If Books Could Kill - Glenn Kessler Retire B*tch [TEASER]
Episode Date: September 26, 2024Is fact-checking a legitimate enterprise? Is America's most famous fact-checker nothing more than a dweeb? Michael and Peter discuss.To hear the rest of the episode, support us on Patreon:https:/.../www.patreon.com/IfBooksPod
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Whatever zinger you do, I'm gonna say, this is misleading.
Three Pinocchios.
Yeah, what if I just seriously answered,
and you, what if I just said,
yeah, he's a fact checker for the Washington Post,
and then you just said, this needs context.
He sucks, that's actually additional context.
I think that's a good bit, I think we should do it.
Yeah.
Wait, we need something for the, okay,
we need something for the music to kick in.
All I know is that if I say he sucks, that needs zero Pinocchios or something like that.
Or should we just include this entire thing?
And then the music eventually kicks in. So this is an episode about the institution of fact checking and our little entry point
is Glenn Kessler, the Washington Post fact checker.
He starts as a hard news reporter for Newsday.
He then becomes like a White House kind of foreign policy reporter, access journalism
guy.
I did not know this when I started researching this, but the history of fact checking kind
of is the history of Glenn Kessler.
No one had ever thought to check a fact before Glenn came around.
Is this true?
Fact checking really gets kind of invented in 2004.
There's a speech by Zell Miller at the Republican National
Convention in 2004, where he just goes after Kerry's war
record and says he voted against this military spending.
And he just goes after him as a soft on military guy.
And it's just egregious, just lies and half-truths
all the way through.
And Kessler pitches to his editors,
I want to write a front page debunker of all
of the false claims that you heard the other night.
And this starts to be seen, you know, as the internet is starting to take over news, as the information environment is changing,
this starts to be seen as like actually a really important thing that journalistic organizations should be doing.
Right. What if when someone said something, we checked the veracity of that claim?
This is something that we thought of in 2004 as a society
I know there is there's something very interesting to me about how people who do fact-checking
Really do seem to think of it as like a different thing than what other people are doing especially other political reporters
But then what do you think people are doing like what?
Journalism is if not fact-check. Well, maybe it speaks to
just how
Poisoned political journalism is right where all of those folks are just sort of
Accumulating a skill set of like monitoring horse race coverage, right?
Therefore you need this like separate ancillary thing to be like by the way is the thing that that guy's saying every single speech
Is that true page 17 this guy's lying? Yeah,, is that true? Page 17. This guy's lying.
Yeah, yeah.
But then what's so interesting to me looking into this is that fact checking was born out
of a critique of both sides' journalism.
Like a lot of the people who started fact checking within these newsrooms were crusaders
and reformers against exactly the critiques of media that me and you make on this show
all the time. So this is an excerpt from a really interesting book
called Deciding What's True,
The Rise of Political Fact Checking
in American Journalism by Lucas Graves.
"'The speech by Zell Miller was a kind of epiphany for me,
where I did nothing but write a horse-race story
and really felt guilty about it,'
Bill Adair, founder of PolitiFact,
told fellow fact checkers at a 2011 meeting.
This grew out of my own guilt. I had covered political campaigns and felt that I had been a
passive co-conspirator in sort of passing along inaccurate information and hadn't fact-checked it
the way I should. And so I went to my editors with a proposal that we create a website where we would
do fact-checking full-time. So between 2004 and 2007 is where we start to get the foundation of
things like PolitiFact. The New York Times has its own fact-checking desk-time. So between 2004 and 2007 is where we start to get the foundation of things like PolitiFact.
The New York Times has its own fact-checking desk.
This becomes like a department within newsrooms of like, we have specialists that are going
to look into all of the factual claims that you're hearing.
Washington Post launches the fact-checker column in 2007.
Glenn Kessler takes it over in 2011.
And Glenn Kessler himself says that the Pinocchio ratings,
which is not something he invented that was the previous guy that did the fact checker column,
but he kept he sort of relaunched the fact checker column and he decided to keep the Pinocchio ratings
specifically as a response to both sides of journalism, right? That we need to have
standard metrics. That's his idea of a standard metric?
This thing is not arbitrary at all. It's an objective metric of whether or not somebody's lying.
This is from the introduction to his 2020 book, Donald Trump and his attacks on truth.
It is like a reverse restaurant review, ranging from one Pinocchio,
selective telling of the truth, to four Pinocchios, a whopper.
Those Pinocchios got politicians' attention.
No longer could they expect the newspaper to settle for dueling quotes from both sides,
leaving readers puzzling over who was right.
Instead, we are the readers' advocate, showing them how we do our research
and why a politician's claim is misleading.
So we're not doing both-side stuff.
You can actually look at this as like an index, and they pretty soon,
they start producing kind of like home pages
With politicians where you can look through you can like look up, you know
Bill Clinton or like Bernie Sanders and be like, okay, what's what's his overall Pinocchio rating?
How many Pinocchios has he accumulated over time over time, right?
And then you can have like almost like an index of like, okay, here's Hillary Clinton
She has like three point one seven Pinocchios and here's Donald Trump He has like 3.17 Pinocchios, and here's Donald Trump,
he has like 3.8 Pinocchios, and you can actually start to look at like different averages.
I think this is fucking asinine, but I'm gonna pretend that I don't because we're gonna have, you know,
like developments and twists later.
It's- this is very admirable to think that you could sort of like do, you know, or to want to do this.
I know.
But the- as soon as you're like, we will turn this into an objective science.
Here's my scale of one to four Pinocchios. Four Pinocchios, of course, reflecting a whopper.
Another abstraction.
Another complete abstraction. I know.
What are you talking about, dude?
It's also this thing that Glenn, from the very beginning, doesn't seem to understand
how kind of selective his own process is, right? Because he says they also have something called a Geppetto for when you make just a factually
true statement.
He's like, we almost never get out the Geppettos.
It's rare that a politician earns a Geppetto.
And then you have a Jiminy Cricket for someone who says something that's sort of spiritually
insightful.
Right.
This, of course, is a donkey boy.
But then I think, I mean, this sort of starts
to point to some of the problems with this entire endeavor,
that if you're only rarely giving out a that was true
rating, you're obviously choosing the lies.
Like, you're choosing to look into things
that are misleading.
So an index of a politician of how many Pinocchios they've
gotten over the years
It's like well, yeah, if you're if you're only choosing their lies
Every politician is going to look equally dishonest right like if you went through the show and you chose
Every single thing that you said that was like slightly exaggerated and everything that I said that was roughly true
You could say like oh well Peter gets four Pinocchios and Mike has zero Pinocchios
But that you're not looking at the entire corpus of things right we've said right you're not unless you're doing it systematically
And if you did you would realize that I am the moron
How dare you
As soon as you talk about speedrunning
six Pinocchios
Four Pinocchios speed running is actually cool
Six Pinocchios. Four Pinocchios.
Speedrunning is actually cool.
So that was a snapshot of some of the hype around the foundation of fact checking.
Over the last two decades, as fact checking has become a more normal part of the news
gathering apparatus, a lot of critiques have popped up of it.
And I think some severe structural weaknesses have appeared.
And from the vantage point of 2024, it's looking a lot less like fact checking is this invaluable
mechanism of accountability for politicians. So for the rest of this episode, we are going to
talk about some of the structural weaknesses of fact checking through one of America's
least essential fact checkers, Glenn Kessler. I looked at a bunch of Glenn Kessler fact-checks over the years.
We're going to go into deep Glenn Kessler lore and look at the origins of this kind
of stuff.
But then you looked into his fact-checks of the Democratic National Convention a couple
weeks ago.
That's right.
We will be fact-checking the fact-checker.
Ooh, who fact-checks the fact-checkers?
Who snopes the snopes?
I am anticipating
an apology from him to me directly
after this episode airs.
So I have
a million of these. I maybe have too many.
What's your actual total number of fact-checks?
I want to know.
I want the people to get a sense of
how you operate
differently from me because I have three.
Oh, okay. Well, okay, a couple of them I cut because they overlap with yours and then a couple of them are kind of repetitive. I have 12.
But I don't think we're going to do all of them. Well, I'll vibe it out. So we're going to go over these in three categories.
I will present mine and then we'll talk about whether or not yours fall into the same kind of category I think I think we both looked into this and came up with our own like typology of these which I think are a little bit
Different. You can give me as many Pinocchios as you need to for my structure
For my episode structure. So, okay
The first like major problem that you see with it is the selective use of pedantry sure with fact-checking
There's the question of are we checking the literal
words in the sentence that politicians are saying, or are we checking kind of whether
this is meaningfully true? So in 2020, Bernie Sanders gives a speech where he says, we will
not give tax breaks to billionaires when half a million Americans sleep out on the streets.
So that's the claim.
For this episode, I'm going to have me read the claims and you read the Glenn.
What if I anticipated what Glenn's going to say right now?
Well, I know you know this because you did the Schellenberger research.
What is he about to say?
I believe that he's about to say that just because you are homeless does not mean that
you are sleeping out on the streets.
Ding ding ding, Peter.
Washington Post, give me Glenn's job.
All right.
Glenn says, this is a favorite line, but the way Sanders frames it is exaggerated.
His number came from a single night survey done by the Department of Housing and Urban
Development to count homeless people.
For one night in January 2019, the estimate was that 568,000 people are homeless.
But the report also says that two thirds,
nearly 360,000, were in emergency shelters
or transitional housing programs.
The 210,000 others were unsheltered,
i.e. on the streets, as Sanders puts it.
The number has been trending down over the past decade.
It was 650,000 in 2007.
So he's fact checking the literal words, right?
Bernie says people are sleeping on the streets.
Bernie Sanders, drop out.
You have humiliated yourself.
I'm rating this one monstro, monster of the whale.
The thing is, I'm going to say this is like somewhat defensible.
I think like if you're going to say that people are sleeping out on the streets,
you probably should mean sleeping out on the streets,
especially considering that unsheltered homelessness
is like a distinct category of homelessness
that is measured.
And so the point makes just as much sense
to say like we shouldn't give tax breaks to billionaires
when 210,000 people are sleeping on the streets.
I agree.
I think this is like a fine thing to fact-check in a vacuum
Yeah, however, you need to be aware that what you're really fact-checking here is like rhetorical flourish
Yeah, exactly and also, you know if somebody's kind of speaking off the cuff in your head you can say okay homelessness is
500,000 and in your mind you can yeah
Synonym for homeless are sleeping on the streets and then it turns out that's technically not true.
It's sort of understandable as well.
I would say it's like, I mean, if we were doing Pinocchios,
I would do maybe like half a one or one.
It's sort of like, yeah, I mean,
you shouldn't do this kind of thing,
but also you sort of get how it happens, right?
It's hard to even call this dishonest.
No one is staking out a policy position
based on the sleeping on the streets line
and then finding out that actually a good chunk of these people are in
Emergency shelters and being like oh well then what are you complaining about right?
You know the policy issue is still being framed largely correctly
Yeah, he's also kind of fucking up the distinction between technically true and meaningfully true
Glenn says oh they these people are not technically sleeping on the streets because a lot of them are in emergency shelters.
But a lot of people in those emergency shelters
are regularly sleeping on the streets.
They may not have been on the particular night when
the point in time count was taken.
But if you're saying 500,000 people sleep on the streets,
Bernie may not have meant that on a specific night.
He may have meant that habitually,
and it turns out on top of the roughly 200,000 unsheltered homeless people, there's around 200,000 temporary beds.
I don't even, you know, the more I think about this the less I'm even sure that it's like...
Zero Pinocchios.
Well, I'm leaning towards like 0.25 to zero because when you hear sleeping on the streets
I don't necessarily think of literally sleeping on the streets to me
That just sounds like this is the amount of homeless people right right if if someone was like oh there a lot of them are
Actually in cars yeah, would that change your perception of the statement?
No, of course not that you know what he means, and I think this this is possibly a you know what he means situation
I love the car example because then it's like well you can do pedantry of like oh well
They're not technically sleeping on the streets, but then you can do like uno reverse double pedantry and be like well the cars are on the streets
Technically they are sleeping on the streets. Is your home not built on a street?
Yeah, like what level of pedantry are we going for here? Yeah, right?
So okay, so that was the example of like, okay, we're pedantically fact checking the
literal words in a politician's statement.
We then rewind to 2011.
This is Glenn's first year as the Washington Post fact checker.
We have a statement in a speech by President Obama during the recession.
He says, Chrysler has repaid every dime and more of what it owes American taxpayers for
their support during my presidency.
So that's the claim that Obama makes in 2011.
This is Glenn's fact check.
Every dime and more sounds like such a bargain.
Not only did Chrysler pay back the loan with interest, but the company paid back even more
than they owed.
Not so fast.
The president snuck in the weasel words during my presidency in his statement.
According to the White House, Obama is counting only the $8.5 billion alone that he made to Chrysler,
not the $4 billion that President George W. Bush extended in his last month in office.
So when it was Bernie, we're pedantically checking the words of the statement for this one. We're saying well the words themselves are fine
But the words are bad like he he included the weasel words. He's missing. He's missing context, right?
Yeah, Obama is doing I think what fact-checkers would recommend that he do he provides a caveat
Right Chrysler paid back all the money that we loaned them during my presidency and he's saying well
It's only during your presidency though.
That's what he said.
Well, yeah.
That's kind of the asterisk on this.
And this one is so egregious
that the actual White House response,
the White House puts out a press release saying,
first of all, they paid back three billion
of the four billion that George W. Bush loaned them.
And if Obama hadn't extended them the further 8.5 billion, they would have
recouped none of that.
The question again is like is this technically true or meaningfully true?
It's a much better outcome to extend them more credit and they pay back more of the
original loan than to simply lose that $4 billion anyway.
So it's sort of like what actual point are you making here?
Right, so we're seeing both sides of this.
One is a sort of demand for pedantry.
Right.
And one is demand for context.
Right.
And it's sort of unclear what you could say
about these things that would make Kessler
not do a little fact check.
So that's the first category,
is selectively weaponized pedantry.
Do you have any along these lines, Peter?
I want to step outside of Glenn Kessler for this one because probably the funniest fact check
of the DNC was by his colleague Amy Gardner. So Amy Gardner is fact checking Biden's speech on,
like, I think it was night one of the DNC Biden said quote Donald Trump says he will refuse to accept the election result if he loses again
Amy says but that's not true Trump just hasn't said that he would accept
And she follows up by saying and he has previously said the only way he loses is if the Democrats cheat, right?
Let's piece it all together, Amy.
All of these examples get to the core problem is that the fact-checkers think of themselves as doing something, like, above judgment, right?
They're just applying this, like, objective lens, and they don't want to come to any conclusions, right?
Whereas any intelligent person who's remotely familiar with Donald Trump would say like,
yeah, he doesn't recognize any form of accountability as legitimate, including the last time he
fucking lost a presidential election.
So probabilistically, you know, can you say this as a fact?
No.
But probabilistically, it's very likely that he will not accept the results of this election.
But also that requires you to be doing a little bit of opinionating.
Like that is opinion, right?
Right, but people who do this fact-checking are not allowed. I think their self-conception
Prevents them from doing this so they have to rely on these weird
hair thin yeah pedantic
Corrections of statements like that when you're essentially you're correcting an opinionated statement
I mean, I feel like what's happening is that Amy is looking at every line said by Joe Biden
and trying to locate a falsehood, right?
Right, right, right.
Because that's her job.
That's what she's out there to do.
So from time to time, you're just going to get over your skis because you're searching
for it because you want it to be there because not to get too dramatic, but like your career to some
degree relies on you being able to locate these misleading statements.
And also what's so interesting about that one specifically is that, you know, Glenn
oftentimes defends the practice of fact checking by saying, look, we don't want to be too pedantic.
What we're basically trying to do is inject a little bit of context.
We want voters to be informed and we're kind of using the fact check as a platform to just
inform people about like, okay, how does like the GDP work or whatever.
But the Amy example is actually misinforming the public.
50-50, maybe he'll accept the results of the election and maybe he won't.
When like that's not really true, right?
Like we know what happened last time.
So you end up spreading misinformation
under the guise of spreading information and delivering context.
Right, right.
Okay, so the second category of problematic fact checks that Glenn has done is true statements
that he designates as false. There are so many examples of this.
This is sort of like, you know, these are obviously all existing in an overlapping Venn diagram,
but that Obama statement is very much like, well, this is true, but...
What if I don't like it?
What if it were false?
So my favorite example of this comes from a presidential primary debate in 2019 when
Beto O'Rourke, he's talking about like the Green New
Deal stuff, he says, wind and solar jobs are the fastest growing jobs in the country. And here is
Glenn's fact check. Do your Glenn voice. What does he sound like? Do your white guy voice. Do your
black comedian doing a white guy voice. That's what I imagine him sounding like. OK, well, let me first let me do black comedian.
Then I'll transition.
All right. The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects solar photovoltaic installers and wind turbine technicians will grow the fastest between 2016 and 2026.
But that doesn't mean they are common professions that kind of became Brooklyn I think I think it's bleeding into your your Brooklyn tough guy. Maybe New Jersey tough guy
Let me take the baritone out of it the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Projects solar photovoltaic installers and wind turbine technicians will grow the fastest between 2016 and 2026
But that doesn't mean they are common professions.
Boom, got him. Got him, Glenn. He said they're the fastest growing professions, but they are the fastest growing professions.
But they're not common.
He didn't say that they were common. He was just straightforwardly correct, but a different claim is not true.
So...
Also, he didn't...
So, okay.
What? What the fuck is this? What the fuck is this?
What the fuck is this?
Like, I think what he's trying to get at here is that, like, whenever anything is fastest growing,
what that usually means is that it's starting from a very low baseline.
Correct. This is why, to put this in a context that only you and I can understand,
when you launch a podcast
Yeah, it will quickly hit the top of the Apple charts Yeah
This causes everyone who launches a medium-sized podcast to believe that they are the number one podcaster in the world right for a short period
Of time, but that's just the algorithm detecting that you went from zero to
Several thousand people or whatever.
What's actually happening is that you are a mid podcast.
Exactly.
That's why everyone keeps saying that podcast is mid whenever we come up due to our placement
on the Apple charts.
This should have been like a Geppetto.
This is the thing where he's like, we rarely give out Geppettos.
Why isn't this just a true statement?
What does a true statement mean in this context?
This is another situation where if the name of the column was like some additional context,
then you'd be like, all right, sure.
But the fact that you are presenting it as a fact check makes the whole sort of framing
a little bit suspect because you're not really fact checking.
You're just adding information that you think is useful.
That's great, but it's not fact checking.
I probably have too many examples, but there's also the, there's an infamous one where Bernie
Sanders said millions of Americans are forced to work two or three jobs just to survive.
And Glenn is like, well, that's true.
There's 5.2 million people working two or three jobs, but a lot of those jobs are part
time.
So it's like, okay, well, there are millions of people working two or three jobs, but a lot of those jobs are part time. So it's like, okay, well, there
are millions of people working two or three jobs. Yes. Thank you, Glenn. Dude, I did like
a site like wapo.com search for Glenn Kessler, Bernie Sanders, and like he fucking hates
Bernie Sanders. Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. So obvious. Like all of his fact checks of Bernie Sanders
are Bernie saying something that's just straightforwardly true and then Glenn like paragraph upon paragraph just like yelling at
him and calling him a liar. You say that the child tax credit has been successful but the
Soviet Union collapsed in 1991. Exactly. So the next claim that he looks at is three people in
this country own more wealth than the bottom half of America.
Oh, okay. I got it.
You know this one too, right?
I believe so. I believe that what he's gonna say is like, this is only true if you count debt.
Yes. Basically.
Bam.
Washington Post, call me.
You can fire your research staff. I can do this off the dome. I will save you millions.
The thing is, I think Glenn is also doing this off the dome. I will save you millions.
The thing is, I think Glenn is also doing this off the dome to be fair.
Yeah, that's true. That's true.
So here's this.
Here we go. Glenn says, this snappy talking point. Fuck you, Glenn. You fucking dick.
Snappy talking point.
This snappy talking point is based on numbers that add up, but it's also a question of comparing
apples to oranges.
Sanders is drawing on a 2017 report from the left-leaning Institute for Policy Studies,
which says that three billionaires, Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos, and Warren Buffett, had a total
wealth of $249 billion, compared to $245 billion for the bottom $160 million of the United
States.
But people in the bottom half
But people in the bottom half have essentially no wealth no as debts cancel out whatever assets they might have
So the comparison is not especially meaningful that that's the end of the column by the way
Why why isn't it meaningful? You might think that the bottom 160 million have very little wealth, but that's because
they have essentially no wealth.
Yeah, they have no wealth, and the billionaires do have more than them.
Yeah, this is something that I've heard people say many times where it's like, yeah, but
that's only if you count debt.
It's like, well, yeah, you should count debt.
What are you talking about?
What the fuck are you talking about?
Why would you ignore debt?
But then, okay, what's interesting about this one, though,
is that there's a huge blow about this.
Glenn gets yelled at by all corners of the internet,
and then he issues an update.
This is another specific Glenn pattern,
not necessarily a problem in fact-checking,
but a problem with Glenn,
that he does not take criticism well at all.
So here is his update to this post.
I am being attacked by communists online.
He says, oh, not even that far.
There was some Twitter outrage.
I love it when pundits frame criticism as like Twitter criticism just to demean it when
it'll be like, no, it was like other journalists on Twitter.
It was other, yeah exactly. And like articles in like various political blogs and stuff who were also
pointing this out.
There was some Twitter outrage about our conclusion that the comparison was not especially meaningful.
So we checked with Emmanuel Saez, the University of California Berkeley professor who is the
pioneer in this field of research and often cited by Sanders. He said he agreed with our assessment.
He agrees with us.
Quote, the real scandal here is that the bottom half of US families own essentially no wealth
on net because debts cancel out whatever small assets they may have, he said in an email.
If you exclude cars, the wealth of the bottom 50% is actually slightly negative, according
to the most recent distributional Fed statistics.
You don't even need to be a billionaire to own more than what the bottom half of
Americans own. Billionaires in the Forbes 400 owned slightly less than 1% of total
wealth back in 1982. Now they own about 3.5% of total wealth. The statement I
want to zoom in on here is he said he agreed with our assessment nothing in there nothing
Here's how he's being sort of slippery
He all he did was say this is only true if you include debt
Mm-hmm, and then he was like and therefore it doesn't really matter, right?
It's that second part that what is what everyone is yelling at you about dude, not the first part
So he's saying well this economist agrees that this is only true if you count for debt.
It's like, yeah, no, everyone agrees with that, Glenn.
It's the conclusion you're drawing from that that everyone thinks is fucking stupid.
And also, the guy in his email, you know, points out that they used to own 1% of total wealth,
and now billionaires own 3.5% of total wealth.
So we're talking about an overall problem of increasing inequality in the United States, right? And so the basic fact here, which is true, is that if you have $1,
if your net worth is $1, you are richer than the bottom 50% of the United States, technically,
right? Because if you go to college and you're $90,000 in student debt, then your net worth is
negative $90,000. So anyone who has a dollar has technically more net worth than you. But
the idea is that basically you have this asset essentially that you paid $90,000 for, eventually
your earning power will be such that you're much more likely to have a sort of an okay
life after that. What Bernie is saying here is A, I mean, it is true, right? Billionaires
have more wealth than the bottom 50% of Americans. And he's essentially doing like a rhetorical
flourish, right? He's talking about the top 0.001% and the bottom 50%.
He's using that as an illustration
of rising inequality in America, which is true.
There's a sort of an interesting methodological thing
about how they measure net worth.
Right.
But why is that not a meaningful comparison?
It is a meaningful comparison.
And like, debt is worse than no debt.
And like yeah, there are some people who, for example, when you are fresh out of law
school, you might be a couple hundred grand in debt, but also making a couple hundred
grand.
That person is not experiencing any financial difficulty.
And so measuring their financial situation by their wealth is a mistake.
But student debt is also
crippling for people who don't have higher incomes in many cases. So like you do want
to count their debt in those situations.
I don't know, there's many countries where if you go to medical school or law school
or college, you don't end up $90,000 in debt. The fact that so many people are in so much
debt is kind of part of the problem of inequality that Bernie is talking about.
All right, I have one. I have one in this category, I think.
There was a statement by Hakeem Jeffries at the DNC.
He said, quote, Trump was the mastermind of the GOP tax scam, where 83% of the benefits
went to the wealthiest 1% in America.
Kessler described this as mostly false.
And he says that he has previously given the statement three
Pinocchios. I actually read one of these yeah he did a lot of these like the same
thing when all this debate was going on yeah. When Republicans passed their big
tax cut bill in 2017 they put an expiration date on some of the tax cuts
for individuals meaning that over the span of the next decade, people whose taxes were initially
cut, their taxes would rise again.
That allowed the budget math to make a little bit more sense.
And it also creates political pressure to extend those tax cuts before they expire,
right?
Any president who's in office when the taxes are about to go back up again might think,
ooh, bad idea, let's get a bill passed
to keep those cuts in place.
So, Hakeem Jeffries' statement that 83%
of the benefits of the bill went to the wealthiest 1%
is true, but it assumes that the tax cuts won't be extended,
which they might be.
So, Kessler is saying that that makes it mostly false
because the tax cuts
might still be extended. That's three Pinocchios. What the fuck is it? What's two Pinocchios
then? He also I found one where he dings Bernie for making this exact same claim. It's like
83% go to the wealthy. He's like Bernie's being misleading because that won't apply
until 2027. So that's the same claim. He's basically saying, well, if in 2027 so that's the same claim. He's basically saying well if in 2027 there has been no extension
Then you could look back and say yeah 83% went to the top 1%
But it's like no dude. They passed a law
The output of that law was 83% of the benefits going to the top 1%
That's like an uncontested fact here but he's like but
what if what if something changes you must account for that no dude no it's not a lie
it's not a fucking lie yeah oh i don't i don't get it i don't it's not even this is
like beyond pedantry right it's not it's not even like adding context it's literally saying
someone might pass a law later that makes this not true what are you talking about well
you know what it is peter you know what it is, Peter? You know what it is.
It is our third category,
political punditry disguised as fact-checking.
Mm-hmm.
I have, you are absolutely gonna love this one, Peter.
I have a fact-check from 2012, from the 2012 election,
where he's fact-checking the voiceover
of a Obama attack ad on Mitt Romney. So the voiceover of Obama attack ad on Mitt Romney.
So the voiceover of this ad says,
running for governor, Mitt Romney campaigned as a...
No, do the voice.
I'm not doing the voice.
I can do long pauses. I can do long pauses.
All right, then do black comedian.
It says, well, it's a voiceover, so it's probably like terrible voiceover voice.
It says, running for governor, Mitt Romney campaigned as a job creator, but as a corporate
raider, he shipped jobs to China and Mexico.
That was from the Obama campaign ad.
And then here is the first part of Glenn's fact check. Oh, hell yeah.
I was wondering if he was going to be pedantic about the shipping jobs or the phrase and
phenomenal to see that it's about the phrase.
He says, the phrase corporate raider has a particular meaning in the world of finance.
Here's the definition on investopedia. For context, for folks who don't know,
investopedia is where first year lawyers go
when their corporate clients are involved
in some shenanigans that you don't understand.
And you're like, oh fuck, what is this?
What type of security is this?
How does this work?
You go to investopedia and then you go talk to the partner
and the partner's like, what is this?
And you're like, don't worry sir
I looked on invest a PDA
that's the first sentence of your essay invest a PDA defines short-selling as a
Corporate raider is an investor who buys a large number of shares in a corporation whose assets appear to be undervalued
The large share purchase would give the corporate Raider significant voting rights
Which could then be used to push changes in the company's leadership and management.
This would increase share value and thus generate a massive return for the raider.
So that's the investopedia definition of corporate raider.
So here's the rest of Glenn's fact check.
In other words, this is generally an adversarial stance in which an investor sees an undervalued
asset and forces management to spin off assets, take the company private, or break it up.
In a previous life, the fact checker covered renowned corporate raiders such as Carl Icahn
and his ilk.
We have also closely studied Bain Capital and can find no examples that come close to
this situation.
Its deals were done in close association with management.
Indeed, Bain generally held onto its investments for four or five years in contrast to the
quick bust-em-ups of real corporate raiders.
So calling Romney a corporate raider is a real stretch.
They did ship jobs overseas, but management wanted to ship those jobs.
So can you say it's bad?
I love using the technical definition of corporate raider, which like it's not like the SEC has
a definition of this that I know of,
you know what I mean? It's just a pejorative term for private equity. Yeah, yeah. It's basically,
it's like, yeah, fuck these guys. You buy a company, you make it more quote unquote efficient,
which oftentimes means laying people off, shipping jobs overseas, whatever, and then you sell it back
for a big profit. You're basically flipping it the way that you would flip a house. Right. This is
an opinion. It's like I was thinking of, you know, if someone called us, like, Mike and Peter, like,
dirtbag leftists, you can't, like, fact check that.
That's like, that's a pejorative way of saying we're like a progressive podcast.
Or like, maybe like, maybe like seven years ago, someone put together a definition of
dirtbag leftists that like technically wouldn't encompass us.
And then we were like, actually, the definition of dirtbag leftists that like technically wouldn't encompass us and then we were like actually the definition of
Dirtbag leftists is it's basically what they're saying is like this is a left-leaning podcast and these guys suck
I would say three Pinocchios Michael Hobbs is center-right
So this this gets four Pinocchios by the way this this this one over. He does also go into this thing of like shipping jobs overseas.
He's like, yes, Bain does that.
But Mitt Romney wasn't overseeing it when Bain was doing that.
And like, they shipped jobs to cheaper states like they shipped it to Tennessee,
where there's like less union representation, but not necessarily overseas.
But also there's like an Indian call center
that Massachusetts company was going to outsource to. And Mitt Indian call center that a Massachusetts company was
going to outsource to and Mitt Romney vetoed a bill that was going to prevent that.
It's like another one of these ones where it's like just kind of true, but he's sort
of making it more technical and somehow gives it the highest rating.
This is a whopper.
Whopper Glenn is like, where were you last night with friends?
That's a whopper.
Exactly.
Or like 80% of what Trump said.
Right. I rate this one figaro. Gepp a whopper. Exactly. Or like 80% of what Trump said. Right.
I rate this one figaro.
Geppetto's little cat.
But he's basically, he's just doing political punditry here.
Like this is an op-ed column, right?
He's like, is it fair to call Mitt Romney a corporate raider?
No, I think private equity is an important part of the economy, blah, blah, blah.
Context.
America is the greatest country in the world.
Let's get that straight.