Fresh Air - Best Of: Growing Up Murdoch / DOGE's Cuts To The Federal Workforce
Episode Date: March 1, 2025Atlantic staff writer McKay Coppins describes the rivalry among the children of 93 year-old media titan Rupert Murdoch over who will control his business empire when he dies. It's a real life Successi...on drama. Also, we'll talk with Harvard Professor Elizabeth Linos about the extraordinary measures Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has taken to drastically shrink the size of the federal government, and the ripple effect.Also, John Powers reviews the Oscar-nominated animated film Flow.Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy
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From W.H.Y.Y. in Philadelphia, this is Fresh Air Weekend.
I'm Dave Davies. Today, a real life succession drama.
Atlantic staff writer McKay Coppins describes the rivalry among the children of 93 year old media titan Rupert Murdoch over who will control his business empire
when he passes from the scene. Murdoch's effort to ensure his elder son Lachlan inherits the throne
led to a no holds barred legal brawl that unearthed painful family stories of
manipulation and betrayal. Also we'll talk with Harvard professor Elizabeth
Linos about the extraordinary measures Elon Musk's Department of Government
Efficiency or DO DOGE, has taken
to shrink the size of the federal government and what that means for federal workers and
the rest of us who depend on government services.
And John Powers reviews the animated film Flow, which he says is wonderful.
That's coming up on Fresh Air Weekend.
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This is Fresh Air Weekend. I'm Dave Davies.
If you enjoyed the HBO series succession about the children of an aging media mogul competing
to inherit his business empire, you'll want to read the new article in the Atlantic by
my guest McKay Coppens.
It's about the real-life drama involving the children of 93-year-old Rupert Murdoch
and their battle over who will someday lead his business properties, most prominently Fox News. And even if you
didn't see succession, the story is still fascinating, both because of the intense
family dynamics and the stakes in this conflict. The outcome could mean big
changes for Fox News, which Coppins describes as the most powerful
conservative media force in the world.
Late last year, the parties in this family dispute squared off in an epic court battle
over the succession plan for the Murdoch Empire. Rupert Murdoch wanted to amend the family trust
to ensure his eldest son Lachlan would take the helm, shutting out his younger son James,
who was troubled by Fox News's hard right-bent.
Coppens writes that the trial testimony and depositions and discovery in the case
were often intensely personal, bringing up years of painful secrets, scheming and
manipulation, lies, media leaks, and devious betrayals. For his story, Coppens
had extensive interviews with James Murdoch and his wife Catherine.
Their side prevailed in the trial verdict, which is under appeal.
Mackay Coppins is a staff writer for The Atlantic and the author of two books, The Wilderness,
about the battle over the future of the Republican Party, and Romney, a Reckoning, a biography
of Mitt Romney.
The online version of his new article is Growing Up Murdoch,
James Murdoch on mind games, sibling rivalry,
and the war for the family media empire.
It's on the Atlantic's website.
And it's also the magazine's April issue cover story.
Well, McKay Coppens, welcome back to Fresh Air.
Thanks for having me.
All right, well, let's talk about this story,
the Murdoch story.
I mean, Rupert Murdoch actually inherited a newspaper from his dad who had an interesting
background in journalism.
And then he went off on this swashbuckling campaign to acquire one paper and then use
the leverage on that to get another and another.
By the time he was 40, he was the most powerful media owner in Australia.
He moves to the United Kingdom and buys, you know, tabloids
and eventually a broadsheet there, eventually ends up in the States where he gets the Wall
Street Journal and starts Fox News, which was a big success. I wouldn't normally assume
that someone who owns media businesses would necessarily want his kids to get involved
in the family business. They have resources, they could get educations, do whatever they
want. Did Rupert Murdoch
consciously try to bring his children, get them
interested in the media?
Yeah. By all accounts, he was quite aggressive
about it, in fact. He insisted on treating
News Corp, even as it expanded and became a
publicly traded company, like a family business,
almost like, you know, kids living above the shop.
Right. He was always looking for opportunities to like a family business, almost like kids living above the shop, right?
He was always looking for opportunities to draw his kids into his professional world.
At breakfast, the legend goes he would spread the day's newspapers across the table
and go through the various headlines with his kids and explain the editorial decisions that were made
and the biases at work and kind of critique the framing of the stories.
He would take his kids on tours of the printing press.
He would bring politicians and dignitaries to dinner.
And what he said was that his animating motivation in all of this was to give something of value,
leave something meaningful, an inheritance to his children,
the way that his father had for him.
A quote that I found that he once gave was that,
he said, I don't know any son of any prominent media family
who hasn't wanted to follow in the footsteps
of his forebears.
It's just too great a life.
Now, he had two sons, Lachlan and James,
born 15 months apart.
Lachlan was a little older, James was a little younger.
And the other major character in this is their sister Liz.
Those three were the children of Murdoch's second wife, Anna.
There was a fourth, Prudence, known as Prue, and she was the daughter of his previous marriage.
But those three, James, Lachlan, and Liz,
were the main characters for most of this drama.
James and Lachlan would both eventually play prominent roles
in the businesses and would be rivals for succession
over the years at various times.
But James didn't start out that way, did he?
I mean, he went a whole different direction
out of college and after.
Yeah, that's right. I mean, I think that there was an assumption early on that Lachlan as the
eldest son was the natural successor. And as they kind of grew up and acquired their own personalities,
it was clear that Lachlan was more similar to Rupert. He was charismatic. He was, you know,
kind of self-consciously emulative of his dad. James was a little bit more ofupert. He was charismatic. He was, you know, kind of self-consciously
emulative of his dad. James was a little bit more of a rebel. He was interested in
countercultural things and music and art. He got piercings and tattoos. At the dinner table,
he would kind of needle his dad with contrarian questions. And as they got older, James developed
more moderate to liberal politics, whereas Lachlan
kind of followed in lockstep with his dad.
But James really didn't think that he ever would have a chance to run the companies.
And I think because of that, it almost created more space for him to explore his own interests.
He dropped out of Harvard to start an independent hip hop label with his friends.
And they went and kind of scoured Brooklyn for emerging rap talent.
And he almost kind of pushed back against early efforts to pull him into the media world.
There's a great story about when he was interning at one of his father's newspapers in Australia.
He actually fell asleep at a press conference and somebody took a picture of him and it
ended up in a rival newspaper.
So you know, he was, I think, very early on sort of staking out a position as somebody
who's not going to follow in his father's footsteps.
He'll leave that to his brother, but that didn't last long.
So I want to move us into the Trump era here.
Lachlan Murdoch, the elder son, had left the company.
He'd been in Australia for many years.
And then in 2015, he moves back, gets an office in Los Angeles.
He's with the company.
James, the younger brother, has an office in New York, putting them in kind of an awkward
position, both being prominent
executives in the company. And then in 2015, Donald Trump appears on the scene as a presidential
candidate. You know, one question I've always had is how much Rupert Murdoch is motivated by an
ideological agenda as opposed to, you know, accumulating in wealth and power. And you write
that in 2016, Rupert Murdoch was openly scornful of Trump's candidacy,
at first saying his election would be the end
of the Republican Party.
But once he had momentum, you write,
the Fox News primetime lineup
turned into a four-hour Trump commercial.
How did James regard this, this turn in Fox News?
Yeah, I think it was really disillusioning for him.
You know, he had always had different political views this turn in Fox News. Yeah, I think it was really disillusioning for him.
He had always had different political views than his dad,
and he knew that.
But what he told me is that he'd always assumed
that his dad had political views,
that he had a political ideology.
Yes, Rupert was kind of this puckish anti-establishment
figure.
Yes, his media outlets often kind of delighted in
needling the establishment, but he believed that beneath all the kind of
mischief making was a set of real beliefs. You know, he thought his dad was
a devoted free marketeer, an internationalist who supported American
global power. He had heard his dad talk about immigration as a source of
industry and ingenuity in America.
And in a lot of ways, Rupert's brand of conservatism was miles apart from Trump's.
And yet, as soon as Rupert realized that his audience loved Trump, he pivoted.
And immediately, his outlet started to support Trump.
The Wall Street Journal even started running editorials defending his policies.
The New York Post was running covers celebrating Trump.
And it dawned on James that there actually
were no ideas at the center of all these media outlets.
It was really all about accumulating power and profit.
And I think for James, who had grown up
hearing his dad's sermonize about how important it was
for the media business to take their role seriously,
this was profoundly discouraging and also eye-opening.
And Lachlan was still in the company.
What, do we know what his attitude was
towards the Fox News embrace of we know what his attitude was towards the Fox News
embrace of Trump and what his relationship was like
with James during this time?
Yeah, well, this is the other thing that surprised James
during Trump's rise was how quickly Lachlan got on board.
He said that he had always thought
of Lachlan as sort of affable and dilettante-ish and friendly
and not really that interested in politics at all.
But James told me that while Trump was running for president in 2016, and when he would do
something James considered outrageous, he would say, you know, bring it up with Lachlan.
For example, his proposed Muslim travel ban.
And he would expect Lachlan to say, oh yeah, that's terrible. But instead, he would kind of
retreat to this knee-jerk anti-Hillary stance. And over time, James started paying more attention
to Lachlan and found that his older brother was willing to indulge in pretty reactionary and even
in his words, white nativist ideas. And I should note that a spokesperson for Loughlin pushed back against this characterization,
called it false.
But I think it's safe to say that the Trump era was
one of several wedges at this time that
was driven between James and Loughlin
as they tried to run the family media empire together.
So James gradually became a bit more public about his views.
I mean, particularly he put out a statement about Trump's remarks on the march in Charlottesville,
saying, Trump saying that there were very fine people in the Tiki torch march there.
And then there was another occasion when there were terrible forest fires in Australia.
And some media, I think the Daily Beast asked for comment about, well, what about the fact
that the Murdoch papers in Australia
ignore climate change as an element of all this?
What happened?
Yeah, James, at that point, had stepped down a CEO of Fox
but was still on the News Corp board.
And he had always been taught not
to answer questions like that.
And generally, he didn't answer those questions.
Even when he disagreed with his dad
or disagreed with the way that the media outlets were
being run, he would kind of keep it to himself
or express his disagreements privately,
try to push back internally.
At this moment, it was 2020, he decided that he was just gonna throw
caution to the wind and answer a reporter's question. And he released a
statement with his wife through a spokesman saying that their views on
climate are well established, their frustration with some of the News Corp
and Fox coverage of the topic is also well known. They're particularly disappointed with the ongoing denial among the news outlets in
Australia, given obvious evidence to the contrary. And let me tell you, it did not go over well on
the News Corp board. This was seen as a profound act of disloyalty on James Murdoch's part. And
he was basically told that he either
needed to resign from the board or he would be forced off. And so later that
year he officially resigned and released a statement saying that he had
disagreements with some of the company's strategic decisions and the editorial
output of the news outlets and and that was that.
McKay Coppins is a staff writer for The Atlantic. His new article is Growing Up
Murdoch, James Murdoch on mind games, sibling rivalry, and the war for the
family media empire. He'll be back to talk more after this short break. I'm Dave
Davies and this is Fresh Air Weekend.
So let's get to the court battle that's at the heart of this story.
There was a plan in place for many, many years, a trust which said that when Rupert Murdoch
passed away that the voting rights in the company would be split among four siblings,
you know, Lachlan and James, the two boys, Liz, their sister, and then Prue, who was
their sister from a previous marriage.
And to a lot of observers, that meant that it might be
James who had the upper hand over Loughlin
because it was assumed that the two sisters
might work with him in terms of the future direction
of the company.
This was problematic for Rupert Murdoch, right?
So he hatches a plan.
What does he do?
Right, in 2023, Rupert begins working secretly
with his son, Lachlan, and a consortium of executives and lawyers to rewrite the family
trust in such a way that will concentrate complete control of the family business with Loughlin and essentially cut out his other three children from having
a voice in the business.
They code name this initiative Project Family Harmony and they spend several months drawing
up detailed legal memos and at the end of 2023, they basically spring it on James and his sisters that Rupert is planning to
rewrite the trust and that Lachlan will be fully in charge once he's gone.
James and his sisters experienced this as a profound betrayal.
This arrangement had been made at the insistence of their mother, Anna, when she was divorcing Rupert, actually.
And the idea had been that she saw the way her soon-to-be ex-husband played their kids off each
other, how he played favorites, how he pitted them against each other, and she worried that
their lives would become consumed with kind of a never-ending quest for the crown.
And she wanted the family trust to basically establish that all four of those kids would
have an equal say in the business when he was gone.
And she thought that this would actually incentivize them all to get along and to work together.
In fact, she gave up quite a lot of money in the divorce in exchange
for this agreement. And I think that part of what made James and his sister so upset
about this is that it wasn't just their father kind of betraying them. He was going back
on a promise he had made to their mother a long time ago. This trial began in September 2024 in this county courthouse.
James took the stand.
What did he say the experience was like for him emotionally?
He told me that he had gone into the trial resolving
to kind of approach it in a spirit
of like corporate combat, right?
And he told me, I'm good at that.
You stiffen your spine, you harden your tummy.
And then he walked into the courtroom each day, and he would look across the courtroom
and see his father and his brother on the other side.
These men whom he had loved, who he believed had loved him, with whom he shared, you know,
holidays and family memories and now was no longer speaking to. And he said the question that just
kept coming to him was how did we let it come to this? On the third day of the trial when he
testified, he said that he recounted a dinner at which Lachlan effectively ended their relationship over
a proposed sale of the film and TV studio to Disney.
And James surprised himself by beginning to cry.
And he didn't think that he would get that emotional, you know, he had really prepared
for it.
But there was something just so fundamentally sad about what had happened
to his family that kind of caught up with him at that moment.
After all this testimony, it didn't go particularly well for Rupert.
It went much better for James and his siblings' side of it.
And this all came down to a single man, Edmund Gorman, who's the Washoe County probate commissioner
of this multi-billion dollar company
and all this comes down to one man, one county official, and he issues a clear ruling, right?
Yeah, he ruled that Rupert could not amend the trust in the way that he wanted to, that
he had not established that he was acting in good faith or in the best interest of the
beneficiaries, and that essentially the status quo would remain.
The trust would stay as it was and when Rupert died,
control of the business would be split four ways among his four oldest children.
Rupert and Lachlan have appealed. Is it likely to stand, do you think? What's the course from here?
Yeah, it's a good question. James and his sisters feel good about where they are.
They think it's unlikely that, given how sweeping and definitive the ruling was by the probate commissioner,
that it will be overturned. But that doesn't mean it's the end of the story.
I think everyone expects that if this particular initiative doesn't work, Rupert will look
for other ways to sideline James in particular.
Whether that means a buyout, whether that means an attempt to sever James's sub-trust
from the rest of the trust.
There were a lot of possibilities discussed by the Project Family Harmony team in 2023.
And James suspects that there will be other efforts.
But, you know, time is ticking here, right? Rupert is 93 years old. There's no telling how
much time he has left. And so if he's going to continue to make these moves, he's going to have
to figure out pretty quickly what to do if he wants to get James out of the picture.
You know, you note that James and his wife, Catherine, have spent millions on political
contributions, mostly to Democrats, I think, and to pro-democracy causes and other philanthropic
work, particularly climate change.
Is it fair to assume that if this verdict holds that when Rupert Murdoch dies, Fox News
is not going to be
the same product?
Matthew Feeney You know, this was one question that I asked
repeatedly to James and Catherine.
And I think, understandably, they were a little bit cagey because this exact question has
been central to the litigation with Rupert.
Rupert is basically arguing that if James
is allowed to have his say, Fox News will be defanged, it will become liberal, it
will lose all its audience, and the profit center of the Murdoch Empire will
be destroyed. What James says is that he's not necessarily interested in
turning Fox News into MSNBC, right? He's not trying to fundamentally change
the political slant of the network.
He just wants it to be more responsible.
And he said, Fox News could still
report from a conservative perspective without,
for example, platforming quack doctors who
rail against vaccines or putting an oil shill on the air
and pretending that he's an expert on climate change.
That basically with the correct editorial guardrails with the right professionals running
the network, Fox News could be a responsible contributor to the national political discourse. I think there is a
genuine and fair question to be raised about how much that would hurt the value
of Fox News though. How many viewers would they lose to right-wing competitors
if they lost, you know, kind of their hard-edged pro-Trump reporting, for
example. I don't know, but James just believes that if his family is going to continue to operate
these media outlets, they should at least make an effort to ensure that they are responsible
members of the media landscape.
You know, I mentioned the HBO series succession in the introduction, you know.
I thought it was great television, but I wouldn't have guessed that the people
who actually lived lives like this would be interested
in it because, I mean, come on, it's television,
but actually, you discovered that members of the family
were into it, right?
Yeah, well, it was one of the weird things
about doing these interviews is I found myself repeatedly
thinking, I swear this sounds familiar.
And James would say, no, I've never told anyone this before.
And it would occur to me that I had seen it on this HBO show
or a fictionalized version of it.
Throughout my reporting, it was one of the stranger
phenomena was just how much the Murdoch family
was obsessed with this show.
You know, James told me he watched the first episode and couldn't watch beyond it because
it was too painful.
And I can see that.
Imagine if a TV show was made about your own life and family.
It might be hard to watch.
But other members of his family were obsessed with it and specifically obsessed with trying
to figure out who in the family was leaking to the show's writers. There were just so many scenes and moments
in the show that felt so uncannily familiar and true to life that everybody was convinced
that somebody was kind of sharing family secrets with the writers.
Oh, my heavens.
James believed his sister was,
his sister swore she wasn't, but believed her ex-husband had.
I actually finally just went to Jesse Armstrong,
who created the show, and asked him point blank, you know,
who in the family were you talking to?
And he was adamant that no one.
You know, he didn't have a mole on the inside.
He kind of laughed at what he called the psychodrama
around this thing in the family.
But he said, you know, the truth is
they've all leaked so many stories against each other
over the years that we had plenty of press reports
we could draw on for our own stories.
McKay Coppens, thank you so much.
This is interesting.
Thank you.
McKay Coppens is a staff writer for The Atlantic.
His new article is Growing Up Murdoch, James Murdoch on mind games, sibling rivalry,
and the war for the family media empire.
Flow is an animated movie from Latvia that follows an unlikely collection of animals who
are brought together by a massive flood that overwhelms the countryside. The film,
which is now streaming on Macs, already won animation prizes from the Golden
Globes, the New York Film Critics, and the Los Angeles Film Critics, among others.
And it's received Oscar nominations for both Best Animated Feature and Best
International Film. Our critic-at-, John Powers, says it is quite simply wonderful.
Perhaps the most famous line in ancient Greek thought comes from the philosopher
Heraclitus, who said, you cannot step into the same river twice.
That's because reality is not a static thing, but an ever changing flux.
The fluidity of life runs through Flow, a marvelous animated movie from Latvia which
has already been showered with acclaim.
Directed by Gintz Zalbalotis, it takes a simple premise—a sundry crew of animals get caught
in a flood—and without a single word being uttered, transports us into a radiant fantasy.
At once fun and affecting, Flo made me think of everything from Spirited Away
and The Incredible Journey to the story of Noah
and the recent floods in North Carolina.
Flo centers on a slate-gray cat,
whose home is a big house in the forest,
surrounded by larger-than-life feline sculptures.
It sleeps upstairs in a
double bed whose emptiness offers our first inkling that there are no people about. And
indeed, no humans will appear in the film. Instead, we follow this watchful, eloquent-eyed
loner as it prowls around and gets chased by a pack of dogs, a pursuit interrupted by
a deluge that comes whooshing towards them.
The water keeps rising higher and higher.
And just as the cat is about to be washed away, it's able to jump on a sailboat occupied
by, of all things, a capybara.
Soon they're joined by a scene-stealing lemur, who has scavenged various human knickknacks,
like the mirror it keeps looking at itself in.
It's like the opening of a joke. A cat, a capybara, and a lemur walk into a bar. As the three
float together on their small arc, they're joined by a golden retriever and
a predatory secretary bird, which boasts a crazy beautiful headdress of feathers
and a body like an eagle's glued on to a heron's legs. This odd band of survivors seeks to ride
out the flood, a dangerous enterprise that forces them to work together and leads them to rescue
others in distress, even if they don't always want to. Sobelotus pays these animals the respect
of observing them closely. He deftly captures the cat's yawns, the movements of the lemur's ringed tail as
its preening, and the amiable torpor of the capybara, a creature whose meme-inducing cuteness
was recently celebrated in The New Yorker by Gary Steingart. Forgoing all dialogue,
but using genuine animal sounds, Flo is a long way from Zootopia or Eddie Murphy's smart aleck donkey in Shrek.
While it does humanize its characters a bit — my own beloved cat Niko would sooner drown than team
up with a lemur — Flo captures the way animals behave in the wild, as in the ruthless fight for
dominance between two secretary birds, which leaves one of them unable to fly.
The movie weaves together bursts of adventure.
Your heart may pound as the cat has to swim for dear life.
With poetic moments of transcendence, I won't spoil by describing.
Like Miyazaki, Zobolotus uses animation to conjure a big, thrilling world of imagination.
Where too much American animation feels frantic, desperate to keep our attention,
Flo's images possess a kinetic elegance.
They have the alluring immersiveness of a video game,
complete, alas, with a few visual glitches you won't find in Pixar.
Then again, this is not a big budget Hollywood project.
It was made on the open-source software Blender and cost just $3.7 million.
To put this in perspective, that's less than one-fiftieth the budget of Inside Out 2.
Flow is conceived as a universal story that weaves together magic and realism.
While the cat and dogs could live in our own neighborhood,
the rest of the cast comes from the likes
of Latin America, Africa, and Madagascar.
There's even a whale from the briny deep
that surges up almost biblically from the floodwaters.
This whale's appearance inland
is one of the film's suggestions,
melancholy but never overt,
that the great flood we're seeing
may be a product of climate change.
Yet flow is far from a political tract.
Rather, it's a classic fable about learning to adapt
to life's ever-changing flow.
No matter how dire, things may sometimes get.
And like most classic fables, it offers an enduring lesson.
A group of creatures overcome their differences and learn to help one another. It's solidarity, not selfishness, that will save them.
John Powers reviewed the animated film Flow, which is up for two Oscars.
Coming up, Harvard professor of public policy Elizabeth Linos talks about the extraordinary
measures Elon Musk's Department of Government efficiency has taken to shrink the size of
the federal government.
I'm Dave Davies, and this is Fresh Air Weekend.
If he wanted to, could Elon Musk establish a new bathroom breaks policy for more than
two million federal employees?
Well, he hasn't, But since the Trump administration took office
and gave Musk's Department of Government Efficiency
a mandate to shrink the government,
Musk has wielded an astonishing level of authority
over the federal workforce.
After gaining access to the Treasury Department's massive
payment system, Musk and his team
have dismissed thousands of employees,
terminated countless contracts, and targeted
two government agencies created by Congress for elimination.
Last weekend, federal workers received an email instructing them to reply with five
bullet points stating what they'd accomplished the previous week.
Musk added in a social media post that failure to respond would be taken as a resignation. That got pushed
back from several Trump-appointed agency leaders who told their employees not to
respond. Much of what Musk has done is under court challenge, but President
Trump has said he'd like to see him become even more aggressive. To help us
understand these efforts to drastically reshape the American government, we've
invited Elizabeth Linus to join us.
She's the Emma Bloomberg Associate Professor of Public Policy and Management at Harvard's
Kennedy School of Government and Director of the People Lab, which does research on
how to recruit, retrain, and support the government workforce and integrate evidence-based policymaking
into government.
Earlier in her career, she was a policy advisor to Prime Minister George Papandreou of Greece
pursuing government reform at a time of financial crisis.
Well, Elizabeth Linos, welcome to Fresh Air.
Thank you so much for having me.
There's a perception in all of this recent activity that the public payroll is bloated,
not just inefficient, but just too many people.
How does the federal workforce compare with past decades? Yeah, you're right that this perception
seems to persist, but if you if you look at the numbers, the size of the federal
workforce has stayed relatively constant since the 60s, even though the population
of the US has grown, even though our expectations about what government
should do has grown.
So if you just look at the numbers, we're about at 2 million federal employees, a little
over 2 million employees, and that really hasn't changed over time.
If you look in terms of the budget, again, we're not seeing significant amounts of bloat
on the public payroll.
In fact, the budget for these workers is about 6% of the federal budget. So in a
government that spends $6 to $7 trillion a year, this is really not a matter of bloat
either on numbers or on budget. But you're right that this belief seems to persist over
multiple administrations, both Republican and Democratic administrations.
So let's talk about what's happened here.
Do we know how many government employees have been taken off the payroll so far by dose,
more or less?
Well, this keeps changing every day, but we have some information from the initial deferred
resignation.
So, as you'll remember, the first stage of this process was an offer to buyout employees that committed to resigning.
At that stage, about 75,000 people resigned or took the buyout offer. But I want to put
that number in context. So that might sound like a very large number, but in fact is very
similar to just the natural retirement rate that we see every year in government.
And when I say retirement, I do mean retirement.
It doesn't include the regular turnover in terms of resignations or other reasons why
people separate.
It's about half of a regular turnover in any typical year.
And so from the perspective of Doge, that first attempt to get people to resign seems to have not worked at least as planned.
Let's pause on that for a second. I mean, what does that tell you about how government
employees feel about their jobs and about this buyout offer, if we can call it that?
Yeah. So, I think what we heard from the Doge team and others in government was this assumption that if we
offered payouts to federal workers, they would all take it because they're all
sitting around doing nothing anyway. There was this belief that this would be
an easy exit strategy for people who are lazy or not hardworking or aren't
motivated to do their job well. So if you start with that assumption, you offer
people this buyout,
and then people don't take it,
you would have to question whether or not
that initial assumption was right,
that people were just sitting around waiting for a buyout.
My sense is that this is, you know,
at least a first piece of evidence
that that's not what we're looking at
in terms of the federal workforce.
You know, there was an extraordinary move,
and I mentioned this in the introduction,
which I think is a measure of Musk's influence in the government, that he got these emails
sent to people last weekend instructing them to reply with five bullet points stating what
they'd accomplished the previous week.
There was some pushback.
Some agency had said, you don't have to do that.
But you know, Musk added in this social media post that failure to respond
would be taken as a resignation.
What was your reaction when you heard about this?
My first reaction was that this is an effort to make people hate their jobs at some fundamental
level.
And it reminds me of something that we've heard Russell Voetse, who's the OMB director
in private speeches.
And it sounds like he said something along the lines of, we want the bureaucrats to be
traumatically affected. When they wake up in the morning, we want them to not want to go to
work. And so, when I first saw this email, I thought, yep, that's how you would do it.
If you look at the evidence around what it takes to have happy and engaged and productive
team, trust in your
leadership and feeling like you're valued by your manager is fundamental for people
to be able to do their job well, not just in the public sector, but in the private
sector and the nonprofit sector as well. So this is a message that very clearly is
saying, we don't think you're doing anything useful and you're going to need to
affirm what you do
every day to justify your job. If you just take this at a human level, anyone
who's receiving that type of email from their boss is getting the message that
they are not wanted and they are not valued. So to me it seems part of this
broader effort to make people not want to work for government. The second part
which I think is still up for discussion
in the courts, is what does it mean for someone from DOJ
and Elon Musk specifically to send an email of that nature
that implies resignations or layoffs
without going through any of the formal processes
associated with layoffs and performance evaluations?
I wonder if workers, while they're getting these messages from the top, are having
their personal supervisors reassure them at all saying, look, this is not something we're
doing.
What you do is important.
We want to keep doing it.
Hang in there.
Have you heard things like that?
You know, anytime you see an administration that is so hostile towards their civil service,
of course you're going to have people in career positions that are trying to navigate
what that looks like for their staff.
You know, what we're hearing, at least on our side, are conversations about how to reassure
people that their work matters and that their work is important.
You know, one question that has often come up even before this period
is that a lot of what government does is invisible to the American taxpayer. People don't know
exactly what the Department of Energy does unless there's a problem. People don't fully
understand necessarily what happens to make sure our food and our air is safe. And that's on purpose, right? We hear about
government when there's a problem. But on any given day, there's millions of people
that are trying to keep Americans safe in ways that are invisible. And so one of the
questions that has come up as part of this process is, what would it look like if we
could bring those stories to the surface, explain to people
and show people what it means to have a functioning government?
Would they still want all those programs cut if there was a clear understanding of how
that would affect their lives?
You know, there have been media reports of people who were discharged with language about
poor performance or similar language, but who have said in interviews that they've had
nothing but positive performance reports.
Generally speaking, what kinds of rights do they have to appeal these firings?
You know, under normal circumstances, the way that you would appeal something like this
is going through the U.S. Merit Systems Protection Board, so the MSPB.
This is an independent, quasi-judicial agency that is meant to protect federal employees
from unfair or improper personnel actions. One of these protections is the protection
against being fired for reasons that are unrelated to merit and are more related to political
influence or personal bias. And so there is a process within the MSPB to appeal these decisions if a federal employee
believes that they're wrongfully terminated. The purpose of the board is really to ensure that the
civil service remains nonpartisan and maintain those protections. And so it seems that some
employees might go through that path to appeal these decisions.
There are other ways that we might see lawsuits or legal appeals happening, but that's the
traditional way an employee would go about appealing something like this.
You know, in writing about these recent reductions, you wrote, the administration seems to be
weakening or fully eliminating teams that were doing exactly the kind of work DOGE,
the Department of Government Efficiency, claims to value.
Focus on data, evaluation, and customer service teams
that have spent years reducing bureaucratic red tape,
modernizing service delivery, and bringing in critical tech
talent.
In other words, there were people out there
doing the kind of work that DOGE was supposed to do.
How to get more for the taxpayer's dollar.
Some might be skeptical of that statement.
Can you give us an example of this?
Yeah, absolutely.
And again, you know, these things take time, but under multiple administrations, including
the last Trump administration, there were people in government who were dedicated to
finding inefficiencies in government and finding ways to improve the customer experience
for residents.
Some of these cases are easy to see after the change has happened.
So for example, if you try to go renew your passport today, you don't have to take months
and months, you don't have to go to the post office, you can just do that online.
The reason you can do that is because there was a team of people in government that were
trying to figure out
what are the exact pain points in this long bureaucratic process?
How can we simplify them?
How can we create a user interface that is easy for a customer to access online
and make it as seamless and as simple as possible?
So anytime you see a simplification on the front end,
there's a team of people before working really hard to make that happen on the back end.
There are other examples where previous administrations invested in data and analytics and evaluation support.
All of that is really about improving how government functions and having the data to support that.
So rather than making decisions based on, you know, an anecdotal experience or keeping the status quo, really investing in this
fundamental question, is the program working? How can we improve it? Those teams
had a lot of successes that were just about to go live. So, for example, there was
a pilot program associated with making it easier to pay your taxes. Everybody in the
country complains about the process of having to file your taxes, and they're quite right.
A huge effort was done within government to pilot a new approach that would have made
it easier for people to file their taxes for free.
It seems like those efforts are all being now gutted, and it's unclear why that would
be the case if the purpose of DOGE is to make government run more efficiently.
The administration's response to some of the complaints that
have arisen is essentially that, look, extreme times sometimes
demand extreme measures.
Government spending is out of control.
Musk himself has said, yes, we will make mistakes,
but we will correct them quickly.
What's your reaction to that?
Do you think things could get better with time?
I think it's helpful to remember what we ask of our government.
If we say that we can just turn the government off and on again in this way, we're kind of
missing the fundamentals of what is needed for an economy to be able to develop, for
people to be able to take risks and innovate in the private sector and the nonprofit sector.
And so yes, of course, we can correct mistakes.
But even with a few weeks' worth of this process, we can correct mistakes, but even with, you know, a few weeks
worth of this process, we're seeing harms that are not going to be easily undone, not only in
terms of local economies that are going to suffer, but, you know, for example, data that was
regularly collected that is now not going to be collected. It's really hard to go back and fix
that afterwards. And at a fundamental level, it's taken generations of work to try to convince motivated, specialized
talent to work for government.
It's going to be really hard to rebuild that narrative after what we've heard over the
past few weeks.
So I'm worried that some of this harm can't be undone quickly, and we're going to have
to work collectively to rebuild trust, both within government and in that some of this harm can't be undone quickly, and we're going to have to work collectively to rebuild trust,
both within government and in that kind of social contract
with residents, to fix some of this over time.
Something like 80% of the federal workers
live outside the Washington, DC area.
What might be the economic impact of these job cuts
on communities where workers live?
This is an area where a lot of people are starting to see rumblings of problems in local
economies and we might expect to see larger impacts over time.
But you're absolutely right, most people who work for the federal government don't in fact
live in the Washington DC area.
So they're parts of communities and labor markets that might be drastically affected
by this. And this is going might be drastically affected by this.
And this is going to be true across different agencies.
So the examples that we've started seeing are employees who work, for example, for the
National Park Service.
There are parts of North Carolina or Arizona where many layoffs are happening and that's
going to affect the local economy.
We're starting to hear more about cuts for the IRS.
The IRS has hubs across the country.
And so if you work in Kansas City or if you work in Ogden, Utah, you might be affected
not just because your neighbors and friends are being laid off, but because that's going
to affect the local economy in a way that affects everyone who lives there.
This effort is really just underway. I mean, it's been a few weeks really.
Do you have any idea what to expect in the future? Where do you think this is going to go?
You're right that given what has happened in the past few weeks, it's really hard to predict
what the federal workforce and what government will look like a year from now.
One thing that I'm thinking about in my work is what does it mean to try to cut the federal workforce in this way?
So I imagine one of three things might happen. One is they will successfully cut the federal
workforce in a way that immediately reduces the quality of services that the government
can deliver. So we'll see that in longer processing times. We'll see that in more dangerous health
outbreaks. We might see that in worse roads and safety. That's one option. A second option
is that this will be similar to what happened during the Clinton administration, and it
will become very clear that we needed those government workers, and so we'll expand the
federal budget by bringing in more contractors. Contractors are not only more expensive in some cases,
but also have fewer layers of accountability. So we'll have less transparency and less accountability
for how services are delivered. There's a third option, which is probably the largest
threat to democracy overall, which is that we're going to see a replacement of
professional nonpartisan civil servants with loyalists.
And that could have all sorts of ramifications for what the next few years look like.
What's an example of one of these cuts that will be apparent to citizens soon?
I think it really depends on which citizens we're talking about.
One area that I'm looking at quite closely are cuts to the VA and to anyone who works in related medical fields. That seems to
be an area where we might see effects very, very soon where people are not able
to access services that they've been promised because of a reduction in the
workforce. That could lead to long-term challenges, both in terms of health and mental health and
other services that have been promised to veterans where we
could really see major disruption soon. There's kind of
medium-term effects that I'm expecting as we look at
reductions to the IRS. That could affect our ability to
collect taxes in ways that has long-term impacts for people.
So, there's many ways that this might show up in people's lives.
In some ways, the areas where we're seeing a lot of concentrated frustration right now
are things that affect people's lives today.
Like they want to go to a national park and it's closing earlier because there aren't
enough staff or the bathrooms are going to be dirty or closed because there aren't enough
staff. But they may not be thinking about what's happening on the side of the CDC or protection
against future outbreaks in terms of avian flu or in terms of measles, where that could
have huge consequences in people's lives and could have consequences relatively soon, but
are harder to trace back to these cuts in federal spending.
Elizabeth Linos, thank you so much for speaking with us.
Thank you for having me.
Elizabeth Linos is the Emma Bloomberg Associate Professor of Public Policy and Management at
Harvard's Kennedy School of Government.
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