Investor's Edge with Gary Kaltbaum - Davos [01.21.2026]

Episode Date: January 21, 2026

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That's a degree better. Explore more than 350-plus undergraduate, graduate and certificate programs at ASUonline.asu.asu.edu. Investor's Edge with Gary Kaltbaum. Straight talk about you and your money. Now from the BizTalk Studios, here is Gary Kaltbaum. And welcome once again to Investors Edge. I'm Gary Kaltbaum, your host.

A thanks for being with us today. Glad you here, ladies and gentlemen. Happy that you are listening. It would be Wednesday, the 21st of January, 2006. And I still can't get used to. saying, 2026, but I am signing my checks, 2006. Usually takes me a while to change up. As always, serious talk on everything that affects you, the markets, the economy, your

job, your industry, and by the way, a still weak job market. Davos, Switzerland, and the president. And just remember, anything I say, any opinion. Any thought, we hope it all works out. We're rooting for him, but we have some issues. We'll get into those. And anything else that comes to mind, including 7 and 1 in our football picks since we got to the playoffs and actually 8 in 1 because we had the over in the NCAA final,

which lucked out, but we didn't give it to you because we forgot. that Monday was a tape show. So that's on me. Dufusness me. Anyway, the market today, little wild swings after a real bad yesterday. We'll get into that. Oh, and if you do not get this radio show in your city,

we'll post it at garyk.com. We'll also post it on our X feed. If you don't follow us on X, you should. If you'd like to email us, just be nice. We'll also post it, by the way, on podcast apps and the YouTube channel, BizTV. So, today's a travel day for us. And typically, I would have Adam Sarhan,

the great Adam Sarhan, do the show. But there's a lot of jello moving on the plate. We are pre-taping the show at 1.30, and yes, we know things can change by the close. We're going to give you real time. We'll end the show a little after 2 o'clock because we don't have to do commercial. commercials while we tape.

And just remember, things can change. So yesterday. What the market dropped yesterday? Let's see. I'm going to get the bearings here in a second. If I can just figure it out. closed at 48488 yeah 800 and something let's use 800 and something right yesterday it was a rough day well as i speak we're up 312 so we're getting back you know some of it i don't know why my little thing of a bob here doesn't let me go to yesterday

49372. Okay, we'll call it 850. The NASDAQ yesterday, man, oh man, was down, what to close that? 22916 almost. How about to close at 22954? It was down 500 and change. Now, as we speak, the NASDAQ is kind of fumbling and stumbling. In fact, about 20 minutes ago, half hour was down when the Dow was only up 100 and something, but the Dow just bid up a little bit.

So the NASDAQ is up 50. And we have a lot to say about that because we think our ability to tell you if the market's in shape, but I got a bunch of areas that are bearish and you are able to stay out of it because we say to you, avoid, we think that's a job well. done and I have to tell you out of the get-go of this show we're going to do that because one of the things that we've been telling you here avoid software stocks bearish phase bearish market how far we don't know but avoid software Adobe's been in the bare market for a while. Salesforce.com bear market for a while. These are two big names.

Oracle, which exploded to the upside to 3.45 in September, announcing this gargantuan backlog of sales and this and that is down 50% from that day. 345 to 171, more than 50. Microsoft, as I speak, is down another $14 today. It's gone from $5.53 to $4.40. I got news for you. That's not even 20%.

And I've seen stocks go into 20% corrections. But versus the market, it's very weak. And then there are these lesser names in software. Not the big, gargantuan ones. but sizable, crowd strike, Z-scale Palo Alto networks, bear markets, workday, HubSpot, ServiceNow, big bear markets. And we've been searching for answers what the hell is going on with them, because by the way, they're all going to be reporting in the next few weeks.

and typically, let me typically tell you what the thought process is, something's up. The market knows something. That's always our belief. The market knows something, and usually the bad news comes out after things are already down a lot, usually. And we don't know how this plays out. We just know how it's playing out. By the way, did we mention SAP, the big German software company, has gone from 313 to 222 since July?

And in the last week, not making this up, kids, if I can find it, the stock has been smoked with the rest of the software stocks. So we would just continue to avoid. By the way, we had a big position come in of Microsoft. And we sold down, sold down, sold down again. And it keeps going lower. So avoid software. If anything changes, we'll let you know.

Simple as that. Amazingly. Next, we've told you about the consumer staples insurance. We were on an avoid on the housing, but the change in complexion out of the president. 200 billion, this, that. So housing is really not an avoid. It's not in a bull market, but somewhat of a recovery. We've told you to avoid the crypto, the Bitcoin, the Ethereum. We also did a show, I don't know, a few weeks ago, a bunch of weeks ago, where we highlighted

for you a bunch of crypto that was down 70, 80 percent in the last few months. And you already know the scumbags try to come out with 32,000 coins to make themselves rich. My favorites was Dennis Rodman came out with a pot coin. He likes marijuana. Went to zero. For example, it's one of my favorites. And by the way, if you don't believe me, just Google list of coins that had come out throughout the years. Well, what was that website I told you about on the coins?

Is it CryptoWatch? No. It is not CryptoWatch. It was... I have it here somewhere. I'll find Coin Ranking. Let's see. CoinRanking.com.

There you go. And it just shows there's several trillion. And by the way, some of the funniest names also. So we avoid that. And of course, the pat on the back and you're welcome on Micro Strategy. We warned you about it in advance of the... drop, we warned you. Leveraged nonsense of the Bitcoin. We warned you about the froth. What do we tell you? Rare earth, quantum, nuclear, drones, robo this and robo that, weeks leading up to the recent 50 to 60% drop,

we were just telling you we don't know when but if they continue to have no sales eventually they're going to get them and it just so happened they got them back then and we just be careful and they'll bounce up every now and then and i can tell you some of the strongest stocks this year were them but if something goes from a hundred to thirty and up to forty well it's a 33% rally, but it's still down 60% from the highs, and still in a bare trend. So be careful there. And by the way, they're very weak right now. Up next, what else we're saying? We'll talk good side also, of course. This is the one only investors at. Hi, I'm Gary Kalbaum, hosted a nationally syndicated radio show Investors Edge. We're not just handsome radio people. We manage investors' money for a

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This episode is brought to you by Spreaker. The platform responsible for a rapidly spreading condition known as to the number. as podcast brain. Symptoms include buying microphones you don't need, explaining RSS feeds to confused relatives, and saying things like, sorry, I can't talk right now, I'm editing audio. If this sounds familiar, you're probably already a podcaster. The good news is Spreaker makes the whole process simple. You record your show, upload it once, and Spreaker distributes it everywhere people listen, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and about a dozen apps your cousin's swears are the next big thing. Even better, Sprinker helps you monetize your show,

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and get the brain cells working. You're listening to. Hey, this promises to be fun. Investors Edge. The last bastion of quality programming. With Gary Coltbaum. It doesn't get better than this. the way it was down like 860 yesterday the Dow I just figured out how to figure it out on my

little screen here the NASDAQ let's see because I could see what's for the week 25 22997 it's down 518 still for the week and it's it was down 560 yesterday and we're bouncing around right now and a lot of Jello moving out in the play and I'm going over the avoids. Wait to you hear about the other side because both sides are very much accentuated. Also on the avoids is we call it our left screen. Nothing to do with politics. It's just on my left. Stocks that break down go on this screen. Stocks, lesser tech in bare markets are on that screen. When they drop under $20, They go on a back screen, and I can tell you I have about 50 of those lesser tech stocks that are now on my back screen. Lesser.

Some of them have gone to like, you know what one of them is and has been there forever is Peloton. Peloton. You know, that's trading at five bucks anyhow. Anyway. On the other end, oils definitively better. You have enough stocks moving to new high list. Let me just give you a list of the oils that are better right now, just so you know. And they're at or near highs for the year, obviously not highs of two years, three years,

but Exxon, Halliburton, Schlumberger, symbol W. UFRD, FTI, R-I-G, B-K-R, which is Baker-Us. So oil's better. What is not thrilling is oil prices ticking up. We don't want to see that. It's cost of energy. Not just at the pump, but go Google the words, products that are made with petroleum,

and you would see their prices go up. So oils. I mentioned to you the housing better. Transports, they're actually strong side. Ever hear of Mattson, M-A-T-X? Crappy earnings, crappy sales, ocean transport, big breakout today. Transport's up 479 today. 479 today.

And it's actually up for the week. So it was down 400 yesterday. Nice week. But just rails truckers much better. FedEx much better. Just letting you know. Insurance stinks, avoid. Economically sensitive. For us, it's mixed. I can name some that are strong, some that are weak, but there's some better. Banks. Goldman Strong. Morgan. Stanley strong, Bank of New York strong, Bank America, J.P. Morgan, Wells Fargo, not. But regional banks, I got a few at New Yearly highs, and by the way, the KRE would be breaking out of range today as MTB, PNC, and others move above range here. New highs. Now, whether or not they last or not beats the hell out of me, but regional banks. Listen to these areas that have been dead. That's going on. China mixed, the few strong, a lot weak. BIDU, very strong. They're doing an IPO for an artificial intelligence chip. What else is new?

And that takes me to the semiconductors slash storage slash memory. The semiconductors I have him up 154 today. At one time today was up 280, early in the day. Early in the day. It is only up 23 points this week, but I have to tell you, you know what's coming on strong now? AMD. Coming up the right side.

Up 13 today, was up 20. You know what's sinking like a stone? Broadcom Mix bag there AMD up The equipment stocks Very weak yesterday KLAC is up

25 today It's down 56 for the week But uptrends We think they're just pullbacks But then you have this storage slash memory That sand disk is up another 36 bucks today

Seagate is up $17 today Western Digital is up $19 today, but others not so great. And I've been doing like a little dive on what exactly all these companies do, and why is this one being trashed and that one strong? There are some AI infrastructure semiconductors like ALAB. Ain't happening. How about CRDO even worse?

So I'm just trying to figure it out. What's what? All I could tell you. Avoid strength. You go check it out. You get to decide. Gold. The GLD was up 10 on the open.

It's up 7 right now. Gold miners, though, are actually down due to pullback. Silver, actually down today due to pull back. And I must tell you the emails I get from you all are most worried on what is gold and silver telling us? And I must tell you there is this gentleman Ray Dalio, one of the great hedge fund guys, who just worries that it's saying something about our standing. We'll see. We'll just let you know.

Both are in fuego. Other commodities. steel stocks breaking out again today unfortunately they were all report in the next five days so no touch oh for me steel copper aluminum palladium platinum just letting you know just letting you know and now we head into earning season where we get to pay attention to earnings on a daily basis. Today you had some earnings, some good reactions, some bad reactions, but overall, okay, big indices. As I speak, the Dow that cracked for 800 and change yesterday, back up 300

today, is right where it was. Oh, that's my music. Up next, we'll tell you right where it was. This is the one only investor's edge. Guys, it's no use putting it off. The best time for an underwear refresh is now. Tommy John underwear is designed

for a perfect fit that stays put all day. Their zero-chafe thanks to four times more stretch than competing brands. And their innovative horizontal quick-drop fly is a game changer. With over 30 million pairs sold, there are thousands of men out there more comfortable than you. Don't settle for less. Go to Tommyjohn.com today for 25% off your first order with Code Comfort.

That's Tommyjohn.com code comfort. Tommy John. Comfort perfected. This message is brought to you by the Capital One Venture X card. Venture X offers the premium benefits you expect, like a $300 annual Capital One travel credit for less than you expect. Elevate your earn with unlimited double miles on every purchase. bringing you one step closer to your next dream destination. Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide.

The Capital One Venture X card. What's in your wallet? Terms apply, lounge access is subject to change. See Capital1.com for details. This episode is brought to you by Spreaker. The platform responsible for a rapidly spreading condition known as podcast brain. Symptoms include buying microphones you don't need, explaining RSS feeds to confused relatives,

and saying things like, Sorry, I can't talk right now. I'm editing audio. If this sounds familiar, you're probably already a podcaster. The good news is Spreaker makes the whole process simple. You record your show, upload it once, and Spreaker distributes it everywhere people listen, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and about a dozen apps your cousin's swears are the next big thing. Even better, Spreaker helps you monetize your show with ads, meaning your podcast might someday pay for, well, more microphones. Start your show today at Spreker.com. Sprinker, because if you're going to talk to yourself for an hour, you might as well publish it.

We're listening to America is talking. Investors Edge. He's got to be pleased with that. The crowd is just on his feet here. He's a Cinderella boy. With Gary Colbomb. It comes highly recommended. You're going to feel better if you talk to him.

So the Dow on a bad pullback yesterday. One day pullback. And by the way, my thought process. We'd gap up 4,500 today. We actually opened up not that great and then ramped up. We only opened up a little bit, but rolled. And now we're a little bit of pullback mode. But we're strengthened as we speak.

Up 354. We were just up 250. The NASDAQ was only up 20. It's now up 80. So that's a little bit better. Anyway, the Dow is where it was about eight weeks ago, maybe 1% from 12 weeks ago. The S&P, as I speak, is trading one point above the 50-day moving average

and now sitting in a 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10, 10, 11, 12th week of nothing, which is okay, as long as it doesn't really break down. And yesterday looked like it was teasing, and today, better the NASDAQ well you got a lower high from recent you're still trading below the 50-day moving average but only by a little bit and no doubt being influenced by a select few that works so well for it before but not so much now the NASDAQ is trading where it was you ready October 3rd so three months and change no gain on

the NASDAQ and is still down about 4.5% from the highs of late October, which is no big deal, right? And the NASDAQ 100, about the same. What's hurting? We'll just repeat. Apple, very weak. Broadcom, very weak. These are the top eight. Amazon, weak. And of course, they're all reporting earnings soon. Microsoft, really weak. What is that for? Meta, really weak. 5. Netflix. I don't think that's top eight, but definitely top 10. Down three and a half today, which is actually 35 bucks. They did a 10 for one split and continues in its brutal bare market. Tesla, bouncing seven bucks today. That's all I can give you on that. But weak. The only name of the eight that's on the strong side is Google or alphabet. Costco, I believe, is top 10 or

top 11 much improvement the last few weeks off of their December numbers and has been up every day for the last seven today up another 16 bucks that's not hurting but Microsoft down 14 geez louise and what does it know i also have to mention Oracle down another 8th today that is not in the NASDA so very mixed bag a bank stronger today we'll take it uh AD, pretty good on the New York, not so great on the NASDAQ. And just letting you know, we're going to be watching closely, tech like a hawk now because software continues to worsen. The lesser tech is crappy.

They better keep the semiconductors going. The semis and that storage and all that, because not a lot of help elsewhere. and again, NASDAQ, NASDAQ, 100, below the 50 day, lower high, but good day today as we speak. And as we speak, it's only, it's not even 2 o'clock, 3.30 and 86. By the way, NASDAQ 100 is better than NASDAQ, up 153 today. And I don't see how. In the Dow today, Goldman up 17.

What do we tell you, the big, big price name, the highest price. Caterpillars number two is up eight Bounce in some of the financials American Express up six but that's something we definitely have to touch upon as we segue now and then we'll give you the numbers

as we leave the show the president was in Davos today and up front we're behind them we want great things we were behind Joe Biden but he sucked and did not care about you at all by leaving the border open on purpose never forgive

him for that and never say a word about the Jewish students on the college campuses that their lives were threatened never forgive him this president let me just state for the record there is no way, shape, or form if I was president, I'd be going about it like he has. Putting down other countries. Putting down leaders of other countries. By the way, leaders of countries usually have a pretty good ego. Blasting them. Blasting the countries.

Think about that. Think about that. What if the leader of any name a country that said the United States sucks, and go on and on. We defend it, right? Well, that's what you should expect from them, and that's what's going on, and there's a little bit of strife back and forth.

And again, we're behind the president. But boy, oh boy, he can use a lot of me, even though he wouldn't. I can help him out big time, but he wouldn't care what I had to say. This Greenland thing, it's ridiculous. Totally ridiculous. To say or else, meaning the military, now he's backing away.

This is the president. This is not a senator or a congressman. That would still matter also. The President of the United States threatening military on a NATO-backed place. It's insanity. It's sheer insanity. In my humblest opinion, I tell him so if I was an advisor his. Total mishandling. A lot of make no sense. And I can go through a litany of things he did in his speech that are provably wrong, which means he loses credibility on the world stage.

I would have that discussion with him. He has done a lot of good things. Closing the borders magnificent. Saving lives. As we have said, people died crossing rivers and in the back of trucks. Pretty much incinerated in back of trucks. Children missing under Biden and, of course, the median then report it. Just that one thing, I think, is gargantuan, standing behind those students.

When Biden said nothing. For me, huge. But man, oh man, I'm watching the speech and it just comes under the heading treating us all like we're just stupid or just in the tank. Just provably wrong. And you know what's happening now? All those countries and their reporters are reporting all that, which is not going to help. And will not earn one vote. come midterms.

And as I have said to you, if the vote was today, Speaker of their House, Hakeem Jeffries, and they'll start impeachment proceedings, the next second. So I don't know what to tell you. I wish them the best. I want great things. But threatening other countries.

By the way, spent a decade blasting the bushes and Cheney's for being control-freak, neocon interventionist. he's defining it he's defining it oh but he pulls back oh really so threatening is good by the way that's the excuse by the way from the people that you know he can do no wrong so threatening another country is good really go back and watch his speech and let me know let me finish up by saying on that part. We hope it all works out. We don't understand this Greenland thing. Unfortunately on TV, some people are turning themselves into pretzels defending it. You can all look it up. And then there are other things. Business. He was out there on the world stage 10% credit cards.

Up next, we'll tell you what some financial mucky muck says. about that. This is the one only investors at. Guys, it's no use putting it off. The best time for an underwear refresh is now. Tommy John underwear is designed for a perfect fit that stays put all day. Their zero chafe thanks to four times

more stretch than competing brands. And their innovative horizontal quick draw fly is a game changer. With over 30 million pairs sold, there are thousands of men out there more comfortable than you. Don't settle for less. Go to Tommyjohn.com today for 25% off your first order with code

comfort. That's Tommyjohn.com code comfort. Tommy John. Comfort perfected. This message is brought to you by the Capital One Venture X card. Venture X offers the premium benefits you expect, like a $300 annual Capital One travel credit for less than you expect. Elevate your earn with unlimited double miles on every purchase, bringing you one step closer to your next dream destination. Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide. The Capital One Venture X card. What's in your wallet? Terms apply.

Lounge access is subject to change. See Capital One.com for details. This episode is brought to you by Spreaker. The platform responsible for a rapidly spreading condition known as podcast brain. Symptoms include buying microphones you don't need, explaining RSS feeds to confused relatives, and saying things like, sorry, I can't talk right now, I'm editing audio. If this sounds familiar, you're probably already a podcaster. The good news is Spreaker makes the whole process.

simple. You record your show, upload it once, and Spreaker distributes it everywhere people listen. Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and about a dozen apps your cousin's swears are the next big thing. Even better, Spreaker helps you monetize your show with ads, meaning your podcast might someday pay for well, more microphones.

Start your show today at spreeker.com. Spreaker. Because if you're going to talk to yourself for an hour, you might as well publish it. You're listening to What are we waiting for? you waiting for? One, two, ready, go.

In The Wester's Edge with Gary Kaltbach. So, life is pretty simple. Businesses are supposed to be in business to make profits so they can pay their employees and grow their business. And that doesn't mean I agree with everything businesses do. but the call for 10% interest rate on credit cards is sheer insanity. Again, first off, I don't want the president or Washington, D.C. to dictate to business. I hate them taking over business or taking positions in business.

I don't like anything about it, but I have no control. I live with it. J.P. Morgan's CEO came out, and by the way, we take everything from them with a grain of salt. We do our own homework. Says that if you put a credit card cap on rates of 10%, it will remove credit from 80% of Americans. Basically what Jamie Diamond saying, 80% of you are going to lose your credit cards. Now, I'm going to say that's exaggeration. 80, but 50 is a big number.

And the reason they'd have to do that is to pay. Just remember, this is all lending, first and foremost. When you lend, you take risk. You do know that. I have family that I lent money 10 years ago, and they keep threatening to pay me back and never did. I had another family that, you know how I got paid back by another, somebody's death. That's family. Imagine credit cards that are not.

So what they have to do is factor in. And that's how they come up with numbers. And what I think the president's missing, first and foremost, you don't pay 20 some odd percent if you pay your bill every month. See, I believe a credit card should be for ease. For ease. Meaning, you don't have to carry cash to spend $300 bucks in a restaurant. I go to nice restaurants. You get my point. You don't have to have cash to go to Chipotle, use a credit card, or anywhere. You should pay it off each month.

It's those that don't pay it off because they can't afford what they bought that are paying the 20-some odd percent. So these credit cards have to factor in. loan loss and they come up with a number and me who believe an individual responsibility hey if you want to pay somebody 23% interest

that's on you that is on you that's your decision crazy it may be we've never paid a dime of interest I think I got caught once and I asked for it back

and they gave it to me back because they said they got something two days late. They probably lied. So complete disagreement on that business front. My worry continues to be, I don't want a Republican or Democrat dictating to business. You know we've complained about the antitrust division blocking mergers and acquisitions in the past. Who was the lady's name under Biden? Lena something or other? Stop the JetBlue Spirit Air deal? amongst a couple others. So that too.

But let me backtrack. We're behind them. We're not against them. We want things to work out. But we are of serious disagreement on his verbiage, his put-downs, this thing with the Nobel. Do you realize he said, I'm not so sure I want peace because I didn't get a Nobel Peace Prize?

He said that. We hope it works. out. I have no thought process about what happens with his Greenland thing. I can tell you they're not going to give it up. No chance. Ain't going to happen. And as I've said to you, my big worry, and it's a simple worry. What is that telling Putin? Who you've been telling them to stop war with Ukraine? Putin, you know what he's saying? Up yours. Don't tell me what to do. You went into Venezuela. You're running Venezuela now. Now you're going to want to go into Greenland. Xi, China, who's been thinking about Taiwan for a long time. What kind of license does it give him? It's called repercussions.

So I have some worries. And they are valid worries. And you should be worried. Whether you're MAGA or not. By the way, one other note, a worry. I'm no doctor. I don't like this Robert F. Kennedy on the vaccines. It's pissing me off. Let's hope he's got it right. He should not be in his position.

I don't want them even telling me what I should eat. Leave me alone. Stop treating us like we're idiots. The Republican side was always supposed to be hands off. Freedom. Not this group. We'll leave it at that. Let's see. We were just up 340. We're up 264. We were just up 90 on the NASDAQ. We're up 52 right now. And the good news is, advanced declines good, my stuff screen good, and oils to the four. I may actually buy some oils for the first time in a very long while.

I have not as of yet. That all said, hey, just remember, it's just a little over 2 o'clock. There'll be a lot of movement before the close. You have a great day drive carefully. And when you get home, do like I do. Quite simple. Make sure you hug your family and hug your children. They will feel better.

You will feel better. I promise they will be well. Until tomorrow from New York City will be eight degrees. Good night. This has been Investors' Edge with Gary Cult Bomb on BizTalk. To listen to past episodes or to get in contact with Gary, go to GaryKK.com. That's GaryK.com. Guys, it's no use putting it off.

The best time for an underwear refresh is now. Tommy John underwear is designed for a perfect fit that stays put all day. Their zero-chafe thanks to four times more stretch than competing brands. And their innovative horizontal quick-draw fly is a game changer. With over 30 million pairs sold, there are thousands of men out there more comfortable than you. Don't settle for less. Go to Tommyjohn.com today for 25% off your first order with Code Comfort. That's Tommyjohn.com code comfort.

Tommy John. Comfort perfected. This message is brought to you by the Capital One Venture X card. Venture X offers the premium benefits you expect, like a $300 annual Capital One travel credit for less than you expect. Elevate your earn with unlimited double miles on every purchase. bringing you one step closer to your next dream destination. Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide. The Capital One Venture X card.

What's in your wallet? Terms apply, lounge access is subject to change. See Capital1.com for details.