Fantasy Football Today - Trade Talk, Playoff Schedules, COVID Contingencies (11/11 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Episode Date: November 11, 2020

Buy low! Sell high! You're running out of time to rip off your fellow Fantasy managers and make awesome trades, so Dave and Heath give you the buy low (2:55) and sell high (7:10) players to know. Are... we still in on David Montgomery? Is it time to buy Clyde Edwards-Helaire? .... Should your league make plans in case the season is cut short (16:00)? We'll discuss and give you some options. Then let's take a look at upcoming schedules. Starting with QB (23:00), Nick Foles has a great schedule but Deshaun Watson's is tough. At RB (29:03), Derrick Henry's playoff schedule is super easy, but Kenyan Drake's doesn't look good. At TE (35:00), Eric Ebron is set up for success while Darren Waller might have some tough matchups. These are just a few of the names to know, and we'll tell you how much these schedules matter ... Previewing Colts-Titans (41:16), reading your Apple Podcast questions (53:00), Fill in the Blank (54:30) and then discussing some players who could have big finishes (57:15) ... Email us at fantasyfootball@cbsi.com You can also download and subscribe to the full-length Fantasy Football Today podcast here: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fantasy-football-today-podcast/id261735167 Follow the new FFT Twitch channel: https://www.twitch.tv/FFToday Follow our FFT team on Twitter: @FFToday, @AdamAizer, @JameyEisenberg, @daverichard, @heathcummingssr, @BenSchragg Watch FFT on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCviK78rIWXhZdFzJ1Woi7Fg/videos Join our Facebook group https://www.facebook.com/groups/FantasyFootballToday/ Sign up for the FFT newsletter https://www.cbssports.com/newsletter To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:59 BetMGM operates pursuant to an operating agreement with iGaming Ontario. This is Fantasy Football Today from CBS Sports. On his way to the end zone. I'll tell you what, that was a spectacular play. It's time to dominate your fantasy league. What a play. Off to the races.
Starting point is 00:01:16 Touchdown. Oh, he's done it again. Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie, Heath, and Ben. Well, every year there's a fun little exercise that I do. I was going to get my schedule grid out, but there are too many things on top of it, so I can't do that. But I get the schedule grid out, and I look at the best and the worst matchups for quarterbacks, running backs,
Starting point is 00:01:37 and tight ends, not so much wide receivers. I lump them in with quarterbacks in the fantasy postseason. And then I tell you, hey, this guy's got a great schedule. Maybe this year it won't matter as much. We got the COVID stuff going on. We don't know if those games are going to be played, but we're going to do it anyway because you've been asking who has good playoff matchups, who has bad playoff matchups. Are you ready for a Nick Foles finale? Because he's got some great matchups and they're actually players that you're going to want to start. So welcome to the show. We're going to talk about that today. It's a trade show by
Starting point is 00:02:07 low sell high. And this is one of my longer intros of the year. I think I might just keep it going. It is Wednesday. We did Twitch last night. It was a lot of fun. Might do the show by myself today. I have a lot of good information. We're going to preview Indianapolis, Tennessee. Oh, you know what? Let's bring in Dave and Heath. Let's bring in Heath. What's up, Heath? It was a pretty good intro, like the first quarter of it. It went downhill when you went, year? When you said year with some sort of, like I thought something pinched you when you said it. But no, it's good to be back, Adam. I haven't seen you for several days. I know. We're refreshed. We're refreshed.
Starting point is 00:02:45 Yeah. Yeah. Dave, I see you all the time. days. I know. We're refreshed. We're refreshed. Yeah. Dave, I see you all the time. Yeah, I know. What's up? Nothing. I need to kick off the podcast with an apology. No, this is not interesting. I don't want to do it. Two apologies. One to you because I completely squished the Gallman joke that you've been making. Right. Okay.
Starting point is 00:03:01 And two to Wayne Gallman for calling him boring because he actually, like, the Giants were able to really run the ball last week and the week before. Like, maybe their offensive line is starting to come around. You know. Gallman has some burst, man. I know you're all so interested.
Starting point is 00:03:18 The Giants are doing something that almost no team does. They are rotating their offensive linemen. Their tackles, they've been rotating three of them, and they're going to start doing that at guard as well. And which fantasy analyst has the audacity to just not laugh at his friend's
Starting point is 00:03:34 funny joke? Galdiv! Alright. Bye, Lo, sell high. I'm sorry, Heath, would you like to get in there? No, you should have just stopped at, I'm sorry, Heath heath and listeners all right why don't you guys give us some trade targets heath by low you want to you want to give us some by low i thought we were doing schedule talk today oh yeah we are later are you not prepared why can't we do it all because um no i'm gonna i'm
Starting point is 00:03:59 gonna say a guy because i don't think he's going to be out for a long period of time and he does fit with the schedule thing and I'm just going to like ride this all the way into him rushing 17 times for 12 yards and not catching any passes please it's David Montgomery um like I still believe okay and I don't think like the one thing I don't really think is going to happen is that he's going to miss a week and Lamar Miller or Cordero Patterson or Ryan Knoll is going to like displace him as a
Starting point is 00:04:36 feature back. It is remarkable that David Montgomery has been as uninspiring as he has, and yet still is second behind only Dalvin Cook in broken tackles on the season. His yards before contact per carry, 1.1,
Starting point is 00:04:57 the worst in the NFL amongst running backs. And I do expect their offensive line in the second half will gel a little, backs and I do expect their offensive line in the second half will gel a little maybe not have three-fourths of it missing for a game. It'll be a little bit better than it has been. So and he's involved
Starting point is 00:05:16 in the passing game David Montgomery. He's dirt cheap right now and he has the best he has the best schedule of any running back he has Minnesota twice. They've been kind of... They've been okay this year. They've been kind of bad the last two weeks,
Starting point is 00:05:30 so I don't even know if that's tough. Minnesota twice. Every other team he faces is 28th or worse against running backs right now. So, David Montgomery has the best running back schedule. Okay, Dave, how about you? Bilo? Like Heath, I'm going to ride this one until the wheels come off.
Starting point is 00:05:48 It's Clyde Edwards-Hilaire. I just do not believe that the Chiefs are going to keep splitting his work 50-50 with Le'Veon Bell. Bell has 15 yards on 10 carries since coming to Kansas City. I am also worried about this third down roll not going to him, but it's kind of been that way all year. Edwards-Hilaire should be in line eventually to just displace Le'Veon. Le'Veon doesn't have it.
Starting point is 00:06:12 It's gone. Somebody dropped Le'Veon Bell for the Lions DST in one of my leagues. Imagine hearing that in August. Like, crazy. To me, that's crazy. But it's normal now. It was crazy then. I think Edwards-Hillair is a great
Starting point is 00:06:26 buy-low guy. The people who have him... There were people asking me on Twitter, do I drop Clyde Edward Zillair? No. You try and trade for him because the best is going to come here. I know who's more expensive right now. It's Clyde.
Starting point is 00:06:42 But who scores more fantasy points rest of season? Clyde or David Montgomery? Full PPR. I will say Clyde. I don't know. Montgomery is completely kneecapped by his offensive line.
Starting point is 00:06:58 I truly believe that if Montgomery played behind a better offensive line, he would be good. He's a juker, but he's also a gets-what's-blocked running back. Well, he's getting a lot more than what's blocked. If he's getting what's blocked, he'd be averaging 1.1 yards per carry. Yeah, it feels like he's getting 1.1 yards per carry sometimes with the way that he plays. But he would be considerably better if the offensive line to Chicago were good.
Starting point is 00:07:24 Yeah, well, yeah. And I think it was encouraging for Clyde Edwards-Elair that he was working near the goal line last time out. And I have a segment in today's show I hope we get to where I'm just going to throw out some names as potential big finishers. You're going to tell me what you think of them. And that was a player that I had on there because each of the last two years,
Starting point is 00:07:43 Damian Williams really didn't get going until the last few weeks of the season. And then he, then they gave him a ton of work and he carried your fantasy teams and he carried the chiefs last year to a super bowl. Now one year was because Kareem Hunt got suspended, but last year they were committee for most of the season. And then they finally said,
Starting point is 00:07:59 all right, Damian Williams is our guy. So fingers crossed. Hope that happens with Clyde Edwards. He layer, hopefully maybe as soon as next week after the bye. How about sell high? Dave Heath, who wants to go first?
Starting point is 00:08:13 DJ Chark had a pretty good game. And I don't think he's going to be quite that good every week. Jake Luton was a less mobile version of Gardner Minshew. 21% of his throws were bad. To Chark
Starting point is 00:08:27 himself, 25% of the targets were bad. But I think Chark can be good, but if you can get crazy value for him, like someone really needs a receiver and they buy into this, you should do it. Okay. DJ Chark, would you sell him for...
Starting point is 00:08:43 Yeah, you'd sell him for Tyler Lockett. Heartbeat. No one would you sell him for yeah you'd sell him for tyler lockett heartbeat then no one would give me that would you would you take would you trade but that's the type of sell i don't know that yeah people are really freaked out about tyler lockett yeah i know um would you trade him for david montgomery dj charke yes you rather montgomery okay yes uh Heath so high oh man I think I'm uh like this is risky but if you really wanted to swing for the fences and avoid a little bit of risk and a bad schedule in the second half like I wonder what you could get in addition to an elite wide receiver for Dalvin Cook. Why do you hate him? What?
Starting point is 00:09:30 I love him. He's awesome. He's on several of my teams. Okay. But he's the or maybe tied for the biggest injury risk in fantasy football. And his schedule in the second half is not very good which probably doesn't matter let's let me clarify that though his schedule in the fantasy playoffs is not very good okay but but the three games before that are dallas carolina and jacksonville that's really
Starting point is 00:09:59 good yeah that's great uh then it's tampa Bay in week 14. Chicago in week 15. Quite frankly, I don't really think that's something you need to run away from. That'll be like this month. Yeah, exactly. Could I trade Dalvin Cook for Devontae Adams and David Montgomery? I think that's pretty reasonable. I think you could. I would take Adams and Montgomery.
Starting point is 00:10:23 Okay. He is averaging. I would take Adams and Montgomery. Okay. He is averaging... Only Christian McCaffrey is scoring more points per game than Dalvin Cook so far. And they're both scoring like 28 points per game or something crazy like that. It's been quite the ride. But it's really, you know, a lot of it's the last two weeks.
Starting point is 00:10:38 If you want to know, Dalvin... I mean, no, he's been great all year, but the last two weeks have been ridiculous. The last two games, Dalvin Cook's 16-game pace based on the last two games is 2,952 rushing yards, 872 receiving yards, and 48 touchdowns based on his last two games. All right, so let's recap. If you were 4-5 despite having Dalvin Cook on your roster,
Starting point is 00:11:07 you could probably go to the team that's in first place in your league, dangle Dalvin Cook, and get way more in trade than you could imagine for him. Because that team that's 8-1 or 7-2, they're trying to get as many studs as they can to solidify their number one seed in the playoff run. I actually have a 4- five team with delvin cook okay so what is the team that's in first place in that league have like where are they deepest you might be able to look because i've seen this there was someone who who asked me about a trade that they made they They acquired Devontae Adams, but they gave up James Conner,
Starting point is 00:11:46 Will Fuller, and Lamar Jackson to get Devontae Adams. But they're in first place. Their team is loaded. They've got better than average replacement players to take over for the three players they gave up. I'm not saying that that's what you should do if you're in first place. But if you're that four and five team like you, Heath, that's the move that you make if you've
Starting point is 00:12:06 got Dalvin Cook. This is why I kind of sometimes hate fantasy football. I'm four and five with Dalvin Cook, Ezekiel Elliott, Chris Godwin, Michael Thomas, Juju Smith-Schuster. Oh, man. I got a team like that, too. And I just looked at the first team, the first place team's roster
Starting point is 00:12:22 and his starting lineup for this week. And it's Tua Tagovaiola, Ronald Jones, Devin Singletary, Robert Woods, Mike Williams, Eric Ebron, and Giovanni Bernard. Well, does he have a bunch of chiefs? Yeah. He has Clyde Edward Dallaire. That's it. Okay. Um, chief.
Starting point is 00:12:38 Yeah. So you're not making a trade with that guy. This brings up another interesting talking point, right? We do say that one of the ways you can win is to sort of consolidate your talent. You've got a great team. You can trade two really good players for one great player. It's not a bad idea. And it's definitely something that I support most years. Should we be altering that though this year with COVID? All you have to do is sit next to someone who tests positive for COVID and you're out for five days. Now, if that happens at the beginning of the week, but you know, it might get unlucky going forward.
Starting point is 00:13:25 So is this the year to stray from that strategy and to give yourself more depth? And, you know, another example for me is I had this one league where I thought I had all this running back depth. And then all of a sudden Daryl Henderson gets hurt. Hopefully he's back. Got lucky with the bi-week there. Miles Gaskin gets hurt. And all of a sudden my running backs aren't that good anymore. So, you know,
Starting point is 00:13:44 is this a year to stray from that strategy of consolidating and trading two for one and instead just play it safe and keep your depth? Bunch of factors in play. Number one, the size of your league and what the waiver wire is like. If it's a smaller league, then I think consolidating is fine because you can still find better than average replacement players on your waiver wire but if you're in a deeper league certainly like a 12 team league with seven plus bench spots plus ir spots it's going to make it harder to replace those players if you get hurt it depends on your risk tolerance too yeah i i say go my like i would just go for it i wouldn't even buy like i'm not going to play scared okay Okay. So I tend to agree with you. But the one smart thing you could do is once you acquire Dalvin Cook,
Starting point is 00:14:29 go overpay for Alexander Madison. Yeah. And I know it didn't work out earlier this year with Cook being out in Madison playing, but that's the safeguard this year. Yeah. Listen, Dalvin Cook's out. Would you rather start Alexander Madison versus random opponent or Michael P. Ryan versus random opponent?
Starting point is 00:14:47 Right. I think I'd go with Madison, even with the bad game that we saw from him. Okay. We have a mail. Oh, big mailbag show this week. Ben Gretsch is coming on. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:14:58 So send us your questions, your Apple podcast questions. Leave us a five-star review in Apple podcast. We get to most of those on the Saturday episode. And the parlay pick-em's a lot of fun. This contest is open from Tuesday through Sunday. Pick your best five-team parlay against the spread. We give away $1,000 guaranteed every week. Odds are provided by William Hill Sportsbook.
Starting point is 00:15:19 Go to cbssports.com slash parlay. cbssports.com slash parlay. We were talking about it on the Lowe's home team watch party on Sunday with Brian McFadden. He was talking about how, did you guys see this? A guy had, all he needed to complete his ridiculous parlay was the Steelers to win outright at Dallas. And he was going to win like $480,000 or something. And that was the one that was giving him so much trouble.
Starting point is 00:15:44 He had a bunch of like crazy crazy he had like a huge college football underdog and all it came down to was the cowboys and he added the steelers and he got it so congratulations to that guy it's pretty awesome i don't know if shagger if you remember the details was a four thousand dollar bet and turned into more than 400k i've won like yeah 440k and the college football bets were like all plus 10,000. And then the Steelers was easy lock of the week. Yeah, that was fun. What a way to spend four grand. Yeah, not bad. All right. I want to talk about the COVID situation and then get into the schedules. So first of all, not a lot of news overnight. That was good. But the NFL, there was that talk about the 16
Starting point is 00:16:26 game playoff. That would apparently be put in place if they can't complete the 16 game season. But they're talking about it. Cases are on the rise. Ben Roethlisberger is on the reserve COVID list. Could be back by Saturday. An Eagles coach tested positive for COVID. Just some other news real quick. Baltimore's a little beat up in the secondary, but not to
Starting point is 00:16:41 their best players. Hopefully they can get Marlon Humphrey back this week. They signed Shimon Williams. T.Y. Hilton practiced in full. Doesn't look like we're going to get Jack Doyle this week, but Mo Alley-Cox, you guys are ranking. Dallas cornerback Trayvon Diggs is out four to six weeks with a broken foot. And Cam Newton has a sore neck.
Starting point is 00:17:00 So not a lot of news. But what should we do in our leagues, Heath? I'll throw it to you first. To plan for the season getting cut short. Commissioners really have to be proactive about this and make your rules right now. What do you recommend? I don't know that it's ever been less likely
Starting point is 00:17:18 for the season to get cut short. I don't like... Just because they're playing through everything? I don't think that's they're like playing through everything I don't think that's even I'm sorry I'm taking it back by this this is not a shtick at all but we have guys testing positive on game day
Starting point is 00:17:36 and they're still playing the games I don't know why we would think they might call off the season I don't know if there's anybody testing positive and playing they test positive the day after the game. Well, not the day of. They either have Saturday's test come back positive on Sunday morning or Sunday's test come back positive on Monday.
Starting point is 00:17:56 They're not getting Sunday's test on Sunday. But no, there was a... I don't think that's even kind of... Like, for me, if the season gets called off, I'm just giving everybody their money back. I don't think you have to do that. I don't think that's even remotely possible. All right.
Starting point is 00:18:15 Look, cases are going way up right now. The cases are going way up in the NFL, and they're just plowing through it. Yeah, that's what I'm saying. They are going up in the NFL. They're plowing through it. It is true, but they themselves internally are talking about what do
Starting point is 00:18:28 we do if we can't get through all 17 weeks? So I think you should, all right, fine. You know what? We don't have to spend a ton of time on this. Here's some of my ideas. You can just make it a total points thing and you can say, look, we have standings now in case we'll play it out like normal in case the season plays through. But if the season gets cut short, we go
Starting point is 00:18:43 to total points. You could do that. Can I just say one other thing? If you, like we talked about this before the season plays through. But if the season gets cut short, we go to total points. You could do that. Can I just say one other thing? We talked about this before the season. If you didn't set a contingency plan before the season, then the only option is to give people their money back. You can't set a new parameter for how you're going to distribute out winnings
Starting point is 00:18:59 in the middle of the season if you didn't make a plan before the season. That's a decent point. If people don't agree with that, here are some other options. Half the league's going to agree with that and half the league's not. Well, look, I'm the commissioner of two leagues and neither of them are for money. So not everybody's playing for money here. So the other thing you could do is you could do, this is, I think, a good idea.
Starting point is 00:19:22 If you get to the fantasy playoffs, this is, I think, a good idea. If you get to the fantasy playoffs, this is what I did for baseball. I did a total points playoff. You know, I set up head-to-head matchups, but they didn't really matter. So that's something you could do. I don't remember why I did that exactly. I think it was just because the season was so different and I didn't, you know, you never know when the season is going to get cut short, but you could do a total points playoff
Starting point is 00:19:48 instead of a head to head matchup playoff. You could do that. You also need to know what to do just in case. Let's just say they play all the Sunday games, but then they can't complete the Monday game or something like that. Do you just revert to the previous week scoring and forget about the current week? You know, you have to have these things in mind. That's probably not going to happen. But, all right, you know what? Y'all, it's up to you. You can ask the fantasy cops if you want,
Starting point is 00:20:12 but have some ideas of what to do in case the season doesn't play out. I think a total points postseason might be helpful for you. And, you know, another thing you can do is just start the playoffs early and expand the field. Instead of weeks 14, 15, 16,
Starting point is 00:20:27 maybe you do a four-week playoff with eight teams or something like that. Or, I don't know, however many that you would... I almost think it's just, it's not worth... Ten teams with a bye,
Starting point is 00:20:36 two byes, yeah. These are all good, like, spitballing ideas, and I'm all for brainstorming on that, but we haven't had a game postponed since week four or five. I know, but the cases are had a game postponed since week four or five. I know,
Starting point is 00:20:46 but it's the cases are rising. I know. I know. But the cases were, were rising in the off season too. The NFL has by and large done a very good job with, with their entire process. And they've added protocols mid season to make things tougher for the disease to spread.
Starting point is 00:21:03 If it gets into any of their buildings. I'm thinking we don't react quite yet. If you want to put it, Heath's contingency plan is the best one. You just let your league know right now, if you haven't already, if the season gets postponed for whatever reason, everybody gets their league dues back.
Starting point is 00:21:20 Well, how is that fair? I mean, the guy or the girl who's just crushing in their league, they're eight and one, they got a hundred point lead. You're just going to give everybody their money back? I think that that's probably just the most fair thing to do now. What if you did half? What if you said we're giving everybody half their money back and the other half is going to the top point scorers? The commissioner could give out some of the money to first, second, third, and then keep the rest and put it toward next year. And now you're playing for a bigger prize pool next year.
Starting point is 00:21:47 I like the hybrid model. You want to give some of the money back? Give some of the money back. But first, second, and third and points deserve something. That's not the way we started this season. We weren't playing a points league. The first place team that wins the regular season.
Starting point is 00:22:03 We are walking on a bridge that we don't have to cross yet all right yeah fine exactly fine all right dave you know what man i need to chill we all need to chill right we need that moment to chill we're always on covid's got us stressed out we just want to sit back and watch football meanwhile college football games are getting canceled so that that's ruining our Saturdays. I just need a moment to chill. Dave, what do you do when you need a moment to chill? I grab an ice cold Coors Light and I've got a buddy who's in the mortgage business and that business is going crazy right now. And he called me up and Dave, I'm stressed out. I'm behind in
Starting point is 00:22:40 my work. Things are going crazy. My family's wondering where I am because I'm working so hard. And I just tell him, you got to do what I do and just take a moment to chill and crack open an ice-cold Coors Light. There's only one beer out there that's literally made to chill and it is Coors Light. They want you to know that no matter what sport is on this fall,
Starting point is 00:22:58 Saturdays are your time to chill. You work hard all week long. You set fantasy lineups all week long. You do the waiver wire work on Tuesday night. Man, when you get to Saturday, there's nothing better than cracking an open, a nice cold Coors. Yep.
Starting point is 00:23:13 Sunday, not so bad on Sundays either. And if you want to win, only if you win your, if you want to get it delivered straight to your door, go to get.coorslight.com. When you want to hit reset, reach for the beer that's made to chill and go to get.coorslight.com. When you want to hit reset, reach for the beer that's made to chill and go to get.coorslight.com if you want it delivered straight to your door. Celebrate
Starting point is 00:23:31 responsibly, Coors Brewing Company, Golden, Colorado. Heath, you ready for these schedules? Oh, yeah. Yeah. All right. What's the schedule music, Adam? Oh, I don't have any schedule music. Do I have any schedule music? I don't think so. You sound, you sound so disappointed in yourself and I've never been able to relate to you better.
Starting point is 00:23:56 Schedule. There we go. All right. Good schedules for quarterbacks. Tom Brady. His fantasy postseason is Minnesota, Atlanta, Detroit. They are 28th, 32nd, and 25th against quarterbacks. It's not great before that, and there is a bye in week 13,
Starting point is 00:24:16 but he can overcome bad schedule, bad matchups. He's Tom Brady, and he's got great weapons, but the fantasy postseason, you don't want to be facing Tom Brady. Nick Foles. He's a great buy to be facing Tom Brady. Nick Foles. He's a great by-low, by the way. Nick Foles is number two on the schedule talk. So while Nick Foles has the best schedule, he has three top five matchups,
Starting point is 00:24:38 three teams that are bottom five against quarterbacks, Houston, Minnesota, and Jacksonville. They're 29th, 28th, and 30th. And the week before that, he has Detroit. And this week, he has Minnesota. So it's a good finish to the season for Foles. Does that matter in your regular one quarterback league? No. But for me, I have him in a two QB league, and I have four quarterbacks. So I'm going to try to make a trade this week. And I don't think I want to trade Nick Foles because this actually does resonate with me a little bit.
Starting point is 00:25:08 I'm not expecting 30 points, but I may be 22, something like that. You'll take that from Nick Foles against Houston, Minnesota and Jacksonville. Like for example, I might start him over Baker Mayfield in the fantasy playoffs. Baker Mayfield doesn't throw enough.
Starting point is 00:25:20 Well, Nick Foles has played two good matchups so far this season. He threw for 188 yards and three touchdowns in one half against the Falcons. Yeah. And he threw for 335 yards and two touchdowns against the Titans. So there you go. And he throws a ton. So, all right, Nick Foles.
Starting point is 00:25:39 Aaron Rodgers has pretty good playoff matchups. Detroit, Carolina's 11th, and then Tennessee. So he has two top 10 matchups. This one's interesting to me because how much do we factor in the fact that two of those games are in late December at Lambeau?
Starting point is 00:25:59 Yeah, I don't know. He's usually pretty good in the snow. But no, I guess I'd have to look into that. Do we know it's snowing? We don't know that it's snowing. It's very warm in New York, by the way. I would be more interested in December home games than...
Starting point is 00:26:16 I'm going to do some research while you talk about some other quarterback. Yeah, because one's at Detroit and then the next two weeks, 15 and 16, are home. Ryan Tannehill is also looking at a pretty good schedule. Now, it is bad the next three weeks. Colts, we're going to preview that game in a bit. Colts at the Ravens at the Colts. Do the Colts have a great pass defense? I'm not sure.
Starting point is 00:26:40 I think it's pretty clear they have a great run defense, but still, we don't love it. But then after that, Cleveland, Jacksonville, Detroit, Green Bay. It's a very good finish to the season. Green Bay is only 12th against quarterbacks. They managed to keep points off the board. I think they don't see a lot of pass attempts. But Tannehill, we knew he had a stretch in the middle of the season that was bad,
Starting point is 00:27:00 but it gets pretty good after that. So there are your good schedule quarterbacks, Brady, Foles, Rogers, and Tannehill. Your bad schedule quarterbacks are Josh Allen. He has Pittsburgh in week 15. Denver in week 16. Oh, no, sorry. Pittsburgh 14. Denver in week 15.
Starting point is 00:27:19 That's not a bad matchup. And at New England in week 16, they just see the fewest pass attempts in the NFL. But they're horrible on a yards per attempt basis. So I'm not sure that Josh Allen really has a bad schedule other than Pittsburgh in week 14. I mean, we just saw Joe Flacco have a big game against the Patriots.
Starting point is 00:27:35 Right. And let me tell you this, David. I'm not so sure I'm scared of them anymore. This one's interesting to me. Deshaun Watson. Because we saw him earlier in the year be just fine. You know, 22-ish points against Kansas City and Pittsburgh
Starting point is 00:27:49 and Baltimore. And now, this recent stretch, Watson's been amazing. He's had basically nothing but great matchups. He's got tough ones to finish the season. He's got Cleveland this week, New England, then Detroit. I don't think those are going to be problems. So that's weeks 10, 11, 12.
Starting point is 00:28:06 How about weeks 13 and on Colts bears Colts? They are one, three, and one against quarterbacks, Cincinnati and Tennessee. That's that's fine in weeks 15 and 16. So it's not so much the fantasy playoffs, but it's weeks 13, 14, 15. Okay. You know what? Okay. It's weeks. It's weeks 13, 14, 15. Okay. You know what? Okay. It's weeks. It's weeks 13, 14, 15
Starting point is 00:28:27 Colts, Bears, Colts, and then week 16 is the Bengals. What do you think about that? I don't think you're getting to week 16. Probably you're making a joke. No. What do you mean? I those those are legitimately bad matchups. Oh, yeah. So what does that mean for you with Sean Watson?
Starting point is 00:28:45 I mean, sell high? It could. Yeah, it's a pretty good time to sell high. Okay. I did some research on Aaron Rodgers. He has played four home games in December in the past three seasons. He has one game with multiple touchdown passes.
Starting point is 00:29:06 He has one game with more than 203 yards passing. He has zero games with more than 233 yards passing. Wow. Wow. Great call. Great spot. I don't know if that matters at all, but those are the facts.
Starting point is 00:29:22 Okay. All right. So let's recap. Brady, Foles, Rogers, and Tannehill have good schedules on paper later in the year, but you just heard the whole thing about Rogers in December at home. Whereas Josh Allen, we're not convinced he has a bad schedule,
Starting point is 00:29:37 but Deshaun Watson legitimately does. Now, the one thing I'd say is let's see how Tannehill does against the Colts this week. And we'll find out a little bit more about the Colts pass defense because they have had a very easy schedule. But if they do well against Tannehill, then maybe it's some alarm bells for Deshaun
Starting point is 00:29:54 Watson in weeks 13, 14, 15. Yeah, I don't know if Tannehill having a bad game is going to make you nervous about Watson. I just think it might tell us a little more about the matchup against the Colts. That's all. All right, running backs. Good schedule running backs.
Starting point is 00:30:10 Derrick Henry, it's actually pretty terrible for the next three weeks. Colts, Ravens, Colts. They are top four against fantasy running backs. Then it is unbelievable. And this is the time of year where Derrick Henry gets going anyway. But his last three
Starting point is 00:30:25 games his fantasy playoffs are jacksonville detroit and green bay so i i'm reamending my dalvin cook sell high and we're gonna wait until this prime time game against the colts and hope derrick henry struggles a little bit and then we're going to sell dalvin cook for derrickrick Henry and a very good wide receiver. Okay. Because he's going to destroy Jacksonville, Detroit and Green Bay in the fantasy playoffs. Jonathan Taylor. Yeah,
Starting point is 00:30:53 this is, I have a tough time buying into this, but he has four matchups against teams that are 29th or worse against running backs this week against Tennessee. I don't think it's that great of a matchup. They've been really good. The last five games against running backs, at least per carry given up some points, but they're of a matchup. They've been really good the last five games against running backs, at least per carry, giving up some points.
Starting point is 00:31:06 They're giving up touchdowns. They are giving up touchdowns. Running back has a touchdown every game against Tennessee this year. But he's got Houston. He's got Vegas. He's got Houston again. And week 16 might be tough against Pittsburgh. But the matchups are great.
Starting point is 00:31:21 Does it matter? I don't know with Jonathan Taylor. We'll see what his role is. He's got to start playing freely. And I think that's what the Colts are waiting for. I think the Colts are going to give him every opportunity to get there. But he's splitting the rushing downs work with Jordan Wilkins. And Naheem Hines is the hurry up back.
Starting point is 00:31:42 The passing downs back. David Montgomery, we already talked about. Best remaining schedule. And then two teams that probably doesn't matter, but the Falcons... I guess I shouldn't say that. I'll let you guys determine that. The Broncos and the Patriots.
Starting point is 00:31:57 If Damian Harris is locked in, he could be pretty good down the stretch, but obviously we don't know if that's going to be the case. But yeah, Patriots and Broncos have good schedules. There you go. Running backs with bad schedules. This one I think is very, very important.
Starting point is 00:32:17 Kenyon Drake. I don't know if anybody's really into Kenyon Drake. He's a terrific by-low. You think so? Yes. Because he's got some very good run defenses coming up. Very good. Maybe he's not such a good by-low. You think so? Yes. Because he's got some very good run defenses coming up. Very good. Maybe he's not such a good by-low.
Starting point is 00:32:29 Yeah, look, I hate the schedule. I mean, Buffalo's not good. That's this week if he's back. Seattle is a good run defense. They're 12th against running backs. New England's a fine matchup. But then after that, so we're talking that's week 10, 11, 12. Weeks 13 and on, the Rams, the the giants, the Eagles, the 49ers.
Starting point is 00:32:50 That's weeks, 14, 13, 14, 15, 16. Those are four really good run defenses. And that's Kenyan Drake who only runs and doesn't have any involvement in the passing game. Well, the whole point is to trade for him at the lowest possible price. And it's because Chase Edmonds isn't going to take his job. When he comes back, it sure feels like he'll still have that role, that rundown role.
Starting point is 00:33:11 Maybe Drake is the guy to go target if you're desperate for a running back in the next three games. Not so much for the rest of the season. Do you think he's going to play this week? He might not even play this week. That's true. The problem is... They're calling him day-to-day.
Starting point is 00:33:25 It feels like those games that you're referencing in the playoffs are more Chase Edmonds games than Kenyon Drake games. Drake could play all four of those games or three of those games against the good run defenses. Four.
Starting point is 00:33:39 Edmonds might just be better. I think it's four good run defenses. The Rams, Giants, Eagles, Niners. That takes them through week 16. The Giants thing, they're just about, like 14th is about as close to average as you can be.
Starting point is 00:33:52 But that's because they're really bad against pass-catching running backs. They're not 14th in run defense. They're 14th in fantasy points allowed to running backs. So that does feel more like a Chase Edmonds game. Like you just look at Antonio Gibson.
Starting point is 00:34:03 They do give up some touchdowns, but McKissick was a lot better than Gibson, even though Gibson had the touchdown. I don't know who scored more fantasy points because of the touchdown, but that's my point. These are good run defenses. So for a guy who's not involved in the passing game at all, it's a scary schedule, I think,
Starting point is 00:34:17 down the stretch for Kenyon Drake. Well, you know who the Cardinals' best running back is anyway. It's Kyler Murray. So maybe all this is moot and it doesn't really matter which running back is better based on the matchups because it's going to be Kyler taking over late in the
Starting point is 00:34:33 season anyway. All right. Ezekiel Elliott does not have a good schedule. He's got to buy. Then Minnesota. Washington. They have a very good run defense. They're 11th against running backs. Baltimore is first. Cincinnati is 25th. That's very good run defense. They're 11th against running backs. Baltimore is first. Cincinnati is 25th. That's very good.
Starting point is 00:34:48 San Francisco is second. That's week 15. And Philadelphia is week 16. And he just had 19 carries for 63 yards and one catch at Philadelphia. So Ezekiel Elliott has some good run defenses. So are you saying we should sell low on Zeke? Maybe it means you don't want to buy low.
Starting point is 00:35:06 I don't know. I think the key for Zeke is going to be how many balls does he catch? How many catches does he get? If he's not catching the ball, it could be trouble. That's how I interpret this. And it has been trouble. You know what I mean? It's not just the schedule.
Starting point is 00:35:19 It's the production that we've seen lately. How do you feel, Zeke? I'm not selling low. Are you buying low? If it's low, low. Kenyon, Drake, or Zeke rest of season? Zeke. Yeah, I'm going to say Zeke. I'm taking back my Drake comment.
Starting point is 00:35:38 Zeke's more in the... I think what's really interesting is ranking him. I think Dave and I had this dispute, and I would take Zeke over Clyde. I would still take Zeke over Montgomery, but I think he is more in that tier. The Zeke, Ed Clyde,
Starting point is 00:35:52 Edward Solaire, David Montgomery range. That's what I was about to ask you. All right. Dalvin cook has a tough schedule. We talked about it on Monday. You know, if you're trading him,
Starting point is 00:36:02 you got to get Devante Adamsontae Adams and a good running back or Derek Henry and a good wide receiver or something like that. Tight ends, good matchups for tight ends would be Eric Ebron. Every week, basically, good matchups. Travis Kelsey, the Jaguars have good matchups. Noah Fant, it's not great until weeks 15 and 16.
Starting point is 00:36:24 And then quite frankly, I don't know if it's going to be great in week 15. You see Buffalo. Buffalo is one of the worst against tight ends. That is so much tied to Matt Milano. He's either been out or he's been limited in snaps, and now he's out again, but you figure by week 15, he'll probably
Starting point is 00:36:37 be back. So I don't think I want to put Noah Fant on this list of great matchups. Dalton Schultz... You should have decided that before you put him on the list of great matchups. Technically, he is on the list of great matchups. Dalton Schultz. You should have decided that before you put him on the list of great matchups. Technically, he is on the list of having two matchups against top 10 matchups in the playoffs. I'm not giving up much for Noah Fant in a trade. Dalton Schultz.
Starting point is 00:36:57 Irv Smith has great matchups. He's interesting. He really is. We need some context here because we the the two sentences that just ran back to back were i'm not giving up much for noah fant and then we say herb smith and he's interesting he's interesting in that i don't i don't think you're trading for herb smith like he's a throw-in in a bigger deal he's available on the waiver wire for crying out loud you'd be much more interested in acquiring noah fan than herb smith i would rather pick up herb smith off the waiver
Starting point is 00:37:30 wire than trade a good bench player for noah fan and i'm not look at this this doesn't have as much to do with the two touchdown game he just had because those were his only two catches in the game but herb smith has had some genuinely good moments it's just a matter of how much more we'll get on his plate moving forward yeah well he does have a great schedule he's he's an interesting talent i don't know if minnesota is gonna give him you know force feed them targets game after game nobody gets force fed targets there that That's the problem. Nope. Dalvin cook. It's force fed carries. Okay. And Heath is quite high on Noah fans.
Starting point is 00:38:09 We know that. So I'm not saying he has a bad schedule. Fun fact. Cause I looked it up last night. Noah fans still fifth and fantasy points per game at tight end this season. Yeah. But Jimmy Graham is sixth, right?
Starting point is 00:38:23 Jimmy Graham is 10th. Ohth oh per game have they not had their buy what's that they have not had their buy okay uh all right well ebron is really the most interesting here i mean it's just it's the bangles are 31st the jaguars are 30th the ravens are 15th the red the football team is 28th the bills areills are 29th. I already talked about that. And the Bengals are 31st. He's just got a great setup, but he's had great matchups pretty much all year. And quite frankly, he's good for about 50 yards every week. So, you know, you can hang on to Ebron and hope for the best. He didn't get 50 yards last week, but he scored. Tight ends with bad schedules. The only one that I really found was Darren Waller. Darren Waller in weeks, let's see, this is 10. I'll just make sure that I didn't include week 17. 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16. Weeks 14 and 16, Colts, Dolphins. Colts are
Starting point is 00:39:20 number one against tight ends. Dolphins are number four against tight ends. The Dolphins have not allowed more than 44 yards to a tight end, and that was Kittle. And the Colts haven't allowed a touchdown to a tight end. Can you run me down the list of tight ends that the Colts have taken on this year? They just faced Mark Andrews. I know this because I wrote about them in the tight end preview yesterday. Mark Andrews just doesn't get targets.
Starting point is 00:39:43 That's not because they shut him down. TJ Hawkinson did get over 60 yards against them. He had 10 targets. So did Austin Hooper. They both had 57 to 65 yards, but they both had 10 targets. The only other good tight end they faced was Graham, and he had
Starting point is 00:39:59 four for 33 on five targets. I know they haven't allowed a touchdown to a tight end yet this year either. They're a good defense. So Waller... I would say they are... I'm generally very skeptical about defense versus tight ends specifically.
Starting point is 00:40:16 Arizona on one end of the spectrum cut into that skepticism last year. And I kind of feel the same way about the Colts and their direction. Like they, until somebody's really good against them, I kind of believe it. Yeah. Yeah, I don't have John
Starting point is 00:40:32 who was the top 12 tight end this week as an example. All right, well, look, I mean, the funny thing about Waller is before those three, before those two tough matchups in the playoffs, he gets the Falcons and the Jets and they're horrible against tight ends. And then in between those two matchups in week 15, Darren Waller and the Jets, and they're horrible against tight ends. And then in between those two matchups, in week 15, Darren Waller has the Chargers
Starting point is 00:40:48 and they're 23rd against tight ends. The other thing about Darren Waller is we maybe have five or six tight ends we feel good about starting every week. You're not getting Travis Kelsey for him. So what are you going to do about it? In my opinion,
Starting point is 00:41:03 we have two tight ends that I feel good about starting every week, and Waller's one of them. So yeah, I would not want to go trade Darren Waller and then plan on streaming in the playoffs. What if you traded him for Eric Ebron and you got a piece back? No. Well, it depends on what the piece is. It is
Starting point is 00:41:28 Josh Allen. And I need a quarterback? Yeah. That's a different... Yeah, that's not a piece. That's a top five quarterback. That's the type of trade... Who do you think has more value right now? When you say Eric Ebron and a piece, I think
Starting point is 00:41:44 Eric Ebron's the best player you're getting. No, okay. No, no, no, no. That's the key. That's the key. You have to get a great player. And, oh, give me Eric Ebron. He's Eric Ebron.
Starting point is 00:41:52 But, no, who goes first in a draft today? Josh Allen or Darren Waller? I'll be Allen. I think Allen. Yeah? His ADP would certainly be higher. Okay. Well, I think it'd be close.
Starting point is 00:42:02 All right. Okay, let's get to the Colts and the Titans here. Let's preview this game, but to recap the tight ends, the good schedules were Eric Ebron, Travis Kelsey, Irv Smith, I'd say, and the bad schedule was Darren Waller.
Starting point is 00:42:18 This is an interesting game. Thursday night, Indianapolis at Tennessee. Dave? No, no, no, no, no, no, no. You screwed me up. Odd purpose. The Colts defense. Third in points per game. Second in yards per play.
Starting point is 00:42:31 Eleventh in pressure rate. First in passing yards per attempt allowed. Second in interception rate. First in passer rating allowed. Tied for first in yards per carry allowed. First against quarterbacks and fantasy points. Third against running backs. Tenth against wide receivers.
Starting point is 00:42:43 First against tight ends. This is what awaits the Tennessee Titans. But we are going to start with the Colts. They are the road team. Third against running backs. Tenth against wide receivers. First against tight ends. This is what awaits the Tennessee Titans. But we are going to start with the Colts. They are the road team. Let's do this. Phillip Rivers, yeah, he struggled last week, but he had 30 points and 28 points in his previous two games. Tennessee gives up the seventh most points to quarterbacks.
Starting point is 00:42:58 Any interest in streaming Phillip Rivers? Rather start Locke. Rather start Tua. Rather start... Would I rather start Baker? I think I would. I'd rather start Nick rather start to a rather start when I rather start Baker. I think I would. I do. There's our Nick Foles. I think I, yeah,
Starting point is 00:43:10 I would rather start fulls. I just, I have a hard time trusting Phillip rivers to come through with two, two 50 and two and no turnovers. Okay. Let's talk about the Colts running backs. You guys have Jonathan Taylor as a low end starter between 18th and 22nd in the rankings. He has one game this year with more than 68 rushing yards,
Starting point is 00:43:32 and in that game, he had 26 carries. And the Titans run defense in their last five games, running backs are averaging 3.48 yards per carry. They are averaging only 28 receiving yards per game. They do have seven total touchdowns, though, in those five games, three receiving four rushing. So Heath, Jonathan Taylor starter sit. And then what about Jordan Wilkins and Naeem Hines? Like you're just, you're hopeful that you have two running backs that are better than Jonathan Taylor, that you can start over him. But that's not like I get into him and the other rookie running backs.
Starting point is 00:44:07 And do I really have more confidence that DeAndre Swift or JK Dobbins is going to have a bigger role? I don't feel better about either of the Broncos running backs. I don't feel better about the giants or the doll. Like there's just too many bad running backs for me to say, you should definitely sit Jonathan Taylor. I would start Jarek McKinnon over him. If Raheem Mostert doesn't come back,
Starting point is 00:44:31 I would start Antonio Gibson over him. I would start Leonard Forno over him in full PPR. I'd start Duke Johnson over him. If David Johnson doesn't come back, I'd start Gio over him if Nixon doesn't come back. How about McKissick? I would not start JD McKissick over him, but in full PPR,
Starting point is 00:44:45 I wouldn't necessarily argue with anyone who wanted to McKissick certainly has a higher floor. I don't believe his ceilings as high. Okay. Dave, how about we compare Jonathan Taylor to some of the sort of emerging wide receivers? How about,
Starting point is 00:45:00 how about Jerry Judy? I'm taking Judy and PPR. How about, you know, rookie guys T. Higgins and Justin Jefferson? Yeah, I'm taking them because it's PPR and I'm not counting on Jonathan. If you're starting Jonathan Taylor, it's to score. And that's the one edge he's got over Wilkins and Hines, is that he's still the preferred goal line guy for Indianapolis. He's had eight goal to go carries this year.
Starting point is 00:45:27 He scored on half of them. That's not that great. Jordan Wilkins has six goal to go carries this year and last year combined. In fact, he's only got one this year and he scored on it, but he's only scored on three of the past six over the last two seasons. The Colts don't love using him down there and they're not going to use Naheem Hines down there unless it's inside of two minutes or you know they're they're down big and it's just
Starting point is 00:45:49 the way that it is is that he's the running back on the field anyway so I like Taylor's chances to score but that's really it he's not as elusive as Wilkins PFF has it rated that way Wilkins is the sixth most elusive running back in the NFL this year, according to PFF, which is crazy to me. That's how they've got it. He breaks a lot of tackles. He doesn't get a lot of carries. That's how it works out. See, I'm going to have to make a choice in a PPR league.
Starting point is 00:46:16 Chase Edmonds or Jonathan Taylor. Obviously, if I knew Kenyon Drake were out, it'd be a no-brainer, but I'm not sure what I'm going to do about that. I think you've got to go with Edmonds as a down. Right. I think if Drake comes back, I feel like Edmonds will still have enough of a run.
Starting point is 00:46:30 Yeah. I don't know. All right. Well, if you're starting Taylor, you're hoping that he scores. Yeah. I don't think this is a break. I can't foresee it being, oh, now he's going to finally magically put it all together. There were little hints of it at times last week.
Starting point is 00:46:43 There were a couple of runs, including the run where he fumbled, but he's just, he's struggling. He has one carry of more than 16 yards this year on 106 carries. Colts wide receivers. Are we starting anyone? Nope. Not with any sort of confidence.
Starting point is 00:46:59 Okay. Zach Paschal does have six to eight targets in three of his last four games. I believe. T.Y.'s coming back. T.Y.'s coming back, yeah. Trey Burton and Mo'Ally Cox. You guys actually both have Mo'Ally Cox one spot ahead of Trey Burton, I think.
Starting point is 00:47:14 Jamie does not have it that way. But Tennessee's been horrible against tight ends. They've given up a touchdown or 50 yards to a tight end in three straight games. That would be Darren Fells, Eric Ebron, and Jimmy Graham. Graham just had a great game against them. So what are we doing here with the tight ends, Heath? I would rather not, but they're fine. I hope they score a touchdown, guys.
Starting point is 00:47:38 The fact that Jack Doyle isn't expected to play helps, but they're really spreading targets out. And I don't know that I feel confident either. Any, any of the tight ends are going to get even five targets in a given game. And as bad as tight end is five targets probably means three catches. And that's, that's pretty terrible.
Starting point is 00:47:57 Like it's just, you're praying for a touchdown. Allie Cox has had three catches each of his past two games. And he played, I'm going to say he played the same exact amount of snaps as trey burton last week after jack doyle got hurt technically he played two more but there were also two spikes that philip rivers made while mo alley cox was on the field i don't know if it's fair to call that a snap that he played but back in week two there
Starting point is 00:48:22 was no doyle there was also no burton Allie Cox played 67% of the snaps. And I would imagine that he will play a lot of snaps this week with Doyle out, that big middle-of-the-field range he target for Phillip Rivers to throw to. And the Titans have allowed at least 11 PPR points to a tight end three of their past four games. He is a sleeper. He is a DFS super sleeper.
Starting point is 00:48:46 Who is the best tight end in this game? Still Janu? Yeah. I have Janu ranked. They're very close together. Janu, Cox, Burton. Okay. And Janu Smith, stay on Janu here, because he has, I think, two or fewer catchers in four straight games.
Starting point is 00:49:02 He was invisible until eight minutes to play last week, and then fewer catchers in four straight games. He was invisible until eight minutes to play last week. Back-to-back plays, he had 32 yards and a touchdown. Remember, the Colts, we were just talking about it. Best team in the league so far against tight ends. They have not given up a touchdown.
Starting point is 00:49:17 Would you start Jordan Reed over Johnnie Smith? I can't. I'm still going with Jonu. I'm actively trying to find tight ends to move ahead of Jonu, but Jordan Reed, just because we don't know, and
Starting point is 00:49:34 maybe we're not going to find out today, but he was on a pretty serious snap count the last time that they played, and maybe he gets a lot more, but it kind of looks like they want Ross Dwelly on the field too. And with Ayuk back, I don't feel confident
Starting point is 00:49:48 in how many targets Reed's going to get. Okay, but Dallas Goddard over Jonu? Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. Austin Hooper? Yeah. Those guys are like top 10 guys. Yeah, assuming Austin Hooper's okay.
Starting point is 00:49:59 Yeah, okay. All right. He's been practicing. I think he will be fine. Ryan Tannehill, start or sit? I'm sitting him. I can find at least a dozen other quarterbacks I'd rather have. His track record's been great,
Starting point is 00:50:12 but I think that's the only pro case you can make for him. Colts have been great against quarterbacks. We talked about that last year. Tannehill played against the Colts. 17 fantasy points. I think it was his worst game as a starter last year. And part of it was because Derrick Henry just went off. And it wouldn't surprise me in the least if that's what happened on Thursday. I mean, with the way their run defenses
Starting point is 00:50:32 play, that would actually surprise me quite a bit. He's a borderline starter. I don't love him, but there are no streamers that I would start over Tannehill. Drew Locke? Drew Locke is not my favorite streamer this week, and no. Tua? There are no streamers that I would start over Tannehill. Who's your favorite streamer this week?
Starting point is 00:50:53 I'm just curious. It's Baker Mayfield. Okay. He's got Houston. But I would not start Baker Mayfield over Tannehill either. Let me wrap this up here. I want to talk about Tannehill real quick because he's played now in the last two seasons with Tennessee. Five matchups against top 10 teams
Starting point is 00:51:10 against quarterbacks. And in those five games, he has scored 22, 7, 22, 18, and 20 fantasy points in six point per passing touchdown leagues. That includes last week against Chicago, includes Pittsburgh earlier this year. He has not thrown a lot in those games, though.
Starting point is 00:51:25 29, 15, 14, 30, and 21 pass attempts. The track record says, in a matchup against a top 10 defense against quarterbacks, and the Colts are number one, by the way, he's not going to score more than 22 points. The question is, can they run the ball against the Colts?
Starting point is 00:51:40 The Colts have had, like I've been saying, one of the best run defenses in football, and Derrick Henry really hasn't been that great this year. I'm sorry to say it. It's true. So how many pass attempts for Tannehill? Is this a game where
Starting point is 00:51:51 he has to throw more? But I think you approach it conservatively because, you know, the Colts have been great against quarterbacks. Could he throw two touchdowns and have 225 yards with it?
Starting point is 00:52:03 That's not going to be a top 12 guy, most likely. No, it's 21 fantasy points without any turnovers. All right. Oh, and yeah. And then the last thing on him is at home since he became the starter. Oh, come on. Where's this damn stat? It's like 27
Starting point is 00:52:18 29 touchdowns, three interceptions at home, 12 touchdowns, six interceptions on the road. So he probably won't turn the ball over. But two touchdowns, six interceptions on the road. So he probably won't turn the ball over. But two touchdowns, no interceptions. Sounds about right. Stark, Derrick Henry, even though it's a tough matchup. A.J. Brown is a top nine wide receiver in both formats. Corey Davis,
Starting point is 00:52:33 start or sit. We'll finish with this. I try to get away from him. I feel similar to Corey Davis that I do about Tana Hill, I think. I've got him as a borderline number two, and I'm probably going to start him in most places, but I wouldn't, um,
Starting point is 00:52:51 I I'd be pretty happy if I had better wide receivers to start. All right. I was excited about Marquise Brown last week because the Colts pass defense in there in three games of four week nine, they gave up 88 yards or a touchdown to multiple wide receivers in every game the browns the bangles and the lions without kenny galladay so i really thought this was a vulnerability the ravens didn't really take advantage of that but that's different so maybe the uh maybe the titans can uh all right jonathan taylor or cory davis Jonathan Taylor or Corey Davis?
Starting point is 00:53:26 I think I'd probably take Davis in full PPR, Taylor in none. Yeah. Okay. And both DSTs are in play here. Titans are higher in the rankings for the most part. In fact, Heath has them fifth. But both DSTs are in play here.
Starting point is 00:53:42 They're hot. Yeah. Well, they scored a touchdown last week, I believe. Yep. So that always helps. All right, we got about 10 minutes left. We're going to read our Apple Podcast questions. I do have more segments, too many segments,
Starting point is 00:53:55 which I knew would be the case. Let's read Apple Podcasts. Let's see what we got. Not a lot this week. Make sure you get them in. Here's one from Dduckfan. Got to read that one slowly, I'd say. Give up. Let's see what we got. Not a lot this week. Make sure you get them in. Here's one from D Duck Fan. Got to read that one slowly, I'd say.
Starting point is 00:54:09 Give up Young Wae Koo and... What? Is this real? Young Wae Koo and John U. Smith get Kenny Gaudi? What is that? A plus. Yeah, you should do that. Yeah, all right. Well, you wrote it in Apple Podcasts.
Starting point is 00:54:21 We read it. Someone out there is thinking, well, at least I got Yung Wei Ku. From ThePugLord15, give up Zeke and Lamar, get Aaron Jones and Adam Thielen. Oh my goodness. I have Herbert and Tannehill on my bench,
Starting point is 00:54:37 so he gives up Zeke and Lamar for Aaron Jones and Adam Thielen. It might be kind of close to a fair deal if it's a two-quarterback league. If it's a one-quarterback league, the Aaron Jones side wins mightily. He also says, Dear Greenwood, Green, with an E at the end,
Starting point is 00:54:54 Holmes and White. Oh, I have no idea. Greenwood, Green, Holmes and White. Well, we'll look into that. Could be linebackers. Are those Steelers linebackers? According to Google, yeah. Elsie Greenwood.
Starting point is 00:55:12 Yeah, okay. Joe Green. Joe Green. And then Holmes and White threw me off. Dwight White and Ernie Holmes. I was thinking Kevin Green, but... Okay, Steelers. Is that Steel Curtain? It might just be the Steel Curtain. I was thinking Kevin Green, but... Okay, Steelers. Is that Steel Curtain?
Starting point is 00:55:27 It might just be the Steel Curtain. I don't know. Fill in the blank. I'm taking the victory on that one. Fantasy Football UK podcast says, JD McKissick is a blank running back rest of season with Alex Smith at QB.
Starting point is 00:55:43 PPR only? Low end number two. From Andrew, the best running backs in PPR and standard rest of season not named
Starting point is 00:55:52 Cook, Kamara, Henry, or Aaron Jones are blank. Chubb? James Robinson would be next other than McCaffrey. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Starting point is 00:56:03 So McCaffrey, Robinson would be next in terms of points per game so, yeah. So McCaffrey, Robinson would be next in terms of points per game so far. I'm not saying that's my answer, but that's kind of an unbelievable thing. He's been,
Starting point is 00:56:14 he's the Cinderella of the season. Who are the running backs that you just think are just going to be home runs week after week, basically, because Cook, Kamara, Henry, McCaffrey, if he plays,
Starting point is 00:56:24 Aaron Jones, and then what? Yeah. Henry can get there. Henry can get there. Robinson is pretty much there. You said Henry, right? I thought I did, but he should be there. I didn't hear it.
Starting point is 00:56:35 Chubb, I think, can get there. I think Miles Sanders can get there. Sanders. And if Chris Carson comes back healthy, I think he could also be that guy. I'm hopeful for Eckler. I don't know when he's back. What if Joe Mixon comes back healthy, I think he could also be that guy. I'm hopeful for Eckler. I don't know when he's back. What if Joe Mixon comes back healthy?
Starting point is 00:56:51 I'd love to see it. I really would. I don't think I can commit to that. I don't think he's going to be like, win your league good. He's not Gio. He'll have a couple of win your week good. He's not Gio.
Starting point is 00:57:03 Gio's been great. All right, from Jason. Young Frankenstein is in the top blank of comedy movies. No idea what you're talking about. I've never seen it. Dave, you ever seen Young Frankenstein? I did when I was younger. I don't remember it the same way I remember some of my other favorite movies.
Starting point is 00:57:25 Yeah, it's a Mel Brooks movie. There's a great scene. I'm not telling you. If it's Mel Brooks, then it's definitely funny. Yeah, there's a great scene in The Simpsons where Homer's driving Mel Brooks. He's a limo driver, and he says, Saw that movie Young Frankenstein? Scared the hell out of me.
Starting point is 00:57:42 From Ariella. Put it on our off offseason viewing list. Yeah. Yeah. All right. Josh Allen is a blank quarterback rest of season up six. Top six is fair. The listeners blank Adams.
Starting point is 00:57:56 Go man impression hint opposite of hate. Enjoy. Now we just can't kill it. That's the that's the challenge and from charlie mayo kareem hunt will be a top blank running back rest of season 15 18 okay we're gonna finish the show with about five minutes left with my list of players who i think could have big finishes if i could just find the list you tell tell me how you feel. Big finishes. DeAndre Swift. From your
Starting point is 00:58:28 lips to the fantasy God's ears. I think that's a six. Sure. Mike Williams. Seven to eight targets. 81 or more yards in three of his last four games. One of those with Keenan Allen getting hurt. Basically, he's tied for the team lead in targets
Starting point is 00:58:44 inside the 10 with only three, which is very low. But you got a quarterback who's on pace for 4,905 yards and 39 touchdowns. There has to be more than one great pass catching option there. So Mike Williams, what do you think? Is that the 16-game pace or is that the true pace of what he's got?
Starting point is 00:59:00 Sorry, that is if you look at the games he's played, the 16-game pace based on what he's played. No, come on. But I mean the games he's played, that's 16-game pace based on what he's played. Acer stats. No, come on. But I mean, look, he played, he only missed one game, Herbert did, so he could be close to that with the pace. Yeah, when he's playing, he's on that pace. Williams is a great receiver to have on your bench
Starting point is 00:59:17 and to start in deeper leagues, deeper three-receiver leagues. Tyler Lockett. Let's, by the way, look at the next four games that they play and the cornerbacks they face. Jalen Ramsey, Patrick Peterson. Well, it might matter in this sense. Ramsey, Peterson, Darius Slay,
Starting point is 00:59:34 James Bradbury. Tougher coverage, perhaps, for DK Metcalf. That's not saying you sit him, but hopefully that opens up more for Tyler Lockett. So there's that. He's a good by-law.
Starting point is 00:59:45 Another one that we can put on the list. Bye. I asked Nando, I was texting with Nando this morning, I said, give me a player who's going to finish strong. He suggested Sterling Shepard. What do you think? Sterling Shepard. Not.
Starting point is 00:59:56 Get him on your team. Huzzah. Yeah, I don't believe it. Finish strong? I don't believe it. Be a, you know, complimentary part of your fantasy squad and PPR? Sure. Drew Brees.
Starting point is 01:00:09 I'm done doubting Drew Brees. He's got the Falcons twice in the next four weeks. Let's clarify. Drew Brees has been a borderline number one quarterback. Yeah. He's going to be in the Josh Allen
Starting point is 01:00:24 Deshaun Watson range. He's going to be in the Josh Allen, Deshaun Watson range. He's going to be just behind. Right, yeah. Okay. So he'll be just about what he's been. Josh Jacobs. What's been going on with Josh Jacobs? The offensive line is supposed to be a strength.
Starting point is 01:00:36 It has been hit by COVID. It has been hit by injections of air into the body. It has been hit by suspension to Richie Incognito. Let's get that line. It's been hit by Jalen Rashard and Devontae Booker taking work away from him. That's the body. It has been hit by suspension to Richie incognito. Let's get hit by Jalen Rashard and Devante Booker work away from him. So I'll throw, I'll throw Jacobs out there. Gate league winning finish. What do you think?
Starting point is 01:00:53 I mean, that this is kind of the weird thing about Josh Jacobs is he's on pace for 1400 yards and 12 touchdowns. Like he's really good. I think he'll probably continue to be really good. He's done it in such an annoying way, though, because he had two massive games. I want a
Starting point is 01:01:11 consistent... I want people to say, oh, I won my league because I had Josh Jacobs. You know what I'm getting at? He might have one two-touchdown game left in him this year. Yeah. It's possible that that game happens in week 16 and people say, I won my league because right.
Starting point is 01:01:30 What's what's his pace for catches this year. Heath, do you have that in front of you for Jacob? Yeah, it's really easy because he's played eight games. So 38. Okay. So he'll fall a little short of what we were hoping for.
Starting point is 01:01:42 Last one. We argued about this last week. I told you nobody was going to drop him. Jarvis Landry, 91% rostered. I'm hopeful. We didn't say you should drop Jarvis Landry. At least I didn't say that. I said if he's your worst player, you could drop him.
Starting point is 01:01:57 You said pick him up off waivers. I said buy low. If he's on waiver, but he's not on waivers. I'm very hopeful for Landry. In the same way that Sterling Shling shepherd could be a big finisher sure right oh i'm much more hopeful for landry much more you're not there in schedule very similar situations um well i like baker mayfield more than daniel j. Of course you do. Baker Mayfield was someone...
Starting point is 01:02:26 I did a Twitter question, not a poll, just a question, because I didn't want to influence it at all, Adam, after your besmirching of Phillip Rivers' name. Yeah, I saw it. And Dave might want to contribute to this. Who is the worst starting quarterback who has started all of his team's games this season? And Baker Mayfield was definitely amongst the top four in votes received.
Starting point is 01:02:50 Phillip rivers did get some votes as well. Adam. Yeah. Carson Wentz got a surprising number of votes and Daniel Jones ran away with it. I mean, I think it's rivers one and I think it's probably Daniel Jones too, but I also think it's not, I also think like Sam Darnold could be on there,
Starting point is 01:03:07 but he didn't start all of his team's games. Right. That's the, that was the, you had to play all your team's games. Right. But he's the, he is the starting quarterback. You don't know anything about Sam Darnold yet. Yeah. Otherwise we would just say Ben DiNucci. No, it's the starting quarterback of a team. It's basically who's the worst starting quarterback in the NFL. Yeah. He would be the answer.
Starting point is 01:03:27 Dwayne Haskins would be the answer, I guess. I'm just not sure. I wish Dwayne Haskins had been given the opportunity Daniel Jones has. I don't think it's fair to give that on Baker Mayfield, though. I don't know. I think he's probably a little underrated. Let's see what happens with him. But the other thing about Landry coming up,
Starting point is 01:03:45 Landry has the bronze of the playoffs. Then I, I think that that'll really mean something. Landry has one, two, three, four, five games left before week 17,
Starting point is 01:03:55 five games against teams that are currently 20th or worse against wide receivers. So he's a better schedule than Sterling Shepard. And the key is how many of those games do the browns have to pass houston jacksonville tennessee giants jets maybe maybe the titans game well maybe the houston game yeah that's true jets game ah come on well but but even if they don't even if he throws 30 times that could still be seven or eight targets for Landry. Right, but seven or eight targets historically
Starting point is 01:04:29 for Jarvis Landry is 50 yards. Okay. All right. I'll be on Landry Island. Thanks for listening, everybody. He's had a start scoring. Fun show. Fun show today.
Starting point is 01:04:40 Appreciate it, Dave and Heath and Ben. And we'll talk to you tomorrow. Starter sit for the AFC home game. See you.

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