Fantasy Footballers - Fantasy Football Podcast - Starts of the Week + Week 16 Breakdown, Playoff Pressure - Fantasy Football Podcast for 12/19

Episode Date: December 19, 2024

Week 16 is here! Matchup previews and more on today’s fantasy football podcast! Confidence levels, injury updates, and lots of start/sit advice for your fantasy football lineups! Manage your redraft..., keeper, and dynasty fantasy football teams with the #1 fantasy football podcast. -- Fantasy Football Podcast for December 19th, 2024. Connect with the show: Subscribe on YouTube Visit us on the Web Support the Show Follow on X Follow on Instagram Join our Discord Check out today's sponsors: Studio is brought to you by Amazon Prime News & Notes presented by USAA. Visit https://www.USAA.com/Insurance  Fantasy Forecast presented by DraftKings Sportsbook Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Humburglar, why are you calling? Rubble, rubble! McDonald's has a new biggest burger called Big Arch, made with two 100% Canadian beef patties, a new delicious sauce, and all the McDonald's flavors you love, and... Wait, you want me to help you get it? Rubble! Come on.
Starting point is 00:00:19 Compare to beef burgers on McDonald's current menu at participating restaurants in Canada. As a Fizz member, you can look forward to free data, big savings on plans, and having your unused data roll over to the following month, every month. At Fizz, you always get more for your money. Terms and conditions for our different programs and policies apply. Details at Fizz.ca. The Fantasy Footballer Studio is brought to you by Amazon Prime. Welcome to the Fantasy Footballers Podcast with your hosts, Andy Holloway, Jason Moore and Mike Wright.
Starting point is 00:01:02 and Mike Wright. Ah, welcome in. It's football time! Woo! We hit that pretty well. In honor of Mike H. Wright. Where did the H come from? of Mike H. Wright. Rrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr Andy are here, I'm just giving you my last name. Jason Holloway. Jason Moore, Andy Holloway, and a big bear extraordinaire in the building today. Semifinal week, you can hit it, hit the drop.
Starting point is 00:01:51 Hit the drop. I'm Jay Grizz. I'm Jay Grizz. Jay Grizz, very proud to be in the building. We're very excited to be with you. We got news to talk about starts of the week, the fantasy forecast, the parlay partay, the clown show, as I call it.
Starting point is 00:02:14 And yeah, I'm starting to feel it. I'm starting to feel the pressure of the weekend because I have one big start sit decision of my own. Yeah. Which is tight end. That's not really a you don't have a big start sit decision. You've got a small start sit decision. You're saying because I don't have great options. I'm saying you're like do I want am I going to get six points or am I going to get four points. That's kind your, that's what you're toiling over right now. I think there's a lot of other people with me,
Starting point is 00:02:48 because I got a lot of messages about the Brinton Strange, Kate Otten, as soon as I added Brinton Strange to the roster, we got news that he's hurt. Yeah? So he's got an AC joint sprain, so he's probably not the best option. Now you had made the decision after the show to go with Strange over Auden, am I correct?
Starting point is 00:03:09 I had been getting closer to that, yeah. He had been in the lineup. I got messages though this morning about Laporta, Strange. I got messages about Mark Andrews in Strange. Mark Andrews, yeah, that's the answer. Like this was a one week performance by Britain Strange. We've had one week performances by Schoonmaker. Parker Washington a couple weeks ago had like a billion targets and was the, you know, it
Starting point is 00:03:37 was like, oh, that was the player that Mac Jones just targeted a lot in that game. And then poof. I watched the whole game all the Britain Strange targets. The Jets just didn't cover the middle of the field near the line of scrimmage because they didn't care about that and it wasn't meaningful it was 11 catches for 73 yards so I am I'm gonna make a proclamation right now Jason I will tell the Foot Clan my official tight end start tomorrow morning. I'm not doing it today.
Starting point is 00:04:05 Oh really? No. Coward. I've got, I've been researching, I've been thinking. Is this because of the waiver wire? Like you want to, oh this is, this is you wanna pick someone up and you don't wanna give them the advice.
Starting point is 00:04:17 What if the footclad's out there and they need advice and that guy gets picked up? No, I don't know what I'm doing yet. That's the truth. I don't know. I'll know tomorrow. Okay, all right. Hey, if the show runs long, you can tell us what happens with your waivers
Starting point is 00:04:34 after it goes through, which, looking at the timeline, all the stuff we gotta get to in the show, I think by the end of this show, waivers are gonna run, and we're gonna know who you picked up, and then you can give the footclad advice. See, you are. I have never I mean I just I'm sitting here in the in the same studio as one of my opponents I just and it's not a it's
Starting point is 00:04:54 not a game we're breaking down you know today so we'll see we'll see this is this is not a this is not special they should not have attention on the show today. Okay. Okay. Someone's calling their shot on coal. Come on. Well, here is here's the actual point that that does make sense in the context of where we're headed is that these isolated one-off games from tight ends are very rarely repeated. Yes. And we've already got news like stone smart We got news this morning that Hayden Hearst is returning for the Chargers if you're chasing a stone smart Performance and we had a schoonmaker performance and we've had a Britain Strange game and we had three weeks of Otton and like We've had a Calcutta Calcutta game
Starting point is 00:05:42 Calcutta Yeah, we had a grant Calcutta touchdown. Chasing that as opposed to looking for the next one, I think is the difference. So you have the next one. I have the next one. That's great news. And it will be revealed after our waivers run. In 50 minutes. All right. Jointhefoot.com is the community. We want to give a shout out to everybody over there supporting the show. You get access to all of our premium tools. You get access to an extra episode every week
Starting point is 00:06:08 and we move to a two shows a week schedule once the season's over, up through the NFL draft and into June. But if you want an extra episode every single week and you wanna support this show, if we brought some value to you, you can go to jointhefoot.com. That's just one of the perks there.
Starting point is 00:06:24 We just recently pulled all the advertising and banner ads and stuff off the site for all members so they can have a better browsing experience. And our team is working really hard to upgrade the app, which is brand new this year, the in-season app. There's a lot of tools and resources. We try to bring a lot of value there. We appreciate everybody that is on board.
Starting point is 00:06:43 For sure, and it's worth reminding people, we do go to two shows a week, but we don't go away. So stick with us through the off season. There are awesome shows. A lot of times we hear that people found us in the off season with like the Truth of series that we do, the Truth of Wider Series, Truth of Running Back. So we get into that early after the season wraps up to make sure we're not a little bit too zoomed in on certain weeks and certain performances but certain emotions yeah yeah try to get it right so um yeah so we'll break it down we got a lot going on let's jump into that news
Starting point is 00:07:17 news and notes from around the league presented by USA insurance the league presented by USA a insurance well I mentioned it Hayden Hearst coming back tonight against the Broncos so stone smart is not a smart play at this point with Hayden Hearst a higher depth chart tight end coming back yeah stone dumb I did get word Mike might be back by the offseason too oh that's you know that's talking about the offseason we might get him back no he might be back by the offseason too. Oh, that's you know, we're talking about the offseason We might get him back. No, he might be back tomorrow. We'll see hope he's back tomorrow. He's the shame And now he might not be now that you're reminded him of that since here McCormick was placed on IR. Goodbye sincere We will miss you. Aidan O'Connell returned to a full practice on Wednesday. He had no practices last week
Starting point is 00:08:03 Seems like Aidan O'Connell should be back. That's good news for Jacoby Myers, Brock Bowers. Yeah, those two guys go from pretty much, well, Brock at tight end, you're gonna play him no matter what, but Jacoby goes from not playable to probably should be played. Isaac Garando did not practice on Wednesday. This was news because that was not the injury he mispracticed for the week before. Yeah, right now he's listed with both foot and hamstring, so obviously a little bit banged up. The matchup against Miami, they're kind of middle of the pack. Are you going, Taylor, if, are you prepping if you have Garendo? I'm prepping, yeah, but it's not a good
Starting point is 00:08:44 feeling because, I mean, Taylor had zero opportunities last week when Garendo finally If you have Gerindo. I'm prepping, yeah, but it's not a good feeling because Taylor had zero opportunities last week when Gerindo finally played. So that would be the guy we would imagine. But it could be Keishon Vaughn, it could be Israel Abanekanda. Pivot, he's injured, not a great matchup, maybe he's inactive and we're saying,
Starting point is 00:09:03 okay, is it Taylor? Is he? Do you just go with someone like a Jacoby Myers? Yeah, or Thielen. Yeah. Or Jalen McMillan. Yeah, I would play all those. Jalen Waddle didn't practice with the knee, probably not playing. Geno Smith did return to a full practice. That was big news. Great news. Great news.
Starting point is 00:09:23 We did get breaking news yesterday. Zach Charbonneau did not practice. He's dealing with an oblique injury. Kenneth Walker's still not practicing with the calf. It's a Wednesday. It's a Wednesday, and Charbonneau's obviously been getting the work without Walker there. So I'm not going to overreact to him not practicing on a Wednesday.
Starting point is 00:09:40 If he doesn't practice on Thursday, I'll start saying uh-oh. Yeah, yeah, it just makes me a little nervous right now. Baker Mayfield with the, with a knee. He's been limited or not practicing on Wednesdays. But Cade Otten also has a knee injury. Because if you put a tight end on my team, he will get hurt. He will get hurt immediately. Thank you for getting rid of Johnu then.
Starting point is 00:10:00 You gave the people some freedom. I did, I kept him healthy. Britain Strange, AC Joint Sprain supposed to be ready for the game on Sunday So we'll see we've heard that before with Evan Ingram and he got thrown on IR So we'll monitor those two tight ends and Clyde Edwards O'Leary. I guess we got this in here He signed with the Saints practice. He's gonna maybe play football But I think the important news here is not Clyde Edwards O'Leary related. it's Alvin Kamara related so if they're going out and they're signing someone you know signing Clyde Edwards Alera it just gives me even more heebie-jeebies
Starting point is 00:10:35 on a Monday night football game for Kamara actually starting a Kamara is such an exceptionally important piece if you you have Kamara, you made the playoffs. That's like, he was such a good pick. And then he helped in round one, either you had the buy or he helped you get through it with that touchdown. So this is a really important piece of round two playoffs. And people have to figure out
Starting point is 00:11:01 what they're gonna pivot off of Kamara. I would try to move them to your flex and get someone else in there in case he doesn't play. Yeah, don't ride dirty into Monday night just hoping he's gonna be out there. You need to either play somebody Sunday or have news that he's gonna play or have somebody that you can pivot in there for sure.
Starting point is 00:11:17 So that was today's News and Notes presented by USA Insurance. Learn more at usaa.com slash insurance. Starts of the week. Well Jason, it starts of the week time and you know you're probably playing the guys that brought you to where you're at, but there are also decisions to be made. People with committee quarterback situations where you've been bouncing players back and forth. So I wanted to throw my endorsement behind Jordan Love this week on Monday night in that exact Alvin Kamara game. I think it's
Starting point is 00:11:57 going to be a better than average week for Jordan Love at home against New Orleans, where the Saints have struggled tremendously against quarterbacks, in passing yards allowed, and Jordan Love has not been a difference maker for you this year. We've had that segment every week. Jordan Love's not been a difference maker. I do think he is going to be better than expected this week. Yeah, you look at the last month, 15 fantasy points,
Starting point is 00:12:21 19 fantasy points, 15 fantasy points, 17 fantasy points 19 fantasy points 15 fantasy points 17 fancy points. He's not He's not Disappearing or playing poorly, but he's not having great fantasy points primarily because of touchdowns The you know that all all those games they're scoring 30 points and so Josh Jacobs is really the Kryptonite here to Jordan loves fantasy success, but you think the touchdowns coming this through the air? Yeah, I mean, I think Jordan Love gets it done on Monday night. I think, you know, 202 with the with high upside and I think the potential is there. So I think it'll be a better than average game for Jordan Love. The matchup is really good. All righty. I am going with Jaden Daniels, probably one of the most asked and talked about quarterbacks
Starting point is 00:13:09 this week. You know, Jaden Daniels has been awesome. He's gotten you to this point and the scare is we saw Jaden Daniels play this Philadelphia Eagles defense a couple of weeks ago, about a month ago, and he was really, really bad. You had 13 fantasy points, and that was thanks to a late Irch garbage time touchdown. So I get being scared. I really do. But since then, he's been the quarterback one, the quarterback three, the quarterback seven. He also was not healthy in that game. He was not fully what he is now.
Starting point is 00:13:48 His scrambling, I don't know if you know this Andy, he is on pace for the most scrambles of all time. So that was kind of absent in that Philly game. I believe that Jaden Daniels, if I have him on my roster, I'm going to start him. I'm going to put him out there and I actually think he has a good game. This is a really unstoppable type of player. You can't always get him in the backfield. And his weapons with Terry McLaurin, I'm not scared off of the matchup. This is one of the top three quarterbacks in fantasy football. You're in the second round of the playoffs.
Starting point is 00:14:25 If you got here with them, I'm playing them. If you wonder for a moment and you're listening and saying, well, who wouldn't play Jaden Daniels? The answer is tons of you who are asking. Like the sixth most popular start sick question, and we get thousands and thousands every week, is Jaden Daniels or Kyler Murray? It's Jaden Daniels, bad matchup, Kyler Murray,
Starting point is 00:14:46 good matchup, projected points are similar, but Carolina gives up seven points more per week to the quarterback position than the Eagles do. It's enticing. And so there is a fear there, and for good reason. The Philadelphia defense, like if you had Brian Robinson, let me put it this way, Jason does not have Brian Robinson as the start of the week. No.
Starting point is 00:15:09 Because that kind of a player is probably not overcoming that kind of a defense to the degree that you need in the semifinal matchup. But there are Jordan Love, Jaden Daniels decisions, Kyler Murray, Jaden Daniels decisions, for sure. I mean, if Josh Allen was playing the Eagles, I don't think you'd have a question. Kyle, your start-sit decision this week is who?
Starting point is 00:15:30 It's your two starts of the week. I was imagining. It's Jordan Love and Jaden Daniels. Yesterday I said I think I would go love over Daniels, but then Jason, I think when we talked through it, it persuaded me to bump Daniels a little bit ahead. And there is an emotional piece. Like who do you want to have made the mistake with?
Starting point is 00:15:50 You know, like if you put Jayden Daniels on your bench and he has a vintage game, and you lose because you pivoted away out of kind of over analyzing the situation, I think that's harder to live with. I think if you go down with your superstar, it's easier. Yeah. Jordan Love was my quarterback.
Starting point is 00:16:08 Jerome Ford is my running back start of the week. He was the RB 10 on nine opportunities last week. IR for Nick Chubb. He's had big plays. He had a 62 yard run. He's had some bigger ones. Last year he had three over 60 yards. This year he's had a number of over 30 yard runs. He's going to get 15 plus touches. Cincinnati is not
Starting point is 00:16:29 intimidating. They just gave up three touchdowns to Pollard and Spears last week. I mean they are, if you zoom in even more on the strength of schedule, they're even worse against running backs. 31st in schedule adjusted fantasy points given up to running backs. This is a tough one for players because Ford's probably been on your bench. You probably didn't play him last week and it's a decision making process now to flex him in versus somebody else at, you know, an Adam Thielen in the, you know, a Jerry Judy in the same game where Judy's been great, but now you have DTR,
Starting point is 00:17:06 I'm going forward. What if Gerindo is active? Ford. Okay, so I think that's a perfect, you know, grab off the waivers, put it in your flex over a questionable other option. Ford should have enough volume to have a safe floor. The question is, will he have the chance
Starting point is 00:17:22 of a touchdown with DTR? Hopefully, The Cincinnati Bengals, man, they love giving up touchdowns. My running backs for start of the week, first of all, the start of the week is James Connor. James Connor was the running back one last week. Carolina is such a good matchup. You've got a banged up Trey Benson. James Connor should eat. Congratulations if you have him. Oh thanks. My other star of the week is Breese Hall. Breese Hall has been, I mean there's no secret here. I am not the biggest fan of the Breese Hall experience. I do think this
Starting point is 00:18:00 is a- You paid a ticket for that ride and you didn't have a good time. Yeah, no I threw up. No I threw up I in her seat restraint didn't even work yeah it the the vomit just came right back in my face we were right on the loop-de-loop part and I threw up but you know what I got off I took a shower and I'm willing to try it again I know you're not I am well I'm not because he has knocked me out of the playoffs wherever I have him However, I do think Breeze Hall is a good play this week Not just because he can't hurt me and so he's gonna go nuclear We talked about the running back schedule for a long time for the Jets the the playoff weeks and how good they should be
Starting point is 00:18:36 For Breeze Hall. He got a touchdown last week. He is Healthier this week than he was last week Zach Rosenblatt was tweeting out that he's further along with his injury than Braylon Allen is. So, you know, if you've actually got Braylon Allen a little bit banged up, you got the Rams allowing the fifth most rushing yards per game. The matchup is good.
Starting point is 00:18:56 He should see 15 plus touches at home. Good chance to get in the end zone. There's a good over-under. I think Breeze Hall's a good starter. Real decisions for people with Breeze Hall. Breeze Hall or Calvin Ridley against Indianapolis? I'd go Breeze. Breeze Hall or Khalil Shakir against New England? I would go Breeze. Okay. That's what I'm doing, currently, before you even said any of this. Those are the decisions I have in a semifinal matchup. It's a tough
Starting point is 00:19:18 one. Breeze Hall, the Burns have been real. I mean, he shouldn't be allowed to be in starts of the week. I don't think very many, remember you've been saying like people with Camara, people with Gibbs, they're in the playoffs? Yeah. You might not be talking to many people with Breece Hall. Well that's why I've got James Connor out there. Yeah, no, and Connor has a chance at going,
Starting point is 00:19:38 well he has a chance at doing a couple things. He was the RB one last week, could be again this week with Carolina, dead last against everything against the run. You didn't even mention Trey Benson, Amari DiMarcato both hurt for Arizona. I did. You did mention that?
Starting point is 00:19:50 Well, I mentioned Benson. I didn't go all the way down to DiMarcato. But you're saying, look, he could be the number one again and he will be after this week. Like he's playing in this game, right? Yeah, he's healthy. Yep. So he's just gotta do two more weeks
Starting point is 00:20:04 to finish this season. This week and next week? Or two, you're saying including week 18? Yeah, it's he's healthy. Yep. So he's just gotta do two more weeks to finish the season. This week and next week? Or two, you're saying including week 18? Yeah, it's gotta be including week. Do we care about that part? Yes! Just give me a fantasy season, I don't care. Well, I mean, I don't care,
Starting point is 00:20:13 but when we say he's never played a full season, if he misses week 18, he still has never played a full season. Okay, yeah, that's fair. Where are we at? Wide receiver. Wide receiver. J, S, yeah, that's fair. Where are we at? Wide receiver. Wide receiver. JSN versus MIN, Minnesota. JSN this week is my start of the week.
Starting point is 00:20:34 Regardless of whether Gino is back in 100% or it's Sam Howell, flinging it around, he is leading the NFL in slot receptions by a lot. Like he is the premier slot receiver in the NFL. He has 70, the next closest 52 by Khalil Shakir. You know, last year, C.D. Lim led the NFL with 69 receptions in the slot. This is where he belongs and he's been a difference maker
Starting point is 00:20:59 for your fantasy team. He's on pace for just a record-breaking season for JSN and he's made Metcalf look like a questionable dynasty situation right now. And you don't have a choice against Minnesota. You got to throw against them. He is both a big play potential type of guy, a yak guy, but also a really helpful volume play. So I'll go Jason. Yeah, I'm gonna go with Malik Neighbors going to Atlanta. I just talked about on the Dynasty podcast, came out yesterday, which is easy to do. But Malik Neighbors is on pace for the most targets and receptions ever for a rookie. That's good.
Starting point is 00:21:41 He missed two games! Like that's, that's the, I mean he is the, so it doesn't matter who the quarterback is. You can put out Tommy Cutlets, you can put out Drew La, anybody. I don't even care. Boyle, who cares? Just throw the ball to Malik neighbors, everyone's going to. Atlanta's defense is straight diaper gravy. They are 30th in schedule, adjusted fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. Dead last in receiving touchdowns allowed to wide receivers. Malik neighbors absolutely needs to be in your lineup. If you're wavering, if you have confidence problems because of the quarterback, you're
Starting point is 00:22:13 saying don't worry about it. Yeah, because Malik neighbors has the ability to do what you need in playoffs, which is to go nuclear. Sam Laporta is my tight end start of the week. Last week, eight targets for Sam Laporta. Let's not forget what he's capable of. Seven for 111, been a top 12 tight end three straight weeks. The usage has gone up.
Starting point is 00:22:35 David Montgomery is gone. And I think Sam Laporta's role in this offense is going to become more necessary, has become more necessary, facing a Bears defense that has struggled. have confidence in Sam Laporta in a week where some of us are really scrambling for the tight end position. Yeah, and I'm going to give people confidence in a player that I've seen. The questions you've had them, like when you're talking, do I keep rolling Travis Kelsey or
Starting point is 00:23:01 do I go to the waiver wire? And I'm going to keep rolling Travis Kelsey. The last month has been a rough, rough stretch for Kelsey. Four straight games outside the top 12, but he hasn't goosed the way that a lot of these waiver wire tight ends can. And also during that stretch, he has a 23% target share and the third most targets among tight ends. He's getting, he's getting the passes thrown his way. The match up here is pretty darn good. Over the last six weeks, you've got the Texans who are 30th in schedule, adjusted fantasy points,
Starting point is 00:23:29 allowed to tight ends, allowing 3.8 more per game than the player's average. The Chiefs are kind of in this weird must win mode to keep that bye week, to keep that number one seed. And I think that the quarterback, you know, oh, Mahomes is hurt, maybe he won't be as mobile, assuming he plays because he's practicing in full or maybe he doesn't play in his Carson Wentz. Either way, I think Kelsey becomes even
Starting point is 00:23:53 more important to this offense. He's that safety blanket where maybe Mahomes isn't as mobile and doesn't have time to extend the plays. He's going to be looking to Kelsey,, I think early and often in this matchup. We do, I have some starts of the week for Mike here. I don't know if you knew this. At quarterback, he's going Trey Lance this week. Okay, that makes sense, on brand. Running back, he's actually,
Starting point is 00:24:14 he's running a vintage player here, Jeremy Hill. Oh, the tattoo. Jeremy Hill is his running back. That's his chest tattoo. Yes, and then at wide receiver, he's actually rolling Antonio Brown out there. Always a good idea. One of the ghosts.
Starting point is 00:24:27 CTE energy. And then at tight end, he's going Blake Jarwin. Blake Jarwin. I am shocked he didn't go Adam Troutman. I am really, I mean, I know he's a Blake Jarwin guy, but I mean, the Troutman. He did catch a touchdown last week, right? I don't know.
Starting point is 00:24:42 Yeah, we don't know. Who cares? We don't know. All right, let's move on. We'll jump into the forecast here after a break. Hamburglar, why are you calling? Rubble, rubble. McDonald's has a new biggest burger called Big Arch made with two 100% Canadian beef
Starting point is 00:25:01 patties, a new delicious sauce, and all the McDonald's flavors you love, and wait you want me to help you get it? Rubble! Come on. Compared to beef burgers on McDonald's current menu at participating restaurants in Canada. Jason is there a you know you've got your league with Mike, the Dino Junior League, you've got your matchup this week against Schneider here in the office. Is there a player, because I think everybody's got a name on their rosters, is there a player on your roster that you're like, I'm not winning without this guy doing something this week. Is there a...
Starting point is 00:25:48 I would say I'm not gonna win. It's the combo, it's ironic. They just both went off. But my old men, Mike Evans and Devonte Adams, that combo, they're gonna lead us to another championship. It's up to the old men. Yeah, it's up to the old men. Yeah, last week, if you could just repeat that, that'd be cool.
Starting point is 00:26:04 Yeah, just print it two more times print that script. And if there's all if there's anything old men are known for it's it's being able to just keep the same. Keep it going later in life down the stretch late in the season. Yeah I just love the way we talk about fantasy players. They're so old. These young super athletes. They're so old. Have you uh have you anybody here watch the Aaron Rodgers? Netflix special yet anybody I doubt it, but I am not people shaking their heads. Yeah, no one's paid me a million dollars yet Okay, okay Interesting clips coming out of that thing you should I I'm gonna I'm gonna tune in I've seen bits and pieces so far but
Starting point is 00:26:43 You know I think I think it's so far, but you know, I think it talks about like, you know, Favre and the transition, how horrible it was for Aaron Rodgers. It shows a lot of the stuff with him and Jordan Love. And it has their head coach out there talking about that relationship. I thought maybe somebody had seen. I'll check it out.
Starting point is 00:27:00 Yeah, he gave you lots of good memories there in Green Bay, mister. There was a window of good times with Aaron Rodgers. Very very good times All right, let's jump in It's time for fantasy forecast presented by DraftKings Sportsbook All right two Saturday games this week, oh boy, Saturday games, Sunday games, Monday games. Here we go, Houston, nine and five. The Chiefs are 13 and one.
Starting point is 00:27:31 Kansas City at home, still three and a half point favorites. Over-under is 42. I don't think they'd be three and a half point favorites if Vegas had any inkling that Patrick Mahomes would be missing this game. Kansas City with a two game lead in the AFC playoff picture for the bye
Starting point is 00:27:50 which is you know, that's a That's a prize and Buffalo is going to win their next three games. That is going to happen. They're going to end 14 and 3 so Kansas City plays Houston It's a big one. Houston could put themselves in position this week to move into the three seed, or at least have that opportunity.
Starting point is 00:28:12 Kansas City down the stretch plays Houston, then Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh, and then Denver in Denver. Yeah, those are all games they could lose. This is why this game feels pretty important. And the nice thing for the Houston Texans is that they might not have as much to play for depending on the outcome of the Steelers-Ravens game, and they're both Saturday,
Starting point is 00:28:33 but the Steelers-Ravens game is after theirs. So this is full motivation for both teams in the Texans Chiefs matchup. So we haven't really seen what I would call, I don't know, watchable, consistent, exciting offensive football from Houston. I just feel like there's... Or the Chiefs. I thought you were gonna say the Chiefs. I mean this looked like a game on paper when they were making the schedule. They put this Saturday, you know, Christmas week type of game and they were like the Texans versus the Chiefs.
Starting point is 00:29:10 Stroud versus Mahone. This is going to be a 53 point over under game, an, you know, such an important matchup and while it's important, neither team has played fun to watch football. Yeah. The Texans have, you know, CJ Stroud has one game over 20 fantasy points. So this there isn't the you know, I mean, Aaron Rodgers last week had a big fantasy week. Like CJ Stroud is not giving you those games here and there. Is this
Starting point is 00:29:38 game super simple from the Houston side? Is it Joe Mixon and Nico Collins and log out? That is I don't think those line is 80 and a half Yeah, I mean Nico is as sure a thing as it gets Joe Mixon is a tough matchup Kansas City is really really good against running backs and I think a lot of people are gonna be Like your Jayden Daniels situation Mixon will be that Jayden Daniels for them, that running back where they're nervous about the injury and the start.
Starting point is 00:30:08 Yeah, I mean, I'm more nervous about Joe Mixon than Jayden Daniels because of the injury. It was like when Jayden Daniels was wearing the flak jacket last time around, and he was injured, he didn't have a good game. So Joe Mixon is a little bit scary. Maybe you're on a stud loaded team where you can move away from him,
Starting point is 00:30:25 but I see him as a high end RB2. Nico is in every lineup and then you're done. You're not playing with anything else. You said it. One game above 20 points for CJ Stroud. Now, on the other side, Patrick Mahomes, two games above 20 fantasy points on the season. This is what I'm talking about. There's not a lot of pieces here you really, really want. Also, I think there's some confusion. Like, Isaiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt, it seemed like it was done two weeks ago where it was like, okay, all the work started going to Pacheco and it seemed like this past week would be when Pacheco is, you can confidently have him in there as the locked and loaded starter, and then both players got 13 carries last week.
Starting point is 00:31:08 And he didn't do much with the 13, 32 yards on the ground for Pacheco. His three games since returning, running back 47, 31, 39. I would be trying really hard not to play him. I mean, the Houston defensive line is a tough one. They're a top 10 over the last six weeks. They're top five on the season. You know, Jaylen McMillan in the flex or Pacheco.
Starting point is 00:31:31 I'm probably going McMillan with more upside. Yeah, I think that. I mean, that's a tough one. It is a tough one, but I don't blame you for looking. That's the level of players you're talking about. Ramandre, you'd play over Pacheco, right? I would definitely play Ramandre. Najee. Najee.
Starting point is 00:31:45 Najee for sure. Ford. Ford for sure. Yeah, I mean, that's the level that you're out right now. And really, what wide receivers are you confident in? Hollywood Brown is going to be making his debut. He should be active for this game. And I don't expect him to be someone you're starting.
Starting point is 00:32:00 But he can siphon a few targets away from Deandre Hopkins or Juju Smith-Schoost to really like, I think Kelsey's the only, Kelsey's like the only playable guy in the team. Worthy is the emergency flex. Xavier Worthy is the emergency flex. Just for upside, breakaway touchdowns. Yeah, and I think his role is defined in the offense, whereas Juju and Hopkins and Hollywood
Starting point is 00:32:22 and Watson and those guys are going to rotate through. Worthy seems to have more consistent snaps and you know you're talking about him not being able to move screen game with worthy 11 targets last week was a high for him he's been playing you know over 80% of snaps which is an uptick for him so that'd be the dart throw to me. I'm not trying to play him. We saw it with Rushie Rice last year. The rookie was more involved down the stretch. They've hit a point when it was like, okay, now we've had good plays from him and we have had good plays from Xavier Worthy. And we had that from Rushie Rice, but he wasn't on the field all the time. And then they made that. So hopefully, it's just weird timing with Hollywood coming back to be like maybe the transition will stick.
Starting point is 00:33:09 So for an exciting game for the playoff picture and for the teams and the records, it's not necessarily standing out as a bunch of fantasy options beyond a lot of confidence in Nico, your confidence in Kelsey, and then Joe Mixon has to play for you because Joe Mixon has to play for you because Joe Mixon's been that good. Yep.
Starting point is 00:33:29 The other Saturday game is Pittsburgh-Baltimore? That's fun too. I mean, Pittsburgh's 10-4, Baltimore 9-5. It would be so much more fun with George Pickens. Like George Pickens is everything to me in this game. If you have a Baltimore Raven, you want Pickens. Yes, that's what I'm saying. The whole game, the over-under, sitting there
Starting point is 00:33:47 at a perfectly aligned 45 points where it's teetering on, it could be good, it could be bad. Baltimore 6.5 point favorites on Draft Kings. Pittsburgh won this game 18-16, and we need more points than that. In week 11, that was the matchup. We need more points. We do.
Starting point is 00:34:04 And I don't know that you're gonna get it if right now, I mean, it's early in the week, but George Pickens did not participate in practice Tuesday or Wednesday with a hamstring injury. You also have some weather concerns, temperatures in the 30s, 15 mile an hour sustained winds. So if the Steelers aren't able to put up points, which they have struggled to do so without George Pickens,
Starting point is 00:34:29 because they don't have another option. Calvin Austin, Mike Williams, they're not good enough. You need to be able to hit a big play or two to flip the field. Yeah, so without George Pickens, I worry for just about everyone not named Derrick Henry in this game. Including Lamar Jackson? A little bit, just- little bit. I'm a lot less worried about Lamar than I'd be worried
Starting point is 00:34:49 about Henry. I'm not worried about Lamar, like I'm never gonna bench him, but I think his upside becomes a little bit capped because if they're up, I mean they're almost a touchdown favorite in this game. The Derrick Henry experience, he's only got one top 10 finish in the last five weeks and it was number nine overall. So for a player that had, you know, one, two, three, four, five straight weeks in the early part of the year, it has kind of shifted. And you know, you've seen Lamar,
Starting point is 00:35:18 he came out the week before last that I got to run more. He went out and he ran more last week. Made mama proud. And TJ Watt not practicing. Yeah, I mean, I don't hear what I'm not saying. Lamar Jackson is locked in. He has been so good. I'm just saying the Zay Flowers, Rashaad Bateman,
Starting point is 00:35:38 Mark Andrews, I want the tide to raise all ships here and I just don't know if the Steelers will be able to keep up. 25 to 19 is the implied point totals for the matchup. Najee Harris's rushing line is 47. If you had Najee Harrison mixing, you're going mixing? Yeah. That's not close, right?
Starting point is 00:35:59 No, I would go with the guy that got you here who's been unbelievable. Madison or Harris? Alexander Madison or Najee, I would go Naj the guy that got you here who's been unbelievable. Alexander Madison or Najee, I would go Najee. Okay. As A. Flowers receiving line is 61 and a half, he is always pretty much their leader in total receptions, but if you look at the last five weeks, it's a little bit, like he is due for a touchdown maybe? I mean, you could say that, but his line is.
Starting point is 00:36:23 Yeah, Bateman keeps hogging him. Yeah, Bateman with the big plays, Mark Andrews catching a lot of touchdowns. Seven top ten finishes since week six. The Muth has been lewd for three straight games. If there's no Pickens I think Fryermuth is fine. I mean he's been a top ten tight end three straight weeks. Do you agree with that? Yeah, no I think Fryermriarmouth is necessary without Pickens and you could do worse than that. Is that the guy on the waiver? Nope. Okay.
Starting point is 00:36:52 So I'm gonna find him. I don't even know what you're talking about. Yeah, and so little update here. Looks like Rappaport was talking this morning that it seems like Pickens will miss this week. Still early enough in the week, but keep in mind, there's a Saturday game, so I guess it's not as early. Missing the Wednesday practice, which you don't usually
Starting point is 00:37:12 care about, actually isn't quite the same. All right, ready to talk about some Sunday matchups, Mr. Moore? Yeah, let's talk about a super fun one. Like the Giants-Falcons? Yeah. Giants are two and 12, battling for that number one spot, Atlanta seven and seven.
Starting point is 00:37:30 If there was ever a time you'd want to give your rookie quarterback an opportunity, this is a good matchup. When you're eight and a half point favorites even with him, Michael Penix will get the start, the overrunners just 42, and the dawn of the Pinnix era. Did you hear where Michael Pinnix was, what was going on? Was he at Costco?
Starting point is 00:37:51 He was at Costco about to get a hot dog. A hot dog? And he decided against it. Why did he decide against it? He wasn't hungry anymore. Now I don't know if this is like, oh man, I shouldn't eat a hot dog. As in because he found out he's starting?
Starting point is 00:38:03 Yeah, I don't know if he was. He got nervous. Maybe, I don't know if he was. He got nervous. Maybe, I don't know if it was nerves or just responsibility. Remember when you used to eat a lot of food before you played in games? Oh, I would, I needed my Subway meatball. Sub?
Starting point is 00:38:16 Footlong. Yeah, and then I. That was my fuel for football. I remember a double burger before a basketball game. That one was a bad idea. You did vomit a lot. I did vomit. But I will say this, when you're playing
Starting point is 00:38:29 an offensive lineman, big meals are much more okay than when you're playing basketball. That's fair. Don't do the big meal before basketball. Jason disappeared during warmups for a while. Over the last four games, Atlanta has been 31st in pass rate over expectation. They were trying to keep the ball out of Kirk Cousins hands. What does this really mean for start-sit decisions?
Starting point is 00:38:57 Bijon you're playing, his DK rushing and receiving line is 114.5. Yeah, Bijon I think is pretty neutral. At first I thought, well, he takes a tick down, but I believe that they're going to ease Michael Penick's in. This is his first game in his NFL career. He's also coming off of an injury. So this is a rookie making his debut. And I don't, you saw that with Bo Nix.
Starting point is 00:39:24 Bo Nix now is allowed to throw it more and look more. But early in the season, they ran the ball more, they protected him a little bit more, they eased him in. You saw that with Jaden Daniels as well. So this first game, I don't expect high-flying, great passing from Michael Pinnix, which scares me with Mooney, who goosed last week. London.
Starting point is 00:39:44 He's someone that's out. London to me is still startable. London is going to be the number one target for the team or just is the primary pecking order. And he's a star. He's an elite athlete that I think can do stuff on his own. So Drake London to me is a wide receiver too this week. Some teams might be able to move on without him,
Starting point is 00:40:07 but I would be starting him. Malik neighbors was your start of the week. His reception line's five and a half. On the course of the season, the Falcons are 32nd against wide receivers. But if you look at the last six weeks, they are 32nd against wide receivers. If you adjust for schedule,
Starting point is 00:40:23 they are dead last against wide receivers. So yeah for schedule. They are dead last against wide receivers So yeah, go ahead and throw up Malik neighbors. No problem Tyrone Tracy is a question drew lock is gonna start in this one. Is that what we're hearing? That is what I have last heard Yeah, lock is gonna start Tyrone Tracy is a nerve-wracking start that I'm trying not to make. If I'm in a semi-final, that's a wild card I'm very scared about. Yeah, I mean... It's a good rush defense, locked it not. I mean, the opportunities should be there. He should have more than 10. Yeah, I mean, the opportunities will be there. That's one of the nice things about
Starting point is 00:41:02 Tyrone Tracy. You could probably go back to him him or Naji I'd go Naji Hmm 42 point over under the Giants only projected for 16 points So you are you're really hoping that Tracy is part of that said he has the one touchdown. Yeah Let me see here So in let's just look drew lock started two games played the full games in weeks 13 and 14 in weeks 13 and 14 Tyrone Tracy and this is kind of exactly what I expect him to have which is a fine start Who's the running back 17 and the running back 13 13 fantasy points?
Starting point is 00:41:36 But I mean you could do worse than that in the flex great 16 fantasy points one of those games was the 10 target game In the in the passing game so it's not a great matchup I don't think you I'm not bullish on him by any means but I don't think you have to bench him from a volume standpoint well take a break we'll jump into some more matchups all right Jason Detroit is 12 and 2 the Bears are 4 and 10 it's in Chicago the DraftKings Sportsbook line Detroit minus six and a half the over-under is 48. It was a 23-20 Thanksgiving Day game last time these two played Detroit ended up on
Starting point is 00:42:20 top that was the insanity at the end of the Eberfluss timeout conundrum Detroit has 10 Significant defenders on IR unbelievable aiden hutchinson aline mcneil carlton davis alexandz alone Derek Barnes project Martin Khalil Dorsey Mellifon who? Martin, Khalil Dorsey, Mellifon Wu, Emmanuel Mosley, their defense is gone. And now they lost David Montgomery. So some of their identity on the offensive side, now they've still got the same offensive line and Gibbs can more than handle that load for a couple of games. But I do think that their identity might shift a little bit.
Starting point is 00:43:04 This might be a team that has to throw the ball a Little bit more as the defense gives up a little bit more. Well, I talked about Laporta I like Laporta's opportunity in this game. You've seen Tim Patrick more involved you seen Jamis and Williams be really hot and cold Tim Patrick is actually Kind of interesting. It's hard to recommend starting him in the second round of your playoffs, but you look the last two weeks, seven targets, eight targets, a touchdown in each game, two in one of them. This is a team that's going
Starting point is 00:43:34 to score points, and he has been on the field. 66% of snaps last week, up to 81% of snaps caught the touchdown with eight targets. So he is mildly interesting in like a break glass emergency case. I mean, I guess that's not true because I would probably start Adam Thielen over him. And if you're that low. You're just interested in seeing what happens. Yeah, maybe he's more of like a DFS dart throw.
Starting point is 00:44:01 Jameer Gibbs has a rushing and receiving yard line that is 127.S. Dart throw? Jameer Gibbs has a rushing and receiving yard line that is 127.5. Yes, I was looking at all of his lines this morning. We'll talk about that, but his expectation is wonderful. Well, Chicago's a terrible run, D. The game script lends itself towards, I mean, they're six and a half point road favorites despite the injuries.
Starting point is 00:44:26 Because Chicago just can't get it done on offense in any sort of consistent way. Certainly not consistent. They get it done on offense from time to time. And often in the second half. I was gonna say, and that's not like this game versus that game. That's this quarter versus the other three quarters
Starting point is 00:44:42 of this game. Honestly, if you're playing players in this game, you're excited that Detroit's beat up on defense. Oh, for sure. You want more opportunities for Goff to throw the football because he's had some big games. I actually think that the weapons on the Chicago side are not that bad.
Starting point is 00:45:02 Like Caleb Williams in a- To play? Yeah, to play. Like DJ Moore, I think is a fine play. Caleb Williams is not someone I'm starting in single quarterback leagues, but he's a guy in your super flex leagues. I'd be throwing him in as that quarterback too
Starting point is 00:45:18 over some other names that might feel better. I mean, we saw this matchup in Detroit a couple weeks ago. Caleb Williams was the quarterback six through three touchdowns over 250 yards the defense is even further banged up than it was then so Keenan Allen I would play you know in a flex way DJ Moore you probably should play his his receiving yard line is 60 and a half yards. I think they'll score three times. I think there'll be three touchdowns on the Chicago side. So wherever your conviction is on those players,
Starting point is 00:45:50 maybe it's a swift and then a couple whiteout situations. Comed's not really involved. Yeah, I think this game could be pretty fun. Yeah. I think that one could be more fun. You hope the weather's fine. You know Jared Goff doesn't like the weather. It's gonna be very, very chilly.
Starting point is 00:46:05 It'll be cold. It's gonna be out. The winds look like, I mean, it's early right now. 10 mile an hour winds, which is not a big deal. You could throw through that. It's really 15 is that breaking point. Tell that to Kirk Cousins. Yeah, well, Caleb Williams' arm is a little bit stronger
Starting point is 00:46:22 than Kirk Cousins'. The Browns are three and 11. They take on the six and eight, fighting for their lives, Cincinnati Bengals. The Draft King Sportsbook line, Cincinnati heavy favorites, 7.5 points. The Over-Unders 47. The spread didn't change with the news that DTR was going to be the starter because James Winston had been playing so poorly that the Browns are putting in a player they know will play poorly. That's really where you're at. This is very similar to the Levis Mason Rudolph. The Titans know Mason Rudolph is not a good
Starting point is 00:46:55 quarterback and yet Will Levis has put them in a position where if you're getting poor quarterback play they just are tired of the turnovers which I don't know if that goes away I don't think it goes away man. I think I think The turnovers go down with Rudolph. I don't know that they I mean they probably go down with DTR Because they won't have him throw the ball 45 times but this feels like a team in the Browns that are Ready for the draft.
Starting point is 00:47:26 Burrow, Chase Brown, Jamar Chase, T Higgins are your locks on the Cincinnati side. Not a lot of question marks there. Mike Gissicki is always tempting for tight end starts, but he plays 30% of the snaps and it's terrifying. And you don't, I worry with this game when DTR wasn't made the starter it really you know our champ champ champ league And I almost the name I almost brought up instead of my old man combo of Mike Evans and Devontae Adams is Joe burrow Joe burrows the guy I need and he's been so unbelievably great, but When Jamis was the quarterback on the other side of the ball you were stoked. Holy Joe burrow
Starting point is 00:48:03 I was I was ready for that 50 point burger in this game to just go insane and Jerry Judy to be, you know, the wide receiver three on the week. With DTR there, they might not need, I mean this is great maybe for Chase Brown with a huge lead. You know, his DK Russian receiving line is what? 108 and a half yards? Yeah, that's not that far behind Gibbs but I worry that Joe Burrow won't
Starting point is 00:48:28 have to do much they played last when it was Watson not Winston and it was 21 14 and burrow was the quarterback 17 so that's the step that'd be the fear but they should be able to you know you just hope burrow gets it done early yeah in this game and that the defense, which is a streaming play this week, they don't score two times for you and hurt your offense. Yeah, Jerry Judy, I think, is one of the biggest question marks. I think he's the biggest one.
Starting point is 00:48:54 Maybe the biggest one on the week. Is that what you're gonna say? Just what I was gonna say. He is, because he's been unstoppable. He has gotten people to the playoffs. And I know in the league that I have him in I had the bye week I've made the decision to start Jerry Judy this week his receiving line is 60 and a half he's clearly the one for this team I
Starting point is 00:49:14 don't think Cedric Tillman comes back from concussion protocol I don't think David Najok who does either this is a team that like I said I think there's a team getting ready for the draft when they made the transition To dtr. I think they are saying we're done with this season. I really believe that was dtr to du in yes Exactly. So jerry judy though with the receiving line with the fact he's the only show in town Exactly and and and the fact you can take a little underneath and the bangles are not a good defense Shakir or judy jud. Ridley or Judy? Judy.
Starting point is 00:49:46 Yeah, okay. Ridley's closer. The Rams are eight and six. Jets are four and 10. Difference makers, I talked about my belief that the Jets, with Aaron Rodgers, it just came out that he's getting healthier. I think you can see that on the field.
Starting point is 00:50:00 He ran for 45 yards last week. The DK line here, Los Angeles, minus three. The over-under is 46 and a half. That's not a big line considering the records of the teams. And the recency of the teams. You look at the Rams, they've won four of their last five games. Seven and two since the bye. They beat Buffalo. This is a team that has been playing good ball. We have been debating the Rogers versus Stafford if you needed second
Starting point is 00:50:32 quarterback super flex emergency start. Amazingly their passing yards prop is the same. Oh my gosh are you kidding? 244.5 which is high. Wow. But I don't mind either one and I told you I think of them identically and then we get where the line is the same so that's how I see it I mean either player look what do you have? Two quarterbacks that can have a game but don't often. Mm-hmm. With two elite wide receivers for both. Adams and Wilson have been playing well to two top 12. And they're both supposed to have a great running back. Yeah, are you forgiving?
Starting point is 00:51:06 One of them does. Yeah, are you forgiving Cooper Cup? Oh yes, Cooper Cup was almost my start of the week. This is a guy that needs to be, I mean, the reason I didn't make him my start of the week is because I think a lot of people who have him aren't in the playoffs anymore. It might be a little bit too irrelevant.
Starting point is 00:51:24 But if you got through the Cooper Cup, which you did, you had them in three different leagues in the playoffs. And two of them I got through. And you got through it in two. I am 100% forgiving Cooper Cup. I mean, the Jets are a matchup you want. This is, I mean, you just, you ignore it completely. It kind of feels like this one's pretty easy then,
Starting point is 00:51:43 because both of the wide outs on both sides are playing. Yep. Adams has been on fire. Garrett Wilson's receiving line is 73. Ooh, that's nice. And then Kyvron Williams getting it done. Breece Hall, you have, I mean that's, to me, it's, I don't have start of the week conviction like you do because I didn't like how often I saw him on the field last week and the fact he's missing time due to injury, I am much more of a pump the brakes there. Still finished it running back 20, but it was 48% of the snaps, and I think it'll be similar this week, and I think that's because of Isaiah Davis. Yeah, I mean, Isaiah Davis will get a little bit more work, but I love the fact that Braylon Allen is banged up right now.
Starting point is 00:52:21 Wow, what a mean guy. You love the fact he's hurt, huh? I... that came out wrong. For Breece Hall, one of the things that gives me confidence is that I am not confident that Braylon Allen's going to be able to be on the field. So that's a good point. Isaiah Davis has been... he's looked really good and he's been playing, you know, 40, 50% of the snaps. But Breece Hall is further removed from his injury. I think that these last couple weeks against the Rams, against Buffalo, if you made it through, if you have Breece, I think he's gonna take you to a championship.
Starting point is 00:52:58 Philadelphia is 12 and two, the commander's nine and five. This is one of the big games of the week. DK Sportsbook line, Philly minus three and a a half the over-under is 45 and a half and you know the is this the get-right game for Saquon from what you've been dealing with it you know his line is 98 and a half rushing yards the offensive line for Philly, unbelievable. The defensive line for Washington, awful. It feels like a Saquon game to me.
Starting point is 00:53:30 That's the headline of this one to me is, it feels like this is a game that Saquon should be able to set the tone. I worry about the injury. He was clearly not the same after getting banged up last week, and he's on pace to break the all-time rushing record, which is kind of a big one. When you've got like decades long records
Starting point is 00:53:50 that you can break, he's going to get the volume and the opportunity. I just hope he is healthy. If he's healthy, you're 100% right. It should be a massive Saquon Barkley game. That's where you can beat the commander's defense a little bit better. They're top 10 against quarterbacks, against wide receivers, but middle of the pack against running backs. And dead last against when it comes to adjusted yards before contact, where
Starting point is 00:54:19 Philly's offense gives Saquon the most yards before contact. It's a really nice O-line D-line matchup for the Eagles. Jaden Daniels, you've talked about him in the start of the week. He is a player that there's a lot of fear in the fantasy world this week. I love watching Jaden Daniels play, unless I'm playing against him and I hate it so much. When you watch him play, he gives you confidence and peace so often and you did spend a lot of last week saying he's so good yeah so good and so it's one of those things where you know you're gonna be watching these games playoffs on the line is why
Starting point is 00:54:54 the player that's like really good are you gonna extrapolate that then to confidence with Terry McLaurin yeah I think you have to I mean Terry McLaurin there's no way you can bench him when he has been as good as he's been. I'm gonna be holding my breath. 63 and a half is the receiving line for him, which I was a little bit sad to see that low. You look back, the last three games, 102 yards,
Starting point is 00:55:21 73 yards, 73 yards, and then you get a 62 and a half line. The expectation is this is a really, really difficult defense. Seven touchdowns in his last six games. He's 11 on the year, which beat his career high already. I mean, his career high was seven in his rookie season. He hadn't had more than five since then, and this year, special season.
Starting point is 00:55:41 And what's crazy is last week, there were only three incompletions his way and all three would have been basically bomb touchdowns you're probably not gonna have Zach Hertz you don't have Noah Brown you don't have a backup option that's the end the running game is a problem too Bryan Robinson he will get the work Bryan Robinson are nausea that's interesting that's that's a fair comp I Ryan Robinson, he will get the work. Ryan Robinson or Najee. That's interesting, that's a fair comp. I think I'm gonna move away on the, I'm gonna let the matchup dictate that one and take Najee.
Starting point is 00:56:14 Because Raven's Rushdie versus the Eagles Rushdie. One thing I've seen a lot from people in the semifinals is a strange desire to bench Devontae Smith this week. So how do you react to that? Because I've seen a lot of situations where they're trying to start someone other than Devontae Smith. Yeah, I mean... I mean, he had season highs last week of 12 targets, 11 receptions. He didn't practice Wednesday. It's probably just, you know, maintenance. Devontae Smith is a really, really, really good football player. On the course of the
Starting point is 00:56:53 season, he's missed a handful of games. He's wide receiver 34. I feel like he is a fine player but not one with massive upside. My expectation here in this game is like six for 70 and you hope you get a touchdown. So that's someone you're gonna start. Lad McConkey or DeVante Smith? Lad is tonight, that is one of the questions that is the most popular on our site.
Starting point is 00:57:20 That one I would go DeVante Smith because Denver is really tough. Darnell Mooney or DeVante Smith? You would go to want a Smith because Denver is is really tough Darnell Mooney or Devante Smith you go Devante Smith I want Jennings or Devante Smith oh that one's interesting Jennings let people down last Jennings did let people down Miami has been good I I'm gonna go Devante Smith there and then AJ Brown and Jalen Hertz are of course in your lineup, Jaden Daniels in your lineup. And it's time to parlay-partay Jason. Oh yeah, let's party like clowns. I had Chase Brown 25 plus receiving yards last week against Tennessee. He had a monster fantasy
Starting point is 00:57:59 day but 16 receiving yards. Very disappointing, I am wearing the clown wig and Jason you had Jameson Williams over three and a half receptions he had three he had three you were so close you were so very close Mike had Devante Adams 60 plus receiving yards who nearly tripled it I nearly tripled it. I'm J. Grizz! Yeah. I'm J. Grizz! J. Grizz in the house.
Starting point is 00:58:30 Looking good with that crown on. Yeah, he's standing in for Mike. I'm on a cold streak, I'm gonna be honest with you. You know, through the majority of the season, I was beating you and Mike, and then the last couple of weeks, you guys went hot, I went cold but I am pretty bullish on my current pick this week. Sometimes I'm real confident.
Starting point is 00:58:51 Sometimes it's a little dicey but Jameer Gibbs line for this week, 25 plus receiving yards. Even before the Monte injury, this was a fair line. He's averaged 28 receiving yards. But Monte comes in this year and has had drives in the receiving game. I mean, his bad game last week, four yards rushing. He still had four catches. Yeah, exactly. And so this is going to be Jameer Gibbs' game, and I don't think the line has adjusted quick
Starting point is 00:59:21 enough on him. So that's where in the game against Chicago where their defense, where Detroit's defense isn't going to be great, 25 should be an achievable number in the receiving game for Gibby Gibby Gumdrops. Okay. I'm going Zay Flowers, 50 plus receiving yards. He's averaged 65 yards a game this year. He's been over that mark three straight games. He is the target leader for this team. He's going to accumulate enough of those plays and you know fantasy-wise he has been doing enough in the target world but not scoring and not having that one big play.
Starting point is 00:59:58 I do think he gets above 50 receiving yards against Pittsburgh this week and Mike is going with or Jay Grizz is going with, Malik neighbors over five and a half receptions. And it's just been, you know, backing up what you said about neighbors in your start of the week. Yeah, I mean, he's averaging seven and a half receptions. The matchup is perfect for him.
Starting point is 01:00:17 So I love over five and a half. Feeling pretty good about this one. All right, that was Fantasy Forecast, presented by DraftKings Pick Six, down with the new DraftKings Pick 6 app now, and use the code BALLERS, that's the code BALLERS, for new customers to play $5 and get $50 in Pick 6. Credits, that is gonna do it.
Starting point is 01:00:34 No, it can't do it yet. Have the waivers ran yet? We have to stretch this out until those waivers run. It's really not worth it. I mean. Well you could say now, you can actually say. I can say now. I will not put any claims, I do not have any claims in.
Starting point is 01:00:51 It's the most unexpected name. It was gonna. I can't wait to hear it. It's the first match up tomorrow, so I was just gonna save it till tomorrow because that's what we're talking about, but I'll tell you, I believe, and I'm not proud to say this, and I'm gonna tease it as long as I can
Starting point is 01:01:07 But I believe my tight end this week in the semi-finals Will not be KDOT and it will not be Britain's Strange But I believe it will be Chig Aconquo of the Tennessee Titans Chig! I think it's going to be Chig Aconquo now Brooks Did you did you see waivers go through or did you guess that before I think it's going to be Chig Aconquo. Now Brooks, did you see waivers go through or did you guess that before I said it? Bruxy, are you on the line?
Starting point is 01:01:31 It was once he said the first game tomorrow and he was Titans. Oh, okay, you know it was Titans, yeah. There it is. Look, call it a hunch? Call it an informed guess? Call it a hunch, call it an informed guess, call it a desperation play. Everyone stared at Britain Strange's targets last week.
Starting point is 01:01:50 And that was the kind of special breakout game. What you have this week is Chigga Concho, 10 targets last week, a target share over the last, I think three or four weeks that is equal to Calvin Ridley, Mason Rudolph taking over who his splits are better with and the number one matchup in all of fantasy football for Titans. Okay.
Starting point is 01:02:12 So I believe that he will be, yeah, he's been over the last month targeted on 23% of his routes, the same as Ridley. You did get him. I wasn't that worried. It just went through. I could have said it at the beginning, I just wanted to have fun.
Starting point is 01:02:26 It's look, this is, this is where I'm at. I lost Taysom Hill, K. Doddon doesn't look like, he looks hurt. And, uh, I lost Johnny Smith and I don't have options. So for me, I think. Well, you got rid of Johnny Smith. Yeah. When I thought I had two other guys.
Starting point is 01:02:44 So I think that the move for me this week is gonna be Chig over Britton Strange, not chasing what happened last week, but looking to the future and in a matchup. Look, Britton Strange is a catch the ball and fall over guy. Cade Otten is mostly a catch the ball and fall over guy. Chig Okonkwo has David Njoku style after the catch skills. Yes. And that's the play I fall over guy. Chigga Conquo has David Njoku style after the
Starting point is 01:03:05 catch skills. Yes. And that's the play I'm going with. Now Jason you are looking for some sort of button over... Don't tell me he's hers. He's not hurt is he? Chigga Conquo on IR. No that was made up. It looks like the Isaac Garindo will not be playing this week according to Adam Schefter. That is big news. Yeah, so we'll. That is big, so the hamstring injury is that bad.
Starting point is 01:03:32 Yeah, we will look into the backups for tomorrow's news segment, but good to know now. Yeah, yeah, that was one of the things hanging over the week but it's do you have confidence in the right person? I will. Okay, all right that'll do it for today's show. Can we quit now? Can we quit clown? Yeah, yeah we can move on till tomorrow. All right we'll catch you all tomorrow. Thank you for joining us. Hopefully Mike will be back. We'll get into more man ships in
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