How I Invest with David Weisburd - E173: Billionaire Michael Loeb on Risk, Innovation, and Never Giving Up
Episode Date: June 11, 2025What happens when you get fired from one of the most prestigious media companies in the world at age 36? For Michael Loeb, it meant inventing a new category in subscription services, launching one of ...the earliest venture studios, and incubating Priceline—one of the internet’s first great successes. In this episode, I speak with Michael Loeb, founder of Loeb.nyc, about how getting fired from Time Inc. led to the $800M sale of Synapse back to Time, his early partnership with Jay Walker to incubate Priceline, and what makes a great entrepreneur. We also dive into how Loeb.nyc works, the role of trust and pivots in building companies, and why pattern-matching VCs often get it wrong. Michael doesn’t hold back. He’s honest, funny, and full of war stories from decades of building companies—and backing founders through multiple lives.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
So you've said that the best thing that ever happened to you was getting fired
from Time Warner at the age of 36.
Why is that?
Um, David, I gotta tell you, I never said that that was the best thing that ever
happened to me.
It's, it's everybody else has said that about me, that it was the best thing.
It was 36 and I was feeling really old until I found out that Bloomberg got fired
from, uh, Solomon Brothers when he was 38.
So he's got me beat.
And that, by the way, is a regret of mine that I didn't start early.
I do think there is an entrepreneurial gene and I had it.
The mantra was just don't fuck it up.
Right.
Just don't fuck it up.
And, you know, if you had Time magazine and Sports Illustrated,
Money and Fortune, and all the other magazines, if you added the number two and the number three
and you doubled it, it was about equal to Time Inc. So they were, you know, the 8,000 pound gorilla
in their space. And it was, yeah, just don't screw it up. Don't screw it up. And I was
pretty shitty at not screwing it up and invented a lot of things. But I lost my job. That was
especially painful for my dad because he was pretty sure that, you know, at 36, that was it for me, and I'd be a ward of the state.
But I decided that I was gonna use this opportunity
to launch something I always wanted to launch,
which was a redefinition of a subscription, right?
And at the time, you bought a subscription,
and all the time you would be getting paper
renewal notices that would be entreaties of increasing drama to try to get you a new.
And they called that in the trade a positive option. You had to take a positive option to keep
the magazine coming. That was always from day one for me very curious and I asked that question about a hundred different ways
Why do we do it that way?
Because to me that was the business model of a product and not a service and I thought of the magazine as a service
People wanted to call this automatic renewal. I that term was a
little bit user-unfriendly
so we relabeled it continuous service because
Who wouldn't want continuous service or by contrast who would want an interruption of service?
And what it effectively did David is take inertia
Which was your mortal enemy and made it your best friend.
You reportedly sold for $800 million to time Warner and you have a interesting story about that.
Tell me about post acquisition.
What they wanted to do is make a statement that this is the new time
Inc, uh, that they are going to be inventive and entrepreneurial.
And as proof, here's the guy that we cast out and we bought his company for a whole
lot of money. And that's proof positive that we're entrepreneurial. And so tell us about that,
Michael. And they brought me around the world and all the convening of executives and trotted me out.
And they always had journalists interviewing me interviewing me. And then one of these
convenings was the guy who pulled the trigger, right?
Guy who fired you.
Guy who fired me.
And he didn't make any secret of the fact that he was there.
And again, this was a lot of years later.
And he sat like fourth row right in the center.
And he came up to the DS afterwards, stuck out his hand.
He said, Michael, I want to thank you.
And I said, well, his name was Mike. I said, Mike, why do you want to thank me? He said, well,
when the question came up about you getting fired from Time Inc., I'm very happy that
you didn't say, and it was that motherfucker over there. So anyway, so that was a comedic
talk. And he got no stock.
You mentioned that you had a disagreeableness to you. Michael
Blurick, who you referenced earlier, has similar
characteristic. Why exactly is that a good trait for an
entrepreneur?
Fundamentally, entrepreneurs are unemployable, right? I think
that they are insistent. I think they ask why. I think they
don't accept no for an answer. I think they have no appreciation of protocol. They're just impolite.
I mean, they're just very equipped to say, David, with all due respect, you're not just wrong,
you're like fucking wrong. In fact, you're fucking stupid wrong. Okay.
So, um, they're in a big rush and they like doing things differently.
And there's many examples of.
Entrepreneurs.
Um, and I can give you a couple right now that I think are neat vignettes, but
that I think are neat vignettes, but there was this 17-year-old kid in California, and his first name was Dick.
And everybody from the beginning of Dawn of Time, whenever we wanted to high jump,
we would barrel roll over the bar.
And this kid, 17 years old, went backwards. Right? And every coach said,
Dick, you can't go backwards. You can't go backwards. And Dick said, all I know is that
I'm jumping the seven feet. Nobody has ever done that before. And that was Dick Fosbury. And it was
the Fosbury flop. Right? And he invented that. Babe Ruth joined baseball at a time
that everybody had little tiny gloves.
In fact, nobody had their own glove.
They just left it on the field
and the other team would pick it up.
And the players were not nearly as mobile.
So basically the way baseball was played
is you hit down on the ball.
You hit down on the ball, you hope to find an opening,
get to first base, hope to steal second. Then you hope that somebody gets something in the outfield and advances
you to third. That's how the game was played. It was ABC ball.
And Babe Ruth, who was a big fella and was not very fast, said, well, explain this to
me. You're telling me that if I hit the ball out of the
park, I can go around the bases as slow as I want. I can just like trot around the bases
if I hit it out of the park. And they go, yeah, that's right. And so instead of hitting
down on the ball, he hit up on the ball. And Ruth, and we got to put this in context, but Ruth hit more home runs than whole teams,
like in baseball.
It was transformational.
And baseball was played for an awfully long time and he just changed the way baseball
was played.
And that's entrepreneurs, right?
They're just insistent.
They think differently.
And by the way, when they succeed, they crow about it. They're just insistent, they think differently, and by the way, when they succeed, they crow
about it.
They're awful employees.
You really don't want to have an entrepreneur as an employee.
So I was just that guy who was not content with four or 5% gains every year.
It had to be 40 or 50.
And I put that to practice in Sports Illustrated, which by the way, got a lot of people, you
know, pissed off at me.
In Japan, they say that the highest poppy gets cut first because you want a unanimity
and, you know, in big, comfortable corporates, they kind of want the same thing.
So while you were at Synapse and you were growing that, you also incubated Priceline.
Tell me about the origins of Priceline.
How did that come about?
I got to step back and describe my partner in Synapse, which it was very, very early
in the curve.
A mutual friend introduced me to Jay Walker, who I thought was a genius.
It is a genius.
And Jay had some great pattern, which was, Hey, I'm a uber successful
entrepreneur.
I won't say if that was true or not, but I'm an uber successful multi-times
entrepreneur and you're just some schmuck who got fired
from a mid-level job at a Fortune 500 company, right?
And you wanna be an entrepreneur,
you're gonna fall flat in your face.
And we met, we went back and forth.
Jay said, you know what, best thing is I'll hire you
and I'll give you 20% of the company
and I'll finance everything. And I said, you're crazy, you're not gonna hire me. Maybe I'm gonna hire you and I'll give you 20% of the company and I'll finance everything."
I said, you're crazy.
You're not going to hire me.
Maybe I'm going to hire you and maybe I'll finance everything.
Truth is Synapse was bootstrap.
We didn't need to finance much of anything.
We kind of met in the middle.
It was a 50-50 deal and I learned the hard way that Jay, like a lot of incredibly brilliant people, are not gifted
necessarily when it comes to managing other people.
You figure out you're the smartest guy in the room by several lengths and it becomes
hard to work with employees. So after a time, it was Jay, you know what, you think of what we are going to do together.
And Jay came up with another idea, which is a Sabbath every other day.
And it wasn't just an idea, it was an idea with a business plan, a 50-page business plan.
The man was prodigious when it comes to be able to churn out work.
Those things were not particularly attractive or viable in my opinion, but one day it was
Priceline.com and that to me made a whole lot of sense.
This was David in a day that if you wanted to go from New York to Boston, you
had to get a travel agent, right?
You just couldn't do it yourself.
There was no self-serve option.
Priceline was, you know, was self-serve travel.
And the name your own price was all about the fact that there was remnant inventory in travel.
And this was a way to monetize those seats.
And Priceline was the very first of its kind. Jay Walker saw it. He was very prescient and figured out that IP had changed and is now patentable.
It used to be that it was widgets that were patentable. And he put all that together and
came up with this incredible idea. Synapse contribution was that we were the funding source
in the beginning.
And we were also by the way, the labor source
because we told everybody instead of getting
double the employees and more space,
at least in the beginning, we just said to everybody,
you got two jobs and
as long as it was the same pew in a different church, it kind of worked.
Even when it became apparent that the appetite for funding of Priceline outstripped Synapse's ability to generate cash.
And we had to go to an outside firm, outside source.
You couldn't really do that for anything internet because the internet didn't exist.
I mean, that's how advanced Jay was in his thinking to do that. So Jay sold half of his half of Synapse to give the next shot of capital to Priceline,
which brought him to the public offering.
So last night checked Priceline, now Bookings, had hundred and sixty five billion dollar market cap. So Jay built one
of the very first actually I think the very first and big successful internet companies back in the
middle 90s which was really very early. You've been running a venture studio since 2006 now
called Loeb.nyc. How would you describe the venture studio thesis?
If you wanted to put it in the four boxes, you would have a box labeled ideas, you would
have a box labeled judgmental words, you'd have a box labeled know-how, and a box labeled
capital.
If you put all those things together, there's a lot of synergies to be had.
So we self-generate ideas.
We then research those ideas, test those ideas.
And if they test out, we put a team of entrepreneurs behind them.
Now, you're going to ask me, where do I get my entrepreneurs? Well, the answer is, they're entrepreneurs that
I've recycled from other projects, right? So there's a
sale, there's an exit of some sort, then you've got a team
freed up, they're accustomed to working with one another. When
we have an idea, David, the very first thing we do is research it. We write a white paper. It goes into the freezer.
And when a entrepreneurial team frees up, they get to look in the freezer. They see what's there.
They get to take their pick. And then it becomes theirs. Right.
Now, we complement that with what we call shared
services, that's the know-how. So I went through ideas, entrepreneurs, know-how.
Know-how is we have different groups, it's a Swiss Army knife of
capabilities that do different things. So back office accounting, for example, we try to have
all our companies go on our back office accounting rails. And that is because I
want lingua franca, I want to have a common definition of burn rate, fume date,
you know, gap accounting, yada yada yada. I want to pay the bills on time, I want
to collect on time, and those are skills that entrepreneurs are in short supply of.
I'm in short supply of.
I just, you know, give me a pile of bills to code, forget it.
I'll never give you any consistency.
So you, we have that, we have a research group, we have recruiting legal.
We have recruiting legal.
We have fundraising because once we stand a company up, we'll go several innings with it.
Some more, some less. The least amount we put into any one of our ideas before he went outside was two and a half million and the most was like 40-ish.
And some we never raised any capital at all,
because we went right to a sale, right? Synapse being a good example. So, in addition to the other
shared services that I described, we have tech and we got marketing. So, we got everything in between.
And basically, the young, you
know, these young companies, these startups, these nascent companies, borrow
all that resource. We don't charge it out. Our currency is success. And we think
our success rate with the ecosystem and with the incentives. And our entrepreneurs, it's not as much as
the West Coast playbook. I will re-up a team or a CEO as long as it was a quality at bat.
Doesn't have to be a winner. It just has to be a quality at bat. Not every ball that is
hit on the screws drops. Sometimes you did everything
right and the company doesn't work. You don't want to penalize somebody for that. In fact,
failure really is a derivative of success. I think it makes you a better entrepreneur.
What goes on in VCdom is they talk about two in 10 working and if when pressed they might get to one and 10 working. And the problem
with that is they very quickly do the triage, figure out who is going to be in their mind the
winner. VCs typically they either went to Harvard or they went to Stanford to get their MBA, but they
never ran a popsicle stand. So they try to run the war from the Pentagon and unless you've been on the
trench, it's really pretty hard to prosecute a war.
And as you've seen, startup costs go down dramatically.
Why do entrepreneurs still want to go with venture studios and talk to me
through that evolution of capital and how you've been able to retain the top talent.
We self-generate our ideas, right?
So we start, it's our ideas.
And we got a merry band and we've had enough wins on the board that, you know, people are always there looking for the next one.
So, so yeah, it's a little bit differentiated from that perspective.
You generate your own ideas. Tell me a little bit at a high level what your process is like
to have such a high hit rate.
Entrepreneuring is like a process of defying thing. And I'll tell you a little vignette, but about 20 years ago or so, I'm invited up to MIT.
And MIT had just started its entrepreneurial incubation lab.
And they wanted to have me for lunch.
And at lunch, and it was me and about 20 people, so we had
this wonderful lunch.
And then they hand me at the end of lunch a book, a book.
And the cover of the book, the jacket said the 24 steps to being a successful entrepreneur,
the 24 steps. And all I could think about is, oh my God, I don't check the box on step 13.
Does that mean I can't be a successful entrepreneur? And, um, I said to them, you know what, you're missing step 25.
And they go step 25, there's a step 25.
I said, oh yeah, there's a step 25.
And they go, what's that?
And I said, burn this book.
Cause you can't right call 1-800-ENGENOURE and hope to be one.
It just doesn't work that way.
And you can't convene a bunch of people at three o'clock every Wednesday
and say, give me your best ideas.
Um, it is a lightning on a bottle.
And what you do is just put your shingle out and say, Hey, look,
anybody with a good idea, uh, you put it in the hopper, give it to research.
And they will write a white paper on it.
Sometimes they'll spend 10 minutes on it because they'll say it's just not viable, right?
Or 100 companies have tried this before, they're all dead.
With the good ones, they'll go the distance and they'll write a 20-page paper on it,
which outlines everything you'd like to know.
The TAM, the perceived margins, how you would scale it, is it B2B, B2C, or B2G, yada, yada,
yada.
So that is kind of the beginning of the process,, understanding the research on the marketplace.
Two of the most famous.com bus were web van and pets.com, which later on became
Instacart and Chewy in the next iteration.
How do you know when a company that's been tried many times and failed,
maybe the time has come for that idea.
Maybe the time has come for that idea.
David, it gets to something very interesting, which is sometimes the littlest thing, like somehow has an outside, outsize difference.
Uh, I'm trying to remember, you probably do the predecessor to Facebook.
What was the name?
MySpace.
MySpace. I ask this question of people all the
time. What was the difference between MySpace and Facebook? I mean, why did Facebook win and MySpace
get evaporated? I just don't know. But it was something and it was something that was probably pretty subtle, but it was the difference between
success and failure. The other one that's worthwhile thinking about or mentioning, and
that one was a much bigger thing, is BlackBerry versus the iPhone. So BlackBerry invented it, they owned it, they owned it.
But I think what the difference was is BlackBerry thought of this, thought of what they had as a communications device.
And what Steve Jobs thought is I am taking a computer and putting it in everybody's pocket. And I wonder about those things all the time. And it's
entrepreneurial success is very fragile. And sometimes, you know, which gets back
to you can't program it, you can't say at, you know, three o'clock on Wednesday
afternoon, we're going to ideate, you know, it, it is a very, it's like a
souffle, it just requires the, you know requires the right temperature, the right eggs, the right this, right that to
make a good souffle.
I wished I was smarter about it all because sometimes I think that winners don't turn
out to be winners,
or what I would predict is a winner.
And the reverse is true.
Sometimes we're working on something
and it's the little engine that could.
And I say, you mean that's still around?
That didn't die yet?
That's amazing.
And it just grows and grows and then it takes off.
It's interesting, but you find,
I find a lot that with a company, it's
not up and to the right for sure, but it will spend a lot of time not doing much of anything
and then all of a sudden go vertical. By the way, if you look at Apple, right, Apple for the longest time for like 10 years, maybe
even more, had a $5 billion market cap.
And then a couple of inventions just made it go straight up.
And it's been straight up ever since.
When you have these companies that are kind of middling and then shoot up and straight
to the right, is it like an iceberg where something's growing underneath
and you can't see it, or is it just almost probabilistic
if you stay alive for long enough time,
you get some flash in the pan
and suddenly you're off to the races?
I would describe it a little bit differently than that.
I'd say that it's not just staying alive.
It's like continuing to try new things. New combinations of things,
new thinking about things. Maybe this isn't a B2C business, maybe this is a B2G as in
government business. Maybe our price point shouldn't be $100, maybe it should be $10. But just saying that is one thing,
then you got to re-engineer the business model so that you can actually make money on $10.
So I think it's the constant rethinking of the business model. And sometimes, David, I have, I swapped out teams, you know, a team that was successful in a prior business and is working on something and, you know, and just is not successful.
You swap out a team and sometimes it just clicks.
Like somebody saw something.
it just clicks. Like somebody saw something. Rumors are really hard to squash. A lot of times,
a rumor is, this can't work. We tried it. Well, you tried it on Tuesday and not Monday. You tried it during the day and not the night. People in teams being what they are, they put things in the we tried it, it doesn't
work box and they tend not to look at that box again, which a new team is just going
to start from, you know, I don't know a thing I want to learn.
I like to say a four-year-old and the greatest first principle thinkers on the planet have
one thing in common.
They ask the question why.
Yeah.
After they get an answer, they ask another why until you get to the physics of why something
doesn't work or works and then you could actually have a good answer to whether does this defy
the laws of physics?
Is it just too expensive given these factors? And you have a whole understanding of the entire system behind why something works some
way versus just this mimetic repetition of why something might not work.
You're 100% right.
And as you say that, I reflect on Synapse, which kind of brings us back to the top of
the conversation, which I said, I don't
get this catch and release program for subscriptions.
We were really hard to find somebody and they finally subscribe and then we send them renewal
notices and if they don't respond to us, they unsubscribe automatically.
Makes no sense to me.
I kept on asking, why do we do it that way?
I kept on getting an answer and the answers didn't make sense.
And then finally, out of exasperation, the answer I got is,
this is just the way it's always been done, right?
And by the way, when you get that as an answer, you know you've won.
You know there's something there.
Because it's all about what Robert Frost said,
which is it's about the road less traveled.
And in the case of the entrepreneur,
the road not traveled whatsoever,
there's always that fear of the unknown
and the fear of something that's never been tried before,
something that has been tried before
and rumor has it doesn't work,
but you step back and it doesn't make sense.
It never made sense to me that we'd have the catch and release program for subscriptions,
right? It always made sense to me that it would continue as part of what we would call
a negative option, right? You had to opt out as opposed to opt in. And I intuitively knew that when you flipped the script,
you would find that there'd be a huge lift
in lifetime value, and indeed there was.
And that was what allowed Synapse to kind of eat the world.
We really did become a huge company pretty quickly.
When we last chatted, you mentioned that it's all
about the people, but you also said something paradoxical
that the company almost always pivots.
So how do you line up the idea with a market
with the people and how do you line all those things up
to build a large company at that early stage?
David, and this is an advantage we have.
You gotta make it safe. you gotta make it safe.
You gotta make it safe.
And when you're dealing with VC money and outside money,
and you showed them a business plan, okay?
And whenever you remit with, you know,
the board made up of, you know, that VC,
they always ask the question, well, three months ago you said this and now you say this, right?
And you're off plan.
And so you learn about the sanctity of a plan.
And so the temptation is to try to get back on plan, to adhere to the plan.
And you also get the sense that if you don't adhere to the plan, you're done, right? You're not going to be one of the anointed few that gets to, you know, more capital and gets to, you
know, live again. So that's not feeling safe, right? You got to feel safe. You got to be
able to feel trusted and safe as in go with your gut. You're here because you got a great instinct, right?
And you're here because you're indefatigable, right?
You're not gonna quit.
That's why you're here.
And this is not about my idea,
it's about your idea and running with it.
And I trust you, right?
I trust your judgment.
I trust your strength and your power and your preserve.
I trust all that stuff.
And that's not what you typically get in a VC universe because they just can't pivot because they don't have the time to pivot.
You don't have, you're on the clock.
You don't have time.
You got to execute the play. And sometimes with the best of intention, you kind of diagram the play, but the play is not working. It's a broken play.
So what do you do? What Einstein said insanity is that VCs just say, get out there.
You say, you know what, I'm trying.
It's just not working.
And it's like, you know what, you're just frail.
Go out and try harder.
And the entrepreneur will know.
They'll have an instinct that it's just not going to work.
And you do have to pivot.
You do have to do
something different. And there's not a whole lot of tolerance of that in VCdom. And so I think one
of the keys are you got to feel safe and supported, right? Like, you know, talk to me, talk to me.
The only thing I demand is a quality at bat. It's not success or failure. So, you know, talk to me, talk to me. The only thing I demand is a quality at bat. It's not success
or failure. So, you know, you're trying hard. And what's neat is I do get entrepreneurs,
my people on my team, they'll come to me and they'll say, Michael, you know what? This
just this dog ain't hunting. You know, this might be a single, I'm not a singles hitter.
Get some young one of your youngsters and let them sink the teeth
into this and get one victory and then they'll get, they can throw off the training wheels the next
time and go for something bigger. But it's the entrepreneurs who know first. And if you have that
And if you have that environment of support and trust and faith, faith that you're thinking clearly, faith that you have researched things well, that you're trying really hard, and And by the way, come to me for advice all the time, we'll talk it through.
But that feeling that you can do that and nobody's going to be, won't be a punitive
experience is I think very important.
So that's one of the things we try to do.
I'm very curious on that.
So a successful serial entrepreneur comes to you, launches a company, let's say they
see it could only be a $10 or $20 million revenue business at scale and they want you
to bring in a new CEO, a new partner.
Tell me a little bit about how you structure something like that.
If one of my CEOs were to come to me and say that, then they got equity in the old company and they keep that
equity. And then if they say, look, let me see what's in the freezer, I want to try a
new idea, then they get to do that. I mean, yes, so it's all with regard, respect, appreciation, I actually, you know, I actually
do thank them and I am appreciative of them coming to
me with that.
Coming takes a lot of courage. Yeah, it takes a lot of courage
and takes a lot of courage. And I appreciate their ambition,
right? They they don't want a $10 million company, they want a
billion dollar company, I want that too.
And those entrepreneurs that end up going to the freezer picking out another idea that
you guys have researched, what's the base case there?
Do they end up more successful than the people that stick with their businesses?
To be statistical about it, I need to have like, you know, 500 use cases.
I just don't have that.
But do you get excited about that use case?
And does that intuitive?
You know, I get very excited.
I get very excited about sitting down, you know,
with the team when we're sinking our teeth
into a new idea, a new company, when we have some early market evidence of success or failure, and we're doing the diagnostics.
And you know what? One thing that's very exciting is if you look at something and it looks grim, right?
You're looking at all the pieces and you're saying, oh my god, this just ain't going to get to the promised land. But then you say, okay,
I'm going to, I got an idea. I'm turning it upside down. I got an idea, right? And so one idea can
reinvent an entire business. And what does that sound like? Well, it sounds like, you know, saying, okay, I'm redefining
how we are going to get paid, right? So the product market fit, right now, the product
market fit is not a problem with the market. And it's not a problem with the market.
And it's not a problem with the product.
It's a problem with the fit, right?
So I'm trying to fit myself into, you know, Lululemon's when I really should be wearing a jacket instead.
So you say, OK, you know what?
We're not going to make Lululemons.
We're gonna make jackets.
My brainstorm is if we look at our customer,
look at our production, we look at everything,
we are better equipped to do that.
And the margins are higher and everything else.
So you change kind of the field of play.
It's stuff like that that gets kind of exciting.
But I do have an exciting job.
I get to work with people half my age and twice as smart.
And it's never been a more exciting and trying time.
You mentioned before how you can build a company
with a lot less people and a lot less resource
and it's getting more and more compressed.
And AI of course has an enormous impact with all
that stuff.
So it's a fascinating time.
What's really fascinating is the big companies, the big 100-year-old companies with 10,000
people are just going to have a devil of a time making that transformation. And so I think kind of like an old analogy, the world belongs
to the little mammals that can burrow and stay out of harm's way when the comet came
down or I guess it was a meteorite that came down 66 million years ago when, by the way, when you think about dinosaurs, dinosaurs are totally cool.
Okay.
Dinosaurs, they were, they were, you know, the tippy top, right?
Of the platygram.
And for 200 million years, they ruled, right?
It was claws and teeth and muscle and strength and size. And then
that could have ruled for another 200 million years. And then, you know, the
meteorite came down and things that can go out underground were the things that
ruled the day. And here we are. But you know, intellect was not one of the things that we
needed back then, right? So it's kind of interesting when there is a meteorite-like event that
changes all the rules and all of a sudden the definition of success kind of changes.
Yeah. Do you see the construction of teams evolving
in terms of smaller teams that are able to scale
more rapidly and if so, how are you incorporating
that into your business?
We've always started in the very beginning
with small teams and we added to those teams
and now I think we're gonna still have small teams,
we're just going
to add a little more slowly. So I think that these are very interesting times to be an
entrepreneur. They're trying at the same time because capital formation is a little bit
more arduous than it was a couple of years ago, but that too shall change. We're addicted to invention in this country
and we should be, that's where the intellectual property is
and that's where the value formation comes from.
There's all sorts of this Silicon Valley folklore
in terms of entrepreneurs need to start the idea
or else they're not entrepreneurs,
they need to risk everything
or else they're not entrepreneurs.
Do you see a class of people that are naturally just really good at execution,
but may not want to or have the idea?
They say that, right?
But they also say in the same breath that the biggest determination of
success is previous success, right?
So they want, they want that multiple time entrepreneur and statistics
bear that out. So that multiple time entrepreneur is not going to be driving a Volvo with 400,000
miles on it. The thing about an entrepreneur is they come out of the womb hungry. They're
just hungry and they're irrepressible. so I don't think they need the motivation of starvation, right, to be
successful. And I think it's categorically true that, you know, multi times entrepreneurs have a greater probability of success than first-time entrepreneurs. And I don't think anybody in VCdom would disagree with that one.
So that runs contrary to the notion of they've got to be starving.
And I will just tell you that entrepreneurs, they're just hungry, irrepressible, and they don't need to be first timers and
be living on wonton soup and peanut butter in order for them to have that desire.
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I also think starving is a relative term.
If all of your friends started billion dollar companies and you're in that
peer group and you sold a company for $70 million, your ego might be as
starving as somebody that's 24 year old that's just coming out of college.
How do we explain Michael Jordan? How do we explain the last dance? That guy was ferocious.
He wasn't, oh, I won one championship. That's good enough. Just a ferocity. Look at Tom Brady,
45 years old, winning a Super Bowl. You know, would you bet on Tom Brady or some rookie?
This is why entrepreneurs are a species onto themselves because they just, they have that fire, they got that desire, they got that need.
And what they say about them is true, that the money is
just a way of keeping score. It's not the it of it. The it of it is inventing something. The it
of it is having some other entrepreneur have some other smart person look at a company, look at an
idea and say, damn, I wished I had that one.
That could have been mine.
That was an idea that I should have had and I didn't.
The son of a bitch, he stole it from me without stealing it from me, but he invented the company
I should have invented.
That was mine.
That's high praise.
That's what we all live for. In your late 60s, you're reportedly worth a couple billion dollars.
What still drives you today versus earlier in your career?
Do I look like I'm in the late 60s?
Reportedly, reportedly.
Reportedly, they lie.
So what drives me?
No, it's those very tenets which is I just want to win.
I just want to win. I want to make a is I just want to win. I just want to win.
I want to make a difference, and I want to win.
There is nothing more satisfying than coming up with an idea, planting a seed,
and seeing a mighty oak grow.
And I will say something else, which is you do the happy dance with a victory
for about five minutes.
And when you have a loss, you suffer that for five decades.
It like never goes away.
It's you want to have the five minutes and you really want to avoid the,
you know, the 50 years. So it's, you know, I,
I don't know what to call it David, except it's a a disease. It's a disease and it's like shingles.
It just keeps coming back.
There's no amount of inoculation will prevent you from having your shingles.
I'm lucky to live in this country because this country has spawned more than a chair.
I did a little analysis a
few years ago, I directionally still hold, which was the top 25 tech-centric
companies as measured by market cap and of those 25, 19 were American. So we're 4% of the world's population, 76% of the Teslas, the Netflix,
the Microsoft, the Facebooks, the NVIDIAs, etc. Right? So here is where these companies
get invented. And, you know, the question is why? I don't really have an answer to that.
Capital formation is one, but I think forgiveness when it comes to failure.
There's other countries around the world where, you know, if you're, if you're
failure done, that stink, that stain will follow you around everywhere, but not in
this country, we kind of wear it as a badge of honor, right?
And, you know, it's part of your narrative,
part of the narrative. And also when you get a group of entrepreneurs together and, you know,
we get a, you know, a drink in us or two, then we sit around the campfire and we say, you know,
I don't know what I was thinking with that one. I mean, you know, at the time I thought I was so
clever and then I put it in the marketplace.
What an idiot, right?
I really thought that one would work.
What a dummy.
And I spent oodles of millions doing that.
So shame on me.
We spoke in the beginning of the interview how your parents came from the depression
area and when you were fired at 36, they were a
little bit worried about you.
Did the fuel and the source of your motivation fundamentally change before and after synapse,
before and after a price line to today or does it still feel like the same type of motivation?
No, it feels like the same. I'll tell you one thing that I no longer have, which is, you know, don't, don't
get me wrong, I worry all the time, but you, you know, you had the patina of fear
in the very beginning because one false move and you're like done, you're bankrupt.
And, um, in the beginning where you had about nothing and you're betting it all, betting all of
it, right, on the come line.
And if it comes up, you know, red, not black, you're just done.
That's a fear that, you know, I no longer have.
It's more calculated than that.
It's still – don't get me wrong,
hurts like hell when it doesn't work. I still have a lot of anxiety about all that.
I think that's part and parcel of all this, but it's not as present as it used to be.
When I first met you, you told a story about this friend that calls you every
six months telling you, uh, from the beach and, uh, telling you to retire and go
enjoy yourself, is there some middle line where you could be half in and vacation
or is it truly in or out and why, why is, why is there no middle line?
I don't know.
I was hoping that you were a therapist.
You're not a therapist, are you?
I have a master's in psychology, but not a clinician.
Yes, I do have that friend that I'll tell you that parable
kind of right now, which is he does call me twice a year.
kind of right now, which is he does call me twice a year. He does. He used to try to have this conceit where, you know, he got me to pick up a landline phone, but now he doesn't
even bother with that. But I get a phone call from him twice a year. And, you know, I see
who was calling and I say, Hey, Stu, and and he says, hey dumb fuck, I see you're still
working.
And I say, yes, Stu.
And he says, and Stu had a number, the number was 200 million.
When he got to 200 million, that was enough.
And dumb fuck, guess what I'm doing now?
And I said, I don't know, Stu.
He said, I'm drinking a cup of coffee.
Where am I drinking the cup of coffee? I said, gee, I don't know, Stu.
I said, it can't be in your vineyard in Tuscany because it's not that type of year. It can't
be in your castle in Aspen because it's no longer snowing. Probably too cold for your mansion in Connecticut. You must be in Palm Beach."
And he goes, bingo, dumb fuck, what am I doing? And I said, I don't know, Stu. He said,
well, I told you I had a cup of coffee. I'm nursing my cup of coffee. I'm standing on the
beach, my beach, looking at my waves at my house in Palm Beach. And he said, well, what's next? I said,
I don't know, Stu. He said, I don't know either. I don't know if I get a massage. I don't know
if I play around a golf. I got the trophy wife. I don't know if I do that. But I said,
Stu, too much information, right? So anyway, that's the conversation I had with the guy.
Love him, he's brilliant, but I'm just not that guy.
And just not that guy.
I don't know why.
You're the psychology man.
On the brighter side, you have this compulsion of this entrepreneur shingles, as you call
it, which has led you to be a billionaire and to be
very successful. How has that changed how people treat you every day? And how did people
treat you before and after?
Right. You know, it might have something to do with the fact that I make them call me
czar. No, I'm kidding about that. So, you know, I don't feel like I'm treated any differently.
My wife still says, you know, I'm dumb from time to time, actually more than time to time.
But I don't – if there's reverence around here, I don't feel it.
I by the way encourage discourse, disagreement as in different point of views.
How about that? I think that's
very – I think that's very healthy and I do encourage that and nobody loses points
for thinking that an idea I had is not a very good idea. In fact, the research department
does that routinely. They kind of say, Michael, did you really suggest this?
Because what were you thinking about this one?
This is pretty dumb.
But I don't, gee, maybe I'm being naive, but I don't sense that.
I don't encourage that.
I don't, I kind of like, I appreciate hard work, good thinking. I don't need sycophants around
me. I know people who do but I just don't need that. I have – I got triplets and again,
they routinely say, Dad, what are you doing?
I mean, that's like, you're an income poop.
So no, I guess they probably do, but outside of stock brokers, right?
Wealth managers.
Exactly.
Not too many people treat me differently.
You have a lot of really interesting things going on, business, politics. What would you
like our audience to know about you, about Loeb.nyc or anything else you'd like to share?
Well, number one, you know, you got a great idea, send it to me. I promise not to steal
it. By the way, everybody's petrified of that and they really shouldn't be.
They put the idea away in their pocket and these days, the half-life of an idea is like
six minutes because world is changing so fast.
Just go back six months ago, nine months ago, look at the actors in AI and a lot of them
are totally different.
If a listener has a great idea, I'm open to listen to your great idea. I will take it seriously. I'll give you advice. I'll give you my honest opinion about these things. And
the only thing I request is that folks appreciate that I'm very fallible. I make bad calls all
the time. So but I will share with you an opinion. If it's
something that I know something about if it's something I don't
know anything about, like, don't talk to me about a biotech
company, I won't be helpful or a new chip, I won't be helpful or a new chip I won't be helpful but if
it's in one of my spaces and we got a pretty broad palette of things that
we're involved in I'll try to be helpful. You have your strike zone, the
companies that you've built, what's your hit rate? I think we're at least 50%.
And part of it, David, is when do you count and how do you count?
If we have a research paper, white paper done and I put a team of two or three people on
it and spend a few hundred thousand dollars chasing it down and they come back after six
months and say, you know, there's nothing here. I don't count that as a failure.
Maybe I should, but I don't count that as a failure.
And I know you also partner with VCs.
Your wife doesn't let you invest every dollar
in your own companies.
What kind of VC partners are you looking for?
A lot of times where a VC,
a lot of times they're pattern thinkers
and in a VC, a lot of times they're pattern thinkers in a different field of play.
It was a different football team in a different field and they ran this play and it worked
and they just think that it can always work in every circumstance.
Sometimes that drives a company into a very bad way.
And I've, I've certainly seen that a good time, a good deal before.
No one is immune to this mimetic copying.
Uh, Richard Dawkins, uh, popularized this term in 1976 where we copy these patterns.
The craziest example of that was Elizabeth, Elizabeth home with Theranos.
She literally started dressing like Steve Jobs.
And I think even Rupert Murdoch, biggest investment he's ever made was in Theranos.
I know that we're both really focused also on the New York City mayoral race.
So tell me about that TLDR, what's going on in the New York City mayoral
race and specifically the primary.
Yeah.
So thank you for that.
So primaries have an outside importance because you can get the fringes who tend to vote in
big numbers and the mainstream just assumes that everything is going to be adjudicated
in the general election.
So we have in New York Cuomo, who is the guy I'm supporting.
I think he's certainly very competent and certainly really understands the job.
And I think that's desperately needed.
The number two guy is, you know, has a lot of vitriol.
As a resident of New York City and of course, famously AOC won her seat against a 10 time incumbent because of this primary voting.
You have the same thing in San Francisco that used to happen as well.
Andrew Cuomo's opponent is literally part of the democratic socialist party, which,
you know, it's not a label people put on him,
it's a label he puts on himself.
Right, and he wants minimum wage to go up to $30.
Now, I believe everybody should have a living wage,
but you gotta think of the consequence of
our various service providers, our restaurants,
and just about everything else when you have that.
You know, of course, about Uncharted,
and we have about 2,500 entrepreneurs in our little tribe,
and about a quarter of them, about 7, 800,
convene at our summer summit at my house in the Hamptons
for a day. A lot of content, good food, yada, yada. But the whole mission behind Uncharted
was to say to entrepreneurs, you know what? As a group, we're smart enough, connected enough, rich enough, have enough
good ideas that we could self-determine.
We can self-fund.
We don't have to be totally dependent on outside capital.
How about generating our own capital and coming up with our own ideas and do that as something
of a collective.
So I am trying to put all that together, have a, if you will, a pitch club. It's going to be called Uncharted Pitches.
And I'm seeking quite a few members and they will, they will have a
small membership fee for the year.
But the other obligation is that
they got to put $10,000 a year to work and I hope to show them hundreds of companies.
You're kind enough to take Jessica and I in your magnificent Hamptons place straight up
from the show billions as the home use there.
So if anyone's wondering how you have 700 people
in a single home come out to Uncharted and Michael, this has been an incredible masterclass
on how to found multiple billion dollar companies. Thanks for taking time.
Thank you, David. Appreciate that. And thank you all the listeners for and my sympathies
for you to wade through all this tedium.
So, but I do appreciate it.
Thanks for listening to my conversation.
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