In The Arena by TechArena - Measuring Hunga Tonga's Climate Altering Impact with NASA

Episode Date: January 18, 2023

TechArena host Allyson Klein chats with NASA research scientist Ryan Stauffer about how NASA's SHADOZ program measured increased stratospheric water vapor caused by the Hunga Tonga volcanic eruption a...nd its impact on Earth’s climate.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to the Tech Arena, featuring authentic discussions between tech's leading innovators and our host, Allison Klein. Now, let's step into the arena. Welcome to the Tech Arena. My name is Allison Klein, and today I'm delighted to be joined by research scientist Ryan Stauffer at NASA's Goddard facility. Welcome to the program, Ryan. Thanks so much for having me, Allison. Happy New Year. I appreciate the invitation. Ryan, you are undertaking some important work for NASA's Shadows program. As part of your work at NASA Goddard, can you just start with an introduction of your role at NASA and how it relates to Shadows? Sure. So as you said, I'm a research scientist at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center. It's located in Greenbelt, Maryland, just outside the DC Beltway. I've been in my current role as the principal investigator of the SHADOS Balloon-Borne Ozone Sonde Network. That's S-H-A-D-O-Z, SHADS, since June of 2021. And so SHADOWS stands for the Southern Hemisphere Additional Ozone Sons Network. And so it's a network of currently 14 active balloon-borne ozone son stations in the tropics and subtropics, basically covering all of the tropical area.
Starting point is 00:01:40 And so they collect these balloon-borne measurements of ozone about two to four times per month. And so this network has been in existence since 1998. So actually, we're celebrating 25 years of SHADOWS measurements. And actually, this year, later in 2023, we will collect the 10,000th one of these balloon-borne profiles. And so when you connect one of these small, lightweight ozone-measuring instruments to a balloon, it gives you the entire profile. So you're measuring ozone all the way from the ground up to about 20 miles or 30 kilometers up in the atmosphere before the balloon bursts and everything falls back to Earth.
Starting point is 00:02:20 So those are the measurements that the SHADOWS network collects. Now, SHADOWS is part of NASA's larger use of scientific balloons for atmospheric measurement. Why are balloons something that are effective tools for measurement? And why would you decide to choose a balloon versus another tool like a satellite? Well, yes, exactly. When I tell people that I work for NASA, it's always a bit of a head-scratcher for them because NASA is in the business of putting things into space and taking measurements of the Earth and beyond and human exploration. But the reason that NASA is interested in collecting these balloon-borne measurements is because, well, one, we need to make sure that the satellite
Starting point is 00:03:05 measurements are accurate. And another aspect, maybe, you know, ozone is a really nice example of this, is that when a satellite is staring down through the atmosphere, it has to look through the ozone layer up in the stratosphere, somewhere around 15 miles above the Earth or so. And around 90% of all of the ozone in the atmosphere is located in the stratosphere, somewhere around 15 miles above the Earth or so. And around 90% of all of the ozone in the atmosphere is located in the stratosphere, in the ozone layer. So satellites have a very difficult time determining how much ozone is at the surface, where we would say ozone is polluted. So ozone, the phrase we like to use is good up high, bad nearby. And if you want the entire complete picture, you know, the ground level ozone where it's a harmful pollutant and the ozone layer ozone that protects us from the sun's harmful UVs, you need these balloon borne measurements to give you that complete picture.
Starting point is 00:03:57 And the satellites are complementary to that. So today is the one year anniversary of the Honga Tonga eruption in the South Pacific. This was quite a powerful eruption from the seafloor, to say the least. Can you tell us about that and why it made shadows even more important to our science? Absolutely. Just an enormous cataclysmic eruption that occurred at about 20 degrees south latitude in the remote Pacific Ocean. The really unique aspect of this eruption was not just its intensity, and it looks like it was the strongest, most powerful eruption since at least 1991 with Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines, but the unique aspect was that it was an underwater volcano, so it blasted just copious, enormous
Starting point is 00:04:46 amounts of water vapor into the stratosphere, the normally very dry stratosphere. And so over the course of a day or two, the amount of water vapor located in the stratosphere over the entire globe increased by about 10 percent. So just an enormous ejection of the water vapor. And so Shadow's role in monitoring this is that we already have stations set up near where the eruption went off. In addition to measuring ozone, we also measure water vapor in the stratosphere at many of these locations. And so we were able to track this enormous injection of water vapor into the stratosphere by measuring that, and also potential chemical effects that might cause the ozone in the stratosphere to change. So we were able to measure that, both the water vapor and effects on ozone,
Starting point is 00:05:38 in particular at a location called Reunion Island, which is near Madagascar. So right after the eruption, we were able to observe the effects and its potential chemical ozone depletion as well. When you look at Honga Tonga, can you put in perspective how large of an eruption this was compared to other eruptions that we've observed over time? And what is the impact of having that water vapor in those levels of the atmosphere in terms of impact to the health of the planet? There has never been, in our record of observations over many decades, this amount of water vapor shot right into the stratosphere from a volcano. In the past, there were certainly more explosive eruptions, eruptions that might have placed a lot of sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere,
Starting point is 00:06:30 which can cool the planet. This eruption from Hunga Tonga only injected a few percent of sulfur dioxide compared to, say, Mount Pinatubo did in 1991. And so Mount Pinatubo had an effect of cooling the planet. However, with an injection of water vapor, like from Hunga Tonga, that may end up slightly warming the planet because of the radiative effects of water vapor. So it could warm the surface, but locally in the stratosphere where the water vapor is located, that has had an intense cooling effect on the stratosphere. And so the southern hemisphere subtropics around 20 to 35 degrees south, for example, up around, you know, 20 kilometers
Starting point is 00:07:14 or so in the atmosphere, those temperatures are at record low levels because of the water vapor. So it's having a profound effect on our climate. I think it's yet to be seen exactly what the effect will be on surface warming, but we have already observed intense cooling in the stratosphere. So it's been a really, really interesting case to follow. Interesting. Tell me a little bit about what the broader scientific community will do with the data that's coming out of your measurements in terms of understanding that broader picture and, you know, helping mitigate. Is there anything we can do from a mitigation standpoint in how air moves and circulation is in the stratosphere, because this water vapor is going to be up there for years. We're already at one year, and it's clearly still observable from balloons, from satellite measurements.
Starting point is 00:08:18 And the water vapor really doesn't have, for lack of a better term, a sink in the stratosphere. So it just moves around. It's going to eventually get mixed down to the lower atmosphere where there's much more water vapor. And so that enhancement signal will eventually disappear in a few years, but we are going to learn a lot about how air moves in our upper atmosphere between now and then, certainly. Now, balloons themselves are considered and may be viewed by many of our listeners as relatively low on the tech range of NASA's extensive tools. When we think about rockets and satellites and everything that NASA has at its disposal, one doesn't really think about
Starting point is 00:08:58 balloons. But you use balloons very specifically. And I know that you're using advanced technology in your research beyond the balloons. Can you give us some insight into the workflow between the moment that you launch a balloon and the types of balloons that you're using, and how you gather the data from balloons all the way into publishing your results for the broader scientific community. Well, yes, the ozone sonde and balloon-borne instrumentation in general is considered fairly low-tech. I mean, the lightweight ozone sondes that we use in the Shadows Network, that technology has existed for around 60 years, actually. But it's a tried- true method. We quantify exactly
Starting point is 00:09:48 how well they work and exactly how accurate they are through laboratory measurements and other field experiments. One of the key advantages to balloon-borne instrumentation, which are actively sampling the air as they go up in the atmosphere, is that they're all weather instruments. They're not affected by clouds. They're not affected by clouds, they're not affected by rain, you know, rain or shine, essentially. You can collect accurate measurements in this case of ozone. And satellites do not perform well with many types of measurements when there's heavy cloud cover. And so ozone sondes fill that role. But yes, there's certainly a number of measurement platforms and computing, modeling, that all go into, I would say, complete the picture. So we launch these balloons, get a
Starting point is 00:10:34 full profile of the atmospheric ozone. We compare it to the satellite measurements, validate the satellite measurements. The satellite measurements are often ingested into computer models, and then we can turn around and see how accurate those computer model simulations are compared to the balloon-borne instrumentation, for example. So all of these different puzzle pieces, I would say, get plugged in to complete the picture. And so validation exercises are a lot of what we end up publishing. We quantify how well the satellites are measuring, how well they compare with the ozone zones, and then ultimately how good are we at simulating atmospheric ozone
Starting point is 00:11:16 through a number of models that NASA and other agencies run. Now obviously Honga Tonga is an acute example of why this science is so important, but the Shadows Network was well established when Honga Tonga happened. What are the broader scientific implications of measuring ozone in the layers of the atmosphere, and what areas of science tap your team's data for their broader research. So SHADOWS was initiated back in 1998 after a number of NASA aircraft campaigns, which are measuring chemistry in the atmosphere, noticed some peculiarities about ozone in the tropics, and in particular, this maximum that was located over the tropical South Atlantic.
Starting point is 00:12:04 So there was a lot of pollution that were measured in these campaigns way back in the late 80s and early 90s. And so one of the things that NASA realized is that there was really no established network of balloon-borne ozone stations in the tropics. These stations have existed in the mid-latitudes in Europe, in the United States, in Canada for 50 or more years. But there was nothing like that in the tropics. And so shadows, again, filled a gap in our measurement capabilities by providing ozone profiles in the tropics, a really critical area. And so we don't think about just pollution with the Shadows Tropical Ozone Sun Network. We're also looking for climate effects.
Starting point is 00:12:49 One of the most recent publications we had from 2021 was looking at how ozone is changing. NASA and many other agencies are really interested in how ozone trends are behaving for the Montreal Protocol and the protection of the ozone layer, monitoring the health of the ozone layer, but also how pollution is changing, and also what effects climate change has on those ozone changes. And so we found in this 2021 paper that the tropopause, the boundary between the troposphere where we live and where all the weather happens, and the stratosphere where the live and where all the weather happens, and the stratosphere where the ozone layer is, that tropopause is actually raising in altitude because the surface is warming. And that has an effect on ozone. And so we were able to say, well, this change in ozone is a climate effect. It's not some unexpected chemistry. It's not an
Starting point is 00:13:42 indication that the Montreal Protocol for protecting the ozone layer is failing. But we are literally seeing climate change's effects on how ozone is shaping. When you look at the work you've done with shadows and you look at the opportunity with Tonga Tonga, talk me through what happened when that eruption happened. Did you know right away that this was going to pose a real challenge and opportunity to your team to provide vital measurements of what was happening? Or did that come over time for you? Oh, my phone was ringing the night it happened. You know, immediately when you see a volcanic eruption like that, you want to spring into action. But the eruption didn't turn out how we initially thought it would.
Starting point is 00:14:33 I mentioned that many volcanoes like Mount Pinatubo inject a lot of sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, which causes a lot of particles and cools the planet. This one totally threw us for a surprise by the amount of water vapor it had up there. And so I mentioned previously that at Reunion Island near Madagascar that they collected a number of water vapor and ozone balloon measurements. And so that was actually a mini-campaign where a number of scientists flew to the island just within a week and were able to capture the initial plume from this eruption as it went over Reunion Island. So everybody really sprung into action.
Starting point is 00:15:17 As I said, that day we were already trying to make plans to see how we could collect these measurements and how we could quantify the initial stages of the plume. And so that was the initial reaction to collect immediate measurements. And now it's going to be long-term monitoring. The water vapor will be there for years. We will be able to measure it for years. And it's just tracking its evolution, comparing our measurements to satellite measurements, and learning more about how air is moving up in the stratosphere. Well, really important work, Ryan. Thank you so much for sharing your story today. The Shadows Program and Honga Tonga is part of a much broader effort from NASA in terms of measuring air pollution and our atmosphere.
Starting point is 00:16:02 And this area of NASA's purview doesn't get enough attention in terms of the contributions that you're making to understanding the planet. So thank you for spending some time with us today. I know that we've piqued the interest of folks who are listening online. Where can folks find out more about what you're doing and keep up to date with what the Shadows program is delivering? Sure. Well, first, it was a pleasure to be here and speak with you today, Allison. If folks want to learn more about the Shadows Network and our ozone measurements, I think it's easiest to just Google Shadows. That's S-H-A-D-O-Z, Southern Hemisphere Digital Ozone Sons, and it will take you right to the NASA Goddard web link.
Starting point is 00:16:45 And you can find all the information on shadows. You can find our data. Our data are public, open access, so anyone can download them and use them. And I would say, yeah, that's the easiest way is just to Google us. Fantastic. Thanks for being on the show today. Thank you, Allison. It was a pleasure.
Starting point is 00:17:09 Thanks for joining the Tech Arena. Subscribe and engage at our website, thetecharena.net. All content is copyright by the Tech Arena. The Tech Arena.

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