Investor's Edge with Gary Kaltbaum - Friday mirage [10.13.2025]

Episode Date: October 13, 2025

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That's Tommyjohn.com, Code Comfort. Tommy John. Comfort perfected. Investor's Edge with Gary Coltbaum. Straight talk about you and your money. Now from the BizTalk Studios, here is Gary Cultbaum. And welcome once again to Investors Edge. I'm Gary Coltbaum, your host. A thanks for being with us today. Glad you're here, ladies and gentlemen, happy that you are listening. Today is Monday. Last I looked, it's October 13th, 2025. Hope you had a good weekend.

Lots to cover. Serious talk on everything that affects you. We'll do markets. But markets pale in comparison to what's happening in world events. We will do those world events. We'll do the economy. Your job, your industry, and anything else that comes to mind that we believe matters,

big time to you. And if you do not get this radio show in your city, we'll post it at garyk.com, also on our X feed. And if you don't follow us on X, you should. And if you'd like to email us, just be nice. It'll also be on Biz TV, YouTube channel,

as well as the podcast apps. 52 years ago today. 52 years ago today, I can't believe I'm even saying, that I was bar mitzvah. I remember the first three lines of my haftoer still. After that, I don't remember a thing. October 13th, 1973. Yes, your handsome and buffed toast was bar mitzvah. Ladies and gentlemen, as you know, we believe world events do matter. To the markets in the economy, but sometimes, maybe not. And some things are near and dear to me.

I must say to you, honestly, if the release of hostages were not Jewish, I would still be applauding. But as a big Jew and a big supporter of Israel, as well as a big defender of Israel, as well as a big defender, of the bull crap being spewed by the many and the lies about Israel, I tend to take it to heart and have to do my own speech on it. First off, let me state for the record, as you know, we call balls and strikes here. We do not in anybody's tank. We do not sit here and love, love, love somebody when you should not or hate him. hate hate when you should not. We believe President Trump is not perfect. We believe that there's

certain things we are not happy with, but I must tell you if I saw him today, he gets a big, gigantic Gary Kalpom hug and a kiss on both his cheeks. Let me give you a few facts and then a few thoughts. Number one, we had said to you, and now it's come to fruition because we're pretty smart at this, even though we are under the radar, we do not have millions of followers. Maybe we should. We have told you for a very long time, the happiest people are the governments of the Arab nations right now. They're so happy, but they still have to be careful about what they say and how they say it. But they are thrilled because many years ago they decided enough. We do not want war. We do not want terrorism. We've had enough of it. We can't take it anymore.

We want peace and we want prosperity. The Middle East has been too much of a powder keg for too long. And they kept a blind eye to ISIS and all these other schmucks, all these other murderers. All these other murderers and animals. And we know this by fact. Go visit Saudi Arabia right now, who by the way, who has been blamed for the death of a journalist, what is it? I think it's maybe a decade ago. Now, Saudi Arabia is run with somewhat of an iron hand, but less so in recent years. and they're going into peace and prosperity and growth and wealth. Though, again, it is not what we call a democracy. The United Arab Emirates.

I have not been to Saudi Arabia, by the way, but I've been to United Arab Emirates. I could not believe what I saw. I had no idea. I had an idea, but wow. Egypt. They've had enough. Do you know Egypt? go Google

Egypt's border wall it's not a wall it's a wall it's a fence and massive amounts of barbed wire and not the normal barb wire but the ones that would really cut you to ribbons do you know who was

at the ceremony today the Arab nations the ceremony for what they hope for is complete peace They hate Hamas. They want Hamas eradicated. Israel did the job for them as much as they could.

So well done, President Trump leading the way. It's not over yet because in case you don't know, these terrorists are murderers, rapists, kidnappers. The reason why finally it came to this is because behind the doors, they have been told, we're done with you. You're on your own. Go screw.

Even the terror-loving and inducing Iran had backed away. Israel neutered Hezbollah to the north, Hamas to the south, Jordans to the east, who is one of those friends. though they had to speak up about supposedly what Israel was doing. Now, as we have also said to you, why does this matter? Because peace is great. More countries with peace that would turn into Israel is great news.

As we have stated to you, Israel is a sliver of land against the sea that had terror to the north, terror to the south, who knows to the east. And you know what they did? They went to work and built a dynamic economy of startup after startup of medical breakthroughs and technological advancements. You drive the highways and you have these big buildings with the greatest corporations with their names on top of the buildings. And then there's the bull crap.

As we have said to you, it's tick-tac-toe to even debilings. debate people on any of this because they are either lying and boy, they're good at lying, because there's plenty of them that know, and then there are people that are just morons and ignorant and just believe anything that's said. There is no apartheid in Israel. It is the opposite. You know how they say tolerant of? It's not about tolerance. Israel just believe in everybody. As long as whether you're in the rule of law, we don't care. Go about. your religion, whatever you want. That's Israel. No apartheid. There's no occupation. Israel left Gaza in 2005. And of course, the crooks and the terrorists plundered all that money and turned it into whatever.

Israel had nothing to do with it. If Israel's guilty of anything, yes, they have done some settling of some land that others say is not theirs, but small swathes of land. But there's no occupation. There's no apartheid. And as we have told you, we're always weirded out when we see gays say, we like Hamas and Israel is bad. Israel, it's not about accepting gay. Israel just let it be. Hamas would murder you. But they, who knows? That's where the tick-tac-toe comes in. So we love the fact that the president has led these other countries to get in front of the camera and completely and totally, completely and totally back this peace plan. And I can tell you this, I'm no Schwartzcalf, but Hamas is neutered.

They may try something. It'll be pinprickish. if they do something stupid, forget about it, and they'll move forward. You know what Israel's going to do? If the people in Gaza allow and do not side with Hamas, wait till you see them build up Gaza again. Up next, we'll put a bow tie on it and then lots of markets today, kids, lots of markets. This is the one only investors edge.

Hi, I'm Gary Kalbaum, hosted a nationally syndicated radio show Investors' Edge. We're not just handsome radio people. We manage investors' money for a living, specializing in fee-based discretionary money management. No big commissions, just a fee on the assets that's managed. We also provide a full range of personalized services, including retirement planning, fixed income, and educational needs, all to assist you in achieving your financial goals. Understanding not all individuals have the same needs, we'll carefully evaluate your personal goals to determine a proper investment strategy. If your current approach to investing is not getting you to where you would like to be,

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See Capital One.com for details. This episode is brought to you by Spreaker. The platform responsible for a rapidly spreading condition known as podcast brain. Symptoms include buying microphones you don't need, explaining RSS feeds to confused relatives, and saying things like, sorry, I can't talk right now, I'm editing audio. If this sounds familiar, you're probably already a podcaster. The good news is Spreaker makes the whole process simple. You record your show, upload it once, and Spreaker distributes it everywhere people listen,

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Investors Edge. The last bastion of quality programming. With Gary Coltbaum. It doesn't get better than this. So, you can decide for yourself. You can investigate for yourself, or maybe it doesn't even matter to you. All the talk about Israel is a lie. That day, it's an occupation, it's apartheid, genocide.

It's all a lie. The numbers out of Gaza are. a lie and unfortunately the media absolutely sucks the Red Cross sucks the United Nations sucks the women's organizations suck that have never said anything about all the women rape by the way not one woman hostage was returned alive they all suck CNN puts out a report today hostages are being traded for hostages no the Palestinians that are being released were terrorists known murderers and terrorists.

You got that? Then they had some schmuck on MSNBC this morning. I woke up at 4 a.m. because I wanted to watch everything, saying Israel allowed October 7th, and they're going to have to investigate, allowing it to happen. Up yours, buddy. So the media, where they came to hate this wonderful democracy, of Israel is beyond us and we don't care because when all is said and done we're going to go back

to work. Israel is going to go back to doing what they do great. And by the way, we forgot to mention the people of Israel, the most peace-loving, family-loving, religious people on this planet. That you know they would move heaven, the earth to help. the bad guys if they could that's who they are in case you did not know if you ever visited Israel

you would find this out within a couple of hours because if you go to old Jerusalem where you have all these businesses in stalls you have the Muslim court or the Jewish court and this moron I forgot her name I'm not even going to

mention somebody i think she's got seven million followers saying you see there's race them no no no that's just what they call it but i walk through the the the where they were working and you know what i saw every race creed colored the nomination you know what they were doing sitting down playing checkers and chess eating lunch together i talked to all them you know what they said what are you talking about they're all full of crap i question people go visit it it's an amazing place and by the way quite safe

and even more safe now and by the way while there are a lot of Palestinians that on video celebrated October 7th I can tell you a lot of Palestinians hate Hamas and here's the next Gary prediction

mark this down and is unfortunate but this is the big Gary prediction going forward Hamas is now going to murder and execute in droves. Anyone and everyone in Gaza that dares, disagrees, talks out against, believed to be against, you're going to see a civil war in Gaza, unfortunately. remember, they're murderers, they're terrorists,

they're animals. They treat women like the crap below your shoe after you stepped in the dog crap. That's what they do. And I gather good people are not going to stand for it. And unfortunately, they will be murdered.

There has already been video of executions already there. And unfortunately, as usual, the media is not reporting it because the media sucks. I want you to remember all this. They only care about what kind of an agenda they will drive. You have to remember this. And unfortunately, the same goes for politics, but I understand that part. Only one Democrat has stood up Federman to compliment the president on what just occurred. The rest of them said, oh, we're happy this happened.

and never mentioned the president. I understand that. I get it. You give him credit. That's too good of marketing for the next election. But I just wanted to let you know the thoughts, the truths. And don't believe me, figure it out for yourself. They have yet to return the hostages that passed away.

unfortunately we don't know what's going to come of that but this chapter and I use that word lightly looks to be over or close to over and let's hope peace prevails and as Benjamin Netanyahu one said if the terrorists drop their arms there'll be peace throughout the land if Israel dropped their arms they would be disintegrated in a nanosecond I am paraphrasing And we move on. And of course, we invite your opinions. I gather not everybody agrees. But before you disagree, come with some facts.

The markets. Yes, we segue right to the markets. On Friday, for lack of a better word, markets were melting down. They were getting squashed. The numbers were, and I'm approximating, because I'm not in front of me, the Dow and the NASDAQ were down like 850. I think one was down 860, the other one was down 820 or 830.

Percentage-wise don't sound like a lot, but when you look at the patterns we look at and say, oh my goodness, the transports, good night Irene. Oh, the regional banks, holy crap, they're done. The airlines, the cruise lines, the hotels, the travel related, the retail of many stripes, and all these other areas that were weak got much, much more weak, while the strong stuff was squashed. Four, five, six, seven, eight percent drops in hours in leading growth names.

Why? Because the president put out a tweet about China and how they were going to look to put big tariffs on China because of what China was doing with something called rare earth materials or metals, whatever you want to call it. And the market swooned big time into four o'clock. Now, If it wasn't a news-driven event, we would have been on this show telling you the market had topped. Up next. But it was a news-driven event. That's up next on this, the one-only investor's edge. It's no use putting it off. The best time for an underwear refresh is now.

Tommy John underwear is designed for a perfect fit that stays put all day. There's zero-chafe thanks to four times more stretch than competing brands. and their innovative horizontal quick draw fly is a game changer. With over 30 million pairs sold, there are thousands of men out there more comfortable than you. Don't settle for less. Go to Tommyjohn.com today for 25% off your first order with Code Comfort. That's Tommyjohn.com code comfort.

Tommy John. Comfort perfected. This message is brought to you by the Capital One VentureX card. Venture X offers the premium benefits you expect, like a $300 annual Capital One travel credit for less than you. you expect. Elevate your earn with unlimited double miles on every purchase, bringing you one step closer to your next dream destination. Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide. The Capital One Venture X card. What's in your wallet? Terms apply. Lounge access is subject to change.

See Capital One.com for details. This episode is brought to you by Sprecker. The platform responsible for a rapidly spreading condition known as podcast brain. Symptoms include buying microphones you don't need. Explaining RSSESA. feeds to confused relatives, and saying things like, sorry, I can't talk right now, I'm editing audio. If this sounds familiar, you're probably already a podcaster. The good news is Spreaker makes the whole process simple. You record your show, upload it once, and Spreaker distributes it everywhere people listen,

Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and about a dozen apps your cousin's swears are the next big thing. Even better, Spreaker helps you monetize your show with ads, meaning your podcast might someday pay for, well, more microphones. Start your show today at spreeker.com. Sprinker, because if you're going to talk to yourself for an hour, you might as well publish it. We're listening to. America is talking. Investors Edge.

He's got to be pleased with that. The crowd is just on his feet here. He's a Cinderella boy. With Gary Colbomb. It comes highly recommended. You're going to feel better if you talk to him. And walk once again to Investors Edge. So, let me repeat.

As you know, what we do. is we recognize bear markets and bull markets, tops and bottoms, ascension or dissension, uptrens and downtrends, and on Friday, the market had shown a big top, heavy volume selling off the highs, the weak, really getting weaker, the not so weak breaking down, the strong coming in hard, volume heavy is all hell but we knew it was because of another tariff threat

here are the facts of what happened number one we have precedent that when the market swoons because of tariff threats they get rid of the tariff threats how do we know this

because in April we were swooning because of the threats, and then they came out with the tariffs, and the market dropped 10% in two days to a close on Friday. The market had a meltdown over two days, and that was after a drop. That weekend, they definitively were in the White House screaming at each other. What the hell just happened here? And they made the decision to unwind what they came out with on that Wednesday after the close,

and that was the Liberation Day tariffs that caused things to unwind and commerce to stop. We heard news. This was reported. Amazon stopped deliveries. Auto companies stopped deliveries. Of course they're going to stop deliveries because I don't know what the hell's going on. How much are they going to pay in taxes for everything they import?

So they decided to roll everything back on Monday with whatever excuse they can come up with. But on Monday morning, it got leaked. That there was going to be, quote, unquote, a pause. So they held off. On the leak, the markets rallied like 2,000 points and like a minute.

Sarcasm. Half hour to an hour. And then nothing happened. So on Tuesday, the markets got hit again. Wednesday came the pause. Rally up. Week later, we get a confirmation follow-through day that was April 24th and we're off to the races. And what have we gotten since? Exemption after exemption after exemption after exemption, drops and drops and drops to the point where there's like these 10 and 15% tariffs on these nations, which by the way, as we promised you, get worked around. That's not hard, especially big companies. Walmart goes to China and says, okay, here's the deal. We're buying trillions of bucks from you guys.

And guess what China does? They meet them. And no effect. Even though Walmart had to raise prices on some things. Who gets hurt the small business? But we never heard here back from the small businesses. And every now and then there'd be an uh-oh moment. The president's mad at Brazil because they're mean to the ex-president.

So here's a 50% tariff on coffee, which is a huge mistake. Oh, they exempted. Apple goes to the White House and kisses the butt of the president. You're exempt. And Vida goes to the White House, kisses the butt, makes up, hey, we're going to buy this and buy that and do this and exempted. So the tariffs ended up meaningless, very little. and the markets off of 168 rate cuts by central banks around the globe go north until Friday.

Boom. After the close on Friday, it comes out that they are going to tariff China 100%, on top of what they already have. Which is insanity because I can promise you this. if the president ever put a 100% tariff on China and it went into effect and kept it there just for a month, one month, the market would be down 20%.

The economy would slow down to a crawl if not downright contraction of proportion and after he announces the 100%, the market drops even more. So we were down 860. in 820. And then after the close, I believe the Dow was down another

400. Something to that effect. But within a couple of hours, nice, nice. They didn't even wait. They came out. No doubt the phone calls

were out there. Did you see the freaking market, sir? So all of a sudden, harsh rhetoric too China's our friend we'll work it out we did November 1st

to input the 100% tariff that way it can get worked out before that happens and the markets over the weekend gap up a craplode simple as that forgiven In fact, today the Dow 45984 was pretty much up 400 right near the open, give or take.

Give or take. The NASDAQ gaps up, if I can find it. NASDAQ gapped up to, let's see, 226. gapped up 400 and there's your story today the weak bounced some bounce pretty good

but overall remain weak but the strength and let me be clear about my thought very surprised how the strength got so strong so quickly the next day

and what do we mean by that? The semiconductors got back 350 points 315 points today that's a lot 315 points of about the 450 the NASDAQ got

490 points back of about the 820 the Dow got back 587 of, I think it was 860. And remember those leading groups we were telling you about? AI and AI related in semiconductors, data storage, data centers, the energy for the data centers and the construction of data centers, they went ape blank to the upside today where some stocks got back all a Friday.

Others did not. And that for me is a big wow. That for me a surprise. That for me tells me how temperamental and fragile markets are. And that for me hopefully tells me they learned another lesson. The leading stocks and leading groups were in Fuego today. back up mostly just getting back

most or a portion of Friday will it continue higher from here how's this for a certain answer don't know but we certainly know where the strength is it's not hard to hide it do I worry about big down day big update

oh we have another big down day coming, not a fee doesn't go nuts again on the tariffs. That's the story. The other part of the story is financials got back a bunch, even though regionals don't look good, other areas

don't do good, but big banks, most of them held support and moving averages, but guess what? They all report this week. We'll know a lot more on them. Up next, more on these markets and whatever else.

This is the one only investor's edge. It's no use putting it off. The best time for an underwear refresh is now. Tommy John underwear is designed for a perfect fit that stays put all day. Their zero-chafe thanks to four times more stretched than competing brands. And their innovative horizontal quick-draw fly is a game changer. With over 30 million pairs sold, there are thousands of men out there more comfortable than you. Don't settle for less.

Go to Tommyjohn.com today for 25. 5% off your first order with code comfort. That's Tommyjohn.com code comfort. Tommy John. Comfort perfected. This message is brought to you by the Capital One Venture X card. Venture X offers the premium benefits you expect, like a $300 annual Capital One travel credit for less than you expect.

Elevate your earn with unlimited double miles on every purchase, bringing you one step closer to your next dream destination. Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide. Capital One Venture X card. What's in your wallet? Terms apply. Lounge access is subject to change. See Capital1.com for details. This episode is brought to you by Spreaker. The platform responsible for a rapidly spreading condition known as podcast brain. Symptoms include buying microphones you don't need, explaining RSS feeds to confused relatives, and saying things like, sorry, I can't talk right now, I'm editing audio. If this sounds familiar, you're probably already a podcaster. The good news is Spreker makes the whole process. simple. You record your show, upload it once, and Spreaker distributes it everywhere people listen. Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and about a dozen apps your cousins swears are the next big thing. Even better, Spreaker helps you monetize your show with ads, meaning your podcast might someday pay for, well, more microphones. Start your show today at spreeker.com.

Sprinker, because if you're going to talk to yourself for an hour, you might as well publish it. You're listening to... What are we waiting for? And welcome. One, two, ready, go. Investors Edge with Gary Kaltbaugh. And, welcome once again to Investor's Edge.

I believe it was Thursday. I wrote down in my notes, I am 99% sure. Gold has topped for now and will probably correct for weeks. I never say 100 because 100's not smart. I said 99. The GLD was up nine bucks today. I sold my gold. I made 55 big dollars in five weeks.

And I said, boy, nice offensive sell. Bounced up on Friday because the market got hit and I thinking, I'm okay. Up nine bucks. I'm not in gold right now. I'm pissed. We'll see if I can catch it again. Gold and silver. That's on the move. But I also want, by the way, I want to backtrack.

Tomorrow morning, Black Rock City Group, Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, Wells Fargo. In that Dow was Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan, but also Johnson and Johnson's reporting in the Dow. And I've got to just say Domino's Pizza. Did I ever tell you the Domino's Pizza story? When I was in college, we used to get Domino's Pizza. from Fletcher Avenue at University of South Florida. And I even said to my roommate, you know, we should get a couple of these Domino's pizzas and own them.

We didn't do it. What an idiot. You know what the other one was? Storage. We had this storage unit. I forgot the name of that company at the time. What an idiot didn't do that either. We were on to two big things.

Didn't do it. Oh, well. But Domino's. On Wednesday, Bank America, Morgan Stanley, PNC Bank, Synchronic Bank, Synchronic Financial. So we got Big Bank Week. On Wednesday after the close, Cenovis Financial. On Thursday, Bank of New York Schwab, Key Corp, M&T Bank, Travelers, that's insurance in the Dow, U.S. Bank Corp. Friday, American Express, Fifth Third Bank Corps, Huntington Bank shares, Regions Financial, State Street Bank and Truest, and a small one, Webster Financial.

So it's going to be a big bank week. They're all just great bookies, so I doubt there's going to be any disasters. Just remember what they are. They're bookies. They're take in your money. They pay you less and lend out more. They're great bookies. God bless them.

That's the other thing I should have done. Anyway, it just feels like, feels, notwithstanding the most news-driven environment we've ever had out of D.C. Friday's kind of forgotten. The bearish areas will remain bearish, and the good news is we don't have to worry about them. The bullish areas got really bullish quickly today. after getting smoked on Friday I can actually excuse myself from doing a little bit of selling on Friday

without naming names because I may buy them back there's a couple of things I sold that were up decently today I can't blame myself for that why if they didn't make nice nice over the weekend I think we would have been down another 500 to a thousand

today but I have to add another the part of the equation, they are ramping the living crap out of the froth and speculation. I went to the New Yearly High List early today, and I listed, I'm up to 48 names that are at New Yearly Highs and vertical New Yearly Highs, no sales, or a couple of million in sales, with massive losses and market caps anywhere from $2 billion

up to $25 billion in quantum computers in nuclear in drones in robotaxies in Bitcoin mining how many Bitcoin miners

are they going to be so just letting you know excessive froth and speculation at any price. And now we can add rare earth materials, metals. That's the China thing. Go read about it.

They are ramping the crap out of rare earth. I got one sitting in front of me that just went from 19 to 38 in six days. They have no sales. They are given it a $3.1 billion market cap. Here's another one now. this one's a little bit different. No sales. It seems that the administration may be taken a position in it.

So let's add rare earth. Where these things stop, we don't know. We'll just give you the old line. Don't be the last one in. I'm jealous. I've got a nuclear, a quantum stock in front of me that has no sales that just went from 18 to 55 in five weeks. No sales.

16 billion dollar market cap. Not making this up. And do recall I mention one to you that was up 22% today. No sales and has been public for 25 years with no sales nuclear. was up 22% today. Let me repeat, it has been public since 2001, and when it came out with all the splits was $4,000 price. It closed at $27 today.

I can't tell you they won't go higher. I can't tell you they won't double, triple, quadruple from here. I can't say this. don't be the last one in. When the music stops, there will be no chairs. And that's our take. What a day.

I can't wait to scan this sucker tonight. That all said, you have a great evening. Drive carefully. When you get home, do like we do. Make sure you hug your family. Make sure you hug your children. They will feel better. You will feel better.

I promise stay well, be well. Love not hate. all have the same color blood. Don't forget that. Have a good one, everybody. Peace out all until tomorrow. Bye-bye. This has been Investor's Edge with Gary Cult Bomb on Biz Talk. To listen to past episodes or to get in contact with Gary, go to GaryK.com. That's GaryK.com. Guys, it's no use putting it off. The best time for an underwear refresh is now. Tommy John underwear is designed for a perfect fit that stays put all day. There's zero-shaped links to four times more stretch than competing brands, and their innovative horizontal

quick-draw-fly is a game-changer. With over 30 million pairs sold, there are thousands of men out there more comfortable than you. Don't settle for less. Go to Tommyjohn.com today for 25% off your first order with code comfort. That's Tommyjohn.com code comfort. Tommy John. Comfort perfected. This message is brought to you by the Capital One Venture X card. Venture X offers the premium benefits you expect, like a $300, annual Capital One travel credit for less than you expect. Elevate your earn with unlimited double miles on every purchase, bringing you one step closer to your next dream destination.

Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide. The Capital One Venture X card. What's in your wallet? Terms apply. Lounge access is subject to change. See Capital One.com for details.