Fantasy Football Today - Rankings Risers! CMC vs. Barkley, Bears Offense and More (08/04 Fantasy Football Podcast)
Episode Date: August 4, 2025Bid on Draft-A-Thon items here! https://tiltify.com/@cbs-sports/fft-draftathon-2025... Vote for Fantasy Football Today in the "Sports" category: https://podcastawards.com/app/signup Who is moving up in the rankings (4:55)? Tetairoa McMillan, Omarion Hampton and Kyler Murray are some of the headliners. Meanwhile, who is moving down in the rankings (11:10)? Jerry Jeudy and Jayden Reed are on this list ... Is Christian McCaffrey more of an injury risk than Saquon Barkley (20:55)? The obvious answer would be "yes," but let's examine this a little more closely. And does McCaffrey have more upside than Barkley? After that discussion we get into the news and notes (28:50) on the Texans backfield, RJ Harvey, Khalil Shakir, the Steelers offense and many more ... Rankings risers (40:00) including Anthony Richardson, Jordan Love, Jordan Mason, Tank Bigsby, Brian Thomas Jr., Matthew Golden, George Pickens, Jaylen Waddle and more. Plus we spend a lot of time on the Bears offense ... Email us at fantasyfootball@cbsi.com Fantasy Football Today is available for free on the Audacy app as well as Apple Podcasts, Spotify and wherever else you listen to podcasts Watch FFT on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/fantasyfootballtoday Shop our store: shop.cbssports.com/fantasy SUBSCRIBE to FFT Dynasty on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fantasy-football-today-dynasty/id1696679179 FOLLOW FFT Dynasty on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2aHlmMJw1m8FareKybdNfG?si=8487e2f9611b4438&nd=1 SUBSCRIBE to FFT DFS on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fantasy-football-today-dfs/id1579415837 FOLLOW FFT DFS on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5zU7pBvGK3KPhfb69Q1hNr?si=1c5030a3b1a64be2 Follow our FFT team on Twitter: @FFToday, @AdamAizer, @JameyEisenberg, @daverichard, @heathcummingssr Follow the brand new FFT TikTok account: https://www.tiktok.com/@fftoday Join our Facebook group https://www.facebook.com/groups/FantasyFootballToday/ Sign up for the FFT newsletter https://www.cbssports.com/newsletter To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie and Heath.
Welcome everybody.
Welcome to fantasy football today.
This Monday, August 4th, we have a big, big week for you.
We have running backs and wide receivers previews on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.
We have a mailbag also on Friday.
So you get a sixth bonus episode this week. Today we're talking about rankings, ris Thursday and Friday. We have a mailbag also on Friday. So you get a six, a bonus episode this week.
Today we're talking about rankings, risers and followers,
basically based on what's been going on in training camp.
And we got preseason football right around the corner.
So we're pumped.
I'm Adam with Dave, Jamie and Heath.
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Today, in addition to-
Wait, before you keep going, read Corey's comment.
Why does Corey think that Dave's not,
that he's not a reason that we're late?
Okay, Corey says, Jamie is late, had to find a hat.
Dave is late, couldn't find a buttoned up shirt
to wear over his t-shirt.
Adam is late, he's putting up his Tyreek Hill poster. You know, I'm actually
getting a little concerned about Tyreek Hill. I don't love what
he said about a chat. It wasn't great. I don't think the
dolphins liked what he said about a Chan. It's in the news
and notes today. I saw what Mike Mcd, 100% honest with you. I
saw what Mike McDaniel said about what Tyreek Hill said
about a Chan that a Chan shouldn't be the short yardage
back. And I couldn't tell if it was real or if it was an AI fake. Like you've seen all these
things a joke. Is it? Yes. I hope so. Are the dolphins gonna finish last in the division?
No, the Jets. You know, when Pete Prisco was there, he was asked about the AFCs because
he's on with Jacqueline DiAgostino, one of our HQ hosts. And he said, Yes, when Pete Prisco was there, he was asked about the AFC East cause he was on with, uh,
Jacqueline DiAgostino, um, one of our HQ hosts. And he said, yes, they're going to be the worst
team in the AFC East. He said he likes the Patriots improvements, thinks the Jets will be, uh,
improved as well. And the build of the class of the division. And he got so much crap for that.
It's unreal how many people think he's wrong. It's going to be an interesting division,
I think, you know, after the build. I mean, worst, worst defense in the division, right?
It depends on how much you buy the Patriots improving and the Jets improving, but I would
think so. They're secondary. It's all like all these, all these glowing things about Jalen Waddle.
I mean, he's big, he's playing against guys up the street. Yeah. I don't think they're guys up the
street. I just think they're old corners at this point. It's Mike Hilton. It's Jack Jones. Jack Jones isn't that old. Minka is there. But they've
got an unreal pass rush. No, the Dolphins have an unreal pass rush, at least on paper.
But if they stay healthy, if Tua stays healthy, they might finish third in the division.
Their secondary couldn't get a job until the start of training camp. I mean, of course
they're guys off the street.
I forgot to welcome everybody to Fantasy Football Today presented by Bet MGM, the sportsbook
born in Vegas.
Let's talk about risers and fallers.
I also want to talk about offenses that have produced multiple start-worthy wide receivers
and a start-worthy tight end over the past five seasons and what they have in common. And we're going to hit on Caleb Williams today, we're
going to talk about who else tank Bigsby today. He's having a
good camp, Caleb Williams is not having a good camp. I'm going
to look back at last year's notes this time of year about a
year ago. And, and talk about who was supposed to be a camp
riser at that point based on reports, just got a comment that
Heath looks like Christian Bale.
And I don't even think Heath put that one up.
Oh, I did.
Oh, okay.
Let's get a riser and a faller from all of you.
Dave, kick us off with a rankings riser for you.
I have moved up Kyler and he's now a top 12 quarterback.
He might've been a top 12 quarterback for Jamie and Heath all along.
I don't know.
But I'm kind of toying with the idea of putting him top 10, if not higher.
I love that he wants to run more.
We know that that's just part of the appeal of quarterbacks in fantasy leagues, whether
it's six point or four point.
Reviews have been positive out of Arizona.
You want to talk about a defense that's got a struggling secondary.
Arizona has that and their pass rush isn't as good as Miami's it's improved,
but I don't think it's as good as Miami's.
And I think that Kyler could end up having a nice bounce back here.
So I'm weighing him against the Jared Goffs and Justin Fields of the world.
To some people that's going to sound obvious.
Of course, Kyler should be ahead of those guys, but I do think that there is
potential for Kyler to finally have a very good year.
Heath, who are you moving up in your rankings?
Tedarola McMillan.
He's a first round rookie wide receiver.
Some people thought he was the best wide receiver, pure wide receiver in this
class and all of the reports out of Carolina.
It's just day after day.
He is the number one wide receiver there.
He's winning in a variety of ways. And I would just in that wide
receiver three range, I'd rather bet on the guy who might be a
star.
And is there anyone in his range that has more target upside
than Ted Rowan McMillan?
I think that's the interesting question is what is like what's
his target upside? Could he
with his pedigree and we've seen Bryce Young just zero in on one guy.
I mean, I don't, I hate to put a limit on it. Um, 140 sure. Yeah. All right. Tetarro McMillan or
Tetarro McMillan or well, I know one guy that you have moving
down in your rankings is Jerry Judy.
I still have Judy ahead.
I just moved him down into more of the normal range.
But that's a great, that was first name that came to mind Adam when you mentioned target
upside because Judy could obviously be a huge target hog based on what we saw last year.
Now I do think the health of Cedric Tillman and what the quarterback situation throughout
the year might be because it sounds like Flacco is gonna win the job we make an
announcement you know by the end of the week at this point based on how things
are going with injuries and whatnot so that's great but it's a matter of you
know how many games will Flacco be there because once they do make a potential
quarterback change then where do the targets go and how much do they continue
to feature Judy plus I think the run game is huge to all of this.
You know, if, uh, if Judkins does get an opportunity to play,
or if it's just an improved backfield with Ford and Samson and just a lot of
speed, you know, they could,
they could lean heavily on their ground game and take some pressure off of
everything there.
All right, Jamie, let's get one of your rankings risers.
Uh, let's see, I'll go with somebody different.
I'll go on Marion Hampton.
Basically a borderline top 12 running back at this point.
The longer that we have Najee Harris's absence
and the potential of what this kid could be.
At this point, I'm taking him over James Cook
without hesitation, just to give you a guy
who's moved down in that range.
So he's now RB 14 for me.
If Walker's foot injury that he apparently dealt with
during the scrimmage over the weekend
is something that's a problem, sounds like just rest,
but just something to keep an eye on there,
knowing his history and something
that he dealt with this off season,
then he'll move to 13 and could creep into the top 12,
like the longer Najee's out.
So if Najee's gonna continue to mispractice practice it's just more of a benefit for what Hampton
could become now if Najee comes back you know then I'll change some of my
expectations but drafting right now I'm very excited about Hampton as a border
line round three pick that's kind of interesting because if you're drafting
right now you know do you have to do that under the assumption that Najee
Harris will be back before the season starts and we have to move Hampton
Down I guess from your where you have him right now atop. I think there's a couple things at play we had the
Obvious injury to Najee and we don't know how long this gonna linger clearly. It's not knee hamstring ankle
You know once his eyesight improves, I would assume that he's gonna you know come back and have some semblance of a significant role
but obviously Hampton's had the opportunity to prove himself and establish himself as the guy and then you had the weird thing following
The draft, you know, I don't remember what month it was
I go back and look it up of when they put nausea on the trade block reportedly, you know
How much of it is is there really going to be a 50-50 split a 60-40 split?
Is there really going to be a 50-50 split, a 60-40 split?
You know, is Najeeb Gus Edwards, you know, and just a guy that they use
because they feel like they have to
and not necessarily focused on the explosive player
who could be dominant.
And we saw that with Dobbins last year.
When he was dominant, he was really good.
So, I don't know.
It's just more excitement for Hampton, I guess,
than really what Najeeb and what he can do.
You know how I feel about it.
Like, I think these veteran guys matter too much sometimes because
they do the right thing. He doesn't fumble. He falls forward.
Yeah.
When you say Hampton's a borderline round three pick, does that mean like,
is he closer to round two or round four?
Oh, he's closer to round four. He's in round four for me right now. He's not around three.
I'm putting him in round three. I think the cat's out of the bag, Adam. This dude's good. He got an opportunity to show his coaches how good he was. I know he played in the Hall of Fame game. That used to mean
bad things. Now I just think it means that, you know, Chargers wanted to give him some reps. And he's a
rookie. So he's going to get treated like one in this regard. I thought he looked okay. Not in a bad way.
I thought he looked, I shouldn't say okay.
He looked good in the Hall of Fame game,
but he was running against backups.
I would imagine that there's probably a greater chance
that Hampton goes wire to wire
as the Chargers best running back
because of what happened in Najee
to sideline him for the starter training camp.
Okay, so maybe start considering him late in round three, but
still after Bucky Irving, chase Brown, Kyron Williams or Amar
and Hampton Kyron and then
Heath,
or ham could be anything. You could even be Kyron Williams.
I'm, I'm, I'm like around and a half apart on these guys.
So I'm the high guy on Kyron and still the low guy on Hampton.
So I don't, I don't have those guys very close.
All right.
Heath, who's a follower for you?
We, you mentioned it.
So I'll just go ahead and say it.
I did move Jerry, Judy down a little bit.
And part of that is just like,
we all do this when we realize we're two rounds higher than we
have to be on a guy,
you move them down a little bit. And part of it is Cedric Tillman's getting some good buzz with Joe
Flacco. I love the fact that all the talk is Flacco is about ready to be named the starter,
but maybe it's more of a three-way cut up between Judy Tillman and the Joke and not just Judy and
a joke. I still think like I'm still way ahead of ADP on Jerry Judy. I'm still going to draft them all the time.
Where are you taking them?
Four or five term.
Does anybody think Deontay Johnson is another thorn in the side?
I do. And I think Harold Fanon too.
Sounds like he's had a strong camp so far to start.
And so we may see just a lot more options than what we were looking at the end of
last year when it was Judy and the Joke.
Oh, you know, when Tillman had the concussion.
Remember, it was when they traded Amari Cooper, the first couple of games, Tillman was better
than Judy.
And then Tillman, I think it was game four, game five of that stretch, he suffered the
concussion and was basically out for the season.
So do all these guys matter?
I think they do.
I mean, you know, look, Deontay Johnson, you haven't heard a peep about him being a problem in the locker room, at least anything publicly. And again,
they like what they have in Fanon as a potential option just to take some targets away from whoever,
you know, could be at the Joko's expense, could be at anybody else's expense. But I think just the
ceiling of what Judy was last year, you just got to lower it a little bit. So, you know,
he obviously has a strong take on how good he could be. And it's hard to argue how he finished last year, you know, just based on the potential
of what Flacco was in 2023.
So I factored in a little bit.
Like I would take Macmillan over Judy at this point.
Right.
We just had, we did.
So how about James and Williams or Jerry Judy?
Williams.
Judy from me.
I believe I have Judy ranked higher in PPR.
Devante Smith or Jerry Judy? Smith. I believe I have Judy ranked higher in PPR.
Devante Smith or Jerry Judy?
Smith.
That's more of a belief of the Eagles run game being a little bit of a problem too.
I'll take Judy.
All right.
Dave, let's get a follow up for you.
Kyron, just it's a lack of buzz with him, a little bit more buzz about Hunter and how
he's physical. And I feel like until we get
that contract extension for Kyron Williams, I'm just going to be skeptical of how much this coaching staff really
loves him. And I'm nervous that he could be a couple of fumbles away from going on the bench. All of his efficiency metrics were terrible last year, certainly compared to 2023.
And then you throw on top, and I've, I've dragged my feet with Puka and Devante, and I haven't moved them down an inch. But if
there's a problem with Stafford that ends up costing him time this season, then we are overrating every single ram. And
that'll include Kyron Williams with a backup quarterback in that offense, it'll
make it'll mean bad things for the entire run game. It'll mean
bad things for everybody in LA. So I'm just maybe I'm just
skeptical of Kyron Williams being as good as he was last
year. And he wasn't as good last year as he was the year before.
I'd rather take the upside shot on Hampton.
Okay, this feels like a good time to bring
something up because I was looking at the show notes from a year ago. We did basically the same
episode, you know, Camp Rizers. And here's a segment I put in my notes. I didn't listen back
to it, but I just put it in my notes. Having a good camp. So I'll give you two guys. Now just go through it. Will Shipley, Adonai Mitchell, Khalil Shakir.
In fact, they had a report.
Joe Bascalia of the athletics says Khalil Shakir has been one of the most consistent
and dependable players at Buffalo camp.
Jalen Polk, Marshawn Lloyd, Malik neighbors, Marvin Harrison Jr, Greg Dorch.
I don't remember that week where Kyler Murray was saying all of his wide receivers are going
to be good.
Andre Yoshavis and Zach Ertz. But you'll notice-
Well, I think it's for three of those guys.
Yeah. No, it wasn't all bad, but you notice Will Shipley, Adonai Mitchell,
Jalen Polk, Marshawn Lloyd, Malik Neighbors, Marvin Harrison. I feel like this must happen every year.
Of course it does.
Rookies especially. I think if you hear that a veteran's doing well in camp,
you should put more stock into it than when you hear a rookie's doing well in camp. They're
never going to say a rookie- Well, no, I wouldn't say that.
But rookies are going to get positive buzz. The expectations are so, no, the standards are so low,
I think. Just come in and look good or whatever. So like the JarQuest Hunter thing, I don't know.
I feel like I'm taking that with a grain of salt, for example.
Tanner Iskra And he's behind Coram too, right? Right, right. That's the other thing.
Coram's...
But they're all getting first team reps, but that's Camp.
I'll admit that that is definitely part of the game.
I think just while you bring that up, Adam, we just got something from one of the Chicago
beat writers about how Ben Johnson said the two past catchers he trusts the most right
now are Colcomet and DJ Moore.
Mm-hmm.
He also said Kyle Menongai.
Oh, and I'm sorry. He also talked about his, I think, seventh round rookie They also said Kyle Menongai. And Odin, I'm sorry.
Right, he also talked about his,
I think seventh round rookie running back,
Kyle Menongai.
Even first driver, first team reps.
Right, so this stuff's gonna happen.
All right, so Kyron Williams,
we'll talk about on the running back preview tomorrow,
but Dave won't be on that show,
so Heath and Jamie will give their takes.
Davis, I think the low guy on Kyron,
and Jamie, we're up to you.
Give me one follower in your rankings.
Getting more and more concerned about Jayden Reed,
just the scrimmage that they had over the weekend
where he was not playing in two receiver sets
and was basically just their slot guy.
And it seemed like all the targets were going to
Golden and Dobbs, but just really the playing time.
I mean, this could be a huge issue for Reed.
So I was in the Reed over Golden camp.
I changed that.
And so just dropped him a little bit.
I still think he's somebody worth taking a flyer on.
I shouldn't say that.
He's still somebody worth drafting.
But in terms of who's the Packers pass catching options that I'm most interested in, Tucker
Kraft would be one.
I know he's got the groin injury.
So if he's okay, Golden would be two.
And then at this point, Reed is now a distant third from those two guys.
Wow. That's interesting. He averaged 63.2% of the snaps last
year. That's just not a lot. Luckily with Reed, last year he
had 20 carries for 163 yards and a touchdown. And I'm sorry, I
don't have it right in front. Oh, yeah. And in the year
before that, he had 11 carries for 119 yards and two touchdowns.
So you probably get at least 100 rushing yards from Reed
if they keep using it, maybe even more, maybe 150, who knows.
But yeah, it's 63% of the snaps is not the recipe
to being a reliable fantasy receiver.
Especially with what they did with their targets last year.
You know, like, you can't
you can't have a breakout season at less than 100 targets unless you're just, you know,
James Jones.
So the FFT open spots, the invitations have been sent.
There are four spots left in the FFT open in John Breach's league.
If anybody wants to still be in it, we have four spots left.
They could be gone by the end of the day. So please go to tinyurl.com slash 2025 FFT and sign up for the FFT open tinyurl.com
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Okay, we're going to have spots in the podcast league, a spot in the podcast Leftovers League.
Heath is starting a new dynasty league, okay, get to play with
I'll be in that league at the Jamie is going to be in that
league. I'm not sure about Dave, Dave, gonna be in that league.
I'm figured out yet. Okay, Schneier is going to be in that
league. And then some of their analysts and some listeners,
it's gonna be another amazing dynasty league. But if you just
go to tiny URL comm slash 2025 FFT, by midday today on Monday,
you're going to see a lot more items to,
to bid on or to purchase and including mailbags,
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We do a live draft every Tuesday night at 7 PM Eastern
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Okay, we're gonna do more risers and followers in a bit.
I wanted to, oh, should we do the Twitter poll?
Is the Twitter poll interesting?
Very.
All right, let's get that Twitter poll up there. I said in terms of injury risk only
Do you consider Saquon Barkley safer than Christian McCaffrey?
Injury risk only do you consider Saquon Barkley safer than Christian McCaffrey? I put this up an hour ago
682 votes
74% yes, 26% no. Oh, Schaefer is going to vote live on the
air. What are you going to say Schaefer? You're going to say, what's it going to be? Oh, he
says yes. Okay. He considers Barclay safer than Christian McCaffrey. Would anybody here
say no? Or is there anybody a yes on this? Barclay is safer in terms of injury risk than
McCaffrey.
I don't know how you could say no to this.
I mean, just given what they're coming off of.
That's exactly what he said.
Like I think that somebody, if Adam was better
at doing Twitter polls and had put a,
I don't care about injury risk or they're the same
or see results, then there would be another option
to click besides yes.
I should have put the same. But as you framed the poll, I think yes is probably right.
Well, this is, this is the only safer in all caps. Like, well, yeah, because I wanted,
I wanted to make sure nobody misinterpreted it. So we have a comment in the chat said
recency bias. Here's the thing. They, they played Barclays played seven seasons. McCaffrey's
playdate. This is the best Avery Azerstead. Here's the thing. They played, Barclays played seven seasons, McCaffrey's played eight.
This is the best Azerstat.
After their first seven seasons, they had missed basically the same amount of games.
McCaffrey 23 games, Barclay 22 games, I think.
And then last year happened.
And he played four games, Christian McCaffrey, played basically three and a half games.
It was an absolute mess. So I understand why people are saying that, but Barkley safer, but he,
I don't know how you could have answered that, you know, confidently last year, because Barkley
himself has had a lot of injury history and he's coming off a 480 touch season and McCaffrey is not
and McCaffrey is like seven months older or eight
months older than Saquon Barkley.
So he's older.
He's not that much older.
So correlation to because 2023, 2023, 2023 McCaffrey goes to the Super Bowl, has 417
total touches, comes back the next season after a lot of work, and obviously plays four
games.
Again, you don't want to see that for Barkley, but still, Barkley goes to the Super Bowl,
has over 480 total touches.
So it's the amount of games, it's the amount of touches, you know, it's like just, it's
nerve-racking.
You know, I get it.
I was in an analyst draft over the weekend for the Flexleagues.
I don't know about
the other drafts. There's five of those that happened. Two of them are live. Three of them
will be online. Adam, you're the defending best ball champion. Congratulations.
Yeah, baby.
Barclay went two in half PPR. So it went Chase one, Barclay two. And I get it. You want to buy
into him still having this great offensive line,
this great system, everything that he accomplished last year.
I'm nervous.
I know Heath is somewhat not.
Dave and I think share the same sentiment that, you know, the work, you hear me say
it all the time, the history of 2000 yard rushers and what these guys have done the
previous year, they're still very good.
They're still very good.
They lose 500 yards. Every single one has lost 500 yards. It's rushing. So it's
going to be interesting. The worst thing that's going to happen, I just, I hope he doesn't
get hurt. Like if he struggles and he's like the fourth best running back, the fifth best
running back, you're still going to get a pretty good return on investment. The receptions
are hard to buy. The touchdowns are still going to be an issue as long as Jalen
Hertz is there.
I just, I hope it's not an injury situation.
And that's what we're saying.
Who's right and who's wrong on this side of the argument.
And it's not like we're saying he's, he should be a second
round or third round or he said for me anyway, I don't know where
you guys have him right.
He's a top 10 fantasy overall pick.
There's no question about it.
You just can't expect what he did last year.
And what he did last year was 22.2 PPR points per game.
If McCaffrey plays a bunch of games this year, I would be
shocked if his number is that low.
So I think as far as like upside goes, McCaffrey's got it over Saquon.
And so I just, I don't, I try not to even think about like, the injury
concern with Saquon, his own track record, the last few times he had over 260 carries in the season, he missed three
games the following season, his production was down. Now he's coming off of 400 plus carries. That makes me more
nervous than anything about 2000 total yards or anything else.
Plus he's 28 years old McCaffrey, man, the first time he falls down and misses
practice, you're going to see his ADP tank.
But until that happens, he's absolutely worthy of being closer to a top five
pick rather than a top 10 pick.
I get it.
People are scared.
They don't want to have Christian McCaffrey on their team after what happened
last year and in prior years, but you can't deny his upside.
He can score like a top six fantasy quarterback from the running back position.
I will just say, according to my research this morning, McCaffrey has
scored about a half point less per game in San Francisco than Barclay did last year.
So, and how many games is that Heath for Christian?
McCaffrey's played now 30 games in San Francisco, 31.
He averaged, that's a really, it is a very good stat,
but in his best season, 2023,
he averaged 24.7 fantasy points per game.
That's right.
Like a very good, but he also left.
Not consider Saquon's best.
He had to, okay, so if you take out,
if you take out the first game he played
for the Niners where he was limited,
and the last game he played for the Niners
where he left in the second quarter,
because Barclay didn't have any of those games in 2024.
I bet you it's about the same.
If not, McCaffrey a little higher.
And I think you could look at the full season that he played,
24.7 fantasy points per game,
is better than the full season that Barclay played.
And it's pretty obvious why he had 67 catches in 16 games.
I mean, we know he's going to catch more passes than Barclay.
I don't think he has much more upside.
He's not the 29 point scorer that he was.
He's not getting 115 catches or whatever.
And that was my-
Based on this receiving corp-
No, I mean, this is not going to happen. But that was my, that's my argument against having
McCaffrey third overall is the upside isn't that much higher than the other running backs.
You know, you could sit here and say, well, McCaffrey could score 28 points per game like
he used to. He's not going to, it's just not happening. And so Bijan has similar upside,
and Barclay has similar upside,
and Gibbs might have similar upside,
and it's like, well, then why am I even,
you could say to me,
why am I even taking McCaffrey third overall?
It's probably because I don't really believe
that because he was injured last year,
he's likely to get injured this year.
I just don't believe it.
I mean, you could have looked at Derek Henry
coming off of his eight game season,
and been like, well, he's 28 now and he's coming off an eight
game season. He's definitely more of an injury risk. He's played two full seasons since then.
So I just don't buy it. I don't buy that he's an injury risk personally. So you don't buy
that anyone's an injury risk. Not really. A few players, but not him. Maybe the guys
that get hurt every year, for example. Yeah. And even them, I like Higgins is probably an injury risk, but I don't draft him like
he's one.
You know, I pretty much don't care about injuries.
I think that's fine.
But we have to remember what we started with was you asking a Twitter poll who was safer
based on injury.
I don't think it's I don't think it's Berkeley.
I don't think it's either of them.
I should have put neither I guess I should have done a better poll.
But I don't think it's either of them.
Anthony Richardson though. That guy is a dream bro.
That one I buy.
We got to talk about him when we talk about more risers.
All right, let's talk, let's get to,
let's see what should we do here?
The news and notes?
Sure, let's do the news and notes.
So Shadr Sanders says, arm soreness,
Matthew Stafford is being eased back in.
We'll go to some running back news.
Cole Thompson of Texans Wire says that Nick Chubb's burst
is nowhere to be found.
Meanwhile, this is not from Cole Thompson,
but Joe Mixon could be ready for week one.
He's making progress recovering from a foot
and ankle injury.
Damien Pearce should be back during the preseason.
So I didn't like hearing that Nick Chubb
didn't have any burst, Jamie. just one report. But you know, Woody Marks got to
be on the sleepers list right now, right?
At this point, it's just so wide open. Yes, Marks is definitely
worth a late round flyer. You know, the fact that Mixon could
be ready for at some point early in the season, like he's still
the one you should be drafting first by far.
And maybe the only one you should be drafting just with the chance of him playing.
Like I actually drafted him in the flex leagues.
It was around eight and you know running backs went a little bit sooner than I expected.
So I'm hopeful that at some point by week four I can potentially start him.
I'm not expecting him week one to be in my starting lineup.
But if you can draft him as a high end reserve like that's the smart way to go at this point. I can potentially start him. I'm not expecting him week one to be in my starting lineup, but
if you can draft him as a high end reserve, like that's the smart way to go at this point. Preston Pysh I think his injury is worse now than it was last year, but last year,
it took him a while to even practice in Houston. I think it was till late August when he started
practicing with them and he went on week one and had a monster game, got hurt in week two,
missed a couple of games, came back house of fire, pretty much the rest of the year.
Love that value of round eight.
I would take them around earlier than that.
Wait, round eight for Mixon.
Oh, that's what you said, right?
Amazing.
Yeah. Awesome.
Yeah. That was, that's why I liked your team.
Yeah. If you take Joe Burr or Joe Mixon,
if your name starts with Joe, Adam will like your team.
There we go.
What else we got a running back?
Arizona apparently could use Trey Benson more.
So, well, all right.
Cam Scadaboo has a seemingly minor injury.
Tank Bigsby.
I don't know if it's minor to be honest.
They're working out running backs today.
Okay.
Ooh.
All right, we'll keep an eye on Scadaboo.
Obviously it's a big deal for
Tyrone Tracy. Tank Bigsby running ahead of Travis Etienne continues to be the
case. RJ Harvey could be the Joker in the Denver offense. But I was a Joker.
Yeah, they're all gonna be the Joker. And by the way, one of the news
items I had from this time, this show last year was Sean Payton praised his
running backs and said,
Javante Williams looks like a completely different player.
Well, he did look like a completely different player last year.
Sean Payton is not one to be trusted.
He's a bit of a prone to hyperbole.
I'll be Fleener.
He'll be Fleener.
But RJ Harvey.
To my face, to my face, he said that.
Would you take RJ Harvey or Joe Mixon? Harvey. Harvey. To my face, to my face he said that. Would you take RJ Harvey or Joe Mixon?
Harvey.
Harvey.
I will take Harvey right now,
but that will change the minute Joe Mixon's back at practice.
Elijah Mitchell has been, from what I saw,
Kansas City's number two running back.
Did you see something different Heath?
Yes.
I think it was Price Carter had said that it was basically a one a one B with
Pacheco and hunt and Mitchell was,
was the 30 his speculation was it like hunt on short yardage and passing downs.
Wow. There,
there was something I saw this morning that Pacheco's looked as good as he has
been in running routes and Mitchell comes with that
in his game, which I don't think anybody would have said coming out of San Francisco, but
hey, kudos to him if he's going to do that.
Presper Shard Smith has done some good things catching the ball too.
So those of you not named Adam, are you worried about there being too many cooks in this kitchen
in Kansas City's backfield and therefore not drafting Pacheco early?
I think at Pacheco's cost he's worth the risk,
you know, so you're getting him in round six or later. I'm fine with that.
Just knowing whatever running backs is on the board at that point. But I think that's the
earliest I would consider it. But yes, that's certainly because I know like Adam's very
optimistic about Pacheco. Well, I love his value. I do think there are some concerns, but I don't
really think he's got super hard competition.
If he's back to himself, I think he's going to be a steal in round six.
Also, I feel like that ADP is getting higher.
You know?
Yes.
You know?
I hope they cut Hunt or Mitchell, one of the two.
Yeah.
Okay.
Other running back news.
James Cook mispracticed for business reasons, so we know he wants a new contract. Wide receiver news, Khalil Shakir. This is actually a big deal. I
should have brought this up earlier in the show. Khalil Shakir, week to week with a high ankle
sprain. Dave, your take on what this means, if anything, for fantasy.
We have seen high ankle sprains capsize people's fantasy seasons. So between this and Kian Coleman's progress, because he's been a guy with a lot of buzz and Buffalo,
I'm not nearly as excited as drafting Mr.
High floor himself, Khalil Shakir.
Does anybody think Kian Coleman should be drafted ahead of Khalil Shakir?
I think we can get to that point. Not yet.
I don't really want to draft either one of them.
Okay.
But Coleman, if you're drafting him at cost
is a good value.
He's a dart throw at that point.
He's a great late round pick.
Palmer's a great late round pick at this point.
Later than Coleman.
I've been there.
Oh, David, let me go back to 2024.
This was in my notes.
Yeah. ESPN's Chris Rim on the Chargers wide receivers. Josh Palmer appears in position to be
the number one target. But after that, it appears to be an open competition between Quentin Johnston,
Lad McConkey and DJ Chark. Yeah, you know, all right.
Palmer three on draft day, though. He's got to cut. I hopefully it helps Kinkade. Right. Yeah, you would think know, all right. On draft day though, he's he got to cut.
I hopefully it helps Kinkade.
Right.
Yeah. You would think, right back at practice.
Uh, AJ Brown is a hamstring injury.
By the way, skipping over the James Cook thing is a little bit too much.
Like he's, this could be awful.
It could be great for Ray Davis.
Can be great for a Davis.
I, yeah, I just, like, I don't know what leverage James Cook actually has and he's scheduled
to make more money this year than he's made in his career so far.
So I have a hard time believing he's just going to give up game checks.
I don't think he's given up game checks, but again, the history of these guys that have
set out practice for contract situations, whatever the case may be is just what's happened
to them.
The last six, seven guys that have done it only one.
Even Chase got off to a slow start.
He did.
Does it mean anything that Cook did practice for a little bit?
I have no idea.
All I could tell you is the guys that have had contract situations that have forced them
to miss practice
The the results have not been good and and I think we're all kind of coming from a similar point here
Everything screams regression for cook and so now you're putting this on top of it. Like it just reason to
Be a little bit more concerned
Ray Davis had three games last year with double-digit carries. Yeah, He scored 13.7 PPR points or more in all three.
He had the one game where Cook did not play week six against the Jets,
and he scored 18 plus PPR points in that game.
Yeah. All right.
And here's a quote from AJ Brown, hamstring injury,
Devontae Smith back at practice.
Here's a quote from Ricky Pearsall.
Quote, I just felt like I was behind the eight ball.
I like to say that I rolled out of bed and started running routes because I damn near did. Here's a quote from Ricky Pearsall. Quote, I just felt like I was behind the eight ball.
I like to say that I rolled out of bed
and started running routes because I damn near did.
You can't really rehab a gunshot wound.
So I basically rolled out of bed
and started running routes in week seven.
From that week seven and on, that was my training camp.
Those practices in between before the games,
that was my training camp for me.
Interesting perspective there from Ricky Pearsall.
Tight end news, Pittsburgh beat writer Mark Kabali
called Pat Fryermuth the unquestioned number one tight end
and the heartbeat of this offense.
Kabali also said that Jalen Warren will run out
with the starters, but Caleb Johnson could get the bulk
of the carries sooner rather than later.
And he also says about Caleb Johnson, you quote,
you couldn't have asked for much more out of Johnson so far.
So I think we're gonna talk about that.
I'm kind of getting excited about him.
I don't think I'm ever gonna like put him into round four
or overreact like that.
But I like that he's had a mostly good start to camp.
And I'm thinking the Steelers are gonna be one
of those teams that use a lot of like two
and three tight end personnel sets because of John who and his
versatility last week.
Yeah.
With four tight ends.
I don't think they're going to do that very often, but they can clearly, you
know, how Arthur Smith is with these guys, like he'll line up John who
everywhere, he'll have a play where John who's lined up a quarterback.
It's ridiculous.
But I think if they're going to play a lot of two tight end, three
tight end formations, then that helps the run game, whoever's running
it, because that's extra blockers.
That's a, that's a win for Pittsburgh who's defense, by the way.
I mean, they're going up against Rogers and DK and I don't know
really what else is amazing there.
And I don't even know if Rogers is amazing, but apparently the defense has been flying around
and in camp for Pittsburgh.
All right, let's get, sorry, Heath,
I just wanna get to the rankings risers and followers.
Miami offensive tackle, Austin Jackson's out
at least a few weeks with a leg injury.
Listen to this, Devon HN averaged four and a half
yards per carry with Jackson on the field
and only 4.4 yards per carry with him off the field.
But we don't wanna see, they have a bad offensive line.
We don't want to see Austin Jackson.
Micah Parsons requested a trade that seemed like a long time ago, but we haven't had a
show since then.
And Atlanta rookie defensive end James Pierce is apparently having a very good camp.
They traded a first round pick and a second round pick to move up for Pierce.
All right, we're going to get to rankings risers and fallers.
Anthony Richardson. pick to move up for Pierce. All right, we're going to get to rankings risers and followers.
Anthony Richardson.
Raheem Morris, by the way, said still no update on Darnell Mooney. So hopefully he'll be back
soon.
Anthony Richardson, Tank Bigsby, RJ Harvey, Nico Collins. These are some of the guys we'll
talk about after this quick break on fantasy football today. All right, we'll go through
these fairly quickly here. And whenever you guys feel like you want to expand, go for it.
Jamie, your two quarterback risers are Anthony Richardson and Jordan Love.
Love, I think, was just having him too low to begin with, but I think also based on what
2023 and 2024 look like and sort of finding a middle ground of how much more they're going
to throw after investing heavily in the draft in their receiving core, I'm hoping for a
healthy Jordan Love,
which can get him back to that 21, 22 point per game range.
Just an easy late round quarterback to target,
not a top 12 guy for me,
but somebody that's a good settle for guy
and somebody to pair with, let's say, a Justin Fields
or a Kyler Murray or a Drake May,
those type of guys that have huge upside,
but obviously a lot of downside based on what we've seen.
In terms of Anthony Richardson, if he wins the starting job
He's going to be a cheat code for fantasy. Whatever you think of him. Whatever many games he plays
whatever the
Potential outcome by the end of the season if he gets a four or five six game stretch of being the starting quarterback like that
Could be 23 24 28 points per game just based on his legs
I think format matters, but he's just an easy late-round pick an easy guy to cut if you have to
But if you are inclined to take guy to cut if you have to.
But if you are inclined to take two quarterbacks and you have the right potential starter in
place, why not take a shot at him?
I did this in the Flex League, it's four points for passing touchdown.
I took Justin Fields, I actually took him as the seventh quarterback because of the
scoring format.
And then with my second to last pick, I took Anthony Richardson.
The guys that are still available on waivers, and this is part of it, see what your league
is and who you're drafting with.
It's going to sound funny, but Jared golf not get drafted.
Um, two was not drafted.
Pennix not drafted.
Bryce young, not drafted.
Like there's just so many easy fallback options that could be safer
floors than Richardson, but obviously not as much of a ceiling.
Yeah.
Richardson, man.
If you're moving Richardson up though, do you move down Downs, Pittman, Warren?
Or are we thinking,
because the reports have been pretty good.
I mean, at Saturday, I guess he had a really bad practice,
but they're saying Richardson has improved.
So last year, if you take away week four,
which he left early,
he was on pace for less than 3000 passing yards.
It's just pathetic and 14 touchdowns just obviously had big rushing
numbers. But I feel like for me,
I'm probably going to miss out on one of Downs Pittman or Warren
having a solid season.
I don't know about a huge season just because of the quarterbacks there,
but one of them is going to be, I think somewhat relevant,
hopefully consistently all season. The ugly part could be if it's a couple of games of
each guy and the quarterback play bringing them all down. It's really more about Richardson.
As his own entity, he could be a great fantasy asset. What he does for the collective is
probably bad across the board. And I don't think it's necessarily a change with Daniel Jones either based on his track record. Again, someone will do well.
They're all great at cost. Like you're not spending anything of a high draft pick on
any of the top three receiving options. If Pittman's back is fine, he could easily be
the best of the trio. Warren's unknown, especially his position, could be fantastic. Downs as we see and everybody who judges him can
tell the upside is huge but again his best numbers have come non Richardson.
So there's a lot to like about all three of them because they're basically free
on draft day but for me it's not necessarily Richardson up other
receivers down or vice versa. I just think for me I'm going to take a late round flyer on Richardson.
If I have the opportunity to and I like my roster,
it's not necessarily changing my opinion on the receiving court.
All right, Heath, you have Justin Fields as a rankings riser.
You really I thought he can get even higher in your rankings.
Well, I don't know how far back we're going with this,
but I would say that I made the decision over the weekend
and move him up to QB8.
So just on the thought that the vast majority of the leagues people play in are still one
quarterback leagues, especially for redraft purposes. And for a one quarterback league,
I don't for the same reason what Jamie was saying about Anthony Richardson, I don't think floor
really matters all that much. And fields has the opportunity to be a top five quarterback. So I left, of
course, my homes ahead of my left deck ahead of them. But
then when I got to the Brock Purdy, Bo Nicks, Baker Mayfield,
Jerry Jared golf range, I just think Fields has more upside
than all those guys.
Okay, you have him a Dave and Jamie have Justin Fields 10th.
And by the way, I'm going to move him actually to ninth ahead of Prescott okay these this is six
point per passing touchdown that they're doing this so I guess I have to ask you
is anybody gonna take him over my homes in a four point per passing touchdown
league that was the again the draft that I just did. Mahomes won six. I took field seven. Okay. What round did you take fields in? I want to say ten. Yeah okay. That's great.
And then Heath, how soon is too soon for fields? I think I've got him at the end of round seven.
Yeah that's not it. I mean it's a totally different thing. What Jamie's drafting with
analysts like most people there going to be seven quarterbacks
like gone by around seven.
And it's four points.
So it's going to push those guys down.
Right.
Right.
Getting it, getting him in round 10 and a four point seems like a gift.
Taking him around six points seems a little much.
Your turn.
Uh, Kyler Murray and Trevor Lawrence are the quarterbacks.
You're moving up.
You already talked about Kyler.
So Trevor Lawrence, where is he?
Uh, great camp for Travis Hunter so far when he's played offense and I still believe he's
going to play a lot of offense.
Brian Thomas Jr.
Um, it, it's kind of going under the radar, but he's been having some great plays as well.
We're not sure who's going to run the ball.
It's probably going to be a committee.
I think Trevor Lawrence, who has gotten some good reviews from the beat reporters in Jacksonville
I could see him having and not the same type of upside as Richardson or even fields
But like safer floor might be able to average 20 fantasy points per game
Not somebody I'd be afraid to take with a late-round pick to be my number two QB
Yep, you are the high guy on Trevor Lawrence at 13th.
Heath has him 15th, Jamie has Trevor Lawrence 16th.
And like I said, we talked about Kyler Murray
at the start of the show.
So let's go to some running back risers.
Dave, you've got RJ Harvey, Jordan Mason
and Jarquees Hunter.
I think you already alluded to Hunter.
If you have Kyron Williams though, and you wanna handcuff him, are you going with Hunter or Coram you already alluded to Hunter. Yeah, if you have Kyron Williams, though, and you want to handcuff him, are
you going with Hunter or Coram? You're going with Hunter?
Hunter, but it's with like my third to last pick second to
last pick.
Okay, RJ Harvey, you're moving up to where
I talked about him already. And at first, it seemed like he
wasn't adapting as well as we thought he would in Broncos
camp and adding JK Dobbins sent me for a loop, but forget about what Sean Payton says.
Everybody's talking about how he's picked it up and how he's doing a better job and
making catches downfield.
So that evidence is encouraging.
And he's kind of like in the same spot where O'Marian Hampton was for me a month ago,
where he and Dobbins are probably going to split reps to begin the season.
But then if Dobbins gets hurt or if Harvey just plays to his speed and better than expectations,
he'll be the lead back no question in Denver.
And we've seen it in Sean Payton's offense. We didn't see it last year.
But the lead running back in Sean Payton's offenses in the past has been very, very good for fantasy. So he's actually
my RB 24. I'm starting to get a little nervous that he's too low, but he's definitely somebody
that's got all kinds of upside and it's still a good value if you're getting him at the five,
six turn. Yeah. What about it? A half PPR league? Cause I think we're
expecting catches to really same thing for me. It's the same thing for RJ Harvey. All
right. Yeah. And Mason and we've, we've addressed him, but more talk, more talk about a split
backfield. Yeah. Like there's a report. I think it was ESPN Jamie. You can help me out
on that if I'm wrong, but like co RB ones. And it's just the drum beat continues to get louder for Mason
and quieter for Aaron Jones.
The report was that it's should be more of a committee than what we've seen.
Under this coaching staff, which is going into its fourth year that they've
never really had a committee that it'll be more closer to 50 50 then.
Yeah.
The only thing I would say is about continuing to move Aaron
Jones down because of these reports is Aaron Jones has been
in a committee almost his entire career. That's true. Like it's
that's kind of the way he's functioned. So I still think he
may turn into a good value.
That's what O'Connell was getting at. I mean, is basically
they felt they gave him too much work last year and all of his numbers were great. Like, playthrough injury, career high
in total touches, like he did fantastic for them. And I think that's just the concern
moving forward. And he said all this again, I keep repeating this, he said all this prior
to resigning him, like, you know, clearly there were deals in place, but it was we won't
want to give him this much work. Oh, hey, let's go trade for a guy bring in somebody else to give him work and to heat's point
Like all of these reports and I think just people realizing it, you know
I we haven't seen a lot of non analysts non best ball all these drafts
You know the majority of drastal will happen like where Aaron Jones ADP will probably settle because his name and what he did a year
ago plus the offense he plays in. But like he's settling to a
point where it's hard to say that's bad cost because he's in
that Pacheco Pollard, Nixon range, you know, of round six,
you know, you don't have to necessarily draft them to be a
starter if you know, depending on how your team goes. And if he
does hit and those pockets of games where he'll be great, he
should be fantastic value.
Okay, that's Aaron Jones. Jamie, you're moving up Omari and Hampton. Well, he he is moving up
Kareem Hunt because you mentioned that you saw a report that he's basically working as one a one
B one. I'm sorry, one B. But yeah, again, he's not a top 50 running back. It was just Jamie had listed
all of the running backs that were removed already. Right, right. a top 50 running back. It was just Jamie had listed all of the running backs
that were removed already.
Right, right.
So Jamie's running back list,
so Marion Hampton, who Heath is not moving up necessarily,
or at least not as high as Dave and Jamie,
but Dave and Jamie are thinking about Hampton
maybe in the third round.
Definitely, late round three.
Tank Bigsby.
So is he your highest ranked Jaguars running back, Jamie?
Yeah, it's hard to ignore
just everything you're hearing now.
I think from all accounts we're going to see all three guys play and Tooten got healthy over the
weekend so we'll see how much of a factor he has in this backfield at some point but at least
at the start of the season for week one it sounds like Tank Bigsby is going to be the starting
running back in a shared situation to what degree, again, how much you want to value that.
But in that next tier of guys, with the high-end backups that are going to matter to whatever
degree, the Jordan Masons, the Tai-Jay Spears, the Charbonnees, those type of options, Bigsby
is now in that range, the Giants runninges, those type of options. Like Bigsby's now in that range,
the Giants running backs, for example.
So I think when you look at,
Dave's talked about how the passing game should improve.
I mean, Liam Cohen's offense is just gonna be better
for this Jacksonville team based on what we saw a year ago.
So if the offensive line holds up,
I do think his receiving totals are a little bit
hard to gauge because at Auburn,
he did a much better job than what he showed at Jacksonville.
And I think, you know, I mentioned this previously, like it feels like it could be a Ken Walker
situation where looked better catching the ball in college, didn't necessarily get those
opportunities at the start of his NFL career.
And then, you know, there was something that changed for the Seahawks and it was coaching
change.
So maybe that's the same thing that happens for
for Tank in Jacksonville and Popitzky brings up an interesting name as well. They like LaQuin Allen also in that role too as a pass catcher. So it could be four guys at some point during the season.
I don't think you want to overvalue Tank Bigsby too much but if you're drafting him again as a
high end reserve maybe potential flex option early in the season I think that's a good way to go.
Do you feel the same way about Jerome Ford? Is he behind that whole group because you have again as a high end reserve, maybe a potential flex option early in the season. I think that's a good way to go.
You feel the same way about Jerome Ford.
Is he behind that whole group?
Cause you have him as a riser.
I mean, right now he's behind them, but he's obviously,
you know, fastly moving up the ranking.
Same with Dylan Sampson,
because the longer this Quintchon Judkins thing plays out,
the obviously it's better for Ford,
who by all accounts has had a good training camp
once he came back from his injury
that kept him off the
start of the practice field at the starter camp.
Deustelio is a running backs coach.
He's got a great history with getting a lot of production out of that position and glowing
about Jerome Ford and really saying a lot of good things about Dylan Sampson.
But Sampson just based on his size, Dan's talked about this a lot with Jalen Wright.
That system in Tennessee is not necessarily, I think, something you want to say, okay,
these numbers lead to great production in the NFL because it's just easy
to run for the volunteers. But a good late round pick at this point. So both guys moving
up a four hard to ignore if Judson's going to miss the start of the season, maybe all
of the season.
I heard the word fastly in there. I don't think I don't really think that's a word. I think, you know. Just quickly. All right.
I can't be the only one that gets ripped on on this show, right?
Braylon Allen.
We never get critiques.
Well, not for me.
Braylon Allen, Ray Davis.
Not from you.
I don't bust your chops that much, do I?
Am I a chops buster?
Go ahead. Okay. It's. bust your chops that much, do I? Am I am I a chops buster? Go
ahead. Okay. It's
I listen, take it easy there. Christian Bale, wherever it was
Braylett Allen, Ray Davis and Jackory cross such a great
opportunity to do your Bain impression. I can't do it
anymore. I can't do impressions anymore. I really stink at them.
But Jamie's moving up Braylon Allen, who's getting good buzz
and Ray Davis,
because of James Cook and Jacori Kroski-Merritt.
Jacori Kroski-Merritt, I mean really,
has got to be on your radar right now,
getting reps with the ones,
which isn't a shock or anything,
but Brian Robinson is not a special running back.
So if he struggles, there's an opportunity.
Eckler's there too, let's not forget about him.
All right, wide receivers. This is a
really interesting list from Jamie. We got Nico Collins and Brian Thomas Jr. moving up. Yeah,
what do you got now for Nico and Brian Thomas Jr.? I mean, Thomas, we talked about this last week,
but the report that Hunter is going to try and play every snap defensively, I think he's going
to be good when he's on offense. But there's a clear path here to Thomas being the guy that he was at the end of last season because of just Trevor Lawrence
being there, Liam Cohen's offense.
It was always a good situation for Thomas to begin with despite the addition of Travis
Hunter.
And if Hunter does not fulfill his prophecy to be the unicorn and play every snap and
maybe is better defensively than he is offensively, it just feels like we're going to get you know targets funneled to Brian Thomas and
Dave said it like to what you brought up Adam the rookies always get overhyped. We don't
hear a lot about the veterans when they're doing what they're supposed to do and Thomas
I think caught two touchdowns from Lawrence and their scrimmage the other day like he's
just been on fire. Niko was more just about adjusting those top tier wide receivers. Dave
mentioned that you know with the staffer back injury I'm a little concerned about Puka so it's
just moving Niko who was already close to begin with ahead of and Thomas ahead of ahead of Puka.
I didn't want to say Puka is a follower because I don't think it's something that you should be
overly concerned about it's just me me being more excited about Niko and Thomas than Puka at this
point. Go and Thomas. Okay so So give me your top five wide receivers.
Yeah, that
the top five are Chase, lamb, Jefferson, Nico neighbors. Okay,
Thomas is six.
You got George Pickens moving up the rankings.
Yeah, it's sort of readjusting that that back end wide receiver to group so it's basically like
23 through 30 ish so Judy fell for me McCloren is outside my top 24 it's you
know obviously the offseason reports from Pickens have been great and just
you know the opportunity for him so he's a back end wide receiver to Rice will
move back into the top 24 if he's not facing a long suspension so I have him ahead of Rice at this point. I'm probably the only one excited
about Devontae Smith just because again I can't have this narrative that Saquon may
struggle and the run game may struggle and it's not going to benefit both AJ Brown and
Smith so Smith is another guy that moved up in that range also but just moving Judy down
a little bit for the concerns we talked about started the show
Moving rice down moving the corn way down. I haven't met at wide receiver 30 right now
So just that whole little group we're basically the blob him the blob is always gonna adjust that that that 20
20 to 40 range will be the most most rankings moves that I have throughout the course of the offseason and Heath you're not
Yet in on George Pickens. You have in 36, Dave and Jamie have him 24th, 25th.
I think I, yeah, 36 is part of the blob.
Okay.
All right.
Emeka Abouka is not in the blob yet, but he, you know, Chris Goblin, we still
don't have a timetable for Chris Goblin to return.
So Abouka is a guy that steady drum beat, I guess, probably going to be
off the board around pick 100.
He's a rankings riser for Jamie.
I don't know, that might be a little high, maybe 110.
Luther Burden.
All right, I think we need to talk about Chicago here
because you have Luther Burden as a rankings riser.
Was he top, is he even top 40 at this point?
No.
I think I have, no, not top 40.
48.
Yep. Jim, one top 40. 48. Yep.
Jim one spot behind a Buca.
Dave has burden 55, Heath has burden 54.
Heath has Roma Dunze as a rankings riser moving a Dunze
who's let's see a Dunze is up to
I can't spell his name right.
31 for you Heath, 36 for Jamie 40th for Dave.
All right.
Some little exercise here.
I don't do a lot of exercising, but here's a mental exercise.
I tried to find over the last five years,
any team that had two wide receivers
average at least 14 points per game in PPR,
and a tight end average at least 10 points per game.
10 points per game for a tight end
is gonna be a borderline top 10 to 12 guy. 10 points per game for a tight end is gonna be a borderline top 10 to 12 guy.
14 points per game for a wide receiver
is gonna be somewhere between wide receiver 20 and 30,
depending on the year.
So these are start worthy guys,
two wide receivers and a tight end.
Over the last five years, guess how many teams,
oh, minimum 13 games played for all of the players.
Because obviously injuries change things so much. But minimum 13 games played for all the the players. Cause obviously injuries change things so much,
but minimum 13 games played for all the players.
Guess how many teams had two receivers average 14 points
and one tight end 10 points per game
over the last five years.
There's only one that's come to my mind
that might be close.
Who? And that's Dallas with my mind, that might be close. Who?
And that's Dallas with Cooper Lamb and Ferguson.
So it might've been,
it might've been Schultz instead of Ferguson.
What's the numbers again?
14, 14 points per game for two wide receivers
and 10 points per game for a tight end.
Philly?
Never, they never met the requirements
of everybody playing at least 13 games.
Right.
As you think about how much Goddard being out boosted Devante Smith.
They were very close.
They are the most encouraging example, I think, for the Bears this year.
But Sam Fran?
Sam Fran in 2023 is one of them.
But Depot Samuel had something like 250 yards and five touchdowns rushing.
So they wouldn't have qualified.
DJ Moore's lineup in the backfield. That could happen.
Yeah. Detroit last year. Detroit last year had Amon Ra, Jamison Williams, and Sam Laporta.
Those are the only two teams that have done this. Lions and 49ers. How many passing yards for those teams? The Lions
last year, 4,718 passing yards, 39 touchdowns. The 49ers, 4,577 yards, 33 touchdowns.
If you're looking at this list, other teams that have been close, 2023 Eagles, 2023 Texans
with Tankdale and Nico Collins and Dalton Schultz Schultz, like barely right around 10 points per game. Eagles twice, 2023 and 2022, the Tom Brady Buccaneers of 2020 and 2021. They,
they basically did it with Gronkowski, but they also had Antonio Brown on the team and
Goblin and Evans. Everybody was missing some time. The 2020 Steelers and the 2021 Rams were close.
The Rams had Robert Woods, uh, Cooper Cup, who was wide receiver one. Woods only played nine games.
I think Tyler Higbee did average
10 fantasy points per game.
Here's the takeaway though.
The Steelers led the NFL in pass attempts in 2020.
The Rams threw for 4,900 yards and 41 touchdowns.
Pretty much any team that does this
has a huge passing season or throws the ball a ton,
but mostly has a huge passing season in terms of ball a ton, but mostly has a huge passing
season in terms of yards.
God, Caleb Williams is having such a terrible camp right now after having a really bad rookie
year.
It's scary, right?
I'm not saying you have to buy it.
Maybe all this talent will elevate him, but can we get some good reports on Caleb Williams?
Can he really deliver for DJ Moore or Romo Dunze or Colson Loveland or Luther Burden? It's tough.
Yeah, I just think you're asking if like the question you asked at the end is a good one.
Can you deliver for one of those guys or two of those guys? These guys aren't necessarily being
drafted or ranked as if we actually believe all three of they're going to have two 14 point per game wide receivers
and a 10 point per game tight end.
I think, I mean, I think they basically are.
I think more, more yes.
Odunze, no, but you're drafting him in a range of guys that
we, I mean, you have them two spots behind Teterow,
McMillian, Millian, and then Jamison Williams, right?
Like if you're drafted Odunze 31a, McMillian, and then Jameson Williams. Right? Like if you're drafting
Odunze 31st, that wide receiver, you really want him to score 14 PPR fantasy points, at
least 13 and a half.
I'm surprised you have Odunze ahead of Pickens by that much, or not by that you have him
ahead of Pickens.
I dropped DJ Moore and raised Odunze a little bit in the last week. So I thumb lower on and it's more just uncertainty, but I'm not
probably drafting both of them.
Um, I just don't know, didn't know there should be quite as much
separation between them as there is.
I, I've been more skeptical and I like Pickens I've moved up a little bit, but
I've just been more skeptical that he's actually going to earn the type of
targets that he needs to on a team with CDM.
I think you'll have some huge spike weeks.
Okay.
No question.
And the Sanford Oduzai, I'm with you on that.
Like, you know, there, there's, I think similar range of
outcomes for both these guys.
I like for me, I just buy into the quarterback and at least what I've seen from.
Yeah.
I mean, that's the huge difference.
Um, I do think to your, to your point your point, Adam, and he was was on that
path. Like, no one's drafting these guys like you're drafting AJ Brown and Devontae Smith,
and and even Goddard. I don't know about that. I mean, Loveland,
part of the part of the part of the they're like, well, do and say in Loveland are getting
drafted sort of just behind the threshold that I'm talking about. If you think Luther Burden is going to matter and Colson Loveland is
going to have a good rookie year, then Caleb Williams needs to have a good year, right?
There's just not enough to go around.
The way that I come at it with the Bears and, you know, there's probably a handful of other
teams are in the same way, like I want to take dart throws on Ben Johnson. And so it's, I want to see if Loveland can become maybe Laporta, but a better version
of that from a catches and yardage standpoint.
I want to see if Luther Burden, because by all accounts, he's the slot receiver at this
point based on how they're using DJ Moran, Roma Dunze.
Can he be St. Brown?
So I'm going to take dart throws on those two guys at their price points.
Like Oh, Dunze is a little tough to buy into because like you said, he's in this range of guys
that there's a lot of similar upside
and maybe more certainty around him.
DJ Moore is the toughest one for me to gauge
because of when you have to buy into him.
So it's like when you're comparing him to
Cortland Sutton and DK Metcalf
and Xavier Worthy slash Rashi Rice,
depending on how that all plays out and
Mike Evans and and those type of receivers like you can make the case for and against DJ Moore
You know comparatively to those guys based on
What happened at the end of last season your belief and maybe what Kayla Williams with Ben Johnson can become like there's all these different moving
parts
and
so the way I come at it with the Bears like like if I get DJ Moore at the right price,
like we did the pick by pick Adam,
and all those receivers went off the board,
and I was the one pick, I forget,
I think it was the four or five turn.
You had just taken Sutton
because you used my rankings right in front of me.
I did not.
It was kind of like a settle for pick
because he was my best receiver on the board
and I wanted to take a receiver there
because I didn't love the running back value.
So it was like he's in that group of guys. But I think when it comes
to you know aside from him the other three like if Odunze falls to the right price I'll
buy. I'm certainly going to take shots on Loveland and what's the price for Odunze?
Yeah what's the right price? I think round seven for me is where I'll take a chance and
again most drafts I see him go in that range are a little bit sooner.
Anything after around 7 to me is easy.
Like again, I don't want to keep bringing up my drafts,
but I did the Flex leagues
where you do not have to play a tight end.
I wanted Luther Burton,
stupid Alfredo Brown stolen from me.
And then don't play a tight end.
I took a chance on Loveland.
It's an easy Flex play.
You know, it was like round 13, I think.
Round 14 maybe of a 16 round draft.
Why not?
If he becomes that guy, that's an easy 12 or half PBR, 10, 11 half PBR points if he's
that good.
Okay.
But you can make that case about so many guys.
And the thing is what I'm saying is they've they've never had a 4000 yard passer in their in
their history, we probably need Caleb Williams to throw for like
4200 yards, I think, to, to have, and let you know, to, I
don't know, it's okay, I'm not saying it well, but the bottom
line is, it's risky, I think, to spend significant draft capital
on the Bears. I can't argue with you taking late round picks. But
if they have four good pass catchers,
Caleb Williams better have a damn good year
or it's gonna be tough for anyone to stay out.
If they have four good pass catchers,
he will have a damn good year.
If they have, well, if these guys are as good as we say,
and they're all competing for targets,
then there may not be enough to go around.
Caleb Williams could crush these four guys
if he doesn't improve.
And the fact that he's been horrible in camp after a bad rookie year is trouble, troubling.
I don't care really at all about the camp stuff with Caleb Williams yet.
But I think that what's more likely, and we like this is the case for a lot of teams,
it used to be the case for the 49ers. And it's probably the case for the Chiefs right now,
because the Chiefs are the one team actually being drafted to have two wide receivers score
more than 14 fantasy points per game that tied in score 12. That's a good point. But what's probably going
to happen is one of these guys is going to really just stink. Yeah. I think multiple guys. Not two.
Pick the one you believe in. Not three. I think two of the two of the Bears guys are going to stink
and it may be at different times during the season. Like DJ Moore may get off to a great start
because he's the most proven and then Odunze and Burden by the end of the season
or Burden and Loveland. I think that you know I was thinking about the Browns conversation
to start the show like Judy is more you know Tillman is Odunze or Burden you know Deontay
Johnson and it's easy to make the Nijoku Loveland comparison too based on how they're getting
drafted like it's very similar like the joke a Loveland comparison to based on how they're getting drafted. Like it's very similar, like crappy quarterback situation
could derail all this easily.
Okay.
And yet flacco might throw for more yards and touchdowns than
Caleb Williams.
Right? Yeah.
Okay.
I said might.
And let's see, DeMario Douglas, Jamie has been talking about
that for a couple weeks. Dave, Dave has Matthew Golden and Ke Keon Coleman as risers. Do you also have Matthew Golden as your top ranked Packers
receiver? Yes. Yeah, yeah. It's been that way for a while. Just the fact that he's got a great type
of skill set that is, it's unique to the Packers right now. It wasn't unique to them before because
they had Christian Watson, but Watson clearly not healthy
and not ready to go week one as of, as of this podcast. And Golden, the one thing that I was worried about him in the
draft process is, do you evaluate him based only on his last 10 games in Texas when he really had a big opportunity? And
do you throw away the other games at Texas, plus what he did at the University of Houston. And it
seems like he's more of that receiver the last 10 games, and they've been talking about how dialed in he's been and, you
know, staying in close contact with Jordan Love. And these are all things that you love to hear about and read about. But
what he's doing on the field is also a positive. There's a, I can't rule out that if, if Caleb doesn't turn it around and there aren't more stacked days
for the Bears offense, why would you not draft the number one receiver for Green Bay over
the number two, question mark, receiver for Chicago?
So Golden could jump Roma dunze at some point.
And Keon Coleman, if he keeps stacking days, I think that's a harder sell to put him over
Roma Dunze.
But what if he ends up being the number one receiver for the bills?
I've not been the biggest Caleb Williams backer.
So I don't want to get too far over my skis here, but we gave like we're on like year
six of giving Trevor Lawrence one more chance.
I don't understand why we weren have turned on Caleb Williams so fast.
I'm not counting him out. After a week and a half of bad practices and a couple of them apparently
were okay. Like he had a bad rookie year. It's the first couple of weeks of training camp in a new
offense. Okay. If you thought this guy was a generational talent 18 months ago, I don't think we should
be poo-pooing him the way we are right now.
This could be one of those things that we look back in October and say, LOL, remember
when we thought Caleb Williams was going to be terrible because he had 10 best practices?
I completely agree with that.
It would be nice for him to do something good.
And there is still time for him to do something good.
And this is to Heath's point as well.
If Shane Waldron is his play caller, I don't know if we have much faith in Caleb Williams
getting workarounds for the things that he's not good at, but Ben Johnson's his play caller
and play designer and it's a new playbook.
And maybe that's why he's off to a slow start.
Maybe you're absolutely right.
But I do think that Ben Johnson will probably dial up a lot
more to, to highlight what Caleb is good at. And it's going to be those short, quick throws,
I would imagine. And that would be great for DJ Moore. That could be really good for Colson Loveland.
I don't know if it's going to be that good for Romo Dunze. We just have to really take it
day by day, week by week in training camp and make the best educated guests we can by the end.
All right.
We're going to skip fallers today.
We're going long here.
We have a show at 1 p.m. Eastern on CBS Sports Network.
And Heath, you are you have Romo Dunze as a riser.
You talked about that.
You talked about McMillan, Cedric Tillman and Jalen Waddle are the last two guys. I already talked about Tillman with Jerry Judy, and I've just kind of slowly
readjusted the lost target share for John O.
Smith.
And I think I probably gave a little bit too much to Darren Waller when he signed,
even though I didn't give him near as much as you would have liked at him.
And I think there's a good chance this offense goes back to more of a ignore
the tight end position, which is great for Jalen waddle. And there's always the possibility
that Tyreke just disappeared at some point during the season and
Jalen waddle at the top five wide receiver.
Would you rather have waddle or Odunze?
Waddle. Yes.
Okay, would you rather have waddle or?
Hmm, hold on one second. Let me get a good one here have waddle or? Hold on one second.
Let me get a good one here.
Waddle or Zay Flowers.
Waddle.
Waddle or a rookie.
Travis Hunter.
Yeah.
Waddle is over the rookies for me.
I'll take the rookies.
McMillan and Hunter.
Just those two.
Not all of them.
Okay.
All right, guys. of them. Okay.
All right, guys.
Thank you very much.
Thanks everybody for watching and listening.
We'll talk to you tomorrow with the first part of a two-part running backs preview.
We'll give you kind of the lay of the land of the position, some sleepers, breakouts,
and busts.
We'll talk about the early round guys and we'll see you then.
Have a good one.
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