Geoff Schwartz Is Smarter Than You - NFL Wild Card Weekend Best Bets and LA Fires Reaction

Episode Date: January 10, 2025

Geoff is back with another episode of Geoff Schwartz is Smarter Than You. On today's show, Geoff and Matt react to the LA Fires, plus a look ahead into Wild Card Weekend in the NFL with Geoff's Best Bets.Be sure to follow the pod to get notified when a new episode drops each week, and follow @GeoffSchwartz on Twitter/X for more NFL and CFB comments. Geoff Schwartz is Smarter Than You will be live streamed on Twitter/X and YouTube every Friday all season long.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

It is Friday, January 10th. I'm Jeff Schwartz. That is Matt Ford. This is Jeff Schwartz of Smarter Than You. We have a super wildcard weekend. We have six NFL games all over the place. We have two on Saturday. One is on a streaming service, by the way, so do not get confused when you go turn the TV on, Matt. That game is not there. We have three Sunday and one Monday that got moved to a new location. A lot to get into today. Before we get started on that, we're going to talk about these fires in Los Angeles. Very quickly, I want to give a shout out to the LA Fire Department, the Canadians for helping out, the inmates, everyone who's helping put these fires out in Los Angeles. It is a task that I think people that are not from the region do not understand how

difficult it is. I commend them, Matt, for working their ass off, essentially. I don't know how else to put it, to get these fires under control. I'm from Los Angeles. The city my high school was in, or is in, I should say, is gone. It is burned down. You live in Santa Monica. My parents live five miles away from the fires.

So I have sort of intimate knowledge about this. I've been waiting to talk about it, Matt, for a long time now, but I'm glad you are now safe. I know you had to evacuate a little bit, just like firsthand. I think it's your first time dealing with some Southern California fires. Yeah. Great to see you. For everybody who's still dealing with this, which is a significant proportion of the Los Angeles population, dealing with this which is a significant proportion of the los angeles population uh jeff and i and and sam who's our producer who also lives close by um we're with you and uh i don't know my my my heart aches every time i think about anything really at this point

i'll tell you what matt i mean when this happened originally'm going to probably cut you off a bunch during this show. I was texting some buddies who went to Palisades High School, and like, it just, it felt surreal at the beginning, and I still can't even believe the way it happened. So I, there's no words to describe, I think, the carnage. It's the worst natural disaster, the worst fire, right, in, I think, the country's history. It happened happened a dense

population and there's so many things about this i think people are just either purposely getting wrong matt or intentionally getting wrong you know i went to social media the first night to just look at the updates you can't get them on social media anymore because it's flooded with conspiracies and bullshit and nonsense and just trying i'm just trying to find updates on if the fire is going to wipe my parents' house out. And luckily it wasn't close, but I'm just like trying to find information. So I saw a tweet early in the day that there was this fire on top of basically, so geography lesson here.

There's like a mountain range, small mountain range that runs in like the northern part of Los Angeles, right? And like on one side is the valley, it's commonly known. The other side is Pacific Palisades, Santa Monica, Malibu. And there was a fire that started on those mountains, essentially, in the foothills, in the highlands. And it was blowing toward Palisades. And I tweeted out like, this is going to be bad. And everyone who lived there said, this is going to be bad. And everyone who lived there said, this is going to be bad. And it got really bad, Matt.

Again, watching it from 3,000 miles away and how fast it happened was something that once it started, it was expected, but still just did not expect to happen at the rapid pace it was over social media. And there's so many things about this that just have frustrated me. And again, this is setting aside the fact that we feel, obviously, for the victims of this. Like, the Palisades, okay, Matt, is, there are wealthy people there, right? Like, it's a nice place to live. But a lot of places and homes are, you're wealthy because you live in the Palisades, not because you're wealthy, if that makes sense.

Like, I see these comments on the internet, well, oh, it's a rich place. Sure, there are celebrities there. We've seen the stories. But like, my friends who grew up there, like, their parents are wealthy because they've had the house for 40 years. You know what I mean? Like, it wiped out all of the Palisades. Like, go look at it.

It's gone, all of it. All of it's gone. My high school burned out. It seems like we're going to be back at school soon there, which is great to hear, but like everything, my childhood, all that stuff, like gone, it's all gone. Everything I did in the Palisades, all disappeared. It's all gone. Um, so so many things here. One is that I keep seeing this, you know, this idea of what, what caused it? Why was no one prepared? There is fire season in California, all right? It is not in January, okay? It is in September, October. It is when the phenomenon of Santa Ana winds, okay?

What Santa Ana winds are, are winds that blow from the east to the west. Most often, winds blow from west to east, right? Off the shore. That's why it's so nice in Santa Monica, where you are, like that little breeze, right? Well, in September, October, the winds shift for whatever reason. They shift east to west. And the Santa Ana winds tend to be drier because they're typically after the summer months when there's no rain or precipitation.

And so the Santa Ana winds are stronger typically because nothing to block them. They're just like sweep across. And they're warmer because it's no humidity because it hasn't rained. It's no humidity because it hasn't rained at all. And they typically have happened. Like in my lifetime in high school in 2003, I got a football game move back because we had like three fires around the high school, not around Palisades per se, but just around the city. And that's September and October. That is

fire season. This is not fire season. Yes, they predicted Santa Ana's were going to be bad and they were. I mean, they were blowing 100 miles an hour in some places. But, like, this idea that everyone was unprepared for it, it just, yes, I guess. But, like, that's because it should have been. January fires don't happen, Matt. It doesn't happen. And, you know, once it started to, you've been up the Palisades.

For those who sort of, I guess, aren't really aware, there's basically one way in and out. Like, it's not a place that gets saved quickly. You know, it's like the letter D. Like, the straight part of the D is PCH, Pacific Coast Highway. And then Sunset sort of, like, makes the circle. Now, it doesn't connect on the other side, but like that's this community in the Palisades. And once it started,

it was it like the, the fire was not stopping because of the wind. And I think people don't realize that. It just kind of frustrates me, Matt, the way people talked about this. Um, because I,

I, I understand the absence of answers that people turn to conspiracies and blame people. And you're angry. I get that. And there's, I'm not saying that the, the California governor or the mayor of Los Angeles are perfect in what their policies are and who they are, but like this was going to happen at some point because of the conditions were perfect for it to happen. It had not, my dad texted me, said there has not been noticeable rain or measurable rain since May in Los Angeles. You can back that up.

I'm sure you can. And then you have these areas of growth and you can't just control burn like the foothills of the Palisades. Like there's no thing you can do. You can't just, you can't do that. So like it's, it's just, it was a convergence of all the ingredients you need. Dryness, no humidity, a historic Santa Ana wind season. It started in the spot that like you just can't get to.

Then of course you can't fly the planes because the wind is too much. We saw a couple of days later when the spot fire in the Hollywood Hills, the helicopters put that out immediately matt like so there's again it's just convergence of things and and i get that it's terrible and trust me again the images and like i've friends parents houses are gone um livelihoods are gone and um the insensitivity just the whole just man frustrated shut on me dude um it's again californians are prepared for it in the season it's supposed to happen not now you can blame climate change yeah it's getting hotter um the no rain thing though but it rained for two years straight during wet season so it's not like a thing that hasn't happened before that hasn't rained just this this thing happened so quickly and so fast and all the ingredients were there to

make it bad. And that's all it was. It was unfortunate. I don't think it was arson for this Palisades fire, maybe the other fires. I know they've arrested people for arson. So it's certainly possible other places there have been arson. the first fire it happened and it just it's it's just shit man like there's no other way to put it yeah well said um yeah i i've i've been surprised i guess i haven't been super surprised by sort of the commentary that i've seen about things online um and yeah i mean i guess like you know first of all it's worth saying like this isn't over and you know as it as we're recording this like the palisades fire is still marching on um the the pasadena fire is still marching on there's still there's a lot that could change

today now there's a lot that could change over the weekends where do you this is not done but you can't find this on this internet. You can't find nothing. There's no accurate information because people are just, are just spewing nonsense. And like, yeah, it's, it's hard to follow. And there there's been, I want to shout out to people at watch duty, this app that everyone in LA is downloaded. Um, I don't, I never heard of that.

And then suddenly like I find myself checking it all the time. Um, i do think you know the conversation about like the government and you know all that stuff i think is probably best to save for another day um until this is all over but i will say like the thing that i've been most sort of heartened by is you know it's it's really easy to focus on obviously the first thing that comes is the deep sympathy and sadness and grief for everybody the thing that i've i've been noticing is there is a lot of coming together and kindness that doesn't get reported because it's sort of just like not interesting but i have communities like you know the community

the palisades and the santa monica communities but also communities of parents or friends of friends or my friend's neighbor and this and that and and we donated some of our our son's stuff that he's outgrown to someone who knew a family who lost their home, who has a seven week old. And it wasn't a direct transaction. This was not a person we'll ever speak to again. And the person who received the stuff will never meet and like, whatever. That's, that's not to say, obviously this was all my wife who figured this out. Not me. I deserve zero credit. We're not people, you know, we're not like saints by any means, but what I'm more highlighting is like, there are people really looking out for each other here. And it's the only way that we've made it through this

and that includes you mentioned canada sending firefighters like people from around the state like people there are so many people who none of us will ever be able to thank for what they've done here to stop this and prevent you know things from getting so much unspeakably worse and that's sort of like the only thing that's kind of kept me going is in some ways my my confidence in humanity as a whole has gone up even though some of these there's so much disingenuous and obviously some people who are trying to make things worse um but I guess in the spirit of just trying to move through this that's been the thing that I've kind of held onto. And, um, I'm hoping to sort of put back into the world as best I can as well.

You can also go to the, uh, there's an LA fire department foundation website to donate to the Los Angeles fire department, uh, which is a good, a good resource. It's real. I double checked many times to make sure it was like a real foundation. And I think I saw that, um,serman and anberg donated a million dollars this i knew was like an actual donation uh place to go because i think obviously you want to make sure that you go to an actual place to donate to yeah i mean look the the disingenuous stuff is wild i mean just even people that are trying to be um like be earnest about it still come across like the wrong way in my opinion like a lot of the fire is burning nothing like just burning wild land like

there's nothing actually there people are reporting on it in a way that makes it seem like it's burned down 20 000 acres of land of houses it's burned down a lot of houses, and we should highlight that number. But, like, focus on that, not the random mountain brush land it's burned down. And just stuff like that just has pissed me off this entire process. But, yeah, I mean, it's even hard to find information on how much is contained. I see right now I finally found something that said it's not really spreading south into Santa Monica, which is good. Eden Fire looks like it's barely contained, but Pasadena seems fine right now at least. It looks like, I mean, all the Dina got wiped off, man.

I mean, it's, you know, another thing, this is not this fire that's so interesting to me. Look, again, I go back to this line. In absence of information, people turn to conspiracies, right? They need to fill their mind. It's hard for people just to say, accept what happened. Whenever there's a fire, Maui, Los Angeles, anywhere else, people always say, well, the trees are standing because they have water in them.

That's why they're standing. We do this all the time. They're not flammable they just don't like catch fire and the the wood houses do like my parents houses made of wood it would be gone it was built in 1984 matt the newer houses like will not be gone as quickly like my high school the reason why it didn't always burn down because it's really not a brick the bungalows like all the new stuff burned down but like the old school brick did not burn down i just find it i just don't it frustrates me man like you just you don't have to comment on social media and then the influencers do just the crap

they put on instagram during this time man oh geez i probably shouldn't rant on all of this but just it all frustrates me man no i mean i think if anyone has any intention that isn't caring and and you know humble like this is not caused by one person it's not stopped or no managed by one person this is the federal the federal government is being is going to have a huge role in the response to this the local and you know now an international team of firefighters are working on this like it's big it's complicated yeah and they're doing as best they can like there i get there was no water power in the palisades but um yeah because they needed all the water like there was but the thing about it matt and this is the hard part to say and this

is true is like as i mentioned there was no stopping this. Like once it got into the city of Palisades, the town, it wasn't being stopped. Like you could not stop it unless you had the aerial support, which they didn't have. Like if you dropped tankers and tankers of water on these damper hoods, maybe you stop it, right? But there's a video out there, someone posted of a McDonald's that was on fire. Did you see that video with like the winds whipping? I mean, guys, these embers are being sent. Like it jumped, it jumped a eight lane highway, I think at one point in the Ethan fire.

Like these embers are being tossed around. So the hard, again, the hard part to accept is once this started started there was no stopping it till the when the wind died down they're able to get a hold of it and yeah it's unprecedented event um it's basically like if if you've experienced a hurricane and the instead of rain it was fire like that's that's how that's why things were so chaotic like and that's why on certain blocks like a house would burn and this one wouldn't it's because like a piece of a tree came off and like flew across you know

however and it was just it was just a lottery and uh i'm so grateful to be sitting here from my house right now and i know you know there are not that there are plenty of people who do not have that luxury today, and that humbles and really hits. And I can see it from out my window. I watched a helicopter. I watched one of those super scoopers just fly by. This is still happening. Oh, yeah. It's going to take a while to put out.

And I've thought about myself what would happen. The first night, I couldn't sleep in the middle of the night. And so I was checking social media to see if it spread towards Santa Monica to my parents' house. And I just was thinking to myself, like, how would I even prepare? Like, how would I get out of the house in 15 minutes of the stuff I would need? We had to do that. A lot of people did. What would I take with me?

I obviously was fortunate enough to not have to deal with it. But I was thinking about my parents, too. Like, what are they going to take? And to think about just coming back and seeing nothing's there. And the insensitivity about it too sometimes. I just, you know, like we should all have some empathy for people that lost everything. Imagine you lost your house, man. Like, it's, that's it.

And rebuilding for some of these people, unfortunately is probably outside, outside of, uh, outside of the question, right? You're probably, probably not going to happen. Yeah. Well also, I mean, the people who did, you know, let's talk about, you know, Palisades or Altstein or wherever, like these neighborhoods that are forever changed, like even the people whose homes remain, like, what do with that like if you're if you were a current student at you know the cavalry christian school that that was i believe a lower or middle school where that was one of the first that burned if you're a pali high student you know if you're if your home remains in the palisades where do you get your groceries like do you even want to

live there like what's what's what are you at? What are you driving through on your way home? Not for the remainder of this fire, but probably for a few years. And like, what does that do to you mentally? And it's like, those people are so lucky too. I thought about that. But like, what does their life even look like moving forward? And that is where, as a community, we have to take care of each other and remember that this is still,

this is going to be ongoing forever. And think about it this way too, like Los Angeles, California in general has been dealing with so many of these macro issues, including just constant political conversations about like sort of the idea of California that are proposed, I think, by a lot of bad actors and a lot of cases,

but like what's going to happen to the city now? Like if you lived in the Palisades and you have the means to go somewhere else, like would you stay in LA? And what does that do to a place like this? Like what does that change for so many other people in there? And you know, the entertainment business,

for instance, like there's a lot that's going to happen out of this, that is going to take years and years and years to unspool as it did in Maui, as it, as it has in other places affected by natural disasters over the years. And man, just don't be an asshole. Like just, just like take care of people, like act with a good heart. And because a lot of people are affected by this in ways that you might not even guess. I haven't thought about that. I mean, if you're, if you're in the palace palace that you want to go to the grocery store yeah i go you gotta go now like down sunset to like westwood like yeah maybe

you have to take the 10 imagine driving down sunset right now like and seeing all of the places you cared about your ice cream shop your dry cleaner whatever just gone like every single time the village burned down up there the gelson's burned down everything that that like again like all places gas stations like everything everything yeah like where are those people going to work like there's there's a lot that's going to change here like people lost their businesses like the insurance stuff in here's crazy like it's going to take years to unpack all of this so yeah you know keep people close and you know I don't I want to say one last thing I mean I've gotten so many an overwhelming amount of messages from people in my life that I will forever feel grateful for so many people who care enough to reach out.

Please continue to do that with folks who are out here. It means a lot, even if people don't have the means or time to respond. Um, because it is very, the only thing that's helped really is knowing that you're not alone, right? Nobody is alone in this this i think there's been comfort for folks who've lost so much that they're not the only people who have and um that's a really tough thing to understand but um yeah i just i appreciate everyone reaching out so again um there's a la fd donation page uh you go to there's obviously so many different shelters in the area and so many different ways to help others in need. Because to Matt's point, it's not –

we focus a lot on the Palisades because that's where I was. But I mean, to your point, there's a fire in Altadena right now, Pasadena, that's not sending people in the tax bracket that live in the Palisades that need help as well. There's fires north. And it seems like for now we're good. I mean, the weather again next week is supposed to be bad in the palisades um that need help as well there's fires north and seems like for now we're good i mean the weather again next week supposed to be bad in the same conditions again matt so hopefully they're they're um ready to go and and prepared for that so um all right i

think we're uh we're done with this for now we can we can text each other back and forth if we have anything more um i will say though the the only thing that has been for me like helpful is the wrong way to put it but watching those helicopter drop the water drop videos and having people like put mike breens like double bang on the call i mean that has given me a little bit of a smile and a terrible situation because otherwise it's been really hard. I mean, I go to social media. I go on my Twitter right now. All I've done for the last four days or three days is look for this. It's not even on my Explore page.

It's not on my, like, trending page. I don't know what more I have to do to get information about where the Santa Monica fire is right now sent to me. send to me, it's, it's, it's frustrating, but that's where we are with social media right now. So Jeff, I want to quickly thank, I don't know if you're still watching, but our friend Dave Damoshek was, was watching the stream and wondered what you might have to offer from Charlotte and said something nice. So Dave, if you're still watching, thanks for that comment. Thank you. Um, yeah, I mean, again, being far away has been, uh, it's been tough. Um, so yeah, I mean, what's crazy. I think, I think I saw someone told me the high school is going to open up like in a week cause it's pretty much fine. It looked like it was going to burn all the way down to the ground. It's hard

to tell at night, the videos. Um, so people in this town, which gets a lot of shit nationally are unbelievably resilient. and that's from someone who moved here and you know is still learning about it but you were talking before we started about how your parents handle earthquakes like the people who you know that i remember even thinking and i'm sorry we'll move off this soon i remember thinking about there was a huge malibu fire a few years ago and thinking about the people who were like still willing to live in malibu which is the you know nightmare of of factors that could lead to a fire it's remote it's incredibly dense with vegetation um but people live there and they and they understand

the risk and they choose to do it and i think that in a lot of the rest of the world you don't realize how much risk is just associated with being alive and the people here are taking it in stride in a way that i'm in awe of and you know people are just people are really brave here and i don't know that that that's something that people from would guess about Angelenos, but I've been so impressed with, you know, the people in the city. It was just a fire in Malibu like a month ago. It almost went.

Yeah, right. There was. And it's like, and then this one unfortunately got Malibu and the first one sort of didn't. A lot of times they're able to get it before it basically gets Pepperdine. Right. And this time they just weren't.

Again, the, the thing that I want to reiterate again is that the fire department worked their ass off. I know people want to blame people for this accelerating to where it was, but I can't stress enough that it was a fire cane. What you said, it was a fire hurricane. It was an unstoppable force. And you said, it was a fire hurricane. Like it was an unstoppable force.

And luckily the winds died down enough. I think West LA didn't really have many, many strong winds. I think that's why it was pushed back up. It started creeping down to you, right, Matt? And then it was sort of pushed back up the other direction where there's less houses, which is good, I guess, in a sense. So if it would have hit Santa Monica, buddy, holy shit. Yeah. good i guess in a sense so if it would hit santa monica buddy holy shit yeah well i mean that's kind of what it felt like when the runyon fire happens which when we were watching everyone was

watching it went from tiny and manageable to oh my god this could actually wipe out the whole city in minutes and because that one is right in this i mean mean, Santa Monica is dense. Corita town is the densest place in Los Angeles. If that, if, if the wind took it in a certain way, I think that was the big turning point. You can, the one in Hollywood Hills. Yeah. Yeah. We're lucky.

Yeah. They're able to, a lot of the, um, those, um, water drop shots we've talked about that, that came from that and putting that one out. I honestly think that those ones I retweeted when I think of the um those um water drop shots we've talked about that that came from that putting that one out i honestly think that those ones i retweeted when i think of the mike the mike green call i think that one saved los angeles like that exact thing like if that fire had marched down the hill like apartment huge huge skyscrapers of in koreatown would have been toast it was it was bad it's still bad like you said

all right um enough of that um hopefully again everybody you can if you have the means you know donate um to fire department salvation armies um you know again there's animals involved in this too again a little bit of humor in this uh which is hard to do. There's been some TikToks I've seen where people are basically there's wildlife like in the city now. And people, there's a video of a guy being like, hey, rabbit, it's Pico and La Brea. Like, what are you doing here? Like, because in those foothills, in those mountains that mountain lions are up there, like there's a lot of animals that are kind of quietly hanging out that we don't get to see in Los Angeles because, um, you just, you just don't cause of, of just everything around, um, around the city. So, um, yeah, uh, I, I hope it gets contained as soon as possible, which it seems like it's

at least on the way for that. And then hopefully next week, um, you know, you're able to, uh, to not have anything pop up, uh, over anything pop up over another, it seems like a forecast, at least, there's a rough patch of wind coming again next week. All right, so let's get to the National Football League. We will maybe put in here, guys, Sam, someone, Matt, I'm not good at this type of thing,

in the description of the show, maybe put like a little timestamp so people, they want to know. Yeah, three hours in. Get to the old football. I mean, look, it's consumed me. I'm sure it's consumed you. I mean, things I want to say about it.

So I think we did it now. So what we're going to do, we have six games. All right, guys. I didn't know we finished last week, Matt. I was so focused on, what were we, two and three last week? Let's see. Have it rightston covered that's it okay three and two i remember i was adamant about the jets three and two so we finished under 500 yeah all right well we can redeem ourselves buddy it's the playoffs this is when we dial it up.

I guess. Sorry, guys. Like we, uh, we were, this was our worst year ever. I think we had one, we had one year that was worse than this, but yeah, uh, I think we're good. At least. Yeah. Yeah. Okay.

So what we're going to do is we'll go through the games. Um, we'll give ideas on what side total we like, prop, anything like that. And then at the end, Matt, we're going to list our five favorite wagers for each of us. And, you know, we're going to rank them basically five, four, three, two, one. So five is worth five points,

four points, three points, two points, one point. I hope that makes sense. We did this last year. It was a fun exercise. So let's get to the uh the first game here which is as always the houston texans playing the chargers as always uh the texans are uh let's see i had a bunch of other pages up here the texans are home dogs uh they're getting three points at home uh to the chargers uh yeah go ahead why don't you

just talk and you know i'll fill in and then most of my thoughts will come in during the draft part all right so why are the chargers a favorite by three points i mean it's the chargers matt uh you know what's funny about this game too i'm actually a little bit rooted for the Chargers to win because I cannot only take the Chiefs next week as like the sharp play because everyone will be on the Chargers next weekend if the other games go as they go. Look, the Houston Texans have not played up

to the potential of the season. We know that. But I am concerned about the Chargers' ability not put up the potential this season. We know that. But I am concerned with the Chargers' ability to execute a passing game in this contest, Matt. It is Len McConkie heavy, obviously. It's tight end heavy, fullback heavy.

I do worry about, again, the psyche of the Chargers. The last playoff game they were in, they blew that big lead. I know Harbaugh's there, so it feels a little bit different than previous years. Houston, to me, again, has not played their best ball this year. Maybe they do it this weekend. I actually doubt that, lead. I know Harbaugh's there, so it feels a little bit different than previous years. Houston, to me, again, has not played their best ball this year. Maybe they do it this weekend. I actually doubt that, Matt, but I would take Houston plus before I take the charge. I'll tell you that. Yeah, I think Houston, they've had this

really bizarre year, but we're getting to the time of the year where you can throw out everything that's happened you look at this and you go like okay houston has this very good defense they should be able to get pressure on herbert and they still have a really good quarterback even though he hasn't totally played like it and i think i think the total on this game think, is still the lowest of the weekends, even lower than the Steelers-Ravens game, which obviously everyone's going to be taking the under in that.

This is now under the key number 43 at 42.5. So people are expecting a bruising game here. That's probably likely. And in that case, if it's going to be like a low-scoring type game, I don't know why you wouldn't take the points at home with probably the quarterback i trust more maybe um so yeah i i'm buying this one i for houston um i think it i think this is a really good test for everyone's favorite team the chargers and your guy justin

herbert like your favorite i love how much you just just dislike him it makes me it makes me so happy i don't dislike him i just don't buy him as i know as good as people say he is i can just pull up a year's worth of text messages from you about justin herbert what have i been wrong about it what do you call i call them empty calories it's like it's like you can fill up on donuts all day you will not die because you will have the amount of calories required to live but it will not give you the nutrients that you definitely my my son eats just empty calories i'm like buddy can you have some protein please yeah that'll work until one day when it won't like that's and for for your son that'll be at some point in his 20s or 30s as it was for me

and uh for justin herbert that seems to be any time that the game matters so that's kind of how it works i haven't got any readers emails lately by the way from the ice cream shop i went to in santa monica shout out to rory's uh rory's rory's not readers is in charlotte um okay so everywhere buddy again we will go over our favorite bet to the end of the show i will not have one in this game i will have a couple in the next game matt so let's talk about great let's do it overall then uh so the next one is the third matchup of the year uh that's that chargers texans game is at 4 30 eastern uh 130 pacific on saturday this one is at 5 8 uh steelers ravens nine and a half points for the ravens

shocking number in this so this is the game that's on amazon prime i believe by the way so if you go to your tv and you look for the game it's not going to be on um helping people out helping people out um i'm gonna lean back now i'm kind of tired of sitting forward it's been too many minutes now um so for those who are watching on YouTube or on social media, I'm now leaning. I'm like at Passover dinner. I'm reclining in my chair. All right.

So this is a lot of points for a black and blue division game that typically is within three points, Matt. Remember, the first meeting this year, it's the Steelers won kicking six field goals. But you follow Big Cat, right? Dan Katz, obviously, at Barstool. He does that rankings every week. I think he put the Steelers down a super mega booty ass or something like that.

The Steelers are bad. You have to throw out what happened week one. They've lost four in a row. Three and a half of those are to playoff teams. Now, I give the Bengals a half, Matt. Unfortunately, they can't play this weekend. That would have been the star of the show, by the way, if it wasn't for the fires.

The whining from Bengals fans is a little much. A lot much, Matt. The reason you're not in the playoffs is not because the Chiefs didn't get you in the playoffs because you lost the Patriots in week one. That's why you're not in the postseason. Stop blaming the Chiefs

for not playing their starters. That's what every team does. The Bills did that. The Eagles did that. Every team does that. It's because the score was so lopsided. Denver was playing for something in this game. Nonetheless, the Steelers, Matt, are super mega booty ass cheeks bad.

Whatever Big Cat wants to put there. They're just not good. And the case against the Ravens covering this game, I think is like playoff Lamar. Like, are we getting the best of Lamar in the postseason? By the way, likely to win MVP. The AP All-Pro vote came out today. Lamar was first-team All-Pro.

The first-team All-Pro has won MVP like 20 straight years at quarterbacks or whatever number, some crazy number. I could pull up. I saw a tweet from this. I looked back to 2017, but it looks like it's even further back than that. Yeah, right here. It's gone back since 2007, basically. The first-team All-Pro quarterback

has won the MVP every year but the year that Adrian Peterson won in 2012. Obviously, so that's it. So, MVP, tons of pressure. Can they cover the 10-mat with all this pressure on them to win this year?

I think, yes, it won't be one of my wagers. I have a proper life in this game, but I would lean the Ravens here. Interesting. Yeah. I mean, as this, as the podcast that essentially is known for talking about LA fires and taking the Steelers every single week as underdogs. I'm in a bit of a predicament here. I mean, I will say that the last time these two teams played,

which is the one everyone's pointing to, it was a strange matchup. It was also much closer to the final score. Yes, well, it was. And it was also a game where Pickens was out. There were more Steelers. Joey Porter was out in that game, I believe out uh there were more stealer i believe joey porter was out in that game i believe yeah porter and it was the stealers went from playing this was the stretch

of their season they lost to the eagles in a game that uh felt like it was kind of close and then got away from them six days later on a saturday they played the ravens then four days later on christmas they played the chiefs um so it was just like a really rough stretch and they had played the the ravens a month before yeah um so they went through this really brutal run and now they're playing baltimore a third time they always play each other close i think this the fact that everyone knows that I'm not revealing anything of great insight and the fact that no one trusts Lamar in the playoffs and this number is still almost a 10 point favorite for Baltimore really reveals a lot about how good Vegas feels about

the Ravens. So that's the only reason that I'm not like just automatically saying like, yeah, Pittsburgh, duh, like this is just an auto bet for Tomlin, whatever. It's also Tomlin. It has not traditionally been good as a big favorite because he never is. He under Mike Tomlin, the Steelers are seven, nine and one against the spread as a dog of seven or more with eight or more. He's only one in eight straight up with the Steelers.

Thanks sir. For an evident action. I think they're just because the Steelers I think when they're this when they are that big of a dog it's telling you the other team is just that much better and they can't steal their their way in the bullshit they do in the voodoo magic against a team like Baltimore that's why yeah yeah I think I I'm I'm curious if this makes either of our picks um but this is gonna be i like a prop in this game yeah well spoiler alert jeff geez um all right let's move to sunday's games uh the other big spread of the week is denver going to buffalo uh buffalo is laying eight and

a half or nine this has come down actually um a lot of people have faith in this Denver defense, which is why this one I think is where it is. Um, curious where you're, where you're. Oh man. Um, I,

I think this game is like 40 to 14. Oh, interesting. Uh, I, I, rookie quarterbacks on the road, making their first start, does not go well. And Bo Nix has been great this season.

He's been far better than even me, who likes Bo Nix, thought he would be. But I think there's some limitations to the offense, Matt. And I think in a road playoff game, it's going to show, especially if your defense can't hold the Bills, who have a fabulous offense, averaging for 30 points a game at home so far this season. I think the limitations of the Broncos' offense

cost them early in this game, as Buffalo gets out and plays their best ball and whatnot. I'm not taking Buffalo on the spread. Actually, I think I have one wager against the spread, like on the side, this entire NFL weekend, which is kind of funny.

But there are two props like this game. I think both quarterbacks have to run the football. Not have to, but Bo Nix has to, essentially. And then I think that Josh Allen will, because that's what they do in bigger games, right? Tush push, kneels, plus the running ability of Josh Allen. I don't think, Matt, I don't see the Broncos defense keeping this close for that long. I just think the offense is not going to help them out at all.

It's really going to hurt them. Yeah, I think Peyton will have Knicks as prepared as he can be. I agree with you that this is the game that if any of them get totally out of hand, it does feel like this would be the game that if any of them get totally out of hand it does feel like this would be the game um i think yeah this is the game i i feel i have the least feel for i think denver is you know like a lot of people are saying about the team i follow that they're a little bit of a mirage uh now they're going to go into a really, really tough environment and possibly get their asses

kicked. But yeah, this is a big number and if Buffalo were to start slow and if they had to come and play from behind, I still think they would win. But Denver's defense is very good. They should be able to

scheme a few things out of Buffalo's hands, I would think. But this, I feel like, is the game But Denver's defense is very good. They should be able to, you know, scheme a few things out of Buffalo's hands, I would think. But this, I feel like, is the game I feel least confident in in terms of, you know, the spread, at least. Yeah, I mean, this is, I think, these games are sort of out of the teaser zone, Matt, but they sort of are in the teaser zone. Like, you just can, you know, oh, Bills win by three and a half. You know what I mean?

Like, that feels something to do. Even if you want to, you know, oh, Bills win by three and a half. You know what I mean? Like that feels something to do. Even if you want to, you know, I don't recommend doing, paying more on, you know, seven, eight point teams. I guess you don't pay more, you pay less, but you got to put more teams in there, right? I wouldn't be opposed to that exactly, but it does feel like this is a teaser opportunity here. Yeah, they're begging you to, which is kind of worrisome.

It's just to have a better number, right? Like it's not, you're not going through the key numbers exactly, but just to have a, you know, to have a better number. Yeah. All right. The next, the 430, 130 game on Sunday is Packers Eagles. This has really scooted up. This was two and a half.

Now there's the Eagles are four and a half. I even see a five and a half out there. So that must mean good news for Jalen Hurts. Yes, he is in. They have said. So that's no surprise. But curious that the number moved that much. I guess they were edging in case he wasn't playing.

I should have bet this at whatever, three, three and a half. Now you just can't do it, in my opinion. I like the Eagles in this game, Matt. They're well-rested. No Christian Watson for the Packers. No, you know, love a little beat up, right, with the hand. But, yeah, I'm all over the Eagles in this one. I might, I might just take them on, on the, uh, on the money line of this game. Maybe, maybe I liked them a lot in this one. and you know if you're if you're backing them here you're basically making the case of like all right matt lafleur 25 and 14 against the spread when he's facing an opponent he's lost

to previously uh as a road underdog one that was week one though yeah and it was a tricky game like it was the game where jordan love got hurt um as a road underdog in a revenge spot. He's nine and two and seven straight covers. Look, Green Bay is, is a really well coached team. The Christian Watson injuries is significant, but also they have a lot of ways they can beat you. Sure.

I do think that the way that this game could go, if you're going to make the case for Green Bay is it turns into the, you know, the Josh Jacobs, Saquon Barkley game. Bay is it turns into the, you know, the Josh Jacobs, Saquon Barkley game. And it's a lot of, you know, Hertz is a little rusty.

It's a lot of handoffs and, you know, Green Bay has been so opportunistic with the turnovers that does feel like that is going to change. That's how they're going to lose is they're going to just like lose the turnover battle in some game. I agree. I think the Eagles are the team. I think the eagles are the team i think the eagles

are like those one seeds in the ncaa tournament where you're like well if they can just get past this like eight seed then i think they could win the tournament but like they kind of have to beat like you know rutgers first and i kind of feel like that's how i feel about the eagles it's like if they show out in this game they could easily win the super bowl if they could also lose this game and i'm not sure i feel that way about buffalo and and you know the other marquee teams speaking about basketball do you see organ beat took down maryland the other day i did congrats take that four four point win for the old ducks after illinois scored like 110 on us at the game before the game then the other night i was evacuating at uh our friend gabe's house and the he was watching the usc women's team beat maryland's and his kids

were making fun of me and it was you know it's just been a great it's just been a really just nice i mean as we know you are big maryland terrapins lady lady are they the lady terrapins i would imagine no i think we're just a gender i think we're just you know oh they're not just all turtles because some you know like some of the schools have like the lady vols right like they have like they they like tag on like um you know so you're just the turtles for have you ever had terrapin stew by the way i've seen that i've seen that before in maryland i've never had i've never eaten a turtle have you Have you? No. Is this a real thing or is this like a, like a, you know, like sweet breads are not bread nor are they sweet.

Is it that kind of thing? When I went to Baltimore to film this food show, that's never going to see the light of day. We met the lady who said, I guess, I mean, her claim to fame is she invented the Maryland crab cake. She's like 85 years old yeah went to this market in Baltimore where she were her seafood her first seafood restaurants at downtown sure Bell's Point yeah I don't know and they had terrapin like terrapin soup

at one of the places on the menu yeah I believe that oh i mean you're probably talking about northeast market which is uh where there's an iconic scene in the wire shot there um yes that's where we were yes oh nice where mcnulty's kids trail uh stringer bell that's where we were yes yeah because they were like this is where the it's like yes that's where we were the northeast market um yeah and uh we yeah this is it yeah and um yeah this here here's a seafood place oh there's one of the seafood place and it had it had a sign that said terrapin terrapin stew or terrapin something so hey man i didn't eat it there uh it's delicious yeah the food was delicious but uh so back to the the uh at hand here, I would consider Eagles.

You can't, it's the point that you have to just put them in the money line parlay or something at this point. But there is a prop again, we keep teasing this. There's a prop. I like for this. Jeez.

All right. We'll get there. So excited. There's a prop that I like in this game. Then I guess now two more games to go before we get there yeah the most important one of my weekend is uh commanders at bucks uh bucks are three-point favorites uh this is another week one rematch oddly uh what do you think um i like tampa sorry um again the rookie quarterback on the road making his first start I like Tampa. Sorry.

Again, the rookie quarterback on the road making his first start, Matt. I think what has to happen in this game for Washington is they have to withstand the early barrage of what Tampa's offense, I think, will do early in this game. Tampa played poorly last weekend. We saw them play poorly. That felt like a playoff game where they were tight and they were doing two things at once, right? Winning and then getting Mike Evansans the record that's now done it's not just focusing on

on what what was the laugh for i'm laughing at the mike evans thing like i i've you know if we had time we'd talk about that too i mean i just thought that was can i just ask this question jeff yeah so if you're the the. I can't believe they had no idea. Why didn't they put 10 guys on Evans? It was like they were completely unaware. So for those who missed it, the Tampa Bay is up eight. Saints have no timeouts. There's like 20 seconds left.

Mike Evans needs, what, seven more yards to get 1,000, which would trigger $3 million bonus. And then he would have 11 straight seasons of a thousand yards was ties Jerry rice. So the, the bucks light up in a spread formation and throw the ball to Mike Evans. And the saints acted like they didn't know it was coming.

And he got eight yards. It's like, even if he catches it, make him stop short so they have to throw it a second time like it was just inexcusable to me like it was the only it was so obvious like everyone everyone who knew anything about the games that weekend knew that that was on the table and then they go to throw it's like it's not going to jalen mcmillan it's going to mike evans you dumb asses so yeah i like by the way i like jalen McMillan, by the way, in this game to be over.

Yeah, he's a popular touchdown scorer. His receiving number in this game. But my play is Tampa Bay first half. So a couple things here. One, as I mentioned, the rookie quarterback playing his first road start. It's a tough environment, right? It's hard. You haven't been there before. I know Daniels is playing a lot of big football games. Nothing like this

in his life. Tampa Bay played poorly last week. I think they start fast in this game. Washington's defense is not very good, right? They're fine. It's hard to get stops with them. Their D-line's not bad, but everyone else is just okay. Even though Lattimore, I think, is back this week. And he has played well

against Mike Evans in the past. Now, that's a different team, different situation, this week. And he has played well against Mike Evans in the past. Now, that's a different team, different situation, but just worth noting he's played well against in the past. So, Tampa Bay, by the way, is, I wrote this down, they have 11 first drive scores this season, including eight touchdowns. That's number one in the NFL. Like, they have just started fast this year, and I think that they're going to start fast in this game, Matt,

and I'll attempt to play in the first half really well. Now, they might come out, Washington might sort of get their skis under them at some point and play better down the stretch as Jane Daniels is sort of unburdened with the pressure, maybe, a little bit of the situation. I think Daniels running the football has to be a big part of what they do. So look at props,

maybe that direction. But I think Tampa does, does be Washington here and they're probably covers. Yeah. I'll save my thoughts on this till we make the pick. The next game in Arizona, unfortunately for everything we mentioned, the Rams are,

I guess we're sort of hosting the Vikings. The Vikings are two and a half point favorites. This one is totally split. The bets and the money are right down the middle here. I liked this a lot more for the Rams as home dogs. This is interesting, though. I'm curious where you land on this one. So I loved the Rams when they were playing at home.

But the thing about it, Matt, home field advantage is not a thing that they have in Los Angeles. So does this really change very much moving to Arizona? No. I don't think it does. The Vikings are just in an emotionally bad spot, right? They lose this game where Darnold played. He was terrible, Matt.

He was so bad. And can you make the argument that if he plays better, in their minds, they think, oh, he plays better this weekend, we'll go play with him again and we'll get him, absolutely. But they go from the one that if he plays better, in their minds, I think them says, oh, he plays better this weekend, we'll go play with him again, and we'll get him, absolutely. But they go from the one seed to the five seed to playing a rested Rams team. Also, the Vikings like to pressure a lot.

The Rams, Matt Stafford's good against pressure. He's good against zero pressure. He's good against teams that disguise coverages. I just like the Rams in this game, the way they're healthy. We know they can score. I trust their coach and quarterback more. The KLC's a good coach. I just like the Rams in this game, the way they're healthy. We know they can score. I trust their coach and quarterback more.

The KLC is a good coach. Then I trust Darnold and KLC. The mental part of this game, I like the Rams, Matt. Yeah, I do too. When these two teams met the first time, the Rams won. The Vikings this season have lost to the lions and the ramps. So interesting that they're playing them here and interesting, you know, that,

that, uh, well, it's possible that we could see Stafford again and Detroit, but that was almost a matchup last week. Um, the, this was also a game.

It was a short week for the Vikings. I think they maybe had played Monday night and this was the game where Puka Nakua was like a game it was a short week for the vikings i think they maybe had played monday night and this was the game where puka nikua was like a surprise active so that was a really interesting game when these first two teams met so if you're making the vikings case it's the situation it's also like cool they kind of got the monkey off their back with the lost teams that lose after like a seven game win streak i think are undefeated the first week of the playoffs when they play after that. There's a lot of good friends to back the Vikings here. I will not be doing that. The Rams are a team I'm very interested

in for our upcoming draft. Tease, segue. You want the first pick? It doesn't matter. Jeff, in the past in our history we've made a hit show about a fantasy draft of sports bets so maybe we could just follow that exact format but we have to pick like we have to pick though the problem is we have to pick like we all have to pick the same 10 wagers and i we're different okay i'll go first yeah so we do we're doing my best bet we're going best bet first or just putting them like. Yeah, sure. Do your best first. I like Tampa Bay first half minus 2.5.

That's my five-point play this weekend. I mentioned it. Tampa starts fast typically. I like them off of kind of a dumb, shitty performance against the Saints, for lack of a better term. Commanders on the road, working quarterback. I think Tampa starts fast.

I'm not sure, Matt, that Tampa gets to win the game, but I'm going to start fast in this game. Okay, I like that. My five-pointer is going to be Houston plus three. I like them to probably win this game, but with the Harbaugh sort of magic, I don't mind getting the three. I think at the end of the day, the Texans did sort of get a bye last week. They had a nice showing, and they got to rest some of their starters.

The Chargers this year have been a team that, first of all, I think this is a really bad matchup for them. The Stingley factor, he's either going to erase Johnson completely, which isn't that hard to do but like when this when you realize that this offense is dobbins and mcconkey uh going to get on the road in the playoffs you get a little bit less scared the chargers also like just for the record have gotten have have had a really strange season uh they their best win was the broncos and then their their next best win i think was either the Falcons or the Bengals.

The Falcons played terrible. But their wins, again, other than Denver, the Saints, Browns, the Titans, Bengals, Falcons, the Patriots, the Raiders. They have not shown it. I don't mind catching points with C.J. Stroud at home. Let's give it a shot. I know he's going to be under duress all day, but of all the bets this weekend, that's the one I like

the best. Sorry, my dog is very excited. He likes Stroud too. Doing this the most fun. Let me close my door. I'm going to let Jeff vamp for a little bit here. So, yeah, I mean, I think if you're picking this one

and if you're taking the Chargers side, I think you're basically saying, you know, the pressure to Stroud, that offensive line for Houston has just been so terrible that, you know, the Chargers will be able to get pressure. They'll be able to get some turnovers. But I think if you're doing that, then you should probably look at the total too

and probably take the under, which is another way to play this one. Okay, so thank you for the filibuster. You're just a true professional. All right, my four-star play here, there is juice on this wager. So it's up to you if you would like to lay it. I'm fine doing it.

I like Saquon Barkley over one and a half receptions against the Packers. Again, this is going to be minus 170 at this point. It was 150 yesterday. It keeps rising, Matt. They, the Eagles,

focus so much on Barkley trying to break this record that they've basically not used him very much in the passing game. I think that changes. I think in a playoff game against the Packers blitz, against the way the Packers want to play defense, Barkley in the receiving game, in my opinion, is going to be a big part of this.

It's one and a half. I mean, he had two receptions. Let's see here. Yeah, I mean, look. One and a half. I mean, he had two receptions. Let's see here. Yeah, I mean, look.

So he started the season with two targets, five, four, four, two, three, one, four, then one, three, four, four, and then the last four weeks, one, two, one, two. But they didn't use them. They're going to use them in the playoff game. So Barkley over one and a half receptions, please. Interesting. That seems like a very sharp play.

For my next pick, Jeff, I'm going to go. I'm going to take Pittsburgh in the points. I think the nine and a half, if you can find a 10, maybe it's worth paying a little bit more for it. Look, this is just one that I'm just not going to spend a lot of time explaining because the reasons are pretty simple. It's this is the third time these two teams have played. The last game was a bit of an outlier, both in the series and just Pittsburgh season.

I think Pittsburgh had a really brutal stretch of schedule. This is a game they will get up for 100 percent. Their goal, the way that Pittsburgh wins games, is slowing it down, running the ball. They even said, Tomlin this week said something about their goal is to win time of possession. So it's going to be a lot of Najee Harris. It's going to be a lot of just keep everything in front of you. I also think Zay Flowers being out and Joey Porter being back in, huge impact. We're talking about the Ravens offense.

It's going to run through Mark Andrews, that's fine, and Rashad Bateman along with Derrick Henry. And I think Pittsburgh is going to be very content to let Derrick Henry, you know, have to run through a very difficult defensive front over and over. So I think this is just going to end up being a close game as all of these are, and Baltimore will win. But I do like catching almost 10 points pittsburgh yeah um it's it's tough to stomach i feel like yeah it's not great

but uh um yeah all right uh my third my third play uh jaylen warren over 21 and a half receiving yards matt see there's um backup running back i don't know what you want to, second string running back, third down running back. He's started to become a big part of this offense. And then last week, they just didn't use him at all. I don't know why. I thought he was hurt. He is the third down back.

He is their screen back. He's the guy that Wilson throws to in sort of the two-minute drill right when he's in. He's their fourth-leading receiver. That's not great. I mean, he's the fourth-leading receiver. Again, receiving 41 yards and 44 yards before the zero-yard game last weekend. He's had a 25, a 55, a 19, a 27, a 29. I like him in this game, Matt, to be the outlet for Russell Wilson on the third downs.

I like him in a screen game. I also took a Jalen Warren over longest reception of 10.5. So I like Warren here over 21.5 receiving yards. Interesting. You've got really good angles on this, and it's hard for me to come up with a reason to push back on you there when you're talking about the the rotational

running back all right i've hit this a lot this year it's been um it's been it's been nice for me all right well jeff my next one uh i'm going to make a pick in the washington tampa game i'm going to pick a side and i am unfortunately going to be picking tampa um i think this is a really tough tampa I'll lay the three. I'm not rooting for this. I'm rooting in fact, for me to lose this bet, but I do feel this is a really tough matchup for Washington for a couple of reasons. The first is that the running game for Washington has evaporated. Brian Robinson has just not looked like the same guy from multiple injuries but for whatever reason kingsbury has stuck with him uh even though there's some some you know lower lesser known guys

who've played pretty well um i think the latimore thing is big but the thing that washington can get beat by is the running game and so i kind of feel like this is the game where bucky irving introduces himself to the world a little bit more. I think, you know, Tampa has a lot of ways that can beat you through the air and Baker in the past, like he's, he's made the playoffs twice.

He's won each of the wildcard games and last year against the lions, tough, tough game where he hung in there. I think Baker is going to be ready to go. I think the other thing with Washingtonhington is like washington everyone's talking about all their the fool's gold or whatever whatever like yeah their roster stinks and they have absolutely maximized everybody they have on it and jayden daniels has been in my opinion almost at an mvp level this season uh just the way that he's carried this team so he's been really

good yeah there's no shame in going down to a team that uh is is as good as the bucks who i think are now back to being underrated um with no running game and one receiver i think jayden daniels is gonna have a hard time i bet it'll be close um but i do think tampa wins yeah i tend to agree with you. I always have to have a first half, so I'm in there. All right. My next one is going to be – you can't parlay these, but I don't think you can. I'm trying to decide whether I want to take Bo Nix or Josh Allen over rushing yards. I mean, over rush attempts.

I don't think you could parlay them. I kind of feel like I just want to put them in a parlay together because I want to save my last pick for something else. I don't think you could parlay them. I kind of feel like I just want to put them in a parlay together because I want to save my last pick for something else. I don't want to take both of them. That makes sense, Matt? But I'm not going to give out a bet. Yesterday, by the way, some influencer that I just, I cannot

stand, posted a pick in a game 12 minutes after it started on the internet. Interesting. It feels like it's kind of just bad content creation. It's not great. I cannot parlay these, unfortunately.

So I'll take Josh Allen over seven and a half rush attempts. I think that we know playoff game, importance of Josh Allen running the football, plus the tush push he does on third down, and plus possible kneels, I think, at some point in this game, Matt. Interesting. Yeah, okay.

I like that. I like the kneels angle. That's a fun one. Or, oh, man. I think for my next one let me go i'll get a little spicy here i'm gonna take the rams on the money line uh i'm gonna take the better odds of course that means i'm taking them plus the two and two and a half whatever wherever you can get that but i'm gonna just say outright that they're gonna win this one one for no other reason really than

I just have more trust in what they are able to bring to the table on offense I think we haven't seen there's something that's just like on my radar which is like we really haven't seen a Cooper cuff game in a while and I have a feeling that this is maybe that's how I should play this is take some overs and stuff for cup maybe you can consider that if you're watching but I think the you know Miku had

a great game against them last time but I think that McVay taking showing that he was so unafraid of playing whoever last week I think message to the team hey doesn't matter who we play. Let's get out there. We can beat anybody. Minnesota now coming off of a tough, tough loss. It kind of exposed them in a few spots. Like I would like the chance to bet against Sam Darnold and what could essentially be the game of his career. If he has a good game here, if they win, he's looking at a completely different career. If they lose and he has a bad game, like it's not even assured that

he'll be the starting quarterback next year um i agree so i like sean mcveigh obviously and stafford to just you know do their thing i think obviously they're whatever's happening with them with the la thing i think will matter in this game in some way yeah um so give me the rams and i'll take them on the money line. Okay. My dog's going to destroy someone who's sitting. I think one of my daughter's friends just got here. He might destroy someone. So let me quickly just take Houston plus three.

I'm just fading the Chargers. It's that simple. Houston plus three was my number one pick. Well, I guess that's number one, one point pick. So Tampa Bay minus two and a half. Barkley over receptions. Warren over receiving yards. Allen over. Oh over so many overs,

uh, Alan over, uh, rushing and, uh, Houston plus three. Well, I'll go quick and take the, uh,

I'll take a combined under in the, uh, I'll parlay these together to get a nice plus 200, uh, ish. That's the chargers game and the Eagles game. Uh, I'll bump it up a little bit.

I think I mentioned the reason the Eagles game script could be a little bit low and the chargers game and the Eagles game. I'll bump it up a little bit. I think I mentioned the reason the Eagles game script could be a little bit low and the chargers game, I think it's just going to be a mess. So I'll take under 44 and a half, get over that 43, whatever. Trust me, that's the number I got.

So I'll take those as a parlay for one point. Okay. Fantastic. We did it, Jeff. We did it. Thanks everybody. thank you everyone we'll talk to you next week

we'll do the same thing next week hopefully we won't have to talk about fires so yeah thanks for tuning in for that I gotta run keep up the work fighting those fires everyone who's doing it I'll talk to you guys next week bye guys thanks Jeff you