Investor's Edge with Gary Kaltbaum - BIG WEEK [12.08.2025 w Adam Sarhan]

Episode Date: December 8, 2025

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That's Tommyjohn.com, code comfort. Tommy John. Comfort perfected. Investor's Edge with Gary Coltbaum. Straight talk about you and your money. Now from the BizTalk Studios, here is Gary Cultbaum. And welcome once again to Investors Edge. I'm Adam Sarhan, in for Gary Kay, who's out today. Today's Monday, December 8th, 2025.

We have a great show for you tonight. As always, want to thank you very much for being here. Before we jump into the show, just as some housekeeping, As you know, this is a show about you and your money and all of the fun points in between. Just as a quick reminder, if you don't get this show in your city, you can go to garyk.com. You can rewind, fast forward, listen on any device for free, anytime you want 24-7, all available on garyk.com. So if I speak fast, if I tend to cover something, I get excited, you can pause it, rewind it, and fast forward at your convenience anytime on garyk.com. Also on garyk.com, you could follow Gary on X, formerly known as Twitter.

by just pressing the button. You can subscribe that Gary's morning notes sent directly to your inbox. You can subscribe to his premium service, which is convictionleaders.com. All that's available on GaryK.com. You can also email Gary, ask him about his money management services, and get his morning notes. I think I mentioned that. They're sent to your inbox.

Okay. So housekeeping is now done. Let me read you some notes from Gary to make sure I do my job. I'm the messenger. So I want to make sure I get the message across. These are notes from Gary and then I'll share my thoughts on the market and let you know what's coming up this week. All right. So Gary's a little worried that long rates continue to tick up. Semiconductors remain strong.

Today's just another day out of performance. Let's say outperformance, excuse me, by the time semiconductors are strong. We'll see how long that lasts and watch very, very closely because the semiconductor stocks are really important. If you look at the SMH, you can easily see the ETF that tracks these semiconductor stocks and the AI theme that's leading the market higher this year. A lot of those are tech stocks, AI stocks, and semiconductor stocks. So the semiconductors are important place to be looking in the market. So that's for semiconductors.

What else Gary still says to avoid crypto. Healthcare names continue to come in after a strong run or a strong doubt about performance. performance, if long yields keep going up while the Fed lowers rates put us in the worry camp, especially for interest rates, sensitive stuff, like housing, utilities, and even though a bunch of retail stocks have been strong lately, that would have to be watched also. And the market very much does not like the Netflix Warner Brothers deal, and it's letting them know. I believe there's a chance that the deal will not get done with Netflix. So as you know, in case you guys don't know, on Friday, Netflix made an announcement to inquire Warner Brothers, ticker symbols there are NFLX, which is Netflix, and then WBD, which is Warner Brothers and Discovery.

And that was the headlines over the weekend. Paramount, P-S-K-Y, had made an offer a few weeks ago, if not months ago, a little bit of months now at this point, but just really, recently made an offer to acquire Warner Brothers, and they've been courting them publicly where Paramount wants to buy Warner Brothers. On Friday, Netflix came out with a huge deal and said, hey, we're going to buy Warner Brothers and basically outbid Paramount. And then today, which is Monday, Paramount comes down and says, hold on, hold your horses, Netflix. You know, David Ellison, who's the son of Ellison, the guy at Oracle, ORCL is there, and

And Oracle stock reports on Wednesday of this week is the head of Paramount right now. So David Ellison's the head of Paramount. And he came out today and said, hey, we're going to increase the offer to buy Warner Brothers. We want to buy it. And then Trump had said today, and these are just the facts, you can do what you want with this, that he's going to review the Netflix deal personally to make sure that it's from a regulatory standpoint. But he's going to review that deal. And then separately, news broke that Jerry Cush.

Trump's son-in-law's friends with Paramount David Ellison, and he's in on the deal also, or he's invested in the Paramount Warner Brothers deal. Those are the latest developments with that saga. I had a reporter call me today and ask me, you know, what does that move the market or is that impacting the market? On the periphery, yeah, sure. If you own Netflix, you own Warner Brothers, you own Paramount, yeah, it does definitely impact. I have a good friend of mine that works at one of those three places.

I won't say which one because he's got some. You know, NDA, you know, he doesn't share anything with me, but he's just like neck deep into it. And he's just like, wow, like the things that he sees behind the scenes is just absolutely incredible. But that's what happens when you put together $100 billion deals and you want to buy companies and hostile takeovers and so on and so forth. So that's the latest. Those are all the notes from Gary, by the way, I ended with, he doesn't think the deals going to get done. Everything after that was made. And then here's the rest of the thoughts for today.

Now, the market, if you zoom out right now, the S&P 500 is a little over 1% below, or just about 1% below, 1.5% below it's all-time high. Well, what about 1%? That's the S&P 500, the SPY, below an all-time high. For the last, let's say, six, seven weeks now, we've been going sideways. We had a little bit of a sell-off in November. We rallied sharply the end of November into the first week of December. and here we are. Headed into a big week. And that big week, here's what's happening. After the

bell today, which is now I'll give you the information once I get it, told Brothers reports earnings, ticker symbols TOL. Remember what Gary said about interest rates and housing stocks because they're sensitive to interest rates. We'll see what happens there. Tomorrow in the morning we have the September Jolt's job opportunity. Remember, sorry, job openings data. This is September's data because the government was closed, so we're only now getting it. And then earnings are expected from Land's End, Campbell's, AutoZone, Cracker Barrel, GameStop, Dave and Busters, and Casey's General Stores. I know you guys like tickers when I speak, so here you go. Lans End, ticker symbols, L-E, Campbell Soup, C-P-B, Charlie Boil, Boy, CPB, AutoZone is A-ZO, Cracker Barrel, C-B-R-L, GameStop, G-M-M-E, Dave and Busters, ticker symbol is Play, P-L-L-L-L-L-A-Buster's.

and Casey General is CASY. Now, Wednesday is the big day. The Fed's going to report its or end its meeting and report its decision on interest rates. Most likely it'll cut rates. If it does cut rates, it'll be the third cut, I believe, this year. I believe it'll be a third cut. And Trump's made it very clear that pretty soon parol's out and there's be a new person taking over and that rates are going to go lower and sharply lower.

So we'll see what happens with the Fed cuts. They don't cut. You know, for me, it's the reaction to the news that really matters. But Wednesday is the big day this week. Because there you have the Fed. You have the last Fed meeting of the year. Powell's going to hold a press conference after the meeting. And then you've got some earnings coming out.

Chewy, C-H-W-Y, Vail Resorts, MTN, Oracle. Remember our friend Ellison, ORCL, Planet Labs, PL, and then Adobe, ADBE, among other companies. But those are some of the big ones. And then Thursday, we have the OPEC Monthly Report. We've got a 30-year bond auction, initial jobless claims, earnings from Lulu Lemon, ticker symbols LULU, Costco reports earnings on Thursday, C-OST, R-H, Restoration Hardware, and then Broadcom, A-V-G-O. And then Friday, it's a quiet day, just rent the runway as I believe in maybe a few others, but not a lot of earnings on Friday. So that's the big week in front of us. Wednesday is the most important day, in my opinion, because of data, we're going to have the Fed, we're going to have Oracle, Adobe, and a few others.

and then lots of times, folks, the market doesn't react on Wednesday. You might see some whipsaw action if the Fed surprises everybody with a big cut, not a big cut, or not cutting at all. I doubt the raise, but we deal with probabilities. So, you know, could it happen? Is it possible the Fed raises rates? Yeah, but is it probable? Absolutely not.

So most likely they're cutting rates and depends on how big the cut is. They do an aggressive cut. Okay, things could change. But my point here is that Thursday, the day after the Fed meeting, lots of times you see the big move, if we get a big move. If it's just a quarter point cut, market snoozes, nothing really big happens. Yeah, okay, great. Could be a quiet reaction to it. But if there is an outlier or some kind of expectation breaker, that could cause a big reaction in the market.

And that could happen either after the meeting on Wednesday or the next day on Thursday. So again, just want to set the stage for you. It's Monday. It's the beginning of the week. All right, the market's one per, the S&P is one percent below its all-time high. It's not going to take a lot for the market to break out. We're heading into the end of the year. My kids told me today there's 16 days left before Christmas.

Okay. And then I think it's three weekends until the end of the year, which means there's a upward seasonal bias. There tends to be an upward bias for. for stocks heading into year end. And we're approaching year end with the market 1% below an all-time high. That's very strong. I'm going to go through some sectors a little bit later, assuming, well, if time allows, and show you what's been working year to date.

I'll go through some of them, the big ones. I'm not going to go, I won't bore you with too many of them, but semiconductors, banks, industrials, transportation stocks, and I'll go through a lot of that. because I always like to say the market is speaking and then ask, are you listening? And really, folks, our job in this business is to listen to what the market is saying. It's not literally speaking to us. It's nonverbal communication. But the way it speaks to us is by price.

Price and volume. All right. Up next, we've got a lot more to cover. I'm Adam Sarhan. I want to thank you very much for being here. This is the one and only investor's edge. Hi, I'm Gary Kalbaum, hosted a nationally syndicated radio show Investors Edge. We're not just handsome radio people.

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Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide. The Capital One Venture X card. What's in your wallet? Terms apply. Lounge access is subject to change. See Capital One.com for details. This episode is brought to you by Spreaker. The platform responsible for a rapidly spreading condition known as podcast brain. Symptoms include buying microphones you don't need, explaining RSS feeds to confused relatives, and saying things like, sorry, I can't talk right now, I'm editing audio. If this sounds familiar, you're probably already a podcaster. The good news is Spreaker makes the whole process simple. You record your show, Upload it once, and Spreaker distributes it everywhere people listen. Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and about a dozen apps your cousin swears are the next big thing.

Even better, Spreaker helps you monetize your show with ads, meaning your podcast might someday pay for, well, more microphones. Start your show today at spreeker.com. Sprinker, because if you're going to talk to yourself for an hour, you might as well publish it. It's time to switch on the integrator units and get the brain cells working. to. Hey, this promises to be fun. Investors Edge. The last bastion of quality programming. With Gary Coltbaum. It doesn't get better than this. And welcome once again to Investors Edge. I'm Adam Sarhan in for Gary Kay, who's out today. So we have a few things here happening. The market's 1%

below an all-time high. That's the S&P. Under the surface, we have pretty sure. strong action in many important areas that Gary has done a phenomenal job about lining for you. If you zoom out and you look at some of these sectors, let me just do that now before we run out of time because there's a lot to cover here. You'll see that very quickly where the money's flowing this year. Now, one of the big areas are mining stocks. You know, gold this year, and double check, this is up over 50%. It's a huge move. The S&P 500, this year is up about 16 and almost 17%. That's GLD is gold.

It's up over 50%. I think it's 57, 58, somewhere in that range. And it's setting up real nice to keep going higher. So when you look at the GDX, which is a basket of gold stocks, that's up over 100% this year. The GDXJ, I think it's 123%. The GDXJ is up 133%, which are the junior stock, gold stocks. I mean, that is incredibly strong action, folks.

One of the strongest areas this year. At the end of every year, I don't know if I'll be on again before the end of the year or not. It depends on Gary's schedule. And my schedule just depends on how everything works out. But if I'm not, I'd like end of the year type of a thing. Let's look back and do what I learned from Gary 25 years ago. Introspection. Do some post-analysis at the end of every period, the end of the week, the end of the month,

of the year, the end of the quarter, you know, do this throughout the year to make sure that you're on the right path and then adjust if it's not working. So first thing I always do with invest, well, first off, is what are the goals? Like this works for personal, professional, everything, right? Where am I right now? And where do I want to go? Super important. Without a goal or a destination, it's very difficult to get to it. Think of somebody who's, I don't know, Let's just say someone's in Chicago and they want to leave. They don't like Chicago. I want to get out of here.

I want to get out of here. Another person's in Chicago says, I want to go to New York. All right. They know, if they're in Chicago, they have to go east to get to New York. At least there's a direction. Now, how they get there, it's up to them. They can take an airplane. They can walk.

They can take a bike. They can drive. Whatever, a bus, a train, and whatever. Trains, planes, automobiles, the old John Candy movie, whatever it is that you want to do to get there. At least there's a destination. Who's going to get to their destination first? The guy that's just huffing and puffing and screaming and just saying, I don't like it here, I don't like it here, I don't like it here.

Or the guy says, hey, I want to go to New York. Clearly the one with a destination. So same thing in life. When you have a destination in mind in any endeavor, a goal, an objective, a mission, any language you want, it's much easier for you to get there than if you're just, hey, I'm not happy, I'm not, you know, that kind of thing. Huffing and puffing at a two-year-old at my house this weekend. And he threw a fit. And he was just upset because he wanted the goldfish. And his dad said, you're not going to get it right now.

You'll get it in the car. And he just exploded. Okay, I get it. We can see that. Right. So, okay, stay calm, stay cool, stay collected. So when the market's speaking and it doesn't go out way, many times I feel like throwing a fit.

I used to, not throw it fit like a two-year-old, but I used to get emotionally up and down the roller coaster. You've experienced it, I'm sure, as well. it didn't do me any good. Now, I would get caught up in my head telling myself a story. I'm exaggerating the language on purpose. On a side note, if you ever like the personal development stuff, I'm a big fan of. There's a guy named Jim Rohn, who's Tony Robbins' teacher, and he's online.

You can go on YouTube and type in Jim Rohn. I'm not affiliated with him. He's passed away. He's just one of those great motivational speakers. And it's R-O-H-N, Jim, R-O-H-N. And in it, the way he talks, he exaggerates the language when he wants the illustrative point. So he goes, of course, you know, he exaggerates. So I was just listening to one just a few minutes ago, hence the, I just caught myself doing it unconsciously.

So getting back to the point here, as you go through and you want to get a goal, you want to say, oh, okay, what's happening here? Get that plan, get that map, get that goal in your mind. And then I learned this on this show right here. Investor's Edge. Gary said it was, I think it was like 98, 99, and it changed my life. I heard him say it. He said, create a yellow brick road to get there. Now, of course, that makes sense.

I like to have fun when I talk, so please, you know, indulge me here. Enjoy the humor if it is humor. My kids call it dad jokes, but such is life. You might find it. Find the humor in it, at least it's my intention, to break up otherwise, you know, somewhat difficult subject to keep it entertaining. So, all right. Of course.

You want to have a yellow brick road to get there just like Wizard of Oz. Oz is the destination. Now let's go there. Will there be challenges along the road? Of course. That's okay. That's life. Every garden has weeds anywhere in the world.

But if you pull those weeds out, guess what? You have a beautiful garden. If you tend to the garden, you pull the weeds out. You'll have a beautiful garden. Same thing with investing. Same thing with goals anywhere in life. So, okay, it's just numbers, right? So remove the emotions, learn how to make rational, not emotional decisions.

That's the whole point of my work in this space. I wrote a book. It's called Psychological Analysis. And the idea is that fundamental and technical analysis are not enough to beat the market. The whole point in the book, it was number one on Amazon every day for three months, is teach people how to make rational, not emotional decisions, especially with their money. So you have a goal. You have a yellow brick road on how to get there.

and then check in on that goal several times throughout the year and say, hey, did I accomplish my goal? Yes or no? I want to beat the market. Okay, what's my performance this year? Did I beat the market? Yes or no. Okay, if I didn't beat the market, that's okay. What can I learn?

And that's the beauty of life and the beauty of this business. Because there's always opportunities to learn. I just taught my daughter this the other day. mistakes are your teacher. That fundamentally changed my life. I used to be upset when I would make mistakes. Now I embrace them because it's an opportunity to learn. So, okay, let's look at the leading areas in the market.

And these are some of these areas that we're looking at. I don't own them. I saw them. I want to find leadership throughout the year. I didn't buy them. And that's okay. I don't need, first of all, it'd be very nice to buy everything all the time that goes up, but that's just not reality. You only need one or two good ideas a year, and you can do very well if you keep your losses small and let your winners run.

It's a winning formula. So, okay, it's like the high school boy goes into a dance, wants to kiss all the pretty girls. It's impossible. You just need one. You're very happy. Same thing here with markets and stocks. There's hundreds, if not thousands of ideas. and there's always going to be leading sectors, leading themes, and there's lagging sectors

and lagging themes. So part of the exercise is to go through this and say, oh, okay, what did I miss? What did I miss? Real simple. How can I improve? What's my structure? Am I ahead of the eight ball with the market? Am I doing the work?

Do I have a trading plan? Or am I just waiting it? Do I wake up every day and just read the head? headlines, get excited, and just buy whatever that's moving that day. People that have a plan tend to perform better in just about any endeavor than those that don't. Up next, we've got a lot more to cover. I'm Adam Sarhan. This is the one and only investors' edge.

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Go to Tommyjohn.com today for 25% off your first order with Code Comfort. That's Tommyjohn.com code comfort. Tommy John. Comfort perfected. This message is brought to you by the Capital One Venture X card. Venture X offers the premium benefits you expect, like a $300 annual Capital One travel credit for less than you, expect. Elevate your earn with unlimited double miles on every purchase, bringing you one step

closer to your next dream destination. Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide. The Capital One Venture X card. What's in your wallet? Terms apply, lounge access is subject to change. See Capital One.com for details. This episode is brought to you by Spreaker. The platform responsible for a rapidly spreading condition known as podcast brain. Symptoms include buying microphones you don't need, explaining RSS fees. to confused relatives, and saying things like, sorry, I can't talk right now, I'm editing audio. If this sounds familiar, you're probably already a podcaster. The good news is Spreaker makes the whole process simple. You record your show, upload it once, and Spreaker distributes

it everywhere people listen, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and about a dozen apps your cousin's swears are the next big thing. Even better, Spreaker helps you monetize your show with ads, meaning your podcast might someday pay for, well, more microphones. Start your show today at spreeker.com. Spreaker, because if you're going to talk to yourself for an hour, you might as well publish it. We're listening to America is talking. Investors Edge. He's got to be pleased with that.

The crowd is just on his feet here. He's a Cinderella boy. With Gary Colbomb. It comes highly recommended. You're going to feel better if you talk to him. And welcome everyone to Investors Edge. I'm Adam Sarhan in for Gary K. Who's out today?

In case you're just joining us, you missed any part of the show. Go to garyk.com. You can rewind fast forward, listen on any device, anytime you want for free, all on garyk.com. So we covered a lot. We spoke about the market. It's right below resistance or all-time high. We spoke about the fact that the Fed meeting is coming up on Wednesday. We have some earnings.

We have a lot going on. So basically where we're at now is as we go through the week, you want to really step back and say, okay, what's the plan? Number one, do I have a plan? The beauty of what we're doing here is the market can only go up down or sideways. And the beautiful thing there is that you can plan for either one of those three events. If the Fed cuts rates, slashes rate, stocks soar, right? That's one scenario.

Stocks go up. It doesn't matter about the Fed. It's the reaction. The news is a catalyst. And the reaction to the news is what matters because that shows us what the big investors are doing with their money. Not what they say they're going to do. Actions speak louder than words, right? It's what they're actually doing.

I can go say somebody, hey, you're my best friend. Then boom, punch them right in the face. What matters more? You're my best friend. Or the action. The action. So the world, another little nugget of evergreen wisdom I've learned along the way that I love to share, because I'm not on every day.

So when I'm on, I like to give you timeless things that you can use and give you structure that you can use, is that the world rewards action. That's it. Not intelligence. I know lots of very intelligent people that don't really have their life goals accomplished. They're not reaching their potential. They're making highly emotional decisions and they're not even aware of it. It's the actions, what we do and what we don't do.

So somebody that wants to accomplish a goal. Step one is set that goal. Step two is that yellow brick road how to get there. Step three is checking to make sure that you're on the right course. And if you have to course correct and adjust yourself, that's fine. Do that. By all means, adjust. Part of life is adapting and evolving and growing.

And part of that is being okay in the uncomfortable, getting uncomfortable, being okay in the uncomfortable. Why? That's how we grow. Just like going to the gym. I can't get muscles unless if I work out. When I work out, I can say, oh, I'm going to clap my hands and get a six pack. No, I'm taking action. Adam said the world response. You know, God rewards action. Yeah. What action are you taking? If I want a six-pack, I have to do sit-ups or crunches, some kind of ab workout. I can clap my hands all day long. I'm not going to get a six-pack. But I'm taking action, but what kind of action are you taking?

Make sure it's the highest ROI action possible to accomplish the goal because it's easy to get lost. My friend Andy said you get lost in the sauce. You just get to so much, so many distractions. I see it all day every day with myself. with people I speak to, with my kids. It's everywhere. Google this is something called popcorn brain. You know, when popcorn in the microwaves goes, bing, bing, bing, bing, bing, bing, bing, ming, bing, ming.

That's what's happening to the brain now. Where it wasn't built for this, you know, when we evolved over centuries, you know, thousands of thousands of years ago, the caveman kind of brain, didn't have a cell phone that constantly gave him dopamine hits. So now we do. Got to be aware of it. So again, have that goal. Think of there's two people.

somebody has a destination, an objective. They want to go from Chicago to New York in that example. Then they create a plan on how to get there in the most efficient way. And then they execute the plan. So you have a plan and then you trade your plan in Wall Street parlance. What does that mean for us? It's come up with the, how do you create a plan? Well, there's lots of ways.

Find stocks. First off, figure out your criteria. And I like to say there's an infinite number of ways to me. make money in the market, your job is to find one that works for you. You're a growth investor. You like buying breakouts. Are you a value investor? You like to buy, you know, new 52 week highs, new all-time highs. You like to buy stocks with strong earnings growth, you know, so on and so forth. Or is it something that's completely different? Again, I don't know, but, obviously, I don't know you. I'm speaking just generally here, but that's something for you to figure out and for you to

decide and then say, okay, I'm looking for stocks with strong earnings growth, strong revenue growth that are in uptrends that are setting up to break out and or that are breaking out. And that works for me. And then just like anybody that's really successful, highest level of their field, there tend to be, for the most part, focused. Filter out the noise. Steve Jobs had a great line, Elon Musk, where they filter out the noise and they focus on signals. Most things in life, most things just don't matter. Any given day, anything can happen in a stock, in a random stock. And most likely that day doesn't matter.

Doesn't mean that all days don't matter, no. Or any one-minute bar in a day. Probably doesn't really move the needle that much. But you go and look on a monthly chart or yearly chart, oh, wow. That compounded. So the days matter when they compound, right? The one minute bar itself by itself stand alone or the one day daily bar, probably on any given day, unless there's a catalyst, there's a change.

If it's a breakout that matters, a breakdown that matters. But otherwise, and not so much. So have that plan and then trade your plan. How you come up with the plan, it's up to you. And the infant number of ways. I can help you. You can go Google it. You can AI it.

And you can figure out a way to take all the information. information in the market, focus on what matters to you, and then stay laser focused on that. Now, obviously, you still want to watch the rest of it and have a good feeling for what's underperforming and what's performing and all that stuff. But for me, it's leadership. I can talk about my plan. I want to find stocks that are breaking out. I want to find stocks that are hitting new 52-week highs. I want to see on any given day what, think of it like a Libra scale, what the waiting is of the market. more stocks up or more stocks down?

That's important to me. Because it's a market of stocks, not just a stock market. So as we put all this together, let's look for leading themes. So we spoke about the semiconductor stock, the SMH. We spoke about the gold and silver stocks, two areas that are very strong this year. I think the semiconductor stocks, let me see what the SMH is. That's up about 50% year to date, which is a very strong return. It was down, by the way, in April earlier this year, but had a huge rally since.

And a lot of that due to AI, so it's one of the leading areas. And then transportation stocks recently broke out. IYT, that's up about 12% year to date. That's a good little area that broke out. Transportation stocks are important. Financials, XLF, are up about 10% for the year, maybe 11%. They haven't broken out yet, but they're trading near about 2% off of a 52-week high. not going to take much for those to break out.

Even the small regional banks, which have underperformed recently, they're coming up the right side here in about 4% off of the 52-week eye. And they're up about 9% for the year. And you can go through and look at industrials, you know, the XLY, the consumer discretionary stocks, and you can go through these at your convenience, so to speak, and say, hey, listen, you know, there's so many different ETFs out there. you can go through all these sectors.

And you can find leadership and just sort them by year or eight percent change. And then looking for breakouts. To me, every single day, I want to know, you know, the market speaking, I want to listen. What's the market telling me? Okay. So I built the website called Breakouts and Setups.com. It's Breakouts with an S and setups, all one word, breakouts and setups. It's my website, has nothing to do with anybody else.

It's just a tool that I built for myself that I figured I'd share with others that could help them. Every day, in real time, it gives me stocks breaking out. It gives me stocks setting up to break out. It gives me breakdowns. Today, we had 21 stocks that broke out, 26 stocks that broke down. The market closed. The doubt was down 215 points to 47,739. The S&P was down 23 points to 6846.

The NASDAQ was down 32 points, 23,000. 0,0542. And the Russell was down less than one point, let me half a point, to 2520. So it was a down day, but you can see under the surface, about even for the breakouts and breakdowns. All right, movers up. We've got 229. Movers down, 253. Somewhat of a negative bias there. More movers down than movers up. We had 28 stocks that gapped up and three stocks that gap down. All right, there's more stocks gapping up than gap down there. All right, then you can go through and look at new highs and new lows.

You've got 134 new highs and about 32 new lows. So under the surface, the action is not bad. And there's a good number of breakouts. Up next, we've got a lot more to cover. I'm Adam. Sorry, I want to thank you very much for being here. This is the one and only investors' edge. Guys, it's no use putting it off.

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What are we waiting for? Well, what are you waiting for? One, two, ready, go. Inversters Edge with Gary Culper. And welcome once again to Investors Edge. I'm Adam Sarhan in for Gary Kay. So we covered a lot today. It's close to the end of the year.

I don't know if I'll be on again before the end of the year. If I am, I'll give you more in depth about end of year routines. We spoke about the market, a big week ahead, spoke about how I listen to the market. I look for the number of breakouts versus breakdowns, movers up versus movers down, look for new highs versus new lows, adventures versus the client. A lot of just looking at the market. It's like sports. If you like sports, you love sports, every sports game has action.

Every day there's action in the market. And I want to get an edge, hence the name of the show, Investor's Edge. Look at the market. Look at what the market's doing. It's a market of stocks. Remember, the major indices, folks, their market cap weighted. So the big cap tech stocks like Apple or Qualcomm or Intel, so on and so forth, they have a disproportionate, that's a fancy word, which means bigger weighting on the index than the average

stock. And sometimes they mask what's happening under the surface. So the reason why I built breakout and setups.com is to say, okay, let's go out there. And it's going to be upgraded soon. I got some more new stuff coming in the works, is to see what's happening. It's just to look at the facts. Look at the scoreboard. When you watch a sports game, it doesn't matter what the sports game is. What do you focus on? You focused on, you know, the color socks that the athletes are wearing or the points on the board. Of course, the points on the board. What's the single determining factor if somebody wins a game or loses the game? The points on the board, the score. That's it. Nothing. I mean, everything else is secondary. How many fouls or strikeouts or whatever did

X person having, X game. Nobody remembers that a year from now. But who won the World Series? Who won the Super Bowl? That's the points on the board determine that outcome. So with the market, it's the same thing. It's price and it's volume. And when you go through and you look at the sectors,

the next thing you want to do under the surface there is look for leading stocks that are setting up to break out. And by the way, on breakout setups, I have the setups as well, not just the breakouts. Because I didn't even tell you after a stock broke out, the value is finding the setups in addition to the breakouts when they break out, right? So, all right, so we've got all that. Let's look for right now with the remaining few minutes we have here today is let's look at the strongest stocks in some of the strongest groups. So what are the strongest groups in the market? So there's telecom fiber optics as a strong group. The biotech stocks, strong group, second strongest industry group, according to investors' business daily and market surge.

Third one, computer data storage. Fourth one, mining, gold, and silver. Fifth, electric contract manufacturers. Six, energy solar stocks. Seven, medical services. Eight, mining. Again, this is mining metal ore. The other one is mining gold and silver.

Nine, retail department stores and 10 electronic parts. And those are just the top ten groups. I can go. There's 197 groups. You don't want to hear me list them all. But out of those 197 groups, those are the strongest groups right now. Well, all right, just because of the strongest groups right now, doesn't mean they're going to continue to be the strongest groups,

but let's go through them and then find some of the strong stocks in those groups. And that's a very healthy area. exercise. So, okay, we know retail stocks, for example, are leading right now. Well, what are some of those strong stocks in that group so we can go through and see them? Well, let's look at Macy's, ticker symbols M. And by the way, these are not, they are not buy or sell recommendations. It's just my process, like I spoke about earlier, come up with a way of organizing all of this, of going through and figuring out, hey, here are the stocks and the industry. group. Here are the leaders. And let's see, let's look at them. I'm not going to just blindly buy

them. M. Maysies, ticker symbol M. Dillards, DDS, DDS. Both of them up big since April. Macy's and April was trading at, where was that? Back there is 976. You're at 2213 now. Dillards was at 282. Now you're at 687. Let's see. What else in that group that's noteworthy. KS. Back in April was at $6 and you're now at $2.2.7. It just gapped up a few days ago on the 25th of November on earnings, even though earnings were down 50% year over year. The reaction to the news, folks, is what matters. Those are some of the stocks that are in a strong group.

Again, I'm not going to blindly go out there and buy them, but I want to put my finger on the pulse, stay in harmony with the market. And when I'm wrong, it's difficult on the ego to admit you're wrong, but every human I know makes mistakes. We're all fallible. Every human is right at times and every human's wrong at times. And in this business, we're going to be wrong. It happens. It's part of doing, it's the cost of doing business. So the question is, do you want your cost of doing business to be big or small? I want it small. That's why keeping the loss of small is so important. Again, just sharing some of my process with you to help you. But that's the intention, at least I'm what I'm doing here. It's like,

okay, how do I help in a few, few times that I come on. So it's the end of the year. Do that end of the year post analysis. I print out my trades. I'm going to look at the winners. There's two columns, winning trades and losing trades. Okay, what was I thinking when I bought them? When I buy something, I printed out and I write down the reasons why I bought it. Sell it, same exact thing. And then it goes in a folder, winning folder and losing folder. That's it. And I look at it. It's easy to put it away. It's easy not do that work. It's hard to do that work. But that's how you grow. And you find patterns and life is about pattern recognition in humans and also in markets. If I figure, you know, if I keep doing the same mistake and repeating it over and over and

over again, I'm not really growing. I'm not learning. I'm just on a autopilot. I want to grow. I want to learn. I want to improve. I want to get better. Hence this exercise. What were my goals this year? If I didn't have any goals, that's fine. What are my goals next year? Now, take all this and extrapolate it going forward for the next 12 months. This time next year, what do I want to accomplish? I set up a foundation, one of my New Year's resolutions just recently was about two years ago, a little over two years, was the creative foundation. It's called happyfaceproject.org. Happyfaceproject.org. When we teach people essential life skills, they don't learn in the classroom, and help with education. Education's zero to my heart. My mom was a teacher.

education changed my life. So that was a goal. Thankfully, I was able to get that up and running. So again, figure out your goals, see if you're aligned and then ask yourself, what can I do to improve? I believe that's all the time we have for today. Thank you, everybody, for being here. If I don't speak to you, happy holidays and happy New Year, if I do speak to you again, I'll speak to to you again. Until then, this is the one and only Investor's Edge. This has been Investor's Edge with Gary Cultbaum on BizTalk. To listen to past episodes or to get in contact with Gary, go to GaryK.com. That's GaryK.com.

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