How I Invest with David Weisburd - E116: How Everyday Investors can Access Private Equity w/Pantheon ($70B AUM)

Episode Date: November 29, 2024

Victor Mayer, Managing Director, Head of Private Wealth at Pantheon sits down with David Weisburd to discuss why top GPs are rushing to evergreen funds, how Pantheon balances small-cap potential and l...arge-cap stability, and the benefits of Pantheon’s no-cost co-investment deals.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Large cap funds are just getting larger. And what it means is that you still have that very small number of companies where the amount of dollars chasing those companies just keeps on getting bigger. And so what you have there is GPs who struggle to differentiate versus each other and have to differentiate in pricing, which means that they typically use more leverage. And you can argue that some of the quality or the selectivity ratio is also diminishing. Because if you need to deploy capital as a large-cap fund, you have a three or four-year investment period. You can't just sit around and wait for the years to come your way.
Starting point is 00:00:29 So the combination of higher pricing, pressure to deploy, higher leverage, we think is not necessarily the best place to be in for private wealth investors. What are the characteristics across the 1.2% to 1.4% of buyout managers that are on your buy list. What we try to look for is a clear focus in terms of four key dimensions. Victor, I've been excited to chat since our friend Mikhail Bankovich from Unicorn Strategic Capital introduced us. Welcome to 10x Capital Podcast. Thank you, David.
Starting point is 00:00:59 What is Pantheon? So Pantheon is a global integrated fund of funds platform. We were set up in 1982 and over a little bit more of 40 years, we have effectively created multiple franchises within the firm across private equity, infrastructure, private debt, and real estate. And in every one of those franchises, we have primary, secondary, and co-investment capabilities. Today, we manage around a little bit, very close to 70 billion of capital. And all of that, around 7 billion is evergreen capital. Tell me about your evergreen fund franchise. Yeah, so Pentium was set up in 1982.
Starting point is 00:01:39 And five years later, in 1987, we launched a listed trust on the London Stock Exchange called PIP. And that vehicle today has been active for 37 years. It has a little bit shy of $3 billion of AUM and really acts as one of the first ever evergreen vehicles to be launched in the industry. And then back in 2014, on the back of that successful UK experience, we launched a 1948 fund in the US. Today, that fund is one of the largest in industries. It's focused on secondaries and co-investments in the small cap and mid cap segments of the industry and has been active for around 10 years.
Starting point is 00:02:22 And then after that, so from 2023 onwards, we started working on an international version of the US semi-liquid font. What is the purpose of the Evergreen franchise? And tell me why it exists. Benton has always been at the forefront of innovation. And our aim really was to bring that institutional experience, where we work with some of the largest allocators globally, to give them access to small cap and mid cap. And our ambition was to provide that access to the wealth community or maybe some of the smaller institutions
Starting point is 00:02:50 so that they can also benefit from what we think are compelling returns. And then also, I think in an evergreen format, another feature of dependent DNA is creating long-term returns, maybe for individuals or wealth distributors or smaller institutions and all the way up to sovereign funds. And so with those vehicles, we have the ability to serve
Starting point is 00:03:09 those investors in a format that makes sense to them. Break down the evergreen structure. How does it work? So evergreen means, first of all, that there is no expiry date on the vehicle. So if you compare that to a closed-end fund, you would be looking at a vehicle that instead of distributing capital as and when assets are sold, will effectively take those distributions and recycle them to the benefit of investors. So that's one different feature. The other one is on a closed-end format, what you get is an administrative burden. It can be quite arcane.
Starting point is 00:03:39 So in that arcane dimension, you have a multiplication of capital calls, a multiplication of distribution notices, and a need to monitor and spend resources, human resources and time and money to effectively monitor your portfolio. Not to mention that when you get those distributions, you have to figure out what's best to allocate at that point. And so with that comes, I think, one of the key barriers to entry for private equity, which is having a team in place that can take care and look after your capital. And then even if you're successful in building a closed-end program, it's going to take you years to achieve your target NAV. So if you have a target net asset value in your strategic asset allocation, it's going to take you years to effectively get to that level and then significant additional commitments
Starting point is 00:04:21 to maintain it. And so those evergreen funds effectively achieve or solve all of those issues. Single-cap to core on day one, highly funded portfolio, which is typically diversified in a pent-in format, whereby you can achieve your NAV target quickly. And then finally, if you bring that to the small-cap
Starting point is 00:04:41 and mid-cap segments of private equity, where pent-in we spend most of our time, it is even more difficult to get access to that segment because the GPs are smaller, they tend to be oversubscribed, or at least the good ones. And then you need to build relationships with them over a long period of time, even before you can access them. And so we bring on top of the ease of execution, user experience, which is a little bit easier. We also bring that differentiated exposure that, frankly, a lot of the wealth community hasn't been able to access historically. When we last chatted, you mentioned that in five years or so, you expect
Starting point is 00:05:11 most of the top GPs to have evergreen structures. Why is that? I think the user experience of evergreen farms is going to be the future. If you are a top quartile, small cap and mid cap GP, and you have generated consistent returns across a number of cycles and you operate in a niche, typically an intersection of region, segment and sector, and you can provide your investors
Starting point is 00:05:35 with both a closed-end experience and a nevergreen experience, it just makes sense to at least explore that second option. Now, to be honest, to build a nevergreen program, you need multiple years. It's nowhere second option. Now, to be honest, to build an evergreen program, you need multiple years. It's nowhere near easy. You know, you need to start from the back office all the way to the front office,
Starting point is 00:05:52 build your distribution channel, understand how you service those clients, very different servicing between wealth and institutional channels. And then also you need to understand that compounding in an evergreen format is a very different sport to generating a good IR in a closed-end format. And so I think a lot of those investors with top design, top quarter and track records will consider that option, I have no doubt.
Starting point is 00:06:14 But the real question is, can they really achieve it and when? Because it's a very different and resource-heavy and complex undertaking. Are there tax consequences to evergreen funds versus traditional closed-end fund structures? In terms of how you compound in those funds, your unrealized capital gains will effectively be held at the vehicle level and the GP will be recycling on your behalf. And so there is a scenario
Starting point is 00:06:37 where if you don't redeem from the fund, you don't use the semi-liquidity feature, you may not crystallize any form of capital tax events. And so to some extent, that's something that may be a little bit more efficient. But again, that really depends on individual countries and jurisdictions. It's like a 10-year fund is a forced distribution at year 10 is another way to think about it. Who is your target customer for a product like this? We effectively want investors who have a minimum
Starting point is 00:07:05 wealth level, but equally have a minimum income level and a minimum knowledge level. So we're looking at investors who understand public markets and private markets have a certain amount of activity in terms of investing their assets and understand the illiquidity that comes with this type of exposure and the risks associated to the semi-liquidity feature in an evergreen format. Tier one would be your typical wire house, UBS, JB, CT, HSBC, et cetera. Tier two would be smaller banks with tier half scale or larger asset managers. And then tier three would be your family offices, multifamily offices, independent wealth advisors,
Starting point is 00:07:43 registered independent agents. And so the opportunity set is huge. You can see that institutions typically would have 10 to 20% of private markets allocations when the wealth community is more 2 to 4%. Now, the premiums that you can potentially get depending on your asset selection for the wealth community is significant. And so what we see is a real tailwind here, a real trend of the wealth community accessing those funds directly and or through the tier one or tier two banks. When it comes to typical private equity funds, there's a criticism in the industry that by the time they get into the large wirehouses, all the alpha has been absorbed and institutional investors are getting the alpha and then the high net worth clients will get the fund 15,
Starting point is 00:08:24 16 and a franchise. How do high net worth clients will get the fund 15, 16 in a franchise. How do high net worth individuals know that they're not being adversely selected in an evergreen fund structure? Let's break it down, right? I mean, what are the different dimensions of adverse selection? I think the main bias is that the larger banks
Starting point is 00:08:38 are incentivized to effectively raise more capital more efficiently. And so there's been, I think, that overwhelming flavor of large cap on those shelves. Historically, bigger banks are more comfortable, and I think quite rightly, raising more capital in one go with a large cap brand so that their marketing is a little bit easier
Starting point is 00:08:58 and also they can still generate very good returns. Now, if you think about, take a step back here, the large cap universe is much smaller than the mid cap one. And so in terms of generating that alpha, I think banks, a number of banks are already distributing small cap and mid cap funds, in particular mid cap. But in terms of the evergreen wave, tier one landscape is dominated by those large cap,
Starting point is 00:09:20 single GP branded evergreen funds. Now, going forward, you know, those funds will have significant deployment pressure because of the commercial success. And you may argue that some of them may experience some lower performance as a result. And so to your point, what's important there is that the banks themselves start diversifying their shelves
Starting point is 00:09:40 to incorporate more of that mid-cap and lower mid-cap alpha. And evergreen funds can play a key role there because they bring that easy to sell, easy to understand, and easily manageable format to the clients. If you look at the wealth community, it's not only through banks. It's not only intermediated.
Starting point is 00:09:56 A large part of wealth is direct access. We know family offices, multifamily offices, asset managers. We can be a little bit more entrepreneurial. They have less inertia maybe than a tier one bank. And those groups are already all over small cap and mid cap. That's what we've experienced. That's why our US fund has been scaling so quickly.
Starting point is 00:10:12 And our international fund is also on that same trajectory of scaling. And those investors who have more of that entrepreneurial mindset and understand the benefits of going away from large cap, we really, I think, create momentum and scale those small cap and mid cap managers. So they become eligible, you know, in terms of scale for that tier one distribution. Now, David, the second point, which is very important here beyond the potential selection bias, ease of distribution, et cetera, is really the fees. And it's only natural that the more intermediaries you have between a client and a product, perhaps
Starting point is 00:10:42 the more layers of fees you're going to have. And at Pentium, we've paid particular attention to this, and there are multiple models emerging in the evergreen space. And how does it functionally work? Generally, allocation policies are based on the pro rata approach. So let's say you invest into a GP's program, you're going to have an allocation waterfall, as it's called. And more often than not, GPs would have what is called a pro-rata approach following a principle of fairness. And so you would effectively have a number of clients potentially participating in every single deal in that waterfall.
Starting point is 00:11:13 And every one of those clients would have portfolio guidelines and concentration guidance. And so based on that, you can determine the actual bite sizes per type of deal that you want to bring to the vehicle or to the client. And then if there is over allocation in one of the deals and the capacity is constrained, at that point, you prorate everyone back based on their bite sizes. I mean, Pentium is, you know, you have to also keep in mind, most GPs are regulated. So there is a duty of fairness to transparency, fairness, and following that proactive approach that most EPs would effectively be implementing.
Starting point is 00:11:50 Tell me about Pantheon's thesis on small and middle market biofonds. The small cap and mid cap market is very compelling for a number of reasons. First of all, the universe of companies in the mid cap and small cap segments is way bigger than large cap. So you have more potential companies to look at and buy and grow in different sectors. And that typically really represents the reality of the economy, right? I mean, large-cap and mid-cap is the economy. Now, in the large-cap space, the number of companies is much lower. They are worth a lot more, but you have less of them.
Starting point is 00:12:23 So that's the supply part. In terms of demand, what we also like is that large cap funds are just getting larger. I think it's a feature of private markets these days and for the last five years, really. And what it means is that you still have a very small number of companies where the number of dollars or the amount of dollars chasing those companies just keeps on getting bigger. And so what you have there is GPs who struggle to differentiate versus each other and have to differentiate in pricing, which means that they typically use more leverage. And you can argue that some of the quality or the selectivity ratio is also diminishing because if
Starting point is 00:12:55 you need to deploy capital as a large-cap fund, you have three or four-year investment period, you can't just sit around and wait for the years to come your way. So the combination of higher pricing, pressure to deploy, higher leverage, we think is not necessarily the best place to be in for private wealth investors. So that's the first part. The second part is, you know, we've looked at a number of companies that we have invested in over a little bit more than 20 years. And what we have seen is a few key metrics.
Starting point is 00:13:21 The first one is that in the small cap and mid cap segment of the population of companies, the top line growth on an annualized basis is a little bit higher every year. It's a little bit higher, but every year. So over time, that compounding power of annualized top line growth is actually quite powerful. Second, on the earning side, EBITDA side, what we've seen is that the actual delta between mid cap and large cap is also higher, but we've seen is that the actual delta between mid-cap and large cap is also higher, but a little bit more than the top line. And so what you see there is effectively some form of compelling signs that as we buy those
Starting point is 00:13:54 smaller businesses, they can grow faster, but most importantly, they can grow profitably. You know, you have 10,000 GPs globally that we track, and we only invest with 120 to 140 of them. We call that the buy list. So that's 1.2 to 1.4% of the private markets universe. And these GPs tend to have an intersection of factors that we like. So segment focus, sector focus, regional focus. What are the characteristics across the 1.2 to 1.4% of buyout managers that are on your
Starting point is 00:14:23 buy list? In private equity, in the mid-cap segment, you want to be a local speaking to locals. And so that buy list would be split between the US, Europe, and Asia. And what we try to look for is a clear focus in terms of four key dimensions, a stable partnership and team where the culture is healthy, there's no succession issue. And we're looking for also a team that has a culture of grooming and developing the younger professionals. That's quite key to everything we underwrite. Second, performance.
Starting point is 00:14:58 We aim for first and second quarter GPs who have a proven track record. So typically second generation funds at the very least. And where we can track to some depth in terms of realized track record. So we want to make sure that those GPs have demonstrated that they can exit companies because buying them is the easy part. Selling them is the hard part. With the controllable downside risk, so a lower loss rate than the industry. That's all the way down to the GPs we work with.
Starting point is 00:15:18 And then you have the process part where a lot of the value creation in private equity is about the process. So having an operating team that can implement a repeatable playbook to effectively take those smaller businesses and build them up on the way to the large cap exit through operational improvement, improving the processes, supply chain management, CRM, digitalization, go-to-market, technology stack. So really bringing that value to entrepreneurs who don't necessarily have that muscle memory market, technology stack. So really kind of bringing that value to entrepreneurs
Starting point is 00:15:45 who don't necessarily have that muscle memory all the time, to be honest, to really kind of build the institutionalization of their platforms. And then finally, the philosophy. And that's where small cap and mid cap is very important to us. So the way we think about this is our sweet spot fund size range on the brightest is half a billion to 2.5 billion. And then we spend most of the time at half a billion to 1.5 billion.
Starting point is 00:16:08 So in terms of enterprise value range, you're going to be looking at 50 million to 400 million or thereabout. And those companies are real, small cap and mid cap. And David, to be honest, the buy list is always a work in progress. We have churn. We let some funds go, you know, for a variety of reasons, but mostly performance related or fund size getting too big or team issues, you know, like strategy drift,
Starting point is 00:16:33 where, you know, we feel that this is not core to the Pentium DNA. And, you know, the GP is effectively moving into those large cap segments where we spend less of our time. How do you construct a portfolio of small to middle market buyout? The strategy is driven by a few key requirements.
Starting point is 00:16:47 First of all, building the diversification of the portfolio is key. Second, the maturity profile, because with that maturity comes sometimes a better forecasting ability for distributions, which can then be recycled into that evergreen program and create a certain form of predictability of compounding. And then you have obviously the unfunded capital core portion. So making sure your deployment is efficient. And with that, you really have the trifecta of what makes an efficient compounding engine. Now, in terms of general house view on the market, what we have is 70% of our deployment into small cap and mid cap and growth.
Starting point is 00:17:21 And then we inevitably pick up some of that large cap exposure as well, because the LP diversified trades that we buy, big portfolios coming to market on the secondary market. What we have is sometimes we can just handpick the assets that we want, but most of the time we have to buy a number of funds. And some of those will have some large cap exposure. So we always have that frictional amount, typically a quarter or maybe a third of that large cap exposure. You mentioned GP-led continuation vehicles, secondaries, co-invest. Talk to me about the fees on those and also the blended fees for Pantheon's funds. So if you look at this from the most expensive to the cheapest, the most expensive way to access private markets is a primary program.
Starting point is 00:18:01 You're going to pay full stack to the GP. So typically 1.5% to 2% management fee based on commitments for five years, and then stepping down as the fund comes out of its investment period. And then you're going to have a 20% over 8% hurdle on an IRR basis. So that's always the most expensive way to access private markets. Now, what we do is we effectively buy diversified portfolios of those primary commitments four to seven years into their lifecycle. So they are deployed. We have a high level of visibility on the assets. The funded ratio is high.
Starting point is 00:18:34 And most importantly, we have a good ability for Pantheon and typically the secondary market to price in the fee load of those primary commitments in the future, but into your purchase price on day one. And so although you keep on paying those fees, you can effectively price them in into your purchase price. And so that benefits our clients in terms of, you know, you're still paying the fees, but you get that immediate capital gain on your discount. So that's the second most expensive. The third one is a continuation vehicle already way more cheaper. So on these funds, you typically have a management fee, which is 50 to 75 pips of the assets in that continuation vehicle. And then your carried interest would be tiered.
Starting point is 00:19:19 And so the way it works is you would have a combination of IR hurdle, sometimes TVPI hurdle, you know, in one or two or three tiers. And depending on the final performance of the asset, you pay less or more performance fee depending on the TVPI or the IR. And so that protects your downside and alignment of interest. And we like that.
Starting point is 00:19:36 And then finally, you have the co-investment piece. And co-investment is really a function of the strength of your primary platform where you have, you know, those 120, 140 relationships globally, and you commit the vast majority of your primary capital with them. Those GPs effectively would come to you and treat you as a partner because primary capital
Starting point is 00:19:56 is the life and blood of a relationship in the private markets. I mean, GPs need to raise every three to four years. And so if you're a predictable source of commitments, they would be working with you in between fundraisings. Do you track the co-investments that you get per manager? Is that part of your selection criteria for future commitments? Our priority always is to back the best managers. I mean, that comes always first. Now, it happens to us that a lot of the best managers in the market are also some of our longest standing relationships. And as part of building those relationships over a number of years and committing time and time again to their primary funds, we've built those pretty creative no-co-investment
Starting point is 00:20:30 relationships with them where they see the benefit on their end of having access to a pool of capital, which is sophisticated and can help them close deals. And on our end, we can again access to those damn deals, typically with no fee and no carry. So what it means is that we are in a position where we generate a net performance, which is almost equal to gross performance. And on the topic of, you know, we discussed earlier how, you know, the alpha comes from obviously the upside, but also the fees, having a quarter or third of your evergreen program allocated to assets with no fees or almost zero fees is extremely powerful
Starting point is 00:21:06 over the long term. So double click on that. You said that your gross and your net performance is essentially the same. What did you mean by that? So if you co-invest with a GP, let's say GPA brings you a co-investment opportunity. GPA will invest 100 million from their flagship fund, but that's the maximum they can invest into that asset according to their concentration guidelines. But the deal is 150 million. So they have 50 million of extra capacity that they need to syndicate. At this stage, a GP will call our co-investment,
Starting point is 00:21:34 our primary team and say, I have that 50 million stub. Would you like to participate into it? And in exchange for getting access to your co-investment capital, we won't charge you any management fee or any carried interest. That's what I mean by it's almost the same.
Starting point is 00:21:47 The only difference between the gross and net is really the expenses of the co-investment vehicle itself. That would be the ongoing expenses of the vehicle, admin, custodian, ongoing expenses. But it's much lower than you would get from paying a full stack 2% and 20 over 8 on the primary fund. And so that's why it's quite powerful for us in an evergreen format to bring those deals to the wealth community in a format where they pay no fees.
Starting point is 00:22:11 So for every dollar that you invest in that co-investment bucket, you effectively write off a dollar of full fees that you would pay somewhere else. Or you know, you at least you balance it out. And so overall, your total expense ratio is a little bit more compelling. Trey Lockerbie 00,00 bit more more compelling talk to me on your co-invest strategy so if one of these 120 managers bring to you a fully aligned co-invest so you mentioned they invested 100 million they're offering 50 million co-invest is that an automatic guess talk to me about the process typically we would close one deal out of seven that we receive on the co-investment side the way it works works is we have, obviously, the primary knowledge of the GP,
Starting point is 00:22:46 so we know exactly what they're good at, so we have that notion of GP fit. So is that a deal that fits the GP's kind of strength and, you know, positioning? So that's always the, you know, the first step is, are they within scope of their, you know, strategy and process and, you know, what they're good at? And then we can also effectively underwrite
Starting point is 00:23:02 the asset directly. So we have a team internally of dedicated co-investment professionals who typically would have M&A backgrounds or direct investing backgrounds. Most of them would have been with the firm for a long time, so they have deep track records. And they've been working with a spectrum of GPs, so they have effectively refined and finessed their deal selection skills, looking at different underwriting banks, right? Because every GP would underwrite differently. And so that's really where we have access to the GP track record, the sector dynamics. We have a whole database internally
Starting point is 00:23:34 of deals that we track on a quarterly basis. And so that really informs, beyond the actual underwriting of the GP, that really informs our views on that particular industry or sector or asset. Just to play devil's advocate, you've already underwritten these managers to be your top 1%. In essence, you're trying to outsmart the managers.
Starting point is 00:23:52 Why is that? And just talk to me about that. Why is it one in seven? Intuitively, it would seem like maybe you do half the deals or 75% of the deals. Well, I think the first thing is that we have our own portfolio construction guidelines on the co-investment program. And so we look to be diversified as well and so depending on the available capital for any type of deals at any given time there are deals that we just can't do or you know we think it's not the right fit you know for any given vehicle now you also need to
Starting point is 00:24:20 think about the fact that some gps are maybe less experienced or we have a more nascent relationship with. And so our comfort around their level of underwriting and the depth of our actual investment record with them, including exits, is necessarily more shallow because we want to make sure that as we build that co-investment relationship with them, it is middle of the fairway, no losses and comparing alpha. You mentioned diversification. Across what vectors are you trying to diversify? First of all, geography, very important. Our view at Pentium and one of the benefits of being a global integrated platform is that we follow global deployment patterns. And so the bulk of our deployment is in the US followed by Europe, followed by Asia. So we have some concentration and portfolio guidelines from a geographic perspective. Second, we look at effectively concentration per sector stage, and we also
Starting point is 00:25:22 pay particular attention to levels of leverage and entry valuations. So we don't want to build a co-investment program where we just accumulate a deployment at the peak of a cycle with unsustainable levels of leverage. So we pay attention to a number of vectors across geographies, sectors, vintage as well, GPs, and all the way down to the actual idiosyncratic factors of the deals. And I can tell you that some GPs have better track records than others on the co-investment side. And so when those come through, the bar is still really high, but we know that we've
Starting point is 00:25:52 had so much success with them. Some GPs we've never lost a cent with on the co-investment side. It's been just a very smooth run. And so when those deals come through, there is that embedded muscle memory in the firm where perhaps we can effectively have more conviction from the outset of the process. But if it's a more nascent relationship, we would be looking at effectively re-underwriting quite substantially and forming a view on, is that really what we think is a good deal? Do you expect the evergreen structure to make its way into the venture capital ecosystem? I think it will over time.
Starting point is 00:26:22 I mean, venture is a very different animal. If you compare it to small cap, mid cap and growth, late stage growth, I would say, know what's the process that got you to that valuation. And the most successful venture GPs wouldn't be sharing any form of significant details on the valuation methodologies because it's quite private for the right reasons. And you sometimes don't even know what the performance level of the asset is. You don't know what the revenues are,
Starting point is 00:26:59 the top line or the breakeven expectations or the profitability pathway. And you don't know the burn rate. I mean, all of this is quite confidential in a lot of situations. And so you have to think that that's one key difference versus more mid-cap and growth, where you have a great level of transparency if you've been in those segments for quite some time. Now, the second part is that evergreen funds need some form of predictable distributions
Starting point is 00:27:24 so that you can recycle those distributions and compound them to the benefit of your investors. And venture effectively can be, if you're very successful in venture, you're going to end up probably having a fairly large number of IPOs. That's typically where the venture managers generate a lot of their alpha is for public listings.
Starting point is 00:27:44 When you do that, you're effectively transferring your shares in public markets and you typically have locked barriers. Not only are you locked, but you also have a more valuation daily profile where your share price can go up and down. And honestly, you have no control over this, so you can hedge it, but it's expensive. So that's always a bit of a, you never know where you're going to get your liquidity and what valuation. And then the last thing is the venture portfolio DPIs. So you know, the actual distributed to paid in ratios, you know, for the first few years, you typically get nothing. And when you get something that's after crystallizing a large amount of losses, I've heard multiple
Starting point is 00:28:21 times that a good venture fund should lose 40 to 50% of its capital. I mean, that's a staggering loss rate if you think about it. You know, if you lose $1 out of $2 over a period of time, you know, you need to make sure that whatever you have left in your book is going to generate at least two times and you only return cost at that point. And so, you know, there's that kind of volatility in NAV behavior combined with lack of forecasting ability on distributions and that back-ended public exposure valuation productivity that may actually lead you to have one of the most volatile evergreen valuation environments ever created small buyout competes with venture capital in institutional
Starting point is 00:28:58 portfolios why should an lp put their incremental dollar into small buyout versus venture capital? In venture, my opinion is that you really want to go with those top tier groups. And, you know, those top tier groups are heavily oversubscribed. So what that means is that, you know, your potential deployment budget, if you're in large institutions or even an institution, you know, you're going to be capped in terms of what you can deploy if you want to maintain that, you know, top quartile or, you know, top tier, you know, venture focus. Second, you know, if you want to do venture and you want the risk reward to look like small cap, you need to diversify your venture bucket extensively.
Starting point is 00:29:34 Because if you start taking GP risk or sector risk or, you know, idiosyncratic risk with your venture allocation, this won't end well. And that diversification applies per GP but also per vintage. There's on, I mean, it's very important, it's crucial actually to participate in the venture.
Starting point is 00:29:50 If you come into venture, you need to come in for a number of years every year so that, you know, you can participate in multiple vintages because in venture
Starting point is 00:29:56 you have good and bad vintages. For example, coming out of COVID, the valuations went through the roof. You know, venture series B, C, D, we're looking at
Starting point is 00:30:04 a significant increase in valuation trends. And so, if series B, C, D, we're looking at a significant increase in valuation trends. And so if you only came into those two or three vintages, you would be probably looking at losses or, you know, some form of volatility today. And so you really want to make sure that you commit to like a five to 10 year program. Now, I think there's that myth, David,
Starting point is 00:30:18 that, you know, small cap is more, is volatile. It's a myth. If you look, as I explained earlier, you know, the only thing that doesn't matter in private equity is size. Scale matters, but size doesn't. So if you go into small cap and mid cap GPs or small cap GPs, you're going to be buying smaller assets.
Starting point is 00:30:36 Yes. So potentially a little bit more volatile, but better alignment, as we discussed. You're investing with the principal. You're probably one of the first institutional investors. And you can bring your playbooks, sector specialty, regional specialty, your track record and process and philosophy to really help the entrepreneur grow. And in that, there is magic. The alignment between a GP that is very focused and an entrepreneur that wants to scale is really powerful.
Starting point is 00:30:58 Now, those assets also tend to be profitable and growing quickly. And you buy them in a fraction of what you would pay for a large cap asset with a fraction of the leverage. And so what matters here is the risk spectrum. It's not size. It's actually how much you pay, what's the leverage, and how much the asset will grow. And so I think that myth needs to be debunked.
Starting point is 00:31:16 Is that myth there because small cap public companies are much more volatile than large public companies? Small cap companies, you know, will not have the same features than small cap private companies. So the public companies are different. And on the small cap private side, as I mentioned, you know, you're looking at, I don't comment on public companies. It's not my specialty, but on the private side, I can comment.
Starting point is 00:31:37 And you're looking at great alignment, cheaper valuation, lower leverage, and potentially asymmetric growth in terms of top line EBITDA margins. And then, David, the best part about this is on the private side, large cap funds are getting larger. I mean, this is a key part of the investment thesis here. These funds have pressure to deploy. And because they have that pressure, they typically would come to buy tokens, more add-on
Starting point is 00:32:04 acquisitions from small cap funds, or platforms from mid cap funds and that is going to be a once in a lifetime opportunity the large cap segment has never been larger it's never been tested at that scale and if you look at the availability of leverage the cost of leverage you know following the fed pivot there's an opportunity here where you know leverage would remain expensive but will become a little bit cheaper versus the last you know few. So that may reopen the floodgates in terms of those large cap GPs being able to effectively start investing at some more scale. And if they don't have access to that leverage, what they're going to have to do is focus on M&A integration, small add-ons, tokens, and that also works in our favor because they're going to be leaning into those small cap
Starting point is 00:32:41 GPs to effectively buy assets that have been curated. What would you like our audience to know about you, about Pantheon or anything else you'd like to shine a light on? Pantheon is really a firm that has the interest of the clients at heart. And that's something that we spend so much time on, building over four decades with the institutional community. And the brand there has been well-established in terms of being great stewards of capital and working with our institutional investors to deliver access to small cap and mid cap and so that gateway positioning or you know being a point of access for larger institutions i think is what we're bringing now to the wealth community and maybe smaller institutions or you know family offices multi-family offices and over the last 10 years we've brought that in a very innovative format, right?
Starting point is 00:33:27 So we were first movers or early movers into that semi-liquid kind of story and journey. And we look to effectively launch new products as we scale. And we're going to be bringing very differentiated risk rewards instead of being large cap, levered risk reward. We're going to be looking at providing that gateway access, the single access, core access, diversified access to the wealth community. And so in that, I think there is a great kind of cost assessment and cost to return analysis.
Starting point is 00:33:57 We are great stewards, cost focused, making sure that our solutions are cost efficient. But with that small cap and mid cap focus, we think we can generate compelling return in some alpha. And so the ratio of cost to potential alpha would be compelling as a result. And that's really where I think the Pentium DNA shines through is we've been so diligent with that, you know, kind of focus on, you know, making sure we provide the best products. And for me personally, David, I'm incredibly excited to be a portfolio manager on the evergreen side. Well, Victor, you've been a trailblazer in the Evergreen space.
Starting point is 00:34:25 Thank you for sharing your story and Pantheon's story and look forward to sitting down soon. Thank you for having us, David. Look forward to staying in touch. Thank you for listening. The 10X Capital podcast now receives more than 170,000 downloads per month. If you are interested in sponsoring, please email me at david at 10xcapital.com.

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