How to Be a Better Human - How to understand money stuff (w/ Matt Levine)
Episode Date: March 9, 2026Matt Levine is the author of Bloomberg’s “Money Stuff” newsletter where he writes about Wall Street and finances. Matt joins Chris to break down common money questions such as what exactly is co...mmodity trading? How do AI companies make money? How do companies balance ethics and virtues with increasing profits for shareholders? They also discuss how Matt uses comedy and humor to make complicated money topics accessible.Host & GuestChris Duffy (Instagram: @chrisiduffy | https://chrisduffycomedy.com/)Matt Levine (Website: https://mattlevine.co/work) LinksHumor Me by Chris Duffy - https://t.ted.com/ZGuYfcLBloomberg Money Stuff newsletterFor the full text transcript, visit go.ted.com/BHTranscriptsLearn more about our flagship conference happening this April at attend.ted.com/podcast Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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You're listening to How to Be a Better Human.
I am your host, Chris Duffy.
Today's episode is a bit of a departure for us.
We're going to be covering a topic that is a little different than what we normally
discuss on this show, which is international finance and the global economy.
Not the typical how to be a better human topic.
Now, we're going to be talking about the big picture of money stuff.
And we're going to be talking about that with Matt Levine, the author of the popular
financial newsletter and podcast that is called appropriately enough, Money Stuff.
There are a couple of reasons why I really wanted to do.
to have Matt on our show. And the first is that I enjoy money stuff a lot. I think his writing is so
funny. Matt makes me laugh and I learn about things that I would have never thought about otherwise.
But the bigger reason that I wanted to have Matt on the show is that I think too few of us have a
deep understanding of the financial forces at play in our world and society. It is such a tiny,
tiny percentage of people who actually understand the decisions, motivations, and structural forces
that affect businesses and governmental policies and our individual financial finances. And our individual
financial lives. And yet, money plays an outsized role in how we're able to live our lives,
how we're able to take care of our friends and families, how we're able to make decisions
in our community and in our world. If we know more, we can be more empowered, more confident,
and more informed. So I want to know, and I want everyone else to know, the answers to
questions like, why do prices go up? How and why do banks make money? What even is a dollar or a
peso or a euro? What do they represent?
And what I love about Matt is that he explains the answers to questions like that.
He explains how money actually works by making me laugh.
As an example, here's a clip from his podcast where he and his co-host, Katie, are answering a listener question about whether Matt has any favorite quotes that explains something to him about how the modern financial system works.
And here's Matt's answer to that.
Warren Buffett has a lot of famous quotes in his famous shareholder letters.
He does.
He probably quoted a lot of them.
The one that I like the most is at some point, he's like talking trash about.
gold as an investment.
Right.
And you can invest, I think the number was like the market cap of the S&P.
He's like you can put $32 trillion into the, into the S&P.
You put the money into the S&P, you get all the productive capacity of America, all the
companies, all the corporate profits, all the business.
Or you can put that amount of money into a cube of gold that is like, yay high by yay long
by yay wide.
And he's like, and then it'll just sit there.
You can fondle the cube, but it will not respond.
It will not spin off any dividends.
anything like that. No cash flow.
I just think of Warren Buffett saying you can fondle the cube, but it will not respond.
I am sure that when you downloaded this episode, you did not expect to hear a quote about
Warren Buffett fondling a giant golden cube. And there are more surprises and a lot of fascinating
insights about our financial world coming up right after this break. So stay tuned.
Today on the show, we're talking about the world of money and finance with journalist Matt Levine.
Hi, I'm Matt Levine. I write the money stuff column for Bloomberg Opinion. I've been writing about the
financial industry for more than a decade. And before that, I was a mergers and acquisitions lawyer
and an investment banker. So, Matt, I don't think I've ever, you know, we've been doing this show
for six seasons. And I don't think we've ever done this before. But I think for this episode,
it would be actually really helpful to start with a caveat, which is that when we asked you to do
this show, you were at first a little hesitant to do it. And you said specifically that what you want
to avoid is like, where should I invest my 401k? Or will the stock market go up? Or will the stock market go up?
or will the Fed cut rates that, like, you don't really feel comfortable giving regular people
advice about personal finance.
That's not what you do.
You're not to, like, take your money and put it here and you end up with more money.
For me, I'm a person who does not think of myself as a finance person.
I don't think of myself as really understanding the world of economics and business very much.
And then I started reading your writing.
And I started reading it because it is funny.
Like, I read it because it made me laugh.
And week after week of reading your newsletter and listening to you, I realized that I was actually
understanding a lot more about how the broader world works and all these big forces that are at play
in politics and in international relations and in the global finance system that I just hadn't
had any real understanding of before.
And that's because you're so funny about them, but also you really break them down in a way
that a regular person can understand.
So that is the purpose of today's episode.
And I just want to like set that out up front.
That's what the point of the episode is.
Yeah, it's weird to be a financial colonist because people are like, what stock should I buy?
And I say, I'm not that kind of financial columnist.
Let's talk about some of the stuff that I've learned from you and that we can talk about it.
One thing is I always knew that there was a thing called commodities.
But I don't really understand what that was, right?
Because like I go to the store and I buy a bag of cocoa powder because I'm going to use it for baking.
That's a very clear purchase.
And yet there's also people who are.
investing in cocoa. So can you like break down how commodities work? A thing you talk about in your
newsletter sometimes is how they have become abstract and not just the concrete version as well.
It's funny. Like I would almost push back on the word investing, although people do invest in
cocoa. But what happens is that abstractly there are people who produce cocoa. They're cocoa growers.
And there are people who use cocoa and making Hershey's uses cocoa and they're making chocolate bars.
and they might want to lock in the price of cocoa today so they can trade futures on the commodities
exchange, which is a contract for conceptually, I'll deliver you a thousand pounds of cocoa in six
months. And so we agree on a price today for a delivery of cocoa in six months. And that is a
financial contract. Like, it's a real thing. It's sort of like, oh, I'll deliver you a cocoa in six
months. But most people who trade these on exchanges, that's not really what's happening. They're not
really, that's not really how Hershey makes its plans to make cocoa bars, to make chocolate
bars. What they do is they buy chocolate, they buy cocoa in like the normal market when
they need it. And then there's this separate financial market where they hedge their price
risk. So they make financial bets on cocoa. I say that they don't really invest because
most people doing this are hedging. They're not like, I'm going to store cocoa for the next
20 years to fund my retirement. They think I'm going to make some sort of bet on
the price of cocoa in six months. And that is very related to Hershey's actual business of buying
cocoa powder to be delivered to its factory to make chocolate bars. But it's not the same business.
And so there are two sort of separate markets. And I read about this a lot because, one,
that's interesting. And two, it doesn't work. Like that idea of betting on the abstract price
of cocoa can't work unless there's some way to link them. There's some way to turn abstract
cocoa into actual cocoa. And there is, basically what it is, is like, these financial contracts,
they are for delivery of cocoa, but because people don't usually, like, you know, get it for their
factory. Like, it's delivery of cocoa means something like you get a receipt for, like, some cocoa
sitting in a warehouse. And then you can trade that receipt again, or you could take it out of the
warehouse if you wanted to. But I've written in the past, like, sometimes there are, like, weird
problems where the cocoa in the warehouses is not like the very best cocoa, which when you
think about it for a minute makes total sense because it's just there to support financial
contracts. You have the best go, you put in chocolate bars, the second best or the older stuff.
So there have been stories about like coffee futures where like it turns out the coffee
beans in the futures warehouse are quite old because no one takes them out. And they probably
wouldn't taste that good. There are rules about how old the coffee beans can be or how long
they can sit in the warehouse. And there's a story about.
like you had they couldn't be in the warehouse for more than a certain amount of time, but you
would take them out and then put them back in.
They would rest off the clock, which is not good for coffee, but it's good for like the
abstract rules of the exchange that sort of allow you to connect the like financial price
of cocoa to like the actual price of actual cocoa.
But that like that messy linkage between them, I think is really interesting.
I read about like the financial markets, right?
And the financial markets are this sort of abstraction of the real world, right?
Like everything in finance is that, right?
A share of stock somehow represents something about a collection of factories and employees and actual business, right?
But it's like abstracted into this one thing.
And I like writing about the places where those abstractions break down or get messy.
It's interesting also.
You started by saying something like you don't know what a commodity is.
My favorite commodity these days is like, who will win the Patriots game this weekend?
Which is like another thing I've been writing about a lot, which is that,
through this confluence of very strange historical and regulatory and business factors,
there are now regulated commodity exchanges in the U.S. that allow you to bet on football games.
These are the prediction markets and sports betting, right?
Like there are two versions of ways you can do that?
Yeah, there's two versions, right?
So one version is sportsbook, which are not regulated commodity exchanges.
Those are gambling companies that used to be illegal in most ways in the U.S.
And in recent years, like, they've become legal in most states and a huge national business.
And then very recently, basically since Trump was elected, prediction markets, which are registered as commodity exchanges and are regulated by the U.S. commodity regulators, they offered predictions on sports.
No one would stop them.
And so even though it's like, you know, probably illegal under the text of the rules or that no one's quite sure.
And so they're just like offering prediction markets on sports.
and you can predict who will win the Jets game,
and if you predict correctly, you will win money.
That's like a way around state gaming regulation and very bizarre.
You wrote about how, like, a stock price is in some ways a prediction of where you think the stock is going,
if it's worth that money or not, if this actual thing is going to happen.
You were doing it in the context of a merger.
Yeah.
Any financial market, like people have different motivations for it.
So one reason to buy a share of stock is the normal reason to buy a share of stock is you're a person, you have a retirement account, and you think explicitly or not, you think I want to own a slice of American economic growth.
And the simplest slice of American economic growth is you buy a lot of shares of stock in a lot of big companies.
And so that's an index fund, an S&P 500 index fund, is shares of stock in lots of big companies.
gives you some sort of broad cross-section exposure to American economic growth. That's the
normal reason that you and I would buy stocks. But another reason is you like a bet, right? You're like,
yeah, I think that this Tesla, you know, I like the cut of this guy's gym. I'm going to bet on Tesla,
right? And so people have all sorts of motivations. And a thing that people have always said is
the financial markets are a casino or they're partially a casino or there's a casino like
element to them. And we've moved more of the real casino into the financial markets.
So I want to just actually read a quote from one of your newsletters that I really enjoyed, which is
You wrote, a theme that I think about a lot these days is that modern finance creates layers of
abstraction on top of real world activity.
And sometimes those abstractions become unmoored from the reality.
And a share of Apple Inc.
stock encapsulates all of the labor and creativity that went into inventing the iPhone and
manufacturing it and selling it and building app stores and everything else.
All the factories and offices and decades of decisions are all reflected in the tradable
electronic token that is a share of stock.
And you can just buy Apple shares on your phone without knowing of
about any of that stuff. The abstractions are so successful that you might lose sight of the
underlying activity. The complex apparatus that links a share of Apple stock to all of its
underlying reality is largely invisible. And sometimes people forget about it. A thing that I think
everyone would benefit from is understanding the ways in which like the actual underlying
reality of our world and the linked financial reality of our world sometimes match up perfectly
and sometimes don't. I feel like that's something that if more people understood, they would have a lot
better sense of why things happen the way they do in the world and in politics and in economics.
Yeah. And sometimes I feel bad because I more often write about places where it doesn't work, right? If you read my calling, you might think the financial system is a mess. But that's not, that's just because like I read about the messes.
I read about the places where it breaks down, like sort of interestingly illuminate something about how the connections work, but also they're funny.
That paragraph that I just read was an intro into you talking about how people had started trying to sell instead of gold that is out of the ground, gold that is still in the ground as has not yet been mined.
It's so good. Yeah, this company is like, we're going to sell your tokens that represent some gold that we aren't going to bother to mine because, like, this is more environmentally efficient.
If we just don't take the gold out of the ground, you can own gold that's just in the ground.
And if we did take the gold out of the ground, we'd like make a mess.
And then we'd get some rock and we'd crush the rock and we'd put the horrible chemicals in it.
We'd extract the gold.
And we'd be very environmentally degrading.
And we'd end up with these bars of gold.
And then what we'd do is we'd put them in the basement of the Federal Reserve and
you'd like own gold underground anyway.
So like, why let's just leave it underground and not do any of this?
Which I think is a fabulous idea that can't really work.
But like, yeah, you see where they're coming from?
A bunch of people emailed to say, well, I mean, really, if you're buying share of stock
in a speculative gold miner, which is a real thing.
Like there are a lot of gold miners who are not profitably producing gold but like have
speculative claims and like they, you know, they'll hope.
eventually sell into a bigger miner.
If you buy a share of stock in that, like, that's basically what you're buying.
You're buying some gold in the ground that hasn't been mined, and you're hoping that one day
it'll be mine.
Although this one, they're not hoping to mine it.
They're like, they're specifically not going to mine it.
The thing that I think is very funny, because it's a, as a concept, it's funny to be like,
I invest in gold.
And then someone says, oh, and where is your gold?
And you go, oh, it's still in the ground.
That's funny.
If I am buying gold.
And I'm probably doing it because I think that will result in more money.
But when I think about what more money means, it's really like numbers on a computer screen.
Yeah, it's all numbers on a computer screen.
I guess my question to you is like, for a regular person, for someone like me, like how much is money real and how much is it just a shared understanding that like the numbers we're going to say the numbers are real?
I think it's very hard to imagine money being real.
I think of money as primarily, loosely speaking, a way to.
track people's claims on society, right? If you have a lot of money, what it means is,
like, you can get people to give you stuff and do stuff for you, right? It doesn't mean,
like, I can make you take out my trash. It just means it like, yeah, if I have a lot of money,
I can pay someone to take out my trash. And that is its level of reality. If you're being cynical,
you can say it's like a collective delusion, but that's not, I don't think that's right. I think
it's a collective agreement to, like, you know, track claims in that way. If you have dollars,
The thing you mainly have, like I have some dollars in your wallet, but the thing you mainly have
is an entry on a computer and a bank saying that you have X dollars at that bank.
And what that is literally is that the bank owes you that number of dollars.
Like it's a debt claim on the bank.
It's a special kind of debt, but it's debt.
The bank owes you that money.
And if you said, well, I don't want to be owed dollars.
I just want to have dollars.
That's like kind of a category error.
There's no such thing.
You can't have dollars that aren't owed to.
You can, in the sense of dollars in your wallet.
Although, like, those are, you know, sort of in theory, like, money that the Fed owes you,
not really, but like whatever.
Most people don't have all of their wealth in dollar bills, right?
And if you have dollars in any other form, it's like a computer entry saying what the bank owes
you.
And this is controversial.
And there's talk about having a system where, instead of having dollars at the bank,
you have dollars at the Fed.
And then the Fed owes you the dollars.
And they're like more real dollars.
But for the most part, the way it works is that dollars are debt claims on someone.
And that makes sense when you realize that's what they are.
Like, dollars are claims on, like, society to do stuff for you.
Okay, we're going to take a quick break so we can make some claims on society, otherwise known as money.
And then we will be right back.
And we're back.
So, Matt, one of the questions that I have for you is about AI.
Because when I think about all of the things that I understand or think I understand about finance and money and value,
it has to do with making a product that has some sort of clear value.
And yet these AI companies are some of the most funded companies in the world.
They have unprecedented values.
And yet they don't really make anything yet, right?
Like they make the promise of a thing.
So I guess what would an AI company do to actually make money?
Open AI's business model is famously we'll ask the AI to tell us how to make money.
Exactly.
But like they're also kind of saying like we're going to create a world where money has no value.
We're like it's meaningless now because the AI could just.
do everything for everyone. Open AI sort of famously said explicitly, it is hard to know the role of
money in a post-artificial general intelligence world. If you think of money as like a way to keep
track of people's claims on each other, people's claims on society, you accrue money by doing
stuff for society, doing stuff for other people, right? Doing stuff that people want and then they
give you money for it. And then you have money and then you can get other people to do stuff you want,
right? Everything you want can be provided by a computer. Then what's the use of money? And how do you
earn money, right? I mean, this is like a real thing that people talk about with AI is if in a
world where a lot of jobs are replaced with AI, what happens to the people who had those jobs?
It's a question of like, how do we reallocate our claims on each other if we don't do anything
about it? What happens is that everyone loses their job and has no way to make money, and Sam Altman
has all the money because he owns the AI that like, you know, that accrues all the claims on society.
And that's like a pretty dystopian outcome, which is why people in Silicon Valley,
I like to talk about universal basic income.
And why Open AI used to like to talk about building AI for the benefit of humanity rather
than for commercial purposes, although they changed because it turns out they needed a lot of money.
Those are, you know, probably overblown and science fictionalized.
Those are like those are the real sort of like philosophical issues of AI economics, which is that these money claims don't make sense in a world where people aren't doing stuff for each other, but computers are doing stuff for everything, everyone.
I've been talking to you about like some of the big philosophical stuff.
But you often write about how in like overheated financing markets, certain types of startups become very easy to get money for them.
And so they kind of become quickly like the more absurd cases exist more and more quickly.
And one that you write about is right now, so many people want to invest in AI companies that there was an AI company that refused to talk about what they were going to do and that it might very well have just been people wanting to hang out with each other, but they got a bunch of money.
Yeah.
And to be clear, I was exaggerating.
They have since launched a product that people like.
And these people are, you know, very accomplished AI people who left fancy jobs at other fancy AI firms.
And you could very reasonably, as a venture capitalist, think they will do something good in AI.
But as you just thought about, like, doing something good in AI, like, the economics of that are unclear.
And the people who seem to have attracted a lot of funding in AI are often the people who,
who are like genius fundamental AI researchers.
This is shifting.
Some of the genius fundamental AI researchers
are leaving the biggest labs
because the biggest labs are pivoting
to selling ads online,
which is a natural progression.
But for a while,
if you were just like an intellectual leader in the field,
you could just get money for being an intellectual leader in the field.
And in that case, why would you sell ads, right?
Why would you be like, oh, yeah,
we're going to have a really good commercial product?
Why would you just be like,
we're going to do fundamental research?
We're going to hang out with our friends
who love fundamental AI research.
Yeah, maybe a product will come out of that somewhere.
But right now, investors will give us $10 billion,
so we don't have to worry about it very much.
I make fun of that because it's fun and because I'm very jealous.
But it's not clear that it's wrong on the part of the investor.
It is the case that people at Open AI were doing fundamental AI research
in the wilderness for a while.
I haven't made hundreds of billions of dollars of profit.
But if you're an early investor in that, you did well
without necessarily asking hard questions about how will you make money, right?
I don't know.
Well, ask the AI when we have an AI.
And you're like, fine, take my money.
And like, you made 100 times your money.
So like, you know, worked out fun.
Yeah, in some ways that did work.
Well, another of these speculative kind of will it or won't it pan out examples in in the finance world was the world of cryptocurrency,
where it's like confusing to understand what its actual use case was and would it actually make money.
And yet there was a ton of money going in and continues to be a ton of money going in.
Yeah, I still don't know if it worked out or not.
Something that you have written about with cryptocurrency is that the crypto world has
relearned the lessons of banking and finance, except in a much more compressed timeline.
That, like, a lot of the problems and solutions that crypto has developed are ones that
the finance world developed over hundreds of years or a hundred years, and they're doing it
in like decades instead.
Yeah, and they're all like 24 and on Twitter, so it's like, you see it more.
It's really fun.
In 2022, there's a crypto.
a meltdown that truly replicated, to me, like, the touchstone event in financial markets
is the 2008 financial crisis. I was working at an investment back then. I came into journalism
a few years later. And for me, and I think for a lot of people on financial journalism, like,
that's the reference point for a lot of what you think about in terms of structured products,
in terms of banking meltdowns, in terms of like where the risks are. You just think about 2008.
And in 2022, crypto just had 2008. They just did it again. And it's the same. It's a lot of
It's fascinating to watch it.
Me and everyone in traditional finance and everyone in financial journalism, we're like,
oh, yeah, we know how this works.
But in crypto, they're like, we're going to make it much worse.
And it's great.
It's great to be like, oh, yeah, I know this deal.
Can you be more specific about what that was for people who aren't familiar about it?
Fundamentally, a financial crisis is someone is borrowing short-term to make long-term
bets, and their short-term borrowing is from people who think it's safe.
And then people are like, oh, we have all this short-term borrowing that people think
it's safe. We're going to invest it in magic beans and then like you lose some money and the whole
thing topples over and all the people who thought their money was safe find out it wasn't and there's
a run on the bank. They want their money back. All the money flees. Everything gets worse. And people's
not like speculation, not their like fun money, but like their money they needed to be safe evaporates.
And they come looking for a bailout. And in 2008, that's kind of what happened. Roughly speaking,
that's what happened. And like a lot of what's happening there is,
essentially institutions, some of which were banks, some which were not banks, taking money that
people thought was safe and transmitting it into second mortgage, interest-only mortgages to people
who could not afford their houses, buying million-dollar houses. And so when you looked at that
and you're like, well, this is really speculative and risky. And then you looked at the other end,
it's like, oh, I'm just putting my money in the bank. That's where a financial crisis comes from.
And in crypto, like, that's kind of what happened. People were like, I'm going to park my money
at FTX because it's a safe crypto exchange. I'm not going to buy the weird cryptos on FTCX.
I'm going to just park my money in a stable coin there.
And then FTIX explodes, right?
Because it's making weird risky bets with the money that people thought was safe and that they parked there.
That's what happened in 2022.
And at a variety of crypto places, all of which were kind of like,
we'll keep your money safe and pay you 14%.
And then did not.
So I feel like a lot of the underlying, like the story beneath the story of a lot of modern finance
and a lot of what we've talked about is basically like,
trust and deceit, right? It's like you trust that one thing is happening and then there's a level of
deception. And sometimes you know that there might be a level of deception and a lot of times you
don't. So I wonder, what would you want regular people to understand about finance in a broader
sense so that they can protect themselves? Because I don't think your view is that it's just,
it's all the casino, you're always gambling. It's not that like everyone can be as savvy as people who are
spending 14 hours a day trading these esoteric products.
If you are a sophisticated trader at a hedge fund and someone comes through with a trade and
like, ooh, that looks like it makes a lot of money, the question you ask is, why am I making
money?
What am I getting paid to do?
And if you're at a hedge fund, you have like sophisticated answers about like what risk
you are bearing and what behavioral problems are on the other side that you're solving.
And if you're a normal person, you should ask yourself the same question.
And very occasionally, the answer to the question is, I know something about this penny stock or this cryptocurrency or this prediction market that no one else knows.
And so I can make money on it. But you shouldn't expect that to be the case that often.
And so, like, what are you getting paid for? You get served an Instagram ad that's make a million dollars a month in passive income from affiliate marketing. It's like, why? Like, what are you getting paid for? What am I doing that is providing value that is sufficient?
to be compensated a million dollars a month. And so the normal way to invest, the way that I invest,
this is not investing in a next one, right? What am I getting paid for? I am providing capital
to economic growth, right? I'm like investing in a broad slice of American corporations.
American corporations, for fairly understandable reasons of their own, like to issue stock. So they're
stock trades. I can buy some of that stock. And if like their profits go up, I get a share of it.
I can put my money in a high-hield savings account at a bank.
I can understand why the bank is paying me 3% a year for that money,
whatever, three and a half.
If someone on Instagram is I'll pay you 15% a month, like, why?
Why does he need my money?
Like, why am I the person who is getting that opportunity?
That's the top for me.
That and like the stock record are kind of the top for me.
If I'm getting 30% of my money, that doesn't make sense.
Like, why?
Why me?
You always have to ask that question.
have an answer. Let me take it one level back, though, which is say you're, again, a regular
person and you're not thinking about your own money. You're not actually thinking about investing.
You're just thinking about understanding. Like, I want to learn more about how finance works.
I want to learn more about like why people are getting paid that money and why the bank is able
to give this interest rate and not that interest rate and what would make 30% and who would
get access to that. If you're trying to understand the answers to those questions,
how do you start to understand this stuff?
Like, before you worked in finance, how did you learn it?
I was a classics major in college.
I was the most unworldly person.
A lot of people took the introductory economics class,
giant lecture class.
And I did not take that class.
And when they would talk about it at lunch,
I would go to another table because I didn't want to hear about it.
And then, like, you know,
I didn't have a job lined up after graduation.
So I taught Latin in high school for a year.
And then as one does with the classics degree,
I went to law school.
And in law school, I was like,
oh, this is a, like,
It turns out that contracts are interesting.
And so I became an M&A lawyer because you write contracts.
And it turns out, like, if you go to a good law school,
they'll just give you a job being an M&A lawyer without knowing anything.
And just to clarify, that's a mergers and acquisitions lawyer.
Yeah.
And then I did that for a little while.
And that was, like, enough for me to move to the financial industry.
I worked at a bank and sold derivatives.
Just a great way to learn.
Yeah.
Because it's truly an education process.
I was there for about four years.
And each year,
I learned more not about how the products that we sold worked, but like why they worked,
like why we were making money.
So I was a lawyer for a little while, and now I'm a journalist.
But one thing that I try to do is look at financial news and try to understand the like
economic and arbitrage intuitions behind it and like, why is this thing happening, right?
You have spent a lot of time thinking about and researching and writing about the finance
industry about things like insider trading, monopolies, securities fraud.
How has it affected the way that you think about virtues, like being cautious with your money
or like thrift or honesty?
How is it affected the way that you think about like those big picture virtues, if at all?
My impression is that people are pretty honest.
People are trying to do a good job.
I was an M&A lawyer.
And there are all sorts of theories about what executives and directors are doing when they
run companies and when they sell companies.
Many of these theories are kind of cynical.
And when you're in a boardroom with people thinking about selling their company,
like it is striking.
The boardrooms I was in, there was very little cynicism and a lot of like serious attention paid
to trying to do the right thing for shareholders.
One reason I got into financial journalism as I worked in finance.
And from like 2008 to 2011, I'd be reading stories about like how evil everyone in finance was.
I was like, no, we're fine.
We're fine.
One thing that money stuff has really helped me to understand is the way that the rules of the system.
are set up and the way that different systems have different rules.
And one, which I think is a very funny example, but also is very revealing to me is
you've written several times about how if you are working in a specific type of finance
and it is your job to invest, losing a billion dollars is not bad for your career.
In fact, it is good for your career.
Am I exaggerating slightly?
There is definitely a surprising resiliency of people who get blown out of their jobs that
hedge funds, startups, all sorts of places. And the next job is like, wow, someone trusted that person
with a lot of money. And she took big risks with it, which is what we want. And she probably
learned her lesson, right? Yeah, she can do it again. So, like, yeah, people get rehired after,
people get hired elsewhere after losing a billion dollars because, like, the all press is good press thing.
Like, you were a big name if you're doing that and, like, people want to hire big names.
That, to me, is so mind-blowing, right? Because it's like, you would think,
that just on its face, losing an unfathomable sum of money is bad. But as you point out, right,
it means that someone trusted you with an unfathomable sum of money. And you took a big enough risk
to lose it. So we want someone who was trusted. One thing that people in professional finance,
like, one thing that people think about really clearly is that the realized results don't give
you total insight into whether your decision making was good. Like, if you have something that
has a 70% chance of making money and you lose money, like, you know, that'll happen 30% of the time.
And so people who work in professional finance try to have some sort of rigorous model for
understanding what people's edge is and like how good they are. And that model tolerates
the idea that if you have edge and are good, sometimes you will lose money. There are more
sophisticated versions of the model where it's like, yeah, you had a 70% chance of making money
and you lost money, but that will only happen 30% of the time.
So, you know, you're a bargain now.
And people are thoughtful about that.
And so there's an understanding that there's variability there.
And you have to have some way of measuring, you know,
the goodness of the decision making that is not surely, like,
how much did you make yesterday?
I want to ask you about one other kind of,
to me, very interesting and surprising element of the modern finance system,
which is that there are quite a lot of companies that are these index funds,
that have big holdings in kind of everything in a way, right?
Like they own all of the companies.
And you've written before about how there's some question about, like, is that a good
thing or not for companies to own for the biggest shareholders in many companies
to also own all of the other companies in that field, right?
So if you invest in like an index fund, that index fund probably owns quite a bit of other
companies.
And that's a relatively new thing.
This is what I talked about.
Like if you're a person and you're investing.
And you're asking, what am I getting paid for?
And the answer is, I'm picking the stocks that will go up and not the stocks that will go down.
Like, that's a weird thing to think.
Like, a lot of people are really trying to do that.
And they're really, you know, they do it 16 hours a day.
And they've spent years on it.
And they have a lot of training and a lot of access to data.
And like, surely they're better at picking which stocks will go up than you are.
But you can just put all your money in all the companies.
You can just get broad exposure to economic growth.
And like, that's a reasonable thing to get paid for.
And that's why indexing is so big.
And look, they're really interesting and like theoretically appealing and funny theories about why these big index funds are bad.
But I put my money into X funds.
And this is not investing advice.
But like the reason they're so big is that they obviously do an enormously good thing for the average investor.
But there is some question as to whether like that is outweighed by the bad things they do for competition.
One of which is there is this idea that if they own all the companies, then the companies will have less.
incentive to compete with each other. If every airline has the same shareholders, they're all,
you know, BlackRock and Vanyard, the big index funds, but also like the non-index funds that kind of
often a lot of the stock in anyway, if one airline cuts prices to win business from other airlines,
and that just like reduces the total profits of the airlines and is bad for the shareholders who own all
of them. And so why would they do that? Why would they compete on price when they could just not do that
and all be fat and happy? And this is like an academic theory. There's like some evidence for it,
but it's like a lot of people don't believe it in part because they've met executives who are very competitive, right?
It just doesn't sound like a good psychological model of how companies operate.
Even if they all have index fund shareholders, they're like, yeah, we want to win.
So I don't know how true that is, but it's a theory that has some legs.
And then the other thing that people worry about with these index funds is like they are, you know,
three or so particular big companies that have particular executives who have particular views.
And so for a while, you know, BlackRock in particular, one of the biggest fund companies, short-hanging it a little bit.
They were a big advocate for companies caring about the environment and, like, paying attention to their emissions and reporting to shareholders about what they were doing about climate change.
And some people didn't like that and would say things like, who made Larry think God?
Larry Think is the CEO of BlackRock.
And there's been a huge backlash to that.
Whatever you think of the substance of it, it's just interesting that one guy who tells all the public.
company is what to do. And it's not quite true. Like, that's a shorthand. But like, you know, one guy
kind of is in charge of 7% of every public company. It's unusual. There's more, obviously,
there's so much more to talk about with that. But I'm just curious to hear you talk a little bit
about why you think humor and comedy have been so effective for you letting, getting people who
wouldn't otherwise be interested in finance to be interested in it. Because it seems to me that you
have a keen sense of absurdity in the finance world. That is, it's really delightful as a reader,
and I'm just curious how you think about it. Like, the stuff that's weird is illuminating about the
systems, right? Like, the places where you can take the coffee beans out of the warehouse and put
them back in so they look fresh abstractly, that tells you something about, like, how the financial
system works. But it's also very funny, right? So there's a lot of overlap there. The other thing
that I think about a lot when I think about, like, the extent to which I do comedy is
Elon Musk does a bunch of weird stuff.
And I often find myself writing imagined dialogue for Elon Musk,
which is like, one of the things that people find the funniest about the column is like when I write imagined dialogue for Elon Musk.
And it's the same thing, right?
It's like Elon Musk is this guy who's going around thinking about like, where can I push against the rules of the system?
Where can I do stuff that people just don't do, but that will work for me?
because he is often in the business of sort of pushing back against how the system works,
like writing that imagined dialogue clarifies how the system works and is also funny because
he's a funny guy or some of the stuff he does produces comedy. So there's a lot of that.
The absurdity also sort of explains the system. I think a lot about what I do in terms of
having some niche in the ecosystem where I'm not facing a lot of competition. I'm trying to do
stuff that other people don't do. And I often find myself reading articles in the financial
press that are very serious and thinking, that's absurd, right? There's some simple value out there
of being like, this stuff isn't always serious, right? There are like just things that don't make
sense and that you can point out the things that don't make sense and highlight that they're funny.
And that's like a differentiator from the people who think that's like very serious and you should be
angry about it.
Matt, thank you so much for doing this, for being on the show.
I'm such a fan of your work, and it's so cool to get to talk to you.
I really appreciate it.
Thank you as well.
That is it for today's episode of How to Be a Better Human.
Thank you so much to Matt Levine.
You can listen to his podcast, Money Stuff, or sign up for his fascinating and very funny
newsletter, which is also called Money Stuff.
Neither are investing advice.
I am your host, Chris Duffy, and my new nonfiction book, Humor Me is out now.
You can find out more about my book, my live show dates, and other projects at Chris Duffycomedy.
and I also do not provide investing advice.
How to Be a Better Human is put together by a team so good you couldn't buy a better one.
On the TED side, we've got the highly valuable Daniela Ballerzzo, Ban-Banchang, Michelle Quint,
Chloe Shasha Brooks, Valentina Bohanini, Lainey-Lat, Tanzakasung-Manyi and Tonya Leigh and Joseph
DeBrine. This episode was fact-checked by Matea Salas, whose currency is facts.
On the PRX side, they're worth their weight in gold, platinum, or rare earth metals,
Morgan Flannery, Norgill, Patrick Grant, and Jocelyn Gonzalez.
Thanks to you for listening.
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