Fantasy Football Today - Start or Sit (NFC): Justin Fields, Najee Harris, Christian Watson and More! (12/16 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Episode Date: December 16, 2022

Fantasy Football Today is available for free on the Audacy app as well as Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Google Podcasts, Stitcher and wherever else you listen to podcasts.  The 49ers took care of business and George Kittle had a big game, but do we trust the 49ers passing game going forward? And are we going right back to Geno Smith and the rest of the Seahawks next week even with the Tyler Lockett injury? ... A weather update (8:55), a group of running backs we like this week (11:30), news and notes (13:10), Beat the Waiver Wire (22:55) and One Question for Each Game (25:50). How do we feel about David Montgomery, Rachaad White, Christian Watson, Michael Pittman and Alvin Kamara this week? ... Start or Sit for Bengals-Bucs (33:00), Rams-Packers (42:55), Colts-Vikings (49:50), Eagles-Bears (55:00), Falcons-Saints (1:03:00), Steelers-Panthers (1:07:50) and Giants-Commanders (1:13:00) ... Email us at [e-mail] Follow our FFT team on Twitter: @FFToday, @AdamAizer, @JameyEisenberg, @daverichard, @heathcummingssr, @ctowerscbs Follow the brand new FFT TikTok account: https://www.tiktok.com/@fftoday Watch FFT on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/fantasyfootballtoday Get 20% off Fantasy Football Today merch: https://store.cbssports.com/collections/fantasy-football-today%20?utm_source=podcast-apple-com&utm_medium=web&utm_campaign=buy-our-merch&utm_content=fantasy-football-collection Join our Facebook group https://www.facebook.com/groups/FantasyFootballToday/ Sign up for the FFT newsletter https://www.cbssports.com/newsletter You can listen to Fantasy Football Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Football Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Football Today podcast." To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Visit amex.ca slash business platinum. This is Fantasy Football Today from CBS Sports. What a play! Can you believe this? No, I can't. It's time to dominate your fantasy league. This is going to go the distance. Now, here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie, and Heath.

Taking a look at seven home games on the NFC side. The Bucs hosting the Bengals. We're going to get all three of the top wide receivers for Joe Burrow in this game. Could be. We've got the Cowboys. Sorry, the Commanders and the Giants. I'm all out of sorts. The Commanders and the Giants.

Huge game. Do we trust Saquon Barkley this week? Deontay Foreman up against Najee Harris, which running back do we prefer in that game? Is this going to be another big week for Christian Watson? We'll talk about all these games and more. Before we started, I was trying to think of a Purdy pun that people haven't used.

Like, oh, Purdy good, all that. So I'm going to try to work in silly Purdy at some point while we talk about the game. But happy Friday to Dave and Jamie. Dave, you look disgusted. Sorry for the bad pun. What's up, Dave? I don't know why you're not rocking and rolling like the 49ers

offense has been over the past few games. He's he played great again. Another game where Brock Purdy stayed within the offensive game plan did a good job keeping his eyes on George Kittle on that second touchdown. A couple of errant throws, a little bit as the game went on.

Eventually, I wonder what's going to happen when defenses start to really clamp down on those shorter throws. I think he can help them make a run in the playoffs. I don't think they're dead in the water at all just because they don't have Garoppolo under center. It is some ADOT. I'll tell you, 5.4, 5.2, 5.7. If he is qualified at this point, he's got the lowest ADOT in the NFL.

It's true. What was Garoppolo's ADOT? If you want me to look it up, I'd be happy. I got you. But why don't you talk about your thoughts on the game and Jamie. Good morning, Jamie. Good morning. Dave, go ahead you talk about your thoughts on the game and Jamie? Good morning, Jamie. Good morning. Dave, give me your, give me your fantasy takeaways.

You know, how about IU as good as Kittle was? There wasn't a lot of pass volume to go around here, but you know, Chris asked me this on FFT and five last night. Do you trust IU can Kittle going forward? And what do you think? Well, I think Kittle is a lot easier to trust because of the position that he plays playing against Washington next week, boy,

going to be tough on Christian McCaffrey. Iuke is still in the range of a flex wide receiver, especially in PPR. So really, it's the same dilemma that we've had with the 49ers all along. They're not a team that wants to throw the ball all over the place. And I think you just have to accept that there are going to be some down games we saw for kittle mostly over the last couple of weeks and iuk had his down game this week and that's just kind of how it is for the 49ers moving forward uh jimmy garoppolo's a dot is or intended air yards for pass attempts 6.9 for purdy it's something like 5.7. Yeah.

All right, so I think you... All right, well, that's the 49ers. Let's talk about the Seahawks here, Jamie. Tyler Lockett has a broken finger and could miss some time. Yeah, who knows? Could miss the rest of the season. They lost starting defensive tackle Brian Moan in the first quarter.

He has a significant ACL injury. Is it Moan or Monet? Oh, it might be Monet. I don't know, actually. And Jordan Brooks, their star linebacker, he left in the fourth quarter with a neck injury. So it was a really rough day for them, not to mention they're really on the cusp.

They got the Chiefs next week. Playoffs not looking great for Seattle right now. But from a fantasy standpoint, do you trust them to bounce back next week at the Chiefs? I mean, I trust that there's going to be a lot of pass volume, so I trust Dino Smith, even without Tyler Lockett, to be a low-end starter. He would be a high-end starter if there was Tyler Lockett,

so hopefully he could find a way to play through this if that's possible, but it doesn't sound likely. Marquise Goodwin becomes somebody that you should be picking up in the instance of being like a number three receiver. I probably would feel a little bit better about Marquis Goodwin than I would Brandon Ayuk right now, to be honest with you. So there's a lot to like about his situation. No, Fant, you know, he saw a little spike in targets the last couple of games

and, you know, scoring last night, you know, makes you feel a little bit better. So there's still ways around this. You know, DK Metcalf, I think, is clearly a must-start guy. And Ken Walker will be fine. So, you know, I didn't really – when I was doing notes for the HQ show for tomorrow, you know, this was before the Lockett injury. I was like, really, nothing changed, you know, to be honest.

The target volume was still there, 44 pass times for Geno Smith. It's just they played a great defense, and the Chiefs are not the same level of defense by far. Yeah, and I feel bad with the whole Geno Smith over Mike White thing. Hopefully Mike White outscores Geno Smith. It's a sinking feeling when you are passionate about something and then it plays out on Thursday night and it doesn't go your way. But I'll tell you something that from a fantasy standpoint that I said a lot yesterday, and I don't know why I said it because I don't even believe it. I believe this is what

the problem with the Bucs has been all year. You know, I said, well, I don't think they're going to be able to run the ball. So I like Geno Smith, you know, to throw a lot. I don't think it's good for a quarterback when a team is not able to, when his team is not able to run the ball. You know, on one end of the spectrum, you don't want the team to run the ball so well that they can't pass and they don't have to pass, but you also don't want third and seven, third and eight, third and 13 all the time. You want some balance. And, uh, that's just something I'm going to be more cognizant of going forward. I think it matters also who you're talking about too. Like, you know,

you don't want Gino Smith probably throwing the ball 44 times against San Francisco, you know, but you'll take, despite the numbers, you'll take Patrick Mahomes throwing the ball 44 times against Texans. Yeah. So he's in his own category.

I just mean, you know, you don't want a one dimensional offense. I think it makes it tough on the quarterback when your team has no running game. I guess what I'm trying to say. Well, I guess,

yeah. I mean, I don't know if you put it, I'm trying to say. Well, I guess, yeah. I mean, I don't know if you put it in a blanket. I think that's, it's probably so case by case. Because like I'm thinking Jalen Hurts last season when he was throwing the ball so much in the beginning part of the season and they couldn't run the ball. Could they not run the ball

or just did they not want to? They didn't want to. They didn't want to, but he was running. You know, so that's why I'm saying like you can't really necessarily put everybody in the same category. Trevor Lawrence would be a good test case this week. Maybe the next two games. That's true, yeah.

Lawrence, if he's third and long a lot against that pass rush, it might go like we saw last night. I don't know. All right, I think it's kind of a whatever. If he got that second touchdown, it would have been great. He didn't even come close to getting a second touchdown. In fact, he almost could get a first one. I mean, hey, if Diggs gets

the interception in short field, you never know how that could have turned out. Yeah, they're going to be ruining that one. All right. We've got a merchandise store for you, everybody. If you want to get some FFT merch, you've dominated your fantasy league, you're in the playoffs. If you want to say thank uh some fft merch you want to you've dominated your fantasy league you're in the playoffs if you want to say thank you or just rep us go to our merchandise

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The link is in the episode description, or you can just Google CBS Sports Store Fantasy Football Today. All right. We've got three Saturday games, so that's going to be a lot of fun. Next week, we have almost the entire slate on Saturday on Christmas Eve, but we've got the Colts and the Vikings, Baltimore, Cleveland, and Miami Buffalo. Let's throw it over to our weather desk and Dave Richard. I don't know if you have any update on the Bills and the Dolphins weather, Dave. What do you got for us?

Meteorologist Dave Richard. Love it when you send it over to the weather desk without me having a clue that you're sending it over to me at the weather desk. Oh, I'm sorry. I didn't tell you. Like 30 seconds. No, you didn't. Well, I think the game Dave, I'll vamp for you. Go ahead and take over. Let's go to Jamie

at the weather. We have to go to Dave. The game in Minnesota, I think, will be okay. You think so? I'll take the you. Go ahead and take over. Let's go to Jamie at the weather. No, we have to go to Dave. The game in Minnesota, I think, will be fine. The game in Minnesota, I think, will be okay. You think so? I'll take the weather report on that one. Have you been to Minnesota, Jamie? You've been there, right? Yeah, I think the game should be okay.

You've been to Minnesota, right, for the Super Bowl? Did you go to that one? Yes. Oh, my God. That was the coldest experience of my life. It was a 30-second walk, the coldest experience of my life, It was a 30-second walk, the coldest experience of my life. From the security checkpoint to the stadium, it was a wind tunnel.

I've never been colder. Damn Florida kids. Are you good now, meteorologist? Yeah, yeah, yeah. All right, let's send it over to meteorologist Dave Richard for our weather update for Saturday. Wait a minute. This isn't the game of the week.

Oh, it's the game of the week., it's the game of the week This is a terrible game of the week Why? This isn't going to be the game of the week at all I know, but We were trying to trick you with the weather For the game of the week Hey! Not a great slate this week, Dave Richard

Let's hope the Dolphins and the Bears come through I was hoping you were going to go with Cowboys-Gablers. I think that's a game that could be a game. This one could be the, oh, crap, Tyreek Hill helped me get into the playoffs, and now I'm out weak. I don't care about the weather update, but if you have it, you might as well give it. He's the one I worry about the least. Winds are going to be 10 to 15 miles an hour, 80% chance of snow.

The forecast has actually gone up three to five inches of snow expected, 27 degrees. It will be cold. It will be snowing, and it could be windy. These are not the best conditions to have a quarterback who doesn't have a cannon arm throwing to your dynamic wide receivers. Plural. There are two in Miami.

So it's the first snow game ever. Yeah, first snow game. No, it's not like he's never seen snow. He's probably played in snow before. I mean, it's not like he's... No, not at all. It's his first snow game. In a game, no, but messing around.

I'm not ready to completely discount it, but we're going to get to Saturday afternoon. You mean messing around in Hawaii, Alabama, or Miami? It snows in Alabama. It's cold as hell in Alabama. I've been there for the Senior Bowl and experienced it. Look, I'm already nervous about Tua, even if it was perfect conditions, because this is a tough matchup. That pass rush is going to be on him.

That's a tough matchup. That pass rush is going to be on them. That's a problem for them. And the two ways to combat what they've been doing on offense for them, for the Dolphins, the things that they could change with their offense, is number one, run the ball more, which, Jamie, you've talked about it. You don't think that that's going to happen. And number two. They just don't do it. They don't do it. If they throw shorter, he's going to need to complete a lot of passes

and get a lot of some fortuitous plays from his receivers in order for that to come through. I actually moved him behind Geno before the game last night. We'll see if that proves to be good or not. But the weather is just the cherry on top of what could be a tough game for Tua. Okay, we did talk about that game at length yesterday. If you want to hear more about Bills and Dolphins, that is on the AFC Home Game Show.

I was just thinking about this weird observation about running backs who are not involved in the passing game. That's the name of the segment here. God, I like them. There's a lot of great matchups for these running backs, these running backs that you're usually a little afraid of in PPR. I mean, obviously, Miles Sanders is the poster child. He's the head of the class he's at the Bears he's going to crush them probably top 12 for all three of our analysts in both formats but you got Dobbins

Pacheco about Deontay Foreman especially if Larry Ogunjobi doesn't play for the Steelers uh Brian Robinson against the Giants you know it's it's weird, Jamie. In a PPR league, I always get a little nervous, and I still will be, to put guys like this in the lineup. But all things considered, almost all of them have very favorable matchups. Sanders, Dobbins, Pacheco, Foreman, Robinson. A hundred percent. The one I think that maybe makes you the most nervous,

at least for me, is Foreman, just because of what we saw from Hubbard last weekbard last week but I mean clearly you know you're talking about these guys have the chance for 15 plus touches you know in some cases they could be 20 plus touches if things go right for their game script um but they may not even need that you know just based on some of the scenarios that they're dealing with here uh the nice thing for Sanders and Pacheco is you've seen a little bit of and even Robinson you know you've seen you little bit of, and even Robinson, you know, you've seen, you know, two to three catches, you know, in recent weeks. So hopefully that continues for those guys. So, yeah, I think they're all in great spots, great matchups.

Hopefully they deliver. And, you know, this is why it doesn't always have to be, you know, you need a Christian McCaffrey type of situation, you know, where the guy is catching more passes really in some cases than they're running the ball to help you. Clearly that was not the case in McCaffrey last night or really his career, but you get my point. You know, you don't necessarily just need the guy to rely on, on his reception total to help you. Let's do our news and notes here. Tyler Huntley is going to play for the Baltimore Ravens.

They're at Cleveland on Saturday. Dave, Tyler Huntley ended up where in your rankings? Around 24th. I'm not excited about him. I wasn't that excited about him last week. I think that they can run like crazy against Baltimore. I'm a big fan them. I wasn't that excited about them last week. I think that they can run like crazy against Baltimore. I'm a big fan of J.K. Dobbins this week. Comment in our chat, Sean Watson or Tyler Huntley? I'll start Watson.

I would start Watson too, but they're very close. Huntley's more like 20 for me, but Watson's like 18. Okay. It says non-PPR if that makes a difference. It doesn't matter. Russell Wilson was limited so as of now not expected to start Russell Wilson right not ranking him correct and who do you think plays quarterback well I guess we'll talk about this game later but who do you think plays quarterback for the Steelers this week I think they start Trubisky, but he has a very short leash.

Sounds like something they'd do. At running back, Aaron Jones should be good to go. Dave brought up the fact that I put Ken Walker's going to play in the notes, so I'll just tell you all that. I did it before the show. You didn't have to bring it up. That's funny. I expect Ken Walker to play this week and have somewhere. How do you think he'll do? I think he'll have a big

catch late in the game to kind of salvage his day. Khalil Herbert next week. Maybe let's see. What's, what do you care about here? Jeff Wilson, Jeff Wilson is questionable and really don't know at this point. So we did talk about this yesterday,

but all those guys I just mentioned Sanders, obviously, but Dobbins Pacheco foreman, Brian Robinson, if Jeff Wilson is out, would you start Raheem Mostert over any of those guys? Dobbins, Pacheco, Foreman, Robinson? No way. The only one I'd consider would be Foreman. And I don't know if I've got the guts to do that. So he's right behind Foreman in my rankings. He's 25th.

Mostert. Okay. What about Najee Harris or Mostert? If Wilson's out. I've got Najee, Foreman, Mostert, back-to-back-to-back, Jack. Yeah, I would go Najee, Foreman,

skip about seven spots, and then Mostert. Okay. Saquon Barkley is feeling much better off the injury report. Did this give you guys more confidence

in Saquon Barkley? No, still feel the same. I think you're looking at hopefully a lot of work and hopefully a lot of work in the passing game and then chance to score. He played well against them the last time these two teams met, so fantasy-wise.

He scored. Yeah, he did. Yeah, he's been getting... They've been throwing to the running backs a lot more lately with them losing or tying. So that's... Hopefully, we'll give Barkley a little bit of a floor. Is Barkley ahead of that group

other than Miles Sanders of Dobbins, Pacheco, Foreman, Robinson? I have Barkley one spot behind Dobbins in PPR. And if he's feeling better, and you remember what he did against Washington, it was like 80 total yards and a touchdown. He had five catches on top of that. That should be better than what Dobbins does in full PPR. So he's probably going to move ahead of Dobbins.

All right. So he's either second or third on the list of includes Sanders. So call it second. Okay. So Sanders Barkley, then the rest, um, Steve,

uh, Dave Patriots running backs. What do we got? Great question. No idea. It sounds like Damian Harris is on track to play and remand Ray Stevenson is not. If that's the case,

Harris would be a number two fantasy running back. Preferable and non-PPR, don't know how much he'll actually catch the ball in full PPR. If they're both out, if Stevenson and Harris are out, then it's Pierre Strong leading the way with Kevin Harris helping him out. And Pierre Strong would be a high-end number three running back in that situation. Okay, you know I'm going to ask you, Damian Harris, put him on that list with Dobbins, Pache going to ask you, Damian Harris, put them on that list with Dobbins, Pacheco,

Foreman Robinson. If, if Stevenson's out in Harris plays Damian Harris. Yeah. He'd be behind Pacheco. Uh, yeah, he's right there with Robinson.

I mean, I think you're looking at almost a very similar type of stat line, you know, 20 touches probably, you know, 15 to 18 carries, uh, two to three catches, you know, I mean, Harris was catching the ball even when Stevenson was playing, you know, 20 touches, probably, you know, 15 to 18 carries, uh, two to three catches, you know, I mean,

Harris was catching the ball even when Stevenson was playing, you know, so that that's, I think is a good sign for him. Yeah. It'd be another, yeah. Yeah. It would be a nice, it would be a night if you stuck with Damian Harris, it'd be a nice early holiday present wide receivers. Ooh, Brandon cooks practiced. Oh man. I almost want him to play so I can get out of this Chris Moore take because I feel...

But, yeah. He's at 24 for me this week. Yeah. No, I never said that. I don't think I said that. You said, if I had rankings, he'd be right around 24. That's what I said, right. And I stand by that.

But I think more like 30. It's easy when you don't have rankings to say that. Yeah, no, I dropped him a few spots. I did drop him in my theoretical rankings to about 30 with the whole Driscoll thing. But if Cooks plays, then you're not going to start anyone, right? No, I would not want to start Chris Moore if one of the two guys plays. Or Cooks. And Collins does not seem like he's going to play.

Right. We could get Hardman and Tony back this week. Let me ask you this more, more broadly, Dave, we could get Hardman and Tony back this week. Uh, we could get Renfro back this week. We could get Romeo Dobbs. He's expected to play. Do you think any of those guys, Hardman, Tony, Renfro, Dobbs, impact any receiver on their team? Sure. I mean, especially if it's Hardman and Tony in Kansas City, those are two more targets for Mahomes and fewer targets to go around for everybody else in a game where they might not have to throw that much. So it might be hands off of all Kansas City wide receivers if both of those guys are back. I'm hoping that Hardman plays just enough to work in that red zone role that he was in before he got hurt.

He scored in four straight games. And what I say on HQ, I say, Jamie 13 PPR points. Is that what it is? When he started his stretch of games, it was 11 or more. Okay.

So still a fine starter is at least a flex. Hopefully he plays in that role. We've seen Kansas City kind of take their time with wide receivers when they've come back from injuries before. Okay, but it's sounding like if Tony and Hardman play that you'd consider sitting Juju. yes uh i i wouldn't really change anything on juju i don't think we we have yet to see how tony will work with hardman because tony wasn't playing when hardman was doing his thing and then tony had his game and a half appearance so to me tony's really a non-factor um juju's best stretch of games came when hardman was still on the field you know so or at least that was the start of it so i i don't think things changed so much for juju um in terms of the other guys obviously mac hollins is a big loser if uh both heart both uh waller and and renfro are back and

i think josh jacobs you gotta be a little concerned about his reception total because you know this this is what happened some last year waller and drake went out his receptions just spiked this year waller and renfro go out his reception sp. So he'll still be a factor in the passing game, but maybe just not to the same extent. Dobbs is interesting because you got to wonder what happens. We have not seen Dobbs and Watson together. Yeah. You know, that's not something that we've seen.

I wouldn't necessarily change my opinion on Watson, but it is something to keep an eye on there. So if Dobbs does take away a target or two or a big player or two, that could be a problem for Watson. You know, so if you have a buy, like I have Watson in one him once you want to buy you know so I'm going to keep an eye on that one um I can't imagine they go away from Watson but you just never know and so uh and then the other one to keep an eye on Adam obviously is uh Devante Smith's targets have been huge without Dallas Goddard oh yeah you know so Goddard coming back you know if if you have Devante Smith again

you know you don't know he's certainly been a big part of their offense and has had some big games with Goddard, but he's been eight-plus targets in every game since Goddard got hurt. Will that continue? They're playing against a Bears team that might not give much fight against their run game. It could be another low-volume passing

day for another quarterback. You guys have them pretty high. They've had a couple of those recently, and it hasn't really mattered. Guess where Devontae Smith ranked per game with Dallas Goddard, first nine games of the season? Like 35th. Oh, wow. Nice work.

Yeah, wide receiver 35 per game. You guys have him like 18th. Okay, we've got to move on here. I'm sorry it's taken a while with these injuries. Amari Cooper's going to play. Rondo Moore's on IR. Cortland Sutton is not expected to play. Well, I shouldn't say that. He keeps missing practice. Deontay Johnson mispractices with a hip injury. We'll keep an eye

on that. Dallas Goddard trending in the right direction. Could that get Darren Waller back this week? Not going to have Hayden Hurst, most likely. Daniel Bellinger expects to play. Pat Fryermuth mispractices with a foot injury, but he expects to play. On the offensive line, Tyrone Smith might play for the Cowboys, and he might play right tackle.

On the defensive side, keep an eye on Quinn and Williams. He's been missing practice. He's the Jets' maybe their best player. He's so good, and he'd be a big miss for them if they don't have him against Detroit. Houston's still beat up in the secondary. Stingley and Nelson don't look good right now. Vita Vea likely out this week for the Bucs.

That's good news for Mixon. I mentioned that yesterday. That's pretty much it. Larry Ogunjobi, I talked about that. He mispracticed for the Steelers. He's their starting defensive tackle. They are much better against the run when Ogunjobi's on the field

compared to when he is off the field. Okay. That would be two defensive linemen, two starting defensive linemen down for the Steelers if he's out. Because Wormley's also done a year with an injury. That's right. And they've been bad against the run anyway.

I'm basically just going to repeat the week 16 waiver wire segment that I did for Beat the Waiver Wire here. If you need a quarterback, Mike White and Daniel Jones, the New Yorkers, might be the two best. Mike White has Jacksonville, the New Yorkers, might be the two best.

Mike White has Jacksonville. Daniel Jones is at Minnesota. I'm not really paying attention to roster percentage right now. I know Jones is widely rostered, but very possible that he's been dropped. Tyler Huntley, if he plays next week, would get Atlanta, but hopefully Lamar Jackson's back. Sam Darnold against Detroit.

It's too late to pick up Brock Purdy. Maybe Kenny Pickett if he's back against Vegas, and possibly Jordan Love at Miami if you're in a super flex league. Never know if they stop trying. Elijah Moore's a guy that has some momentum. You could pick him up. They got held last night, though, right? With Seattle losing?

I guess so. Who did? Packers. Yeah, I mean, technically. Elijah Moore's a guy you could take a look at, uh, basically all, any of the jets and, you know,

Zay Jones, if he's still available, Traylon Burks, not, you know, the roster percentages aren't rising that much. So keep an eye on them. Tyler Conklin gets the Jaguars.

Kate Ottens at Arizona, Daniel Bellinger's at Minnesota, Hayden Hurst. If he's back at New England. I don't know. Doesn't seem like it's going to be a great spot for him. And pick up the Tennessee DST. They're against Houston.

The Bengals are at the Patriots. The Vikings get the Giants. Don't love that. The Broncos are at the Rams. And if anybody drops Tampa Bay, they're at Arizona next week. I don't mind the Steelers also. It's going to be a cold weather game

for Derek Carr on the road. Primetime game. So we know how that's gone for him. Yeah, you may not need to stash a DST. It seems like there should be plenty. All right, we've got to take a break. When we come back, we'll do one question for each game, and we'll get into seven NFC home games right after this.

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It's free. It's easy. It's the law. Data sourced from the ORCGA 2023 Dirt Report. One question for each game, starting with the Bengals and the Buccaneers. Start or sit Rashad White? Dave Richard?

I've got him closer to a sit than a start. It's harder to do that in full PPR because he's given you at least 10 full PPR points in each of his past four games. The thing that worries me is it's the snap share. He's almost 50-50 with Fournette. Had more carries in Fournette last week. I hope that happens again this week. And it is nice that he's got a good floor of like seven to eight PPR points because of the catches that he gets in the offense. But it's a tough matchup for him, and he's going to share. Starting PPR, flex none.

Double-digit PPR fantasy points in four straight games and a lot of catches. How about you? Great note there, Adam. Well, you said, did you say that? 10-plus, same thing. You said a floor of like eight. Before that. Oh, I'm sorry.

It's okay. I do that to you guys all the time. Did you say the Bengals allow 3.1 yards per carry to running backs with DJ Reader on the field? You missed it? I sang that. Oh, I'm sorry. It's okay. I do that to you guys all the time. Did you say the Bengals allow 3.1 yards per carry to running back with DJ Reader on the field? You missed it? I sang that. All right. Damian Harris, if Stevenson is out, or Rashad White?

Harris. I would definitely take Harris in non-PPR. It's closer in full PPR, but I think I'd go with Harris. All right. Rams at Packers. Let's stick with Rashad White. Would you start Rashad White or Christian Watson? Watson.

I'd start Watson. There's more upside. Okay. There's more. Christian Watson or Devante Smith? Watson. It's Watson. Oh.

If Goddard's back. If Goddard's not back. It's still close. It's close without Goddard. Okay. Colts at Vikings. Are you feeling it, Jamie? And do you have pit mania?

I do have pit mania. I'm not feeling it this week. I think, you know, last week I liked his setup mostly because of what the projected score was going to be and his matchup. You know, this week it's going to be a much lower scoring game and the matchup's terrible. So Thielen is more of a mid number three receiver as opposed to last week when i had him as a low end number two receiver and you know he came through with a

stat line basically that i thought you know similar to what he did the first time against detroit uh six for 60 or six for 75 or seven i'm sorry seven for 65 and a touchdown and so i don't think he scores this week i think he'll still get around seven to eight targets, but I think it's just a lower stat line this week. Yep. That's Thielen you're talking about? Yes. Pittman, I think, has a chance for a huge game.

I mean, that's just an absolutely miserable secondary. They're probably going to be throwing a lot of their chasing points. And I think he's got potentially top 10 upside if he scores in PPR. But a very safe number to receive from PPR. Higher floor than Thielen, too. We were tasked to do Saturday DFS lineups for Fantasy Football Today on HQ this afternoon, and Pittman was the first player

I put in. I did a cold stack. Oh, I did a Viking stack. Philadelphia. They can't sit there and just put in Christian McCaffrey and the Capps this butt every week. Yeah, but you cash with Christian McCaffrey. I'm not trying to cash. I be different to win. They can't sit there and just put in Christian McCaffrey in the captain's spot every week. Yeah, but you cash with Christian McCaffrey. I'm not trying to cash. I'm trying to win.

Okay, well. I'll cash. I'm never going to win. Take your six bucks. I'd love to. I'll take six over negative five. Philadelphia at Chicago. Dave, start or sit David Montgomery?

I'm starting David Montgomery. It's with some reluctance of course, but he plays so much, gets so many targets or touches. I should say he gets some targets too. And always potential to score in that offense. Yeah. There it is.

I thought he was, yeah. He could come in and tell you why he has him in the top 10. We had this debate on Wednesday. We'll talk about a little bit more later. He's a number two running back for Jamie and Dave, number one running back for Heath. I think he's got a good floor.

I think you're getting 13 points from him. He's done that basically all three games without Kalo Herbert. And there have been five running backs with at least 17 total touches against Philadelphia this season, which is what he's gotten all three games without Herbert there. And all five of them have scored at least 13 points. Here's the problem, though. I would bet three of those

were without Jordan Davis. Or one of them was week one. DeAndre Swift was week one, and he's the only running back, I think, with more than 14 carries against the Eagles with Jordan Davis playing because he can't run on them.

Why try? He's going to be involved in the passing game. He's got enough opportunities. He'll probably. He also came through against the Patriots, and that was a tough run defense at the time. So he got to start him as a number two guy. Atlanta, New Orleans, Jamie, who do you think,

who do you like better? I mean, I'm assuming you like both, but Kamara or Olave, who are you more excited about this week? Oh, very excited about Kamara. He came out and said it's been a frustrating season for him, and he's been a little too unselfish in letting other guys get some work. I think this is going to be a strong finish for him. It's a great matchup, obviously. He didn't have a big game against him in Week 1,

but I think he rebounds this week. I think Olave's a fine start. I think he's a good number two receiver, but Kamara's got top ten upside, I think, rebounds this week. And so I think Olave is a fine start. I think he's a good number two receiver. But Kamara's got top ten upside, I think, in all formats. I think he scores. I think he's going to catch the ball quite a bit. And we'll see if they're able to sort of play themselves back into this to whatever extent they're able to with the Bucs not clinching the division.

They have a very tough path to get there, but still mathematically alive. Falcons have allowed at least a touchdown, one touchdown to a running back in each of their past seven games. Ooh, nice. So do not get nervous about Camara. Now, somebody asking him,

the chat is Eric McCoy back. I actually don't know the answer to that. I'll look it up. He did practice this week, so you can play, uh, Pittsburgh at Carolina. Dave,

you answered this earlier. I think you have them back-to-back. Deontay Foreman or Najee Harris? They're back-to-back. Najee is a step ahead. But they're almost the same guy. Yeah, except Foreman, he is splitting with Hubbard,

but still getting a ton of carries. He's getting almost all of the inside the five-yard line work over the last two weeks. Well, sure, except for the one that Chuba Hubbard scored on last week. That was a third down, so they brought in Hubbard for third down, and then he scored. But I think it's 5-1

in carries inside the five-yard line, maybe 4-1 over the last two weeks. Foreman versus Hubbard. Last game here is Giants and Commanders. I already asked about... Quick thing on Eric McCoy. He is practicing this week. The Saints waived a backup center, Josh Andrews.

So it does seem like he's on track to play, and he has been a key to the run game success. Yeah, he's a very good center for the Saints, and as soon as he got hurt, whether it's coincidental or not, that's when the struggle started for Alvin Kamara. Giants at Washington, Darius Slayton or Brian Robinson in full PPR? Jamie. I'll still go Robinson.

You know, I think his matchup is just too good. And, you know, you're talking potentially 20 to 23 to maybe 25 total touches for him. You know, so he's, you know, the only thing that makes me a little concerned about it is anytime you get these guys coming off a bye and they're still dealing with these minor injuries. So he's been on the injury report for two days, limited practice with a foot injury. Hopefully there's nothing to worry about there. But I think he's just got an opportunity for a huge game.

Okay. Let's go to the Bengals at the Bucs. So I had this stat of the game about Joe Burrow without either Higgins or Chase. And those were the three games where Higgins barely played. I don't really know that this is relevant anymore, because I feel like Higgins is going to play. But in seven games without either Higgins or Chase,

and again, that's three games where Higgins did technically play, but barely. Burrow really hasn't been that great. He had a great game at Pittsburgh, 35 points. He had a great half against Carolina, 35 points. He had a great half against Carolina, 21 points and a half. Other than that, he's been 20-ish points, 19.3 to 22.5 fantasy points.

I guess the question is if Higgins is out, do you have any hesitation starting Joe Burrow? There's only really one guy, I think, when we talk about these quarterback situations that you would consider. It's really Mike White.

If he's available to you, then I think you can consider that. Do you have Burrow in fields? Maybe some people have that decision to make. Do you have Burrow and Josh Allen, according to you? You might have that decision to make. I think it feels like it's going to be a bad week have burrow and josh allen according to you um you might have that decision to make but i i think you know if if you can it it feels like it's gonna be a bad week for quarterbacks you know aside from

maybe you know three or four guys that have the chance to really light things up like lawrence has been fantastic but it's hard to see him having a huge game against the cowboys you know fields has been fantastic it's hard to see him having a huge game against the eagles you know they're just a few of those situations so burrow to me feels like one of those situations now i think vita vea not being there can kind of go one or two ways because he's not just a great run stopper he's clearly a great you know push the middle of the pocket and make things uncomfortable for quarterbacks and their secondary hasn't been as fantastic as it has been in years past so i mean he can get a two touchdown game from jamar chase by himself and then you're looking at can

he find a third touchdown someplace else so i'm not not betching Joe Burrow, but I can see if somebody really wanted to go the Mike White path just because there's a potential for a huge game for him. I'm starting Burrow over Mike White, even if there is no T. Higgins or Tyler Boyd. If T. Higgins and Tyler Boyd play, and really if just one of them plays, but preferably if it's Higgins, then I think Burrow's got a chance to be one of those quarterbacks

that just crushes this week. Like he will move up considerably in the rankings. If, if we get a report that T Higgins is going to go. Okay. I think honestly, the trickier one is going to be Burrow or fields. Where are you guys?

Burrow ready for Burrow. If, if there is no Higgins, I would go fields. And Dave, if there was no Higgins, you'd stick it with Burrow, if there is no Higgins, you'd stick with Burrow? Burrow. Any hesitation on Joe Mixon?

No. Especially if he's out. No way. Okay. Jamar Chase is a start. Do you trust T. Higgins? This guy is... If he does it two weeks in a row... It's happened three times. It's happened three times this year where he's come out so weeks in a row. It's a four o'clock game too. It's happened three times.

It's happened three times this year where he's come out so early in the game. And twice it was like a re-injury. So I think anyway, do you trust T. Higgins this week? I think I got to hear from somebody saying he is good to go, no issues. And that's got to be like a pregame thing. So you got to have somebody ready to swap out with him if you can't, you know. So I guess the easiest one, just because he's available everywhere, would be Trenton Irwin.

You know, so if you just want, okay, I need to guarantee myself four to five points, stick in the backup there. So you can do that. But, I mean, last week was terrible. Absolutely terrible. It costs people fantasy spots yeah yeah you're starting pitman over higgins unless you get a report before saturday saying that higgins is good to go same thing with the island you probably have to start at this point you know who you could pivot to is nelson nelson agal, 5% rostered.

Doesn't look great for Parker Myers right now. And he's at Las Vegas. Yeah, at 10 targets too. Yeah, if you want to play that game. But even if he's active, are you going to start T. Higgins given what we've seen lately with his injuries? I think, again, it comes down to who else you have

and what the reports are. So if he gets in a full practice today, then you a lot better about it if he gets you know to saturday night and we get the the chef to wrap up port you know reports that despite the hamstring lingering hamstring injury he's going to play then you have a decision to make you know so i mean for me again i would i would play pitman over him barring the full report, you know, today. Uh, but I think I might do that anyway, just because I'm, I'm a little concerned that the re-aggravation, but you know, hopefully he's fine. You know, he's, he's a superstar. Okay. And what if he doesn't play in Tyler Boyd does play, where would you, Dave, where would you rank Tyler Boyd in that scenario? No Higgins. Yes. Boyd.

I'll rank Boyd close to a number two wide receiver in PPR and a high end number three and non PPR. Yeah. Mid, mid level at best number three receiver. He was terrible without Higgins without chasing the field. So I don't really see much difference with out Higgins on the field. Okay.

Tom Brady, try to avoid him. He's going to throw probably 70 times for 214 yards and one touchdown. Um, I don't know. There's really not much to say there. The Bengals' pass defense has been very good all year. They gave up the sixth fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks.

I think the fourth fewest fantasy points to wide receivers. Fifth, yes. Fifth or sixth, sure. It was fourth last week and then I think Peoples-Jones game pushed them down the spot. Okay. Okay.

So, yeah. All right. Godwin. week and then i think people's jones game pushed them down the spot okay um oh so yeah all right godwin and evans jamie do you like them this week um godwin is a number two receiver so you know backing off a little bit from where he's been you know top 10 guy for the you know previous probably four or five weeks uh ev, number three receiver at best, closer to where I would put Boyd. He's been terrible. A lot of this obviously is on Brady, the lack of the connection down the field. And again, you could say the pass interference call two games ago

and the holding call that negated the play last week. He still has back-to-back games before catches. So it's just not Mike Evans right now. So could it happen? Yes. Is it a matchup that you want to trust it to happen no and so for me i try to avoid evans if you can i think chris said yesterday on our live stream that mike evans has lost 40 fantasy points to penalties the most most in the nfl but it you know it is something but yeah they're trying i mean you know

it's it's like when you say you know it's it's third and long you take a shot you know, it is something. Yeah, they're trying. I mean, you know, it's like when you say, you know, it's third and long and you take a shot, you know, with the hope of drawing a pass interference play or getting interceptions like punt. I mean, you're getting a lot of those. You know, they're trying. Give them credit. They're trying. But it's either Brady can't throw downfield with the same success.

Evans is not separating to the same level. He's getting tackled because defenders are not wanting to give up the touchdown or interfering him. So there's a lot of factors at play right now. Could it happen? Sure. I mean, it should have happened last week,

but it just didn't. Okay, so if T. Higgins plays and he's good to go, Higgins or Godwin? Godwin. Godwin. Okay. Higgins or Evans?

Sure. Yeah, well, I figured it'd be Higgins, but Higgins or Evansans sure yeah well i figured it'd be higgins but higgins or evans yeah i might go evans yeah over higgins yeah because we don't know what we're getting with t higgins it's just because of the injury right i mean you would never yeah yeah yeah yeah it's not because of anything else all right so then uh rashad white we talked about a little bit earlier did you just want to sit Leonard Fournette? He also is getting his five catches or so. Sure. He doesn't have the same upside as White.

And last week, he didn't get nearly as many carries as White. There's no reason to believe that he's suddenly going to flip that script and he'll get 12 carries and White only gets five. They might be closer in carries this week. Or it might just be another game where Tom Brady's throwing the ball

like nuts. Yeah, Fournette's a high inflex in PPR. Somebody should avoid a nine and a half. Would you start Rashad White or Mike Evans? White. I'll take Evans. Godwin or Mike White? Sorry, Rashad White.

Godwin. Okay. Movingwin. Okay. Moving on. Our next game. By the way, do you like the Bengals' DST? Uh, eh. I like Brady's turn the ball over a lot. They're a low-end start for me.

Okay, moving on. Our next game, the Rams are at the Packers on Monday night. Here's your profile of the game. It is on Christian Watson. Adam, would you rather go to Buffalo, Miami, and sit in snow that could be up to 9 inches, but 27 degrees, or go to Lambeau Field where it's 5 degrees? I could drive to Buffalo.

I'd rather go to Buffalo. You live in both places, but you can teleport to either one. I'd rather go to Buffalo and sit in the snow. The five degrees is just brutal. Have you ever been to a Packers game before? No. Take in the experience and go to Lambeau Field, even if

it's free. You're making it sound like the Bills Mafia is not fun. That's the thing. Bills Mafia is fun, but if you had to pick one experience over the other, which one do you take? I'd go to Green Bay. Yeah. As somebody who's been there, it's awesome. Absolutely awesome. Right. Have you been to Buffalo, James?

I've never been to Buffalo, no. Have you? No. What's the one stadium that you guys, if you could go to, would go to? Lambeau. I haven't been to. Arrowhead. Yeah, I think I've got a top three. A bucket list, if you will.

Go ahead, go ahead. Lambeau, Arrowhead, and where the 12s are in Seattle. I'd be going to. It's not going to be popular, but every time I see SoFi Stadium on TV, I'm like, that seems like a pretty cool place. I'd be going to. It's not going to be popular, but every time I see SoFi Stadium on TV, that seems like a pretty cool place. I'd like to go there, but not from an atmosphere standpoint. Unless the Packers or the Steelers were playing there, then maybe it'd be great atmosphere. Or if you like really loud public address announcements, awesome place to go.

All right. So here we go. Rams and Packers, your profile of the game is on Christian Watson. He has a target share of 23.3% or higher in three of his last four games. He has at least one end zone target in each of his last four games. He's crushing Alan Lazard in red zone targets in those four games. Lazard has one. Watson has five.

But the problem is he's a very high route depth, high ADOT guy. And I won't give you all the names, but if you look at the leaderboard in route depth and ADOT, it is really not a good fantasy list. So Watson has been consistent with a profile that does not lend itself to consistency. On the other hand, he is getting a lot of end zone and red zone targets. So, you know, the naysayers would say, hey, you guys are too high on Christian Watson. He's Gabe Davis. He's got a lot of downside. Do you feel like you're factoring that in, Jamie? And, you know, what do you think? Do you think he has that downside or do you think he's safer than people than some people

might make the case against, you know? I mean, there's obviously downside with a player like this, you know, so he doesn't score, you know, doesn't have a big play. Clearly, you're going to be frustrated and disappointed. You're talking about a guy that had six touchdowns in a three-game stretch and was looking like a rock star. Everything that you hope for him to be as the potential lead receiver for the Packers when they drafted him.

How can you get away from that if he's helped you get to this point? It's clearly some factors you can see. You can see maybe Ramsey shadowing him and taking him away. That would be frustrating. But I trust Aaron Rodgers at home. He's been very good in his building, certainly the last two games. I trust the fact that there's probably not going to be a significant pass rush on him to the same level with Donald not playing for the Rams, despite the fact what Matt LaFleur said. So he's a playmaker, you know, and right now he's hot. So hopefully the bye week and the weather

doesn't cool him off and he has another big game. Okay. First of all, I don't know if Ramsey can run with him. I don't know if anybody can run with Christian Watson and it's eight touchdowns in his last four games. He's been incredible. There's a part of the profile you missed Adam Azer. He's played 90% of the snaps each of his last, is it last four games? It's each of his last two. And I think it's 80% each of the past four. So he's playing a ton. He's got at least six targets in each of his past four. The touchdowns are flowing out like water from a faucet.

Jamie nailed it. You can't sit this guy. There's just way too much upside. I've got him as a number two wide receiver. Okay, we'll stick with the Packers and then we'll knock out the Rams in a little bit. A lot of teams have done that this year. But Aaron Rodgers,

Aaron Rodgers or Mike White? White. White, but it's close. You know, Rodgers. Aaron Rodgers or Mike White? White. White, but it's close. You know, Rodgers is one of those guys that I think, you know, if he had been playing a little bit better and you felt a little bit more confident in him, he does have, I think, an easy path to success here.

You know, the Rams, while they looked great last week, I don't know how much of that was them or Derek Carr just, you know, vomiting on himself. But I think Rodgers, you know, at home, who knows how many more games he's going to play in Lambeau if he decides to hang it up. And as you've alluded to, since you're the biggest Jordan Love fan I've ever met, that he could be starting soon. So I think this is an opportunity primetime game. You know, Rams probably feeling themselves a little bit. I think it's a little, you know, over overhyped after the win last week that he has, you know, a better game. Now the flip side

of that is he just played the bears and had a very minimal stat line. So they can win this game without him doing a hell of a lot, but I still think I feel like he can get you to that 20 to 22 point threshold. And he's been 23 plus points in his last two home games. Guess what area of the passing game the Rams defense has been bad at in their past two games? The deep ball. The deep ball. On pass plays of 15-plus air yards, they've allowed six completions of 20-plus yards.

That's just in their last two games, and almost six yards after catch per reception. But they were so good. It sets up so well. I mean, the thing about the Rams is they were surprisingly very good at Kansas City. They held Mahomes to 19 points. They played much better than we thought. They were dreadful against Geno Smith, and then they destroyed the Raiders offense.

Right. So one thing about them is that they are getting crazy pressure in the last two games without Aaron Donald. Their pass rush pressure rate is like 40% plus. And in one game, they blitz like crazy in the other game. They didn't. So it'll be a little bit of a challenge.

The Packers are going to have to figure out how to block that, but Rogers can beat the blitz. He's been doing that for years. All right. Let's, uh, we'll speed it up a little bit here. Start Aaron Jones.

Sit A.J. Dillon. I know he's a little hot right now, but sit Dillon. Yeah, I mean, the only thing that you look at is that Dillon's resurgence has sort of coincided with this shin ankle injury that Aaron Jones has been dealing with. And so it was the game where he got hurt two games ago. Dillon finished the game, had a good stat line. Then their game last week against the Bears, close to Bears, he had a good stat line. Then their game last week against the Bears, close to the Bears, he had a big stat line. So I think if you're in a pinch, he's not horrible, better in non-PPR,

but I would prefer to send him. Starter said Alan Lazard, Dave. I would try and get away from Alan Lazard. Might not even be a number three receiver. And I think he's the one that gets hurt with Dobbs coming back, not Watson. In his first seven games, Lazard had 10 red zone targets.

In his last four, he has one. I said that earlier. Watson has five. Okay. Tight end? No. How about the Rams? Cam Akers? Any interest in Cam Akers, anybody? He's fine in the end zone. And the Packers have given a lot of rushing touchdowns lately.

Better in non-PPR than anything else. Yep. Okay. So, uh, I'm assuming he's behind like Najee Harris, Deontay Foreman. Oh yeah.

Yeah. How about Antonio Gibson or cam makers? Um, I would start Gibson. I would start acres over Gibson and non PPR. I would start, um, acres over for net and non PPR. I would start, um, Akers over for net and non PPR.

I've got acres over him in both. Do you have any interest in anyone in the Rams passing game? I am curious to see how Ben Skoranek and two, two at will do. No one really wants to buy into them after the, the first game against the Raiders. I don't think this is necessarily a big challenge for them. This defense has proven to be not that great in Green Bay.

And so I almost think you're going to keep an eye on them and not start them. And you're going to hope that they do well, probably not even for next week against Denver, but for week 17 against the Chargers. Okay, so it's just against the chargers. Okay. So it's just, just to keep an eye on situation. Let's go to our next game here.

It's a Saturday game. It is Indianapolis at Minnesota. And, uh, yeah, I don't, I don't think I have a stat of the game for this one. That's okay.

So for the Colts, yes, we love Pittman Pittman or Christian Watson. Watson, uh love Pittman. Pittman or Christian Watson? Watson. Pittman and PPR. Jonathan Taylor, any hesitation? Zero. Nope. Dalvin Cook, any hesitation? Not enough to

pull him from your lineup. Unless you've got Cowboys running backs. They've given up the last two weeks in terms of running back touchdowns. Just a crazy number. It's six touchdowns I think the last two weeks. Was the Cowboys

and then what was the week before? The Steelers. Benny Snell and Najee Harris each scored. It's six touchdowns in the past two games, seven total in four games that Jeff Saturdays coached. Malik Davis. I forgot about Malik Davis.

They were doing pretty well against the run before the Cowboys. In fact, honestly, the Cowboys game was by far their worst game. They were solid defense before that. All right. Paris Campbell. Any interest in Paris Campbell against a team that's, what did I say? They've given up double-digit PPR fantasy points to 10 wide receivers in their last three games or something, Minnesota?

It's going to be crazy. DFS. I don't think I'm going to start them. Nine wide receivers, double-digit PPR fantasy points in their last three games. Aguilar, Parker, two Jets, four Lions. This defense is so bad for the Vikings. No interest in Jelani Woods, I assume. Kirk Cousins, start or sit, Jamie?

Kirk Cousins first, or Aaron Rodgers, and then just overall start or sit? I would start Kirk Cousins. I think it's three of the last four have gotten at least 21 points against the Colts, so that's probably his floor. Not a big game, so you don't have to worry about 21 points against the Colts. So that's probably his floor. Not a big game. So you don't have to worry about any, you know, those issues for Cousins.

And not really a big pass rush. I think that's going to be a problem for him. So Derrissaw should be back as well. That should help on the offensive line. But I think Cousins is in a pretty good spot. You know, the secondary has done a nice job. But I think as we've noted time and time again that a lot of it is some of the quarterbacks that they played.

I think Cousins has a chance to not necessarily light them up, but be safe enough as a mid-level number one quarterback. Okay. And you know, no Kenny Moore for the second game. Prescott scored 22 fantasy points in the last game against the Colts. So cousins or fields. Fields.

I have cousins higher. Oh, cousins. Yeah. I mean, cousinsins higher. Oh, Cousins. Yeah, I mean, Cousins is probably safer, but Fields obviously has a much higher ceiling. Cousins or Dak and Lawrence? I'd go Dak, Cousins, Lawrence. Same.

Okay. Dalvin Cook or Damian Harris if Armandre Stevenson is out? Dalvin. We love Jefferson. Sit Thielen. This is the worst matchup for number two wide receivers. There has been one good number two wide receiver this year

against the Colts. It was Michael Gallup who caught two touchdowns last week, but he had 23 yards. Now, are they going to start giving up production to number two receivers without Kenny Moore there?

I don't know, but so far, they allowed the fewest fantasy points to wide receivers. Sit dealing. I think it was Gallup. I think it was Noah Brown. Oh, was it? I thought... No, I think it was Gallup. Oh, I'm sorry. You said last week. It was two games ago. Well, it was last

week. I'm sorry. Last game for the Colts. Two games ago for the Cowboys. Noah Brown outscored Michael Gallup, and I didn't remember him scoring two touchdowns. Last week. The 33-point fourth quarter, I guess. All right, TJ Hawkinson. I feel like, Dave, you were a little bit lower on him.

Or am I wrong? I saw you had an under on his prop total. Yeah, I'm taking the under on the yardage prop. But I still think he gets a lot of catches. I haven't ranked as a top five fantasy tight end in PPR. Start Hawkinson. Sit the Vikings DST even in a good matchup, and we will take a break and come back and talk about the Eagles and the Bears.

Not an interesting game from an NFL perspective, most likely, but very interesting from a fantasy perspective. We'll be right back on Fantasy Football today. All right, Eagles at Chicago here, and I already gave you this stat, but here it is. In nine games with Dallas Goddard, Devontae Smith was the number 35 wide receiver per game. He had one game with 169 yards,

two games with 80 to 87 yards, and six games with 44 or fewer yards. Also, weird note, only two wide receivers, Justin Jefferson and... No, this can't be right. I think only two wide receivers all season have had more than eight targets against the Bears. Jefferson and Amandra St. Brown. That's wild.

I'll double check on that, but... I'm looking right now. Yeah. But you get it. I mean, they're going to run the ball a lot. More than eight. Yeah, more than eight. No, why?

Jefferson and Morrison. Yes, there have been a handful with eight. So it's hard for me to project more than eight targets for Devontae Smith. He's always, you know, can beat you over the top.

The Bears are terrible. But I think, I was a little surprised at where you guys had him ranked. You had him ranked around 18th. Was that assuming Goddard was going to play? No, I haven't adjusted Smith with putting Goddard in. That's a mistake by me.

We ranked Goddard, and I didn't lower Smith. Yeah, same thing here. What do you think you'll end up with Smith? Who would you put ahead of him? Is that time of year? Yeah, if if he's if you're expecting him it's hard to expect the Eagles to throw the ball a ton in this game anyway.

I'd be surprised if it's... That's the thing. They do what they want to. They pretty much do. I don't think Chicago's going to suddenly build a strong run defense coming off the bye. The only thing that I think that you can hope for is this is a game where you get your MVP numbers for Dale Hertz.

Like he can, he can put himself in a better standing with a huge statistical performance. So he can do that without Devante Smith going off. He certainly could. He absolutely could. And it could be, we got to get Goddard back going and we got to make sure we get him, you know, seven plus targets to see how he's doing with the shoulder um they obviously don't want to you know screw around and get all take a loss and have the Dallas situation like what happened to them last week where they nearly lose the Texans

so but if if things are going right and Jalen Hurts hasn't had a very hasn't had many mistake prone games this season if at all so I I think you can still see throw to win, throw to score, run to win, and have Jalen Hurts get his past times out of the way early. Yeah, all right. So you would start Christian Watson over Devontae Smith, start Michael Pittman over Devontae Smith,

but not like Alan Lazard, not Mike Evans, not Gabe Davis. No. Okay. So Miles Sanders is a top 12 guy, even in PPR. When he has had good matchups, he has had big games, and this is a very good matchup. Yesterday we did that poll,

would you consider sitting Josh Allen? And I think 16% said yes. What do you think it would be for Jalen Hurts? 1% maybe. Josh Allen, and I think 16% said yes. What do you think it would be for Jalen Hurts? One percent. It would be zero percent, which is my point, which is why I won that argument, Jamie. I don't know what other label you're going to assign me this week. Do I dare ask what this was?

I just said we're going to get some questions about Josh Allen this week. People are going to be a little nervous. I've gotten literally no questions about Josh Allen this was. I just said, we're going to get some questions about Josh Allen this week. People are going to be a little nervous. Some people are going to be, I've gotten literally no questions. I've gotten several. Adam has his burner accounts ready to go to ask himself questions about sitting Josh Allen. I think the weather it's good because people freak out about weather.

Oh, look, it's big cane. One wants to know, does he's taken it up to big cane three. Oh, all right. Start AJ Brown,

Dallas Goddard. If he plays, where are you going to rank him? We have ranked him, so top ten. Yeah, I actually have him sixth in PPR. I'm expecting him, kind of like what Jamie said, get him back in the swing of things. Yeah, right. That's the other thing about Devontae Smith is maybe we shouldn't expect Dallas Goddard to have his normal role.

Smith is kind of rolling right now, so it could be a better scenario than what it was in those first nine games. When you ask where we have him ranked, it always comes down to, for most people, who do you have on your team? We can never answer that. I'm going to drop Smith probably six or seven spots. He's still going to be a starter. I'm not running away from Devontae Smith.

I'm nervous about him with Dallas Goddard playing because of what you illustrated, but I'm not going to be a starter. I'm not running away from Devontae Smith. I'm nervous about him with Dallas Goddard playing because of what you illustrated, but I'm not going to bench him. Would you guys start Ingram, Njoku, Dulcich over Dallas Goddard? Yes. I would start Ingram and Njoku over him, but

not Dulcich. Look at this comment from Ethan. Hey, Adam, you're the best host ever. I love your hair. Sit Josh Allen this week. That's what I'm talking about. This is what people are talking about on the internet, guys. Your hair and sit Josh Allen. Let's talk about Justin Fields a little bit more.

I cannot wait to hear Dan's take on your sit Josh Allen today. I didn't say to sit Josh Allen. God. Justin Fields is, last I checked, fifth for Jamie and eighth for Dave and Heath. So for Jamie, it's Hertz, Mahomes, Allen, Herbert, Fields. For Dave, it's Hurts, Mahomes, Herbert, Allen,

Prescott, Burrow, Cousins, Fields. Do you guys want to talk about... It is the Eagles. They're terrific. Last time out, he only scored 19.3 fantasy points uh dave you want to talk about justin fields real quick you know what the deal is he's a tremendous runner and those yards add up quick for fantasy numbers but it's what does he do through the air is chase claypool even going to matter does it matter if he plays or doesn't play the offensive line is going to be an issue. I'm very nervous about what Justin

Fields produces through the air. Can he get you, can he get you 200 yards in a passing touchdown? Okay. Cause if he can get you that and he gets you great numbers, like he usually does on the ground, it's going to be a no brainer. He's a must-start type of a guy. And he's basically a must-start quarterback anyway, but I'm a little nervous about the upside and i like those other quarterbacks better in his last two games justin fields has an off target percentage of of 10 lower than 10 each of the last two games that's really good considering he's still throwing the ball downfield so it's not enough yet to say we're definitely seeing improvements but it's a good trend. He's been much more accurate.

He's still throwing downfield. He basically, I mean, 20 of 25 for 254 yards last week. No touchdowns, two interceptions. One of them was a desperation interception. Sorry, two weeks ago, last game at the Packers. All right, so he's a start. Going to start him over Dak Prescott. No, not Dave.

Not Dave. Jamie is, just barely. No, not Dave. Not Dave. Jamie is, just barely. Over Lawrence. Sorry. Over Lawrence. Over... It depends who you look. Over Mike White.

Over Aaron Rodgers. Dave Montgomery we've talked about a lot. Mid-range number two. Pacheco Montgomery. Dobbins Montgomery. Who do you like? Pacheco and Dobbins, better. Dobbins, Montgomery. Who do you like? Pacheco and Dobbins, better. Dobbins,

Montgomery. No, give me Pacheco. Definitely a non-PPR. Full PPR. Pacheco is ranked one spot higher than Montgomery for me. Yeah, Pacheco is my favorite. How about a banged up?

Over Dobbins. Start of the week, man. How about a banged up? Over Dobbins. Oh, sorry. Oh, yeah. Start of the week, man. How about a banged up Amari Cooper or David Montgomery? Montgomery. Sounds about right. Cole Komet or Dallas Goddard? Komet. I currently have Goddard ranked one spot higher than commit.

I'm going to change it because of what we've been talking about. The Eagles offense. All right. I'd start both over Mark Andrews. Oh, wow. Okay. Yeah.

Start kind of done with Mark Andrews. DST. Oh, don't say that. I need him in a big way. I felt the same way until Huntley was starting. I feel much better about him now. They're going to run the ball like crazy.

They're going to have 40 rush attempts. Atlanta's at New Orleans. That of the game that hopefully doesn't mean anything. In their last four games, no wide receiver has more than 60 yards against the Falcons. Only Darnell Mooney has scored in that

game. They have faced pretty easy competition. DJ Moore, Mooney, Terry McLaurin, he was bad. The Steelers. But I hope that doesn't hold up because I assume you guys like Chris Olave this week. True or false, you like Chris Olave this week? Low on number two or three, yeah.

Like. Devontae Smith or Chris Olave? Smith. It'll end up being Olave let me just ask you real quick about the Falcons are you starting any Falcons no I think Drake London has

mild appeal as a number three receiver in full PPR okay if Brandon Cooks is out would you go Chris Moore or Drake London Moore London Jamie's right you go Chris Moore or Drake London? Moore. London. Jamie's right. It's Chris Moore. I heard somebody say he's top 24 this year. I didn't hear anybody say that.

I heard somebody say he'd be around there. I also did not say that Mike White was Tom Brady. That's something that Jamie's perpetrating on the internet these days. You said he would be like Tom Brady or Matt Ryan. No, I said his ADOT has been like that.

Anyway. Okay, Saints. Your overall level of confidence in the Saints. They have had a really tough schedule lately. This must be a breath of fresh air. But the Falcons actually defensively, I feel like they haven't been that bad lately, unfortunately, but they have faced some bad offenses.

Thanks. We'll win. Falcons will cover. It's what they do. What is your overall level of confidence in the saints offense? Dave higher than it's been in a month and a half. And you can say that the Falcons have been good defensively. I'll say my stat again about running backs,

at least one touchdown to one of them in each of their past seven games. I'm totally on board with Camara. I actually think Taysom Hill can find some good numbers this week running the ball for the Saints. Olave is a low-end number two receiver. He's got great upside. Is there anybody else in that passing game? I'm not going to tell you to start Landry.

I'm not going to tell you to start Dalton. How about Jawan Johnson? Nah. He may not play. Right. He's been practicing. If he doesn't play, how about Taysom Hill? How about a tight end for the Saints? Do you have any interest? It's Taysom Hill. Especially in non-PPR because he barely gets any catches. But last four weeks, he's been playing at least 40% of the snaps. We'll see what that looks like coming out of the bye. He's been effective for them. They score

points with him. They're going to use him. He's been pretty awful though in recent games, except when Jawan Johnson was out, he had a touchdown catch. He doesn't usually go downfield and catch passes. Nope. It was a coverage breakdown and Dalton saw him and threw him the ball.

All right. I was going to say something about wide receivers against Atlanta. There have been 18 wide receivers with seven or more targets against the Falcons. 15 of them have scored more than 12 PPR fantasy points. Can we please give Chris Olave seven or more targets? It does not happen consistently enough. He may not need that, though. I hope not.

Alvin Kamara or Miles Sanders? Sanders. Kamara on PPR. That should give you an idea of how they feel about Alvin Kamara. He is a must-start guy. Kamara or Aaron Jones? Jones. And that's the end of that chapter.

Saints DST, Jamie likes him, Dave does not. You always And that's the end of that chapter. Saints DST. Jamie likes them. Dave does not. You always do that. What? That's the end of that chapter, and then you comment on something. Yeah, I know.

It's not my plan, and then I see it in the notes, and I'm like, oh, I forgot about that. Pittsburgh and Carolina. Stat of the game. It's interesting. You did a whole game without talking about a new quarterback

for a new team. I said, you know, is there anyone you want to start? How about this? I think they are averaging something like 170 passing yards per game with Marcus Mariota. May change. Yeah, I feel like that could only get better. I don't know if it will be this week.

It could get worse. Yeah, that's really low. Can I float a conspiracy theory? Oh, it's not the end of that chapter. Go ahead. No, we're reopening the chapter. They are reluctantly starting Desmond Reuter. Mariota's hurt, and so they really didn't have a choice.

Because technically, they're still in the race for the division. Yeah. The NFC South is so bad. Yeah. The NFC South is so bad. Yeah. All right, can I go back to the next chapter? ET is real. Pittsburgh at Carolina, stat of the game. The Steelers have allowed 15 or more PPR fantasy points

to a running back in nine of 13 games. And in their last three games, they're allowing 5.3 yards per carry to running backs. And there's so much worse with Larry Ogunjobi off the field. So check on his status. It's setting up for a really good run game for the Panthers guys. Why is it that you don't have Foreman higher? Cause I feel like he was something like,

I feel like he was higher last week than he is this week. I know he didn't exactly come through last week, but he's barely a top like 26th for you guys, 24th. I think, as Heath said yesterday, you have to wonder if, you know, go back to when McCaffrey was traded and we were unsure how it was going to be split between Foreman and Hubbard.

You know, I believe our thoughts collectively, you know, might've been different for whoever individually, where Foreman probably on rushing downs and Hubbard. You know, I believe our thoughts collectively, you know, might have been different for whoever individually, where Foreman probably on rushing downs and Hubbard probably on passing downs with maybe mixing and matching in some cases for each of the guys. Hubbard clearly getting more of an opportunity to run the ball than Foreman catching the ball. And so Foreman then hurts his ankle in that game. I'm assuming Hubbard then hurts his ankle in that game and Foreman takes off.

And now Hubbard is, I believe, three games removed from coming back from the ankle injury and taking on more work each week. And so could there still be a 50-50 split? Could there be maybe a little bit more slanting in Hubbard's favor? It doesn't seem that way. But, you know, you also have Blackshear now working in as well. So there's a few different things at play when it comes to this Panthers backfield. So I think Foreman is still the safe for the two.

You know, in the leagues where I have him, I'm starting him. But it's not a bad week for running backs as you know, we've sort of alluded to with, you know, no teams on a buy. So he's right in the, in the number two running back mix for sure. You know, if, if you want to start him ahead of, you know, Harris or Brian Robinson or Rashad White or any of these other guys that we've, we've talked about, I totally get that. That's fine.

But I think you got to, you know, format matters. Um, he's not going to be involved in the past game. You saw, you saw the, the flaw,

the pitfall last week, if he doesn't support, you know, so empty stat line. But that is honestly almost any running back that we've, a lot of those running backs, right? That's Dobbins.

That's Pacheco. That's Brian Robinson. Um, they maybe get a little bit more passing game work, not Dobbins than Foreman. But what does Foreman have in his last, over 20 carries in three of his last four games or something like that?

Mm-hmm. And they are. Are they getting 30-plus carries this week? I think so. I wouldn't be surprised, but you can't necessarily bank on it. You're right. You can't.

Hubbard had 14 carries last week and Foreman had 21. And he has 21 or more in four of his last six games. The better those running backs do, the worse it is for DJ Moore. Of course. You can just write off DJ Moore. Who's the best wide receiver in this

game? Deontay Johnson. Deontay. And he is what? Number three. Top 30. If it's Trubisky starting... Go ahead, Jamie. I'm sorry. I'd start him over Evans. I'd start him over Thielen. I'd start him over the other guys we've talked about.

Not Devante Smith, right? No. No, not Olave. Gabe Davis in PBR? Yeah, I'm with you on that. All right, here's the number. We talk about the heights of Garrett Wilson, which is clearly much different.

Without Zach Wilson, without Kenny Pickett, it's been good for... That's right. Oh yeah, his four best games have been the first three games of the season with Trubisky, and then last week when Trubisky played almost the entire time. Now, there were two games with Trubisky, and then last week when Trubisky played almost the entire time. Now, there were two games where Trubisky and Pickett split.

And in those two games, he did not catch a single pass from Trubisky and all of his production came from Pickett. It's kind of weird. So, I don't know what to make of it because those first three games, I mean, Pickens were the first three games of his career. He wasn't doing anything. And also, you got this Mason Rudolph thing,

and Jamie already said, sure, at least you think for Trubisky. So here's a tough one. In PPR... Rudolph might actually be the best thing for him because he has the most support of them. Maybe. He wants Rudolph to play, he's basically said.

Deontay Foreman or Najee Harris or Deontay Johnson? Who's your favorite in full PPR? Deontay.? Who's your favorite in full PPR? Deontay. Was that a joke? No. You got a Deontay and a Deontay. Not a joke. Okay. I've got Najee and Foreman back to back, so they're

at the top. Deontay Johnson behind them. I mean, you see right now, if those two guys don't score, it could be absolutely atrocious. So Deontay Johnson is your favorite, not Deontay Foreman? Deontay Johnson in PPR is my favorite. Okay, that was... I didn't catch that, Dave.

Good job. All right. Is that it for this game? I mean, we didn't really talk that much about Najee, but everything we said about Foreman, they're ranked very similarly. Right. Oh, Pat Friermuth.

Chubas of flex if you're desperate. Friermuth's a low-end starting tight end. I wouldn't use Pickens. DJ Moore, I would try and stay away. That's the end of that chapter. Which DST do you prefer? Frank Louvu is a good IDP option. Which DST do you prefer this game, Panthers or Steelers?

Steelers. I think I might take the Panthers. All right. Last game, Giants-Commanders. Sunday, oh, Sunday night. Big game. Oh, the singing. And they...

You know, you said you could drive to Buffalo. I'm sure it's a closer drive to go to Washington. Yeah, not that far. I don't think I can make it on time. It's, you know, working, but about four hours. Do you have any interest in starting a quarterback in this game? Daniel Jones isn't horrible.

I mean, he's, you know, running for enough. I think it's like four games in a row, or four of his last five, with at least seven points with his legs. So, you know, that's a good floor. Some of it's touchdowns, so you don't necessarily want to count on that. But he had 71 yards rushing against him

the last time these two teams met. If he didn't fumble, it's a 21-point game. So, granted, it was overtime. But I could see a similar stat line, you know, 201, 50-plus rushing yards. You know, he can do that again. Top 15 quarterback. I saw him over Brady and Watson, for example.

Me too. Okay. What about Heineke or Brady and Watson? You just got to worry about the volume there. You know, he did have a good game against them the last time, but it's not typically been their MO to let him throw. This might surprise you. The Giants have 16 rushing touchdowns this season,

which is the fifth most in the NFL, and they have the ninth most running back rushing touchdowns this season, which is the fifth most in the NFL. And they have the ninth most running back rushing touchdowns. And when you think about it, it's just that they don't have a good offense, but Barkley scores almost every game. Daniel Jones scores, Brita, Brightwell getting there.

So that does help. They, when they get down there, they're very run. I think they're very run heavy near the goal line. So when they get down there, they, they tend to give the ball to Barkley a lot, and that certainly helps his floor.

He also has been getting a lot of targets as they've been not winning, losing or tying lately. Darius Slayton. Terry McLaurin is a stud starting this week, but Darius Slayton, starter sit. How about Deontay Johnson or Darius Slayton? I have Slayton one spot ahead. I have Slayton ahead of

those other guys, ahead of Gabe Davis, ahead of Mike Evans, ahead of Adam Thielen, that group. Gabe Davis, interesting. And Mike Evans, interesting. I can't say the same. I'm a little bit worried. I think the Washington defense is just playing a little bit better overall. I don't know about you, Adam.

I kind of like what I've seen from Isaiah Hodgins. He's just giving another option to that offense. Big guy. Seems to run okay routes. Not a league winner or anything like that, but someone who's getting some work and kind of minimizes Darius Slate. He didn't two games ago, so

I don't think it's a problem. Richie James may not play too. James is making good progress through the concussion protocol. How many times have I said it's it's a problem. And Richie James may not play too. Yeah, James is making good progress through the concussion protocol. How many times have I said it's rare for a player to not miss a game, but that's what's going to happen with Tyler Huntley, and it looks like that's what's going to happen for two Giants who suffered a concussion last week.

Jihad Ward on their defensive line and Richie James' concussion, and both are on track, looking like they're going to play. The commanders allow the ninth most completions of 20 plus air yards. If you want to have a little more confidence in Darius Slayton, because that is Darius Slayton's game. He is,

it might have, he has one of the highest day dots in football. He basically needs to catch a deep ball higher than Christian Watson. I think so, but not Watson over the last four weeks. I think like Watson for the full season is different than Watson for the last four weeks. Last four weeks, he's way up there in ADOT and route depth. Yeah, you look at Slayton just recently,

and his two bad games have come against Dallas and Philly. Right. Other than that, he's been pretty awesome. Okay, Daniel Bellinger's a sit. Taylor Heineke's a sit. Antonio Gibson is a flex. Brian Robinson, on the other hand. Dave, you're the highest on him.

You have him 16th. Love him. Absolutely love him this week. The workload's been there for four straight weeks. He's their guy at the goal line. He even has two catches in his past two games. And I think this Giants run defense just is not very good, whether Leonard Williams plays or not.

Yeah, I would agree with that. They are awful. They're awful, and they're not the team that's coming off of a bye. The commanders are. Yeah, and facing the same opponent, BS. Totally BS. I had no problem starting Robinson over Kenneth Walker in one of my playoff leagues last night.

Humble brag. If there's one thing that concerns me with Robinson is that Gibson's only had nine carries each of the last two games and I don't know if that's just because he's been banged up or not. They're both banged up. But it's a little concerning

for Gibson. If you recall with Gibson though two weeks ago he was one of those we'll have to see what happens on Sunday morning guys. Yes. You're right um do you have any interest in another wide receiver or anyone else in the passing game other than mclaurin i mean it would be samuel if you're looking at that for the commanders and he did score against the giants but i think that was more how the game unfolded you know so if they run away

with the game like they probably should then it's probably going to be minimal production for Samuel. Did he score? I thought Dotson scored. I don't think Samuel scored. He had seven targets, six catches, 63 yards. And 23 rushing yards. He had a good game. Dotson also had a good game. Okay. I think, you know,

I don't know. Who do you guys think wins? Commanders. Yeah. Easy or just like, you know? Yeah. Yeah, because that's the thing. Sorry, Adam. No, I agree. I mean, I think they're going to win.

I think it'll be a close game. But Heineke threw 41 passes against the Giants two weeks ago. That inflated everyone's numbers. Usually he's in the 29 pass range because they run and they win a lot and they run and they run and they run. Keep that in mind. Not so much for McLaurin, but certainly for Samuel and Dotson. Yeah, I wouldn't start those guys.

But even for McLaurin. McLaurin had been a little bit disappointing. He does light up the Giants. Alright, Commanders DST is top four. I'm starting them over the Cowboys. How about you guys? I don't blame you. I would do the same.

Cool. All right. Well, screw you for picking the commanders, and I will talk to you all with the mailbag. Make sure you watch HQ, by the way, noon Eastern and 10 a.m. Eastern on Sunday. Do you have HQ on Saturday? Is there FFT?

No show. Okay. But on Sunday, we'll get you ready for that. There's HQ every day, though, so watch it every day. Yes. There is HQ all the time,, so watch it every day. Yes. There is HQ all the time, but FFT, I meant. All right. We'll see you on the mailbag later today at 2 p.m. Eastern.

You'll hear it on Saturday morning if you're a podcast listener, not viewer. If you want to watch it, youtube.com slash fantasyfootballtoday. Thanks to Zach Brooke for producing, Dave Richard, Jamie Eisberg, I'm Adam Azer, Michael Machines. Later.