Fantasy Footballers - Fantasy Football Podcast - Bonus Episode! 10 Things to Remember for 2024 - Fantasy Football Podcast for 8/10

Episode Date: August 10, 2024

A BONUS Saturday episode to get you ready for the 2024 fantasy football season! Today, we are revisiting a classic episode from February of this year discussing things we vowed to remember heading int...o the upcoming season. With fantasy football drafts approaching, it’s a good time to look back and avoid the same mistakes! Manage your redraft, keeper, and dynasty fantasy football teams with the #1 fantasy football podcast. -- Fantasy Football Podcast for August 10th, 2024. 2024 ULTIMATE DRAFT KIT is available now at UltimateDraftKit.com Connect with the show: Subscribe on YouTube Visit us on the Web Support the Show Follow on X Follow on Instagram Join our Discord Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Hey, Foot Clan, Andy here, and we've got a surprise for you. It's a weekend release of a little bonus episode. In fact, a blast from the past. Every year we record a 10 Things to Remember episode. In fact, we recorded one on February 29th this year with 10 things we wanted to remember from the past season of fantasy football, and we thought it would be a great time to give you a bonus episode, release it this weekend weekend and remember exactly what
Starting point is 00:00:25 we remembered from the 2023 fantasy football season we thought it would be helpful so we're going to give you an abridged version of that episode starting right now welcome to the fantasy footballers podcast with your hosts, Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, and Mike Wright. Welcome in. Excited to have you with us, the Fantasy Footballers Podcast. Jason Moore, Mike, the Fantasy Hitman Wright. I'm Andy Holloway. Welcome in one and all. We've got a fun show, the 10 Things to Remember episode.
Starting point is 00:01:23 Fresh off of a, as far as I'm concerned, fantastic season of fantasy football. Oh, and a great year. Great year, right? Great year for the show. Great year for me personally. Yeah, I mean, just I had a good time. So there's lots to remember. I mean, Jason, you probably remember the playoffs.
Starting point is 00:01:41 I remember my championship. I think Papa Josh. What in 2022? When was that? Papa Josh, you probably remember a lot from this past year too, right? I mean, you had a good time. It was a great time, except for the ending. Yeah, so we're doing our 10 things to remember.
Starting point is 00:01:56 Jason, did all of your items this year on the show, as we count them down later, did they all come from your little black book? Yeah, basically. This year, it was one of those things where I wanted to remember them in the moment. Because we're all goldfish, other than Mike. Right. That's why I don't even remember your championship from 2022. Right, thank you.
Starting point is 00:02:30 So it's like when I see these lessons, in fact, one of the things that I am bringing up today was something I told Brooks on the show, mid-show. I was like, hey, Brooks, you got to remind me to bring this up on the things to remember because it was a lesson we had learned. And I'm like, this is something I can't forget. I forgot all about it. So Brooks brought it up. Brooks brought it up because that was his job. He was ordered to do it, and he obeyed well. And so, yeah, thank you, Brooks. So, Jay, when you are post-mortem, we'll put it that way,
Starting point is 00:02:58 is your little black book going to be the thing that's auctioned off? Yeah, probably. Probably. You know, like the celebrity stuff. Is it just numbers and stats and little notes? Little love notes. Do you have some memoirs in there? No, it's all...
Starting point is 00:03:12 I got one for you. Okay. Today I traded CeeDee Lamb for Jalen Waddle. Yeah. Was that in there? No. Less of a diary. Okay.
Starting point is 00:03:23 It's just pictures of stick men. Yeah. There's nothing in that book, man. There's nothing. Less of a diary. Okay. It's just pictures of stick men. Yeah. There's nothing in that book, man. Oh, my gosh. That's the great trick. All these years later, you've never written anything in it. No one has ever actually seen inside, so you don't know what the contents are. And someday after I die, you're going to go over there and you're going to open the book,
Starting point is 00:03:42 and you're going to turn page by page. You're going to say, this book book is empty these are all blank pages there's literally nothing in this book just a few braveheart quotes in there um let's jump in don't forget to remember these things. All right. Well, this should be fun. I'm looking forward to hearing what you guys have in store. I have not previewed any of your different things to remember.
Starting point is 00:04:18 Number 10. Number 10. Quarterback loyalty gets you zero fantasy points and um that was really really true this year it's something to remember was it moving forward um because last year we saw a resurgence in a willingness to draft some quarterbacks early right for that, we had just come off the Jalen Hurts, Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes year. And it kind of reminded me of like, you know, Aaron Rodgers had like a ton of seasons at number one. And so he felt like a completely sure thing
Starting point is 00:04:56 where you would draft him for a number of years in fantasy. So there was some willingness last year, but I'm going to tell you right here, right now, if you draft a quarterback early or even in the middle of the draft, it is very natural to feel like you are committed to that player. You're drafting a onesie position, so you only start one quarterback if you're non-superflex. And a lot of the times, you know, we spend months preparing for our drafts and we think we have conviction about a certain player, and we take them.
Starting point is 00:05:27 And if you take them at quarterback, you're naturally taking a big name, right? These are the headline makers in the NFL. They're the ones that make or break games. And so, you know, even if you're taking a Justin Herbert and he's the sixth quarterback off the board, that's a big name. You feel committed to those players. This year, Patrick Mahomes was the number one quarterback off the board. That's a big name. You feel committed to those players. This year, Patrick Mahomes was the number one quarterback off the board. He was the quarterback 19 from week eight on.
Starting point is 00:05:52 Now, Josh Allen was great. Jalen Hurts, pretty good, although it slowed down at the end. Lamar Jackson was the quarterback 17 for a six-game stretch. Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert both got hurt. Justin Fields missed time. Trevor Lawrence was not good. Deshaun missed time. Trevor Lawrence was not good. Deshaun Watson missed time. And was not good.
Starting point is 00:06:09 And was not good. If you show loyalty to players at the quarterback position for too long, you cost yourself. People won championships this year with Dak Prescott, who really didn't start the year well at all, was a 10th quarterback off the board in the late eighth round. And there were a lot of people hesitant to move on from players that they drafted. I mean, Russell Wilson was somebody that was a relatively interesting pick for people to make last year. And if you had been loyal to Russell Wilson last year, when you saw
Starting point is 00:06:43 things going downhill in Denver, he was that cautionary tale then. This year, you had been loyal to Russell Wilson last year when you saw things going downhill in Denver, he was that cautionary tale then. This year you had a number of those guys. Trevor Lawrence, I think, would fit that mold a lot. He ended the year so strong, and people were probably starting Trevor Lawrence too long. Yeah, I think the best example from this last year of remember this for next year that things don't stay the same at the quarterback position
Starting point is 00:07:04 is the Dak Prescott and Tua conversation. remember this for next year that things don't stay the same at the quarterback position is the Dak Prescott and Tua conversation because the first five weeks of the seat once you're five weeks in and you're going into week six you feel like you understand everything you feel like oh I got it I know I know who's what's what and Tua was like locked in every week you've got to start him he was the quarterback five Dak worthless He was the quarterback five. Dak, worthless. He was the quarterback 21. It's like, you know, we know. We know how this season's going to end. Tua's a superstar and Dak sucks.
Starting point is 00:07:32 And then if you played that out and you just stayed put and you had the loyalty, the brand loyalty to the quarterbacks that started hot or that you drafted high, it did not work out outside of Josh Allen. Right, and even Mahomes my homes right it wasn't just these like later picks like tua and dac like my homes was the hardest on people yeah because you felt completely stuck um i i know that you know a lot of people that had my homes also had cj stroud right they picked him up off of the waiver wire and then it was like well i'm never
Starting point is 00:08:03 going to start him over Patrick Mahomes. Loyalty to the quarterback position year after year, unless you hit on the one or two guaranteed MVPs of that year, which do fluctuate, right? It was Lamar, but how many years have we had undue loyalty to Lamar that actually cost you? I mean, the first two years after his MVP campaign, people started him no matter what, and they literally lost games because of it. So have a willingness, I would say. It's not a necessity that you pivot because of one bad game. I'm not saying that. I'm saying have a willingness and have a loose grip on the quarterback you draft. Be willing to play the field.
Starting point is 00:08:41 And when you see these offenses change and become better, believe maybe a little bit that you can play those guys yeah i'm actually hit the number number nine i'm gonna move one of mine around because it just it kind of piggybacks on what andy was talking about and i'm saying for this one don't get cocky your team always always has to get better. And what I'm saying in there is sometimes there are moves that you need to make that are not your typical move, where we don't resource management of fantasy football. I don't like to roster two quarterbacks. I don't like to roster two tight ends.
Starting point is 00:09:23 You're saying don't get cocky with the team you have. Even if you're having success. And because there could be players out there available for you that you feel like, my team is good. I don't need that player. Again, to piggyback
Starting point is 00:09:39 here is, I had the inverse of what the successful quarterback move was. I had Tua. I traded for Tua when things were looking good, and I talked on this show about my belief that Dak Prescott was about to go on a huge run because the schedule looked so fantastic for him. Dak was sitting on my waiver wire, and I believed to my core of all my analysis that, no,
Starting point is 00:10:10 Dak is going to go on a run, but I don't need him because I have Tua. I don't need to go pick up Dak, and that was idiotic. I should have made, if nothing else, to block my opponents from getting a quarterback who I think is about to be fantastic. Thank you for not remembering that. I had one of those, Mike. I had a guy that was on fire. He was catching fire four weeks in a row.
Starting point is 00:10:35 Looked like the real deal. His name was Josh Downs. And you made me a very easy trade offer to get Michael Pittman forgot about that to get michael pitman for very cheap for very cheap and but your team was good you didn't need to do it i did not need to do it i was solid and had i done it i think uh your season looks a lot different it's a lot different like sometimes that is i should have just picked up the second quarterback. It's not a move I normally make, but I need to be prepared. More and more, I'm getting comfortable with the idea of leaving my draft with two tight ends.
Starting point is 00:11:14 Just for week one, have a guy that I believe in this player, and then maybe a player where... Let's see what happens. Let's see what happens. Let's talk about the beginning of the season. We did a... And this is not supposed to be a full toot-toot thing, but we always do an undrafted gems.
Starting point is 00:11:35 Guys to look out for. They might be on your waiver wire after the draft is already over. And I'm like, dude, Jake Ferguson and Sam Laporta, both of their schedules to open are basically the number one and number two tight end schedule with the data we have. And both of those players went on to be really important and got off to pretty good starts. And your team is not as good as you think it is.
Starting point is 00:12:01 It takes one tiny thing to go wrong. And if you're not prepared and on already making moves to get things I was just going to give you another example which is like a perfect example would be somebody who started the year with Kenneth Walker and Travis Etienne as their two running backs. It would be easy to
Starting point is 00:12:18 say I got it figured out at the running back position and not add or not build some depth behind them and then boom. And that's my kind of final point here is talking about your fab or your waiver priority. You too often, you as I'm talking about myself as well,
Starting point is 00:12:38 I'll look at my roster. Well, I really need, I got to figure out this wide receiver problem I have. I'm so good at running back. I'm not even worried. But the top two pickups of the week say are running backs. And then I don't go hard after them because I think I'm good at that position. And someone else gets Kyron Williams in week one, just as the easiest example, because you think you're good. I don't need to go after Kyron. And that was an incredibly bad mistake because it just takes one injury to one of your two starting running backs, and you're not –
Starting point is 00:13:12 don't get caught up and just don't get overwhelmed and fall in love with the smell of your own farts. Looking at your roster, always be trying to improve it. Yeah, it is one of the great illusions of fantasy football that what you're staring at, that perfect, beautiful specimen of a roster in week four, that's 4-0, the greatest illusion is that you are going to get to see what that team will do in the playoffs. Yes.
Starting point is 00:13:40 Because it doesn't happen. It almost never happens. I cannot remember a team. I mean, my dynasty team last year. We were talking about how lucky I was getting with injuries. Week 10, 12, 13, and the shoe finally dropped, right? So, yeah, it is a good thing to remember that, look, when the roster looks nice, take a picture,
Starting point is 00:14:01 but it's not going to last very long. Yes. Prepare yourself. Number eight. This one's called going to last very long. Yes. Prepare yourself. Number eight. This one's called. Smell your own farts. Good ain't bad. Oh, okay.
Starting point is 00:14:12 Sorry. That's right. Good ain't bad. Remember that. Yeah. Young stud players who have proven themselves on the NFL field. They came out and they're like, wow, they're really good. They're sensational. They are not going to go away just because the team brings in depth and more talent. And that's
Starting point is 00:14:32 a lesson I needed to learn from this last year, specifically to two players you just mentioned, Andy, Travis Etienne and Kenneth Walker. Both of these teams went out and got a day two running back. High draft capital for a running back. Tanksby comes into jacksonville and it was like both travis etn and kenneth walker prior to the nfl draft where guys we were really really really high on um you know we did our early rankings shows and kenneth walker he's just a stud but then on in the second round they go and draft Zach Charbonnet, and you're like, he's ruined. Kenneth Walker's ruined. I got unreasonably mad. Oh, yeah.
Starting point is 00:15:13 That was the maddest you'd been all year. I know exactly where I was. You remember the moment? I remember the moment. I was sitting in my office and the news came through and I was a level of mad for a pretend game that I should not have reached. Yeah, it's one of those things where I thought for sure that with that kind of draft capital coming in, that these running backs would not usurp the talent, but just destroy it. Just destroy the fantasy value. And obviously, at the end of the year, Kenneth Walker got injured and Travis Etienne slowed down a bit,
Starting point is 00:15:51 but that wasn't because of this backup that came in. They were both workhorses. They were both workhorses because they proved themselves already. We saw it. The NFL team saw it. Look, if you dominate on the field, then you're good. So I think about this year. Well, who could that happen to? Kyron Williams dominated this last year.
Starting point is 00:16:11 If they go out and spend a day two pick on a running back, I'm still going to be in on Kyron Williams. The team needs depth. Every team needs depth. We just talked about don't rest on your laurels. Build. Oh, you're good at running back? No, you're not. You're never about don't rest on your laurels. Build. Oh, you're good at running back? No, you're not.
Starting point is 00:16:27 You're never good at running back. Go add someone. And that's true for NFL teams as well. So, Nico Collins, Tank Dell, there's been so many rumors of the Texans going out and getting a wide receiver in the draft or going after Mike Evans if he becomes available or whatever the case is it's like Alvin Kamara last offseason you seem like he was set up for the worst scenario you're gonna miss time we like Kendra Miller you had Jamal Williams and it's Alvin David Montgomery you know they they it's been a huge draft capital David Montgomery was still very good if you're a very good player you're a very good player and. And I want to be less afraid this season about, oh, so-and-so added this player, so now my guy is ruined.
Starting point is 00:17:13 No, if the guy's good, he's going to get his. The team is just better. Who was ahead of Keyshawn Vaughn in Tampa when that happened? Because I remember people being afraid of Keyshawn Vaughn in Tampa Bay, but I don't remember who the starter was. I don't know if it was, it was probably four net at the time that I think that checks out. But I mean,
Starting point is 00:17:33 that was, you know, draft season's very fun. The NFL, it's the bright lights. It takes over the whole world. So I think it's very easy nowadays to lose perspective on the way a team is built and pay so much attention to six months' worth of rookie and best ball drafts
Starting point is 00:17:53 to lose sight of the fact that these players not only perform well on the field, but they also establish relationships with those teams oftentimes. So, yeah, it's a big time, good reminder to have. And we'll take a quick break and be right back. This episode is brought to you by McDonald's. Monopoly is back at McDonald's, everybody. This is an alert. It's time to get back to Mickey D's. Monopoly Double Play is an alert it's time to get back to mickey d's monopoly double play is back at mcdonald's and it's easy to get into the win first you peel on pack and then again in the app there are millions of prizes to be won including a new chance to win cash every minute in the app get
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Starting point is 00:19:15 All right, let's look at number seven here. I've titled it Lose a Trade, Win a Title. I'm excited for this one. Look, you have a bit of a reputation around these parts as being maybe an aggressive, persistent trader. Would you agree? That's a nice way to put it. Yeah, I mean, and one of the things that I think holds a lot of fantasy players up is they are unwilling to lose a trade perceptively.
Starting point is 00:19:51 Yes. And I think that it's a pride thing. You're trying to do the work, right? You're trying to make sure that you're on the perceived winning side. Everybody wants to win the trade, right? But what do we define winning the trade as? And for me this year, what I think is important is that you want to make sure that you're getting the difference making player on the roster. We've talked about that before in two for one, three for one trades.
Starting point is 00:20:17 But early in the season for me, what I recognized was that there were two players in my mind that were league winners definitively in fantasy football this year and they were Amon Ross, St. Brown and CeeDee Lamb. And I know that a lot of players that we have in our league, opponents, teams in our league, when you get into trade discussions, sometimes it's like they have to have the last word, right? They have to have the last tweak to the deal. They have to make sure that they have one little tweak or one little addition and it can disrupt the ability to get a trade done. And so the thing I want people to remember as they go into next year, if you have that conviction, the conviction that Mike had
Starting point is 00:20:52 about Dak Prescott, the conviction that many of us have about certain players as you get halfway through the year, if you believe somebody is going to be a difference maker slash league winner, what I'm saying is, is be willing to go out and lose a trade in the public's perception, right, in your league's perception to get the trade done. You're saying Vontae Mack no matter what. Yes. I'm saying you go Costner.
Starting point is 00:21:23 If you have to go Costner. I don't care if I'm saying you go Kostner. If you have to go Kostner. I don't care if I'm perceived as a winner. I wouldn't trade after number one to do it. Just no matter what. Don't get bogged down in the tiny minutiae details. Don't get bogged down in the little asks and the pesky additions to the trade. If you want to get these players that are very hard to get, for me it was waiting for a couple of teams
Starting point is 00:21:48 to kind of get on the fringe of contention and then throw the kitchen sink at them to guarantee that I can get one of these players onto my roster. We've talked about the philosophy. Obviously, if you do a two-for-one, three-for-one trade, you get to go right to the waiver wire and pick up a couple extra names if you've a two-for-one, three-for-one trade, you get to go right to the waiver wire and pick up a couple extra names if you've traded three-for-one. I think sometimes
Starting point is 00:22:09 people get worried that they're going to be criticized for the trade that they make. But if you have the conviction, like I did, that CeeDee Lamb was a must-add if I wanted any chance at a championship, be willing to lose the trade in the public perception if you want to win a title. It can make the difference. Don't get bogged down. It's not like every player at the moment a trade is being made is going to play the exact same way the rest of the season. I think sometimes people just get stuck,
Starting point is 00:22:37 and that's why deals don't get done. Yeah, that's fair. Sometimes it's because we're just cowards. Yeah, and I think that that is, it's like the fear of the loss is more powerful than the potential of the victory. But we're not playing to win second or third, and I think it's really important to be willing
Starting point is 00:22:57 to throw something else in to get the player you need. And it's, I would even tack on a thing at the end, be willing to perceptually lose the trade and just be willing to be at the end of the day swing like you may be wrong i mean it worked for you this time yeah you could be you could be wrong for sure but i've done those trades and they get hurt the next week i mean that that kind of stuff but the point of you're playing to win you're playing for first place. You're not playing for second. You're not playing for third.
Starting point is 00:23:27 So you have to be willing to take some gigantic swing, because if you strike out, whatever, man. It's not the difference between... But if you hit, you're talking about a forever championship. It's very hard to win
Starting point is 00:23:44 a title. It's very, to win a title. Very hard. It's very, very difficult. Number six. All right. If the risk is – this is not a catchy title, but it's right to the point. If the risk is already built into the ADP, don't be afraid. We have too many players every single year that we're all nervous about a new situation that has happened to that player. But fantasy football is the game of economics,
Starting point is 00:24:11 and things that happen, we get afraid to draft players, their ADP goes down, and now the risk of everyone being correct, it's already baked in there. It's already in there. Some examples. Stephon Diggs with Minnesota was an emerging player where his final three years with the team finished as wide receiver 20 in 14 games, wide receiver 11 in 15, 21 in 15 games.
Starting point is 00:24:41 He gets traded to the Buffalo Bills, which I still think at the time with the information we had, Josh Allen did not look like a franchise quarterback. He was coming off of, I believe, two straight years of being the most inaccurate quarterback in the league. And so we all got nervous about Stephon Diggs, who Stephon Diggs looked like a rising superstar who just got banished to a land of mediocrity. And at that time then, he was going in the sixth round as the wide receiver 27, and he has a massive breakout campaign. Josh Allen has the huge, massive breakout campaign. So those that had the courage, which my point being,
Starting point is 00:25:24 it's not really courage. We were all scared to draft him and he went in the sixth round. He's drafted as the wide receiver 27. It's like a real Jameson Williams type of risk. That's what I was talking about earlier. It's like it's baked in if he's in the ninth. And that's why I'm in. I'll draft Jameson Williams in the ninth. If I'm
Starting point is 00:25:40 wrong, I don't really lose anything. Jamar Chase as a rookie in 2021. It's laughable at this point. The risk was baked in. He was being drafted in the seventh as the wide receiver 30. And that seems so ridiculous that that couldn't have been possible. That we were all so dumb we let him go into the seventh. He had a lot of drops in preseason.
Starting point is 00:26:00 He did. And he couldn't catch the ball. And yet he. Just like Jameson Williams. He was 81 for nearly 1,500 yards and 13 touchdowns. Geno Smith takes over as the quarterback for the Seattle Seahawks. Russell Wilson's out.
Starting point is 00:26:14 There's panic in the streets. DK Metcalf, who was just the wide receiver 12, was being drafted in the back of the fourth. Tyler Lockett, who was the wide receiver 13 previously, plummets to the wide receiver 40 because it's impossible. These guys can't – there's no way to do it with Geno Smith. They're both fantastic. Mike Evans this past year.
Starting point is 00:26:35 The risk is if it's baked into the ADP, you have very little to lose and you have so much to gain. It's a lot like the way the stock market moves when you're talking about the risk or the situation being baked in. Because in those situations exactly, people had played the season out already in their minds. Yeah. And then come up with the worst possible outcome for all of those players, and then that's exactly where you're drafting them. That's, you know, it looks nice now, but that's why Mike Evans was the strongest I've ever been convicted about a my guy ever,
Starting point is 00:27:18 which I told you guys that in the studio. You said that on the show. And it was because he was so undervalued and everyone had anticipated a guarantee that this is how the season will play out with baker mayfield there was just not a lot of risk to me in you know turning to a player like that and and those examples you brought up are great ones um and identifying those in draft season, more of a challenge, trying to find those players that – Because they're scary.
Starting point is 00:27:49 Yeah, they should be scary. And it feels when you're there and you're at their ADP, you're like, am I going to be the guy to draft this player that's fallen so far from where they were? Doesn't that mean they're old busted and i've got to be wiser but but you're right like if the risk of them failing means they finish where you're drafting them right great there's only upside number five number five draft enigmatic backs. Say that again.
Starting point is 00:28:27 Draft enigmatic backs. Is that one word? That's one word. It is now. Enigmatic backs. Enigmatic backs. You want to draft enigmatic backs, and what I mean by that. Trademark. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:28:37 Go to that domain, enigmatic backs. Enigmatic backfields are scary. The ones where you just don't know who's the guy. I don't know the situation there. Yeah, so I don't want to go in. I'll let someone else figure it out. Exactly. Someone else will figure out this.
Starting point is 00:28:57 We're not even sure who the running back is, so I don't want to take the shot and then just burn the pick. But the thing is, is most of those backfields don't cost you a heavy pick. And there are always emerging assets from that type of backfield where you're not sure who it is. If you look at this last year, you had the Miami Dolphins. You had a new undersized rookie in Devon A. Chan coming in. And you had a super old veteran in Raheem Mostert,
Starting point is 00:29:27 it's a good offense, but I don't know who the guy is. I'm just going to let someone else draft him. That's why they were drafted as the running back 42 and the running back 45. Turns out they were okay because they finished as the running back 24 and the running back 2. Even if Raheem Mostert had not finished as a running back 2, hindsight is so easy.
Starting point is 00:29:58 But looking back, we all had kind of projected Miami would be a high-powered offense. And a running back is going to score. It will not be the running back 40-something. Yeah, but you didn't know who it's going to be, so how would you draft him? Just take your shot. And maybe you're wrong. Like this next backfield, I was wrong on this backfield. But I don't have any problem admitting that because I saw the shot for one of these enigmatic backfields.
Starting point is 00:30:22 The Rams, Cam Akers, and Kyron Williams. You had Dan Graziano on August 4th write this quote. They look at Cam Akers and Kyron Williams as their top two backs, likely in that order. The Rams believe both can pass protect, but they like Williams a little more as a pass protector than they do Akers. So while Akers is likely the nominal starter, Williams could carve out a role and be the guy they lean on in the run game if something were to happen to acre so it's like one of those something
Starting point is 00:30:48 happens something happened um i i i liked acres he was the running back 21 that didn't work out but kyron if you took him which some people drafted him very late or most people picked him up off of waivers obviously we know what happened there. He was a sensational superstar. Um, you, you've got these situations and it's not always like the Kyron Williams and Raheem Mostert number one back coming out, but the, the commanders last year, is it going to be Gibson? Is it going to be Brian Robinson? You know, they were drafted. Brian Robinson was drafted as the running back 36 because of that. It's like, uh, you know know it's a muddy backfield and you always you you pretty much because of the value of the workhorse the Christian McCaffrey's and the
Starting point is 00:31:32 Saquon Barkley's you're only looking for like that and and I think that's sometimes a mistake because there's only a few of them but there's a lot of running backs you need so it's okay to take part of a committee where you're not sure who's going to running backs you need so it's okay to take part of a committee where you're not sure who's going to be the lead guy because it's probably a value in the draft and they will they will rise out of that brian robinson finished as a top 24 running back well i think especially in the cases of miami and los angeles the extra layer there is that you have teams that you had tremendous confidence in the running game you didn't know which running back it would be but you knew that the rams could run the. You didn't know which running back it would be in Miami,
Starting point is 00:32:06 but you knew that they were going to have an offense that could run the football. And so I think if you wanted to add an extra qualifier there, you could say like enigmatic backfields on teams that have a history of being successful or coaches that would be successful there. All right, we'll move on. Number four.
Starting point is 00:32:25 It is my turn, right? It is. If it's not, it is now. Well, look, I'll be quick. I've titled this one The Little Things Kill. It's my favorite Bush song. Oh. That is from a Bush song.
Starting point is 00:32:41 Oh, yeah. Isn't it just Little Things? It's just Little Things. All right. And look, this is the 10 bush. Yeah. Oh yeah. Yeah. That is your little thing. It's just little things. All right. And look, this is the 10 things to remember. This is something that I literally did halfway through this season.
Starting point is 00:32:59 And the reason I'm bringing it up in part is we are going into season 10 next year at the fantasy footballers. And you know, I think that there's probably a few people that are a little bit like me in our league of record. Where... Ugly. Ugly. Smelly.
Starting point is 00:33:11 Smelly. What else you got, guys? Bad clothes. What else? Too tall. Bad clothes? Very much too tall. Smelly.
Starting point is 00:33:19 No, you already said that one. Dang it, but really smelly. You started off real hot. Look, I had a couple of championships early in the League of Record, and if you were listening to the show for a long time, maybe you started to take your league over like I thought I was. And about halfway through this year, look, I've been in the midst, I was in the midst of a pretty decent drought of winning championships
Starting point is 00:33:42 in League of Record. I had had so much success. Me and Mike played each other in championship games three straight years, a long time ago. Things just felt easy for a while. And then they didn't. You want to know why? Because we started giving them our information. Well, yeah, we started a podcast and told them all of our information.
Starting point is 00:34:00 But the truth is that many of you, maybe you had success early on listening, but the competition does get better in your leagues and i wasn't honestly i wasn't willing to accept that i believe that if i just kept going on the exact same way it would just all work out like it always had i'd grown a little bit complacent and i had to have a meeting about four or five games this year with myself and it was literally did you schedule it i did schedule it it's in my google calendar was there a mirror i know zoom we did oh yeah incredible so there was zoom on in a mirror right yeah um so look i had the one-on-one meeting to my with myself and i said like i can't keep doing the same thing I've always been doing. I have to pay attention
Starting point is 00:34:46 to the little things if I want to get back over the hump. For me, that meant a little extra free agent prep every week, which look on this show, we try to help you with a little bit more persistence on the trade offers or finding those players I think can be league winners. Sometimes it's not just about trading a bunch. Sometimes it's about doing the work to figure out who you need to trade for, not activity that doesn't lead anywhere, doesn't help you. Sometimes it's paying a little bit more attention to some of the dirty work that's not very fun, like playoff schedules for players and future schedules for players. Some stuff is more fun in fantasy than others, but it all helps. Those little things help lead to victories and they add up over time. And so I think a lot of us here, maybe we've had success in the past.
Starting point is 00:35:32 Maybe you're like, man, I want a title, but it's been four or five, six years. What am I doing wrong? For me, it was the little things. It was a willingness to reevaluate a few small areas and it led to success this year it's obviously very difficult to win in fantasy so i think those things do add up the little things kill got the went back to the fundamentals yeah really doing his push-ups grinding that's right um it was the meeting though it was the one oh yeah yeah so basically things to remember schedule something self-meeting self-meeting yeah number three let's talk a little dynasty fantasy football here we're going to call this one know the thresholds as in dynasty one of the harder things to to make a
Starting point is 00:36:17 decision on is young wide receivers who aren't immediately superstars, when do I know? When do I know that I drafted a lemon and I need to move on? When do I know I got to give somebody some patience here? Like Jamison Williams, do we need to give him patience to grow into the player that the Lions hoped for when they drafted him? And so we talk about targets a lot on this show as it's an earned statistic. Because if a player is getting open, is building that trust with their quarterback, they're going to get a target.
Starting point is 00:36:54 A route gives context to just the opportunity that the team is giving them. But players can be out there, MVSvs style running routes on every single play cardio kings getting like three targets a game and i you now see where mvs is he is looking for a new job as they're saying sir you have not earned enough targets we need to look elsewhere and so we looked back over the last decade these are at wide receivers drafted in the first three rounds because still draft capital is the king of signal to will a player actually be good or not. So here are the metrics. This is a little heavy in statistics, but bear with me. Through two years, on average, a first-round wide receiver averages about a 20% target per route run
Starting point is 00:37:43 and a 1.68 yards per route run. Second round wide receivers, their yards per route run at about 1.55 on average. And the third round wide receivers at 1.4. Now these are simply benchmarks to help guide your decisions. It is not saying if a player is under it, they are 100% toast, but it's you may want to think about this because, honestly, through the last decade, the only player who has really resurrected himself from the grave was Devontae Adams. That dude sucked. Devontae Adams through two years.
Starting point is 00:38:20 Remember how hard I was on him? Oh, we were all. And I was like, he never had a 1,000-yard season because he was at 997. Yeah. I mean, it wasn't even just that. It was his first two years. It looked terrible for him. I believe it was year two that Jordy tore his ACL,
Starting point is 00:38:36 like right at the beginning of the year. And it was, thank goodness they have Devontae Adams. It's your time. And he did not come through. So it was, no, this is never going to work out. And now Devontae Adamsams over the last however long has been one of the best wide receivers in in the league so we're going to take a look back of of what we've seen now this is two years ago because you're collecting the data uh at the top of the class drake london olave garrett wilson they're at the benchmarks
Starting point is 00:39:02 we're not worried about it. Both Christian Watson and George Pickens are sitting above the threshold. They're volatile, definitely. I don't know if we're going to see them turn into studs, but we're okay. Watson and Pickens. Yes, on Christian Watson. Here's now where it gets a little sketchier. We're calling this one Keep the Light On because there could be some hope. maybe if you're there on your roster you're just in a hold position jameson williams he is at one the light
Starting point is 00:39:32 on he is at 1.42 yards per route run which is under the threshold we want again the threshold is just a kind of a level that you're hoping they're above. Traylon Burks, he's at 1.28. He's a sketcher. And Wanda Robinson, he's there with Jamison Williams at 1.42. Honestly, just putting Jamison Williams with those other two guys, really, it does not give me a lot of confidence for Jamison Williams. It highlights where he is. Because I don't believe in those other two at all.
Starting point is 00:40:03 Keep a dim light on. You know what I mean? He's at the top of that group, right? No, not really. Because I don't believe in those other two at all. Keep a dim light on. You know what I mean? He's at the top of that group, right? No, not really. He's tied with Wandale, but Wandale was also not a first-round wide receiver, so he's overperforming compared to Jamison Williams. Jahan Dotson is on the cliff.
Starting point is 00:40:22 Yeah, he's the next tier. That looks scary. And then the guys where you, I think you can pretty accurately just move on. Unfortunately, John Meche, Houston Texans, Tyquan Thornton, Alec Pierce, Sky Moore and the Sky People. That's us. Why are we putting Valus Jones in here? That's just mean to him.
Starting point is 00:40:46 Jalen Tolbert, David Bell, who once upon a time was hoped to be the next guy for the cleveland bell sitting in our dynasty uh waiver wire if anyone's interested but we have a we do have a huge article coming out here uh highlighting all the thresholds and things but it's just it's a metric in the dynasty past it's in the dynasty past yeah thank you it's a it's a metric for you to be aware of because what's nice about dynasty wide receivers when you draft them even when they stink in their first year more often than not they at least hold their value like sky more was it was atrocious that first year and there was so many glaring red but now that mvs is gone so many glaring red signs saying it's not going to work for Sky Moore. I know the draft capital is there.
Starting point is 00:41:28 I know the team is there. It doesn't look like it's going to work. But the hope was still there. Like there were still things of you could trade Sky Moore over that first offseason. I'm not sure you're going to be able to trade Sky Moore this far into the process. So be aware how a wide receiver, where they were drafted, compared to how they're performing through their first two years to help you make a real educated decision about,
Starting point is 00:41:52 do I wait this out or do I try and move on? You know, and I'm sure, like you said in that article, to get into all the details, I think the big headline that I took away from that from practical advice was that if you pay attention to those thresholds, you know whether or not your belief in a player is justified by the metrics or is going to be an uphill battle. I think that's what fundamentally I would be saying.
Starting point is 00:42:17 If this player does break out and have success from this point forward, they will be doing something that is unexpected. And that is saying something for the odds are not in their favor. Yeah, historically speaking, it's so wild how you can look back in history and find these numbers and they still hold true. Yeah, the Skymore example is the example because we knew it. We talked about these metrics, about how he was on the field as a rookie quite a bit and he was really really bad in that in that uh you know targets per route run and yards per route run and so it's like it you know
Starting point is 00:42:56 it it it never works out i mean these people somehow delude themselves into thinking it might but but it might work for us. Let's get that. Yes. Let's get that quote back in here again. People always think it, but that's the time to get out because, because there were people still thinking it's going to work. There's a Tobias Funk in your, in your league right now who you can find one of these metrics and trade a wide receiver to them.
Starting point is 00:43:20 We'll take another quick break and come back. Jason, I hope you're ready number two all right thanks brooksie this is the brooksie special i call it the pre-season pretenders don't get fooled i give every year we get fooled. It's so hard not to. It's so hard because we're so excited for football and we want to see things. And I went back, I racked my brain. We want to trust people, Jason.
Starting point is 00:43:56 We want to trust people and we want things to matter in the preseason. We want things to go on. We watch these games. Follow the signs. We're looking for something that matters. Because, I mean, one, that's our job. Like, when preseason rolls around, I'm watching these games whether I want to watch them or not. And I'm trying to look for something tangible.
Starting point is 00:44:17 And I need to remember to stop. I need to stop. We do so much research through the offseason. We have so much historical data. We go through so many training camp reports that are in depth and long-winded and watch coaching press conferences. as solid of opinions as we can based on the information we have. This last year, I was so out on Damian Pierce. We had like three shows where I had a tangent on how that fourth round running back, you know. Yeah, we argued about it. Yeah, it just doesn't work. And then a new regime came in and brought in a Devin Singletary, a veteran running back who's a quality back.
Starting point is 00:45:06 Oh, man. I was so out on. Sounds like you're talking about Kyron now, though. What if Devin Singletary goes to the Rams? Yeah, well, I've got two things to remember. Yeah, go on. So, yeah, I mean, and then all of a sudden in a preseason game. Oh, baby. Eighty-nine percent of C.J. Stroud snaps at preseason week two went to Damian Pierce.
Starting point is 00:45:26 He's the dude. He's going to be the pass catcher. But he was not. And I got fooled. And Andy, thank you. I had the 12th pick in that draft because I was the reigning champ. Yeah, I took Damian Pierce. Thank you.
Starting point is 00:45:41 But I was totally going to take Damian Pierce. I was so angry when you took Damian Pierce. Thank you. But I was totally going to take Damian Pierce. I was so angry when you took Damian Pierce because of just a preseason game. And let me illustrate how the preseason. And the season before. But go on. The preseason game is not always indicative of future success. The Steelers' offense was amazing in preseason. The Steelers' first-team offense had five touchdowns on five drives in preseason.
Starting point is 00:46:14 They looked great. Jerome Bettis is talking about Kenny Pickett has the potential to be a superstar, but he was not a superstar. There are so many examples of this. of this um the the giovante williams injury that we knew the timeline like we knew it we knew it couldn't work out that one still hurts my feelings we knew it's just like medically impossible for him to be be a rock star but he got out in pre-season he played and it was like if you now we do learn things from time to time for pre-season um Who was the Orange Julius?
Starting point is 00:46:45 Julius Thomas. Yeah, Julius Thomas. We saw that breakout coming because of preseason utilization, the tight end that year. But what it wasn't is it wasn't a change of strongly formed and informed decisions that we had made over the entire offseason. If you have a really well-informed opinion that you believe in based on a lot of evidence, don't let – I'm talking to myself here. Self-meeting. Well, I did. Get me on my Zoom.
Starting point is 00:47:15 Tank Bigsby was another one. Yeah. Because it was like, you know, you guys – you know, he had an opportunity in the preseason, looked pretty good. I really want to make sure – Which plays into your earlier one. That I do not overem in the preseason looked pretty good. I really want to make sure that I do not over emphasize preseason. That's the key because you do need to emphasize it. It's just a matter of like in fantasy football, I think our,
Starting point is 00:47:35 our tendencies because we want stuff to talk about is that you go from witnessing something to making a pronouncement about it rather than just factoring it in. Right? Like you could say, look, I'm not really a believer in Damian Pierce. He's looked pretty good this preseason, but fundamentally this is still my concern. But it's easy. It's so easy to go from, well, we were wrong.
Starting point is 00:47:59 He's got it. This coach loves him. But yeah, I mean, it is. I'm going to de-emphasize. Because my natural human nature will automatically emphasize everything I see. There's just no way. I'm going to go in and try to de-emphasize it this year. Just say in your head, just say, you sure about that?
Starting point is 00:48:17 Yeah. With whatever you see. You sure about that? Yeah. You sure about that, Des? Why? Okay, and, yeah, there are many examples of situations like that. The preseason, you get vanilla offenses, right?
Starting point is 00:48:32 And defenses. You get vanilla defense. And you get vanilla defenses, and you get different first teams, second teams playing each other. I think, in part, the preseason has become less and less of an indicator over time as well. We produce the total amount of games. We don't play starters very much.
Starting point is 00:48:47 We want to see different things from different players. And you go out there and you're not executing what a normal game player looks like. Yeah, it used to be the third week of the preseason. You're seeing two teams really prepare for the season with their main personnel packages. Now you've got to do heavy research even to see like, wait, okay, is this player going against a first-team defense, or is that cornerback their backup?
Starting point is 00:49:10 You know, it's like. Yep. No, it makes sense. It makes sense. All right, we've got one more because we always share one at the end here. Number one. Now, Jason, you titled this one. Yeah, well, I'm a big fan of the movie Remember the Titans.
Starting point is 00:49:22 Yeah. And this is a show about remembering. Okay. I want you to remember the turds. Remember the turds. Remember the turds. In your league. So what are we saying?
Starting point is 00:49:36 We're saying that. I don't know what we're saying. Well, we don't. Yeah, I mean, we could have said it differently, I suppose. But this is the reminder that the things in your league that cause you to have a bad experience, which may include a handful, a couple, single, there's all sorts of turds. But if there's some managers in your league that didn't add to the experience, if there were rules in your league, league formation, settings, week 17 or 18 championship games, sorry, week 18 title games, this is the time to kind of remember what went right, what went wrong, make the adjustments, get them in place.
Starting point is 00:50:23 Maybe there's leagues that you were saying, man, I wish our league was like that league over there, or I wish that this one manager set their lineup ever. This is the time to make the adjustments to boot out those turds and to get things right for your league. Lace up them boots. Now, I usually go with the flush. Oh, we could have flushed
Starting point is 00:50:48 the turds. But, so you guys No, we don't. You're actually like drop kicking a poo? I'm drop kicking it straight from the source. What? Never hits the ground. It's incredible. That's
Starting point is 00:51:04 quite the image. Yeah. Yeah, it's a backwards kick. Oh, it's like a mule kick. Yeah, it's a mule kick. When I'm camping, you got to boot out them turds. What do you mean when you're camping? Well, I'm not doing it at home.
Starting point is 00:51:15 I got a bidet. Wait, you do this for yourself? This is a joke. No, I know. I know. He's like, stop. You're the one who said camping well i mean where else are you gonna kick turds i mean you're doing good brooks how are you doing oh yeah oh i'm doing
Starting point is 00:51:33 great did you learn anything from that last one that's that was the most important one that was definitely yeah is there anything you uh you needed to remember i know i'm putting you on the spot but is there anything from this past year that uh like do you remember you guys how old your dynasty team is yeah start to remember that um just in general not playing afraid which is a lot of your guys's points summarized that that's my problem i was out of trades and i go to his offer and i don't offer them you know i i think that's i think that's a good self-acknowledgement because I look at several people in our league and it's usually the people that are hard to trade with.
Starting point is 00:52:12 And I just watched, I literally watched them hurt themselves. Like, it's annoying. I'm annoyed that they don't accept this trade or can't trade with anybody. But like, I often think like... I feel like you're like pre-setting them up. No, I genuinely have had the thought before of like, dude, you are such a coward that you don't help your team.
Starting point is 00:52:32 With the trade with you? No, no, no. Oh, okay. With the whole league. Specifically. All these cowards out there not taking my deals. Take my trade, coward. That's a good trade method.
Starting point is 00:52:45 That's often worked. What are you, a chicken? What are you, a yellow? I get too attached to players, certain players. Do you know what that is? I have that problem too, Brooks. That's a really easy thing to do with these long off seasons where you fall in love with certain players.
Starting point is 00:53:00 It's my beautiful fantasy baby. It feels better when you find them. I made you. It feels better when you find them. I made you. It feels better when you find them and then they have success and they're yours. Yeah. No question. All right. And that was a blast from the past. Some things to remember from our February 29th episode earlier
Starting point is 00:53:17 this year. We wanted them front of your mind as you head into 2024, as you get ready for your draft and for your season. And so we thought we'd deliver you a little bonus episode this week, and hopefully you enjoyed it. And we'll catch you with a brand-new episode coming to you on Monday. Thank you for listening to another episode of the Fantasy Footballers Podcast. Join our fantasy football community on jointhefoot.com
Starting point is 00:53:44 and follow us on Twitter at the FFBallers.

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