Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy - Rolex: Timeless Excellence - (Invest Like the Best, CLASSICS)

Episode Date: September 26, 2025

Welcome to this classic episode. Classics are my favorite episodes from the past 10 years, published once a month. These are N of 1 conversations with N of 1 people. This Business Breakdowns on Rolex ...is a long-time stand out. The founder and executive chairman of Hodinkee, Ben Clymer, was the perfect person to take us through the ins and outs of this legendary brand. For the full show notes, transcript, and links to the best content to learn more, check out the episode page ⁠here⁠. ----- This episode is brought to you by ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠WorkOS⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. WorkOS is a developer platform that enables SaaS companies to quickly add enterprise features to their applications. With a single API, developers can implement essential enterprise capabilities that typically require months of engineering work. By handling the complex infrastructure of enterprise features, WorkOS allows developers to focus on their core product while meeting the security and compliance requirements of Fortune 500 companies. Visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠WorkOS. ----- Business Breakdowns is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Business Breakdowns, visit⁠ joincolossus.com/episodes⁠. Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (⁠https://thepodcastconsultant.com⁠). Show Notes (00:00:00) Welcome to Business Breakdowns (00:03:01) His favorite Rolex watch ever (00:04:24) What makes the Rolex Daytona such a special watch  (00:07:19) The job-to-be-done for high-end watches beyond just telling them the time (00:12:18) The strategy behind marketing luxury products: ⁠The Luxury Strategy⁠ (00:14:34) An overview of the Rolex business (00:19:38) The history of Rolex  (00:38:45) Their genius in marketing and distribution  (00:41:55) How they make decisions and what others can learn from them (00:47:14) The financials of Rolex and other luxury watch brands (00:49:02) Most important business lessons others can learn from Rolex (00:52:54) Other luxury brands worth studying  (00:57:26) Negative lessons gleaned from Rolex

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to this classic episode. Classics are my favorite episodes from the past 10 years published once a month. These are end-of-one conversations with end-of-one people. This business breakdowns on Rolex is a long time standout. The founder of Haudinky, Ben Clymer, was the perfect person to take us through. The ins and outs of this legendary brand. I hope you enjoy it. This is Business Breakdowns. Business Breakdowns is a series of conversations with investors and operators diving deep into a single business. For each business, we explore its history, its business model, its competitive advantages, and what makes it tick? We believe every business has lessons and secrets that investors and operators can learn from, and we are here to bring them to you.
Starting point is 00:00:49 To find more episodes of breakdowns, check out join colossus.com. All opinions expressed by hosts and podcast guests are solely their own opinions. Hosts and podcast guests may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this podcast. This podcast is for informational purposes only. and should not be relied upon as a basis for investment decisions. Here's a puzzle. What do OpenAI, cursor, perplexity, Versel, Plaid, and hundreds of other winning companies all have in common? The answer is that they're powered by today's sponsor, WorkOS. If you're building software for enterprises, you've probably felt
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Starting point is 00:01:52 WorkOS allows you to build like the best with delightful APIs, comprehensive docs, and smooth developer experience. Go to workOS.com to make your app enterprise ready today. Today, we're breaking down one of the strongest brands in the world, Rolex. Founded in the UK in 1905, under the name Wilsdorf and Davis, Rolex has become the leading name in luxury watches. But while the company's products are iconic, the business itself is highly secretive. Owned by a foundation and run as a nonprofit entity, little is known about Rolex. To unlock the secrets, we're delighted to be joined by Ben Clymer, the founder of Houdinky and an expert on all things luxury watches. Ben has had rare access to Rolex and the people behind the manufacturer, making him the perfect person to dissect
Starting point is 00:02:36 the business with us. Please enjoy this excellent breakdown of Rolex. So Ben, I was trying to think of an appropriate first question to break down Rolex. I think it has to be what is your favorite Rolex watch ever? Oh, man, that's a really complex question for a gentleman such as myself. The Daytona is probably my favorite Rolex as an object. There are Rolexes that mean a lot to me from a sentimental point of view, being my grandfathers, my fathers, et cetera. But the Daytona as a thing has always been the peak of my fascination from the early 6239s, which is first generation Daytona, back before it even said Daytona on the dial.
Starting point is 00:03:10 I wrote a story probably 10 years ago plus at this point on Houdicke about those. There was some curiosity within Rolex about what they should call it. And this was before they sponsored Daytona. And the original name of the Cosmograph, the Chronograph for Racing, was the Limitiansians It's called Rolex for a variety of reasons, but one of which is Rolex is Rolex in any language. And Lamon, with that silent S, the Rolex marketing department as small as it was in 1963, said, you know what, that could turn off the American market. And if you've ever tried to pronounce Otomar Piget as Otomar Pige, which is about 50% of humanity,
Starting point is 00:03:40 you realize how uncomfortable that can be. So they quickly went to the Daytona. So the Daytona, as an object, is probably my favorite. I will say that the watch that I'm actually wearing right now, which was actually the first modern Rolex ever bought, which is the Pepsi, GMT, and white gold, I actually just realized I bought two months after we published the Inside the Rolex story that I wrote 2015 is probably the one that means the most to me because I've just had it the longest. It was to celebrate something personal at the time. So say maybe more about the Daytona, like what is it about it as a physical object that you
Starting point is 00:04:08 think makes it special? First of all, like I'm a very serious car guy or I shouldn't say a serious car guy, but I love cars a lot. And the Daytona, not just with Rolex, but with all watches, that is about cosplay and the idea of you can be whoever you want to be. I'm this like quiet dork from upstate New York. In my mind, I'm Paul Newman. And I'm driving a vintage Ferrari or vintage Porsche, LaMont, or something super badass. And the Daytona is the quickest way in my mind to get in there. And then as somebody who is obsessive about things, as you can imagine being that I started a blog about watches and now here we are, the Daytona has the most interesting history in the sense that it is and it was not produced. The movement was not produced by Rolls.
Starting point is 00:04:48 until relatively recently in the 2000, whereas everything else, almost from day one was produced by Rolex. So the day, day, date, the Samariner, GMP. Those are all Rolex movements. Daytona was not, which I think is just fascinating. And it gives you something to do. So in younger years when I was taking the subway, I would time how long my subway ride was or how long it took to cook the chicken in the oven, et cetera. But ultimately, the idea of a professional watch, which is Rolex sports watches with a dial that didn't have to be black. All the other ones are black.
Starting point is 00:05:15 GMP is a black dial. of Mariners Black Dial. Aesthetically was different. It was also smaller than most of the sports watches, with the exception of the Explorer, which is the 36-millimeter watch. And it just had a lot of story that went with it, one of which, of course, being the fact that Paul Newman himself wore won,
Starting point is 00:05:31 and that's, of course, the most expensive wristwatch ever sold, not for charity. There was just so much about the Daytona, but on a personal level, it came down to the aesthetics, the connection to motorsport, and then just simply the story behind it of that it was really not a success at all. And chronographs, whether it was Rolex, Foyer, or protect anybody. These were really engineering focused or motor sport focused watches. They were not more consumers. They were not for guys like you and me unless we were driving at tracks on the
Starting point is 00:05:57 weekend. And similarly with the Samariner, which I have right here, like this was not for the the idea of a desk diver, which is somebody that sits at a desk but pretends to dive is really a very, very modern, very recent introduction. And back then, you bought a Samariner if you were actually diving. It wasn't because I'm going to my pool in upstate New York on the weekend. You were really diving. as you were buying a small dress watch. And whether it's Rolex or Petec or any other Bachelron AP, Mega, the most expensive watches, historically speaking, in the mid-century of last century, were not sports watches or not even complicated watches.
Starting point is 00:06:29 They were ultra-slim watches. So if you look at Petecke or AP or Vachron, being the three big boys at high end, the most expensive watches were not the perpetual calendars of chronographs. They were the ultra-slim watches. And that represented the highest-end version of watchmaking at the time. We're starting to see that a little bit now. Actually, Richard Meal, just this past week,
Starting point is 00:06:46 introduced the thinest mechanical watch ever made, and it's $2 million. And Bulgary released one earlier this year that was up until last week, the finest watch ever made. And that was about $500,000 where the standard Bulgary would be, say, 15. So different times for sure. You said something interesting, which is one of the jobs to be done for buying a Rolex is this cosplay idea of transporting you to a more interesting or fanciful lifestyle. Maybe you could describe before we get to Rolex specifically the brand, all the jobs that you think high-end watches do for people.
Starting point is 00:07:15 I don't want to take for granted that one of them is tell the time, but you can buy a Casio for 10 bucks that can tell the time. Or your iPhone. Or anything. There's lots of ways to know what time it is. So describe to me through history and especially today, all the reasons, the main reasons you think people buy high-end watches. Historically speaking, digital time telling didn't exist before 1969, full stop.
Starting point is 00:07:35 When they were going to the moon, it wasn't like they could buy a Cassio or use an iPhone. They needed a mechanical watch to strap on the route side of the flight suit. When you were racing Lamon or Emilio in the 1950s, again, there was no such. things that you wore a watch to do that. The functionality of it is obvious, but I think it's worth repeating here because a lot of people don't remember that 100 years ago, 50 years ago, 60 years ago, there was no option. You were wearing a watch and it was a mechanical watch to do everything in your life. And so the idea of me looking at my Rolex now and then comparing it to my MacBook here, there was no option to do that. I set this watch once with probably hourly
Starting point is 00:08:09 bell on the TV or the radio. And that was it. And then you would just assume that this would be accurate for basically in perpetuity. And then beyond that, going back to the earliest, earliest watches, the Marie Antoinette days, and she was one of the first supporters of what we call hot horology, I'll say with an American accent, which is high-end, really beyond basic time-telling devices. And what I mean by that is you can buy a mechanical watch and Houdinke sells a mechanical watch for about $150. So that's probably a timex or it might be a swatch system 51, which are not battery-powered.
Starting point is 00:08:39 These are mechanical watches. Those are machine assembled. They're basically disposable. You throw them out when they're broken, you don't fix them. There's no what we call finishing or finisage, which is effectively aesthetic flourishes that differentiate those type of watches from, say, Rolex or Omega, which I would classify as mass market luxury, but the most long-lasting of anything out there. And then what we call haught horology, which is slightly more artistic.
Starting point is 00:09:04 You get complications, you get finishing of movements. I don't have any here with me. But something like a Patech, an AP, a Vachrona, Elan, C, et cetera. I would classify those as a category, frankly, significantly higher in terms of finishing and significantly higher in terms of human touch than Rolex or Omega. On a Rolex is a closed caseback. There are no Rolexes with open casebacked, but there are some Omega's, which is so Rolex is the number one brand of the world.
Starting point is 00:09:26 Omega is the number two-pams world, historically by sales. Omega's will have some open casebacks on the new Speedmaster, for example, which went to the moon. You can see the movement. So a lot of nerds, and now more of the nerds, want to see what's actually inside this watch. And it's simply because you're paying six or seven grand for this thing. You want to know what you're getting. You want to see that human touch to it. And that is why a lot of people are interested in high-end watchmaking today more recently. And this is very recent, really over the
Starting point is 00:09:55 past two or three years, you get people that are buying on spec, on speculation, on the idea that these are safe investments, which they remain to this day. And that is really a new thing for me. So Houdinke, our business is 15 years old. They're approaching 15 years old. And really nobody thought of watches as investment vehicles in 2008, 2009. I should say very few. Some people have very high in. And now it's kind of common practice. And, you know, I do interviews with the Bloombergs of the world and the Wall Street Journal's overall almost weekly at this point, talking about the ROI of not just Rolex, but AP and Omega, McFoyer, et cetera. There are several reasons why somebody might buy a watch. And frankly, that's why it was always so compelling to me
Starting point is 00:10:33 as an ex-finance guy and why I wanted to get in this space was it could be interesting, we'll say, to somebody that works in finance for an ROI perspective. It could be interesting to somebody in design from an aesthetic perspective, an engineer from a manufacturing perspective, for somebody like me who's an externalist from a storytelling perspective. There's so many reasons why you could be interested in it, but the reasons why that people continue to buy is that they are so for everlasting. This watch I've had for seven years, I've never had it serviced,
Starting point is 00:11:00 and frankly, I probably won't need to service it for another seven years. And when my daughter, who was just born six months ago, is my age 40 years from now, she'll be able to wear this watch that I'm showing to you on the Zoom call right now. There's something so wonderful about the longevity of these things in a way that frankly, nothing can replicate. And even a great car, we'll say a Mercedes or a Porsche or something like that, like you really need to maintain those. And frankly, the internal combustion engine, 50 years from now, will probably not even be serviceable.
Starting point is 00:11:26 Jewelry is a different thing because there's craftsmanship there. And I have a lot of respect for great artis into jewelry, but there's no engineering. There's no motion there. And I think what's so remarkable about Rolex is the archetype, but all mechanical watches is that I could put this on my wrist. And if I decided to sell all my other watches, I could wear this every day while I sleep while I shower, while I work out. And it would continue to tell time for me. And it would rely on me as much as I rely on it. I think there's something beautiful in that, that kind of symbiotic relationship between the device and the man. And it's just a
Starting point is 00:11:55 wonderful kind of totem to a different way of living. It's such a fascinating set of different things and considerations. I'm also curious how you think about the luxury strategy itself from a marketing standpoint behind watches. I remember reading this called luxury strategy, which I recommend anyone interested in this topic. And one of the ideas that stands out from that book is that when marketing a luxury product, you want the ratio of the number of people aware of something to those that actually have it to be as wide as possible. Because one of the jobs you're doing when you buy a really fancy watch is you want other people to know that it's a marker of success, sort of like a signaling function to watches. How do you think that piece of this has evolved over time?
Starting point is 00:12:34 That has become ever-present, and I think more so now than ever before, just speaking of my own experience, 15 years ago, but when I started Houdinke, nobody knew what a vintage Rolex was. We were, if I may say, we were the first people to give any attention at scale to vintage Rolex and collectible Rolexes. Basically, if you went to an auction, Christie's Sotheby's auction in New York, there would be about seven dealers in there, and they would just be buying and selling amongst themselves. Now you go, and it's a black tie affair with champagne, and several well-known personalities from entertainment and sports are sitting in the audience. it's a totally different thing. Again, we can talk about the origins of Rolex and how they were at the forefront of this. They were effectively the first people to have real marketing dollars put behind a watch. There were people that ran ads here and there. Lausine was a big one with Charles Lindbergh, but Rolex did it in a concerted way. And they have continued to do that in a way that
Starting point is 00:13:23 is simply just unmatched by others. And I think what's so remarkable, Rolex was always the number one brand in the United States, historically speaking, from the 1950s to today. But if you look back, say, I don't know, 15, 16 years. So pre-2008, so the financial crisis of 2008, which is actually how I started going to key and when this all kind of came to be, was a real turning point for Rolex in the U.S. because when all the other brands, their competitors being Omega, which is a huge, huge brand, Tag Hoyer, which is a good-sized brand, the folks that you would think, they were there. They were present in the conversation with Rolex. They pulled back on market when people stopped buying after 2008 when leaving collapse. Rolex did not. Rolex put the pedal.
Starting point is 00:14:02 down. And it was really 2008, 2009, 2010, which really elevated Rolex in the United States to a level that it's if you speak to them directly. They'll credit with that period as the kind of a turning point for them in the U.S. Maybe before we go into the history, which is so interesting and really important, we could just do a level set for the audience on Rolex, the business, and just some basics. Like how many watches do they produce a year, the revenue that they produce a year, maybe say a little bit about their very unique business structure, which I think certainly shocking to me and I think we'll some people too that aren't familiar with it. Just level set us on the size and type of the Rolex as a business.
Starting point is 00:14:36 And I want to be completely clear, and I'm sure Rolex will listen to this. So I want to be clear for that and for the audience is that they don't communicate any. So this is all speculative. The information that I'll provide and that I'm sure you've read is completely speculative. We have a good idea of what they might produce and what the revenue might be. The assumption is that Rolex is making just north of around a million watches per year with an average wholesale price of around $7,000. So you can do the math there to kind of give you an idea of size and
Starting point is 00:15:01 revenue. And a million watches per year is a lot, but it's not the biggest by quantity. Apple, of course, would be bigger than that. Arguably, if you included Apple, they would be an even bigger watch brand than Rolex, but a different thing, obviously. But if you were to combine, for example, the entire Swatch group, which ranges from Swatch to Brigade, including Omega, it would be a larger business than Rolex in theory. But again, Swatch is a publicly traded company. You can see exactly what the revenue is, whereas Rolex is, I think you've alluded to. Rolex is quite the opposite. Rolex is, in fact, run by something called the Hans-Wil's Foundation, which was founded in 1945, when the founder, Hans Wilsdorf, set it up to basically be
Starting point is 00:15:36 effectively a nonprofit run by a group of families that are still highly involved with business today to have, I would say, effectively zero public interaction. I'm pretty close with Rolex and I'm pretty close with the watch industry, you can say, and I have met, I think, one board member one time. That was not by design. I think I met him at a bar. And I was like, oh, you're so? It said yes. These people are, in fact, the most powerful people. In one, And nobody even knows their name. Nobody even knows what they look like. I happen to because this is my job.
Starting point is 00:16:07 But most people have no clue who's really kind of playing the strings at Rolex. And there's a wonderful CEO named Jean-Fred Dufour who used to be the president of Zenith, which is an L'VMage brand. And he is absolutely the face and brain behind much of Rolex. But there is a board there. And like any board, they have a different kind of influence over the brand. But yeah, Rolex is effectively a nonprofit. Some say one of the largest nonprofits in the world, which I would believe.
Starting point is 00:16:29 there are dozens and dozens of rumors that you may have heard such as like they've got the largest private art collection next to the Vatican or they own more real estate, they make more money in real estate than they do in watches. And any of those things could be true. I can say with the utmost certainty is that they will never reveal any of that to be true, even if it is. They're not the type of brand type of company that will ever stand on the rooftop and shout about anything. And I mentioned this in the story that I wrote in 2015, whereas most brands, they're trying to create stories where there aren't any. A lot of brands will say a watch is in-house and manufactured in a house when it's not.
Starting point is 00:17:00 Rolex doesn't do any of that. In fact, what's so remarkable, and I found this out on my own, doing my own research for that story 2015, they will make several updates to products at some significant cost to themselves and not change the retail price and not even tell anybody about it. And the only reason that I found out was when doing research for that story, I spoke to an independent watchmaker who is in New York City and is one of best watchmakers in the country, if not the world. And he said, he works on Rolex as well as other brands.
Starting point is 00:17:26 These are the changes that they made to their movements without anybody known. And by the way, these other brands that are communicating about Liga, which is a manufacturing technique that allows you to have frictionless gears, a brand sent out a press release about that. And then he came to find out that Rolex had been doing that for five years. It was in half their watches already. That's what's so kind of wonderful about Rolex is they just are so remarkably Swiss. They are so kind of conservative and thoughtful in the way that they communicate.
Starting point is 00:17:53 When I wrote that story in 2015, I was one of the first journalists. to ever be invited inside Rolex manufacturing headquarters in the end, Switzerland, which is what movements are made. They just are not out there to talk about themselves really ever. And it's incredibly charming. The luxury world is so much about Instagram and influencers and people touting how prestigious any brand might be. And Rolex is just quietly the most prestigious. It is so ridiculously singular. I cannot think of another example of a company that I want to come to vertical integration and quality on some of these key brand elements and real elements. elements of a Rolex in the absence of a profit motive over such a long period of time, there just
Starting point is 00:18:32 aren't other stories like this where there's such dominance. The only other two that come to my mind or two brands that I know, one of which would be protectively, which is another family. It's owned by the Stearns completely. There's not any outside capital. Again, family run, Geneva, very, very close to the Rolex group, obviously, physically and emotionally, I should say. They continue to just do things in a way that is different than everybody else. And then the other one would be Hermes. They have some outside capital, but effectively controlled by one family has been for 100 years. You know, Hermes is part of the fashion life cycle. So there are fashion shows, and they get into a, can buy an Hermes watchbox or ashtray or lounge chair or suitcase. They're a
Starting point is 00:19:12 little bit broader, but their commitment to quality and the way that they've integrated is exceptional, I can say. But Patech and Rolex, I would say, are unique in that way. Maybe you can give us the, I don't really care how long it is, as long as you want to make it because it's so damn interesting. The history of Rolex, the brand and the company, its founding and its key timeline milestones. Rolex is younger than most other brands. It's younger than Omega.
Starting point is 00:19:34 It's younger than Bachelorn by 150 years. It's younger than Potech. In the Swiss watch world, I wouldn't call it a baby by any. But it's not one of these grandfathers that were... I mean, Vacheron was founded in 1755. That's older than the United States of America. Rolex was founded by a guy named Hans-Bills, Dorfus, who's Austrian, but he was a total anglophile.
Starting point is 00:19:50 He really just was obsessed with the United Kingdom in the early part of the 1900s. So he goes into the UK and starts a company called Willsdorf and Davis in 1905. And back then you have to remember that like forget digital watch, making wristwatches or not a thing. The wristwatch was really a product of World War I, which was guys in trenches trench watches were strapping pocket watches for the wrist so that they didn't have to go out of their pocket. It was a little bit more complex, but that's it at a high level.
Starting point is 00:20:16 Willsdorf in 1905 decides to focus on wristwatches, which is like crazy. I mean, it was a little bit, frankly, like Elon Musk focusing on EVs 10, 15 years ago. People just weren't ready for it. So he committed to doing the wristwatch in the early part of 1900s, 1905, 1908. And in 1908, he creates a company called Rolex. And again, there's lots of hearsay on why it's Rolex. I think at the very least, it's safe to say that he chose that word because it's the same pronunciation in all languages. Some people say it's the sound it makes.
Starting point is 00:20:46 There's no confirmation on that. But effectively, what he does is he's just a distributor. So he's not making anything from 1905 to about 1908. In 2008, he buys a movement, which is what powers watch from a company called Agler, A-E-G-L-E-R, which we'll get back to later. They're still around kind of today. Bies a movement, puts it in a case made by himself and sends it off to, it's called an observatory, but effectively what it is, it's a testing facility, effectively a nonprofit that says these watches or time-telling devices, clock, marine chronometer, or whatever, are accurate within, we'll say, X and Y, effective.
Starting point is 00:21:20 saying these are the most precise time-telling devices on Earth, typically done for marine chronometers. And if you know anything about the history of longitude, like that is effectively how longitude was discovered. This is just kind of paramount to basically all exploration of the time period. But up until that point, no wrist watches had ever even been submitted to this thing called the QA, which is a British testing facility at that point. In 1908, he does that with an egg powered watch. It's a 44-day test, and it is given the QA certificate. And again, nobody had done it. Some years later, about 10 years later, he submitted 136 movements back to the QA. And I think 24 of them were cased in 34mm gold cases and then another 112 were in
Starting point is 00:22:05 what we call boys size, which is really very small. I mean, at this point, it would look like a nickel. But these are effectively the Formula One cars of watch movements. So there were other watch movements at the time that to you and me and most people would look exactly the same, but these were high performance calibers. And they did it with a special escape. And escapement is basically how the time telling is regulated. And these were effectively the Formula One cars of watchmaking. And they were done in a way that was very, even back then, very Rolex. There's really no indication of these were anything special on the dial besides it would say QA on that.
Starting point is 00:22:36 They're around. You can buy them today for really less than you might think. But once he had been given the QA certificates for the first wristwatch ever, he decided to really focus on three tenets of watchmaking, which really were not at all prevalent in that day at all because it was really about, utility, the watches can tell you the time pretty well, or it was about luxury. And at that point, we're talking, you know, the cardiase, protect the leaves, complications, really. So his three tenants of manufacturing, which remained true to this day, would be precision, accuracy, waterproofness, which didn't really exist at the time, and then self-winding. And what I mean by that
Starting point is 00:23:08 is ability to not have to wind a watch manually. So precision was done. We've kind of covered that. These watches were based on QA that came up with the newest statement to make them more precise. Waterproofness, I think, goes back to the question you asked about five minutes ago, which is How did you get something that more people know about that basically can afford or confine? And so he created something called the oyster case and now almost all Rolexes with the exception of the Chilini line use an oyster case. And that basically just means a waterproof case. Nobody was doing it at the time.
Starting point is 00:23:36 Omega had something that was pretty close and actually predates the oyster case, but never really took off in the same way. Instead of using seals, it was almost like a locking system, didn't really take off. But effectively, there was this woman named Mercedes Gleets who was a typist of all things. was basically a secretary in the UK. And she had swum the English Channel successfully, the first woman to swim the English channel successfully. And Hans Wollsdorf, the founder said, hey, wouldn't it be cool if this woman, A, she's a woman,
Starting point is 00:24:02 B, she's doing this amazing feat that no one had ever done before. Wouldn't it be cool if she wore the watch around her neck? So she didn't wear it on her wrist to be clear. She put her around her neck. And she attempted to swim the English Channel. She actually didn't successfully do it. She failed, but nobody really cared because she had already done it before. And so he took out and had celebrating the fact that this watch was around the
Starting point is 00:24:20 woman's neck for 10 hours in the English Channel and the timekeeping was flawless. And so that kind of solidified Rolex as, A, a household name because the oyster case had been validated in the English Channel with this early brand ambassador, I guess you would call her. That was a huge deal. And I think one of the earliest examples of real marketing by any luxury brand or any brand really at all. And then the final tenant would be self-winding, which is I would equate it to like the automatic transmission. When the automatic transmission came around, all of a sudden, driving a car became a hell of a lot easier. It just became wider, accepted, et cetera.
Starting point is 00:24:52 So prior to, I guess it was around 19, going to say, 30 something that Rolex patented the first self-winding movement, to be clear, there was somebody called John Harwood that actually had a different self-winding move first. I think that was in the 20s. And his idea was to make a hammer. Something that would bounce back and forth like this to continue to power the watch. Rolex said, let's go a different array. Let's create a rotor.
Starting point is 00:25:17 So a weight that would oscillate around inner circle to power the watch. That worked. And Rolex had, actually, I remember the date. It was 1933 because it had a 20-year patent on it. And protect Philippe, which was another stalwart of traditional watchmaking, saw this. It said, oh, shit, we need to do that too. But they couldn't actually release anything until 20 years later because of the patent. The Protect 2526, which is their first self-winding watchteme at 1953.
Starting point is 00:25:43 And that's a different thing in all together. But effectively, Hans Wilsdorf said, I want the watches to be precise, check with the QA, I want them to be waterproof, check with the oyster case, and I want them to be self-winding, check with the perpetual. So if you see oyster perpetual on any Rolex, which you'd see in all Rolexes now, oysters are waterproof, perpetual is a self-winding. From there, Rolex went out to make watches. And they were doing things very much in a similar style to everyone else at that time until the early
Starting point is 00:26:10 50s. So in the post-war era, post-war II era, they created their first sports watch. And by sports watch, it's actually the technical term is professional watch by Rolex nomenclature. It's the submariner, which is a diver's watch, which is 19503. It's the GMT, which is a pilot's watch, which is 1955. Explorer 1, which is an explorer's watch or an all-day watch, which is 53 as well. Then you have the Daytona in 1963. Later, you have the Seedweller in 67, which is like a beefed up version of a sub, and then the Explorer 2 in, I guess, 1970 or so. But those are the watches that I think most people now think of when they think of watch.
Starting point is 00:26:48 You see rotating dazzle. In most cases, you see a black dial. In most cases, you see an oyster bracelet, which is a very wonderfully produced bracelet with an oyster lock bracelet. And that is really when things change. And to be clear, Rolex was not alone. There were other brands doing it. Some would say earlier. Some would say around the same time.
Starting point is 00:27:04 But the Blancon 50 Fathoms is credited to 1953. The Omega C-Master 300 and 120 are around the same time as well. So they were not alone. And you have to remember that like, even. And Rolex and the watch industry in that period, it was really a smattering of different suppliers. If you look at, for example, and I wrote about this several times over the past few years, if you look at, say, the Rolex Daytona from 1963 and the Hoyer Carrera from 1963, it uses the exact same movement, and I'm saying the exact same movement, and that's a Belgeu 72,
Starting point is 00:27:33 same casemaker, same casemaker, same casemaker. So what is the actual difference? The assembly was done by Rolex and the assembly was done by Hoyer, but the product itself is really very similar. And if you look at early seamasters and early submariners, a lot of similarity there. The difference was, of course, the oyster case. But that was how watchmaking was done. And if you look at, say, say, example of Potecali, 2499, that's based on a Valjeu movement. You don't think of that. You think of Pateca is Patech. This is the Holy Grail. But up until really, I mean, the 2000s, they were using what you call an Ebauch movement, which is just really movement blank. And then it would be finished by Patech or finished by AP or Raffron or whoever. So, Rolex,
Starting point is 00:28:13 because this were really, I would say, finished to a higher quality than most. But I mean, any good Blancont or any good Omega would do much of what Rolex was doing. It was really not until much, much later in the 70s first, when we had the courts crisis, which is effectively the creation of courts, which is analog time telling, but with a battery, which was dramatically more precise. I mean, like, dramatically more precise than mechanical watchmaking. What is interesting to think about, and I get full credit to my old colleague, Joe Thompson, who is a legend in the watch writing world, is the Japanese came in with
Starting point is 00:28:43 courts, Saco created it effectively, came in and there was a war between Swiss mechanical watchmaking and quartz analog timekeeping. And to be clear, the Swiss lost. The Swiss lost by a country model. So all of a sudden, those guys that were buying a Rolex or an Omega or a lawyer, because they were the most precise thing in the world, just said, you know what, why would I do that? I can buy a quartz watch that is 10 times more accurate, 10 times. And by the way, you don't need to have the service. You just swap out the new battery or whatever all the time. And that decimated. the Swiss watch industry, to a point where very, very few brands were producing things at a profit of any kind. Jack Hoyer, whose family owned tech before he was tech. It was just Hoyer at the time in his
Starting point is 00:29:24 biography. I mean, he talks almost going into bankruptcy. If you talk to Terry Stern, whose father Philippe Stern and his grandfather have owned the tech for generations, in the late 70s, they had to borrow against, you know, with their banks. Existential. Yeah, this was real. And it wasn't just the smaller brands, the tech head issues, Hoyer had issues. Rolex was really smart in that through that period of real turmoil when, I would say, their chief competitor, Omega, decided to make some quartz watches, decided to make some funky-looking things. Rolex stayed the course. And yes, they did make courts watches.
Starting point is 00:29:54 The Beta 21, which was the Swiss conglomerates answer to quartz. It's the most expensive courts watch ever made. I mean, like thousands and thousands of dollars. They said, you know, we're going to focus on what we do best. And the focus went away from precision and accuracy at time telling to luxury. And so that is when you start seeing the gold Rolex on, you know, I hate to say it, but like to use car salesmen. And the gold Rolex became the thing.
Starting point is 00:30:19 70s and 80s, opulence, you understand what the 80s were, of course. It just changed what Rolex was. But by the way, it worked. And it allowed them to continue to be relevant when everybody else being Omega and Patach to a degree Vachron, like these brands really struggled. And that is why so many of them ended up in conglomerates. In the 80s and 90s, when watches were mechanical watches, we're really not doing so hot. a lot of folks came in and bundled them all up.
Starting point is 00:30:43 So Richemont owns a bunch of the great ones, including Bashron. Swatch owns everything from Swatch to Blancon-Brigay-O-Megger. It was a time of great challenge for sure. And Rolex, they struggled as well. Never to the degree that the others did, but it was not great for them. And then the 90s started to come around, and Rolex had a CEO by the name of Patrick Heineger. His father was actually also CEO to give an idea of how things work at Rolex. And he said, I want to take Rolex in-house.
Starting point is 00:31:08 And he was really the first to do, frankly, well before. protect or well before anybody else. And so Rollins was using 27 different suppliers to make, say, Submariner. And after he was done with it, they're using four. And now those four are completely owned by Rolex. There are four different production facilities, two in Geneva, one in what I would call proper Geneva one in Falun the Wat, which is a little bit outside. And then there's one in Shenenburg, which does dials, and there's one in BL, which makes the movements. But what's so amazing is Rolex to me, the kind of secret sauce is equal parts case, equal parts movement. The cases, you can kind of reverse engineer if you're a competitor and say, okay,
Starting point is 00:31:45 what's an oyster case? It's got this, it's got that, it's polished there. Seals are done by X-Lymp, movements are a different thing entirely. And what's amazing is Rolex Geneva, which is basically dials, cases, bracelets, all that stuff, and Rolex Bien, which is up in the mountains, the Valley de Joux, had a handshake deal for 70 years. And I mean an actual handshake deal that the calibers made by what was then called Eglar, who made the first movement for Hans Wolfsdorf.
Starting point is 00:32:11 That company was making movements solely for Rolex Geneva based on nothing but a handshake. And I mean that literally. There was nothing in writing for up until 2004, which is just insane to think about. I mean, Rolex was certainly a multi-billion dollar a year business before then. And up until 2004, there was no contract in place to say that Aglare couldn't make movements for Omega or Taguer or whoever. And so in 2004, Rolex said, you know what, enough's enough, it's getting married here, and they purchase the company. And so now Rolex BN is basically what Eagler was up in the mountains until 2004.
Starting point is 00:32:41 And so Rolex now has four different production facilities. As I wrote that story, I was among the first to be invited inside the movement manufacturing, which is really the source of the IP. That is where the sausage is made, so to speak. Just remarkable. If you haven't read the story, it's on Houdinke. It's called Inside the Manufacturer visiting all four Rolex locations. It was remarkable.
Starting point is 00:33:01 As I started out in that story, I was a, you know, this was 10 years ago or seven years ago, I was a lover of watches. I was a lover of Rolex and I had more Rolexes then than had anything else at that point. None of them were as old as I was. They were all considerably older than me. And it's funny, I reread the story to kind of prepare for this interview. And now, since then, I've bought more modern Rolexes than I have vintage. And the world is just a different place.
Starting point is 00:33:23 But once you see everything that Rolex does to a watch, and what I mean by that is the fact that they have their own foundry, Even the steel, not just the gold and precious metals, even the steel on a Rolex is proprietary and is made by Rolex. It's 9.04L. It's wild. They make their own gold. It's called Everrose if it throws gold. It's just remarkable. And what I think is even more telling of what Rolex is about is that one of their facilities, they actually have, and I mean this literally, more than two Nobel Prize winning scientists on staff, working on watches. Think about what that must mean from material science perspective. The innovation done by Rolex is just a, above and beyond anything I've seen. I've been to every watchmaker in the world. I've been to several car manufacturers doing this. I've been all over. I've been inside our mess. There's just nothing like this. They create machines to test their machines that make watchies. They have
Starting point is 00:34:13 their own oyster test, which of course provides artificial pressure on a wash. You know it's waterproof. They have a machine that can open and close a Rolex clasp a thousand times a minute, which is kind of amazing because you actually have to open. It's wild. So you open this. It's actually kind of difficult to do. Imagine doing that a thousand times a minute. They invented a machine to do that. they have a machine in Shenboard, which is their style and gem setting location, to sort through all the stones that they're given. First of all, Rolex only works with IF, which is internally flawless stones, which is obviously the most expensive highest end, to ensure that the stones that they're given, whether it's diamonds or rubies or anything, are real. They created a machine to sort them at scale
Starting point is 00:34:48 and ensure that all of them are real. And I said, well, are bad stones or fake stones are a real problem for you? They said, no, not really, but we just want to ensure that every watch we sell is what we want it to be. And I was like, how often do you get a fake diamond or fake anything? And the answer is one out of 10 million. To be clear, this machine was created either by them or they paid somebody to make it for them. This is their machine. It's not like it exists outside Rolex. And this gives you an idea of what they're about and kind of how they do things. And it is so wonderful and so different than traditional luxury, which frankly, I may say, even as a purveyor of luxury items, is full of shit half the time. I'm into sneakers, but not.
Starting point is 00:35:27 in the way that I'm into other things. Why would a pair of special edition sneakers sell for $5,000? Sneakers are made in China, buy machines, their hands stitched here and there. It's just designed. It's artificial scarcity, et cetera. When you see what goes into it, really high in mechanical watch, but in particular, Rolex, you really start to understand the Samariner will say is $8,000. That might be a deal after you see what goes into this thing. And I mentioned in the story, several competing brand presidents had told me before I went on this trip that, oh, not a human hand touches a Rolex before it's made. It's all done by machine, which effectively the most insulting thing, a Swiss person can say, meaning that, like, it's void of character. It's void of humanity.
Starting point is 00:36:06 It's like, luxury should be about people. It should be about craftsmanship. And they're saying Rolex doesn't have taken to that. And I was like, oh, okay, like, that's kind of a bummer. That may have informed why I didn't know any modern Rolex at the time. You walk into Rolex HQ in Geneva, and you see hundreds of people finishing watches. And they're not finishing in the same way Petek or Longa Wood by hand with little pieces of wood. They're finishing, you know, maybe six or seven Rolex is at a time on a polishing wheel, but they're still polishing really the way that it should be done. They're assembling dials by hand. They're assembling the bracelet by hand.
Starting point is 00:36:35 There's an incredible amount of handwork that goes into the most basic of Rolex being like a submariner or a day job. Beyond that, what's so fun about them is like they know exactly how different they are than everyone else. They also know that everyone wants to be like them. So at least two of their four facilities, you might drive by and say, oh, there's Rolex. It's five stories high. You know, it's a few hundred thousand square feet. when you go inside, you realize that it's actually 10 or 11 stories high, but five or six of those stories are below graphic. And I just remember thinking like, why would they do that? What's the point of
Starting point is 00:37:06 that? And it was, in fact, to suggest to anybody that drives by that roll up to smaller than they actually are. And I think if we had any idea of how big the foundation was, they would blow all of us away. I think it's enormous. I think they're probably producing more than a million a year, but that's kind of the generally accepted number. It's who they are. And if they're going to do something, they want to do things at the highest level. I'm a golfer and have been lucky enough. to meet some of their players and Adam Scott became a good friend. And I asked, why don't you sponsor X, Y, and Z, or like, why don't you go grassroots, whatever? And they said, this is Rolex like my golf. If we're going to do golf, we only want to be involved with the major. So the U.S.
Starting point is 00:37:38 Open, the BGA Championship, the Masters, and of course, the British Open. And that's it. If they're going to do tennis, it's going to be Wimbledon and the U.S. Open. They don't even want to mess with some of the other majors in tennis. It's just remarkable how committed they are to working with the very best. It's wild. It really is. It's an unbelievable story. And also, So it's amazing to me the commitment to quality over time. And I'm sure there's incredible pressure for all sorts of reasons. Maybe the non-for-profit thing is actually a benefit here. But there's always pressure to skimp a little bit on quality, right?
Starting point is 00:38:08 Like give up the absolute perfect standard because it could mean a lot more sales or a lot more scale or whatever. And they just haven't done it. So you could think about buying one and looking at it and having it be a reminder of this like commitment to all the way down to the gold. The fact that they own all the way down to the bare metals in the ground is crazy. As you think about their genius on, I guess, quality in manufacturing, what is the equivalent on the marketing and distribution side? So you mentioned the great example of the women swimming across the channel as like a marquee event that made a big splash and they're focused on like the upper echelon of whatever they're doing.
Starting point is 00:38:40 What else do you think Rolex can teach the world's companies about unbelievable marketing or distribution? Referencing slightly what I was just mentioned, I commit me to only working with the absolute best and foregoing opportunity. for going, working with the next generation of, we'll say golfers in this case, the guys that are coming up now, until they've been validated as the very best, then they're just not interested in. You know, kind of good work if you can get it. Like, not everyone has the benefit of being able to say, I want to work with Tiger Woods,
Starting point is 00:39:07 therefore Tiger Woods will work with me. But I think they are just so unrelenting to their pursuit of excellence in the literal sense, the very best in the world, no matter what it is, you know, it's Yo-Yo Ma. It's not the person that has played Carnegie Hall twice. It's Yo-Yo Ma. It's Roger Federer in the tennis world. What's so amazing is they care about the people as much as they do the result. And Roger, I think, is the ultimate archetype for the Rolex.
Starting point is 00:39:30 They call them Rolex testimony. I call them bastards. Roger is, I wouldn't be ashamed of say. I think Roger is a hero to many of us. And I'm not really even a tennis player or a tennis fan. This is the way he floats above the air. Yeah, he floats above the air no matter what room that he's in. He's just a gentleman.
Starting point is 00:39:45 And he married his high school sweetheart. It's just a wonder. And I've met him through Rolex. And he's just a delightful person and completely authentic. they look at that. They want to be associated with people that are not only the best, but are genuinely good people as well. And again, good work if you can get it or, you know, it would be nice to only work with the best people that are also the best performers. But they really maintain with that. And their partnerships are different. I'm trying to think of an example. I'll say Leonardo
Starting point is 00:40:08 DiCaprio. He's been an ambassador for Tag Hoyer. He's been an ambassador, I think, for I DVC. And like, he is a hyper-famous, hyper-talented person. He doesn't care. Like, it's just money for him, etc. The contracts he's had, let's say, with Tag-Hoyer probably lasted five years. Rolex has worked with Jack Nickliss since 1967. 1967. They work with him to this day. He's still very much alive and he's had a bunch of Rolexes. We did a video with him.
Starting point is 00:40:30 But, I mean, think about that deal, 1967 to 2022. It's just wild. Omega does that to a degree. They've had a partnership with Cindy Crawford since early 90s. And now, Kai Gerber's with Omega. Like, it's not an official ambassadorship. It's a much longer term thing. But Rolex really takes it to the next level.
Starting point is 00:40:47 And they've been with Roger for his entire career. they really are committed to long-term meaningful relationships, much more so than any other brand. It's not like with some of these luxury brands or car companies where, okay, new CEO, I believe in tennis and equestrian. Then he gets let go and the new guy comes in and I believe in sailing and motorsports. It's not like that at all. There are core tenants of Rolex. Motorsport is in fact one of them. Then that's it.
Starting point is 00:41:10 Like they're not playing in the NBA. They're not sponsoring baseball. They're not sponsoring the NFL. They're doing the things that they do, which is equestrian, sailing to a degree, it's motorsports, tennis, and golf. And it's just amazing that these strategies continue to deliver decade after decade. What was golf in 1967? I actually don't know the answer, but I can tell you, was probably not a big deal, especially back then.
Starting point is 00:41:31 And the fact that they were committed back then and they're even more committed now, it's just remarkable. What have you learned about maybe the way that they make decisions, obviously like being so long-term oriented is one of those things, that again, you think is most portable to other, either luxury brands or just businesses in general, based on how singular they seem to be and how they make their choices? It's kind of silly, but it's almost too simple, I should say. And I think it's ultimately this attitude of kind of like do the right thing.
Starting point is 00:42:00 They are creating products that deliver in a way that is so far beyond, I think, what people understand, that people would be shocked. The way that I used to process, I used to write for the site. I don't anymore. But as a journalist, I went to journalism school. I would say two types of companies, one of which is the more you learn about the company, the less you like, the less you respect. And frankly, that's a lot of luxury companies. You realize that, okay, the Swiss-made watch is actually
Starting point is 00:42:22 made in China. This bag is actually not hand-sown and sewn by machine, you know, little things like that. And then there are other companies where the more you learn about them, the more you like them. Rolex is the architect with that. That article that I wrote 2015 is that was a foundational shift in my opinion of how watches should be made mass luxury watches. And I think they continue to innovate in a way that we at Houdinke continued to strive to be like. I mean, as an example, They have two in-house components that nobody knows about, or very few people know about. One of them is called paracrome, which is a balance wheel, which is literally like the thing that rotates inside the watch. There was basically, I wouldn't call a monopoly, but pretty damn close to monopoly on getting those things.
Starting point is 00:43:01 And everybody from the tech to Rolex were using something called the Niverox balance wheel. And Rolex said, you know what, we're going to make our own at some astronomical cost, and it's going to be 10 times as accurate as the competitor. And they did that. And that's one of the few times that they actually communicated on like a technical classification. They also have their own shock observing system, I think it's called TerraFlex, that again, 50% more absorbent than your traditional shock absorbent system. Would that change?
Starting point is 00:43:27 Would that stop? You or me are the guy on the street from buying a Rolex if they didn't? Not at all. Not at all. But they do it because they should. And they are at the core of it. What's so charming about them at the core of it is like they are master marketers, master everything, master distributors, but they are watchmakers.
Starting point is 00:43:44 at the core of it. This Samariner, this GMT, this anything, I would put against any watch the world in terms of production ability. The other thing I should say is that they know what they're good at, they know what they're not. And Rolex does not sell watches. Rolex makes watches. They own exactly, and it may have even closed, I should check. I'll back check this afterwards. Rolex owns one retail store. One. And Protect follows a similar model. They have, I think, four. They have London, Paris, Geneva, and I think Hong Kong. Rolex has one. and I actually think it may have closed and it's in Switzerland. And that's simply because they had a, I was basically like a family friend
Starting point is 00:44:17 that situation that owned it, then they ended up acquiring it. So if you go to like the Rolex boutique in Manhattan, for example, which is in the Rolex building, that's not owned by Rolex. That's owned by Wempe, which is a great authorized dealer. It's actually right up the road is a German base company. If you go to the Rolex boutique in Singapore, it's either the hourglass or another authorized dealer. So they're not selling watches.
Starting point is 00:44:37 They're selling them at wholesale to retailers who then make between, you know, we'll say 20 and 50% on every product they sell. And imagine your Rolex. You're thinking that you've got more demand than you can possibly ever supply. And you're thinking, man, I'm giving away 20 to 50% at everything I sell. Like, why don't we just do that? And they don't change because they know that first of all, everything's cyclical. The watch market is going through a boom unlike I've ever seen in 14 years of doing this, unlike the market's ever seen at all. That may or may not last. We've reached a shift where like things will never go back to the way they were before, but things are softening up a little bit. And they realize like, hey, we make watches. We
Starting point is 00:45:12 don't sell them. And to have the control, the self-control and the wherewithal to basically walk away from 20 to 50% of retail sales at that scale globally, when the demand is just capacious, is just so admirable. And because they know that in 100 years, maybe things will change or maybe in 10 years, things will change. It wasn't really Rolex, but in 2014 or 15, around the same time that I went to go see that in Geneva, something called the Apple Watch game. And Rolex is Rolex, like they're going to be fine. But a lot of the other brands are like, man, is this going to eat our lunch? And to be clear, it did. If you want to say apples to apples, the Apple Watch is a bigger watch than Rolex by quantity and by Revenue. But Rolex is obviously fine. It has changed,
Starting point is 00:45:56 and this is not an Apple Watch segment, but I'll just mention it briefly. It has changed how people buy luxury watches. A luxury watch pre-Apple Watch, I would consider a thousand dollars and above, maybe even $500 in above. It has decimated that market. So the market between 500 and sub-5,000, has just been destroyed. The brands like Shinola and Fossil, Fossil was a multi, multi-billion dollar company. I'm just enormous. They don't hear that name anymore.
Starting point is 00:46:20 Exactly. Their share price in 2013-14, pre-Applewatch was $80 a share, but last time I checked it was eight. Probably even lower than that now. They've lost 90% of their market cap. Apple Watch has, in some ways, helped the Rolexes and the Omega's of the world
Starting point is 00:46:35 because Rolex and Omega and Tai Hoyer are like, they are luxury to most people. They're clearly expensive. they start around $5,000 instead of around one like some of the other folks do. That's like the baseline now. Now you want a Rolex or Megategoire or above or nothing. You don't want the Shinola anymore. You don't want the fossil anymore.
Starting point is 00:46:53 And I think Apple Watch was a big, big player in that. Maybe say a bit, obviously, we don't have the data on Rolex specifically, but just from what you know about the watch industry, about the income statement of a watch brand. Are they very high gross margin, like a lot of luxury products? They are. How are they typically distributed? Like anything interesting there that you think maps back on to Rolls,
Starting point is 00:47:11 Rolex, this is business breakdowns, not just product breakdowns, although here are the product is way more interesting. Anything worth mentioning there just how the business itself works? That's unique? Rolex is more vertically integrated than most. So one can imagine that their margin would be, once you absorb the cost of acquiring and bring everything in house, like you would assume that the margin would be a little bit higher because they're making everything themselves.
Starting point is 00:47:31 Historically, and generally speaking, there are very few brands that are as vertically integrated as Rolex. Weirdly, Seco would be one. Brand Seca would be one, but that would be another. But most brands are buying effectively, everything. The component, the movement might be an in-house design. I'm using air quotes here. In-house design, but they're buying e-bouches, base calibers and modifying them significantly. There's margin there. They have to buy the products. To this day, or at least back to 2015,
Starting point is 00:47:56 Rolex actually did not manufacture their own hands. I don't know why, but they were buying that from a company. I forgot the name. I think Feeler, S.A. So Rolex was buying crystals in hands, but nothing else. Most brands are buying pretty much everything. And then they're assembling it and putting it together. So then it just becomes like, okay, The production cost of watch is the raw materials, it's the man hours, the straps, it's all that stuff. And then they would ship it out to a U.S. distributor at generally probably about, I would say, 40% of what you'll see in the stores, so 40% of like U.S. retail.
Starting point is 00:48:26 And then the distributor would take 20% and then the retailer would take about 40% of that. So you can assume that your retailer is buying stuff at about 40% below what you're paying, and then the distributor is taking 20% of that. And then the actual producer of the watch is probably, probably making, you know, 200% on that. If you think about Rolex specifically, what great watchmakers in general, what do you think are the most important overall business lessons where you've seen how, let's say, Rolex specifically works at a base level, you've walked the factory floors, you're
Starting point is 00:48:58 intimately familiar with the products. And then when you start thinking about other product categories, whatever, it doesn't need to just be luxury goods, what do you wish more businesses did or a certain way that they conducted themselves most based on what you've learned about Rolex? I think continuity of design is paramount. That is probably really a simple thought. If you look at the Samarana, I have on my desk, I have a 1954 Samarana. It looks pretty much like this.
Starting point is 00:49:23 You know, I have one from 1965 that looks just like this. And the idea that you can create a consumer good, and in fact, completely superfluous, kind of unnecessary consumer good, that becomes iconic is everything. Like, if you look at its competitors, look at Omega, the speed. master, the watch the one to the moon, that is by far its most iconic product. And because they're making the Speedmaster just like they did in the 1960s, that is why it continues to have the following that it does. Look at cars, Porsche 9-11. 9-11s are trading well above retail right now for a variety of reasons. It wasn't always the case, but now they are. And you look in the Hermes-Burkin bag,
Starting point is 00:49:56 and you know, sticking with luxury. You know, that bag has been around for 40 years, and it will always be the iconic women's iron bag. So continuity design, and we just did a podcast on this on Torninke, I think really is what creates multi-generational demand. And I think with watches in particular, my origin story is I was given an Omega Speedmaster by my maternal grandfather, who was my hero. And that watch continues in some form or another to be made today. And so when my daughter, who's on the other side of this wall, who's six months old, again, is 25 or something I could say, hey, Georgie, that's her name, let's go out and get a watch. It looks just like dads, that look just like your great-grandfathers
Starting point is 00:50:33 who you never met. And there's something really wonderful about that, because, again, these are multi-generational items. Thinking long-term, which is what Rolex does, Rolex is planning, I can guarantee they have their product mix figured out for 20, 35, guaranteed. Being able to not have to answer to shareholders like so many of us do and play for the long ball, I think was intoxicating for somebody like me. For example, in 2013, it was the 50th anniversary of the Daytona. At that point, the watch was a steel watch with a steel bezel. All people wanted was a black bezel. That's it. That was all we were looking for. It wasn't too much to ask for. They didn't give it to us. They waited another two years. They gave us a platinum Daytona with a
Starting point is 00:51:11 colored bezel. It was kind of brown ceramic bezel. And I know, I'm just saying, man, that's kind of shitty. Like 50th anniversary, they're not going to give us the thing that we want. And it's just a black bezel. It doesn't seem like much. And then when the watch came out in 2015, we all said great and we're celebrating it. And that kind of set off the pandemonium. But they do these iterative things where like that black bezel now exists on the gold version of the Daytona, but not on a bracelet. And so if you want to buy a black bezel on a gold Daytona, it comes on a rubber strap. And I guarantee you next year of the year for that, we're going to get it on the bracelet. This idea of iterating to a degree that is so
Starting point is 00:51:45 frustrating almost for the consumer, but it makes you so excited. And by the way, I want the gold Daytona on the bracelet with the black bezel. But because it didn't come out on the bracelet, I bought it on the rubber strap, even though it's not even really what I want. You know, when it comes on the bracelet, I'm going to buy that too. And the idea that they've got, they've created demand for product that people will buy several iterations of basically, This is not basically really the same thing. It's just super admirable. As somebody that creates products, which is what we do sometimes that are thinking.
Starting point is 00:52:14 I mean, to do things in that level of detail and continue to foster the demand, that far out base of supply is just remarkable. But again, doing things in a way that is not shouting from rooftops, but the quality is there. And for people like me who know a lot about this product in particular, I can look you or anybody in the eye and say, yeah, if you can afford this watch, it's a great fucking product. What other brands in your kind of world would you encourage people to study in this kind of detail to learn interesting lessons? The other brand that I've mentioned a lot in this episode here is Omega.
Starting point is 00:52:49 And I think Omega now is doing, they've learned a lot from Rolex, if I can say. And nobody's told me that, but I can just see it. The Omega Speedmaster, which went to the moon organically, you know, it's not like they paid NASA for that. That is the greatest achievement of human con. We sent men to the moon. It's insane. And there was a Rolex, to be clear, in contention for that, and NASA chose the Speedmaster over. That's just the facts.
Starting point is 00:53:10 And so the Speedmaster was not, believe it or not, the commercial stalwart that it is for Omega now. Up until probably five years ago, it was the Sea Master. It was die watches. And Omega is actually a larger brand in China than Rolex is, believe it or not. You know, they were driven by Chinese consumers. It was a lot of different colors and kind of interesting things. Then all of a sudden, the current president of guy named Raynall Nishman came in and said, You know what? The Speedmaster is iconic. The Speedmaster. What's the goddamn moon?
Starting point is 00:53:36 Like, this should be the thing that people go crazy for. And this should be the product that can compete with Rolex. And they started doing these special editions, these limited editions, one of which was to celebrate 15 years of Podinky. They did them with some other folks here and there. They did one with the Porsche Club of America. They did some special things with Snoopy, which is a tie of NASA. And then they stopped. They stop. So no more limited additions, really. They do different additions, but not limited. And now all of a sudden, the Speedmaster trades above retail. The Speedmaster is what everybody wants, and we're an authorized dealer for Omega, and we can't keep them in stock. And so you look at the Omega Speedmaster, which 10 years ago was really kind of a secondary product. And now it's a primary product for the second biggest brand in the world who sponsors the Olympics and James Bond and all these iconic things.
Starting point is 00:54:17 And they're really paying attention to the enthusiasts, which Kodinki represents, which is who I represent, and the mass market folks, which is like just the guy that wants a nice thing. I think Rolex has frustrated a lot of people, and this is no news to them. I mean, I know they know because you can no longer go in and buy the watch you want at all. And historically, the Daytona was always kind of difficult to get. But as a 25-year-old guy that used to work in finance, which is when I started Ho-Dinky, you make your first $5,000 bonus or whatever, and you go into the store and you buy your Samariner and like, okay, I'm an adult now. I have a Samariner.
Starting point is 00:54:50 That doesn't exist anymore. And I think that's a real bummer for a lot of folks. And that certainly has made the aftermarket price of these things in a significant way. But it really turns a lot of people off. And Omega, Tag Hoyer, Hanna, I, a lot of brands have really said, you know what, if you can't get that Samarana, we'd be happy to sell you a watch. By the way, like, here's some champagne and we're going to invite you to our next party. You might enjoy it.
Starting point is 00:55:12 Look, Rolex is an exceptional brand. I would never say they're not. I mean, I spent the last hour telling you why they're exceptional. But these are just watches. And then we have to remember that. I'm the first person to say that. Like, nobody needs a watch. So no doctor is prescribing.
Starting point is 00:55:23 us to buy watch it. We're not carrying cancer here. And so if somebody has worked so hard that they can afford a $10,000 Rolex and Rolex says, sorry, you can't have one, that's a really frustrating experience. And X percent of you says, well, maybe I just want you more now. But Y percent of you kind of says, well, you know, screw you, man. I'm going to go buy an Omega. I'm going to go buy a Panorite. And I'm going to love them and they're going to love me. It's just a matter of how much kind of ego there is involved. There's some people don't care at all. But I can tell you, without question, that several people that I know personally have been turned off not only from Rolex a tech and Grisho-N-A-Pee, because these are phenomenally expensive things.
Starting point is 00:56:00 Like Rolex is on the low end side there. Let's talk about AP, which the watch you want is probably $30,000. The watch you might want is $150,000. But like, to walk into a store and say, hey, my name is Ben, I've got $150,000, ready to go. I want to buy this thing and be told, sorry, no. Who are you? Can I see your Instagram fee? What do you do for a living?
Starting point is 00:56:17 Who do you know? How insulting must that be? And the answer is really fucking insulting to a lot of people. And a lot of people say, you know what, fuck you. I'm just going to go buy it for 500 on pre-owned site or I'm just going to not buy it at all. I'm going to take a nice vacation or buy a Ferrari instead. And I think this industry has really struggled with that. The market has been so buoyed by easy access to capital, I'll say.
Starting point is 00:56:37 And the prices have just continued to go up and go up in a way. It's not normal. That's not just true for watches, true for cars, wine, art, et cetera. And all of a sudden, when things tightened up a little bit this year, which they have, people said, oh, wait a minute, like Rolex is will not always go up and value, then I'm out. I'm just going to sell it. That's a shame. And I think not just Rollins, but all luxury brands who have their chest puffed out really broadly now,
Starting point is 00:56:58 should just remember that like everything is cyclical and that if you have somebody that wants to buy a product from you that nobody needs, you should give them as much respect as possible because it doesn't last forever. We've talked a lot about the wonderful aspects of Rolex and some of these brands in general. What are maybe some negative lessons, things that you've seen them do through history, not just Rolex, other brands like it, do you think are good valuable lessons of what not to do? You've mentioned one there, which is what sparks my question. The weakest link of any chain is always retail.
Starting point is 00:57:24 Finding people, good salespeople, is remarkably hard because you're selling stuff. And a lot of the folks that are able to afford this stuff, frankly, are incredibly intelligent, incredibly well-versed the world, know everything, know everyone. If they don't, they're going to go on hooniki and read all about it, so they do know everything. And you get salespeople that don't, aren't used to that. And I think you have people that are selling product in a way that is so counter to what these things represent. Just using what I have on my desk as an example, I bought this GMT with a good friend of
Starting point is 00:57:53 mine. He had just signed a deal to playing a band, a very famous band. And I had just signed my seed round and fundraising for Houdinke, which was a huge deal for me. And we went into the Rolex store on Fifth Avenue. We bought the exact same watch together. So this watch has nothing to do with how much it costs or anything. It has everything to do with that success in my life, that success in my friend's life. And to be told no in that moment, imagine we were there together trying to celebrate these
Starting point is 00:58:16 achievements for both of us. And we were like, sorry, you can't have anything. And at that point, there were two of the exact same watch sitting in the case. So it was easy. But right now, if we were to do it again, we'd probably get told no. It's so so demoralizing and insulting. I hesitate to use the word enemy, but like you could create an enemy for life as a consumer. That is crazy.
Starting point is 00:58:36 Rolex knows it's a problem and they are doing everything they can to meet it. And I believe them when they tell me that they're creating more watches than ever before, so that demand is outpaces it. But there needs to be a better way. And frankly, I don't know what that way is. Maybe it's e-commerce. I don't believe that on that. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:58:51 Maybe it's actual waiting list where people can actually put their name down and say, okay, this person is at that number 1,123. When you get to that thing, you'll get the watch. That doesn't exist. And the idea that the waiting lists are even referenced by Rolex today is nonsense. There's no such thing. If you know somebody at Rolex, you'll get the watch. If you bought a bunch of washes that they can't sell, then you'll get the one that they can sell.
Starting point is 00:59:14 It's a gift, basically. And again, I want to be clear, Rolex is not alone. Several brands that are very hot right now are doing the same thing. But, man, both my parents were teachers. The fact that I have more than one Rolex is still shocking. Like, I'm just happy to be here. And so I think of if I wasn't me in the watch world, but I had made a few thousand bucks I wanted to buy one of these things, how disappointed you would be, how angry you would be,
Starting point is 00:59:35 that you just worked your fucking ass off for the last 40 years to get to a point where you can afford this thing. you told no, I think that is a major problem. And I think that is going to continue to be a problem for a long time unless somebody change. It's a really interesting balance of like wanting it to be something aspirational, but once you achieve a certain bar to be able to do it. It's a line that you have to walk as a luxury brand. Really, really interesting. Look, it's integrity and it's honesty. If somebody came to me and said, hey, they knocked in my, they said, hey, we want to buy your house. I'd probably say, well, like, I really appreciate that. Like, we're not looking to sell it. But in five years when my daughter's grown and we need a bigger house, I need to be called. Like, I would
Starting point is 01:00:08 call that person. And I think that person would respect me for saying, not right now, but I'll give you a shout when we're ready. What goes on now is not at all of that. It's basically say, hey, sir, please give me your name and we'll reach out if and when we have a product available, which doesn't mean a fake. It doesn't mean a thing. If you're a celebrity, if you're an entrepreneur, if you're somebody that has a million Instagram followers, they're going to call you soon. And if you're not, you're not going to get a call at all. And I think that is when things get really dicey when people that don't have purchase history is kind of like the new street credit in the watch world. Here's another.
Starting point is 01:00:38 kind of interesting situation where a lot of brands are closing down off right deals. So they're closing stores. So let's say you, Patrick, were the number one, Automar Pigate client at some dealer in Ohio or something. And you bought a million dollars worth of APs from this software as dealer in Ohio over the past 10 years. And then that dealer got closed. And then you walked in the AP boutique on 7th Street and said,
Starting point is 01:00:58 hey, my name is Patrick. Like, I've spent a million bucks with this dealer that no longer exists. Like, can I have the new ceramic derbyon or whatever? We're so pleased for you to come in, blah, blah. we'd love to chat, but you know, you don't have a purchase history here, so we're going to have to put you the bottom of the list. Like, how would you feel about that? Imagine you've been buying that product in the correct meat from an authorized dealer for a decade, and you just got told you had to start all over again. And that is what's happening in the waterfall right now. I'm not singling out
Starting point is 01:01:22 AP or anybody, but it's the arrogance of some of these brands that are very hot to think that they can continue to treat people that way, even though everything is cyclical. And I've seen all these brands trade below retail, just like we're seeing them trade above retail right now. I'll certainly remember this conversation for this idea of companies that as you get to know them, you like them more, which is probably quite a rare feature of any company. Typically, the thing you see on the front of it is the best version of the thing, almost by definition, like they're going to surface the most attractive, interesting stories, elements, whatever. But this idea that I'll think of those five floors below ground is a great lesson. Ben, this has been so much fun. Like what an interesting brand.
Starting point is 01:02:01 I can't think of anything like it that's a nonprofit that's had this endurance that has this. global recognition and style. Thank you so much for taking the time today to break it down with us. It's my pleasure. It's been a lot of fun. To find more episodes of breakdowns ranging from Costco to Visa to Moderna or to sign up for our weekly summary, check out join colossus.com. That's J-O-I-N-C-O-S-U-S-U-S-U-S-U-S-U-S-U-S-com.

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