Investor's Edge with Gary Kaltbaum - Impressive day! [04.28.2025]

Episode Date: April 28, 2025

https://garykaltbaum.com/

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That's Tommyjohn.com, code comfort. Tommy John. Comfort perfected. Investor's Edge with Gary Coltbaum. Straight talk about you and your money. Now from the BizTalk Studios, here is Gary Cultbaum. And welcome once again to Investors Edge. I'm Gary Colbom, your host. A thanks for being with us today.

Glad you here, ladies and gentlemen. Happy that you are listening. It is April 28, 2025. I believe it's Monday, darn. Actually, I don't mind Mondays. I don't mind any day. hope you had a very good weekend. As always, serious talk about everything that affects you, the markets, your job, your industry, the economy, tariffs, doge, and whatever else comes to mind.

And today will be one of those what we call tidbit days. Every now and then we just have a bunch of things that we're going to spend a minute on and move to the next and the next, but all have meaning. and affects you. And of course, if you don't get this radio show in your city, we'll post it at garyk.com, we'll also post it on a Twitter feed, which is now X, well also posted on podcast apps.

And we're also working on YouTube and doing charts while we do the radio show and the whole works. We're working on that right now, sooner rather than later. And if you'd like to email us, just be nice. No, that's all you got to be nice.

Ladies and gentlemen, I'm going to start out by telling you that today the Dow finished up you ready uh gotta make sure i got the number right let's call it about a quarter percent the s and p was up one-tenth of one percent not even uh the nasdaq was down one-tenth of one percent. Ladies and gentlemen, it was an impressive day. We try to not, you know, we do the day and whatever, but we really care about the big picture.

But we're always impressed. The market opened hot and then was down 200 and 240. NASDAQ, excuse me, Dow and NASDAQ into about 130. and you're thinking, all right, we got a reversal day. That's not good news. This is, oh, my goodness gracious. And the Dow finished up 114. NASDAQ only down 16.

S&P up three. That to us is impressive off of a higher low market from last four days. We'll see what tomorrow brings. Of course, we're in the midst of earning season in my hand. I have 12 pages of earnings. to be reported this week, and that includes some biggies. And I can promise you some names that are weak are going to be strong because of earnings and some names that are strong are going to be weak because of earnings.

And our job will be the study them and see where they're going to open from the previous close and look to see if the earnings accelerated or decelerated. or maybe something good is going on or maybe something bad's going on. You know, right now everybody's talking about, oh, the tariff thing is going to hit, and I got news for you. I don't know if you know this, but the tariff thing is going to hit in the next couple of weeks. We're seeing it at the ports. We're seeing truckers to what extent we don't know. It'll be interesting to see what is reported by the peeps.

But I'm just letting you know the market had a real, chance to get slugged today and had a very good comeback by the close which has nothing to do with what happens tomorrow but we're letting you know today and right now so far we had a crash low three weeks ago rallied up pulled back and then we made a higher low last week with four good days of technology ramping to the upside will it continue i must tell you i'm quite agnostic here i'm just trying to take it day by day, not trying to be a genius. And if the market keeps giving me information, that's good. You know what we do with that.

If the market starts, if the market finished down 300 and 300 today, could have been an issue. But it didn't. They stood up. They stood and defended. What else? Gold, good day. Though, listen carefully. Barron's had the front cover, the gold rush.

This is after a big move. This would worry me. It's the front cover indicator that I've talked to you about many times on the show when it hits. We'll see if Barron's jinx it again as of today, did not. Gold had a very good day as the dollar was squash today again. I got to tell you, if you go to let's see, the euro right now. has good boy it's up about 11%

since March you're paying 11% more if you go to Europe the pound about 910% more more expensive to go over there and of course you know what we're worried about

and we'll see how that plays out okay tidbits I have to start with Social Security. And we'll get back to the markets in a bit. They're all out and BSing. The Marxist party was out this weekend again,

saying that the Republicans are going to get rid of your Social Security and get rid of your Medicare and Medicaid and all that. And by the way, that's kind of the verbiage. They're not saying they're going to do something with your Social Security. Oh, you're going to lose your Social Security. We just want to let you know again under no uncertain terms. Social Security has turned out. to be the biggest scam of all time on you and what they did was they made you believe they made

people believe since they started that you needed the government for your retirement and what did they do they started taking money out of your paycheck and that amount of kept going and going and going until uh and you weren't tax when you were taking it out until what what year 90 something and all all of a sudden you tax on Social Security and the amount you have to pay tax on kept going up higher and higher and higher and higher. Ladies and gentlemen, if I said to you, imagine there was never Social Security. But government came in and said, look, we want to make sure your retirement's good. So every month or every paycheck, this is how much is going to come out based on your paycheck, but it's going to go into your own account. We're going to have nothing to do with it.

And it's going to be automatically once every month or three months, just so you don't have to do it too many times. You buy 10-year bonds. You go out and buy 10-year bonds, and they keep rolling over and rolling over every 10 years. And that's all you did. First off, there wouldn't be bazillions spent on the Social Security Administration, 60,000 people. I think 70,000 people work in the Social Security Administration. and let me read some to you. This is from somebody.

By the time I am 67, over 600,000 of my dollars will be paid into Social Security on my behalf. That money would have been worth $1.9 million if I had just gotten a 5% return. My annual interest on that money would be $95,000 approximately. He says at 67, the government promises me 37,000 a year. Catching my drift?

They scammed you. And imagine if somebody had that ridiculous idea of 5% of your money is going into the stock market. Way back when? Do you know what compounding does? So just letting you know, somebody wrote this up, and I thought that was quite interesting. You don't get any return on your money on Social Security. Just remember, they took all that money out and you get no return on your money. And God forbid, you pass away early.

Guess where that money goes. I continue. It's Thomas Jefferson Day. Do you know why? Because I was just going through my tidbits and said, you know, I have not brought this up in a while. Because Thomas Jefferson ages ago, born in 1743, died in 1826. Third president from 1801 to 1809, let me read quotes from him. Tell me if they're apropos today.

The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not. Interesting. It is incumbent upon every generation to pay its own debts as it goes, a principle which if acted on would save one half the wars of the world. I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them. Thomas Jefferson. Smart dude. Up next. More tidbits.

Very important ones. This is the one only Investors Edge. Hi, I'm Gary Kalbaum, hosted a nationally syndicated radio show Investors Edge. We're not just handsome radio people. We manage investors' money for a living, specializing in fee-based discretionary, money management. No big commissions, just a fee on the assets that's managed. We also provide a full range of personalized services, including retirement planning, fixed income, and educational needs, all to assist you in achieving your financial goals. Understanding not all individuals have

the same needs, we'll carefully evaluate your personal goals to determine a proper investment strategy. If your current approach to investing is not getting you to where you would like to be, call us to make an appointment for a complementary portfolio review. The number to call is 888-422-5-5-9. That's 888-4-2-5-9. That's 888-4-22-5-5-9. Investment Advisory Services offered through call-bomb capital management. Guys, it's no use putting it off.

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Try Greenlight risk-free today at greenlight.com slash try greenlight. That's greenlight.com slash try greenlight. It's time to switch on the integrator units and get the brain cells. is working. You're listening to. Hey, this promises to be fun. Investors Edge. The last bastion of quality programming. With Gary Coltbaum.

It doesn't get better than this. Hey, I'm sorry. I've got a, what year is it? 2025? More than 200 years ago. Let me repeat this. The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not.

It is incumbent upon every generation to pay its own debts as it goes. A principle, if acted on, would save one half the wars of the world. I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them.

My reading of history convinces me that most bad government results from too much government. These stinking, slimy, sleazebag politicians of the last specialty of the last 25, 30 years, especially. They can all rot.

The World Bank, tidbit, has misplaced 41 billion in climate change funds. No clear public record showing where this money went or how it was used. What have we told you about the scam of climate? 41 billion, so I asked the question, where's the freaking media and their investigations on $41 billion missing at the World Bank. Just asking. I'd like to find out how much the United States gives to the World Bank. If I know Trump, he's taken away that money.

Next, and we're moving around here. Over the last three years, Apple's revenues have increased 5% while its net income is declined 4%. Just letting you know. Haiti, you ready for your tax dollars? 4.4 billion of aid for poverty relief in Haiti has gone missing. The audit of USAID, you've heard of them, shows a disturbing shortfall in funds surrounding ongoing relief projects in Haiti. Isn't Haiti the place where Clinton was doing all?

Yeah, okay. The 2025 UN Human Rights Council is now in session. The members, number one, and we're not making this up. No, really, we're not making this up. Cuba is on the UN Human Rights Council. Is it any wonder we think the UN sucks? You ready? China, human rights, Sudan, human rights.

I'm saying Burundi, but I don't know how bad they are because I don't know what the heck that is. Kyrgyzstan, Democratic Republic of Congo, not making this up. Norway, no, they're not part of that, just letting you know Norway put a wealth tax increase. They said it would bring in 146 million in yearly tax revenue. Individuals worth $54 billion left the country, leading to lost $594 million. Dumbies. Apple, we're going back to Apple. Do you know they bought back $646 billion in stock over the past 10 years, which is greater than the market cap of 491 companies in the S&P?

Hey, I'm just telling you. Ford They're going to lose $5 billion on its electric vehicle business this year alone That was 24 I take it back They're losing $44,000 on every electric vehicle And the Ford Mustang Mock E was selling for $10,000 above MSRP Less than 10 years ago, two years ago It's now listed 31,000 below

GM accumulated losses of $10 billion over the years from its cruise robotaxy division. Here's a good one. The UN Climate Conference, United Nations Climate Conference, do you know who they invited to attend? The Taliban. The Taliban who have banned women from speaking in public.

The UN. Back to the UN sucks today. the Dallas Fed Texas Manufacturing Index of General Business Activity came in at minus 35.8 after a minus 16.3 in March. Ooh, we're going to watch that. Oh, we're going to watch that. And last but not least, the tariff thing. And I don't want to do too much on it. I've knocked that thing around 100 times here, right? But none of it makes sense. The president is now saying that big tariffs are going to replace income taxes, and you're going to get a huge tax. And it's just going to be paid by tariffs. The same tariffs that the Secretary of Treasury saying we're going to get rid of because of trade deals.

Trump and his Treasury Secretary are contradicting each other on the same freaking day. And of course, the numbers of countries that they keep talking about in deals that have not happened change every single day. Ladies and gentlemen, I take no joy in saying this. I don't trust a word out of their mouths. I will verify everything for you and I. it is a shame because we just came off four years of the worst freaking president we've ever had and that's a high bar to get over. The biggest lion's sack we've ever had in Joe Biden and a complicit media that let him get

away with it for four freaking years. And we're up to our ears in the same right now. And by the way, I would say it to the president himself. Stop. I'm rooting for you. Here's why what you're saying makes no sense. And stop doing this. I would try and help him.

He may kick me in the teeth or something and take his nine iron and smack me, but I'd be really helping him out. Who doesn't help him? Oh, he's the greatest. Everything he says and does is 100% right. He's a thousand percent. He's the president, the greatest negotiator of all time. Art of the deal.

Tell that to the markets and the dollar and bonds. and then, you know, when the market was crashing, the Treasury Secretary said, the market doesn't, it's not, you know, it's short to get. Now that the market's rallied up, guess what he was talking about this weekend? The market is up. Don't you love politicians? That's it on tariffs for today. How's that? And frankly, I don't even know where to hell we stand, to be honest with you.

and that is our tidbits for the day though I must tell you I want $100 on a scratch off ticket I never play him but I just was that one of those things I want a hundred bucks up next back on the markets whatever else comes to mine I'm Gary this is the one only investors edge it's no use putting it off the best time for an underwear refresh is now Tommy John underwear is designed for a perfect fit that stays put all day there's Zero-chafe thanks to four times more stretch than competing brands, and their innovative horizontal quick-draw fly is a game-changer. With over 30 million pairs sold, there are thousands of men out there more comfortable than you.

Don't settle for less. Go to Tommyjohn.com today for 25% off your first order with Code Comfort. That's Tommyjohn.com, code comfort. Tommy John, comfort perfected. This message is brought to you by the Capital One VentureX card. Venture X offers the premium benefits you expect, like a $300 annual Capital One travel credit for less than you expect. Elevate your earn with unlimited double miles on every purchase,

bringing you one step closer to your next dream destination. Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide. The Capital One Venture X card. What's in your wallet? Terms apply. Lounge access is subject to change. See Capital One.com for details. This episode is brought to you by Spreker.

The platform responsible for a rapidly spreading condition known as podcast brain. Symptoms include buying microphones you don't need, explaining RSS feeds to confused relatives, and saying things like, sorry, I can't talk right now, I'm editing audio. If this sounds familiar, you're probably already a podcaster. The good news is Spreaker makes the whole process simple. You record your show, upload it once, and Spreaker distributes it everywhere people listen. Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and about a dozen apps your cousin swears are the next big thing. Even better, Spreaker helps you monetize your show with ads, meaning your podcast.

might someday pay for, well, more microphones. Start your show today at spreeker.com. Sprinker, because if you're going to talk to yourself for an hour, you might as well publish it. We're listening to. America is talking. Investors Edge. He's got to be pleased with that. The crowd is just on his feet here.

He's a Cinderella boy. With Gary Colbomb. It comes highly recommended. You're going to feel better if you talk to him. How about those tidbits? Isn't there some interesting stuff that we find out? Never forget what they did to you in your Social Security. Oh, and by the way, do not forget you who are getting Social Security right now are not getting your money back.

You're getting the workers of today's money because that's all gone. It's all IOUs. If we had no workers today, and of course that's far-fetched, but if we had no workers, but if we had no workers today, you would not be getting your Social Security. Well, they would have to go into massive debt like they do on everything else. That's how bad it is. And that's why I love when somebody says it's a Ponzi scheme and gets yelled at for saying it's a Ponzi scheme, when it's the greatest Ponzi scheme, just so you know what the Ponzi is,

you're getting paid with other people's money. That's what it is. anyway that's the story and again we take no joy in any of this we don't take any joy in any of this but that's the government and that's what

they've done and just remember the same people that tell us how everything's great they've run us to 37 trillion dollars of debt 37 oh and by the way the republicans their new budget

has us going 5 trillion more in debt. Just letting you know. Remember, we don't trust one. We don't care who it is. We have no love for any of them. By the way, you know who I do have love for? How about this one? That guy, Federman. I like that guy. He really backs Israel big time. We love that. Absolutely love that. Anyway, back on the market It was one of those weird days that finished up well It doesn't mean much for tomorrow

I can safely tell you The market is very overbought But kind of sort of worked it off a little bit today We'll see what tomorrow brings I follow certain people out there And one of them is Dan Niles And there are a few others A lot of people are worried about how far this can go

to the upside, I think that works in the market's favor. Just remember, if everybody's bearish and the market gets to moving, and it starts to really get moving, what do you think those people have to do eventually? That is correct. Get on board at a certain period of time. That's what makes bullish markets, as well as good fundamentals and low interest rates and all that. but we're just talking about the innards of the market. So we're always watching that. It's always interested us. I still remember in 2008. I went to the bank and took out $25,000 in cash. Cash. I was worried about the whole financial system.

For damn good reason, they were dropping like flies. And then a certain someone came out. On top of me going to get cash, a certain someone with a big-time financial show got on that show and said, don't be in the market for another five years. And that was like three weeks before the bottom. And then, of course, after it bottomed, said he called the bottom. Terrific. We don't name names.

But that's the type of stuff when everybody's gas. Now, I don't think everybody was gagging on this one, but we were certainly getting a lot of bulls turning bearish. Oh, by the way, those bulls that turn bearish are kind of little bullish now again, which getting sentiment frothy again. But overall, better, though I would suggest 80% of all stocks are still in downtrends, but rallying off of those down trends and we're hoping to see a lot of them turn up and we'll take it from there. But mostly, I think that I wouldn't be surprised if we got some backing and filling for a while. And what that specifically means kind of sort of running in place. You know, we've rallied up, pulled back, rallied up again, and we are in massive resistance,

as well as those big moving averages are starting to converge. And we're not predicting, but we would not be surprised for four, five, six, eight weeks, maybe back in fill. And then if we want to get going, terrific, again, that is not a prediction, but there is massive overhead. and I'm really interested to see reactions. You know, Google Alphabet, Gapped up strong, they were talking it up on Friday, hit like 167, closed it like 162, they sold into it. It was down again today.

I think we may see things like that, not the end of the world. And I really still believe that low of three weeks ago is good. Definitely for now. And what I mean for now, for a while. Maybe they take it out eventually one day, I don't know. And there's a lesser of a chance, but still a good chance, that the low of last week, a higher low is going to hold. Though I must say at 1 o'clock today, I was like, okay, what's the deal?

So stay tuned And what we're simply going to do Is let you know on a daily basis We've told you already that Netflix, Palantir CrowdStrike and some of these others SAP are showing great relative strength If those things change we'll let you know But as I do my scans boy oh boy

A lot of things missing 80% of stocks still The bull markets in gold, even though Barons did put out a front cover, gold rush, had a good day today. Bull markets in a few insurance stocks, European banks. The European Germany is in recession and they admit it, and it's at New Yearly highs just about. So Europe's stronger than us. and you got then a smattering, just the smattering of stocks, but not many. So we'll keep paying attention, just let you know.

And I just have to go back to one tidbit I forgot about, actually two. IBM announced that they're going to spend $150 billion in the United States. I don't believe it. I think all these companies announcing $100 billion. 400 billion, 800, I think they're all full of it. I'd say it to their faces. I think they're all appeasing the president. That's what I believe. I think they're full of it. IBM, there is no way they are going to need to spend 150 billion dollars manufacturing in the United States. They're appeasing the president. They know the president loves hearing that. 150 billion in America over the next five years, ain't going to happen. Just letting you know. And we'll keep you up on that.

But I think it's all BS appeasing the president. Hey, don't exempt me from tariffs. I'm on your side type of thing. And I don't blame them for BSing. And they can, I'm sure they'll invest and they'll do some R&D here and build some plants. ain't going to be 150 billion over five years. No chance. Zero chance.

Let's see. IBM, there's 31, 46, 60 billion a year in revenues. So you're telling me they're going to take half their revenues over the next five years, all in the U.S. Building, ain't happening. Just add up the numbers. ain't buying it and that goes for all the others

with their outrageous numbers who came out with the I think there was somebody with six, seven, $800 billion ain't happening but leave no doubt there'll be more manufacturing here cool all for it

all for it up next I may be burning all my Nike wear I'll explain I'm Gary this is the one only investor It's no use putting it off. The best time for an underwear refresh is now. Tommy John underwear is designed for a perfect fit that stays put all day.

Their zero chafe thanks to four times more stretch than competing brands. And their innovative horizontal quick draw fly is a game changer. With over 30 million pairs sold, there are thousands of men out there more comfortable than you. Don't settle for less. Go to Tommyjohn.com today for 25% off your first order with Code Comfort. That's Tommyjohn.com code comfort. me John. Comfort perfected. This message is brought to you by the Capital One Venture X card. Venture X offers the premium benefits you expect, like a $300 annual Capital One travel credit for less than

you expect. Elevate your earn with unlimited double miles on every purchase, bringing you one step closer to your next dream destination. Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide. The Capital One Venture X card, what's in your wallet? Terms apply. Lounge access is subject to Change. See Capital One.com for details. This episode is brought to you by Spreaker. The platform responsible for a rapidly spreading condition known as podcast brain. Symptoms include buying microphones you don't need, explaining RSS feeds to confused relatives, and saying things like, sorry, I can't talk right now, I'm editing audio. If this sounds familiar, you're probably already a podcaster. The good news is Spreaker makes the whole process simple.

You record your show, upload it once, and Spreaker distributes it everywhere people listen, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and about a dozen apps your cousin's swears are the next big thing. Even better, Spreaker helps you monetize your show with ads, meaning your podcast might someday pay for, well, more microphones. Start your show today at spreeker.com. Spreaker, because if you're going to talk to yourself for an hour, you might as well publish it. You're listening to... What are we waiting for?

Well, what are you waiting for? One, two, ready, go. Action! H. With Gary Culper. But I have been working hard. So I didn't pay too much attention today to the tube. But I did notice, you know, things get pushed to me on Twitter and all that, you know, news and things like that, besides everything I read.

And in case you don't know, there is a slogan never again. It is a phrase or slogan. is associated with the Holocaust and other genocides. Never again. They're doing the London Marathon. At the end of the London Marathon, Nike did us display an advertisement. Big sign. In red, never again until next year.

And the bottom run. and do you know what color they used? What color was the Nazis? I'll let you take the time, go online, and check out this sign. I cannot believe. I saw somebody say that, by the way, Nazis black, white, and red. I've heard somebody say they couldn't have done this on purpose. Ladies and gentlemen, this looks like the most purposeful with the colors and the verbiage.

I don't believe in accidents. I have already tried to contact Nike to see if they have anything to say. It would be nice if I get an answer. I'm pissed. I am pissed. I am pissed. You can go take a look at it. That's Nike.

They better have a good answer. That's all I can tell you. So you can see we're covering a lot today, but all meaningful things. There is a lot of crazy going on, ladies and gentlemen, whether it's the tariffs, the lies on climate and so secure. Oh, my goodness, Al Gore was out. Oh, the lies on climate. Social security.

What a great scam. And we just, ladies and gentlemen, have to cover it. To cover you. Trust by me, unfortunately, is low. They've all earned it. And I'd love to give this president better, Marks. I can't. On the border, A plus plus plus, but on the deportation, I have no problem with deportation, but man, oh man, go read some of the stories. And I will tell you, I'm a, every person counts. And I love Tom Holman. Speaking of that, I heard the ex-Borders are Kamala Harris is going to be talking tonight and we'll be blasting the president.

The woman that on purpose the borders are that let 10 million people in, not vetting them, missing children, people dying, has something to say. Yay. You can see on equal opportunity. We are in hopes. that one day I can meet the president and sit down with him and the Treasury Secretary and tell them the waywardness of these policies that make absolutely zero sense, even worse, tariffs over income taxes. You know who wins? Oh, the wealthy. You know who loses the lower income and middle class?

we'll get blown away ridiculous ideas we hope all this changes as we have said to you we we hope President Trump came in made the tax cuts permanent do some more tax cuts knock out a ton of onerous regulations

streamline the government and go get out of the way but no they have other fish to fry and we'll keep covering it without any agenda, bias, or ulterior motive. And frankly, we couldn't care. We just want good policy. That's all we want.

And there's a reason why the president's poll numbers have tanked, tanked. And there's a reason why if the midterms were held today, the Marxist party would win the House. fortunately for the president it is only late april you got all the way to next november but i got news for you that crap comes quickly and if he doesn't change his stance and we do more of a deep dive when the marxists get the house and get to all the investigation ability you know what's next so i'm trying i'm trying to help him out because there's too many yes people. We'll see how it goes.

I must tell you, I hope, everything works out for him. I hope the economy soars. The market soars. Interest rates come down. I'm rooting. I don't think tariffs are the answer. All right.

We did a lot. And I want 100 bucks on a scratch-off. You have a great evening drive carefully. And when you get home, do like we do. Simple. Make sure you hug your family. Make sure you hug your children. They will feel better.

You will feel better. I promise they will be well. And thanks for joining. Until tomorrow. Peace out all. This has been Investor's Edge with Gary Coltbaum on BizTalk. To listen to past episodes or to get in contact with Gary, go to garyk.com. That's GaryK.com.

Guys, it's no use putting it off. The best time for an underwear refresh is now. Tommy John underwear is designed for a perfect fit that stays put all day. They're zero-chafe thanks to four times more stretch than competing brands. And their innovative horizontal quick-draw fly is a game changer. With over 30 million pairs sold, there are thousands of men out there more comfortable than you. Don't settle for less. Go to Tommyjohn.com today for 25% off your first order with Code Comfort.

That's Tommyjohn.com code comfort. Tommy John. Comfort perfected. This message is brought to you by the Capital One Venture X. card. Venture X offers the premium benefits you expect, like a $300 annual Capital One travel credit for less than you expect. Elevate your earn with unlimited double miles on every purchase, bringing you one step closer to your next dream destination. Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide. The Capital One Venture X card. What's in your wallet? Terms apply. Lounge access is subject to change. See Capital One.com for details.