Fantasy Football Today - NFC Fantasy Football Facts That’ll Give You an Edge in 2026 (06/04 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Episode Date: June 4, 2026

Adam, Dan and Heath dive into the most compelling NFC fantasy football facts and trends that could shape your upcoming draft strategy. The guys break down Justin Jefferson (17:40), Sam LaPorta (38:20)..., Chris Godwin (44:30) & more. Along the way, they uncover key stats, usage trends and team situations that could create fantasy winners and losers across the NFC. We end the show with a fun email of the day (56:15) featuring Dan Constanza.Fantasy Football Today is available for free on the Audacy app as well as Apple Podcasts, Spotify and wherever else you listen to podcastsWatch FFT on YouTube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ SUBSCRIBE to FFT Dynasty on Apple⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠FOLLOW FFT Dynasty on Spotify: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://open.spotify.com/show/2aHlmMJw1m8FareKybdNfG?si=8487e2f9611b4438&nd=1⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 This is fantasy football today from CBS sports. What a play! Can you believe this? It's a no idea. It's time to dominate your fantasy league. Up to the races and he stays on his feet. It's just going to go the distance. Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie, and Heath.
Starting point is 00:00:21 Our player outlooks continue talking Justin Jefferson today. He was the number 30 wide receiver per game in full PPR, number 41 in non-PPR last. year. Chuba Hubbard went from being, excuse me, a top 15 running back in 2024 to basically benched by Puerto Rico Dowdell and then got his job back late in the year. Jared Gough, QB15 right now in ADP, Sam Laporta, Titan 7, almost outside of the top 100. Right now in Fantasy Pro's ADP, Sam Laporta is going 95th overall. Chris Godwin, Rashad White, Kenneth Gamewell, the new Rashad White, and Isaiah Likely. Those are the players we're going to be talking about today. Adam Mazer with Heath Cummings. Hey, Heath. Hey, Adam. Hey, Jay, Banwagon, Dan, Dan wagon.
Starting point is 00:01:08 I am Dan wagging this bad boy. I wore this for you, Adam, because I knew you are a true Knicks fan. I'm not. I'm just someone who joins in for the fund during the playoffs, and that's okay, too. I don't have time for the NBA in my mind, at least. But I'm happy for you. You deserve this joy. I know how big of a fan you are. I'm in the Giants group chat with you and another co-worker. And I don't want to call him a coworker, but it's somebody else that we know through work. And you guys talk more Knicks than Giants at time, so I'm happy for you. I am. Why wouldn't we talk more Nix the Giants?
Starting point is 00:01:35 Yeah, or they're a better team. They didn't win the championship last night, just to be clear. I've already gotten congratulations. Oh, it's over. Both of you. It's over. It's last three teams to win game one on the road, all lost. That is the disappointing stat that's been circulating around today, but there are like
Starting point is 00:01:50 17 dozen other ones that are good in the Knicks favor. You know what? You want to hear a crazy stat and we'll move on to football? If the Knicks win the finals, I saw this on CBSports. com article by our Brad Bocken. If the Knicks win the finals, they will be the biggest underdog ever to win the NBA finals. In terms of- What sense? Going into the NBA, their odds to win going into the finals.
Starting point is 00:02:13 Okay. Biggest underdog ever. And their odds to win going into the playoffs is like plus 2,200 or something crazy. It's not, obviously, it's not that now. But I don't get it. What did people think? Have you watched the last 11 games? They're obviously good enough.
Starting point is 00:02:27 Come on now. It's like the whole thing with the Patriots. They got scheduled out. people are just blaming the schedule and then the Patriots made it all the way to the Super Bowl. So the schedule is the schedule. It is very similar. The biggest, worst odds at the beginning of the finals or at the beginning of the playoffs or at the beginning of the finals,
Starting point is 00:02:43 really, okay. The finals doesn't make sense to me. I think they were just two to one. That's the worst there's ever been. That's the way I ever been a bigger underdog in two to one. I think it was like plus two. You know what? I'm going to send the article to Tom.
Starting point is 00:02:54 That one I don't, I think is fake news, but the rest of them I think is possible. I'm going to send the article to Tom. Imagine a two to one is the biggest we've ever seen. I maybe I maybe you could it's it's a pretty big underdog all right anyway the headline is nix aiming to become the biggest underdogs to win the NBA finals there's never an injury to a major star player on a team headed to the finals I feel like that had to happen at some point well then they probably didn't win the championship did they they're probably like three to one dogs I'm not the biggest underdog ever I'm saying if they win
Starting point is 00:03:24 they'd be the biggest underdog to win at the beginning of the series like to Dan's point when When LeBron was down 3-1 to the Warriors, he was a bigger underdog than the Knicks at the start of the series. I see what the, okay. I'm in the football. Here we go. This is a weird story. Brandon I. You posted a video of himself speeding past SoFi Stadium or no, whatever, Levi State, whatever they live in San Francisco.
Starting point is 00:03:51 In December. And now there's a warrant issued for his arrest for driving like a madman. He was driving way too fast. Yeah. Just another weird note in this saga for Brandon I. This is what I've been trying to decide. Do we really think that he might matter for fantasy football again at some point? No.
Starting point is 00:04:17 I do not. He might be somebody because of his name that people add for a period of time, but I don't think he's going to matter as far as production and scoring goes. he's a 28-year-old wide receiver who did not play last year but also did not rehab his injury with the team last year yeah right did his own rehab i i mean he'll probably get some kind of workout to start from teams i i think i heard something to where if like if the 49ers can't trade him and he's not going to show up it actually works better for them to just keep him and put him on the exempt list and get all of his salary get back interesting which you know they would do then he missed in not other year. I don't know. I have him on rostered in your dynasty league, Keith. I don't know what to do about that.
Starting point is 00:05:02 I thought it was a smart pick in the redraft. He was injured at the time, but that's a mess. I think I might just cut him. Should have done that before the draft. Yeah, I knew that was going to come up at him. And I missed my, you weren't going to bring that up ever again, Adam. You promised me.
Starting point is 00:05:18 I was trying not to. I promised me. Take this time while it's up there to apologize. So, Dan, you're coming on FFT Dynasty on CBS Sports Network. at work. Yeah, and I'm excited to talk Dynasty with you. I can't wait. It's going to be great. I've already got the rundown built out. But like, we're going to have to talk
Starting point is 00:05:35 about that. Okay. We can talk about it. At least for a second. It is you, yes. It's annoying when Adam keeps bringing it up when he knows he's leading me into a meltdown. And I didn't apologize because I saw so much hate from the last time I was on FFC. I apologize. Look, the bottom line is I made a mistake. I made a mistake. For the person who keeps saying, don't break it up, I don't want to bring it up.
Starting point is 00:05:53 Don't bring it up. You're bringing it up now. No, I need to finalize this thing. now and say I do apologize. I wasn't the wrong. Net net, I wasn't the wrong. While I don't agree with the rule, I still wasn't wrong. I respect the rule. I have to respect the rule. All right, Romo Dunzei, this was big news here, at least on social media.
Starting point is 00:06:12 He said that the way his foot broke last year created a different type of foot structure with the bones in his foot. And that's his new normal. And he felt like he'd still be able to make plays. but he basically said his foot is never going to be the same structurally. I don't know what to make of this, Dan. I'm not a doctor, so I feel like I shouldn't opine too much on this. And I've never had this kind of injury.
Starting point is 00:06:37 I see a lot of people on Twitter like fantasy analysts saying, like, I've had one of these injuries. It did never heal properly. They're giving their own anecdotal evidence, which may be applicable, but probably isn't because they're not professional athletes either. And I think there's a possibility this could be a big nothing. But I can guarantee you as we look through the next two months of drafting, that ADP is going to sink. It may not sink a lot, but it's going to sink to some degree with this kind of comment.
Starting point is 00:07:04 Well, just going to have to wait and see. Like, I think we track it through camp. We see how he's moving in camp. We see how he's feeling. We see if he's taking days off and missing time in camp for soreness or whatever it may be. If none of that's happening, I'm pretty much going to treat this as a nothing burger. I think he's one of the more difficult without this. one of the more difficult wide receivers to evaluate and value.
Starting point is 00:07:27 Just an incredible month and a whole lot of disappointment on both sides of that. Yep. That's right. I could definitely see him continue to be, we talked about this with Marvin Harrison Jr. yesterday. This is Marvin Harrison Jr.'s role with Arizona so far. He's been the end zone guy.
Starting point is 00:07:44 I could see O'Don's Day continue to make his bacon, you know, with touchdowns. But yeah, it's definitely something we have to, keep an eye on. Right now his ADP is 56th overall. If you were drafting today, Heath, where do you think you'd take Romadunzei? 56. So I don't think, based on this news, I'm probably going to lower him, but I had
Starting point is 00:08:06 burden 10 spots ahead of him. So I've got him 66th in my rankings, round 6 pick. 10 wide receivers ahead of him? Yeah. Okay. Michael Parsons, unlikely to return before October. and the Packers allowed 20.1 points per game in 14 games with Parsons. That was eighth best.
Starting point is 00:08:29 26.3 points per game in three games without him. That was basically eighth worst. And one of those was a week 18 game where they sat their starters, but only gave up 16 points to horrible Minnesota team. And then in a playoff game against the Bears, they gave up 31 points. So their defense was definitely worse without him. and, you know, Jordan Love didn't really play in those games except for the playoff game, but he threw, Jordan Love threw, what, 46 passes in that playoff game.
Starting point is 00:08:59 So my point, I always talk about how the Packers are so run heavy. Right. They don't have Parsons. You know, they might throw more. Unfortunately, here are their first four games at Minnesota. Unfortunately for Jordan Love is he may not have to throw much. At Minnesota, at the Jets, Atlanta, and at Tampa Bay. Okay.
Starting point is 00:09:16 Next news item. The Steelers signed tight end darnel. Washington to a four-year $42 million extension with $21 million guaranteed. I don't think he has any fantasy value, but he's an interesting player. I think he was one of the, I just wrote the Team Outlook. He's one of the top tight ends in yards per route run. He just doesn't get targeted that much, but he literally just runs people over. It's pretty incredible to watch this 6'7 guy.
Starting point is 00:09:47 I hope they get him the ball more. Trent Williams left tackle for the 49ers could be playing his last season. He signed a two-year extension, but he admitted he doesn't know how much longer his career is going to be. And George Kittle, Dan, George Kittle says he could be ready for week one.
Starting point is 00:10:02 Tour his Achilles. Apparently it was, in terms of torn Achilles, it was one that wasn't so bad in terms of the healing process. So he's trying to get back for week one. They've already mentioned the fact that week one is in Australia, which is a long flight.
Starting point is 00:10:18 So maybe he can't. No way. Yeah. But yeah. It's encouraging, you know, where do you think his value should be, George Kittle? Well, we've seen a lot of these like recent lightning fast recoveries from Achilles. Daniel Jones is practicing already at Gold's OTAs. I feel like he tours Achilles four months ago or something in that range.
Starting point is 00:10:34 It was really recent. Aaron Rogers obviously made his comeback despite being 38 years old, pretty fast off the Achilles. So at this point, it's just not the injury it used to be. Like, I remember when you used to get the Achilles, they're like, oh, will you ever have that same quick twitch? whatever the advancements have been made from a medical standpoint, I feel like these athletes have come back pretty strong from it. So I'm going to treat him as if he's playing like he should be in that tight end one conversation. Really outside of, for me at least, outside of McBride and Bowers,
Starting point is 00:11:03 I don't know who else I would put above him. I guess you can think about LaPorta with Patzig. We'll talk about that a little bit later. I'm excited about that. Obviously, Colston Loveland has like the upside from just being potentially one of the best, if not the best tight ends in the NFL. But from a role standpoint, from what we've seen already with Kittle, from the rapport with Purdy, he's definitely in that mix if he's playing. Yeah, I'm going to be a lot more skeptical, partially because, well, partially because of the age, partially because he had a career low 4.4 yards after catch per reception last year.
Starting point is 00:11:36 That's been his bread and butter is running after the catch. And I think he might, maybe he's healthy enough to play week one. It doesn't necessarily mean he's as explosive as he was at what he'll be 33 in October. And then the other thing is he was really elevated by touchdowns last year and a couple of times like 2022 where the targets just aren't there, but he still scores a lot of touchdowns. And I'm afraid that Mike Evans takes a few of those. Good point. Sure. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:12:08 It's a stronger case, underneath, especially because we look at just something but pop up. in my mind when he made that comment or made that note when it fell off for kelsey as a fantasy like number one tight end it started with i feel like the yards after the catch going way down obviously he was never at the level of kiddle to begin with but like it started like that and i feel like that might be the sign of a decline so right but actually that's funny because it came up yesterday because Kelsey did have a major drop in yards after catch um but uh he got better last year it rebounded to five point six when i think it was in the threes the year before that so um you know, that can bounce back.
Starting point is 00:12:45 If a guy's in his prime and he has a bad yak year, that's actually a stat that I've found to be fairly predictable to bounce back. But, yeah, when a guy is about to be 33, as Heath mentioned, coming off of torn Achilles, I think we can be less certain about that. But I would say if he's ready for week two, let's say he's not going to make the trip to Australia. He's going to play week two.
Starting point is 00:13:03 Would you take Sam Leporta or George Kittle? It's Leporta for me. Leporta. I'm very high on Leporta this year. All right. those are your news and notes. We've got that FFT Dynasty episode on CBS Sports H.Q tomorrow. What time is that, Heath?
Starting point is 00:13:19 CBS Sports Network. That is 1 p.m. Eastern. 1 p.m. Eastern on CBS Sports Network. So make sure you look at that. Beyond the Boxcore podcast. Got its own YouTube channel. Search Beyond the Box Score. Obviously, has its own audio feed.
Starting point is 00:13:31 Great information there. We'll get our NFC player outlooks when we come back. And also people want to know because I said he'll make his bacon with the end zone. People want to know if I eat bacon. It's a great question. It is a great question. The answer might surprise you when we come back on fantasy football today. Dan, I want you to guess also.
Starting point is 00:13:49 I'm going to give my guess first of what Adam's answer is going to be. Yeah. Then you can give yours. When I saw the bacon talk in the chat, I thought people had cameras in my house because I had a delicious bacon sandwich and the bread were egg holes. So they had to cut the whole lot of the bread and cook the egg in the bread. And then bacon in between was delicious. But anyway, I think Adam's answer is, yes, I eat bacon. Turkey bacon.
Starting point is 00:14:17 Oh, nasty. Nasty work right there. Like, will, is the question, would you eat bacon and have you eaten bacon on occasion or do you regularly eat it? I don't, I mean, it's not a big difference for me. Do I regularly eat? I don't, not regularly. Like, but will you, is it like I've had it before and I'm not against it?
Starting point is 00:14:36 Or like, is bacon something you seek, like a bacon egg and cheese, whatever? What do you think? Why do you think my relationship with bacon is? I think you've had it and you're not against it and you're not like, there's no reason to not have it. But I think based on the things I've seen and observed from you when we've went out to dinner, I don't think you're eating any bacon because like when we went out to dinner, you had like steamed rice, dry chicken breast boiled and like that was it, dude,
Starting point is 00:14:58 and some broccoli. Like you did hold the sauce. Like, I don't know. I just don't think you. You know, you're like 70% accurate. I got a chicken terriarchy bowl, which is not hell. It's like, it's fine. but it was so good.
Starting point is 00:15:11 Bacon is terrific, but I usually do not eat it because I eat enough unhealthy stuff. You don't eat anything unhealthy, dude. Yeah, I do. I had a chicken parm, it's pasta dish last night for dinner and a burrito for lunch. That sounds great. That sounds like a great day. Sounds a great day of eating. I'm not going to lie.
Starting point is 00:15:28 Yeah, so I eat plenty of, but bacon is where I kind of try to draw the line. Okay. But it's delicious, obviously. I love bacon. Yeah, it's great. All right. Let's talk about Justin Jefferson. Outlook by Dan Schneier.
Starting point is 00:15:42 Right now on Fantasy Pro's wide receiver six. He's going 11th overall. Jefferson's being drafted just after C.D. Lamb just before James Cook coming off a year where he was the number 30 wide receiver per game and PPR, number 41 per game and non-PPR. The year before that, he was, I believe, sixth per game, but very, very close to being second or third per game. It was a big log jam up top for Justin Jefferson.
Starting point is 00:16:02 What did you kind of discover as you did your outlook on Jefferson? Yeah, so what I thought was the most interesting about Jefferson is if we, look at it right now. He's being drafted inside the top 12 receivers. I think he's either the fifth or six receiver off the board, depending on where you're going. So the expectation is that he's going to bounce back. And I feel like he very clearly is probably the biggest positive regression candidate in fantasy football.
Starting point is 00:16:25 Because he scored just two touchdowns in 2025. He hit double-digit touchdowns in two of the four previous seasons. And he never dipped below five before the 2025 season. So the reality is it seems highly unlikely to me that he's going to be anything but, But in that potentially double-digit touchdown range, obviously we have to assume that there's going to be a big jump in quarterback play. But the reality is he's going to get a jump just alone from the fact that Max Brasmer will not be starting games.
Starting point is 00:16:53 Like Max Brasmer played games last year for the Vikings. And in those games, there was no dropback offense to be had. So regardless of if it's McCarthy in year two, which I don't think it's going to be, or Kyler Murray, which I think it will be, all the faults that Kyler has, there are things and aspects of playing quarterback that he still gives, in my mind, a major advantage of the Vikings versus what they had all throughout last season, including the stint with Carson Wentz, which during the time with Carson Wentz, Jordan Addison benefited even more than Justin Jefferson. And Addison averaged 77 yards per game during that time. So I think Kyler comes in,
Starting point is 00:17:26 leans on Justin Jefferson as the number one receiver. And there's other stats that really lead me to believe he's in line for positive regression. He averaged almost 15 yards per catch over his career, never tip below the 14.1 yards per catch mark. Last year is at 12.5 yards per catch. Again, just really bad quarterback play that held him down throughout the entire season. I still believe from watching him on tape for Beyond the Box score and all the work we've done, still one of the best route runners in the league, still absolutely like his release off the line of scrimmages and his ability to create separation early in the route might be the best
Starting point is 00:17:58 in the NFL. There's verticality to his game that just wasn't realized last year with the quarterback play. So I think more explosive plays, more deep opportunities, and just more red zone trips in general for the Vikings offense. I'm counting on it and may be wrong about Kyler, but I really don't believe that he's this quarterback. A lot of people have paint him to be. I think he's a super big upgrade over what they had last year. There's no debate that he's a super big upgrade over what he had last year. But I'm just going to read you the Vikings passing stats in all of Justin Jefferson's seasons.
Starting point is 00:18:31 Yeah. The first year was a 16 game season. 4,265 yards, 35 touchdowns. Kailer's never done that. 4,450, 34 touchdowns. Guyler's never done that. Next year, 4,818 yards, 30 touchdowns. Guy there's never done that.
Starting point is 00:18:49 Next year, 4,700 yards. That's amazing. 30 touchdowns. Guyler's never done that. Two massive years in row there. 2024, 4,300. What are you saying over there, Heath? Kyler's never done that.
Starting point is 00:19:03 Tyler's never done anything. really close to that, except last year, obviously, 3,2008 yards and 18 touchdowns. And then Heath, it's like, well, are they throwing, is the yardage and the touchdowns so good because the quarterbacks and the system, or is it just because Justin Jefferson is, it happens to be there? You know, he's going to bounce back because he was 30th best. Where's he going to bounce back to? Two is the one to turn the right time for Jefferson? It's a little bit early for me.
Starting point is 00:19:34 I agree with most of the stuff, Dan said. I do think there's a bounce back coming. It's just the gap was so enormous. The four years before last year, his 17-game pace was 113 catches for 16181 yards and nine touchdowns. So the gap between that and 84, 1048 and 2, It's really huge.
Starting point is 00:20:06 I think I've got him projected for right about 100 catches. I've got I'm projected for right around 1,300 yards. The thing that really concerns me is the touchdowns. Because Kyler's just never really been a high touchdown guy, 4.1% touchdown rate for his career. And a lot of that's because he just doesn't throw as much as the Vikings were in Jefferson's heyday. Because he's going to run it eight times a game. So I still like Jefferson as a top 12 wide receipts.
Starting point is 00:20:34 but not a top 12 pick. Okay. Yeah. Look, once upon a time Kyler Murray was great for DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins was with him.
Starting point is 00:20:46 But it just doesn't seem like that Kyler has been that player since tearing his ACL, but I may change the scenery could certainly help. We've seen that happen in Minnesota for sure. All right, that's Justin Jefferson.
Starting point is 00:20:59 Well, just to like the one great season, and he had a good half a season, too, but the one great season that DeAndre Hopkins had with Kyler, it was 115 catches for 1400 yards, but it was still, it was still six touchdowns. It was very PBR scummy for sure. Though I do feel, what do you say? No, no, no, go ahead, go ahead.
Starting point is 00:21:21 I do feel like regardless from what I've seen from Kyler, and he's been in some interesting offenses, like the Cliff offense is very run heavy, and it's very schematically, like, I'm not saying it holds Kyler back, but it doesn't maybe take advantage of his skills. it to the highest level. There's still the opportunity that Kyler could be the best version of himself with Kevin O'Connell. We've seen this with Sam Darnold. We've seen this with pretty much every quarterback who's come through that system with Carson Wentz, even to some extent, at least this version of Carson Wentz, we know he can never be as productive as he was last year of the Vikings anywhere else. Obviously, it didn't work out for McCarthy. But we've seen that version in Kevin
Starting point is 00:21:56 Oakland. We've seen a good version of every quarterback in Kevin O'Connell's offense with the exception of J.J. McCarthy so far, and he could still take a jump potentially. And when I look at Jefferson, I feel like I'm doing, making the same mistake I made two years ago if I'd just pass on him. Because two years ago, I said, I don't like Sam Darnold. I don't believe in Darnold. And I'm going to pass on Jefferson because of it. I did the same thing last year with McCarthy. But at least in Kyler's case, I've seen Kyler throw a football with some kind of accuracy and ball placement and velocity and arm talent. With McCarthy, I feel like there's just nothing. There was just nothing there from a, from a quarterback stand from a passing standpoint. I still believe that Kyler has something in him.
Starting point is 00:22:33 Okay. There's really a lot here because, you know, the Vikings have been more run heavy the last few years as their defense has gotten even better. They signed Juan Jennings. T.J. Hawkinson had a 15% target per outrun rate last year. I don't know what that was all about. Yeah, you get more targets.
Starting point is 00:22:51 There's a lot of air with Jefferson. So I'll just ask you one thing, Justin Jefferson or Drake London. London. Jefferson for me. All right. Next outlook is Chuba Hubbard for Heath Cummings here. he's going 68th overall on fantasy pros.
Starting point is 00:23:05 Chuba Hubbard is RB 27. This is DPR ADP. In between Bejel Tootin and Jalen Warren, what do you want to say about Chuba Hubbard? I just came away from writing his outlook very, very concerned that if Jonathan Brooks can stay healthy, there's Chuba Hubbard's not holding on to a lead rushing role. Now, maybe he bounces back as a rusher. But he, like, this was always.
Starting point is 00:23:32 he's a guy that we weren't really as sure as some of his best numbers looked. He was as good as some of his best numbers looked. Last year, he was 51st out of 52 players with 100 rush attempts and avoided tackle rate, 9.7%. He was also bottom five in yards after contact per rush attempt, fell a half a yard from 2024. Some of that could have been health because he was a little more efficient early in the year. But I just, I kind of view him as this guy that if he's, if he holds onto the job, he's probably a low end RB2. And if Jonathan Brooks is healthy, I don't think he's going to hold onto the job. I have pretty low expectations for Jonathan Brooks, though.
Starting point is 00:24:21 I don't, yeah, I mean, maybe, maybe so. Based on what, Adam, just the injury situation? Yeah, I mean, he's coming off two torn ACLs, right? Yes. and this is not a proven back. This is a guy who really had very little feature work in college, more of a projection. So I don't know.
Starting point is 00:24:43 I just, I don't even know what kind of player Jonathan Brooks is. We've seen zero of him, basically, at the NFL level. So for him to come off two ACL injuries and come back, I don't know. I struggle with Chuba Hubbard.
Starting point is 00:24:58 I think it's going to come down to how much they use him in the passing game. I don't think he's going to be amazing. as a rush or anything, but can he get 40 catches or something like that? Because if he does, and he's probably going to be a steal in round six or so. Well, I think the one thought I have on this backfield is when they, this offense took a jump last year to an extent that it could with Bryce Young's quarterback. It was because it went run heavy. And it was because it committed to the run game, the run scheme diversified.
Starting point is 00:25:23 And quite frankly, they were getting really good blocking from the interior of that offensive line. All three of those things came together. When we looked forward to this year, I don't want to miss out completely. completely on a run game that I think could probably pop again, to be honest, because I don't really know how you design this offense in any other way with Bryce Young at quarterback. That's partially why I'm very nervous about players like Tedro McMillan and the receivers on that offense. Just that's another story for another day. So if I believe in the run game and I believe that's
Starting point is 00:25:48 how they're going to look to generate offense and their defense is taking enough of a step forward as we saw at the end of the season to keep them in these game scripts, I have to buy into one of these two players. I think my early lean is with Brooks, though, because of the stats that Death talked about, I think that Chuba Hubbard has kind of been trending downward. And Brooks is a projection. He's purely a projection, but he looks pretty fast so far from what I've seen. And I love this tape. I have to go with it.
Starting point is 00:26:11 I have to still view him as the prospect that he was because there's been so many players have come back from ACLs before. And I did see one of the injury doctors. I don't remember which one. I apologize. I always do this on Twitter talking about how the fact that they kind of used a different procedure on the second ACL and the fact that he's had 18 months to. recover from that gave them hope that he would be what he was before now he's that's still unproven
Starting point is 00:26:37 but also like Trevor Eton's still there too I think it's going to be a committee approach even if jonathan brooks can't stay healthy okay well last year I was avoiding hubbard because I kind of felt like they never really panthers never really wanted to commit to him just kind of seemed like they drafted Brooks then they signed out all even though they gave up for the contract but now it just it just depends how you feel about Jonathan Brooks because they didn't really address the position. So maybe they have a lot of faith in Jonathan Brooks. All right, that's definitely a storyline that we're going to have to follow
Starting point is 00:27:09 as we track the health of a talented running back who hasn't had his chance yet. All right, do you had both, Dan, you had both golf and Sam Leporta? Yep. All right. So discuss those two guys. Jared Gough right now is QB 15 and ADP going 103rd overall in between Brock Purdy and Bo Nix? this year, I mean, it might sound bad to be QB 15 and ADP,
Starting point is 00:27:31 but no, it's a really deep position and that's a good player. And then LaPorta right now is tight end seven, but 95th overall on fantasy pros. That's, you know, a guy with his potential, that's pretty good. What do you think about Goff and LaPorta? So we'll start with Goff. I think it's going to be another year, another fantasy year, another draft season where we just completely overlooked Jared Goff as a fantasy community,
Starting point is 00:27:54 which has been happening to a large extent. larger extent. I'm sure Heath can speak to in Dynasty. It's pretty insane and absurd how it's happened in Dynasty. But in redraft, it happens as well. Even though he is projecting the range, you just went over at him, I won't be surprised he'd be QB 18, QB19. Like he was last year, just fell and fell and fell and all the auctions I played and he fell and all the snakes he fell, too. It felt like nobody wanted to draft Gough because there's this feeling around him that his ceiling may be capped or that he doesn't rush enough. So I really don't want to take him. I can take a higher upside quarterback, whoever that may be last year this year.
Starting point is 00:28:27 players like Kyler might be in the mix over him. But the reality is since 20, since 20, do you know that Jared Goff has led all NFL quarterbacks with a 101 basing TDs? Literally every quarterback in the NFL he has the most. He's also led all quarterbacks with 13,000 17, 13,000 768 passing yards. The most passing yards per game at 270. The most 300 yard passing games is Jared Goff with 17.
Starting point is 00:28:53 Explosive gains of 20 or more yards. Jared Goff with 196. We're talking about one of the most explosive passers in the NFL, one of the most consistent passers in the NFL from a yard standpoint and the highest scoring touchdown passer in the NFL. What's the time? Was it the last three years? In 20, 23. Yeah. Okay. I'm just going to run his fantasy points and see where he ranks there. Sure. Because, you know, it's kind of interesting, right?
Starting point is 00:29:17 I mean, he's been the most prolific passer in football over the last three years. I guess he's ninth. Seems like he's always ninth. He's eighth. Eight months per game. And now is what did you say? What did you say? You'd be 15.
Starting point is 00:29:30 Yeah, 15. Right now it's 16. It just feels like stealing almost in that sense. Unless you perceive that he's going to take this big drop off in his play, which doesn't seem likely to me. If he's going to take a big drop, if that offensive scheme is going to take it or that offense in general is going to take a big drop off, doubt that because they lost Ben Johnson.
Starting point is 00:29:49 I wrote this up in the outlook, but they lost Ben Johnson. And he still put together his fourth straight, 4,000 yard passing season without Ben Johnson. there. I think Isaac Tesla takes a jump forward. They could potentially be even better at the skill spots. Also, in addition to that, Leporto will be healthier this year. And they added to the offensive line, an area that was still great last year, but took a smaller step back, but they're trying to rebuild that up to a certain level. So I really think there's just no risk in this profile.
Starting point is 00:30:14 And he's just not being priced at the point he should be. Heath, you feel that way? 100%. He's being drafted at his floor. I think you had a note in there about how for the second year in a row they threw a lot more in the second half of the season they did in the first but the first seven games when they weren't throwing as much he was qb 14 like if things go bad he might only be worth what his current ADP is right so is okay right my concern with golf and with laporta not so much st. brown is their defense two years in a row has has been pretty good on paper and pretty good in general and then has fallen apart and they've had to throw a lot more. But we know Dan Campbell wants to be a running team now. They don't have Montgomery anymore.
Starting point is 00:31:03 I don't think they're going to give Pacheco like 150 carries or anything. It's really a minor concern. Forget that. Just forget about the past attempts. Let me just say this. Yes, you're right that being drafted at QB 15 or 16 is the floor for golf. However, he is going 108th overall. And I look at Matthew Golden, Jonathan Brooks. We can't do that. If you, no, I do that. Casey Concepcion. I don't know, Thomas, if you can scroll down and look at some other guys in the range.
Starting point is 00:31:29 Kyle Pitts is in this range. Wondale Robinson, Jacori Kroski, Merritt, George Kittl right now, Aaron Jones. I just wouldn't take golf. Where he's going as a quarterback makes sense to me, or it's a great value, but I still think it's too high in the draft. I'm not using my ninth round pick on Jared golf. To me, he's... But we've all played in enough snakes, Adam, to know that this quarterback's... drafting is so dependent on your league.
Starting point is 00:31:54 Okay, fine. Sure. I'm just saying I'm using a double-digit round pick on Jared. Because you can get similar players later. You could say that about every quarterback. Isn't 108th like literally the last pick of the single-digit rounds? I wouldn't take golf in round 10. I'd take him in round 11 or later.
Starting point is 00:32:18 And I'm sorry, Thomas, if you could just search for QBs. Who's going after golf? We got Jordan Love. I wonder where Trevor Lawrence is going. He's probably ahead of him. Tyler Shuck, Baker Mayfield. So we're down to QB19 now. Tyler Murray.
Starting point is 00:32:34 Yeah. All right. Well, there aren't that many guys going after him that are safe. I would guess the five quarterbacks going before him, you wouldn't take in the single-digit rounds either. Bo Nix? Correct. You know what?
Starting point is 00:32:48 If this is ADP, then I might have to change my mind because I actually don't want to go much lower than golf Kyler-Murray. I don't want Jordan Love to be my starting quarterback. You won't have to worry about that in our leagues. Yeah. Because we will draft unlike the rest of the world. And then
Starting point is 00:33:06 but by ADP, it's like we just kind of have to talk with the quarterbacks how they compare to the other quarterbacks. Right. I agree. But if there were like really good fallback plans later in the draft, then that'd be one thing. But actually, I think I was wrong. I really think there aren't. I guess I'm finding myself
Starting point is 00:33:22 with 17 quarterbacks that I draft as my QB1 with Goff and Kyler Murray on that list. I wouldn't take Jordan Love as my QB1. Baker has a big upside. Yeah, maybe Baker, but I wouldn't be thrilled about it. I've talked a lot about Stafford lately. You'd rather have Goff than Stafford? Yeah, I would.
Starting point is 00:33:40 Yeah, I would do. I'd rather have Purdy than both of them. How about you guys? Yes, but Purdy is being drafted much. Purdy and Goff, I think, are the two by far best values. I can see that. Is this PPR ADP or is this non-PPR ADP by the way? I don't know.
Starting point is 00:33:59 Because what I was looking at, he was going, yeah, no, it's about the same. He's going 103rd. It's, that's non-PPR ADP. Okay, that makes a little more sense, I guess. Okay, let's take a break and we'll finish up with Leporta thoughts. And we have four more players after that. We'll be right back on fantasy football today. Welcome back, everybody.
Starting point is 00:34:19 Okay, Sam Leporta, being drafted. It is tied in seven right now. And I guess you guys are both. Seems like pretty high on the port of Dan. Yeah. So I think back to some of what led me in the direction of James Cook and George Pickens last year as my two like plant flag players. And one of the things that led me in James Cook's direction and you could
Starting point is 00:34:40 make a similar case for Pickens was the scheme. I looked at his numbers pre and post. Why am I blanking on his name? Who's that coach of the bills right now? Joe Brady. Prere and post Joe Brady getting there. And it was like a totally different player. The offense had been designed around James Cook at running back,
Starting point is 00:34:59 both in the passing game and the run game. Obviously, he came out at times because that was the type of player he was. But there was so much more involvement to get him the ball in ways that worked for him. I think the same thing is going to happen for Sam LaPorteur this year with Drew Petson coming in as offensive coordinator. Oh, you don't have to look too much further than what happened in Arizona with Trey McBride. I mean, that offense, when you watch, you throw on the all 22 and you watch a full game of the Cardinals, The first read is the tight end so much more often than just about any, actually literally any team you watch besides like Bowers two years ago
Starting point is 00:35:28 when the Raiders had nothing and they were just funneling targets to him. Like that was an offense designed to get the tight end the ball. Yes, Wilson produced and Marvin Harrison at times produced, but the first read was most often Trey McBride. And I'm not saying the same thing is going to happen to Detroit. They have him on Ross St. Brown. But he's certainly going to get a lot more first read looks and he's had in a damn long time, Sam Lipporta, maybe since that 20-23 season.
Starting point is 00:35:51 And when he was the tight end one overall, LaPorta, because that's what he was in 20, in 20, in 23. It's been a while since then. The volumes come way down. I was looking at it. And Laporta went from averaging over seven targets per game during that 20, 23 season to tipping below five per game in each of the last two seasons. I think that number gets right back up to seven, if not higher, with Betzen coming in.
Starting point is 00:36:13 We'll see. I mean, it was there in 2023. I'm taking the under. Okay. His touchdowns, that's where we're going to see almost definite. positive regression after he scored just three last season. And he's currently coming off the board just inside the top 100 picks, I think you said. He's outside the top five tight ends.
Starting point is 00:36:31 I think as far as upside goes at this tight end position, you can't find a player with a lot more upside that's being drafted outside the top five than Sam Leporta. I just don't see it that way because with St. Brown has taken a step in terms of targets since that 2023 season. He's just the man now. And James just poses too much of a threat, you know, to the upside of Laporta, not to the floor. I just don't see him getting 100-something targets.
Starting point is 00:37:03 Seven targets is 119 targets. I do not see that for Sam Laporta. He was on pace for 93 last year. So for me. I think the James and Williams has taken a leap in terms of targets since then. Oh, St. Brown. St. Brown. Oh, St. Brown.
Starting point is 00:37:19 is a real, a real question mark. Like, just a year ago, he had 31 fewer targets. He had 141 in 2024, 172 in 2025. I mean, maybe. I mean, maybe. Last year, he had a 30.4% target per outrun rate, a 31% target share. Maybe that doesn't continue. I don't know, but I just, I don't know.
Starting point is 00:37:45 I can't, I know the coaching thing and all that, but like, he's, Trey McBride wasn't playing with Amon-Rossain Brown or James and Williams. You know, so I, it's not how, like, no one's saying Tray McBride's go or Sam Loporto is going to get 10 targets. Right. We're not saying it's a ride level numbers. They're like two tight ends that are going to average seven targets per game. I just don't. Kyle, Kyle Pitts and Sam Leporter.
Starting point is 00:38:11 It's going to depend on your interpretation of what Drew Petzing is as an offensive skamer and play caller and what he can be. Because if you believe he can totally rewrite. like what we've seen from him. And maybe that is the case. Maybe he just was like, oh, look, I got Trey McBride. He's a Hall of Fame where I got to design my whole offense around him.
Starting point is 00:38:27 I don't think that's the case. He comes from like the Stefansky tree. Like I think it's going to be tight end heavy. That's how they find so quick, easy solutions in this passing game. And so it's not even just quick solutions. Like a lot of the stuff McBride was like in the 10 to 15 yard range. These are like first down solutions that Petting is drawing up for them.
Starting point is 00:38:45 McBride, I said yesterday McBride led the position in screen pass targets. see it. There's design stuff too as well, right. We're going to get that at Leporto. We haven't gotten that. So you'd be crazy to do that when you have Amman Ross St. Brown on the field. But fair enough.
Starting point is 00:38:59 We'll see. I don't, I think I don't buy into coaching stuff as much as you guys do. Yeah, you might not. I'm not saying I'm right. Not saying I'm right. That's just the difference of opinion, I guess, with Leporta.
Starting point is 00:39:09 I do, however, think if he goes 95th, that's fantastic. Right. Like, who has upside in that range? A little unclear about the back injury and how healthy he is. I would like a little. clarity on that. It's fair. Because he's not playing yet.
Starting point is 00:39:22 And they're like, there's no timetable for Sam Laporte. And I think it's worth noting too, like the eight games before he got hurt last year, he was on pace for 93 targets. Yeah. Yeah. So,
Starting point is 00:39:33 like getting over 100 is not, wouldn't be a shock at all. No, but getting 119 would be a lot. Yeah. I mean, it's one, I guess we're kind of picking hits.
Starting point is 00:39:46 It's, it's one target per game. but that but 93 to 119 is a huge jump no we've already established that he's probably going to be over 100 I don't know I mean I could see him being in the I could see him being in the 90 93 range again the thing about that first half of the season was James and Williams is doing nothing that because Sam LaPorteur was healthy
Starting point is 00:40:10 you could say that but couldn't you also see a scenario where Sam Laporta struggles because James and Williams having a really good season is James and Williams a good player this is That possibility exists. Yeah. Possible. It did before they hired Drew Petsy. Yeah, that's how I feel.
Starting point is 00:40:27 Okay. Fair. Chris Godwin, Heath. You wrote about him. He's going 93rd overall as wide receiver 40 on Fantasy Bros. Chris Godwin is going in between Michael Wilson and Michael Pittman. And do you like Chris Godwin this year? You know.
Starting point is 00:40:45 I don't really feel like. I think I got less confident in my take on Chris Godwin after looking further into him. Mostly, I feel like he perfectly fits the mold of an older wide receiver who showed signs of decline and we should just believe him. Career low, 7.1 yards per target last year, his 40 receiving yards per game was his lowest mark since his rookie season. but then I remembered that in the first seven or however many games he played in 2024 he was averaging almost 20 fantasy points per game. So I do think the ups and there's great target opportunity with Mike Evans. But even when Chris Godwin was,
Starting point is 00:41:32 maybe we quote unquote healthy last year, it was just bad. And I'm a little bit scared about whether we're going to see the big rebound from Baker Mayfield. So no, I'm probably not drafting Chris God. one. Okay. Even 93rd. Look, I think people were a little step-execal when I said it, but I was a big,
Starting point is 00:41:54 as of two weeks ago, I was a Skobwin guy, and then I went back and I watched his tape from late last season, and it was awful. Not a tape guy, but you don't have to be to see that he just was slow. He was really slow, and then I compared it to a couple years ago when he got off to that great start, Heath, and he was wide receiver three per game, 2020. I guess it was. It's just no comparison. The only question I have is he was coming off a major injury,
Starting point is 00:42:23 a dislocated ankle. I expected him to struggle last year. So what does his bounce back from the injury look like? If he were 27, I'd be more confident. He's 30. Right. But when I watched those games, it was a Dolphins game specifically last year,
Starting point is 00:42:38 and it was a good game for him because they had a 50-something-yard play. But Jalen McMillan looked so much better than him. And to me, that's the value receiver to pick latent drafts. Although I felt Guy Gobin was going to be more like a seventh round pick. If he's going in the 90s, it's a little bit better. 93rd is exactly where I have him. Oh, okay. Yeah, I could get on board with that, I guess, just in case he does rebound because he wasn't healthy last year.
Starting point is 00:43:03 The other thing I would say, though, is like if I have a player 93rd and he goes 93rd, I'm drafting him 0% of the time because there's always somebody that I have ranked tire that's still available. but no, I just, it's possible that he does, he bounces back again. I just worry it's too many leg injuries for a guy who's 30 years old. That's how I do. Yeah. And he's just never going to be him again. Right.
Starting point is 00:43:27 He's the name now that we remember, but is he still that same athlete? We got three more players to go, and I want everyone to stay at the end. Even if you don't have enough time, forget about the next three players we're going to talk about because the email we have at the end of the show is just terrific. Oh, we got a good email? Oh, we got a great. email. Oh, I love a good email. Subject line was off-season fun
Starting point is 00:43:48 at Dan's expense. Oh, great. So, the email's so good that Adam, like I always know the email is better when Adam puts email of the day but doesn't copy and paste the email. Yeah, he wants to show no surprise. Right. He doesn't want us prepared. Yeah. You can be
Starting point is 00:44:04 prepared, Heath. I don't want Dan to be prepared. God, I want to read this so badly right now. All right, let's talk about Rashad White, Heath. He's, he's now on the commanders. He's going 118th overall in between Jonathan Brooks and Jordan Mason, Rashad White. Yeah, I'm
Starting point is 00:44:19 a little bit more likely to draft Rashad White than I was before I wrote his player outlook. By a lot of metrics, he was the best rusher on Tampa Bay last year. He had a career best tackle avoid rate, career best
Starting point is 00:44:36 rush success rate. I really feel like, since Dan lit a fire under him, he'd become a much better runner of the football. We know 99% he's going to be the passing downsback in Washington.
Starting point is 00:44:52 I just kind of was thinking about like, and it's a different group now, kind of, some of them. But what they did with Austin Eckler for a while was like, we all thought he was too old and he wasn't quite as good as he used to be and he was just really better as a passing downs back.
Starting point is 00:45:07 But they trusted him. So they gave him 12 rush attempts a game and threw it to him. him five or six times a game. And I'm not sure there's anybody on this roster to prevent Rashad White from being that guy. And he's available in round 10. And let's see where, do you expect to be able to trust Jane and Daniels to use him in the passing game?
Starting point is 00:45:30 He used Austin Echler, didn't he? Yeah, that is true. That was Cliff. And he doesn't have anyone else to throw to. Yeah, except for Terry. Did he use Echler? I can't remember. Use him a bit.
Starting point is 00:45:45 Obviously not vintage Austin Eccler. Right. Well, he was vintage Austin Eccler at that point. Yeah, sorry. I knew I thought I had that in here somewhere with Jaden Daniels. Does he throw it to his running backs? It doesn't have a very high, I don't think he has a very high running back target rate.
Starting point is 00:46:03 But yeah, so Jacorri Croski Merritt is going 126th overall. Rashad White is going what did I say? I don't know. Why is this not? Oh, he's going 160. So he's going ahead of Jacori-Kroski-Marriott and PPR. I would draft both at that cost. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:46:25 All right, next player. Oh, these are mine. Kenneth Gainwell, I wrote the AFC North, and any player that was on the AFC North last year, I wrote the outlook for it. So Kenneth Gainwell was now on Tampa Bay, and he's the new Rashad White, and Isaiah likely.
Starting point is 00:46:41 who is now on the Giants. I think Gainwell right now, I think has one of the worst ADPs in. He's going 94th. I wonder if that's just because Bucky Irving is not fully healthy right now. Probably. If the ace, fine.
Starting point is 00:46:57 If Bucky Irving is ready in training camp, I'm not spending a top 100 pick on Kenneth Gainwell. You know, I could see him. He had 73 catches last year, I think. It's not going to happen again. And they're going to give Bucky every chance to win the job. And then there's also Sean Tucker. So if Bucky gets hurt or fails, I don't think Kenneth Gainwell is just going to come in and be the lead back.
Starting point is 00:47:23 I think Tucker's going to mix in there as well and he's going to be the short yardage back. So I suspect that Kenneth Gainwell, if he were drafted 94th overall and Bucky Irving were healthy, I think Gainwell would be one of the most dropped players after week one or week two. I could see that. I'm with you on it. She feels like a wasted draft pick. I don't have any idea, like the entire Tampa Bay Buccaneers roster, really, but I don't have any idea what to make of this running back room because Bucky's rushing efficiency was so bad last year.
Starting point is 00:47:56 And I know we blame that on the shoulder and the injury. His receiving efficiency was insane. It was awesome. He was fantastic as a pass catcher, which makes me a little more skeptical that the rushing was all just injury. but I don't know that he can stay healthy. I don't know that he's not healthy still. And if he starts last year like he finished this or this year like he finished last year in terms of rushing efficiency,
Starting point is 00:48:25 Kenneth Gainwell may have more carries than we're expecting. I agree. I just, that's a lot of if to take a guy 94th overall when there are other, like Jonathan Brooks is going 20 picks later or something like that. there are other people. I mean, I think Blake Corum is going after that. And we know Blake Corum is going to have carries.
Starting point is 00:48:44 I guess my point is, yeah, Blake Corr was going in 99th, 100. Is that there's also the Sean Tucker factor. He's not the clear handcuff, like, going to get all the work if something happens to Bucky Irving. I think Gainwell might have a higher PPR floor than Rashad White, but a much, much lower ceiling. All right, let me see if I can find my, I'm just going to read my, outlook for Isaiah likely. Here we go.
Starting point is 00:49:12 Will this be the year Isaiah likely breaks out? It's worth the risk in fantasy. Draft likely as a borderline top 10 option with a mid to late round pick, perhaps sometime around 100th overall. We saw glimpses of likely's potential with Baltimore in weeks 12 through 18 of 20203. In that stretch, likely averaged a terrific
Starting point is 00:49:30 13.9 ppr points per game with Mark Andrews sideline. Now is a big free agent edition for the Giants and with Malik neighbors coming off knee surgery. likely should see a lot of targets and has a chance to have a major impact. Of course, the Giants intend to be a run-heavy offense and neighbors could still be ready early in the season. Likely is no slam dunk, but which tight end is without risk in the mid to late rounds?
Starting point is 00:49:50 We're hoping this is the season it all comes together for likely. Is that the one Dave wrote for you? No, that was all made. Dave wrote an outlook of yours? No, I was struggling with my J-Lan Moore in Outlook, so I sent it to him. And he's like, can I edit? And like, sure. And he sends it back to me.
Starting point is 00:50:05 It's like three sentences longer. It was pretty good, but very in depth. I love it. I think likely right now, I put mid to late round pick. He's going 130th. He's going 120th on draft sharks. That's pretty much a late round pick, in my opinion. I think if there's buzz, I could see him moving up to like the eighth round or something.
Starting point is 00:50:23 I think 130th for Isaiah likely is terrific. If neighbors ends up on pop to start the year, like there's going to be a jump in ADP from someone on the Giants Pass catchers and likely is probably the most likely, no pun intended to be that guy. I would draft him over George. kiddle today. Wow. Well, Dan, I also wrote the outlook for Calvin Austin the third. Oh, boy.
Starting point is 00:50:43 But I'm not going to read that one. That wasn't one of the, until Calvin Austin finds meaningful playing time. Yeah. You know, it should have been, but I did think about the league neighbors. If the league neighbors is out, maybe he's a sleeper in deep leagues. Dan, I think, has to probably read a lot of these. And I always have this anxiety of like,
Starting point is 00:51:04 did I write that about a guy that I should have written more words about? But it feels like there's like 10 of those per team that it's just like, we have to put something for this guy and there's like a 0.1% chance he matters. I think I'm good with it as long as the rookies I think all deserve it, their own write-up just for the dynasty. Do people play dynasty? Yeah. I hope you read my-
Starting point is 00:51:28 I read all of it. I read every single one. Which one do you want me to read that you're excited about? What about the Browns kicker? Okay, interesting. You got some interesting Azer stats on that. His last name is S-Z-M-Y-T. Did you start with S-M-Happens?
Starting point is 00:51:43 No, I said right. I say he's not ranked as a starting option among kickers, does not need to be drafted. If you do end up rostering him, here is a helpful hint. His last name is pronounced like Schmidt. You're welcome. I like it.
Starting point is 00:51:57 I don't know if we'll keep it, but I like it. Oh, come on, man. I want to keep that, but something probably goes above my head as far as I think we can keep that. I think we have some fun in it. Three people are going to read that. Yeah, I know.
Starting point is 00:52:09 You're right. Especially the last sentence of it. All right. That's the best part. So we got an email of the day. It's from Josh. And he says, Adam, one of my favorite offseason hobbies
Starting point is 00:52:20 is watching you and Dan banter, all while Dan is clearly George Costanza reincarnate. I've taken the liberty of providing a six episode set to prove that point based on mostly real life situations. Take and enjoy and feel. free to share on the podcast on a slow newsday. So I only have three. I'm only going to do three.
Starting point is 00:52:39 I don't want to read all six. But Dan Costanza, the lost episodes. We have a graphic here. The Golden Rule. I do believe in the Golden Rule. Episode one is at the movies. Episode two is strong-armed. Episode three is Smedium.
Starting point is 00:52:56 Episode four is golf disaster. Episode five is the match part three. And episode six, finale, the Golden Rule. I'll read the first one. Oh, my God. Did Thomas A.I. My face onto get stanza there. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:53:11 And he said it was pretty seabless. I didn't even notice. I was going to say. Oh, my God. You can't run away from this, man. You are here. Number one, at the movies. Adam sets Dan up on a blind date.
Starting point is 00:53:27 And for once, everything is going perfectly. Great conversation, great chemistry, and even plans for a second date. Then she asks simple question. What's your first thing? favorite movie. What follows in the horrifying revelation. Dan has not seen most of the movies
Starting point is 00:53:40 any functioning adult is expected to have seen as he desperately tries to explain why he's never watched classics everyone else loves. His date becomes increasingly alarmed. Quote, a major red flag. Now Dan wants the campaign to become cultured overnight, speed running movie
Starting point is 00:53:56 history and pretending he's seen films he can't even summarize. Why is pile up until he's trapped discussing movies with a group of self-proclaimed cinephiles. This is so good. I don't think you could beat that one. That one was literally perfect.
Starting point is 00:54:10 Perfectly written. Episode two, I think episode three is my favorite. Episode two is strong armed. Dan's biggest travel pet peeve strikes again. The second the plane lands, a passenger jumps into the island and starts cutting ahead of everyone. Dan sees him coming and instinctively extends his arm
Starting point is 00:54:26 across the empty seat beside him, or beside him, creating a human barricade. Yep. Silent Battle of Wills in, sues. No words are exchanged, but neither man backs down. Eeks later, karma arrives. Running late for a connection, Dan becomes the exact person he hates. Desper to make his flight, he starts moving up the aisle before it's his turn, only to be stopped by another passenger employing the same move. Gay loudly calls Dan, quote, the scum of the earth as the entire plane nods in agreement.
Starting point is 00:54:57 It sends the rest of the flight insisting the situations are completely different. This is perfect. This is unbelievable. Yeah, that's great. Here's number three, Smedium. After years of being accused of wearing shirts that are obviously too small, Dan finally snaps, they are largest. Nobody believes him.
Starting point is 00:55:18 Determined to prove everyone wrong, Dan discovers a loophole. He'll wear his shirts inside out so the size tag is visible. Now, everyone can see they're actually large. Unfortunately, nobody is paying attention to the tag. because they're too distracted by the grown man walking around with his shirt inside out. Dan becomes known as, quote, the inside out guy, a reputation that somehow feels worse than being known as the guy who wears medians.
Starting point is 00:55:44 Oh, my God. Bravo. Unbelievable. Save the other three for another episode. This is unbelievable. Please write more. He should have him write the outlooks. He might be out.
Starting point is 00:55:55 I'll put these in the outrun these by Archie. These might be our outlooks. Phenomenal stuff. Thank you, Josh, for... That is unreal. Josh, you're unreal. Yeah, it's really great. How did you do that?
Starting point is 00:56:06 Oh, man. And spoiler alert in episode five, the match part three, I beat you in tennis. Well, then everything's ruined. I mean, it's just not. It's just we lost everything. We lost the plot. Have a great day, everybody. We're going to talk to you.
Starting point is 00:56:19 Have a great weekend, too. Talk to you on Monday, fantasy football today. See you. On podcasts. What's the mission? This is a man-hunt killer capture. The critically acclaimed series, the agency, is back.
Starting point is 00:56:44 Streaming June 21st on Paramount Plus. We got them all? I want I'm just smoked out. Starring Michael Fastbender. The agency is cleaning house. Jeffrey Wright, proceed with caution. Jody Turner Smith. You are not the good guys.
Starting point is 00:56:58 And Richard Geer. Trust no one. Neither me. The agency, all episodes streaming June 21st, only on Paramount Plus.

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