Fantasy Football Today - What Caught Our Eye in 2020; Senior Bowl Recap (02/01 Fantasy Football Podcast)

Episode Date: February 1, 2021

It's Super Bowl Week, so let's kick off today's show with some Super Bowl LV chatter. What do the Bucs need to do to win this game? Then we'll get into the latest news and revisit the Matthew Stafford... trade (7:35). Which team won the trade? What is the Fantasy impact? How are we ranking Cooper Kupp, Kenny Golladay and Robert Woods right now? We also discuss the new Titans offensive coordinator and more ... Some stats that caught our eye in 2020 including David Montgomery's last two games (19:24), Josh Jacobs's role near the goal line (23:50), J.K. Dobbins and his ypc (28:44), D.J. Moore's inability to score TDs (32:18), DeAndre Hopkins with a healthy Kyler Murray (35:55) and Adam Thielen's crazy TD rate (38:30) ... Dave tells you the prospects who stood out at the Senior Bowl and we talk a little NFL Draft (42:00) ... Your emails at fantasyfootball@cbsi.com Subscribe to the FFT in 5 podcast on Apple, Spotify, Google, or wherever you listen to FFT. Follow our FFT team on Twitter: @FFToday, @AdamAizer, @JameyEisenberg, @daverichard, @heathcummingssr, @CTowersCBS, @BenSchragg Watch FFT on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCviK78rIWXhZdFzJ1Woi7Fg/videos Join our Facebook group https://www.facebook.com/groups/FantasyFootballToday/ Sign up for the FFT newsletter https://www.cbssports.com/newsletter You can listen to Fantasy Football Today on your smart speakers! Simply say "Alexa, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Football Today podcast" or "Hey Google, play the latest episode of the Fantasy Football Today podcast." To hear more from the CBS Sports Podcast Network, visit https://www.cbssports.com/podcasts/ Want winning picks each morning in under 10 minutes? Subscribe to 'The Early Edge: A Daily SportsLine Betting Podcast' on Apple, Spotify, Stitcher or wherever else you listen to podcasts. Enter the CBS Sports 'Football Props' game for your chance to compete for the $1 million jackpot. https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/games/props-pickem To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:59 BetMGM operates pursuant to an operating agreement with iGaming Ontario. This is Fantasy Football Today from CBS Sports. On his way to the end zone. I'll tell you what, that was a spectacular play. It's time to dominate your fantasy league. What a play. Off to the races.
Starting point is 00:01:16 Touchdown. Oh, he's done it again. Now here's some combination of Adam, Dave, Jamie, Heath, and Ben. Welcome to the show. Adam Azer and Dave Richard here. Hey, Dave. Adam. Happy Super Bowl week. It's here. It's the all red everything Super Bowl. Are you ready for a possible wings
Starting point is 00:01:44 eating contest on Twitch on Super Bowl Sunday. I'm ready for a wing eating competition at any hour of any day. All right. I've challenged Dave. We're going to be on Twitch for some pregame talk. And also during the day. I'll give you the full schedule at some point this week. But we're going to be doing some pregame stuff on Twitch, and
Starting point is 00:02:06 I challenged Dave and Frank Stample to a wings eating contest, so if we're on for an hour and we just have to see casually how many we can eat in an hour, if that's the contest, what kind of wings would you be picking? I'm probably
Starting point is 00:02:21 going to go somewhere along the line of either hot wings or barbecue wings. Those are usually my two go-tos. Although I do know a place that's got really good, like just marinated wings with, with like cooked onions and stuff. It's an Italian place around here called Anthony's.
Starting point is 00:02:38 Oh my gosh. The best wings. Yeah. Those wings are very, very good. They're just different than your typical type of wing. And then there's also a place that's got good garlic palm wings in town. So I'm not sure.
Starting point is 00:02:47 I might have to go with a variety. And I'm not quite sure how many. Do I buy 100 or 200 wings? I'm going to have to think about that. I was thinking like 24 for me. Maybe I could pull that off in an hour. Then I'm going to win. Well, probably. I'm going to
Starting point is 00:03:04 be hosting, so I have to talk more. Anyway, as we get into Super Bowl week, I mentioned this on Fantasy Football Today in five. I'm starting to feel the Tampa Bay Bucs a little bit here. I believe the line is now down to three. It's at three and a half. That's what I think. Right now, I'm going to pick the Chiefs by three.
Starting point is 00:03:21 And what would change your mind? What would possibly change your mind at this point? Because you said right now you're going to pick the Chiefs at three. And what would change your mind? What would possibly change your mind at this point? Because you said right now you're going to pick the Chiefs at three. Well, but at first I was like Chiefs by 10. The fact that they're beat up on the offensive line, I don't like it at all. No, it's usually a bad thing. The fact that Vita Vea is playing
Starting point is 00:03:40 and he played 46% of the snaps against the Packers, that was a season low so i would think he could be back with two extra weeks now i would think he could be back to close to uh his typical snap share and you're talking about one of the premier defensive tackles in football they don't need to run the ball the chiefs to be good well run stuffers he is he's he's very good to call him one of the premier guys i mean maybe he's there already maybe well when he got hurt i believe he was ranked by pro football focus as one of the premier guys. I mean, maybe he's there already. Maybe. Well, when he got hurt, I believe he was ranked by Pro Football Focus as one of the top run stuffers in football.
Starting point is 00:04:11 The Chiefs don't need to run to be successful, but you'd like to see them. That's good because they don't. You'd like to see them be able to run a little bit, have a little bit of running game. I don't think they're going to have much of a running game at all. So you're talking about. They're going to have to rely on Mahomes. You're talking about.
Starting point is 00:04:24 Hey, listen, you're talking about... So they're going to have to rely on Mahomes. You're talking about... Oh, darn. Hey, listen. You're talking about Mahomes, but you're talking about Mahomes with a beat-up offensive line now with no ability, perhaps, to run the ball successfully here because the Bucs were allowing like 2.3 yards per carry to running backs with Vida Veya the first six games of the season. So now you can just send the pass rush here, and you're not going to stop him, but I think you could make enough big plays where you limit them a little bit.
Starting point is 00:04:54 You know the Bucs outscored the Chiefs. Sorry, they had a better point differential this year. So there's a lot to like about Tampa Bay in this spot, and I think Brady will play better in warmer weather because he's been under 56% completion percentage in all three of his postseason games. One of them was in a dome. But I think not being in the cold will help that a little bit.
Starting point is 00:05:14 So that's where I'm at, Dave. I see some opportunities here for the Bucs to win this game. There's no question they've got opportunities to do so. First of all, the weather. There's apparently a big cold front coming down i know that there's snow all over the northeast and it's pushing cold weather into florida it's not supposed to be that warm for the game on sunday uh there's a chance the weather could be in the 50s so we'll see i think you know me i never like to really consider weather until
Starting point is 00:05:40 pretty much game time anyway um but the offensive line is absolutely an issue for Kansas City. But Andy Reid has worked around that. He's basically worked around it all season. Their guard play hasn't been very good. And Mahomes can work around that as well. There are many different ways that Kansas City can scheme up to take away and negate and limit that pass rush. The Bucs would just have to be on fire getting to Mahomes to
Starting point is 00:06:05 really throw him off his game. I still think Mahomes is the cure-all for Kansas City, and I think Steve Spagnuolo can do some things on defense to get the pass rush to Brady. Brady really, he's been very hot and cold throughout his last
Starting point is 00:06:21 two playoff games, especially the last one. I mean, the second half against Green Bay. They tried to get the win to Green Bay. But how good was he? How good was he down the stretch in the regular season? I mean, he was on fire. He was great.
Starting point is 00:06:34 And listen, there were moments in the Green Bay game, that little mini drive at the end of the first half where he threw that strike to Scottie Miller. I'm not taking anything away from Brady. I'm not saying that Brady's even remotely bad, but he's had some moments where you go, oh, what's going on? No, he's going to have to play better
Starting point is 00:06:49 against Kansas City than he did against Green Bay. Period. I don't know if he has to play flawlessly. I think he does. If Tampa Bay's going to win, I think he's got to, he cannot turn the ball over. He's got to be super accurate
Starting point is 00:07:01 with 95% of his passes. And I also think, if you want to talk of his passes. And I think, I think you need the bucks run game to come through. I think they need to be a little bit more balanced than we've seen from them over the course of the year. So we'll, we'll, we'll see what they do,
Starting point is 00:07:17 but I'm, I'm excited for the game. I think it's going to be very entertaining and I agree with you. I think Kansas city wins, but I think they went somewhere between three and seven points. Okay. So it is Super Bowl week. So here's what we have for programming. We've got this episode today where we'll talk a little bit about the Senior Bowl and some 2020 notes, some things that caught my eye, including David Montgomery's last two games, Josh Jacobs' role, DeAndre Hopkins splits with a healthy Kyler Murray versus with Kyler
Starting point is 00:07:45 Murray dealing with a shoulder injury. DJ Moore has 10 touchdown catches on 335 targets in his career. So we'll talk about that and a few other things. Some news and notes. We'll talk a little bit more about the blockbuster trade in case you missed our bonus podcast
Starting point is 00:08:02 on Saturday night. But this week we have an early free agency preview. We have hopefully some player interviews from Tampa because we do have Jamie and Heath and some other guys there in Tampa. Hopefully, we'll get some player interviews. DFS picks with Mike McClure. You'll hear that.
Starting point is 00:08:18 Player props with Liz Loza. You'll hear that. So those are going to be episodes in this feed, Ben? Yeah, so those will be in this feed Wednesday and Thursday. Okay. And a Super Bowl preview with some DFS and some props. That'll be a Friday episode. And then you'll hear the Pick 6 preview of it.
Starting point is 00:08:37 That crossover will air their episode in our feed on Saturday. Let's do the news and notes here, Dave. Anything else to say about the Rams and the Lions, or maybe for the people who didn't hear it, let's sum it up. So it's Stafford going to the Rams, Goff going to the Lions, and the Lions also getting two future first round picks and a third round pick. And the Rams do not have a first round pick until 2024. The Rams, according to NFL Network, are going to take in two years and $43 million on Stafford's contract. The Lions are going to take four years and $106.6 million on Goff's contract.
Starting point is 00:09:13 And that's a lot of money. Yeah. But I mean, yeah, go ahead. I have gotten a lot of flack for saying that the Lions didn't get enough. and it's really going to come down to where those picks end up in 2022 and 2023 and how golf does for them but i almost feel like one of the first round picks that they got was just to eat the golf contract and there's talk that oh golf isn't going to be a bridge quarterback for the lions we'll see uh he he wasn't very good down the stretch for the ramps he had a nice completion, but I think he's kind of lost his mojo a little bit and maybe he can find it in Detroit. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:09:50 I think getting Stafford is exactly what the Rams needed to do, certainly to get off of golf in that contract. And they don't really care about their first round picks. I don't expect those first round picks to be valuable. Uh, I saw that Carolina offered a package to the Lions for Stafford that included the number eight overall pick. And I thought to myself, well, what else was in that package? And would that be worth it?
Starting point is 00:10:11 Would that be a better offer than what the Rams offered? And I guess the answer is no, because the Lions just, they know they're rebuilding, but I'm just, I think that the Lions just really, I don't know if they, I don't think you can call it settling, but I don't think it's anything to be super excited about that. They got these future first round picks when they're not this year's draft next year's draft.
Starting point is 00:10:33 And they could be back half of the first round. They could be toward the end of the round one, if the Rams make the super bowl again. So we'll see. I do think the Rams won the deal. Yeah. I definitely think the Lions won the deal because Yeah, I definitely think the Lions won the deal because, you know,
Starting point is 00:10:46 and I can see you being right. It's probably just a matter of how much better is Stafford than Goff. I think he's better, but maybe you can find something in Jared Goff that this guy two years ago was better than Matthew Stafford. The last two years haven't been so good for Goff,
Starting point is 00:11:02 but he went to the Super Bowl and he looked like a rising star quarterback. Now, I trust Sean McVay to get the most out of a quarterback, so it's probably on Goff and not on the coaching staff or anything, but maybe you can salvage something there. Maybe he won't be that bad. He's obviously a lot younger. He's been healthier.
Starting point is 00:11:18 Staffer's been dealing with injuries three years in a row. Back injuries, like serious injuries too. It's risky. And I just think that the Rams are not in the position to be trading away all these first round picks. They keep trading away first round picks. They're going for it, but that's what they're doing. Of course it's good for them.
Starting point is 00:11:37 They're trying to win a Super Bowl. They better win the damn Super Bowl. They're basically admitting that they're going nowhere for the foreseeable future. I don't know because they just got a starting quarterback back. I mean, that's the thing. They got Jared Goff back. He's not terrible, right?
Starting point is 00:11:50 He's not one of the worst quarterbacks in football. Can you place him in – can you name 20 other quarterbacks you'd rather have on your team? I was thinking off the top of my head, he's probably like the 20th best quarterback. So you pick that number. I think I can name 20. I think he's in that bottom.
Starting point is 00:12:05 All right. But he's not that bad. He's pretty bad. Well, I did a Twitter poll. Who won the trade? 3,000 votes. 61% said the Lions won the trade. Okay. I did also a Twitter poll.
Starting point is 00:12:16 Are the Rams legitimate Super Bowl contenders next season with Stafford? And it was almost the same. In fact, it was. 61.4% said yes, they are. So that was 2,100 votes. Interesting results. Yeah, both of them were 61%. Said the Lions won the trade,
Starting point is 00:12:32 but the Rams are legit Super Bowl contenders. I guess both could be true. Listen, listen. If the Rams go to the Super Bowl and win it, obviously, but even if they make it that far and the Lions rebuild goes well and they get something out of Goff, it's a win-win for both teams.
Starting point is 00:12:47 We just don't know yet. Now let's talk fantasy. We haven't really done that much the first 11 minutes of the show. How much of a boost is it for Stafford? And would you rather have Matthew Stafford or let's say a guy who really came on strong at the end of last year? I mean, he was awesome. And he finished number 11.
Starting point is 00:13:06 Kirk Cousins or Matthew Stafford. I think if I wanted to make a value play based on those two, I would aim for Cousins because I think I can get Cousins with my very last pick in a draft. I don't think there's going to be any excitement or buzz to get him on a fantasy roster. And there will be some buzz for Stafford. Neither one are top 12 quarterbacks. Okay, but who are you going to rank ahead? Stafford? Stafford will probably be ranked ahead of Cousins by maybe three or four spots.
Starting point is 00:13:33 Matt Ryan or Matthew Stafford? Ryan. Baker Mayfield or Stafford? I'll probably say Stafford. Okay. And we did not talk about Van Jefferson on the Saturday bonus podcast. Do you have any thoughts on him?
Starting point is 00:13:50 Does he get on your radar at all? I love the talent. I'm just concerned about the amount of targets he'll get when he's in an offense with Robert Woods and Cooper Cup. And so at best, he'll be the number three receiver. We assume that they'll move on from josh reynolds i believe he's a free agent i'm not 100 i can double check on my the report was that they were going to move on from him and gerald everett right so if those guys are out then that could open up
Starting point is 00:14:15 maybe 75 to 80 targets for jefferson in 2021 i mean he needs he would need an injury to Woods or Cup in order to be a viable consideration for fantasy lineups next year. But I love him. I think he's a great slot receiver. I think he's got all kinds of good potential. I'd love to have him on my dynasty teams. And another interesting thing here is what does the Rams offense look like in terms of the vertical passing game? Because they didn't really have that last year. Jared Goff's intended air yards per
Starting point is 00:14:45 attempt was 6.6, very, very low. Stafford's been at his best recently when he's been throwing the ball downfield. Do the Rams have the personnel for that? Do they add someone? We'll see how it develops. Would you rather have Cooper Cup or Robert Woods? Would you rather have either of them over DJ Moore? I think I'd rather have... Cup's going to be third on that list. To me, it would go back and forth between Moore and Woods, but the fact that McCaffrey will be back probably makes me want to have more or less.
Starting point is 00:15:14 That's kind of funny. Woods would be first on the list. And I think he does have an opportunity to be a little bit... He and Cup can both play downfield. They're just not burners in the true sense. And the Rams are probably going to find somebody along the and cup can both play downfield. They're just not burners in the true sense. And the Rams are probably going to find somebody along the way. That's got some downfield speed. That would be bad for Jefferson and potentially bad for all the other pass catchers
Starting point is 00:15:34 in LA. Okay. And we'll see if, uh, Kenny Galladay stays put, but how much are you downgrading him? Are you downgrading him behind the Rams wide receivers if he's there with Jared Goff? We did see Woods and Kup put up good numbers with Goff in LA, but I wonder how much of that is just a byproduct of Sean McVay scheming it up the right way and utilizing Goff properly. We know that Anthony Lynn is not Sean McVay when it comes to play calling. Probably going to be a run-centric offense. I'm really excited about what it means for DeAndre Swift. And I'm optimistic about Hawkinson, too. If Galladay's there, I'd be
Starting point is 00:16:11 nervous to trust him like we did last year. Trust who? Hawkinson or Galladay? Galladay. Okay. He probably should not be considered a top-12 receiver in Detroit with Jared Goff and Anthony Lynn. Alrighty.
Starting point is 00:16:26 A couple other news items. A few more. Ben Roethlisberger willing to take a pay cut to stay with Pittsburgh, Tennessee promoted tight end coach, Todd Downing to offensive coordinator. He was the Raiders coordinator in 2017. What did we establish yesterday? They ran the fewest plays in the NFL that year.
Starting point is 00:16:42 The third fewest. Yeah. Which by the way, is what Tennessee ran in 2019. They were in the third fewest plays in the NFL. They had more, more, uh,
Starting point is 00:16:51 they were kind of average in 2020. Do you have a thought on this on Todd Downing Titans offensive coordinator? I'm sure he's going to go into it thinking if it ain't broke, don't fix it. The team's made the playoffs each of the past two seasons. They've done it with, you know, clever play calling, lots of good play action and leaning heavily on derrick henry i would imagine it's going to be more of the same okay and like why would you change that why would
Starting point is 00:17:16 he no why would you do that green bay will not bring back defensive coordinator mike pettin and here's a funny quote i read on cbs sports.com. Jay Gruden was talking about, he was former coach of the Washington now football team. Uh, he was talking about a guy named Kyle Smith, who was a Washington vice president of player personnel. And now he's with Atlanta and it was, he was talking about the NFL draft and their evaluation process with Washington. So Gruden said, um, every year that I was there, we had a pretty good draft class with a couple exceptions. He said this to the Washington Post,
Starting point is 00:17:50 I believe. Kyle Smith was really good about listening to the coaches because the coaches also did evaluations. When it came our time to pick, we'd always talk about the picks, where we'd like to go, what happens if the player is gone, and did all our scenarios. And then Daniel Snyder would come in off his yacht
Starting point is 00:18:07 and make the pick. That's Dwayne Haskins. That's so candid. You know, like, that's just, it is, wow. Don't meddle, Dan Snyder. Let your football guys do their job. Well, hopefully that's happening now. Well, it is Super Bowl week. If you're wondering how to watch
Starting point is 00:18:26 Super Bowl 55, you can watch the game for free on CBSSports.com and the CBS Sports app on your phone and your connected TV devices or with your CBS All Access subscription. And you can watch the game for free. CBSSports.com, CBS Sports app,
Starting point is 00:18:42 CBS All Access. The biggest sporting spectacle of the year is nearly upon us. We know everyone loves making their picks. So if you're a diehard fan or if you're just tuning in for the big game, we think you're going to love this opportunity to enter the CBS Sports Football Props game. This is your chance to compete for a $1 million jackpot. $1 million if you correctly answer all of the football props questions.
Starting point is 00:19:05 There's a guaranteed $50,000 to the winner. You can win all that money without risking anything. Football props is free to play. Just visit cbssports.com slash props or download the CBS Sports app to enter and we'll put the link in the episode description. But you're just going to go to cbssports.com props something else i noticed dave tell me how you think about this um someone we work with posted a graph on twitter of pay tv i guess subscriptions or viewing time or something uh and non-pay, the, the gap is,
Starting point is 00:19:45 is getting narrow, right? Between like pay TV and non pay TV. And this guy that we work with wrote the streams are about to cross. This guy is also Adam and I's boss. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:19:56 And then Ben Schrager liked the tweet, but I know he doesn't get that reference about crossing the streams. So, you know, like, what do you think about someone liking a tweet but not even getting the joke? Well, he's just supporting his boss. He wants his boss to know, hey, I'm with you all the way. Click that like. I think regardless of the reference, it's a funny line. I don't even know what it's from, but crossing streams is hilarious.
Starting point is 00:20:22 It's from Ghostbusters. Yeah. Cross the streams. All right. Things that caught my eye in 2020. David Montgomery's last two games were interesting, Dave, because he was on this mega run where he was the number in the last six games of the year. His last six games. He was, I think, the number one running back in fantasy, actually,
Starting point is 00:20:47 or number two per game. He had to have been. He had 19 or more PPR fantasy points in each of the six. Number two in non-PPR, number one in PPR. I think Derrick Henry was ahead of him in non-PPR. But those last two games, the matchups got a little bit tougher. I'll get into that a little bit more with the specifics. And he had a great game against Green
Starting point is 00:21:08 Bay, but not per carry. I mean, 22 carries for 69 yards. That's the old David Montgomery, but he did score a touchdown and he had nine catches. Then at New Orleans the following week, 12 carries for 31 yards. So it was an interesting end. That was a playoff game. It was an interesting end to the season
Starting point is 00:21:23 for David Montgomery, who does end up as the number four running back in non-PPR, number six in PPR for the season. And I believe he'll be one of the most difficult draft day decisions. What do you think? I think you should not rate him or rank him based on those last six games. Because they were great. They were outstanding. The Bears fed him the football.
Starting point is 00:21:45 They found ways to get him the football. That's what they did not do in their playoff game against New Orleans. They decided to ride on the arm of Mitchell Trubisky. That worked out well. He averaged almost 25 PPR points in his final six games. Most of that was also against weak competition. It wasn't tough defenses like New Orleans, like Green Bay.
Starting point is 00:22:02 His first nine games, you know what he averaged? PPR points in his first nine games, do you know what he averaged PPR points in his first nine games of the year, Adam? I know he was 26th in PPR per game and 32nd in non-PPR, so I don't know what he averaged, though. 11.3 PPR points per game. And now Cohen's going to come back. You can't forget about Tariq Cohen.
Starting point is 00:22:20 He signed an extension with the Bears. So let's take those two numbers, right, for all of you that don't really know what that means, how do you put that into... How does that compare? 11 fantasy points per game in PPR. That made him 26th per game. So that's just
Starting point is 00:22:35 not good enough from a starter at running back on your team. You need more than 11 PPR fantasy points to say a guy's a must start for sure. And obviously the inverse is true when you've got a guy getting 25 PPR points per game. That's really, really good. I always like to use 15 points in PPR as a baseline for a running back or a wide receiver. If you're averaging 15 PPR points, that's good. I'll take it. Awesome. When
Starting point is 00:23:03 you're way above that, you're a superstar. And when you're below that, you're replaceable to a degree. It depends. Maybe you look at them at a different tier or two below. I guess I shouldn't say replaceable. In 2020 with Tariq Cohen, he averaged 16.3 touches per game. It was 16.7 with Cohen in 2019. In three games with Tariq Cohen in 2020, one 100 total yard game, no rushing touchdowns, one receiving touchdown, six catches in those three games. I think Cohen being back along with, uh, it should happen to Chicago, a change of quarterback. They were in on this Matthew Stafford Derby. They want to improve at that position.
Starting point is 00:23:42 I think it'll alter how David Montgomery does. He can be good. He's going to be a top 20 fantasy running back, but not a top 12 guy. Yeah. His last six games, he faced every opponent he faced finished the season 27th or worse against running backs. Okay. So he faced nothing but the bottom six opponents in terms of fantasy points allowed to running backs. Now, one of those was Green Bay. He faced them twice. He faced them in the first of those six games and the last of those six games.
Starting point is 00:24:13 So this is where you have to look at it and say, you kind of have to, how willing are you to say that Green Bay was a good matchup the first time he faced them and he torched them? And a kind of a bad matchup the second time. Green Bay's run defense did get a lot better. Are you willing to say that? You know, that's up to you guys.
Starting point is 00:24:31 I kind of am. I agree with you. And like I said, he put up a lot of fantasy points against Green Bay in Week 17, but he didn't run very well. He wasn't very efficient, at least. 22 carries for 69 yards and a touchdown, and he also had nine catches. I mean, you'll take anybody that gets 22 carries in a game, and then
Starting point is 00:24:47 you tack on nine catches on top of that, and of course you're going to have good fantasy production if you're getting the ball that much. Let's go to the next thing that caught my eye. It was Josh Jacobs, who, you know, I just felt as a Josh Jacobs manager, I just felt like I wanted more. And it's the guy who finished as a
Starting point is 00:25:04 top eight running back, but he did have 12 rushing touchdowns. He led the NFL in red zone carries and carries inside the 10 yard line. He was fifth in carries inside the five yard line. And more importantly, Dave, to me, he had 78.3% of his team's carries inside the five yard line. That was second only to James Robinson. So you love the goal line role for Josh Jacobs. And if the Raiders are going to score a touchdown on the ground, it's probably going to be Josh Jacobs.
Starting point is 00:25:32 So what do you think about that? Would you rather have Montgomery or Josh Jacobs going in? And your overall thoughts on a guy who finished top eight? I'd rather have Jacobs. And the problem with Jacobs in 2020 was that he was very inconsistent and you you mentioned he finished eighth in ppr points that's raw total ppr points in 2020 he was 14th in ppr points per game and he was 21st in consistency in terms of games with 15 plus ppr points he only had five so that So just the up and down nature of Josh Jacobs
Starting point is 00:26:08 made him frustrating. I think that's why you're a frustrated Josh Jacobs fantasy manager. And the Raiders, they didn't do a great job running the football. Jacobs was a big part of that. Of course, he was successful in terms of getting those touchdowns.
Starting point is 00:26:23 That's huge for fantasy. And I think he had 1,300 total yards at the end of the season. Those numbers look good, but they weren't spread out. He didn't get you a touchdown per game. No. And he had three in week one. Right. That was kind of a letdown.
Starting point is 00:26:35 Yeah. So kind of a roller coaster. What would need to change? I think that offensive line needs to get a little bit more reinforced. They have some really good interior linemen. They're older. I'd like to see them get a little bit more reinforced. They have some really good interior linemen. They're older. I'd like to see them get a little bit stronger there. I'd like to see him commit to Jacobs more in the passing game. He didn't get a lot of work. He averaged under 20 receiving yards a game. I'd like to see that happen, but we've been talking about that for years and it's there
Starting point is 00:27:00 in two years for Jacobs. And I just, I think he kind of is what he is, but it's not necessarily a bad thing because he's getting all those touchdowns. Maybe one last thing that would help him would be the Raiders defense getting better. And that would force the Raiders offense to be a little bit more run efficient, lean on Jacobs a little bit more,
Starting point is 00:27:19 give him more opportunities on top of all that great red zone work. Yeah. And here's another thing I wanted to point out. Montgomery was sixth in non-PPR, fourth in PPR. Jacobs was seventh in non-PPR, eighth in PPR. So they were both top eight. But if you compare 2019 versus 2020 in the running backs, like RB3 in 2020 was better than 2019 but that just at the top but then like you look at rb6 in 2019 rb6 scored 41 more points than rb6 in 2020 rb9 scored 18 more points in 2019 rb12 scored scored 32 more points so running back points were down in 2020.
Starting point is 00:28:07 Actually, I have it right here. They were, it's like 15.9 PPR points per game for the top 12, 15.7, excuse me. So the top 12 running backs in PPR average 15.7 points per game. It's the lowest in over five years. The previous low in 2017 was 16.2. Last year in 2019, it was 17.3.
Starting point is 00:28:31 2018, it was 18.1. I think you can chalk that up to a couple of things. One, the injuries to guys like McCaffrey and Barkley. Normally those are top 12 running backs that put up boatloads of fantasy points. They were out of action. And two, we had a lot of russian quarterbacks and they pushed up the average the top 12 average for that position to an all-time high over 25 points per game for the top 12 quarterbacks in 2020 so i think that
Starting point is 00:28:59 combination probably led to running back production being weaker than expected. And I wouldn't, you can't expect the rushing quarterbacks to slow down now. That's a part of NFL offenses. That's a growing part of the NFL, but you would hope that those running backs that were injured last year, stay healthy next year. And the running backs that have potential, like all the rookies in 2020, they grow and they develop and they're better in 2021. And guys like Jacobs get a better platform to be in position for a career year in 2021. All right, Josh Jacobs went with the eighth pick of round two in the PPR draft we did about a month ago. Would you take Josh Jacobs or James Robinson?
Starting point is 00:29:44 I believe I have Robinson ranked higher than Jacobs. I last running back note that caught my eye. J.K. Dobbins, you know, this one caught my eye. J.K. Dobbins led all running backs with six yards per carry. People are really excited about the player and you should be. But are you excited about the opportunity? Because he just did not really get a lot of touches. Even when in his last six games, which was over an eight-week span, and for him, he missed one game. But his last six games, he was the number six running back per game in non-PPR, number 11 in PPR.
Starting point is 00:30:25 And in that stretch, he averaged 6.43 yards per carry. So incredibly efficient. He scored in every game. Who's the second best? Let me ask you this. Who's the second best rookie running back behind Jonathan Taylor? Oh, well, I guess you're going to say James Robinson. So who's third in 2021 in drafts? It goes Taylor, then Robinson, and then is it Dobbins?
Starting point is 00:30:47 It's Akers for me because I think the opportunity is much clearer for him than it is for J.K. Dobbins. Let's just start with this. You already know that when you're a Ravens running back, you're losing work to Lamar Jackson, period, end of story. He was also losing work to Gus Edwards. And even in that type of a situation, you see the good in Dobbins and you know that the talent is awesome. And the production,
Starting point is 00:31:13 you talked about how he was at the end of the season. There were only four games in 2020 where a Ravens running back had 15 plus PPR points. Four. That's it. It's the second lowest in football. Only the Jets had fewer games from their running backs with 15 plus PPR points. It shocked me because you think about Dobbins and you think about that stretch toward the end of the season and he was great and he had that touchdown streak going. It was awesome. He had four runs. You talk about it. Did you mention his rushing average?
Starting point is 00:31:41 Yeah, his rookie year. That's what the thing that caught my eye. Let all running backs six yards per carry. It's huge. He had four runs of 30-plus yards, including a 72-yard touchdown run against Cincinnati. Actually, two of his four big runs were against Cincinnati, and he still averaged 4.8 yards per carry without them.
Starting point is 00:31:58 13% of his runs were for zero or negative yards. I don't think that's something to hold against him. No. He had 23 carries. I don't, I don't think that's something to hold against him. No, he had 23 carries. I think he's a stud too, but it's just where he is that makes him a problem. And he had 23 carries of three yards or fewer to go. That includes goal line carries short yardage downs.
Starting point is 00:32:17 He converted 17 of them. That's 74%. That's great. Gus Edwards had 39 carries of three yards if you were to go and he converted 32 of them that's 82 that's out of this world good goal to go though gus edwards three of seven on those carries you know like a one yard goal line plunge something like that three yards or shorter from the end zone dobbins was six for six so there's going to be some interesting decisions made about how the ravens move forward with their running backs.
Starting point is 00:32:45 But Gus should be there. Dobbins is going to be there. And Lamar Jackson is going to be there. And I'm just worried there's not enough to go around to make Dobbins a fantasy dynamo and a top 12 type of running back. I love the talent. I love drafting him in round three in our early mocks. I'm going to continue to do that. But I don't see him creeping into round two.
Starting point is 00:33:06 All right, last question here real quick. Is Dobbins the third best, he'll be a sophomore running back next year in non-PPR? I'm still going to say no to that. I'd still rather have Akers. All right. DJ Moore, we'll do the wide receiver stuff a little bit quicker so we can get to your senior bowl.
Starting point is 00:33:25 Well, we have time. DJ Moore, he has 10 touchdowns in three seasons. 335 targets, 10 touchdowns. No more than four touchdowns in any season. And that's just weird because he's been top 10 in receiving yards among wide receivers two straight years. Very different kind of season this year. A lot fewer catches. much higher yards per catch.
Starting point is 00:33:48 But again, the yards between 1,100 and 1,200, I think, two straight seasons for him, and he can't crack more than four touchdowns. What do you make of that? I mean, if he gets up to eight touchdowns, then you could be talking about a guy who we should be taking in the second round or something like that, or maybe the third, early third.
Starting point is 00:34:05 Yeah, so what do you think about Moore and those touchdowns? How many targets did you say he had in the last three years? 335. Do you know how many of them were red zone targets? Yes. Well, I can tell you in the last two years. I can tell you in the last three. Okay, go on.
Starting point is 00:34:20 28. Yeah. 28 red zone targets. Do you know how many catches he's had in the last three years in the red zone? That I have no idea. 12. Wow.
Starting point is 00:34:32 Do you know how many touchdowns he has in the red zone? That I bet you can tell me. 12 catches in the red zone, 10 touchdowns in his career. I'm going to say four. I think that's about right. I'd have to triple check one number from 2018
Starting point is 00:34:48 if you can give me a second. It really doesn't. It's okay. But it's low. Okay. He doesn't get a lot of work in the red zone, and it's even worse if you break it down inside the 10-yard line. It's just an area that doesn't work out. Here's the most pathetic stat of all.
Starting point is 00:35:04 In 2020, David Moore had more red zone targets and inside the 10-yard targets than DJ Moore. Well, here's another thing that's a problem. How many quarterbacks threw 30 or more touchdowns this year? Maybe you can look that up. Carolina has thrown 33 touchdown passes in their last two seasons combined. So they're not throwing touchdowns.
Starting point is 00:35:26 That's hurting DJ Moore, too. Now, in his rookie year, Cam Newton threw 28, or the team threw 28. Cam Newton had most of them. I don't know if he had all of them. But that was his rookie year, whatever. I don't judge wide receivers too harshly on their rookie year. The last two seasons, 33 touchdown passes?
Starting point is 00:35:41 Are you kidding me? That is horrible. So they've got to upgrade there, and it's not going to be easy to do. 10 quarterbacks through 30-plus touchdowns. That's just passing. That's one year. And Carolina had 33 in the last two years.
Starting point is 00:35:55 And Carolina clearly trying to upgrade at the quarterback position if they're dangling number eight to get Matthew Stafford. I think an upgrade at quarterback would do DJ Moore a lot of good, but there could be a philosophical thing there among two different coaching staffs that Carolina's had where
Starting point is 00:36:11 they view DJ Moore as great playmaker between the 20s. But once you get inside the 20, you go in a different direction. And if McCaffrey's back, that's going to take more targets away from him. Well, in the PPR draft we did now now this was a three-receiver full PPR draft, and he still went 49th overall. First pick of round five, that's DJ Moore. Guys who went ahead of him, Tyler Lockett, Amari Cooper, Deontay Johnson, T. Higgins to Dave, Robert Woods. So actually those were six consecutive picks.
Starting point is 00:36:41 Woods, Higgins, Deontay Johnson, Cooper, Lockett, DJ Moore. He was the last of that group. And like I said. I could see myself taking him over Lockett. And we could get to a point where you take him ahead of Cooper too. Okay. Just got to get those touchdowns up. All right.
Starting point is 00:36:59 Next thing that stood out to me. Let me just see where DeAndre Hopkins went. Hopkins is never i don't know that he's ever in the discussion as the number two wide receiver for 2021 i mean i think adams is going to be consensus number one for now sure um hopkins was the third guy taken and i took him unless i'm missing someone yes adams went overall, then Tyreek Hill went 13, Hopkins went three picks later. But in a PPR league, you know, I'm not sure you shouldn't take DeAndre Hopkins over Tyreek Hill.
Starting point is 00:37:35 His first nine games, he was on pace, and this was healthy Kyler Murray. He was on pace for 119 catches, 1,531 yards, seven touchdowns on 156 targets. And then after the injury, he was still on pace for 165 targets and 110 catches, but the yards went way down. The, uh, the catch rate went way down and Kyler just wasn't as good, but you're still talking about a guy who, uh, finished with a ton of catches. And, you know, maybe... Honestly, I feel like you could take him in the first round in a PPR league.
Starting point is 00:38:13 And I think he'd be fine. He had 115 catches. It's insane. But only six touchdowns. But anyway, the splits were pretty interesting. Just the pace he was on before Kyler Murray got hurt, Dave. You're talking about 115 catches and over 1500 yards.
Starting point is 00:38:28 The one that I, sorry. Sure. The one note that I got was that before this Kyler injury, and remember the injury happened really early on in that second game against Seattle. And that is the last seven games of the season. Kyler was averaging 8.16 intended air yards per game after that game,
Starting point is 00:38:46 7.4. And some of those last seven games, Kyler looked like his old self. He looked okay, but in others, he did look tentative and didn't run as much. You could tell that something was bothering him. And I think that definitely took its toll on, on Hopkins numbers, but just stud receiver did a great job going to Arizona should continue to be very, very good for fantasy. And I think you can view him as a really great second round pick in fantasy. I don't
Starting point is 00:39:14 think you should think of him as someone that you got to get in round one. I'm taking Kelsey ahead of him. That's that's easy for me. Yeah, I almost view him as okay. I don't love any of the running backs that are left. Adams and Hill are gone. Kelsey's already gone.
Starting point is 00:39:28 There's no chance I'm taking a quarterback. There's a safe pick. I'm taking DeAndre Hopkins. Okay. And then finally, the last wide receiver note that caught my eye was Adam Thielen had twice as many touchdown catches as Justin Jefferson. Jefferson crushed him in yards. Jefferson had, I think, the third most yards in the NFL.
Starting point is 00:39:49 But Thielen was among the NFL leaders in red zone targets, green zone targets, and 14 touchdown catches to only seven for Justin Jefferson. Does that matter to you, or do you think that's kind of fluky and will even itself out next season? I think it's a usage thing, very similar to DJ Moore. 13 of those 14 touchdowns for Adam Thielen were in the red zone. 10 of the 14 were inside the 10.
Starting point is 00:40:11 Is that the green zone, Adam? Yeah. The inside the 10-yard line? Yes. Seven of the 14 touchdowns were inside the five. So he was taking scores away theoretically from Dalvin Cook at that point. Justin Jefferson only had eight targets inside the 10 zone. So Thielen had more touchdowns inside the 10,
Starting point is 00:40:29 and Jefferson had targets inside the 10. Jefferson, three of his touchdowns were in the red zone. One more was from the 20 exactly, so it doesn't count. And he had one touchdown from 10 yards out. All the rest of them were bigger plays. We'll see if the Vikings adjust that in 2021, but I think that's the last saving grace for Adam Thielen because he's almost certain to be second in targets moving forward and second in yardage and be the 1B. If I'm being nice, he's really
Starting point is 00:40:59 more of the 2, but when they get in the red zone, as long as Kirk Cousins is the quarterback, Cousins is going to have full faith and confidence to go to Adam Thielen. And I think you can certainly pencil in Thielen for at least eight touchdowns next year. Maybe you get lucky and he hits double digits. Would you rather have Thielen or Moore? I think
Starting point is 00:41:18 the catches won't be that... They'll be kind of far off between the two. Like maybe 20-30 catches off between the two of them. Between feeling and DJ more. Yeah. But that's the thing about DJ more is he only had 66 catches this year, but I look at him and I still see him as a candidate for like 90.
Starting point is 00:41:34 I know. Yeah, that's, that's right. Because he was that kind of wide receiver in 2019. He had 87 catches. Has he, has he changed that?
Starting point is 00:41:42 Maybe he has, maybe I'm overrating more a little bit in that regard i think in full ppr i'm still gonna i'm gonna go with more over feeling okay all right thank you dave for your thoughts on what caught my eye in 2020 we will take a break when we come back more of dave's thoughts this time on the senior bowl the prospects that stood out the ones you need to know as we still have a ways to go, but plenty of time to talk about and get excited for the NFL draft. So we'll be right back on Fantasy Football today. Whether in the game or in life, the right coverage can make all the difference. Securian Canada gives you that coverage. For more than 65
Starting point is 00:42:20 years, Securian Canada has been helping Canadians build secure tomorrows. Their insurance solutions are designed to help protect you and your loved ones financially, switch to Shopify Point of Sale, and you could save up to 20% and improve your bottom line. for details. It was senior bowl week this past weekend. Dave loves the senior bowl. He loves the senior bowl. Who did you love this year? Not the offensive lineman uh there were some that were really good but uh the game itself was just riddled with good pass rush and quarterbacks
Starting point is 00:43:33 under pressure and running backs that couldn't go anywhere although one running back did go places and that was michael carter from north carolina who really he carried over what he did at UNC, which is like surprisingly gifted tackle-breaking running back, given his size. He's 5'7", 202. He broke three tackles on one run in the senior bowl. He caught a couple of passes in the senior bowl. He scored a touchdown where it's from 12 yards out, gets the handoff, stays on his feet.
Starting point is 00:44:04 He starts getting hit by a bunch of different defenders and then offensive linemen come and they like push him into the end zone. It was like a mosh pit going into the end zone. It was actually kind of funny, but he scored on the play. He was the best running back in the senior bowl game. If you ask me, and he had some really good practices as well.
Starting point is 00:44:20 Don't see him being a feature back. He's not going to be anywhere close to the same level as a Najee Harris or Travis ETN in the draft class, but he could end up being a passing downs back in the NFL, a scat back type, maybe someone who does develop into a decent role. Landing spot is huge for every running back. Certainly will be for him, but he's got talent. He stood out as the best running back in the senior bowl. And I just love the way that he can create yards after contact. Well, I hope he can be more than just a third down back from a fantasy standpoint. We're not all that interested in those types
Starting point is 00:44:54 of players. He averaged eight yards per carry this year and 308 yards in the last game. We saw him before the senior bowl, 24 carries, 308 yards, two touchdowns at Miami. He crushed them. Could not be stopped in that game. Yeah, and both of their, they have two good running backs. They both, I'll give you the stats if you guys want to know, they both had like ridiculous games. I think they ran for like 600 yards.
Starting point is 00:45:17 And he also had 214, I think, yards against Virginia Tech earlier in the year. So hell of a senior season for Carter. Yeah, Javante Williams in that Miami game had 23 carries for 236 yards. So good defense, Miami. You had a wide receiver I know that caught your eye. I had three that caught my eye, but the one that I liked the most
Starting point is 00:45:37 was Amari Rogers from Clemson. And if you've watched Trevor Lawrence play, this has been his number one target. It's a slot receiver, just a real quick twitch type of athlete, very fast. But he made a couple of really tough grabs in the senior bowl. One was a touchdown where he had to leap for the ball, caught it, took a hit, landed, held onto the ball. Almost the exact same thing happened on a two-point conversion later on in the game.
Starting point is 00:46:00 Just seems to be like a good, reliable slot type in the nfl who might be able to develop beyond that i've said that same type of thing for aj brown and debo samuel in the past and i wonder if amari rogers could be that same type of guy uh he's 5 9 he's 2 11 how physical can he be i think he proved in the senior bowl that he can be, could be a nice high volume asset in PPR. I think I'm going to land on him being a top 20 overall pick in dynasty drafts. And if he goes to the right team where he's going to play right away, goodness, he'd probably end up being a first round pick late first round pick in
Starting point is 00:46:36 dynasty rookie only drafts. All right. And Mari Rogers for Clemson. And who are the other wide receivers that you like? Dimitri Felton was an interesting one. He played a lot of running back at UCLA, but he worked out as a wide receiver at the Senior Bowl. He looked good.
Starting point is 00:46:49 He scored on a red zone stop route. He flashed speed on a slot route. It's the type of player that you can line up anywhere, but get the most out of, probably as a wide receiver. A little bit smaller and leaner than Amari Rogers, but someone who could be very good and be a good complimentary receiver at the next level.
Starting point is 00:47:06 Des Fitzpatrick is a little bit different. He's 6'2", 202, but he moves like he's 5'10", 195. He's got really good quick twitch for a bigger guy. He's got juice to make plays after the catch. Had a couple of drops in the senior bowl, but definitely someone to keep an eye on.
Starting point is 00:47:24 Again, this is going to be a loaded wide receiver class. Jamar Chase, Devontae Smith, those guys are going to be the absolute studs. There's going to be other ones behind them. Dwayne Eskridge is another one who's kind of a short, shifty receiver. Was at the Senior Bowl, didn't play in the Senior Bowl game. But once you get past those guys, and once you get past Rodgers too, guys like Dez Fitzpatrick and Demitri Felton could come into play. They'll have a chance to be useful fantasy
Starting point is 00:47:52 options. So I'm excited about them. They look good. I can't wait to see how the rest of the lead up to the draft goes and then where they end up getting drafted. Yeah. Chris Trapasso on cbssports.com. His most recent mock draft from just a couple of days ago has seven wide receivers in the first round. So this is going to be an awesome year for rookie wide receivers. Can't wait. It's just going to, it's going to deepen the position. And certainly in the case of chase and Smith, those guys are NFL ready. And a lot of the receivers that were, we considered NFL ready, look, some of them took off as rookies. Others, it took them a little bit longer. Case of Jerry Judy, we're still going
Starting point is 00:48:31 to wait, but we're optimistic about him in 2021. We're getting spoiled now. We're getting a lot of really great receivers that could make shrewd fantasy managers maybe wait on that position a little bit once the elite and the near elite tiers are off the board on draft day. Yeah, let's be honest here with the senior bowl. Most of the first round picks are not seniors. So they're underclassmen. But they were there for the week. Devontae Smith was there for the week.
Starting point is 00:48:59 Najee Harris was there for the week. They didn't play in the game. But they were there. Kadarius Toney. I'm not sure if he's a senior or not, but he was outstanding in practice. He was outstanding in practice. Yeah, he's a wide receiver out of Florida.
Starting point is 00:49:13 He is a senior. And an absolute stud. Gifted feet. Great speed. Uncoverable. I don't know if I'm ready to say that he's just like Henry Ruggs, but we'll get an idea of that as we move forward.
Starting point is 00:49:26 But he's absolutely someone that's like maybe in that second tier of great receivers in this draft class, realizing that that first tier a is very small and B is as receivers that just are going to be figured to be just dynamite wide receiver ones in the NFL. Okay. The one I really want to hear more about from, you know, the Emory hunts of the world. And we get these draft experts on Ryan Wilson,
Starting point is 00:49:50 whoever we're talking to is, is Devante Smith, not a senior, obviously, but Heisman trophy winner. He's gotta be the best wide receiver. I mean, I don't even know how long it's a,
Starting point is 00:50:03 he's incredible. Jaw dropping player. And he's coming from the same school as Calvin Ridley and Jerry Judy, and we went crazy for those guys. I know you loved Ridley when he came out. Yes, I did. And he's better than them. Yeah, he is small. People are going to be concerned about that.
Starting point is 00:50:22 He says 6'1", 175 but he he just looks kind of small out there but it's true but he's just he's a player he's absolutely a player and a gamer and easily see him being a top eight pick in the nfl draft and a top five pick and rookie only drafts if not like three oh it's not number one i mean i think you know well i think the running backs are still going to be really popular. And always when it comes to dynasty rookie drafts, it comes down to what you need. Yeah, I mean, I love Travis Etienne
Starting point is 00:50:52 and that would be my guess that I would take him first. We'll see where he and Harris. I've started to see a little bit more of Harris. Me too. I don't know. I love Etienne. But sure, it depends where they end up.
Starting point is 00:51:02 They're not going to be drafted too far apart, I would imagine, in the NFL draft. But, you know, but sure. It depends where they end up. They're not going to be drafted too far apart. I would imagine in the NFL draft, but you know, I, a lot of people just have that philosophy of taking a wide receiver instead of a running back in a dynasty league. So I, I would imagine in a one QB league that some people will take,
Starting point is 00:51:16 maybe, maybe it's not Devante Smith. You know, maybe it's Jamar chase. One of those two guys is number one. We'll depend on fit on fit. For sure. For sure. He usually does.
Starting point is 00:51:27 And you're going to see a lot of Miami Dolphins taking Devontae Smith because of the Tua connection and whatnot. Okay, Dave, let's read some emails. Fantasyfootball
Starting point is 00:51:36 at CBSi.com. This is Jason from a small Virginia town with tons of Civil War history. Richmond. Sure. Is like the biggest Virginia town with tons of Civil War history? Richmond is the biggest Virginia town. I don't have any. Small Virginia town. Does Blacksburg have
Starting point is 00:51:54 a lot of Civil War history? I don't know, but I'm not a big fan of Blacksburg. They were very mean to me when I went there. Very mean. Not nice to University of Miami people. Dear Jerry, Terrell, JJ, and Randy. So those are the four best wide receivers ever.
Starting point is 00:52:19 Jerry Rice, Terrell Owens, JJ Ortega-Whiteside, and Randy Moss. I love the podcast. I'm in an eight-team non-PPR keeper league. I can keep six of them. So who do you throw back? It doesn't appear there are any rounds attached here. Barkley, Jonathan Taylor, Swift, Akers, Ridley, Metcalf, Lamb, and Kittle. I got to throw back two of these guys. Barkley, Taylor, Swift, Akers, Ridley, Metcalf, Lamb, Kittle. I got to throw back two of these guys. Barkley, Taylor, Swift, Akers, Ridley, Metcalf,
Starting point is 00:52:46 Lamb, Kittle. It's non-PPR, so I think that hurts Lamb. I think that hurts Lamb, too. You just hate getting rid of a young talent like that. Yeah. All right, well,
Starting point is 00:52:58 let's start with the obvious guys that you're keeping. You're definitely going to keep Barkley and Taylor. I think you got to keep Ridley and Metcalf. So from Swift, Akers, Lamb, and Kittle, you got to keep Barkley and Taylor. I think you got to keep Ridley and Metcalf. So from Swift, Akers, Lamb, and Kittle, you got to keep two?
Starting point is 00:53:09 Yeah. I think I'm keeping Kittle and Akers. Final answer. All right, good. This is from John. Where is he from? Oh, from Virginia. Probably Clifton.
Starting point is 00:53:22 Yeah. So considering some potential off-season trades, who would you rather have in a half PPR keeper league? Dobbins or Swift? Higgins or Lamb? Half PPR
Starting point is 00:53:37 keeper league, Dobbins or Swift, Higgins or Lamb? I'm going to say Swift over Dobbins. Am I going to say that? I think I'm going to say that because of the half PPR element. And I'm going to say Swift over Dobbin. Am I going to say that? I think I'm going to say that because of the half PPR element. And I'm expecting Swift to get a lot of catches in this new offense. I don't know if I'm going to stick with that all the way through the summer, but that's where I'm at right now. We talked a lot about Dobbins today and why he's not like talent.
Starting point is 00:54:02 He's a 10, but the situation just isn't great for him. And he doesn't catch a lot of passes. He could, he just doesn't Higgins or lamb. I like Higgins upside to be an amazing number one wide receiver. I expect that to happen sooner than lamb gets there. I love them both though. Okay.
Starting point is 00:54:20 So next question is from, Oh, no PS from John. What are the odds that the Falcons draft Najee Harris to be their Derrick Henry for Arthur Smith? With the number four overall pick in the draft, approximately 0.0%. But if they move down a bunch
Starting point is 00:54:37 or move back up into late round one to grab Harris, sure, that would solve their running back issues. That would be a very nice landing spot for Najee Harris I'm trying to look up all of the Falcons picks one more thing I'm not sure if Arthur Smith must have a big
Starting point is 00:54:56 bully running back that's going to be one of the most fascinating things that we'll learn about him did he just adapt to what he had and he made the most of it and can he do the exact same thing in atlanta and just lean on matt ryan in that passing game who wouldn't do that you'd be dopey to not do that who looks at that passing game and says well we need to get a running back to run the ball 25 times a game we'll see what they obviously have to make an improvement at running back i just i think arthur smith is probably deserves credit
Starting point is 00:55:23 for being innovative enough to work with whatever he's got and not necessarily a system with a big, bulky running back. Last email is from another man named John. Where's he from? Reno, Nevada. I have a series of trades
Starting point is 00:55:39 that I made recently in a 12-team PPR Dynasty League, you start two flexes. I had the 101, 203, and 204, and 205 picks. I sent Tyler Boyd and picked 203 for DJ Moore. I like it. I sent Jerry Judy for 109 and 301.
Starting point is 00:56:06 And then I said, I don't know if I love that one. And then I sent 109, 204 and 205 for 103. So now that one, now I have 101, 103 and 301. He started out with 101,
Starting point is 00:56:20 two, two Oh three, two Oh four and two Oh five. Um, I, I'm always going to be a fan of this. Yeah. I don't love giving up Judy, though.
Starting point is 00:56:30 No, I don't. But now he's got 1-0-1 and 1-0-3. He could potentially get Jamar Chase and Devontae Smith. That would make me forget about Jerry Judy pretty quickly in my Dynasty League. But what he's probably going to end up doing is taking one running back and one wide receiver. He's going to get his pick of whatever running back he wants at 101,
Starting point is 00:56:48 and then who's ever left from Chase and Smith at 103. So you like it? Good moves, John. Okay. Man, why is it so hard to find the picks for every team in the draft? This can't be that hard, right?
Starting point is 00:57:03 You mean you don't know off the top of your head? No, I don't. Like, How can I find, oh, Atlanta's got these picks? I did a lot of Googling here. Schrager, where the hell are you, man? Making me look bad. You're doing the same Google search you're doing. It's hard. It's not easy.
Starting point is 00:57:17 You're trying to find out what picks the Falcons have in 2021? Yeah. Yeah. Google fight! Here we go, ladies and gentlemen i already tried this one it didn't work okay so they have got yeah you did yeah i think i got it okay good luck what do you got hold on i gotta make sure i'm right You did? Yeah, I think I got it. Okay, good luck. What do you got? Hold on, I got to make sure I'm right.
Starting point is 00:57:51 Who cares? I got it. They've got the fourth pick in round one. 35th overall pick in round two, so an early round two pick. Early round three pick. Okay. And then early round four pick. They've got an early pick in rounds one through six.
Starting point is 00:58:04 Four, 35, 68, 99, 132, 163. Bingo. How'd you find that? What website? It's a little site called atlantafalcons.com. That was on there. You didn't look hard enough. I guess not.
Starting point is 00:58:19 Okay. Well, thanks to Dave Richard, Ben Schrager, and to all of you for listening. We will talk to you tomorrow with an early free agency preview and more on Fantasy Football today.

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