Fantasy Footballers - Fantasy Football Podcast - AFC East Breakdown + Meow Men - Fantasy Football Podcast for 7/11

Episode Date: July 11, 2026

Fantasy Football show for July 11, 2026. Patriots, Bills, Dolphins, Jets! AFC East fantasy football preview on today’s podcast. Can TreVeyon Henderson take over the backfield? Will Breece Hall have a bounce back season? Get a full breakdown for 2026 fantasy football drafts. Manage your redraft, keeper, and dynasty fantasy football teams with the #1 fantasy football podcast. 2026 ULTIMATE DRAFT KIT is available now at UltimateDraftKit.com Get MEGALASHOW tickets at BallersLive.com Connect with the show: Subscribe on YouTube Visit us on the Web Support the Show Follow on X Follow on Instagram Join our Discord Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

to the fantasy footballers podcast with your host, Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, and Mike Wright. Oh, welcome in. You guys hear that? That's the sound of 10,000 lawn mowers. That's true. Reving up at the exact same time. It's a Saturday show, boys.

Lons aren't ready for this. July 11th, the death of millions of blades of grass. All happening right now. I guess they don't actually die. They're just getting a little trim. A little haircut. That's a good point. It doesn't hurt, right?

The grass? I don't know. I don't think, I don't, I'm going to say I don't think it hurts. No. I think I'm going to go on record and say I think it does. Okay. Yeah, well. We're not botanists.

We're fantasy football analysts, and we welcome you into the show. We have a divisional break. breakdown episode today getting into the AFC East. We have covered the North and the South on the previous two episodes. So if you want breakdowns of those... This better be the East. This is the East.

Okay. You wanted to see North, South, East West? Yes. Yeah, if you're going to go in that order. This was important to you. Yes. Well, we are covering the AFC East, Mike. You can be comfortable with that. Get into some mailbag if we have extra time. A reminder of the

ultimate draft kit with the draft analyzer of available now at Ultimate DraftKit.com. We are adding a mock draft tool to the UDK this year. That should be live within the next couple of weeks on mobile, and then we'll expand to the web. But this is very exciting. It's an opportunity for you to jump in there, run as many mock drafts as you want,

invite your friends who have the UDK to go mock draft with you, get a feel for where players are going, and over time you'll be able to, you know, that's why you mock to try different strategies out to see how it feels. Somebody had the quick question or it was in the mailbag maybe on the footcast of what, where do you like to draft this year? Do you like to draft at the top at the turn? You know, we all shared our opinions, but that's based on mock drafting.

It's the top. It's not always, though. No, not every year. But that's our opinion right now. Yeah, for sure. So the mock draft tool coming to the ultimate draft kit that already has all of our player projections, all of our rankings, our sleepers, breakouts, bust values. and the draft analyzer and a lot more ultimate player profile videos.

Yeah, 100 plus player profile videos. You better watch them. Ultimate draftKit.com. Takes a lot of time. That's true. You can follow us on Instagram, Instagram.com slash fantasy footballers on X at the FF ballers. Papa Josh, you're on the microphone, right? I am.

Do you know how many people are in the free fantasy footballers Discord right now? I do indeed. Give me one second. switch over there. And the number is 66,000. All right, that's not bad. 800. Yeah, he pulled that one out.

Yeah, I think he saved it. 66,000 fantasy football players. I don't think you know what that phrase means. Mike is going to take issue with it? He doesn't. If you're like, hey, do you know this? You're like, yeah, let me look it up real quick. That's not.

He did it so fast, though, that it did feel like, no, no, no, no. Like it was on the tip of his tongue. No, it was not. Ballers Discord.com. It's a free community of fantasy football players that you can join. 66,000 strong, Papa Josh. Don't forget the 800. 66,800.

He could be 801. Oh, Jay, do you hear where we're almost that? 70. That's going to be 70? Oh, nice. All right. We're going to jump in right away here on the AFC East breakdown. And we'll kick it off with a couple of teams that have a lot of fantasy value for all of us,

fantasy football players. Let's get divisional. I mean, if I seem slightly off, Al, who are you laughing back there? I mean, we are fresh off the golf course. I mean, we are odorous. I am covered in a mix of sunscreen and dirt. My hands feel

like disgusting. I haven't even, we came in. We didn't even want. We're just here and ready to go. We thought it would go faster. Mike wanted to get the show. Not a we. Some of us were here grinding. It was nice and grind Mike didn't golf with us

I don't know why But What was the temperature It was disgusting degrees It was disgusting degrees outside It was nice No it was No no no look I can't take heat

Relative No it was actually nice out this morning And then it turned into hellfire Hot So it was nice We did leave the house at like 515 in the morning Yeah It was pretty nice at that

It was nice for a period of An hour. Fifteen minutes? Yeah, not that long. But anyways, we're just dehydrated. That's all I'm saying. Let's kick it off. Our breakdowns, we're looking at general overviews for these teams.

Offseason changes, coaches, players, rookies, how their offenses could function this year. Some of our takes on the win totals, we predict every division. A good prediction for the AFC East would be the Bills or the Patriots, based on the last 17 years. years. Patriots won every single year from 2009 to 2019. Bills won the last five and then last year the Patriots took it back. Even this last year. So we were looking at our predictions of how we did last year this year. And immediately we looked because we all picked the bills to win last year. And it wasn't highlighted as a win. And we were like, wait. They're like, yeah, the bills were they won. Yeah, we got that one. Oh, no. No, we didn't. The Super Bowl.

Uh, losers. Oh, the Patriots, sorry. I mean, could have called them like visitors. Super Bowl. Participants? Yeah, okay. Runner up. Yeah.

This was the division with the largest point differential gap between second and third place teams. So the bills were plus 116. The Dolvens were minus 77 and in third place. Oh, don't stop there. You should read the Jets one. How, where were the Jets? Min is 203. Ooh, boy.

The halves and the have nots. But we'll start with the Patriots. Patriots are going to be very, very interesting to project this year for fantasy. They were looking at a nine and a half game win total last year from Vegas. They went seven and three and one score games. They were the healthiest team in the NFL,

so they had the fewest adjusted games lost. They're projected win total this year. You want to hear this? Mm-hmm. They won 14 games. They added A.J. Brown. Vegas has them in nine and a half wins. That is...

It makes sense. I mean, you can say it's disrespectful, but it is mathematical. Last year, their schedule was cake. It was so easy that 14 wins was not, they're not like an average 14 win team. They went to the Super Bowl, so you know, you're like, well, yes, they are. Spencer Rattler, Cam Moore, Dylan Gabriel, Joe Flacco, Tyler, Tyler, Brady Cook, Quinn Ewers. Yeah.

Those were quarterbacks that they faced and defeated last year. And, you know, good on them. Not everyone. You're supposed to do that. You're supposed to win those games. So I don't want to do anything disrespectful here, but the schedule is going to get a lot harder. There's also the Super Bowl hangover for teams that lose the Super Bowl.

It is tough the next season. So those two things combined with the fact that this is a young team. Okay. So, you know, it was a magical season. You add that with all the offseason drama, Vrable and all that. Like, this is going to be a difficult, you know, really test your medal season, I think, for the Patriot. Well, they start the year, just so you understand the first six weeks, they go on the road against Seattle to start the year. That's probably the hardest match if you could have in week one.

Then they play Pittsburgh at home. Then they go on the road two more weeks at Jacksonville at Buffalo. So the first four weeks of the year, they're underdogs in three games. So yeah, they'll be put to the test immediately with a much more difficult start to the year. Then they get to play the Raiders and Jets at home, and that will maybe medicate the bad situation. But the first question for fantasy worries about Drake May, worries about regression for Drake May. This is a quarterback that was number one in completion percentage. Number one in yards per attempt, number one in passer rating.

Right now he's at the fourth highest pass success rate of any quarterback through the first two years. behind Mahomes, Purdy, Dan Marino. Do you think he regresses for fantasy purposes? You'd love to say that AJ Brown, Romeo Dobbs, those additions should ensure that he doesn't, but it's certainly a risk when you have different defenses you're playing. Yeah, a more difficult schedule. I think Drake May proved, I mean, he was the MVP runner-up. He proved he's elite.

I think he's very, very good. Will he regress? And, you know, last year he was the quarterback three in fantasy. I think some of that happened to deal, happened to be gifted with some injuries. Obviously, Lamar was injured. Burrow was injured. So, you know, I feel like he was more like a quarterback five. And I think that's in the range of outcomes here.

A.J. Brown coming is a huge deal for Drake May. He did not really have an alpha to throw to last year. He made it work. I think year two for Trevion Henderson out of the backfield as well. You know, Ramonro is very. really good catching the ball. But I do think that they will transition a little bit more to Trevion in the passing game and that will be more explosive. So I, you know, I think more of the same for Drake May, but the same won't feel as good this year as it did last year because other

players won't be injured. Sometimes I wonder when an alpha comes in here that is as demanding vocal as AJ Brown. Sometimes I wonder if it serves the team or it doesn't when you had I think it does early. Well, you had an offense that was very like the ball could go anywhere, right? It was Booty. It was Hooper and it was Hunter Henry and Diggs. And it was spread around a lot. But it also means you have a great touchdown opportunity on a regular basis with A.J. Brown.

I think mostly my opinion, projecting it in fantasy, I've pretty much played it like Drake May is going to roll it back. Like he's going to run it back with very similar output from a fantasy. perspective. You know, they are a team. We've talked a lot about this. They're a great defense. And Vrable's going to have a great defense. They were number two in points per game, number eight in yards per game.

Something to keep in mind in some of those matchups. But Mike, do you, where did you project Drake May to finish? I still have him being a very solid fantasy player. But there's just, we know historically that he had a 6.3, touchdown percentage. Like when you're up that high, it generally comes down by like a point or so,

or if not more. So there's, it's not a, I don't think he has a flawless path to being a superstar for fantasy purposes, but he, he looks like the real deal.

Like the film stuff is, if you locked in, Jaden Daniels or Drake May and you had to lock him in for the whole year? Uh, man if i had to lock in all year probably probably jaden but jane just is jane's a higher ceiling but higher or lower floor to me of things you know we saw it the bottom could fall out like do you guys make anything of competition wise you get to the playoffs you know theoretically you're playing the best of the best jake may completed 58% of his past in the playoffs.

He threw six touchdowns and four interceptions. Those aren't prolific numbers. He took 21 sacks. Playoffs were not perfect for Drake May. I'm trying to remember all the matchups. I know they played Denver. I know they played Seattle. Did they play Houston?

Remind me. Yeah, they beat the crap out of Houston. Isn't that the Stroud game? Kyle? Well, someone beat the crap out of Houston and was the Stroud game. That's for sure. I mean, that was, they went out.

I'm just trying to think about like what would explain away some of that. And if you played three of the best four defenses in football, might have something to do that. That's the point of bringing that up. Chargers, Houston, Denver, Seattle, yeah. I'm bringing it up of, you're like, okay, well, if they're playing out a more difficult schedule, you're going to have fewer cupcake games. Mm-hmm.

So is that something that people should be factoring in more? Or are we just, you know, whatever. Wheels up, Drake May looks great. And the addition of A.J. Brown can that eliminates some of the concerns with the schedule. Yeah, I think if I had a choice, I'd probably go with, uh, it's gonna be me. Oh, okay. Yeah, I don't know. Okay.

I don't know. I've always hated that drop. So I tried to, I tried to use it for my own, like, purposes. It didn't feel right at all. That's a late April. That's a late April drop. Yeah, I don't know. I like Drake May.

I think the backfield will be, I think Mike would agree. It's going to be frustrating. I love hearing Jason being bullish on Trevo. I think he is a sensational player. I think that should he be given the keys, great things will happen for the team. Great things will happen for fantasy football.

But as we know, running back decisions are, that's who's on the field. the coach puts the players on the field and Vrable. Like last year where you had the Henderson breakout happen where you're getting all the production, it's incredible. And the fact that Ramandre goes right back in, and Ramandre was good. Like this is not a, you know, I have to tell the truth of Ramandre's season. He was a solid player for the Patriots and he was solid for fantasy football. The fact that they went back to him immediately just that worries me for that.

80p gap of, I'm not saying Henderson can't pay off at a fourth round price, but the risk you're taking of him and the fourth and remandre in the seventh when Romandre is probably the starter for the first quarter of the season at least. I don't know how everyone's, everyone to break the pendulum down a little bit differently, but there's a, it's not like guaranteed that Henderson has a better fantasy year than Remandre. And that says, that says something for the fantasy decision making of that. The upside is tremendous. with Trayvion, but there's no guarantee he's the better running back in this back field, production-wise.

That's definitely true. There is, in the range of outcomes, if they, you know, neither guy gets injured. Ramandre could be the goal lineback, could still be on the field more in passing situations and be the better pick. They do like him. Yeah, for sure. And he's under contract for at least, you know, he's under contract, I think, three more years, probably two on the team.

However, I am very bullish on Henderson. and he is the more explosive player. They spent the 38th pick on him, right? Then he goes out in his rookie season, gets 1,100 total yards and 10 touchdowns as a rookie. If you look at what happened on the snaps, so he started so slow. I mean, this was all Remandre.

They brought this rookie along slow. Then an injury forced him on the field, and he dominated. He dominated during that stretch. Ramandre comes back, and what we remember now is, is what happened in the playoffs, where Ramandre took over. But the rest of the season, Ramondre was getting 11 opportunities a game when Remandre and Travo were there to Trayvion Henderson's 14 a game.

Now, how do you explain that in the playoffs? We just talked about this. They played really good, unbelievable defenses where the offense was controlled and more game management. This was a smart decision by Vrabel. They got to the Super Bowl. But I mean, I think that it will flip. Last year on the total, you know, those 1100 yards and 10 touchdowns that we saw from Trevion,

that was on 46% of the snaps. I think it's going to be 60-40 the other way. No, I don't agree with that at all. And that's absolutely fine. You don't have to agree with that. But if it is that, if it's 6040 Trevo, Trayvow will pay off on the fourth. Yes, that I agree with. And so you just have to decide for yourself, do you think Romandre will be the leader of this timeshare?

If so, Trevo is a terrible pick, barring an injury. AJ Brown has arrived. We'll talk about the wide receiver room. I think that AJ Brown is in the realm of players that can finish number one at the position. We always ask that question. Like, what's the true ceiling of the wide receiver position? Our consensus rank on AJ Brown is number nine overall. But I would answer that question if you asked me, like, could he finish at one? I would say yes.

I would say yes, too. I think he's going to be a brilliant year for him. It might be isolated to one New England year, this year. you know, but I think he is a steal in draft. He will demand the ball. He always has. Last year, people were down on him, down on the Eagles offense. Jalen Hertz wasn't that good at passing the ball. A.J. Brown missed a couple of games. He was the wide receiver 10. Now you go to a team that has a pass rate way higher than the Eagles.

They paid to get him. He is the guy. He's got a better quarterback situation throwing the ball. Drake May is a better passer than Jalen Hertz. I am all in on AJ Brown. I'm completely with you. I think that where he's going right now in drafts is a great spot to take him. Second receiving target on this team, is it one of the other wide receivers or is it Hunter Henry? No, it's Dobbs. I mean, you know, long live the reign of Romeo Dobbs being the Patriots wide receiver one.

We had a we had a couple weeks. We had a sweet couple months there. But lost in the AJ Brown stuff is that they gave Romeo Dobbs a good contract. And Romeo Dobbs is, I'm not saying he's an elite player, but he is a very capable wide receiver. Like he was a stabilizer in Green Bay for years. You think eight weeks into the year he'll be on fantasy rosters? I do. Okay.

That's why I want to bring him up of that he's, look, he's barely being drafted as a wide receiver four. and he's going to an MVP caliber quarterback that will have a ton of statistics. There's going to be, like, there's enough production to go to have it be a second player. Does Dobbs get enough consolidated targets? Like, is he up in the low 20s of the target share? Because if he is, then he's going to help rosters. Maybe he's not a league winning type of player, but there's very, very few of those guys each and every year. So you need auxiliary players who can come in and be your wide receiver three or your flex play.

And I think that Romeo Dobbs is in contention to be able to do something like that. Stefan Diggs was 21% of the targets. He's gone. Antonio Gibson's gone. And Austin Hooper is gone. I will just bring up Hunter Henry as the, I think the two most boring, sneaky tight ends you could play with the last pick of your draft are Hunter Henry and Dallas Goddard. Yeah. And Henry just, I mean, it blew my mind to look.

He was the tight end six on the year with 768 yards and seven touchdowns. Just worth saying. I mean, Henry, he had a big role in the red zone. AJ Brown will come in and be more of a role in the red zone. In the red zone. But Henry can give you a game here there in the right matchup when the opponent defense is bad against tight ends. In the red zone, he saw the first read 40% of the time. He's a good player.

He's just solid. Yeah, he's a good bet. He's a touchdown threat where a lot of these late tight ends are just, they're not. not going to air production and they won't have touchdowns. I do think that the addition of A.J. Brown and Dobbs makes me less bullish. Like he has always, for the last several years, been one of those. I'm at the last round of my draft. I need a tight end. I'm always been fine taking Hunter Henry. He's probably not going to make that cut. I'd rather have Dallas Goddard in that situation.

You know, ironically, A.J. Brown leaves one team, goes to the other. I'll take the one where the targets are vacated. We'll take a break and we'll jump into the bills. No, they didn't win the division, but they did go 12 and 5 and have a successful year once again. The Vegas win total last year was 11 and a half. They won 12 games. Yeah, 11 and a half, they won 12 games. There were 5 and 3 and 1 score games. They only had 5 games against teams with a winning record.

So to bring that up, you got to be fair with every team in this division. And, you know, they were very healthy on the offensive side of the ball. Not a lot of injuries there. very injured on the defensive side of the ball. Their Vegas projected wind total has gone down from 11 and a half to 10 and a half going into this year. Third in points per game, third in yards per game. The big move this offseason, a big change at head coach.

Joe Brady, well, maybe not a big change, but a change, right? It's no change. It's gone. Culture has changed. No more 9-11 analogies in the locker room. Oh, my gosh. Oh, man. That was real.

It's funny because it became a meme and it was... It was joked about for McDurray. It's like... It actually happened. Yeah. Yeah. Well, Joe Brady's taking over. Pete Carmichael's the OC, but Joe Brady was the OC and we'll have his fingerprints

all over the... Like, that's good for fantasy for us. Like we... It is. When you look at, you know, the two main players on Buffalo that fantasy players care about, James Cook, Josh Allen. Those are the identity of the team. And when the head coach is...

is the former offensive coordinator, you know that there's the stability, the expectation that this is going to be that run first team, that James Cook is going to have a huge role once again. The headline making move, DJ Moore acquired via trade. No more Brandon Cook's Gabe Davis, Curtis Samuel, on the rotating offensive side of the football at wide receiver, but they also drafted Skylar Bell in the fourth round worth mentioning.

Are you expecting more of the same from this office? offense and how early is too early for Josh Allen in a fantasy draft? I think Josh Allen is a good pick, like period. So if you want to take him at the two, three turn, that's earlier than I would want to take him. That's earlier than he usually goes. I don't think it's a bad pick because Josh Allen has been so solid. I saw some statistics on the percentage of teams that make the playoffs with Josh Allen over the last several years. and it is an enormous number. And he's been drafted all over the place.

A couple years ago, he was drafted even higher. He was a second round pick. And people who drafted him made the playoffs. When he's a third round pick, people who drafted him, they made the playoffs. It's a, you know, it's like one of those were late round quarterback. We want the value. That's all great. And that's a good strategy as well.

But Josh Allen's so solid. I just don't think it's ever a bad pick to great, to draft a guy that's going to score a ton of fantasy points in a game where we're trying to score fantasy points. It's pretty good strategy. Is James Cook a guaranteed first round pick for you? He said basically double birds to the TD regression. Well, I mean, he can say that, but he

we got it. We did? The touchdown regression was massive. Two years ago, he had 207 carries and 16 rushing touchdowns. He had 12 rushing touchdowns this year on 309 carries. So the touchdown percentage? Yeah, no, we got it. We smashed it.

We got it. But he managed to find a way through. But then he got 100 more carries. He's one of the two workhorses. And he's one of the two workhorses. And he needs to be thought of that way and the same breath is the great ones out there. He is. The Bejones and CMCs. The thought is just hitting me now

of, because we were talking about last year, the conversation, there was a conversation of like, okay, well, James Cook, 200 carries, like, 237 the year before. And then they give him the huge contract. And you're like, this only makes sense

if you give him a bunch more volume, which he did and he thrived. And I'm bringing this of just a quick callback of like the Alec Pierce discussion of when you give a player that level of contract, you better use that player or you

look real, real dumb. And they did. And James Cook came through. And he's, yeah, he's an easy safe, high upside, high floor pick. 11 games of 80 plus rushing yards was the most in the NFL. Barely caught the football, but didn't need to. I mean, you felt it last year. If you look across your matchup and you saw James Cook on the other side, you went, oh, no. Well, he had breakaway runs, too. It was like, he was very explosive. That combo was great. DJ Moore gets

reunited with Joe Brady, who was his offensive coordinator in Carolina. That's one thing. Like, I'm going to try to talk more positively about DJ Moore. I want to try and, because we've been make the case for both sides. We've been pretty negative. on DJ Moore because look the case for that is it's very easy he's 29 year eight in the NFL he was bad last year he was bad last year he's changing teams at a late point into his career that's not generally something that that works out but he is going back to a coach who he's played for and joe brady in march guys let's see if you agree with this quote joe brady said five years it's a long time but the player i saw on the 2025 tape wasn't any different i didn't see any drop off

then he wasn't watching much. Well, I think I understand it because the DJ more of the last couple of years in Chicago has been a DJ more that makes a just out of nowhere outstanding great play. Just wasn't a focal point of the offense. When he was with Joe Brady and Carolina, 1,100 yards, 4 touchdowns, 1,100 yards, 4 touchdowns. If they want to make him that, I guess I'm just trying to say, like, if you could give a three-sentence summary of the bull case for DJ Moore. Because at this point in the sixth round,

you're not paying the digs arrives in Buffalo price. Well, that was actually super cheap too. Yeah, because we didn't like John Allen. Stefan Diggs was like a six-round pitch. Yes. It is a very similar situation. The question is whether or not DJ Moore still got it. If he does, the range of outcomes, like we said with AJ, Brown. Like what is the best case scenario? The best case scenario is he is their alpha target. He

has 150 targets. If he has 150 targets, then you're talking about a guy who from Josh Allen, he's a wide receiver one. You know, I don't think if he's up near 30% target share, he's falling to the, you know, to a wide receiver two. So he is not a terrible pick if you want to take a bet on the bill's offense. I won't be doing that. I think I just have too much of odds on him not being necessary for this offense, having his good games, being involved. But I mean, we're going back multiple years now where Josh Allen's been great. The offense has been great. And they didn't really need one wide receiver to carry the load. I agree with that. We've been excited about Shakir, Coleman, Cooks, Curtis Samuel before, like, Amarie Cooper when he arrived. I think we have been

excited about a bunch of names that we think could become the next digs because he was good enough. So that's the question. And I think most of us would say we don't know if DJ Moore has that enough. I mean, it's just like the Chiefs. No one's been good enough. Dalton Kincaid, out of the list, by the way, of

players with high expectations that have never become a focal point. But for DJ Moore, you know, this was, I recall talking about the post-mortem looking back on Stefan Diggs, who I was wrong. I was wrong the Stefan Diggs year because I was so out on Josh Allen making the best turnaround

a quarterback in the NFL has ever seen got that one wrong but looking back at it was the risk was baked into the ADP you know there's other guys who are in the six round that I so there is an opportunity cost there's players in that area that I really love but it's like if you're in on DJ Moore at all it's he's wide receiver 32 and he finished as the wide receiver were 33 last year. Like, so it's all just inherently in there that you are, you're not, it's not like AJ Brown's a second round pick. Right.

Yeah, you don't have to pay a lot. For the player who, he has to be the number one wide receiver. I feel like we had the nicest conversation we've definitely ever had by DJ Morris Sox season, which that was nice of us. He got to, like, you got to look at what, where could you be wrong in your analysis? They're favored in five of their first. six games, but I will say there's some tough defensive matchups in there. They start against Houston in Houston. They play New England in week four. They play against the Rams in that defense

in Los Angeles in week five. So I think it's a pretty level start to the year, even though they're favored in five of six. One last follow up there, Dalton Kincaid. Yes, I didn't want you to move on before talking about Kincaid. I think it's an important conversation for this year because he is very affordable. I think he's going to be in double-digit rounds. No one really wants him. He's just been viewed mostly as a bust for his career, even though he was very exciting coming in. He's just dealt with injuries. His lingering, it was

PCL, I think, that he really struggled with all last year. Camstring. Camstring. It all came from this knee injury. He kept getting a doctor, multiple opinions, whether he needs surgery or not. Last year, he finished as the Titan 15,

okay? He played 27% of the bill snaps, offensive snaps. I mean, he was really not on the field. Even in the games that he played, it was only 38% of snaps. I just did a little research report on his current health, and he took multiple doctor visits. All of them said he didn't need surgery, so he rehab. He was the same doctors from last year. No, no, no. What I was saying earlier was actually from this offseason. The most recent reports is talking from him that he feels the best he's felt in forever. He hasn't even thought about it. The knee is no longer an issue for him.

right now, not that it can't come up again, but it's great because all last year, it was an issue for him every single game the whole year. That's why his snaps were so limited on a yards per route run basis. He was the best. He led all tight ends. So if he's actually healthy and what we've seen in the last couple of years is, a little sleeper candidate. Yeah, a little sleeper candidate tight end.

If you're in the end of your drafting, you don't have one, I would, I would, you know, in double digits, round 11, I'd pull the trigger. All right, let's take a break and we'll come back with the dolphins. All right, guys, I know you've been dying to talk about the dolphins. Their projected win total last year was eight and a half. They went seven and ten. The projected win total of this year is an abysmal four and a half. When you look at the players subtracted from this team,

it is just reading the offense to you. Player subtractions. Tuo, Tyreek, Waddle, Westbrook Aquino, Darren Waller. Quarterbacks and past catchers. Let's take Mike McDaniel as well. Yeah, and your head coach, your offensive genius of a head coach. The offense was nuked.

They are playing for 2027. Obviously, they brought in. Haefley. Yep. They brought in the Packers. All entirely. Like the Packers backup guys, they became the new starters here, including their backup quarterback.

Their player additions list includes Jalen Tolbert, Two to Outwell and Terrace Marshall Jr. All three of which are considered mediocre at best. They added Caleb Douglas in the draft in the third round, Chris Bell in the third round. It's hard to have high expectations of those guys. But if you want, like you know what you have in Tolbert Outwell and Terrace Marshall. Which is nothing. And probably, yeah, and Malik Washington.

And so you look at this ensemble of options and you say, well, there's just no I would pick. Maybe one of them will help Malik be relevant, but I can't pick one. I had Kyle look into, because they are an NFL team, they will throw. Yeah, they have to play four quarters. They have to play four quarters every game. So the fact that right now, no one is being drafted at a wide receiver in the top 36, it's like, well, one of them has to emerge, right?

So I had him look at teams that were healthy. Because every year you've got, you know, maybe the best wide receiver on the team was wide receiver 60 because, you know, the healthiest wide receiver played eight games. There's plenty of examples in history where a healthy wide receiver core has absolutely nothing of relevance. And this is a very predictable one of those. If you want to take a shot on one of their rookies, Caleb Douglas or Chris Bell, to have a surprise breakout, okay. But I'm not going to. Yeah, it's just a tough sell on the offensive. of the football outside of

Y-J. Devon A-chan, which on one hand, you're like, well, this offense is going to struggle. They're not projected to win a lot of games. That's not good for running backs. The offense struggled. They didn't win a bunch of games,

and he was there last year. That's it, you know. But they're set up for Warren Sharp's second toughest schedule of 2026. They're coming off a year where I just deleted their five best offensive players, and they were 25th in yards per game last year. It's hard to make a strong case

for them winning a lot of football games. Hopefully they can win some fantasy football games with some spot starts from Malik Willis, who is a very mobile quarterback. That is a superpower. I think it's a QB stash late in drafts. You can look to Green Bay, the scramble rate, 14.5%.

He ran for 4,1, 73, and 60 yards in his three starts. That's incredible. I mean, if you do that over the course of a year, it's big numbers. But it is going to feel a little bit like Malik and A-chan against the world, I think, at least in my view. So where are you at with A-chan?

Because he is an early second-round pick. So you're talking, this is a foundation of your roster. You can't miss, like you don't want to miss on your second-round pick. It puts you in a huge hole. He's a great player. Last year, 40% of his production came from receiving. And that's not what historically Malik has done. We have a different quarterback, which, you know,

mobile quarterbacks, you lose a couple targets here and there. You also don't have it. We have when you have a quarterback like to you know that you're going to get a bunch of checkdown. It's like the Phillip Rivers. You have certain quarterbacks who this is what they do. It's part of their MO.

I don't have fear. Okay. And that's your, I have them ranked very high. And part of it is go look at the game log last year. They had games go sideways all over the place. This was the most consistent running back in football. You know what his consistency ranking is? A hundred percent.

100%. So every game he played. What's funny about that is our metric for that for running back is you want to hit 10 and a half fantasy points a game. He did that 100% of his games. His lowest score all year was 11.3. I mean, he was basically 15 points

a game every single game unfathomably consistent last year. There's just some things that he possesses in my opinion that make him more invulnerable to bad games. one was the receiving work, yes. Maybe that is a variable that is going to be a problem. Two, it's the big plays.

It's the long runs. The 49-yard touchdown. The 46-yard touchdown. The 59-yard touchdown. 39, 29, 23. When you can make a big play, I mean, they lost games 33 to 8. He's the running back 10 in that game. I mean, 45 to 20.

He's the running back 15. I know that it's not going to stay this good, but I just believe in the player's talent. And then the other. Part of that conversation is... I don't like Atlanta's offense, but I like Bichon. We went over the wide receivers. I think Malik Washington is at least interesting

as a complete and total dart throw at the very, very end of late drafts. But last year, you lose Tyreek, but you had Waddle for the majority of the season. You have a true number one wide receiver that the teams have to worry about. If they have no one at the past catching position that you have to worry about,

and you can completely focus on A chain. I definitely worry about A-Chin. I think the talent is totally something you can bet on. The opportunity is something you can bet on. When those two things come together, I'm not going to say that he's going to be a bust, but where he is going in drafts feels like he's going ahead of Gentian, Hampton, and most ADP right now.

I would prefer those other guys personally. Right, and so he might stay there. I do think last year he had 12 total touchdowns. I couldn't possibly project him to get 12 total touchdowns on this offense. I can't possibly project him to receive the same targets that he had with Tua with Malik. So it's not going to be as good as last year. It's not. But he is super talented and he will get so much more.

Yeah. Well, they were a good offense two years ago. Two straight years. I just think the challenge for you is going to be like this team, how many total touchdowns do they score on the year? Exactly. Right. But if it's 30, try giving them to some. somebody else. That's the hard part in the projection thing is this offense. They paid him.

I mean, he got the big check this off season. They're going to be a weird team. They're just going to be a very, very weird team to see if we can find fantasy value. You can't look at an offense that's projected for four and a half wins and not say there's not some risk with HN, even though he's been that good. But I do think he's in the same tier to me, talent wise, as Gibbs, Beziong, those guys. Worth. And Greg Dulcich, for goodness. Okay, that's, I was going to bring it up. Did you want to say something else on H-Champ? We mentioned Dalton, Dalton Kincaid was at 2.73 yards per route run, hyper-efficient. Part of that is the low, you know, the low snaps. Greg Dulcich, on very low snaps as well, 2.38 yards per route run.

And then they bring him back. He is their best, why? He's their best receiver outside of Aegean. Unless Chris Bell, like Chris Bell was supposed to be a, He's healthy. A first round wide receiver who tore his knee, right? Yeah. And then, uh, tore it right off. Just made Dan Campbell proud.

Oh. Oh. Oh. That is, that drop did not work very well the last time. Was it last applied to Levion? I think so. That was a long time. A bell told for the player who.

I'm staring at some old drops here, guys. I, you know how many folders I had to go on for that? that's it that's in there to go to the Levy on Bell folder that's in there with a carry on son also

I believe you've met my fitness consignal area Michelle Sony Michelle Sony Michelle yeah there's some old

there's some old stuff some old stuff in there AJ Dylan all right well we got to get some new new drops here I think Dulcich is a great sleeper pick

I do you're going to be coming from behind in almost every game you play they are the first five games of the year, road game against the Raiders,

road game against the Niners, Kansas City, Minnesota, Cincinnati, L, L, L, L, L, L, L, potential to start the year. Well, it's like, profile-wise, super athletic. I was dressed up as him for Halloween. He's a super athletic player

that matters at the tight-in position, and very strong chance he's the number one receiving option other than the running back. You know, odds are, very, very against him, but these types of players, they, they pop up. Yep. No, I, uh, I think that he is one of the more interesting names on a team that seems mostly uninteresting. Yeah.

Speaking of the Jets, three and 14 last year with a projected win total of five and a half. Oh, man. Three and five and one score games. I remember the dance. Yeah, by, um, by coach. Oh, wait, and then they, then they lost the game. And then they lost the game. Oh, my God. The vibes are better this year than they were. last year. The Jets were tied or trailing in 93% of their snaps? They lost by 11.5.5 points a game. Their schedule looks much better, but the projected win total is the same. Five and a half brutal division that nobody's won in how many? 17 years. Is that what I said? Other than the Patriots and Bills? Yeah. The Jets haven't won in forever. Is it? So the Jets have not been

their last playoff appearance was 2010, which that puts them, they're like the longest. The Falcons are 2017. Like, 2010 is incredible. That's 16 years. That seems impossible. And yet? What? Get it together, man. They didn't make the playoffs with Farrf?

Well, I mean, the last appearance, I think, was Sanchez in 2010, right? Sanchez was after Farr. We're old, right? I guess so, man. Holy moly. When did Brett Farr play? The Jets'

Last win was Sanchez. Yeah, January 16th, 20, 11. Oh, wow. 9 and 7th. Sanchez threw three touchdown passes to beat the Patriots 28, 21. Crazy.

Oh, Mangini was the coach. You guys remember Eric Mangini? He was, it was Rex with Sanchez. Yes, it was. But I do remember Eric Mangini. Yeah, what a great intro for this team. He was great, and then he just took park carburetors.

Went to work as a mechanic, I assume. Just based on looks. Oh my gosh. I didn't see Mangini slander coming up on today's episode. He looked like a mechanic to you? You can't pass up your opportunity to dunk on Eric Mangini. That's double A MCO. Offensive rank 29th points per game, 29th and yards per game.

defensive ranked 31st in points per game. Aaron Glenn did such a good job that he did the worst job possible. And then he fell on his sword by cutting everyone else with his sword. It was him. It was you. It was you. He blamed everyone. He said someone calling an ambulance, but not for me.

I mean, dude. How about the 64-year-old? He massacred his ghost. He massacred. You suck. Get out of you. That's had to roll after last year and it wasn't going to be his.

I can't believe he kept his job. I can't believe this guy got another job. Frank Reich, 64 years old, the oldest OC in the NFL. The last two times we saw him at the NFL level, I thought the league had passed him by. But there are those out there that look at Reich and say, look, this is an NFL level offensive coordinator that should be able to put his players in the best position to succeed.

Do you know who those people are, Andy? Jets fans? No. Oh. These are people who have had Garrett Wilson on their dynasty roster the whole time. Yeah. And each and every year, we have to look at the idiotic moves that the Jets have made, and we have to convince ourselves that our superstar wide receiver will actually get a chance.

When 64-year-old Frank Wright class had opportunities, he had the lowest motion rate on dropbacks of any play caller. Because motion, that's not a big part of the game today, right? Mike, how does that make you feel? Motion and play action. Your eyes rolled into the back of your head. Look, I'm not a NFL coach. I am not a college or high school coach. But you pay attention to what the good coaches do?

But I know what the good offenses do. They do a lot of play action because it. Because you're always more efficient. We got to establish the run. No, you don't. You just have to fake it. It just works. And so does motion.

Like, these things matter. You have to pay attention to what's going on in the NFL. Kyle, give me the top, I'll give you a second, but give me the top three teams in motion rate. I'm just curious. That will be fascinating. Give me those numbers. I bet it won't take you long to find them. New additions.

Kenyon, Sadiq, 16th pick in the draft. Omar Cooper Jr., 30th pick in the draft. Two offensive weapons. Two first rounders. This is how bad the Jets are. That a super athletic, exciting, tight end, a first round wide receiver off a national championship team. And we're like, nah. I have little to no interest.

I think that this offense is interesting. I am interested in the Jets offense. Now, I have little to no interest in those two specific rookies because of how they're going to be used in the office as a whole. But this defense is not good. Gino Smith can at least accumulate stats. We don't mind interceptions, you know, in fantasy football. James was king of providing us a lot of passing yards.

I do think with the weapons they have with Brees Hall, with Garrett Wilson, the new additions of these two rookies, their offensive line is a little better. The offense should very, you know, maybe not to the level that the Cardinals at the second half of last year as a terrible team, but just that could actually go and score. I see potential for the Jets offense this year in fantasy. Like I'm pretty in on Garrett Wilson. Are you in on Breece? And Breece, it depends on where he is in the draft. that really I like Brice at a point

but I think he has limited upside. 310. Do you like him at 310? R.B. 15 off the board? Yeah. The 3-4 turn, I think that's an appropriate spot. Message for Frank Reich. The top five coaches, offensive coordinators in motion rate. Since 2021. Mike McDaniel.

Okay. Great offense. Considered an offensive genius. Ben Johnson. Okay. Yeah. KOC. Last year sucked, but overall. But overall, great team's here. Shane Steichen. Turned it around. And Sean McVey.

Hmm. Hmm. Hmm. I don't want to do it. I don't want them to move. Get to put your feet in the concrete. I'll tell you who would run zero motion. Kyle Borgenoni. Oh, really? Yeah. Because he's like, oh, it's what the good people do?

I won't do it. Oh, a contrarian take. Yeah. Just, Frank Reich, handshake, Kyle Borgon. Right? I bring that up because He used the Frank Reich of our company I bring that up because Meowson Taylor remains on the New York Jets very famous second round pick

Mason Taylor who we discussed at length and I may have referred to him. Is that nickname of the year? It had to be. It had to have been. Yeah. Because I brought that up because I watched Mason Taylor I don't see any dog. This dude doesn't, he catches and he falls down. That plays out over the course of

an NFL season where he fails to to force a single miss tackle. This is, and he's a featured part of the office. He's not trying to. I bring this up because now Kyle's like, I'm rooting for Mason Taylor. And I'm like, what are you doing? With Sadiq arriving? Yeah, I don't know.

It's just Kyle. It's just Kyle. It's just Kyle. The case for Breeze Hall, look, more scoring opportunities would go a long way. It was fourth and explosive run rate on a bad, bad, bad team. 47th and touchdown rate. it's not too different than the can A chance survive in Miami to the can Brees all survive in New York they're going to just be key cogs of the offense both got

paid this offseason both teams committed to them as their main running back so look I like my running backs to be on winning teams but everybody's got a call or a or a featureback that can catch the football and and Brees can do that. Yeah he can but I mean, I'm not worried about Braylon Allen or Isaiah Davis. I'm not worried about them as players. I am worried about their coach making stupid decisions and being like. Which one?

The head coach or Reich? They have both, honestly. But I mean, even last year, it didn't work out. We didn't get to see exactly how it was going to shake out because Braylon Allen got hurt very quickly. But Glenn continually talked about I want to use three running backs. I want to use three. And he still has said that. Yeah, but that's annoying.

I agree. And when you get into the game, we always say you can have your plan, but then eventually you've got to get your best players out there. But it is a concern, but it is also, it's factored into the ADP of Brees. Now, Sadiq, we've, during the draft process, we were not as bullish on Sadiq,

but he is not by any means a bad prospect. This is a really good prospect, super athlete. I feel like I was very neutral. You were not a fan of his tape compared to Lake Stowers. I was not a fan. of his team the production. Compared to his projected and official draft capital. He was like a top 10 potential pick.

Yeah, exactly. And you're like, you didn't think that belonged to. Correct. But I do think he is very talented. He's got a 95th percentile Felix score. So this is someone that needs to be remembered and looked at. If you want to take a shot in, you know, I don't know where he's going in drafts right now. But this would be, let's say.

I mean, not drafted, basically. Yeah. So then, you know, your last round, if you want to take a swing on this, Gino obviously has thrown to tight ends. Frank Reich has had a lot of success with tight ends in some of his systems. They spent a lot of capital on him. So it's weird for me to be, you know, saying don't forget about the rookie tight end. It's a little off brand.

But you should be off. You should be off brand. I'm going to jump in real quick. Mason Taylor did not win nickname of the year. Oh, okay. This guy did. Oh. But

Mason Taylor did take home a footie For a new category The Meow Man of the Year So he took that home Yeah, he was the only one nominated But he did take it home Here's what I will say He ran unopposed

It's a small distraction But in the vein of Sadiq, the rookie tight ends The news right now out of Philadelphia is that Stowers is firmly third on the tight end Oh yeah, I didn't know Stowers is not on the radar It's one of the reasons why We've talked so much We know Devante Smith's going to be heavily involved in an offense.

But my goodness, Dallas Goddard is going to be involved in that offense. It's not a name anybody wants to be excited about. But Stowers is not a part of the picture. And Goddard has always benefited with one of those wide receivers was out. And it's just worth throwing out there. We can talk about it again when we get to the NFC. Garrett Wilson, where are you with his ADP? Right now I'm seeing wide receiver 17 around there in the middle of the fourth.

I adore it. Oh, yeah. I'm pretty bullish. I have Garrett Wilson right now as my wide receiver 12. So he sneaks in at a wide receiver one. I believe that this offense and defense combination. The offense defense combination and the passing game upgrade over the quarterback of last. Nobody likes Gino more than you this year.

You are so into Gino. It's not that I think Gino is good. Gino is Jacoby Brissette. He is totally fine to throw... That's what you're hoping for. That's what I expect. Okay, I'm just saying like Gino was not DeGlovy Riverset when he played football last year.

Yeah, but Gino has support... He was too rash. Like, he supported enough, you know, look at how he targeted Genti. Obviously, Brock Powers when he was playing. When Brock was playing, he was great. Yeah. It's a very limited sample there.

But the statement... But the Jets believe in him, and I don't know if that's a good sign. Every single year, you're like, Oh, well, he's playing with the best quarterback that he's been able to play with. For Garrett? Yeah. Guys like this, that often comes up.

But Gino is more capable for fantasy production than Justin Fields was. Yeah, because he's going to throw him more. Yes, that's what I mean. And Garrett Wilson, to start last year, was, it's lost to all of time. Garrett Wilson was awesome for fantasy football. There was tons of tons of garbage. Do you guys realize something special? I realize so many special things.

The New York Jets or the Tennessee Titans are starting the year one or no. No. Because they play each other? They're facing each other in week one. So the Titans or the Jets. Where is it? Tennessee. It's in Tennessee.

So the Jets are underdogs against Tennessee. Then they go play Green Bay at home, then Detroit, then Chicago, then Cleveland, then New England. Oh, oh, mercy. So any chain? How do you think Gino's... They could be 0 and 6. How many... I want to put this down on the board somewhere.

Six weeks into the year, I want the interception total with that gauntlet of his schedule for Gino Smith. Okay. And let's inform this a little bit because we didn't talk about him too much. Gino Smith, the newly minted quarterback of the New York Jets last year, he began the year with... Just for... What did I say? The first six weeks? Mm-hmm. his first six weeks last year,

if you put them out over the year, he would have been on pace for 28 picks and 51 sacks taken. Nice. Okay. So four, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 interceptions in his first 6 last year. Give me the number. I'm going to say 8 through his first 6.

I'll go under 10. I'll say 6. Okay. Give me 7. Give me 7 picks for Gino Smith. There you go. There's your Jets. Is this? I'm trying to look up the Jets' total passing yards as an offense last year, and I'm seeing $2,300. That can't be right.

Do you remember who led the New York Jets and receiving yards? No. Garrett Wilson. Oh, but he didn't play the whole year. He played seven games. 395 yards. Can someone bet that it didn't really throw for 23805 yards? 2300.

What? Yeah, Gino's an upgrade. Yeah. He is. Gino can beat that. He's an upgrade. That doesn't mean he's good. No, exactly. Gino's not good.

I mean, Gino's not good. I mean, Gino was on pace for $3,500 last year. There you go. Through for $4,300 the year prior. If he gets $3,000, things are looking up, guys. I mean, $2,300 for an NFL franchise, they get 17 games. That's not, that's insane. Garrett Wilson.

I'm going to, this will be fun the way to close the show. You ready? Quarterbacks Garrett Wilson is. caught a touchdown from it. Okay, this is exactly what we're talking about. Tyrod Taylor. Okay. Pro bowler. Tim Boyle. Mike White. Zach Wilson. He was awesome with Mike White, actually. By the way, this is, top three in a draft bit. Yeah, Zach Wilson threw two to him, Joe Flacco, Aaron Rogers through six. Yeah. He played with Strevler. He played with Trevor Simeon. He played with Brady Cook.

Is he cursed? What have they done? What have they done to my boy? just giving him a you know a lot to handle all right divisional predictions I'm going I like this one

I know my I'm going Buffalo New England the Jets and Miami That is exactly what mine is as well I will go Buffalo New England

Miami Jets okay there you go we conquered the incredible AFC East and all those four juggernauts just

New York, get serious. Like, have a heart to heart with each other. Their break from playoff appearances is seven years to the next closest team. I know there's management. I know there's people in suits. And these people in suits sit at a big table, probably with real fancy glass holding them in this room. Have a serious conversation. Get real.

The name, the jets, there's not like jet exhaust pumped into those rooms that is throwing them off or anything, is there? I there's something going on. They belong in that. Stop cash and checks and win some games. They belong in the special club with us, the Cardinals and the Browns. And right, I mean, work in their way really hard to get into that group is the Falcons. Let me say that. Falcons are the second longest drought from a playoffs.

Yeah, the difference is the Falcons usually get close to the playoffs most years. They're like, they're never, you know, they're winning seven games like all the time. the Jets, when they're bad, they're often, I mean, winless type of season? Yeah, they're just putrid. If you had to bet your house on Aaron Glenn being the starting. Oh, no, I would, oh, I would double up whatever, whatever. I mean, Aaron Glenn being the coach in 2027 is an impossibility.

It's impossible that he is. Even with all those numbers, G-note puts up for him? I if if Aaron Glenn is the coach in week 18 I will be blown away that one I can see because maybe they just want to keep losing I don't know yeah they're there I think they're with the Cardinals of they're going to be doing what they can they'm saying they not the players not the coaches but the up top they're going to be trying to as a Cardinals fan I just need the Jets and the Dolphins to go one and one against each other it's very important We have our goals. AFC West on our next episode, Broncos Chargers, Chiefs, and Raiders, and then on Thursday we'll be tackling a mock draft episode before getting into the NFC divisional breakdowns.

I mentioned the UDK, ultimatedrafticate.com, the live show, ballerslive.com for tickets on that. And the community, of course, the Foot Clan, the Mighty, the Strong, join the Foot.com. You can check that out over there. If you sign up for Foot Clan Ultimate, you'll get everything we ever release always for free, part of the membership.

So you can check that out. And we'll be back on Tuesday. Bye, everybody. Thank you for listening to another episode of the Fantasy Footballers podcast. Join our fantasy football community on Jointhefoot.com. And follow us on Twitter at the FFballers.