Fantasy Footballers - Fantasy Football Podcast - Starts of the Week + Week 14 Breakdown, Jason Takes a Lap - Fantasy Football Podcast for 12/5

Episode Date: December 5, 2024

Week 14 is here! Matchup previews and Starts of the Week on today’s fantasy football podcast, Plus, injury news, and Week 14 start/sit advice for your fantasy football lineups! Manage your redraft, ...keeper, and dynasty fantasy football teams with the #1 fantasy football podcast. -- Fantasy Football Podcast for December 5th, 2024. (00:00) - Intro (05:40) - NFL News (10:50) - Starts of the Week (12:10) - Quarterback Starts of the Week (17:00) - Running Back Starts of the Week (20:50) - Wide Receiver Starts of the Week (24:50) - Tight End Starts of the Week (28:05) - Fantasy Forecast (29:05) - Jaguars at Titans (32:25) - Jets at Dolphins (40:10) - Falcons at Vikings (45:45) - Saints at Giants (53:25) - Panthers at Eagles (58:45) - Browns at Steelers (01:03:25) - Parlay Partay Connect with the show: Subscribe on YouTube Visit us on the Web Support the Show Follow on X Follow on Instagram Join our Discord Check out today's sponsors: Studio is brought to you by Amazon Prime News & Notes presented by USAA. Visit https://www.USAA.com/Insurance  Fantasy Forecast presented by DraftKings Sportsbook Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:35 Welcome to the Fantasy Footballers Podcast with your hosts Andy Holloway, Jason Moore and Mike Wright. Welcome in! It is football time! It is! It's the holiday, you gotta get all uh... What is that? Dickensee! Okay, okay, I got where you ask. Yes. You have to deliver the Tiz football time without laughing at your own joke in it, like in the middle of it. I'm just being joyous, man. No, it is. I mean, it's what? Sugar plums and, you know, decking the halls and getting
Starting point is 00:02:19 all Dickensy as you would say. Tiz football time. I do, I am enjoying the Christmas season now that it is officially the Christmas season. I am not. And that is wildly upsetting. Is that cause Santa left you, Breeze Hall under your tree? Yeah, I mean, I'm a bit of a naughty boy. I just don't, I don't know what it is.
Starting point is 00:02:41 I can tell you what it is. Okay, please. It's 80 freaking degrees in Phoenix, Arizona. Yeah, that might be part of it. It just doesn't feel like it's here yet. And we're a week in, man. Yeah. It's very difficult to dream of a white Christmas
Starting point is 00:02:56 when you're out there in a tank top and flip-flops. I know people that move here. Most people that move from the snow are very happy to be here all the time. Everybody that I've known that move here, that's the, most people that move from the snow are very happy to be here all the time. Everybody that I've known from the Midwest much, much prefers here than the snow and dealing with that stuff. But they all miss a white Christmas.
Starting point is 00:03:16 They all miss the seasons changing. I don't know what a season is. I don't, I've heard about it, I've read about it. I was just talking to my son about it, he's like, is this winter? I was like, yeah, it's winter, and he's like, I thought. Actually, it's not winter. I I've read about it. I was just talking to my son about it, he's like, is this winter? I was like, yeah, it's winter, and he's like, I thought. It's actually, it's not winter. I know, and that's what I was saying.
Starting point is 00:03:29 I was like, well, see, here's the thing. Most of the country has four seasons. In Arizona, we don't. So maybe it's, what is it, fall right now? There's no such thing as fall here. December 21st is the official start of winter. That's when it hits 79. 79 degrees on December 21st. All right, of winter. That's when it hit 79. 79 degrees on December 21st.
Starting point is 00:03:48 All right, welcome in one and all. Happy to be back with you today. The two best friends filled in yesterday for me. Oh man. I don't know how it went, cause I didn't listen. You don't have to listen, but I got at least six DMs best show in the history of the footballers. Yeah. They were mostly from me but he did get I gave him a lot of DMs. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:04:12 Um alright well. We did like just enduring show. No that's fine. Dude this is going so. Dude you were hilarious. You show went so well. You have to do stand up. Starts of the week, the fantasy forecast today, the parlay partay, NFL news to talk about, you know, we had the waivers, the big time, week 14 waivers go through in all of our leagues yesterday, people fighting for Isaac Gurindo.
Starting point is 00:04:43 And that's after what how many waiver shows we're like the waiver shows kind of like just sorry everybody this is our fault. It's yeah yeah it's gonna be a very interesting end of the fantasy season heading into the NFL playoffs and we're or the fantasy playoffs and we're here to help you out. So a reminder, the weekly rankings, the Start Sit tool, and the Ultimate Dashboard all can be found at the fantasyfootballers.com.
Starting point is 00:05:13 The community's jointhefoot.com. You can follow us on X at the FF Ballers. You can follow Jason at Jason FFL. If you want brief hall tweets, you can follow Mike at FF Hitman. I'm at Andy Holloway, and you can follow us on Instagram, Instagram.com slash fantasy footballers,
Starting point is 00:05:31 and watch the show on YouTube. I told Jason briefly yesterday, last year, I took the approach of a ballad. I needed a ballad for my fantasy. This is Michael Bolton. I went, Michael, remember the distance? I needed a kind of a rock ballad, my fantasy. It was Michael Bolton. I went my, remember I'm the distance? I needed a kind of a rock ballad, you know. You did go to the distance.
Starting point is 00:05:50 Like this year you need a rock ballad or go the distance is a rock ballad. No, no, no, not a rock ballad. Just a, what do you call that? Like a power ballad. But a power ballad is a rock ballad. What would you call that Michael Bolton singing? Maybe a pop ballad? Okay, whatever. Whatever, I needed that. I that Michael Bolton singing maybe a pop ballad okay
Starting point is 00:06:06 whatever whatever I needed that I needed Michael Bolton last year just saying like and I told him this year I need you gotta send me some suggestions cuz right now Josh Groban is taking you think he's the leader for my my back-to-back attempt Wow that's self flageagellation. Pfft. Pfft. Making yourself listen to Grobes? Yeah. Over and over?
Starting point is 00:06:30 Yeah, well, look. You're Groben yourself. A fantasy championship is all that I care about. Okay, so you're willing to punish yourself? Yes. Is it you raise me up? That's what you're going with? I think that's the one that makes sense,
Starting point is 00:06:42 but if you want to suggest something on par with Michael Bolton, would let me know I love for you to have to listen to you raise me up every day that will bring me joy don't raise and a back-to-back title will bring me joy Mike you do what you got to do news and notes from around the league presented by USAA insurance. For Thursday Night Football this evening, the game you guys previewed yesterday, I assume. Romeo Dobbs is out.
Starting point is 00:07:16 Yep. That one got that one wrong. Swing and a miss. Yesterday you thought he'd play? Well, he was limited. You guys are so dumb. It did seem like he was trending to pass concussion protocol. That was the latest information we had, but nope.
Starting point is 00:07:29 What's it seem like now? I don't think he's going to play, but Josh Jacobs is off the injury report. Will play, no worries there. Trevor Lawrence on IR with the concussion and the shoulder injury. The AC joint will get surgery. The Bucks practice report, Mike Evans, he didn't practice.
Starting point is 00:07:45 Bucky Irving didn't practice. We'll follow up on both of those. They were both, Evans always got kind of a veterans days and then Bucky Irving literally was wrapped in mummy gauze going off the field. He says he felt better the day after. I think he'll be there. And Baker Mayfield is, he's not gonna miss the game.
Starting point is 00:08:04 So he's a full practice. Lad McConkey is limited he's been playing through injury they need him desperately. Super important game. He was limited on Wednesday I imagine he will play. I do too. Keenan Allen, DJ Moore, Deandre Swift, Roshan Johnson all didn't practice for the Bears but I think we'll see. What did the team do? Took a break. I think Keenan Moore, Swift, they'll play, I don't think Rochon will with the concussion.
Starting point is 00:08:33 Kinkade, Dalton Kinkade and Keon Coleman, both of who we thought would come back last week. They did return to a limited practice on Wednesday, so they could be back out there. Kenneth Walker, limited, calf and ankle injury. Classic Ken Bone. Trying to give way to the Charbonne zone. Jake Ferguson practicing on Wednesday.
Starting point is 00:08:51 This is a Monday night football game for Cowboys tight end Jake Ferguson. The schoon man had been active. Both guys are very, like, whoever's the tight end is very necessary in this offense. Agreed. Although Brandon Cooks is back. And then Deontay Johnson, Mike,
Starting point is 00:09:05 suspended for not going into the game when they wanted him to. So the Eagles game, the injury happens to Bateman, you have an opportunity to go play, and you don't go into the football game. Get out there, Deontay! I'm good. Thank you for the offer.
Starting point is 00:09:24 I will pass. We, just the offer. I will pass. Next time. Next drive. So he's suspended now. I mean, you're not going to see him out there. No, they obviously we knew something was up with all the Harbaugh quotes of like there's moving pieces and we've got to figure out what's going on with the ante. And now that's what it was. It came out that they told him to go in and he didn't. Was this, he's like, oh now you want me to play? Well I'm not gonna. Oh, I'll show you.
Starting point is 00:09:50 Yeah. Yeah. Good work Deontay. I mean this was something that you had been just repeating that the vibes are so negative around Deontay Johnson that there's something. Does he not know he's in a contract here? Like you can go make yourself a bag of money
Starting point is 00:10:05 that you need this off season. Yeah. The first thing I thought of when I saw this was, if you could directly correlate it to a loss of money, how much would that be? Yeah, a lot. That's exactly what I thought about. Because if I'm another franchise.
Starting point is 00:10:18 Is that a $5 million decision? Is that a $10 million decision? If Deontay Johnson goes to Baltimore and balls out and looks great and is a good teammate, Baltimore makes a deep run of the playoffs, Deontay Johnson goes into the off season and as his agent goes and gets him a nice, fat contract, right now it's like, if I'm a GM,
Starting point is 00:10:37 I'm going, I don't wanna deal with the head case of Deontay Johnson right now. Not unless there's something we're missing from the story, but I doubt it with an organization like Baltimore. It's wild. And Pittsburgh. Not unless there's something we're missing from the story, but I doubt it with an organization like Baltimore. It's wild. And Pittsburgh. So now you've got two well-run organizations that have said, no thanks.
Starting point is 00:10:51 That's the thing about Pittsburgh, which I'm not the first one to bring it up, but it's like they have this superpower of really finding wide receivers in the draft. And somehow, like, Tomlin can handle these guys for, like, gets production for a few years, and then he's just like, I can't even, I cannot with you anymore. And he's been willing to tolerate Antonio Brown, Claypool, Pickens, Martavis Bryant. The list is massive.
Starting point is 00:11:23 These are all wide receivers. Right, he's crazy receivers that are kind of... Maybe that's their secret to drafting wide receivers. They look for the crazy ones. You know what I mean? Like you got to have some diva in you. You do. And so in their scouting process, because we always give Pittsburgh a lot of credit, they just find these like second round really good quality wide receivers, and they're just, all they're doing is just looking up the dirt and they're just trying to be like what kind of troubles this player get into. That's my kind of guy like hey Deontay who are the top five wide receivers music Deontay Deontay Deontay you're my guy.
Starting point is 00:11:58 I mean clearly he's been upset about not being involved earlier. That's got to be connected but that was today's news notes presented by USA insurance learn more at USA com slash insurance starts of the week yeah if Deontay can't find a home we should sign him the football for the show I don't know maybe we bring him in here what if he says no like and we're paying him no and he doesn't go on he's like nah yeah just walks out then we got a guy who just may not do it then we have multiple guys who are like I got to go out to the bathroom mm-hmm like we're
Starting point is 00:12:38 gonna have no one here oh all three are there, all right. Hey, the deucers. Good for you or not? Who's got the poop trophy? Right now it's Papa Josh. Matt started wearing diapers, man. Hey, good. This guy's a team player. We don't care. Putting his body on the line.
Starting point is 00:12:56 We just want you here for one hour a day. One hour a day without pooping. Can you go one hour? That seems doable. Is Josh answering me actually please stop making me think about it okay all right starts of the week this week I guess my theme this week is guys that have let you down recently that you can forgive Oh Redemption to and forget so last last week was the titanium
Starting point is 00:13:22 underpants tour which worked out okay this week. I'm going redemption from a from a tough week. I'm gonna go with a player here at quarterback I'm gonna start it off that will just make Jason further second guess his own decisions in League of Record But I'm going Baker Mayfield against the Las Vegas Raiders. It was a tough week for Baker last week He has slowed down over the last month. I have correlated that to Bucky Irving's success and Baker's been banged up. But he's only got one top 12 performance since week nine, despite being still the quarterback for him points per game, 35 passing touchdown pace. This week is going to be very good for Baker, in my opinion. Yeah? Yeah, Lazer.
Starting point is 00:14:05 Lazer. The Raiders defense is bottom 10 in schedule adjusted fantasy points allowed, completions allowed per game, expected points added per pass attempt. This is a really good matchup for Baker Mayfield. He has Mike Evans back who has been delivering. And the Raiders are just kind of a wild card in
Starting point is 00:14:26 production. Brock Bowers is unguardable and Tampa struggles against the tight end and Jacoby Myers has been getting targeted like crazy. Aiden O'Connell and this offense they got close last week so I think Baker is going to have to throw it and I'm gonna go Baker this week. Alright I am going to play with some fire and I'm doing this in our League of Record. I'm gonna stay in the flames I'm gonna try to eat a W. I am having Jameis Winston as my start of the week this week. Playoffs have started for about 20% of everyone out there right now. Because you got the guys that are locked into the playoffs, you got the guys that are locked out of the playoffs, and this is the last week for most leagues where the other people
Starting point is 00:15:15 are fighting for it. And oftentimes you're in a win and get in, you have to, you're an underdog, that's the situation I'm in. James Winston is volatile. He's holding a stick of dynamite and you might need dynamite to overcome your matchup. That's the situation I'm in. James games produce for fantasy 70 offensive plays per game in James games. That's number one in the NFL. That's absurd. That is an insane number. Three hundred and thirty-six passing yards per game. That is number one in the NFL. He is averaging over twenty-one fantasy points per game and forty-four pass attempts per game and one point four interceptions
Starting point is 00:15:54 per game. I am actually praying for these pick sixes to keep coming. So you're doing a counter prayer? I'm canceling out Jamis' prayer. Keep these picks sixes coming so that we can have you back on the field keeping up. And the thing is is like this isn't an easy matchup against Pittsburgh. Now we saw Jamis beat Pittsburgh a couple weeks ago, but it wasn't a barn burner. This is, I like that this is on the road. I like that this game is in Pittsburgh because I don't think the defense is going to be quite as good there. And that's what I want.
Starting point is 00:16:29 I mean, we saw last week the craziest shootout between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Pittsburgh Steelers where there was like 100 points scored. And so if you're shooting for the moon, there's a guy available on waivers that can go out there and actually score 35 fantasy points. He can also absolutely destroy your week, but I need upside this week so I am going with Jameis Winston as my start of the week.
Starting point is 00:16:54 Holy crap. What's that? I just saw mics. Oh, it's, look, I'm doubling up, baby. Steel Underpants. It was the stream of the week and this week is wild with the bye weeks and it's Will Levis. Holy crap I just heard mics. Because I really do believe that Will Levis is a guy that you can turn to this week. No you only went steel?
Starting point is 00:17:21 Yeah because that's where my level of conviction is with Will Leves against Jacksonville, who are allowing eight yards per pass attempt. For context, not only is that the highest in the NFL, but that will be tied for the third highest of any team since 2004. The Jacksonville defense, a stinks. And Will Leves has been chucking the ball.
Starting point is 00:17:42 We got Westbrook Kikene. I mean, that's one touchdown, right? Guaranteed. At least. Yeah, so minimum. Probably only. Minimum one touchdown here for Will Levis. And the Titans team is in a really good situation.
Starting point is 00:17:56 The Jacksonville is just. I feel. There's stat after stat you could say. They're terrible. I feel a little scared because I was you a week ago with a better player. Yeah, you had CJ Stroud. you had CJ Stroud against Jacksonville and That did not work out. So I feel a little gun shy there. I also know that Mac Jones is the starter
Starting point is 00:18:14 so I'm a little It leads me into my running back start of the week because my Interpretation of the game is Tony Pollard against Jacksonville. It's not Will Levis. It's that Mack Jones can't move the ball enough and we can we can stop Will Levis from throwing whenever we as soon as we get a little lead here. I think the lean on Pollard. I don't like saying that because I'm gonna be facing him this week but there are a 3.5 home favorite. He's averaging 20 opportunities to game.
Starting point is 00:18:45 And look, you talked about Jacksonville's defense. So I lean the Pollard side, but I think anytime you can get a favorite like this against a bad defense, it makes some sense that look, Levis could be the beneficiary. I think it'll be Pollard, and I think it makes sense that they're gonna win the ballgame. Yeah, I agree with that.
Starting point is 00:19:04 I think Pollard's a great play. Isaac Garando, the waiver wire sensation, the fab dump extraordinaire, is my start of the week going up against Chicago. If you dumped all your fab, hopefully he's not just chilling on your bench. Put him in, start him. He's going to be fine.
Starting point is 00:19:19 He's not just a random third and actually fourth string backup from nowhere, which he was the fourth string to start the year. This is a guy who we talked about it. He has a 100th percentile speed score. His weight and speed are outstanding and you've seen it in the limited action he's got this year. He's averaging 5.9 yards per carry.
Starting point is 00:19:45 Kyle Shanahan's system has a long and storied history of backups at the end of the year, coming in and winning people championships. It's happened so many times. Yeah, we talked about it a lot on Monday, I think. Yeah, it's crazy. And if you look at this specific matchup, the Bears defense, they're good,
Starting point is 00:20:01 but they're much better in the passing game than the running game. The running game is, the running defense is not that good. They're 27th in EPA per rush attempt, 25th in rushing yards per game, 31st in adjusted yards before contact. That one is the most exciting one for a guy like Garindo. If you're able to open up lanes for a guy with the hundredth percentile speed score, see ya. So, that's my official take on Isaac Garando this time. And sound effect. Okay, thank you so much.
Starting point is 00:20:30 That wasn't me, that was Garando. Okay. Just, he was that fast. That's how fast? Yeah, broke the sound barrier, had to travel here. Sounded more cartoony to be honest. The sound barrier is very loud, that was a bad cut. It was so far away, he's not here.
Starting point is 00:20:44 Yeah, okay. This was just like cut. It was so far away. He's not here. Yeah, OK. This was just like the aftershock. Oh, yeah. It's a sonic boom that is in California or wherever. Yes, exactly. I'll dig this thing to China, man. Give me a shovel. Sounded like the Road Runner.
Starting point is 00:20:59 I'm going with Tyrone Tracy against the Saints. This is, I'm not calling him to be a top 12 guy or anything like that this week, but he has been producing. It's been weird because the dude loves to fumble. However, he went right back to being the primary guy for the New York Giants. Two weeks ago against Tampa, 41% of the snaps, he seemed like he was being punished. Right back to 41% of the snaps. He seemed like he was being punished. Right back to 73% of the snaps. He was their full-time guy. I don't think he was the starter, but he was the main guy for them. And then the Saints matchup, they're tied for dead last
Starting point is 00:21:35 and yards per carry allowed. And they're 30th in schedule just to points to the running back position. I think that Tracy should score this week. I'll make it quick here. It is a redemption opportunity for Darnell Mooney, who has been bad the last two weeks because. Yeah, you gotta talk to Kirk. Because Kirk Cousins has been horrendous. And the matchup is great. Minnesota is dead last in schedule,
Starting point is 00:21:56 adjusted fancy points, giving up to white outs. They play too high safety. This is an area where Mooney has better numbers than London against too high safety. And they're gonna need to score points in this game. I think it'll get better for Atlanta's receivers in this game. And I think Mooney needs the confidence boost here on the air when you're freaked out to play him on a week full of bye weeks where Westbrook, Hikine and MVS, and these players are getting chucked into lineups. No, just go back to the guy that showed you
Starting point is 00:22:26 he could deliver early in the year. I'm gonna go with Mooney. I understand what you're saying. I am one of those people. I'm scared. I went back and watched every Kirk Cousins snap. You can't be not scared. If you watch that, you have to be scared.
Starting point is 00:22:38 What was the type of passes that Mooney was succeeding at earlier in the year where you've got that zone that he's sitting in 15, 20 yards down the field and Kirk fires it in there and man he was floating those things in there for the defenders. So hopefully he gets his arm strength back this week. My wide receiver start of the week was a change up. I had Jayden Reed in here and yesterday on the footcast that Mike and I were recording we realized every question was, can I play Joann
Starting point is 00:23:07 Jennings? Can I Joann Jennings or this guy? It's like, hold up. You're gonna answer that question? Joann Jennings should be in your lineup. Joann Jennings is a great start. He is my start of the week. You know, it's it's not common that I'm going to take a running back and a wide receiver from the same team. But it was, it was one of those situations where I don't think people remember what happened. Okay, so just to catch you up on the Joann Jennings story, he was great earlier in the
Starting point is 00:23:35 year, got injured. Then after their bye, he came back and Brandon Ayuk was gone and he was 11 targets, 7 for 93. He was awesome. The next game, 11 targets, caught 10 of them for 91 and a touchdown was awesome. Brock got injured. So the next game, they bring in the backup. Okay, in that game, he stinks. He's got six and a half fantasy points. Well, sure, he was playing with the backup quarterback. The next week, which was last week, was the crazy snowball game
Starting point is 00:24:03 where the Niners couldn't do anything and Brock was not good in the snow against Buffalo. I'm throwing those two out this week against Chicago. It's not a prime matchup, but Joann Jennings is absolutely someone that he's not like a, you know, to bring up the guys you were talking about like the Nick Westbrook-Akeny, the MVSs, the guys off the waiver wire Those were all the questions we were getting him or Joanne Jennings. I'm playing MVS in my league of record this year But you'd much rather play I would just I would love to have Joanne Jennings. That would not be That's where I'm I'm confident that Joanne Jennings has targets and volume and and opportunities
Starting point is 00:24:45 And that's enough on a week with this many bi-weeks. I'm going with Calvin Ridley to stack with my, I'll give him one sleeve of the underpants here. It's- It's like a two-legged race? Yeah. But they're in iron. Three-legged race.
Starting point is 00:25:03 Whoa. What's, oh, that is- That's what the race is actually called. Whoa. Oh, that is. That's what the race is actually called. OK, thank you. I got eyes from both of you guys, like, what are you doing? That's the name of the race, guys. I don't always know what type of joke you're trying to make, and I think we got.
Starting point is 00:25:18 Yeah, we got turned around. We took the joke under the table. Yeah. Guys, I was in the backyard Olympics at the family picnic. Where are you? It is a three-legged race. Where are you? A two-legged race is just a race.
Starting point is 00:25:31 That's just your standard race. We don't even specify the legs. Wouldn't that be awesome in the Olympics if they just call it, and now at the two-legged race? The two-legged race, yes. All right, so let's count for Ridley. I know Wes Rukkeene is like, he's making the news because he keeps scoring on two receptions every single week.
Starting point is 00:25:53 But since Hopkins has left, Calvin Ridley has a 29% target share. That is elite. And the matchup, I like the matchup. I like Tony Pollard too. I just like everybody against Jacksonville. Yeah, you just like the Tennessee offense to have a game. But I'll take the passing attack here.
Starting point is 00:26:09 I'm going with Fergalicious at tight end, Jake Ferguson. If for some reason he was out, it would be the scoon man, whoever it is, play him against Cincinnati. And guess what, I'm doubling up here, because last week, I think I got the most side eye looks about Pat Fryermuth. Oh yeah, no that was hot. And the Muth got loose, wait.
Starting point is 00:26:29 What? He's never, how dare you. I'm so close to getting a new tooth guys, I'm so close. Days away. The reason I wasn't here yesterday is because I'm so close and needed to get some more tooth work done, but soon I'll say everything right. The Muth got it done last week against Sensi. Sensi cannot defend tight ends it's just
Starting point is 00:26:50 not something they do they actually just lost another defensive player which seems like an impossibility that their defense could get worse but they're 31st against tight ends Dallas Titans are seeing 23% of targets with Cooper Rush Fergalicious and or Schoonman will get it done that game. It's gonna be great For fantasy, okay I'm gonna throw a guy out there that I think people are Really upset with if you've had him if you've been starting them you feel like you cannot you can no longer start it's been rotten Kate on it's been cade rotten and
Starting point is 00:27:25 Don't go away from him this week. K, I won't. I don't have a choice. Yeah, I mean, you might not have a choice, but Kade Auten's matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders is so desirable. And if you look at Kade Auten, watch the film last week, a lot of it was on him. It was his fault. Like he had some drops.
Starting point is 00:27:45 Shoulda had a touchdown. But he still had seven targets. He's very involved in this offense. He had eight targets a couple weeks before on kind of a little bit more of a dud game. Baker is fully healthy right now. He's practicing in full. He had been struggling with ankle and toe
Starting point is 00:28:01 and all sorts of different injuries. But despite the fact that he has not been good for three games in a row, the targets are there. That's what you want. He's third in all tight ends in the league in Routes Run, number one in total offensive snaps. This is a player on the field. And so now if you look at the matchup against the Raiders, over the last six weeks, the Raiders are dead last in schedule adjusted fantasy points against. And I want to tell you just how extreme it is. It's usually when a team is like, they're 30 second, it's because they're four or five
Starting point is 00:28:39 points over the average of what their opponent usually scores, that's how much more they're giving up. Right now over the last six weeks, the Raiders are giving up 11.1 fantasy points more than the player's usual average. That's an insane number. So keep rolling Kate Auden. He should be fine this week. Redemption. And if you need a nasty boy off of the waiver wire, Will Disley, Big Montana, the Dizzler, all of those things. It was a goose last week, but he had been averaging over four receptions in the previous
Starting point is 00:29:11 seven games. And the Chiefs, the one place they need to, they can beat them is with the tight end position. And Lad McConkie is banged up. Yeah, he's banged up. So, all right, we'll take a break. We'll hit the forecast. Alright time to preview our matchups for week 14. Well we know the story, you know the story out there.
Starting point is 00:29:45 If you are competing, if you're listening, if you're in it for the fantasy playoffs, you know you don't have any Broncos. Bye bye, Cortland and Slyton. You don't got the Colts and Richardson and Taylor. You don't have the commanders and your delightful Jaden Daniels and Terry McLaurin. You don't have the Patriots, the Ravens or the Texans either. So it's going to be a week where you got to piece it together and here's what you can hope for.
Starting point is 00:30:08 An equal disadvantage for your opponent. You know, you are probably making decisions on players you don't want to have to play, but your opponent probably is too. So we're going to try to help you out, get you going. We'll start with the game that surprisingly had three players in the previous starts of the week segment. Jacksonville, who was 2-10, fighting hard for that number one spot, which I believe they have right now, facing the Tennessee
Starting point is 00:30:32 Titans, who would love to lose this game and get there. Well, maybe not love to, but they're 3-9 in the DraftKings Sportsbook line here. Tennessee at home minus 3-1.5. The over-under 39- 39 and a half that gives Tennessee 21 Jacksonville 18 we've talked a lot about this game already what are your thoughts beyond the names in the starts of the week I think that what you brought up during starts of the week is accurate I worry that Mack Jones is not going to be able to do enough on the road against the Titans to really force a higher scoring game and a lot more fantasy greatness here. I think the real questions are on the ancillary
Starting point is 00:31:11 receivers for the Jacksonville Jaguars, the Parker Washingtons, Evan Ingram, are these guys? Because you're gonna start Brian Thomas. Yeah I think you mostly in this situation the prescription is to what? Avoid ancillary options, right? Go with the primary guys. I believe despite Brian Thomas having a great fantasy week last week, he was still near the top in terms of like, air yards not caught, right?
Starting point is 00:31:35 Like the kind of. Yeah, he got four of his 10 targets. Yeah, I mean so like Brian Thomas is in, I thought you were actually going to bring up the running back room in Jacksonville and if you can do anything there. Oh man, that a tough one I mean if I have to start one it would be Travis Etienne he's getting more volume I'm not confident in either but you might need that this week I would shy away from Tank Bigsby personally
Starting point is 00:31:56 I think there's better options out there but no I just bring up Parker Washington because he was so involved last week 12 targets well over Over 100 yards. Well how about him on MBS? Or? I think I would go MBS there. In this game with Nick Westbrook Okini. I mean we've been saying this. I have said over and over you can't start him. He's scored a touchdown every time. He's got the third best odds to score a touchdown in this game. Now honestly I think you can start him. And I think people will. And he's going to get you. He's going to get you. Andy, you are doing this. You're starting him in League of Record.
Starting point is 00:32:30 And you've been pounding the table for the last month before it was cool. Yeah, the hyphen. The hyphen. You're saying he's on the field every snap. His opportunities are there. And he's been scoring touchdowns. And so now you're actually starting him.
Starting point is 00:32:43 Enjoy your goose. your Christmas goose. Ah, ah, ah. What happens though? What is the apology tour gonna be like if he gets back into the end zone this week? Because Jay, you've been calling for his demise. If he keeps, what if he three touchdowns this week? If he scores a touchdown this week,
Starting point is 00:33:03 I will make a donation in his name. Okay. Because it, and I will recommend him as my start of the week every week, from here on out, forever. Outrageous, he's plus 185 on an anytime touchdown on DraftKings, and Mike, you talked about Ridley and Pollard. Both can be played, and then Levis,
Starting point is 00:33:23 if you are wild, crazy crazy and wearing titanium underpants. It's the same. It's like you read off all those quarterbacks that we are missing and there are leagues out there that backup quarterbacks have been stashed. He has a quarterback nine finish this year which was against the Chargers on the road. So it's, you know, he can, he could get there. The Jets are three and nine, the Dolphins are five and seven. The Jets are going to Miami.
Starting point is 00:33:51 The DraftKings Sportsbip line is Miami minus six, the over-under is 45. I mean, to say the vibes are not good for the Jets is an understatement. They're as bad as they've ever been. I don't want this conversation today to just be about how much we dislike how it's gone. Because that's the conversation with the Jets every week. Let's just focus on real essential questions here about Breece Hall,
Starting point is 00:34:20 Garrett Wilson and Devante Adams because- You start all three. I mean, that's just I agree The truth is you start all three Garrett Wilson last three games have been dud dud dud but he's he's had the target still he had ten targets this last week they've and the So many of them were uncatchable. Okay, it Rogers is not playing well but if you watch the Jets game game he did actually have a couple really nice throws to Devontae Adams and Rogers for for everything where he is in his career right now the the missed pass to Garrett Wilson that should have been touched
Starting point is 00:34:56 down he's not gonna miss that every single time so Garrett Wilson the player is still playing well and we just need Rogers to be a little bit better which is not impossible. Yeah the target volume is there so I can't imagine benching either one of Garrett Wilson or Devontae Adams the expectation shouldn't be that you've got a wide receiver one but the volume is there and you hope one of them gets touched on the real question is Breece Hall is health you know is I don't know if the practice reports are out yet for... We're looking to see if we get a Thursday report on Breece Hall. If he doesn't practice Thursday, I'll be concerned. Yeah, he... If he doesn't practice
Starting point is 00:35:36 Wednesday, it's like, okay, we're managing this injury that we've been managing. The scarier part is, I mean, several times you could see him during the game last week where he played like he didn't have these practices he ends up playing but you could see him on the side and he is not right he's not doing well. That's terrifying. That's terrifying. We'll let you know if we get a report by the end of the show on Breeze Hall today. On the other side Tua Tunga-Vai Loa has three consecutive top ten finishes at the quarterback position. He's like reverse Tua-ing right now.
Starting point is 00:36:09 Oh, where he normally fails off in the back half of the year? Yeah, normally. Well, that's because he skipped the first half, Mike. This is his first half. Oh, well then we're on schedule. You know what I mean? This is his first half. He's leading the NFL in completion percentage. He's got a superstar Hall of Fame tight end in Johnny Smith.
Starting point is 00:36:23 He's leading the NFL in completion percentage because he's throwing the ball mostly to Devon HN and Johnny Smith and won't push the ball down the field Well, did you see the did you guys talk about Tyree kills kind of cryptic tweet? No, no or Instagram post He's kind of he put something out there that I think shows him walking into the locker room and says Kind of alludes to the possible retirement. Oh man, oh man. It kind of seems like they're retiring him right there on the field on certain weeks.
Starting point is 00:36:56 Oh man, yeah Tyreek has. He had a cryptic post and he said, "'Love what you do "' because it will soon end. Oh my gosh, these guys. I'll share it with you guys. I'll repost it on my Twitter right now. But it's not like I'm hanging around. This is absurd because we had the reports, whatever reports whatever was two years ago but I'm gonna finish out my contract with the Dolphins and
Starting point is 00:37:28 That's it and that Circulated like hot fire he walked that back Pretty quick, but it was I mean it was out there enough to do hit a news cycle, and then it was and then he just got money right They moved money around. Yeah, they kind of gave them an extension, but it was more like that Amari Cooper style thing where they gave them a bunch of money.
Starting point is 00:37:50 Just shifting it, sure. But you had that and it was like, well, no, I'm gonna keep playing. And now we're back to, I'm not getting the ball, so. He didn't practice. Oh, man. They're arresting him like they do every week. Tyree killer, Joanne Jennings, genuine question this week.
Starting point is 00:38:04 Oh my gosh. The Jets are still fourth against wide receivers? You know, I'm going to make it even worse. Tyree Kill or Jaylen Waddle and Tyree Kill or Joanne Jennings? Both of those questions. I will take that. And I'll leave the studio. I'll take Tyree Kill over Jaylen Waddle. He's still got a touchdown in three of the last four games. He's not been special or elite especially yardage wise. He's averaging 52 yards per game over that span. But Jalen Waddle, while it's nice to see him kind of be remembered, I still think the pecking order is Tyreek first.
Starting point is 00:38:39 So I would play Tyreek over Waddle. I think Joann Jennings versus Tyreek is a legitimate question that needs to be asked. I don't think I'd have the stones to play Jennings over. I don't think I would either. I've got the fears that Stevenson from Chicago, I'm hoping he's focused on Debo or at least splitting, but if he were to be isolated on-
Starting point is 00:38:59 You're talking about Jaylen Johnson? Or on, yes, yes. Yeah, Jaylen Johnson, yeah. Tyreek, I think I'd still play him over. John New Smith, you play him? He's been amazing since week six. He leads all NFL pass catchers in first downs per route run. I had an interesting question.
Starting point is 00:39:16 You're playing Devon HN, right? But I had somebody send in this question. They said, who's the true backup, insurance back, for HN? Because we've been talking on the show. Go out and get the guy and insure the guy my answer to that no one was no one yeah it was because it's where he most or is jailing right and the answer to me is no one however if you wanted to pick one I'd pick right because you'd be looking at catastrophe like which one would you pick then if you're gonna get it correct unlimited diarrhea I was about to say swish because I said right yeah
Starting point is 00:39:50 okay really good yeah take a laugh um all right Raheem most dirt jail and right oh he's really taking a laugh around the table okay please don't kick the cameras I I know. I know. Very good. Very good. Is this new? I hope not. Most are just so uninvolved. Oh, yeah. That's new. I'm going to make you take a lap someday.
Starting point is 00:40:12 OK. What's weird is the because HN is not playing normal running back stuff here of what? Seven carries the past week despite despite being like the primary guy, the offense would have to change so drastically if, of what they're running right now to, if A-chan's not in the field. But if A-chan's gone, then Tyree Kill actually
Starting point is 00:40:36 probably pretty good. Do you know what his rushing attempts for a game is on the year? I would imagine around 11 a game. Yes, you're the best guesser I've ever met in my life. Every time that I asked you to guess, you're right on. It's from the former carnival job. Yeah, I can look at you. He was the height weight guy.
Starting point is 00:40:54 I know your weight. I can tell when your pockets are stuffed. Wait, is that how you beat the system? Well, of course that's how you beat the system. You get a skinny person and you put a little weight Well, no, I mean you like some lead. Yeah, I mean it's not the shoes No, I mean you how do you get really pockets, but you can't get them to like you can't get your weight lower on the scale
Starting point is 00:41:19 No, that's yeah, that's not people been trying for a long time He's holding a bunch of helium balloons Guess my way Alright, Atlanta six six The Falcons are six and six they take on the ten and two Minnesota Vikings Mike was pointing out And everyone makes so much of the Detroit season and here's Minnesota one game behind behind. 10 and two, man. Still in contention for the bye. The DraftKings Sportsbook line here, Minnesota minus five and a half, the overrunners 46.
Starting point is 00:41:51 If you don't remember, there is only one bye in each of the conferences. So it is, it will come down to the wire. I was on record, now you guys previewed the game for tonight. I think it's, what's the line? because I didn't get to participate in that. What was the line on the Detroit Green Bay game? What is it right now? Look it up Because I told Mike in the studio two three days ago. You did I will verify it Detroit minus three. Yeah, so just
Starting point is 00:42:24 Andy's almost upset of the week. This is the one. Yeah, I think Detroit loses this week. I think they lose tonight. Minnesota plays Atlanta at home. They can easily win that game. They're favored by five and a half. The overrunners 46.
Starting point is 00:42:38 And all of a sudden you are. We could be set up for a week 18. But they face each other. Yeah, no They face each other in week 18. They do so here's the they were so close in the first man The Minnesota schedule is Atlanta this week Maybe but yeah, I would pick Minnesota Chicago next week. I'll pick Minnesota Seattle on the road. I'll pick Minnesota, at home against Green Bay, and then Detroit the final week. That's going to be fun.
Starting point is 00:43:11 The point being that Minnesota is just right in the thick of it. The games haven't been decisive of late. They've been very close wins. They're chiefs-esque at the moment. Yeah, they did not beat. They were not leading against Arizona until the final score with under a minute to go. What did they win by three points against, was it Jacksonville? I mean.
Starting point is 00:43:28 Chicago. Chicago, okay. They've had some close games. Couple weeks ago though, like a month ago against Jacksonville, that was that game where they should have lost. They tried everything they could to lose, but Jacksonville wasn't good enough to beat them. I think it was like 12, they scored 12 points in one.
Starting point is 00:43:43 So in this game at home, I really like Sam Darnold. I really like Aaron Jones. I really like Justin Jefferson. I really like Jordan Addison. I think Jordan Addison is gonna get it done in this one. Hawkinson, I'm feeling squeamish about TJ Hawkinson. Not that I wouldn't play him, but because there are these other,
Starting point is 00:44:01 like K-Dot and you brought up, right? And then there's players that are emerging maybe at the tight end position that you would think twice about whether it's Juwan Johnson getting going whether it's Fergalicious. TJ Hawkinson has been weird. He's had two really good games and three really bad games. Yeah but they've gone back and forth. And he is red light. Yeah. So now it's a green light. So you're all in there but you'd play Kittle over him right Yeah, I would play Kittle for sure. So the Minnesota side, they're set up against an Atlanta
Starting point is 00:44:30 team that is 30th against the wide receiver position, 31st against quarterbacks. Sam Darnold was my streaming quarterback of choice, losing Lamar this week. I picked him up two weeks ago for this week. I'm playing Darnold. I'm trusting those explosive wide receivers, and I'm hoping Atlanta's
Starting point is 00:44:50 functional enough to make it a game. Yeah, that makes sense. The running backs here on both sides of the ball, you've got Aaron Jones playing well, Bichon playing exceptional. The DK receptions line for both of these guys is a lot I really like both. Three and a half for Bijan, two and a half for Aaron Jones. Yes. Bijan has just been getting it done and when I watched that Kirk Cousins film as
Starting point is 00:45:16 as hesitant as I was for the Darnell Mooney play I was even more bullish on Bijon. I'm like, they need to use him the way that they're using him right now in the receiving game. Obviously you're gonna be playing him, but it's gonna continue working in the passing game. Yeah, that's what you're gonna have to count on. Yeah, I mean, that's where. Minnesota's number one against the run.
Starting point is 00:45:40 Yeah, that. If you're just handing the ball out. Yeah, the passing game is where Bijon has been doing great work and is so Needed for Kirk Cousins right now. So you you can kind of prescribe it the same way You did James Connor last week where you said hey, we're gonna play Connor Because he's gonna get the rock and he's gonna get the passing work Kyle Pitts. Oh man have the ceremony right now. He's retired for fantasy for this year colossal fantasy football rookie draft pick. Yes, yes. That is a hundred percent true. He will be a cautionary tale for the
Starting point is 00:46:19 future prediction of all generational talents. Some end up like Brock Bowers. Some end up... One end up like Brock Bowers. Some end up. One ends up like Brock Bowers. You draft a tight end, I will say this, if you draft a tight end in the top five, I'll do it again. You'll do it again?
Starting point is 00:46:35 Yeah, like I'll be in on that guy. Oh yeah, oh yeah. Yeah, yeah, because. Just saying, for the cautionary tale, but it's like if you give me the same circumstances, I'm gonna pick him every time. Well, and he had a significant injury that he doesn't seem to have really made it back from.
Starting point is 00:46:49 Guys, guys, he's 24 years old. We got a lot of cow pits talking left to do over the next six, seven years. Can't wait for him to be 27 and break out. Man, I hope we never. It could happen. I hope we don't have to keep talking. New Orleans, the Saints, four and 8, taking on the 2 and 10 New
Starting point is 00:47:06 York Giants. Wow. Gross. That's a fart fest. My favorite player in this is the New Orleans Saints defense. Yeah, the DraftKings Sportsbook line, New Orleans minus 4 and 1 half on the road over under a 41. Drew Locke has been announced as the starter for the Giants.
Starting point is 00:47:20 It is a slight upgrade over what they had in Tommy DeVito what they could really use is somebody like Daniel Jones to come in and take over as the starter but they're not gonna be able to do that. No. Both rushing defenses are terrible so Tyrone Tracy and then Alvin Kamara who you know we can speculate on Kendre Miller and Jawan Johnson and Foster Muro and Jamal Williams. It's Alvin Kamara. Alvin Kamara will be the consolidation of opportunity, most valuable in the running game.
Starting point is 00:47:56 His rushing and receiving line, DK line is 124.5 yards. If you ask me how I overcome Mike's juggernaut team in our dynasty playoffs, I'm going to answer Alvin Kamara down the stretch. That's what I'm going to do because he has the potential to really finish the season strong. Go Kendra Miller. So yeah, the fact that your hopes for that to stop are Kendra Miller makes me even more comfortable with it. Malik neighbors has not been, listen to this,
Starting point is 00:48:25 a top 24 wide receiver since week four. That dude is up against it, it don't matter. Like he is the case of, let me give you his last four games, okay? So you can understand what's going on at quarterback. His last four games he has on pace for 182.8 targets in a season.
Starting point is 00:48:46 Oh, that is awesome. All right. OK, he's on pace for 123.3 receptions. Oh, that's actually exceptional. I'm not sure. He's on pace for 1,000 yards. Pretty darn good. Not on that matter of reception.
Starting point is 00:49:02 That's awful on that. And then zero touchdowns. So the numbers for him are design screens, pretty terrible opportunities, and Ls. They've lost a lot of ball games. I feel like Malik Neighbors has to be in starts to discussions for people. For all of that, he has been over 10 fantasy points in
Starting point is 00:49:25 what three of the past six? Yeah the the numbers that you are saying there are obviously efficiency wise awful and scoring opportunities rare. Not finished inside the top 25 in that stretch either. But when you have that many targets and you have that much talent it's gonna be very difficult. I mean you're not wrong you've got to take a look at who you have. But I can't imagine. Did you say your favorite player in the game was? The defense for the Saints.
Starting point is 00:49:51 Yeah. So it's just, yeah. I mean, I'm not saying you can't play him or shouldn't play him. I'm saying that you're upside. When you talked about Jamis and Baker and you making the decision you're making, you're Malik neighbors upside to me. It doesn't exist right now. Man, it's it's it's hard. I mean, it's been true. It's 100% been true. I do feel like
Starting point is 00:50:11 he's the type of player that can get schemed for a breakaway touchdown and therefore always has the upside just because of explosive explosive athleticism. But it hasn't been happening. Let me ask you this, Jason. I'm gonna give you some names, okay? Okay. Malik Neighbors or Jameson Williams tonight against Green Bay at home. Oh, man. That will... I would probably play Malik Neighbors, and I feel like that might be wrong.
Starting point is 00:50:39 I think Jameson Williams has a really good game tonight, and Jayden Reed as well. Malik Neighbors or Juwan Jennings against Chicago. I don't want to play this game. You signed up. I would go Malik Neighbors. Devontae Adams. Neighbors. C.D. Lamb.
Starting point is 00:50:59 Oh. I think I go Neighbors. One of the top, the number one Malik neighbors start to hit question on the website is cross-positional. It's Malik neighbors in the flex or Chuba Hubbard? I'd go neighbors there. Okay. Other names just to mention real quick
Starting point is 00:51:18 before we mercifully move on from this game because you're not considering quarterbacks here. It's just the MBS lottery ticket. MBS had three targets last week, four the week before, and three the week before. He has scored in all three of those weeks. The truth of MBS is 100%, if he doesn't score, you will be disappointed.
Starting point is 00:51:40 Yeah, he's... There's no real opportunity. It's pretty easy. It's a fine play by no real opportunity. I think it's pretty easy of like it It's a fine play by the process and I'm not saying I wouldn't play ability. Yes. Yeah, it's just Really understanding what you're getting yourself into and the for what it's worth like the Giants defense is not a plus matchup for wide receivers On the season because this was one of the things I was looking at when I was trying to put MBS in my order. That one stuck out to me.
Starting point is 00:52:06 Now if he scores, you're happy. If he doesn't, you're probably getting two catches. Yeah, the offense of the Giants won't do enough, which is why the running game of the opposing teams do well, which is also why I think, and I know we glossed over it a little bit, and you're 100% right that Alvin Kamara, the stud
Starting point is 00:52:25 of studs always start him. He's going to be fantastic. But I think that there are teams out there that need a starter at running back that could actually put Kendre Miller in your lineup, actually start this week. That's outrageous to me. I don't think it is that outrageous. He is very healthy. He was running full speed sprints his first week on the IR and the Rizzler has been asked questions about like, Kendra Miller. This is a quote
Starting point is 00:52:52 from Nick Underhill talking about Kendra Miller being out of the dog house and on good terms with Darren Rizzi. Nick Underhill, great meat reporter for the Saints. Quote, we're going to let that dog off the leash. I'm ready to get out there and bark a little bit. Oh, dog analogies. I just think he's a good player who is in a good matchup. They need him without Taysom Hill. I mean, I get it, I get it. He's a backup. That is terrifying.
Starting point is 00:53:17 It's terrifying. I wouldn't do it this week. I mean, Jamal Williams also was back last week. Jamal Williams is burnt toast. Burnt toast or not, if he's the one on the field and Kendra Miller isn't you won't get any points from Kendra Miller Yeah, that is didn't didn't Jamal Williams get like one touch last week. Yeah, he did Yeah, he was on the field for 6% of snaps. Yeah one target For zero, I think Kendra Miller is a great speculation ad. I don't have the courage to play him this week. Dude, I'm but.
Starting point is 00:53:47 This will be a victory lap for you. I'm going to pick him up and start him in League of Record. I'm going to make the playoffs on the back of Kendra Miller. But having said that, like, I do. Go do that. Go do it. I'm on it. Go do it.
Starting point is 00:53:58 The world, I think there is a very decent chance that the number one pickup of next week's waiver wire is gonna be Kendra Miller So just stash him right I am prepared to be wrong about this Yeah, I would be so outrageously nervous to start them on the back of just the head coach saying he's not the doghouse But who knows I'm gonna leash maybe you're right. Yeah He's he's still we're still waiting for his first bark in the NFL. That's true. Still waiting for the first one in two, three years.
Starting point is 00:54:30 All right, we'll take a break, come back with some more matchups and see what you think about Bryce Young this week. All right, the Panthers are three and nine taking on the 10 and two Philadelphia Eagles who are on a roll. The DK Sportsbook line, Philly minus 12 and a half. The overrunners 46. They have won eight in a row. Their defense is dominant.
Starting point is 00:54:58 And that is the problem with this game. The problem with this game for fantasy purposes for the Panthers is how good the Philadelphia defense is. This is, you know, it was fun to watch Bryce Young last week. Trudeau won the ball game. Let me be clear. Tampa sucks. Their defense sucks. This is the opposite of that. Philadelphia at home in this game, I just don't have the confidence here that Bryce Young can do enough. It's one of the reasons why Hubbard is getting sat down by a lot of people in fantasy.
Starting point is 00:55:35 It's one of the reasons that, look, I'm not fighting to play Thielen in LaGette this week. If you need a PPR start, I'm okay with Thielen. So you're not Chuba's DK rushing yard line at 58 and 1 half. You're not feeling good on that one? No, I'm actually not. I'm actually not feeling good.
Starting point is 00:55:50 And you talk about Jonathan Brooks getting on the field more last week and getting third down opportunities. Chuba had the big fumble. That feels like a good under. Yeah, and it feels like Jonathan Brooks in the second half will get some play. And it's not even just third down. There was a sequence where they were around the goal line.
Starting point is 00:56:10 They were inside the 10. And Brooks got multiple looks. In both the rushing and receiving game. So it didn't end up in a touchdown, but it was high value, real important plays that Brooks got. Chubb is a great player. I'm just scared about this matchup
Starting point is 00:56:25 because I don't think you're gonna be, there's not gonna be a lot of that game clock where you're in the circumstance that you would want to try to run Chuba and not give Brooks opportunities. And on the other side, holy crap, Saquon Barkley, his rushing line, guys. Oh, I don't know it, I can't see it right now.
Starting point is 00:56:41 It's because your eyes are closed. I'm gonna guess, I'm gonna guess 92 because your eyes are closed. I'm going to guess 92. You're a coward. Is it over 100? Yeah. No. Keep going. 110?
Starting point is 00:56:52 More. What? His rushing line? 114.5. Oh my gosh. I'm playing against him this week. Kill me. Oh, he will.
Starting point is 00:57:03 Yeah, he will. Barclay will handle it swiftly. It's okay, I'm gonna have Kendrave Miller to the rescue. And he's going for records and stuff, I mean, Carolina's defense is dead last, they're giving up 166 yards a game against running backs. Teams run the ball 51% of the time against them, which is the highest in the NFL, in the last 12 years.
Starting point is 00:57:22 So the recipe works, and everyone's doing it. It's like you pick the favorite in the last 12 years. So the recipe works and everyone's doing it. It's like you pick the favorite on the menu. Like what's the chef's special? It's hand the ball off against Carolina and win. By the way, Saquon's averaging 124.9 a game. Yeah, and the matchup is perfect. So unbelievable. So yeah, I mean, Devontae Smith probably,
Starting point is 00:57:46 that's the one that you're terrified of. If he's active, do you play him? Because it's not that the Panthers passing defense has amazing personnel and they're dominant. It's that you don't throw against them, and so they're sixth in the league against wide receivers, and then he's coming off an injury. To me, I'm trying to find another.
Starting point is 00:58:03 I would agree. I'm hoping Devont another I would agree I I'm hoping Devontae Smith is Kind of not even there just so you're not tempted to play him it allows The the work to be funneled to AJ Brown I feel like AJ Brown and Saquon Barkley alone by themselves can just beat the Panthers with with the best defense in football I mean their defense Like they had a couple holes last year and somehow they turned them all into massive strengths.
Starting point is 00:58:28 You just can't do much. They just shut down Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens who only scored 19 points against them last week. And the 19 points includes the garbages of garbagey end of game touchdown with seven seconds left that was meaningless and worthless so yeah I mean I I'm not excited about any panther I will say the the Thelans and David Moore's and those they're in a PPR world they're just
Starting point is 00:58:59 they're gonna have to be thrown at a lot in this game. Then I want to throw out the name. Look, Dallas Goddard is not expected to play. Oh, yes, yes, yes. Grant Calcutera, that name has been mentioned earlier in this season. But in those games where he was getting actual real snaps, he was seeing like 16% or 70% of the targets. So in desperate times, I think that he could be played.
Starting point is 00:59:26 What were those numbers you just said? He was getting what? 16% to 17% target share. Yeah, I heard 70%. That seems high. No, and Dallas Goddard. He had one game this year where he was 4 for 67, and he looked pretty good.
Starting point is 00:59:38 Yeah, and this is a perfect matchup. Schedule adjusted. They're 30th. The Panthers are against tight end. If Devontae Smith is out and Dallas Goddard is out, Grant Calcaterra is a very nice, you know, cheap option. And I mentioned him, we'll mention it really quick. If it was Steele and Erlegette, if
Starting point is 00:59:57 you have to put one in, the name for you is? Who, what? This week specifically it would be the PPR upside of Adam Thielin. The Browns are 3 and 9 taking on the 9 and 3 Steelers we've talked a little bit about this game already earlier with Jason Sart of the Week of Jameis Winston the DraftKings Sportsbook line here Pittsburgh minus 6 and a half the over-under is 43 and a half Cleveland beat them in week 12 that was the fun
Starting point is 01:00:19 game where you know Jameis finished it in the snow bumbling and tumbling and flipping into the end zone. Nick Chubb scored twice in that game. The Steelers, listen to this stat, if you want a shocking stat, they have won 20 consecutive home games against the Browns. Wow. 20 straight games at home against the Browns. You know you said you were praying for more pick sixes. I do think that there's a balancing act there, right? Like you've got to be, I think one to two is the right number. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Starting point is 01:00:54 And beyond that, you're not going to give them the chance to throw. You still get negative points for interceptions. So they've got to be, I want them early, and let's cap it at two. He is, I think, and you admit this, he is a risk to some degree in this specific matchup. Yes. But the upside potential is there where other quarterbacks don't have it. He's not for everyone.
Starting point is 01:01:13 He is a situational. I love that. He is a situational need when you are. Jameis is not for everyone. Up against it. But if you wanna have a good time. Yeah, I mean, you can have a really bad time I'm better than this is better than this
Starting point is 01:01:27 Yeah, this is a 50-50 lottery ticket Russ is my stream of the week at home playing great football You know you want to just another feather in the cap for Mike Tomlin like nobody Nobody believed in the move nobody in the media Probably half the players in the locker room secretly who would never admit to Mike Tomlin. The players actually came out and really, the way that they supported fields
Starting point is 01:01:52 when the change was made, they weren't coming out and saying I disagree with it, but they were saying that. They're now five and one. They are scoring a million points. I don't know if you realize this, Russ is throwing for more yards per game for the Steelers than he's ever done in his entire career. This is his record. More yards per game for Russell Wilson.
Starting point is 01:02:12 Wild. So if it's me and I'm looking at this game and it's Russ versus Jameis, Russ is safer to me. Jameis could have the wheels completely fall off, but I think, you know, both guys can score a bunch of points. I mean, Russ put up a lot last week. You need the game to be what we want it to be. Now the over-under is 43 and a half.
Starting point is 01:02:32 That says it's not going to be. Yeah, no, it's not expected to be. There's also a chance of a little bit of rain in this. So if weather becomes an issue, pay attention closer to kickoff, and that could hurt the upside. But I think that there are a lot of pieces in this game on both sides that I want. Najee Harris has been outstanding as far as opportunities, 20 plus opportunities per game.
Starting point is 01:02:59 He has the best odds in this game at an anytime touchdown on DraftKings. Russ, your stream of the week is fine. best odds in this game at an any time touchdown on DraftKings. Russ, your stream of the week is fine. George Pickens with the Moonballs has been great. So, you know. How do you feel about Nick Chubb? Not as good. I wouldn't do it. He had his best game against these Steelers,
Starting point is 01:03:17 but last week looked bad. Yeah, and. You saw Ford. Jerome Ford was on the field a ton, and especially, I know they won last time, but I don't think that's what I'm gonna project. So I would be afraid of Joe. Would you play Jerry Rice in this one?
Starting point is 01:03:34 Yeah, Jerry Rice, Judge Judy. Let's go, baby. What? Did you just do a double up? A double up, mm. Jerry Rice, Judge Judy is, I mean, you have to start. You have to start Jerry Judy. mean, you have to start. You have to start Jerry Judy. Yes, you have to start him.
Starting point is 01:03:48 Do you know he went from 30th in yards to fifth in yards? I did see that. 235 will do that. Cedric Tillman didn't practice again on Wednesday. That one is, yeah, Jason's face is that was. Is that what that was the reaction to? It wasn't, but. Oh.
Starting point is 01:04:04 Oh, OK, well hold on. What was your reaction there, James? I looked at the five games played with Jamis to see what the yardage pace is. He's averaging 112 yards a game. He's on pace for 2,087 yards. But Tillman not practicing this long after the concussion, that's very troublesome.
Starting point is 01:04:23 But then the window opening would be Elijah Moore, who's averaging almost 10 targets a game. And especially, if Tillman is active, Elijah Moore is still, I think, a flex consideration. But if Tillman is out, then you should feel very confident playing Moore. Ninjoku, yep, get him in there for sure. He is a great play down the stretch.
Starting point is 01:04:43 Let's turn to the parlay partay I couldn't remember what I was this week, but apparently well a crown again I'm putting a crown on this way. All three of us have got the oh, wait a minute Oh, there's a clown in the room dead center Dead center. Yeah, so last week I took to a with 225 plus he had 365 Mike took Rico Dowdle his hero his champion. Thank you Rico Prince. Thank you the the courtroom Where is Rico on the is he into the top 20 yet? No, he's not no? But we're gonna get there
Starting point is 01:05:25 baby. I had Gibbs drop the he he had towards the end of the game he had an easy pass to be dropped. I'm gonna tell you the way you put your wig on there's no there was no heart. There's the way that you put your wig on. Really? It looks good on camera. I can see your entire hat over on my face. It's the front side. They can't. Oh! Oh! It's just one slight breeze and the wig goes flying. Thank you. So Mr. Moore took Jameer Gibbs over two and a half receptions. He had two, he dropped one with seven minutes in the fourth, and ended up a clown. But two out of three ain't bad.
Starting point is 01:06:03 We'll jump into the week 14 parlay. I'm going to take Trey McBride, the machine, the PPR monster, the touchdown. It don't matter because I'm taking 60 plus receiving yards against Seattle. He's averaging 71 per game. He's got 12 catches in two straight weeks. I like the 60 plus. I'm going to take Aaron Jones over two and a half receptions against Atlanta. Atlanta is one of the teams I try to target for running back reception overs They allow the fourth most per game at five point eight Aaron Jones is averaging three receptions in wins and three and a half receptions at home
Starting point is 01:06:36 He's hitting the over and five of his six home games So I think this is a good I said it in the matchup But I like both running backs overs on their receptions this week. And I'm going Mike Evans 60 plus receiving yards. Normally, I'm like great, Mike Evans against Las Vegas. But I'm also legitimately factoring this in. Mike Evans can still get to his 1,000 yards
Starting point is 01:07:01 and keep that streak alive. And I know deep down in my heart that that matters to Mike Evans. And it matters, it will matter. And so facto, it will matter to Baker Mayfield who is gonna try his best to get him there. All right, that was Fantasy Forecast presented by DraftKings Pick6.
Starting point is 01:07:22 Download the new DraftKings Pick6 app now and use the code ballers, that is the code ballers for new customers to play $5 and get $50 to pick six credits. One quick aside since I missed yesterday's preview of the game and with the news this morning of Dobbs that we're reporting. Yeah. I will be riding on Super Buy Week
Starting point is 01:07:44 with the Don Tavian wicks in tonight's game. There's nothing wrong with that. I will be riding on Super Bi Week with a Don Tavian Wicks in tonight's game. There's nothing wrong with that. With a high over under trying to catch some lightning in a bottle. You putting him in over Westbrook Hikini? I have them both in my lineup. Oh, okay, I'm sorry.
Starting point is 01:07:57 That's how bad my week is going. But above like, I was looking at Josh Palmer, I was looking at some of these, with Lad McConkie maybe missing, but then he's gonna play. Wicks was in on 89% of the snaps. It was his highest of the year last year, so if you want a little dart throw for tonight's game,
Starting point is 01:08:13 you talk about a game where you can't run the football well. Jacob's banged up, Detroit's good against the run. Look to Wicks, Watson, and Reed to be the weapons, and we'll close it out on that. More matchups tomorrow, the delicious and wonderful fantasy face-off. Gotta figure out which one of you guys is getting shamed. I think it's Mike.
Starting point is 01:08:35 It is me. Goodbye. ["Gambling Problem"] Gambling problem called 1-800-GAMBLER must be 18 and over. Age and eligibility restrictions vary by jurisdiction. Void were prohibited. One per new customer.
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