High Hopes: A Phillies Podcast - Pivetta Breakout Season is on Hold and Much Needed Bounceback Series
Episode Date: April 11, 2019Pivetta Breakout Season isn't going well and James Seltzer and Jack Fritz are here to talk about it. The guys react to a frustrating series against the Nats and more! See omnystudio.com/policies/list...ener for privacy information. To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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This is the High Hopes Podcast.
High Hopes!
It's a bunch of baseball nerds, well, without the computers,
talking about the Philadelphia Phillies on Radio.com and Sports Radio 94 WIP.
Yo, it is another edition of the High Hopes Podcast.
Jack, wasn't a great night last night.
Not great, man.
Not great.
I never even liked Nick the Better.
All right, let's just get right into it.
I never thought he was going to break out.
How do you mention Sven?
Dude, all right.
So I needed 16 people last night.
16 people?
Dude, I just couldn't take it anymore.
I couldn't take it anymore.
And I don't know.
I just think that people, like they hear Breakout Pavetta and-
And they think of Jack Fritz now.
Which is fine.
That's probably a good thing
whatever but like and here's the thing is that it was like I said all along that he needed a third
pitch if he wanted to break out of course no one hears that and of course sometimes I guess I didn't
I guess I forgot that you can't ever have fun on Twitter so like Twitter's not fun so so like
fun place to be so when I put out stuff about like how,
like he's going to strike out 200 guys and top 10,
it's like,
no one can kind of take that as,
you know,
kind of nuanced and hyperbole.
Um,
and it turns into like,
you don't know anything about it.
You said he was better than Aaron Noley.
He's the ace of the staff.
Yeah.
And I'm like,
Oh my God.
Like,
can we just relax for five seconds?
If you see,
this is why I like the highest people. And that's and this is why I love the high-o's people,
because the people that listen to this podcast understand that from day one,
the only reason that a Nick Pavetta breakout was going to happen
was if he developed a freaking third pitch.
And guess what he didn't do?
What was he doing this offseason?
Dude, what?
What was Pavetta doing?
Was he hanging out, chilling?
Him and Ben Simmons, chilling in Lmons chilling in la together not working on
their game not shooting yeah throwing yeah oh my like like honestly i was i was sitting here
obviously producing the game yelling at the no one just sent myself what did you do this offseason
like all he had to do was work on a third pitch, and the upside is there of a top three rotation arm.
Like, that is what he can be.
And the fact that he didn't do that is beyond frustrating.
Because there is a—like, if you don't think Nick Pavetta doesn't have talent, then you just don't know what you're watching.
And for him not to understand that and understand that he has to take the next leap if this team wants to uh take the next step forward and him just to not do it and it's it boggles my mind you have
all this talent you had one job like one job was to learn a change up or a splitter or some
semblance of a cutter or your crappy slider like i just do not understand how you can go into the offseason,
know you need to do this, and then not
do it.
It's just...
It's insane.
It's insane.
If there's one thing
I've learned from this
whole Pavetta process
is that never
again will I trust a two-pitch pitcher because guess what
two-pitch pitchers do? Pitch in the bullpen. They get ripped. Yeah, or they pitch in the bullpen.
Yes. Yeah. I mean, if you want to be honest, can I be honest with that? Pavetta's the best
closer on this team. If we're being honest. I mean, he'd be a great bullpen arm. Listen,
you know me. I love Archie Bradley types. Nick Pavetta would be.
That's like your go-to thing.
It's all I care about.
Archie, Bradley, Josh, Hayter, these types of guys.
Yeah.
It's just up your alley.
It would be Pavetta.
It's like your favorite thing.
Ryan Presley.
Just give me.
You see, he had a four-hour day last night.
I know.
I saw.
Struck out three guys.
Yeah.
But like, here's the thing that is even more frustrating.
It's like, you know, people act like I was the only one that thought Pavetta was going to break out.
Which, like, listen, it's not a problem if I'm wrong.
It's a problem that the Phillies were wrong about Pavetta.
Like, that's more of an issue.
It's a really good point.
It's more of an issue than me being wrong.
All we heard, and granted, we always say, certainly on this podcast, you know, take spring training results with multiple grains of salt.
Yeah, but I can't do it.
I just love spring training results.
And regardless, whether you can or can't,
the Philadelphia Phillies, every person who was on WIP,
every person who talked, Larry Ball came on the Midday Show
and said Nick Pavetta is the star of spring training.
Like, everyone there believed Nick Pavetta was taking this step forward.
So it's a really great point.
And did you hear Gabe last night after the game?
He was really critical.
He was pissed.
Like, legit critical.
Like, called Pavetta out, essentially.
And he should.
Not finishing his pitches.
No, like, no conviction.
No conviction.
With his pitches.
Like, I...
Which is right.
So, one of my...
The reason that...
Nah, I...
Alright, I know I talk about myself a lot when it comes to my pitching.
No.
But the reason...
Well, it's funny because I do have a Jack Fritz take for later.
Okay.
Yes.
But the reason that I went from an average pitcher in high school
to an actually really serious prospect
was that I was told one thing,
and that was to throw
through the target.
And what Pavetta doesn't do is instead of,
instead of throwing through the target,
he throws to the target.
And the difference is when you're thinking in your mind to throw through the
target,
you finish everything better.
And your only thought process is to basically the way I was taught was like,
you want to knock down the catcher,
try to knock down the catcher because that's the only way you can be aggressive and be
in the right mindset.
And every time I watch him right now, it's like he's just gliding the ball into there.
And the other thing is it's 93.
Like it's 93.
It's 94.
Yeah.
Where's the 97, 98, 99?
And I understand maybe the guns were a little, oh my gosh, I just bit my tongue.
Whoa.
I wish you could see his face right now this
is Jack really just in the moment oh man anyway he's so upset about the fact he's hurting himself
I mean just my tongue that's an important part of what you do in life um but so uh crap where
where was I going with that oh so even if the spring training guns were a little bit hot
the the fastball had serious jump to it had serious giddy up to it even if it wasn't 99
whatever it still looked like 97 at least like the the ball was legit jumping we saw it last year
he was hitting those numbers and now it's it's 93 it's 94 and there's no like the curveballs like
not even competitive pitches at this point.
It's mind boggling.
So, all right.
So let's take the next step with it.
Where are you at with, like, forget breakout Pavetta,
all that stuff.
We've all, as you check your time to make sure it's not bleeding,
it is not bleeding.
It's not bleeding.
We're good.
We're good.
We did it.
Okay.
The Jack Fritz bloody tongue game.
The bloody tongue podcast.
Yes.
All right.
So let's take the next step with it.
Forget breakout Pavetta.
All that stuff.
I've tried to.
I can't.
I know.
You never will.
Hey, you know what?
No one will ever let you forget it.
Yeah.
The 16 people muted, you're going to have to mute more people.
So what do we do now?
Where are we at from now?
Forgetting spring training excitement.
Forgetting the if he learns a third pitch and all that.
Where are you at with Pavetta from today moving forward?
Is he someone who will figure it out this season?
Is he someone who can be a 3-4 type guy for you this year?
Where are you at with Pavetta, and what do you expect to see moving forward?
It's tough because you want to throw him back out there
and see if he can figure it out.
And the way he talked after the game, he was pretty blunt about how bad he was
and how this game can humble you.
I mean, baseball is probably – I would say golf is more humbling.
I agree.
Golf is something where it's like unless you know how to do it, it's infuriating.
Yeah, so I mean, he seemed really humbled last night,
and he said he's going to go out and be better.
But, like, dude, his next couple starts, he's got the Mets
and then the Rockies on the road,
which is exactly the best way to start your season.
Going to Colorado, yay.
Yeah, I don't think sending him down is going to really do much.
Maybe it gets him going a little bit.
Maybe just get him some starts.
Maybe he does have dead legs right now,
and going down would help him kind of get his legs back underneath him.
So there's real concern here.
Of course there's real concern.
I know, but look, we talk a lot about not overreacting to very small sample sizes.
Three starts is a pretty small sample size.
So I'm just trying to gauge it.
There's real concern.
Well, of course.
I don't know.
Listen, he's not striking anyone out.
He's walking people.
And he's throwing 93 miles an hour.
Like, I think those are three.
Real red flags.
Real red flags. These aren't just minor concerns. He's not pitching miles an hour. Like, I think those are three... Real red flags. Real red flags.
Like, not...
These aren't just, like, minor concerns.
He's not pitching well at all.
He's not fooling anyone.
And he's not throwing as hard as he usually does.
So, I think there's a reason for concern there.
It's just like...
It's a sad day for the high-ups podcast.
Well, it's fine.
It's just...
We'll get through it.
Adam Morgan's been great.
That was the whole thing all along.
That's all really mattered. Tough times don't last. Tough people do. And me and Nick... it's just it's it's we'll get through it's been great that was the whole thing all along that's
all really mattered tough times don't last tough people do and uh me and nick well i don't know if
he's actually tough i don't know yeah i know he might not be yeah he might be between the ears
part is not great yeah for better yeah but maybe in the bullpen like a mental giant out there maybe
as a closer sure maybe as a closer he'd get there but here's the thing is that they don't really
have anyone else that you can come up and be like,
oh, I trust that guy to get the job done.
Like, everyone, I would like Jared Eikhoff to be good.
But, like, last night he allowed three runs in AAA.
And it's not like we trust Jared Eikhoff to come up here and be well.
Nor should we.
No.
And then you have Vince Velasquez, which you don't know what you're going to get.
Like, I tell you what.
The people that think he pitched amazing.
It's unbelievable.
People acting like it was five innings of just pure genius pitching or whatever.
Did I watch the same game as you?
He threw 80 pitches.
He was fine.
Yeah.
He allowed two runs, but I feel like-
Some hard hit balls in there.
Some.
He had five balls in play that were over 100 miles an hour.
Yeah, that's not good.
If you want it positive, you look at it and you say he didn't walk anybody.
That is a real positive takeaway for Vince Velasquez.
Didn't strike him an out either, which is not great.
Did he have three strikeouts or something like that?
That's not great, but I'm saying the point is I'm with you.
Velasquez was not great, but it was fun.
I think his start on Monday was more results of a process.
The process to get the results were not.
That's fair.
That's fair.
And look, five innings.
We are where we're at with Velasquez.
Five innings isn't going to change it one way or the other.
Right.
They do need to start pitching deeper into games.
I mean, no doubt about it.
Desperately, especially with this bullpen.
It's been taxed, and it hasn't been great.
No, it hasn't been great.
And they don't really have a great long man. I. And they don't really have a great long man.
I mean, they don't really have a...
Once it got in the cause, he was supposed to be my long man?
Yeah, so...
Man.
Anyway, we'll get into the nitty gritty.
It is, it is.
I didn't think Gabe had a great night, but whatever.
Well, yeah, he had a great series.
Baseball, sometimes you have to concede.
I get it.
Baseball is a grind.
You're down 9-0 in the sixth inning.
I understand that you are, in a sense, conceding that game and saying,
all right, I'm going to put Andrew Knapp in.
I'm going to...
Andrew Knapp.
It's Knapp, right?
That's where this is coming from.
Nick Williams.
Well, Andrew Knapp, you know where I'm at.
I never want to see that guy play baseball for my team ever again.
Trevor Rosenthal was his first out.
Dude, the first person in the history of baseball to take until their fifth appearance to get their first out of the season.
Who was that first out?
Andrew freaking Knapp strikes out.
What a freaking shock that was.
But that's neither here nor there.
It's more that you let Nicasio hit in that spot, which is fine.
I get it.
You're saying, we're conceding this game.
I need innings.
And then you pull in the next inning.
What are you doing? I didn't think it was Gabe's best night. And I think Gabe's been great this year. But I thought, you're conceding this game, I need innings, and then you pull in the next inning. What are you doing?
I didn't think it was Gabe's best night.
And I think Gabe's been great this year, but I thought, you're right,
the whole series was not Gabe's best series.
No.
And they went into the NOLA start and they had this plan,
and I understand NOLA should have been able to get through seven.
I think that's more on NOLA than it is on Gabe.
I agree, especially he had pitched well enough through those first six. And I
just don't think, I don't like the
idea of having a preset.
Obviously you want a game plan hanging into a
baseball game, but things go
wrong in baseball games. Absolutely. I don't like
that he had this idea of like,
we need Nola to get seven, which you're not sure he
can do. I mean, he would like to.
You think he can. He most likely
will. But having the set plan of Nola seven, like Neres for two. I mean, you would like to. You think he can. He most likely will. But having the set
plan of Nola 7, like
Neris for 2. I don't know.
Baseball games are crazy. And look, it blew up
in his face. He couldn't get Nola through 7.
When he does go to Neris, Neris has a
30-pitch inning. You can't put him back out there for another inning.
He put Sir Anthony in for the 7th, 44 pitches.
And then Neris. You know I had an issue with that, too.
You and I argued about that through
text. Stupid double switch. Give me another inning of Sir Anthony. In that spot, and you know I had an issue with that, too. You and I argued about that through text. Stupid double switch.
Give me another inning of Sir Anthony in that spot.
I thought the extra inning of Sir Anthony was more valuable to me than at bat.
Neither here nor there.
I didn't think Gabe had a great series, but yesterday, that was just a rough.
That was horrible.
I mean, it was very.
I watched every second of that game.
Well, I mean, same.
I know, but like that...
Although I will say, when they're getting blown out,
Scott and L.A. are at their best.
Oh, I'm sure.
They're just having fun, doing their thing.
I should have turned it on.
I was watching the game.
It was amazing.
The 7th through 9th, they start talking about,
so there's this report that in Boston University,
the students did some report on the umpires,
balls and strikes last year.
did some report on the umpires, balls and strikes last year.
Home plate umpires got 34,578 or something like that.
Balls and strike calls wrong last year.
I mean, and in honor of Stu Sherwater last night,
that was one of the worst home plate umpire performances I remember in recent times.
He was horrendous.
There's been a lot of umpire problems this year.
Zero consistency from inning to inning. I mean, when reese hoskins when you can see him turn around and
you could see on the television copy his mouth go bro that wasn't even close like he reese is not
the type of guy who's going to turn around like get annoyed with an umpire in most situations yeah
he was pissed because it wasn't close yeah if reese hoskins thinks it's a ball it's probably
it's probably a ball especially if he's like ball. Especially if he's like, that's not close.
I mean, anyway.
Yeah. But it was funny because then L.A. was like, that's not a shock to this reporter.
And they started talking about how L.A. had some kind of gas problem at his house.
And it sounds like the bomb is going off.
And everyone freaks out.
And it's been going on for months or whatever.
See, that's good content right there.
Yeah, it's good for when they're getting blown out.
Because on TV, it was literally like torture.
Yeah.
The sixth, seventh, eighth, ninth innings was like torture.
I felt like I was Chinese water torture.
I'm sitting there just having to deal with it.
Yeah, well, it was one of those nights.
And it happens.
And it was a bad...
It's a bummer because it's one of those ones where the run differential really gets slammed
and you're like, damn it.
Makes us look the worst than we are.
The reason I was even more frustrated,
not only seeing my offense get shut down by Jeremy Hellickson, which is—
What? Why? How? How does this happen, Jack?
I don't know, man.
We know Jeremy Hellickson.
He didn't even look good.
I know.
They're like, oh, he's really dotting the outside of the plate
or he's not leaving anything over the middle of the plate.
I was like, I could hit that stuff.
That looks like meatballs.
Yeah, Hellickson. Losing to Jeremy Hellickson
is a frustrating experience.
A kick in the junk. That's what I call it.
It was crazy. And you have that.
And the way they come out
after blowing the 6-1 game
and it looked like that. It was
mildly disappointing. Jack, actually,
that's really a good point. That's probably
my biggest issue with the whole thing was that you have a game where you're up 6-5, bottom of the nine, two outs, two strikes.
You end up losing that game.
That is a gut-wrenching loss to come back the next night in your ballpark and get boat raced.
Yeah.
It's a bad look.
I mean, it was 24 unanswered runs by the Nats until the last inning.
24 unanswered runs.
It's like, what is this, a basketball game?
A freaking basketball game?
What? Even then you rarely see 24 unanswered.
Yeah, it's a baseball game. It's crazy.
Yeah, and boy, I tell you what.
Are we sure Jose Alvarez is better than Luis Garcia?
Oh, we're not.
Are we sure?
We're not sure Jose Alvarez should be on this team right now.
I mean, can we get James Fossas back up here or anyone else?
Better idea.
Put Aaron Altair in the bullpen.
He's better than Jose Alvarez.
Well, Jose Alvarez, I mean, I thought he was going to.
Were his numbers in LA, like, is that real?
Like, were his numbers fake?
Did you make it up?
No one watches Angels games, so you can't confirm.
They might have just made it up.
They might have.
He had like a three ERA, like four straight years.
He's not good.
Aaron Altair was pretty good, though.
I was shocked.
I was impressed.
I was always right about Aaron Altair.
I was about to say, you knew it the whole time.
That's what you were talking about.
90, pumping 90 in there.
I had a little bit of a slur at one point there.
I think if he worked on his mechanics, he could be something.
Maybe.
Have a second career.
All right.
He didn't finish well, but I thought he was okay. Okay.
We'll get into the Marlins coming up in a little bit, but
let's get back to the staff. Let's look
at the staff as a whole real quick. What are you more concerned
about? The starting staff or the bullpen?
That's a great question. The starting staff.
I agree.
Yeah. Because it's more important, ultimately.
I mean, you need guys who are going to go out and give you
innings. You need starting
pitching in this game. They don't have it right now
And now there's more question marks than
The Nola regression season
I didn't expect that to happen
Me either and look
Again three starts I'm not overreacting
But we're just reacting to what we're seeing
Yes and also like look
The one thing with Nola that we didn't talk enough about
Coming into the season is the 50 plus
Inning bump he had last year We didn't even mention it and that's on us we should have mentioned that as a potential
cause for concern yeah it's just so it's so hard it's so hard to do that like it's so hard to be
like i don't know i think nolan might have a regression season yeah because he was freaking
awesome he was amazing last year it was he's taken and every year he's been in the majors
he's taken a step forward like he has incrementally gotten better and better and better yeah i mean
every year you could pencil in or i I mean, every year you could pencil in,
or I mean,
every start last year
you could pencil in
seven innings less than two runs
or two runs or less.
Two runs or less.
And this year,
it's just,
and let me,
I don't think he was as bad
as people are making it out
to be in the national start.
I don't either.
It was just that one inning.
He was pretty good otherwise.
In the first,
Harper drops that fly ball
that should have been caught.
No run should have scored
in the first. I agree with you. And the decision to leave him out. In the first, Harper drops that fly ball. That should have been caught. No run should have scored in the first.
I agree with you.
And the decision to leave him out there for the seventh,
Gabe had to do that because of how the bullpen was set up.
They didn't have anyone else left.
I mean, Robertson, Neshek, and Adam Morgan were all down.
So he had to put Nola back out there.
Imagine the reaction if they pulled Nola after 80 pitches in six innings.
Oh, he would have gotten killed.
He would have got crushed.
Goes out there. Franco makes
the error. He has one more defo struck
out. They didn't call that, but
defo got out anyway. But still,
that could have saved some pitches. And
then the home runs happened.
And I think the home runs are probably the most
concerning thing. So before...
Yeah, the numbers aren't great.
So if you go back, so just
from
March, April, whatever you want to say,
through August of last season, he gave up eight home runs.
Since the start of September last season through now,
14, and obviously a lot less games.
Yeah, which, I mean, the ball's just flying out of the ballpark, so...
Is that, I mean, like, looking back,
is that something you look back at September looking now
and say, like, what's going on?
Is that an issue?
We have some breaking
news.
Ooh, we got breaking
news?
The Phillies will host
the 2026 All-Star Game
at Citizens Bank Park.
Yay, it finally
happened.
Good things happen
on Thursdays.
2026?
Is that the 30-year
anniversary of the
1996 All-Star Game?
I guess so.
A magical All-Star
Game.
It has to do with the 30th anniversary of it.
That's what they're thinking, right?
Yeah, it has to be that.
It totally makes any sense, right?
Yeah, I mean, sure.
I guess we have to remember that.
That was the...
I mean, Bonds was in that one, right?
The Home Run Derby was at Veterans Stadium,
which was weird in the first place, I thought.
But that's exciting.
It's about time we got time.
Yeah, dude.
Citizens Bank Park has deserved an All-Star Game. It's absurd that there's not been one there. I mean, but that's exciting. Citizens Bank Park has deserved an all-star game.
It's absurd that there's not been one there.
That's just absurd. It's one of the best ballparks
in baseball and it's been around for a long time.
Dude, I'm going to be 31.
I don't even want to think about what I'm going to be.
Not cool.
My daughter is going to be walking, talking,
thinking to that game, so that'll be great.
She's going to be excited to be there.
She'll actually know what, like, it is.
What is the High House podcast doing for that?
What are we doing?
We've got to start planning now.
I mean, like, we should be at least invited by that.
How big is the High House podcast going to be by 2026?
In seven years?
Yeah.
I mean, we should own the city, right?
We'll still be talking?
I mean, we should own the city, right?
Will that be the pathetic breakout season?
Will that be it?
Oh, it's so sad.
So sad.
There it goes.
And starting the all-star game, Nick Pavetta in Philly.
He finally did it.
And there's Jack Fritz outside looking very sad.
Jack Fritz.
He drove himself crazy.
Poor Jack.
He drove himself crazy for six straight years for the Pavetta breakout,
and it finally happened. Finally Jack. He drove himself crazy for six straight years for the Pavetta breakout, and it finally happened.
Finally happened.
Yes.
Okay, so.
The Pavetta started the 2026 All-Star Game.
Calling it now.
So, we're a little nervous about Nola.
All right, so yeah, I pulled up the thing I wrote.
He's throwing his change up a little bit less this year.
Yeah, so his home runs per nine right now is 2.93.
Last year it was.72.
That's a massive difference.
Massive difference.
And the ball's
flying out of the yard like i i just i don't remember him like the first the first four
months of last season he he allowed eight home runs yep like eight home runs the entire time
he's given up five already this year yeah it's it's crazy so you have that um like the heart
his hard hit percentage is bad the The barrel percentage is bad. His barrel percentage right now is 13.6.
His barrel percentage last year was four.
Yeah, that's not good.
That's more, I'm more worried now.
You're making me more worried.
People are squaring him up.
Like, that's the thing that I'm most, his ball moves so much.
How are they squaring him up?
And why I think that is happening is because he hasn't thrown his changeup.
He threw.
What's going on with that?
Like, why?
No, I know.
Maybe he lost a feel for it.
I mean, just like Fritz did with his freshman year of college.
But like, he's throwing his change up less, right?
So last year he threw his change up 20% of the time.
It's like 13% so far this year.
It's at 13% now.
And it's going down because in the national start,
he threw 99 pitches and only threw 10 change-ups.
And this is the problem with a two-pitch pitcher.
It's because guys can just tee off on your other pitches,
and what made Nola so good last year was that,
let's say it's a 2-1 count, boom, change-up.
You can't just sit on a fastball with Nola.
And right now, since he's only been primarily
a two-pitch pitcher, they can just sit on his
two pitches. His curveball is way more
devastating when it may look...
When you don't know if it's going to be a fastball or changeup.
Right. So what made Nola so great last year
and what led to Nola having the 2-3-7
ERA was that
in any count, no matter what,
he could throw whatever pitch he want and he would go
right where he needed to go.
And this year, it just has not been the case.
And when you don't have that third pitch he needs,
then his stuff just is not as ridiculous as it was.
All right, let's go worry meter.
Worry meter from 1 to 10 on Aaron Nola.
Well, I think he's going to be a... I don't know if he's going to get back to the level he was last year.
Like that level of good.
But I think he's going to be a fine pitcher.
It might need to change our expectations.
So a 5 or so.
Maybe like a 3-2 ERA or something.
Okay.
Like a 3 ERA.
The other thing I want to mention that is killing him, I think.
He's starting 47% of accounts he's getting behind.
Really?
No, no, no.
He's starting accounts 0-1 47% of the time.
So 53% of the time he's starting out 1-0.
Last year he was 70%.
I was going to say it felt like last year he threw first pitch strike all the time.
He's not throwing first pitch strikes. He's not throwing first so he's not throwing
That's a real issue.
He's not throwing
first pitch strikes
he's not throwing
his change up
and his walk rate
is 18% right now.
It was 7 last year.
These numbers are scary, Jack.
Like it's
they're
I mean
numbers don't
numbers don't lie
people do
and it's like
this isn't
that's not great.
Right.
I do think that for him to get back to where he was,
I think the most important thing for him,
I mean, the most important pitch in baseball is strike one.
But for Nola to get back to where he was last year
and get back to that pitcher,
it comes down to the changeup for me.
And look, I am willing to be more on the
it's only three starts side of things
because I do believe in Nola.
I believe he will get back.
I do think it's a good point, though, that to expect him to be the 2-3-7 ERA guy
at this point is probably unlikely, but I think he can get close to that.
I think he can still be an ace-type pitcher for the Phillies this season.
And, I mean, obviously they need him to be.
He has to be. All right, so let's also guys aren't chasing like his chase rates is also
down which isn't great so people aren't swinging his stuff outside the zone and again i think
he's not fooling people i think that comes back to the change up yeah okay so let's look at it
from a macro perspective because you and i i think both agree there's still dallas keitel out there
there are trade options, all that.
A little PSA action here.
Yes.
Craig Kimbrell, too.
Why aren't they signing these guys?
They have such clear deficiencies.
Jack, why aren't they signing these guys? They're not signing Craig Kimbrell or Dallas Keuchel
because they do not want to pay the luxury tax.
That is the only...
It's a real John Middleton, not Jack Middleton type of attitude here, John.
I'm sorry if that deflates you, but that is the only reason It's a real John Middleton, not Jack Middleton type of attitude here, John. I'm sorry if that deflates you,
but that is the only reason those guys are not here
because the Phillies are viewing this as
this is year one of a five-year window.
We don't want to go over it in year one
and have to get back under it next year to reset it.
And so for those who don't know, it is punitive.
It's more punitive the more years in a row you are over the tax.
So once you can get under it, you kind of reset your clock, as Jack is talking about.
But it is exponential from year to year.
So if you're over it two years in a row, it's worse.
Three years in a row, four years in a row, so on and so forth.
It exponentially gets worse and worse and worse.
And it's why the Nationals didn't go after Bryce Harper.
Because they would have been in luxury tax hell.
They would have been in a part of the bracket
that's never been approached before.
It's why we knew
that they weren't going to sign him.
It's why we kept saying
he's not going back to Washington.
Also,
let's just make fun
of the Nationals real quick.
I know they took two out of three.
It's harder today, Jack.
I know it is harder,
but James,
15 to one makes it harder.
James,
my good friend,
let me just inform you
that they haven't gotten
a single dollar of tv money in
the last year because of the mass and deal that's going on at the orioles they couldn't sign anyone
because they have no they have no tv revenue that is bad they have no tv how is that possible the
phillies meanwhile have a three billion dollar contract i think i'm gonna i thought it was two and a half, but either way, they got billions.
Oh, I'd round up.
I like it.
I'm a big round up guy.
Especially when you're talking about hundreds of millions.
Why not?
Of course.
I'd round up.
So, you know, sure, we lost 15-1, but guess what?
At least we're making money, and at least we can afford to pay our players,
and it'd be a real shame if they can't pay Anthony Rendon.
Why did they sign Patrick Corbin?
It's a great question. Crazy. Also pay Anthony Rendon. Why did they sign Patrick Corbin? It's a great question.
Crazy. Also, Anthony Rendon.
Anthony Rendon.
He's been in 429. I saw.
Trust me. He just killed
us. Murders.
He's awesome. Him and Juan Soto
are going to haunt us.
We haven't even gotten started on Victor Robles.
I'm so not excited about those two guys.
And Robles too obviously
Screw Victor Robles that's my general take on these things
Juan Soto 24 career home runs
8 against the Phillies
A third of them
And he's like I can't believe that guy's 20
He looks like he's a monster
Oh he's a man child
He doesn't act like a 20 year old
He doesn't look like a 20 year old
That ball off of Jose Alvarez
Was like Pujols vs Lidge In 05 to act like a 20-year-old. He doesn't look like a 20-year-old. Yeah, that moonshot. That ball off of Jose Alvarez was like
Pujols versus Lidge in
05. It was the major
league. It's too high. It's too
high. That was too high. I'm sure it was fair.
No. No, we're
not. But we are
sure that there was not enough evidence of return.
I think that if that gets called foul on the
field, maybe it stays foul.
It looked like it went over it, right?
It looked close enough where it looked like it was going over it,
but it did hook a ton foul after.
So I don't know.
I don't know.
We're not sure, but hey.
Also, I want to make fun of the Nats one more time.
Davey Martinez is still horrible at his job.
Yeah, he's not good.
So, all right.
Bases loaded.
JT Real Muto coming.
Or no.
Runners on second and third? Or first and second? No, his base is loaded. It was. Bases loaded. JT Real Muto coming. Or no. No.
Runners on second and third or first and second?
No, it was bases loaded.
It was bases loaded.
No.
No.
It wasn't.
It was first and second.
It was first and second.
First and second. First and second.
Okay.
You have first and second.
You have Real Muto up.
You see who's in the on-deck circle, which is Andrew Knapp.
And you pitch to JT Real Muto, and he scorches a ball.
It just happens to be right at a guy.
Right at a guy, yeah.
Right at left fielder.
I mean, are you asleep at the wheel?
Do you have a pulse?
It's a great question.
Does Dave Martinez have a pulse?
I would consider walking a run in just to face Knapp
if it were bases loaded in that situation.
That's how much I'd rather.
I'll give him one run.
I'm going to face Andrew Knapp here.
Bad.
Very bad.
Andrew Knapp is still on this big ball. I just broke my pen, Jack. I just, that, I'm going to face Andrew Knapp here. Bad. Very bad. Andrew Knapp is still on this painful.
I just broke my pen, Jack.
I just, that, I broke my pen.
Andrew Knapp.
I love this.
What do he bring to that people?
Him trying to catch last night was also hilarious.
But, yeah.
Oh, yeah.
How about not being able to do, like, the one thing you are here to do?
Right.
Bad.
So, yeah.
The Phillies.
I broke my pen, Jack.
I'm really.
The Phillies do not want to pay the luxury tax.
That's what this all boils down to.
And that's a bummer.
It's a bummer.
Man up.
You are a big boy now.
We are big boys now.
I get it.
I get it.
But it's like sympathizing with it's year.
It's year one.
Jack loves the billionaires.
That's what it is.
I hope he's on the side of the billionaires. I hope it's on the side of the billionaires.
I'm on the side of my team being smart.
You know who I'm on the side of, Jack?
The people.
All right?
I get it.
I speak for the people, Jack.
I totally, I am totally with you.
Does anyone out there care if John Middleton goes over the luxury tax?
No?
Okay.
The Braves just extended Ozzie Alves.
You had to expect that was coming.
I know.
Everyone's getting extended these days.
No free agent is ever hitting the market again
unless they're in India.
Yeah, Francis Gillen-Doerr's going to be the last one.
Also, speaking of hilarious extensions,
that Chris Sale contract is going to be horrible.
It is aging really poorly, really quickly.
Yeah.
Really quickly.
We're throwing 89.
All right.
I want to get into, real quickly also,
as we're still on the pitching staff thing.
So, real quick, before we move on to the bullpen,
is there anything they could do right now, starting-wise,
or just hope guys figure it out?
No.
I mean, unless someone in AAA forces their hand,
I don't see them being able to make a move.
Like, if Eikhoff goes on a nice little run here, maybe they bring him up.
Drew Anderson.
Drew Anderson, if he pitches well.
I mean, Cole Irvin's pitching okay.
I just, I think you, they had, I think for two straight,
ever since this trade deadline last year,
they have mis-evaluated this pitching staff.
And it's mildly concerning when you're looking at the future of the Phillies.
Because at the trade deadline last year, remember,
they had five guys that never pitched as much as they had,
and they were all pitching above their heads.
We talked about it right here on this podcast.
Right, and they went out and they reinforced the other parts of the team.
They brought in players to supplant the young guys in the field,
and they tried to win that way, but didn't touch the pitching staff,
even though there was signs that there was cracks in the armor of the pitching staff.
This offseason, they tried to get Jay ahead.
They didn't want to give him a third year.
Why didn't you get Charlie Morton?
Dude.
You know, what did I say?
Who did I say was my one guy going into the offseason?
Go back and listen to the podcast.
I was like, bring me Charlie Morton.
Bring me Charlie Morton.
You could have easily done that.
I just, from the... He's been awesome.
Well, shocking.
From the trade deadline last year...
He's one of those guys you, like, if you see him pitch, and the gifs are all over Twitter and all that,
but he's just nasty.
All you have to do is watch that guy pitch and be like, oh, he's good.
That guy's good at this.
Right.
Agreed.
So ever since the trade deadline last year.
It's like three years, $30 million or something.
They've done something like that, right?
Two years, $30.
Two years.
Fine.
Great.
Even better.
Less years.
Right. Right. It better. Less years. Right.
Right. It's infuriating. And since the trade deadline last year,
they have mis-evaluated this pitching staff.
And I fear that they might have
done it again. Sure.
They look at... I like
FIP. Sure. But I think
they live and die by it a little bit
too much. They quote it
all the time. It's like, oh, but it's FIPP is blah, blah,
blah. FIPP is blah. It's like, alright, we get it.
You know what FIPP is. Cool. Yeah, I mean
FIPP can work, but there has to be
more to your evaluation
of your starters than just using their
FIPP and thinking that your defense is going to be
that much improved that it's going to be that
drastically different. You have to
physically watch these guys throw and see
that Velasquez is all over the place and doesn't have great stuff pivetta is a two-pitch pitcher
and arietta hasn't missed a bat in two years so so i'm a little thinking about that now i'm just
stuck thinking about the rays now they got charlie morton and yanni torino and all these guys you
could just make the ball move and like compete scared like well i mean jose alvaredo i mean
that dude that guy just
throws hard and did you see that one yeah i've never seen a pitch move like that in my life at
99 that's what i mean it's a fastball and somehow just like tailed off the table like i've never
seen like it yeah so i i'm i'm a little frustrated with their evaluation of their own pitching staff
and because the most important thing when you're when you're looking at a future of a team you have
to self-evaluate and you have to self-evaluate. And you have to self-evaluate
and you have to see what you have.
And, like, we're
on board the JT Real Muto trade. But what
if they gave away Pedro 2.0?
Well, the way they evaluate their pitchers
and they were willing to trade him, who knows now?
Now I'm scared. Now I'm scared.
Mildly concerned. Although Spencer Howard
is starting to ease my concerns a little bit.
Yeah, you know where I'm at on Spencer Howard.
That's my guy.
I'm very in on Spencer Howard.
Yeah.
All right, bullpen.
Elliot Chirparks wrote a piece for 94WIP.com that he consulted you on.
And the idea was-
Partially.
Yeah, apparently, yeah.
He asked you and then he took some of what you said and not the others.
Yeah.
Because there was a name missing from it that I thought was crazy.
He had to work in those two good Marlins relief
Who doesn't want Drew Steckenreiter on their squad?
Alright,
quickly, if
they should be looking to trade for a bullpen arm,
where do you stand on a potential
bullpen arm trade? There are some names out
there. I know there's one guy who you
would like to see them go for. I mean, I
would love Felipe Vasquez.
He's really good.
Yeah, and the thing is, he's going to cost a lot.
He's not a free agent until 2024, so he's 27 years old, and he's very good. The recent history of what those, the Brad hands of the world, the Andrew Millers a few years ago.
You're giving up legit, guys.
You're giving up your best prospect, probably.
I mean, what the Yankees got for Andrew Miller
a couple years ago when they traded Andrew Miller
was Clint Frazier and Justice Sheffield.
Both, at times, have been top 20 prospects
in all of baseball.
So Sheffield is now.
And they traded him to the Mariners.
It's nice to see that Clint Frazier has finally arrived.
Finally playing, man.
He's looking good.
I'm happy for Clint.
But yeah, so Felipe Vasquez is going to cost a lot.
But here's where I'm at with the bullpen.
I would rather pay a lot prospect-wise for a player that is still theoretically on the rise
or at least maintainable rather than pay a guy who's clearly on the decline like Craig Kimbrell.
Like Craig Kimbrell in last year, his spin rates have gone down, his walk rates have gone up,
his strikeout rate has gone down, and his velocity has gone down. And really, if you look at it, two of the last three years for Kimbrell in last year, his spin rates have gone down, his walk rates have gone up, his strikeout rate has gone down,
and his velocity has gone down.
And really, if you look at it, two of the last three years for Kimbrell have been bad.
He had that one otherworldly year two years ago,
and everyone's like, oh, Kimbrell's back.
But if you look at the year he had two years ago,
or two years ago, I guess three years ago now,
and this past season prior to this season,
he's been, he's gotten saves, he's not been good.
Right, and the Yankees the the Red Sox had Chris Sale
closed the game last year the close the World Series like that's a pretty big indicator that
Craig Kimball's not right so the the underlying stats would show that Craig Kimball's not nearly
as good as he as he once was and I just don't like I don't like paying closers for prior performance
so I don't I'm I don't want Craig Kimball like I I I do think that Robertson and Sir Anthony are both better options this season than Craig Kimbrell.
I like that take.
Robertson is fine.
And Sir Anthony, we talked about Sir Anthony on Monday.
It was on Monday.
It was on Monday and he looked great again.
He looked great.
Like great.
Like 98 with cut was back.
Back.
Exactly what we were talking about.
We're like, where's that pitch where he throws the cutter
and just cuts away at the end of the pitch?
Right.
We didn't see any of that.
We saw it.
Agreed.
And also the four-pitch outing, he looked great again two nights ago.
Just, he's looked good.
And everyone's worried about a set closer.
I would love to have a set closer.
So would Gabe.
So would Klintak.
They've talked about it.
Right.
I think Robertson's going to work his way into becoming the set closer.
I think he's looked much better.
I think he's calmed down.
Everything's kind of settling back into a rhythm. his way into becoming the set closer. I think he's looked much better. I think he's calmed down. Everything's kind of settling back
into a rhythm and they'll have a set guy.
But also, if you got like
Vasquez or you got
Rossio Iglesias and you had them
as your closer, whoever you're going to bring up. And you're saying
for years to come? Yeah. I would
rather pay the prospect price for a guy
that's going to be here for three to four years that
is still young and still theoretically could maintain
than the signed Craig Kimbrell.
I would pay prospect-wise.
Okay, and I would too.
I'm totally cool with that.
I got a name, not in Elliot's piece.
I don't know if you said it to him or not,
but this guy is in the last year of his contract,
so you're going to get him for way cheaper
than Vasquez would come.
How about that Will Smith, man?
He's such a good pitcher.
All that dude does is get out.
He's a lefty.
They freaking love lefties. He's shown he can close in San Francisco. He's such a good pitcher. Like, all that dude does is get outs. He's a lefty. They freaking love lefties.
He's shown he can close in San Francisco.
He's in the last year of his contract.
He's making $4 million.
Go get Will Smith.
Go get Will Smith.
You know where the San Francisco Giants are going?
Nowhere.
They are very willing to move pieces,
especially one who's probably going to leave at the end of the season.
Williams?
Would you trade Nick Williams for Will Smith?
In a second. I wouldn't think twice Nick Williams for Will Smith? In a second.
I wouldn't think twice about it.
Will Smith is...
I wonder if they would do it.
Will Smith is...
Do you think the Giants would do it?
Yes.
I think the Giants...
I mean, they're starting Steven Duggar.
Yeah, here's the point.
And again, this is all dependent upon how they value certain guys
and how they would look at Nick Williams and what they think he is.
But the point is, is if both Vasquez and Smith get traded,
Vasquez is going to go for a
haul oh and Will Smith could be gotten for not a haul yeah but obviously the difference is that
you'll get him for this year and then you know you figure it out right and then he's 29 he's
going to be 30 next season how do you really want to sign him long term and all that but
yeah for right now if you're looking for an arm who you don't have to pay out the ass for
but who could come in and make a world of difference for this team,
I think Will Smith's that guy.
I agree.
I think Will Smith is very good.
I'm just here for the West Philadelphia memes.
Oh, I didn't even think about that part of it.
Oh, that would have been amazing.
It would be phenomenal.
Let's do that.
That's worth it.
That's worth it just for that.
My stance on Kimbrel is that he's not nearly as good as he was.
Do people think that if he was
signed on Monday he
would be able to close
on Tuesday like people
people think that
people act like Craig
Kimbrell could roll out
of bed and be like
Clemens in 05 and
when I signed him
today it is April 11th
Craig Kimbrell would
not pitch for the
Phillies until early
May some other fair
fair thing to say yeah
okay some other names
I laid out for Elliot
that he did not use in
the piece I he did not use in the piece.
He did use Michael Givens and Archie Bradley.
Look, Bradley, I don't know
if they'd trade Bradley. I think that he's one of those
guys who even though they're not competing,
they believe in as a core part
of their team. But I would
gladly, gladly take Archie
Bradley in a second. Givens... It's cheap.
Givens is a good pitcher, I think, and the Orioles
are going to sell whatever they can for
value, so yeah, that's an issue.
I gave him the name Shane Green.
It's 8 for 8, man. Disgusting. 8 for 8.
Yeah. 8 for 8. They've won 8 games. He's
saved all of them. Yeah. Tigers are bad. They could
use a piece. Oh, and they would trade Shane Green
right now. Yeah, I agree.
Rossio Iglesias, kind of in the Felipe
Vasquez... We've talked about him.
Struggled so far this year,
hasn't looked great,
and also the Reds are kind of,
he just got his first save,
but they've kind of been using him
unconventionally too so far,
but I love Rocio Iglesias.
I've long been a Rocio Iglesias fan.
He's the one guy in baseball
that I always look at and say,
I would have no chance to hit this guy.
The one.
Yeah.
The only one.
No, no, I know,
but if I was a major leaguer.
You're just talking about Jose Alvarado
and how that pitch is just like, who could possibly hit that? But he does the whole sidearm thing. He's nasty. The only one. No, no, I know. But if I was a major leaguer. You're just talking about Jose Alvarado and now that pitch is just like,
who could possibly hit that?
But he does the whole sidearm thing.
He's nasty.
I love him.
Yeah.
In.
I agree with you.
Keone Kella from the Pirates.
Sure.
Sure.
And my final one, Kirby Yates.
I thought about Yates too.
Yates of hell.
I like that.
I like to call him Kerbert.
I don't know why I did that.
I was watching him.
Is he a Kerbert?
He was a great savior. No, he's not. I just called him Kerbert. Well, because I own him on my fantasy team. Shout like to call him Curbert. I don't know why I did that. I was watching him. Is he a Curbert? He was a great save.
No, he's not.
I just called him Curbert.
Well, because I own him on my fantasy team.
Shout out to Kirby.
Okay.
And I watched his save yesterday.
It was like, starts off rough, runners on first and second.
What does he do?
He just strikes a bunch of guys out because he's Kirby Yates.
No problem.
Here's the point.
Here's the point.
Real quick on Kirby Yates.
He was actually the very first name that popped in my head
I just think the Padres
want to try and contend
this year
so I don't know
if they'd be as willing
to move on from him
he was the very first name
I thought of
when this type of discussion
comes up
agreed
and
I like Hector Neris
I don't trust Hector Neris
no
I mean look
we both
I very much like Hector Neris
but especially
in high leverage situations,
I can't trust him.
I don't feel great about it.
Like people are throwing him in the same realm as Sir Anthony and Robertson.
I think that's crazy.
Dude, a lot of people think he's like the de facto closer if you had to choose one,
which is insanity to me.
That guy can't handle the money.
He went for way too much money on my fab budget bidding this past.
Someone spent like 1010 on him.
I'm like, what are you doing?
Yeah.
I think the official position, and this is fair, the official position of the High Host
podcast is we'd rather trade prospects for a good reliever that has still maintained
their level of-
100%.
Rather than going after Craig Kimbrell, paying him too much, maybe getting him like three
or four years for a guy that's clearly on the decline.
Yeah.
My take on Kimbrell has always been two years, maybe. much maybe getting like three or four years for a guy that's clearly on the decline yeah my take
on kimbrough has always been two years maybe one year sure why the hell not but i'm with you i
would much rather get someone i legitimately trust a guy i know will get the job now what about this
would it with a smart plan for the phillies to be give keitel a one-year deal for 16 million ish
to be give Keuchel a one-year deal for 16 million-ish and then short the bullpen?
Yeah.
I think that'd be a... Look, I...
That's smarter than using...
I've often said I would rather sign Keuchel than Kimbrell.
I still believe that.
That has not changed.
Because when I've been trying to watch potential trade candidates, like I've just been trying
to monitor Bumgarner, I don't like what I've seen from Bumgarner at all.
Hasn't been great so far.
And I only talk to rival scouts and executives and they're just like, hey, heumgarner. I don't like what I've seen from Bumgarner at all. Hasn't been great so far. And like, I only talk to rival scouts and executives
and they're just like, hey, he might be done.
Like, the fastball's not there.
The stuff just doesn't look great.
I mean, I just don't,
I don't think I want any old starter anymore.
I mean, I think Sale's almost toast.
Arrieta I don't love.
Darvish looks horrible.
Like, all these old guys have gotten old quick.
Yeah.
Very quick.
People have fallen off a cliff quickly.
Which is crazy to me.
I mean the sale thing is
I'm not ready to put Chris Sale
out to pasture yet.
I can't.
He's been too great for too long.
Yeah but dude.
I mean he's been top three
in Cy Young like five years
in a row or something.
I know.
Even Scherzer doesn't look as dumb.
No.
Yeah I mean DeGrom
actually got hit up the other day.
Yeah but he's fine.
DeGrom's fine.
He's the one guy I actually feel
unbelievable about.
So when I look at the potential trade candidates,
I don't know if there's a starter out there
that's going to make a huge difference
rather than a guy in the bullpen.
So Keuchel might even be one of the best options available.
I mean, Robbie Ray, he looked good last night.
He threw five no-hit innings and struck out 10
and then got hit around a little bit.
He's probably the best trade option right now.
That's crazy.
Because I don't think
there's any,
I look at the other starters
and it's just,
who is going to help me
this year
and for the future years?
Well, no, yeah,
that's the question.
I'm thinking more like
this year right now.
For as much as I,
I want to compete this year.
I would love to try
to win the World Series
this year.
But I am a window guy
and I don't know
if this is going to be
the year they get it done.
So I don't want to give up major assets for a one-year guy.
I'm just cycling through the teams in my head right now
who are absolutely not going to compete.
Like, not the fringe teams.
Like, even a team like, you know, the Pirates are not going to compete,
but they're, like, fringy type of team.
I think they're pretty much out of it.
Take Joe Musgrove from them?
I would take Joe Musgrove in a second I would take Joe Musgrove in a second.
I think Joe Musgrove's a good young pitcher.
I think there's upside there.
I'm talking like the Reds.
Even Sonny Gray is someone I would take a shot on.
I'm with you.
The options are not as enticing out there.
People just say, oh, just trade for a pitcher.
I don't know who you trade for.
Hamels?
Yeah, that's the type of name.
And the Cubs are not look, the Cubs are
not ready to sell, but they've not been good to start.
And Theo admitted that it's
all his fault, so that's good.
He actually said,
at Jack Fritz WIP, it's my fault.
Yeah, probably. He's on Twitter.
Did you miss that? I missed it.
Good to know. Alright, let's, how about
we talk about a starting staff that
you're actually excited about?
They're facing the Marlins, buddy.
The frisky Marlins.
They missed Pablo Lopez, so they don't have to deal with that.
Beautiful thing.
So I think they got Alcantara, Caleb Smith, and is it Richards that they get?
Or is it?
Oh, no.
I think it's Urena.
They get Urena.
It's Urena.
That's no fun.
It's fun for me.
Good.
I'd rather face Urena than Richards. No, I know. Not fun for. They get Urena. It's Urena. That's no fun. It's fun for me. Good. I'd rather face Urena than Richards.
No, I know.
Not fun for you who wants to watch these guys pitch.
Okay, yeah.
So it's Alcantara versus Alcantara versus Arrieta.
Kayla Smith versus Eflin.
And Vince Velasquez versus Jose Urena.
That's actually the way you want it to shake out.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Urena stinks.
Yeah, he's terrible.
He's terrible.
And he's an asshole.
Yeah, I don't like him at all. Yeah. But yeah, no.. Yeah, he's terrible. He's terrible. And he's an asshole. Yeah, I don't like him at all.
Yeah.
But yeah, no, it'll be a fun weekend.
Alcantara is going to be hard to hit.
Caleb Smith, I like him.
I don't love him.
He's going to be a nice bullpen.
He strikes guys out.
Yeah, he strikes guys out.
So, yeah, honestly, couldn't come at a better time.
They need this.
They need a get-right series right now.
I wish Pavetta was pitching this weekend.
Of course you do.
You want to just get right back on the horse here.
Well, I...
Because he's facing the Marlins.
Yeah.
That's it.
I need him to get a confidence start underneath his belt.
I thought you were out on Nick Pavetta.
It's tough to give up on the ones you love.
Speaking of which, speaking of which with Pavetta, here's my Jack Fritz take.
What?
I think that you see yourself as Pavetta. I know. And that, yes!
Am I right about this? Yes. Yes!
I knew it! I knew it! And I knew
that's how you're so in on Pavetta.
There's a connection there. You can see
it. You're like, that's what I would be if I
were in the Major Leagues. You're dead
right. You're dead right. I
thought about this long and hard. I put way too much thought
into this take, but I felt really good about it.
I'm so happy I was right about this. The reason why I love
Pavetta is because I just
I see myself. I knew it.
I had a flat forcing
fastball. I had a nasty slider.
Bit of a head case.
Major head case.
And very stubborn.
Always thought they were right. Always thought they knew.
Oh, I'm so happy about this. I knew it.
It's very rare that anyone who coached me or played with me knew more about baseball than me.
That is all I will say.
And no, I'm serious.
You're humble.
I never took coaching well because I was like, eh.
He's like, I know more than you.
Yeah.
So me and Pavetta, I saw, I see, it's just tough.
You see a lot of yourself in a guy and you want to believe in the guy
I'm just saying
if I had 96
and that level
of a curveball
you'd be a starter
in the major leagues
you'd be a stud
you know what I would've done
this whole offseason
I'm guessing
learn a third pitch
learn a third pitch
you know
that's probably
what I would've done
and maybe I would've
messed around
with a freaking splitter
dude
like
so I was texting Franzen
I was texting Franzen
and I was like
name drop
it's not really a name drop
we talk about Franzen all the time I'm just joking and I It's not really a name drop. We talk about Franzen all the time.
I'm just joking.
And I texted him.
Bit of a name drop.
I texted him, and he's like-
So I texted this former major league player, no biggie.
He's like, he should learn to split her.
I was like, I know.
I know.
This is what I said.
This is what I said.
So very, very frustrated with where we're at with Pavetta.
But there's nothing you can do about it now, because he didn't do anything this offseason.
So I guess keep running him
out there and let my mentions...
Hope for the best, baby. I feel like I have to talk to him.
I feel like I have to be like, listen, dude. Why don't you?
Go down there. Talk to him. Say, hey, man.
Look what you're doing to me.
You're making me look bad. I put my
ass on the line for you. Thank you.
And what are you doing for me?
Right. Not the Phillies. Not yourself.
Me. Done.
That's all that really matters.
We get to the bottom of this every week.
All right.
Anything you want to get to before final thoughts, Fritzy?
Should we do the Baseball America mock draft now or should I finish for final thoughts?
People are too excited.
All right.
Give me one minute.
Okay.
One minute.
By the way, just real quick.
The draft is in June.
I don't care.
The draft is in June. And we got a baseball team that matters. One minute. By the way, just real quick. The draft is in June. I don't care. The draft is
in June and we got a
baseball team that matters. Go ahead.
So, Baseball America mocked
Logan Davidson to the Phillies today
or yesterday and there are only two
players I don't want in the first round and it's
him and it's Reese Hines. So
the fact that they would do that to me, I thought
was a little bit rude. It's a personal front, like an affront
to you. So, this guy... They took, they actually took a direct shot do that to me, I thought was a little bit rude. It's a personal front, like an affront to you. So this guy.
They actually took a direct shot at him.
Now I get why they pegged him because he's a great play discipline and has power.
Sounds like a Phillies guy.
Yeah, yeah.
But the guy had a 200 batting average in the Cape Cod League and he strikes out a lot.
That's not good.
No.
No.
Having a 200 batting average in a wood bat league, which is what you're going to be using
in the major leagues.
And he's a top 15 pick?
Yeah.
Yeah.
So, please no.
And Rhys Hines is this power hitting third base prospect
that has like light tower power, like legit raw,
but he's just so raw.
And I watched one game and I was like,
this guy can't even touch a curveball.
Yeah.
Like he, trouble with the curve.
So, trouble with the curve?
Is what we call those kind of guys.
They made a movie about it.
Also, I mean, you did just draft a power rating third baseman last year not that well that power
rating third baseman has no home runs since they drafted him and he's basically a slap hitter but
yes i was wrong about his hands not zapping all this power you've had a rough month on twitter
since harper len it's pretty much been downhill everyone's turning on the kid it's like these
people that people just forget that the only reason Bryce Harper's here is
because of HarperLent. So, you know,
you can thank me every once in a while.
Oh, buddy! The only reason Bryce
Harper's here, not the $330 million,
not the 13 years,
is because of HarperLent. There we go.
I got nothing to say to that.
Final thought, Jack. Final thought.
I've been wrong about some of the season.
Mickey Moniac.
Two for four last night.
I should just call the final thought Mickey Moniac thought now moving forward.
Mickey Moniac.
Two for four last night with a home run.
It was supposedly freezing where they were.
They were not in Redding.
Moniac breakout.
Moniac breakout season.
It's a real breakout. and and by the way adam
hazley's like oh for his last 18 which is not a great start not great trade him we'll say maybe
a vasquez felipe vasquez deal okay all right i think my felipe vasquez deal would be hazley
romero and a lower level guy like gamboa you know what i'm gonna say to that right
what pirates ain't taking that yeah i, I guess it'd be more.
Cost control, lights out,
closer at 27? You've got to
give up one of your top prospects. Medina
Haisley? That's the thing.
That's what it's going to cost.
I think you're going to have to give up someone like Medina
to get Vasquez. I agree.
That's why you go trade freaking JoJo for
Will Smith and you're good to go. Think about that.
Yeah, but it's only for one year.
It's an important year, Jack.
The Albies contract is $954, by the way.
Why do these people keep giving the Braves money?
First of all, the Acuna contract is now.
We all thought the Nola contract was the best in the sport.
Nope, it's the Acuna contract.
You're going to have the best player in the sport.
Yeah, the Jose Ramirez one has been for a while, but Acuna's better better and he's going to be better at least i mean long term he's better and
yes i couldn't i couldn't believe that and now they get albie's nine for 54 are they like forcing
these guys to take these contracts are they like no one point no one was four for 45 wasn't he is
it a gump i think they're a gunpoint and they're just putting a contract i'm through do it um i
think that's what's happening.
Nine for 54?
I don't know what else is happening.
All right.
My final thought.
That is crazy.
It's crazy.
All right.
My final thought.
I really like this pen.
And you broke it?
I'm really upset about it.
Guess who I blame?
Andrew Knapp.
Get out of here.
Leave.
Please.
I'm really sad about this pen.
All right.
It's okay. We have WIP pens. Get sad about this pen. All right. It's okay.
We have WIP pens.
Get right serious this weekend.
We better be talking about more fun stuff on Monday.
Until then, he's Fritz.
I'm Seltzer.
We'll talk to you later.
All-star closer, Kenley Jansen.
We have a question.
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