Fantasy Football Today - Week 17 Start or Sit: Weather, Tyjae Spears, Isaac Guerendo, Tyreek Hill and More (12/29 Fantasy Football Podcast)

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Starting point is 00:00:58 Animates for Heath Cummings here on FFT Express. Okay, Anthony Richardson's out. To a tongue of my lowest doubtful. Richardson's at the Gi out. Two Atonga by Lois, doubtful. Richardson's at the Giants. Flacco's at the Giants. And Skyler Thompson, because doubtful players basically never play, is, is at Cleveland. First of all, two is at a four o'clock game, but can we safely assume that he's out?

Starting point is 00:01:19 That's the way that I am functioning. I'm also expecting it'll be Tyler Huntley. Um, and not Skyler Thompson. It will be Tyler Hunt functioning. I'm also expecting it'll be Tyler Huntley and not Skyler Thompson. It will be Tyler Huntley. I'm sorry. Okay. Um, and listen, I was already pretty pessimistic about Tyree kill. I am very pessimistic about Tyree kill.

Starting point is 00:01:37 It's kind of the opposite effect in Indianapolis where Joe Flacco usually means more pass attempts and a higher completion percentage. So it's an upgrade for Josh Downs and it's a small upgrade for Michael Pittman, but no, I, I've dropped Tyree kill outside of my top 30 wide receivers and John who Smith is now more of a mid tight end one instead of a high tight end one. So I'll just give you some numbers here because someone asked me Josh Downs or Tyree kill and Josh Downs in five games with with Joe

Starting point is 00:02:05 Flacco he averaged 16.7 PPR fantasy points. Tyreek Hill in four games without Tua Tunga Bailoa he probably averaged about eight. He scored seven, eight point two, twelve point nine and two point3 fantasy points. So Josh Downs basically doubled him in PPL. Oh, definitely start Josh Downs over Tyreek Hill today. Would you start Michael Pittman over Tyreek Hill? I have them back to back and right now I still have Tyreek one spot higher.

Starting point is 00:02:38 Oh man, it's bad. And A-chan, A-chan scored 8.8, 5.9, 2.7, 10.5 in PPR. And HN, HN scored 8.8, 5.9, 2.7, 10.5. In PPR, someone asked me, Taijay Spears or Devon HN, I said Taijay Spears. And that's one of the other big news items today, Tony Pollard's out. I have not downgraded HN that far. So I will, I'm still starting HN

Starting point is 00:03:02 as a top 12 running back. I can jump to Taijay Spears now since Tony Pollard's out. It's a good matchup. Jacksonville's defense has been awful. TaiJay Spears has been pretty awful as a rusher this year. He just caught a bunch of passes in the last couple of games. I'm viewing Spears as more of a low end number two running back. I'm not jumping him up into the top 12 range.

Starting point is 00:03:24 The Jaguars give up the second most receiving yards per game to running back. So I'm hoping that's going to be a big part of his game. I think if you want to start a chain over him, I'm not, you know, I'm not going to put up a fight, but when it gets to guys like Jerome Ford, or obviously I'm starting him over the right. I shouldn't say obviously, because they have a great matchup too, but the Raiders running back. I am starting them over the Raiders. I am starting them over Isaac Garendo. He is right in for me, the Jerome Ford territory. Okay. So that's a, that's a, that's a Spears we're talking about here. Yeah. And then the Garendo is going to play and Garendo is going to play and he's kind of right behind those guys.

Starting point is 00:04:05 Um, just a borderline number two running back. I think he has the upside to be a top 12 guy. Tai-Jay Spears does as well, but it's also possible that these guys have like 15 carries for 55 yards. And in the case of Spears, there's a chance that the team just doesn't really score very many touchdowns. What about Tyrone Tracy against the Colts? He's going to play?

Starting point is 00:04:27 I have Tyrone Tracy ahead of these guys. I have faith in Tyrone Tracy as a starting running back. I love the fact that he has 18 targets in his last three games. He's by far the best rusher that the Giants have and I'm hopeful that he has a good day. You have him ahead of Spears? I do. Okay. Let's go to some wide receiver news. Devontae Adams is expected to play.

Starting point is 00:04:50 Must start guy? Must start guy, no doubt about it. I think you've got him in both the leagues that we're playing against each other. So he'll probably score 40 points like T Higgins did. From your ears, from your mouth to God's ears, buddy. Malik neighbors is expected to play. Must start wide receiver.

Starting point is 00:05:09 We should probably talk about weather too. We'll do that in a moment. Chris Olave is questionable. The last I saw was he's probably not going to play. He's been ruled out. Oh, okay. Thank you. See, told you. Jalen Waddle not expected to play.

Starting point is 00:05:21 Christian Watson is unlikely to play. So I, my only Tyree Kill decision is unfortunately it's Tyree Kill or Dontavian Wicks and I probably will stick with Tyree Kill. But what do you think? I would probably stick with Tyree Kill as well, but I don't think it's crazy. No, and I think I would start Dobbs or Reed over Tyree Kill. No, and I think I would start Dobbs or read over Tyreek Hill. This is, and the thing about Tyreek Hill, it's not just that he just lost to a, or that this game's over under has crashed to 35. It's also that when you look at the weather, this is the scariest or second scariest game

Starting point is 00:05:59 of the day. I just checked and what I do is every, every Sunday morning, like are there any orange or red games for Kevin Roth? Miami at Cleveland is orange sustained wins from 15 to 20 at kickoff to 20 to 25 by the second half with gusts over 35 miles per hour Yeah, that's bad. So Tyler Huntley passes in 30 mile an hour with Yeah, I'm gonna think about that one for a while,

Starting point is 00:06:25 but that could be Wicks over Tyreek Hill. That's how worried we are about Tyreek Hill. And then if you're desperate, Jalen Tolbert is questionable. Looks like he's probably gonna play, but I think we like Brandon Cooks better. And Alec Pearce should play at the Giants. I don't think anybody wants to start that.

Starting point is 00:06:43 David Najoku is out, but I don't think that's going to have much of an impact on anybody. All right, we're going to take a break and answer your questions here. Oh, I didn't talk about Chuba Hubbard. I'm very sorry. All right, when we come back, we'll talk about the Panthers backfield after this on Fantasy Football Today Express. Ben MGM is an official sports betting partner of the National Hockey League and has your back all season long. From puck drop to the final shot, you're always taken care of with a sports book born in Vegas. That's a feeling you can only get with Bet MGM. And no matter your team, your favorite

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Starting point is 00:07:52 with iGaming Ontario. Welcome back everybody. Okay, so Raheem Blackshear or Romeo Dobbs is a question that we have here. Chuba Hubbard has been ruled out, non PPR is so, and Miles Sanders I think could play this week, right? here. Chuba Hubbard has been ruled out non PPR is so and Miles Sanders, I think could play this week, right? I have seen nothing suggesting Miles Sanders could play except

Starting point is 00:08:12 for the fact that you picked him up in one of our leagues. He is eligible to come off of injured reserve, but I haven't seen anything suggesting that he might. It would be in fact, I think they would have had to activate him yesterday, right? I'm not sure. But my answer to this, I'm expecting Raheem Blackshear to lead this backfield. Mike Boone will be involved as well. And there was one beat reporter who suggested a big boom for Mike Boone.

Starting point is 00:08:41 So it could go bad. He's not of the level of the other replacement backs, like TaiJay Spears, like Isaac Gurindo, but he is a top 35 running back for me. The problem is most of the guys that like the names that I would start Black Shear ahead of have already played this week. I would start him over the Jags. I'd start him over anybody starting for the Saints. Although I did see the Saints actually called Clyde Edwards Hilaire from the practice squad. So who knows who's gonna handle

Starting point is 00:09:17 the running back touches there. As I recall, Mike Boone has one of the, doesn't he have one of like the legendary fantasy playoff substitute running back? Let's see. Oh, it was week 17. He scored 23 fantasy points. Now week 15 of 2019, Mike Boone had 13 carries, 56 yards and two touchdowns. All right. So let's get some more of your questions here. Pick two Tyrone, oh, Garendo or Dowdell? Sorry, I clicked the wrong one. some more of your questions here. Pick two Tyrone, Oh, Garendo or Doudal. Sorry, I clicked the wrong one. I would go with Doudal.

Starting point is 00:09:47 Tyrone Tracy, Taijay Spears, Jamison Williams PPR pick two. I think I'm sitting JMo. BJT Brian Thomas Jr. or BTJ rather is a scary play with the weather in Jacksonville. Do you feel that way? That does now look like the second, um, scariest game, but it's a little different situation. If I'm reading Kevin Roth's weather report correctly, there is a major storm that is going to move through Jacksonville during the game.

Starting point is 00:10:17 Um, it will bring heavy winds and heavy rains, and then there will just be light rain like there usually is in Jacksonville after that. If there's not a delay, then I think we might get a quarter where things are like unplayable, but it is an orange so I will be downgrading BTJ a little bit. He will still be a top 12 wide receiver for me a must start. All right, so the the orange games for Kevin Roth on rotogrinders.com slash weather slash NFL, Tennessee at Jacksonville, jets at bills,

Starting point is 00:10:47 which is a yellow slash orange. You know, it like kind of not not terrible early in the game could get badly Carolina at Tampa Bay. And it could be, and again, that's an orange slash yellow and it's the same storm. He says that is going through Jacksonville. So I'm not quite as worried. I'm not quite as worried about the, the slash yellows as I am just the full oranges and then Miami, Miami, Cleveland, yeah, Miami, Cleveland and Jackson,

Starting point is 00:11:18 Tennessee at Jacksonville are the two that I'll be downgrading between now and the YouTube show. And so, uh, I'll lower those guys a little bit, but not enough to where I'm gonna be thinking about sitting Brian Thomas Jr. The YouTube show is big folks. It is big. You gotta watch it 1130 AM Eastern YouTube.com

Starting point is 00:11:36 slash fantasy football today. Atlanta at Washington is another game that could have some bad weather. It's a yellow slash orange for. And I, I'm sorry. I would start Reem Blackshear over Romeo Dubs. Okay, there we go. I thought I answered that. Um, uh, go to the spears or Macmillan.

Starting point is 00:11:55 I liked both those guys a lot. I'd probably go Spears. John who Smith, who did have two good games with backup tight, backup quarterbacks, surprisingly. Blackshear, Rashad White, Chigokankwo, or Jalen McMillan? I would go Rashad White. Darnel Mooney or Jaden Reed? PPR.

Starting point is 00:12:15 I'm gonna go Reed. James Cook or Tajay Spears, non-PPR? I will go Cook. Josh Downs, Mooney or McMillan to start two in PPR. It's gonna be Downs and McMillan. Ooh, Chris is telling me to go Dontavian Wicks for huge upside, okay. I was, yeah, I mean, like,

Starting point is 00:12:34 I remember the Tyree kill game against Tennessee where he was shadowed by Ligeria Snead and Tyler Huntley was playing and he almost had a big game. There was a couple of near big plays, but I don't remember the other two games where he was horrible with Tyler Huntley. All right, we got Olamide Zaccheaus or Chig O'Conquo, full PPR.

Starting point is 00:12:53 Chig. Tucker Craft or John U. Smith? I would play John U. Kincaid or, I would play Kraft personally. Kincaid or Ertz? Ertz. Can cater, I would, I would play craft personally. Can cater Earth's. Earth's. Also worth mentioning that that Jalen Waddle probably averaged four or five targets per game

Starting point is 00:13:13 in those games with the other guys and he's unlikely to play. So I will say, I'm not sure it was that high because the run rate for this team went from like 40% to 56% when Tyler Huntley was playing. This is going to be a very run heavy Dolphins game I would expect. He had five, six, eight and 21 targets in four games. Jalen Waddle. Yeah. All right. Just a few more neighbors or downs. Neighbors. Let's see. Garrett Wilson, Adam Thielen, Malik Neighbors,

Starting point is 00:13:46 Jacoby Myers, Calvin Ridley, pick three. Neighbors, Myers, Wilson. Okay. And Kelly wants to brag Higgins, Nix, and McBride in his lineup or her lineup. Fantastic. Way to go.

Starting point is 00:14:06 You should be feeling good, but you know what? You could have some fair barons in there, so don't count your eggs just yet. Kelly, everybody else, thank you for your questions and comments. We'll talk to you at 1130 AM Eastern, youtube.com slash fantasy football today. See you there.

Fantasy Football Today - Week 17 Start or Sit: Weather, Tyjae Spears, Isaac Guerendo, Tyreek Hill and More (12/29 Fantasy Football Podcast)

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