Fantasy Football Today - Trade Talk, Great Schedules, Fantasy Jeopardy! (11/10 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Episode Date: November 10, 2021

We'll briefly discuss the Dalvin Cook situation and other big news items including Odell Beckham's future, and then we'll give you Christian McCaffrey's value (10:50) rest of season as he deals with Q...B uncertainty and a shaky offensive line ... Buy low (16:50)! Dave likes Mike Williams more than Heath does. Heath likes Josh Jacobs as a buy. Are we selling Deebo Samuel (26:40)? And then we'll give you a lot of trade value discussion as we break down schedules (32:00). Which defenses actually matter when you evaluate schedules? And which players have good matchups on paper (40:00)? You might be able to find a few gems from this exercise ... Previewing Ravens-Dolphins (50:00), playing some Fantasy Jeopardy (55:50), grading your trades (1:04:30) and answering your Apple Podcast questions (1:06:00) ... Your emails at fantasyfootball@cbsi.com Follow our FFT team on Twitter: @FFToday, @AdamAizer, @JameyEisenberg, @daverichard, @heathcummingssr, @ctowerscbs, @BenSchragg Watch FFT on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/fantasyfootballtoday Join our Facebook group https://www.facebook.com/groups/FantasyFootballToday/ Sign up for the FFT newsletter https://www.cbssports.com/newsletter You can listen to Fantasy Football Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Football Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Football Today podcast." To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:59 BetMGM operates pursuant to an operating agreement with iGaming Ontario. This is Fantasy Football Today from CBS Sports. On his way to the end zone. Tell you what, that was a spectacular play. It's time to dominate your fantasy league. What a play. Off to the races.
Starting point is 00:01:21 Touchdown. Oh, he's done it again. Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie, Heath, and Beck. Trade deadlines are approaching. You still have some time to buy low and to sell high. How do we view Christian McCaffrey rest of season with a quarterback change on the horizon? Is Mike Williams going to bounce back? And today we talk schedules.
Starting point is 00:01:42 Broke down the schedules last night looking at players that have favorable schedules coming up and a few that do not and how much does it matter it's an open debate about you know how we value schedules anyway as we get into week 10 adam azer with dave richard and heath cummings what's up guys ready to make some trades dude i've been ready since week one and i've been horrible making trades this year there have been i've made an embarrassing trade in the waterbury open that i'm not going to talk about i made two trade offers in the king's classic to try and get tyson williams after week two both of them involved me trading like must start players both rejected. Thank the fantasy gods for it.
Starting point is 00:02:28 Funny how that happens, huh? Yeah. Sometimes it's the trades you don't make that end up doing well. I did make another trade in another league that I... How can I put this? I care a lot about it. Uh-huh. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:02:40 That ended up being, so far, very, very good. Very good. Good. And I think that's a good thing to remember as we approach the trade deadline, and there will probably be more trades in the next week or two than there have been all season in most leagues. And when people start talking about vetoing and how people lost trades,
Starting point is 00:02:58 less than a year ago on this show, I was lamenting how I had traded Michael Thomas away, trying to win it all because Thomas was out. And I got Cooper Cup and Raheem Mostert. And the week that I traded for Mostert, Mostert got hurt. And I didn't win the title. But now there is no one in a dynasty league, I don't think, who would take Michael Thomas over Cooper Cup.
Starting point is 00:03:23 This past offseason, I made trade after trade after trade and got all kinds of praise on twitter and i showed the final product i built a team with patrick mahomes christian mccaffrey austin eckler keenan allen calvin ridley an unbeatable squad whoa that team is now three and six and i'm trying to sell parts so i can have draft picks for next year wow that is interesting don't veto trades well look we've we've had some that are completely egregious and you know i i can't yeah i can't we don't know i can't but but i can't say don't veto i'm not on the don't veto trade thing. But no fantasy cops today. Instead, we're doing fantasy Jeopardy in a little bit. But let's get to the big news.
Starting point is 00:04:09 And we're also previewing Thursday night, Miami and Baltimore. What happened last time Lamar Jackson went to Miami? I don't remember. Pretty good game. All right, big news here. Dalvin Cook appears to have been involved in a domestic dispute. There is pending litigation. I think you know what to do here, just
Starting point is 00:04:25 on a fantasy spin. We don't have to spend much time on it. We don't know the details, and it's upsetting stuff, so we'll see how it plays out, but obviously, Madison is the top handcuff, basically. We've seen what he can do. Aaron Rodgers says there is a small chance that he does not
Starting point is 00:04:41 play this week. Expect him to play, but small chance that he doesn't against Seattle. Odell Beckham cleared waivers. I asked Dave on Fantasy Football Today in 5 where he'd like to see Beckham go, and Heath, I'll let you start. Where do you want to see Odell Beckham go? Well, am I doing this for selfish purposes or from the fantasy value of Odell Beckham purposes
Starting point is 00:05:00 or for entertainment purposes? Oh, you want him on the Chiefs, huh? Well, I mean, for selfish purposes, I think the Chiefs would be a fantastic location for Odell Beckham. I think for his value, my favorite spot would probably be the Packers and just let Aaron Rodgers throw 12 passes a week
Starting point is 00:05:18 to Devontae Adams, 12 passes to Odell Beckham, and the rest can go to the running backs. That would be fantastic. I mean, there's all kinds of options. It would be fantastic to see Bill Belichick and Odell Beckham try to coexist for a half of a season. So that would, for entertainment purposes, the Patriots might be the best.
Starting point is 00:05:36 I feel like the Patriots have taken gambles like this. You know, this is kind of a Patriots thing to do. And I imagine... It worked with Randy Moss, and it's failed almost every other time. Is that true? Chad Ochoacinco.
Starting point is 00:05:51 I don't, I feel like it was, I don't know. I feel like there are some others, but I can't think of another one that works. You know, the funny thing, the,
Starting point is 00:05:58 the Moss comparison is so funny because they're the same age, like at age 29, Odell Beckham looks on paper like he's not good anymore. And that's exactly what it looked like with Randy Moss. They got traded to a new team and he had the best season ever, basically. So, Dave, do you think Odell Beckham has a must-start potential
Starting point is 00:06:20 if he lands in the best possible scenario for him? Definitely has must start potential adam uh i talked about odell with dustin fox who's a sports talk host and you might have seen him doing analysis on college football games on tv he's got his own radio show in cleveland um and he's obviously watched every single brown snap maybe his whole life and he believes that odell and baker were literally just not on the same page. There would be freelancing going on where Odell would not run the route that Baker was expecting.
Starting point is 00:06:52 The offense, especially now with Kevin Stefanski, totally predicated on receivers being in the precise place where Baker needs them to be. It makes sense when you think about it like that, when Mayfield had a better quarterback rating when Odell was off the field compared to Ahn. There was also, and this is according to Dustin, that they were forcing the football a little bit to Odell Beckham. Pete Prisco has noticed that Odell Beckham didn't necessarily hustle on every single play. There's a lot that Odell may need to change if he goes to a team where he's
Starting point is 00:07:29 got potential to be a must-start fantasy receiver, but he can change it. And I think if he's got a quarterback that he may respect more than Baker Mayfield, I think we'll see it. Like he was catching passes from Eli Manning. I'm sure he respected Eli Manning when he was in New York. You know he would respect a quarterback like Aaron Rodgers or Patrick Mahomes if he made Heath's day and went to Kansas City. So he would follow the exact instructions that are given to him.
Starting point is 00:07:55 He would follow Belichick's exact instructions or Josh McDaniel's exact instructions if he went to New England. So I think that does put him in a place where he knows he's got to do the right thing. I think he still has good speed and quickness, and I think he could still be a good fantasy receiver pending who his quarterback is pending the offense that he's in. Okay. Well, listen, check your waiver wire for Beckham. He's 71% rostered, but before you do that, check your waiver wire for Madison. Alexander Madison is 78% rostered and that should,
Starting point is 00:08:23 I think it should be 100. Go get him. And it should probably be close to that for Dearness Johnson, as well as three Browns running backs. Most notably, Nick Chubb have tested positive for COVID. Well, I don't know if they've all tested positive. Chubb has. But Dearness Johnson is 79% rostered. So even 10-team leagues,
Starting point is 00:08:43 Madison and Dearness Johnson need to be added. And if Chubb is out this week, where would you guys rank Dearness Johnson? Last time he had an audition, it was 22 carries, 146 yards, and a touchdown against Denver. 12 or 13? We've got it ranked as if Chubb's not playing.
Starting point is 00:09:01 So Dearness Johnson is in our rankings. I believe he's around 12 or 13. He's a borderline number one running back the difficult decision will be with the running backs and thursday night's game because i'm going to guess by tomorrow night we're not going to have any new information about the browns running backs now my thought kind of is if nick chubb if we don't have some report that he has one negative by Thursday night, then that means he needs a negative on Friday and on Saturday because they have to be 24 hours apart for him to be able to play. And so the odds get shorter, but it would be difficult for me to sit Gaskin or even Devontae Freeman for Dearness Johnson. And there's no way that you could leave those guys on your bench if your other option was Chubb.
Starting point is 00:09:45 So wait, you're saying that if that you get leave those guys on your bench if your other option was Chubb. So wait, you're saying that if... I think you have to play the Thursday night guys over the Browns guys. Well, Dave mentioned that the guys who test positive, they don't typically end up playing that same week. Barkley was the exception because it was a false positive. And the Giants had a whole bunch of false positives and they retested everybody. And that was kind of a weird situation, right? But Dave, I think, would you say, is it fair to say that the assumption should be that Nick Chubb is not going to play? Yes, absolutely.
Starting point is 00:10:13 That's the assumption, but you can't guarantee it. And there might be an example or two that maybe somebody listening can remind us of a player who tested positive for COVID earlier in the week, was vaccinated and got cleared in time for the game on Sunday. But from my recollection, most of the players who have tested positive for COVID missed at least one game. And so with that assumption, you can rank Dearness Johnson. I don't have him ranked where Heath has him ranked.
Starting point is 00:10:39 I've got him more as a number two running back. But you can rank him as such and believe in him as such as a startable fantasy running back for the week against the Patriots. I think he's got a shot at a hundred total yards again. I think he, we've seen six running backs do that against the Patriots in their last seven games. Patriots just don't give up a lot of touchdowns, but he's going to get a lot of work, especially if all the other running backs are out for Cleveland. Yeah. He's going to have a busy night. All right. So, so we'll let people make the decision on Thursday, and we'll update them, of course.
Starting point is 00:11:07 But to sum it up, if you knew that Chubb were out, you would rank Johnson ahead of Gaskin and Freeman, right? Yes, I would. Yes, yes. Okay. All right, and let's talk a little DFS here, people. You want some DFS advice? Check out the Fantasy Football Today DFS podcast.
Starting point is 00:11:26 Sorry, Fantasy Football Today DFS podcast. That's what it's called. Frank Stample, Mike McClure, Sian Ajad. They're giving you cash and GPP analysis. Drops Tuesdays and Thursdays. You get pricing. You get matchups. You get great advice from true experts in the field. The Fantasy Football Today DFS podcast. You can find it wherever you listen to FFT. Quick little Christian McCaffrey discussion here. Here's some stats on Christian McCaffrey that I swear I think they're interesting. I don't think they matter,
Starting point is 00:11:51 but I think they're interesting. He is averaging, yes, YPC for life, 3.8 yards per carry. That's what he averaged in three games last year. In his last 14 games, 233 carries, Christian McCaffrey is averaging four yards per carry and does not have a run longer than 18 yards. It has been more than two calendar years since Christian McCaffrey had a run of longer than 18 yards,
Starting point is 00:12:16 which is weird, but he still produces. However, this is probably going to be the worst offense he has been on, I think. Fine. maybe not. He's been on some bad ones. But they have been so miserable the last three weeks. Now it's P.J. Walker. Is he going to throw to McCaffrey? He needs that passing production, I think.
Starting point is 00:12:38 How do we view Christian McCaffrey, Heath? I view him as a must-start number one running back. I think he came out as number one in the projections this week, which leans heavily on what he's been in the past, and there's a chance if P.J. Walker is somehow... This is not impossible. There's room. We're talking about him being worse than Kyle Allen and worse than what we've seen from Sam Darnold this season.
Starting point is 00:13:11 It's not like he has to be a below-average quarterback. I think we all expect that. But I just don't think he's going to be bad enough to negatively impact McCaffrey in a big way. I'm more worried about DJ Moore. I think he could be even a little bit worse than Kyle Allen, and it's a problem for DJ Moore. I don't think it's going to be a problem for McCaffrey.
Starting point is 00:13:37 Is he a top five running back rest of season? No. I think probably. I don't know that the thing is okay you put Jonathan Taylor and Austin Eckler and Najee Harris ahead of him I could I could understand doing that I'm not sure that I agree with it but I could understand fully doing that finding two other running backs right now with the way this season has gone to say are going to be better than Christian McCaffrey rest of the season is a real challenge for me Dave's got one for sure what's that Zeke
Starting point is 00:14:09 Camara Camara maybe like Camara hasn't been a top five running back this season I don't oh yeah he has yeah okay because he's missed a game okay what about Ze? I know Zeke's been a little skittish lately. Right. But we know what he's capable of doing. Just like we know what McCaffrey's doing. I mean, what those guys have done this year, McCaffrey has like, what, 19 fantasy points a game? 19.8 in PPR.
Starting point is 00:14:40 He's actually sixth overall. He is fifth per game. Okay. Other guys you're looking at, Swift, Mixon, Aaron Jones, well, I was going to say Dalvin Cook. I think the important thing, like what those
Starting point is 00:14:53 guys have done this year, and really for most of their careers, is about 67%, about two-thirds of peak Christian McCaffrey. Right. It's a big gap from what we've seen from Christian McCaffrey over most of the past three years when he's played and what these guys are. But you just said it when he's played.
Starting point is 00:15:16 So on top of the uncertainty at quarterback, the uncertainty of the offensive line, the uncertainty of the offense in general in Carolina, and whether or not they're going to continue to load him up with a ton of work, he hasn't been the picture of health for two seasons now. And I think you've got to really consider the fact that he might get hurt again, and I hate to even speak it into existence, because we want him to play, and we want him to do well, and we want him to catch a ton of passes
Starting point is 00:15:44 and score a bunch of touchdowns and help us win in our fantasy leagues. But I don't see him as a top five guy. This is where I'm now going to split hairs. I think he's a top 10 guy because of the potential that he brings. But I feel safer with a bunch of other running backs. The Taylors, Najee, Kamara for sure, Eckler for sure, Dalvin Cook, provided that Cook is also playing. Yeah, I mean, these are guys that I'm happy to have ahead of Christian
Starting point is 00:16:12 McCaffrey, and I would throw Zeke in there too, even though he's sharing more than we would like with Tony Pollard, and even though he hasn't been a week-in, week-out fantasy mega stud. Okay, hopefully Zeke is healthy. He's got a little bit of a knee injury prior to the last two games though. I don't, I don't think anyone would have taken, would have not considered him a top five running back. The last two games have not been great for Ezekiel Elliott. And Camara has a bit of a something going on. They were working out running backs yesterday and there was talk that Camaraara camara was in the medical tent um during the game yesterday or yet this week so there's a little bit of concern about whether camara is 100 right now as well and a concern about his quarterback obviously if tasem hill takes over you never know
Starting point is 00:16:55 what that means for alvin camara all right so that's going to wrap up our christian mccaffrey discussion maybe we'll talk a little bit more about him when we get into our trade topics. damage cost you time and money. Click before you dig. Ensure your next project is safe. Visit OntarioOneCall.ca. It's free. It's easy. It's the law. Data sourced from the ORCGA 2023 Dirt Report. So let's talk a little more trade now and buy low, sell high, guys. Give me, I guess, kind of a quicker version of buy low, sell high, because I want to get into the schedule analysis in a little bit and see what you think about that.
Starting point is 00:17:47 Some of the players that have the best schedules, spoiler alert, I think Derek Carr and Logan Thomas are the two that really jumped out during this exercise. I don't know if that means anything to you, but they jumped out. Interesting names. Yeah, yeah. But there are some higher end guys. Dave, buy lows, who are you looking at?
Starting point is 00:18:07 I'm going to give you the four names that I gave on AskFFT on Tuesday, and you tell me the one you want to hear about the most. Joe Burrow, David Montgomery, Mike Williams, Kyle Pitts. All right, the last two, because Montgomery is in the schedule analysis. His schedule is outstanding. Yeah, and as Jamie put it on the show, he's not a buy low. He's just a buy because everybody knows that he's back and pretty much back to being a number one fantasy running back.
Starting point is 00:18:36 Mike Williams, Kyle Pitts. All right, so Williams, we talked about this on Monday's episode. Heath pointing out that the ADOT has changed for Mike Williams and he's kind of back to being a downfield guy. That was Chris that pointed that out, not me. I said Heath? Yeah. Man, you guys are the same. Give the man his credit. You're the same person.
Starting point is 00:18:56 Chris doesn't even hear. He can't accept the adulation and you're not even giving it to him. Anyway, I'll let you talk about it. Go ahead, Mike Williams. Nice job, Chris. Nice beard, too. I think that Williams can get figured out pretty quickly here by the coaching staff in LA, and they can say, all right, well, we're trying to get
Starting point is 00:19:11 him going downfield. It's not working. My guess is that that's their way of reacting to how defenses have been playing them in the beginning part of the season. They need to bring Williams back in a little bit more, and they need to give him more targets.
Starting point is 00:19:27 It's only been five targets each of the last three games, two catches each of the last three games. They're going to take on a bunch of defenses down the line that it doesn't matter what they do. Man, zone, cover two, cover three, whatever. It's not going to matter. Williams and Herbert should be able to beat it. So I just think that this is a great opportunity for fantasy managers to buy the dip.
Starting point is 00:19:48 And I don't mean the queso. I mean the bad. I do like queso. Queso fundido is a delicious treat. French onion dip? Barely good. I'd rather go with the queso. That's fine, but I agree with you.
Starting point is 00:20:04 My wife makes an incredible spinach artichoke dip she breaks it out every thanksgiving that's coming up isn't it that's like the midday treat before the turkey in our house so make mike williams one of your buy low treats artisans have to give up a ton for him spinach probably aries middle of the pack wide receiver two value in trade pitman or mike williams i believe pitman's higher on the trade chart who would i have rest of season i i can lean toward pitman and ppr when you said williams carries wide mid wide receiver two value in trades were you saying that you would give up mid-wide receiver two value for him?
Starting point is 00:20:45 That's what it should cost you to get him. Okay. So you think he's going to be better than a mid-wide receiver two rest of season? I think he can be better than that rest of season. Can he be a top 10 or top 12 guy like we were ranking him in week five or six? Maybe. I can't rule it out, Heath. I think there's a chance that he can get back there the way that the
Starting point is 00:21:05 chargers play. I am. I have Mike Williams on a team or two, and I am willing to trade him to you for mid wide receiver to value. And so I would like to make a deal, please. Let's do it. Let's go.
Starting point is 00:21:18 So I don't know which team I have him on. So it might take me the rest of the show searching through my roster. I've got the offer right here. I've got Devin Singletary and Cortland Sutton. Would you take that for Mike Williams? Well, I don't like what league is this? It's it's our 12 team half PPR league. Heath, I'm making, I'm just trying to sell you on a trade here. I'm not really, well, I know, but I want to make an actual trade. But yes, I would take Devin Singletary
Starting point is 00:21:46 and Cortland Sutton for Mike Williams. Okay, what if I give you TJ Hawkinson straight up? Is that enough to get Mike Williams off your team? Solely dependent
Starting point is 00:21:54 on who my tight end is. Okay. DJ Moore straight up for him? Who would you rather have rest of season? I would take DJ Moore over Mike Williams. Really?
Starting point is 00:22:02 I would take Williams over Moore. All right. We've got like a three or four game sample size of Mike Williams being better than DJ Moore over Mike Williams. Really? I would take Williams over Moore. We've got like a three or four game sample size of Mike Williams being better than DJ Moore. That's true. Sometimes you have to, sometimes you buy in. Look, I mean, it didn't work out, but sometimes you buy into a breakout.
Starting point is 00:22:17 His schedule, his matchups have been horrible. And Dave, you mentioned three games in a row. It's actually four of the last five. And those matchups, other than Baltimore, Baltimore really hasn't been that good of a defense. They've been really tough, and they get much easier. We'll talk about that with the Thursday game. I found the league I have, Mike Williams. Am I doing by-laws now?
Starting point is 00:22:38 Dave, give me 30 seconds on Kyle Pitts. Question on Kyle Pitts. Is he going to be a league winner, or is he just going to be kind of what he is, a must-start tight end, some fluctuation, but not necessarily really standing out? Expect the fluctuation, but I went back. I gave myself a project to watch Kyle Pitts' routes over the last two games to see just how much he's being double-covered. I'm only halfway through because I had to do a stupid podcast.
Starting point is 00:23:06 But against New Orleans, he was double teamed one time. He was getting open regularly versus zone coverage and man coverage. It didn't matter if it was Lattimore or not. Ryan had two end zone plays designed for Kyle Pitts. One was overthrown. The other one was a play where Patterson ran the wrong route and kind of blocked Pitts from getting a target and Ryan ran it in. So I think that there are going to be some good days coming for Kyle Pitts. Again, matchups for him, if you view him as a wide receiver, are mostly favorable down the stretch for Atlanta. And this is a Falcons team that's going to struggle to run the football effectively. So this is going to come down on Matt ryan's shoulders and pitts is going to have plenty of opportunities i would love to buy low on him okay and could i get tyler lockett
Starting point is 00:23:49 and dalton schultz for mike williams why why even put schultz in there let's just ask lockett or williams straight up rest of season because dave has kelsey and schultz is on his bench and i don't have a tight end if that's a deal i will probably make with you oh wow sending the offer to you right now okay oh man but i'm overpaying a little bit according to the trade chart but i'm uh i'm okay you're not using schultz anyway so can i that's the mainly the reason why yeah i think you're making a mistake uh can i uh make a bold prediction here write it down shame me if i'm wrong as long as the seahawks don't sign Odell Beckham, DK
Starting point is 00:24:27 Metcalf will be the number two receiver in fantasy from this point forward behind only Cooper Cup. Might actually outscore him because Cup is a buy, but per game, DK Metcalf is going to destroy the NFL for the next eight games. I think you were right. I think it just probably should have been Tyree Kill
Starting point is 00:24:43 instead of Cooper Cup. No, I think Cup is number one. It's think cup is number one for the rest of the way i mean they've been i think hill's number two for the season and i think that we should expect a little bit of regression from cup in the second half over what he's done in the first hill's shown the ability to do this for four years now chiefs suck bro but Tyreek Hill is also wide receiver two for the season. Well, not per game. He's three. Definitely not. Well, I don't know if it's per game or not.
Starting point is 00:25:11 But he's five. He's five. He's five and a half points worse than cut per game. Five and a half. Okay. So the Metcalf prediction has me intrigued. That means that you believe that Lockett also is going to be a top 15? I don't.
Starting point is 00:25:24 Yeah. I think. Yes, I do. I think you know what it's going to be with Lockett, but I think it'll be tough. I would not take Mike Williams over Tyler Lockett. I can't do it. I just, you know, as much as I bought into it, I really think there could be something there. I love Justin Herbert. He got two end zone targets last week. One was at the one yard line. Like they want to get him involved, but he's playing hurt. And like Heath said, there's just not that much of a track record.
Starting point is 00:25:50 It's like buying into Curtis Samuel or something. So I think I've got to pump the brakes a little bit and say Lockett's inconsistent, but still has done it year after year. I'm going to go with Tyler Lockett over Mike Williams. Throwing in Dalton Schultz, too? Yeah, I'll definitely take that. All right, Heath, go with your buy lows. I don't want to do anything that you asked to do now because I just made
Starting point is 00:26:07 a trade. Dave said, yeah, I will probably do that. And then you spent the next five minutes trying to talk him out of doing that. Sorry, man. I don't... And now it's going to make me want to go back and do the double check on Tyler Lockett.
Starting point is 00:26:22 So I think based on what we just talked about, Christian McCaffrey, especially coming off a 14-point fantasy performance, seems like he's a buy-low candidate. I'll azer stat it a little bit. I'm not above that. If you take out the game he left early in week three
Starting point is 00:26:38 and just look at the three complete games he's played, he's scored more fantasy points per game than any running back who we expect to play in the next month more fantasy points per game than any running back who we expect to play in the next month. Derrick Henry's the only running back with more PPR fantasy points per game than Christian McCaffrey in the three healthy games he's played. I would be very happy to trade mid-range number one running back value for Christian McCaffrey. The other running back I'll say, and this will make Adam mad because of how bad he's been this year, but it's Josh Jacobs.
Starting point is 00:27:07 Josh Jacobs has played the same number of games as Dalvin Cook, and he has the same number of fantasy points per game as Dalvin Cook. Now, that's because Jacobs has scored like seven touchdowns and Dalvin Cook scored two or three. He hasn't scored seven. But I think they have pretty much shown that Josh Jacobs is their guy. He's going to get 15 to 20 touches. He's going to catch three or four passes. And as long as he stays healthy, I think he's going to be a borderline number one running back the rest of the season.
Starting point is 00:27:41 All right. Let's go to sell highs. I'm sorry to speed you up here. Well, yeah. I mean, I talked for almost 45 seconds so you go first with the cell you need to hey hey jeopardy you got in there i mean that'll help nobody you've made very good cases you've made very good cases um i still think and dave got criticized from this i don don't want to steal Dave's. I'll leave Debo for Dave. I would like to sell high. Dave, go first.
Starting point is 00:28:15 Well, maybe I should talk about Debo Samuel, who's been outstanding. I don't know what his per game PPR number is, but I'm sure it's way up there. 21.2. Number two behind Cup. Wait, can I broaden it? Because, you know, is it just Debo or is it Debo Kittle? Is it 49ers passing game?
Starting point is 00:28:31 So it's a little harder to call Kittle a sell high. I guess it depends on your tight end situation. Did you pick up a good tight end while Kittle was out? And it's somebody who you're comfortable showing. Maybe you made a trade to get pits. Maybe you have Dalton Schultz or Pat Fryer mute, and you want to use those guys instead. If someone's going to come at you with a good offer for Kittle, then you should go ahead and consider it.
Starting point is 00:28:57 If not potentially take it, how does he not fall into the same category as Christian McCaffrey as a superstar talent. You know what he can deliver on a week to week basis when he's healthy, but he's got some issues staying healthy. Now, on top of that, when it comes to Kittle and all the other 49ers pass catchers is the inevitability of Trey Lance taking over a quarterback for San Francisco. And when that happens, that should mean fewer pass attempts per game. The quality of target is going to go down. I think D I think it's Debo whose catch rate from Trey Lance is way
Starting point is 00:29:31 lower than it is from Jimmy Garoppolo. I had the notes yesterday. I lost the notes because I'm a sucker and I can go back and find it if you really want to know, but I don't believe very good. So I think that there's definitely a Debo's my favorite 49er sell high. I think it's harder to sell high on Kittle given how limited the good tight ends are to start each week. Okay. Heath, you ready? I don't like the sell high market right now. And I think part of what the problem is, is it's so difficult to know when you're trying to make trades, is someone valuing what happened last week? Is someone
Starting point is 00:30:11 valuing what they've done year to date? And with all the injuries we have, like I think Daryl Henderson, if somebody views him as a borderline number one running back is a pretty good sell high just because the fact that he gets hurt every week and we don't know when the next injury is going to be three weeks instead of three plays so if i could if i could trade daryl henderson but but the thing is how many teams have that type of value to give up for a running back yeah well that's the problem i mean so much uncertainty right now right because that's that's what i was saying on Monday's show with Chris and Jacob. It's like they were saying, you know, sell high on Alvin Kamara,
Starting point is 00:30:50 sell high on Joe Mixon. It's like, no, I'm just going to keep them. I don't have enough great, you know, must-start running backs. By the way, Heath, I don't know that you can make the case to sell high for Darryl Henderson at the the case to sell high on Henderson at the same time and buy low on Josh Jacobs, who is the most fragile running back. I don't think Josh Jacobs is more fragile than Daryl Henderson.
Starting point is 00:31:17 I don't know. He's giving him a run for his money. I think if we had injuries per career NFL touch, Henderson might have twice as many as Josh Jacobs. Depends what you mean on injury. Leaving the game briefly? Jacobs missed time twice already this year. Twice. Or is it once?
Starting point is 00:31:35 Okay, sorry. He got saved by the bye. Saved by the bye. Right. I think I can make that argument. I think I just did because the difference between Daryl Henderson and Josh Jacobs is that I just did because the difference between Daryl Henderson and Josh Jacobs is that I think there are people
Starting point is 00:31:48 who think Daryl Henderson is a lot better than Josh Jacobs. From a fantasy standpoint, yeah. Okay. Anything else? We good?
Starting point is 00:31:57 Let's get on to the schedule talk. I'm sure we're going to have some good discussions, meaningful discussions there. I hope so. At the very least, look, last year, maybe it's just finding I do this every year and I really enjoy it, and maybe it's just finding
Starting point is 00:32:12 three players, I don't know, a handful that really pop as having great schedules. I understand that for most of it probably going to dismiss a lot, which is fine, but hopefully we can find a few gems in there. Meanwhile, just a few quick news items. Greg
Starting point is 00:32:27 Zerline, Dallas kicker. He's on the reserve COVID list. Latavius Murray probably not going to play. Sammy Watkins probably is going to play. Tua is going to be a game time decision looking at that game in a little bit. And Eno Benjamin will get more touches. I don't know if I didn't check the
Starting point is 00:32:43 waiver claims in the podcast league. I know I put in a, I think like a $10 bid out of $ more touches. I don't know if I... I didn't check the waiver claims in the podcast league. I know I put in a... I think like a $10 bid out of a $100 budget. I think I got... I think I got him for $15. Okay, great. Well, then I didn't get Eno Benjamin. But there you go.
Starting point is 00:32:56 That's how we value him. That's a 14... That's a lot for Eno. Well, that's a 14-team league, you know, so... Yeah, true. All right, so... I went for more than that in a couple couple of 14 team leagues that i'm in with competitive players schedule analysis which defenses matter that's what heath wanted to
Starting point is 00:33:12 talk about at the outset of this so what do you think heath which defenses matter and i like i generally when i'm looking at this i'm looking at nets yard net yards per attempt which factors insects also in terms of passing like how what the looking at net yards per attempt, which factors in sacks also in terms of passing. What the net yards per attempt allowed is, and who are the outliers? In other words, who has not... Because right now, I think league median is 6.3 yards
Starting point is 00:33:35 per attempt. So if you're between 7 and 5.7, you're within 10% of the league median. And that's a majority of the defenses. The ones for passing that I think matter right now, the Lions and the Jags and the Chiefs and the Washington football team are bad. But they're good matchups.
Starting point is 00:33:55 They are really bad against the pass. Also, you can look at quarterback and see that the Falcons have also been bad. The Colts have also been bad. I'm less certain about them because a lot of times, if you've not been bad in terms of the yards per attempt that you're giving up, but you have been bad in terms of fantasy, it might be a little bit of randomness that teams have just thrown more touchdowns
Starting point is 00:34:17 than they've run for against you, and that might not hold up. The bad matchups for quarterbacks and passing games in general, there's only one that I'm definitely certain about. That's the bills. Yeah. Like the bills matter defensively. I think it's possible. The Patriots Broncos and chargers also do as well.
Starting point is 00:34:38 But the bills are the only one that I'm certain about as a bad matchup for passing games. As far as rushing goes, I think we can be pretty certain that the Chiefs, again, the Chiefs matter. The Bills matter. Those are the two that definitely matter. The Chargers, the Vikings, and the Cardinals have all been
Starting point is 00:34:55 noticeably bad against the run in terms of yards per carry. The Jets and the Lions also in terms of fantasy points allowed because not necessarily because they give up they're really bad on a per carry basis but because teams run against them so much because they're really bad right so i think the jets and lions definitely matter i think the chargers vikings and cardinals probably matter yeah chargers and vikings vikings in particular
Starting point is 00:35:21 i mean starting to see a little bit of improvement there um not not with the chargers last week but the vikings uh a little bit of improvement there. Not with the Chargers last week, but the Vikings, a little bit of improvement there. I just wanted to point that out. And I'm trying to track that too, the teams that are getting a little healthier. What about the Texans? I feel like the Texans matter for running backs. I really don't know.
Starting point is 00:35:39 Like the Texans have given up fewer fantasy points to running backs per game than the Giants. The Texans on like a yard per carry basis haven't really been that bad. They haven't. I thought they were worse in the NFL going into last week. I think things changed a lot with the Gaskin game. They are tied with the Giants and the Titans for like the eighth worst in terms of yards per rush attempt. Giants are bad too. I mean, for sure,
Starting point is 00:36:09 but that's the thing. Like if we start including, we're going to get to a point to where a third of the league is bad against the run. A third of the league is good against the run. And I just don't think that a third of the league's matchups matter. No. Okay. Wait,
Starting point is 00:36:20 but I have the Texans. I don't know if you're using per carry for everyone or just for running yards per rush attempt. Yeah. So the Texans, the most yards I have the Texans. I don't know if you're using per carry for everyone or just for running backs. I'm using yards per rush attempt. Yeah, so the Texans give up the most yards per carry to running backs. Right. Tied with the Chargers. So that's why I included them on the list.
Starting point is 00:36:34 Yeah. Right. So maybe they haven't faced a lot of good running quarterbacks, but to running backs, they're the worst. Tied with the Chargers at 4.86 yards per carry. And last week, they had it by themselves. And they're getting run on almost as much as the Lions and the Jets. Yeah, so
Starting point is 00:36:50 they matter to me. Throw them in your list. Come on. They matter. Texans matter. They might matter. Okay. They probably will matter more in the second half because they're probably going to stop trying so hard. They tried really hard. As far as running backs, the bad matchups, I mean, the Bills, Saints, Bucks. I see
Starting point is 00:37:05 those teams on the schedule. I don't know about the Bucks at all. Because of the passing game? Not just because of the passing game because look at the last month of games they played before the bye. They gave up five yards per carry to almost every running back they faced. Did they now?
Starting point is 00:37:22 Not the Saints, but David Montgomery, Khalil Herbert had the game where he ran for 100 yards on 18 carries. Miles Sanders only got nine carries, but averaged 6.2 yards per carry, ran for 56 yards,
Starting point is 00:37:34 had some two or three big runs. Yeah, but teams don't really run on them. That's the thing, because they respect the run defense so much. I think it's a bad matchup, and it's two, now this is the third year of them being an elite run defense so much. I think it's a bad matchup. And it's two, it's, now this is the third year of them being an elite run defense.
Starting point is 00:37:47 I don't know why it would have changed recently. You know, they're so good up front. Because, and you know what? Like, not for nothing, I should have mentioned this earlier. Christian McCaffrey's last three games, his fantasy playoffs, weeks 15, 16, 17, Bill's Buck Saints. He's got all three of them.
Starting point is 00:38:07 And I, I don't think for him, especially like they're just going to throw in the ball 12 times. He already had a huge game against the saints. So he is rush average was terrible, but he scored over 20 fantasy points. So, right. So that's,
Starting point is 00:38:21 that's why like for running backs, I, I feel pretty confident that the bills matter. And I think the Saints do for sure. Especially, the Saints have been a lot better than the Buccaneers in terms of yards per carry allowed, I believe. Yes. Specifically when you highlight running backs. Yes, you're right. I'll tell you what it is.
Starting point is 00:38:41 The Saints are number one at 2.8 yards per carry. Number two is the Jaguars at 3.5. There's that big of a gap between number one and two. The Saints give up 2.8 yards per carry, and then there are five teams between 3.5, 3.75. That's the Jags, Washington, Cleveland, Tampa Bay, Buffalo. And I do think it's interesting that the Jags and Washington have been more than a tenth of a yard, almost two-tenths that the Jags and Washington have been more
Starting point is 00:39:05 than a tenth of a yard, almost two tenths for the Jags, better than Tampa Bay in that regard. You don't think the Jags matter at all. They give up a lot of fantasy points. We talked about that with Alex Collins, remember? If you have a good offense, you're going to score points on the Jaguars and your running back's
Starting point is 00:39:22 got a good chance to get in the end zone. They have not given up a lot of fantasy points to running backs. They're 17th. They've been better in the last two weeks. Yeah, they're not a layup matchup. Dead average. They're not a layup matchup. They're not. You want to bring up any more DSDs or you want to get into the goods and the bads? The only other thing I'll
Starting point is 00:39:37 say is on tight ends, I am really skeptical of tight end defense versus tight end. We've talked a lot about how bad the Texans are against tight ends. The Ravens are currently the worst defense against tight ends so far this season. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:39:56 They, you know, they face what's that? They face Kelsey Waller, Hawkinson, but they, they, they have legitimately had a big game against. They have
Starting point is 00:40:05 legitimately struggled against tight ends. And that's the thing. The Ravens defense is not what it used to be. But I for the record, Heath, I barely paid any attention to tight end matchups because it's so much about who you've who you've faced. That's why Logan Thomas is really the only one I would highlight because I do believe
Starting point is 00:40:22 that the Eagles and the Cowboys are bad against tight ends. And those are his last four matchups, not including week 18. They're Dallas, Philadelphia, Dallas, Philadelphia for Logan Thomas and Las Vegas right before that. And they're 28th against tight ends. And like so much of tight end production has to do with points. Just looking specifically at the Texans, like they gave up a bunch of production last week to the dolphins tight ends. The three weeks before that they gave up one catch but they scored a touchdown three catches but they scored a touchdown three catches and it was a miserable game for tyler higby like it's not as if i would buy it more earlier in the season if when teams are just
Starting point is 00:41:00 throwing their tight ends a bunch against them. That makes a little bit more sense to me. All right. So want some names? Good man. I want to hear who has a good schedule. This is, this is the whole by low segment right here. Yeah. Derek Carr does.
Starting point is 00:41:15 Derek Carr has, let's see, four of his next five games are against teams that rank 27th or worse against quarterbacks. And that would be two games against the chiefs, one against Washington, one against Dallas. And he also has Cincinnati in there.
Starting point is 00:41:29 And I think Jamie would say, because I know we've talked about this before. I think Derek Carr has a miserable history against the chiefs. I thought he had a great one. I couldn't remember what it was, if it was great. I thought it was really, really bad.
Starting point is 00:41:42 Dave, what did you think? I think it's Denver that he's got the miserable. Now dave what did you think i think it's denver that he's got the miserable now i'm gonna look maybe it's just that arrow i think he let i think he crushes the chiefs unless it's 30 unless it's three degrees but yeah please look it up um yeah we agree there's definitely been a weather thing with their car kyler murray the cardinals have a great playoff schedule fantasy playoffs they get the get the Colts, the Cowboys. No, they get the Lions, the Colts, and the Cowboys.
Starting point is 00:42:09 So Cardinals, good. Are we saying now, because a couple weeks ago, the Cowboys were a tough matchup. Are the Cowboys a good matchup again? They are 26th against quarterbacks. I don't know that they were. They were a bad matchup for running backs because teams didn't really run on them, but now they are running on them.
Starting point is 00:42:26 I think they are not a good defense. That's my take. So Carr was terrible against the Broncos. His last two games against Denver were pretty darn good. But before that, the track record was not good. I'm checking now against Kansas City. Okay. But not that it really matters
Starting point is 00:42:42 because those Kansas City defenses are so different from what they're putting out there now. So I don't know how much this really matters. Are they though? Well, they're worse. Yeah. All right. Jalen Hurts has an interesting schedule.
Starting point is 00:42:53 He had three touchdowns in each game against Kansas City last year. Okay. Yeah. Jalen Hurts is a tough one. He was awful. He's getting better against his division. It just took him eight years to do it jalen hurts is a tough one denver and new orleans in the next two weeks those do not look like good
Starting point is 00:43:09 matchups and then it really depends how you view the giants because he has the giants twice in his last like five games and they're 15 how many layups does he have how many matchups that are like well it depends i mean sure favorable washington twice in the fantasy playoffs he has washington in weeks 15 and 17. He has the giants in week 16. He has the jets. He has the giants before that. So,
Starting point is 00:43:31 you know, the jets and the giants right now, they're 15th and 16th against quarterbacks. I don't want to make it that I think the jets have a, has a lousy defense. The giants have been pretty good three weeks in a row. So I'll say Hertz has two great matchups in the playoffs. And then the other ones might be pretty good.
Starting point is 00:43:46 This is the one I might push back on because I'm afraid what matters for Jalen Hurts is how many points the other team scores. Yeah. The way they're playing offense right now, and I almost said his name when we were doing buy lows, but I felt like I was being rushed a little bit. This might be Miles sanders as the
Starting point is 00:44:05 best case as a buy low option because i don't think the jets the football team or the giants are going to score enough points to get the eagles out of this uh monstrosity of a run heavy offense that they have going right okay and i'll just say i mean garopp Garoppolo, who cares? So I'll skip him, but he does have great playoff matchups. I'm not, I am not convinced that we're going to see Trey Lance. Uh, well,
Starting point is 00:44:33 if they keep losing, I mean, I feel like we will. They're three. I just, that's what I'm basing it on. Right. I mean,
Starting point is 00:44:39 they're about to be three. They're facing the Rams this week. So that's probably three and six. Then they, all right. No, they play them tough. Usually they're, I can't guarantee that they're going to lose. this week so that's probably three and six then they all right no they play them tough usually they're i can't guarantee that they're gonna lose it seems likely they'll lose their underdogs ryan tannahill three of his last four matchups are great on paper that would
Starting point is 00:44:54 be um the jaguars in week 13 and then san francisco miami and houston although i've got to be honest with you, I don't know if I include... Where's the schedule grid? Who do they play in Week 17? Did I screw this up? Do they play Houston in Week 17 or 18? Tennessee Titans, Week 17.
Starting point is 00:45:14 They've got the Miami Dolphins. Okay, so... Week 18, I think. Okay, yeah, yeah, yeah. So their fantasy playoffs are Pittsburgh, San Francisco, and Miami. Pittsburgh's good. The other two are bad. Again, kind of the same thing with the Titans, though.
Starting point is 00:45:27 How many passes are the Titans going to throw against those three teams? I mean, they can't be as run-heavy as they were. Weren't they just on Sunday night against the Rams? It's hard to say. They ran 54 plays, I think. Okay, so how many of them were runs? I think he threw 27 passes or something. I think it was about 50-50. 50-50?
Starting point is 00:45:52 I don't remember. Yeah. I think if Derek Henry were healthy for that game, he would have thrown a couple of fewer passes than he actually did. All right, running backs. David Montgomery, very good schedule. Love it. Denver backs. David Montgomery, very good schedule. Love it.
Starting point is 00:46:07 Denver running backs actually have a very good schedule. So please let one of them loose. How about Eli Mitchell? From weeks 12 to 17, five of his six opponents rank 21st or worse against running backs. The problem I ran into with running back schedules was Minnesota and Seattle.
Starting point is 00:46:26 They're getting better lately. They currently look like good matchups. They're both on Eli Mitchell's schedule, but he's got good matchups. Antonio Gibson has a pretty favorable schedule after he faces Tampa Bay and then maybe Carolina, but then the home stretch is really good for Gibson, unless he's got two games against Dallas late. If he's out of the game script, then it's bad.
Starting point is 00:46:53 DeAndre Swift has great matchups. I don't know that they really matter for a guy like him. And James Robinson has Houston and the Jets in weeks 15 and 16. So those are very good. I like Robinson. That might be one of my favorite ones that you've given. And Daryl Henderson, I am not buying that this is a great schedule. It looks good on paper, so I'm going to eliminate him. But again, this Minnesota and Seattle's in there. Baltimore, they're 24th. That's his week 17 matchup.
Starting point is 00:47:19 I don't think they're really that bad against the run. So I think Henderson probably has just like a neutral schedule. Wide receivers, I found these teams that were not in the quarterback section. You know, if you look at the quarterback section, you can kind of relate it to wide receivers. These teams have good matchups in terms of wide receivers on paper. The Jets, the Dolphins,
Starting point is 00:47:42 the Patriotsots the Giants and Devontae Smith Devontae Smith's fantasy playoffs are Washington Giants Washington I believe they they were in the quarterback section oh that's right thank you but
Starting point is 00:47:59 same concern I have for Hertz with Smith in that situation it's I'm confusing myself because for some of these schedules I included week 18 same concern I have for Hurts with Smith in that situation. I'm confusing myself because for some of these schedules, I included week 18, and for some I did not. I don't really have a wide receiver takeaway. Maybe the Giants have it really good down the stretch, but so do the... Maybe Waddle? I don't know. Forget it.
Starting point is 00:48:24 I don't think there's enough you made it you made a good compelling case for derrick carr is now the time to give up what you got to give up to get hunter renfro in ppr leagues is he about to become a safe number two fantasy receiver the rest of the way who already got a lot of targets in his first game without henry ruggs last week and they were able to run the ball a decent amount and in games where they can't run the ball, he's the extension of the run game for them. And I get that they got Deshaun Jackson, and schematically, I think it's a good signing for Las Vegas,
Starting point is 00:48:55 but I don't expect Deshaun Jackson to come in and get four or five targets a game. I think probably the one wide receiver, I would say, is Kyle Pitts, to go with receiver I would say is Kyle Pitts to go with Dave's buy low on Kyle Pitts. Matt Ryan has a good schedule. Absolutely. Kyle Pitts is playing wide receiver.
Starting point is 00:49:14 Yeah, just one thing on Pitts. His week 17 game is the Bills. Tight end has been the one area where they haven't been mega elite. But he's not a tight end. But he does not a tight end. But he does not run all of his routes out wide. He runs plenty of routes over the middle. Sometimes he will line up like a tight end.
Starting point is 00:49:32 Yes. Not a lot. It's not just that he's a wide receiver. But he's more of a wide receiver than a tight end. I told Adam before the show how many pass blocks he's made this year. Heath, do you know how many pass blocks Kyle Pitts has made this year? Well, I know the answer should be zero, but I'm going to guess it's more than that. So let's say eight. Holy cow!
Starting point is 00:49:57 That was weird, Heath. That's exactly what it is. I was then going to say, what's his jersey number? Once per week, he blocks up on a pass play. All right, listen. I think, Dave, you're going to be very happy that we're eliminating Fantasy Jeopardy since you crapped on it earlier. What? Well, then we've got to go fast on Baltimore-Miami.
Starting point is 00:50:15 We've got to take a quick break. When we come back, we will look at the Bills. No, Baltimore's not the Bills. The Baltimore Ravens. The Bills and the Miami Jaguars. And the Miami Marlins. When we come back on fantasy football today, we got to make time
Starting point is 00:50:29 for Jeopardy. Let's go somehow. Baltimore allows the most yards per play in the NFL. They are tied with the Chiefs. That is bizarre. They are great in the red zone, though. And I just thought that was interesting. Here's your stat of the game. Only three wide receivers have scored more than 14 PPR fantasy points
Starting point is 00:50:48 against the Ravens. Jamar Chase, who had 200 yards, Michael Pittman, and Justin Jefferson, who barely got there, had a big play, like a 50-yard touchdown, and that was mostly it for him. So, Jalen Waddell, start or sit? He's a start in PPR leagues as a number two receiver. I've got him as more of a flex and non PPR. The Ravens have been good at limiting touchdowns to wide receivers this year.
Starting point is 00:51:11 They haven't allowed a boatload of them, but they do allow a higher catch rate to slot receivers than they do to outside guys. And they allow, what is it? The third highest, I think yards after catch per reception rate in football to wide receivers. You're hoping for Waddle to continue seeing eight-plus targets per game?
Starting point is 00:51:30 Yeah. Like he has been. He actually has 10-plus targets per game in three of his last four. You're hoping that he breaks away on a couple of those targets and has a big gain. Dave, fantasy Jeopardy. Number two in PPR, number three in non-PPR. Waddle, Gaskin, Freeman. How do you rank themPR. Number three in non-PPR. Waddle, Gaskin, Freeman. How do you rank them?
Starting point is 00:51:47 Let's start in non-PPR. Waddle, Gaskin, Freeman. Freeman is the one. I will probably take Waddle over Gaskin just because I don't like saying to start Miles Gaskin. Yeah, I guess in non-go Freeman, Gaskin, Waddle. In full-go Waddle, Gaskin. Yeah, I guess in non-go Freeman, Gaskin, Waddle, in full-go Waddle, Gaskin, Freeman.
Starting point is 00:52:09 In full PPR, I'll take Freeman over Gaskin. Do you guys feel pretty confident that Freeman's going to score a touchdown? I do. He's not very good. Is Freeman going to score a touchdown in this game? I don't know. Hope. Because Miami's not super bad against running backs,
Starting point is 00:52:25 but they had a stretch where six straight games where a running back scored a touchdown. That's why I think Fournette was the start of the week that week. The last two games have been against Buffalo and Houston, and they've done very well against those running backs. But, you know. What could have changed? The opponents. Right. know what what could have changed the opponents right but freeman has scored a touchdown in what two straight games and he had 79 yards and i mean he's the primary back on one of the best
Starting point is 00:52:57 offenses in football right so i don't know if he'll score a touchdown but he's got as good odds as most running backs okay i think we should be careful in calling him a primary back. He was last week. If he's a primary back, it might not be by much. Not only did he look good last week, Le'Veon looked really good last week. I think the Ravens are going to be encouraged by their old-ass run game, and they're going to use those guys maybe closer to even based on what they looked like last week.
Starting point is 00:53:25 Jordan Howard or Freeman? I think Freeman. I think Freeman. Yeah, Freeman by a pretty good margin for me. And I'll take Howard over Le'Veon, but Le'Veon kind of hits the radar as a desperation running back. How about Michael Carter against the Bills,
Starting point is 00:53:40 dun-dun, or Myles Gaskin? Carter. I think I have Carter right there. Wow. Would you start Gaskin over Antonio Gibson? Yes. Yes. Especially in PPR.
Starting point is 00:53:53 It might be harder to do in non PPR. Uh, Marquis Brown must start his top 10 for everybody in all formats. Lamar Jackson must start. And if Andrews must start. Mark Andrews must start. If Tua plays, any interest in him? Any interest in Tua?
Starting point is 00:54:11 That's my question. Not a ton. I think the best streamer this week was Roethlisberger or Teddy. I would have Tua ahead of those guys, but that would just put them around 15th. How about about two or car car against the chiefs car i would take car ahead of two uh i would not take tanny hill to cousins i would take cousins out of two i don't know if we're
Starting point is 00:54:39 calling cousins a streamer anymore no and is gusicki a no-brainer against the Ravens? They do give up the most points to tight ends. Doesn't have anything to do with that. It has to do with the fact that he's getting mega targets almost every week. All right, but let me give you this
Starting point is 00:54:53 on Gasicki here. Here are his receiving yards in five games with Brissette. I'm counting the Bills game. I think two or three, four passes in that game. Brissette threw like 40. 41, 86, 57, 43, 54.
Starting point is 00:55:06 That's a starting tight end. Yeah, but with Tua, zero against the Patriots, 115, 85, and 48. And those 48 were against the Buffalo Bills. That's also a starting tight end. That's a better starting tight end.
Starting point is 00:55:21 Yeah, more upside. Good with Brissette, better with Tua. You can say that about everybody. Dalton More upside. That's good with percent. Better with Tua. Dalton say that about everybody. Dalton Schultz or Gusecki. Gusecki. Gusecki. Fryer Muther Gusecki. I'm down with the Gusecki.
Starting point is 00:55:35 I think I have Fryer with one spot ahead of Gusecki. All right. Rashad Bateman. Any interest? On my best. Boom bus flex. Okay. Let's see. Would you start when walkins it looks like he's going to play so we have not seen all three of them on the field at the same time i think it should be interesting uh i won't go too much into bateman i'll just give a few would you
Starting point is 00:55:57 start bateman or jarvis landry jarvis yep bateman or brandon iuk iuk you bateman or Brandon Ayuk? Ayuk. Ayuk. Bateman or Sutton? Sutton. Same. Sutton or Waddle? Waddle. Waddle, Waddle, Waddle. See how quickly we could start, we could do a game
Starting point is 00:56:16 when we set our mind to it? Na, na, na, na, na, na, na. All right, it is time for Fantasy Jeopardy. Na, na, na, na, na, na, na! And I just have to find the questions because I had to remove them from the notes so I didn't send them to you. Here we go, I found them.
Starting point is 00:56:35 Yes, I noticed that too. Could you please send them to you? All right, you have three categories. No Daily Doubles. As of now, no Final Je jeopardy because i forgot two hundred dollars four hundred dollars and six hundred dollars well i'll figure you lose money for guessing you do not lose money for guessing okay two four six hundred dollars for all three categories let's begin the categories are quarterbacks backs, and players whose last names start with A.
Starting point is 00:57:07 Players with an A last name. Heath, you probably lost last time, so I'll give you the honors. You can start. Quarterbacks, running backs, or players with a last name starting with A. Players whose last name starts with A for 600? Wait, how do we buzz in? Do we just blurt out our names? Say your name, Sarah.
Starting point is 00:57:27 600 is the most, yes. Okay. These two cats lead their team in targets over their last four games. Hint, they are... Yes. Dan Arnold and Jamal Adler. Oh!
Starting point is 00:57:40 Heath with 600. You didn't even need the hint that they're teammates. Okay, obviously, because make a note, Heath, 600. Did you't even need the hint that they're teammates. Okay, obviously, because make a note, Heath, 600. Did you get it because I said cats? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:57:50 Yes. All right, cool. All right, board is yours. Players with the last name of A for 200. He is the answer to this question. Who has more touchdown catches, Devante Adams or Keenan Allen? Dave. Dave. Who or Keenan Allen? Dave.
Starting point is 00:58:06 Dave. Who is Keenan Allen? That is incorrect. Heath. Yeah. What do you got? It was Devontae Adams. Correct.
Starting point is 00:58:15 Wow. Process of elimination there. Good stuff. Adams has three. Keenan Allen has two. All right, Heath. That was one of those questions where I thought it was so obvious that
Starting point is 00:58:28 you had to go the other way. That's what I did. A names for 400? No. No. Quarterbacks for 200. A former Heisman Trophy winner, he leads all quarterbacks in touchdown rate at 8.7%. Former Heisman Trophy winner,
Starting point is 00:58:47 he leads all quarterbacks in touchdown rate at 8.7%. Heath. Heath. Joe Burrow? I literally have no idea who's won the Heisman for the last 10 years. Dave. Dave.
Starting point is 00:59:05 Who is Joe Burrow? That's a good one. But no, it's who is Jameis Winston? A little trick question. I know, I know. You gave us an answer of a player who is not playing the rest of the season? I did. Do you know your purpose here?
Starting point is 00:59:19 Yeah, to throw you off. He's born X for 600. Living up to his middle name, Skyler, this quarterback is tied with Lamar Jackson for the NFL lead in air yards per pass attempt. Middle name is Skyler. He's tied with Lamar Jackson, most air yards per pass attempt.
Starting point is 00:59:42 It'd be cool if it was Kyler Murray, but it's not. Kyler Skyler? Air yards per pass attempt. Is this player still in the NFL? He is. Is this a player who's played every week, or is it going to be like Cooper, Skyler, Rush?
Starting point is 00:59:58 No. Come on. It's a really... Heath. Tom Brady. Dave, who's Justin Herbert? Oh, very close. Who is Justin Fields? Justin Fields. Justin Skyler Fields?
Starting point is 01:00:13 Yeah. All right, Heath. That's a good nugget on Justin Fields. Yeah, right? I thought so, too. Running backs for 600? All right. Daryl Henderson leads all current top 12 running backs in this.
Starting point is 01:00:28 Daryl Henderson leads all current top 12 running backs in this. Give me five seconds. Dave. Dave. What is yards per carry? I see why you said that, but heath yes heath um what is broken tackles per rush attempt what is letters in his last name with nine letters in his last name okay yes running backs for 200 you know you're really pissing me off
Starting point is 01:01:05 because I don't know what's left on the board. He's got a clue to name the category. All right. Running backs for 200. He leads all running backs in the single most important stat in NFL history. Heath. Heath.
Starting point is 01:01:19 Who is Nick Chubb? Hey, correct. Leads in yards per carry. 6.0. Heath has 1,000. Dave has zero. I don't know how I'm even going to screw you over in Final Jeopardy at the moment. I've been trying to avoid the Daily Double.
Starting point is 01:01:35 Oh, there are no Daily Doubles. No Daily Doubles. Oh, there's no Daily Doubles. So I think you've got the 400s in every category, right? Yes. All right, go ahead. Players with the last name of A for 400. Okay, this former first-round pick wide receiver
Starting point is 01:01:49 led his team... Dave. Dave. Who is Brandon Ayuk. You're locked out. This former first-round pick wide receiver led his team in... led his team in receiving in Week 8
Starting point is 01:02:03 and followed that up with zero targets despite playing 87% of the snaps in week nine. He also should probably have another A toward the end of his last name, but he has an O instead. Would you like me to read it again? Yes, one more time, please. This former first-round pick wide receiver led his team in receiving in week eight
Starting point is 01:02:30 and followed that up with zero targets despite playing 87% of the snaps in week nine. He also should probably have another A toward the end of his last day, but he has an O instead. That is amazing um i can't even think of um five a uh heath yes robbie anderson uh nelson agalor nelson agalor i should be agalar i think what okay You'll are, I think. What the? Okay. Running backs or quarterbacks? Running backs for 400. All right. I'm so glad we rushed to get to this.
Starting point is 01:03:12 This top five running back is on pace to set a career high in rush attempts in week 12. Dave. Dave. Who is Alvin Kamara? Correct. Dave's on the board with 400. All right.
Starting point is 01:03:24 This is getting interesting. 1,000 to 4. You got to get this, Dave.'s on the board with 400. All right. This is getting interesting. 1,000 to 40. You got to get this, Dave. You got to get this one. All right. Running quarterbacks for 400. Wait a minute. Wait a minute.
Starting point is 01:03:33 I have control of the board. Yes. Quarterbacks for 400. Okay. Thank you. The four quarterbacks who have thrown 20 or more touchdown passes are Tom Brady, Patrick Mahomes, Matthew Stafford, and this guy.
Starting point is 01:03:49 Heath. Heath. Josh Allen. Oh, sorry. The wrong button. Is that the finish? Yeah. Dave, the four quarterbacks
Starting point is 01:04:01 who have thrown 20 or more touchdown passes are Brady, Mahomes, Stafford, and this guy. Checking to make sure I'm right about this. You don't even know if you're right. I'm right. I'm right.
Starting point is 01:04:13 All right, Dave, you need this. Come on. Yeah, I'm blanking. All right. Three, two, one. Tyler Murray. Who is Joe Burrow? Oh, of course it was Burrow.
Starting point is 01:04:30 Do you realize how many players that you had as answers who are not playing this week? I'm sorry. The point of this segment is not to help people or anything. All three of the quarterback answers, I believe, were not playing this week. The Saints are playing? Jameis Winston's not. Nelson Aguilar was an answer. Don't forget about Daryl Henderson's last name.
Starting point is 01:04:54 That was amazing, really. Okay. Well, I am going to give you guys two minutes to answer a bunch of questions from emailers. Ready? From Ben. I've been offered Camara and Ingram for Zeke and Pollard.
Starting point is 01:05:10 Standard scoring. No, we'd rather have Zeke and Pollard. Right? I don't know about that. Man, if they all stay healthy, I'd rather have Camara. Yeah. In standard scoring? Yeah. Okay. Dynasty trade from Rob.
Starting point is 01:05:29 I want to win now. I traded Rondell Moore and a 2022 first round pick. I still have another first rounder from a different team. I got Marquise Brown, PPR. Love it. I think you gave up too much, but if you want to win now... Not only is that a win now, there's potential for Marquise Brown to help you in years to come. Oh, for sure, yes.
Starting point is 01:05:54 From Brandon, should I trade Cooper Cup, a fourth-round keeper, for Justin Jefferson and Deontay Johnson? Neither would be high-value keepers. Cup for Jefferson and Deontay. If you need to get an extra wide receiver starter for your team, you can do that. Yeah, I would do that. That's a good breakup for Cooper Cup. That's too much to pay for Cooper Cup.
Starting point is 01:06:22 Okay, how about from Jim? Give up A.J. Brown for Leonard Fournette in a non-PPR league. I still have Metcalf, Keenan Allen, and Robert Woods. Did you say non-PPR? Non-PPR. Give up A.J. Brown for Leonard Fournette. I like it to get Fournette. I would rather have Brown,
Starting point is 01:06:38 but it's fine if you need a running back. From Dina. Should I give away Mike Williams and Patrick Mahomes in a standard scoring league for Josh Allen and Miles Gaskin? No. You'd rather have Mahomes than Williams? I would.
Starting point is 01:06:55 Okay. All right, Apple Podcast questions. Shecky, half PPR, give Javante Williams, get T. Higgins. I think I'd rather have Javante. He's loaded at running back. Aaron Jones, Chubbs. He's truly loaded at running back. I would try and do a little bit better
Starting point is 01:07:16 than Tee Higgins. Tee is really the best you can get, I guess. Niners for life. Half PPR. Should I try to trade Damian Harris for Marquise Brown or Terry McLaurin? I have Miles Sanders, Antonio Gibson, and Daryl Henderson.
Starting point is 01:07:31 No. You need Damian Harris. Yeah, I was about to say. He kind of needs Marquise Brown though, or Terry McLaurin, because he has Mike Williams and Antonio Brown, Pittman. It's not so bad. I think you can get
Starting point is 01:07:45 by. Okay. And from Orchids, Daryl Williams and DJ Moore for DK Metcalf full PPR. Do it rather second. Yeah. Do it. Do it. Gonna be the number two receiver in fantasy from this point forward. Okay. Thanks everybody for listening. Hope you enjoyed fantasy
Starting point is 01:08:04 Jeopardy as much as I did. And we'll talk to you tomorrow with Starter Sit for the AFC home games on Fantasy Football today.

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