Fantasy Football Today - Sophomore WRs! This Class Has Big Upside and Big Downside
Episode Date: February 26, 2026We start with sophomore wide receiver trivia and then we've got some news and notes (6:15) including a note on Ashton Jeanty's role in the Las Vegas backfield ... Getting into this class with our Top... 3 (11:30) for 2026. Do we like Emeka Egbuka or Tetairoa McMillan at #1? Luther Burden will be #3 as of now. We spend a lot of time on these guys including what went wrong for Egbuka after his first five games, the obstacles for Burden and what went wrong for McMillan in his last five games ... Who in this class will be overdrafted (35:55)? Which players might be NFL busts (36:30)? Matthew Golden comes to mind, but what about Tre Harris? Travis Hunter? Who are some sleepers (42:08) in this class? And in case we missed anyone, we go through the entire draft class (46:40) and talk about the relevant guys ... Your emails at fantasyfootball@cbsi.com Fantasy Football Today is available for free on the Audacy app as well as Apple Podcasts, Spotify and wherever else you listen to podcasts Watch FFT on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/fantasyfootballtoday Shop our store: shop.cbssports.com/fantasy SUBSCRIBE to FFT Dynasty on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fantasy-football-today-dynasty/id1696679179 FOLLOW FFT Dynasty on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2aHlmMJw1m8FareKybdNfG?si=8487e2f9611b4438&nd=1 SUBSCRIBE to FFT DFS on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fantasy-football-today-dfs/id1579415837 To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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This is fantasy football today from CBS Sports.
Swat play!
It's time to dominate your fantasy league.
Off to the races and he stays on his feet.
Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie, and Heath.
Well, in 2024, we had Brian Thomas Jr., Malik Neighbors, Ladd-McConkie,
all finished top 13 overall.
Neighbors and Brian Thomas Jr. were top six overall.
In 2023, we had Pooka Nakua as a top five.
rookie wide receiver, top-by wide receiver as a rookie. Last year, you know, not quite as good.
Tetero-McMillan did finish 15th overall, 23rd per game. Ameka Abuka, had a strong season,
but obviously finished poorly and finished wide receiver 36 per game. But there's a lot of talent
here and a lot of reason to be optimistic. And we're going to, I don't know, I think we're going to
be pretty optimistic on today's show. Welcome, everybody. It is Thursday, February 26. We're looking
at the sophomore wide receivers. And we're going to be.
got some sophomore wide receiver trivia and Heath you're allowed to play today because I didn't send you the answers.
Oh, good.
You ready to, you're going to win?
You think you're going to win?
I don't know.
All right.
Let's see.
Sophomore wide receiver trivia, minimum 25 targets for some of these stats.
25 targets.
So they had at least one and a half targets per game.
Well, yeah, I mean for some of these stats, but this one is irrelevant in terms of that minimum.
Who had the most targets?
Tederoa McBillan.
I'll say a boo.
Oh, good job, Dave.
After Heath took McMillan off the board.
Dave gets the first one, right?
Abuka had 127 targets.
Led the position.
McMillan had 122.
Who had the highest targets per route run rate?
Is that bird?
I got to give it to Dave.
You got in there just ahead of Jamie.
Yeah, it's Luther Burden.
What was Emeka Abuka's target share in his last four games?
which were the only four games he played with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin healthy.
A Mecca Bucca's target share in those four games.
Closest wins.
A dead branch from a tree.
What did you say, Heath?
17%.
17%.
12%.
J.B. wins. It was 13.8%.
Yikes.
Jalen Lane had the highest drop rate among rookies at 9.7%.
Who had the second highest drop rate at 8.3%.
Tet?
No.
Close.
He's bad, though.
Abuka.
Also bad, but not quite as bad as Luther Berden.
Lutheran, Tetero-McMillan, and Mecca-Buga all need to work on their dropses.
And finally, which rookie-wide receiver tied Tenerol-McMillan and a Mecca-A-Bucca for the most end-zone targets with 11?
This one is impossible.
It's unbelievable that he had 11.
Because he only had, let's see, how many,
let's see how many targets this guy had for the year.
He had 27 targets for the year,
and 11 of them were in the end zone.
Oh, man.
What conference?
NFC.
NFC.
NFC North.
Oh, Isaac Tesla.
Yes.
Insane stat right there.
Isaac Tesla.
And there you go.
Dave, I think, wins the trivia contest.
Congratulations, Dave.
Way to go, Dave.
I feel amazing.
Heath, I'll give you the answers next time.
Thank you.
All right, we got a lot of other podcasts.
Go to CBS Sports.
You give Heath the answers all the time since he always wins.
Yeah, maybe.
Maybe that's what it is.
We need some transparency on this show.
Go to CBSports.com slash podcasts.
Check out all of our shows.
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All right.
Trivia question for you now, Adam.
All right.
Let's do it.
Which of those podcasts is Ryan Wilson on?
Who's Ryan Wilson again?
Well, Ryan Wilson's going to be buzzing.
now that the Jets and Titans have made a trade.
We'll talk about that in a second.
Just some quick news and notes.
ESPN reporting that teams are monitoring the trade market for Brian Thomas Jr.
Todd Munkin, the new head coach of the Brown, says that the Browns will have an open competition at quarterback.
And here's the Jets trade.
They have traded defensive end Jermaine Johnson to the Titans for defensive tackle to Vondres sweat.
Jamie, what do you make of that?
I believe Robert Sala was on the Jets staff when they drafted Jermaine Johnson.
So that's a reunion of getting a guy that I'm sure he likes
and hopefully improves the pass rush for the Titans.
And listen, they have one of the best things already.
Sounds like there's a plane flying over what Dave said.
So it sounded like.
I mean, the jets are, I think, opening up a spot to go get a premier pass rusher in the NFL draft
at the number two overall pick.
So, you know, that probably.
is a precursor to the next move for them.
But hopefully it works out well for both,
and the Jets can improve their run defense.
Yeah, so the Jets get the defensive tackle to Vandre Sweat.
The Titans get the defensive end, Jermaine Johnson,
and the Jets have the second pick,
and the Titans have the fourth pick.
All right.
All right, here we go.
Did I send you?
Oh, wait, what was that again?
Kind of relevant to what we talked about yesterday.
Okay.
Raiders head coach, Clint Kubiak, says that they want a two-main
show at Running Back, wants to have a wingman for Ashton Genty.
Well, Jamie, you sent it to me, so I'll let you talk about it first.
Well, I mean, it's just, it makes sense, you know, to, you know, take some pressure off of
Genty.
We hate it because we want to see Genty get the same amount of work that he got as a rookie,
which helped allow him to still be a very solid fantasy option, just not the guy that we
were drafting.
It's just going to come down to who it is.
You know, is it going to be somebody of prominence?
Is it going to be, you know, a rookie that they work in?
in. We've heard these stories and seen this from teams time and time again where they want to take pressure off of the lead running back and then the lead running back is just too good and they can't take them off the field.
So the, you know, Kubiak is obviously coming from a system that had a lot of success with two running backs and Ken Walker and Zach Charbonnet.
And so you don't want to see those, you don't want to see Gentie in that type of situation where he's either losing touchdowns or losing passing down work because, you know, he can obviously do both of those and have a lot of success doing that, especially if the Raiders, as we talked about yesterday, get better across the board, quarterback, coach.
coaching staff and obviously offensive line.
So we'll just have to see what that spot is.
You know, if it's, you know, somebody that like a Tyler Alger, for example,
do they go and sign someone that's going to maybe be a touchdown vulture type of player like Charonet was?
Is it going to be a Kenneth Gainwell type?
Like a pass catching guy?
Is it going to be just, you know, again, a day two, day three rookie that they just, you know,
try and develop and, you know, give some opportunities just to take, you know,
Gent Dopt to field for a few snaps.
So it's going to, you know, TBD right now, but I think it's not ideal that we're hearing
Kubiak say that already.
Just looking at the history, because I tweeted this out this morning, Clint Kubiak,
he's been an offensive coordinator three years.
2021, Delvin Cook averaged 21.8 touches per game.
2024, Alvin Camara averaged 21.1 touches per game.
And then last year, it was Ken Walker at 15.2.
So it could be that he had a major change of heart before the 2025 season.
It could be he just had a more balanced backfield last year.
And so they split it up more.
The other thing is, like, Genti averaged 18.8 touches per game last year on a team that ran fewer plays than anybody else in the NFL.
If they're going to run a league average number of plays, they were going to have to have somebody else have more touches because he's not going to touch the ball 24 times a game.
Right.
This isn't the end of the world for Genti whatsoever.
Depending on who they sign.
Right. If it's somebody who's got a lot of pop and could end up being in a 50-50 split, gosh, that would be terrible.
Even if it's something close to what he had in Seattle last year, I think the reason why Kenneth Walker didn't have the same type of work as what you said, Heath, Camara in 2024, Dalvin Cook in 2021, they had two running backs that they really liked and they wanted to try and preserve Kenneth Walker.
I don't know if he's going to feel exactly that same way about Ashen Gentie, but it does depend on.
who the second guy even is.
And he did that number for Walker include the playoffs?
No.
Right.
So that number would be way higher if you included the playoffs.
You got to AzerStat the games that Charbonnet didn't play at the end of the year.
Oh, does the AzerStat include the playoffs?
Well, you wouldn't have to include the playoffs because Charbonnet didn't play.
Sharbon only miss one game in the regular season.
Oh, right.
He got hurt in the playoffs.
Okay, never mind.
So you can keep it.
I mean, if you wanted to, you could.
get rid of week three heath but i'll allow it it's fine now it's a good stat and good perspective there
what if uh unfortunately walker follows kubiak to Vegas oh that'll be such that's there be such a mistake
that's the other side of this thing is like i don't know if any team has as many holes as the raiders
do so if they do designate significant resources cleveland cleveland at least has a good defense
Yes, but they've got almost nothing on offense.
Yeah, well.
No offense to Jerry Judy, as they a bond.
These teams stink for sure.
Or Sanders.
All right, ready to get into the sophomores?
Let's do it.
Sophomore wide receivers rank your top three, Heath, Dave, Jamie.
For specifically for 2020-25 or 26?
Yeah, uh-huh.
I'll go Tederoa McMillan, Emeka, Buka, Lutherberg.
Same.
Same as of now, but Abuca may move up to the top of the list,
depending on what Tampa Bay's receiving court looks like.
Okay, so let's discuss that.
Teterol McMillan, Emeka, Bucca, Luther Bird,
and everybody's got it in that order.
So, Jamie, what would be the scenario in which Abuka would jump ahead of McMillan?
Mike Evans gone for sure and potentially Chris Godwin as well.
Dave, how about you?
What would be the scenario in which Ameca, Abuka would leaprog, Teterole McMillan?
So what's the scenario?
What if the Panthers improve their run game and add another wide receiver with a day two pick?
I think that would be something that would hurt Tedaroa McMillan's opportunities.
And a mecca, Bucca, same thing.
Like if Evans is gone, that should keep Abuka ascending.
Heath, do you see any scenario in which you'd move Abuca ahead of McMillan?
Well, sure.
I mean, we've got a whole offseason worth of moves.
so, but I think they pretty well covered it.
Okay.
Yeah, I mean, I gave that stat about Abuca having a 13.8% target share in the last four games of the year with Evans Godwin and Jalen McMillan for what it's worth all healthy.
And that's obviously concerning.
And not only that, he just didn't play that much.
His snap share went way down.
His guy was playing over 80% of the snaps every week.
It was like two thirds of the snaps when all those guys were healthy.
That's a mecca, Abuka.
but I'm going to give you a stat about Tedroa McMillan that you need to know as well.
I'm going to do that after we take this little break on fantasy football today.
We will be right back.
Emeka Buka was not the only wide receiver in this class that saw a lower target share down the stretch.
In Tetaroa McMillan's last five games, he was actually only on pace for 88 targets.
Carolina averaged 27 pass attempts per game.
they got super run heavy.
They weren't like allowing fewer points or anything like that.
They allowed basically the same amount of points
as they were allowing in the first 12 games of the year.
But in the last five games of the year,
a 21.3% target share for McMillan.
Much better than the staty gave about a Buka,
13.8% with everybody healthy.
But you did see Jalen Coker start to get more involved.
Jalen Coker had a 19.7% target share
in the last five games of the season.
And then in the one playoff game,
12 targets for Coker,
seven targets for Teterola McMillan.
So to sum it up,
McMillan was on pace
for 136 targets
in his first 12 games,
88 targets in his last five games.
His target chair went way down
probably because of Jalen Coker,
but also the pass attempts
went way down for Carolina.
So, yeah, just something to keep in mind there.
And it wasn't really a standout season for McMillan.
He had one huge game,
33 fantasy points at Atlanta in week 11.
And he had three other games with 16 or more points.
But, you know, he struggled.
I wonder if his career is going to look like Garrett Wilson's and Crystal Lave's, basically,
being held back by pretty bad quarterback play, I guess I'd say.
I don't know how you guys feel about that.
But yeah, let's break down Senator McMillan a little bit here, Heath.
And he finished, he had pretty, I think a pretty similar sense.
season overall to the rookie years of OLAV and Garrett Wilson.
So I see some parallels there.
Yeah, I mean, there's there's quarterback concerns.
There's past volume concerns.
But I think even so, and yeah, he played 17 games, so he doesn't quite fit the typical 16 metric.
But 17 games, he gets 1,000 yards.
He scores seven touchdowns.
The history of guys that have done that in their rookie year is mostly positive.
So I think you're going to get a number, a top 30 wide receiver, the
hope is that he becomes a top 20 wide receiver.
I think he's probably going to be drafted that way, I guess.
Yeah, yeah.
And then on the other hand, Dave, I think you can make the case.
Abuka is going to have the offense behind, right?
The Buc's offense wasn't that much better than the Panthers offense.
Panthers finished, I think, 27th in scoring.
And the Bucks were about 20th in scoring.
but they're capable of so much more.
So if you wanted to make the case for Abuka over McMillan,
you could say, well,
he's going to be on a better offense.
And again,
he had more targets than McMillan last year.
So what are your thoughts there, Dave?
It could absolutely happen.
And I would ask people to focus on the best parts of the Bucca's offense,
which were their first five games.
And then we talked about it before,
just tons of injuries.
Abuka himself got hurt.
He had a hamstring injury.
At first, it was,
talk they was going to miss some time and then he ended up playing through it.
I don't think that helped him at all.
Baker wasn't Baker.
The offensive line wasn't very good.
I'd like to know where Tampa's offense was those first five weeks in terms of
scoring because I think they were pretty dang good.
And Abuka certainly benefited from that and was getting a ton of targets per game,
a few more per game than what McMillan averaged over the course of the season.
But I can't sit here and say that Carolina's offense is dead in the water.
They've got potential to be better too.
They've got to continue to protect Bryce Young.
I thought when Young had time, he would make some excellent throws.
And we could say that about a ton of quarterbacks in this league.
McMillan just has to still see a ton of targets per game, stop dropping the ball all over the place.
Seven drops were terrible last year.
His catch rate was 57% at him.
That was 25th out of 28 wide receivers that saw 100 targets last year.
He's got to get better at just simply catching the ball.
He's a great talent.
And so it's going to come down to which of those two receivers are going to continue to have a big role in their offense and which offense will stay healthy slash take the next step in 2026.
Yeah, but what you said about McMillan, he had a higher catch rate than Abuca.
Abuka had a 50% catch rate and Abuca had a higher drop rate.
Like I said, all three of these guys that you guys ranked as your top three sophomores, which has to be the case here of McMillan, Abuka, Burden.
All three of them had issues with drops and not just total drops, but drop rate.
So they got to fix that for sure.
Jamie, yeah.
I'm trying to say how many drops of Bucca had after the injury.
I really think the injury impacted him quite a bit.
The first five games of the year, the Bucke was ninth in scoring.
And he was amazing.
He was the number, Abuka was the number three wide receiver per game.
In the last 12 games, he was the number 58 wide receiver per game.
Yeah, it was terrible.
It's not all the injury.
The injury happened, I don't know, week nine-ish, something like that.
Yeah.
Jamie, and he definitely had some drops in those first.
He had three drops in his first four games,
and two of them were on short throws.
Jamie, I've got a theory about what went wrong for Abuka,
but what do you make of the splits?
First five games, he averaged over 20 fantasy points per game.
Last 12 games, he averaged less than eight fantasy points per game.
Well, I mean, it was the receivers getting healthy for Tampa Bay.
I think it's the biggest thing.
So, you know, Dave's right.
He obviously tried to play through the hamstring injury.
Baker tried to play through the shoulder.
or injury.
Offensive line was banged up.
But, you know, you're just putting talented players that have a history with the Bucks with
Baker Mayfield.
And, you know, obviously, it's tough for a lot of young players, you know, when they're
getting to the end of their season, you know, playing from a, you know, more games and, you know,
hitting that rookie wall potentially.
I think the hardest thing for Abuka is just really going to be personnel.
You know, if the bucks lose one or two guys, then it's an easy path to success for him.
that's what was so successful for him early in the season with Godwin trying to come back from the ankle
injury and obviously Evans not being there. That was huge when everybody was healthy and, you know,
Baker was leaning on his guys. It was difficult. He might be able to make an argument that if
Evans and Godwin are still there, assuming McMillan is still there also, and DJ Moore
leaves Chicago, Luther Burden is probably in a better spot than a Mecca book. I don't think they'll
get drafted that way. But, you know, Burden is kind of said.
free. The burden is relieved from burden. Then there's an easier path to success for him than
there would be for Emeka Abuka. Yeah. Now, all right, so you're saying the guys getting healthy,
but I mean, there's only those last four games where everyone was healthy. So Abuka had a,
all right, he had these great first five games. Then he had an, if you, if you just take it in segments,
you know, factoring everything we just said, nobody there in the beginning of the season.
No, Evans was there in the beginning of the season.
Evans was there for three of the first five.
Godwin was not.
Okay.
So not everybody there for the first part of the season.
Then you have the injury to both Abuka and Mayfield.
And then you have everybody fully healthy.
So it's like you segment it and it's easy to sort of see what happened.
All right.
But he had Evans in weeks one through three.
He had Godwin in weeks four and five.
So he had one of them in all five of those games.
And he was the number three wide receiver per game, averaging 20 and a half fantasy points per game.
Then he gets an eight games.
Now, this is the perplexing part to me.
In eight-game stretch, before these last four games where Abuka's target share plummets,
eight-game stretch where he is on pace for 153 targets.
He's getting nine targets per game, and he's turning that into a pace of 62 catches,
767 yards, and two touchdowns.
And every week it was like, do we start him?
He's getting targets.
Evans is out or Godwin is out, and he just was not producing.
What was it, yards per target?
Five yards per target.
Him not healthy, fully.
Baker not healthy, fully.
Eight game sample size of what he does and what he doesn't do
and how to defend that.
Those things all come to play.
I mean, I guess these are just the stats.
He had this opportunity.
It didn't work.
I want to show some screenshots if we can because I think the biggest thing was the deep balls.
In the first five games of the year,
he was making big play after big play.
and then after that, let me show you some screenshots.
This is like second half of the year,
past attempts of 20 or more air yards.
See how he's open.
I got him circled.
This was an incompletion.
For those of you who were just listening,
I'm showing screenshots of a Mecca-A-A-Buka getting open downfield
and Baker-Mayfield either missing him or Abuca dropping it.
So he's got...
This is what week?
This is the Lions game.
This is like week 10 or something.
So Baker's already injured at this point.
Sure.
Week 7. This is week 7.
Yes.
All right, he's open here.
This is the game Baker got hurt, right?
This is the game Evans got hurt.
I don't know if Baker got hurt in this game.
I don't remember.
Here he is.
This should have been a touchdown.
He destroys this defensive back against the Saints.
This is week 8.
Incomplete pass.
Here he is against the Rams.
I remember this one.
This I think was a Thursday night, maybe.
Or Monday night or Sunday night or a Sunday night.
Sunday night.
Yeah, he's got two or three steps against the Rams cornerback here in week 12.
Incomplete pass.
And this one, we probably all remember.
He abuses this Saints defensive back.
This was in week 14.
Baker makes a good throw here.
And he dropped it.
Abuka dropped it.
We couldn't believe it.
But I think that was the thing that really stood out to me.
In his first five games, eight catches, 291 yards, four touchdowns on 13 targets
of 20 or more air yards.
Last 12 games, two catches for 71 yards, no touchdown.
on 14 targets of 20 more air yards.
So I don't know, Heath, you know, I look at that as, man,
there were some opportunities that Baker missed him on or he dropped,
but also he was pretty big play dependent,
so it's good and bad.
I also remember making the same exact case
and showing the same types of screenshots for Xavier Worthy last year.
And it didn't work out in year two.
So what do you make of the deep ball splits for Abuka?
I think deep ball splits are inherently wacky.
And you're going, like if you're being targeted well downfield on a regular basis,
you're going to have some hot and cold stretches,
because those are not consistent targets.
And he had a 12.18 off for the season.
That's probably a little bit high for a guy that's going to be a high volume guy.
I kind of expected to be more of a short area target when he was coming into the league.
So I think some of that, listen, the biggest thing I think is which Baker Mayfield do we get?
Right.
Do we get the guy?
I mean, he's had what, basically two-year?
like the end of 2023, all of 24, and the start of 2025,
where he looked like a great quarterback.
He's had lots of stretches in his career,
including the second half of last year,
where he really did not.
His off-target rate ballooned in the second half of the season.
Maybe that was all injury-related.
Maybe it was a little bit of Baker-Mayfield inconsistency.
But if Baker's back to being an elite quarterback next year
and Mike Evans is somewhere else,
then Abuka absolutely has the chance to be better than Tetero-McMill
and maybe even be a top 12 wide receiver,
but there's ifs involved that we're just not going to know.
There's a comment here from Big Farts.
I love reading that name.
Emeka Buka is always wide open.
Well, ESPN's analytics had him 104th out of 110 wide receivers in OpenScore.
He was toward the bottom of that all year,
and people were just always questioning that.
It did seem like this guy knew how to get open.
I don't really understand that score, but that's what it is.
All right, so those are McMillan and Abuka.
Let's talk about Luther Burden, Jamie, and you said, yeah, there's a scenario where Luther
Burden could be approaching these guys in ADP.
And he led, he had one of the best yards per outrun of any rookie wide receiver.
Probably ever.
I only looked at the past 12 or 13 years.
He didn't have that many targets, though.
Man, I went back and I watched tape today, and he's so fun.
Just makes guys miss incredibly well.
What are your thoughts on Luther Burden?
and his potential.
Huge potential.
I mean, you know, we saw it at the end of the season when Romo Dunezay was out
and he was getting those opportunities, he was getting those targets.
Caleb Williams was leaning on and Ben Johnson was featuring him.
And that's the hope that what we see in his second season in 2026,
obviously that's tough to count on if Moore is still there because they'll mix and match
all three of those guys assuming they're healthy.
But I think you just look at what the upside and the potential is in this offense.
And, you know, we were all sort of trying to figure out to be.
in the season last year, you know, who's going to be the Amar Rush St. Brown for Ben Johnson.
And there really wasn't one guy that materialized.
You maybe make the argument that we saw that from Byrd and toward the end of the season when he got
this chance or got those chances.
I just think that if everybody's there, it's almost as bad as what we're talking about for
Abuka in Tampa Bay, maybe worse, just because of Loveland and what he's potentially
capable of doing with 10 plus targets in his final four games, including the playoffs.
But with Dune's Day, what he did in the beginning of the season, and DJ Moore will
still kind of probably live in that five to seven target range, which would clearly limit
what burden's potential could be.
So if you're factoring in and projecting a big leap for Caleb Williams,
and maybe they do finally cross the 4,000-yard threshold for the first time ever
and maybe get even better than that, then everybody could be successful.
But if we kind of live in that right around 4,000-yard range and spectrum,
then I think it's hard for, you know, burden to have that breakout potential that we saw barring an injury.
So I think you probably treat him as a number three receiver coming into the year,
assuming DJ Moore is gone, then he probably cracks the top 24.
for some perspective here the bears yeah they did not reach 4,000 they were at 3,991 yards so let's just say 4,000 yards that was 12th best in the NFL it's not a standout number but it's pretty good it's not that different than the team that was 17th best Denver Denver average three fewer yards per game than Chicago passing all right
But, Heath, does Burden have the widest range of outcomes of those three receivers,
McMillan Abuka Burden?
Yeah, I think that that was pretty much the way we felt going into the NFL draft last year,
that the upside is immense and the floor was lower.
And I think the floor probably moved up just a little bit with what we saw from Burden last year
and his progress in the Ben Johnson system,
I don't think we saw anything to lower our ceiling feeling about Luther Burden.
He could be the number one wide receiver for Ben Johnson's offense this year.
It's really difficult, I think, to kind of sort things out between him and Rome and Dunez.
Because of the early part of the year when Burden wasn't playing that much in the late part of the year,
when Adunze was out with an injury.
But Burden still has that upside to be the number one wide receiver on his own team.
I think has more upside in terms of efficiency than McMillan or Bucca do in this current situation just because of Ben Johnson and Caleb Williams.
Anything you want to say about Luther Burton Day before we move on?
He had seven games including the postseason where he had a route rate of 50% or more.
That's a low bar.
He had 11 or more PPR points in just two of those games.
I think the key here, and he really touched on it, the efficiency spiking, that's going to come if he plays more.
if we watch this offseason unfold and it makes it crystal clear,
Chicago makes it crystal clear that Luther Burton is going to have way more routes to run.
He's just going to play a lot more than all the other great numbers will follow.
And you compared him to a Monro St. Brown.
Those four games without Romo Dunze, his Addot actually fell to 8.1 yards.
So he was a shorter area target.
He had a higher catch rate in those games.
And we are talking way higher in those games compared to the two playoff games that he had.
he was just way, way better.
I think that's part of the role that he should absolutely have in Chicago,
along with some deep shots mixed in.
And if that's what they do and there's fewer mouths to feed,
then by all means, Luther Burden can hit that huge upside.
And he left one of those four games early.
He had six catches for 84 yards against Cleveland in a half.
He had 26 percent target share in that game, and he only played a half.
So in three of the four games without O'Douns-A,
Luther Burden had a target share of 21.4% or higher.
It was really encouraging stuff.
He just never played that much.
I always make the comparison to Jaden Reed,
a guy who was super efficient, really good,
but couldn't get on the field enough
to be a consistent fantasy contributor.
And I hope that's not the case with Luther Burden.
I think that guy needs to get on the field more.
I don't think we know what the bears really look like
because we didn't see that for an entire stretch
of everybody playing at their best healthy level.
Loveland had the shoulder injury early in the season.
Oduans had the foot injury late in the season.
You know, again, we'll see what they do with DJ more.
But if everybody's back, then it's a little tougher.
You know, I do think, though, just your question, to Heath,
I still think Abuka's range of outcomes is a little bit different,
a little bit higher.
Yeah.
Or wider.
Yes.
Okay.
I think his ceiling is higher.
Well, I just think, like, we saw how bad it was for Abuka when everybody was there.
Yeah.
Sure, but I don't know if that's not.
necessarily a fair representation of who Abuca is.
Oh, agreed.
I just think like,
I don't know if we really know for sure.
If Evans is gone,
we're all going to be excited about Abuca.
If Evans and Godwin are potentially gone,
we're going to love Abuca more than we probably should.
But I think in terms of,
if DJ Moore is gone,
they'll probably be realistic expectations for burden,
which will probably put them,
my guess would be as high as like wide receiver 20.
Is there anybody here that doesn't have high ceiling
for any of these top three wide receivers?
I think they all have high.
I think they could all finish potentially top 12
but I think it's harder to everything goes right for them.
It's harder to see that though if Tampa and Chicago bring back the same cast.
Right.
It's harder for them to.
That's fair.
Yeah.
And I think it's,
for me,
especially for burden because like his supporting cast is young, right?
You know,
Evans could just be kind of on his way out.
But like Loveland and O'Dunesay,
if they bring back DJ,
let's,
yeah,
obviously if they bring back DJ more,
it's a problem. But if they don't, then I don't know that he has top 12 potential because he only
had one end zone target. That's the other thing. I know that, you know, you didn't have that many
targets to begin with, but this was not a guy they were looking for in the red zone and the green
zone and the end zone, Luther Bernd. I don't know that he's going to profile that way either.
So, I don't know. But a lot of, a lot of things to consider here and a lot of moving parts.
and a lot of time before we're done with the show.
We got a lot more to talk about.
We've got to take a break.
So we'll be right back.
We'll talk about Travis Hunter, Matthew Golden, Jaden Higgins,
Jack Besh, and more after this.
Okay, which sophomore-wide receivers will be overdrafted, Heath?
Overdrafted?
I think most likely.
Burden's probably most likely.
Dave?
I think burden's the easy answer.
Jamie?
Ibuka or burden, depending on what personnel we see.
Okay, I'll ask you a question I asked about the sophomore running backs.
Are you concerned about any of these guys just being a complete bust?
You know, not necessarily just in fantasy, but in the NFL, who could be that complete bust?
Matthew Golden.
Yeah, Golden's a good answer.
I'm a little scared that McMillan could be that guy.
Really?
Yeah.
Interesting.
Just because of where he landed.
And if that offense doesn't gravitate to throwing him the ball a ton, I think he just needs volume for sure.
But that would be like a Garrett Wilson kind of busts, not a...
I'm thinking worse than Garrett Wilson kind of bust.
But yeah, along those lines.
I mean, you touched on it.
He had the kind of year as a rookie that
Garrett Wilson had as a rookie.
And Garrett Wilson has shown flashes
since the rookie year.
But he hasn't been a bust.
No, but he's been held back by his
question.
That could be the same type of thing for Tetaroa
is that he's just not in the right environment for him.
Like if you had gone to the Rams,
holy moly, he'd be amazing right now.
That would be going crazy for him,
but he's not.
And I don't know if he'll be.
ever be. And it's going to take Carolina really making an effort to get him, to make him a big
time focus of the passing game, which they didn't always do last year. Well, as a wide receiver,
I think I'm a little worried about Travis Hunter.
Yeah. Oh, yeah, that's probably the right answer. Also, Jaden Higgins, if we just look at guys
were taking in the first two rounds. Round one was Hunter, McMillan, Abuka, Golden. Round two was
Jaden Higgins,
Luther Burden,
Jaden Higgins was the 34th
pick in the draft.
That's pretty big capital.
Luther Burden,
Trey Harris,
and Jack Besh.
So Higgins,
Harris, and Bess
did very little as rookies.
Are they worth drafting,
Jamie, Higgins,
Jaden Higgins for Houston,
Trey Harris,
for the Chargers,
Jack Besh, for the Raiders.
Absolutely.
I mean, you know,
you got a double-digit rounds
at best, you know,
at least as them now.
but you know Higgins should be the number two receiver for Houston opposite Nico Collins.
Best should be in a more prominent role for the Raiders,
depending on what their receiving court looks like.
And Trey Harris, assuming Keenan Allen's not brought back,
you know, should step into the number three receiver role there for the chargers,
depending on what else they do from a personnel standpoint.
But, you know, right now you're finding a hard, consistent path to easy targets
for consistent path, hard path to consistent targets,
whoever you want to phrase.
I think the one that you can maybe be the most encouraged by,
at least as not for me, would be Higgins,
just because we saw some big play potential for him.
He should, you know, get an opportunity to play a lot more,
especially they move on from Christian Kirk.
So there's a starting opportunity.
There's, you know, still some, I think, decent pass volume there.
I don't think C.J. Stroud's a complete bust yet,
despite the rumors of them maybe trying to trade him.
I don't think that's realistic.
So if Stroud can get back to, you know, being a little bit better as a pastor,
it gets more protection up front, I think there's a chance for Jayden Higgins to, you know,
be a borderline number three receiver.
I don't think anybody's going to view these guys as, you know, top 24 caliber fantasy options.
Heath, let's talk about, sorry, excuse me, let's talk about Travis Hunter and how you view his dynasty value.
He's a wide receiver three with immense upside and zero floor.
and you really hope that Brian Thomas Jr.
gets traded this offseason.
Yeah, it's hard to love Travis Hunter's prospects for 2026,
but at some point I wonder if they're going to make him a wide receiver again
or how much of...
He was emerging potentially as their number one guy.
He had a huge game against the Rams in Europe and then got this...
They decided after that game to get him more involved in the...
often. They really had designs on him being a huge part of their offense.
Right. And he got hurt. And so it never came to fruition. So not only do I have to
contend with how he does coming back from a serious injury, but also where do the Jaguars put
him on the team? Is he going to be a cornerback all the time and a receiver some of the time?
We didn't really have that same type of concern as a rookie because we thought that he'd play a lot
as a wide receiver. And he did. And that was where he was going to go. But now,
everything's kind of changed for him.
And it just,
it makes him,
he said it best,
there's really no way
to feel good about him
for fantasy purposes in 2026,
because we don't know how much receiver he'll play.
Do you guys,
if they stand pat
with Brian Thomas,
it just makes so much more sense
for their franchise to put him on defense.
Yeah.
And they could always change back in 27 or 28.
Right.
Like they'll have that possibly if they want to.
I don't think he's ever leaving one side of the field permanently.
So whatever he plays predominantly, the other side, he'll still get snaps and get opportunities.
It's a matter of like when you just look at it with the trade for Jacoby-Myers and the emergence of Parker Washington,
they don't really need him offensively.
I think defensively they need him more because of what he can do for them on that side of the ball.
So again, it's a matter of, you know, how they finalize their personnel.
It just for our purposes, it's unfortunate because if he was a full-time wide receiver,
looking at that game, looking at what he was building toward and what we know he's capable of doing,
like there's so much upside. But it's now a very crowded receiving core. And if he's not going to be a
full-time player there, like, when do you feel comfortable taking a chance on him? That's the toughest part.
You have to make a call on for how we rank him and certainly when you draft him.
Any sleepers in this sophomore class?
It was a bunch. I mean, Trey Harris, I think, has got a huge opportunity. And, you know, maybe not
fully in 2026, but you could see, you know, a better offense in general, certainly with the,
tackles there.
I'm really excited about Tori Horton's upside.
You know, I think we saw, you know, he played eight games.
He scored four touchdowns in those eight games before he got hurt.
Rashid Sheed's a free agent.
Cooper Cup is 33.
It would be 33 by the, you know, summer.
You know, that's a great scenario if he can be the number two receiver there opposite
JSN.
Kyle Williams could take a step forward for New England.
You know, that's another guy that can make plays down the field with, you know,
we keep saying, hey, we'll get, you know, Alex Pierce for trade for this guy and that guy.
Like maybe Kyle Williams gets a, you know, bigger opportunity and he takes advantage of it.
And then Jack Bash, I just, I liked him coming into the NFL.
I thought, you know, it was a good landing spot for him with the Raiders.
It didn't materialize.
But, you know, now you have a new offense.
You have, you know, hopefully more creative play caller and opportunity.
You know, we'll see what this receiving court looks like.
but they're not going to be able to get everybody they want.
They have to fix the offensive line.
They have to probably find a number one receiver.
You know, I don't think Jack Batch profiles is that.
But could he be number two on that team or maybe even number three behind Trey Tucker?
I think there's a path to success for him as well.
So I like to set up for Jack Pesh too.
Dave, Heath, any slippers?
I mean, you gave 17 of them.
I'd say Trey Harris is my favorite.
I'm not ready to give up on Matthew Golden.
And I especially like the idea of taking.
Matthew Golden at a lower round this year than last year.
I still love the traits.
He's fast.
He can certainly move and make guys miss in his routes.
And Jordan Love, we've seen him throw deep and throw well when he's had the opportunity
to do so.
That receiving court needs to thin out.
And so if Romeo Dobbs leaves, maybe some other changes happen,
Matthew Golden gets an opportunity to step up and get more work.
I know we're going to be scared to trust any Denver wide receiver, but Pat Bryant offers
them a little bit something different given his size and he's got good hands and another guy that
you can take with a late round pick. And we've already talked once on this show and we might talk
every show for at least five seconds about how Cleveland is a mess this off season. I'm not sure
how much they're going to add to their receiver room given how much help they need on other parts
of the team. Isaiah Bond is someone that can win downfield and have some speed to him. This is
last round pick material. He's in the same range as a bunch of other second year receivers. But if he
ends up getting a lot of playing time next year.
Yeah, maybe he's somebody that ends up rounding out your roster and delivers a
couple of decent games because we figure Cleveland's going to have to throw a lot in their
games.
Anyone left for you, Heath?
Oh, you said, Trey Harris.
Sorry.
I already, yeah.
Are we ready to write off both of the Titans receivers?
I imagine Tennessee is going to add at least one, they're going to make one splash at wide
receiver to try and help Cam Ward out.
They're both sleepers.
Yeah.
I prefer which one.
I mean, they're going to be behind Wondale Robinson, but...
Well, D.K.
D.K. had one of the highest slot percentages in the NFL last year.
So if they had a slot receiver, that's bad news for Chmary, D.K.
Iow Manor, I wasn't really super impressed with him, but...
Is D.K. clearly ahead of Ionaner for you guys?
Yes.
I had them both very, very close.
I had D.K. one spot ahead.
I've got D.K. a spot ahead.
Okay.
Did we mention...
Romeo Dobbs is a free agent, right?
Yeah.
He is.
All right, so you've got an opportunity there for Golden.
What we really need to see.
Andrew Kraft is not ready for the start of season.
No one in the last four seasons for the Packers
has had even 900 receiving yards.
Now, part of that is injury.
The last time they had a thousand yard receiver was Devante Adams.
After that, after he left, he had one more year with Aaron Rogers,
and then you had three with Jordan Love.
We have not had a 900.
yard receiver yet for the Packers.
They've been so run heavy the last two years.
They can get away from that.
I think they've been bottom five and pass rate each of the last two years.
They can get away from that.
That could help Matthew Golden.
I looked at his go route percentage.
20% of his routes are go routes.
It's not that high.
It's high, but it's the same as a Cortland side.
It's not, this guy can't be a consistent receiver because all he's doing is running
downfield.
That wasn't the situation at all.
All right.
Let's go through the NFL draft then and cover any bases that we missed.
So, again, the first round was Travis Hunter.
This is the 2025 NFL draft.
Travis Hunter, Tenorold McMillan, Emeka, Bucca, and Matthew Golden.
The second round was Jaden Higgins, Luther Burden, Trey Harris, and Jack Besh.
And then the third round, Kyle Williams, Isaac Tesla.
I mean, at least you could say that guy's been productive when he's been on the field.
I don't know if he'll get on the field more.
But Kyle Williams, Tesla, Pat Bryant, Jalen, Noel for Houston.
and Sabian Williams for Green Bay
and Ty Felton for Minnesota.
Anyone there?
Kyle, Kyle Williams, Isaac Tesla,
Pat Bryant, Jalen Knoll,
Stavion Williams,
Ty Felton.
So I'd love to see Tesla get the opportunity
because we've seen him just look amazing
when it comes to end zone targets
and being a factor there.
But I don't know how that's going to come
in an offense that's got St. Brown
and Jameson Williams locked in
the long-term contracts.
The Port is there long-term.
They're all expected back healthy for this season.
So it's tough with Tesla.
Jalen Knoll is interesting because if the Texans move on from Christian Kirk,
he's their slot receiver.
There could be matchups where we will like Jalen Knoll because the opponent is bad
against the slot or they've got a slow nickel, something like that.
And it leads to Noel getting some opportunities to catch five passes per game,
six passes per game.
And he could be good.
I just, I don't know.
He would be in that late round mix of receivers that we would take for the bench and see what happens through the first few weeks of the season.
But he is talented.
I do like Higgins and Noel.
I wonder if Christian Kirk's the only thing standing in their way, though, because I do think that they expect Tank Dell to play football this year.
Right.
He's expected to be pretty close to fully healthy after a year and a half removed from his major injury.
So I think I'm not sure those guys are necessarily ahead of Tank Dell in the pecking order.
All right.
Let's go to round four.
Chimery Dike, Dante Thornton for the Raiders,
Arian Smith for the Jets,
Jalen Lane for Washington, Jalen Royals for Kansas City,
Elyke Eilich Iow Manor for the Titans.
They drafted two wide receivers in round four,
and Jordan Watkins for San Francisco.
Chimery Dike, Dante Thornton,
Arian Smith, Jalen Lane, Jalen Royals, Ehrlich Iowman.
Manor and Jordan Watkins.
Thornton's
interesting again just with the Raiders situation, but
he's got to get on the field.
All of these guys are like
that you love. Maybe their
team doesn't add any wide receivers and then
they get a better chance. Right. That's the
Niners. Most of these guys, we expect
them to add wide receivers.
Right.
Round five was Keandre Lambert
Smith for the Chargers.
Tori Horton,
Lejante Wester, for
Baltimore, Jimmy Horn
for Carolina.
Oh, sorry, that was rounds
five and six. Round seven was
Tess Johnson for Tampa Bay, Ricky White for
Seattle, Caden Prather, for
Buffalo, Kanata Mumfield
for the Rams, Dominic
Lovett for Detroit, and Junior Bergen
for the Niners.
All right. I don't think we're
going to get much. I'm glad you read those names.
Torrey Horton is one that we
talked about earlier. Yeah.
Yeah. Lambert Smith and Deeper
leagues maybe.
Do you think there's a scenario where Chris Godwin and Mike Evans are both gone from the
bucks?
No.
I don't really.
I think Godwin's contract is too prohibitive.
Yeah, Tes.
I was getting at that.
Tess would maybe be interesting in that scenario.
No.
There's good depth on teams.
You know, I think I forgot to put these in the notes.
I think I have an email to read.
Isn't that exciting?
It is very.
Okay.
Here's a question from Nick.
he says,
we're done with
sophomore wide receivers,
by the way.
On to the emails,
Fantasy Football at CBSI.com
if you want to send in your emails.
Fantasy football at CBSI.com,
that's the letter I.
If Tyree Kills
signs with Kansas City,
how much does Rish Rice drop,
if at all?
Not much for me.
Nah, not much.
Rishi Rice's future
is far more determined
by things that have to do with him.
Okay.
That's a good way to put it.
Okay.
Will the Bears be this year's Cowboys and Bengals?
High potent offense that you just want pieces of.
Yes.
Yeah, they're on that list for sure.
But the difference is the Bengals and the Cowboys
defensively really struggle.
I would expect Chicago's
all of all their off-season acquisitions
to be defensive-focused.
So there's a chance that defense gets significantly
better and that would hurt.
But until that happens, there's a lot to like about the Bears.
I mean, there's, you know, Detroit's a very similar team too.
You know, like you want pieces of that offense.
Yeah, but again, that's a team where their defensive splits really determine their
past attempts each of the last two years.
Well, I mean, I guess the question would be is like you're going into a draft right
now.
You're going to draft a lot of players from the Bears.
You're going to draft a lot of players from the Lions.
You're obviously drafting players from the Cowboys and the Bengals.
You're drafting, so you're drafting at least two, if not three, cowboys and bangles.
If not four bangles before your-
You're drafting four.
Before-
No, hold on.
I'm not done with my sentence.
You're drafting at least-
Long sentence.
At least two, if not three, Cowboys and Bengals.
If not four bangles before your first bear.
Yeah.
I think that's the biggest difference is that the certainty in roles in Dallas and Cincinnati are a little better than what we have in Chicago right now.
Yeah.
Those teams don't have even splits at running back.
Those teams don't have as big of questions about the target distribution of wide receiver.
Depending on who you're drafting with and what kind of format you're in, I would say you're only getting three bangles and three cowboys, two cowboys.
before your first bear
yeah you're going to draft d'andre swift
before the quarterbacks
oh
I mean I don't
I think burrow will have a higher ADP than Swift
oh I don't disagree with that
that's why I said depends on who you're drafting with
in the format like you think
you think Swift will be the first bear off the board
I think it would be level
him or love one yeah
yeah
um right
and the other teams don't have the tight end
that with the big role either
um yeah so
You taking Giovante or Swift?
Right now?
JaVante slightly.
And my projections I have Swift just ahead of Javante.
I didn't get to give this stat because I wasn't on the Monday show,
but Javante Williams just had the least efficient receiving season for a running back
with 30 or more targets in at least 15 years.
Measured by hell?
Yards per target and yards per catch.
It was so bad.
So we have 35 catches on 51 targets?
I don't know what it was, but his yards per catch and yards per target were so bad and can't be that bad again.
It has to improve.
I think it's actually a good sign for Javante because you cannot be that bad in the passing game.
It fell apart in the second half because the first half the season he was, I think it was 24 targets in the first eight games.
24 catches in the first eight games on 36 targets, I think it was.
Yeah, he stopped getting targeted.
He stopped getting targeted big time.
Maybe there's a reason for that.
Okay.
Thank you to Heath and Jamie and Dave.
Thank you to all of you for watching and listening.
Hope you have a wonderful weekend.
We will talk to you on Monday.
We talk about the sophomore tight ends.
That's going to be a good show,
our most exciting sophomore tight ends episode ever, perhaps.
Looking forward to that.
All right.
Take everybody.
Talk to soon.
