Geoff Schwartz Is Smarter Than You - Geoff and Matt Bet Conference Championships vs Jaxon AI

Episode Date: January 24, 2025

It’s Championship Sunday, and Geoff’s Chiefs and Matt’s Commanders are both alive! With the help of Pine Sports’ AI Jaxon, they make their 5 best bets and see if they can beat Jaxon head-to-head. Be sure to follow the pod to get notified when a new episode drops each week, and follow @GeoffSchwartz on Twitter/X for more NFL and CFB comments. Geoff Schwartz is Smarter Than You will be live streamed on Twitter/X and YouTube every Friday all season long.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

It is Friday, January 24th. I'm Jeff Schwartz. That is Matt Ford. This is Jeff Schwartz, smarter than you. So get ready for conference championship weekend, two football games this weekend. Matt's commanders, the commanders, an anti-champion game.

My candidate chiefs playing afterwards. We'll talk about this all. We're presented or with help from Pine Sports. Go to pine-sports.com slash subscribe. It's an AI tool that we have been using religiously over the last couple of weeks and months to prepare for this show. I typed in Matt, rookie quarterbacks

in cover championship games. It popped up to five results. Doesn't look good for your boy, Jayden Daniels, but very quickly I got five results. I got the stats for your boy, Jayden Daniels. But very quickly, I got five results. I got the stats for the game. I got a recap of the game. I got it all. I looked at my player props,

which I'm gonna give you at the end of the show. Does the player prop model agree or disagree? And as usual, not as usual, but we did this last week, we're gonna give you our top five wagers for each of us and the five that Jackson, the AI tool, likes from applying sports. All three of us were three and two last week. So that is a winning week for props and the division round.

We hope you do that again this weekend, Matt. How are you, my friend? I'm doing great, Jeff. You know, we've spent a lot of time on this show talking about the Commandantes over the years. And you know, it's never really been relevant, but it is extremely relevant right now. Like I don't even have to do all commanders thing.

Like we're just going to talk about them because they're playing in the NFC championship. What a world. Do you think, can you imagine if at any point in the season, Jeff, I could have told you like, Hey, there's a chance that like, we'll actually be like shit talking each other during the Superbowl as two fans of our teams.

Like it could be a Commander's Chief Super Bowl. It's possible. Are you coming to New Orleans if they're in? What do you think? I mean, this might be breaking news to my employer, my wife, my friends, my financial institutions. I will do whatever it takes to get there if they're actually in the Super Bowl.

We'll see. I mean, that means that our wives and employers are listening to the show, which is always a maybe. Correct, it's just you, me, and Jackson, brother. It's just the three of us, together. If you do like our show, which if you're listening, I think you do, please leave a rating and review. And share it on social media, why not?

Get us some more people in here, and of course, again, pine-sports.com slash subscribe. Use promo code Jeff to get half off the first month. And guys, it's just a great research tool, man. It's fantastic. I just implore you to check it out. If you don't like it after a month, obviously you can cancel.

It's fantastic. Matt and I have both been using it a lot. And Matt, the best part about the commander's thing is that I'm very well prepared on Chiefs and Bills. I'm prepared on Eagles commanders. But you're an expert in this game. So I'm gonna well prepared on Chiefs and Bills. I'm prepared on Eagles Commanders. But you're an expert in this game. So I'm gonna let you go first. You talk about Commanders and Eagles.

It is currently six, I believe is the number. What's, I don't know what the total is right now. You can have to give me the total. How do we feel about the Commanders and Eagles Saturday afternoon in Philly? Yeah, 47 and a half is the total. You can get a six and a half at FanDuel and I think there are only six and a half out there,

which is interesting. Yeah, so it's obviously the third time these two teams have played in the past when teams meet for a third time, I think since in the last 20 years or so, 18, 11 and two against the spread for the road team, which is interesting. I think that generally means, you know,

the underdogs tend to keep it close, right? All the teams usually favor. Look, the two times they played, obviously Washington gets a lot of sort of, they got a lot of skepticism, I'd say, for the last time they met, where Jaylen Hurts left the game, Kenny Pickett came in, a lot of sort of they got a lot of skepticism, I'd say for the last time they met where Jalen Hertz left the game. Kenny Pickett came in, led right away to a scoring drive, by the way, but

you know, didn't it obviously they don't get tons of credit for that win. That was one of the craziest games of the season. They had five turnovers ended up winning. They put up the most points on that on the Eagles defense of any team this whole season. And then the Eagles in the first game, they won that that was a Thursday night game right after hurts or Daniels is injury. And, you know, Washington, it was a home, it was a home Thursday night game for Philly and it was an eight point win. It was one of those games where you look up and you're like, are the Eagles going to low this one? Like what's going on here? So two games, the margin of victory for Philly was a combined five points. So I think these two teams are much closer.

Just as a matchup, not necessarily talent wise, but the two most important things, I think, in football are your coach and your quarterback in Washington's. I think Got an edge in both spots. I don't think that's a hot take at all. And then the rest of the team, Philly's pretty much got them. Maybe not a kick I don't think that's a hot take at all. And then the rest of the team, Philly's pretty much got them. Maybe not a kicker,

although Jake Kelly had a nice week last week. The thing to watch, I think, especially for people who are fans of Jeff in this show, is the right guard for Washington, Sam Cosby, probably the best lineman on the team, towards ACL last week. That's the Jalen Carter spot. So Jalen Carter, I debated putting him getting over a half sack in my picks this

week. Um, but I think, you know, Daniel's is so hard to bring down that that he might disrupt the game in other ways, but that's going to be a huge matchup. And then obviously like Hertz's health and AJ Brown's health, like for the first time last week, I think Marshall and Latimore had a good game in Washington. Uh, he was targeted once for no, no yards, no completions. Like for the first time last week, I think March on Latimore had a good game in Washington. He was targeted once for no yards, no completions.

So it'll be interesting to see if he's on AJ Brown, who's already seems to be a bit limited. So I think this is going to be a good game. The last two weeks, you've heard me come on this show and say like, fun probably stops here. But now I can't sort of help but let myself dream about this one. I do feel like the commanders, you know, it's obviously everyone seemed to be taking the Eagles at four, four and a half, and now it's moved up to six, six and a half.

So, uh, they're, the books are probably rooting for Philly now, which is a dangerous place to be in if you like Washington, but I think they can cover the six and a half and I think it's going to be a fun game. So I am just from a gambling perspective, I'm hoping there's seven pops up, which we saw against the Rams, Eagles, that there were some sevens pop up on game day, which I don't think we thought would get there.

This one knows where it's like you have this, this commander's, this great run they're on, which should be commended. It's incredible run. They've won 14 games. It's not like a fluke team that just got in the playoffs, nine and eight and just sort of scrambled by. They beat Tampa Bay and they beat the Lions.

The Eagles are just a different monster, in my opinion. You talked about the offensive defense of Lions. I think that that greatly favors Philly. The run game of Philly, how is Washington gonna stop the run game? Like if Eagles just say, we're giving 25 rushes to Barkley, Hertz is gonna get seven,

and Gainesville is gonna get five. Like what's the path for Washington? They might sell out and try to stop that, and then obviously the Brown and Smith become more weapons in the passing, or Goddard who, Goddard and Juergens both practiced there by the center and Smith become more weapons in the passing more Goddard who got in and Juergens both practice there by the center and the tight end for the Eagles.

The path for Washington is just Daniels playing incredibly well again, right? And throwing for 350 and just like uptempoing them to death, right? We see the commanders are uptempo office. They don't huddle very much. And in a game against Eagles defensive line, Carter and who's the other Georgia kid, Davis, right? Like you want to tire those guys out.

So you don't huddle. But then if you don't huddle and go three and out, you screw your defense. If you don't huddle and go second and 11, now the Cosme absence becomes a huge problem. One concern I have in this game is the fourth downs, Matt. The commanders are in a historically great fourth down team. If they go one and five this game,

they come back down to earth, it's a three touchdown Eagles win, right? Like that's my big concern here. It's like, if it just derails a tiny bit, do the commanders have the same ability to keep this game close? I will tell you how I wanna wager on the same ability to keep this game close? I will tell you how I wanna wager on the side and total in this game.

I think the Eagles are gonna play well, I really do. I think the commander's getting 10 plus points in this game at some point is a way to bet this game, because the Eagles have shown at the end of games, they play this prevent defense and they give up a ton of points. Look what happened last weekend. Like I don't see this game being a three touchdown winner

for the Eagles. The fourth down thing does concern me, but I do think if Eagles score first, get the ball, score first, go up seven nothing, you're gonna get 10, 10 and a half points. Well, you probably don't, not there. Probably at nine points by then. At some point if I get double digit points, Matt,

I'll happily take the commanders in game getting double digits. That's an interesting way to play it. I think a couple of things. The first is when the commanders and Eagles have played this year, there's been these, the Saquon Barkley experience has been pretty obvious.

And it was sort of like the Rams game last week. Like the first time they met, he kind of didn't, Barkley didn't do much for the first three quarters and then had, I think two touchdowns in the fourth quarter on that Thursday night game and iced it. And then the next time they played Saquon at 123 and two touchdowns in the first half, and then on the second, the second half, he had 16 carries for 27 yards. So I do think that Dan Quinn and Joe W wit like have figured out, I think they're going to say they're going to sell out, stop the run.

I think they have to. And you know, see if Jalen hurts is healthy enough to beat them downfield. So I do think they'll have a good plan for that. Um, and this defense is watching defense, obviously not, you know, not a great unit, but I do think they've sort of changed with Latimore in their, uh, their corners have been playing a lot better. Jared Goff last week had a ton of just like mental confusion. It was either confusion or just mistakes. After that Houston game where he threw five picks in November, he had three picks the rest of the season. And then he came out last week and looked totally befuddled by what Washington was throwing at him. So I do think that they have Kingsbury gets a lot of love,

but I think Quinn and crew are going to have a good plan here. But I agree. I think Philly, Philly is one of those teams where it's like, if they can just put together four good quarters, I think they're probably the best team in the league. The question is, can they do that? Does their coach get in the way? Is their quarterback healthy? And, you know, is Jayden and crew, are they able to sort of move the ball against this defense the way they did really in both games? It was, you know, the first game, uh, Daniels was definitely not himself. Can I, to that point, can I say something about Jayden here?

I have just like a little bit of a, an issue that I think with, with some of the discourse on Jayden Daniels, one of the, one of the things I hear all the time with him is like, this isn't going to last. He's going to get injured. Like, have you heard this discourse? So like a couple of things about that. A it's like Nate Burleson told me once the injury rate in football is a hundred percent, everyone gets hurt.

I'm talking to a guy who famously who sends sends posts, pictures on Instagram or videos and Instagram of his injuries. Like this is a topic that you are very familiar with. Um, but I just think that it's such a lazy take and it's like, yeah, he's thin. Like whatever he, Jayden, Jayden played five years in college and had a concussion and a sprained ankle. Like at some point I do think you have to look at this body of work.

And I think people are just not understanding what's happening. And they're just sort of like, it's not going to last for X reason, X reason, X reason. And I just feel like this injury discourse is just kind of gross. Like that's, it's just kind of bothered me. So I covered him. we got to Arizona State.

He was 175 pounds soaking wet. And I instinctively said the same thing. Guys didn't get hurt. And he never got hurt. It just didn't happen. Played in the SEC, didn't get hurt. All quarterbacks get hurt at some point. The question is how bad and for how long?

So it's just, it's just, it's just hater, just hater-ade. So people hate on Jay Daniels, it's that simple. He's really good. I told you this privately, I texted you. I mean, where you're at as a commander's fan is like, if you can't win a Super Bowl, you wanna be commander's fan right now, which is that like the future is so bright.

You have your quarterback and your head coach and a ton of cap space. And a GM that clearly, Adam Peters knows what he's doing with personnel, because you improve the roster with a bunch of B level free agents, right? B and C level free agents. Now you add a couple A level free agents, couple more drafts, and all of a sudden,

this team is contending for championships. You're there in year one. I think the winner of the AFC went to Super Bowl, but I don't think you can deny that the commanders are way ahead of schedule right now. Yeah, it's interesting watching the rest of the league sort of do the like, well, how do we do this? What are the steps?

Get Jayne Daniels. Yeah, get Jayne Daniels and probably get maybe the best GM candidate that's been on the market in quite a while and have a k like a karmic reset. Like, I think there is just sort of some karma that's just kind of like come back to Washington. I think in the, in the good vibes. Um, I agree. Okay. So you're gonna, I mean, I know your picks, you're not going to pick a side here. If you had to take the six

props, I would take, I would probably, I mean, it's a cop out, but I, I would tease the Eagles down to pick them. Yeah. That's what I would do, I mean, it's a cop out, but I would tease the Eagles down to pick them. That's what I would do. And then take the Bills. But we'll talk about all those. For those who, again, we missed the beginning of the show, we'll give you wagers. They're all gonna be at the end of the show.

We're prefaced by saying, we'll give you all the wagers, five of them, and then we'll throw in a couple others at the end of the show as well. All right, Chiefs Bills, Matt, third or fourth time meeting the postseason, Chiefs have won all three. Games feel like they get increasingly closer.

This is not the best handicap, but I'll say this. The Chiefs have not turned the ball over in nine games. The Bills have a historically low turnover rate this season in offense. This game's gonna come down to something that we cannot see. A fumble, a tip pass, a miss field goal, kickoff return.

And what we see often is the Chiefs are the best team in the NFL taking advantage of other people's mistakes. And if the Bills don't give them mistakes, the Bills are gonna win this game. If the Chiefs can force a mistake or two, or some them mistakes, the Bills are gonna win this game. If the Chiefs can force a mistake or two, or some bad plays, the Chiefs are gonna win this game. I lean Chiefs money line because I think the Chiefs, oh, this, until proven otherwise,

I'm taking Kansas City in this game. And I think way too many people are looking at their offensive results in the last game, and thinking that's the way the Chiefs are gonna play in this game, they were off for 24 days and played a really good Houston defense. The Bills defense is not the Houston Texans. They're missing at least one safety, probably two.

Matt Mulano may be back, or he is back, but sort of hurt. I think he's gonna score in this game. The question is, can the Bills score as well? Who makes the mistakes? Who doesn't make the mistakes? I'm curious what your thoughts are on this game. When this line, when this game dropped, I think the original line maybe opened at one

for the Chiefs and I bet it instantly. I didn't think twice. These two teams, they match up sort of the same way every time and the Chiefs just simply have so many more ways to beat you. Um, and I just think, like, I just didn't think that hard about this. And maybe, you know, maybe that'll look silly, but there's a lot of people who are sort of saying like, this is Josh's time.

This is, you know, is, is this going to happen again? Like, I don't think that the team has played someone because it's their time. That's, that's really silly. It's also, it's always chief's time, by the way. Um, I don't believe in, in the history of the playoffs. I think Aaron Rogers has played the 49ers, I think four times and lost all of them in the playoffs. I think that would be, or maybe it's three.

Um, but I think Josh Allen, if he were to lose again to Kansas city, it would, it would, I think that would be the first time a quarterback's lost four times the same team. But like, go up and down this roster, like put the quarterback thing aside. The chiefs, it's sort of like the commander's thing where it's like the chiefs kind of have them everywhere. Like they just kind of do. And Buffalo was lucky to win that game last week. And I think, I think Kansas city, if you like, had a real conversation

with the team is much happier to be playing Buffalo at Baltimore. Like Buffalo could have lost that game a bunch of ways. And the thing that I think we forget about every playoffs. There's always like one odd Sean McDermott choice of game. And I think last week it was the fourth and two or whatever it was at the end of the game, where he decided to kick and go up eight instead of going for the point going for the touchdown. And it obviously ended up working out. But there are those kinds of things where you're like Buffalo in these big moments, you almost kind

of feel they're like, trauma from the decades of the past past where they like won it so badly, where I just kind of feel like they kind of push a little too hard in a few spots and overthink a few things. And that might just be like the stupidest analysis anyone's ever heard. No, no, no, no, because no, no, no, I'll explain to you. I think that when, I know this, when you can't beat someone,

you try to do extra things and you overthink the moment. You do a little bit too much and that does get the Bills in trouble sometimes. I remember the fake punt last season, this horrific call for a fake punt. They just have these moments. And I thought against Baltimore too, they got super conservative in the third quarter.

Like they didn't have to get that conservative. Baltimore, I think if they, if Mark Andrews catches that pass, who are you taking to win in overtime? Baltimore or Buffalo? By the way, they would have still had all that time. Like they would have, I think they would have game anyway, Buffalo, both ways.

Oh, you think Buffalo wins the game anyway, okay. I just, look, the turnover thing's hugely important in this game. The trauma, as you mentioned, is hugely important. The coaching is hugely important. The Bills offense line's really good. So that helps them a lot with Chris Jones and other issues that the Chiefs bring.

The pressure schemes the Chiefs do. I think Buffles are gonna have a hard time throwing the ball. You put Watson, McDuffie, man coverage on those Bills wide receivers. And who's open in this game? It's gonna become a Josh Allen game, which we'll see with my best bets coming up in a few minutes.

It's, again, I just sort of trust the Chiefs till I'm proven otherwise in this game. And maybe that's a pretty simplistic handicap, but. We've seen this movie. I agree. And I feel bad that I didn't sort of have it like another Zach, but honestly We've seen this movie. I agree. And I feel bad that I didn't sort of have it like another Zach, but honestly, like the other thing. I took the Chief's Moneyline immediately

when the number came out. Yeah. I even, I might be the one, even the one and a half. I mean, the other thing with Buffalo that's so interesting is they're, this may not matter, but this season, they're 10 and 0 at home. 159 point margin of victory. On the road they're 5 and 4. Granted one of those was that Patriots game with a 24 point margin of victory.

So they're a much better home team. They're going into a place that nobody, except Cincinnati once, can go and win a playoff game. And I just think, I don't know. I don't see the Buffalo having like this being the season where it's like, you know what? They finally have the weapons to sort of just out distance the chiefs here. The other thing is like when the,

when Buffalo played on the road this year, they have given up some just like massive totals. Like they did beat the lions in the dome in Detroit. They gave up 42 points, like golf, I think at five touchdowns, the Rams put up 44 against them. Like, I don't think that the Chiefs are gonna have a problem moving the ball.

I don't think so either. And I think it's, you know, it's gonna be fun. It will probably be a late, you know, deciding play at the end of the game that they'll talk about for eight months. And that's all that's left. And the officials, of course, screwing the Bills. I mean, that's gonna happen for sure.

Yeah, that's just confirmation bias. Go listen to Nick Wright's podcast, I would imagine for that. We're not gonna get into that today. I don't have time for that. But, all right, Matt, you ready to do it, buddy? Yeah, so we're gonna go through our five wagers and then Jeff, you'll read Jackson's.

And if you need me to share that, I will. Yeah, so for those who are, yeah, what we're gonna do, we're gonna give five wagers. We're gonna give confidence, basically, five, four, three, two, one. So five points if you hit the five-pointer, four points, two points, two points, one point, obviously. And then we'll have the picks from Jackson.

Again, we all went three and two last week. I hit my five-pointer. I think I ended up with the most points. Jackson might have been there too. Jackson hit the five-pointer. The second one Barkley over was, I think, Jackson's pick last week is the best one. So we'll do mine first, I guess.

We'll do just one through five. So my best bet at the weekend, all of them. Josh Allen over 48 and a half rushing yards. It might be 49, it's 48 and a half right now. He's in the three cheese playoff games, 88, 68, 72 rush yards. He has to run the ball in this game for them to have offense in my opinion.

The way the Chiefs pressure, he's gonna have opportunities, man coverage, backs turned opportunities. We also see the Chiefs give up a ton of rushing yards to quarterbacks. 42 to Stroud last week, way over his game average. 25 to two, two years ago in the playoffs. Two only had 74 yards rushing the entire season.

Up to that point, Matt. 54 to Lamar, 12 to Purdy. Yards over what he does per game in Burrow, 30 yards. I think Allen over 40 and a half is my favorite bet of the weekend. Fourth, I took Kansas City Moneyline. Again, I talked about that, not a big surprise here. Number three, Matt, I piggyback you from last week.

Give me Noah Gray over 14 and a half receiving yards here. In the postseason, 13, 23, 14, 16 yards. And I think Kelsey will be double or triple covered. Like you'd be foolish if you're a Buffalo to not double Travis Kelsey. And who does Patrick Mahomes trust right now? Is David Worthy maybe? Hollywood Brown maybe?

Hopkins maybe? He trusts Noah Gray, who's been in the locker room now for four years. So Noah Gray over. My number two, I'm going back to this, Jay Daniels over 32 and a half past temps. I was 34 and a half last week, Matt. And he had 19 and a half time.

I was right on track. I candy-cated that correctly. And then you guys won by 17 points or 14 points and he threw the ball eight times the second half. And then I'm going back to the well. Kenneth Gainwell over eight and a half rushing yards. It was nine and a half last week. He had one carry for 10 yards.

That was it. One carry is low for him. He gets normally three to five carries, maybe seven carries. It's a bad Washington commander's run defense. He also, I believe according to Jackson, I mean, this is not really important to me, but 43 yards against Washington in week 11. So those are my five picks.

We'll treat out a graphic with this later. Love these five. Love how deep dive you're in on the props. Okay, so for mine, I went in a few different directions. I will have the stones to lay the point and a half for my five pointer with the Chiefs. Okay. You know, you and spoiler alert Jackson

both went with the money line. So I felt I had to zag a little bit. Okay. The thing with, you know, this, I want to get the exact number, uh, but my homes, when he's, when he's under a field goal, uh, he is an all time historic dominant for one or something. He is seven and oh straight up and against the spread as in the playoffs, uh, as an underdog or favorite of less than field goal in home games, November, or

later, when the temperature is 40 degrees or less. He is 23 and two in his career with his last loss in 2019. Since then, he's won 20 consecutive games outright in the playoffs. Pretty, pretty good. We're going to take the Chiefs to advance the Super Bowl and cover the one and a half for my four star. I am going to go with my commanders. They are, I'm going to take the six and a half and the points here. We talked about them at length. I think the coaching staff for this, for this team and just sort of the vibe this team has,

they're going, I think they're going to win the game. I think honestly that they have a good chance of just being a surprise and you know, Philly, if they're dominating this game, the whole field advantage and Jayden on the road, like that this could come back to bite me. If Philly starts slow and Washington who is last week came out, they got the ball second, they, they stuffed Detroit three and out on the first drive, uh, and then ended up just being in charge for they ended up, they were down seven zero, but they still had the feel of like, they were kind of rolling the whole game.

Philly will not do well if that's, if that's the vibe in the stadium. Like there is a chance that the coach could still get fired if they lose this game. Like that's, I think where this seemed weirdly still is. So I like Washington to, to at least cover the six and a half. Okay. Austin Eckler, I have him going over 18 and a half rush yards. So this is a little bit interesting. He, he had an integral role in the, in the rushing attack last week.

Yeah. Uh, the backfields kind of split Robinson got 53% of the plays. Uh, Eckler got 37% last week. I think Washington's going to just have to keep Philly on its toes on the defensive line. So I anticipate a lot of the RPO stuff and Eckler is just such a dynamic receiving back.

I think he'll be highly utilized and they're just going to do a bunch of goofy stuff in the backfields. I like over receiving too, by the way. Yeah. He last game against Philly had eight catches. And then last week, I think he had one run that would have topped this number. So I like Eckler and Robinson last time he played Philly fumbled twice. So keep that in mind. There might be some, you know, we'll see how that goes.

Last two Xavier were the over three and a half rushing yards. So the chiefs, if if I'm remembering the staff from Stuckey correctly, Brendan Action Network, I think remembering the staff from Stucky correctly, Brendan action network, I think in their last 18 playoff games, they've had a non running back carry the ball. That's correct. So that's, Nicole Harvin's not going to be playing in this. Like worthy is the guy.

So all he has to do last week, he had one carry for minus eight. I feel like this week, you know, that probably isn't going to happen again. If he gets one carry, it's pretty likely to go over four yards. So I like, I like worthy as a little two star kind of throw in. And then my last one, speaking of rush yards, Patrick Mahomes to go over 25 and a half in his previous games against Buffalo in the playoffs.

He averages 31, his career average is 25 yards rushing. He only runs when they need him to. This is the time where they need him to run. He's going to have one of those 15 yard scrambles to ice the game in the fourth quarter that he always seems to. I thought this was a low number and I like it. So one point for that one.

Mahomes is, he just, when he rushed the ball, it just seems to always be backbreaking, doesn't it? Always, he saves it. He doesn't run all season and then in the playoffs, you're like, oh right, he's like a baseball player. Like he's fast, like he can get between, you can get in small spaces quickly, so. Yeah.

All right, so for Jackson, the five picks for Jackson, quickly, Osnachler over longest rush, eight and a half yards. Like that. Over in five of his last eight games, 35 yard rush last week versus Detroit. Again, the third down rush is a possibility here too, as well.

Travis Kelsey over 67 and a half receiving yards. This is now like 70 and a half, by the way. I, I, I don't like that one Jackson. It's juice, it's juice so high that like, but you don't like that one Jackson. Jackson is just so high that like, but you don't want to take the under either, right? Right. So here's Jeremy chin over two and a half assist on tackles.

Okay. I took Matt Milano by the way, over five and a half tackles this weekend, tackles plus assists. So a Pacheco over half rush attempts and then Buffalo money line, one star play. Interesting. Come on, Jackson.

It's allowed to, so Cleet Blakeman, the referee, home teams do not win a lot of games, he referees for some reason. Interesting. They're gonna, do you think they penalize the Chiefs a bunch this game just so they just don't have to hear about it? I don't know, actually, that's an interesting zag.

I will say the Kelsey thing. I said, I didn't like it. I want to be clear why the last time I think that the bills are going to sell out against Kelsey, cause they basically like, I don't think they're going to be fooled by a sort of slow start. I mean, the last time these two teams played in the Buffalo game that they won, he had four targets,

two catches for eight yards. Like they know what they're doing. And then, you know, in the past, obviously Kelsey has been so dominant in the last, well, the last time they played in the playoffs he had five for 75 and two touchdowns. So they're not going to get beat by Kelsey. So I like your gray play a bit better, but you know

the computer might have his top. Well, we're going to get the computer on this one. All right, I hate to rush everyone off this. Your boy has to go take his son to a baseball lesson. We're gonna have two games this week. We'll be back next week. Well, we'll do a fun episode next week, Matt. We'll figure something out.

We're not gonna be in the Pro Bowl, but we'll have something for you guys next week. We'll do some mail back. For teams that are in the Super Bowl, I think we'll have something to talk about. Yeah, we'll do a Super back. For teams that are in the Super Bowl, I think we'll have something to talk about. Yeah, we'll do a Super Bowl preview, and then we'll be here at Super Bowl week as well. And then we'll figure something out.

We'll figure it out. We're not probably gonna do NBA props or basketball props with Jackson. Maybe we will, maybe we'll have some fun with it. All right, everyone, have a great weekend watching ball. Hope you enjoyed the show. Please make sure you subscribe. We will talk to you guys next week.

Take care, everybody. Find Ash Sports. It's promo code Jeff. Subscribe. You