High Hopes: A Phillies Podcast - The High Hopes Phillies Podcast: Altherr to the Rescue/Harper and Machado, eh?
Episode Date: September 17, 2018James Seltzer and Jack Fritz are back as Jack takes a victory lap on Aaron Altherr's Friday night and the rest of the Marlins series. The outrage over the pulling of Kingery is absurd, Pivetta's curve...ball and Eflin getting back to using his fastball. Also, the guys talk about Harper and Machado being linked to the Phils this past week. See omnystudio.com/policies/listener for privacy information. To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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I am James Seltzer and with me right now with his arms in the air,
the president of the Aaron Altair fan club doing his victory lap,
Mr. Jack Fritzy.
It just feels so good to be right again with the Phillies.
Aaron Altair has
risen from the dead
and he potentially has
saved the Phillies season.
And he has played his way
right into the starting left field
position next year with Bryce Harper
in right field and whoever in center
field. Do they even need to sign Harper if they've got
Altair? I mean, you know, right?
All I know is that Nick Williams can pack his bags and go home.
He's back.
He's back, folks.
I said it when Altair was going through his slump.
I said he's better than Nick Williams.
He will always be better than Nick Williams.
And guess what?
I don't care if Nick Williams is hurt.
I was right.
I was right.
He is such a good baseball player.
Great defensive player. Great defensive player.
Great base runner.
Now he's hitting doubles again.
Listen, it's just sometimes you got to learn how to evaluate talent.
And eventually, I think the High Hopes listeners will learn that.
What's his average still?
Approach the Mendoza line.
Almost at 200.
He's getting there, baby.
Quickly, though.
It hasn't been a slow ascent and very fast
take me through your emotions that friday nighter altair comes out and and says i'm back bitches so
first off i'm working a friday night which is not fun at all but then i see altair's in the lineup
i'm like all right i feel pretty good i love i love the concept that the fact that aaron altair's
in the lineup can somehow make your friday night, so Altair in the lineup hits that first home run.
Me and Joe look at each other, and we're like, yes!
Because Joe's player to count on was Aaron Altair that night for leading off.
So good call by Joe.
And so he does that, right?
And then he basically steals a run for the Phillies
in the Roman Quinn Fielder's Choice play at the middle
where a very, some would say, Jason Wirth-esque play
from Aaron Altair.
Some would.
Some would say.
Some would say.
Not me.
One might.
Yeah, sure.
Not I.
And then he takes another ding-dong later in the game
and the only reason he wasn't 5-for-5
was because he smoked the ball right at the right fielder.
He was inches away from being 5-for-5.
You laughed at me the last podcast we did when I said he has been just consistently
crushing.
I laughed because it was 5 at bats.
But he was crushing the ball.
He was crushing the ball, and it came through, and then yesterday he went 2-for-2 off the
bench, and maybe they started him, and maybe they win that game.
We're not going to talk about Saturday, but I will talk about Saturday because he may have had the best
at bat of the season in the first inning.
Really? That's good to know. He was down 0-2,
worked it to 3-2, and then
he walked and they scored three runs that inning.
So, listen, he's a catalyst.
They scored two that inning, right? Two that inning, whatever.
More runs than one. They came back and scored three in the fifth.
Okay. Real
serious question about Aaron
Altair.
How do you rationalize the year-on, year-off we've had with Aaron Altair?
He looked really good in his first shot in the majors, came back injured a bit,
but a really rough second season.
Then, of course, last year had a really nice year.
Sorry to believe.
And then real struggles this year.
Again, what is it?
Why is Aaron altair so inconsistent
and what does he need to do to actually be the guy that you believe he is well um uh this year
was weird because he just his timing is way off and you can see it was way off and he wasn't able
to like he on fastballs inside last year i think he batted like 400 against them and this year he
was just swinging and missing.
And he wasn't squaring up pitches.
And he wasn't hitting doubles into the opposite field gap.
That's when Aaron Altair is at his best.
That's the hallmark of Aaron Altair.
Yeah, when he's going gap to gap.
That's what makes him hopefully a good player in this league.
That's a good catch.
But that's what would lead him to being a good player is the gap to gap power,
not the majestic moonshots that he does hit.
And I think his timing was just way off,
and I know he got a lot of starts with Nick Williams.
They didn't really believe in Nick Williams.
I know Altair got a lion's share of playing time,
but once he started losing that playing time,
it was hard for him to gain his step back.
And he went down to the minors,
and I think it was too late to send him to the minors.
I would have liked to see him send him down there earlier to get his timing back. And he went down to the minors, and I thought, I think it was too late to send him to the minors. I would have liked to see him
send him down there earlier
to get his timing back.
So he's a timing-based hitter.
And I guess now he's,
he said he didn't really
change anything.
He just got more confident,
which maybe he's
a confidence player as well.
I don't know how to explain it.
He's been off and on.
Hopefully he can be more
of the 2017 Altair going forward.
I think he'll be fine.
And I like his upside more than Nick Williams.
I always have.
And I think next year I wouldn't hate if he's in left field
and Harper's in right field
and whoever between Quinter, Abdub, and center.
All right.
There's nothing I love more on this planet than your Aaron Altair.
Wait till we get to Nick Pavetta.
Yeah, wait till we get to Nick Pavetta.
But you mentioned him.
Real quick, let's talk Harper because report comes out.
We've seen a few reports now saying not just Harper but Machado.
Phillies are going for it this offseason.
Of course, Trout, we talked about that the last time you and I were on a pod.
The potential that if he turns down a big contract from the Angels,
Phillies could be in on that too.
It would be such a somber day if he signs a contract extension.
It would be the worst day.
It would be devastating.
I would be so sad. Because I genuinely in my soul believe that Mike Trout'll be such a somber day if he signs a contract extension. It'd be like the worst day. It'll be devastating. I'll be so sad.
Because I genuinely in my
soul believe that Mike Trout will be a Philly.
Last five years is all I thought about.
Let's start with Harper and Machado. We all know
how the Trout thing has to play out, especially because
with the Trout thing, it takes two to tango.
They ultimately do need the Angels to
A, not sign him long term, and then B,
be involved in a trade.
But Bryce Harper, Manny Machado are there,
and those guys are going to test the market.
Do you really think the Phillies are going to get both of these guys,
or do you think they get at least one?
Right now on September 17, 2018,
we're still three months away from free agency, all that stuff.
Where is your feel on this situation right now?
I can't believe we're going to blow all of our off-season content
on September 17th.
I have a feeling we're going to talk about this again.
Just a thought.
So right now, on September 17th, and this could obviously change,
I don't think they're going to get both.
I think they're going to get Harper because I think Machado is lock city
to the New York Yankees.
You've been saying that for a while.
Because that's what everyone, like his nephew goes on national TV, says he wants to see him play for the Yankees. He obviously talks to the Yankees. You've been saying that for a while. Because that's what everyone, like his nephew goes on national TV,
says he wants to see him play for the Yankees.
He obviously talks to the Yankees.
There's been multiple reports
that he tells his friends
that he wants to play for the Yankees.
Do the Yankees want him?
Or need him?
Well, they don't need him.
I mean, all right,
let's, for argument's sake,
let's say that he wants to go to the Yankees.
Why would the Yankees give him $300, $400 million
when they have Miguel Anduar,
they've got Gleybar Torres, they've got Didi Gregorius?
I mean, they're so locked down.
And they've got to pay Didi after next year?
I mean, they are locked down.
And, I mean, for what it's worth, Anduar and Torres,
the two best rookies in baseball this year other than Acuna.
Well, Soto.
Oh, and Soto.
Ah!
Hmm.
Not long term.
What Soto's doing at his age is better than those guys,
but Anduar has been better than Soto.
There's no question about it.
Dude, Juan Soto's batting 300 with 400 OBP and like 20 plus homers.
Anduar's batting close to 300 with 20 plus homers.
He's been up the entire season.
True.
Soto's been unbelievable.
They both have been very, very good.
And no time.
But regardless, for age, of course, what Soto's doing is unprecedented at that age.
Who'd you rather have, Acuna or Soto?
Acuna.
But I like both a lot. It's terrifying. Acuna is so good. It is terrifying. He's so good, of course. What Soto's doing is unprecedented at that age. Who would you rather have, Acuna or Soto? Acuna. But I like both a lot.
It's terrifying.
Acuna's so good.
It is terrifying.
He's so good, that dude.
I mean, I would love to have Ronald Acuna on my team.
I think that no one's Mike Trout.
I think in three years, Ronald Acuna's the second best player in baseball.
Yeah, it feels that way.
Yeah.
And Soto's like the next big power threat that's going to have like 40 homers a year.
He's 19.
It's terrifying. It's outrageous. Think about the the nls for a second i know we're
we're going to talk about the thing but um i've i've i'm very nervous about um soto trey turner
and rend zone all those young guys down there scherzer strasburg like rendon actually it's
not it's never been i know i know i couldn't believe you even uttered those words but like
i think the nationals are going to bounce back next year i just think they're i
think there's too much talent even if they lose harper sure i think there's too much talent there
i'm worried about them and the mets the mets have looked competent for the last couple of weeks and
their starting staff is getting like the exact wheelers turn into an absolute stud for them
he's been really good with the grom with the grom and Syndergaard finally maybe healthy for it.
I'm not worried about the Mets, but there's stuff
to be concerned about. And then you have the Braves,
Freeman, Acuna, and Albies.
Just unbelievable, the Braves. The amount of young talent
they have. And they've got a better pharmacist than the
Phillies still. And they've got, what, Riley?
The third base prospect. And then all
the pitching prospects in the world. Kyle Wright's up there now.
Tucson and Allard. And I mean, they are just
Newcomb's young, Fulton's young. They're're stacked the braves are stacked yeah it's it's very
it's very nerve-wracking that's why this offseason is so imperative that they get one of these guys
i agree with you if they don't get these guys like i don't want to be doomsday guy but it's over
it's not over but it's like it's not their path to being a legit contender in the nl is just
hard i i think that it is the most important offseason in
Philly's franchise history. Not even close. Yeah.
I mean, no question. And to your point, I agree with you.
I don't think they get both guys. Not because
of the Yankees thing just as much that
it just seems
impossible to me that they're actually going to go out and spend $800 million
on two guys. Not that I'd be against it.
I wouldn't care. I'm totally fine with it.
We've talked about this a lot, but
just to reiterate,
these might be the two greatest free agents in the history
of baseball in terms of years,
in terms of what they've already done at the Major League level, and in terms
of the future they have in front of them. It doesn't
get better than a 26 or 27-year-old
Bryce Harper or Manny Machado coming on the market.
It doesn't happen. Both are Hall of Famers, and will be
Hall of Famers. And they're young. They came
up so young, and we'll see it with Soto
and Acuna. Those will be guys who will have free agency at 27 years old or whatever.
26 for Soto.
It's a big deal for these guys to be this agent on the market.
It's a huge deal.
And even if they sign these guys to $40 million a year contracts,
they're still like $60 some million under the luxury tax.
Luxury tax.
They've got nothing on the books.
They've got nothing on the books.
They can easily do it's not they can
easily do it,
but it's feasible.
And if you're
Bryce Harper
and Manny Machado
and you-
Oh, I love this idea
by the way.
You put this out
there on Twitter, right?
Yeah, but-
I love this idea.
I love this idea.
You bring them both in.
You have a sit down
meeting with both of them
and you say,
listen, you guys are
two of the best players
in the game.
Imagine what you
could do together.
We can pay you.
There's no problem there.
We are willing to spend for whatever.
And you say, in Harper-Montreal, look at each other,
and they're like, why would we break up
when we can just join forces here in Philadelphia?
A little NBA action right there.
Yeah, right.
It's the NBA model.
It's the exact same thing.
And I think that's the play.
I don't think you'd go for just one of them meeting at different times.
Bring them both in together and see what happens.
I love that idea.
I saw you tweeted that out.
I love the concept of putting them in a room together.
You don't see that in Major League Baseball.
It's not something that's done,
but we've seen a lot in the NBA.
The idea of these guys joining forces
to go to a specific place
and for the two biggest free agents ever
in the same offseason
to potentially be in the same room and make that pitch to those guys
and you guys play together and let's build a freaking juggernaut.
And also what they'll do in that meeting at Del Fresco's,
which I already called, so Del Fresco's set it up,
is they're going to lay out their plan to get Mike Trout.
Yep.
And they're going to.
I'm speechless right now.
Just the thought of Harper, Machado and Trout
Think about that
That's three of the ten best players in baseball
I do not think it's
It can't be unfeasible
They have so much money
And they're willing to pay the luxury tax
If they have to
Money is no object to the Phillies
It's been that way for years
But that's what we're talking about right now.
The 2018 offseason is such a juxtaposition for this team
because if they strike out and they don't get either one,
they're screwed and you're waiting for Trout, right?
That's pretty much their plan.
If you get both of them and then you lay out a plan for Trout,
all of a sudden you're a freaking juggernaut.
Literal juggernaut.
It's like there's such a swing here between non,
like the Phillies would be competitive.
It's like all or nothing kind of thing almost.
Right.
So the Phillies would be competitive if they do nothing
because they do have the talent and they do have the depth,
but the depth isn't the high impact.
Like maybe Baum will be a high impact player.
I hope he is.
We hope.
We don't know that yet.
We just don't know that.
I think Adam Haley is going to be a really good player
and it looks like he might
even be in... There's talks of him being in the off-field
next year, which is crazy.
Moniacs obviously have been showing some flashes, but still
you don't have the high upside bats that
the other teams have, and
it's just hard for them to
reach a ceiling of a World Series winner
without the high impact bats.
Yeah. Like I said, I think the Royals
the only team I can think of in the last 20 years
that has won a World Series without at least one of those guys,
and the Giants had Posey.
I know that Posey might not seem that way,
but he is at that position to be one of us.
Well, he was an MVP.
Exactly, and that's my point.
So I can't think of another team other than the Kansas City Royals,
and the Royals did it,
and the Royals, that's probably the flukiest World Series you'll ever see.
Diamondbacks in 01, I guess Luis Gonzalez?
A little bit, yeah.
And that was Erie at 50-plus, Homer.
So he was a really good hitter that year.
And also, again, they had Johnson and Schilling.
So it's a little bit of a kind of a different circumstance.
But another good point.
But point being that you really increase your chances when you have those elite, high-end
type talents.
And how nervous are you that the Yankees sign both of them
and trade Giancarlo Stanton?
I'm not.
Really?
I think, let's just say, if George Steinbrenner were still the owner,
I'd be a lot more nervous about it.
I think Hal is much more pragmatic.
I just don't think that he goes about his business that way.
But what if you can get Machado and you trade Didi,
and then you have Harper and Wright,
and you trade Stanton to the Dodgers?
I think they could do it, and that would kind of free up some cap space
with the tax and kind of
make it work potentially. Look
It's a lot. I wouldn't be shocked if the Yankees did
anything to the Yankees but
I would be more surprised than not
if that's the way it played out but I agree one of them
and I'm with you too. I think Bryce Harper's a Philly
I really do. I feel if I
had to bet on one of those two guys. Was it because he hugged
Bruce Hoskins last week? No, but I like that.
I like that. It's because he was out there hanging with the grounds crew.
He's like, hey guys, I'm going to be here soon. And then Gabe.
Oh, dude. So Gabe and him are definitely lifting in the mornings
together, right? And they're going to go on jogs around
Philadelphia. It's going to be great. Yeah.
And I firmly want to plant my
flag on one
of these players. Yes. And it's long been
Machado. It has. i'm a harper guy
thank you welcome aboard sir i want bryce harper i wanted more than manny machado you argued about
this i know i know he is he is just so exciting and he's he's this this second half has really
helped fuel this awesome he's been he's been really really good um and now his ops is like
back above machado's even after he was hitting like 190,
which is like a ridiculous streak he's been on.
So I want Harper here.
I think it'd be really exciting for the fan base.
What do you think about Patrick Corbin?
I like Patrick Corbin a lot.
I like the adjustments he made into this year.
He looks like a bit of a different pitcher than he was before.
The talent was always there.
We talked about it.
Third pitch.
The talent was always there.
It was always a Patrick Corbin guy.
He just couldn't put it together.
My worry is the cost because...
Four years, 82?
Yeah, because he's had injury issues and stuff like that.
So I worry a little bit about that.
But look, I think, I mean,
he's probably going to be the number one pitcher on the market
because Kershaw will probably just get re-upped.
Yeah, I mean, I was thinking about this.
I was thinking about the next year's Phillies rotation.
And while some of the guys took a positive step forward, Eflin, Vel. Yeah, I mean, I was thinking about this. I was thinking about the next year's Phillies rotation and while some of the guys
took a positive step forward,
Eflin, Velasquez, Pavetta,
it's hard to trust them
in a 162-game season.
Especially Eflin at this point.
Eflin, and that's an interesting thing
on Eflin real quick,
is that in...
Ooh, yeah, we talked about this
on the last show.
On his fastball usage?
Yeah, and I'm surprised
they haven't upped it more.
Well, he did in his last start.
And he was good. He was good in his last start. And he was good.
He was good in his last start.
And so his fastball usage, his forcing fastball usage in his 5-0 June was 51%.
And it was like, it's great because it gets him ahead.
And his off-speed is just not that great to where it's wipeout stuff.
He has an adequate slider and an okay changeup.
But what was making him so good was his fastball.
And everything playing off his fastball looked much better. And I don't understand really what the okay changeup. But what was making him so good was his fastball. And everything playing off his fastball
looked much better. And I don't understand really
what the philosophy change was, but he just
stopped throwing it. Like, this month
and last month, he was in the low 40s.
And subsequently,
he was getting rocked.
And finally, this pass
started against the Marlins. He went back to attacking
with his fastball. And it made everything else look good.
So hopefully, they write that down and say, Zach, you're throwing your fastball, buddy.
Stop messing around.
But yeah, so next year's rotation, if Arrieta can be like your 4-5, 4-5, hopefully.
He's just not a number two.
They need another arm.
They need one more.
And I'm looking in the minors, and I think Sixto and Medina are probably two years away
from being in this rotation. Best case scenario, midseason next year i would say best case i think six
could be up here in september next year sure hopeful playoff run and maybe in the rotation
after that as a bullpen guy or something like that right so i don't hate the idea of throwing
big money at patrick corvin and if if you're if you're here to compete next year if you're trying
to make a legit run and which i believe they are it'll depend on the big moves but which i think they are and if they if they go to machado
and harper get one of them then all of a sudden you're trying to throw yourself into a world
series contending window and i don't see the arms in the minor leagues before and until you get to
six on medina that could be as good as patrick corbin yeah and also something the phillies don't
have someone who throws from the lefty that side huh, wouldn't that be fun to watch a lefty pitch
here? I mean, you know, a lefty starter?
Adam Morgan's right there, man.
Yeah, starter. Adam
Morgan, Jesus Christ.
I don't want to go too inside
baseball, but he was
really good last year. I don't know what happened.
Adam Morgan,
again, one of those guys who went from a guy we all
hated because he was a terrible starter, but then they put him in the pen he was legit he was a weapon as a left-handed
reliever and lost it all this year and it's the eye test like he looks hittable yeah bitches no
I know it's weird he was because they upped his slider usage last year and this year's slider
he hasn't been able to find the release point on it just like what happened to me in college
basically the same thing. Same exact thing.
You're the right-handed Adam Morgan.
Yeah, some say.
Some do.
All right, so we'll obviously dive way more into the Harper, Machado, all that stuff.
I think many times now until December.
Yeah, we're looking forward to January.
That's all we talk about.
It's going to be good.
It's going to be good.
But a few more things with this team, and then we'll get back to kind of looking ahead.
But some interesting stuff over the weekend.
We'll get to Carlos Santana in a minute
because I know you had some thoughts on Santana.
But I want to talk about the Saturday game.
The whole kingery of it all gets pulled in the second inning
for a pinch hitter.
Everyone loses their freaking minds.
The pitcher also, Velasquez, gets pinch hit for.
Granted, he gave up four runs in two innings,
so I think people were a little less angry about that one, but
you start Kingery, you pull him out. They end up
winning the game 5-4. A lot of interesting
nuggets with that game. I think it was the
first game in the history of baseball,
I believe, where no pitcher
pitched more than two innings in the entire game,
which is a really fascinating statistic. Or an ML
game where neither starter hit. Neither
starter hit. That was the other nugget,
I think both from Jason Sark, potentially. Regardless um it was a weird game they won the game and people
gay capler won the pretty mad about i that's my i think capler won them that game with the managing
but people are really criticizing for it well that's because i just i just i i don't understand
what is so hard to to like just think for two seconds about what the manager's
doing rather than being like oh stupid analytics what are they doing here like it's just it's
driving me insane critically think for five seconds right we are like for this entire season
scott kingery's been a complete bust and everyone's been saying get him out of the lineup get someone
else in here just so we can see anyone else play shortstop, right?
And they start a lefty on the mound, and it's fine to play Kingery.
I think Kingery's looked better in recent weeks.
I want to see him play more.
I think it's important.
You've actually been hyping Kingery up a lot.
And I want to see him play.
I really do.
But Gabe Kapler thinks they're still in this thing,
and they're only five games out of the wild card.
Right, and to be fair, he has to manage that way. You can're only five games out of the wild card. And to be fair,
he has to manage that way. You can't rip him for managing to win.
Right.
So a lefty starts, it's fine playing
Kingery because if you want to pull him against
righties, that's different. So a lefty starts,
they get to the second inning, and a righty
comes in, and you have second
and third no outs, or whatever it was.
There's no outs. You have to play to win there. and when you have a guy like a drupal cabrera
who is a better hitter who can come off the bench and play shortstop and can hit like it was an
absolute no-brainer decision and i i can't but like dude he's gonna ruin scott kingery's confidence
scott kingery if he's if he's that emotionally weak shouldn't be in the major leagues because
he at some point you have to be realistic and say this makes a lot of sense on paper like i i don't understand the the outcry for for pulling him
there and everyone's like well why didn't you just start it true because there was a freaking lefty
on the map like they were trying to optimize the lineup by by doing that and it's just it's just
continued with this stupid this it's just like, I want Gabe Kapler to succeed
just because
this city can stop dragging its knuckles
across the freaking ground.
Like it's caveman thoughts.
And here's the thing,
if that happens in August, July, June, whatever,
you can somewhat have a gripe
because you can say you're losing a guy
in the second inning,
you need roster depth,
it could be a tie game,
you could go to extra innings.
They have 40 million rosters right now.
I know.
There's no reason to rip that move.
There's none.
I get it why people,
it's not like you pinch hit
for Reese freaking Hoskins, all right?
I mean, come on.
And again, they won the baseball game.
That should be the biggest takeaway.
And I think it was actually a really impressive win
down early, fought back,
and they had seven relievers combined
to throw seven shutout innings.
I mean, that's called managing is what that's called.
It's called managing, and Kavler did a really nice job of it there.
Speaking of managing, I've seen a little bit of Carlos Santana at third base.
A lot of Carlos Santana at third base.
Yeah, you have an interesting theory on this or a hope for this.
Well, I don't want to give away Carlos Santana.
I think Carlos Santana is the second best offensive player in the Phillies.
And he's going to end up the season with the
most RBIs in his career, over
100 walks, all that good stuff. He's had
a pretty good Carlos Santana
season. Obviously, a lot of his numbers in the last
month have jumped his average. He's up in the
230s now after being in the 218
range. And it's been a hot streak
when the games haven't really mattered, which
is very Bobby Abreu of him for a lot of Phillies fans in this in this area but I think Carlos Santana is a
valuable um offensive player and I think he's a better first he's obviously a way better first
base than the Reese Hoskins is it's not close and the my only argument for ever getting the DH in
the NL is so that Reese Hoskins can get out of the field and it is a good argument because
folks there is nowhere you could put Reese Hoskins can get out of the field. And it is a good argument because folks,
there is nowhere you could put Reese Hoskins in the field where he will be good.
And I think what the Phillies did this year was they wanted to see how Reese
could do for as much as they,
they put on this facade that they were going for it.
It was still a developmental year to see what they have in a lot of these
players.
And I think what they tried.
I think Klintak kind of said as much whenever asked about the moves,
he was very clear that they did not expect this team to be where it was this year.
And, you know, they're doing the best they can in the situation that has kind of changed their thinking.
Right.
So if you weren't projected to be that good, why not see if Reese Hoskins is going to play in left field?
And I think what they've learned is that he can't.
And I know it's probably the least important defensive position, but still.
Definitely the least important, but yes.
It's still a defensive position,
and I think it's made Adubo Herrera a worse defensive center fielder
because he has Reese Hoskins next to him,
and he has to think about that much more space he has to cover
because Reese can't get to anything, he's a bad arm.
So they've been playing Carlos Santana at third base a lot,
and there was a report from Jim Salisbury
in the middle of last week saying that they did explore
the option of trading Carlos Santana
at the deadline to free up first base
to bring Hoskins back.
And I think they want to do that.
But I don't hate the idea of a good amount
of Carlos Santana at third base
because listen, the lineup becomes way better.
He's been okay at it.
He's been serviceable.
He's been solid out there.
Listen, he's not going to be a stud third baseman,
but if you can take the offensive upside of having both Hoskins and Santana,
but Hoskins in a better position defensively,
and you can have Santana at third base where he's at least somewhat adequate,
I think the upside offensively is better than getting rid of Santana,
having Franco back at third base, and Hoskins at first base.
I just like the upside offensively.
And also maybe you can put Santana at first
and put Hoskins on left field for maybe once or twice a week
and still have Santana at third base.
It's interesting that they've been doing that.
I think they're trying to find a way to keep Carlos Santana
because I don't think they want to move a valuable offensive piece like him.
I agree with you, and I don't think they should move him.
Look, let's put it this way.
I'd rather have Santana back at first base and Hoskins in left field again than have Santana not on this team for a stupid reason,
like they just want to move Hoskins back to first base.
But I agree with you.
I think the third basing is interesting.
I mean, Carlos Santana started in left field for a World Series,
in the World Series, in Game 1 of the World Series.
He sure did.
And he batted leadoff.
So, Gabe's, again, just reinventing the game of baseball.
Doing stuff no one's ever done before, Jack.
But it begs the question, there's this island that I haven't been on
that you've been on very vocally.
But you're out for next year.
This is it?
It's the end?
Are you off the island?
What's going on here?
Mike Calfranco. He might be hurt now, but you're already out for next year. This is it. It's the end. Are you off the island? What's going on here? Mike Calfranco?
He might be hurt now, but you're already
out for next year. We're talking about next year.
What's going on, Fritzy?
What's going on? I never really trusted
Mike Calfranco.
Yes! Give it to me!
Pump it into my veins!
I think he's a fine player.
He's mostly a fine
player. I have no problem moving on for Minnesota season because I don't think he's a fine player. I think he's mostly a fine player. I have no problem moving on from him this offseason
because I don't think he's consistently going to be able to figure it out
offensively for an entire 162.
Which is what we've seen, and that's the consistency issue that he's always had.
He has always had that issue.
So, yeah, I'm interested because if they – this offseason is very –
it's one of the biggest offseasons.
Regardless of Harper, Machado, all those sweepstakes, if they this offseason is very it's one of the biggest offices regardless of um harper machado
all those sweepstakes they have to make the decisions on on cesar they'd make decisions on
maybe kingery crawford yep they're gonna make decisions on michael franco there's a lot of
decisions made yep can you trust roman oh doable is a great i mean that's it what do you do there
i don't know because the contract is great you're not just giving him away you're not getting rid
of him you're not cutting him But you're also selling him low.
Exactly. That's my issue. It's like, you could
trade him, but you're selling him low. And we all
know, if you really want to trade him,
have him back out there, have a hot streak, and then trade
him after that, or whatever. But
I think Odubel may be the most interesting
decision that they have in terms of the
current roster. Yeah, I don't know what they're going
to do. And they gotta...
This offseason could shape everything because
if they trade those guys and they turn out
to be good and the guys who keep turn out to be bad,
then it's like your
talent evaluation is way off. As if we haven't heard
enough Matt Klintec hate on us. Right.
I mean, that's a fireball offense. That would be
bad, man. I mean, that'd be bad. It'd be
really bad. Again, it's a huge
offseason. And it's not just because of the big
signings. It's everything. Deciding what to do with the rotation the future of this franchise will be decided this
offseason and we can only hope that it's for the best no and i i've thought about this a lot i've
literally been i've been texting you this awake at night about i've been texting you this since
like 2017 if and like i try not to think about it because when i start thinking about it i go into
a dark place deep hole man yeah i'll get texts from Jack at weird hours, just these despondent texts like,
Phillies don't sign Harper.
It's over.
It's just done.
It's over.
I know.
I know.
To clarify, you think they have to get one of these guys?
Because if they don't, then they don't have a realistic path to winning a championship.
I just don't think that.
The staff could be – they have a bunch of very good major league players.
I think Hoskins is above average.
I think he's going to be.
I think he's going to be.
And Nola is above average, obviously.
But you can't just have one of those guys.
I agree with you.
You have to have at least three or four.
I agree.
And I don't know who the others will be.
Yeah, I agree.
And especially when you look at an Atlanta team
in this division,
and like you said,
Washington already has three of them
if you think Soto's going to be one.
You know, Atlanta has the potential. They already have at least two maybe if you consider
Albies one I don't think he's there yet but I mean the potential is so high for all those guys
Freddie Freeman I mean he's a he's a star and they have guys like that so I think it's going to be
especially crucial you mentioned Klintak I meant to ask you about this uh did you get a chance to
see some of the quotes from Klintak speaking to the media,
talking about this past season and kind of where he was at with thinking differently and talked a
little bit about some of the moves and all that type of stuff. I thought there was some interesting
stuff in there as Klintak kind of just goes at the media and says, basically, like, we are going to
do things differently. We want to do things differently. We don't want to do things the
way people have done things for the last 120 years. Sometimes it's going to work.
Sometimes it's not going to work.
But we're going to keep trying those things.
And I don't understand how people can get so upset about these things.
I don't understand how people still get mad when they're just trying to see what works.
And if it doesn't work, they're not going to do it.
And if it works, hey, that's awesome.
We got an advantage on other people.
You're trying to find market inefficiencies, Jack.
Did no one read Moneyball?
Right.
Or Astro Ball?
Or Astro Ball.
Yeah, I mean, the games, what teams are doing right now
are they're trying to find the next innovation.
Yep.
The next market inefficiency.
Yeah, and the Phillies are hopefully,
and the fact that they're thinking that way is a very good sign.
They're not trying to fit in with what everyone else is doing. They tried
Hoskins in left field this year. That's
number one. That's the first thing that
we're going to see. We have
seen in them trying to be different, and I don't
think it worked out. And I think they know that it didn't
work out, and that's why we've seen more and more
of Carlos Santana at
third base and Hoskins at first base. And I hope we see
more of that just to see if it's good.
But listen,
the fact that they're thinking that way,
I think is a,
a healthy thing.
Another interesting thing he addressed that we didn't talk about the firing of
the hitting coaches,
Joe Jordan,
of course leaves.
This is an interesting organizational philosophy type of thing here.
Getting rid of those hitting coaches,
getting in guys who are going to do what they do.
How do you come down on this?
Cause I know we've had a lot of people complain about the approach offensively where you
where you at on this right now uh so it's weird so maylee did a a guy sit down with todd's lucky
and he's talking about selectively aggressive hitting and how they will be aggressive if they
get their pitch early and counts which in theory sounds good but doesn't really make sense because
like if a pitcher knows that he's looking for one pitch early to count like why would you throw that
pitch so i was like i mean good it's good to be aggressive on pitches that you can try to slug
but when you when the pitcher knows that and they know your tendencies they're not going to throw
that pitch so you're going to end up being down to like with Kingery and,
and all that stuff.
So it was,
it was a bit weird.
The,
the mainly quotes,
I didn't,
I didn't like them a lot.
But so the firing or the hitting coaches and Joe Jordan,
I don't love the idea of,
of getting rid of old school scouts.
And I think,
I think a lot of the analytics and,
and looking for players in in
that kind of way has been good for the game but i've read multiple stories in the last couple
weeks like even de grom um when they were scouting him yeah it's a great story like you don't find
de grom without traditional scouting so i think i think there is a place for traditional scouting
and getting rid of all the old school like joe jordan's an old school baseball guy big time that's
what he
is and i don't love the idea of of moving on from those guys the hitting coaches i think is a little
different because i'm kind of looking at the dodgers model and they are all about launch angle
and driving and and finding guys like i'm just in my mind i'm thinking of max muncy jock peterson
is money grand all um all the cody bellinger that are just looking to just launch on balls.
And I think that's what's going to be implemented in the lower levels.
And I don't think they want the old hitting coach.
That's fine.
I think what they're trying to do is they're trying to build a Dodger-like team
here in Philadelphia, a team that's just out there looking to slug.
And really, the Dodgers are just what the Phillies are, just souped up.
Just more talented.
More talented than the Phillies.
That's what they are.
And getting rid of the hitting coaches and having these guys just teach
launching on balls was what I think those moves were about.
Yeah, and look, whether or not you agree with the approach offensively,
and look, as Jack just mentioned, there are a lot of very successful teams
in baseball who approach hitting this way. Well, it's the as Jack just mentioned, there are a lot of very successful teams in baseball who approach hitting this way.
So it's the Dodgers that approach it.
And I think I'm just trying to think just to balance it out.
Teams that are not really like this are the Red Sox and Astros are more.
They don't have great strikeout numbers.
They're looking to be aggressive early in counts to drive the ball, whereas the Dodgers and Phillies are more weighted out.
And regardless.
And look, we've seen it have success at times this year.
You know, it's struggled, but at the same time, it's also,
I think in some ways, raised some talent that's maybe not as good
and got a little more production at times than you would expect.
But regardless, just from a philosophical perspective,
I love the idea that they are instituting a top-down type of thing
where they're saying, we are going to teach hitting the same way to everybody.
We're not going to have this guy who loves to teach this
and this guy loves to teach that
and this guy loves to teach that.
No.
We're all going to teach the same thing.
We as an organization are all moving in unison
in the same direction.
We have to.
I love that, though.
I mean, that's something that wasn't happening before.
I do agree with you, though,
about the old school scout thing.
I think there is absolutely a place in baseball for them.
I think that to think that you can just get by on numbers,
numbers are incredibly important.
We're both analytics guys, all that.
I think it is foolhardy to think that you can just shirk scouting
and old school scouting and looking at the player
and what do they do and whatever,
and maybe because his numbers are this,
but look what he's doing with his hands.
We can fix it, whatever.
I think it is a mistake to completely just ignore that.
Yeah, and so do I.
And when you talk about the whole organizational top-down thing,
I don't understand why it took him so long.
Like, Klintak's been here for a couple years.
That's why I was –
It's something you would think would happen like that immediately.
Like, we're instituting what we do.
So the first thing Theo Epstein did when he took over the Cubs
that fraud Theo Epstein
just kidding.
Just kidding.
Was he implemented
the Cubs way
and he wrote a whole handbook
the Cubs way
distributed to all
the minor league levels
and maybe Klintek
did the same thing.
Maybe he did this whole manifesto
about how the Phillies
are going to play baseball
and maybe the hitting coaches
that were released
didn't believe in that philosophy
and it took them a couple seasons
to weed out
who they believed in and who they didn't believe in.
I think that may be what is happening here.
Because they didn't want to come in and just completely clean house and have players learning from new coaches all of a sudden.
Even though they had.
So maybe that's it.
And I think the best comp I have for the Phillies offense.
And I usually don't like trying to compare baseball to other sports or sports to other sports.
But it reminds me a lot of the process Sixers
in the sense that
you could see the offensive system worked.
It was just they didn't have the talent
to put the ball in the hoop.
They were shooting more threes.
Going from last year to this year
was like a basketball team
who only shot mid-range jumpers
going to three-pointers.
And that's an analytical revolution.
And that's what they basically did this year.
The Sixers, they finally found players that could shoot threes.
It's a great point.
And it spaced the floor.
I love this comp.
And with the Phillies, hopefully a lot of this season was about seeing
who can play into their slug mindset.
And I think a guy like Cesar Hernandez, I don't think he can play into it.
Just because he has raised his fly ball rate this year,
but it's conversed with a lower batting average,
and it didn't work for him.
And his fly balls don't travel far enough.
Right.
It sort of comes down to that.
He's a line-to-line hitter.
That's just what he is.
And I think they're going to move on from him this offseason
because of that.
Aduble, I don't think he plays into it.
I don't think at all he plays into it.
He's a natural bat-to-ball hitter.
He's not a long-trangle guy,ter. He's not a launch angle guy,
and I wonder if his struggles had to do with
trying to fit this launch angle process,
which he's just not.
That's not the kind of hitter he is.
And I think a lot of the season was about
the Phillies evaluating who they can trust
in their offensive system.
And I think Santana and Hoskins
both have great line drive rates in that
they they stay it always feels like their balls are always in the air and they're always slugged
pretty hard even though you know Santana's average hasn't been great this year there was never one
point where I was like he's really struggling at the plate he's still driving the ball it was just
that it would be right at people because of the shifts and stuff so I think you're going to see
more of guys like Hoskins and Santana
that are in the business of line drives.
Yeah, and look, just again, as an organizational philosophy,
I like the idea of training guys from the jump,
of how you want them to hit when they get to the major leagues.
The Indians, you know, who had a lot of success
by being a very smart, analytically inclined organization,
the most analytically inclined for a very long time,
kind of set the standard originally.
A lot of the general manager in baseball were former Indians guys.
But they've started drafting based on guys
who have the ability to hit to all fields.
Because they said, oh, well, look at the shift.
Let's change our approach to try and combat that.
I mean, I just think that having an organizational philosophy and
whether some fans agree with it or not,
implementing something at the
lower levels and carrying it all the way through
is a good plan. And what the Rays have done this
year is they have... By the way,
shout out to the Rays. I mean, Kevin Cash
should be manager of the year. He should win it
from both leagues. I mean, give him
all the awards. It is unbelievable what that
club has done. Right, and I guess their offensive philosophy this year,
or offensive philosophy,
is like formatting their approach
to what the players' strengths are.
Crazy idea.
What a wild thought.
It's interesting.
I don't know.
I saw this whole piece on them
just trying to fit.
It's not like launch angle.
It's just making what the player does well better.
Yep.
Which I'm interested in that.
I love that idea.
And again.
I just don't think the Phillies are going that route.
And again, to all those people out there hating on analytics,
all these teams we're talking about are huge analytic teams.
They rely on analytics.
That is baseball now.
Sorry.
I know.
I don't like it.
It's just where the sport is.
I still don't like the opener. I don't care what anyone says. It's not fun. Incredibly effective, but I agree. Sorry. I know. I don't like it. It's just where the sport is. I still don't like the opener.
I don't care what anyone says.
It's not fun.
Incredibly effective, but I agree.
It's not fun.
As a fan, it's not fun, but it works.
It works.
So I think hopefully next year, and obviously this year is not completely done, but they
have the offensive system in place, and I think they're going to start finding players
that fit that offensive system.
We are glad that they have a whole top-down approach from
an organizational standpoint.
Took them a little while to figure it out,
but it's a good place where
this team's at, and this is the most important offseason
in team history. By far.
Before we get to the offseason, really quickly, what are you looking
for over the last 14 games? Is there anything
again, we just want to see the young kids play
and maybe see some development or whatever, but is there
anything specifically you're looking for?
Or is it just kind of right out the string?
Pavetta, whenever he starts.
Yeah, let's talk about Pavetta for one second.
Because I think I was the only person that was watching the Phillies yesterday.
Because I had to.
Oh, yeah.
I think you were.
Which is miserable.
Yeah.
Tough timing for the Phillies there.
Yeah.
Whatever.
But Pavetta had his best curveball in about two months.
And what made me so excited and bullish on Pavetta
was the fastball coupled with that curveball
because that curveball is wicked.
But he hasn't really had it for the last two months.
He's been pitching without it.
And that's why his ERA is conversely blown up.
He struck out eight in like five innings yesterday.
It was back to being a good, hard curveball from Pavetta.
I want to see more of that as the season goes on.
He's hitting like 97 too, so that was exciting.
But still, needs that third pitch, obviously.
I'm interested.
I want to see more Santana at third, Hoskins at first.
I want to see that outfield.
I want to see a Kingery Crawford middle.
Give me a game.
Just give me a game, see what it looks like.
See what it looks like, man. I just want to see what Kingery is. middle just for give me a game just give me a game see what it looks like see what it looks like I just want to see what Kingery hasn't played second base
I was about to say it's unbelievable how little second base that guy's played it's crazy I think
he's played like three innings of second base yeah I think he got one start I think it was one start
all season long one start yeah it's ridiculous and maybe they'll keep playing Cesar just to get
his value to wherever it can possibly be to trade in the soft season. Quinn, I want to see if he can stay healthy.
Listen, he's really susceptible to a high fastball,
and I want to see if he can fix that.
But even with a major hole in a swing,
he's still been batting like 325.
He's been good, man.
I'm interested to see what he can do.
Obviously, it's hard to trust him
because he can never stay healthy.
It's all about the health.
If he stays healthy,
he's a dynamic guy to have on your team.
He's fun.
He's a fun player to have.
Crawford made some swing adjustments. His hands are lower now. he's not wrapping the bat as much look good um still defense is still weird he made another error yesterday that kind of caught
he made an error that cost him out of a run so he forever he's dead to me but um if you can get
past that uh that'd be great so he's his throwing errors have just been weird this year hopefully he
can fix that out fix that up a little bit,
and his hands are dropped,
and maybe there's some offensive outside there.
So I'm looking for that stuff.
And maybe Wilson Ramos won't approve of Dela Saucy.
I like that.
Wilson Ramos, I was thinking this the other day,
he doesn't play enough to where you're going to bury Jorge Alfaro
because he can't because of his hamstrings.
Yeah, he can't play enough.
He can't play a bunch.
He's kind of a perfect guy to have as a compliment to Alfaro.
I don't think it would stun Alfaro's growth, and I would like to see him back here.
I feel like I've seen Alfaro play just as much as all season long.
This is the trade.
It's like he hasn't lost any playing time.
Also, he is infuriating.
He drives you crazy.
I think he's got a hole in his back.
Yeah, he does.
It's unbelievable.
Some of the pitches he missed, you're like, how'd you miss that?
I know.
What happened there? I know. does. It's unbelievable. Some of the pitches he missed, you're like, how'd you miss that? I know. What happened there? I know.
His offseason's important. His offseason's important
especially also from the, we've seen
a lot of growth defensively.
He needs to use his brain a little bit more. He makes stupid
decisions a lot. And he's gotta
stop dropping to one leg on balls in there.
Yes, he's gotta, like what is he doing there?
I know. It's laziness.
It's laziness from the sense you gotta
get to both knees and get around the ball and keep it in front of you.
All right, Fritzy.
We'll be back later this week.
Phillies-Mets and then the final 11-game gauntlet.
It looks so much fun against the Braves and the Rockies.
It's supposed to be so much better.
Who knows?
Maybe they'll sweep the Braves.
They won't.
Jackie, final thoughts.
Listen, man, we haven't gotten a review since August 6th.
What?
And I still check every day
oh it's been over jack guys every day looking for a new review please be that person who makes
tracks that reviews the high hopes pocket okay my final thought don mattingly came out after the
game on saturday and had a righteous beef i agree with don mattingly it is ridiculous that you could
just have 40 players active for every game. You should have to
change your 25. They have to change that rule.
They have to change that rule. You can have 40 men on a
roster, but you can only use 25. Exactly.
And you have to designate it before the game. It is just
it is right. It is not the game that they play
for the first five months of the season.
I thought Don Mattingly was dead on with that. But he was also
a hypocrite because he said this isn't baseball,
but he started it.
So
It's a good point, Jack. Pipe down So, so, so, so good point, Jack.
Pipe down, Donnie. Good point, Donnie.
Baseball pipe down. All right. I love it.
We'll be back later in the week.
Hopefully, hopefully, if we can win another series,
Jack, finally got a series win. So that is, they did it.
Something exciting.
For Fritz, I'm Seltzer. We'll talk to you guys later.
All-star closer, Kenley Jansen. We have a
question. What's the best podcast of all
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