Investor's Edge with Gary Kaltbaum - A 1-2 PUNCH! [03.19.2025]

Episode Date: March 19, 2025

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That's Tommyjohn.com, code comfort. Tommy John. Comfort perfected. Investor's Edge with Gary Kaltbaum. Straight talk about you and your money. Now from the BizTalk Studios, here is Gary Kaltbaum. And welcome once again to Investors Edge. I'm Gary Kaltbaum, your host.

A thanks of being with us today. Glad you here, ladies and gentlemen, happy that you're listening. It's Wednesday, right? It's March 19th. It's 2025. Hope you're having a good day. Ladies and gentlemen, we measure our words pretty carefully, but I really do feel like right now we're living in a nut house. I'll explain in a minute. In case you don't know, this is serious talk on everything that affects you. We do the markets, the economy, your job, your industry. Doge, the last administration, this administration, the last 25 years of debt and deficits, Schumer, Waltz, You know who Waltz is, right?

The guy who would be vice president. Tesla, Musk. So much going on, including today, Jay Powell. And I must tell you, grabbing defeat from the jaws of victory. That's what I was thinking about today with Jay Powell. I'll explain in a moment. If you do not get this radio show in your city, we'll post it at garyk.com. We'll also post it on a Twitter feed, which is now X.

We'll also post on a bunch of podcast apps. No, really. And if you like to follow me on Twitter or X, go ahead. And if you like to email me, you just got to be nice. Everybody's been nice. I have no dirtbags emailing me anymore. even people that were nasty a long time ago are friendly to me. Do you know why?

I kill them with kindness. You wouldn't believe some of the things people actually say to me on email and I kill him with kindness right back and they're nice now. What a concept. All right. Let me give you the final numbers on today's market if you don't mind. Well, first off, we were hoping that the recent low was a good low.

But as we always tell you, we can identify a low that's happening, but we always state, you know, you need some more cards coming out of the deck. And part of those cards coming out of the deck is stair steps. And what we mean by that is you go up. You come back halfway. You sit around for a few days and then you break above that first stair step. That's what you need to see. And notice we're not mentioning yet cause and effect.

But as you do know, there's a lot of cause and effect going on right now. You have a much noisier White House right now. I mean, the last White House, the guy was comatose. So of course, the new one is the new president. It talks a lot more, and that's fine and dandy with me to a certain extent, and we'll get to that in a minute. And then you had the Fed today. So let me put it best. We were titling today's show One Two Punch.

One Two Punch. What was the first punch that helped markets? Well, as we have said to you, so first off, disclaimer. I love this president's golf courses. I've played Turnberry, though he didn't own it when I played, but he owns it now. But I have played the Scotland Trump course, magnificent. I'm going to say it's in the top three of greatest golf courses I've ever played with Royal County Down, which is in Ireland.

and I'd have to throw Bally Bunyan also. And then there's others like Old Head in Ireland you know St. Andrews in Scotland is not the greatest golf course

but it definitely has that air about it. Pebble Beach is not the greatest golf course but it's heaven over there. But love is golf courses. That's number one. Loved. that his first reaction when he got shot was up yours. I would have been down on the ground, head in the floor, get me to hell out of here.

I love that. I love that he had the works after him. They impeached him the first time, and it wasn't impeachable offense. It was ridiculous. ridiculous. Second one, you know I'll completely disagree on the J6. Lower taxes, less regulations. Fighting crime.

Backing of Israel. Big time right now. Ripping the stuffings out of these colleges to the point where Colombia is now agreeing to everything. And expelling students, it took 400 million bucks, but they're expelled. telling students, great. I love the deporting of these freaking gang members. I love that. And of course, others saying, well, do we know what they vetted? Here's the interesting

part about these ass clowns. They're not asking what they vetted when they were let into the United States by Joe Biden, but are they being vetted when they're being vetted when they're being sent out. It's the most illogical doofusness one could ever think. Maybe we should drop them off in the community that these idiots live in. We love that he's protecting the citizenry, which I believe is number one, number two, number three, number four, number five job of a president. And I know this hypocrisy here, J6, he purported. He purported. pardon those people. I wouldn't have, especially the violent ones. And I do believe they overdid it with some people. But I wanted to do this disclaimer on Trump first because we don't like

tariffs. There's nothing we like about them. And we're not thrilled that the president, in spite of what they say, is doing the tariffs based on markets. How do we know this? Well, For the third time, markets have swooned under the threat of a lot more tariffs. And the third time today, they came out and said, well, you know that April 7th tariff thing? Well, we think we can. So markets rallied today early on. And they can talk blue in the face. Oh, we don't watch markets.

That's BS. We know that. Do you know why? Because fear and greed are emotions that both you, I have as well as them. And the fear is that the markets keep going down and it hurts the presidency. And it does. So the final numbers today, and then I'll get to miss the bubble. The Dow is up 383, good. The S&P up 60, good. NASDAQ, 246, good. The NASDAQ 100, 253 good.

The transport's only 72, not so great. The semiconductor index up 45, not so great. Advanced declines were very good. What was not so good? And then I'll, again, then I'll get to miss the bubble J. Powell. At one time today, you know, I wish it was a two-hour show today. At what time, one time today, the Dow was 178 and up almost 600. finished up 383.

The NASDAQ at one time today, 17917, 16, whoa, was up 410, finished up 246. Now, why was the market up strong? Well, I said to you, we had this one-two punch today. First was the president. Not by accident, and supposedly it came from somebody else, but we know it comes from the president. they're thinking we're going to be better on the tariffs come April 7th. And, you know, they have been promoting April 7th is a big tariff day.

Well, not anymore. Why? Because the markets have been swooning. Duh. And then there's Jay Powell today. So first off, they did not do anything with the Fed Funds rate. And in case you don't know, that is their little rate that banks do whatever with banks lending back and forth, depositing back and forth and all that crap. But it kind of also defines whether it's easy monetary policy or tight or nothing at all.

So they stayed there. But what did the Fed do? They went easier money. And why would the Fed go easier money? Fear. Now we're told the president cannot fire a Senate. banker. Up next. We'll explain the fear. And boy, I got a ton more today. Don't miss it. This is the one only Investor's Edge. Hi, I'm Gary Kalbaum, hosted a nationally syndicated radio show Investors Edge.

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That's 888422-5-5-9. Investment Advisory Services offered through Colbomb Capital Management. Guys, it's no use putting it off. The best time for an underwear refresh is now. Tommy John Underwear is designed for a perfect fit that stays put all day. Their zero-chafe thanks to four times more stretch than competing brands. And their innovative horizontal quick-drop fly is a game changer. With over 30 million pairs sold, there are thousands of men out there more comfortable than you. Don't settle for less. Go to Tommyjohn.com today for 25% off your first order with Code Comfort.

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Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide. The Capital One Venture X card. What's in your wallet? Terms apply, lounge access is subject to change. See Capital1.com for details. This episode is brought to you by Spreaker. The platform responsible for a rapidly spreading condition known as podcast brain. Symptoms include buying microphones you don't need,

explaining RSS feeds to confused relatives, and saying things like, Sorry, I can't talk right now. I'm editing audio. If this sounds familiar, you're probably already a podcaster. The good news is Spreaker makes the whole process simple. You record your show, upload it once, and Spreaker distributes it everywhere people listen. Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and about a dozen apps your cousin swears are the next big thing. Even better, Spreaker helps you monetize your show with ads, meaning your podcast might someday pay for, well, more microphones.

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It doesn't get better than this. So, what is the Fed's fear? What is Jay Powell's fear? well, he doesn't want Donald Trump ripping him to shreds. And they're supposed to be independent between the Fed and politicians, but there's no independence. There's never been independence. It's a lie. And, you know, Donald Trump tends to speak his mind.

And we're told that a president can't fire the head of a central bank, but he can sure pushes you know what out. So what they did today to ease monetary policy is Jay Powell slowed down the rolling back of all his printed money. You know the crap that created all the inflation. He printed up to $9 trillion. So what they were doing, they were rolling off, letting it roll off and letting it roll off to the tune of a certain amount. Well, now they have decided to do a lot less. of rolling off. And that is easing.

They were rolling off $25 billion a month. Now they're only to do $5 billion. And they called it quantitative tightening. So you had this one-two punch and the market was really ripping. And you could tell

it was getting stronger and the hope is to finish very well. And it doesn't matter what he says. You know what I say about them. they think they're in control but they're not near the highs I get sent something that Jay Powell said and I had to check it five times because I thought it was a joke

Jay Powell actually said I don't know anyone who has a lot of confidence in their forecast and I don't think I'm even paraphrasing Jay Powell kind of came out and said they don't know what the hell they're doing, they have no idea what's going to happen next. And the markets sold off from up almost 600 to 383 for up over 400 to 246 on the NASDAQ off of him saying, I don't know anyone who has a lot of confidence in their forecast. Unbelievable. So anyway, we still finished up nicely. I like that the financials were getting a bid.

We're not going higher unless financials help out. I like that a lot of things are off the floor, which means the new yearly low list has dropped. I don't love how we finished, but I think we're in a counter-trend rally. My guess is we go higher. My guess, but remember, there's not a ton of leadership. It's things that are now what I call repairing,

but they were repairing pretty darn nicely until Powell said that, and we'll see what tomorrow brings. The new yearly high list, there ain't much, but if markets get better, things will show up. Remaining in good stead is gold. A bunch of China names pulled back. Gold was weaker early, but gets better on easy money. You had better tone today in some of the mega caps, but I got news for you.

I don't think they're going too far. Other areas. And what we are just doing right now is gauging. What do we mean by gauging? relative strength, what stocks have held the best, what stocks are coming back first and strongest. And we're talking growth names. Because as you know, there have been other areas, as I mentioned China, Europe, Japan, some insurance, and a few sundry other things. But the story today was a one-two punch that got kind of kicked into you know what,

when the head of the central bank, and by the way, it looks like this was a quote. It looks like this was a quote. He did go on to say, I mean the point is, forecasting is always very, very hard, but he still said, I don't know anyone who has a lot of confidence in their forecast. and I'm not talking about what people think of their forecast. It's what he thinks of his own forecast. He doesn't have confidence in it. The guy only has like a thousand analysts going out

to get an idea what's going on in the world. But he has no confidence. There's your one-two punch today. And we'll see what happens tomorrow. I will say again, anything's possible. The lows of last week are hanging in there holding. The highs of this week was getting taken out earlier until the market came back in later in the day.

It feels like it feels like it wants to go higher. I wouldn't bet the moon on that, though. why there's just a lot of moving parts going down right now kids a lot of moving parts going down right now and as i've already did this big scan the biggest movers today were a lot of things that were down a ton i will repeat though what i did like today financials had some umph oh oh O-O-M-P-H, my own little word. And as a whole, moved above Monday's Little High. That's the big story at this juncture.

And I'll keep fingers crossed that we got plenty more to go. Again, we have easier money. You have Donald Trump, fear. and just remember his poll numbers on the economy have gone down. Consumer confidence has gone down. And by the way, part of consumer confidence is the markets. Fear and greed. Never forget.

Warren Buffett also. We'll talk about that and lots else going on. I'm Gary. This is the one only investor's edge. Guys, it's no use putting it off. The best time for an underwear refresh is now. Tommy John underwear is designed for a perfect fit that stays put all day. Their zero-chafe thanks to four times more stretched than competing brands,

and their innovative horizontal quick-draw fly is a game changer. With over 30 million pairs sold, there are thousands of men out there more comfortable than you. Don't settle for less. Go to Tommyjohn.com today for 25% off your first order with Code Comfort. That's Tommyjohn.com code comfort. Tommy John, comfort perfected. This message is brought to you by the Capital One Venture X card. Venture X offers the premium benefits you expect, like a $300 annual Capital One travel credit

for less than you expect. Elevate your earn with unlimited double miles on every purchase, bringing you one step closer to your next dream destination. Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide. The Capital One Venture X card. What's in your wallet? Terms apply. Lounge access is subject to change. See Capital1.com for details. This episode is brought to you by Spreker. responsible for a rapidly spreading condition known as podcast brain. Symptoms include buying microphones you don't need, explaining RSS feeds to confused relatives, and saying things like,

sorry, I can't talk right now, I'm editing audio. If this sounds familiar, you're probably already a podcaster. The good news is Spreaker makes the whole process simple. You record your show, upload it once, and Sprinker distributes it everywhere people listen, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and about a dozen apps your cousin's swears are the next big thing. Even better, Spreaker helps you monetize your show with ads, meaning your podcast might someday pay for, well, more microphones. Start your show today at spreeker.com.

Spreaker, because if you're going to talk to yourself for an hour, you might as well publish it. We're listening to America is talking. Investor's Edge. He's got to be pleased with that. The crowd is just on his feet here. He's a Cinderella boy. With Gary Colbomb. It comes highly recommended.

You're going to feel better if you talk to. Okay. As you know, many moons ago, all we used to do is markets. But as the Morlocks and the interlopers started getting involved in our lives and being a part of the big influence out there that affects our lives, we cover a lot of the things these days. We must. So we also tell you we don't take on anybody in the industry. no one we used to and I remember somebody emailing me and saying Gary it's just not a good thing you shouldn't do it and I thought about it and we never take on anybody in the industry

and there's a lot of cuckoo out there but the only person we have brought up is Kathy Wood with the arc funds and the reason why we bring her up is because we've been asked a thousand times and some factual things that we think you need to know and part of what we do here is full and fair disclosure she was out today with a $1.5 million target on Bitcoin and it's publicized even though her main fund is down still, get this, 70% from February of 2021. Now, I've got news for you. If I was down 70% since 2021, I don't think I'm in business. So I don't know marketing whatever. I'm just bringing this up with, just be careful. We need you to remember the things that they don't

tell you. Number one is the Morlocks try to bring out 30,000 plus coins. I think it's like 32,000 coins, all trying to get rich, and most are zero. Do you remember Dennis Rodman came out with a pot coin? I think even Mark Cuban came out with a coin and it went to zero overnight. And amazingly, the Doja coin came out as a comedy act. And that went up and I think it's still up. a little, you know, to wherever. And Ethereum, the end-all be-all, at least that's what I've been told because it's the blockchain, this and that, is down 55% since December. And they're not talking about Ethereum anymore. They're just talking about Bitcoin. And they don't tell you that in the last bare market, Bitcoin drops 75%. And they don't tell you it's pretty much been moving

with the NASDAQ. And the NASDAQ only went down in the 30s in the last bear market, but yet it went down 75. We're not predicting that's going to happen. We're just letting you know what did happen. And guess what? The NASDAQ's been correcting some and guess what it's been doing.

Correcting more than the NASDAQ. And this inclusive of the president is big crypto guy and he just said today he's got another big announcement on crypto and this, that, and the other thing. And I just don't want people that listen to me or watch me.

If this decides to drop 75%, get there, you know what's you know what it. And we will tell you on a technical basis if it gets better. But I'm just tired of hearing what it's about and what it, they don't, it doesn't do anything. It has no, nothing. It produces nothing. It creates nothing. It is nothing. It has no earning sales, offices, products or services,

and all the other ones have turned to dust. I hope it goes to a million and a half. But it pisses me off when somebody that has an audience tells you that. You know what it's kind of like? 17, 18 years ago, Al Gore saying we had 10 years. as well as others. What else? So Elon Musk sends up

and gets the astronauts. Magnificent. Elon Musk, two to three years ago, was a hero of the left. Elon Musk was loved. Electric vehicles. You know who didn't like him? Joe Biden, because he didn't use union.

and amazingly wasn't invited to a White House thing on electric vehicles. What are they doing? They're destroying Teslas. They're drawing swastikers on Teslas. They are taking keys and king Tesla's people. The good news is they're getting caught and they're being arrested. Good. That's not the problem.

that's not the problem. There's stupid people out there. These people that are doing it are not creating anything. They're not changing anything. They're ass clowns. They're not affecting any change. They're just morons. They're imbeciles. And if they're caught, they'll be arrested and they'll be sued for payment, and maybe they won't do it again. And it's not a ton of people. It's a select few that do this because Elon Musk just brought down two astronauts. Oh, no, because Elon Musk is trying to make government more efficient and effective, because they've created a blob throughout the years

and is friendly to Donald Trump. But that's no big deal. These are idiots. These are morons. You know what a big deal is? Jimmy Kimmel pretty much egging them on last night on TV. Go watch it.

Jimmy Kimmel has influence. And I don't know the guy. But I hear he's a pretty nice guy. and a good husband and a good father, and I heard one of his kids, I think, is ill or something like that. But yet he goes on TV, on his show, and in a comedic-type way, says, oh, you don't want to do that, and then stop silent, intimating, yeah, keep doing it. And he gives himself an out, but he knew exactly what he's doing. Jimmy Kimmel.

Tim Waltz, who would have been vice president, this moron, was speaking in front of people. And he says, I've noticed on the phone they've got that stock app. I added Tesla. So it gives me a little boost during the day. and it's only 225 and dropping and smiles and gets applause. He's happy that people are losing their ass in the stock of Tesla. Imagine that. This guy who wants to be president.

This is what we're dealing with. Yet Minnesota's state pension fund manager owns 1.6 million shares of Tesla which means the police and firefighters and teachers are losing money in their pensions and Tim Walters cheering it on and not saying a word about Tesla's being blown up and lit on fire and what happens if one of these clowns lights one on fire and somebody gets stuck in it and burns to death

this is what's going on. The DOJ's on top of it. Catch them. Indide them. F the charging them. Put them in front of a jury. If found guilty, make them do time. And then market the hell out of it to incentivize people not to do it going forward.

It's unbelievable what we are watching. People up next. I got one more. And we'll finish back with markets. This is the one only. investors edge. Guys, it's no use putting it off. The best time for an underwear refresh is now.

Tommy John underwear is designed for a perfect fit that stays put all day. Their zero chafe thanks to four times more stretch than competing brands. And their innovative horizontal quick draw fly is a game changer. With over 30 million pairs sold, there are thousands of men out there more comfortable than you. Don't settle for less. Go to Tommyjohn.com today for 25% off your first order with Code Comfort. That's Tommyjohn.com.com. Tommy John.

Comfort perfected. This message is brought to you by the Capital One Venture X card. Venture X offers the premium benefits you expect, like a $300 annual Capital One travel credit for less than you expect. Elevate your earn with unlimited double miles on every purchase, bringing you one step closer to your next dream destination. Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide. The Capital One Venture X card, what's in your wallet?

Terms apply. Lounge Access is. subject to change. See Capital One.com for details. This episode is brought to you by Spreaker, the platform responsible for a rapidly spreading condition known as podcast brain. Symptoms include buying microphones you don't need, explaining RSS feeds to confused relatives, and saying things like, sorry, I can't talk right now, I'm editing audio. If this sounds familiar, you're probably already a podcaster. The good news is Spreaker makes the whole process simple. You record your show, upload it once, and Spreaker distributes it everywhere people live.

and Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and about a dozen apps your cousin swears are the next big thing. Even better, Spreaker helps you monetize your show with ads, meaning your podcast might someday pay for, well, more microphones. Start your show today at spreeker.com. Sprinker, because if you're going to talk to yourself for an hour, you might as well publish it. You're listening to... What are we waiting for? Well, what are you waiting for?

One, two, ready, go. And welcome once again to Investors Edge. Today's Doge moment. This week, Doge has found something at the Department of the Interior. They're now going to dissolve something called the Federal Consulting Group where one government department charges another to broker consulting contracts. What? The federal consulting group brokered a $75 million contract to design website customer satisfaction surveys and then attempted to award $830 million to conduct similar surveys.

They found it and before signature, they got rid of it. I want you to understand something. these are all payoffs, people getting wealthy on our dimes. The amount of consultants and consulting that's been going on in government forever, where people are getting bazillions of dollars, our tax dollars, it's insane the amounts. And the reason they hate Doge so much is they have been found. out and they ain't going to be able to do it again. Yet people are destroying Teslas because somebody's saving their money.

And they don't even know it. It's just like I saw a video of, it sounded like he was American. I love Hamas. I saw a man say. Of course, with a mask on. I love Hamas. That's what this person said. stunning, tick-tac-toe.

Last but not least, there's this guy named Rick Wilson. I guess he's still, I don't know if he's Republican, but they started this Lincoln project. They hate Trump. They hate him with a passion, whatever. But unfortunately, they went from just hating Trump to being psychopaths.

And if I tell you, he puts out, just a vile picture on Tesla and then writes attack. And the picture of the Tesla was a Tesla that was blown up and on fire. And then wrote an article with it. And when people started ripping him, said, Oh, but you did not read the article. So the guy is spurring on people to go find Teslas and light them on fire. You have another outfit, a lefty outfit, posting people's names who own Teslas around the country

and inciting them to light Tesla's on fire. Somebody shot up a Tesla dealership. I don't even know what to say. Guess what X did. They got rid of Rick Wilson's post. He was calling for destroying. property. This man is invited on CNN all the time to talk about politics. It's an insane asylum out there. And I know people saying they're the left. I don't call them the left. I call them asses.

Because none of them produce anything, affect anything. This goes for the Hamas lovers and the rest. The protesters. What are you doing? to affect change. You know who's affecting change? The president. Colombia is now fighting for Jewish students again. And part of the agreement, no more masks. You can have to show yourself. This is good news. We'll keep covering it. And why does all this matter? We're talking about people that have huge influence on the economy and markets and future. This guy Tim Walts wants to be the next president, and he's rooting for a major company top 10 in bigness that has created electric vehicles that helps climate. He's rooting for their demise.

Huh? I mentioned Mark Kelly yesterday and yes I know he's an astronaut and he's a military man, God bless him but my comments were on why the left cares about climate trade into Tesla for a gas guzzler

I just don't think any of these people thinking and you know how Donald Trump ended up being president again not just because of Donald Trump I think 60% is because of them I'm done. The markets. I told you what happened today. It was a one-two punch.

By the way, Rick Wilson was locked out of his ex-account for 30 days for what he put up. We'll see if we can get follow-through. I think the head of the Fed stepped on himself today when he said, we don't even know. We're hoping for better. Much better. It's been a rough couple of months. You have a great evening. drive carefully.

And when you get home, do like I do. Make sure you hug your family. Make sure you hug your children. They will feel better. You will feel better. I promise. Stay well, be well. Bumpy Road kids.

Tomorrow we'll be doing the show early in the day. Our apologies up front. Sometimes we've got to do that. Peace out all. Good night. This has been Investor's Edge with Gary Cult Bomb on BizTalk. To listen to past episodes or to get in contact with Gary, Go to GaryK.com.

That's GaryK.com. Guys, it's no use putting it off. The best time for an underwear refresh is now. Tommy John underwear is designed for a perfect fit that stays put all day. Their zero-chafe thanks to four times more stretch than competing brands. And their innovative horizontal quick-draw fly is a game changer. With over 30 million pairs sold, there are thousands of men out there more comfortable than you. Don't settle for less.

Go to Tommyjohn.com today for 25% of it. off your first order with code comfort. That's Tommyjohn.com code comfort. Tommy John, comfort perfected. This message is brought to you by the Capital One Venture X card. Venture X offers the premium benefits you expect, like a $300 annual Capital One travel credit for less than you expect. Elevate your earn with unlimited double miles on every purchase, bringing you one step closer to your next dream destination. Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide. The Capital One Venture X card. What's in your wallet? Terms apply.

Lounge access is subject to change. See Capital1.com for details.