Freakonomics Radio - Does Anyone Really Know What Socialism Is? (Ep. 408 Rebroadcast)
Episode Date: September 17, 2020Trump says it would destroy us. Biden needs the voters who support it (especially the Bernie voters). The majority of millennials would like it to replace capitalism. But what is “it”? We bring in... the economists to sort things out and tell us what the U.S. can learn from the good (and bad) experiences of other (supposedly) socialist countries.
Transcript
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Hey there, it's Stephen Dubner.
What you're about to hear is an updated version of an episode we released just before the
COVID-19 pandemic took hold in the U.S.
We thought with an upcoming election, it might be useful to hear it again.
Hope you agree.
The United States, like many countries around the world, seems to have entered a period of broad and deep discontent.
Much of this discontent is related to economic issues, some of them specific, like wage stagnation and the spike in health care and college costs.
And others are more systemic, like inequality and crony capitalism.
This discontent has grown into an indictment of our entire political and economic system,
with multiple constituencies harboring multiple grievances, some overlapping, others in deep conflict.
I'm telling you nothing here you don't already know. You also know that different actors have harnessed this discontent in an attempt to steer the country in different directions.
Perhaps the most successful to date is Donald Trump,
who in 2016 defied just about every prediction on earth to win the U.S. presidency.
The Democrats have also tried to steer that discontent in their direction, especially
Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, a longtime registered independent who was for a time
a leading candidate for the Democratic presidential nomination.
We now have an economy that is fundamentally broken and grotesquely unfair. Sanders' support came largely from young and progressive voters who think capitalism
should be overhauled or perhaps replaced entirely.
The majority of American millennials now identify as socialists.
Why are so many millennials gravitating towards socialism over capitalism?
The United States must choose the path that I call democratic socialism.
As much as Sanders embraces the socialist label, he does understand.
I do understand that I and other progressives will face massive attacks
from those who attempt to use the word socialism as a slur.
If Bernie Sanders says we need Medicare for all, Trump's answer is that's socialism like Venezuela.
The socialists have done in Venezuela all of the same things that socialists have done everywhere.
I'm not looking at Venezuela.
The results have been catastrophic.
I'm looking at countries like Denmark and Sweden.
Sanders, of course, lost the Democratic presidential nomination to Joe Biden.
But the Trump White House has still found it useful to connect the Democrats to socialism.
Whether it be Joe Biden, whether it be Bernie Sanders, they're advocating a socialist agenda.
And now Joe Biden and the radical left are trying to impose socialism plus in America.
Do I look like a radical socialist?
Really?
How can one little word possibly contain such a range?
Today on Freakonomics Radio, what we talk about when we talk about socialism.
And if it makes you feel any better,
everybody else is confused too.
I personally would not use the word socialist.
I find the word socialism in the U.S. context kind of odd.
You know, how is it to live in a socialist society?
And then I say, what are you talking about?
From Stitcher and Dubner Productions, this is Freakonomics Radio,
the podcast that explores the hidden side of everything.
Here's your host, Stephen Duffner.
If you want to talk to someone about politics and economics, about Venezuela and Scandinavia,
about what socialism is and isn't, there are few better people to talk to than the
economist Jeffrey Sachs. Stephen, hi, how are you? His official title? University professor at
Columbia University and director of the Center for Sustainable Development at Columbia University.
Also, I'm an advisor to the UN in several capacities. Sachs has also advised governments around the world,
especially as they try to climb out of poverty
or after the Cold War to shift from communism to a market economy.
I've had the chance to see economies functioning and malfunctioning
in more than 130 countries around the world. And my view is that the countries that come closest to what we're after
for decent lives on this planet are the Scandinavian countries,
the social democracies of Northern Europe.
Because why?
The model of universal quality public services is at the core of social democracy.
That means health, education starting from early childhood development up through university level, child care for all that enables a very high level of labor force participation of women, of mothers, of young children.
So does that make Sachs a fan of socialism per se?
The first thing I would say is that terms like socialism are too big, too loaded,
too poorly defined to be a very useful starting point.
Okay. What's a better starting point?
There are two concepts that I think
should be distinguished at the start of any sensible discussion. One is the concept of a
mixed economy, which means that an economy has a market system, including private ownership and
trade, market functions and supply and demand, but it also has government,
government that may run the schools or may provide for healthcare or the police and the
fire department and so on. That's a mixed economy. A socialist economy in the traditional usage of
economics and in political history, though it's a term that has been used for all sorts of things, generally means an economy organized around social ownership, which might mean state ownership or it could mean a cooperative ownership, or in some views it has meant worker ownership,
or in other interpretations, citizens ownership. But the idea is that it's some kind of social
ownership of the means of production. When you talk about, let's say, a Nordic economy,
Norway, let's just pick, as a socialist democracy. What component of that economy is socialist?
Well, the Nordic economies are not socialist democracies. They call themselves social
democracies. That's a very big difference. They do not call themselves socialist in general,
because most of the production, most of the businesses in the economy are private corporate ownership.
But what they do, which is quite different from the United States, is that they collect far more in total tax revenues and then use those additional revenues to provide far more public services than the United States provides.
So, Sachs' nomenclature for the Nordic or Scandinavian countries is social democracies
with mixed economies.
Now, my claim would be that all successful economies are economies, and that there is an important set of questions about
where boundaries should be drawn between government and market.
How does he see those boundaries in the U.S.?
In my view, the United States draws that line in an inappropriate place.
Too much market, not enough government.
And where in the U.S. would Sachs like to see
more government? So top of the list would be Medicare for all or a single-payer health system.
And I would say to somebody who said that that's socialistic, that that is exactly what was said
about Medicare and why Medicare was so strenuously opposed.
It may not surprise you at this point to learn that Jeffrey Sachs supports Bernie Sanders.
He was an advisor to Sanders' 2016 campaign, and he's endorsed him this time around.
But if you would like a prime example of the confusion around the word socialism, here's one for you.
Sachs says that even Bernie Sanders is using it wrong. When, for instance, Sanders talks about the path
America needs to choose. And that is the path that I call democratic socialism.
It is part of our confusion, which has fascinating roots also in our internecine left schisms in America.
He calls himself a democratic socialist.
That has explanations back to the verbiage in the United States in the 1960s, 70s, and 80s, actually. But to my mind, what Bernie Sanders is talking about is social democracy
that is what we see in operation, not only in the Nordic countries, incidentally, but in Germany,
in the Netherlands, in most of Western Europe. My sense is that works. That's nice.
We should do that, too. This may sound like nomenclatural hair-splitting to you, the difference between a social democracy and democratic socialism, but Sachs argues otherwise with more government than the U.S. has. In other words, if Bernie Sanders says we need Medicare for all, Trump's answer is that's socialism like Venezuela.
So since we're on the nomenclature, what do you call Venezuela?
Oh, a typical Latin American populist mess, which I've seen for many decades and have been involved
many times in trying to help clean up. And just how big a mess is Venezuela at the moment?
It's really unprecedented.
That's Ricardo Hausman, a Venezuelan economist who teaches at Harvard's Kennedy School.
In the U.S. Great Depression, GDP fell by 28 percent.
In Venezuela, at the end of this year, GDP will have fallen by 62 percent. We spoke with Hausman in the fall of 2019, so he was talking about the end of that year.
So it's something of a completely different order of magnitude.
Last year, we had 2 million percent inflation.
Along with this inflation, Venezuela has seen severe shortages of food and medicine.
It is a full-blown humanitarian catastrophe.
President Trump and others have blamed this catastrophe on socialism, and Venezuela surely seems to fit Jeff Sach factories, banks, telecoms, electricity companies, etc., etc.
A government nationalizing the means of production.
That sounds pretty much like the textbook definition of socialism.
It also calls to mind the heyday of the former Soviet Union,
the mother of all socialist models.
But Ricardo Hausmann doesn't think the label fits Venezuela.
Socialism is a term that is used too broadly.
I would refer more to kind of like totalitarian economic systems
where property rights are very weak.
In Venezuela, for instance,
you never know when your property can be taken away by the government.
There's extensive price controls, exchange controls, import controls.
We should say here that Haussmann is a strong and vocal opponent
of the Venezuelan government that's currently in power. You're constantly having to request permission for many, many things.
And these permissions are an opportunity to extort money from you or to blackmail you.
So I wouldn't want to call that by the same name of whatever is happening in Scandinavia.
But Hugo Chavez, the architect of Venezuela's current political and economic system,
did call his vision 21st century socialism.
So how did Venezuela get to this point?
It's a fascinating story, if a depressing one.
Remember, Jeff Sachs calls Venezuela today a typical Latin American populist mess.
But for decades, Venezuela was an outlier. Between 1920 and 1980, it was one of the fastest growing countries in the world.
Most of this growth was fueled by the country's great good fortune, or at least what seemed like
good fortune, massive oil deposits. Venezuela began producing oil way back in the 1910s,
and it soon became the number one exporter in the world. Did it become too reliant on this
single industry? In retrospect, the answer is yes, but at the time, it must have been less evident.
Venezuela was a country on the rise. And in 1958, it became a democracy
at a time when many Latin American countries
were moving in the opposite direction.
But after, say, August 81,
oil revenue started to decline.
OPEC tried to protect prices by cutting production,
so we were cutting production.
By 1986, the price collapsed.
In some sense, we had overborrowed and overspent, and we mismanaged that.
We didn't prepare ourselves for a period of low oil prices.
Venezuela has lived on one resource for decades now, and that is like standing on one leg or even the stool with one leg. It is profoundly unstable. Every country that has oil
loves to live off of this resource rent, but it doesn't work. Economic and political instability
created an opportunity for the man who would become Venezuela's next leader. In February 1992, Chavez organized a military coup attempt.
Ricardo Hausmann, at the time, was Venezuela's minister of planning.
I must say, it caught me completely by surprise. It's completely outside the thinkable.
Hausmann was trying to help reform Venezuela's economy to make it less dependent on oil. Hugo Chavez was briefly imprisoned for
his attempted coup, but the government was sufficiently destabilized and soon lost power.
Haussmann's market reforms were abandoned. And we're paying a very, very hefty price for that.
Chavez, a high-ranking military officer, was charismatic and popular.
In 1999, he was elected president.
I went to see Hugo Chavez early in his presidency, and he gave me a big bear hug.
And we talked about baseball, which was his real passion.
And then we talked about the Venezuelan economy.
And I felt quite good about the meeting because I had listened to myself talk, I suppose, and I went home and then watched over the next decade plus that he and his revolution did everything the opposite completely of what I had recommended.
Which was what? So what one needs, of course, is to undo the mistakes of trying to live off of one natural resource.
And you need a normal set of financial operations, restructuring of the debt.
But rather than diversifying the Venezuelan economy, Chavez nationalized it.
Remember, as Hausman told us,
They expropriated the whole steel sector, the whole cement sector, supermarkets, yogurt factories.
Why did the government need to seize all those assets?
So you end up with an economy that has oil and very little else that can be exported. Now when oil falls, you need more dollars,
but you don't have a part of the economy that is able to generate those dollars.
When Chavez got into power,
Venezuela was producing 3.4 million barrels of oil a day.
When he died, it was producing something like 2.5 million barrels of oil a day.
Last month, it probably produced 600,000 barrels of oil a day.
So you need somehow to shift towards more non-oil exports.
And it's very, very difficult because in order to become good at things
you were not good at before, you face a chicken and egg problem.
You cannot export because you don't
know how to do it, and you don't know how to do it because you're not in it.
Hugo Chavez died in office in 2013. His successor, Nicolas Maduro, has essentially held Chavez's
course. For the average Venezuelan, the economy has gone from very bad to terrible.
Ricardo Hausmann says the minimum wage is about $2 a month.
In 2012, it was something closer to $400 a month.
And then people say, well, but maybe the dollar buys a lot in Venezuela.
So instead of measuring it in dollars, we measure it in calories.
And the cheapest available calorie, which right now happens to be yucca,
and we find that the minimum wage buys 400 calories of yucca a day.
If you stay in bed, you will consume 2,000 calories.
So this doesn't even feed the person going to work, let alone his family.
In 2018, Maduro won a second term as president of Venezuela. Now, how does the president of
a country failing so badly win a re-election? Many observers claim the election results were,
shall we say, irregular. The U.S. and many other Western
countries rejected the outcome. Among the countries that accepted it? China, Cuba, Iran,
and Russia. So more than a few echoes of the Cold War and the battle between capitalism and
socialism. Venezuela's own General Assembly declared that Maduro was out,
and they installed as president the young reformer Juan Guaido.
But that was only a declaration.
Maduro chose to stay in office, and the military, for now, is on his side.
The U.S. and other countries have recognized Guaido's legitimacy
and have been trying to oust Maduro.
This has left Guaido in a rather precarious limbo.
For what it's worth, the Harvard economist Ricardo Hausman is an advisor to the Guaido government, such as it is.
President Maduro has called Hausman an economic hitman, which means housemen cannot practically return to Venezuela.
As they say, there's no problem with returning. It's getting back out.
My brother-in-law spent three years in jail for being a journalist.
So let's think about Venezuela. Was it socialism, as practiced by Hugo Chavez and Nicolas Maduro, that drove the country into the ground, as Donald Trump likes to say? Or was their embrace of Chavez's version of socialism just a late-stage attempt to recover from the underlying problem, which was chronic mismanagement of a one-resource economy. There is a famous concept in economics called the
resource curse. That's when a country seemingly blessed with valuable natural resources ultimately
suffers because it fails to diversify their economy. And that is a pretty appealing explanation
for what went wrong in Venezuela. But not all economists embrace this sort of explanation.
I don't think there is a resource curse.
James Robinson of the University of Chicago
is co-author of the book Why Nations Fail.
The consequences of natural resources
for a society's development
are completely conditional on their institutions.
Meaning natural resources don't have to be a curse.
The argument Robinson makes, along with his co-author, Daron Acemoglu, is that a given
country's long-term success is dictated primarily by the strength of its institutions, its judicial
and legislative systems, its educational and healthcare and social safety apparatus, a fair and transparent economy,
even its culture. If you've got a lot of that going for you, then striking oil can be a blessing.
Just ask Norway. You know, Norway was a pretty poor country relative to many parts of Western
Europe when it discovered oil, but it had very strong institutions. It wasn't corrupt.
They were able to take the resources and use them in the interests of the average Norwegian.
The problem in Venezuela is not the oil.
It's the political system.
The fundamental problem is the institutions.
Coming up after the break,
we'll ask just how miraculous the Norway miracle is.
We'll see how socialistic-ish it is or isn't.
And more important, since we're American, what does all this talk about socialism mean for the U.S.?
The most important thing to learn is how precious the institutional architecture that the U.S. has created is and how important it is for people to defend the institutions in the United States.
It's coming up right after this.
Also, the Freakonomics friend and co-author Steve Levitt.
You can subscribe to both of them right now wherever you get your podcasts.
Also, we will be dropping Levitt's latest episode right here in the Freakonomics radio feed.
So keep your ears out for that. But the best way to make sure you keep getting his show is to subscribe right now to people I mostly admire does not want to live off of its hydrocarbons.
That, again, is the economist Jeffrey Sachs.
What they do, in fact, is save most of the hydrocarbon earnings rather than turn them into a consumption binge. And that's why they've accumulated a
trillion dollars in their sovereign wealth fund for the four million Norwegians. And they're going
to live very well into the future. Thank you. So my name is Kjell Salvanes. Salvanes is one of
those four million. He is a professor at the Norwegian School of Economics and also... And also the deputy director of a research center there for 10 years.
Most of this research is related to income inequality, of which Norway has not very much.
Norway, like the other Scandinavian countries, ranks among the world's best in equality and, probably not coincidentally, in happiness.
The Norwegian government provides a big basket of universal benefits,
including health care, free college at public universities, parental leave, child care,
unemployment insurance, and more.
Which, to some people, sounds like socialism.
So I have been met with this argument also, you know,
Kjell, how is it to live in a socialist society? And then I say, what are you talking about? I mean,
we don't think about it like that. A more appropriate description, remember, would be
a social democracy with a mixed economy. I mean, we have a free market economy as you have in the U.S.
The important part is the combination of, you know, let's say a liberal society, free market, and a welfare state.
You need three things.
And that is not what people think about socialism.
So nobody in Norway talks about socialism?
No, nobody.
How then does a Norwegian economist think about the Nordic economies if not in terms of socialism? No, nobody. How then does a Norwegian economist
think about the Nordic economies
if not in terms of socialism?
It's not so clear
and nobody can give a precise definition,
but it means that
sort of everybody gets something.
As I said,
we do have a free market economy,
meaning that the cake
should be as big as it could be,
and then you try to share it.
And how is this sharing accomplished?
Taxes is an important part.
This is, of course, a huge point and a huge differentiator from country to country.
The Nordic countries rely on most people paying relatively high taxes,
which is how they can afford such generous benefits.
Norway,
in addition, has that trillion-dollar sovereign wealth fund built up by selling oil. Sweden,
just so you know, has no oil and relies on a more diversified economy and relatively high flat taxes. By comparison, the U.S. has most people paying relatively low taxes,
which leaves less money available for the more
generous programs that many Democrats would like to see. Which is why Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth
Warren and others have been calling for raising much more tax money, but primarily from the very
wealthy. In Norway, the tax burden is more equally shared, and then those taxes are aggressively reallocated.
Since you are reallocating taxes,
you also need a trust that is being used for something useful.
So I think to create institutions that are trustworthy
is probably the most important thing.
So in the Nordic country, trust is extremely high.
One example of this high trust, or at least of less friction between employers and employees in Norway, is the prevalence of labor unions.
The public sector has 90% unionization, and in the manufacturing sector it's like 50-60%, and in the service, it's about 30%. In the U.S., meanwhile, the private sector industry with the highest share of unionized workers is the utility industry, with just under 11%.
So unions are still strong in the Nordic countries.
There is sort of negotiated minimum wages that differs across industries and differs across the age of the workers.
That is extremely good for people
at the bottom. Economists tend to have mixed feelings about unions, pointing out their
inefficiencies and inflexibilities. James Robinson, who has spent decades researching why certain
states and societies prosper, he's come to a more nuanced understanding. You can't think of unions
just from an economic
point of view. Unions have all sorts of political consequences in society that may be even more
important. U.S. companies use their market power to repress wages, you know. Unions can play a
powerful role in pushing back against that. You know, an economist might say, well, we should be
using fiscal instruments, taxes, transfers to redistribute. But that means that the state has to be very involved in that process. So what happens if you're in a society where the social contract doesn't really allow that? Well, then you have to use other instruments. The Navians were clever by equalizing the pre-tax distribution of income.
You know, the state actually had to do a lot less.
That could be very politically important, especially in a place like the U.S., where people are antagonistic towards the government doing more.
In other words, unions reduce the need for government redistribution through a sort of
pre-distribution that's negotiated directly by employers and workers.
This also tends to equalize financial outcomes,
creating less of a gap between the higher and lower earners.
So in many countries, including the U.S. and the U.K. especially,
you have seen an increase in inequality.
If you go back to the 1930s,
you will see that the income inequality in Norway
was as high as in the U.S.
today. Norway today is half of that. Income inequality decreased, but also social mobility
increased. If you look at cohorts born in the early 30s, you will see that income mobility
was as low as in the U.S. today. You know, your parents meant a lot for your own income or your position.
And over 10, 15 birth cohorts, this completely changed.
So it was a very fast development.
In his research, Salvanes has found that in Norway,
parents' income has almost no effect on their children's income.
A remarkable fact and uncommon in most places around the world.
But that doesn't mean the Norwegian economic model is flawless.
One disturbing trend tied to the oil industry is a diminished demand for education.
And this is what you see in all resource-based economies.
It's easy to get a job, a good job,
in the oil sector without any education.
It's very tempting.
The people I grew up with,
I'm from the core of the oil industry sector,
that was very common.
And you see it very clearly in the data
that investment is much lower in education in those areas.
And of course, that is fine as everything goes well and there is enough oil and gas.
The problem is that when the wells dry out, you need to restructure to do something else.
And then you don't have a human capital base for that.
So that is the big worry, I think.
Another worry is that while Norway has high levels of income mobility,
educational mobility is almost non-existent. Completing a college and also have a master's degree and especially going
to an elite school, let's say, to become a lawyer, you see that it's extremely unequal. Then the
parental background means a lot. In this regard, Norway is closer to the U.S. Very similar.
So that recruitment to the elite is very unequaled.
And that's important because the Nordic model
requires a high level of trust in your institutions
and the people who run them.
So for a trustworthy elite to rule,
they need to have recruitment from different parts of society. They need
renewal and different perspectives and so on. Another problem Norway faces, and this is what
a lot of Americans are afraid of when you start talking about socialism or even social democracies,
is that strong universal benefits, including generous unemployment payments, can diminish the incentive to work hard.
The government in the new budget said that we are going to cut back on some of the support,
especially for the young people, because it turned out that young people in their 20s on support,
they were sort of paid better than people at the same age working. So that is a big concern.
It's a concern not just for individuals, but for the whole society, the whole economy.
This is something James Robinson has spent a lot of time thinking about. While it may
be tempting for the US to import some elements of the Nordic model, how much would that affect
the foundation that has made the US.S. such an incredible engine
for innovation? After the financial crisis in the United States, there was a lot of discussion of,
oh, the U.S. has the wrong model. The U.S. should just be like Sweden. Look at Sweden.
There should be more redistribution. We pointed out that's a sort of fallacy in economic theory.
A fallacy because, well, countries differ from each other on many dimensions, not just three or incentives to innovate and people are just very ambitious and entrepreneurial
and there's much less social insurance and the stakes are very high.
And that doesn't just benefit the US, it also benefits Sweden
because all of that technology and innovation spills over to everybody in the world.
You know, you create ideas. Those ideas spread everywhere.
So in some sense, the Swedes can have this very harmonious,
redistributive society because they're free-riding off the cutthroat society.
So the U.S. is kind of stuck there
because if you actually went to a model with more redistribution,
then the whole world rate of economic growth would slow down.
There are, of course, counter-arguments
to what Robinson is saying here.
Here's one.
After decades of high-octane capitalism
in the U.S. and elsewhere
that has left behind many, many people,
what if economic growth is not as important
as economists have been telling us?
Also, Robinson's argument is a theoretical argument. Would it
necessarily be true that growth would slow if there were more redistribution in the U.S.?
Here's something to think about. The economist Casey Mulligan, also of the University of Chicago,
recently did a very rough analysis of the economic impact of Bernie Sanders' agenda if it were
implemented exactly as Sanders has claimed
during his campaign, an assumption that Mulligan says makes this more of an academic exercise and
not a very good forecast. Still, Mulligan's analysis considered Sanders' proposals for
universal health care, free public college, free child care, a full transformation of the energy sector, and more. Mulligan's verdict?
Quote, Senator Sanders's agenda would reduce real GDP and consumption by 24 percent. Real wages
would fall more than 50 percent after taxes. Employment and hours would fall 16 percent
combined. There would be less total health care, less child care, less energy available to
households, and less value added in the university sector. The stock market would likely fall more
than 50%, end quote. Now, keep in mind that predictions of any sort are nearly impossible,
and even more so with something as complicated and massive as the U.S. economy.
Also keep in mind that Mulligan is a former member of the Council of Economic Advisors in the Trump administration,
so make of that what you will.
But if the question today is, as Jeffrey Sachs put it earlier,
where in an economy should the boundaries be drawn between government and
market? If that's the question, the wisest counsel seems to come from James Robinson. He reminds us
repeatedly that a nation's destiny is determined by a great many factors, some hard and some softer,
with no two countries even close to identical. Now, why does that matter? Well,
let's say you want to substantially increase the role of government in the U.S. to make it look
more like those trusting Nordic societies. But as Robinson points out, the U.S. has a very
different history based in part on a collective distrust of the state.
In the sort of social contract, if you go back to
the late 18th century, I think, that created this federal system with these very decentralized
state rights and autonomies and limited role for the federal state, the way many things operate,
you know, it relies on private initiative. But how relevant is that history? How much does it affect our modern society and economy?
It's not some disconnected thing.
It's part of how the U.S. has kept this balance between state and society historically.
When we started doing research on these topics, we were too focused on political institutions.
We didn't understand well enough the role of society and, you know, social institutions.
Robinson's latest book, also co-authored with Jerome Asimoglu, is called The Narrow Corridor, States, Societies, and the Fate of Liberty. We emphasize this balance between state and society.
And having a balance between state and society
is not just a sort of static thing that you achieve
and then you feel good about yourself and go home.
It's not just some kind of moment like the Constitution in Philadelphia.
Oh, we achieved a balance.
No, it's a constant competition and struggle between state and society.
And on balance, the U.S. has done incredibly well.
We tend to see all the imperfections in the United States, but I suppose working in Latin America,
I tend to look at the comparison all the time over the last 200 years.
And what you see is that for all its imperfections, of course,
the U.S. managed to solve these problems much more effectively than any Latin American country.
And it remains this enormous engine of innovation.
But, Robinson says, that's not a call for complacency.
Yes, the United States managed to solve pretty well a lot of problems that Latin American countries couldn't solve.
But there's been a cost to that. You know, the fact that you have Ferguson, Missouri, or you have the South Side in Chicago, the inability to deal with those problems is part
of the architecture of the state. So in some sense, you could say, well, the US state is weaker than
the Norwegian state or the Swedish state, because you don't really have problems like that in
Norway. If you want to compare state institutions, I think the state institutions in Sweden are able
to deal with problems that the state institutions in the US aren't able to deal with. But that's
because the Swedish state didn't have to deal with so many problems historically, and it didn't have
to figure out how to colonize this enormous territory, and how to avoid kind of centralized
tyranny, how to avoid decentralized anarchy, and how to find a balance
between all these different competing forces and interests. And that just left gaps.
The gaps in the American state and society are particularly wide at the moment. They're evident
in the general discontent you feel in this country right now. They're very evident in our political discourse.
And they're evident in the fact that Donald Trump was elected
as the biggest outlier in the Republican field,
while Bernie Sanders, the self-declared Democratic socialist,
is the biggest outlier in the 2020 Democratic field.
And what does this say for our future?
There's one more mark of successful
states and societies that James Robinson has observed. You know, you have to make compromises
and you have to build coalitions and you have to recognize and respect. Okay, we differ on that,
but let's agree that this is in the benefit of the nation. I think this issue of like taxing the rich in the US context, whether I think though that may sound, I mean, my own view is that
that still just resonates with a lot of people in this country, and you can't really deny it.
But I think there's lots of ways of thinking about redistribution, which are consistent with this
notion that there should be equality of opportunity. For example, look at the enormous inequality of the education system why is it that
people in the u.s can't all agree that this is a problem this is undermining you know a fundamental
principle about u.s society you know if you go back 200 years this is one thing that made the u.s
what it is you know enormous investment in education going right the way back into the early
19th century. So I think there's some issues that you could focus on where you could really get a
political coalition, you know, that's consistent with some fundamental things that we think
this society should be based on.
Coming up next time on Freakonomics Radio.
I've heard the argument that paying protection money was part of the cost of doing business in Afghanistan.
And I think it is a terrible, terrible argument.
You have to weigh, OK, how much money is going to the Taliban and how much harm is being caused there versus the good that money is overall doing.
The headline at the top of it was 17 killed outside of Kabul and a suicide bomber.
And I collapsed.
And they said he's gone.
Did protection money paid by American firms in Afghanistan fund Taliban attacks on U.S. military personnel?
We will be back with that story next time.
Until then, take care of yourself and, if you can, someone else too.
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