Fantasy Football Today - Start or Sit (AFC): Woody Marks SZN! How About DK Metcalf? Deebo Samuel? Quinshon Judkins?  (11/13 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Episode Date: November 13, 2025

We start the show with players we love this week including Justin Herbert and RJ Harvey. Then we shift to players to avoid (5:30). Courtland Sutton is a risky start, but what about Baker Mayfield in B...uffalo? ... News and notes (10:00) and One Question for Each Game (17:15)! Start or Sit Kareem Hunt? Cade Otton? DK Metcalf? Zay Flowers? Woody Marks? ... Start or Sit for Chiefs-Broncos (24:00), Commanders-Dolphins (33:40), Bucs-Bills (42:00), Cowboys-Raiders (52:05), Bengals-Steelers (58:30), Chargers-Jaguars (1:05:00), Ravens-Browns (1:12:00) and Texans-Titans (1:18:00) ... Email us at fantasyfootball@cbsi.com Fantasy Football Today is available for free on the Audacy app as well as Apple Podcasts, Spotify and wherever else you listen to podcasts Watch FFT on YouTube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ https://www.youtube.com/fantasyfootballtoday⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Shop our store: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠shop.cbssports.com/fantasy⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠  SUBSCRIBE to FFT Dynasty on Apple: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fantasy-football-today-dynasty/id1696679179⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ FOLLOW FFT Dynasty on Spotify: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://open.spotify.com/show/2aHlmMJw1m8FareKybdNfG?si=8487e2f9611b4438&nd=1⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ SUBSCRIBE to FFT DFS on Apple: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fantasy-football-today-dfs/id1579415837⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 This is fantasy football today from CBS Sports. What a play! Can you believe this? It's a no idea. It's time to dominate your fantasy league. This is going to go the distance. Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie, and Heath. All right, good morning, everybody, and we welcome you.
Starting point is 00:00:23 We're about to begin week 11 here. It's Thursday, November 13th. Get ready for Jets and Patriots tonight. fantasy football today presented by BEDMGM. Make it legendary. We've got eight games to get to today. We're going to try. Kansas City at Denver, Washington at Miami,
Starting point is 00:00:39 Tampa Bay at Buffalo, Dallas at Las Vegas, Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, chargers at Jacksonville, Ravens at Browns, Texans and Titans. It could be Woody Mark's SZN. All right.
Starting point is 00:00:52 We got Jamie and Heath here. We're going to get right into it. With our start of the week, Jamie, who are some players you love this week? Justin Herbert is the start of the week. He prior to last week had been very good at least 22.8 points in four games in a row. Jaguars have obviously been struggling against opposing quarterback because they made Davis Mills like a Hall of Famer last week. So love the setup for him.
Starting point is 00:01:13 You mentioned Woody Marks, love the setup for him as well. Last time he played the Titans was his best game, but he's obviously been taking slightly each week a little bit more control of the backfill until we saw last week where he played 80% of the snaps. So hopefully that continues. And then I love what Joanne Jennings has done each of the last two weeks. We'll see if Ricky Pearsall returns this week, but the Cardinals really struggle with number one wide receivers, and I think Joanne Dennings has another big game. All right.
Starting point is 00:01:34 So it's Herbert at Jacksonville. He's the start of the week. Jacksonville's been horrible against quarterback. Woody Marks, that's the last game we're going to talk about at Tennessee. We've had some fake outs before with Woody Marks. Are you more confident this week that he's here to stay? I would be shocked if they went back to Nick Chubb plotting his way through the middle of the field, as opposed to, you know, trying to get some more explosiveness out of the backfield
Starting point is 00:01:57 and based on what DeMiko Ryan said, it feels like the takeover has happened. All right. And then Joanne Jennings was the last one. Are you worried about pass volume in that game, though, with Marvin Harrison Jr. out? Not necessarily. And it hasn't been on a ton of targets for Jennings recently. So if Purdy's back, I think that's even better for him because I think the connection is a little bit better between those two than it has been with, at least historically for
Starting point is 00:02:23 these two guys with Mack Jones. Not that Jones has been bad from the last couple of games. But I just think there's an opportunity for Jennings to keep going as the, at least for now, the de facto alpha of this receiving core. Hey, Heath. Hi, Adam. All right, good morning, sir. So you've got three players you love as well, RJ Harvey against the Chiefs, Joe Flacco against Pittsburgh, and Kalil Shakir is a staple. You love Khalil Shakir.
Starting point is 00:02:46 He's got Tampa Bay this week. Yeah, I think, listen, it's not a great matchup for RJ Harvey. There will be at least a little bit of a split, but he has 50 carries this season. Tyler Beatty and Julian McLaughlin have three. They don't have another big back to bring in and take away the carries that R.J. Harvey doesn't normally get. So I do think we're going to see 15 plus touches. We were excited about this guy.
Starting point is 00:03:08 He's made splash plays. He's going to get the opportunity to touch the ball 15 times. Just start him. I'm starting Joe Flacco. That should surprise no one, but he is coming off of a buy. His start percentage is still just 29%. He's a top 10 quarterback for me Of all of the streaming quarterbacks that we love this week
Starting point is 00:03:29 And there's a bunch of them One less now with Marvin Harrison out So we don't let Jacoby Brissette Flacco is my favorite of that group Get him in your starting lineup It's going to throw the ball 40 plus times And the Steelers defense isn't that good Especially when Flacco gets the ball out
Starting point is 00:03:43 In less than two and a half seconds Which he does on the Bengals And then Khalil Shakir He's been a really steady 13, 12 fantasy points He's going to be close to 20 if he gets you a touchdown, and no Dalton Kincaid. So you might see that target volume inch up just a little bit. There you go. All right.
Starting point is 00:04:01 Sunday morning. We've got one more game in Europe, one more early games. So that means one more early show of fantasy football today, 830 to 930am, YouTube.com slash fantasy football today. And then again from noon to one. So we hope to see you there on Sunday. Today, check out fantasy football today on CBS Sports Network at 1 p.m. Dave, Jamie, and Heath go through their. rankings and their tears.
Starting point is 00:04:24 All right, players to avoid. So Baker, Mayfield, this is the interesting one, Mayfield coming off a huge game, Heath. You have Mayfield at Buffalo, Ken Walker at the Rams, and Jordan Addison against the Bears. Yeah, and I think Baker Mayfield's probably the most controversial of those. I know we have some disagreements in the rankings. The bill's really miserable game last year,
Starting point is 00:04:43 but for the one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eightth week in a row, they did not allow a quarterback to score more than 16 fantasy points. So they have given up a lot in the run game. I expect that Tampa Bay is going to try to establish the run in this game. Maybe you get a couple of fourth quarter touchdowns from Baker Mayfield that makes it a good day. But I don't like what we've seen from him except for last week without the top two wide receivers most recently.
Starting point is 00:05:13 And the strangest thing, he averaged four rush attempts per game for like the last three years, average basically four rush attempts per game the first six weeks of this season does not have one single rush attempt in his last three games wow and i noticed that they have an implied total of 21 which has to be one of their lowest of the season so i am getting away from baker mayfield i would start joe flacco over him ken walker probably seems obvious don't start ken walker don't start is Zach Charbonnet. Don't start running back against the Rams. Definitely don't start Ken Walker. And Jordan Addison, I worry about the pass volume. I worry about Justin Jefferson hogging all of the targets. I worry about J.J. McCarthy throwing the ball within five yards
Starting point is 00:05:59 of his wide receivers. Addison's had good success on downfield targets this year. McCarthy has not looked good throwing the ball deep. All right. So Baker Mayfield, Ken Walker, Jordan Addison, players to avoid for Heath. Heath likes R.J. Harvey against the Chiefs. By the way, guys, I'll ask both of you, Woody Marks at Tennessee or R.J. Harvey against the Chiefs. Marks for me. I have Harvey. They're both starts, though.
Starting point is 00:06:23 That's a good one. And he likes Harvey, Flacco, and Shakir. Jamie likes Herbert, Woody Marks, and Joanne Jennings. And I'm going to go ahead and disagree with you, Jamie, on one of your sits. And the first one, Sam Darnold at the Rams. I'll just say this.
Starting point is 00:06:39 Rams have had a pretty easy quarterback schedule. They faced four good quarterbacks this year, if you count Mac Jones. Three of them have had big games. They're so good against the run. Darnold's going to have to throw, and therefore, whenever he throws, he's great. So I like Sam Darnold, Jamie. Tell me why I'm wrong. He certainly could have a good game. He's the one that probably makes me the most nervous of the quarterbacks I have a assist this week, but also you look at how some of his games have unfolded, even some of his games where he's played well. He's got six turnovers in his last three games. And I think the Rams are going to get after and make him uncomfortable.
Starting point is 00:07:09 We know what that's been for him at times in his career. And so I just think Sam Donald falls below the 20 point threshold this week's a lot of great quarterbacks but i don't expect him to have one of his best games he's been under 10 fan he's been 10 fancy points or less than two of his last three one of those they won and so i just don't expect him to have one of his more dominant games so we've seen throughout the the season like this is one of these guys i think by the end of the year we look back and say he's been a great quarterback his fantasy production hasn't always matched his play yeah and so i just don't see a big game coming for sam don't in the case of courtland sutton he's really been struggling the last month i don't think
Starting point is 00:07:43 that's going to change against the Chiefs, mostly because I don't think Bo Nix is going to be better against the Chiefs, even though they're going to be at home. And in the case of Debo Samuel, you got lucky that he scored a touchdown last week. He's been 29 yards or less in three or four stars with Marcus Mariotta and the Dolphins, as we know, don't allow a lot of production to opposing wide receivers. So I don't expect Debo Samuel to have a great game this week also unless he finds the end zone. And that's one thing the dolphins have done very well is keep wide receivers out of the end zone. And that's going to be a fun one to debate. So Jamie's three got players to avoid were Sam Darnold, Cortland, Sutton, and Debo Samuel.
Starting point is 00:08:13 is a little more optimistic on Debo Samuel, and that's a game we'll get to in a little bit. All right, it is time for football at BetMGM. Register with BetMGM to get instant access to the best variety of parley selection features, no sweat and boost tokens, live betting options, and much more. New players can receive up to $1,500 back in bonus bets with the bonus code fantasy if they don't win their first bet. You don't want to miss out on any of the hard hitting action at BetMGM, Place your money line, parlay bets, and more today.
Starting point is 00:08:46 Bet MGM, make it legendary. All right, it's time for news and notes, and we're going to find out that Heath jinxed a very good player yesterday with his calling him a buy-low. Then he gave him appendicitis. Thank you, Heath. But news and notes at quarterback, Lamar Jackson's got a knee issue. They say, you know, John Harbaugh says he should be good for the game at Cleveland.
Starting point is 00:09:06 J.J. McCarthy has a bruised hand. They expect him to be okay. Brock Purdy is definitely making progress. But one thing Purdy did very well last year. He ran the ball a lot, ran very effectively. Apparently he's going to have to deal with his toe injury all year. He's not going to be 100%. Uh, Joe Flacco missed practice.
Starting point is 00:09:24 I guess that's not a shock, but he is dealing with a shoulder issue. And Davis Mills is prepping to start, according to KPRC2's Aaron Wilson, who had good reporting on this last week, too. Um, Romandre Stevenson is out tonight. Cyril Jennings is questionable. So Trayvion Henderson or Woody Marks? Anderson. Okay.
Starting point is 00:09:44 Isaiah Pacheco misprack. Did you forget the biggest news of quarterback? Yes. What? Jamis. Oh, we did that yesterday. We did? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:09:54 That was on the air? I'm pretty sure. Yeah. James is starting for the Giants. Okay. Pacheco missed practice. Bucky Irving returned to practice. It doesn't seem like he's quite ready to play yet, but it's something worth monitoring.
Starting point is 00:10:10 Let's see. Rico Dowdellman. He missed practice. Not a surprise. He missed Wednesday's practice last week. Zonovan Knight was actually listed as limited with an ankle injury. Jalen Warren. Wait, so that's Jalen Warren news. Okay, the Chris Rodriguez news. He was limited with a shoulder injury. I didn't mention this until almost an hour, almost the end of the show last week. But if you need a running back, he's 12% rostered Chris Rodriguez. He played 17 snaps in the first half last week and Corey Crossgame Airitt played four. I can't guarantee you that it's going to be like that again this week, but they did give him the job. last week, and he's at Miami, and they've actually been good against the run lately, but for this season, not so much. All right, Jamie, what do we make of this A.J. Brown stuff? He goes on Twitch and says, he's not happy. If you got me on fantasy, get rid of me.
Starting point is 00:10:56 I tried to make light of it yesterday, but things are not well in A.J. Brownland. I mean, look, he's being honest. He's frustrated. So, you know, you don't always see this when a team is winning coming off a Super Bowl season that, you know, somebody is continuing to be this vocal. about how unhappy he is. And I mean, you know, Nick Siriani said he's doing his job. We're going to continue to give him opportunities.
Starting point is 00:11:20 I think you just have to understand who he is as a player right now for your fantasy roster that it's not going to be a good return on investment. So you just treat him as a low end number two receiver. If you have other options, you sit him. Like I'm in one two receiver league with a flex where I have, you know, I drafted a mecca, a mid-round pick. It's easy to just sit AJ Brown because I have two other great. play i forget which league is but two other great players that rashi rice is one i think and um it's just easy
Starting point is 00:11:47 to get away from you know so if you can sit him like you got to treat devante smith as the best eagles receiver at this point he's just been more productive and so if you're jelan hurts right now and you just continue to hear this over and over again you know like which play do i want to draw you know which which you know receiver don't want to target first it's just it's just frustrating it's very very frustrating david david david pointed out to me that a j brown splits this year man versus zohen are pretty dramatic he's much much better against man and um pretty sure the lions are a very heavy man team so two of his next three matchups are against teams that play a lot of man coverage maybe that helps but obviously it's been a pretty bad he's a huge bust i mean there's just
Starting point is 00:12:27 no he's not even top 40 i think he's wide receiver 40 per game um all right packers wide receivers matthew golden was limited romeo dobbs is going to play at the giants marvin harrison Junior's out at least one week with appendicitis. Did anybody pick up Michael Wilson? No, several leagues, yeah. Yeah, I picked him up in our FFT league, but only for a dollar or two. I thought there'd be a little bit more demand. Last time Harrison missed the game, he left early in the Colts game.
Starting point is 00:12:57 Zay Jones had eight targets. Wilson had five. Greed Dorch caught a touchdown. McBride had a huge game. That's not a part of this, though. Zay Jones is out. Right, he's out for the year. All right, Marvin Mims practiced in full.
Starting point is 00:13:09 Parker Washington mispractice. We'll keep an eye on that. Ricky Pearsall could play this week. Kishon Booty is out tonight. Devante Adams is expected to play. Drake London mispractice with an illness. Calvin Ridley was limited. So I don't think we're going to be looking at any Texans receivers against Houston this week.
Starting point is 00:13:25 Darius Slayton mispractice. He's got, he had that hamstring injury. He came back, but he missed practice on Wednesday. Denver signed Little Jordan Humphrey. Josh Palmer practiced in vocal leadership was limited. And Chris Godwin was limited. So Godwin and Bucky Irving returned to practice, but not in a way that makes us think they're playing this week, not yet.
Starting point is 00:13:45 Great news, though, Arronday Gatston practiced in full. Breton Strange is back at practice. We'll see what happens there. Isaiah likely limited. Austin Hooper out tonight, Dalton Kincaid, mispractice, and Sam LaPorta will keep an eye on LaPorta. He missed practice with a back injury. I will skip the offensive line news.
Starting point is 00:14:02 The defensive news you need to know about, Cincinnati, two defensive linemen, and Trey Hendrickson and Shemar Stewart are doubtful. They're week to week. There goes that defense. Yeah. Buffalo is a lot healthier this week than they were last week. They had two defensive backs missed last week's game at the Dolphins.
Starting point is 00:14:21 Both of them were limited. I think that means they'll probably play. Christian Benford and Tehran Johnson are limited in practice. That is big for them. Marlon Humphrey, Baltimore cornerback. He is out this week. And that's a couple injuries in the Giants, but whatever. All right.
Starting point is 00:14:37 We're going to take a break. We've got one question for each game as we dig into this AFC home game slate when we come back. At Desjardin, we speak business. We speak startup funding and comprehensive game plans. We've mastered made-to-measure growth and expansion advice, and we can talk your ear-off about transferring your business
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Starting point is 00:15:39 All right, here we go. One question for each game. Kansas City at Denver. Heath is two questions for you. If the Chiefs lose, do you think they're going to miss the playoffs? And would you start Kareem Hunt or a Broncos wide receiver? If the Chiefs lose, I think they'll have to settle for a wild card spot. Okay.
Starting point is 00:16:01 And full PPR, I think I might start both Broncos. those wide receivers. Half PPR or non, I would start Cream Hunt. This could be a, you know, a great game, but not necessarily for fantasy. So, Kareem Hunt versus Woody Marks. Who is it? Woody Marks. Who was the other running back you guys said you loved earlier?
Starting point is 00:16:20 Harvey. Both of them overhunt. Okay. Obviously assuming Pacheco's out. Jamie, Washington is at Miami. This game is in Spain. Are you confident in starting any commanders players? No.
Starting point is 00:16:37 Isn't that weird? Against the dolphins? They stink. They do. It's just Mario da's not a bad streamer just because of how he cobbles together his stats and what the dolphins have given up.
Starting point is 00:16:50 But like Chris Rodriguez is a flex. I think Debo's a flex. Starter and three series series are best. Ertz has not been great with Marioita. You know, so when we're celebrating, you know, a nine-point game for him, there's just so many better tight ends at this point. So those guys are okay, but must start, no.
Starting point is 00:17:09 Okay. It is a great matchup for Earths. The dolphins are horrible against tight ends. Debo, Heath is a little higher on, so another teaser. We'll get to that game shortly. Tampa Bay is at Buffalo. Keep in mind, the bills allow the fewest fantasy points to tight ends, and no tight end has more than five targets against the bills.
Starting point is 00:17:27 So, Heath, are you more excited about Tess Johnson or K. Dotten? still k doten for me and the bills being so good against tight ends makes me a little worried about how high we had rotten ranked but they're kind of using him as a little bit of a security blanket when guys aren't open downfield tez is extremely exciting but it's pretty much entirely touchdowns he does not have a 60 yard game i don't think this year and they've got an implied total of 21 and i think they're probably going to try to at least run the ball more so I think you're starting
Starting point is 00:18:03 Tez is the number three but I'm not quite as excited as everybody else about Tess. Okay, yep, 42 to 59 yards in four or five straight games, whatever, five straight games for Tess Johnson. Dallas is that Las Vegas? So yeah, Jamie, it's kind of a similar question, right? You're not that excited about Washington
Starting point is 00:18:21 going up against Miami. Are you excited about anyone in Las Vegas in the passing game other than Brock Bauer? So that would be Gino and the wide receivers. I mean, yeah, to a certain extent, you know, again, excited. I don't know if anybody can ever get excited about starting Gino Smith, but this is the one opportunity that you would be. And I do think that plays itself into some sleepers, but again, how much you want to trust these guys and Trey Tucker and Tyler Lockett. Like, there's probably going to be a, you know, again, if you just, however you expect this game to go, I expect Dallas to put up points and the Raiders to be chasing.
Starting point is 00:18:55 And so that should lend itself to Gino throwing. hopefully his receiving core steps up because almost everybody does against the Cowboys. All right. Cincinnati's at Pittsburgh. Start or sit, D.K. Metcalf, Heath. I think you have to start him. I understand why people don't want to start him. It's not been good lately. The Bengals have actually been better against wide receivers than they have been against running backs and quarterbacks. But he's the clear number one wide receiver on a team that's expected to score a lot of points against the defense. It's very bad. Just start them and hope. That's D.K. Metcalf. Would you start, D.K. Metcalf or T. T.K. Metcalf or the very safe, Khalil Shakir?
Starting point is 00:19:38 I've got D.K. I would take McCaff, too. All right. The Chargers are at the Jaguars. Jamie, how many wide receivers do you trust in this game? Trust one. And that is McConkey? Yeah. Who's your second favorite wide receiver? Ronda Gadsden in the second.
Starting point is 00:19:57 uh quentin johnson i don't trust any of the jaguars okay yeah you know what do we keep asking about parker washington is he going to be the next chimery dk well chimery dk who did he have that horrible game against was the chargers he had one catch for for five yards or on three targets or one catch for three yards on butt whatever it was um so we'll get it yeah all right we'll talk more about parker was he was really good two weeks in a row baltimore at cleveland really good as a stretch from last week. That's true. Yeah, I forgot because we don't do
Starting point is 00:20:29 point return touchdown points because that'd be silly to give... He was really good in my leagues. Baltimore and Cleveland. All right. We've got a lot of guys to rank here. Heath, rank.
Starting point is 00:20:42 Derek Henry, Quincyon Judkins, Zay Flowers, and Jerry Judy. Jerry Judy's last. I would start Henry over Judkins. I would, would start Flowers over Judkins.
Starting point is 00:20:59 Henry Flowers, Judkins, Judy. Full PPR. Oh, I don't even think I mentioned that Brian Thomas Jr. was limited in practice, by the way. So that could be another thing that clouds things up for Parker Washington. And for Brian Thomas. Okay, so you said Henry Flowers, Judkins, Judy?
Starting point is 00:21:20 Yep. Jamie, how would you rank those for? Same way. Henry Flowers, Judkins, Jr.? Yeah, Judkins has really been struggling in the last four weeks. I have some good numbers on him. And then Houston at Tennessee, my question was, is it Woody Mark's SZN? I make fun of people who say SCN.
Starting point is 00:21:36 I don't think if anybody says that anymore. I'll ask a different question. No one says ZN. Well, I don't think anyone does the season thing anymore. They say season. That's pretty much over, though. But they don't type out SCN. It's over, right?
Starting point is 00:21:49 No, I think people still do it. They shouldn't. Are you going right back to Nico Collins, like confidence? one billion percent okay it was a kind of a lucky game for him last week i didn't even realize he caught a 54 yard hail mary at the end of the first half it's kind of ridiculous and then he caught like a 22-yard pass and double coverage or he got crunched yeah we hate when great players make great plays yeah i just i did not think davis mills played very well until the fourth quarter okay uh kansas city's at denver here we go stat of the game it's not really a great stat but patched
Starting point is 00:22:24 Mahomes. He was great against Denver twice in 2022, but three games since then, he's been really bad, all three games for fantasy. So starter sit, Jamie Patrick Mahomes. I'm still starting him. He's not ranked in the top five like he has been in recent weeks when he's been playing because he didn't play last week. But in the case of this matchup, they're down two of their defenders, at least that's the expectation. Patrick Ratan and Alex Singleton. And with Rashi Rice because he didn't have him in the two games last year, or the one game last year he didn't play in Week 18. I think that Rice will still have success, maybe not to his usual heights, but still
Starting point is 00:23:02 have success. I think Travis Kelsey actually shows up in this game. And if they can protect Mahomes, that's the biggest thing. As long as they can keep the pass rush off him enough time for him to make plays and then probably use his legs, I think he's good enough to still be a top 10 fans quarterback. And I do think they have Josh Simmons back. He had a full practice.
Starting point is 00:23:21 Yeah, that helps. And I just did a quick Twitter search And there's about 50 S-ZN tweets in the last four minutes And someone put in the chat What S-Z-N-I-N-G do you put on your burgers, Adam? You don't have to read the letters. It's seasoning. Yeah, but I have to tell the audience like what they wrote, you know.
Starting point is 00:23:42 It's pretty funny. Everybody knows what season is S-Z-N. I actually just made burgers the other night. A lot of barbecue sauce. It's like smothered it and the, you know, the raw meat. It was good. Um, not, not, don't approve. You shouldn't need it.
Starting point is 00:23:57 Just make a good burger. I can't. I guess if you're baking it, you probably need some flavor. I don't do that anywhere. Flacco or Mahomes. Mahomes. Mahomes. Rod, uh, no, if you're going to go Mahomes over Flack.
Starting point is 00:24:09 We're not starting any one of those borderline starters over Malm's. Uh, Jalen Hertz or Mahomes? I don't know. Still Mhombs. All right. Oh, how about Perim Hunt? Why are you guys, how are we feeling about Kareem Hunt, Heath? He's a, he's a, like the Chiefs starting running back, mostly has been all season.
Starting point is 00:24:31 He's a flex that you'll score the touchdown. Touchdown or bust. I like him better than the Seahawks guys, then the Bucks guys, then a non-guy, I don't know, trying to think guys in that range. Like, he's 24th for me. What about Judkins or Hunt? Judkins. Judkins easily. Like, even against the bills, who the chief should have run the ball 35 times, he had 11 carries.
Starting point is 00:24:56 I will tell you why, though, right? They were obviously they were losing. They were trailing 28, 13 going into the fourth quarter, and they only had the ball for 25 minutes and 15 seconds. So I'm not saying he's going to get 20 carries, but I think 11 was pretty game script. He got game scripted a little. I just think, like, we're in week 11, speaking of 11, and we've seen it all year long. Like, there's just not going to be a running back that has a huge carry total for the Chiefs. Just to Adam's point, though, it's one game without Pacheco being there, though.
Starting point is 00:25:27 And in that one game, they were chasing. Like, you would expect if the Broncos' offense continues to perform like it has been, where they're terrible in the first three quarters, and in the case of last week, they were terrible for four quarters, the Chief's coming off a buy. I'm sure that they're, you know, have a few different wrinkles, as Andy Reid often does. And they should, hopefully, if you're, you know, banking on the chief's fantasy options, playing with the lead that benefits cream. Right. There are three and a half point favorite.
Starting point is 00:25:55 I don't know. I don't know. I'm 15 carries. I would say that's a safe number. And if it's 14 and half, I would take the over 15 and half. I probably take the under. Okay. All right. It is a very good run defense, though.
Starting point is 00:26:07 And still, I would say if it's 14 for 15 carries, you're still just praying for a touchdown. Yeah. I mean, there's nothing changing about how you should view him. It's not like he's going to come out and be a four-catch guy because they're not going to use him in that capacity. And he's not going to get 25 carries unless they're just absolutely blowing them out. So you just have to understand what you're dealing with here. So when you start to compare him to some of those other running backs that are in crappy situations with bad matchups, okay, no Pacheco, most likely, here's an opportunity for Hunt to kind of continue to do what he's done.
Starting point is 00:26:35 Three of his last five games, he scored touchdown. So if he finds the end zone, you're good. All right. Chiefs wide receivers. We're going to start Rishie Rice. Heath, you didn't like Jordan Addison very much. Should you start Addison or Xavier Worthy? Addison. Okay.
Starting point is 00:26:49 It's really tough to trust Xavier Worthy coming off a six fantasy point game. He hasn't scored more than 10.6 and five games. And Travis Kelsey, Jamie, you said you like Kelsey. You have him fifth. Heath has him seventh. Dave has him ninth. You like him this week? I think he's a little bit lower now because Gaston's in, but he's in that range.
Starting point is 00:27:05 Okay. 12 points, PBR? Around there. What do you think? Yeah, I think he had 20 in his only game against his defense. last year but russia rice wasn't there obviously played a great he played the toughest matchup last week or two weeks ago last game kelsey had four catches for 66 yards 12.6 fantasy point must have a two point conversion too uh at buffalo all right bow nix is a sit i don't know that we have
Starting point is 00:27:33 to get too deep into that let's talk about r j harvey who has more carries r j harvey or kareem hunt I would hope it's Harvey. I have Harvey projected for the same number of carries as Cream Hunt. Which is? 14. Oh, okay. All right, 14. I like it.
Starting point is 00:27:55 He's been running more routes on first and second down each of the last two weeks. They basically took Dobbins. Dobbins doesn't do that anymore. So he was already more involved in that capacity. But it's not like Dobbins was catching passes. He's not replacing that. And then let's talk about the matchup. So the Chief's seventh fewest fantasy points
Starting point is 00:28:13 of ladder running backs, but they do give up 4.4 yards per carry to running backs. So I don't really know how to approach this matchup. They don't see a lot of rush attempts. Fourth fewest running back attempts they see per game. So that's been the issue. But, yeah, I don't know. I mean, is it a tough matchup, Eath for Harvey?
Starting point is 00:28:33 It's not one of the matchups. Like, I've talked about this a lot in the past. I don't know about this year. but there's usually like five maybe good matchups at most each week and five maybe bad matchups at most each week according to the way that I look at it and this is not one of those okay let's do some some Harvey versus wide receivers Harvey or tetaroa McMillan at Atlanta Harvey Harvey Harvey or Metcalf against the Bengals I'll take Metcalf I'm still going to go Harvey Harvey or Higgins
Starting point is 00:29:05 I'll stick with Harvey Interesting Okay Last one Harvey or Um Harvey or Zerzy flowers
Starting point is 00:29:19 I'll take Harvey Harvey Yeah All right And then let's finish off Which Denver wide receiver do you prefer Jamie
Starting point is 00:29:31 Franklin slightly Sutton slightly, but neither one's really a start. Yeah, both number three receivers. I also think just we got to keep an eye on who's going to be the second Broncos running back. So if you want to get ahead of this, just in case Dobbins goes on IR and just in case Harvey's not the guy, I'm thinking it's going to be to pilot a bidet, but there's no confidence there. So I picked him up in a bunch of leagues just to stash him, just in case. Like, I'm with these, look, I'm hopeful Harvey comes out and plays well.
Starting point is 00:30:03 Like you said, this is not an easy matchup, and he's still a rookie running back that they've been clearly hesitant to give a lot of work. He's got one game with double digits carry so far this season, and it was against Cincinnati when they were blowing him out. So if it's the split, and if the other guy, again, could be Biday, could be McLaughlin, does do something. Like, you want to make sure you don't have to spend a lot of fab on that. So if you have an open roster, about it, do something else. That's a good call. And I'm going to be deciding between Kamani Vidal and R.J. Harvey, and I'm probably going to go with Vidal. for the kind of more safe role.
Starting point is 00:30:36 But Bidel has some really horrible games sometimes, you know? Every other. Yeah, every other, right. So he's due. And the Jaguars do have a very good run to events. I haven't made that decision yet. But I just, we don't have really seen enough from R.J. Harvey. He's had, he's got, like I said, terrible metrics.
Starting point is 00:30:50 A lot of like really bad runs. He does have big play potential. Also, sit at an angle. I think the thing again, you hope for if you game script this out a certain way, they're chasing points. And he's clearly been someone that they like in the passing game. Yeah. true. By the way, do you like
Starting point is 00:31:05 Troy Franklin and Sutton better than Xavier Worthy? Yes. Yeah. Okay. So again, they're around 30th in the rankings, both of those wide receivers. Chiefs DST is top seven. Starters at the Broncos DST this week, guys.
Starting point is 00:31:23 I think it comes down to, you know, what your team looks like and do you want to stash them through their biweek? Look, it's not easy. You know, we know how the chiefs play. Mahomes will take a sack or two. Probably gets five sacks, but three of them are called back by penalty.
Starting point is 00:31:40 And then there'll be a turnover or two, but that's minimal. Again, they're missing two key guys. Yeah. They have Washington and Las Vegas coming out of the buy, though, so it's tempting to keep them. All right, Heath likes the Broncos DST.
Starting point is 00:31:55 Jamie's, you can see a little hesitant. Let's go to Spain. Washington's at Miami. Stat of the game. The dolphins have allowed 59 years. yards or a touchdown to a tight end in eight of ten games. Anyone want to start Zach Hertz? I don't think.
Starting point is 00:32:10 I'm not excited about starting Zacherts, but he is a top 12 tight end. So I think he's 12th for me. It has not been great with Marcus Marietta. This is a fantastic matchup. The tight end position, we've had so many guys emerge, but I don't actually really like it very much in the projections this week. But he's a borderline starter. He's in that, like, blob of.
Starting point is 00:32:31 of guys where you can see a path to success, but you could also see just a little bit of potential pitfalls. And for Earths, for what it's worth, we saw last week, and maybe it's a sign of things to come, Ben Sennick caught touchdown. Yeah. No, the receiving core is so bad right now. It is really bad. One of the things that's really interesting,
Starting point is 00:32:54 let's talk about Debo Samuel here. he has he has four targets of 10 or more air yards in his last four games they on the good side they're designing I had two pop passes
Starting point is 00:33:09 inside the five yard line for him they got him open on his touchdown last week they're designing some easy things for him but I mean he's not getting open and they're not throwing the ball I don't even want to say downfield but I mean 10 or more air yards
Starting point is 00:33:23 I'm not even asking for 20 or more air yards they're just not giving him the ball anything other than these really simple screens and stupid stuff like that. So anyway, I've been mentioning this. Jamie's got Debo 34th, Dave 38th. Heath, why don't you make a case for him? You have him 25th. Yeah, again, I don't have him as a start.
Starting point is 00:33:38 So he's a number three wide receiver. I do think the way that they scheme him and the touches they give him around the line of scrimmage are the types of things that you could have success against the dolphins on. Like they've really struggled against tight ends. They've really struggled against running backs. Debo gets touches in that area of the field. On occasion, he also gets rush attempts. I think this would be a good game to hand him the ball a couple of times.
Starting point is 00:34:02 So I think there's a chance that he gets a short area target or two that turns into a big play, not really hoping for a lot of downfield stuff. Here's his numbers in four games with Mariotta. Week three against Las Vegas, three targets, two catches, 11 yards. Against Atlanta, six catches, 72 yards in a touchdown. Against Kansas City, six targets, three catches 11 yards. against Detroit four targets
Starting point is 00:34:26 five targets four catches 29 yards in a touchdown like it's miserable two of those games McLaurin did play to them he did not but everything's just been so bad for this offense
Starting point is 00:34:36 how about Chris Roder how about a commander's running back Jamie I think Rodriguez is worth you know using as a flex you know more so in non and half PPR than PPR because they're not going to throw in the ball but he has scored a touchdown each of the last two games like you said he's been
Starting point is 00:34:50 seemingly taking over this back foot I guess they're probably frustrated with Dukori Kroski-Marit at this point and his lack of production. You know, that could certainly change in this game. I agree with you, though. The Dolphins run defense has been better. You know, you even start with the Browns game where Judkins scored three touchdowns. It was a grind, 23 carries or 24 carries for 84 yards. Like, you didn't have a dominant game with all that work, given what you expected from that matchup.
Starting point is 00:35:13 Then they come back and they shut down Bijon Robinson. They did a very good job against James Cook last week. I might be missing game in there. But Derek Henry. So Derek Henry had a bad first half, but then he had a huge second half. He ended up with a big game. I didn't score, though. And that's a Lamar Jackson game on Thursday night, too.
Starting point is 00:35:30 So, you know, it's hard to say, like, that's the norm. But they've been better, especially, you know, you go back to the Rico Dowell game. Like, you know, what they were looking like at the middle, early part to the early middle part of the season, like, was absolutely atrocious. Like, it was just a layup. And I don't think that's the case anymore. So I wouldn't surprise me if Rodriguez falls in the end zone, but I wouldn't say he's a must-star guy by any stretch. Okay.
Starting point is 00:35:51 And then one other thing just to note about that is that they did trade Jalen Phillips. They have played one game without him, but he's a good run defender. So we'll see if that ends up making a difference. Heath, the dolphins are pretty easy. Go ahead and talk about the dolphins. You start Achan, you start Waddle. Tua is in that massive group of quarterbacks we don't normally start, that we might want to start this week.
Starting point is 00:36:21 Los Dolphins. Football American in Spain. Yes, the part of the sepano today. Excellent.
Starting point is 00:36:33 Thanks for keeping that brief. Yeah, and then I think Tua's a streamer that could be a disaster, but it's a great
Starting point is 00:36:42 matchup. Washington's defense is in contention for the worst in the NFL over the last month. So just talk to me about
Starting point is 00:36:48 the quarterbacks in, like, around Tua, And Marioada. I would still start Marioota over Tua. I would start Flacco over Tua. I would start Rogers over Tua. I would start Tua over Bo Nix.
Starting point is 00:37:02 And I would start Tua over Baker-Mayfield, but I'm alone in that one. Mariota over Tua. That's interesting. Jamie, your five spots higher on Tua than Heath is. Again, Heath said it. The commanders have been absolutely atrocious. Absolutely atrocious. They're terrible.
Starting point is 00:37:19 And he just lost another defender with Duran Pay. not playing this game like this is the type of game where two should have success and it's actually pretty cool for both these guys um the first time they're playing against each other both from Hawaii so we'll see how uh how this you know plays into that narrative at all um and tua has talked about that he grew up idolizing marioto so i'm i'm excited for two you know i picked him up in in a bunch of leagues um to see if if this is going to be something and then coming back from their by they get new orleans and the jets like there's there's some favorable matchups here for him. So he's not somebody you want to heavily invest in clearly, but if there's ever a
Starting point is 00:37:56 game for him to play well in, Washington is miserable. Yeah. And yeah, they are. It's insane. Okay. So Heath gave some names. I don't see anything in the chat here, but anyway, that's two in Mario. Real quick on the chat. Debo or Christian Watson? PPR. Still Debo. Debo. Yeah, because remember, Dobbs is back. Gold and might. play. Debo or Zay Flowers? Zay. Zayflowers. Debo or Michael Wilson? Still Debo. Debo.
Starting point is 00:38:29 Ertz or Phant? Erts. Erts. Or Fanon. Fanon. All right. Let's go to our next game. First, let's go to commercial break. We'll be right back with Tampa Bay at Buffalo after this. Boarding for flight 246 to Toronto is delayed 50 minutes.
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Starting point is 00:40:09 Instacard. Groceries that over deliver. Service fees exclusions and terms apply. Tampa Bay's a Buffalo and Bill's secondary looking like it's getting healthier. That's good. The bills, their last five games, they're 18th in points per game. They're ninth in yards per game. They're just struggling to put points on the board
Starting point is 00:40:27 to the point where Sean McDermott had to defend his offensive coordinator, Joe Brady. Maybe let your generational quarterback throw the ball a little more, and you'll score more. Yeah, right. They only have two games where he's really thrown a lot, and they were losses to, oh, no, is that win against Buffalo, crazy win,
Starting point is 00:40:46 and the loss to Miami last week. um all right so who was the win against the one was against baltimore you said buffalo the way one against baltimore that's what i meant yeah the win against baltimore and i wasn't asking to make fun of you i was asking because i generally did forgot who it was but you said buffalo yeah it was the buffalo baltimore game in week one um okay so let's knock the bills out real quick start josh allen start james cook any interest in keon coleman or kalil shakir's It's a collision here. But any interest in Keon Coleman?
Starting point is 00:41:22 I think Keon Coleman's an interesting play. Josh Palmer actually is back, so just keep an eye on that. So they have another receiver to potentially lean on here. But you saw it last week, eight targets for Coleman. I wouldn't be surprised if without Kincaid there, he gets a few more opportunities. But he's in that, like there's a few very good desperation plays this week that you can sort of point to. up one on Tuesday, Calvin Austin, just a matchup against the Bengals. I actually like Malik Washington, scored touchdown two of his last three games. Jaden Higgins, he's playing well
Starting point is 00:41:56 of late. Tyler Lockett, great matchup against the, you know, Cowboys coming off a good game. And I think Keon Coleman's in that type of range. Michael Wilson, you know, clearly picking him up because of, you know, Marvin Harrison. So if you're kind of just scouring the waiver wire and a lot of people drop Keon Coleman, it wouldn't be awful to trust him this week. There's not, you know, he's 45th at best, but like, again, third receiver flex. I'm still. suck, I wouldn't, I wouldn't be opposed to taking a flyer on him. I would go with Wilson over Coleman, did you, Michael Wilson? Yes, but again, I mean, we're talking about, you know, replacement options that could play
Starting point is 00:42:30 well versus, you know, anything that's, oh, my God, I got to start this guy. And we're not going to start Dawson Knox, even though he does tend to score touchdowns when Kincaid's out. So he's in that group, like, for me, with, with Ertz, I would start Ertz over him, but, you know, you start to look at Fryermuth in his matchup, you look at Ertz in his matchup, you look at Ertz in his matchup. You look at Knox and his opportunity here. You know, there's, again, this position is so deep. It's surprising. So, I guess the question really is, are the bucks going to hold up their end of the bargain?
Starting point is 00:43:01 The bills are five and a half point favorites. You know, obviously, Heath, with your ranking of Baker Mayfield, I wonder if you're thinking that they won't score that many points. But what kind of offensive output do you expect from Tampa Bay? I generally start with the Vegas implied total. and then if I have a reason to believe otherwise, I will, but I don't really. So 20, 21 points for Tampa Bay. And the question is, can they, they've not been able to run the ball as well as they want to for a lot of games. The bills are one of the best run defense matchups there is in the league.
Starting point is 00:43:35 How much success can they have running and can they, when they get in the red zone, can they turn into touchdowns and not field goals? My hearing sounds like someone's at a farm. There's a, no, there's a bird. outside my window. It would like to come in. It's trying to come in. I'm not going to let it. Don't let it in.
Starting point is 00:43:51 Don't let it in. All right. So, Jamie, you make the, support Baker Mayfield here because Heath is sitting Mayfield, if possible. So I see the bills scoring on the Bucks. I don't trust the Bucks run game unless Sean Tucker comes out and has a big game because Rashad White just hasn't been that guy. And Baker, and Heath is right about this, you know, his receipts.
Starting point is 00:44:16 Stephen Corr, obviously, has changed throughout the course season when you were talking about it earlier in the one question of your game. But if you look at what Baker has done against, at the time, great matchups or good matchups. Atlanta, 28.6 points. At Houston, 23.9 points. Against the Eagles, 22.9 points. At Seattle, 30.7 points. And I think New England, I know they're secondary in their past production, not great, but I consider that a good defense, 28.9 points. So in tough matchups, he's come through. I think they're going to have to throw. I think this is going to be a high-scoring game. It's a high-scoring game on the slate.
Starting point is 00:44:53 So I'm expecting Baker to have to play well in this game, and I think you will, which is why I think there's going to be an upticket targets for Tess Johnson. I think there'll be enough production from K.aten, even in a tough matchup. And, you know, you mentioned this about Sam Darnold. Yes, the bills have done well against quarterbacks. Look at who they've faced. Yeah, right. The bills, have any good quarterback struggled against the bills?
Starting point is 00:45:19 Yes, Mahomes struggled against it. Drake May and Monash's not a knock that their defense is good. It's great. But their number four in fewest fantasy points allowed. Justin Fields, two a twice, Spencer Rattler, Michael Pennix, Andy Dalton. Like, that's going to build your resume in a pretty impressive way. Yeah. But yeah, Drake May had a bad game and Mahomes.
Starting point is 00:45:38 Yes. And for May, he played very well. He just didn't get touchdowns. Okay. One of the issues is that teams that have such a terrible. terrible run defense, right? A lot of times that hides weaknesses in the past defense and guys run all over the bills. They allow 5.36 yards per carrier running backs. So can Sean Tucker Heath take advantage of that? Rashad White, like how do you feel about the buck's running backs? I don't think
Starting point is 00:46:04 you have enough touches for either one of them to be really excited about them. So I would still start white over Tucker. They're both flexes at best. I think Tucker is much more. likely to get going and break a long run against this defense, but I don't really want to start either one. They're both sits. I think in the case of how Heath views this game, correct me if wrong, if they're going to have success running the ball, then you should buy into Sean Tucker to some extent because I don't think it's going to be white. And if you think that they're going to be chasing points like I do, you probably buy into white a little bit more because he's going to be on the field in obvious past no situation. Now, I agree with what he said. Don't start either
Starting point is 00:46:43 one because it's too tricky. It's not like Sean Tucker's been that amazing that he's, you know, guaranteed to play well. The wild card and all this is, what if Bucky Irving comes back. Yeah, we'll reassess. But so. And I would, I would be more inclined to get excited about Sean Tucker because I do think he's a better rusher than Rashad White right now, but White still had more carries last week. You have one right.
Starting point is 00:47:10 It was nine for Tucker and 10 for White, and White is just on the, field more because he's on passing downs as well. So would you start Ken Walker over a Bucks running back? I would start White Walker, Tucker. Yeah. Now that's full PPR. What about
Starting point is 00:47:27 say half PPR? White Walker Tucker. Probably be Walker White Tucker then for me. We just did Game of Thrones with White Walker and we almost did Breaking Bad with Walker White. Who's Walker White? Walter White. Oh, it's not the same.
Starting point is 00:47:44 It's, I said almost. Tampa Baywide receiver, Start a Mecca, Bucca, Tess Johnson is 20th for Jamie and 36 for Heath. I think you're just seeing the difference in how these guys view the Buck's offense in this game.
Starting point is 00:47:58 Jamie's expecting more from the passing game than Heath is. And then Kate Otton, yeah, I mean, just going for it with him. He's been so good. And the bills, have they faced any good tight ends? Kelsey. What's that?
Starting point is 00:48:12 Kelsey, right? Mark Andrews, 1.5 fantasy points. Joanne Johnson, 5.8. Kyle Pitts, 4.8. Travis Kelsey, four catches 66 yards on five targets. That's the most targets that any tight end has had against Buffalo. It's scary, but I can't get Otton out of my lineup. He's just been so good.
Starting point is 00:48:29 Going back to last year, whenever Evans is out. And he's top five or six. So we're saying to start Kate Otten. I probably won't put him in a DFS lineup for what it's worth. I think that's it for this game. That's how you win if he does well. I guess that's true. I'm not very good at DFS, so don't listen to me on that.
Starting point is 00:48:49 Buffalo DST, Heath Likes. Hey, happy birthday, Joshua. Not so much. We got a birthday? Hey, Josh. All right. Happy birthday, buddy. I'm going to read some questions here.
Starting point is 00:48:59 Brock Purdy or Baker Mayfield? Baker. I would start either 49ers quarterback over Baker Mayfield. So whoever starts. Tess Johnson or DJ Moore? Tess. Pick two. Khalil Shakir, George Pickens, Wondale Robinson.
Starting point is 00:49:17 I would sit, Shakir. So, Pickens is the easy one here. It's between the other two, and I think I have them back to back. I've got Wondale just behind it. Adam, do you think with James starting we should shift a little target share from Wondale to Darius Slayton? Because James is just going to let it fly. I was actually going to say I'm kind of concerned about Slayton. I want to see if he practices today.
Starting point is 00:49:41 Yeah. When he came back, I don't know that he got, I got to see how many targets he got, but he got most of his production before the hamstring injury, one catch after the hamstring injury. So I'm not quite ready to make any shift towards Slayton. But I just think Winston just throws a ton, right? He's not going to run nearly as much as Dart. He's going to throw more than Wilson. So we're sitting, Shakir?
Starting point is 00:50:05 I'm sitting, Juan. I think the upside for Wondo right now is amazing. Remember the first game without Slayton? No. It was like 7 for 95 at a touchdown. Without neighbors and Slayton, you're saying? Yep. Tess or Tucker?
Starting point is 00:50:23 Tess. Yeah, Chess. All right. All right, moving on to our next game. Dallas is at Las Vegas. Repeats stat of the game. Every quarterback or team quarterback has finished top 12 against the Dallas Cowboys in that particular week.
Starting point is 00:50:36 news stat of the game CD Lamb has kind of taken over the end zone, the red zone and end zone targets from George Pickens since he's come back. I don't know if that will stick, but George Pickens has one red zone and one end zone target since Lamb returned. It's been very good, though.
Starting point is 00:50:55 Anyway, Dallas at Las Vegas, real quick. Dak Prescott, easy start? Top five quarterback. Yep. Javante Williams. Not a bad run defense here. Not that bad of a defense. Yeah?
Starting point is 00:51:09 He's the worst receiving back in the NFL. You realize that? Among 32 running back to 20 more targets, last or second to last in yards per target, yards per catch, yards per outrun, and yak. It's weird. How has that impacted his fantasy production this season? I mean, he had seven points last week.
Starting point is 00:51:28 He had eight points four weeks ago. He's kind of touched on it. Unless your team is loaded, you're starting Javonte wins. I agree. Who's the best running back in this game? Javondi. Start, start lamb.
Starting point is 00:51:40 Pickens. Start. Yeah. Solid number two receiver. Nine targets each to be the last two games. All right. How about Ferguson? He has a 15% target share since Lamb returned,
Starting point is 00:51:49 but that's seven targets, one target, seven targets. Raiders are pretty good. Fifth best against tight end. Starters at Ferguson. Still a must start for me. Starting him. Gadsden or Ferguson?
Starting point is 00:52:01 Gadsden or Ferguson. Gadsden or Ferguson? Ferguson for me. It's odd. Okay, I'll leave it at that. Kittle at Arizona or Ferguson. Kiddle. Kittle.
Starting point is 00:52:16 All right, that's the Cowboys. Basically start to Cowboys. Jamie, what about the Raiders? Again, I think Gino is in the streaming conversation here. So, you know, hopefully he takes advantage of the Cowboys matchup. He's been good in half of his games with Brock Bowers on the field. And that's not taking into account when Bowers was healthy when he wasn't. So last week, Bowers was healthy.
Starting point is 00:52:36 healthy, Gino did not play well. But I think you just, the, the expectation should be that to whatever degree, the Cowboys run defense got better because they added Quinn and Williams and they added Logan Wilson. Does that mean you're sitting Ashton Tentino? Does that mean it's going to be a top five week for Ashton Tentanyi still could be, but the chances that got a little bit worse. So he is borderline number one, number two running back, but just call him must start. Vowers must start. Gino questionable start depends on who you have. Again, for me, I would start. Flacco, Rogers, Tua, and Mariotta ahead of him. Debatable between Brissette and him, even without Harrison there.
Starting point is 00:53:15 That's just the Gino concerns, but I think Gino deserves at least the benefit of the doubt that with his complement of weapons versus Brissette, not having his, in any event. And then Tucker and Lockett are flyers. I would still lean Tucker over Lockett, but Lockett was a go-to guy for the Raiders in the first game without Jacoby Myers. They can't be overlooked. So desperation play, I think he's not. not a bad, as Gil just typed in the chat, good dart throw.
Starting point is 00:53:41 Trey Tucker? Lock it. Oh, lock it. I would go Tucker over Locket, but Locket, lock it, not a bad desperation fire. So I probably asked you this. I was hoping, personally, Jack Bash, Dante Thornton, play better, get more involved. They went to the 34-year-old wide receiver. So I was going to, I probably asked you this, but you're looking at your waiver wire.
Starting point is 00:54:05 You got Michael Wilson out there. Trey Tucker. You got Calvin Austin, let's say. Who's your favorite? Tucker. I would think that that conversation should be Lockett more so than Tucker because A, Tucker's more rostered, and B, I would give him a little bit more benefit of the doubt. All right, but he's got seven targets in his last two games. No, no, no. He has not played great, but his body of work, at least with this team has been better. Yeah. All right. By the way, so the Cowboys give up the most fantasy points to quarterbacks. If you look at the two matchups most similar to Dallas that Gino Smith has played,
Starting point is 00:54:41 I would have to say it would be Washington and Jacksonville. Yep. He scored 32 or more points in both of them. He also struggled against Chicago. He struggled against Tennessee. He's only 21% rostered as of yesterday. So I know a lot of people aren't going to be starting him, but he could obviously have a big game. And then with the defensive additions for the Cowboys.
Starting point is 00:55:05 Any hesitation to start Ashton Gentie? No, I'm starting Ashton Gentie. He's in the top 14 discussion, not even thinking about it. The only scenario for me that I could think of is Henderson and Rico Dattle. Okay, what about R.J. Harvey or Woody Marks versus Gentie? Gentie. I have Gentie. I have Gentie.
Starting point is 00:55:29 Okay. And then what about that bum Brock Bowers from last week? Good with him? Let's start. Okay. I got some chat questions here for this game. It is... And Corey brings up a good point.
Starting point is 00:55:45 Raiders' offense line is a little bit of a mess. It's true. So just keep that in mind. Flacco or DACO? DACA. DACA. You get to say DACO. This is from last game.
Starting point is 00:55:55 I'll do it anyway. Sean Tucker or Tyler Algier? Oh, that's close. I probably lean Tucker, but wouldn't surprise me if Algear is better just based on the touchdowns. Ferguson or Goddard Ferguson I've got Goddard one spot higher
Starting point is 00:56:12 I think yep Cowboys or Seahawks DST Seahawks against the Rams I'd go Cowboys I think we're going to get a very emotional Cowboys team
Starting point is 00:56:23 coming off what they dealt with and this is take it out on the Raiders Henderson or Javante Williams Trayvon Henderson or Javante I like Henderson
Starting point is 00:56:33 better it's still Javante for me. And Trey Tucker or Jerry Judy? Tucker. Tucker. Okay. All right.
Starting point is 00:56:42 That's it for that game. Let's go to Cincinnati at Pittsburgh. You know, Heath, do you feel like this game is going to play out similarly to the first one, which was a bonanza? Yeah. Yeah, pretty much. It's 49.5 over under. I'm starting both quarterbacks.
Starting point is 00:57:04 I'm starting both running backs. I'm starting three wide receivers. And probably one of the Steelers' tight ends will be awesome. All right. Yeah, so how about this? Flacko or Rogers? Flacko. Flacko.
Starting point is 00:57:18 Warren or Chase Brown? Warren. Warren. Love Warren this week. So, yeah, I mean, Warren was so good the first time against them. It was 16 carries, 127 yards, four catches, 31 yards. Also, they traded Logan Wilson, and they've been sort of phasing Logan Wilson out in Cincinnati. That shouldn't matter. Well, I'll just give you this stat. 4.8, they allow 4.8 yards per carry to running backs with Wilson on the field and 6.1 with him off the field.
Starting point is 00:57:46 So phasing him out didn't really work in that regard. So why isn't Flacco higher, guys? He's been 28 or more fantasy points in three straight games, including against Pittsburgh. Jamie, you have him 11th, Heath, you have him 10th. Dave has him seventh. Heath, why isn't Flacco even higher? I think just a little bit of a concern that he's going to come back to Earth at some point and not be quite as elite as he clearly has been. And a little bit of concern that the last two weeks, the Steelers have faced Daniel Jones and Justin Herbert and given up 15 fantasy points to each of them. The defense has looked better. This is a bad Bingles offensive line. Flacco has done a great job of getting the ball out quick, so it hasn't
Starting point is 00:58:29 mattered as much, but we know that edge rush from Pittsburgh has been much better recently, and that could give Flacko trouble. And where were the last three games, Adam? Were they all home? Oh, how about that? He scored 22.8 fantasy points in his only road game with Cincinnati that was at Green Bay. I think that's kind of where he is. He's averaging 30 points per game.
Starting point is 00:58:53 He's been absolutely fantastic. I think he's going to be a top 10-ish quarterback this week. It's a great week for quarterbacks. So you should be starting him As he said, 29% right? That was the start percentage. That's very low, and I'm sure that's because he's sitting on a lot of benches because people haven't set their lineups yet.
Starting point is 00:59:08 But like there's huge upside, clearly. But I wouldn't go into this expecting 470 and 4. Right. Like he had the last game. Like this feels like a 322 type game. Okay. And Chase, by the way, Darius Slay and the concussion protocol for Pittsburgh. So that should help the Bengals.
Starting point is 00:59:28 pass a game. Chase Brown, he played 96% of the snaps last week. Was anybody tempted to put him as, you know, a top 12 guy? No, but it's, it coincides his, his recent stretch of fantasy production coincides with the Steelers game. He had 100 yards rushing that game. I certainly would not expect that. He had 14 targets, I'm not mistaken, two games ago, or two weeks ago when they played. I wouldn't expect that either. But like, he, he, He's going to be involved. Clearly, Somaget P. Ryan is still dealing with a high ankle spring.
Starting point is 01:00:02 Yeah. And when they played their last game against the Bears, yeah, 14 targets, yeah. For whatever it's worth, the last, we talked about the Steelers being better against quarterbacks recently, the last three running backs they face, Josh Jacobs, 2.5 yards per carry, Jonathan Taylor, 3.2. Kamani Vidal had a good week last week, but it was still just 3.8 yards per carry. They've been better against the run lately, too. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:00:24 He's got to be involved in the past game. He's got, like, that's the only way. I think he's going to have, you know, aside from maybe scoring two touchdowns. Like this feels like a 40-yard rushing game for him again. Yeah. Well, with P. Ryan out, you know, he should definitely be on the field more in the passing game.
Starting point is 01:00:39 P. Ryan wasn't getting a lot of targets. Start to March A's, start T. Higgins. Noah fans' desperation. He hasn't really been that bad. But he gets three to four targets per game. Pittsburgh stinks against tight ends, though. But they've been good against tight ends, two straight games, too. And just, well, part of that was Gadsden getting hurt, too.
Starting point is 01:00:58 Yeah, but he had 13 yards on six targets. That's why I included that. But you're right. Fair. Another guy just in the desperation plays is Yosevas. You know, he's been a guy that flakos leaned on in two games in two games in run, I believe. Someone's confused. I did not say Darius Slay was in concussion protocol.
Starting point is 01:01:17 I said Darius Slay was in concussion protocol. Slay is the Steelers cornerback. He once was an Eagles cornerback and he matched up against Darius Slayton. All right, Aaron Rogers is about 12th in the rankings. I think I have some Rogers questions in the chat. We'll get to. Jalen Warren is top 12 in the rankings. D.K. Metcalf, you know, is it kind of blind faith at this point?
Starting point is 01:01:40 Yes. And for what it's worth, the Bengals have been good against opposing number one receivers. But, you know, in any situation where you're expecting Rogers to probably be 35 plus pass attempts, looking at this receiving court, I know they got four touchdowns from their tight ends in the last time these two teams met, and this team is absolutely brutal against tight ends. So should be good for Friamuth if you're looking for a streaming option. But, you know, it is blind faith. It's hope that, you know, Rogers can connect with Metcalf on a player or two where he finds the end zone.
Starting point is 01:02:09 He just hasn't been good when he doesn't score. And the stat I gave about Calvin Austin is that he's had five to seven targets and five of his six healthy games. There have been 11 wide receivers with five to seven targets against the Bengals and eight of them scored 12 and a half or more PPR fantasy points. So Austin, I guess he didn't play in that game. Was that the Roman Wilson game? He didn't play against in the first matchup. He might have to come back right after that, yes. But, you know, look, it's a sleeper.
Starting point is 01:02:36 He's 26% rostered. Any interest in a Pittsburgh tight end? This is the best matchup. Yes. Friarmouth? Yeah, I just said that. Firemuth is a great streamer for this week. All right.
Starting point is 01:02:49 Over who? I would start him over Ertz, personally. I'd start him over Henry. It started him over Hawkinson. he's like he's like 15th so heath thoughts on friar muth i i if he is the most targeted steelers tied in like he has been the last couple of weeks then i think he could be a very good streamer i think there's a risk every week that it's a different tight end that scores of the touchdown yeah uh jamie's got him one spot ahead of colston loveland heath does not
Starting point is 01:03:23 but that's kind of uh yeah good flyers in this game All right, Chargers are at the Jaguars. So the only stat, you know, the kind of interesting stat is just to keep an eye on. If Brenton Strange plays, Travis E.TN has had a 7.2% target share when Strange was healthy and an 11.7% target share when Strange was out. Big increase in target per out run rate too. So I don't know if that'll hold up, but it became much more of a factor in the passing game when Strange got hurt. Who do we like in this game, Heath?
Starting point is 01:03:57 with Jaguars and Chargers? So I'm still starting Justin Herbert and he's Jamie's start of the week. So we obviously like him. Kamani Vidal's a start. Travis E.T.N.'s a start. Ladd-McConkie's a start. Arronday Gadsden's a start.
Starting point is 01:04:11 That's pretty much the like I definitely want to start these guys' list. Arronda Gadsden is a great start this week, right? Yes. Okay. Yeah. A tight end has scored double-digit fantasy points in six straight games in PPR against the Jaguars.
Starting point is 01:04:27 They really, they are just so bad against the past. So what we saw last week was Justin Herbert against the Steelers. 63.6% of his throwers were in under 2.5 seconds, which was by far his season high. Heath, we've talked about it. There are different offense without Joe Alt. But now here comes this horrible defense and this great matchup. I know you just talked about Herbert. You guys are starting him very confidently, but what about Quentin Johnston and Keenan Allen?
Starting point is 01:04:57 I don't think you can have any confidence in either one of those guys on a weekly basis. It seems like what we've said is one of these guys is going to lose every week. And what it seems to have narrowed down to is Keenan Allen or Quentin Johnston or both are going to lose each week. Because Ladd McConkey's resumed his place as the number one wide receiver. Orronda Gadsden is awesome as a tight end. And so I've got Quentin Johnson over Keenan Allen. Neither one of them is a top 24 wide receiver. they're both number threes.
Starting point is 01:05:29 You agree, Jamie? Your thoughts on those guys? You can't trust Keenan out at this point. It's, I think the targets that Quentin Johnston got last week are something to keep an eye on. Part of that, again, is with Gaston leaving the game. So how much does Gaston's return impact Johnson again? But the secondary is just so bad. It's so bad.
Starting point is 01:05:51 So there's going to be some shots down the field for Johnston. Hopefully he delivers. but really it's you know the the pecking order's kind of been established macaque is the one gadsden's the two johnson's the three allen's the four starter sit travis et n heath oh my starter i yeah i don't i don't if breton strangers back then maybe i lower him a little bit but i don't even think about it with travis etienne you got him eighth jamie i think you have him 21st is that right i don't love the matchup it's weird They've gone back to being pretty bad against the run,
Starting point is 01:06:26 but they are just a good defense. 4.9 yards per carry allowed to running backs. Tennessee running backs average 4.8. Pittsburgh running backs average 4.6. So, yeah, you're pretty low. I mean, this is a huge discrepancy between the two of you. Travis E.T.N. I mean, look, you're starting him.
Starting point is 01:06:43 I like Woody Marks better. I like Trevionandhenson better. I don't know, like any other non-obvious guys. How about, like, Wondale Robinson or E.N. I would most likely start E-TN. I'd most likely start both if I could, but, you know, E-TN certainly has a higher ceiling. Casey says, come on, Jamie, get on the E-T-N train.
Starting point is 01:07:05 It's E-T-N season. ATN-S-ZN, yeah. I don't know if there's a T-T train in Manhattan. There's definitely an E-N-N-N-K-K. Okay, so there's different viewpoints there. Your approach, Jamie, on the Jaguars wide receivers. I wouldn't like to not approach them. It, I mean, you can't trust Jacoby Myers at this point.
Starting point is 01:07:34 Brian Thomas Jr. would be the one I would rank the highest if he plays, but clearly he's not 100%. And you're talking about a Chargers team that's just been fantastic against opposing passing games. So at best, Washington's a number three receiver. But to me, he's more of a number four. Okay. Yeah, last week, Metcalfe was terrible.
Starting point is 01:07:54 Calvin Austin was terrible. Roman Wilson caught the late touchdown. Again, the Chargers, they don't usually shut down good receivers. I think you could argue Jordan Addison, D.K. Mecca, for the best examples. But what are we talking about? Can you argue that Parker Washington's a good receiver? Okay. The positive is three straight games with seven targets or more.
Starting point is 01:08:11 So he's going to be the guy most likely that Lawrence leans on. I think even if Brent Strange returns, this is still the target leader. And most likely chasing points if you play out the narrative. So he's not. awful, but again, like, how much confidence can you have if he doesn't score? And he had, what, he had three catches last week on seven targets? Parker, Washington, yeah. Who, uh, who do you like better, E.TN or Kamani Vidal?
Starting point is 01:08:37 EETN for me. Uh, I should probably have EATN ranked ahead of him. So I'll move EETN up a few spots. All right, because the Jaguars are pretty good against running backs. Hmm. And all right, Vidal, man, seven and a half points or 22.8, seven and a half, 19.7.3, 17.8. That's pretty easy to see.
Starting point is 01:09:01 Like who were, okay, like who are some wide receiver? Tess Johnson or Kamani Vidal? Vidal, safer. D.K. Metcalfe or Kamani Vidal? Same sentence. I'll go, D.K. Here's one. Chase Brown or Kamani Vidal.
Starting point is 01:09:20 Brown. Yep. Tedaroa McMillan or Kamani Vidal. I'll go Vidal. I have them very, very close. I'm going to go Tadroa. Vidal or Hunter Henry, or Derek Henry, pardon me, and it says non-PPR. Henry.
Starting point is 01:09:39 Henry even harder. Keenan Allen, Michael Wilson, or Tyler Lockett. Right now I have Allen still ranked ahead of these guys, but I don't think I adjusted Allen when I put Gadsden back in the rankings. So I may go Wilson around It'll still be Allen for me Gadsden or Odunze Why would you sit either one? I don't care what size your league is
Starting point is 01:10:02 Yeah, I'd probably go I'd probably go O'Donzee I'd go Rome Okay, let's go to our next game By the way, start the Chargers DST We got two games left And I think they're pretty easy We got Baltimore at Cleveland
Starting point is 01:10:18 But Start them all tomorrow Well why are we so confident in starting Derek Henry who has been pretty disappointing in most of the season and the Browns
Starting point is 01:10:31 obviously they usually have a pretty good run event's been a little bit leaky lately but I guess talk about easy ones or Lamar Jackson's easy you're not going to start and okay forget it let me focus here let's talk about the running backs Jamie let's talk about the running backs
Starting point is 01:10:46 your confidence level in Derek Henry and your confidence level in Quinn John Jenkins I know last week was not the best example of this, but any time Lamar Jackson is healthy, I'm going to feel very confident Derek Henry that they're going to move the ball and give him opportunities to score. If he had scored the touchdown instead of Justice Hill last week,
Starting point is 01:11:04 I don't think anybody's concerned at any way, shape, or form about Derek Henry because of what he did against the dolphins, the previous game, same thing. So he's at worst a top 15 running back, almost on a weekly basis. So I'm starting him. I'm not even thinking about it. I'm starting Lamar Jackson, not even thinking about it. Zay Flowers is just going to be one of those frustrating low-end number-two receivers that if he doesn't score, you're going to say, why did I start him?
Starting point is 01:11:30 And if he scores, you're going to be like, wow, look, I told you he was going to be awesome. So I think you just start him by default. And Mark Andrews just seemingly is scoring every time Lamar Jackson is on the field now. So I'm going to start him as a low-end number one tight-end. So I'd start him ahead of Kyle Pitts this week. I would start him ahead of, um, that group of tight ends that we talked about over Nojoku, those caliber of players.
Starting point is 01:11:54 The only the only Browns player at this point for me. I'm sorry, you wanted running backs. No, that's okay. It's just fine. I mean, would you start fanning over Andrews? I would in PPR. Non-PPR, Andrews. One note, it's too early to be adjusting rankings for wind.
Starting point is 01:12:11 But if the forecast holds, Kevin Roth has this as the worst weather risk of the weekend, expecting 20-mile-an-hour wins with gusts of 30 to 35. We know how Cleveland gets. So check in on Sunday morning. There could be a downgrade for Zayflowers. I just got to say, Cleveland's run defense hasn't been quite as good lately.
Starting point is 01:12:36 However, it's actually been kind of bad lately. So that gives you optimism. The first time Derek Henry played Cleveland, he scored 2.3 fantasy points. And that was with Lamar Jackson. You know, when he played Houston, another great run defense. He had 15 carries for 33 yards on a touchdown. He did have a big game against the Rams, another good run defense.
Starting point is 01:12:54 But it's a guy who doesn't catch passes who is going up against, in theory, a tough matchup. So I think just he's 14th or 15th for everyone. So we like Derek Henry because he's Derek Henry and they should score points. But we don't like him top five or anything like that. So just keep that in mind. And then, all right, Judkins. first four games of the year for Judkins, he averaged 4.8 yards per carry. Last four games, he's averaging 3.1 yards per carry. And his yards before contact have been horrible
Starting point is 01:13:28 all year in the good sample size and the bad sample size. He's got one of the lowest yards before contact per carry of any running backs, of any running back in the NFL. So the line has not been good this year if you look at ratings and stuff like that. Anyway, Heath, Judkins or Vidal? I would still go Judkins. I think it's encouraging that he has three targets in each of his last two games. I think he's still, like, especially if the wind's bad, they're going to give him a bunch of rush attempts.
Starting point is 01:13:58 I don't think Baltimore scores a huge amount of points in this game against the Cleveland defense. So he's still, like, I understand if you have some anxiety about starting Judkins, but he's still a pretty solid RB2 for me. I would start obviously Dowdell Henderson and Harvey over him. Okay. I think it's one thing to keep an eye on with the Browns
Starting point is 01:14:20 is if Dylan Gabriel struggles, narrator, he may struggle. We may get a quarterback change. Yeah. All right. Can you imagine the outrage if it's a 30 mile an hour wind game and that's when they give Shadour his chance?
Starting point is 01:14:36 What if you win again? Gabriel just had his best fantasy game by far. and they're talking about benching him. I know you what didn't play that well. I guess you're not interested in Jerry Judy. What's that? They lost to the Jets. Yeah, they did.
Starting point is 01:14:49 But that was really their special teams. Jerry Judy's not in the top 40, maybe worth a stash. All right, Heath, let's talk about the Cleveland tight ends. Your level of confidence in both of them. You know, I think it was a disappointing game for Harold Bannon last week, but he still had a 21% target share. You talked about it. Dave Najoku's route participation was down around 50%.
Starting point is 01:15:09 It looks, unless he's, it changes, and it's gone back and forth a couple times this year, but it looks like they've settled on Fanon as their tight-in one. Djoku has their second tied-in when they play two of them. I'm starting Fanon as a low-end starter over, really not over Ottener Schultz, but over the rest of the streamers, over Zach Ertz, over Mark Andrews, over guys like that. Nooku, more of a low-end number two for me. I understand if you want to keep them on the roster in case the usage flips again, but
Starting point is 01:15:41 fanning pretty easily over Najoku for me. There's only one other guy that I would consider starting over him and it's Theo Johnson just with James over who? Fanon or Najocchio? Definitely over Najoku. Yeah. I have a Najoku in one league I picked up Theo Johnson yesterday
Starting point is 01:15:57 and I just changed the lineup but I don't want Najoku. I don't want anything to do with Najoku right now. It's two games in a row with a route participation rate under 60% for Najoku. I think the only reason worth holding on to him honestly is Fanon, second week in a row
Starting point is 01:16:13 popped up with a hamstring injury. Okay. Yeah. Look, the route participation could go up and down. It wouldn't be a surprise if it's back up. But still,
Starting point is 01:16:21 we're not talking about like a high-end player. And the Ravens DST is a must start. All right, we got one game left. You want to save it for tomorrow or knock it out? Knock it out. Let's do it.
Starting point is 01:16:30 Houston's at Tennessee. This is what you wanted to save? Nico Collins, five end zone targets last week didn't catch a single one of them. Start any Titans? no no which if you had to choose a titans running back it would it be spears okay no spears or ken walker spears i'd go walker over the titans spears or kyle monongay um spears this is the pbara how do you feel
Starting point is 01:17:04 about the texans offense who are you starting shulton nico and woody Agreed. So big like everybody that matters. Davis Mills now? I think he's a good Superflex or two-quarterback option, but again, great week for quarterbacks. Gino Smith or Davis Mills? Gino.
Starting point is 01:17:27 I've got Davis just a little bit higher right now. I would start Davis Mills over Bowenix. Okay. Davis Mills, first three quarters, 188 yards, no touchdowns. Seventh quarter, 104 yards, two touchdowns, and a rushing touchdown. Tennessee's been just horrible against everyone lately. I mean, their defense has... I just stopped it horrible.
Starting point is 01:17:47 Really struggled. So then I think we just get into Woody Marks. I didn't see this. Someone said in the chat there was a report about Woody Marks not getting an increased workload. Did you see anything like that? No. Oh, right here. Did you see the report of Texans' offensive coordinator saying he won't elevate Woody Marks' workload?
Starting point is 01:18:05 What the heck? So I think like what we're So I think like what we're hoping is that this is something new Because it was 80% snap share by far a season high It's a third time this year that he's played more than half of the snaps The first time was against the Titans the last time they played them And he was absolutely incredible scored two touchdowns, had 119 yards.
Starting point is 01:18:37 The next week, he played 38% of the snaps and had seven touches. The week after that, very good game against Seattle because he caught a touchdown. He had 13 touches, played 63% of the snaps. The very next week, he played 40% of the snaps. And the very next week, Nick Chubb had 17 carries. So I'm starting Woody Marks. He's a top 24. guy, but I do think
Starting point is 01:19:05 there's at least, like they've came out and said that they didn't really think he was a feature back earlier in the year. And I'm I hope that opinion changed last week. It's an elite matchup. Tennessee's fifth worst against running backs, 4.92
Starting point is 01:19:21 yards per carry to running backs. Second, fewest receiving yards per game to running backs. That's one thing they've been good at. And they have actually been a little bit better against the run lately. Not always, but A little bit better, but it's just such a good matchup. Sam Warren of the Houston Chronicle who posted this an hour ago.
Starting point is 01:19:45 Here is the headline, how rookie Woody Marks has taking the lead role in Houston Texans backfield. The Houston Texan, this is the lead sentence. The Houston Texans appeared to have a new lead back Sunday. Okay. Well, I thought what was really interesting was that he got all the goal line work. I mean, they just clearly favored what he marks. Yeah, I'm trying to see if there's anything in here for many coaches. I'm going to wrap up the show while you do that.
Starting point is 01:20:13 Office coordinator, Nick Cayley said the uptick was more spontaneous than predetermined. You go into a game and you sit there and you try to have balance in a variety of ways for all the right reasons. Kelly said, sometimes you get into a rhythm and he played well and he was playing well down the stretch. Here's Kelly again. It's hard to say how every game's going to go. Sometimes it doesn't go the way you want. want it, but he did a great job. I thought he played consistent throughout the game and happy his performance for sure. He's gotten better every single week, not just as a runner. He put his
Starting point is 01:20:43 face on guys and be physical. That's a big part of what we ask those guys to do. So it's just a complete package and continue to get better and learning from things as we go. Okay. All right, there's a little bit of risk, I guess, but yeah, this could be a good way for him. And start the Texans DST. Of all the matchups, of all of any position. I think Texans, like, the best DST basically against the best matchup.
Starting point is 01:21:09 So there you go. That's it for fantasy football today. If you want more, CBS Sports Network, 1 p.m. Eastern, Dave, Jamie, and Heath are going to be rocking and rolling there. And we'll talk to you tomorrow
Starting point is 01:21:17 with the NFC home games. Thanks a lot. Paramount Podcasts. Now streaming. Everyone who comes into this clinic is a mystery. We don't know what we're looking for. Their bodies are the scene of the crime.
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