Founders - #364 Nick & Zak's Excellent Adventure: How Nick Sleep and Qais Zaharia Built Their Investment Partnership
Episode Date: September 10, 2024How Nick Sleep and Qais Zakaria built their radically unconventional investment partnership. From the incredible book Richer, Wiser, Happier: How The World's Greatest Investors Win In Markets and Life... by William Green. ----I’m doing a LIVE podcast in New York next Monday with Patrick from Invest Like The Best. It’s FREE to attend because of the great people at Ramp ! Space is limited so register here fast! Ramp gives you everything you need to control spend, watch your costs, and optimize your financial operations —all on a single platform. Make history's greatest entrepreneurs proud by going to Ramp and learning how they can help your business control your costs and save more. ----Founders Notes gives you the superpower to learn from history's greatest entrepreneurs on demand. You can search all my notes and highlights from every book I've ever read for the podcast. Get access to Founders Notes here. ----Join my free email newsletter to get my top 10 highlights from every book----Follow Founders Podcast on YouTube (Video coming soon!) ----“I have listened to every episode released and look forward to every episode that comes out. The only criticism I would have is that after each podcast I usually want to buy the book because I am interested so my poor wallet suffers. ” — GarethBe like Gareth. Buy a book: All the books featured on Founders Podcast ----Founders Notes gives you the ability to tap into the collective knowledge of history's greatest entrepreneurs on demand. Use it to supplement the decisions you make in your work. Get access to Founders Notes here. ----“I have listened to every episode released and look forward to every episode that comes out. The only criticism I would have is that after each podcast I usually want to buy the book because I am interested so my poor wallet suffers. ” — GarethBe like Gareth. Buy a book: All the books featured on Founders Podcast
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Here's something exciting for you. I am doing a live podcast next Monday, September 16th
in New York City with my friend Patrick from Invest Like the Best. It is free because of the
good people, my friends at Ramp. It is going to be at Ramp's headquarters in Manhattan. If you live
in New York and you want to attend, or if you want to hop on a plane for that matter and fly to New
York on short notice next week, there is a link down below on your podcast player,
and you can use that link to register to attend. You got to move fast. Space is very, very limited.
I'm very grateful to the founders of Ramp for offering to do this, to offering to make it free
for all. One thing that's really important to the founders of Ramp who have become good friends and
I spent a lot of time with, it's also important to me, it's also important to Nick and Zach and
the crazy story that you're about to hear. And that is this relentless dedication to quality. As you're about to find out, Nick Sleep and his partner, Zach, have this
cult-like following, this mystique about them. Not only do they have this phenomenal performance in
the very unique and maverick way they built their fund and their partnership, a partnership that
made their investors about $2 billion in profit in 10 years. But Nick and Zach's organizing principle was around caring intensely about the quality of
your actions and decisions. And so they made very few but heavily concentrated bets on what they
thought were the highest quality businesses run by the highest quality founders. And in this book,
Nick and Zach talk about the qualities that these world-class founders have. And if you've
been listening to founders for a while now, this is not going to come as a surprise for you. They said
these formidably efficient companies kept costs low. At one point, they have about 70% of their
net worth tied up in Amazon. They talk about what they loved about. One of the things I loved about
Bezos is that Jeff Bezos was ruthlessly efficient about controlling costs. Nick and Zach's partnership
started before Found founders existed and
ended before founders existed. And yet it is through their relentless study of the history
of entrepreneurship that they arrived at the exact same conclusion. It's exactly what Andrew
Carnegie said. He'd repeat the mantra over and over again that profits and prices are cyclical.
They're subject to any number of transient forces on the marketplace. Costs, however,
could be strictly controlled.
And in Andrew Carnegie's view, any savings achieved in the costs were permanent.
And it is because he believed that there's a line in Andrew Carnegie's biography that says cost control became an obsession.
The reason I partnered with Ramp is because Ramp shares that obsession.
The reason Ramp exists is to give you everything you need to control your spend.
Ramp gives you everything you need to control your costs. Ramp gives you easy-to-use corporate
cards for your entire team, automated expense reporting, and cost control. I've been spending
a lot of time with their CTO and co-founder and a good friend of mine, Kareem, and their heads of
AI. The technical talent inside of Ramp, which I'll tell you more about in the upcoming weeks,
is incredible. When you become a Ramp customer, that means you have these mad scientists and math
and technical geniuses working 24 hours a day, building products that help you run an efficient
organization. Check out Ramp's website. I think it's incredible. Make history's greatest
entrepreneurs proud by going to ramp.com to learn how they can help your business control costs. That is ramp.com.
Nick Sleep wanted to stay in Edinburgh. So he looked around to see what Edinburgh was good at.
And he learned that Edinburgh had a reputation for fund management. So he read an obscure book
titled Investment Trust Explained to help him figure out what the investing business was all
about. He came away intrigued. He said,
I like the sense of it being an intellectual investigation. So Sleep landed a job as a
trainee investment analyst at a small Scottish fund company. He was not abundantly qualified
for the job. At college, he had studied geology and then switched to geography. His employment
history offered no evidence that he was going to be good for a career in finance. He had worked in a department store, at an IT firm, and had been a
sponsored windsurfer. Still, he had stumbled into a field that perfectly suited his idiosyncratic
mind. Like all of the best investors, Sleep views the world from an unusual angle. Sleep commented
on this saying all the way back in high school.
He says, I got comfortable with being different from everyone else early on.
I was happy being outside the group.
When Sleep was about 20, he read the book Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance,
an inquiry into values.
It was a strange but brilliant meditation on what it means to lead a life dedicated to quality.
The book exalts people
who care so intensely about the quality of their actions and decisions that even the most mundane
work becomes a spiritual exercise. For the author, motorcycle maintenance provides an ideal metaphor
for how to live and work in a transcendent way. The real cycle you're working on is a cycle called
yourself. The book's approach to life resonated deeply with
Sleep and shaped the type of investor he would become. This is how Nick Sleep described the
book's enduring impact on him. You really want to do everything with quality as that is where
the satisfaction and peace is. But what does this mean when it comes to investing? In 2001,
Sleep and his friend Kaiz Zak Zakaria created a fund called the Nomad Investment Partnership,
which they viewed as a laboratory test for how to invest, think, and behave in the most high-quality way.
Sleep wrote eloquent and amusing letters to shareholders, which have been sent to me many times over the years,
and people have requested that I do an episode on them, which will be the next episode after this one.
And there was a stunning outcome of this high-minded experiment.
So over about 14 years, they wound up 10x-ing the money.
In 2014, Sleep and Zach returned their shareholder money and retired as fund managers at the ripe old age of 45.
Since then, they've managed their own money with equally striking success, approximately tripling their wealth in the first five years of retirement. Sleep, with characteristic indifference to conventional
opinion, invested almost all of his fortune in just three stocks. At times, he and Zach had as
much as 70% of their money in a single stock. And then it lists a few of the traits that other
investors admire about them. Their complete independence, the clarity of their thinking,
the very deep research
and the very high concentration that they have. And then, of course, their mystique. Nick and
Zach have always flown under the radar. They had minimal interest in marketing their fund and even
less in self-promotion. As a result, their story has never been told. But over the last few years,
I've interviewed Nick Sleep on multiple occasions. I spent an afternoon with him and Zach at their office in London. It was there that they reflected on what they called their adventures in capitalism.
That was an excerpt of the book I'm going to talk to you about today, which is Richer,
Wiser, Happier, How the World's Greatest Investors Win in Markets and Life,
and is written by William Green. And actually, I'm going to focus on a single chapter, chapter six,
in this excellent book. And as a matter of fact, well, the chapter is called Nick and Zach's Excellent Adventure. A radically unconventional
investment partnership reveals that the richest rewards go to those who resist the lure of
instant gratification. In fact, at the very end of Nick Sleep's shareholder letters, I guess
partnership letters is more accurate. He recommends reading this book. He says, so those that wish to
read more, you can do so in William Green's book, Richard Weiser Happier.
William has written the kind of book that we would have loved to written. We are sure you
will enjoy the read. And I definitely agree. I think William Green does this fantastic job
of giving us an overview of exactly how they built this investment partnership. And I think
covering this first and then next week, you and I discussing the ideas that are actually Nick Sleep's partnership letters is the perfect sequence. So let's go ahead and
jump into a little background on both Nick and Zach. So Zach was born in Iraq in 1969. He says
he was born into a relatively privileged family. His father worked at the Iraqi Central Bank and
his mother lectured at the University of Baghdad. Three years later, Zach describes them having to flee the country
by saying, we were purged.
They had to flee Iraq, leave everything behind,
and take refuge in the United Kingdom.
His dad builds the family back up
by starting a successful business
that exports machinery back into Iraq.
By the time Zach is leaving home to go to school,
he's going to go to Cambridge to study mathematics,
his dad goes bankrupt. And he goes bankrupt not through his main business. He's going to go to Cambridge to study mathematics. His dad goes bankrupt.
And he goes bankrupt not through his main business. He actually goes bankrupt because
he was speculating in the stock market with borrowed money. This is the way Zach describes
it, I think is really important. My father had made his money on things he understood
and lost them on things he didn't understand. And so on every single episode, before I sit
down to talk to you, I go over my notes and highlights multiple, multiple, multiple times. And the last time I went over them, because now I'm rereading notes and highlights, I know how the story ends. And this part becomes even more important because he says, you know, my father made his money on things he understood and lost it on things he didn't understand. Nick and Zach, a cornerstone to their partnership, I would say, is the fact that Nick and Zach develop a deep understanding. They make their money on things they understand deeply. So after graduating from Cambridge,
Zach heads to Hong Kong. He gets a job as an equity analyst. This doesn't last long because
it turns out his boss was crooked. His boss winds up being fired and then fined millions of dollars.
And then as a result, Zach was laid off. And so Zach was telling William Green about like how
desperate this part of his life
was that he would call all his friends, apply to any job, say he would literally do anything.
And there's a reoccurring theme when you read a lot of biographies. The way I would summarize
this is that opportunity is a strange beast. It frequently appears after a loss. The only job he
can get is a job he doesn't want. And that job is as a sell-side analyst specializing in Asian stocks at Deutsche Bank.
Zach describes this part of his life as absolute hell.
He said, I did it for four years and it was absolute hell.
I was not being someone who is easily sold to.
I couldn't sell to anyone.
But there was one consolation.
It's because of this job that he meets Nick Sleep.
Opportunities are a strange beast.
It frequently appears after a loss,
or what is perceived as a loss, a temporary loss. So it was during the same time that Nick left that
small Scottish fund, he went and got a job at Sun Life of Canada, which was this gigantic financial
services firm, had tens of thousands of employees. Nick could never work in a big company, he says,
because I was almost allergic to working there. Once you've worked for a feisty company, it's quite difficult to go work for something that's big, dull and boring. So he quits and then gets a job at the place. This is actually one of being the last job he'll ever have. And in 1995, he goes and works, starts working at Marathon Asset Management. He's going to wind up staying there for more than a decade and then wind up spinning out Nomad Investment Partnership from Marathon Asset Management. This is the way he described the company he's working for. It was a scrappy,
high-flying investment firm in London that was trying to outbox the big guys.
Nick's mentor there was one of Marathon's co-founders, this guy named Jeremy Hosking.
And this is how Nick describes him. He's naturally iconoclastic. His bias is to buy
about the most despised thing he can find. He likes the controversy. He likes the difficulty. So the reason I was thinking about reading this now
is because I just spent two weeks studying Li Lu, and there's a lot of similarities in the way they
think. In fact, the collection of Nomad Investment Partnership letters, it starts with a letter
from Nick Sleep to Warren Buffett and then the response by Buffett. And just like last week,
we saw the huge influence that Buffett and Munger had on Li Lu. It's the exact same thing for Nick
and Zach. And one of the things that jumped out to me is Li Lu talked about, you know, he started
his fund right when the Asian financial crisis was happening in 97. And we see that exact same event
is what brings Nick and Zach together. So Nick is describing his mentor and one of the
co-founders of Marathon Asset Management. You know, he's like, hey, this guy's iconoclastic.
He likes controversy. He likes difficulty. Just sell me everything that other people won't buy.
And so it says the Asian financial crisis struck in 1997. And so Nick and his mentor go scavenging
for cheap stocks in the smoldering markets of Southeast Asia.
Everybody else at the time is running for cover and they're like running in.
And it is through this process that they find this unlikely ally, which is this Asian based broker who wasn't like everyone else.
That is Zach. And so Nick is at Marathon Asset Management.
Zach is at Deutsche Bank.
They're talking regularly about all these crazy bargains that they're unearthing in
places like Singapore, Hong Kong, the Philippines.
And so Jeremy Hosking tells Zach, hey, when you can't sell a stock to anyone else, call
us.
And so this is what Nick means about Jeremy Hosking being naturally iconoclastic.
In less than a year, Marathon invested about $500 million in Southeast Asia and made a killing as the region rebounded.
So pre-Asian financial crisis, stocks were trading at like three times the replacement cost of their assets.
During the crisis, they were buying those exact same stocks for one quarter of the replacement cost of their assets.
And so it's after this when they recruit Zach to Marathon.
So he moves from Hong Kong to
London in 2000. And it says Zach escaped from Deutsche Bank to work with Nick as an analyst
at Marathon's office in London. Together, they traveled to Omaha for Berkshire Hathaway's
annual meeting. It was wonderful, Zach said. Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger spoke about
companies they expected to own for decades.
Oh, my God, thought Zach.
This has nothing to do with a casino.
This is about real businesses.
Nick kept nagging his bosses to let him launch a concentrated fund within Marathon, with Buffett serving as his model.
Buffett struck him as the embodiment of quality.
And so all throughout the margins, all through these notes, I'm constantly writing there.
When they mention things like this, I just keep writing Lilo.
This is just like Lilo.
In the interviews that you and I talked about last week, you know, Lilo's like, hey, I learned,
I stumbled into this, did this random talk at Columbia from this Buffett guy.
Turns out I wound up learning from the very best.
I don't need anything else besides that.
And so when you have somebody like Nick that was fundamentally changed by this book that says, hey, dedicate your life to the quality, the quality of your craft.
And then he goes to Omaha and he listens to the philosophy and the perspective of Buffett and he realizes, oh, this is the Buffett in my business. Buffett is the embodiment of quality. So in 2001,
Nick's bosses give him the green light to start Nomad Investment Partnership. And then he asked Zach to join him as a co-manager of the fund.
And then go back to what Nick said about, hey, I was real comfortable.
I like being an outsider from a very young age.
And so he says, it was obvious that we were always going to do something a little bit odd.
From the start, they regarded Nomad as an act of rebellion.
And then this part just sings to my soul because they decide to
concentrate on what to ignore. This section is called Nevermind the Bollocks. I need to translate
that to American for you. Nevermind the bullshit is the way I would put it. And so they start out
with a very simple ambition. Their target is a tenfold increase in nomads net asset value.
And this is the part which I absolutely love.
There's a great line, a great maxim from the history of entrepreneurship that comes up over
and over again. This is genius has the fewest moving parts. I think about that often as a
reminder myself to keep things simple. So what do they do? They have a one line description of
actually what they want to do. They want to 10x their assets. And to do so, they work backwards
from figuring out what to ignore. So Nick is goingx their assets. And to do so, they work backwards from figuring out what to
ignore. So Nick is going to quote the philosopher William James about their thinking. It's going to
sound a lot like Buffett and Munger too. Nick cites a line from the philosopher William James,
the art of being wise is the art of knowing what to overlook. We just got rid of all the things we
didn't like. They disregarded, this is one of my favorite parts. This is why I say this part sinks to my soul. They disregarded all ephemeral information. Ephemeral information distracts
investors or entrepreneurs or really anybody from what matters. Nick notes that information like
food has a sell by date. Some information is especially perishable, while some information has a long shelf life.
This concept of shelf life became a valuable filter.
And they're talking about the trap that most investors, and I would say now most people, everybody's stuck in the never-ending now, as my friend David calls it.
But specifically, Nick and Zach are calling out what most other investors do.
They pay attention to fleeting news coverage and the daily soap opera. That's what they call it. But specifically, Nick and Zach are calling out what most other investors do. They pay attention to fleeting news coverage and the daily soap opera. That's what they call it.
Nick dismissively refers to these people as junkies who crave information which will be
worthless in 12 weeks. As he sees it, this short-term crowd responds constantly to fake
stimuli. And this is what he says about this. You need to be wired not to believe the bullshit,
to not be listening.
We became very happy not hearing it.
Nick and Zach told stockbrokers
that it was pointless calling them with sales pitches
since they relied on their own research
to reach independent conclusions.
My favorite story of this and an inspiration for me,
I just finished reading for the second time another biography on Sam Walton. This is episode 354. The book is called
Sam Walton, The Inside Story of America's Richest Man. It was actually published before Sam wrote
his own autobiography. And there's a line in this that I love where it says that on that day,
the market dropped and knocked a billion dollars off the value of Sam Walton stock holdings in Walmart.
When reporters asked his reaction to the disaster on Wall Street, he hadn't heard about it.
I absolutely love that.
When I went to dinner at Charlie Munger's house, I asked him because I was obsessed with Costco and Jim Sinegal.
One of my favorite forwards of any book I've ever read is the fact that Jim Sinegal wrote the forward for Soul Prices, his hero and mentor's biography. And I knew Charlie knew Jim and I was dying to find a book or some way to do an episode
on Jim Senegal. And I was like, why isn't there information? Like, why is he so low key? And
Charlie, in his wisdom, summarized it perfectly. He's like, that's because he was busy working.
And so this idea of just, I have to go back to this because this is, I spend my time in a very
similar way because I've never called it ephemeral information
like they did, but I think that's a great line.
They disregard all ephemeral information.
If you look at how I spend my time,
in the mornings, I read books,
usually old books about entrepreneurs.
In the afternoons, I reread highlights
from these old books about entrepreneurs.
And then I talk to founders and other smart people.
I spend time with my family.
I take care of my health and that's it.
Nick and Zach call this practice
a practice of intentional disconnection.
This is the important part
because they knew, they discovered
that if they do deep research
and find great businesses at fair prices
and they keep them for a long period of time,
they don't have to do anything else.
And so let's go to this description of this practice of intentional disconnection.
They wanted to think in peace, undisturbed by popular obsession. This requires uncommon
conviction to disregard what most of your peers consider significant. So how do they spend their
time? We just read annual reports until we're blue in the face and visited every company we possibly could until we were sick of it. When they analyzed companies and interviewed CEOs, Nick and Zach probed for insights with a long shelf life. Let's go back to that idea. This concept here's some questions they would ask. Number one, what is the intended destination for this business in 10 or 20 years?
Number two, what must management be doing today to raise the probability of arriving at that destination?
Number three, and what could prevent this company from reaching such a favorable destination?
They referred to this way of thinking as destination analysis.
Nick and Zach focused instead on the inputs required
for a business to fulfill its potential. This actually works for people too. It's worth noting
that destination analysis is an equally handy tool in other areas of life. So for example,
if your goal is to be healthy, you analyze the actions that you need to take now, which will
increase the odds of reaching that destination. Or if you want to be remembered lovingly by friends
and families, what are the actions you have to take now to make sure that happens? And they talk
about, you know, when you look back very much in like a Jeff Bezos mind frame, Nick says a few
times, like when you look back at your life, like when you're 80 years old and you're looking back
at your life, what do you want the life of that 80 year old to be? And so that is your destination.
Then you analyze backwards, working from that part, work backwards from that destination.
Back to the way they built and structured their firm.
As perennial outsiders, they questioned everything.
And their organizing principle was this just very sophisticated simplicity.
This attitude was influenced by the book Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance.
The book reinforced their determination to resist any low-quality behavior that they
deemed self-serving or deceitful. This complete dedication to quality made life very straightforward.
It was all about quality. Money was secondary. Remember a few pages ago, they talked about the
founding of their firm as an act of rebellion. This paragraph reminded me of that. There was
something provocative about the whole
thing, Zach said. Could you set up an investment firm which is not about the money? It's about
doing everything right. And so they deliberately eliminate everything and they ignore everything
outside of their insane focus, which is this is what they were insanely focused on.
We just concentrated on picking good stocks and thought everything else was peripheral.
They also do something that's smart that reminded me of David Ogilvie.
They have a no asshole rule.
They don't call it this, but it says they took delight in turning away investors who seemed irritating regardless of how rich they were.
So there's a great line in one of Ogilvie's books where, you know, he has advertising clients.
He's running, he's building this, you know, massively successful advertising agency. And Ogilvy says, personal dislike made me resign
many accounts. If I don't like having to deal with the son of a bitch, why should I? His summary of
this is fantastic. If I don't like having to deal with the son of a bitch, why should I? We pass
this way only once. We pass this way only once.
I think what David Ogilvie has in common, what Nick and Zach have in common, and what
Leeloo have in common is this desire to live an authentic life.
If you listen to last week's episode where at the very end, Leeloo writes this reflection
of turning 50, and he says something that I think speaks to the main motivator.
A lot of people think, in my opinion, a lot of people that are not entrepreneurs think the main motivator for entrepreneurs is money.
And I would argue it's control. It's control of what you work on, how you spend your time,
who's around you. And it is the belief of the entrepreneur that if they have the control,
the money will come with that anyways. But Li Lu said something that was fascinating.
He says, I kept going through life, he's talking about, while all the time insisting on sitting in the driver's seat.
It is my life and my journey after all.
That is the exact same mindset that Nick and Zach had, and you could see it in their actions.
I'm in the driver's seat.
I'm going to set up my company the way I see fit, not the way other people in my industry think I should.
It's the exact same mindset that Ogilvy is expressing and saying, hey, you know, if I don't like having to deal with this guy, I'm going to fire the client.
I only live once. I'm going to stay in the driver's seat. In fact, there's a hilarious
story in one of Ogilvy's biographies. You know, I've read, I don't know, four or five books on
them. And they were talking about the fact that there was this association, like a manufacturer's
association, and they wanted to hire a new ad agency. And they told all the people like, okay, well, you know, you have to come in and you pitch
us and you're going to be one of maybe like 10 different firms.
And you have 15 minutes to make your pitch.
And as soon as the 15 minutes is up, we're going to ring this bell.
They had this giant like conference room and you're going to ring the bell and no matter
where you are, it's over.
And so they lay out the ground rules at the very beginning of the pitch.
It's Ogilvy sitting across from like 12 people. And so they're telling him this, you know,
you're one of many people pitching us and then you have 15 minutes, we're going to ring the bell.
And Ogilvy just asked, he was like, well, out of you 12 people, who's going to be involved in making the decision to which agency you picked? And they go, well, all of us, of course. Remember,
Ogilvy hated committees. He famously said, search all your parks, search a park in every single city,
and you'll never find a statue dedicated to committees. Okay. So he hated committees and
he's sitting in front of a committee like, okay, well, 12 of us are going to pick the,
the agency, like who gets this account? And then he asked him, okay, well, how many of you are
going to approve, like be involved in actually approving the advertising that the agency creates?
And they go, all 12 of us, of course.
And so Ogilvy goes, okay, ring the bell,
stands up and leaves.
That is living life on your terms.
That is staying in the driver's seat.
And so let's go back to more unique ways
and how they built their investment partnership.
Nomad never used leverage, never shorted a stock,
never speculated with options or futures, never made a macroeconomic bet, never traded hyperactively
in response to the latest news, never dabbled in exotic financial instruments. Instead, Nick and
Zach played what they viewed as a long, simple game, which involved buying a few intensely
researched stocks and holding them for years. And Nick has two great lines on this I think are
related. He says, you want to build something that has permanence. And Nick has two great lines on this that I think are related.
He says, you want to build something that has permanence.
And then this is one of my favorite sentences
in the entire section.
I believe that good things grow.
And so if you are like Nick Sleep
and you believe that good things grow,
then of course you would focus on quality.
The choosing of the investment partnership's name
was intentional.
They named the fund Nomad
because they were willing to roam anywhere in search of value.
They were gunning for outstanding, absolute returns, unconstrained by reference to what anyone else was doing.
And the fund begins to trade on September 10th, 2001, one day before the attacks on the Twin Towers.
They start out buying cigar butts.
Their story is going to reflect just like Buffett and just like Li Lu. Eventually, all three of them or all four of them are going
to come around to Charlie Munger's point of view on this. But at the very beginning, they start to
find things that they can buy at one quarter of the replacement cost of the assets. They're buying
assets in Thailand and the United States and Zimbabwe. These are not great businesses. They're just fantastically cheap. And then within
a few years of doing this, they realized, oh, this strategy doesn't scale. It's exactly what
Munger figured out. This strategy had a big drawback. When stocks like these rebounded and
were no longer cheap, you had to sell them and then hunt for new bargains. And so they come around
to Charlie Munger, the architect's point of view. Remember, Buffett called Munger the architect of Berkshire. An
obvious solution to this was to buy and hold higher quality businesses that were most likely
to continue compounding for many years. This grew out of a costly mistake. So in 2002,
they find this business that they're going to invest in called Stagecoach. The stock had crashed from $2.84 down to 14 cents. But Nick and Zach figured that it was easily worth
60 cents. So Stagecoach is going through a turnaround led by the founder. So the founder
was a former bus conductor. I got to see if this guy has a biography. Sounds fascinating.
He's a former bus conductor who'd run the firm so well in the past that he'd become
one of Britain's richest people.
He comes out of retirement to try to fix this bus operation, this United Kingdom bus operation,
and his strategy worked.
Now, here's the problem.
Nick and Zach buy at 14 cents.
They cash out when the stock rebounds to 90 cents.
And they're like, wow, we got a 6x return.
But Stagecoach winds up being a way better business than they realized.
And the stock shoots up to almost $4.
And Nick says that this made him and Zach feel like horse's asses.
And so their realization is, hey, we need to forget this cigar butt business.
We need to find wonderful businesses and hold
those businesses for the long term. And the way they describe this is very fascinating.
And so Nick says, if you're thinking rationally and thinking about the long term,
you can subcontract the capital allocation decisions to them, meaning these people,
these phenomenal managers, many cases, founders, larger shareholders of the businesses,
the ones that are actually running and care deeply about these wonderful businesses that they're building. So he says, if you're
thinking rationally and thinking about the long term, you can subcontract the capital allocation
decisions to them. You don't have to be buying and selling shares. So once they realize, okay,
we want to buy wonderful businesses, then they have to first, the first step is they have to
begin thinking about what are the characteristics that account for the success of companies that have unusually long
shelf lives. And it's through this research and study that they wind up coming to the conclusion
that there's one business model that is more powerful than all the rest. And their term for
this is scale economies shared. This business model is well known now. I think at the time,
they were the first ones to actually coin that. And the first company that introduced them to this model
was Costco. They first invest in Costco in 2002. At the time, the Costco stock had gone from $55
all the way down to $30. So they start buying at $30. It had tumbled because Wall Street did not
like the company's low profit margins. So that was a surface level understanding or misunderstanding of Costco.
OK, but Nick and Zach saw underappreciated strength in Costco's fanatical focus on delivering value to shoppers.
One of the things that Nick and Zach realized is the low profit margins is actually an asset, not a liability.
Costco marked up its goods by no more than 15 percent above cost, while typical supermarket might mark up prices up to 30 percent.
To the skeptics on Wall Street, this generosity seems soft and uncompetitive,
the corporate equivalent of collectivism. That's hilarious. But Nick and Zach saw the long-term
logic of Costco's strategy. Satisfied customers, and this is the flywheel that they described,
satisfied customers kept returning and spending more money in its stores, thereby generating
enormous revenues.
As the company grew, it negotiated better deals with suppliers and then kept driving down its famously low costs.
Costco then shared these economies of scale with consumers by lowering its prices even further.
Nick and Zach estimated that the Costco members saved $5 for every dollar that Costco kept for itself.
This policy of self-restraint was a virtuous cycle that Nick sums up like this.
Increased revenues begets scale savings, begets lower costs, begets lower prices, begets increased revenues.
And this is another great thought right here.
Most big,
successful corporations eventually lapse into mediocrity, but Costco's readiness to share the benefits of its scale with customers meant that size became an advantage, not a burden. Costco
kept growing by giving back instead of grabbing all the spoils for itself. Its low margins reflected patience, not weakness in the
view of Nick and Zach. Nick explained, the firm is deferring profits today in order to extend the
life of the franchise. This giving back makes Costco's customers unbelievably loyal. I said
this before. I didn't even know what Costco was until I was introduced to it by my wife's family.
My wife's family have been members at Costco for over 25 years.
It's probably close, I think it's closer to 30 years by now.
And they're still shopping there all the time.
Almost 30 years of loyalty to Costco.
So Nick and Zach kept adding to their investment as their reference for Costco grew.
At the time they're telling the story, they'd owned Costco for 18 years.
And over that time period, it rose from
$30 a share to $380 a share, all while also paying rich dividends. And so this new strategy is also
in line with how Nick and Zach want to spend their time. They don't want to be trading all the time.
They want to be reading the news. They want to be sitting, reading, thinking, and talking to each
other. And so it's one of the benefit of this inactivity, the fact that they're just going to
hold this forever, they're not going to trade all the time,
is that Nick and Zach had time to read, think and talk at length about what they were learning.
And this is a fascinating part because it talks about what emerged from the discussions they're
having is that, hey, scaled economy shared model is actually the greatest business model because
it fosters corporate longevity. This is going to be Nick and Zach's earned secret. One of my favorite
tweets of all time comes from this guy named Cedric Chin. And he said, I'm starting to think
that one type of remarkable career, and certainly the most interesting type, comes from finding an
earned secret and then exploiting the hell out of it for a good part of two to three decades.
So he was describing Mark Leonard of Constellation, realizing that, hey, vertical market software companies are kind of terrible for venture, the business he used to be
in, but they're great to own long term. So his idea that a one type of remarkable career comes
from finding an earned secret and then exploiting the hell out of it for a good part of two to three
decades. That is what is occurring where we are in this story. Because Nick and Zach start asking
themselves again, they go, hey, what characteristics account for the success of
companies that have these unusually long shelf lives? And how can we find this out? Well, it
turns out history has answers. And so they go back and they're studying all these businesses
in history. And so as they studied Walmart's annual reports from the 1970s, they realized
it had much in common with Costco. Likewise,
durable winners such as Dell Computer, Southwest Airlines, Tesco all followed a similar path.
These formidably efficient firms kept costs low and passed most of their savings back to consumers
who reciprocated by doing more business with them. My wife's family has been reciprocating
for almost 30 years. What is the value of that single customer?
And how many people have they recruited to the cult of Costco in three decades?
More examples from history.
This time they're like, hey, let's take a look at what Buffett's investing in.
In the same vein, Geico and Nebraska Furniture Mart, two of Buffett's favorite businesses,
continued to drive down costs as they grew, enabling them to save their customers so much money that it became increasingly difficult for rivals to compete.
Let's go even further back in history.
Henry Ford.
He harnessed the benefits of the assembly line production to drop the price of the Model T.
I've done like, what, six podcasts on Henry Ford.
I'll probably do one every, you know, two years going forward.
But he used this increased benefits in technology and efficiency to drive down the price from Model T from $850 to less than $300.
And so Nick says, this is not a new business model, but it does need to be pursued with evangelical zeal.
That is a great line.
It does need to be pursued with evangelical zeal.
This culture of such companies is typically molded by visionary
founders. They tend to be there. So they're talking about the characteristics of great
businesses, characteristics of great business models. Now they've moved into the kind of people
that can actually do this for decades. The characteristic of the founder or the leader
in this case, they tend to be passionate about the smallest details. They tend to be passionate
about improving the customer experience, cutting costs, even in good times, and investing for the distant future despite external pressures to report strong
numbers now. They have to be almost high on being iconoclastic, Nick said. So he's talking about Sam
Walton. He mentions all these people in the book. Sam Walton, Jim Sinegal, Herb Keller, Rose Blumpkin,
done podcasts, multiple podcasts on all of them. And so it's through all this research, through all
this learning, through all this studying, through all this thinking that they
discover, that Nick and Zach discover their earned secret. Once Nick and Zach understood
the magic of this one business model, they made it the focus of their fund.
They knew they had uncovered a deep truth. And this is what they said. This is Nick talking.
That is the single best thought you may have ever had in your life.
It needs to dominate everything because you're not going to get many insights like that.
And so now that they have the focus of their fund, we're going to focus on businesses that
are using scale economy shared.
You can go out and look for more.
And this is when they discover Amazon.
Amazon gets, I think at one point, what it says, like 70% of their net worth. So it says,
when Nick first encountered Amazon in 1997, it was an upstart bookseller trying to go public.
Jeff Bezos gave a presentation in London explaining how he would offer an almost
infinite selection of books, how it would gain a cost advantage by avoiding the expense of
physical stores, and how it would reinvest in cash flow, the cash flow it makes in other
businesses. Nick raced back to his office at Marathon and told his boss, this is absolutely
fantastic. It could be huge. But his boss said, yeah, but okay, but what are they doing that no
one else can do? It took years for Nick and Zach to grasp the nature of Amazon's competitive
advantage. Jeff Bezos was following in the hallowed footsteps of Henry Ford, Sam Walton,
Jim Sinegal, and the internet would
enable him to turbocharge their classic strategy. Like them, Bezos was ruthlessly efficient about
controlling cost. This is a new story for me. I don't remember reading it. I've read everything
you can find on Jeff and Amazon. Amazon went so far as to save $20,000 a year by removing the
light bulbs from the vending machines in its offices. Bezos was obsessed
with saving money and time for his customers, and he invested patiently for the future,
seeding new business initiatives that he didn't expect to bear fruit for years.
Each year, he invested hundreds of millions in the form of discounted prices and shipping
subsidies. Wall Street grumbled about Amazon's lack of reported profits.
A lot of people forget that Amazon at one time,
the stock price I think fell from $181 all the way down to $6,
if I'm not mistaken.
So it says Wall Street failed to appreciate that Bezos
was patiently laying the groundwork for mind-blowing growth.
This is what Bezos wrote to Amazon shareholders in 2005.
He says,
Relentlessly returning efficiency improvements
and scale economies to customers in the form of lower prices creates a virtuous cycle that leads
over the long term to much larger dollar amount of free cash flow and thereby to a much more
valuable Amazon. Nick and Zach had found their corporate soulmate. When Bezos unveiled Amazon Prime,
Nick and Zach recognized instantly
that this was the Amazonian equivalent
of Costco's annual membership feed.
Oh my God, I know exactly what game they're playing,
Nick thought.
And so they start buying Amazon aggressively in 2005
at around $30 per share.
Okay, so I need to stop here
because I think this is really important. There's a bunch of notes I left to myself. There's this idea of
slow than fast. And it has to do with the importance of building this like encyclopedic
base of knowledge. So let me give you a story from a founder first. And then I think Warren
Buffett's an example of this and Li Lu is as well. This is why it's top of mind, given what I've been
reading the past few weeks. But Sam Walton, the most remarkable thing is, you know, he's the greatest retailer to ever live.
He had one store.
For the first five years of his career,
he focused on one store.
And so over the decades,
he winds up building up this encyclopedic base
of knowledge of retailing.
And so when he sees another opportunity,
in a sense, when he sees the Costco opportunity,
the Sam's Club opportunity, sam's club opportunity it's
an opportunity he's been preparing his whole life for and because he has this encyclopedic
base of knowledge that has compounded over the years he able to move he goes from moving very
slow to very fast one store in five years is very slow decades into his career he opens up i i can't
remember the number i think it goes from zero sam's club so let's say 100 sam's clubs from
zero revenue to like five billion a year I think in five to seven years.
Li Lu talked about this when he was chastising the Columbia MBA students, because he's like,
listen, when I was your age or when I was in this class, I got this giant book, this value line book
that you can see in the video, looks like you could work out with it. It's probably, I don't
know, 800 pages, something like that. And he goes, I read it cover to cover multiple times. And that's the way to do
it because you build up this encyclopedic base of knowledge. And then after you do that, he says,
you can look at a page and value line. And in seconds, you can see if there's something more
you need to look into. That is example going slow so you can go faster later on. There is this AMA,
ask me anything that Alice Schroeder did on Reddit.
Alice Schroeder is the woman that wrote, the author that wrote The Snowball like 20-something years ago.
And she talks about observing Warren Buffett's reading process now.
You know, at that point he was what?
Let's call it 40 years into his career, 50 years, something like that.
And so because he's been reading annual reports for 50 years or longer and that knowledge is compounded, he can actually read an annual report faster.
That compounding base of knowledge acts like a filter to separate the important from the unimportant.
And so think about how this relates to what Nick and Zach are experiencing.
They're four years into their fund, but they're, you know, 15 years into their career.
They know what they like, what they don't like.
They've done intense amounts of reading, studying, talking to each other about what they learned,
identifying the earned secret.
All that years and years of work
now allows them to go fast where they're like,
wait a minute, this is exactly what Li Lu said,
because he was like, he talks about some things
you're not going to learn in your career,
you're going to learn today that you won't use for 15 years.
He's like, I was studying in an American company 15 years ago.
It took me 15 years to find its Asian counterpart,
but then as soon as I saw it,
I knew it. It's exactly what's taking place. They did all this work to get this earned secret,
to understand the importance and the power of this business model, of the businesses that use
the business model of scale economy shared, that when they see what Bezos is doing, Amazon Prime,
like, oh my God, this is Costco. But on the internet, the encyclopedic base of knowledge you cannot shortcut because the
encyclopedic base of knowledge is what helps you move quicker in the future.
Slow and then fast.
In 2006, Nick and Zach resigned from Marathon and made Nomad a fully independent fund,
giving themselves even more latitude to follow their idiosyncratic convictions.
A quarter of their clients yanked their money from Nomad, fearful of its overexposure to one stock. A year or two later,
Amazon lost half of its market value in 2008 and Nomad fell 45.3%. In the margin I wrote,
Li Lu happens to everyone. What am I referencing? Last week,
Li Lu said, Berkshire, listen to this. Amazon loses half of its market value in 2008. Nomad
falls down by 45.3 percent. Li Lu said last week, around last week's episode, Berkshire had at least
three times when its stock went down 50 percent. It happened to Carnegie too. It happened to
Rockefeller. This happens to even mighty companies. He was talking about the importance of temperament
because when this happens, people start freaking out.
They panic.
Nick and Zach did not.
They did not crack.
While others panicked,
they exploited the market mayhem to upgrade.
This blew my mind.
Everybody else was panicking.
They're like, okay, cool, opportunity here.
We're going to upgrade our portfolio,
concentrating even more heavily
on its highest quality companies, including Amazon, Costco, and Berkshire. When the rebound came, the rewards
were breathtaking. Over the next four years, Nomad returned 404%. In early 2014, Nick and Zach
dissolved the Nomad Investment Partnership. By then, it had grown to about $3 billion in assets. I think it made
$2 billion for its investors. This is what Nick said about this. Many funds start with lots of
cake as their goal, lots of money, Nick wrote. It's not the cake that gratifies us. What we
found gratifying was the process of solving the investment problem, learning along the way,
and doing as good a job as we knew how. Those were all internal,
personal goals. The cake was then a happy byproduct. After they closed the partnership,
Nick wrote a letter to Buffett thanking him for his role in Nomad's success. Buffett replied,
you and Zach have made the right choice. I predict you will find life is just beginning.
In retirement, Zach kept half a dozen or so of his favorite stocks from Nomad's portfolio.
Zach, who had never sold a share of Amazon in his personal portfolio,
has about 70% of his money riding on that one stock.
Nick invested almost all of his money in just three stocks, Amazon, Costco, and Berkshire.
And this is what he said about that.
There are very
few businesses that are investing in the future the way they are. They don't care about Wall
Street. They don't care about trends. They don't care about fads. They're just doing the right
thing long term. So they closed the partnership in 2014. By 2018, Amazon had risen so much that
it accounted for more than 70% of Nick's net worth. Nick began to worry. Could Amazon's market value grow to $3 or $4 trillion
or were there limits even to Amazon's greatness?
He wasn't sure.
So after 13 years, he sold half of his stake
in a single day for $1,500 a share.
How did it feel?
I hated it, he says.
I felt horribly conflicted
and I'm not sure it was a good decision.
And that is where I'll leave it for the full story. Highly recommend buying the book. This
is a no-brainer. I mean, Nick Sleep is telling you, hey, you should read William Green's book.
It's excellent. We're sure you're going to enjoy it. I definitely agree with Nick. There's wonderful
profiles on other investors in the book, other traits that other investors have. It's just
wonderfully written. So for the full story, if you want to buy the book using the link that's
in the show notes
in your podcast player,
are available at founderspodcast.com.
You'll be supporting the podcast at the same time.
I printed out all of Nick Sleep's partnership letters.
And so that is what I'm reading this week.
That'll be the next episode.
But for now, that is 364 books down, 1,000 to go.
And I'll talk to you again soon.