Fantasy Football Today - Jamey's Bold Predictions! And Some NFL News (06/01 Fantasy Football Podcast)
Episode Date: June 1, 2021We'll catch you up on the latest Julio Jones and Aaron Rodgers news including our analysis of Jones if he ends up on the Seahawks. Then it's time for Jamey's bold predictions! Find out why he thinks J...alen Hurts could be a league winner (8:40) ... What could prevent Terry McLaurin from being a Top 5 WR (16:50)? Can he score enough TDs? Will Ryan Fitzpatrick be able to keep his job? Also, Jamey gives a bold prediction for T.J. Hockenson (24:33) and we discuss the TE position in general and when you need to commit yourself to drafting a Top 7 TE ... We play "Does This Matter?" (35:40) with some NFL news items and rumors. We'll cover Joe Burrow, Saquon Barkley, Anthony Firkser, Tim Tebow and more ... Your emails at fantasyfootball@cbsi.com 'Fantasy Football Today' is available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, Google Podcasts, Castbox, and wherever else you listen to podcasts. Follow our FFT team on Twitter: @FFToday, @AdamAizer, @JameyEisenberg, @daverichard, @heathcummingssr, @ctowerscbs, @BenSchragg Watch FFT on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/fantasyfootballtoday Join our Facebook group https://www.facebook.com/groups/FantasyFootballToday/ Sign up for the FFT newsletter https://www.cbssports.com/newsletter You can listen to Fantasy Football Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Football Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Football Today podcast." To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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This is Fantasy Football Today from CBS Sports.
On his way to the end zone.
Tell you what, that was a spectacular play.
It's time to dominate your fantasy league.
What a play.
Off to the races.
Touchdown.
Oh, he's done it again.
Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie, Heath, and Beck.
Bowl predictions week here on Fantasy Football today.
It's going to be a lot of fun.
We'll have bowl predictions from four different analysts.
And here's one from me.
Julio Jones gets traded Wednesday.
Wednesday.
That will be tomorrow. He gets traded to the Titans.
Titans.
For a second round.
For two second round picks.
One this year, one next year.
Or one next year.
Okay.
There you go, guys.
Breaking news.
I think Foggles will take that.
Yeah.
Yeah, I mean,cons would take that yeah yeah I mean it would
it would rain just a little bit
on the A.J. Brown
top three wide receiver parade
but
man
where do we rank Ryan Tannehill if he's got
Julio Jones and A.J. Brown he's throwing to
he can't be more efficient than Anthony Ferkser
and Anthony Ferkser
don't forget about him
probably 10 He can't be more efficient than Anthony Ferkser. And Anthony Ferkser. Don't forget about him.
It would probably be 10.
It would be a lot of fun.
It would. And we will have, if there's breaking news on Julio Jones,
you can bet your bottom dollar we will be podcasting on it.
Well, I hope everybody had a great holiday weekend.
What's the level of breaking news podcast we're going to do?
Like Jameson Crowder Cut.
Is that an emergency pod?
No.
What about Zach Ertz traded?
Yeah.
Yeah.
What if James and Crowder traded?
Maybe.
For Zach Ertz.
Actually, it would make some sense.
Yeah.
Yes.
Zach Ertz gets a podcast.
Crowder only gets a podcast if he goes to somewhere where it's really interesting.
Who cares?
Let's talk about bowl predictions.
We've got some news to get to first,
and then we'll get into some kind of rumor mill items.
Not a rumor so much, but just kind of soft news.
Joe Burrow working on his deep ball accuracy,
and the Saints could be more run heavy to start the season.
Washington, yes, they're going to throw the ball downfield more,
but they want Antonio Gibson running more passing routes.
So we'll talk about those types of things.
Before we get to Jamie's bowl predictions, today, Jamie's bowl predictions,
tomorrow, Heath's, then Dave's, then Chris's.
Let's talk about Julio Jones.
So Seattle is discussing.
I don't know if we have to talk much about it because we will react to the actual news. But Seattle is in talks to acquire. Well, they're discussing acquiring. I don't know if we have to talk much about it, because we will react to the actual news.
But Seattle is in talks to acquire.
Well, they're discussing it.
They're discussing acquiring Julio Jones.
That's pretty vague.
But, okay, let's say he goes there.
Metcalf or Julio, who would you rather have?
Metcalf.
Yeah, I probably would.
See, the problem for me is I still really haven't separated Metcalf and Lockett,
at least in PPR rankings,
because I would expect Lockett to catch a lot more passes.
They're very, very close to each other.
So you can't have three top 20 wide receivers on the same team.
You can. And Julio is more
of a
DK copy at this stage than
Lockett. I don't know that Lockett's targets would really be
impacted a huge amount.
He runs totally different routes.
So, wait, how many... There were a couple
of teams that had three top 24
receivers. I think
Dallas? They'd all be in the top 24 for me, for sure.
I assume Lockett would fall
to 30 for a lot of people,
and I'd start drafting a lot of Tyler Lockett where I'm
drafting Juju right now in round 6.
Yeah, the Steelers were
the other one I was going to mention.
So, yeah,
let's see. Dallas. Dallas had
Cooper at 15, Lamb at 24.
Okay, no, Gallup was 38. So, let's see.
Pittsburgh. Okay, Pittsburgh had threeup was 38. So let's see, Pittsburgh.
Okay, Pittsburgh had three top 24 receivers.
Juju at 16, Deontay and Claypool 21 and 22.
They threw like 700 passes.
They did, yes.
And then Carolina did,
but that was thanks to Curtis Samuels rushing.
He had 200 yards and two touchdowns rushing.
I don't think it would make a ton of sense
just because A.J. Brown could still be amazing.
Maybe not top five amazing, but still be amazing in this offense.
You don't want to see him go to a place like Seattle because of what it could do to everybody there,
aside from obviously Russell Wilson.
Jamie was like nodding.
Jamie was just like, stop talking about that, Adam.
Well, I mean, you know, look, I think you got to be encouraged by what Seattle's offseason has been.
You know, the start of it with the trade Russell to where they finished out of the NFL draft of, you know,
having three draft picks and one of them, their first one, was a wide receiver.
You know, that kind of tells you that I think they're going to let this offense be a little bit closer to the Russell side of things
as opposed to the Russell side of things as opposed to the running side of
things so you don't want to see that get ruined for Metcalf and Lockett and what that could be
but you know like I wouldn't mind seeing Julio in New England I mean it's not good for Julio but
you know it's not going to ruin a receiving core for example you know so I don't I don't want to
see that happen for the the the receivers that we're excited about that there isn't an opening.
Tennessee clearly has an opening.
There's just targets available with Corey Davis and Jonathan Smith gone.
I think the really interesting thing on the Seattle side of it,
and we kind of have, if you just took our shirt colors, I'm noticing now,
we're almost like a Seahawks podcast.
The interesting thing is we went into the off season with this idea that
Seattle's pulling back on the passing game last year,
Russell Wilson was at 34.8 pass attempts per game,
which is his,
was his career high,
but he's had three seasons basically right in that same 34 to 35 attempts per
game range.
He also has a lot of seasons at or below 30 attempts per game or close to so i am feeling far less concerned
about russell wilson losing a bunch of passing volume i did but but when you factor in that he
threw five more times per game in the first eight games compared to the second eight games does that
matter to you no i mean no okay it doesn't all right then let's move on let's talk about uh well
aaron rogers gm uh brian good goody koost will not trade aaron rogers this summer according to
the athletic i think rogers likes me just hates the gm because it's hard to say his name. Yeah. Gude Kunst.
It's the N.
There should be two N's in there,
but there is not.
Gude Kunst.
It's really tough.
Let's say the Packers never trade Aaron Rodgers.
At what point, what date,
are we going to start discounting Rodgers for the possibility that he actually sits out a few weeks?
If he doesn't show up
by the third preseason game.
That's the last one, right? So it should be the second one.
The last preseason game, excuse me.
Oh, the last. Okay.
Whatever the case may be. I don't know.
The one the starters will play in.
Many people believe that the NFL
will eventually move to an 18-game schedule
according to Peter King.
Okay, let's see how 17 goes first.
And Corey Davis has a minor shoulder strain,
but it didn't seem like it's completely minor.
I don't know.
Seeing Dr. James Andrews is never a good thing,
and they're optimistic that rest will heal it.
But this is definitely something to keep an eye on.
Let's hope it doesn't linger for Corey Davis.
He is the number three starter in the rotation, though,
so that could be bad.
We're going to be
live tonight, Tuesday night,
7 p.m. Eastern on YouTube, giving some
bold predictions, but mostly just answering your questions.
We get a ton of questions throughout the night,
and it's a lot of fun. So join me and
Heath, youtube.com
fantasyfootballtoday, and get your questions
answered, and give us some of your bold predictions.
So we'll see you tonight, youtube.com fantasyfootcom slash fantasy football today what you have to do is subscribe
to that well you don't have to do this but what you should do is subscribe to the channel and
turn on the notifications so you'll know exactly when we're live and we will see you tonight 7 p.m
eastern tuesday night youtube.com slash fantasy football today we'll also see you in our facebook
group we got a link in the episode'll also see you in our Facebook group.
We got a link in the episode description,
but come on into our Facebook group.
It's a great time to join because now you can talk to all the other people in there
with your draft questions
and weigh in on some hot topics and things like that.
Keeper questions, some Q&As, dynasty values.
Join our Facebook group.
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That's it.
Just search that in Facebook
or click the link
in the episode description.
Here we go with
Jamie's bold predictions.
First one,
Jamie, Jalen Hurts,
your bold prediction is?
He'll be a top five
fantasy quarterback this year.
I think you just look at
what he showed you
in the three game sample size.
I know he started four games.
We're going to throw out
the fourth game,
Adam's favorite game of the 2020 I know he started four games. We're going to throw out the fourth game. Adam's favorite game of the 2020 campaign
when he started against the Cowboys, right?
Washington.
I'm sorry, when he started against Washington.
Excuse me.
The Giants playing the Cowboys.
You know, the 16 game pace in those three games
was 4,500 passing yards, 27 touchdowns, and 1,200 rushing yards. So he has a chance to,
uh, I think Lamar Jackson will probably get there as well with the 17 games, but, uh, to be the
first 4,000, 1,000 guy. And, um, I don't think he's going to be the first guy to do it, but he's
got the potential to do it. And, you know, as, uh, as we've talked about a lot and obviously the,
the three bold predictions for me are going to be guys that I've talked a lot about already, but he's not going to be drafted as a top five quarterback.
So that's good in terms of what his draft value will be.
His upside could be, you know, with the rushing ability a 4,800 guy,
you know,
he's going to be better with the full off season as the starter with a better
offensive line, with a better receiving core,
with the addition of Devante Smith and who knows what they get back in return for Zach Hertz if they're able to make a
trade so um I just think there's a lot to like about Jalen Hertz based on value and potential
and upside and so um he's somebody that I draft a lot of already and will continue to draft a lot
of and I think there's a there's a high ceiling there's a a middle floor I don't I don't know
where the floor exactly lies but the Russian quarterbacks typically give you a high ceiling. There's a middle floor. I don't know where the floor exactly lies, but the Russian quarterbacks typically give you a high floor.
But I don't want to overvalue him.
But I do think there's a good floor, a high ceiling,
and just a lot to love about what Jalen Hurts could be this season.
I think it's really interesting looking at Philadelphia's offense.
And I still have a lot of questions about what they're exactly going to be they've kind of been uh a little bit uh hidden about whether how much they're adding in terms of
running back or quarterback running plays are they gonna i don't think they're gonna go the
full baltimore route like they did with lamar jackson we've got nick sirianni and shane styshon
two guys who who were under head coaches who we generally view as the ones dictating the play calling
and frank reich and anthony lynn so it will be really interesting that first month of the season
to see like what is their run pass split how many design quarterback runs do they have for hertz
who is he primarily targeting um i there's no question he has top five upside i was just looking
at nfc adp He's actually QB 11.
I've got him 10 at quarterback,
but really close to everybody from 7 through 10.
But he's behind Matthew Stafford in ADP.
I'm looking at that, too.
The other guys that Hurts is behind,
pretty understandable the types of players that you would expect.
The mobile guys at the top.
Then you have Herbert, Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Stafford 10,
and Hertz 11, and then Joe Burrow.
And Stafford, Hertz, Burrow, and then Matt Ryan all within 10 picks of each other.
Yeah, so let me follow up with some questions.
First of all, you gave the pace for the three games
that he started and finished.
But I don't think we should just completely throw out Week 17.
He threw for 75 yards in three quarters, 72 yards in three quarters.
He was awful.
He did have two rushing touchdowns in that game.
But why shouldn't we factor that in when we look at his pace?
Because if you look at his 16-game pace in his four starts,
it's down to 3,000.
It's still great.
It's 3,676 passing yards
and 1,100 rushing yards
and 24 total touchdowns.
But I don't know, Jamie,
because we saw his downside.
We saw that he's not by any means
a polished passer.
And when he faced two good defenses last year,
he threw for 167 yards in four quarters and 72 yards in three quarters.
When he faced two, that was definitely bad defense.
Arizona certainly wasn't great.
Two teams that scored over 30 points against the Eagles.
He had to throw a ton.
That's when his big numbers came.
So I don't think we should just throw out week 17.
There are different ways
I guess you can parse the
four games. Yeah, I mean, he just
didn't finish the game, so I'm only going to look at the games that he started
and finished. Because we don't know.
He could have thrown for, if that game goes to
overtime, for example, he could have had
200 yards passing by the end of that game
and his numbers look dramatically different.
I think you've got
to take into account the whole picture of it.
His receiving core was a joke.
His offensive line was a joke, you know.
So he was working with, you know, spare parts.
Zach Ertz and Dallas Goddard were both playing injured, you know,
in that stretch.
And Goddard only played two and a half of those games of the four that he
started.
So there's just a lot to look at here.
And so, you know, it's not like you change coach,
you bring back a couple offensive linemen,
you add Devontae Smith,
and all of a sudden he's the best passer in the world.
But you have to take into,
now he's the starter in the off season.
Now he's the starter come week one.
Now he's played a few games.
Now you see what he's capable of.
You look at what he did as a college quarterback
and what he was able to do in two different systems,
going from Alabama to Oklahoma and how he performed in those two scenarios.
And so it's just the whole total package. And again, you know,
we're talking bold predictions here.
You don't have to draft him as a top five guy. That's the point.
You know, so I think, you know,
when you look at the quarterbacks,
cause I think the top five are kind of locked in, right.
We're talking Mahomes, Allen, Lamar, Kyler, Dak.
Right. I don't think there's going to be a different top five, different order, but different, different top five.
You know, Deshaun Watson changes that if he plays and, you know, he's playing and he's playing, you know, in a scenario that you feel comfortable with.
But maybe there's six in the next group of guys.
He belongs. And I think it's pretty clear that, you know, I think we're all in agreement with that.
ADP, early ADP tells us that, you know,
the industry, for the most part, is in agreement with that.
And if you want to take him as the sixth quarterback, fine.
You want to take him as the 11th quarterback, fine.
But the potential is what you're looking for.
And that's what we always talk about at the quarterback position.
So if he improves as a passer, which I think he will,
continues to run, which I think he will,
there's just a lot to love
about Jalen Hurts.
And I think like those
two bad passing games,
it's worth noting that
one of them he ran for 106 yards.
The other one he ran for 34 yards
and two touchdowns in three quarters.
So like even when he was bad as a passer,
he still wasn't killing you for fantasy.
Yeah, I'm not anti Jalen Hurts.
I just, my, you know,
everybody who listens to the show,
you know I'm going to bring up
the other side of the coin
just to have a thorough conversation.
You're right about that, Heath.
However, one thing that really jumps out to me
is that he only scored 20 fantasy points last year
in a six-point-per-passing touchdown league
was not anything special.
It probably wasn't top 12 most weeks.
He scored more than 20 only once.
So he had a huge game against Arizona,
43 fantasy points.
He scored 20, 19, and 15 in the other three games.
But you just don't really care that much about that
when you look at a rookie quarterback.
I mean, Lamar Jackson in his seven starts as a rookie,
he was on pace for 2,500 passing yards,
almost 1,300 rushing yards,
but only 16 total touchdowns.
He completed 58% of his passes.
That's just not a good quarterback.
And then the following year was one of the best seasons
we've ever seen from a quarterback.
Right. You don't want to expect that by any stretch.
But it's a very
easy comparison because came in on bad team as a backup played a few games wow you saw the wow
factor yeah and then you know the hope that carries over to next season and i think that's
what we're saying about lamar jackson nobody expected to be the nfl mvp and play like he did
but this is the the type of scenario that you hope carries over from small sample
size as a rookie,
bigger performance as a sophomore.
let's go to our next guy here.
It's Terry McLaurin.
And what is your bold prediction for Terry McLaurin?
Yeah.
I'll be a top five fantasy wide receiver this year.
Again,
something you've heard me say quite a bit that I like Terry McLaurin a lot.
I like the setup for him.
Um,
I just think there's a, there think there's a lot to love about him
without getting into it until you ask me a question or two.
There's a lot to love about Terry McLaurin's situation
with Ryan Fitzpatrick now as his quarterback.
Okay, go ahead, Heath.
Yeah, there's no doubt this is bold,
but it doesn't feel bold to me
because in my projections, I've got him number seven.
I'm right there with Jamie, basically projecting him to where if he plays 17
games, he's going to finish top five. Undoubtedly,
playing with the best quarterback he's ever played with in an
offense that should be more aggressive downfield.
It's really pretty remarkable for a receiver in his first
two years in the league
to earn 227 targets from that caliber of quarterback
and still average nine yards per target, which is absolutely elite.
So I think he had a little bit of the breakout last year,
and it was kind of like Calvin Ridley.
There was some missed time, and for McCorn, the touchdown touchdown rate was bad but the sky is the limit this year the thing i like
about him playing with fitzpatrick is fitzpatrick since 2010 has played eight seasons with at least
nine starts and that's what the bills the titans the texans the jets dolphin so he's the uh
definition of a journeyman quarterback.
But again, eight seasons with at least nine starts.
Over that span, his number one receiver has been Stevie Johnson three times,
Kendall Wright once, Andre Johnson once, Brandon Marshall twice,
and Devontae Parker once.
Those guys have gotten 128 targets on the year in those nine starts so when he started
in the eighth season he's made at least nine starts his number one receiver has gotten at
least 128 targets that make sense at least 128 at least 128 targets so again eight seasons
seven times in those eight seasons the number one receiver has at least 72 catches six times
the number one receiver had at least a thousand yards and seasons, the number one receiver has at least 72 catches. Six times the number one receiver had at least 1,000 yards.
And three times the number one receiver had at least 10 touchdowns.
That's big right there.
Because the other ones are good, like the targets and the yards, but they're not top five good.
No, not top five good.
But touchdowns, I mean, it's only three times, but McLaurin has 11 touchdowns.
Did you hear the names that Jamie said?
Terry McLaurin's a better
player than most of those guys, too. Right.
Everybody but Andre Johnson and Brandon Marshall, at least
on paper right now, he's better than
when Ryan Fitzpatrick got them.
Stevie Johnson was pretty damn good.
Right, but I'm saying when Ryan Fitzpatrick
got to them, they weren't as good
as where Terry McLaurin is right now.
Mm-hmm.
The easy one to point to is Devontae Parker,
who was a total disaster
until Fitzpatrick got a chance to just target him,
give him a chance to play at what he does best,
and give him a chance to make plays.
The thing that Ryan Fitzpatrick does well
is he lets his receivers make plays.
He lets them go up and make contested catches.
He allows them to get plays in space.
He anticipates throws. Sometimes
to a fault. We know that's been a problem for him, which
is why he's been with so many teams. But they're
going to allow him to make plays, and I think it's going to really
benefit a player like Terry McLaurin.
And I just want to like, no disrespect
meant to Stevie Johnson
in any way, shape, or form, but he never
had as many yards in a
season as Terry McLaurin had last year.
And he was about 25% worse on a per-target basis
than McLaurin's been in his first two years of his career.
It's also a different NFL.
I mean, you know, the NFL changed since Stevie Johnson
and Ryan Fitzpatrick played together.
A lot of these numbers, like the high-end guys,
Marshall in 2015 with Fitzpatrick is a high-end guy.
Devontae Parker two years ago is more on the high, in terms of the numbers.
The 72 and 1,000 is more the Stevie Johnson, Kendall Wright numbers.
But, you know, when you just start to look at it, you say, okay,
where's the targets, you know, where's the floor, the 128 targets.
That's a good season for a wide receiver over 16 games.
I think we're going to see Terry McLaurin in the 150 target range.
The only concern I really have, to be honest with you,
is how good will
curtis samuel be in terms of what he does as a receiver we know like you said adam uh in talking
about his performance carolina he was a do-it-all type of guy can you know play running back take
you know bubble screens and jet sweeps and all those things i hope that's still kind of what
he does with with washington but if he does more as a wide receiver that's going to take away from
mccorn and everything you're hearing about Diami Brown, again,
I apologize if I'm butchering his name.
You can correct me at some point on it.
But you're hearing just wonderful things about that.
And then you factor in Logan Thomas, you factor in the running backs
and what they're going to do.
Is McCorn going to get peppered as much as I hope he will?
I'm still buying into it, but, you know,
those other guys could take away from McCaurin enough that he doesn't finish
even as a top 10 guy which he can still be top 15
and be fantastic you just don't want to again
overvalue him on draft day which I don't think you have to
yeah
the only issue
I guess I have with this bold prediction is
who are you
expecting him to be ahead of
you know just is he really going to
be top five
when you've got players on better offenses,
maybe players who are kind of lined up
to catch more touchdowns than he will?
Ryan Fitzpatrick only has one season
with more than 24 touchdown passes.
He only has three seasons where he started all 16 games.
That's the other thing.
Is he going to lose his job?
He has a tendency to lose his job because he is so turnover prone.
And this is a team that's got a great defense.
Don't put the defense at a disadvantage by being turnover prone.
I don't know that he's going to lose his job to Taylor Heineke or something like that.
But it's just hard to crack the top five.
And you've got him ranked ahead, non-PPR.
I'm looking, I'll switch to PPR.
But you've got him ranked ahead of Calvin Ridley, I believe looking I'll switch to PPR but uh like you've got him ranked ahead of
Calvin Ridley I believe same with Julio on the roster um okay in PPR McLaurin's a little lower
you have him ninth and Heath you have him seventh I've got him ahead of Michael Thomas
Justin Jefferson DK Metcalf Alan Robinson why would yeah. So why would you put him ahead of Justin Jefferson?
I,
a lot of what Jefferson did, um,
last year,
like we know that we've talked about the regression that's coming for him.
I just don't think Justin Jefferson is going to be as good as he was in his
rookie year,
but he was so much better than Tara McLaurin,
both as a rookie and sophomore McLaurin.
He,
he was,
I don't think most of a lot of what he did last year is sustainable and i
think that washington's probably going to throw it 120 more times than the vikings this year
washington was more pass heavy last year than you would have thought and then the year before
that same coaching staff was i think the most pass heavy offense in the league right and
scott turner delphi likes to throw the ball i do think it is Deami Brown, but I will try to check on that.
Okay, yeah, McClure, it's hard to find.
It's just hard to find a reason not to like him.
Can he make big plays?
Yeah, he's got four touchdowns in his career of more than 50 yards.
Two of them were on deep balls.
Two of them were on kind of catch and run, broken tackle types of plays.
He had a very high ADOT as a rookie.
He had a pretty low ADOT last year because
they didn't throw the ball downfield, but he's shown some
versatility. And really, if you look at the overall
numbers, he was about 20th per
game at wide receiver.
It's not great, but his last
four games were terrible. He had 155
yards in his last four games.
Before that, and remember they had Heineke
in there. I think they had Haskins.
Yeah, Haskins played in two of those games.
He started one.
Before that, he was on pace for 1,400 yards.
So it was just kind of a sour finish to what was a terrific year for McLaurin.
And it's just hard not to like him.
Okay, TJ Hawkinson is our next bold prediction subject here.
Jamie, what do we got on TJ Hawkinson?
I know this one.
I don't know Heath is going to go along
with quite as much.
Go ahead.
That'll be a top three tight end this season.
And again, you know,
these are three guys I've talked a lot about.
Hawkinson, we've spent a lot of time talking about.
But I just love the setup for him.
I think there's a lot to like about him.
And, you know, you're going to say this about Heath,
and I'm going to defend Heath on this one before he trashes my bold prediction,
but he likes TJ Hawkinson.
This isn't a – we all like TJ Hawkinson.
We all like TJ Hawkinson.
And it's like whenever we have these conversations,
it always comes across as one of us doesn't like the player
because you take the other side of it.
So I want to make that clear.
I know Heath likes TJ Hawkinson.
And when we get to his bold predictions,
when we talk about Mark Andrews,
I like Mark Andrews.
These are the two guys that we're going to compare always because the top
three is going to be locked in.
And I don't know who Hawkins is going to knock out of the top three.
If he gets into the top three,
I hope it's not that he knocks out anybody and he finishes fourth.
Cause that's where I have him ranked.
But I just think there's a huge ceiling coming for him,
huge season coming for him because he has a huge ceiling.
And so I just like to set up for him with the lack of talent around him
and the start that he's shown you over the first two seasons.
Heath, so the bold prediction is that Hawkinson will finish top three.
Yeah, like I can, this is easier for me to get behind than when we have the
Mark Andrews versus TJ Hawkinson, because like Jamie said earlier, this is bold predictions.
It's absolutely TJ Hawkinson could have a top three season.
He's still just 24 years old or will be 24 at the start of season.
He's still just 23.
There's no reason to think
that just because he's been inefficient his first two years in the league that will continue forever
his competition for targets i mean besides number one wide receiver deandre swift number two wide
receiver jamal williams is almost non-existent they don't have any wide receivers who really
probably even profile as a number two option,
much less a number one option.
So the opportunity is all there now.
Yes. I think there's concerns about the fact that he's not really been very good on
a per target or per game or per reception basis yet in his career.
I think there's concerns that he's got a quarterback downgrade,
but in full PPR,
like there's a chance that he comes out and it downgrade. But in full PPR,
there's a chance that he comes out and is just right there with Kelsey and Kittle
in terms of his target share.
And then we won't care if he's inefficient.
He's going to be awesome for fantasy anyway.
It's another guy who had a really bad finish to the season.
He had 43, 18, 23, and 25 yards in his last four games.
But for a while, I just remember doing the starter sit episodes,
and you just started TJ Hawkinson.
He was in the 60-yard range most weeks and getting enough catches.
Last season, he had 11 games with at least five targets,
and he scored at least 13 PPR points in seven of them.
So it didn't take a lot of targets for him to be successful.
And like he said, I think you're going to see him lead the team in targets.
You know, those are the type of tight ends that we look for.
I know he didn't say he was the running backs,
but he has the chance to lead this team in targets.
And, you know, you, you look back, we've said this, you know,
how many times over the last, you know, several months
that George Kittle with the 49ers, Darren Waller with the Raiders,
Mark Andrews, you know, in Lamar Jackson's big season,
Zach Ertz in Carson Wentz's big seasons.
Those guys lead their team in targets or right there, you know, at the top.
And obviously Travis Kelsey, you know what he does.
So I think Hawkinson has that type of ability. ability you've seen and we talked about this with jacob gibbs when jared goff leaned
on his tight ends and it was the end of the 2019 campaign and in terms of routes run between gerald
everett and tyler higby when they actually ran routes that's where he was looking more times
than not and so goff has shown you an ability to make a tight end elite uh in a stretch of games and this receiving
core speaks to leaning on their tight end this coaching staff speaks to probably leaning on
their tight ends because anthony lynn has a history of doing that as well so um i i just think there's
a lot to like about where tj hockinson can what tj hockson can be this year who he can be this year
and the type of fantasy option he can be this year. So he's somebody that I'm also aggressively targeting in drafts
and I'm not in without him.
It's possible that he just finishes number three
in like a Logan Thomas way from last year as well.
Like if the efficiency doesn't improve,
you just get enough targets to where it doesn't really matter.
Yeah, I mean, I hope it's not because George Kittle misses half the season
because that was a big part of it also.
On a per-game basis, George Kittle was a top three tight end.
So you want to see – and this would make the position great.
You want to see Andrews playing great, Hawkinson playing great,
the top three staying healthy and playing great,
and then two or three other guys, Kyle Pitts, Dallas Goddard,
those type of players, and maybe a surprise or two like we got last year
with Thomas and Tanyan.
All of these guys being fantastic.
And then we could say maybe this was the year of the tight end.
So I'd love to see that be the case.
No fan as well.
I think the problem that I have with tight end is when you have a late
pick in,
in a 12 team league.
Uh,
if you can't get Kelsey,
I don't know when to take a tight end because it seems if I have,
let's say the 10th pick my first or second round pick to me
feels too early for Waller and Kittle.
My third round pick feels...
And my third round pick definitely too early for Andrews,
and I wouldn't take Andrews in round four there.
I don't think I'm going to get Andrews in round five.
So that's 58th overall.
So is that round five, six turn,
is that where you're taking Hawkinson?
You know, right now I'm looking at his ADP on NFC.
It's Andrews.
So Andrews actually is there.
He's not there in our drafts, but he's 65th.
Kyle Pitts is also 65th, and Hawkinson is 69th.
So look, if you can get to the end of round five
or the beginning of round six,
and you've got your choice of Andrews, Pitts, and Hawkinson,
and Goddard's actually going 91st,
that's pretty interesting.
But you really can't wait any longer than that.
You cannot wait until round seven,
if you have a late pick,
to think that you're going to get one of those top seven tight ends.
And then, yeah, you're passing up some pretty good players, especially if you don't have a late pick to think that you're going to get one of those top six tight at top seven tight ends. And then,
yeah,
you're passing up some pretty good players,
especially if you don't have a quarterback,
you're passing up some pretty good players around 60th overall.
So I've been taking Hawkins in there.
I don't love it,
but I know Jamie seems to really like it,
like it a lot,
at least.
Yeah.
So it's just a,
it's just,
you have to,
you have to pull the trigger at that point.
Listen, least um yeah so it's just a it's just you have to you have to pull the trigger at that point listen with goddard current average draft position if that's the case i will probably
move both andrews and hawkinson down a little bit from where i have them because if my if i
have the choice to just wait until round eight and take dallas goddard i don't know like he has
this type of breakout potential as well. If I can get him two
rounds later, I'll take good running backs and wide
receivers in the round five and six range.
You like Noah Fant also, right?
He's in that range too.
Want to hear my
tight end bold prediction that I am not
at all committed to, but we'll throw it out there
for some fun food for thought.
I think I know what it is.
Go ahead.
Is it that Noah Fant will be better than TJ Hawkinson?
No, it's that George Kittle is going to be the biggest
bust in fantasy.
Wow.
First of all, he's injury prone and he plays
in an injury prone style.
I don't find it to be all that fluky.
He's extremely physical and I love him.
He's the best tight end in football, but he's gronk-like
in that respect.
He's the best all-around tight end in football, but he's Gronk-like in that respect. He's the best all-around tight end in
football, I think.
Fine. He might be the second best, but
I think he's the best.
I think a lot of people would agree with you because of what he does
as a blocker. Right, but what he does
as a blocker leaves him a little vulnerable to injury.
You've
got possibly a
early season switch to Trey Lance,
which I don't think will be good for the overall passing game.
And Brandon Ayuk was sick last year.
I know that when Ayuk, Debo, and Kittle were all playing,
all healthy, Kittle dominated targets.
But just because it happened last year
doesn't mean it will happen this year.
And this is the most target competition that he's had.
So I love him as a player.
Haven't drafted him in any of our mocks yet
and get a bust feel from him.
I don't think he's a bust,
but a lot of what you said is why he's third for me behind Waller.
Yeah.
And look at the ADP.
I can't rank him behind Hawkinson or Andrews,
but I don't feel bust-ish potential from him, but I don't
feel same ceiling potential
for him.
He's eight picks after Waller.
Kelsey's eighth, Waller's 22nd,
Kittle's 30th. That's a pretty
big gap.
That's what you should do.
Kittle at 30 is great.
I would take him there. I just don't
want to take him in the second round.
You would take the biggest bust in fantasy.
Well, I could be. Actually, it's a good point.
If I'm deciding between
McLaurin and Kittle,
there's some wide receivers. I don't know that I'd
take him over, say, Chris Carson.
If you get to that tier of running backs, I'd go Kittle.
But if
Julio Jones or DK Metcalf
or McLaurin are sitting there in the middle of round three, yeah.
Mahomes or Kittle.
I think I'd go Mahomes.
Yeah.
How about you?
I go back and forth.
I know I have Mahomes higher in non-PPR, and full PPR might be Kittle, but it's really close.
I would take Kittle in both.
All right, we're going to take a break here.
When we come back, we'll talk about some news items
and whether or not they matter
or if it's just some off-season fodder.
We'll be right back on Fantasy Football today.
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Welcome back, everybody, to the first Bull Prediction Show of the week.
We are recording for this week.
So Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday.
And Heath is up tomorrow.
So get excited for that.
And he's got a Mark Andrews bowl prediction.
We'll keep talking tight ends.
All right, so does this matter?
Joe Burrow, he threw the ball deep.
I mean, he had 8.5 intended air yards per pass attempt.
That was basically tied with guys like Russell Wilson,
Lamar Jackson, which surprised me,
Josh Allen, Matt Ryan, Baker Mayfield.
It was a lot more than Justin Herbert,
who has this deep ball reputation.
But it's not that he's working on throwing the ball deep more often.
He's working on his deep ball accuracy, Joe Burrow.
Heath, does that matter?
Joe Burrow working on his deep ball accuracy?
I hope that he is.
He needs to improve as a passer in his second year.
And I have a little concern that the injury will prevent him from making
the leap that we would normally expect from
a player his caliber, but no.
It will matter if he gets better at it.
And who would it matter for,
do you think? Higgins or Chase?
Or would it just hurt
Tyler Boyd or just not really
make a difference? I think it'd be
good for the wide receivers, Higgins and Chase,
more than Boyd.
It helps when you have more speed.
And A.J. Green is not
a speed guy anymore.
And so, you know,
I love
the upside of Joe Burrow.
Heath is certainly right
in what the injury impact
will be, but you've got to hope that
as we've seen,
as things have gone on,
guys have come back from ACLs.
And I know it's the ACL and the MCL.
So it's a little bit more challenging,
but I've come back and not missed a beat,
especially that position.
I just think there's the sky's the limit for what he could be this year
with,
you know,
if Jamar Chase is as good as advertised,
could be the best receiving court in football.
If all these guys play to their strengths,
but you're taking Jalen hurts over Burrow yeah because they're running you know but
burrows right there you know i i again going back to that group of quarterbacks 6 through 12 he's
for me burrows in that conversation okay larry holder of the athletic thinks the saints could
be more run heavy early in the 2021 season jamie does this matter well certainly matters for people
that are concerned about Alvin Kamara
and what Kamara's numbers look like when there
was no Drew Brees, especially
from a passing game standpoint.
It'd be nice to see Kamara get a little
bit more rushing opportunities and have a chance
to score six touchdowns every game like he did
at the end of the season. It certainly
matters for Latavius Murray. I think
one thing we don't spend enough time talking about
is these second, not even second tier running backs, like third tier running backs,
fourth tier running backs, guys that you can get, you know, around in rounds eight through 12,
that could potentially be difference makers, whether due to injury or even in some secondary
situations. We, you know, we've talked a little bit about Jamal Williams, what he could be.
Latavius Murray needs to be in that conversation.
You know, it doesn't necessarily have to be guys that are like league winners,
because we know Latavius Murray would be a league winner if Kamara goes down.
Tony Pollard would be a league winner if, you know, Ezekiel Elliott goes down.
But Murray's going to have some standalone value.
You know, and we've seen it, you know, at times during his tenure with the Saints
that when things are going well for them, it wasn't the same as Kamara and Mark Ingram.
But, you know, if they are going to go back to running the ball
a little bit more, a little bit better, taking
some pressure off their quarterback and
maybe more Jameis and less Taysom,
Murray's going to be just a fantastic
value and somebody that you can use as a
flex at times during the season.
I thought this was Larry Holder's way
of sneakily saying
that he thinks that Taysom Hill is going to
start week one at quarterback
because they will be more run heavy if Taysom Hill is going to start week one at quarterback.
Because they will be more run heavy if Taysom Hill is playing quarterback.
I think I said that they'll be more run heavy.
I think the way, at least on Roto World,
that it was written was like
they're going to rely more on Kamara and Murray.
So that's my fault for being deceiving.
I think rely on their running backs,
not their running game.
Okay.
The Giants could limit Saquon Barkley's snaps
early in the season, according to ESPN's
Jordan Renan.
I do not like this.
At all. Green eggs and ham.
I was a little
skittish about Saquon
anyway, with adding Kenny Galladay
to the offense and
not being a little bit unsure about his target share
and then coming back from the injury,
I think I had him fifth or sixth.
I have a hard time saying that I definitely want him over Mixon or Zeke
or Eckler in PPR.
In fact, I think I might prefer those guys.
I can see it.
I just think if he's healthy, he's a monster.
He's just an absolute monster.
He may not catch 60 passes or whatever he did as a rookie.
Was he 80 passes as a rookie?
Yeah, I think so.
He's not going to do that with daniel jones moving you know because
eli was a statue but uh he's got 50 cash potential he's still got you know 2 000 yard potential in
the 17 game season you know he's just he's he's he's still a star to me i'm i'm not gonna shy away
from drafting barkley he's healthy where do you have him i think i have him fourth behind
mcafree cook and camaro i would expect jonathan taylor is going to move ahead of him Where do you have him? I think I have him fourth behind McCaffrey, Cook, and Kamara.
I would expect Jonathan Taylor is going to move ahead of him.
For you?
I think at ADP.
I think Taylor is sixth right now.
Oh.
Interesting.
He actually had 91 catches as a rookie, but yeah, those days are done.
In fact, I've pointed this out many times.
They had a bye right in the middle of that season,
and after the bye, that trend stopped.
He was like Matt Forte in the first eight games,
and then he was more like a 65 catch running back after that, I think.
Yeah, so Taylor.
Matt Forte was Christian McCaffrey.
Yeah, I guess so.
Yeah, right now it's McCaffrey, Cook, Kamara, Derek, Henry, Barkley, Taylor.
If he plays 17 games, there's no way he's under 50 catches.
No way.
Yeah, no, definitely not.
ESPN's John Kime says the Washington football team
wants Antonio Gibson to run more pass routes in 2021.
He did have 36 catches in 14 games,
but it really felt like more than that
because he had three catches in his first two games, Gibson,
and then three or more catches in eight of his last 11 healthy games.
So he was more involved.
Like 36 catches in 14 games doesn't really jump off the page,
but he was much more involved in that as the season went on.
He had one game where he left after four snaps, didn't have a catch.
McKissick, though, had 80 catches in 16 games.
Heath, does this matter that they
want to throw the ball downfield more and they want gibson in more pass routes those two things
don't seem to really go together do they unless he's running deeper routes and the guy is you
know kind of a hybrid player right right yeah it's bad for me i think i think the the downfield
thing sounds really great if you want to take the ami Brown in the last round of a draft as a sleeper.
Unless they're just going to phase J.D. McKissick out of the offense,
which might not be a bad idea,
it's hard to see how the addition of Curtis Samuel
and the addition of Ryan Fitzpatrick
and the wanting to throw the ball downfield more leads to Antonio Gibson being more involved in the passing game.
Okay.
I just think that this guy, for what he accomplished last year, changing positions with no offseason, with the different quarterbacks that they went through,
the fact that he got hurt, came back, was still their primary running back. The ceiling is amazing for what he could be
because now that he learns the position,
gets better in pass protection, on the field more.
I think you said it best.
Faze JD McKay is the guy on the offense
because he was very good,
and he helped a lot of people win fantasy games,
but he's an Alex Smith guy.
This is not a Ryan Fitzpatrick guy.
He doesn't need an I'm-under-duress-and-panic type
of running back to play with him.
He needs a star, and Antonio Gibson's a star.
All right, two more things real quick here.
Tim Tebow.
Here's another 50-catch guy easy.
Tim Tebow.
Tim Tebow could be used like Taysom Hill,
according to ESPN's Diana Rossini.
Heath does, or Jamie, does this matter? Tim Tebow like Taysom Hill, according to ESPN's Diana Rossini. Jamie, does this matter?
Tim Tebow, like Taysom Hill?
Oh, boy.
I mean, it matters
and, yeah, it matters
for Trevor Lawrence, if that's going to be the case.
It matters
for Travis Etienne.
It matters for James Robinson.
I still find it hard to believe
and, look, I'm as big a Tebow fan as you'll find
for what he did for my college program.
Me and Pete Prisco, we were presidents of the Tim Tebow fan club.
If he does play in this role, he has fantasy value.
If that's the case, you know, deeper two quarterback leagues,
you'll be interested in Tim Tebow.
He's going to get listed as a quarterback.
So when I see a report that says he's going to be used like Taysom Hill,
I interpret that as he's in competition for the starting quarterback job.
Is that not?
That's probably fair.
I can't see him making the team.
Yeah, I know.
All right.
So let's just move to our last one, Heath.
Tennessee tight end Anthony Ferks are very involved in the passing game
during OTAs, and that's according
to the team website. I mean, the most involved.
And yeah, there's
obviously a lot of targets to be
had there. So Anthony Ferks are a good
sleeper? He is
a good sleeper. As their
roster is currently constructed, he's going
to have to be very involved unless
A.J. Brown is just going to get 200 targets, which I think
everybody would be okay with.
They did a lot like he was frustrating last year to the johnny smith fantasy manager because they like they like running those two and three tight end sets and
just throwing to any of them i still don't know that i believe that he's going to be more than a
60 or 70 target guy, but maybe he will.
Who is the guy last year?
And I'm not talking about performance,
so stats don't matter,
but that's the level down from Logan Thomas and Robert Tunyon.
Like, is there a guy that you could think of that,
oh, this guy was useful for fantasy?
It's Jimmy Graham, right?
Noah Fant. I'm thinking more like came out of nowhere type of guy yeah graham
first half of the season eric ebron had a stretch like that
like i i think firxer i don't think he's going to be
what logan thomas and robert tony was i don't think he's catching 10
touchdowns on 59 targets uh like tanya did i don't think he's
catching as many passes as logan thomas did but he's that type of guy he's going to touchdowns on 59 targets like Tanya did. I don't think he's catching as many passes as Logan Thomas did.
But he's that type of guy.
He's going to be that type of guy that you say,
we're talking about him now, right?
We're going to talk about him a few times.
I think he's a great Scott Fishbowl tight end.
I think he's a great best ball tight end.
I think he's a great tight end premium tight end to put on your bench
or as your second option because all the targets
are there. But even in
regular seasonal
PPR, non-PPR, whatever format you play
in, he's going to be a guy we talk about
on A Way to Wire a lot.
The guy might have been John O'Smith.
Yeah, but John O'Smith was
Dave overhyped John O'Smith.
John O'Smith got a lot of attention in the preseason.
A lot of people overhyped John DeSmith, it turns out.
I'm so embarrassed for tight end.
What a pathetic season for tight end.
Let's just quick exercise.
Robert Tunyon was the number three tight end in PPR with 177 points.
How many wide receivers?
That would have made him wide receiver 37.
He scored one more point
than Russell Gage.
Embarrassing. Stupid position.
You need to do it on a per-game basis, though.
It's not quite that bad.
Well, it was Tunyon, right? What, did he miss games?
No, I'm saying that
he was sixth on a per-game basis.
All right.
He was fifth. 11. per game basis. Okay, all right. So then let's take, okay, he was fifth, 11.8.
11.8.
And how many wide receivers got there?
That's even worse, 43rd.
Yeah, DJ Chark.
Okay, guys, let's read some emails.
Fantasyfootball at cbsi.com.
This is from Jake.
Grade the trade.
It's a dynasty startup draft.
Trade 1.8 and this is remember,
not just a rookie draft dynasty startup,
everybody.
1.8 and 10.5,
four,
two 11,
7.2,
and a 2022 first and a 2023 first and second.
So you're,
you're moving down from 1.8 to 2.11.
That's a big drop, but you're getting...
Is it snake or non-snake?
I'm assuming it's snake.
I'm assuming it's snake.
I'm fine if you want to do this,
but don't draft any old players if you're going to do this.
If you're making this move,
then you're planning on being better in 2022 and 2023
than you are now, in my opinion.
So draft young guys.
So 1.8 is probably...
It's a 1QB league?
I don't know.
They didn't indicate, so assume 1QB league.
So 1QB league, 1.8, and a startup dynasty league is...
I mean, is that like Derrick Henry range?
I've got Justin Jefferson there.
Could be Cam Akers.
Okay, wait, I'm going to look at our startup dynasty draft right now.
This was non-PPR.
The one you butchered the draft?
No, I think this is the one that I didn't butcher the draft.
The super flex one is the one I butchered.
Wow, that was like the most embarrassing moment of my life.
Oh, come on.
Yeah, it's probably not true, right?
Well, now I can't find the draft results.
Okay, so anyway, let's read our next email.
You're doing this trade?
I would make the trade.
Okay.
Okay, this is from Cool Sports Guy.
I thought I was the only one.
If you guys can't get a top three tight end,
what are you going to do?
If there ever was an email, we answered already.
Well, I said, I talked about it,
but what are you guys going to do?
If you can't get a top three?
I mean, for me, I play the board.
I'll be aggressive with Hawkinson
because I like him a lot,
but I'm not going to be aggressive with the guys around him,
so I'm not going to target Andrews.
I'm not going to target Pitts.
For me, it's Hawkinson, Goddard, and then just wait it out
and then just kind of take.
I'd say it's Hawkinson, Goddard, Irv Smith.
Those are the three that I target in their various ranges.
So Hawkinson in the first six rounds, more like rounds five and six.
Goddard, more like rounds eight and nine. Goddard more like rounds eight and nine.
And then Smith more like round 10.
And Heath?
Not that far.
Like I'd go around earlier for Andrews.
I'm fine with him in round four.
Hawkinson in round five, six.
Goddard, Fant, and Pitts.
I'm all fine with round seven.
Obviously, Pitts is going to be gone in round three now,
so it doesn't matter.
Okay.
Yeah, it's going to be great to see where his ADP is
if Julio's traded.
Dynasty League startup mock draft from a week or two ago.
Pick eight was DK Metcalf in between Derek Henry and Tyreek Hill
and Justin Jefferson. And the round two pick 11 was Austin Eckler. It was Joe Mixon, Eckler,
Aaron Jones, and then JK Dobbins. And the thing is, it's so difficult. It depends on what group
of people you have together.
Because there's some rounds where you're going to see a whole bunch of running backs go in the first round,
and then it's all wide receivers in round two.
But I think that type of drop-off, like you're getting two firsts and a second to go down from DK to Eckler.
I would suggest you shouldn't take Eckler there if you're doing that.
You should take somebody that's still going to...
What?
You take Dobbins.
Yeah.
Right?
You also have 2.8.
What'd you say?
He also has...
2.8, yeah.
Or no, not 2.8 because it's Snake.
Right, no, he would have 2 point whatever it is, 5.
Right.
I hate doing that on the spot.
Okay, this is from Kyle.
12-team PPR draft, two running backs, and three flexes.
I have the 12th and 13th picks.
It's PPR.
I'm leaning Cam Akers and Najee Harris.
Is this a good decision, taking them over guys like Eckler,
A.J. Brown, Diggs, Mixon, Jonathan Taylor?
Nope.
No, I'd much rather have Eckler.
And Taylor, right?
And Taylor, yeah.
Okay.
Those aren't bad picks,
but you're passing up some pretty good players as well,
in my opinion, better players.
I feel like you can make a better argument for Akers there
than you can Harris,
but those would not be my picks.
So it's PPR and it's two running backs and three flex spots.
Does that change anything in terms of,
I would really like to get at least one wide receiver here?
No.
It's interesting the way he said it.
Two running backs, three flexes.
We don't know how many wide receivers you search.
That's true.
Right. It could be two, two, and three.
How many emails
have I read? Four?
I did the grade the trade. I did the
tight ends. I did the
Startup Dynasty.
I think I've only
done three. I'm missing an email here.
This is from Dave in Flint.
I have an eight-team half PPR league,
and one team is trying to get DeAndre Swift from me.
I'm a Lions fan.
Swift is my family favorite.
My son picked his jersey number
for his junior football jersey this year,
so I hate to trade him.
However, this man is now offering me
a first and a second in the
2022 rookie draft
for DeAndre
Swift. At which point should I
just say to heck with it and take the trade?
And a second for Swift?
For next year? Rookie draft. First and
second in 2022 for Swift.
And nothing this year?
No, nothing. That's not enough for Swift. And nothing this year? No, nothing.
That's not enough for me.
It's so hard to say because he should be awesome.
And if he's awesome, then it's not enough.
But if he busts, then you're going to,
why didn't I take the trade?
Let me just, I forgot.
I mentioned this, but it probably was lost in the shuffle.
It's an eight-team league.
So that second round pick in the rookie draft is a little bit better.
I think, especially in an eight-team league,
depending on how many players you roster,
I want to get something back in return this year.
Something that can help me this year, too.
So I want a player plus those two picks,
or a pick this year as well.
Also, this is just to everybody that is sending those types of trades,
and if you could tell us if the team you're trading with is awful or really good or in the middle,
there's a big difference between the first or second pick and the seventh or eighth pick.
And in 12-team leagues, the difference is much, much bigger.
If you told me it was
number one overall and number nine overall that's a much different discussion for deandre swift than
the projected number six or seven over yeah but he wouldn't know that anyway though well you can
know if they like i think you can generally put them in groups top three guys roster sucks right
but he's not gonna have any idea if it's one. Right. No. I think if he really wants DeAndre Swift that badly,
either if you've had your rookie draft already,
look who he took in the first round,
and make that part of it with just a pick next year,
or somebody on his roster that could help you this season.
Because eight teams, he should have somebody good.
Or she should have somebody good.
Okay, last email here is from Kevin.
I'm in the second year of being the commissioner of my league
that has been running for 20 years.
I'm trying to keep up with the times with this stupid added game.
Hey, come on.
It's more football.
We currently play 14 weeks.
Three division winners and one wild card make the playoffs.
My question is, what would you guys do,
and what are the settings going to allow us to do?
Should we just extend our season a little longer?
My thought was to give the three division winners a buy in week 15 and have
the fourth and fifth seed play week 15 to see who joins the three division
winners.
And the playoffs will continue in week 16 and 17 to find a winner.
Or would you guys play an additional regular 15th week and play
playoffs week 16 and 17?
Or would you just leave it alone and not do anything?
What do you think? The second option for sure.
Yep. I kind of like
that idea though of the play-in game.
I liked it in the
NBA. I think that's
cool. You give the three
division winners a bye and then you have
seeds four and five play in.
I support either one of those options.
Put it up to a vote in your league.
You're eliminating a playoff team though, right?
No, he only has four playoff teams to begin with.
I would just play the fifth,
especially when you only have four playoff teams.
I would like for everybody to get an additional regular season game
to try to determine who gets those
four spots. This is a 12-team league?
I don't know.
Well, the 12-team league should have six
playoff teams. I agree, but this league
only has four, and they've been doing it for 20 years, so
this is probably not changing that.
This is where they rock and roll here.
If it's...
I guess I didn't hear the first part of that. So if it's only four
teams getting into the playoffs, then I would go to option one.
I like that, the playing game.
Playing game.
Now, how about this?
I would like more teams to have a chance to make a run.
Right, so here's what you should do.
I'm sure we'll all agree on this.
Three division winners get the bye.
In week 15, every other team plays,
and the highest score gets the wild card.
I like that, too.
I don't like that.
No, that's a little extreme
to give a last place team the opportunity.
But you could expand it.
You could do the next four teams.
You could do whatever you want,
but have fun with it.
I thought you were going to say something
to the effect of the three division winners get a bye.
Then every other team,
you take out their worst week
and their best week.
And so you call it the Azerstadt playoff.
No, you have to only take out the weeks
where one of their best players,
one of their three best players left with an injury
and played less than 50% of the stats.
Oh, you really want to complicate it.
Okay, I was going to take out their highest score
and their lowest score
and then take the average score of every other game.
It's perfect.
The Azerstadt playoffs, the Azerstadt schedule.
All right, thanks for listening, everybody.
Thanks for the emails.
More bold predictions later in the week,
and we'll see you tonight.
YouTube.com slash Fantasy Football Today
at 7 p.m. Eastern.
See ya.