Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy - Bill Gurley and Chetan Puttagunta – An Update on Consumer & Enterprise Venture Capital - [Invest Like the Best, EP.162]
Episode Date: March 13, 2020My guests today are Bill Gurley and Chetan Puttagunta, both partners at benchmark capital. We review the early stage investing world in the face of coronavirus in a very timely conversation, which is ...one that will remain valuable once this crisis is done. We discuss enterprise and consumer, funding and growth, and the entrepreneurial spirit in the face of a crisis. Please enjoy. This episode is brought to by Koyfin. For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast. Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub. Follow Patrick on Twitter at @patrick_oshag Show Notes 1:44 – (First question) – Landscape for venture capital ecosystem 6:47 – The experience in 2009 and the entrepreneurs that tend to rise to the top 8:24 – The relationship between early stage companies and public investors 10:45 – How this crisis impacts enterprise businesses vs the broader corporate sector 14:46 – Advice for early stage companies in a period like this 18:23 – What Chetan was doing during the last downturn and what he learned during it 20:27 – Early stage vs late stage companies in this environment 22:57 – On the Road to Recap 23:00 – Benefits of being small in a period like this 25:22 – How portfolio companies are responding and pivoting during this period 29:33 – Best practices for remote companies 31:39 – Themes that stand out during this period 34:51 – Closing thoughts Learn More For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast. Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub Follow Patrick on Twitter at @patrick_oshag
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Hello and welcome, everyone.
I'm Patrick O'Shaughnessy, and this is Invest Like the Best.
This show is an open-ended exploration of markets, ideas, methods, stories, and of strategies
that will help you better invest both your time and your money.
You can learn more and stay up to date at investorfieldguide.com.
Patrick O'Shaughnessy is the CEO of O'Shaunicee Asset Management.
All opinions expressed by Patrick and podcast guests are solely their own opinions and do not
reflect the opinion of O'Shaunsi asset management. This podcast is for informational purposes only
and should not be relied upon as a basis for investment decisions. Clients of O'Shaughnessy
asset management may maintain positions and the securities discussed in this podcast.
My guests today are Bill Gurley and Chathin Putagunta, both partners at Benchmark Capital.
We review the early stage investing world in the face of coronavirus in a very timely conversation,
which is one that will remain valuable once this crisis is done. We discuss enterprise and
consumer investing, funding and growth, and the entrepreneurial spirit in the face of a crisis.
Please enjoy. Okay, Chathen and Bill, thanks for doing this with me on very short notice. A lot going on
this week. We've got a lot to talk about, so we'll dive right in. I would love to hear the perspective
of both of you, just where we sit here on March 12th, which is Thursday evening. Just kind of get your
temperature on how you're talking to portfolio companies, what you're seeing in sort of the venture
ecosystem that might help those listening. Chathen, maybe we'll start with you. It's a
a pretty unique time. I think if you just look at how we're recording this podcast, all three of us
are in our own rooms. And, you know, there's reason for folks around the world to be concerned,
to be taking precautions. And at the same time, if you go back to the business world,
our portfolio companies are advised to take the necessary precautions and adjust work as
they need to and take the necessary steps to protect their employees and protect the overall
company. And once you go through that initial adjustment period, the spirit and the energy
of these entrepreneurs sort of comes back because you're able to refocus that energy, that
anxiety. And then you start talking to your customers and they too have a job to do. And as a trusted
vendor, you have a job to do for them, and then things start to sort of roll back in the place.
And I think if you go back and step back, and it all comes down to the health of the company
and the position you've put the company in, if you can be conservative on cash, if you can be
pragmatic in these times and continue to execute, as we've seen over and over in the history
of downturns, and I know, Patrick, you've studied them, that companies that stay disciplined and
continue to execute through them, come out to the other side, much stronger in a position to really
take advantage of market dynamics that then end up thriving and building an incredible amount of value.
Bill, how about you? I know you've been through this before. Yeah, that's, I mean,
unfortunately, I'm old enough where I've been through this twice before in 2001 and then in 2008,
2009 around the mortgage crisis. And when you're in the depths of it, it's certainly feel
feels like, oh my God, this is the worst thing that's ever happened. There's never been anything
like this before. And the truth of the matter is there hasn't been something exactly like this,
but there's been something kind of like this where the financial market shut down. And, you know,
it does create a lot of anxiety for people. And there are startups that are more kind of on the
tip of the spear. I think some of the travel stuff, people can look at the data and see they're going to
have to live with the top line getting hit pretty severely, even if it's just for a short window,
but that's not something anyone had in any of their scenario analysis. And so for those businesses,
I think some of the stuff Chathen's talking about, they might have to move a little more swiftly,
a little more quickly, and might have to make some harder decisions if your top line is being
impacted. I think there are a few companies that might be in the middle of a financing, which can be
kind of difficult because especially if it's later stage, the people that are doing the investments
take a lot of their leads from the public markets. And if the comps are down 40%, it's hard for them
to be certain about where to land on a price and that kind of thing. And so those entrepreneurs
will have to make a decision, which is are they willing to maybe take a discount or a haircut
or whatever has to happen in order to get that done? Or do they want to manage the current cash they
have and try and get to the other side of this. We don't know exactly at this point in time what
that window looks like. Following on one thing Chaiton said, which is the companies that I've always
felt had the best in these kind of find a silver lining in all of this are the ones that are started
at about those times. Companies started in 2001 or 08. It's actually a really interesting to start
something in a trough because then as your business starts to mature and you really get into
revenue and customers, all of a sudden you're riding a wave of expansion. And inevitably,
these kind of downturns create things like layoffs and whatnot. So your competition for human
capital gets a little bit easier and things like that. So one, we made a point in 08 of letting
everyone know that benchmark was open for business. And we focused almost exclusively on early
stage investing. And so if there are entrepreneurs out there that are worried that the venture capital
firms are just scared to death and are afraid to write checks, if you got something early,
come see us because we believe that entrepreneurism doesn't sleep and that it happens at all
points in the cycle. And we've seen historically that companies built in these types of
environments actually stand the test of time and do really well. Bill, can you talk about the
specific experience maybe in 2009, since more people will have lived through that than lived
through the tech rec in 01 about the kinds of entrepreneurs that tend to rise to the top in a
period like this relative to a, you know, say a year ago, more benign market. And whether or not
the entrepreneur's starting businesses now are of a different character and also contribute to those
positive outcomes, not just the riding the future wave, but the very type of people prone to
start a business in this environment. Yeah, I think what we've seen is, first of all, I have this
theme that I've now seen so many times, which is Silicon Valley takes on risk very slowly and
accumulates over time. And then when we hit these resets, risk goes off very quickly. So you have
10 years of increasing risk, and then risk is off. And in those periods where the risk seeking
gets high, capital gets easy, I think people who otherwise might have stayed in a job in banking or
consulting or whatever, they become entrepreneurs because it looks easy. And I think you actually,
that entire time that risk is increasing, the quality of your average entrepreneur that's
getting funded is actually going down. And what happens when risk goes off is the only people
that are left starting the companies are the ones that are choosing it innately as the way of life
they want to have and not just because they think they can get a quick buck. And so I just
do find you typically have deal flow go down, but deal quality go up immediately after one of these
reset. Jayathan, you follow the public market players in the sort of enterprise ecosystem.
Sometimes it seems like as closely as you follow the private markets, so you have a deep sense of
what's going on there. How would you describe the interaction between, say, the private businesses
that you're interested in and fund and sit on the board of versus the reactivity of the big public
players. Anything interesting to note there that might be an advantage for earlier stage companies?
Yeah, I think one of the things that early stage companies have an advantage in these particular
times is that they're able to engage with their end customers and have meaningful conversations
around business value so much more clearly because if you are competing against, say,
an incumbent that is a public company that is under tremendous pressure to hit quotas or
whatever it is, the conversations quickly move to a sales-oriented conversation, whereas if you're a
startup, you all of a sudden have the ability to engage customers exactly along those business
value propositions. So if you're a company that can help your end customer save money, for example,
that becomes a more pointed discussion now. If you're able to help your end customer increase
revenue, for example, that becomes a more pointed conversation now. So if you look at much
like what Bill just talked about. The entrepreneurs that started, for example, enterprise software
companies in 0809 or built really big enterprise software companies through that period of time.
And you see what they've done. Like they started a vast number of customer conversations
that actually helped them run circles around the incumbent players at that time. And so you see
these companies that were targeting high-end customers or high-end enterprise customers, sign 50
customers in 2009 because their value proposition became very, very clear and they went and attacked
the market in a very disciplined fashion, mainly because everything became a constrained environment.
And so things become sharper, things become more pointed. And you get a real big advantage,
especially as larger organizations have to move swiftly and are in a more reactive fashion.
And that's when as an early stage entrepreneur, you can start playing a bit more offense.
How would you guys distinguish between how this crisis impacts enterprise versus consumer
businesses broadly speaking? Chathin, I know you focus on, you look at everything,
but with a deep expertise in enterprise and Bill, maybe more of a generalist,
do you think there are key differences for how these businesses are running themselves,
what looks attractive from a greenfield investing standpoint, say at Series A,
where you guys are often investing? What are the key considerations?
of differences between enterprise and consumer.
A good friend of mine the other day said a phrase that I thought was interesting,
I'm sure he didn't make it up, that money never sleeps.
And he was referring to how quickly Wall Street sends Zoom up and certain airline stocks down.
And Wall Street's sorting this out already.
And so even though the broader markets have been hit,
you know, you can see the reaction to, I think, consumer stocks is,
more egregious than you get in the enterprise. And I think it just makes sense. If you're going to take
45 days off as a company, are you going to reset all your SaaS contracts? Probably not. If this becomes
extremely prolonged, that could start to happen. As I mentioned at the beginning, some of these
consumer companies, say you have a travel focus or whatnot, a top line transactional model can get hit
pretty quickly. And that's a more severe situation that might require
more brisk action, which could include layoffs, that kind of thing.
And so we'll have to see if that happens in the next 30 or 45 days to those companies
that have that type of situation.
On the enterprise side, I would say that the observation, you know, my observations from
0809 on the enterprise side is that the obvious things that most companies expect,
enterprise sales cycles take longer, they get extended.
There is a modest effect to renewal rates, primarily because of what builds.
said, which is that are you going to go replace your stack because of a macro environment very,
very quickly? Usually unlikely. So there's modest impact to renewal rates. But what happened in 0809
for enterprise software companies is that cash cycles changed, specifically DSOs as it related to
receivables, like cash collection cycles just changed. Mainly because Patrick, you know this really well,
is that as liquidity in the system becomes a little bit tighter,
the money flow throughout the system just gets a little bit tighter.
And so companies that are able to continue to ride with their customers
and allow them a bit more generosity in terms of payment terms
and be sort of true partners in terms of that,
then get rewarded coming out of this time.
And so it's just mentally preparing for sort of those kinds of volatile situations
and the gyrations in the business motions
that I think can help you
just mentally prepare for the conversations
your customers are going to want to have with you
if you're an enterprise software company.
But at the same time,
as you're having these conversations,
you're then also able to engage these customers
more deeply about exactly what their business cases are.
The minute somebody says,
hey, like, I'm going to need an extension on this invoice,
you can then dive in on like,
well, what's going on in the business today?
Like, is it a revenue problem?
Is it a cost problem?
Is it a conversion problem?
What is it?
And so it's a time when entrepreneurs can really start to be creative about how to engage
customers in a deeper value proposition oriented way and be more of leaning forward
in terms of engaging their customers.
And so I think it's these unique times that allow entrepreneurs to really sort of be
very creative.
establishing customer relationships. And so to use a cliched term, which is just like not to let a
crisis simply go to waste and take advantage of the moment in time. Anything else that you would
recommend early stage companies think about doing differently in a period like this,
apart from obviously being aggressive, trying to lay out a value proposition in very specific
terms. Is there anything else that they need to consider maybe how they think about burn rate or
cash or headcount or the pace at which they're trying to grow that you,
think leads to better outcomes? At the end of the day, when you are a private company, cash is king.
And when you have prolonged periods of expansion and good times as we have, you get further and
further away from that mindset. And you don't think about it as much. And so all of a sudden,
you know, it can become really focusing when you realize that the key thing you have to do is
keep your company and business through periods like this. And that can lead to some hard
decision making. Certainly, it's not a time for aggressive expansion without really thinking through all
of the elements. It's probably a good time to refocus and really know what your company's one or two
priorities are and not think about the other three or four things you could be doing. There's a chance
that certain companies have to make layoff decisions. They're very, very difficult to make. I've been
through them numbers of times and it's a horrible thing to have to live through. One piece of advice, though,
is never do a five or 10% layoff because it doesn't create any meaningful gain yet you go through
all the excruciating cultural pain. And so if you get to a point where you have to do that,
I think Swift and doing it at a level where you're actually going to buy yourself months and
months of cash runway is a critical thing to think through. Is there anything else, Bill, in addition to
that, not doing the death by a thousand cuts. And this could be any kind of spending cut or
anything else, anything else like that that you would offer as advice having seen companies go through
hard times, not necessarily just in a crisis, but maybe even more generally? It's always good to do
scenario modeling. And so if this ends up being six months instead of two months, have you modeled
out what that means? And do you have a plan for when that looks like it's going to be true so that you
can, it's always better to make those decisions calmly and with plenty of forethought than to be
forced into critically difficult decisions very quickly.
And so I've always encouraged in moments of uncertainty, even normal times, but build a model
for multiple scenarios and have an action plan for each of those scenarios.
And that way you can be in a better position to deal with the information that becomes
apparent, you know, over time.
And I think challenging the drivers and understanding the drivers of your business are
particularly important in times like this. There are sort of like business as usual assumptions that
most of us make and say, okay, in sort of like an autopilot sense, go to the next step and make
extrapolations out of those assumptions. And so examining the core drivers of a business and
understanding what if these assumptions change slightly, how does that ripple through the business
itself and how are we equipped to handle it? And so it's all just sort of taking the time as we've all
changed our work habits and have gone to thinking about teamwork differently, it's also a good time to
step back and rethink the business nature of these startups and I understand what are the core
drivers here? How might those change over the next couple months? And how could the company adjust
in a case where those assumptions start to change for the core business? Chatham, could you describe
the work that you were doing in the last downturn in 08, what it was specifically in sort of what
lessons you bring forward thinking back on that time? Yeah, I mean, I was primarily working on
restructuring at a time when the financial crisis was going on. And I had two clients that I was
working with. One was a semiconductor equipment company and one was a hardware company that
also had a software business. And the primary thing that that happened in both cases was that the
data that was coming at them was so surprising from the beginning that it was always assumed by
the teams that things would return to normal. And things just took a little bit longer to return to
normal than was assumed in all of their models and all of their scenarios. And the scenarios never
pushed it far enough out to what actually ended up happening in reality. And so things, much like
how Bill talked about, which is that risk tends to come off very, very quickly, but tends to
return very incrementally and very slowly. And that pace of that return,
is quite unpredictable.
And it can also come in fits and starts.
And I think one of the things that we often forget
is that when the market bottomed in March of 2009,
the wide prevailing wisdom was that it was going to be a double bottom recovery.
And so as risk slowly came back on towards the second half of March 2009,
and we went into April 2009,
there was an assumption that around the summertime
that there was going to be sort of another dip
to retest the lows. And so risk was coming on, but was coming on very, very slowly because
everybody was sort of hesitating and guarding against another turn and another retest to that bottom.
And so that's the unpredictability of what happens as things start to recover and start to normalize
is that there's that pace that comes back. It could be a lot slower and take a lot longer than
anticipated.
Did you talk Bill a bit about the dynamics inside of the venture ecosystem and how they might be different in this period for very early stage or maybe Series A business versus very late stage private businesses that maybe were on their way to going public?
I'm thinking most acutely of a company.
I'm sure that's been heavily impacted like Airbnb.
Maybe that one's too idiosyncratic to explore.
But generally the differences between what you see in late stage companies versus the earlier stage ones that are still private.
I already mentioned it, but a lot of the late stage investors are crossover.
investors. And so they are simultaneously managing a large portfolio of public stocks in addition to
their private ones. And so when the comps, comparables come down 30 or 40 percent in the public market,
they know it because they've got another issue in their public fund. And so that's going to
affect how they think about private. And part of this expansion phase that we've had for the last
10 years, some entrepreneurs have opted into this mindset that people call SPL or stay private longer.
It's times like this where that strategy, I think, gets exposed as the fraud that it was,
precisely because private company capitalization charts don't go down very well.
They're designed to really only go up.
And when you start doing down rounds, there's anti-dilution protections that kick in.
and there are things that I won't go into all the details,
but it gets super complex.
And one of the things that the IPO does is unlocks all of that complexity
and converts everyone to common.
And it turns out that surviving down periods is a lot easier
as a public company than a private company
because you've converted all that away.
And even the greatest fang stocks of all time,
if you go back through their histories,
have had moments like this where they go down 40, 50%,
and it's not the end of the world.
And so oddly, it's easier as a public company than a late stage private company to go through
these types of periods.
So it'll be interesting to see you may have some companies caught in a situation where
based on the comparables that are out there in the public markets, their last round looks
really, really high relative to anything they could affect today.
And if they run out of money as a private company, with that being true,
true, it can be tricky. Some people will come in with things like converts and whatnot. I wrote a whole blog post
about this called on the road to recap, if anyone cares, to go deep on that subject. Jayton, before we hit
record, you were talking about some of the potential benefits of being small through a period like this.
Can you expand on that idea? Yeah. Essentially that just comes down to numbers. If you're a billion dollar
top line company and you're looking at sort of like a 10% hit, that is a significant impact.
if you're today sitting at about a million dollar run rate and you're looking at 10% hit,
it's much more manageable today. And so if you just are able to, in those early startup scenarios,
really understand what a potential turn rate or a potential increase is customer payment delays or anything like that,
you're able to quantify it and realize that can be contained and then move past it very quickly
and use that as an opportunity to really restructure your customer relationship.
So the customers that were never really fully bought into what you were doing,
never fully engaged into what you were doing.
And they're sort of the lost leader customers that are taking over companies' resources
and not exactly using the product as intended.
It's probably a good time to sort of cut there and then really double down on the customers
that are investing deeply in your solution,
making your product a core part of their business.
And then coming out of it,
this is how you see those really great in enterprise software,
net retention rates that sort of explode in the early days.
So like in early days,
you can see companies that go from like a $9 million revenue
to like $30 million of revenue,
purely driven by expansion rates.
Their customer base doesn't really get much bigger.
And that often happens by using crisis times
to build deeper relationships,
get more corely integrated into your customer's workflow.
I also think if in the past three or four years,
I think there's been this pressure around things like you'll hear about MVP for minimal
vial product and like people have just been racing to get these companies going as fast as
possible.
I think now with this type of environment, you can take a deep breath when you're in that
stage of say two to five employees where you got a lot of people working for sweat equity.
take the time to get the product right and the product market fit right and take a little bit longer
there and feel a little less of this kind of need to move fast kind of thing. And I think it'll
pay off in the long run. Is there anything that you've seen talking to existing portfolio
companies this week or recently that you think is interesting or relevant that's bubbled to the
surface? You know, I think everybody is figuring out companies that are based in California. Most of them
have moved to working remotely.
Most employees have now switched
and team members have switched to working from home
and really understanding sort of like
how to collaborate and get work done
in these new modes, especially in
companies that are like four or five people
that are used to coming together on a daily basis.
All of a sudden, the new work habits
start coming together.
And it's always a really good reminder
that working remotely is not at all
about the software tools that you use,
but rather about the culture that you've
instituted as a company. And we've talked about this before, Patrick, which is that the main
thing that happens when you start moving to a remote culture is that asynchronous communication
becomes paramount. And so companies like Elastic who have been remote from day one have learned
well before all these remote software tools were available that writing things down such that
your teams can consume sort of the day's activities asynchronously become extraordinarily
important. The level of transparency that you're able to communicate with the day-to-day activities
throughout the team become way more important. And so communication and how you're sort of
distributing the day's goals and the day's KPIs throughout the company changes. And so those are
the things that, like Bill said, it's part of the reexamination of like how you're going about and
doing your business. And it's okay to take a bit more time to step back and reconsider all of this
and just go a bit slower and use this time to your advantage to go slow, frankly, to eventually go fast.
Bill, any anecdotes from this acute period now or from the past of portfolio companies doing something interesting?
I'd start just by saying this notion of being able to make sure that you're fully funded and to adjust your expense rate to a level to where you survive can be really valuable in the long run.
We had a case with OpenTable in 01 where there were two other venture back competitors.
And ironically, I don't even remember their names right now.
But they both went bankrupt.
So they did not do what I just said.
We were able to get lean and mean and thread the needle.
And as a result, you know, I think there were network effects,
but nowhere in the history of Open Table success story does anyone read two companies went out of business.
But that's what happened.
And so there's a scenario where being prudent through one of these types of periods actually led to quite a bit of reward.
Any other anecdotes from the past Bill Worth sharing?
Yeah, I have a great one.
And this one's just sometimes constraints lead to creativity.
You know, that was a famous phrase that jobs used to use inside of Apple.
And the same thing's true in a business.
And I remember for many years, Bob Kagle and I used to check in with Tony Shea.
We never did Zappos, but we always loved meeting with him.
And one day he was telling me, you know, about the business.
And I asked him what his days payable were to the shoe vendors.
And I don't remember the exact number, but he said something like 90.
And having worked with Nordstrom at Nordstrom.
At Nordstrom.com, I knew the industry standard was like half that, like 45.
And I said, how in the world did you accomplish that?
And he said, I just called them all and said, if they didn't move to 90, we were going out of business.
And so there's a, what everyone else would have assumed was a hard constraint,
but he pushed the edge, you know, in the tough period and enabled quite a bit of cash flow
and inventory for his company in doing so.
So you never know what you might be able to pull off.
And if you ask the right hard question.
I love the idea that things, weird things happen in this period, good and bad.
And you should be thinking about ways to affect those in your favorite.
inside of a company. I love that. That's a great story. Chathin, any other thoughts on best
practices or kind of what you've seen from the best remote companies? I think writing things down,
you know, more asynchronous written communication is a great starting point. Elastic you've been
involved with for a long time and is natively this way. Any other best practices you'd be willing to
share on remote work that might be helpful to people out there that aren't used to doing that?
I think that organization and how you think about the company itself and how it's organized, also
changes. If you're used to just working all in one location and you have created an environment where
folks just talk to each other and that's how tasks get done, organizing around that starts becoming a much
more organized and systematic thing that you have to do consciously. And it's not something that can just
say, okay, hey, let's all jump into a meeting and talk about it because that's not necessarily what happens
when everybody is working remotely.
And so organization of the team itself
becomes something that requires more effort
and requires it to be naturally more systematic.
So in Agile development,
there are lots of practices about doing daily stand-ups.
There's like in scrum,
there's like very specific techniques about how to do that.
And those are all done in this construct of like everybody being around each other,
but all of a sudden if everybody's separate or remote
or everybody's in multiple time zones,
all that means is that as you plan a week out, you kind of have to put the plans in place on Monday morning so that the entire team can plan every single day around those pre-planned organized activities.
And so it just takes a bit more conscious effort to go around and understand really how your team gets a test done and then being very conscious about planning those things in a very methodical fashion so that that information gets disseminated across your team.
and they know exactly when we're going to recheck in and all of that. And so, you know, it just
takes a couple of weeks to adjust. But once you start to get into the flow with that new mode
of working, things start to become quite natural. Jathan, I know you don't like this question,
but I'm going to ask it anyway. It's a thematic question, which is, is there anything going on
maybe that you had been watching trends that you had been watching? That could be a bottom up
observed trend as well, an interesting company coming across your desk, that you think is maybe now
even more interesting. So obviously work from home startups might be an obvious example. Zoom.
You know, if you look at Zoom stock in the public markets, it's been an unbelievable story in this one
month period. I'm amazed it's still working. We're using it here right now. So kudos to them.
Any themes that really have your attention, bottom up or top down, either one of you?
Yeah, I would say that the things that are very capital efficient that then don't require a lot of
resources to get up and running and have sort of natural values, really fast time to value
instead of companies, start becoming even more important today. So things that are easy to install
and get going very quickly, for example, things that once installed very quickly make the customer
quite productive. And so this is where all the investments that in product that these companies
have made start to pay off really, really well. And especially
as everybody starts moving remotely,
those that have invested really well
in online distribution, for example,
especially in enterprise software, do really well.
So I had a board meeting of one of my companies
that have heavily invested over the years
on online distribution.
And if you look at their sort of like last two weeks of sales data,
it'd be very hard to infer that anything else was going on,
anything was going on in the macro world
because so much of how they think about sales
is hitting customers as the,
they're ready to purchase. And so the way they've been able to do that is by investing heavily on
product over a number of years. And so it's those product investments. It's those efficiencies.
And it's the times that you've put in that you could have gotten around with capital or people
now start to pay off really well in these times. And so that's sort of a bottoms up theme that
is, I think, very important to watch that ends up becoming an advantage. I'd probably steer away from
just trying to chase this thing at this moment with like a new company start because the companies
that are benefiting from this are ones that were started eight years ago and are flourishing as you
run into it as opposed to reacting quickly. And one thing, you know, I would encourage everyone to
keep in mind is that this will pass, just like 01 passed and 08 or 09 passed. And so
keeping a level head and not freaking out is generally important. But that's also why I wouldn't
start a company for this particular environment because I don't think it's going to stay this way
for it. Do you think, Bill, that kind of UGC based and maybe even some marketplace businesses,
not necessarily ones that are being started this week, reactively, but ones that were started more
recently are well positioned going into this market? It's going to depend, but certainly a UGC
company where most of the interaction is online should not see a great deal of disruption from people
being asked to work at home. So that would make a lot of sense to me.
Any closing thoughts, guys, for people out there in markets in general, running businesses,
running investment portfolios, things that you want to leave them with here.
I think I'd allude to what Bill said in the last correction in 0809 is that as investors,
we make money by deploying our capital versus like sitting on our capital. And so the main
message to all of our entrepreneurs and to entrepreneurs period is that entrepreneurial spirit,
and entrepreneurial energy and innovation is timeless
and it's not dependent on sort of macro environments.
And as a firm that's focused on the earliest stages of innovation,
we're going about and doing our business
and we're open for business.
And I think we're getting more creative
about how to be more interactive with our ecosystem,
how to open ourselves up to the ecosystem
so that as people move to work more remotely,
how they continue to feel integrated and connected
into the broader innovation ecosystem.
the entrepreneur energy. And I think those things will be creatively solved over a couple of weeks.
But as Bill just alluded to, situations pass and things take time and things take time to work out.
But things pass over time. And so it's important to continue to stay connected and continue to
just keep going while taking the necessary precautions, of course, and continue to really
have that positive and hopeful energy that makes innovation and entrepreneur energy
so special, keep that going. Patrick, I'd leave everybody with this final thought. I think it was
Graham and Dodd before Buffett that said be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others
are fearful. And I think, you know, now that we're clearly in a fearful world, it is interesting
to ask the question for every entrepreneur, depending on stage or where their company is, what does it
mean to be greedy right now? And the Tony Shea example was a great one, right?
where he improved his competitive position by changing a business tenant in an environment like this.
And, you know, there may be certain companies that have way more funding than their competitors.
And so if things get tough, they might have an advantage, a relative advantage.
And they might even decide to push more aggressively in this window where someone else has to retreat.
And these are all independent.
but I do think that if someone can figure out what that question means for them, how can you be
reasonably greedy at a time where everyone's panicking? That's a really interesting, provocative question
for all of these entrepreneurs. Bill, I love that as a closing spot. I think this conversation,
as I knew it would be, was very nice and balanced, but it's great to close on a somewhat optimistic note.
So, guys, I really appreciate your time. This will be up much faster than in our past iterations.
be up tomorrow morning. So have a great evening and thanks for doing this.
Thanks, Patrick.
Hey, everyone. Patrick here again.
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