Fantasy Football Today - NFL DFS Week 10 Lineups, Picks, Stacks & Ownership Projections (11/10 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Episode Date: November 11, 2022

Download and follow Fantasy Football Today DFS! You can find FFT DFS on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and wherever else podcasts are found. Join our $5 Week 10 DFS contest over on Draftkings- https://www.draftkings.com/draft/contest/136098394 Sia Nejad and Mike McClure are previewing the NFL DFS Week 10 main slate. They run through each game, offering their favorite stacks and plays, also letting you know which players to avoid. (3:40)- Lions at Bears (12:30)- Vikings at Bills (13:40)- Jags at Chiefs (21:00)- Saints at Steelers (23:49)- Texans at Giants (26:30)- Browns at Dolphins (33:00)- Broncos at Titans (36:10)- Colts at Raiders (39:15)- Cowboys at Packers (46:00)- Cardinals at Rams (49:32)- MIKE’S TOP 3 (55:18)- CHEAT SHEET 'Fantasy Football Today DFS' is available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, Google Podcasts, Castbox, and wherever else you listen to podcasts. Follow our FFT DFS team on Twitter: @FFToday, @Mike5754 @SiaNejad Watch FFT DFS on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/fantasyfootballtoday Join our Facebook group https://www.facebook.com/groups/FantasyFootballToday/ Sign up for the FFT newsletter https://www.cbssports.com/newsletter You can listen to Fantasy Football Today DFS on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Football Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Football Today podcast." To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

What does possible sound like for your business? It's having the spend to power your scale with no preset spending limit. Redefine possible with Business Platinum. That's the powerful backing of American Express. Terms and conditions apply. Visit amex.ca slash business platinum. Welcome, everybody, to Fantasy Football Today, DFS. My name is Sian Ajad. I am joined for this game-by-game preview with Mike McClure, of course.

He's going to help us do this, and he's going to give out his top three at the end of the show. We're going to give out our cheat sheet, but first, we're going to do our game-by-game preview. Mike, how how you doing? You excited about Thursday night football? Are you excited about this slate? How you feeling about this 10-game slate? I'm feeling pretty good about the slate overall. A few players that I really like.

I mean, no surprise, guys that I like, like Tyreek Hill, for example. I love him again this week. How can you not? But, you know, as far as the rest of the slate, I think it's interesting with some of the quarterback injuries we're going to talk about in the game by game as far as tonight's game i think it uh it might resemble some old big 10 football just sloppy run the football smash mouth football kind of game so i'm excited for it ready to go yeah and and just a little cross

promotion here i mike's normally on the early edge, all the primetime evening shows for football. He's not on it tonight, but I am. So I'll be on with Coach and Propstars and a couple of others. So join us at 730 on the early edge for that as we give out bets and props. Spoiler alert, I like the Falcons tonight. But there's going to be some really nice props that I'm already aware of from other people that I fully endorse in this game that we're going to give out on that show. So stay tuned for that.

Hit the like button if you're already in the chat. And if you haven't already reviewed this podcast, please go ahead and do so. I've seen a lot of reviews pour in just over the last week or two. And I think anybody who does it realizes that it literally takes like five to 10 seconds, sometimes two seconds if you just want to hit five stars.

But a lot of people add a few words, which might take them an extra 10 or 20 seconds tops. I mean, it's basically like sending a text to your mom and dad, like something short and sweet. Check in and hit five stars and you're good to go. So please do that for us. The FFT DFS contest is already live. You all can go ahead and register for it now. I'll tell you, when I checked last night, I think we had like 110 that had already registered.

And it's only a 200-person contest. So it probably will get full, I'm guessing, by Friday or Saturday. So go ahead and hit, if you're listening on the podcast, go ahead and hit the link and register. Or in this YouTube description, it's also on here as well. Okay. So, Mike, are you ready for the Game by Game preview? I am ready for the Game by Game preview. I just saw the chat pulled up. I like it. They're talking about how we are backwards. I am on the left. You are on the right today. I think that is because

for the first time in the history of the show, I joined the call before you did. Oh, that's amazing. That's so great. First of all, Greg Goose Hayes, who is extremely observant. I didn't even realize that for the record. So it sounds like you're a fan of the show and that you're in here all the time. And we absolutely appreciate you. Derek Graham is in here at Grey Goose. I was thinking the same thing that you all are very observant. I wish I was that observant. And Derek, I know you were in the chat a lot on the Tuesday solo pod. And I just want to point out that there were a couple of questions you had that I thought were really

appropriate. One, I believe was about Russell Wilson, which we're going to get to that game just to determine whether or not maybe there's something sneaky going on in that game. And two, you had a question about Nadja Harris. So I just want to give you a heads up that we're probably going to address Nadja Harris specifically and that Pittsburgh game, because it was an appropriate question. If you recall, my answer was really more about Jalen Warren than it was about Najee Harris. So I'm curious to see what Mike's viewpoint, are there any sneaky plays in that Pittsburgh game? Maybe not, but maybe. So stay tuned. Mike Chavez, I see you in here all the time and you're in here again. Everybody go ahead and hit the like button, bring your friends into this. This is going to be really

fun and it's going to be really fast. And, Mike, we're going to start with Detroit. This is a game I love. This is a game that a lot of people love, right? Detroit minus three at Chicago. It's a 48.5 point total. So, you know, like on Tuesday, I was kind of saying to myself and saying to the audience, you know, I'm not sure I want to be on Justin Fields at $6,500. I don't mind the increase in price, but I was just thinking maybe the ownership could get out of control here. It was already pretty high last

week. Maybe it gets high again because the obvious reasons, right? He's going up against Detroit and he's looked really good for about a month now. He's probably going to get some more yards through the air and we might see some yards through the run like we saw last week, something to that effect. I guess my question for you, Mike, is we're going to give your top three at the end of the show, but is he one of your top two guys? Because for me, I felt like I was going to lean more to it because I assumed the ownership would be lower. Yeah, so Justin Fields, he actually is one of my top two. I really, really like Justin Fields again. I admittedly have a ton of regret last week.

I played a little bit of Fields, but I played a little bit more Mariota as a pivot from Fields. However, what we're seeing with Justin Fields right now is something we have to take note of because it's been a drastic shift the last three weeks in the philosophy of the team. Weeks one through six, he had 12 designed runs. He's had 21 designed runs in the last three weeks in the philosophy of the team. Weeks one through six, he had 12 designed runs. He's had

21 designed runs in the last three weeks. Basically double what he had the first six weeks of the season. It's a massive, massive shift in philosophy. It's made the team a lot better. It's made him way better in DFS. It makes him more dangerous. It's much harder to defend him now that he's having more design runs and not just natural scrambling ability. I love him. I think that he should be priced as one of the most expensive quarterbacks on the slate. Might sound a little crazy to hear that, but I truly believe it. He should be the same price as Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes right now. If you make the assumption that we're going to continue to see the design runs that we have seen in recent weeks, which I do believe that we will, he should be approaching $8,000

on the slate. And let me ask you this because, and I don't, I don't disagree with that assessment in terms of what his, his price should be. Let me ask you this. Are you parent last week? I played a lot of Justin Fields. Fortunately, I played no mixing. I, I, Mixon. I had like a mea culpa on Joe Mixon on Tuesday. We talk about our bad calls and our good calls, and I was the one who said I was going to fade Joe Mixon. So that didn't really work out for me. But fortunately, I had Justin Fields in so many lineups that I actually ended up having a decent week.

But my question for you is, do you pair – obviously, this is a stackable game. You can play Justin Fields solo, or you can pair him with Cole Komet, who's very reasonably priced. Maybe perhaps Mike in a two tight end stack, which I know you love to do, which of course would include Travis Kelsey, or you play him with maybe Darnell Mooney, you know, something like that. And you run it back with it. There's a couple of guys here that I really like, but the main guy I like is Amon Rasim Brown. We know he's getting the targets. He's gotten nine and 10 targets over the last two games.

He's getting, last week he had a 40% target share. His ADOT is a little lower, but I really think Amon Ra is one of these guys that people are kind of pivoting off of at least a little bit because he hasn't really shown the backend results. And I feel like this is a game that if it has that back and forth, which it should,

it's a three point spread and a 48 half point total. I feel like Amon Ra is like the main beneficiary of that high total, right, on the Detroit side. Yes, he should be. The only thing that gives me a little pause, and I will say gives me pause just while we're talking about it, Amon Ra is in basically every lineup on my early run. The price point and opportunity is so good here in this spot. It's just going to be weather conditions overall. Generally a player and a team, frankly, that I prefer to play when they're playing at home, indoors, in the controlled environment.

This game on the road to Chicago, it's going to be a lot cooler across the country. It's going to actually feel like an outdoor game at Chicago this time around. So that's something to note and monitor with this team because Detroit has definitely not been very effective away from home in those outdoor games. I think that he'll still get there through sheer volume. So I'm still playing him, but it's something to note. And I'm not sure it matters as it pertains to Justin Fields and forgive us. We're going to spend a lot of time on, on this game rather than, you know, like the next game is going to be Vikings bills. Like we're probably not going to spend as much

time on that game for a couple of obvious reasons. But my point here is, Justin Fields, you know, you're all about a curated environment, a dome atmosphere. Would you agree with me? And maybe this isn't a question that pertains to this particular game, but just to get our listeners in the right sort of frame of mind, wouldn't we prefer Justin Fields actually away from home in Detroit rather than being at home in what appears to be a cold weather game, one of our first ones?

Slightly, yes. It's not as big a concern, though, for me. Just at the position he's playing, knowing that he's a dual threat option and emerging as a dual threat option. The reason we like him, frankly, is because he's the dual threat option. We don't love Justin Fields and want to play him because of the upside that he has with his arm. We want the combination of the upside of his legs and his arm, right? So I'm not terribly worried about it in this particular environment. It's an environment he's been playing in all year, frankly,

and is accustomed to. Where we start to worry, again, is on the other side with wide receivers, things like that, it becomes more difficult in any element, whether it's just simple little bit of wind, being outdoors, things like that, it becomes more difficult in any element, whether it's just simple, little bit of wind being outdoors, things like that. The surface that they're playing on definitely impacts wide receivers just a little bit more. So that's where some of my concern comes from. I don't, I would argue maybe just slightly the opposite way that, you know, a messy field and certain other things could actually help Justin Fields break some of those bigger plays. So I don't think it's an issue for Justin Fields.

That's totally fair. Any other guys on the Detroit? Let me ask you two questions before we leave this game. Justin Fields in cash, is he sort of just a staple? And I know you didn't do a cash lineup last week. You might not do one this week. I certainly will be, and we'll be doing that on the solo pod. We'll at least be looking at mine.

But at 6,500, Justin Fields, is he kind of a lock in cash? And if not, is there another quarterback that you just love in cash? Yeah, so Justin Fields is number one, but it's really close between him and Patrick Mahomes. I love what Patrick Mahomes is doing. I love this matchup. I think the Jaguars are awful, personally. I don't think they're a good football team, um, especially defensively here.

So I love Mahomes. I think he's going to approach 400 yards once again. Uh, but yeah, in terms of cash games, it's fields for me. Fair to say that your two favorite games, just from a total standpoint, in terms of games that can kind of get out of control or that Kansas city game and this game that we're talking about right now? Yes, definitely. Last question. Would you speculate on any other Detroit Lions, namely Kalief Raymond? Josh Reynolds did not practice on Thursday, and we're not sure if he's going to play. He's trending towards not playing. Kalief Raymond's 4,400. The tight end situation between Brock Wright, James Mitchell,

and Zylstra, I'm not interested in that. But if you're trying to find some value, does Kalief Raymond make the cut, or is there just other value you're going to go to? Yeah, it probably doesn't make the cut for me at this point. I think we have more value that emerges even now through Sunday. One name that I'll mention as a direct pivot from Kalief Raymond would be Marquez Valdez-Scantling down to 4,100 for Kansas City. While he had a disappointing game in terms of targets, receptions, etc., he was on the field for nearly every offensive snap still. So considering Nicole Hardman is potentially

going to miss this game for Kansas City, I would much rather make that play. Yeah, I will say this. I'm not big on MVS. However, to Mike's point, if McCall Hardman is out and he's nursing this abdomen injury, I suspect he's going to play. But even if he does, I suppose it could be limited. We'll have to wait for reports on that. But if McCall Hardman doesn't play, I absolutely love MVS as a cheap option there. A couple comments here. Donovan Berg, Mike and Sia, two best guys on Sportsline. Well, I know Mike is. I think you're just trying to butter me up, Donovan, and I'm not sure why, but I will take the compliment.

Thank you very much. And then we had a question before we move on to Vikings at the Bills. I think it was Mike Chavez, which is Stackfields with Montgomery. It's a hard no for me. Mike? Yeah, it'll be a no for me. I love some of the big spins at running back this week, so probably not going to be the build that I'm going to go with. If you've followed most of the year, you've known that I like a lot of big spins at wide receiver. Typically, I want two or three of the studs there this week. It's probably going to be one and a half, we'll get to those games. My quick answer is Alan Lazard in that one. If anything, I like Judy over Sutton in that Broncos game. But again, we'll get to that game. We'll talk about both of to play like case Keenum to get cute there.

Mike, maybe you are, but you know, on the other side of the ball, I'm not interested. Like this is still a good Buffalo bills defense. I'm not really interested in going back to Justin Jefferson. Like I was playing last week,

Kirk cousins, Dalvin cook, just not interested in TJ Hawkinson at 5,300. Listen, if he was 4,400, I'd be super interested in TJ Hawkinson, but at 5,300, especially the way this slate is

shaping up with the stacks that we want to play, which are kind of expensive. I'm not paying up for TJ Hawkinson on the other side of the ball. Uh, again, not interested really anywhere here, Mike, how about you? Do we move on? Or is there, is there anything here that is at least worth talking about? Uh, I think we got to move on, honestly. Um, I'm not playing anyone here on any side. I think if I, if you told me, Mike, you must play someone from this game, as insane as it sounds, it would probably be Dalvin Cook. Just considering everything we know about the game so far, it could be a very ugly situation the other way.

If there's any sort of a lead, it could be feed Dalvin Cook a little bit, but not something I'm overly excited to do and certainly not doing it in my top five lineups. Okay. Well, something you ought to be excited about because it's your team and they are just crushing it offensively, much to my surprise to be, I didn't think they'd be this good. Although, you know, it's interesting, Mike, I'm talking of course about the Kansas City Chiefs who are nine and a half point favorites with a 51 point total. This is going to be a heavily stacked game, you know, as efficient as they seem, or at least as prolific as they seem, man, it took them until the very

end of the game just to put up a 17 spot on the Tennessee Titans, who on the back end, we would have thought that Patrick Mahomes would have had a pretty easy time against them. Nonetheless, he had 68 pass attempts last game. He had 63 rushing yards. Those rushing yards are really what got Kansas City to end up beating the Tennessee Titans. Let me ask you this from a game script standpoint. Obviously, we're not going to see 68 pass attempts, but are we looking at a scenario where Patrick Mahomes just airs it out because the running game is just really bad? And for the record, Jacksonville's probably better against the run than they are defending the pass. Is this just pass from the jump here? And do you think Jacksonville can keep pace with them at least to keep it within two scores? Yeah. So I do think Jacksonville is decent enough to

keep pace with them for a little bit. I also think Kansas city kind of keeps the foot on the pedal just a little bit, uh, you know, later in this game. Um, but yeah, I love my homes in this spot. We're not going to see 68, but we probably see 35 to 40 passing attempts in this game for him uh it's kind of what we've seen a lot of lately um yeah i really really really love this spot for him you know we talked about only managing 17 points or whatever in that game he threw for 446 yards that's really hard to do without scoring more than 17 points like that it's really really difficult to do that right so i like him though, back-to-back 400 yard games, just really good spot for him overall. Some really natural bring backs on the other side. Um, as far as stacking with Kelsey,

I like Kelsey. I don't love him. I think the thing that needs to be talked about, honestly, is Juju Smith Schuster. Uh, if you want to pull up his game log and look at some of these, the last three games, essentially, he's putting up some absolutely elite numbers, you know, in terms of targets, receptions, yardage. He's looking like a true wide receiver one. And I really, really, really like this individual matchup for him as well. And then Valdez Scantling, I've talked about it a little bit already. At 4,100, I'm going to play him. It doesn't matter if Nicole Hardman's in or not in. He still played the second most snaps in that game against Tennessee

for a Kansas City wide receiver. Wasn't really able to do much with those. It is a relatively difficult matchup. Tennessee is decent defensively, which is why they held him to 17 points at that point. But I like him. He's going to have all the opportunity. If Mikko Hardman is still banged up, which we know he's at least going to be dealing with the injury and playing through it if he does play, it's not going to shock me if he's kind of worked out of the rotation if the game is in hand. I think MBS

is a great play here at 4,100. Any thoughts on Jarek McKinnon at a pretty reasonable price as well? Probably not. Let me pull up everything here. Probably not. Look, I think that a lot of his work, we saw what we love about McKinnon is his ability in the passing game, right? I think some of that had to do with just that game being a lot more competitive than anyone really thought it was going to be. I don't necessarily envision that with the Jacksonville team.

I see a game that's potentially competitive for two and a half to three quarters, and then they kind of pull away. I mean, that's the ideal game script, right? That's what we want. We want a game that is competitive for two and a half quarters, and they don't grab that three-score lead until early or mid-fourth quarter. That's when you really have those ceiling-type games, not a game that's competitive all the way to the end of the fourth quarter.

So I think this sets up fine for that, but I don't think that there's going to be a ton of necessary passing to McKinnon. So I'm not going to do it at 4,800. It's fine in a tournament dart throw if you want to. I would pair him with Mahomes if he did, though, for sure. Yeah, and I think if you're playing McKinnon, you're also playing the game script that Jacksonville is more than just competitive, that this is a game where maybe they can catch a lead or something like that.

And obviously, if you're flipping game scripts and it actually comes true, well, then you're really leveraging the field because they're obviously playing a much different game script. Last question on this. I mean, obviously, I think it's fair to say we love Travis Etienne. He's getting all the work. I think he was on the field for about 85% of the snaps last week. He's just trending that way, not getting a ton of receptions.

But in this game, I could actually see that kind of improving for him in a negative game script. I like Etienne. I like Christian Kirk. I like, man, I like Zay Jones as well. How, what, what would be sort of the, you know, the main stack for you? How much involvement are you getting in this game? It's mostly Etienne. I'm trying to look through. It's mostly ETN. Christian Kirk a little bit. The one that I'm still waiting on that I think could be relevant in this game is going to be Evan Ingram. Still worried about the back entry just a little bit. He was limited in practice. That tells me that he's likely at least going to suit up. We'll have to monitor it throughout the weekend though. I think he's just kind of a sneaky-ish

pivot at tight end. There are a few guys that are going to be really popular in a similar price range. So I like him. I like Kirk. Some of the others, Zay Jones is fine. Marvin Jones is fine. They're fringe playable. They're making player pools more likely to include them in the Mahomes lineups, but Travis Etienne is a core lineup piece this week. He's going to be in pretty much every lineup of mine. Another example of a player kind of like Justin Fields, given the opportunity and individual matchup here, I honestly think you should be as expensive as Saquon Barkley,

as crazy as that sounds. No, I totally agree with you. Travis Etienne is that guy, and he's that guy that's getting basically as much work as Saquon Barkley. He's obviously super talented. Final question on this game. Are we going to see from you, are we going to see some two tight end builds with Travis, Kelsey, and then perhaps a discount option?

For example, like a Tanner Hudson, who I brought up on Tuesday, who's taken the spot of Daniel Bellinger for the New York Giants and has been on the field quite a bit. We might. Kelsey's always going to be in the player pool, especially if I'm playing Mahomes. I'm still more likely to play double tight end with two of the cheaper tight ends this week individually. The only reason for that is I want to play Tyree Kill. I want to play Travis Etienne, and then I want to play one of either Alvin Kamara or Saquon Barkley. So doing that and trying to get Travis Kelsey in is going to be relatively difficult at this point. The good news is, is the only way I'm doing that is if I'm playing guys like Zay Jones, MBS, and you know,

just kind of naturally game stacking this, and then potentially playing like the Vikings defense against the Bills, like there are paths to doing it. Um, it's just a little too early in the week to determine if I'm going to do that across the board or not. Um, so Kelsey's in the player pool, probably not going to be a situation where he's in every lineup. Like he might typically be if I were playing homes. All right, let's move on to the next game. We have the saints minus one and a half at the Steelers. It's a 40 and a half point total. You know, Mike, on this one, I've kind of been going back and forth. I mean, the Steelers coming off a bye.

It looks like TJ Watt is going to play. It might be a snap count for him, for the record. But, you know, when it comes to Olave and Kamara, I hadn't really considered, you know, slamming them in like I have the last few weeks. What say you on both of those guys? Because to me, they seem like key pieces. Maybe you even consider a skinny stack with like a George Pickens who's only 5K or Pat Friermuth or something like that. I'm not interested, just to answer Derek's question from Tuesday, I'm not interested in Najee Harris or Jalen Warren. I think Jalen Warren's probably going to get a little bit more runtime than he has previously,

so I think they sort of cancel each other out. What are you interested in here? Yeah, it's Alvin Kamara and nothing else for me personally. I'm not going to have a bring back. What I'm thinking or hoping, I guess, is New Orleans is frustrated with the way they performed in that last game against Baltimore Ravens. They get back to Alvin Kamara a little bit. You know, it's a little bit of an interesting game at that point, but I would have expected Alvin Kamara to touch football more than he did in that spot. We're talking nine carries, four targets. That's essentially an absolute floor game or at least it should be uh in terms of usage for alvin kamara i expect those numbers

to jump right back up to where it was against cincy or vegas and we're having you know 25 to 30 touches potentially in a game um that's what i we see. I'm going to take a stance on it. He's priced appropriately giving that we've seen that game of nine and three receptions. Um, if you can get him anywhere close to those other games though, where he actually had legit usage, he's an $8,300 player. So I do think that, uh, I I'm going to be playing him personally. I'm taking the stance, uh, despite the tough matchup, it's a matchup where I think that they kind going to be playing him personally. I'm taking the stance. Despite the tough matchup, it's a matchup where I think that they kind of have to lean on him a little bit. So that's what I'm going to play, but no one else. I will say this about a lobby. I, you know, I don't know

what his ownership is trending like, but at 6,800, I can't imagine he's going to be super popular this week. Cause I just think he's at a price and he's in a game environment at 40 and a half where people aren't going to play him. With that said, if his ownership, if we all come to find out that his ownership is super low on Sunday morning or Saturday night, I mean, I think that's an interesting contrarian play at the very least because we know that Pittsburgh secondary can get beat deep, not just once, but on more than one occasion by one receiver in any particular game. But I got to admit, to Mike's point, probably not somebody I'm playing either. I'm largely off this game personally. I probably won't have as much Kamara as Mike, but I certainly understand the argument there. You know who I will have a lot of, Mike? It's going to be Saquon Barkley. I think I'm just going to have to suck it up and pay up $8,600 for Saquon Barkley. I don't want to do it because the stacks that I want are expensive. Like, listen, I like Tua to Tyreek Hill, but the way I'm constructing so far, I can't afford that.

And if I take Hill down to Jalen Waddell, it's still hard to afford that with the other pieces that I want in this game. One of them is Saquon Barkley, who, for the record, 20-plus rushing attempts and three receptions are very likely for him. And we see his game log here. He's getting so much work. The last three games, 20 rushing attempts, 24, 22 targets, five, four, three. It wouldn't shock me if the targets start to go up. But either way, he's getting 22 to 25 touches per game. I like him quite a bit. Do you like him? And on the other side, obviously Damian Pierce, who's getting a lot of the work, pretty much all the work at this point. And the Giants do, you know, they rate out pretty well against the rush, but they also allow a lot of explosive runs and the way that Pierce is getting volume.

I think he's a really good play too, and maybe a good value, even though he's not getting passing work. I'm interested in both of them. Are you? Yeah. So I'm interested in Saquon for sure. Uh, I'm going to fade Damian Pierce personally. Um, I just, the builds don't work out the way I want them to. It could potentially backfire on me. Uh, I'm waiting for a little bit of a drop in usage. I'm curious if they are cautious with him at all with the injury that he's dealing with. It's listed chest, shoulder, limited in practice. Season's obviously over for them basically at this point. You know, do they start to reel it in just a little bit? Or are they just going to let him run wild?

I don't know. I'm not going to play him though at this price point and a little bit of elevated ownership. It's not a situation that I personally want to get involved with. So it's going to be Saquon Barkley or nothing really outside of punting at tight end. Yeah, the punt at tight end, I'll probably be playing a little bit of Tanner Hudson. 2600 played over 70% of the snaps the last time they played. Of course, Daniel Bellinger is going to be out for a little while with that eye injury. So I think Tanner Hudson's an interesting play, even though the Giants probably aren't going to be forced to pass much.

And we know they don't pass much anyway. But I'll be playing some Tanner Hudson, probably in those stacks where I really want to play Travis Kelsey. I'll probably end up playing both of them. So something to consider because 2600 buys you a lot. If you want to pay down at receiver, that's great. You're going to be, you're still going to be paying like 4k, but if you really want to pay down at a position and kind of punt it, I think Tanner Hudson is going to be one of those guys. All right, Mike, I don't think we need to

spend any more time in this game. The next game is probably my favorite. And part of the reason it's my favorite is because my guess is, and you can correct me if I'm wrong, my guess is it won't be quite as popular as the two games we've already talked about that people are really interested in, which of course is that, what is it? It's the Detroit-Chicago game and it's the Jags-Chiefs. To me, those are going to be a little bit more popular than this one. Am I wrong there, and do you like this game? I like the game a lot. I don't think you're wrong there.

I think that Tyreek's going to continue to garner a lot of ownership. I will say that it's reached the point where the Tua to Tyreek and Jalen Waddell double stack is playable literally every single week. I think that just, you know, there are tough matchups and we've seen them have difficult matchups, but they have such a high ceiling. They often find themselves in competitive games, no matter what.

So they're talking neutral to trailing game scripts almost all the time. So yeah, I absolutely love them. I'm playing a ton of Tyreek Hill again, every lineup. Yeah. So to me, it comes down to affordability with Tyreek Hill. The way I'm building my lineups, it's hard for me to get there, but I absolutely agree. I love to Tyreek. Last week, it's funny because Tyreek has been such a target monster. Last week, he only got eight targets. But, oh, by the way, 143 yards with those targets. He has a 32% target share with this team.

And honestly, eight targets is low for him. If he gets 10, 11, 12 targets, this guy is an absolute monster. I mean, he's good for 180 or 200 if he's getting the appropriate targets and the appropriate game flow. This is a 49.5 point total. It should be largely a neutral-ish game script with a three and a half point spread. I guess my question for you is what's the run back? Because Amari, I like a lot, but at 6,500, I'm not 100% sure I'm going to get there. I will point out with Amari that, and I think this is talked about a lot on other shows too, the home road splits for Amari that, and I think this is talked about a lot on other shows too. You know, the home road splits for Amari are kind of drastic. He's been really bad this year on the road and he's been really good at home. I'm not really worried about that. I don't think that's a trend I'm really

going to like buy into. So I like him, but then again, I also think Donovan Peoples-Jones at 4,300 is either, he's not going to get the targets that Am Omar is going to get, but I think that's a decent punt. So are you having runbacks in this game? Obviously Nick Chubb is a great run back too, but he's just very expensive at 8,100. Any runbacks on the Cleveland side? Yeah. So probably not. It's mostly going to be Tyreek by himself. I like Nick Chubb. It's hard to get there. I think it's a fine pivot. The issue is there are like four running backs in that range. You need two of them to miss to really gain a lot on the field. I don't mind it, though. As far as Amari,

Peoples-Jones, not something I'm going to get into. I'm going to go with Tyreek, who I think is going to get his really no matter what. I quickly want to highlight just a few data points on Tyreek, again, to drive home the point. Jacob Gibbs, obviously in the family here at CBS, tweeted out a lot about this. Tyreek Hill versus Cover 3, which is what Cleveland likes to run the most. They're one of the top teams in the league at running a Cover 3. Tyreek Hill against Cover 3, his usage jumps up to 42% target rate per route run, 4.38 yards per route run. That's almost 4.7 yards with Tua at quarterback. Those numbers have jumped up from 31% against any

other coverage scheme, 3.57 yards against other coverage schemes. Tyreek Hill absolutely crushes against cover three. I love that. I feel like Tyreek Hill crushes regardless, but especially against this coverage scheme. And by the way, if you don't all, if you're not a member of Sportsline, it's just such unbelievable content. And Mike, I feel like not everybody understands. I think some people think Sportsline is just bets

in which all the bets are amazing too. Mike, I know you're already doing great in college basketball. You cover basically every sport. I do some stuff for Sportsline. I've actually got a first round leader ticket going. I don't know how it's doing right now, but Taylor Penrith was sort of in the running. I think he was one back with about nine holes to play. So I'm kind of sweating that, but the point is Sportsline has so much to offer and the subscription is so incredibly inexpensive. Jacob Gibbs, I mean, just reading his content alone to me

is worth a subscription, but that's like one 100th of what Sportsline has to offer. And if you don't believe me, sign up because they've got it in spades. Did you know 66% of utility damage is caused by not requesting a locate? Don't let your project become part of this statistic. A quick locate request can save you from

unexpected downtime financial penalties and keep you safe don't let avoidable damage cost you time and money click before you dig ensure your next project is safe visit ontarioonecall.ca it's free it's easy it's the law data sourced from the ORCGA 2023 Dirt Report. Anything else about this game? You know, one thing I did want to mention. Everybody wants to play Saquon Barkley, and I'm going to play Saquon Barkley. Like, I'm going to play a lot of Saquon Barkley. But if you're playing, let's say, like, you know, feel free to disagree with me here, but I think it's a pretty obvious point that I'm about to make.

Let's say you're playing, like, six lineups, six tournament lineups this week, but I think it's a pretty obvious point that I'm about to make. Let's say you're playing like six lineups, six tournament lineups this week, seven, whatever it is. Doesn't one of them have to exclude a, the most popular player, one of the most popular players, Saquon Barkley with,

and instead of playing him, you play the, the, the Nick Chubb play and you stack this game. Like, like don't you have to have a lineup that doesn't include the, because Nick Chubb is going to be one third, the ownership of Saquon Barkley. So if Saquon Barkley just doesn't

flash for whatever reason, and this game shoots out, like we anticipated shooting out this Miami game and you've got two at a Tyreek and a Nick Chubb, and maybe you double stack it with Amari or, you know, an inexpensive DPJ on the run back. Like you've got it made because you faded the right guy in Saquon and you got the big piece in Nick Chubb that nobody else is playing. Oh, for sure. Absolutely. I love Chubb in the spot.

I wish I could play five running backs, frankly, but we obviously don't get the option to do that. Um, yeah, I think this is a really, really sneaky spot for him to potentially score three touchdowns. Absolutely. And for the record, Najoku earlier in the week said he was planning on playing, but he didn't practice on Thursday. I don't anticipate him playing.

Not trying to play Harrison Bryant or any backup tight ends there. I'm not trying to play Jeff Wilson or Raheem Mostert. I think if you want to get contrarian with that backfield for Miami, I think Jeff Wilson would be the play. He out-touched Mostert quite a bit, particularly in the second half.

And he looked pretty great, too. So I'm not going to play him. But if you're just interested in getting a super contrarian piece of that game, I think Jeff Wilson would be the guy. Speaking of contrarian, Mike, the next game on our list, the Broncos plus 2.5 at the Titans. It's a 36.5 point total. When I say contrarian, what I really mean is nobody's really playing this game.

I will point out that the Broncos are coming off a bye, that Jerry Judy has begun to flash. And for the record, if you watched our off-season series, I was pretty adamant about Jerry Judy being the receiver on this team rather than Cortland Sutton, who it seems the entire industry was on. So listen, I make some bad calls, right? We talked about Joe Mixon last week. I make some pretty good calls too. And I just like, for next year, that off-season series is great. We had some unbelievable guests, including Jacob Gibbs, D-Bro, Derek Brown.

We had TJ Hernandez on a couple times, Andrew Erickson, Josh Larkey, you name it, they were on this show. Nick Bretwish, who I do some work with. Make sure you check that out. If you don't want to go back this year, make sure you check it out next year because we're not just an in-season podcast. Anybody you like, oh, by the way, we got a lot of people watching.

Everybody, if you just jumped in, hit the like button right now. We try to get to 100 likes before we give out Mike's top three at each position, which is going to come up in about 15 minutes. So please, if you are in here, Greg, Speed, Gary, I see all of you, Kevin, everybody else, Richie Smalls, love that name. Hit the like button if you haven't already. Anybody here that you like? I'm not playing Derrick Henry against this pretty stout Broncos defense. I don't think I'm going to get to Judy. I'm not really interested in the contrarian Russell Wilson stack.

Anybody you like here? I like Derrick Henry just a little bit, just because I think he can get there through sheer volume. It's going to be very fascinating to see how his ownership breaks down relative to ETN, Kamara, Barkley, you know, things like that. But I do like Derek Henry. There's always a threshold on his ownership as to when it's a play for me or a fade. So we're just going to have to monitor that. As far as anything else in the game, Dulcich, the tight end, I think is the only thing that I can get to.

I think that he'll have a little bit of opportunity. If you want to stack Russ, I think it's okay. I don't think it's going to be popular at all. I think now is the time to do it. After watching Tennessee hold Kansas City to so few points while still getting thrown on by Mahomes for 440 yards. Um, that tells me there is some opportunity stacking against that defense just a little bit. Um, I worry about the pace of play in the game. I worry

about a lot of things in that game, but if there was a time to play Russell Wilson, it's coming off the buy when everyone's relatively healthy at this point. So I'm not going to do it personally, but it's not going to shock me at all. If he has a 25 point fantasy game and plays well. And with that in mind, and forgive me if you already said this, but is any of these singular players on your radar? Like for example, Dulcich, I know you're a fan of Jerry, Judy, other than Derek Henry, of course, any of these other guys on the other side on your radar? No, just Dulcich, I think is the only one,

you know, take your pick between Judy and Sutton. If you want to pay, you know, 5,700, 5,600, I think it's fine. But it's only if you're someone that's playing 10 plus lineups. Okay, let's move to the next game. We have another game with a very low total, not as low as that Titans game 36. And by the way, that 36 and a half by Tannehill, a practice in full Thursday. So I don't know if that line has maybe gone up a point or so just as a result of that. So it looks like Daniel is going to play but that's such a low total. Like I have to ask you because we're in betting circles too. And, uh, we do these betting shows for the early edge for sports line. Do you, any interest in that number just because it's so

low? Is there any value because it's so low? Yeah, I think so. Um, you know, getting above, you know, going over 36 and a half, I think is a decent look in the game. 37, relatively key number at this point. So, yeah, I would lean over in the game. All right. Colts plus 5.5 at the Raiders. It's a 42.5 point total. I'll be honest, Mike, I don't really have any interest whatsoever here. I think Josh Jacobs is always going to be an interesting play just because of the volume.

The workload remains very, very high. But with that said, the Colts, their defense is pretty good and they're particularly good against the run. I will point out Jonathan Taylor practiced in full and it looks like he's playing. So I think that's an interesting contrarian piece. But then again, I don't know how contrarian it's going to be on Sunday because it may be people are actually itching to play him. I'm certainly not. I don't think Sam Ellinger is doing the Colts offense, any favors, uh, any interest at all in anybody in this game. Uh, Devante Adams, I'll play Devante Adams, a wide receiver at single digit ownership, pretty much every single week. Uh, played him last week, did really well with it. Um, projects is a pretty good matchup for him. You mentioned the Colts being pretty good against

the run. I think it's going to lead to Vegas throwing just a little bit more. It was incredibly encouraging to see 17 targets to Devontae Adams. Now, granted, four of them were definitely not catchable footballs, which is always important to note. You know, he did have 10 receptions, though. I like him. Where I'll play him is in a lineup where I take a shot at running back potentially or quarterback where I'm going real cheap. And I typically play them like last week, I played Tyreek

Hill, Devante Adams, Deandre Hopkins all together, right? Those are typically things that I like to do when I'm playing a contrarian wide receiver like that. I like to jam them in with the two other studs that I really, really love. So for me this week, that's what it would be. Basically, it might even be like a Tyreek Hill, Devante Adams, Travis Kelsey lineup, really love. So for me this week, that's what it would be. Basically, it might even be like a Tyreek Hill, Devontae Adams, Travis Kelsey lineup, really shooting for ceiling games from those three. But other than that, nothing else I can get to in this game. And because we have a lot of discount tight ends that we can already lean on, we just talked about Greg Dulcich, for example, at 3,400. I spoke of Tanner Hudson at 2,600. Do we bother in this type of game with this type of

total? Do we bother going to Foster Moreau at 3,200 with Darren Waller recently as of today, put back on IR? Yes, we do. Massive oversight on my part. Foster Moreau is certainly in my player pool, one of the near core pieces. If I'm playing two lineups or two tight end lineups, there's a good chance he's one of them. Awesome. Derek Graham noting that we're halfway there. He must be talking about the legs. Hopefully we're more than halfway there. Everybody, please pull down the chat if you don't see the like button and hit the like button and then pull the chat back up.

We got Dallas at Green Bay. Okay, so this is interesting on a lot of levels. It's a 43-point total. Dallas is favored by five going into Green Bay. We got to monitor Aaron Jones's injury, his ankle injury. Mike, I have a feeling that even if he suits up, that he just doesn't get a lot of snaps. I just don't know why they would mess around with that ankle injury, other than the fact that I guess they're desperate to win a game. But I don't know. You drafted

A.J. Dillon in the second round instead of getting a piece that could have immediately impacted you. But that's just my little digression on the, by the way, instead of drafting Jordan Love, you could have had Tee Higgins. You could have had Tee Higgins on one side. You could have had Devontae Adams on the other side. That next season when you were contending for a Super Bowl and you decided to kick a field goal on fourth and seven in the red zone. Well, if you had Tee Higgins on the other side of Devontae Adams, I bet you don't kick that field goal. So a little soliloquy there. I apologize. But this game is interesting for running back purposes, right? Because we know Zeke is banged up too. Are you interested in Aaron Jones or A.J. Dillon or for that matter, Tony Pollard,

whether Zeke plays or not? You know, if Zeke is like for sure ruled out, then yeah, I mean, Tony Pollard is going to be right back in the conversation again. The most interesting piece here for me, though, is still Aaron Jones. Maybe irresponsible speculation, but my speculation was he wasn't hurt at all. Personally, my speculation was he was frustrated. There's a lot going on there with the team. You know, every single test has come back negative. You watch some of the body language on the sidelines, you know, laughing, joking, not necessarily engaged. It wouldn't shock me if they came back and gave him just all of the work again.

Absolutely all of the work again in this game. I personally think something is going on there a little bit. We saw it in week seven and eight, right? Week seven against Washington, totally disgruntled. Eight carries, still out had 10 receptions there. But next week coming in against Buffalo, getting all the work again, right? We've seen it a couple times this season. And in this particular spot, it would not shock me at all to see massive, massive workload.

So Aaron Jones, definitely in my player pool. Interesting. So, I mean, safe to say you're monitoring this situation. Like you're not jamming him in right now and just like ignoring the news for the next three days. Correct. Yeah, yeah. I'm monitoring it, but as long as he is active and there's nothing saying that he's not going to play or not limited, I will absolutely be playing Aaron Jones.

Probably not in cash games, but he'll be in my lineups. Any interest in Alan Lazard, who looks to be like the one sort of qualified target, at least in Aaron Rodgers' eyes. It looks like Christian Watson is going to play. He's 3,700. There was the appearance of him having a concussion, but it turns out he didn't have a concussion. So it looks like it's going to be Lazard, Sammy Watkins, Christian Watson, maybe Samari Torre might get some run here. But Watson at 3,700, I think that that's at least interesting, but I don't know that I'm going to get there. Any interest for you in either Christian Watson or maybe even Dalton Schultz on the other side of the ball? Yeah, not a ton. I think Lazard is okay. Watson is okay.

You know, what we're going to have in this game for Green Bay that I like, full disclosure, I've already bet Green Bay plus five. It's one of my favorite plays of the week. So I like them in this spot regardless. But what we're going to see here, and keep in mind, Green Bay has the number one home field advantage in the NFL. Number two is Miami. Those are the two biggest home field advantage in the NFL. Number two is Miami.

Those are the two biggest home field advantages in the NFL. We're finally going to see a Green Bay-esque game. The weather is getting a lot cooler across the country over the next 48 hours and going to continue there through the weekend. We're going to see temperatures like high 20s, a little wind, exactly what Green Bay is comfortable with, where Aaron Rodgers has thrived,

where Aaron Jones has thrived, where Aaron Jones has thrived, where maybe a team like Dallas that plays indoors in a controlled environment maybe has not thrived, right? I think it sets up well for an Aaron Jones or A.J. Dillon week. I think it sets up well for the running backs in particular. I'm not at this point interested in attacking the passing game on either side. And before the Mike5754 feed gets blown up about Miami's home field advantage, what you're obviously referring to is the weather, right? Yes, the weather and the orientation of the stadium.

They intentionally have placed the other team in direct sunlight for day games. If you've watched how warm it gets down there, the threshold for having a massive difference is about 78 to 80 degrees. Anything above that, it makes a massive impact. It'll be like 83, 84, I believe, this week, but when they had some of those games where it was 90 degrees,

you start to get temperatures on the sidelines approaching 125 to 130 very, very quickly because of the surface and the sun and all of the direct light exposure. It makes a huge difference. And the Miami side of the field, of course, is set up to where they're not experiencing that. Yeah, it's super unfair. I've actually addressed... And they also wear white uniforms, which Richie Smalls points out in the chat. Yeah, it's very well calculated on the Miami side.

And I mean, just real quick, like that, I mean, this is some, like, it's not that it's like surreptitious. It's out the open. But like, this seems pretty unfair. If you watched Miami play the Bills, listen, the Bills were going to win that game, in my opinion. They started falling like flies, like literally. Every other play, there were guys just falling to the ground. They had to be like, you'd excuse themselves because they were dehydrated or cramping up or something like that real quick.

Mike seems unfair to me. Or is it just like, Hey, this is football. We've got a little competitive advantage down here. This is what we're going to do. Oh, it's absolutely football to me.

It's no different than baseball teams, rearranging the dimensions of outfields based off of their lineup. That's true. And other players in their division like yeah totally it's fair game it's what makes sport fun funny about baseball they're so big on records and stats and maintaining the integrity of records meanwhile like every stadium is built completely differently like no uniformity whatsoever when it comes to those big home run numbers that we all are supposed to sort of pay attention to.

I just I just think that's kind of ridiculous. But that, again, little editorial for me again in Miami, it is going to be in the low 80s and it's going to be humid. So these these guys up in Cleveland who are currently enjoying some cold weather, it is going to be something you might notice going into the second half in terms of guys kind of gassing out a little bit or cramping up or anything like that. Something to certainly pay attention to. All right, I guess we only have one more game to cover. I think it's the Cardinals. Yeah, the Cardinals plus one and a half at the Rams, 40 and a half point total. Matt Stafford did not practice today. If you're listening on the podcast, it's Thursday. Now, my understanding is that Matt Stafford entered the concussion protocol yesterday on Wednesday, which is extremely unusual.

Usually, you would be classified as being in the protocol right after a game or the following morning. The idea that he was in the concussion protocol only as of Wednesday, or midweek I should say, leads me to believe that he's not playing. So he didn't practice today with the current sort of concussion rules and the care that we have with concussions. It would actually surprise me if he plays Sunday. And honestly, maybe he could use the rest because he's just been getting belted around a little bit too. What does that leave? It leaves Wolford in as the backup quarterback. And we also have Kyler Murray, who seems to be at least a little banged up with a hamstring. That's something that could be a nothing and it could be a something. So it's something we have to monitor for the record. Arizona also has a casualty on their offensive line. Will Hernandez is out. So we know that the Rams have absolutely owned Kyler Murray during the pendency of his career. And it's, it's because they really can get after him. They, the, the pass rush has been there.

They know how to play Kyler Murray. The book is kind of out on him and the Rams have certainly figured it out. And we see that in the win loss record against the Arizona Cardinals. I'm not really interested anywhere here, Mike, how about you? Yeah, it's a total fade for me at this point, which is interesting because, you know, if you looked at this game on Monday, you're screaming happy Cooper Cup week, right? It seems like a great spot for Cooper Cup. Can't get there. Lines already moved to minus one and a half on the Rams side. Incredibly strong indication that Stafford is not going to play in this football game. The other strong indication is the way the total has plummeted. We have a total now at 40 and a half. This is typically a matchup in the past. The total has dropped on this matchup so far this year, but in the past,

this is one where the totals have ranged from 46 and a half to 49 and a half earlier this year. And with some of the scoring, the way it is this year, that number's dropped to 44 and a half to 45 and a half. So to see this thing all the way down to 40 and a half on the total, um, really, really, really strong indication that we've lost a quarterback, if not both, uh, in this game, I think we've only lost one. I think it's just Stafford. I think that we could see a limited Kyler Murray, um, not something you want him out there running 10 times a game, uh, with a bum hamstring at this point.

At least I don't think you do. Um, I'm off the game completely as of right now. Okay. And Chris in the chat, is that guillotine almost sounds like guillotine. Uh, let's get a hundred likes guys is what he says. So yes, everybody, if you haven't already hit the like button, I know it's annoying for me to say it, but there's so many people watching. It's very easy to hit the like button, I know it's annoying for me to say it, but there's so many people watching. It's very easy to hit the like button. I promise you it'll

just take maybe 0.5 seconds. Mike, let's go ahead and give it to them. Even if we don't have a hundred likes, which for the record, I haven't checked. But we probably have something at least in the range of, yeah, we're kind of close and we have a lot. Oh my gosh. We have, listen, we have three times as many people watching right now as we have likes. Like, guys, come on, guys and girls, I should say. Go ahead and hit the like button, please. If you're driving, you can ignore this request. Otherwise, there's just no reason not to hit the like button.

All right. We're getting some likes up. So let's go ahead. It looks like some people are kind of taking charge here and hitting the like button. So, Mike, let's go ahead before we do our cheat sheet. And before I just we say a couple words about showdown tonight, this Atlanta Falcons Carolina Panthers game, let's go ahead and get your top three at each position. All right. Top three at each position. And per the request of the chat, I'm going to include defense and special teams, uh, this week as well. Top three at

quarterback, pretty self-explanatory for me. You probably guess them it's patrick mahomes justin fields and tua uh love tyreek love waddle love stacking both of them love the home field advantage they have in miami uh justin fields we talked about his running i'll quickly hit that again weeks one through six 12 total design runs weeks seven through nine. He's had 22 design runs, 133 rush yards or more than that now at this point. Um, and Oh, that was 103, 30, 133 rushing yards were on the design runs, not the scrambles, uh, and two rushing touchdowns. So I love Justin Fields. I think he's massively underpriced for the new role. Moving on to running back. Number one play for me right now is going to be Travis Etienne.

It's a natural game stack environment in general. I love Patrick Mahomes. I think he's got a few cheap wide receivers that are going to crush in this matchup. I love the usage on Travis Etienne. He's $1,000 too cheap on DraftKings right now for the usage that we're seeing. Running backs two and three, Alvin Kamara and Saquon Barkley. I'm going to take the stance on Alvin Kamara that we're going to see the usage jump right back up after they essentially got embarrassed by the Ravens.

It's a difficult matchup on paper against the Steelers, but that's the kind of matchup where I would expect them to lean into his unique skill set more than anything so I like him and then Saquon Barkley love love love the matchup only caveat here if Aaron Jones we get some positive news I'm maybe gonna include Aaron Jones there won't be popular especially after last week but uh I'm gonna go with Aaron Jones there go ahead go ahead no I was gonna, I love those three running backs. I probably won't be getting to Kamara, but I absolutely love Etienne and Barkley quite a bit. Okay. Receivers.

Tyreek Hill. Number one. Love Tyreek Hill. I've talked about the usage. We all know the usage. Probably going to have a 2000 yard season. Absolutely incredible. Crushes against cover three.

As you mentioned, crushes against every coverage scheme but especially against cover three number two amonra saint brown uh natural bring back to the justin fields lineups love his usage especially with hawkinson gone he's the only sure-handed target that there is the efficiency will potentially be an issue however i think that we see 12 to 14 targets in this particular game uh Give me a Monra. And then number three, Juju Smith Schuster is my number three wide receiver. Going to be stacking him up a ton with Patrick Mahomes here. I absolutely love what we have seen from Juju.

Price point $6,000. He's playing like a $7,000 receiver right now at this point. Now McCall Hardman's potentially down for Kansas City. So love him there. Next, we'll move to tight end Cole Komet. You're going to stack him with Justin Fields. He's my favorite play at the position. Look, I think that he's going to have more opportunity here. I think that he's going to be a massive beneficiary of Justin Fields looking to run a little bit more. He's one of those targets that's going to find his way open in those situations.

Number two, Foster Moreau, just kind of necessity for the Raiders. I don't think they're going to have a ton of success running the football against the Colts. I think it's going to have to come through the air. So the price point hasn't moved. Going to play him. And then for the Broncos, Greg Dulcich. I don't know what else to say about him other than the price point's ideal. The usages in the matchup are ideal. I think he's

an absolute stud and he's too cheap. Okay. And then you have a special team. Well, I should say DSTs as well. DSTs as well. At this point, number one, the Minnesota Vikings, uh, we've made the decision on our end that, uh, Josh Allen's not playing in this football game. So give me the Vikings on the road, uh, 2,200 going to be very popular. If Alan is indeed ruled out. Uh, I do love it though. Cardinals number two, uh, same thing, picking on the team without a quarterback. Uh, I don't expect Stafford to play. So that's where I'm going to go there. And then number three, the Tennessee Titans. It's always fun to pick on a low scoring Denver Broncos team. I'm wondering, a lot of people in the industry

use optimizers, right? So when people use lineup optimizers, unless they go in and change the settings, a lineup optimizer, most of them will not allow you to play a defense against one of your players. So knowing that Dulcich is going to be incredibly popular, it's going to automatically boot the Tennessee Titans defense out of a lot of lineups for people. This is a spot where I would be okay with playing Dulcich against my defense. Or just instead of, just knowing that how popular Dulcich could be, the ownership on Tennessee is unlikely to be where it is or where it should be because of how popular optimizers are. I absolutely love that insight there.

100%. And I also love that the Minnesota defense at 2200, uh, given the starting quarterback situation, you're right. That's going to be really popular. Certainly, uh, it's going to be extremely viable in cash games and tournaments. You can kind of make that decision, uh, whether you want to come off of that or not, but, but I love the value there, especially on this slate where the value, you know, again, it's only Thursday, some value will open up in the next few days, but it doesn't look like we're going to have that tremendous value because a lot of these guys like Tony, the Tony Pollard's of the world, they've already kind of been priced up. He's 6,500. So even if Zeke were out, we're not going to get some Pollard at 6,000 or Pollard at, you know, so we kind of know what the injuries are at this point, particularly at those skilled positions. So I think it's time for the cheat

sheet. You know, I actually on the fly kind of adjusted my cheat sheet a little bit because part of my thought was, well, I don't want to just put in a bunch of expensive players because like, it's not really realistic to have like a super expensive stack and a super expensive chalk play because people aren't going to be able to like jam all those things in. So I adjusted it a little bit. So I do with my stack, it is expensive. I do have two at a tie rekill. So that's 6,700 on DraftKings to 9,100. But instead of having Saquon Barkley as my chalk play, which of course I love Saquon Barkley as my chalk play, which of course I love Saquon Barkley, I did come down to Travis Etienne because that's certainly

a game that I'm going to be playing way more than that Giants game in terms of stacking the game. So at least I'm getting a little bit of a discount on Etienne. And then you'll see with my value and contrarian play, I'm really going low price guys there too. So my value play is Tanner Hudson at 2,600. I think, listen, if you want to pay up for Dulcich, it's an $800 difference. It's kind of a lot, but you can also go to Moreau, which is only a $600 difference from Tanner Hudson. So you can kind of figure out what you want to do there. Contrarian play is Zay Jones.

Again, another piece from that Chiefs game that I might not be stacking quite as much as Mike, but I will be stacking it. And to the extent I'm not stacking it, I'm still going to get pieces from both sides of the game. I think Zay Jones at 4,400, listen, he might not get a lot of high value targets, but he's the type of guy that I think can maybe have a line of 585 and a touchdown. And at 4,400, I'm very much happy with that. My fade is going to be Derek Henry. He's an absolute beast. Listen, fades are plays that we're not comfortable making because they can come back to haunt us like it did for me last week, but I'm not paying 8,300 for Derek Henry this week. I'm just not doing it. So that is my stack chalk value contrarian and fade play. Mike, it's on you. All right, let's start with the

stack. We're going Justin Fields. I want to continue to highlight the philosophy change with the designed runs. Absolutely incredible. Should be more expensive than he is. We're going to stack him with Cole Komet. $3,400 tight end. I think he's a beneficiary of Fields looking to run more. He gets found on some of those plays, particularly in the red zone. Chalk play, Tyreek Hill.

Doesn't project as a top five ownership play. However, that number is going to continue to creep up and up and up when we lose guys like Cooper Cup this week, essentially with no quarterback. I love Tyreek Hill. Talked about him the entire show. Value play, Marquez Valdez-Scantling for Kansas City. The price point has fallen down to $4,100. There was a time when we thought the price point could be up near Juju at 6K. He has that kind of upside, right? Nicole Hardman dealing with a little bit of an injury.

He was, Marquez Valdez-Scantling was still on the field, ran the second most routes and played the second most snaps of Chiefs wide receivers last week. Love him for a bounce back spot at 4,100. Contrarian play. Same contrarian play as last week. I hope it works out as well as it did last week. Devontae Adams, 8,700, projecting 3% to 4% ownership. Nobody's going to play him. Everyone's going to play Tyreek Hill.

Everyone's going to play the other guys in that area or spend their money on these elite running backs. Devontae's probably going to have 15 to 17 targets once again. And then my fade. This could go about as well as the Joe Mixon fade did last week. For the record, I only didn't fade Joe Mixon on the show because you filled out the cheat sheet first. Joe Mixon was one of my biggest fades of the week last week.

Damian Pierce, 6,300. Impossible to argue with the usage. That's the point of the fade is to take a stand on a player that is going to be popular that people want to play that you don't i don't want to play him because i like all the other running backs i also know that he's dealing with an injury and he's a star rookie running back on a team that doesn't have a ton to play for the rest of the way in this season in my opinion so i hope that he's limited at some point in some capacity while limited might still be 18 touches and not 30. Um, I'm not playing Damian Pierce.

Yeah. And for the record, you know, the, like this last thing I'll say on the Joe Mixon thing, he was the highest zone running back as of Thursday. And then things changed, right? Because Damian Harris was ruled out. There were things that changed that actually ended up pushing Joe Mixon down. So, and I knew that by the way, on Sunday, but you know, it's funny, Mike, when I, when I fill something out, like on the cheat sheet, even though it was like four days earlier, like I feel like I'm a little beholden to it and I didn't love Mixon anyway, but I suppose I could have included him in a couple of items, but obviously, you know, we were fading the highest owned running back at the time.

And then because certain things fell the way they did, he ended up being, I don't even know what it was, but probably like the fifth or sixth highest zone guy as opposed to a top three guy. So that's how that worked out. But okay, we're going to get out of here. But Mike, I just wanted to ask you, we've got a game starting in two hours. I'll be on the early edge, by the way,

at 7.30 with Coachman, Jonathan Coachman and Prop Stars and some others. But so tune in for that early edge. That's a sports line show on YouTube. How do you think this game is going to go just real quick? It's the Falcons minus two and a half. A lot of people are going to want to play showdown. It looks like there's some rain and wind in the forecast. Personally, I think Patterson is an obvious great play, even though his snap share was a little low. I expect that to increase. I think Tyler Algier, even though he doesn't get

the receptions, I think especially in this game environment with the weather, could run all over Carolina. We just talked about Joe Mixon, who was extremely inefficient running all over this Carolina defense. Now, granted, Carolina's at home. It might be a different story. But Tyler Algier, he had 10 carries. He had 99 yards, average 9.9 yards per carry. That's quick math for you, right? I'm being sarcastic, obviously.

I like both of those guys. On the Carolina side, I'm not really sure who to play because of the weather, but normally I would like DJ Moore. I would like Terrace Marshall. Chuba Hubbard is playing in this game. It looks like he's going to be active. Any pieces you like in this game, and do you like the spread? Any comments on the spread or the total?

Look, I like Atlanta. They should win the game. I expect them to fully dominate the time of possession and control this game. They're definitely going to want to attack on the ground. Tyler Algier is interesting. The rushing prop's only 31 and a half. It's shown that he's been able to hit that even with Patterson, and he's actually been more efficient with Patterson on the field

because they have contrasting running styles. That typically opens things up a little bit for that other guy. So I lean over on his prop. The other thing of note, the Panthers, they rank dead last in time of possession in the NFL and 27th in offensive EPA. It could be a lot of dominating possession on the Falcon side, a lot of snaps, a lot of rushing attempts. So focus on Atlanta running game big time. Okay. That is going to wrap it up. Uh, we will listen, we're going to, I'm excited about this week 10. I really, I truly am

10 games late. I don't forget for your redraft people, uh, which is me as well, but, uh, we have that game Sunday morning, that one's in Germany. So make sure your lineups are set, but that's going to be our, our week 10 game by game preview. And we're going to see on Tuesday for the solo pod. You'll see Mike on Thursday for this very same, uh, game by game preview. And hopefully we see a lot of like last week, two weeks ago, Mike, you absolutely crushed. I was so close to a couple of takedowns myself. I've been really, really close. I'm feeling really good about this week. I know a lot of our listeners have had some really good success specifically in the last two weeks. So hopefully we can carry

that momentum. Any final thoughts going into week 10? Nope. Play Tyreek Hill. Play Tyreek Hill. Fade Tyreek Hill at your own risk, which is the new mantra for this show. Last year it was Fade Cooper Cup at your own risk. This is Fantasy Football Today DFS. My name is Sian Ajad. That's Mike McClure. We will see you on TV.