How I Built This with Guy Raz - HIBT Lab! Boom Supersonic: Blake Scholl

Episode Date: February 23, 2023

Commercial air travel has been stuck below the sound barrier for about 20 years, since the Concorde’s last flight in 2003. While the technology exists to fly about twice as fast as we do no...w, conventional wisdom in the aerospace industry is that supersonic flight simply doesn’t make economic sense. Blake Scholl disagrees...This week on How I Built This Lab, Blake tells Guy how Boom Supersonic is working to revive the dream of supersonic air travel—and already has orders from major airlines like United and American for their first supersonic aircraft, the Overture. Plus, Blake describes his transformation from tech startup founder to aviation leader and discusses how founder-led companies can foster innovation in commercial flight. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

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Starting point is 00:01:44 made it feel less like a visit and more like we were actually living there. Plus, taking a trip is the perfect time to host your space on Airbnb. your place with all of its personal touches and its amazing location could make someone else's vacation even better your home might be worth more than you think find out how much at arbb.ca slash host hey welcome to how i built this lab i'm guy ross so imagine getting on a jet in new york and arriving in paris just three hours later well for a long time that was possible from the mid-70s to the early 2000s, the Concord made the dream of supersonic commercial flight a reality. It would whisk passengers across oceans in half the time it takes today. The problem was it was
Starting point is 00:02:36 really, really expensive. It takes a ton of fuel to fly that fast. And the planes had to be so skinny and aerodynamic that they couldn't carry as many passengers as a typical airliner. And so the Concord just didn't make economic sense. Now, it's been 20 years since the The last commercial supersonic flight happened in 2003. But today's guest, Blake Scholl, hopes to change that. His company, Boom Supersonic is designing a new generation of supersonic airplanes for commercial flight, and they've announced partnerships with several major airlines who hope to have those planes flying with passengers by the end of this decade.
Starting point is 00:03:16 Growing up in Ohio, Blake was one of those kids who was obsessed with airplanes. He loved to draw pictures of them. love to watch the fly, and he would dream about building them. As a teenager, that fascination gave way to an interest in computers and other technologies, leading to an early career as a software engineer at Amazon. I remember my first meeting with Bezos was when I was, I think I was 22. Wow. And it was, my boss's boss had told me, hey, Jeff has strong opinions about this project you're about to start. And you should go meet him and listen to him and earn his trust so it doesn't micromanage your stuff. And so I was, I was 22. I was nervous as I'll get out. This was right
Starting point is 00:04:01 when the Segway had come out. If we can remember that thing. Oh, yeah. Yeah. And Amazon back then was the exclusive retailer for the Segway. And so it's 5 o'clock on a Friday, me and my direct manager and the CEO of the company. Wow. And Jeff walks in it. He's like, hey, guys, what to ride my segue? And we spent the first 30 minutes of that meeting. Just going up and down the halls of Amazon headquarters on Jeff Segway. Yeah, that sounds fun. Oh, it was a total blast. I can't imagine a better icebreaker that got me to calm down and be able to really engage with him.
Starting point is 00:04:32 So you ended up working at Amazon for five years and I left in 2006 to go to a startup called Pelago, which I guess was like a kind of early social media mobile app. It was, think of it as Yelp plus Go. Google Maps plus four square on a Motorola razor in 2006. I'm already overwhelmed. Too much information. I don't think I could handle all that. That was exactly the story of the failure of that product.
Starting point is 00:05:02 You nailed it. I think one of the mistakes we made at Pelago was trying to build a product that had all the maturity of what Amazon was after a decade on day one. And it was overwhelming to develop and it was overwhelming for customers. And there are so many good ideas. Had we just picked one, it could have been a massive success, but we tried to do too many. Right. Yeah, I had a razor myself. I kind of miss it now because I look at my smartphone too much. I wish I had the razor just answer calls and send texts. It's a simpler time. Simpler times. All right, from what I understand, this is around the time while you were there at this company, Pelago, that you kind of really got interested in flying.
Starting point is 00:05:43 Well, I started flying for fun a few years earlier when I was in college. I remember in high school, a classmate was getting flying lessons. And I remember being really jealous. And I was like, man, I want to go do that. And when I did one of my internships in college, and I was like one exit down the highway in the San Francisco Bay Area from a little airport. And I'm like, wait a minute, I can get flying lessons. And so I think I got like 10 hours of flying lessons, something like that. And I didn't come back to it until kind of the time period we were talking about when I was at Pelago and started to finish my pilot's license and kind of just got more.
Starting point is 00:06:18 interested in how airplanes work. And that was about the time period where I set a lifetime goal of flying supersonic. Yeah. All right. So you got your pilot's license and you're working at the startup, which you eventually leave. And you start up your own startup called chemo labs, which was, I guess, was an app with like a barcode and mobile payment services. Tell me about chemo labs. To be honest about it, it was not really a success. We started with what I think, thought I was good at rather than what I thought should exist in the world. And so, like, hey, I know e-commerce from Amazon. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:06:56 And I know mobile social from my time at Pelago. So what should I do? I should do mobile e-commerce because, like, surely that's going to be a thing. Yeah. But I've come to believe that's actually a backwards way to think about it because skills and knowledge are highly variable. Like, you can learn new things. But passion is a lot less variable.
Starting point is 00:07:16 And so I went where I thought I knew stuff rather than trying to build something that I really wanted to exist in the world. And so the main thing we built was this thing called Barcode Hero that was kind of a barcode scanning game and then when you're shopping in a store you could go scan a barcode
Starting point is 00:07:34 and it would like pull up all the other content that people would put in and help you figure out like what headphones you want to buy or whatnot. Right. Well, you did end up selling the company. It was acquired by Groupon.
Starting point is 00:07:46 You know, obviously a famous sort of, I don't know if cautionary tale is totally fair, but I mean, it was a massive unicorn. It went public. It was valued like $30 billion at one point. And then, you know, just declined in its value quickly as people realize you could replicate the model. I think at one point, like Google, maybe I'd offered to buy Groupon, which they did not accept. So you were there, you were there when all this is happening, when it was like kind of in a little bit of free fall, I think. In a way, I mean, my synthesis of Groupon is it's a story of massively lost potential. In my view, that company had all the potential to be worth $30 or $100 billion and really to have earned it. But they made kind of one critical mistake, which was taking the company public before they were operationally ready to do it. Not because the business was in free fall, but for just dumb reasons. Like the right data wasn't in the accounting system. And so. was, you know, it was just really stumbling over their own internal ability. And this is what happens is now they're missing earnings and they're missing earnings and they're missing earnings. And there's, there's pressure from Wall Street. The visionary CEO got fired. Yeah. That's Andrew Mason, right? That's Andrew Mason. Yeah. And what, what Groupon, I think, could have been, there's so many pitches I've heard in, in local commerce that require solving a chicken and egg problem. You have to have a digital connection to the consumer and a digital
Starting point is 00:09:12 connection to the merchant, and that's very hard to bootstrap. But Groupon with the digital coupon thing, figured how to bootstrap it. They had a massive collection of chickens and eggs. And Andrew Mason had a really compelling vision to turn that into something amazing. Like, imagine you could book a reservation on your phone. And when you book the reservation, it says, hey, you know, would you like a picture of margaritas and calamari on the table when you get there and you say, yes, obviously? And then, you know, the digital connection would go all the way into the back into the restaurant. So when your reservation is coming up, you know, the bartender starts making your drinks and the kitchen starts firing the calamari. You show up, it lands on the table as you
Starting point is 00:09:47 sit down. And then, you know, when you're done with your meal, you get up and leave and it just build your Groupon account. And that's an experience that, like, still doesn't exist. And in Groupon has sort of collected all the sort of key infrastructure pieces to make this a reality. They kind of bought my company for some of the pieces. And we went and we bought another point of sale company to do this. And then Andrew got fired. And the focus really shifted on, well, we just got to focus on the next quarter. Yeah. And then the business became what it's caricatured for, which is this not differentiated
Starting point is 00:10:20 internet coupon business. But like, boy, it's missed potential. Yeah. I notice on your LinkedIn page, it says 2012, 2014 works a Groupon and you write right under it. There's nothing like working on internet coupons to make you yearn to build something you truly love, which, you know, was a bit of a chuckle. And Groupon, obviously, a smart company and offered an interesting product, but that wasn't really where your heart was. And I wonder when you, you know, when your previous company was acquired by Groupon, obviously, you make a commitment
Starting point is 00:10:52 to stay with the acquiring company oftentimes. But were you already at that point thinking about something in aviation? Yes and no. I had this thing on my to-do list that had been on there for years called Figure Out to Start an Aviation Company. Huh. And I ordered some books to read, some textbooks on airplane design. And honestly, I did nothing with it. It sat there on my to do list with nothing but books to order that were sitting collecting dust in my bookshelf. So I knew in the back of my mind that kind of one day, I would love to find a way to intersect
Starting point is 00:11:27 my career with flight because I was so passionate about it. And I also knew that there was just so much that was broken in air travel. Like I would get on an airplane and just as a thought experiment, I would say, man, what would this thing be like if Steve Jobs and Johnny Ive had designed it? Yeah, it would be awesome. It'd be totally awesome. But just even asking that question makes it so much easier to see just how bad it really is today and how much opportunity there is. And so all this is sort of rattling around the back of my head.
Starting point is 00:12:01 But I wasn't, at that point in my life, I wasn't doing anything with it. Yeah. I mean, air travel is a miracle. You know, you're up in a metal tube flying across the country or the world. And it is incredible. But that technology, I mean, jet travel hasn't changed, right? It hasn't changed in 50 years. It's basically been updated, made more efficient and modernized. But it's the same basic principle. You know, there's a jet engine. You get in the plane and then it takes off and you. land and it's that's it. That's right. I mean, I find it very paradoxical because on one hand, it is this amazing thing that it exists. I mean, we take off on the runway accelerating to hundreds of miles per hour, climbing into the sky and near perfect safety. We get to look down at that view that humans were not born to have that frankly no bird can have where we get to take in all the natural beauty of our world as well as what we know we as humanity have created. and that singular vantage point provided by the airplane is this amazing, very visceral manifestation of what humanity is accomplished.
Starting point is 00:13:08 And yet, on the other hand, like you said, it hasn't gotten any better in half a century. And in fact, it's gotten worse in a lot of ways. And so in my mind, it represents both the pinnacle of human achievement, but also this very weird thing where we've stopped and gone backwards. Yeah. I mean, if you think about innovation, you know, we've had both Herb Keller, Her, the founder, of Southwest Airlines and David Nealman of JetBlue on the show in the past. And they were both true innovators, right? I mean, not necessarily around aircraft technology, but around how to make air travel cheaper and more accessible and more efficient. I mean, the main thing that's
Starting point is 00:13:46 changed in the last 50 years is that more people can fly because it's cheaper, right? You can pack more people in and it's more efficient, but it's certainly not a pleasant experience to fly on a commercial airplane today. No, we've turned something that, in my view, people should be incredibly inspired by and look forward to into an experience that most of us dread. And it doesn't have to be that way. It's solvable. But you were talking about how, you know, Herb and Dave Nealman and there have been others who have been great innovators in making travel more accessible, more affordable. You know, they've both innovated with experience.
Starting point is 00:14:23 But if you look at the history of entrepreneurship and aviation broadly, there was. was kind of a first era, starting from the Wright brothers, and going until the 1960s, where there were entrepreneurs focused on the airplanes themselves. And then in the 1960s, basically all the entrepreneurs in the aircraft companies retired. And if we look at that entire now, more than a hundred year history of aviation, I think it shows a really interesting pattern that I bet we could find in other industries as well, which is founder-led companies tend to push what the product can do. And then when the founders retire, What happens in those companies?
Starting point is 00:15:00 Well, they promote the most successful executive that reported to them who by definition is really different than the founder because they had to compliment the founder. And so what do they do? They go in optimization mode. And so if you look at all commercial aviation over the last half century, what have we done? We've optimized. Like, you know, Google a picture of Boeing's first airliner, the 707, and put that right next to a picture of the 787. And if you're not an airplane nerd, it's actually kind of hard to spot the differences. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:15:27 It's optimized. It's a much better, more efficient, safer machine that does exactly the same job. It hasn't gotten better at what job it can do. We're going to take a quick break, but when we come back in just a moment, more from Blake Scholl, founder and CEO of Boom Supersonic. I'm Guy Raz, and you're listening to How I Built This Lab. Welcome back to How I Built This Lab. I'm talking with Blake Scholl, CEO and founder of Boom Supersonic. All right. Let's talk about what you do now. You decided to start an 18. aviation company and not just any company, but one that is going to revive supersonic flight, which, I mean, unless you're in the military, I think the last opportunity to fly faster than the
Starting point is 00:16:18 speed of sound would have been on the Concord, which was like put out of service in 2003. How did you come to the decision to start such an ambitious project like this? In a sort of roundabout way, I started out thinking I would convince myself to not start it. I wanted to work on a new startup. I realized that no matter what startup I've founded, I would work really hard at it. And I would be sort of at my personal red line, regardless of what I'm doing. And so I wanted to pick something that would be very much the opposite of my first company, where I would never get up in the morning and think, why in the world did I get into this?
Starting point is 00:16:57 And so I kind of took a deep breath and said, okay, I got to look at this supersonic thing. And I thought I would get two weeks into the research and understand why nobody was doing. doing it and then move on to something that was, you know, less pie in the sky. But instead, what I found was a bunch of stale conventional wisdom. You know, there were zillions of, you know, articles and YouTube videos out there that purported to explain why airplanes didn't fly faster. And one of the themes was it was always a qualitative answer to a quantitative question. And so people would say things like speed inherently has to cost more. Yeah. And if you can't fly supersonic over land, the market's not big enough.
Starting point is 00:17:36 Right. And people won't pay for speed. But hang on, those are all qualitative statements about quantitative phenomenon. You know, like, okay, people clearly do pay for speed. It's why direct flights are preferred over connecting flights. Yeah. And, you know, okay, speed is going to come with some kind of a, you know, increased fuel burn because physics, but, okay, how much?
Starting point is 00:17:58 And how does that relate to all these other factors and how might it be improved? And, okay, there's some constraints on where you can fly Supersonic with those constraints. How big is the market? And so I started building models of what the airplane ought to be capable of. And, you know, downloaded a whole bunch of like global air travel data, sort of crunching it to say, okay, well, how much of this could benefit from Supersonic? And by the middle of 2014, I had two things that were just like really shocking. One was sort of a very simple model of the airplane, which said that we should be able to make a supersonic airplane that would be profitable at business class fares.
Starting point is 00:18:38 And also this market model that said even with the constraints on being able to fly supersonic over oceans but not overpopulated areas, such a machine would have a very large market, just taking people who are flying first or business internationally today and letting them get there in half the time. time at the same price points. Wow. And so at that point, I was like, I don't understand why no one's doing this. And I took both of those things to a professor at Stanford who had done a bunch of supersonic's research. And I was like, dude, can you look at this and check my math? Because I cannot possibly be the human that was the first one to build this model. Yeah. That's not, that's not my self-concept. And I've been in aviation for like a hot second with no background, really. And he looks at it. And he's like, Blake, if you're going to do this, you should really try harder because a bunch of your assumptions are conservative. Wow. And I remember walking out of his
Starting point is 00:19:31 office and thinking, this comes down to courage. Like, when I look in the mirror, I have a hard time seeing myself as like, oh, yeah, I'm the guy who created supersonic flight in a mainstream way. Like, that's just, like, just the ego in that statement is insane. But it seems like there's a possibility here. And I can either be scared of it and run from it, or I could say, I'm just going to get everything I've got and find out what I'm capable of. Wow. So basically, this technology, right, with Concord that was kind of put out to pasture in 2003, that was it. I mean, the story was, yeah, it didn't quite work.
Starting point is 00:20:10 It was too expensive. It was inefficient, you know, not good for the environment. And it just didn't make sense. But when you started crunch the numbers, particularly transatlantic business class flights, you saw that essentially you could make a much more efficient plane in two. 2014 than you could in 2003, you started to put this puzzle together and you came to the conclusion that this actually can be done. You can actually build a faster plane more efficient and it could actually be profitable. That's right. But in a way, it was easier than that because it wasn't 2014 versus 2003. It was 2014 versus 1962. Right. So I mean, imagine if we'd stopped innovating in computers at the time of the UNIVAC. Yeah. And always. we did is make them more efficient, but they were still kind of mainframes.
Starting point is 00:20:58 Yeah. And then someone pops up and says, could we have an iPhone? Right. But somehow all the component technology had evolved, then actually, oh, you could create the iPhone. And that's what was going on in aviation. Like all the component technology did progress impressively so, but nobody had put it together into a product with a different capability. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:21:20 All right. So you are, you are not a mechanical engineer. You're obviously smart guy. and you're an engineer, but, you know, like R.J. Scorange, the founder of Rivian, you know, he's a PhD in mechanical engineering. He wanted to build cars his whole life. Elon Musk is not a mechanical engineer. He runs a car company. So there are obviously examples of this. But I have to imagine that one of the first things you have to do is find somebody to work with you. Is that what you did? That was really the second thing, not the first thing. The first thing was really to just get
Starting point is 00:21:52 educated myself. Yeah. And I remember doing this exercise where I said, okay, Blake, just imagine the year is 2050 and you're sitting on the beach, sipping mites, reading about how the world made the leap to Supersonic. I mean, first off, it's hard to imagine that it didn't. Like, it'd be really, really weird if, like, aviation just, like, permanently got stuck at 85% of the speed of sound and nobody ever broke through. Yeah. Okay. So, someone's going to break through. What does that story look like? You know, is it after, you know, a century of not doing it? Uh, Boeing or Airbus does it. No, that's not really how these things go in history. Okay, so it's probably a startup. And then I just started to imagine what would the story of that startup have to look like? They have to put together a dream team because this is hard to do and it's going to need the very best people. So ability to attract and retain great people is going to be fundamental to the success. And it's going to require a leader that deeply understands all the key pieces of the business, including the knowledge you down to the physics. Right. And so I look in the mirror and I'm like, you know, I am currently
Starting point is 00:22:56 not any of those things. So you had to become that. I had to become it. And it was like, okay, Blake, have a very flexible concept of who you are. Your only shot at this is to morph yourself into the leader that this thing needs. And as I started recruiting, my favorite interview question was teach me something. And so along the way, I learned a lot from those conversations and started hiring people who both deeply understood the technology of what they were doing all the way down to first principles physics and were also great communicators. And I think that those two things were really at the core of the early boom team and explain why we've been able to get as far with this as we have. Yeah. All right. Let's just talk about how you actually build an airbus.
Starting point is 00:23:44 plane. I mean, where do you go? I mean, you had to build a prototype of a supersonic aircraft. It's not like, you know, we've had a lot of cosmetics companies in the show. It's not like going to a white label cosmetics plan going, hey, build me this. Here's the 20 ingredients that I want in there and just come back to me in a month. Like, where do you start? Well, we started off with what the design was. And so it started off very digitally focused, and we actually put a lot of attention on how we develop the airplane, not just actually going off and building something. So great software is loosely coupled, like one piece of our code, if we change it, shouldn't affect what another piece of our code does. But great airplanes are very tightly coupled, highly integrated machines. The best wing
Starting point is 00:24:34 structurally is thick. The best wing aerodynamically is thin. If we add more passengers, then all of a sudden the whole airplane has to get bigger, the wing has to get stronger, the engines need more thrust, needs to carry more fuel, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. And so for that reason, airplane design tends to be highly iterative. And historically, when design is very manual, the pace of iteration is slow. And so one of the early insights was that we wanted to really invest in digital design and optimization tools. And so we had this digital design path going.
Starting point is 00:25:04 And then in parallel, we started building hardware. And that was really about getting calibration data for all the digital stuff. So along the way, we tested probably thousands of samples of carbon fiber composites and different ways to put it together, different ways to make a joint, ranges of temperatures. We started doing wind tunnel testing. And all of that sort of data out of the world of atoms fed back into the world of bits so that our digital design tools could just get better and better and better. And then we could iterate much faster than we could kind of just building airplanes. and throwing them away. Let's talk about actually, because you have a prototype.
Starting point is 00:25:41 I think in October of 2020, you unveiled your first fully assembled prototype, the XP1. It's a smaller version of what you will eventually produce. But, I mean, how, is there, like, how does it, how do you build that? I mean, do you guys have a warehouse that you, you know, you get component parts and you start to assemble it, or is it built for you in another place? And are you directing them? Like, who builds a supersonic aircraft prototype? So we put it all together ourselves.
Starting point is 00:26:10 One of the things that makes this business possible is that the aerospace supply chain is pretty mature. And yet, just to put this in context, this is the first independently developed supersonic jet ever. Like previously, it's been governance and military. So we were first to say, hey, we're going to go do this. And we designed the whole airplane. And then to get it built, we teamed with suppliers. to build components. And then we brought it all to our facility in Denver where we put it together. And so we have this, you know, roughly 50,000 square foot building that's in a part office as part hanger. It was a supersonic jet factory. That's where we built the XB1 where we put it together ourselves. Well, we're going to take another quick break, but we'll hear more from Blake Scholl, founder and CEO of Boom Supersonic in just a moment. I'm Guy Raz, and you're listening to How I Built This Lab. Welcome back to how I built this lab. My guest is Blake Scholl.
Starting point is 00:27:14 his company Boom Supersonic is looking to build a new generation of supersonic airplanes for commercial travel. All right, let's talk about this prototype because I know that you wanted to begin test flights in 2021, but it hasn't happened yet. This has not been through a test flight. What are the obstacles and hurdles that have prevented that prototype from flying? So where we are today is just a few months away from flying this bird. We finished late last year our final Denver-based taxi test. And we've got a couple of things where we want to add some safety margin to the airplane. And then we're going to take it down to the Mojave Desert for flight test probably around the middle of this year.
Starting point is 00:27:58 But you said is this thing is taken a lot longer than we thought it would. And I think that's a combination of a few factors. One was quite honestly some naivete on my part. I underestimated how hard this was. And maybe I had to in order to decide to go do it. Right. I think so. But for better or worse, I thought this was easier than it actually was.
Starting point is 00:28:21 And so we said we were sort of perennially optimistic about time frame. And then we've learned some things along the way. And one of the big thematic learnings was, you know, we chose to build a human piloted aircraft. This is not a drone. And, you know, we know the test pilots who are going to go fly it. and it's an extraordinarily complex machine. It's a new design airplane. The design's different from anything that's ever flown before.
Starting point is 00:28:49 And so it's really important that it be right because it's life and death serious. And so many times along the way, we've had the opportunity to say, hey, is this good enough? Or do we think it needs to be better? And so we've tested everything as we went along. And when we found opportunities to improve the safety profile of the airplane, we've done it. And then the other kind of dimension to it is like we've been learning along the way. We, you know, sort of imagine, hey, it's a new company, first new commercial aircraft company a century. We're going to build a 65 passenger, supersonic airliner that weighs several hundred thousand pounds and trust us, we'll get it right the first time.
Starting point is 00:29:27 Like, I don't even believe that. And so we did XB1 because we knew we would make mistakes and we wanted to make the mistakes on a small, simpler airplane before. we went and did the big airplane because those learnings would be what would enable the big airplane overture to be a success. And so, yeah, we've made mistakes along the way. And that's a good thing because we've learned. Yeah. And the XP1, just to clarify, is the prototype. Overture is going to be the commercially developed plane that you'll eventually make. And I guess the XB1 is like a third the size of the overture. I'm looking at a model of the overture on your website. By the way, it's a beautiful plane. It's got four engines. And it's, it's, it's, it's, it's,
Starting point is 00:30:09 small plane, obviously. So how will Overture compare to, you know, to the last commercial supersonic airplane, which, you know, of course, as we've said, was the Concord? So the size is relatively similar to Concord from a kind of total weight of the airplane, but it's got a lot more range and it's got a lot better passenger comfort. Overture puts 65 passengers where Concord put 100. So onboard the airplane, it's a lot more spacious, a lot more comfortable. We really want to build something that people are going to want to fly over and over again. Yeah. And Concord, a lot of problems, but one of them was it wasn't affordable to very many people.
Starting point is 00:30:48 A ticket had to be around $20,000. And you just can't find 100 people who want to pay 20 grand to go somewhere on very many routes. And so we said, look, ultimately, we want to make supersonic flight available to everybody who flies. You know, we want flying fast to be less expensive than flying slow. That's the big driver. And then for overture 1, we've said, look, we want to focus on business class. And so we've designed that airplane such that it will be profitable for airlines at fares a quarter of what was charged on Concord.
Starting point is 00:31:21 So it would be about $5,000. At $5,000, on most routes, it is very profitable for airlines. And that's basically equivalent to a business class flight from London to New York, something like that. Yeah, I mean, the fairs vary, but it's pretty common for people to pay five grand. sometimes more than that for a round trip ticket across the Atlantic. So five grand for Supersonic. Most business travelers I talk to are like, wow, that actually seems like a good deal. All right.
Starting point is 00:31:49 Let's talk about range for a moment. I mean, the Concord flew Paris, New York and London, New York by the end of its life cycle, mainly. That was its route. Is this a plane that could fly Los Angeles to Hong Kong or San Francisco to Tokyo? So it has about 4,250 nautical miles of range. And so what that means in practice is that just about the longest nonstop route would be Tokyo to Seattle in four and a half hours. And you're just pausing that for a second, four and a half hours across the Pacific. Now it takes what 10? Yeah, roughly. You know, nine, ten. It depends which direction we're going, what the winds are, et cetera. But yeah, like roughly twice that. And that's fast enough that you can leave the U.S. a whole day later to make a given meeting in Tokyo. It's just like much, much faster. And one of the things I think will be really interesting is how the airplane gets used in longer
Starting point is 00:32:45 routes. Let's take a really painful example, like L.A. to Sydney. It's like 15, 16 hours today. Well, Overture can't do that nonstop. It has to stop for gas. Right. But even with the pit stop, it's going to be like eight and a half hours. Right. So you're on the ground for maybe 25, 30 minutes, something like that. And then you're back up and away. and the refuel has, you know, it's the experiential equivalent of a little bit of turbulence in the middle of the flight because it's not interruptive to the experience. All right. And now let's talk about the environmental side to it because you're talking about using sustainable aviation fuels. Tell me how this is going to, because you have a plan to be carbon neutral. So how do you make this flight substantially better than existing commercial flights? Let's start with why. And it goes back.
Starting point is 00:33:35 to kind of what makes me get out of bed every morning. And I deeply believe that life happens in person, that more time spent in the same room with other people around the planet is not just good for business. It's not just good for, you know, being able to fall in love with somebody from any continent. It's going to be deeply transformative for cross-cultural understanding. You know, what happens when our kids grow up, having spent time with people from every continent, not just kind of read about them or watch, you know, YouTube video. or whatever. So like enabling more in-person interaction matters. And so I actually believe in a future where there's a lot more travel than there is today. And that you speed and affordability
Starting point is 00:34:16 and convenience are the big drivers of making it possible to travel more than we do today. So that brings us to sustainability because there are real concerns. Today aviation is about two, two and a half percent of global carbon emissions. But if we, you know, if we like 10 times the travel, like, wow, we took a thing that we already needed to make smaller, we made it a lot bigger. And so it's not good enough in my view to just sort of optimize, focus on efficiency, kind of chip away a few percent of a time. We need to find a way to go all the way to carbon neutral so that climate impacts are not a reason for people to avoid traveling. Okay, so how do you do that? It's not batteries because batteries are just far too heavy.
Starting point is 00:34:57 So you want the energy density of liquid hydrocarbons. but the exciting thing is they don't have to be sourced out of fossil fuels out of the ground. But there's sort of a new generation of fuel technology that's called power to liquid that is basically a carbon sequestration-based technology that you can use to create synthetic kerosene. And this stuff actually exists. It's scaling really rapidly. So it's still early, but it's scaling really well. And then that technology, you know, because it's effectively powered out of atmospheric carbon, it can go all the way to net. zero. And so this is what I think ultimately every long-haul airplane is going to do. This is the way
Starting point is 00:35:37 we decarbonize long-haul air travel. One of the nice things about sustainable aviation fuel is it's backwards compatible, meaning it's chemically very similar to traditional fossil jet fuel. And so today's airplanes can do 50-50 of sustainable fuel and traditional fuel. Overture can do 100%. But the fact that there's some backwards compatibility here makes it far simpler to deploy. So every time we put sustainable aviation fuel in an airport, the climate started out of that airport gets better. So your overture is designed around sustainable aviation fuel. It's the first airliner that can accept 100% sustainable aviation fuel, not just blended down to 50-50. And for that reason, it can get all the way to net zero. And this is important to us. It's important to our customers.
Starting point is 00:36:21 When United Airlines ordered overture, they made a public commitment to run it on 100% sustainable aviation fuel on a net zero carbon basis. And I find it personally just really exciting that the airplane that we all most want to fly on is also going to be the best one for the planet. All right. So one of the main criticisms of supersonic air travel, as you know, is the noise. We've all heard of a sonic boom, right? It's this extremely loud sound that a jet makes and it breaks a sound barrier. And I think it's why Concord was limited to flying out of just a few airports by the end of its life. And it only flew at supersonic speeds over the ocean, right? So let's talk about the routes that you're hoping overture will fly.
Starting point is 00:37:08 I mean, if you're going west from the U.S., you've got to fly out of L.A.X and Seattle. You mentioned San Francisco. You want to fly out of New York because New York, London, New York, Paris is a profitable route. And I know that you've partnered with United and obviously Chicago, Denver, huge hubs for United. Are you going to have to make the case to city by city that, you know, that these airports should allow these planes to take off and land from their locations? So this meets the same most stringent noise standards that apply to latest generation subsonic airplanes. Got it. So long as we meet environmental noise standards and safety standards,
Starting point is 00:37:53 the airplane is sort of automatically allowed everywhere. And there's no reason why it shouldn't be. It operates with existing infrastructure. The rule of thumb is if you can operate a triple seven, you can operate an overture from a runway perspective. So when the supersonic service comes to a local airport, the community can be really excited about the new capability, not nervous that they're going to be disturbed. And I think that's, I think that's super, super important to get right. And what that means is that there are hundreds of routes around the planet that can accept overture. And it's not going to create new noise impacts for airport communities.
Starting point is 00:38:28 All right. So you are now, you've just announced that you're going to build a plant in North Carolina to build the overture planes. First, you've got to test the XP1. And I know that the hope is to test it in 2023. And you've got a bunch of orders from United and American, I think, and Japan Airlines and a couple other airlines. When do you think, let's say estimate, when will the overture aircraft start coming off the assembly line? Yeah. So one thing to understand is, you know, we've learned everything we need to learn from XP1 to go make overture a reality.
Starting point is 00:39:07 And so, you know, we have to do sort of a demonstration that airplane works. But frankly, most of the team is working on overture now when we're full speed ahead. Got it. Okay. So we're breaking ground on the plant to build it. And we will be in production by the end of 24. We'll have the first airplane in 26 and we'll start flight testing it in 27. You'll have the first overture in 2006.
Starting point is 00:39:28 Yes. That's the plan. That's right. And our goal is to spend two years in that flight test campaign and then be certified to carry passengers by the end of 2029. Got it. This is a really challenging, hard project that you've taken on. You started this essentially in 2014, and hopefully by 2029, these planes will be available for people to travel on. I mean, it's, of course, in sort of the history of aviation, this is not a long time period, but is long.
Starting point is 00:40:04 It's not like your other startups that, you know, you build an app and six months later, it's out in the world. I mean, this is a long, hard slog. You know, it is a long process. It's challenging in a whole bunch of different ways. Success is not guaranteed by any stretch. But I don't experience that as a slog personally because I deeply believe that restarting innovation and flight and in particular making the planet more accessible is an incredibly important thing to do. Along the way, I get to work with the best team I've ever worked with before. I get to come to work in a supersonic jet factory. Yeah. Like, it's just cool and fun along the way. And, you know, I can look forward and say, like, you know, man, you know, there's a lot of capital we need.
Starting point is 00:40:53 There's a lot of technical and engineering work that has to happen. We have to make sure that we're, we build this in a way that's incredibly safe for the flying public. And so there's, you know, there's a lot of challenge that's still ahead of us. But I kind of look in the mirror, the rearview mirror and say, you know what? We've already built histories first independently developed super sonic jet. We've already gotten major airlines to place orders and make non-refundable deposits. There's a lot that we've already done that people said that we could never do.
Starting point is 00:41:21 Yeah. And so we just need to keep doing things that people said we could never do. Amazing. Blake Scholl, thanks so much. Thank you, Guy. I really appreciate the conversation. That's Blake Scholl, founder and CEO of Boom Supersonic. Thanks so much for listening to How I Built This Lab.
Starting point is 00:41:38 Please do follow us on your podcast app so you always have. the latest episode downloaded. If you want to follow us on Twitter, our account is at How I Built This and mine is at Guy Raz, and on Instagram, I'm at guy.org. If you want to contact the team, our email address is H-I-B-T at ID.wondery.com. This episode was produced by Chris Messini with editing by John Isabella. Our audio engineer was James Willits. Our music was composed by Rumpteen Arablewee.
Starting point is 00:42:09 Our production team at How I Built This includes Alex Chung, Carla Estevez, Casey Herman, J.C. Howard, Liz Metzger, Sam Paulson, Carrie Thompson, and Elaine Coates. Neva Grant is our supervising editor. Beth Donovan is our executive producer. I'm Guy Raz, and you've been listening to How I Built This.

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