receiving core. I think we're going to see somebody else added in some capacity because they've been trying for the last couple of years. They landed their guy in Metcalf. I think the pick and straight was opening the door to maybe bring in somebody else. You've heard some, you know, Keenan Allen is waiting for Rogers to maybe sign there to
Starting point is 00:53:15 potentially join the Steelers. So we'll see. But I do think that there's a lot to love about Metcalf situation clearly. Would you like to know what the fan's ADP is on those three receivers? I would love it. And I will tell you after the break. We've already done our breaks. And we're back. Hey, Matt calf leads very slim over Xavier worthy. 51.3 for Matt calf, 51.5 for worthy. How about, how about Cortland Sutton at 59.8?
Starting point is 00:53:53 Wow. I love that. Still. Yeah. He's behind Travis Hunter. He's behind Devante Smith. He's behind DJ Moore. I kind of get that with DJ Moore, but, uh, son, I get that Denver added Evan Ingram and RJ Harvey and those guys could impact Sutton to a degree Pat Bryant's there, maybe he does too, but I think Sutton is one of those safer low end wide receiver twos that you can draft.
Starting point is 00:54:19 And this is about the range you should go in. Uh, Jamie, I have a question. You said Keenan Allen might sign with the Steelers if Aaron Rodgers goes there? Heard that, yeah. What are they going to play? Shuffle board? All right, so... I like how while Dave was talking, you were going to figure out your board to get a joke
Starting point is 00:54:38 off that. Yeah, 100%. Can you give me a favor before the show's over? It's over. What's up? Can you go to Twitter X and just click on your notifications and I wanna see what the last, just read five of them. I wanna see what you're missing.
Starting point is 00:54:51 This is risky. Something's waiting for you. Is something waiting for me? I don't know why Jamie would bring it up otherwise. Well, I just don't, this is weird to me that you don't read your notifications. I read them, but okay, so I did some, all right, you want to see, we can share, we can share the screen. Well, I mean, you might be getting called the name.
Starting point is 00:55:10 He's got to save something to read later. So I did some- Moment of reflection. You mentioned the player outlook. So I was doing my AFC East research and I was doing some John New Smith research and looking at tight ends who've had a breakout this late in their career. For John New Smith, it was his eighth year. So one of the guys, I just think we should marvel at the season that Gary Barnage had one of the, well,
Starting point is 00:55:30 I call it one of the most randomly great seasons I can think of 1043 yards, nine touchdowns, 79 catches for Gary Barnage at age 30. And he had never had more than 242 yards in any previous season. The next year, Gary Barnage was drafted as tight end nine and he had never had more than 242 yards in any previous season. The next year, Gary Barnage was drafted as Titan nine and he finished his Titan 28 per game. So I just have some comments about tight ends. Heath Miller was a guy who had a late breakout. Dave Richard, who knew you rolled so hard? I don't know. This is part of Dave's. Let's see. Oh, Dave's talking Las Vegas, got in my mentions there. Yeah, so just like some tight end,
Starting point is 00:56:08 people talking to me about Gary Barnage. One person said, he said, oh yeah, I don't remember Gary Barnage, had to write his name down to make sure I spelled it right. I refused to Google. If what you're saying is true, then I forgot a year of football. I got, it was a real-
Starting point is 00:56:26 Wait a minute, you read these already? I did read them. I don't know why I said I had 20 notifications. I read these. No, it said you had 200. No, it said 20. No. Well, I definitely didn't have-
Starting point is 00:56:36 It never says 200. Yeah, I don't know. Anyway, we're gonna get rid of that. And yeah, I've tweeted some good stats. I have not gained a Twitter follower in like eight years. I have been stuck at wherever I'm at right now for a long time. So it's a little bit of an ego bruise for me if you want to follow me at Adam Azer. Yes, when Nando bought you. I
Starting point is 00:56:57 remember briefly had like 200,000 followers because not no bought me that but that stays her con. At Adam Azer, A-I-Z-E-R, at Dave Richard, at Jamie Eisenberg, J-A-N-U-Y. Okay, I tell you a quick Nando story. Yeah, sure. You wanna go with? So Dave and I had to do a conference call with something in house, and Dave was on camera
Starting point is 00:57:19 and I was not, and it was involving something that Nando was associated with. So I was texting Nando and Dave at the same time and Dave was reading his his phone He was getting a little upset about something so I said I go let's just Say things to make Dave laugh I really need a screenshot like very bad. Oh I think there one exists Oh, I need a screenshot. I really need a screenshot. Like very bad. Oh, that's great. Oh, tank the chai guy. Wait, how do we say chai Dave or shy? Yeah, that's fine. Okay.
Starting point is 00:57:55 Thank the Chicago guy. Just followed me. Thank you tank. All right. Go, go bears. We'll talk to you all tomorrow. I'm going to read some emails. We're going to do fewer. We're going to do like safest floor. I think tomorrow we'll'all tomorrow. I'm gonna read some emails. We're gonna do fewer, we're gonna do like the safest floor I think tomorrow. We'll do fewer groups because I wanna read some emails. What I would long overdo to read some emails. Do that tomorrow. Have a great day. See you everybody.
Starting point is 00:58:11 See you. Paramount Podcasts.

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