Fantasy Football Today - Start or Sit (AFC); Browns Updates; Watson Rumors (10/21 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Episode Date: October 21, 2021

We have to start with all of the Browns news as Baker Mayfield is out and Odell Beckham may sit as well. What does this mean for D'Ernest Johnson and the rest of the relevant Browns? And what do we ma...ke of the Deshaun Watson rumors (8:40)? ... Players we love (9:45) and players to avoid (11:15) for Week 7. We love the QBs in the Falcons-Dolphins game but we'd like to avoid the Seahawks WRs. And we've got more news (13:10) and some rankings disputes (16:50) on Khalil Herbert, Tee Higgins and Zach Ertz ... Start or Sit for Bengals-Ravens (26:35), Colts-49ers (32:10), Falcons-Dolphins (40:00), Eagles-Raiders (47:30), Chiefs-Titans (55:50) and Jets-Patriots (1:02:00) ... Email us at fantasyfootball@cbsi.com Follow our FFT team on Twitter: @FFToday, @AdamAizer, @JameyEisenberg, @daverichard, @heathcummingssr, @ctowerscbs, @BenSchragg Watch FFT on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/fantasyfootballtoday Join our Facebook group https://www.facebook.com/groups/FantasyFootballToday/ Sign up for the FFT newsletter https://www.cbssports.com/newsletter You can listen to Fantasy Football Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Football Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Football Today podcast." To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:59 BetMGM operates pursuant to an operating agreement with iGaming Ontario. This is Fantasy Football Today from CBS Sports. On his way to the end zone. Tell you what, that was a spectacular play. It's time to dominate your fantasy league. What a play. Off to the races.
Starting point is 00:01:21 Touchdown. Oh, he's done it again. Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie, Heath, and Ben. It is touchdown. Oh, he's done it again. Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie, Heath, and Beck. It is Thursday. Week 7 is here. Luckily, one starting quarterback looks like he will play tonight. Teddy Bridgewater will play. Baker Mayfield will not.
Starting point is 00:01:38 Odell Beckham probably will not. It's going to be wild. How do we feel about Dearness Johnson now? So we did the preview yesterday. We're going to do it all again right now on Fantasy Football Today. Adam Azer, Jamie Eisenberg, and Heath Cummings. Other games we'll talk about today, guys. And you can tell me which ones you're most excited about.
Starting point is 00:01:54 Colts, 49ers. Ravens, Bengals. Jets, Patriots. That's probably the one. Dolphins and Falcons. Chiefs and Titans. And Philadelphia at Las Vegas. what's the headliner there Jamie Bengals Ravens
Starting point is 00:02:11 that's what I thought too as a first game we'll preview Heath what about you I'm just glad that that's a game with two good defenses that I'm excited to see as well I think it's the headliner of the weekend but there's no chance you're going to ruin it with a bonanza.
Starting point is 00:02:26 That's a positive. I think you've got some tough start or sit decisions. What is your bonanza this week? I don't know. Probably Chiefs-Titans. I would assume it's Chiefs-Titans. It's going to be the end of Derek Henry's run. I haven't picked the DST that Heath is
Starting point is 00:02:41 wrong but actually right about yet. I'll try to do that before the show is over. We also have the Deshaun Watson rumor. Busy show. Let's get started. Baker Mayfield is out. Case Keenum will start. You got both offensive tackles questionable for the Browns.
Starting point is 00:02:58 You got a report this morning that Beckham seems unlikely to play. Landry looks like he's going to be activated. And then we'll get to the Broncos in a second, but nothing's really changed there except maybe the game script. But Jamie, do you have confidence in any Cleveland Brown? Cleveland Brown?
Starting point is 00:03:17 Cleveland Brown tonight. No. And if I were the Browns, I would just almost, and this is stupid to say, which I admit, but I would almost treat this like a preseason game and just play nobody of significance and make sure you're healthy for week eight because you're down your quarterback, you're down your two running backs.
Starting point is 00:03:39 Why risk the tackles if they're not 100%? Because you need them long-term. So you can go out and win the game with, with your, with your second team guys, you know, Keenum, uh, Dearness Johnson,
Starting point is 00:03:48 Dimitri Felton. Uh, I don't even know if I'd risk Landry playing, you know, unless you want to get them some reps. Um, it's, it's,
Starting point is 00:03:54 uh, you never want to throw away a game, but there's just so beat up. Like you don't want to risk anybody getting hurt more. Hmm. I think you just lost the locker room. I don't think the players are gonna rally around that message yeah i mean you don't say that but yeah it's happening for them yeah yeah they're
Starting point is 00:04:10 right they are gonna have a lot of backup so like the point would be is like why rush you know wills and conklin out there if they're not 100 why rush beckham out there if he's not 100 so did you guys move the earnest johnson down when you found out Baker Mayfield was out and does all of this no no Mayfield probably no Beckham does it actually make Felton a better option Heath I don't know that it makes Felton the better option I've not moved him up certainly he's in that high end mid-range flex we really don't know like if the browns even have any intention of ever handing the ball to him they've used him more like a wide receiver and like the the purest form of an airbag so it's a lot of speculation on felton i moved johnson down a couple of spots i'd like to move him down more but i still think the most likely scenario is he's going to get 15 carries in this game and i'm
Starting point is 00:05:03 really not sure right now if the broncos run defense is very good so he's a low-end borderline number two running back for me this week um i don't really want to start him and i didn't land him on waivers in very many leagues so i don't have to worry about it but you you might have to and then how about jarvis landry or donovan people's jonesones? Jamie, any interest? Not much. You know, I don't know how healthy Landry will be. Again, how much he'll play. If he's going to be on snap count coming back from being on IR.
Starting point is 00:05:36 Peoples-Jones catching passes from Case Keenum. Look, they're going to score in some capacity. So whether it's Dearness Johnson, whether it's Felton, whether it's Njoku or, you know, whoever is going to catch passes from Keenum, the two receivers, somebody will find the end zone. I think this game honestly is, you know, like Heath said, if you were stuck and you picked up Johnson this week because of the six teams on a bye and all the injuries at the running back spot, you know,
Starting point is 00:05:56 hopefully he delivers for you, but I wouldn't have much faith in any of the Browns players in this game. You know, DFS is, you know, different story, you know, in the showdown on Fandler DraftKings, you'll You know, DFS is, you know, a different story. You know, in the showdown on FanDuel or DraftKings, you'll take some shots on different guys. But honestly, I would try to avoid the Browns if you can. Is it possible to spend all of your money in DFS tonight? I don't know if it is on FanDuel.
Starting point is 00:06:20 I think I was like $1,000 left over. I put my FanDuel lineup together and literally just did it straight by my projections, the highest projecting lineup that I could possibly play. I had $7,000 left over on FanDuel. Crazy. So I'll just finish up. Dearness Johnson or Melvin Gordon or Javante Williams?
Starting point is 00:06:43 Oh, both Broncos. I'm going with Dearness Johnson. Johnson or Melvin Gordon or Javante Williams? Oh, both Broncos. I'm going with Dearness Johnson. He's not splitting, and he has a much better matchup in my mind. Okay. And I guess I can ask some more Dearness Johnson stuff as we go through the show. In terms of the Broncos, I guess nothing's changed, right? Bridgewater is going to play.
Starting point is 00:07:00 That's the way we previewed it. Maybe DST is a little bit better now. Maybe they get maybe more carries. You know, I did mention this. The first three games of the year, little bit better now. Maybe more carries. I did mention this. The first three games of the year, they won. And you had more carries. You had 12, 13 or so off the top of my head each for Williams and Gordon. And in the last three weeks, they've lost. And it's been about nine
Starting point is 00:07:17 carries per week for Gordon and Williams. So that helps hopefully get them a little better. I think game flow matters here. So if the Browns can get them. Yeah. I think, you know, game flow matters here, you know, so if, if the Browns can't score and the Broncos have whatever lead they potentially have, however, they get that lead. I think you're gonna see a lot of those guys because Teddy's not a hundred percent, you know, so why, why are they going to have him drop back 34 times? Like we see when he gets his numbers, you know, so if you're rooting for Corlin Sutton and Noah Fant and Tim
Starting point is 00:07:44 Patrick, you're rooting for the Browns to score points here somehow yeah and i do think there's probably more carries there've been three teams whose running backs had at least 20 carries against the browns the texans had 25 carries for 68 yards the vikings had 20 carries for 55 yards and then last week the cardinals went crazy 24 carries for 131 yards. Yeah, do you think... So the spread is still Cleveland minus two. It's gone from minus six to minus two. But I don't know.
Starting point is 00:08:14 I mean, I guess I just kind of feel like the Broncos are going to win this game. But I guess if the spread is still the Browns as favorites, then I won't even consider. Because there's only been one bad game for Bridgewater. It was the Jets game, and he only threw 25 passes, but I guess we won't be preparing for that kind of game. Okay, let's move on.
Starting point is 00:08:34 We've got a lot more news to get to, and players we love, and players we're sitting in week seven, which is, you know, we're starting everybody because all the good players are on by, but we are playing the FFT Start-Sit Challenge this week and all season long. Go to cbssports.com slash start-sit-to-play. Each week, answer 10 starter-sit questions. Why wouldn't you want to do this?
Starting point is 00:08:54 I mean, this is exactly what you're listening to the show for, right? And you win a customized Trophy Smack Championship belt with your name engraved. You can do that, obviously. You know, not everybody's going to win that. The overall winner for the season gets $1,000 and a guest appearance on the podcast. One question this week. James Conner against Houston. Devontae Booker against the Panthers.
Starting point is 00:09:17 And Mike Davis at the Dolphins. Who do you guys like? James Conner, Devontae Booker, or Mike Davis in half PPR? Pick one. Davis. I think I have Booker ranked the highest. They're all very, very close. Yeah, and that's
Starting point is 00:09:33 why it's on the webpage. So go to CBSSports.com slash start sit to play. Anybody picking up Deshaun Watson with these rumors that he might get traded to the dolphins? I didn't see any of the transactions, uh, in my leagues where he got, that he got picked up. So I'm going to say no, but if you have a deep roster, deep bench, it might not, might not hurt.
Starting point is 00:09:57 Um, even if he gets traded, there's still no guarantees playing, you know, so just keep that in mind. You know, it's, it's, it's clearly, I think a Texans thing at thing at this point whether not playing him because they don't want him to get hurt if they are still trying to trade him but we have no idea what the off-field scenario would develop for him even if he goes to a new team okay and he i believe last night he was 25 rostered right now to sean watson is 32 rostered so i guess not a mad rush to pick him up. Let's talk about players we love this week, Jamie. Who's our start of the week? Let's keep it going. Woo! Yeah, thank you.
Starting point is 00:10:28 Hopefully. Matt Ryan is the start of the week, taking on the Dolphins. We'll find out if Xavier Howard and Byron Jones are able to play. He gets Calvin Ridley back. He's on a nice little roll, averaging 25 fantasy points per game in his last four. And the Dolphins for the season give up 25 fantasy points per game in his last four. And the Dolphins for the season give up 25 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. So the marriage works.
Starting point is 00:10:51 And so hopefully Matt Ryan will take advantage of this defense coming off a bye week. And given the quarterback situation what a lot of fantasy managers are dealing with, he's got top 10 upside this week. Heath, who do you got? Who do you like this week? I'm staying in the same game.
Starting point is 00:11:02 I'm staying in the same position. I love Tua, and Tua needs some love with all these Deshaun Watson rumors out there. It's unfair to him. He played one of his best games in terms of fantasy production last week against Jacksonville. I don't think this Falcons defense is any good at all. I don't think the Dolphins can run the ball.
Starting point is 00:11:20 So I expect both Matt Ryan and Tua to be top 10 quarterbacks this week. Yeah, and you know, I know people are a little desperate desperate this week if I told you that there was a wide receiver who has gotten seven targets every game he's played and he's facing the Falcons you might want to consider Devante Parker I don't know how you guys feel about him but he practiced this week or yesterday well we'll find out more today they had a walkthrough yesterday so they limited him they listed him as a limited participant in a walkthrough.
Starting point is 00:11:47 I hope he can play. I think he's an interesting sleeper. For sure, yes. If he was active, I think if he's active, he's a top 40 receiver for sure. Maybe top 30. We need to reach this week. Players to avoid. Jamie, who you got? It's hard
Starting point is 00:12:04 to avoid the Seattle receivers, but I's hard to avoid the Seattle receivers, but I'd like to avoid the Seattle receivers. Um, you know, just looking at how Gino Smith played last week, it was, it wasn't good for those guys. And now you have Marshawn Lattimore taking away one and a good defense,
Starting point is 00:12:15 uh, on the other side as a whole. So I just, you know, you're, you're not benching those guys clearly because it's too tough given the circumstances. But if you do have other options, I would consider benching
Starting point is 00:12:25 DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Dearness Johnson or Metcalf and Lockett? PPR, I'd stick with the receivers. Non-PPR, I'd probably definitely stick with Metcalf over Johnson. Maybe Johnson over Lockett. Okay. Sutton over these guys? For sure. Oh, yeah.
Starting point is 00:12:44 Heath, who are you avoiding? You know, this might lead into one of the 60-second rankings debates because I peaked, but I'm avoiding Joe Burrow, and I'm really a little bit worried about that game. I think these are two really good defenses and two teams that may prefer to be a little bit more run heavy than we would like. A lot of times teams playing against the Ravens
Starting point is 00:13:08 don't run very many plays, and the Bengals have had a lot of games this season where they haven't run very many plays. So I would really, I'd start Matt Ryan, I'd start Tua, I'd start Derek Carr. I'd start James. Bridgewater? Bridgewater? That's a, I think I currently have Bridgewater projected
Starting point is 00:13:27 just one spot ahead of Burrow. I may have to change that one because I'm getting more and more worried about that game, but they're right in the same. I think I've got them 15 and 16. Yeah, and you do have the foot injury for Bridgewater if that helps break the tie a little bit. All right, so you want to avoid Joe Burrow,
Starting point is 00:13:42 and we're going to talk about T. Higgins in a little bit. He is part of our ranking disputes. Jamie, who are you avoiding? Oh, I already asked you. Seattle wide receivers. Okay, great. News and notes for you. Sammy Watkins and Latavius Murray both missed practice,
Starting point is 00:13:55 and we'll see how interested you are in Devontae Freeman if Murray doesn't play. But the Bengals' run defense has been really good, and they have faced... I don't know if there's a team that's faced tougher running backs than Cincinnati. They haven't faced Derrick Henry, but I'll go through the list of who they've faced
Starting point is 00:14:12 in a little bit. Again, that's the first game we're going to preview. Sonny Michel, mispractice. He's expected to play. Same with TJ Hawkinson in that game. I'm just editorialized here. I'm rooting for Jared Goff. I just,
Starting point is 00:14:25 I feel like Sean McVay hurt his feelings several times. I feel like McVay was kind of a meanie pants to him, but I'm rooting for Jared Goff this week. Just throwing that out there. Let's go golf. Carolina needs some running back depth. They're going to sign a mirror of doula. Jimmy Garoppolo is expected to play.
Starting point is 00:14:44 Trey Lance likely won't be ready until next week. Heath, I have such a great Acer stat for Jimmy Garoppolo. Do you want me to save it for the game or would you like to hear it now? Jimmy Garoppolo is another quarterback I would start over Joe Burrow.
Starting point is 00:14:57 So I hope it's in favor of Jimmy Garoppolo. Oh, it sure is. Sure is. Okay, I'll just tease it. We'll save it for later. Julio Jones mispractice. Rob Gronkowski and Antonio Brown mispractice. Are you guys ranking Gronk and Antonio Brown right now?
Starting point is 00:15:13 Brown, yes. Gronk, no. Okay, that's a good answer. I was waiting for Heath. Yeah, whenever a guy leaves the game the week before or is out for weeks, we don't put them in until they're practicing. Kadarius Tony, Saquon Barkley, Kenny Galladay, they all mispracticed.
Starting point is 00:15:33 Darius Slayton was limited. Antonio Gibson mispracticed. What do you think right now on Gibson? I would anticipate probably a missed game. Hopefully it's not anything that lingers longer than that. I would be picking up Jared Patterson just to see. I would obviously be picking up JD McKissick in any 10-team leagues where he's available. But I think if I saw correctly, I don't know if it's league-specific,
Starting point is 00:15:55 but Sportsline is starting to have higher projections for Patterson than they are for Gibson. Wow. Okay. And I assume McKissick even higher than that. mckissick mckissick has top 12 upside in ppr this week yeah i've got him ranked in the top 12 so i hope so i will too by the end of the but before the before you listen to the show probably okay but but that's assuming gibson's out right right we we are again whenever a guy leaves the game so we do not have gibson ranked as of now right but you're saying mckissick would not be top 12 if Gibson plays, right?
Starting point is 00:16:29 No, but he would be top 24 if Gibson plays. Okay. For sure. T Y Hilton mispractice. I mean, they keep downplaying it, but I don't know.
Starting point is 00:16:37 I don't think you can feel confident that Hilton's going to play this week. Frank Reich basically said he doesn't, he's neutral, agnostic, doesn't care. If T Y Hilton practices, it's more important doesn't care if T.Y. Hilton practices. It's more important that he plays. I would say, though,
Starting point is 00:16:52 if you have a decision, probably the only guy might be Tim Patrick, maybe Jarvis Landry. You probably want to play it safe if you're completely stuck. Yeah, and Quinton Nelson designated to return from IR. So he's got, I think, three weeks now to come off IR. That's their star left guard. Damian William. So he's got, I think, three weeks now to come off IR. That's their star left guard.
Starting point is 00:17:07 Damian Williams. John Taylor's really missed him. Damian Williams still on the reserve COVID list. And we'll talk about Khalil Herbert in a second. Terod Taylor is not going to play this week. And Dallas Goddard is still on the reserve COVID list. Right now, though, you guys are ranking Goddard. He is a start.
Starting point is 00:17:23 And the Raiders pretty bad against tight ends. Yeah, all right. Let's hope Goddard and Damian Williams are able to get back on the field. Time for some 60-second rankings disputes. Tee Higgins. Well, we know Heath is going to be a little lower on Tee Higgins because he's avoiding Joe Burrow, but, Jamie, you've got Higgins 24th and non, 22nd in full,
Starting point is 00:17:44 and Heath has him 39th. So make the case for T Higgins, Jamie. I'm probably going to drop him a couple of spots as well. Uh, when I update my rankings, but I think you, you know, just looking at how this game will probably unfold. Um, he's been better more times than not over the course of his, uh, I guess it's probably not 15 games with Joe Burrow. No, it's every more than 15 games with Joe Burrow. No, 17 games with Joe Burrow. Where his track record is, if he has seven or more targets, I think it's like now it's got to be eight times out of ten, maybe something like that, where he's been successful.
Starting point is 00:18:19 Or maybe seven out of ten. I'll look it up. I had it last week. In any event, if the targets are there for him i think will be okay but it's more about who's missing this week and talent and so i i think we'll see uh you know if humphrey is on jamar chase i don't know how much they're going to avoid throwing to jamar chase but it may lead to some opportunities on the other side of the field for t higgins so i'm fine with him as a low-end No. 2, high-end No. 3 receiver. Yeah, this is mostly, I think, just me being terrified of the Bengals in this game.
Starting point is 00:18:50 And I think I've moved him up to like 36. He's not quite that low, and he may move up a couple more spots. I can't imagine he's going to crack the top 30, though. He doesn't have a game with more than 60 yards this season. They're not using him downfield because that's now Jamar Chase's role. And so I think he's really touchdown dependent. This Ravens team has been amazing against wide receivers. him downfield because that's now Jamar Chase's role. And so I think he's really touchdown dependent. This Ravens team has been amazing against wide receivers.
Starting point is 00:19:11 They've given up the sixth fewest fantasy points to wide receivers, but that includes two overtime games as well. I just think it's a terrible matchup. So it was last week. It was nine times together, Burrow and Higgins, where he had at least seven targets and he scored at least 12 PPR points in seven of them prior to last week. So it's now seven of ten.
Starting point is 00:19:34 Yeah, I just hope he can get the targets. I just have no idea how many pass attempts to expect from Burrow. And by the way, only one wide receiver, I believe, has scored more than 14 fantasy points against the Ravens. Who was it? Pittman. Pittman! That's right. Alright, listen, we got more rankings to choose, but I want to tell you about a new sponsor. I am really excited about this
Starting point is 00:19:56 new sponsor. I should be getting my package next week. I think Heath, Jamie, you're going to get it as well. Hopefully, Schrager's going to get it. Schrager and I were talking about this before the show started. We're fired up for Liquid IV. So right now is the perfect time. You got flu season. You got the colder weather. You get dehydrated a little bit. So what you do is you take a packet of liquid IV, one stick of liquid IV. You put it in 16 ounces of water, and it hydrates you faster and more efficiently than water alone. And it tastes great.
Starting point is 00:20:24 They got a lot of flavors. Straw, I'm all about the strawberry. Apparently it's incredibly delicious. Oh, you've had liquid IV. Oh, I've already got my package.
Starting point is 00:20:31 I didn't even know that. The last three days. All right. Tell me about it here because I was, I was hearing about it yesterday and I got so excited for it. It sounds so good. By the way, you can find these in Walmart too,
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Starting point is 00:21:13 moving into this type of year. That would be great. This won't apply to you, Adam, but I'm really looking forward to this on Saturday morning because there is no better, not necessarily hangover cure, but hangover prevention also. Drink one of these before you go to bed. You don't even realize you had any drinks that night before. Is it the tangerine that was the immune booster?
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Starting point is 00:22:03 All right, back to the 60-second rankings disputes. And we've got Higgins. Eli Mitchell. It's really only in PPR. You guys both have him as a starter, basically, and a good starter in non-PPR. Full PPR, Heath. You have him 21st, and Jimmy has him 12th.
Starting point is 00:22:20 So this is Eli Mitchell against the Colts. Yeah, and I think I've got him up to, like, 18th now. So we're coming closer together. I justts. Yeah, and I think I've got him up to like 18th now. So we're coming closer together. I just, I think, and I told you, like I like Jimmy Garoppolo in this game. I think against the Colts defense right now, it's a lot easier to move the ball through the air than it is on the ground.
Starting point is 00:22:35 And when they've thrown the ball to their running backs, they've pretty much thrown it to Kyle Juszczyk. So I'm not sure that the targets are going to be there. And I'm not sure there's going to be a ton of success on the ground for Mitchell. And then there's just this little thing, and it's not fair because they've given us no indication this is the truth but I've got a little bit of fear of Kyle Shanahan coming off the bye and just somebody completely new is leading the team in running yeah it's Michael Hasty going
Starting point is 00:22:59 to play this week do we know we don't know yet okay all right so Jamie you're a little higher on uh Eli Mitchell he's basically a must start for you Jamie, you're a little higher on Eli Mitchell. He's basically a must start for you. He'll be a little bit lower when I update my ranking. Probably closer to 15, so I'm sure we're not far off.
Starting point is 00:23:13 Okay. How about Khalil Herbert? Should we do Khalil Herbert then? Since you guys are basically the same on Mitchell? Can? Yeah. All right, let's do Khalil Herbert.
Starting point is 00:23:22 I feel like you'll be farther apart there. So I know, Jamie, the Bucs matchup probably weighs on you more than it does for Heath. That's my guess. You've got Khalil Herbert about 25th, 26th. Heath has Herbert around 16th or so. So you're trying to sit Khalil Herbert, Jamie?
Starting point is 00:23:37 I would absolutely sit Khalil Herbert. You're looking at a game script that's probably not in his favor. I don't think this is a game where clearly the Bears are going to have success running the ball. And we did see him catch two passes last week. Is he going to all of a sudden open up and be a significant part of the passing game? Because that's what you need to do to have success against this Bucs defense. So I would prefer to have no part of Khalil Herbert taking on the Tampa Bay run defense
Starting point is 00:24:02 and probably the Tampa Bay defense overall, given his skill set and his opportunities this week. Yeah, I don't necessarily disagree a lot. This is more kind of along the lines of the Dearness Johnson thing as well. He played 89% of the team's snaps last week and had 21 touches. I just think, like with my process, if a guy is going to be that heavily involved on a team that has been this dedicated to getting their running backs touches,
Starting point is 00:24:28 he's going to project really high, and it's a bad week for running backs. Yeah. What about the Damian Williams factor? What's going to change if Williams comes off the COVID list? Williams is a much better fit for this game. But if they were both playing, neither of them would be in my top. Williams would be lower than Herbert is, and Herbert
Starting point is 00:24:48 would be lower than Williams would be. So it'd be like Williams probably 25-30 and Herbert outside the top 30 if Williams was playing. I would have Damian Williams as a top 24 running back this week. Because you think he'd catch a lot of passes? Yeah. I mean, that's just his role. His game is better
Starting point is 00:25:03 suited for this. Okay. Finally, we have Zachertz jamie's got him 10th and he has him 20th and ppr 17th and non-ppr heath why so low on zach ertz again this is a little peek behind my process i i suppose um the cardinals the past three years have been between 10 and 12 percent target share for tight ends they just like max williams had two good games um and those were the two games i think deandre hopkins had four targets in one of them and the other one hop uh kirk and ron deal more combined for four targets so i i'm more using what they've done over the course of the year and projecting more and kirk and hopkins to all have roles and aj green.J. Green as well, of course. And that doesn't leave much for Zach Ertz in his first game with the team.
Starting point is 00:25:55 Jamie? A little standoff there. Feature new toy on new team against bad team against tight end? I mean, that's just the way I come, come about it. They are. I think they're the worst against tight ends or they are the worst. They've given up four touchdowns to tight ends in the last three games. And so I, I would be shocked if there's not some,
Starting point is 00:26:15 you know, red zone opportunities for Zach hurts against this defense, which I mean, they're, they're basically 20 point underdogs. So, okay. Yeah, there you go.
Starting point is 00:26:26 Cincinnati's at Baltimore. Let's get to the games. Do a better job hosting, will you? I don't know. Oh, man. I just realized something looking at the... The Cardinals are facing the team that's the worst against tight ends.
Starting point is 00:26:39 Do you know how many fantasy points the Cardinals have given up to tight ends this year? Total points? They've given up two non-PPR fantasy points per game. There's been four of six weeks they've given up one non-PPR fantasy point to tight ends. I'm dropping Aikens right now. What about Farrah?
Starting point is 00:27:05 I have so many Farrow Brown shirts. I just don't think I can drop them. I just don't have the time in all my leagues. All right, Cincinnati at Baltimore. Here we go. It's that of the game. Okay, Devontae Freeman managers. Got to check his roster percentage, get the update there.
Starting point is 00:27:22 The Bengals, they are 11th against running backs. They allow 3.62 yards per carry to running backs, and here is who they have faced. Dalvin Cook, Najee Harris, David Montgomery, James Robinson, Aaron Jones, and DeAndre Swift. You face that gauntlet and give up 3.62 yards
Starting point is 00:27:40 per carry, that's pretty damn good. So, yeah, we got good defenses here, but where are you going to end up ranking Freeman, or if Murray's able to play, where are you going to end up ranking Murray? Heath,
Starting point is 00:27:56 you can start with the Ravens running backs. Yeah, I think I have Freeman right at the beginning or right in the middle of the running backs that we, I don't really want to start, but he's RB 17 in PPR. I would start him over Dearness Johnson tonight.
Starting point is 00:28:14 I, I think if you have him and Latavius Murray doesn't play, you're probably going to have to use them as the number two running back. So you would start Freeman over Johnson, even if we don't know of Murray's status? I think yes. Okay. Interesting.
Starting point is 00:28:33 And their roster percentages are almost the same, Jamie. 66% for Latavius, 60% for Freeman. So that just shows there's some uncertainty there, obviously. Well, I think a lot of people dropped Latavius prior to last week because he'd been you know struggling a little bit and why would you run back to pick him up if he's hurt by comparison to picking up davante freeman you know so it's it's it's it's always an interesting process to see how people approach their free agents you know do they look at the projections on whatever site you play on or do you look at a rank list or do you look at like for me i always look at most viewed you know is the first place i go um on roster trends so i i don't know if people just see the the
Starting point is 00:29:09 projections for davante freeman which has you know increased uh from tuesday morning till you know wednesday night thursday morning so he's my guess the highest projected ravens running back the the tricky part i don't think so much at this point is really latavius murray because if he misses you know they're going to use three guys it's what will they do with tyson williams if he's active and so will he step into his old role will he step into murray's role you know well you know who's the goal line option because that's really what murray's been so successful at this season so i i don't know uh you know it's kind of blind faith with davante freeman to be honest with you you know looking at the way that he played at the end of the colts game where he
Starting point is 00:29:48 was very good looked explosive in the passing game and then looked explosive last week but is he going to be explosive with more carries or is he just you know a guy who's getting older that can do it in spurts and look really good really good doing it in those spurts yeah unfortunately i mean if you running backs beat the Bengals, it's through the passing game. Four running backs have had 40 or more receiving yards. It's not exactly something you expect from Ravens running backs. Okay, Joe Mixon
Starting point is 00:30:14 is a top 12 guy. Is their run defense getting worse? It might be. Because, you know, you look at what Aaron Jones did against them. Yeah, the last week John Dre Swift had 13 carries. And James Robinson wasn't bad. No, he wasn't bad.
Starting point is 00:30:28 18 for 78. I mean, I know, I honestly don't know the answer, but I know that Jesse Bates is obviously a really good player. I don't know what he does for them in the run game. He's a safety, but some safeties are really helpful in the run game.
Starting point is 00:30:40 Oh, no, he's a big part of it, yeah. Yeah, and he missed the Cincinnati game, so that might have contributed. Yeah, so Aaron Jones had his way, but then they. Yeah. Yeah. And he missed the Cincinnati game. So that might have contributed. Yeah. So Aaron Jones had his way, but then they bounced back nicely. He definitely missed the Cincinnati game. He definitely missed the Jacksonville game. He missed the Jacksonville game.
Starting point is 00:30:52 Okay. So who else in this game? So Mixon's easy. You got to start him, even though it's a tough matchup. And Lamar Jackson. What was he? He's top five for you guys.
Starting point is 00:31:03 Sort of. Any concerns about Marquise Brown or Jamar Chase? I mean, I, we already talked about Higgins, who's going to be kind of a number two for Jamie. We're like a three, four for Heath.
Starting point is 00:31:14 But what about Higgins? What about Chase and Marquise Brown? You can't bench Jamar Chase. You know, it's almost impossible at this point. He may have a bad matchup. He may have a bad game, but he's in that category. I think he's earned
Starting point is 00:31:28 it, especially with all the teams on a bye. I think the same for Marquise Brown. You saw a bad game from last week. First time all season, really, he's had a bad game. You could look at the Detroit game and say it was the drops, but I think you're still starting both these guys. For me,
Starting point is 00:31:43 Marquise Brown, I think, has a big opportunity in front of him. I like him a lot. I like him actually better than Chase this week. Okay. Yeah, it's just, you know, for Chase, you got a lot of wide receivers in his class. You have Tyreek Hill, Cortland Sutton, Keenan Allen, Mike Williams. None of them had more than 50 yards.
Starting point is 00:32:01 Amazing how good this team has been against wide receivers, the Baltimore Ravens. But okay, I understand you're starting him. Tyler Boyd, he'd start us it. No. No. No. He's behind T. Higgins for me, so I would really like to avoid him.
Starting point is 00:32:18 Anyone else? Rashad Bateman? I'm going to ask these questions this week because I'm starting. I think I like Bateman more than Boyd. I do too. Okay. Okay. And that might change if Sammy Watkins plays,
Starting point is 00:32:31 but right now we're going to think Sammy Watkins is not playing. It would definitely change if Sammy Watkins plays, but for now, yes, Bateman. Start Mark Andrews and Baltimore's DST is, looks like top 12 for everyone. Looks like top five for Heath. The Bengals have been sacked 10 times in the last, no, no, looks like top 12 for everyone. Looks like top five for Heath. The Bengals have been sacked 10 times in their last...
Starting point is 00:32:48 No, no, no. They were sacked 10 times in their first two games, only six since. We will see. All right, let's go to the Colts and the 49ers. All right, you ready
Starting point is 00:32:56 for the Acer stat, Heath? Pro Jimmy Garoppolo? Yeah. Okay. So he made three healthy starts. Three starts that he didn't leave with an injury. If you remove the two touchdowns that Trey Lance scored in those games,
Starting point is 00:33:10 and if Jimmy Garoppolo had scored those touchdowns instead, one was a rushing, one was a throwing touchdown, he would have scored 21 or more fantasy points in all three of those games in six-point-per-passing touchdown leagues. So there's your Razor stat. Give him Trey Lance's touchdowns, and we don't expect Lance to play in this game. And you got a low-end starter each of those
Starting point is 00:33:29 three games. That was the most Azerstat, I think, maybe ever. It was. You're just assuming he's going to score those touchdowns, but one was like a one-yard run, one was a five-yard pass. You really believe in him as a streamer this week?
Starting point is 00:33:45 Yeah, I think it's a good matchup. Like I said, I think the Colts' run defense is a lot better than their pass defense right now. And there's no Trey Lance to come on the field and take Garoppolo off the field. So I think he's going to be a low-end starter this week. The Colts just lost Julian Blackman. He tore his Achilles in practice yesterday.
Starting point is 00:34:02 So another blow to their secondary. Who do you like better? Wentz or Garoppolo? Garoppolo for me. That's very interesting. Man, this pass defense. I think they give up the highest touchdown rate. Something like fifth
Starting point is 00:34:19 in yards per attempt. They've really just been awful. They're one of four teams to allow 10 touchdowns to wide receivers. They've allowed multiple receiving touchdowns to a wide receiver in four of six games. That means Debo is a slam dunk. Any interest
Starting point is 00:34:36 in Brandon Ayuk, Brandon Ayuk, or Rashad Bateman? Bateman for me. Bateman, but Ayuk's not a bad DFS play for the showdown lineup. Ayuk's a guy that I wanted to pick up and have on my bench just in case. Again, San Francisco coming off the bye, some things could be different, but I can't start him.
Starting point is 00:34:54 I mean, he might get targets. It is kind of interesting that the new Dante Pettis is now worse than the old Dante Pettis, who's now in the Giants. I do have Dante Pettis currently ranked ahead of Brandon Ayoub. I would advise against that, by the way. I assume you're not
Starting point is 00:35:14 putting Darius Slayton in yet? No. No. So Darius Slayton would be better than the old Dante Pettis, which would then mean the new Dante Pettis is better than the old Dante Pettis, which would then mean the new Dante Pettis is better than the old Dante Pettis. Believe it or not, it's just crazy. I'm going to have to start Darius Slayton this week.
Starting point is 00:35:32 Well, when your entire team is New York Giants, you have to start a couple of them. Yeah, I guess so. The other ones are all hurt. So Wentz or Bridgewater? Wentz. I might make that move. I think I've got Teddy higher right now.
Starting point is 00:35:50 Start Jonathan Taylor. He has three straight games with 114 or more total yards. Naeem Hines. Any interest? No. Okay, if Pittman and Hilton both play, who do you prefer? Pittman. I think I have Pittman one spot higher.
Starting point is 00:36:06 They're both number three wide receivers. I can't tell what kind of matchup this is. San Francisco's defense confuses me. Yeah, we don't know yet. Yeah, they did great against Metcalf and Lockett. They did great against Devontae Smith. He had two catches for 16 yards, but Adams and Hopkins had huge games. These guys are not those guys.
Starting point is 00:36:28 No, they're not after all. Okay, so Pittman or Higgins? Pittman. Hilton or Higgins? Hilton for me. Higgins.
Starting point is 00:36:43 Mo Alley-Cox, top 16 tight end, three straight games with five or more non-PPR, eight or more full PPR points. And again, probably a good defense against tight ends. Yeah, he'll be lower for me. He'll be lower for you. Who are you going to move ahead of Moe Alley-Cox? Cole Komet.
Starting point is 00:37:00 Really? Interesting. I really want that to be true. So bad. Okay. All right. really interesting I really want that to be true so bad okay alright well look Ricky Seals Jones that above him right
Starting point is 00:37:12 as long as he's healthy yeah and then let's talk a little bit more about Eli Mitchell here I know we had the dispute earlier but 19 carries in week 1
Starting point is 00:37:22 17 carries in week 2 only 9 carries in week 5 but no other running week two, only nine carries in week five, but no other running back in more than one carry in that game. So he has been the feature back all three times he's played. And Colts allow the second fewest points to running backs, four yards per carry. Really, though, it's just they haven't allowed touchdowns, just two touchdowns by running backs entering this week.
Starting point is 00:37:44 So how many touches do you anticipate mitchell getting like what do you have projected for you i will tell you that i wouldn't i'm gonna guess before i look 16 maybe 14 okay so that's it's funny because this is a that's a that could be a big swing because there have been four running backs with at least 16 50 excuse me 15 total touches against the Colts, and three of them either 100 total yards or a touchdown. The only one that didn't do it was Mark Ingram, and we know he stinks, but he's still got 81 total yards and a 31-3 blowout.
Starting point is 00:38:19 So the other three guys would be Chris Carson, Daryl Henderson, and Derrick Henry. Now, I don't know where Mitchell slots in, probably somewhere in between. But if he gets 15 total touches, I think he's got a shot to, you know, crack the code against the Colts. Plus, you're probably looking at game flow and game script. I think they're playing with a lead. So I like Mitchell. So like I said, he's a little too high where I have him ranked right now,
Starting point is 00:38:39 but I wouldn't be surprised if he finishes inside the top 15. Yeah, and right, I'm not convinced that the Colts, even though they give up the second fewest fantasy points, it's really just been about everybody's throwing touchdowns on them. And one of the running back touchdowns was a receiving touchdown, but only one rushing touchdown by a running back so far. But that could change.
Starting point is 00:38:59 I mean, going into week five, the Jets had given up like two passing touchdowns all year, and then Matt Ryan had a huge game. So those things can change. That's about it. Any interest in Ross Dwelly? Deeper leagues, tight end premium. Yeah, I think...
Starting point is 00:39:17 I am starting him in a tight end premium league over Austin Hooper. I think his usage in his first game without Kittle probably not indicative of what we'll see with Jimmy Garoppolo. He'll get more targets this week is my expectation, but he's not a top 15 guy. I guess I should have asked earlier, but with Beckham
Starting point is 00:39:36 likely out, any interest in David Njoku this week? Not really. I've got him higher than Dwelly. All right. Well, I'm glad I didn face Keenum. I've got him higher than Dwelly. All right. Well, I'm glad I didn't ask earlier.
Starting point is 00:39:49 That was a big waste of time. The best game came with Beckham on the field. Yeah. But week one was also very good without Beckham. Whatever. He's in the Joko. And we're going to take a break. And when we come back, Atlanta is at Miami.
Starting point is 00:40:07 We'll tell you about Mike Davis and how Miami has just been horrible against the run lately. We'll be right back on Fantasy Football today. Did you know 66% of utility damage is caused by not requesting a locate? Don't let your project become part of this statistic. A quick locate request can save you from unexpected downtime, financial penalties, and keep you safe. Don't let avoidable damage cost you time and money. Click before you dig. Ensure your next project is safe.
Starting point is 00:40:30 Visit OntarioOneCall.ca. It's free. It's easy. It's the law. Data sourced from the ORCGA 2023 Dirt Report. Atlanta is at Miami, and your stat of the game,
Starting point is 00:40:43 Mike Davis has scored 9 to 12 PPR fantasy points in every game. He just kind of sits there, just exists. So when you look at... Well, first of all, you think he's going to have his best game yet? More than 12 PPR fantasy points for Davis? Sure. Yeah, it's possible.
Starting point is 00:41:01 Again, this is another one of those situations we're coming off the bye. I believe week five was the first time this season that Cordero Patterson had more carries than Mike Davis. And so you just hope that they don't say, man, things have gone a lot better when we give the ball to Cordero Patterson than when we give it to Mike Davis and we just see an even bigger role for Patterson.
Starting point is 00:41:20 Yeah, he had such a bad start, Mike Davis, first five games, and you don't think maybe Wayne Gallman would be worth stashing? You think Davis could lose his job? I mean, in deeper leagues, it's not a bad idea. The first game Gallman played, he looked more explosive than Davis. But I hope fresh legs. The matchups weren't great for him to start the season.
Starting point is 00:41:43 So now you're looking at this defense, and it's certainly exploitable. So hopefully we see that from Davis, from Patterson, and maybe Goldman, and then we see how it shakes out between the latter two. Okay, so anyway, the Dolphins. The Dolphins have given up 14 or more non-PPR, non-PPR fantasy points to a running back in five straight games.
Starting point is 00:42:04 Singletary, Peyton Barber, Jonathan Taylor, Fournette, James Robinson. A running back has rushed for a touchdown in five straight games against the Dolphins. I know that you guys like Patterson a lot, but when you look at Mike Davis, compare him to waiver-wire running backs. Khalil
Starting point is 00:42:20 Herbert, Eli Mitchell, Devante Booker. I know he's not going to be up with Darrell Williams or anything like that, but would you start Mike Davis over Mitchell, over Herbert, over Booker? I would start Mitchell over him in non-PPR. I would start Freeman over Davis in PPR. I would start Davis over both Booker and Khalil Herbert. I think I have Davis behind all of those guys. Okay.
Starting point is 00:42:46 Let's go to the quarterbacks. Matt Ryan is top eight. Are there any must-start quarterbacks on a typical week that is not on by that you would start Matt Ryan over? Daniel Jones, I guess. Yeah, that was the one I was going to ask about. Yeah, he's ahead of Tannehill, Burrow, but he's not ahead of Hurts or Rodgers or Kyler, etc.
Starting point is 00:43:11 And then Tua's not far behind. Tua's 10th. You guys have Ryan 8th and Tua 10th, and you both have Derek Carr right in between. Matt Ryan, Derek Carr, Tua Tungabailoa, Ryan Tannehill, Jameis Winston. There you go. 7 through 12, 6 through 12. 6 through 12 are exactly the same for you guys. Where's Dave? Different?
Starting point is 00:43:30 From six to 12? Yeah. Very. He has Aaron Rodgers second this week. You guys have him sixth. He has Brady sixth. You guys are a little higher. Whatever.
Starting point is 00:43:39 But he has Ryan eighth, and he has two a tenth. So all three of you have Matt Ryan eighth and two a tenth. Who does he have ninth? He has ninth. Great question has two a tenth. So you all three of you have Matt Ryan eighth and two a tenth. He has ninth. Great question. Joe Burrow. Oh, wow. Okay. Patterson must start. Calvin Ridley must start.
Starting point is 00:43:57 How about Russell Gage? Any interest in Russell Gage? Not much, but you know, if the corners are still banged up for Miami, there's an opportunity there. I might put them in that Brandon IU category, but I just think it's probably going to be Ridley one pits to running backs,
Starting point is 00:44:13 three engage for now. I know five, I guess. I know. Yeah. Everybody's going to start Kyle pits coming off a great game in London two weeks ago, but obviously Calvin Ridley and Russellage did not play in that game.
Starting point is 00:44:26 So, you know, I'm not saying to sit him or anything, but I think if we had had this conversation two weeks ago before the Dolphins game, you could say, hey, a guy like Dallas Goddard or a guy like Mike Kosicki, you know, who else am I forgetting? Noah Fant tonight. Could you start him over Pitts?
Starting point is 00:44:41 And I think it would have been a tougher question back then. You all have Pitts fourth behind Kelsey, Andrews, and Waller, and you have Gasicki fifth. So I guess it's not an easy call. But my question, I guess, is Kyle Pitts just good, or do you think he's great this week? I mean, I hope he's great, but it's more of a, I think, procedural thing as well.
Starting point is 00:45:03 Who did you pick up to replace Kyle Pitts last week? So I have a couple scenarios where I picked up Hunter Henry, and I'm just playing them both because I don't have a better flex play. So I'm sticking Henry or Pitts wherever you want in the flex. But if you picked up Gusecki or Henry, or if you want to take a chance, I think it's stupid, but Zacherts or one of those guys. What about Goddard? I don't know if Goddard
Starting point is 00:45:29 was dropped, but sure. He was like 62% roster, right? You can consider it, but I just think you're looking for upside here. This Dolphins defense is just not very good. Hopefully, Pitts is a big benefactor of what the type of game I'm hoping Matt Ryan's going to have, as we saw in London.
Starting point is 00:45:46 Okay, going over to the Dolphins side. Heath, any interest in a Dolphins running back? Let me just answer that for you. No, Gaskin's the highest ranked for me, and there's a chance that they just decide to use him again. Maybe they give him an opportunity at the start of the game, and this time he plays well. But he's just a I a just a i have no
Starting point is 00:46:05 better options flex is what he is i would start him over johnson and ppr but i think all the other replacement guys are better i was gonna play this when i asked you about starting miles gaskin uh just keep an eye on malcolm brown miss in practice, I think, with a rib injury. Maybe if he's out, that's the answer that helps Gaskin. And maybe if he's out, stash Savon Achmed. And a running back has four or more catches in all but one game against the Falcons, 39 to 44 receiving yards in three of five games. They've been a little bit vulnerable there. They give up the eighth most receiving yards per game.
Starting point is 00:46:44 Jalen Waddell, start or sit start him must start waddle or waddle shepherd that's uh shepherd for me but that's they're back to back love them both waddle or metcalf waddle waddle or Pittman? Waddle. What if Parker plays? Does that change anything? No. Yeah, I would drop him down, but still ahead of Metcalf and Pittman.
Starting point is 00:47:15 What is Waddle's yards per catch this year? 2.8. It's a lot of faith in Jalen Waddle. He better get the targets. He pretty much has every week, hasn't he? How are we going to do yards per catch? It is YPC, I guess, still. In his situation, he's doing nothing with these catches.
Starting point is 00:47:31 He's scoring touchdowns. He is sometimes scoring touchdowns. It means two games with Tua, 16 or more PPR points in both of them. Yeah, the first game with Tua, he had five or six targets, though. But he scored. he did score yes two of the touchdowns and that like if we're going to talk about yards per catch the average 15.3
Starting point is 00:47:51 yards per catch in that game hey all right that's pretty good all right mike is sticky is a start gaseki or hawkinson hawkinson facing the rams uh gase Okay. And that is it for this game. Philadelphia is at Las Vegas. Stat of the game. A running back has 81 or more rushing yards against the Eagles in four straight games. That is Zeke, Clyde Edwards,
Starting point is 00:48:16 Elair, Chuba Hubbard, and Leonard Fournette. Well, that would be about 40 carries for Josh Jacobs. Sorry. Don't, don't get mad. It's just like, and then seriously, this one is so easy. Jalen Hurts and Derek Carr are top 10 quarterbacks.
Starting point is 00:48:34 Start them both. Josh Jacobs and Miles Sanders are top 12 running backs. Start them both. It's not that easy. It's 100% that easy. What would we be here for if it were that easy? I think a lot of people hear you say top-level running backs, and they probably do a double-take because they've been so bad.
Starting point is 00:48:52 Sanders more so than Jacobs. Exactly. To call Miles Sanders, he's top 15 for everybody. I think he's 13th for Heath and 15th for Jamie and PPR. He hasn't scored a touchdown yet. He's been a pretty big bust. Who has like 29 carries in his last four games. You're not giving Josh Jacobs any credit for his touchdowns at all.
Starting point is 00:49:10 We're just going to make jokes about his yards per carry. Miles Sanders has been awesome. He's averaging 4.7 yards per carry. He's got 29 carries in his last four games. So I, I almost made him the start of the week. I feel like this is the breakout game for him. It just,
Starting point is 00:49:24 everything you hear from Sirianni, the Eagles crowd in that game last week against the Bucs, it's time. Time to feed him. I don't know to what extent. I don't think he's getting 15 carries like we saw in week one, but he might. If he gets anything
Starting point is 00:49:39 north of that in his total touches, he had 19 total touches in that game against the Falcons. By the way, it's a game they won on the road. So you got to give him more opportunities, and I'd be shocked if it doesn't happen this week. I don't think they're getting blown out in this game. And if you take the blowouts out of the equation,
Starting point is 00:49:56 you can azer stat it a little bit, he's pretty close to 15 touches a game. So, look, I'm not saying to sit them, by the way. I'm just saying that it's very reasonable for fantasy managers to have questions about whether or not they should start to sit them, by the way. I'm just saying that it's very reasonable for fantasy managers to have questions about whether or not they should start or sit Miles Sanders and Josh Jacobs. I'm just telling you that we are starting them both this week.
Starting point is 00:50:13 Okay, all right. And I think they could get blown out. You know, they're bad. And, you know, like the Raiders are not. You just have to wonder, is this the hangover game for the Raiders after the win last week, first game without Gruden?
Starting point is 00:50:29 This is the game you want to see the new coaching staff, per se. I know it's the same guys, but new head coach and things changing. How do they get the guys ready to go home game against the Eagles with a bye week coming? Well, Jamie, if I'm worried about one team having a hangover, it's the team that's visiting Las Vegas.
Starting point is 00:50:46 So, you know. We've got like multiple, we've got three games I think this week with like 13 point spreads or bigger. This one's a three point spread. My blowout concerns are pretty low. Okay, well Vegas is always right. You're pissing me off
Starting point is 00:51:01 because you're making me say that, you're making it seem like I'm sitting Sanders and Jacobs and I'm not, but I just think that it's reasonable to have the discussion given the way they've performed this year. Okay. Well, I mean,
Starting point is 00:51:13 there are probably some people that have, I would guess those guys versus the pickups of the last couple of weeks, like Herbert versus the two of them. Um, maybe Daryl Williams versus the two of them. I can't imagine that you're not starting williams over those guys but um well i have at least one league i think maybe two where i have both daryl williams and no just one daryl williams and chuba hubbard and i would start both those
Starting point is 00:51:34 guys over the running backs in this game yes they're both top 10 running backs yeah all right so at least we're on that same page there but like for example like you know you asked me with with elijah mitchell right now i'm mitchell ranked ahead of them that's something i'm changing All right, so at least we're on that same page there. But, like, for example, you asked me with Elijah Mitchell. Right now I have Mitchell ranked ahead of them. That's something I'm changing. Okay. Philadelphia wide receivers, I don't think anyone's going to trust Quez Watkins.
Starting point is 00:51:52 But Devontae Smith, how much do you trust Devontae Smith? Three really good games and three really, really bad games so far this year. I don't want to trust him, but I'm probably not going to sit him, depending on what I have. I like him better than Higgins. I like him better than Boyd.
Starting point is 00:52:14 I like him better than Allen Robinson. I like him better than... I like him better than Tyler Lockett. Dearness Johnson. I like him better than Dearness Johnson. How about Miles Sanders, Josh Jacobs, or Devontae Smith? No, I start the running backs. Okay.
Starting point is 00:52:30 And yeah, I mean, the Raiders, it's weird. I talked about this last week. They give up the fourth fewest points to wide receivers, third fewest yards per catch to wide receivers, YPC for life. But then last week, Cortland Sutton, big game. Tim Patrick caught a touchdown, so I'm not really buying it, but they have been really good.
Starting point is 00:52:46 Their pass rush is solid. Dallas Goddard, top 10. Let's hope he plays. And the Raiders have been terrible against tight ends lately. 86 yards or a touchdown in four straight games to tight ends. So Derek Carr, two bad weeks in a row, then a really good game at Denver. And Heath, you're just all good?
Starting point is 00:53:08 Derek Carr? All good. Derek Carr. Bye, Nado. Kenyon Drake? He's a high-end number two quarterback who's been pushed into the top 12 this week because of all the guys that we're missing.
Starting point is 00:53:20 How about Kenyon Drake? Nah, he might. He's not a bad desperation flex. Any Vegas wide receivers? Renfro. I'm not sure if I have Renfro or Ruggs or Devontae Smith ranked higher, but they are all right in the same range as that number three Hilton Michael Pittman range. It's an interesting week for rugs because
Starting point is 00:53:46 if the I think the Eagles if I'm not mistaken uh they used a lot of Darius Slay on Travis Kelsey and Kelsey struggled in that game and I saw a quote from Slay talking about how basically Darren Waller is a wide receiver and so will, well, they put him on Darren Waller and maybe negate Waller a little bit. But in that Chiefs game, Tyreek Hill went nuts. He's really the only number one wide receiver to go off against the Eagles. Yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:54:18 And the Eagles, though, they don't give up big plays. That's their thing. But Ruggs has the tendency to get big plays on anyone. The Steelers, for example, have given up two pass plays of 40-plus yards this year, and he has one of them. He had a 60-yard touchdown in that game. I think last year, the Chiefs
Starting point is 00:54:36 under Spagnuolo, they're typically, not this year, but usually they're really good at avoiding big plays. Ruggs had a couple of them against the Chiefs last year. That hasn't really mattered. He either gets it or he doesn't, and you know what you're dealing with with Ruggs. Not a lot of catches. You Chiefs last year. So that hasn't really mattered. I mean, he either gets it or he doesn't, and you know what you're dealing with with Ruggs. Not a lot of catches. You need him to have that 30, 40-yard catch.
Starting point is 00:54:51 And then Renfro's obviously the safer PPR target there. You got to start down Waller, but four straight games with 45 to 65 yards. Jamie just talked about the possibility that Slay could be on them. I mean, look, how about this? Kyle Pitts at 31 yards. George Kittle had 17.
Starting point is 00:55:04 Travis Kelsey had 23 yards. So is Darren Waller really the number three tight end this week? You almost grinned to yourself a little bit. You felt so clever for asking that question. Like, ah, I got him. I want you to know that
Starting point is 00:55:19 fantasy managers at home view things differently than we, not everyone, but a lot of people do. So when I put a, hey, who are you worried about? People say, you got to talk about Darren Waller. He's been a bust. I see that. So I'm giving it to the people, Heath.
Starting point is 00:55:35 I'm being their voice. You're Bane. I am. Would you sit Waller? No, I can't do it anymore. We give it back to you. The people. Okay. All right, fine. He do it anymore. We give it back to you. Good people. Okay.
Starting point is 00:55:46 All right, fine. He's number three. Fine, great. I don't feel comfortable with it, to be honest with you. But it's also FOMO. Who would you feel comfortable with at number three? No one. Put Mike Gesicki there?
Starting point is 00:55:58 Put TJ Hawkins in there? Kyle Pitts, who's Adam's man, is ranking him at number four. Look, I can see Goddard. You know what? I'll make a bet with you. Goddard versus, if Goddard plays, Goddard versus Waller.
Starting point is 00:56:10 Now, I will start Waller over Goddard because he's Waller. But you would like credit if Goddard's better than Waller. 100%. You can't do it unless you can start him. There's no way. Can't make that kind of bet.
Starting point is 00:56:20 Just for fun. We'll see what happens. I will say he's one of, if not the best, by-law candidates you'll find. Waller? Yes. Okay. Kansas City at Tennessee. But he has been a bust.
Starting point is 00:56:34 Stat of the game. Kansas City has allowed 57 or more yards to six tight ends in six games. Ferkser or Waller? Why are you disrespecting Jeff Swain? Whoever. Or Waller. This team cannot defend tight ends. Three touchdowns in three straight games to a tight end.
Starting point is 00:56:53 Yeah, so whatever. Unfortunately, it probably doesn't matter in this game. Play Julio at tight end. There you go. Yeah, so this game's fairly easy. Mahomes, yes? Darrell Williams, top 10 for you guys. So any surprises where you said,
Starting point is 00:57:11 wow, I can't believe I'm ranking Darrell Williams ahead of this running back? Well, it's tough to put him ahead of Miles Sanders and Josh Jacobs. I mean, as good as those guys are. Speaking of yards per carry, Darrell Williams was amazing last week. No, I don't think so. Nobody that stands out tremendously.
Starting point is 00:57:33 Yeah, I have gone back and forth. I just this morning put Williams ahead of those two. But I don't know that I necessarily like it. Yeah. All right, he only had 21 carries. He had 21 carries, but only 62 yards, two touchdowns. He did have three catches last week. Tennessee's defense is really bad.
Starting point is 00:57:52 Running back has scored in four of the last five games against them. Start Tyreek Hill. Does McCall Hardman enter the discussion this week? Yes. They just lost another corner. So, deep league if you're stuck. He's got, I think, 15 targets his last two weeks. I think it might be more than that.
Starting point is 00:58:12 I think it's like 18 targets his last two weeks. What are you at, 12 and then 5, I think? 12 and 6, yeah. 12 and 5. I've got Hardman right now ahead of Allen Robinson, ahead of Kyler Boyd. I've got him ahead of T.D. Higgins. I've got him ahead of whichever Browns wide receiver plays. Now he's still just 35th.
Starting point is 00:58:33 Okay. I mean, I feel like Higgins, people aren't going to really start him over Higgins, but I understand. You know what I mean? I don't know that people are going to have the faith in Hardman. You'd really do that? Well, I don't know that you have to have that much faith in him to start him over Higgins is what I'm saying.
Starting point is 00:58:48 Right. Yeah, you're low on Higgins, sure. Start Kelsey and Tannehill. All right, so Tannehill is just behind Matt Ryan, Derek Carr, and Tua Tungabailoa. He is 11th for you. How much does Julio Jones' availability matter in your ranking of Ryan Tannehill,
Starting point is 00:59:06 Jamie? It doesn't. Honestly, it doesn't. Think about where he's been in his career with the Titans. He never had Julio Jones. No, he had other guys, obviously. Corey Davis and John O'Smith and whatnot. I think he'll get enough
Starting point is 00:59:22 out of A.J. Brown. He'll get enough out of whatever Derrick Henry does in the passing game. He'll get enough out of A.J. Brown. He'll get enough out of whatever Derrick Henry does in the passing game. He'll get enough out of somebody. And to your point, somebody might score a touchdown from the tight end position, whether it's Ferkser or Swain. Swain almost had a touchdown in the game against the Bills. Coming just short at the goal line, or two yards,
Starting point is 00:59:38 whatever it was. So yeah, somebody will help him, but he'll run, chasing points. This is the setup for Ryan Tannehill you've been waiting for. Okay, and he's actually just being smacked in the face by touchdown regression because he's on pace for more rushing and more passing yards than last year, but 19 fewer touchdowns. He's also throwing more this year, three or four more attempts per game, I think,
Starting point is 01:00:03 but just not scoring touchdowns this year. And Kansas City does allow still the second most fantasy points to quarterbacks. However, the good quarterbacks have been Lamar Jackson, Justin Herbert, Jalen Hurts, and Josh Allen. Start Derrick Henry, start A.J. Brown, and if Julio plays, he would be what, Heath? In the Mecole-Hardman-Tee-Higginsiggins range a low end number three wide receiver
Starting point is 01:00:27 i get it but just tell me why because that's so tough that's such a tough pill to swallow um you don't have any degree of confidence that he's going to finish the game um he's not playing a full complement of snaps when he is on the field. And he hasn't, like he has for like three plays this season, look like Julio Jones. But other than that, he really hasn't. The Chiefs give up the most. This is really surprising. And they're usually very good at avoiding the big play.
Starting point is 01:00:57 They've given up the most 40-plus yard pass plays in the NFL, eight of them. And that's it for this game. I also just found a fun stat. Meikle Hardman this year is averaging more yards per scrimmage per game than T. Higgins.
Starting point is 01:01:13 Yeah, that's interesting. It's so frustrating because sometimes it's Pringle and sometimes it's Robinson. He only has one touchdown this year. So you don't ever know who's going to get there. Imagine when Cheetos and Doritos get involved. Let's do some rankings here.
Starting point is 01:01:29 Cheetos. If I was Tyreek Hill, actually, I would change my name from Cheetah to Cheetos. Yeah, there you go. Pringle and Cheetos. Cheetos, Pringles, Doritos. How would you rank them? Doritos, Pringles, Cheetos. Yeah, Doritos, unranked, unranked.
Starting point is 01:01:48 Oh, come on. When's the last time you had those? They're really good. I don't know about Cheetos, but Pringles are great. I didn't eat those back when I ate those kinds of things. Pringles are very good. And, you know, they're really fun, too. Well, the problem with Pringles is once you get to the bottom
Starting point is 01:02:06 or close to the bottom, you got to turn the whole tube over. They're not the most user-friendly chip. Okay. The problem is, and you'll experience this
Starting point is 01:02:15 when your kids are a little older, especially when they start playing sports, when you bring the Pringles for snacks, they have the little snack-sized ones, so you don't have to worry
Starting point is 01:02:22 about that anymore. Oh, okay. Okay, that's good to know. I can't remember the last time I had Pringles in the big tube. You're really missing out. Stat of the game. Just one note. Samaj P. Ryan
Starting point is 01:02:33 activated off the reserve COVID-19 list. You know, I saw that. I decided it wasn't show-worthy, but I guess it is. It's show-worthy. Good handcuffs. Chris Evans is banged up, and somebody will work in some form of capacity in tandem with Joe Mixon. So it's probably not
Starting point is 01:02:49 pure ending. It is show worthy. I should have said it. Should have been a better host like you told me earlier. Stat of the game for the Jets and the Patriots. We can stare each other again. Jacoby Myers has two games with more than 11 PPR fantasy points. Damian Harris had a combined 10 carries in those two games. You know how many pass attempts Mac Jones had in those two games with more than 11 PPR fantasy points. Damian Harris had a combined 10 carries in those
Starting point is 01:03:06 two games. You know how many pass attempts Mac Jones had in those two games? In the Saints and the Bucs games. I'm going to say he had 80 combined. I don't know the total number, but it was more than 40 in both. Oh. So, yes.
Starting point is 01:03:21 So, I went under. Yeah, it's been pretty... 40 and 50 something. It's been pretty game script dependent for under. Yeah, it's been like 40 and 50 something. It's been pretty game script dependent for Meyer when they haven't been able to run the ball against the Saints when they were getting blown out against
Starting point is 01:03:30 the Bucks because it's the Bucks. He's had good games when they have been able to run the ball. Harris has good games. I don't know that they've had a good game.
Starting point is 01:03:36 They haven't. They haven't had a good game the same week. So Heath, is it a Harris week? Is it a Myers week or will it finally be a both week?
Starting point is 01:03:44 It looks more like a Harris week just based on the opponent and what they'll probably do to Zach Wilson. So I think Harris is a low-end number two. Listen, in full PPR, I think I'm probably still starting Jacoby Myers as well. Even if it's a five for 60, that's probably good enough to start this week.
Starting point is 01:04:01 So I don't want to start Myers in non-PPR, though. Do you want to start Harris in full PPR? He's a low-end number two running back. Damian Harris, Josh Jacobs, Miles Sanders. Who's the best? Jacobs or Sanders. Harris, non-PPR. I don't know, for me, if it's close.
Starting point is 01:04:25 In PPR, I'd probably put Harris behind those guys because you expect them to be a little bit more involved in the passing game, but very close in PPR. Are you going to put Elijah Mitchell ahead or behind Damian Harris? Harris ahead of him in non-PPR, probably similar range. Probably Harris ahead of him in PPR as well. I've got Harris in both, yeah. I think one thing that's encouraging for Harris
Starting point is 01:04:49 is not an injury report this week. So that's good. He's been dealing with that rib injury and back injury, I think it's been for the last couple of weeks. But how much more work is Ramondre Stevenson going to get? That's the question.
Starting point is 01:05:03 So who is the second best running back in this game? Ramond J. Stevenson going to get? That's the question. Who is the second best running back in this game? Ramond J. Stevenson for me. Michael Carter. Who is the best wide receiver in this game? Myers. I was a little surprised
Starting point is 01:05:22 that Corey Davis even cracked your top 30 guys. He's top 25, and he had two catches for eight yards in the first game. Yeah, he's too high for me. I was actually contemplating Myers or Crowder, because in the week two game, that was Braxton Berrios without Crowder on the field. Berrios had seven for 73, I think 11 targets. I yep um remember all that huh how do you remember all that i mean i have it in front of me but well i just wrote about crowder yesterday so i i think crowder is in an interesting spot because
Starting point is 01:05:55 if you just go game flow you know it's uh it feels like he's going to be that that guy he's going to be what you hope myers is yeah man i'm really you know you got to be that guy. He's going to be what you hope Myers is. Yeah, man, I'm really... You've got to be nervous about Corey Davis. If they put JC Jackson on him, it's probably going to be a long day. All right, so... I don't know. Some of this game, Heath,
Starting point is 01:06:18 the way you do so succinctly. It's really, really gross. Damian Harris is probably the only guy that you really like starting in non-PPR. And he and Myers are both starts in PPR. Don't forget about Hunter Henry. Sure.
Starting point is 01:06:35 What do you mean, sure? This is the problem for Myers. Henry? Yeah. Well, but also, how many targets did Hunter henry have last week uh i think two or three but he only threw 21 passes last week i think but yeah again well how many is he gonna throw against the jets this week yeah
Starting point is 01:06:53 that is the problem he had two he had two targets last week he has one game this season with more than 42 yards so i've got hunter henry ranked as the top 12 tied in and i think i'm starting him but the floor is like two points. Yes, there is a problem if he's getting this few targets, clearly. But I think you're just starting to see maybe why Myers is not having the ceiling plays that we saw in those two games.
Starting point is 01:07:20 And you're right, Adam. Game flow is probably the most important reason. Volume for Mac Jones is a big reason, clearly. But there's another guy in the middle of the field that's proven to be reliable as well. If one of those guys is going to catch a touchdown, do you think it's going to be Hunter Henry or Jacoby Myers? Let's see. One guy scored three straight games.
Starting point is 01:07:38 One guy yet to score in three straight years. I think you've got to go with Hunter Henry. Myers is due. Myers is due, man. He keeps getting so close. Myers is going to throw a touchdown pass to Hunter Henry. Tim Patrick or a wide receiver in this game? Patrick.
Starting point is 01:07:57 Myers and PPR. We're done. Thanks, everybody, for listening and watching. We'll talk to you tomorrow with the NFC home games. We got a live stream today at 2 p.m. YouTube.com slash Fantasy Football Today. We will answer more of your start and sit questions. Good luck in Week 7. Let's get going.

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