Front Burner - Front Burner Presents: The Making of Musk, Episode 4

Episode Date: January 2, 2026

In the fourth and final episode of Understood: The Making of Musk, host Jacob Silverman launches into Musk’s ultimate quest, his desire to colonize Mars, and how he went from wanting to save earth t...o wanting to escape it. You’ll hear the origin story of SpaceX. And hear from an astrophysicist who says Musk’s plan is completely delusional. You can find Understood wherever you get your podcasts, and here: https://link.mgln.ai/FBxMoM4And be sure to follow the feed for even more stories that define our digital age.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 This ascent isn't for everyone. You need grit to climb this high this often. You've got to be an underdog that always over-delivers. You've got to be 6,500 hospital staff, 1,000 doctors, all doing so much with so little. You've got to be Scarborough. Defined by our uphill battle and always striving towards new heights. And you can help us keep climbing.
Starting point is 00:00:27 Donate at lovescarbro.cairbo. This is a CBC podcast. Hi, everybody, Jamie here. So today we have the fourth and final episode of the making of Musk, The Great Trek. Finally, host Jacob Silverman launches into Musk's ultimate quest, his desire to colonize Mars, and how we went from wanting to save the Earth to wanting to escape it. You'll hear the origin story of SpaceX and hear from an astrophysicist
Starting point is 00:00:57 who says Musk's plan is completely delusional. Have a listen. Hello? Okay. So, first slide. Okay. I'm Bob Zuberin. I'm an astronautical engineer.
Starting point is 00:01:13 And what I'm going to talk about today is about how I think we can get people to Mars, either within 10 years from now or 10 years from whenever anybody turns on the money. This is a reflection. This is Robert. Zubran addressing the 15th annual meeting of the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness in California, June 1997. Zubran's first book, The Case for Mars, the Plan to Settle the Red Planet and Why We Must, was published the year before.
Starting point is 00:01:48 It would be his first of many books on why he thought humanity needed to travel beyond Earth and colonize the solar system, and it thrusts the relatively unknown engineer into the spotlight. Zubran's work on everything from spacecraft designs to the ethics of terraforming developed a following, a loose network that became known as
Starting point is 00:02:12 the Mars Underground. I and some other people who were co-thinkers in terms of the desirability or necessity of the human Mars exploration decided to found a Mars society
Starting point is 00:02:26 to see if we could pull together all the people who wanted to make this happen. For Zubran's group, getting to Mars wasn't a fanciful idea limited to science fiction. It was a workable goal that they were planning and advocating for, educating the public,
Starting point is 00:02:44 and lobbying policymakers. They started preparing by building training centers designed to simulate the brutal conditions of Mars. In 2000, the group now known as the Mars Society built their first training center,
Starting point is 00:02:59 on Devon Island in the Canadian Arctic. They raised a tricolor Martian flag, red, green, blue that a NASA engineer designed. In 2001, we decided we'd build a second station in the American desert, so we needed to raise money. But where would they find a bunch of space curious people with money to burn? We had a fundraiser in Silicon Valley. For a venue, they found a wealthy Mars Society member with a nice big house, and they began selling tickets.
Starting point is 00:03:37 $500 a plate, and one person sends in $5,000. And we said, what's this? It's $5,000, it's $500 a plate. Who is it? Elon Musk, never heard of him. So we did a little research, and we discovered that he was one of the top people at PayPal, which we had heard of. Zubran was intrigued. he invited Musk for coffee at the fundraiser Zubrin sat Musk next to
Starting point is 00:04:03 director James Cameron at the dinner table a plum position before the night was over Musk had pledged $100,000 and secured a seat on the Mars Society board but if there's one constant with Musk it's that he doesn't
Starting point is 00:04:23 like to defer to others after a while he said to me, look, I'm not the kind of person that wants to be part of somebody else's deal. I got to lead my own show. Musk was 31 years old. It was a pivotal moment for him personally and professionally. He just made a nine-figure fortune from the sale of PayPal and tragically lost his first son. At this point, he's worth like $180 million. So, you know,
Starting point is 00:04:52 he already has all the money he could ever need for his own personal use to buy airplanes, yachts, anything, to say nothing of groceries. And so he's, what am I going to do with the rest of my life? I want to do something really, really important. The man who once told his boss that he thought of himself as
Starting point is 00:05:10 Alexander the Great was looking for something to match his ambitions. Something that shapes the future on a global scale. He's thinking about solar energy, electric cars, batteries, climate change. But for Zubran, the question of what was most important,
Starting point is 00:05:30 what really mattered to the future of humanity, had an obvious answer. This is perhaps the most important thing that will be done in this century. That is the expansion of humanity to become a multi-planet space-faring species. Mars. Whoever made it happen would become immortal, haloed in glory. I believe that this time will be remembered by future ages as when we first set sail for other worlds. Just like any American, and I presume any Canadian, if you ask them what
Starting point is 00:06:11 happened in the year 1492, they will tell you that that is when Columbus sailed. And of course, that is true, but that's hardly the only thing that happened in the year 1492. In 1492, England and France signed a peace treaty. Does anybody know about that? that today. In 1492, the Borgias took over the papacy. A few people might know about that. Lorenzo Domenici died in 1492. If there had been big-time newspapers in 1492, those would have been the headlines, not Italian Weaver's son goes off in some ships and discovers some, you know, islands somewhere. Yet that is what we remember. And I believe that, you know, 500 years from now, only history buffs will know who Donald Trump was.
Starting point is 00:06:58 I mean, really, but they will remember the people who found the first human settlements on Mars. For Musk, Mars isn't just an engineering project. It's a way to extend the light of consciousness, as he would eventually describe it. A pioneering effort of Colombian proportions. For the human species, Mars is supposed to be a life insurance policy,
Starting point is 00:07:27 the place to plant our flag and start the difficult work of colonization before an inevitable cataclysm consumes Earth. It's about the future of humanity, Musk insists, but it's also very much about Musk himself and the legacy he leaves behind. This is understood the making of Musk. Episode 4, The Great Trek.
Starting point is 00:08:13 When Musk found the Mars Society, he was considering his life's next chapter. The Internet was great, but the promise of technology, he thought, was full. grander. Humanity wasn't living up to that promise. I always thought that we would make much more progress in space. And it just didn't happen. This is Musk in 2013. He's speaking on stage at an event for the Computer History Museum, hosted by journalists Alison van Diggelin.
Starting point is 00:08:49 Like some of his peers, he felt impatient that the promised techno-utopian future, the one his grandfather Joshua Haldeman had envisioned decades before, still hadn't yet arrived. One quote, often attributed to Musk's colleague Peter Thiel, captured the prevailing sentiment. We were promised flying cars, we got 140 characters. When we went to the moon, we were supposed to have a base on the moon. We were supposed to send people to Mars. and that stuff just
Starting point is 00:09:23 it just didn't happen how could he activate people how could he inspire them with the kind of cosmological faith he felt he pictured an image a greenhouse on the surface of the red planet
Starting point is 00:09:38 I thought that would get people excited so you literally imagined a photograph inspiring a new generation you gotta sort of imagine the money shot if you will Musk had taken up Robert Zuberin's ideas,
Starting point is 00:09:53 donate to the Marge Society, and snagged a seat on the organization's board. They shared the same general goal, but increasingly differed about how to get there. Musk, as always, was in a hurry, and he was committed. I spent several months on this, actually, and went to Russia three times
Starting point is 00:10:13 to try to negotiate purchase of two Russian ICBMs. committed enough to go bargain hunting in post-Soviet Russia thinking he might buy an old missile or two he came away empty-handed perhaps for the best and did they think you had evil intent no they just thought I was crazy they weren't the only ones who thought so a number of us said well there goes another one
Starting point is 00:10:45 that is there goes another zillionaire who thinks he's going to open up the space frontier. Within months of his Russia visit, Musk founded SpaceX. He felt there was an opportunity to bring down the costs of rockets and make them reusable. And beyond that,
Starting point is 00:11:02 the dream of Mars. Musk's friends at the Mars Society were skeptical. Zubrin had seen it all before. Some Trekkie tech founder makes some serious money. And then some visionary engineer approaches him and says, look here,
Starting point is 00:11:17 I got the plan, a silver bullet, and the billionaire would throw $50 million or something of play money at the visionary, and they'd start work, and then when he discovered that it really wasn't going to be as easy as they had thought they would quit, but it isn't what happened. Like any Musk venture, SpaceX move fast,
Starting point is 00:11:42 and Musk was at the center of it, not simply bankrolling someone else's idea. And Musk threw himself completely into this world. In 2001, when Zubran first met Musk, the young entrepreneur impressed him. But it was clear that Musk was no aerospace expert. By 2004, when Zubrin visited Musk at SpaceX's office, things had changed. And it was apparent that by that time he had educated himself. He knew a lot about aerospace engineering.
Starting point is 00:12:17 not just the business side. He had cracked the books. He had self-educated himself, created the equivalent of a graduate degree in astronautical engineering, which was very impressive. He still, however, hadn't gotten the hardest lesson, which was risk.
Starting point is 00:12:38 SpaceX still had a long way to go. With their Falcon One design, they were trying to be the first private company to put a payload into Earth orbit. Zubran warned Musk, there will be failures, and they'll be painful. I said to him, look, okay, you've got to be ready to do at least three launches because the first two are definitely going to fail.
Starting point is 00:13:01 And he says to me, why, why? Tell me what the flaw is in my design. Musk was SpaceX's CEO and chief engineer. His money helped fund the company. The Falcon One project was his baby. and like all of Musk's many children, a projection of his ego. I don't know what the flaws in your design.
Starting point is 00:13:25 Your design probably doesn't have any flaws, but these things are very complicated and very difficult to get right. Zubrin's instinct, his caution, ended up being correct. Four, three, two, one, zero, plus one, plus two. In March 2006, SpaceX launched the Falcon 1 for the first time. Plus 8, plus 9, plus 10.
Starting point is 00:13:53 This is the LC on the countdown net. Falcon 1 is airborne at this time. A fuel leak caused an engine fire. And 41 seconds after takeoff, the rocket crashed into the ocean. A year later, they went again. Coming up on state separation. The first stage was a success. Separation.
Starting point is 00:14:18 The second stage shut down early, and the rocket's satellite payload didn't make it into orbit. So, men, I visited him in 2007, and by now he's a little bit chastened, and he says, okay, I'm good for one more try. And if this fails, then I'm out. Musk's money was running out. T-plus one minute, 40 seconds. The vehicle is headed downrange with a velocity of 1,050 meters per second
Starting point is 00:14:51 and an altitude of 35 miles. Well, guess what? It did fail. We are hearing from the launch control center that there has been an anomaly on the vehicle. We don't have any information about what that anomaly is at this time. On the third launch, the rocket's first stage hit the second stage, causing another explosive failure. SpaceX and Musk were at an all-time low.
Starting point is 00:15:28 In 2008, the rocket company is not going well. You've had three failures. Great. The car company is hemorrhaging money. Yeah. And the American economy has tanked in the worst recession since the Great Depression. Right. What was that year like for you?
Starting point is 00:15:49 And I'm getting divorced, by the way. Add to that. That was definitely the worst year of my life. And Musk wasn't the only one having a tough time. Inside SpaceX, the mood was bleak. Musk biographer Ashley Vance writes about employees openly weeping Others described a kind of exhaustion
Starting point is 00:16:10 that went beyond long hours As if six years of 70 or 80-hour weeks Fighting uphill against impossible odds Had finally taken their toll People talked about it feeling like the company Had reached the end of the road Drained, worn down Wondering if there is any point
Starting point is 00:16:30 In climbing further up this mountain Would they ever get there? But then he said, I'm not quitting, we're going to do it again. On the morning of the launch, Musk was in L.A., planning to watch from the command van at SpaceX headquarters. Clearly jittery, feeling the pressure, his brother Kimball had an idea. Why don't we head to Disneyland with the kids, take your mind off things? So that's what they did. Instead of huddling over dashboards and performing frantic last-minute checks,
Starting point is 00:17:12 the man gambling his fortune on one last moon shot was standing an hour-long queues with tourists in Mickey Ears. They even rode space mountain, a mock spaceflight complete with neon stars and roller coaster plunges. The manufactured adrenaline hit seemed to do the trick. After all, it was nothing compared to what he was about to experience. Musk walked up to mission control with just moments to spare before the 4 p.m. launch window opened. Second stage approaching Sico.
Starting point is 00:17:48 And that would be a nominal SICO. And the fourth time is when it succeeded. Well, my mind is kind of prasoled, so it's kind of... hard for me to say anything, but, man, definitely this is one of the greatest days of my life, and I think probably for most people are here. It was a remarkable achievement. He was the first of any private-funded venture that actually reached orbit. If this was a billionaire's vanity project, it ended up being an uncommonly successful one.
Starting point is 00:18:32 Compared to Richard Branson's failed space tourism company Virgin Galactic, or Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin, which is still struggling after 20 years, Musk had soared ahead in the private space race. Why? That was the difference between Musk and these other guys. He was willing to actually put hard work into it, not just some spare change. And the other thing is that he was tough, tough enough to take some hit, Musk also had great timing.
Starting point is 00:19:05 Cuts to NASA's budget and the retirement of the space shuttle program left an opening for private contractors to compete to launch rockets, put satellites into orbit, and ferry astronauts to and from the International Space Station. Billions of dollars were at stake. From that successful launch in 2008, it would take just a decade for Musk to turn SpaceX into one of the world's most valuable privately held companies
Starting point is 00:19:34 and the chief space launch partner for the U.S. government, which it remains to this day. SpaceX has undoubtedly made tantalizing jumps forward in technology, and it has its site set on refuelable rockets and a base on the moon, but these incredible leaps are just mile markers on a much longer journey. This ascent isn't for everyone. You need grit to climb this high this often. You've got to be an underdog that always over delivers.
Starting point is 00:20:13 You've got to be 6,500 hospital staff, 1,000 doctors, all doing so much with so little. You've got to be Scarborough. Defined by our uphill battle and always striving towards new heights. And you can help us keep climbing. Donate at Love's Scarborough. Choose clicks. Choose the algorithm. Choose doom scrolling at 3am, eyes tired, brain rewired.
Starting point is 00:20:41 Choose headlines that scream. Choose fake friends, deep fakes, bots, and comment wars that never end. Choose truth bent and broken until you can't tell up from down or write from wrong. Choose the chaos. Choose the noise. Or don't. Choose news, not noise. CBC News.
Starting point is 00:21:06 Next step, Mars. Mission Mars. Humanity has been dreaming of Mars for over a century. In endless pulpy adventures, a princess in Mars in 1912, Flash Gordon in the 30s, B movies in the mid-century. Mars became a blank space
Starting point is 00:21:29 to project human ambition and fantasy. But it also became a cipher to represent our anxieties about what was happening here on Earth. Ray Bradbury's Martian Chronicles imagined settlers taming a new frontier escaping the nuclear destruction of Earth. Kim Stanley Robinson's Red Mars trilogy mapped out the politics of colonization.
Starting point is 00:21:55 The film Total Recall, based on a Philip K. Dick short story, showed a Mars mining colony, as an unforgiving dictatorship that rewrites the memories of its inhabitants. And through it all, Mars was the stage where humans could imagine new futures,
Starting point is 00:22:13 utopias, dystopias, alternate histories. Science fiction has had a role in all of this in laying out a vision of the future, enable people to see with their imaginations what not yet can be seen with their eyes. And it's clearly influenced Musk a great deal. Particularly when I was a kid, I just consumed all science fiction and fantasy,
Starting point is 00:22:40 you know, movies, books, anything at all. His imagination was fueled by his childhood love of video games and sci-fi novels. His mom remembers him reading late into the night. Is it surprising that many of his business ideas sound ripped straight from their pages and screens? Space X's rocket ships, Neurrelink's brain computer interfaces creating new cyborgs, X-AI's massive data centers
Starting point is 00:23:09 and its anti-woke-Grock chatbot, and Tesla's practically silent, battery-powered cars that are supposed to drive themselves. I mean, I certainly like Star Trek because that actually shows more of a utopian future. Like, it's not like things like on horrible in the future. It's like there's so many bloody post-apocalyptic future. But he doesn't seem to consume science fiction for its allegorical power or its ability to critique the world around us.
Starting point is 00:23:41 For a white boy from apartheid South Africa, sci-fi could have offered a lens through which to understand the bitterly unequal, highly engineered society in which he grew up. Instead, it fulfilled an amoral fantasy of escape. There is one book, more than any other, that shape Must's plans for SpaceX and his dream of a Martian civilization. In the late 1940s, Isaac Asimov began publishing his foundation stories, which became a trilogy of novels. There's this grand galactic empire, and this scientist, Harry Seldon, recognizes that it's going to collapse. The series follows Harry Seldon, a math. who create a probability-based method of predicting the future. When he forecasts an impending planetary collapse,
Starting point is 00:24:37 he establishes a place where he can preserve all knowledge and start a new civilization. And so he decides to put a bunch of scientists on his planet on the edge of the galaxy. The planet's called terminus, the edge of the galaxy, and so that they can rebuild galactic civilization after it collapses. and, in fact, Musk even calls his proposed city on Mars terminus. He also named one of his children after Selden. For Musk, Asimov is a model, a sort of instruction manual for saving humanity in the event of an apocalypse on Earth. It's technocracy as practiced by a would-be trillionaire who thinks he can do the impossible.
Starting point is 00:25:22 We may not entirely believe it, but he does. Each launch is about learning more and more about what's needed to make life multifanitary. This is Musk addressing SpaceX in May 2025. Musk wants us not just to go to Mars, but to settle there. One million people by 2050. According to his own timeline, the first uncrewed mission of Starship, SpaceX's massive rocket, is supposed to launch in 2026. Ideally, we can take anyone who wants to go to Mars, we can take to Mars.
Starting point is 00:26:02 Musk's plan sounds democratic, almost utopian. Anyone who wants to can hitch a ride to Mars. These won't just be novelty celebrity space flights. His starship rockets will, he believes, be the American Airlines of cosmic travel. Musk is pitching a planet B, a way to be. to avoid the sort of collapse that played out in Asimov's books. Mars can potentially come to the rescue of Earth, if something goes wrong. Us humans could do something crazy, like World War III.
Starting point is 00:26:39 Hopefully not, but it's possible. And then if you only have one planet, then that could be curtains. As important as Mars is to Musk, space colonization doesn't need to stop there. And then we go beyond Mars, and ultimately to other star systems, And we can be out there among the stars, making science fiction no longer fiction. It's a compelling vision, one that became a rallying call to attract the most talented, ambitious engineers. So very early on, even in like the first day when they sit you down for the very limited about a training that everyone has to go through before starting their work, The thing they emphasize is that the goal of SpaceX is to make life multi-planetary, right?
Starting point is 00:27:32 So, in particular, to have humans get to Mars and beyond. Tom Moline joined SpaceX in 2014 as an engineer on the Dragon program, which transports people and cargo to the International Space Station. As someone who dreamed of working in space, he was drawn to the company's ambition. But from the start, he saw red flags, off-color, juvenile jokes, and meetings, and a culture where the loudest voice wins. That is kind of an ongoing, consistent, toxic culture that existed within the company. And that all comes, like, directly from Elon Musk in terms of how people behave their work interactions. Elon Musk's private company, SpaceX, has dismissed at least five employees over the curation and circulation of
Starting point is 00:28:22 a letter denouncing the CEO and requesting more inclusivity within the workplace. In 2022, when a sexual assault allegation against Musk involving a crew member from SpaceX's corporate jet became public, Tom watched the CEO make light of it on Twitter
Starting point is 00:28:40 and vehemently deny the allegation, stating it was a politically motivated attack. Musk, however, failed to comment on the $250,000 settlement, allegedly paid to the accuser and reported by Business Insider. But for Tom, the final straw came when SpaceX's C-O-O, his boss, Gwynne Shotwell, sent a message to the employees.
Starting point is 00:29:07 She stated that, you know, we at SpaceX take all of these sort of claims very seriously. However, I have been a personal friend of Elon for many years, and I don't think it is possible for him to have done this. Tom saw this as an affront to anyone who had suffered that kind of harassment and he was spurred into action he helped organize an open letter calling on SpaceX to condemn must harmful Twitter behavior calling it an embarrassment and a distraction from their collective mission and the message was resonating and within that first 24 hours we had over 400 people sign on
Starting point is 00:29:49 The company's response was swift and immediate. So he took me downstairs to a conference room with frosted glass, which is never a good side. The next day, Tom was asked into a meeting with the head of HR and Gwen Shotwell, who joined via a video call. They sat me down and told me that they had performed an investigation, that they had determined that I was instrumental in the conceivable in the conceivable. devang rating and distribution of the open letter. Chiming in remotely, Shotwell delivered the final blow, revealing exactly what mattered most to SpaceX leadership.
Starting point is 00:30:29 Basically, I'm very disappointed that you guys would broadcast such a thing to the company. This distracts from our ability to go to Mars as quickly as possible. I'm very disappointed in you. So I was the first one, but they fired four other people on that day, and then over the next month fired four additional people and interrogated dozens more.
Starting point is 00:30:54 Inside SpaceX, Musk's personal ideology define the company's mission in a boss cop like culture. If Musk was the boss, not to be questioned, getting to Mars became a kind of moral shield for his unfettered authority.
Starting point is 00:31:11 For Tom, it seemed like any complaint, any criticism, could be cast as standing in the way of destiny. But what if that destiny isn't even possible? Mostly Musk's plans for Mars are delusional. Adam Becker is a science journalist with a background in astrophysics and the author of More Everything Forever,
Starting point is 00:31:46 AI overlords, space empires, and Silicon Valley's crusade to control the fate of humanity. Which, he says, is about the terrible plans that tech billionaires have for the future and why they don't work. In Becker's view,
Starting point is 00:32:01 Mars is one of those terrible plans. Just to be absolutely clear, Mars is absolutely awful. Mars is a terrible, terrible place. One of the major sticking points for Adam is, well, Mars itself. There's a spot in my book where I say that Mars would make Antarctica look like Tahiti, and honestly, I was a little hesitant to write that in the book
Starting point is 00:32:28 because I thought that that was actually an understatement. It's not just that Mars is an unforgiving environment. It's completely uninhabitable. The gravity is too low, the radiation levels are too high, there is no air, and the dirt is made of poison. There's not much for humans to work with there. The main challenge would be not dying immediately. The air pressure on Mars is so low that the saliva would boil off your tongue as you die. And if you manage to make it past that point, the odds aren't much better.
Starting point is 00:33:10 ultimately, you know, if you lived on the surface of Mars for a few years, even if you somehow, you know, could keep your spacesuit running for that long, you would die of cancer. But surely science can find a way. Shields against radiation, ways to create or capture oxygen, maybe they could build a dome like in the Martian. So you would need to shield yourself in some way. The easiest way to do that is to dig a tunnel underground and then you can pressurize that. But then you have to deal with the fact that Martian dust is very fine and toxic. It's filled with these compounds called perchlorates, which are highly, highly toxic to basically all plant an animal life. So if radiation doesn't get you, the toxic dirt probably will. Then there are the problems of irregular launch windows and huge lags in communications.
Starting point is 00:34:06 It could take more than 20 minutes for a message to travel between Earth and Mars. And that's just to get started. When thinking not just about surviving on Mars, but creating a whole city, a terminus, the project becomes off the charts difficult. Unlike anything humanity has ever attempted before. We do not know whether it is possible to, you know, have a baby on Mars. We don't know if you can bring a pregnancy to term. We don't know even if you can, whether or not that child would be able to then, you know, grow and develop properly in Martian gravity. And if they did all of those things, we don't know whether they'd ever be able to come to Earth. And another big question for Adam is the why of it all.
Starting point is 00:34:58 Think about for a moment what all of that would be like. Living in tunnels underground, toxic dirt just behind the walls. Never going outside except for short, dangerous missions, to the surface, unsure of the long-term impacts on your body and mind. No real-time communication with anyone back home on Earth. No certainty you would ever be able to go back, even if you wanted to. And Musk wants to put a million people there? Life on Mars would be nasty, brutish, and short, and probably unsustainable.
Starting point is 00:35:38 So why cling on to the dream of a planet B? Is Earth such a lost cause? Musk has expressed his certainty in an impending apocalypse. But it also seems like a convenient out. I think that acknowledging that Earth is precious and this is where we make our stand and like this is where we have to stay for the foreseeable future, that imposes a limitation.
Starting point is 00:36:08 that Musk is just not willing to acknowledge. And, you know, he thinks, I think, that you can overcome absolutely any limitation just by being arrogant enough and ignoring enough people telling you that you can't do it. If you have enough money in power, you maybe can ignore that and get away with it. As Musk has, you know, allegedly demonstrated many times,
Starting point is 00:36:38 but the laws of physics don't work that way. Human biology does not work that way. You cannot get around the kinds of limits that prevent a million people from living on Mars in an independent colony. Musk doesn't seem to agree. Rather than techno-optimism, it could be described as hubris. And from Adam's perspective, an almost delusional faith that engineering can overcome any physical limits. And it also looks to Adam willful, a way to refuse to recognize any ethical limits on one man's power. It's a way to accumulate an unbelievable amount of resources in the service of an oligarch's vision, that when you take a close look at it, doesn't seem so democratic or humanitarian. Adam, in case you can't tell, is pretty steadfast in his position on Mars, but he isn't the only one.
Starting point is 00:37:44 I think the overwhelming majority of scientists agree that the challenges with going to Mars are just tremendous. Even the people who are the most gung-ho about going to Mars and are dismissive of all kinds of very serious problems about Mars, Musk still seems too optimistic even for most of those scientists. We just launched the world's biggest rocket again, dropped a couple of satellites off, suborbital, time to go through the data. Really crazy cool to hit all those objectives today. Yeah, a huge shout out to all the teams who make this look easy. Despite widespread scientific skepticism and Musk's chaotic behavior, SpaceX continues to make progress. there have been some spectacular explosive failures,
Starting point is 00:38:35 but Starship has also had some successful launches. And the U.S. government remains hopelessly dependent on SpaceX for its satellite launch capabilities. It's impossible to think of NASA returning to the moon without SpaceX. But even optimists like Zubrin, who literally wrote the book about why humans should go to Mars, are troubled by the scope of mus' promises. I think this is bat guano crazy.
Starting point is 00:39:08 You don't just land a million people on Mars like Normandy Beach. A Mars colony has to be built up organically like the colonization of the new world where you first had little colonies that establish some farms and now you can bring in more colonists and they create shops and sawmills and now you can build houses and now you send more people and it develops over time.
Starting point is 00:39:30 And I believe that Mars will be settled that way over time, but not this other thing. For Zubrin, Mars is still possible, just not the way Musk is pitching things. It needs to be incremental, science first, with small missions and robots leading the way. And even Adam Becker, the astrophysicist, turned journalist, isn't writing off space travel completely.
Starting point is 00:39:57 what do I think our future relationship with space should be? I think we should send a lot more probes out into space. There's all sorts of amazing mysteries that we could solve and questions that we could, you know, can't even begin to ask now, that we could start to ask and maybe even answer. And, you know, yes, I would like us to make sure that everyone on Earth is safe and comfortable before we start spending enormous amounts of money exploring space.
Starting point is 00:40:23 But also that's a false dichotomy. Like, we can do both. and I would like to see us do both, but the future of humanity is here on Earth. The future of humanity is here on Earth, but Musk's may not be. It's a striking shift. Earlier in his career,
Starting point is 00:40:44 Musk staked his fortune on saving this planet, electric cars, solar energy, giant batteries to wean us off fossil fuels. But more and more, his focus has drifted from fixing Earth to escaping it. Once you said do you want to die on Mars, why? I don't, be clear, I don't want to die on Mars. I mean, we're all going to die someday.
Starting point is 00:41:16 And if you're going to pick someplace to die, then why not Mars? Yet the boy who dreamed of life beyond Earth, who grew up to own a right, rocket ship company, has never actually gone to space, even as suborbital flights have become popular with pop stars and crypto bros. What would his adventure-hungry grandfather, Joshua Haldeman, have made of his grandson's reluctance to take to the skies? Or did Haldeman's sudden death in a flying accident stand as a warning for Musk? But it's not some kind of Mars death wish. And if I do die on Mars, I just don't want it to be on impact. When the first starship sets off for the Mars colony, will Musk be on board?
Starting point is 00:42:14 Across his life, Musk has thrived in bubbles, where he can enjoy extraordinary levels of privilege and deference. from gated communities in South Africa to his private compound in Texas to his companies where he is the unquestioned boss cop the boss man Mars is the final bubble a whole planet sealed from the rest of humanity it's the ultimate test of whether a pseudo-religious faith
Starting point is 00:42:46 in the power of capital bossism and engineering can transform the world But physics and biology suggest otherwise. Musk can fire employees at will. He can buy media platforms and buy his way into government. He can even engineer children. But he can't rewrite the laws of physics. Mars is not waiting to be engineered into a habitable place
Starting point is 00:43:22 for hundreds of millions of people and no amount of money or willpower will change that Musk's obsession has always been legacy from his companies to his many children to his dream of a new planet
Starting point is 00:43:39 even as a teenage gamer he wanted to be known as Elon the Great but legacy depends on how you're remembered not how you think of yourself A man shaped by colonial attitudes appears never to have left that worldview behind, as if he had never truly escaped Pretoria. Or maybe he never wanted to.
Starting point is 00:44:15 We contacted Elon Musk through his family office. He did not respond to our request for comment. Understood, The Making of Musk is a chalk and blade production for CBC. It is written and produced by Jason Phipps, M. Wally, Eva Chrysiac, and me, Jacob Silverman. This episode features clips from Doctors for Disaster Preparedness, the Computer History Museum, SpaceX, 60 Minutes, Red Ram, Productions, Aereo-astrocentennial Symposium, Sky Australia, Associated Press, and News Live, South Africa. Matthew Blackman is our South African story consultant. Fabiola Melendez Carletti is our coordinating producer.
Starting point is 00:45:11 Mixing and sound design by Julia Whitman. Our story editor is Derek John. Our executive producer is Nick McCabe Locos. Our podcast art was designed by Sammy Whitwer at Good Tape Studios. Our cross-promo producers are Amanda Cox and Kelsey Cueva. Our video producers are Evan Agarred, Tamina Aziz, and John Lee. For CBC podcasts, executive producers are Cecil Fernandez and Chris Oak. Tanya Springer is the senior manager. Arif Narani is the director and Leslie Merklinger
Starting point is 00:45:54 is the executive director of CBC Podcasts the managing editor of CBC News Podcasts is Karen Burgess You can follow understood on whatever app you're using to listen to me now. And check out my previous season, The Naked Emperor, a deep dive into fallen Crypto King, Sam Bankman-Fried. That was the final episode of The Making of Musk, but if you want to hear more, the Understood feed has five more seasons to dive into you that look
Starting point is 00:46:37 into everything, from the Pornhub Empire to the rise and fall of Bitcoin King, Sam Bankman-Fried. And there's more seasons on the way, so be sure to follow the feed so you don't miss an episode. For more CBC podcasts, go to cBC.ca slash podcasts.

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