Investor's Edge with Gary Kaltbaum - THE DOW [11.12.2025]

Episode Date: November 12, 2025

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That's Tommyjohn.com, CodeCompert. Tommy John. Comfort perfected. Investor's Edge with Gary Coltbaum. Straight talk about you and your money. Now from the BizTalk Studios, here is Gary Cultbaum. And welcome once again to Investors Edge. I'm Gary Coltbaum, your host. A thanks for being with us today.

Glad you here, ladies and gentlemen. Happy that you are listening. It is the 12th. It's Wednesday. It's 2025. Hope you having a good day. as always lots to talk about serious talk on everything that affects you the market the economy your job your industry

the morlocks in dc government shutdowns and all that crap and whatever else comes to mind you know what we think of them by the way if you don't get this radio show in your city we'll post it at gary k.com we'll post on our ex-fean who will follow us on x you should If you like to email us, all you got to do is be nice. No, really, all you got to do is be nice. And of course, we'll also post it on the YouTube channel, Biz TV and other podcast apps. Okay.

So where do we want to start today? Well, first off, the House will be voting tonight on the government shutdown. I don't know if you're watching. But there is all kinds of craziness going on in the state. Senate. Well, the left Marxist party is mad. So I want you to remember a couple of things of import. They have been blaming along with the media because the media sucks. The Republican side for the shutdown, and it's just not true. The shutdown was because the Democrats refused, and just so you know, and believe me, we're no fans of Republicans, but the Republicans said,

look, let's do this. Let's do this something called a CR, a continuing resolution, and let's just do it for 90 days. That way we don't shut down. We don't have these problems at the airports and with the snap and all that, with the food stamps, and let's negotiate because we're over here, you're over here, and let's figure it out for 90 days. And the Democrats said no. So it was on them. And just so you know, in the past, they were the ones that said, let's do a continuing resolution. All of a sudden, they went the other route. Now we have all these big Democrats, leading Democrats, pissed off that the government looks like it's going to open up. So what does that tell you?

Well, it tells you that the media lied again and everybody lied again about who's at fault for the government shutdown because the Democrats want it shut down. They're mad because they think they handed, get this, they handed Donald Trump a win. Not that they canceled 4% or 8% of flights today. Not that the air traffic controllers are not getting paid. Not that the food stamps weren't going out. By the way, that's on the Republican side. We're upset that Donald Trump

wins. And by the way, I'm just quoting them. I'm not making that up. I'm actually quoting these people. So tonight the House votes, and just so you know, the Republicans has a tiny sliver of a lead in the House. So if there's any defections from the Republican side on the House, it may not go down.

It may not get done. But I gather. if any Republican doesn't vote, yes, oh, they'll be excommunicated, kids. So that's tonight, and we'll see how it goes. Remember what we told you. When they tell you it's a government shutdown, no, what they should just be saying, hey, something shut down. Wasn't Obama who on purpose shut down the parks when he didn't have to,

just to piss everybody off? Anyway, that's the story today. Also of note, and this is good news, there's no more talk of 50-year mortgages. They've taken it off the table, and you can tell by the media on the right, all of a sudden they're not talking about it anymore. There was, believe it or not, something about 15-year auto loans. That all of a sudden has quieted down also, because as we have talked, told you what they're trying to fight or try to help with is affordability. Your ability to buy something. The problem is if you extend out the years of debt, you're making them pay more.

What's so good about that? Oh, but their monthly payments are going to be, but you're making them pay more over the life. Stupid. And interesting enough, supposedly the White House is pissed off at this Pulte guy for even coming up with it. Now they're trying to come up with, now this is interesting. Portable mortgages. Hmm. So, in case you don't know,

imagine you have a 3% mortgage with the house you have right now and you want to sell it and go into another house. They're thinking of the idea that you get to keep whatever mortgage you have and move it to your next house at 3%. Instead of where rates are much higher right now, at 7, I got to think that one over.

It sounds good, but if it's an idea from government, there's something got to be wrong with it. You have a 3% mortgage on your $500,000 home. You want to sell it and buy another home for $500,000, but if you go through a bank again, you're paying 7% instead of 3. So you can move the 3. Interesting.

I actually can't come up with a bad thing about it as of yet. Hmm. That one I'm going to have to think over. Interesting. That one's got me thinking. All right. So that's a little bit of them. And I'm going to try and be on the nice side today,

because there's other things going on that pisses me off, but such as life. Goldman Sachs. We have told you on this show that Goldman Sachs is one of the 30 Dow stocks. Verizon is one of the 30 Dow stocks. But Goldman Sachs is over 20 times more important. In fact, I'm going to say, say it's about 25 times. No, I take that back. 21 to 22 times more important than Verizon as far as the Dow itself.

And in case you don't know this week, which is three days old, Goldman Sachs is now up $52.71. $6.7%. So, 52.71 times 6.5, it is 342 Dow points. You ready? If Verizon went up 6.8%, it would be good for 17 Dow points. And there you have it. Goldman Sachs has broken out of range.

We mentioned yesterday on the verge It was up $28.00 today right out of the box. We didn't see any news just right out of the box. The banks right out of the box. In fact, Goldman Sachs hit 838.61 at 10 a.m. And that's where it closed. Other banks were up,

not as strong on a percentage basis. and for the record, that's good to see banks go up and break to new highs. You can't have bare markets if banks are breaking to new highs. Two other things we're going on today, which fundamentally, you can't ask for more. Yields down 0.55 to 4.065. and oil prices drop $2.55. A very good drop and possibly oil prices may be breaking down to the downside here. Possibly, not 100% sure yet.

And we've been telling you oil stocks have been acting better. Well, they got hit today. Of course, with oil prices down that much. But fundamentally, lower oil prices and lower yields, That's the cost of capital and the cost of energy dropping. You can't ask for much more. That's fundamentally for the consumer, for business. So that's a good day.

Boy, we'd love to see that continue. Up next, what else going on in the market? This is the one only investor's edge. Hi, I'm Gary Kalbaum, hosted a nationally syndicated radio show. investors edge. We're not just handsome radio people. We manage investors money for a living, specializing in fee-based discretionary money management. No big commissions, just a fee on the assets that's managed. We also provide a full range of personalized services, including retirement planning, fixed income, and educational needs, all to assist you in achieving your financial goals.

Understanding not all individuals have the same needs, we'll carefully evaluate your personal goals to determine a proper investment strategy. If your current approach to investing is not getting you to where you would like to be, call us to make an appointment for a complimentary portfolio review. The number to call is 888-4-2-5-59. That's 8-8-8-5-5-9. That's 888-4-2-2-5-9. Investment Advisory Services offered through call-bomb capital management.

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It's time to switch on the integrator units and get the brain cells working. You're listening to. Hey, this promises to be fun. Investors Edge. The last bastion of quality programming. With Gary Coltbaum. It doesn't get better than this. So, we started you out on some positives, and here's some other positives.

Eli Lilly, up another $29 today, which means the health care and pharmaceutical exchange traded funds had another decent day. Gold, which we told you a couple of days looked like it's turning up. GLD up another six bucks today to 386. Silver is actually a little stronger than gold. I should have mentioned silver. I hardly ever do, don't I? They are acting well.

The gold miners had another good day also today. and what they are doing along with silver is something that don't happen often and that is what I call a U-shape and it is a U-shape. It's when something is strong and gets too extended and has a pretty good drop but only because it was just very, very extended and comes down, stops going, down, turns up, and the pattern is a U. Those are pretty much powerful patterns if they take out the old high. It's in the midst of the U right now coming up the right side. Silver is almost there already to the old high. So that's going on. One would think maybe a pullback first, I don't know, but just let you know that area. Also today, Revenge of the Nerds Day again today.

Insurance stocks better, transports better, hospitals, retail, though there's really not a lot of great strength in retail stocks. There's a few that are stronger than others. And as we mentioned, healthcare slash medical, United Health was a big help to the Dow today. that was up about 1160 today that's a good 70 75 Dow points it had just dropped 60 points in the last three weeks and you know they have I guess what you'd call some controversial issues if there's anything I can complain about that advanced declines for a Dow up 326 today we're 22 up 20 down and the S&P was hardly up, but that's because of the tech. Do not forget eight stocks or 38% of the S&P.

You can have 492 stocks up, eight down farther than the 492 up and be flat on the day because of the waiting. And we're still amazed that the S&P hasn't tried to play with that and the same goes for the NASDAQ 100. which those eight stocks are now 70% of the NASDAQ 100, which is stunning, which means we watch those eight stocks very carefully, right? And in case you don't know, Apple, Amazon, Broadcom, Google, Nvidia, Tesla, Microsoft Meta,

1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, those are 8. Meta under serious pressure. Microsoft was again under pressure. pressure today but reversed 10 bucks by the close and finished up. Crypto. Not good. Still acting like caca. Again, we say to you, you're welcome on micro strategy.

As we have been saying to you, we don't use the word, but many others say it's a scheme of debt and stock to buy more Bitcoin, which is now in a downtrend. And Bitcoin, what, is only, let's see, off the highs recently, 72 to 15. Actually, it's down about 20% now, I think, from the highs. Micro Strategy from the recent highs is down 50%. That's what leverage will do to you. And I think I mentioned this yesterday that I saw the man, the CEO on TV. And I'm thinking to myself, man, his little thing is down 50%.

He's still leveraging, still issuing stock, and now he's got like a bond due next year. Something to that effect I was reading. And as much ado about nothing. If I'm down 50%, I'm crapping in my pants. Yeah, you know, no. Well, Bitcoin's going to 13 million, no big deal. Don't worry about being down 50%. Everything's fine.

That's what it was like. How would you feel if you were down 50% in the money? something in the last 12 weeks. And then watch the CEO on TV. Everything's good. Everything's fine. No problem. Yeah, we're fine, good.

You're welcome. And then I want to get into something. I am no H&R block. I do know how to read a balance sheet. I do know how to read a financial statement. But I repeat, sometimes I will read an accounting story from people that are actual accountants. There are people out there are called forensic accountants that really go through when a company announces their earnings.

And I've seen throughout the years where there are these forensic accountants, they'll come out and say, this company is a fraud, or this company is hiding something, or this company is, is being too aggressive, or they're moving these numbers to their, or they're depreciating over a longer period of time than they're supposed to, and it's making their cash balance much better than it really is. Dot, dot, dot, dot, dash, dash, dash, dot, dot, dot, that's what they do. And there are some out there, the forensic accountants that have been accused of of having agendas, accused. I don't pay attention to that. I do my own amateur forensic accounting

from the forensic accountants. And I have to tell you, and this is not the scare, and I'm going to be careful with the words, and I'm going to echo what others say. There are some of these companies out there that are being accused of a lot of chicanery. Up next, we're going to mention a couple.

With disclaimers. This is the one only investor's edge. Guys, it's no use putting it off. The best time for an underwear refresh is now. Tommy John underwear is designed for a perfect fit that stays put all day. Their zero-chafe thanks to four times more stretch than competing brands. And their innovative horizontal quick-draw fly is a game changer. With over 30 million pairs sold,

there are thousands of men out there more comfortable than you. Don't settle for less. Go to Tommyjohn.com today for 25% off your first order with Code Comfort. That's Tommyjohn.com code comfort. Tommy John. Comfort perfected. This message is brought to you by the Capital One Venture X card. Venture X offers the premium benefits you expect,

like a $300 annual Capital One travel credit for less than you expect. Elevate your earn with unlimited double miles on every purchase, bringing you one step closer to your next dream destination. Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide. The Capital One Venture X card. What's in your wallet? Terms apply, lounge access is subject to change. See Capital1.com for details.

This episode is brought to you by Spreaker. The platform responsible for a rapidly spreading condition known as podcast brain. Symptoms include buying microphones you don't need, explaining RSS feeds to confused relatives, and saying things like, Sorry, I can't talk right now. I'm editing audio. If this sounds familiar, you're probably already a podcaster. The good news is Spreaker makes the whole process simple.

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The crowd is just on his feet here. He's a Cinderella boy. With Gary Colbomb. It comes highly recommended. You're going to feel better if you talk to him. So, so do not take my word for it. I'm not claiming anything. I'm reporting what others are saying.

And I bring this up because the stock is being trashed, even though the revenues were up 207% year over year. Core weave. An IPO at 40 bucks that hit 187, that is down to 85 bucks, and is diving, tanking. Tanked yesterday on earnings and more today. there are people out there that are claiming and they're showing it, not just claiming, about accounting engineering on Corweave. Accounting engineering on their cash, on the debt, and to be very, very careful of it, on the raising of more and more debt to cover the arses.

one of the reasons why they are saying Oracle, which announced gargantuan numbers going forward. In fact, when Oracle announced gargantuan numbers going forward, I know some respectable people that look at numbers like that. They come out and said, buy the living crap out of Oracle. It's going to be a thousand dollar stock. It's gone from 345 to 226.

because we are finding out now laden with massive amounts of debt. And it looks like to cover whatever is going on going forward with all these announcements. And interesting enough, I'm reading up all about this core weave last night. And it was downgraded to neutral from some company from overweight. I have no idea what overweight means or neutral. And they cut, I guess they did a little cutting of guidance going forward. And then the day after, I'm reading all this, Corweave entered into agreement to increase its revolving credit facility from $1.5 billion to $2.5 billion

and extend maturity dates. And again, I'm not claiming anything. I'm just reporting to you what others are saying about debt. and now they're raising even more and more debt. And more importantly, and you know us, we don't buy bare market stocks. The stock is in a deep dive bare market in spite of the many. So if you have a chance you can go on X, put in the symbol, and it comes up what some people are saying,

and boy, they outlined some interesting stuff. and I'm looking at over and saying, hmm, they shouldn't be able to do that. So we'll see how it plays out. And of course, there are other things going on. And you're welcome again. They're murdering the quantum stocks now. Except for IBM that keeps announcing quantum.

Good for them. But they're murdering the quantum stocks now. crushing them. Do you remember the one I told you? that their company is in a strip shopping center. And remember I told you, the CEO said they will not be able to scale for years? It's gone from 58 to 28 in one, two, three and a half weeks. And they are very little in the way of sales and lose a crap load of money.

Remember that one? That's just one. One of the favorites of Wall Street, I-O-N-Q, is the symbol. They have some sales, not many. 84 to 50 in three weeks. And get this. Has a $20 billion market cap with 50 million sales. 20 billion.

S-9, S-10, S-11 valuations. And then in quantum, there's a bunch of names with the queue at the beginning. Here's one, 46 to 26 in the last three weeks. Here's another queue. Not bad. 19 to 14. That's actually not bad. How about this other queue? 26 to 11. No sales. In quantum. Only a $1.8 billion mark cap with no sales. You know what else they're killing? The rare earths. The rare earths. Remember the one we told you that said, oh, we're doing something with Donald Trump and whatever, a 10 and a half to $4.80. You know what else they're killing now too? They had really ramped up

these Bitcoin mining companies, and let me be the first to admit, I have no clue what the hell they do. They're being mauled. How about the IPO? I mentioned yesterday those brothers. God bless them. They're billionaires from Bitcoin. What's their name? WinkleVos, they do an IPO of a company that loses just tons. $28 deal. The hot IPO market has it at 46 this first day. $13.80 and tanking. And they lost a crap load of money last quarter.

So, be careful. The good news is the froth is coming off. That's the good news. We love that the froth is coming off. We hate froth. We hate speculation. It's usually not good for the markets. And just letting you know they're coming after it now.

And pretty darn good. And anything along those lines that break the 50-day moving average, you've got to run for the hills, kids. You've got to run for the hills. Or else. But positives. Banks break out today in the new highs. Healthcare coming on.

A lot of the nerds doing better. Yeah, I can come up with a few things else that are not thrilling. But hey, let's accentuate some good today. By the way, other financials were pretty much all green today. And they've been weak. Steel stocks. Go look at SLX. strong

SLX Strong Mostly out of earning season Now though Cisco systems Speaking revenge Closed at 74, 78 in the aftermarket I think it's almost back to the highs of 2000

No not yet 82 bucks was the high of 2000 Cisco 78 bucks in the aftermarket That's stunning, by the way. Wow. That's CSCO, by the way. But the good story today, oil prices and cost the capital down. We'll take more days like today. That'd be fine by us. Good news today, that 50-year stupid mortgage off the table, 15-year auto loan off the table. mortgage has me thinking. Portable mortgages. Okay. I think I could be for that at first blush. Maybe not on second. I don't know how they're going to do that and I don't know how the banks are going to feel about that. They end up losing a bunch of money. Up next. Oh, we got some news of today. This is the one only investor's edge. It's no use putting it off. The best time for an

underwear refresh is now. Tommy John underwear is designed for a perfect fit that stays put all day. Their zero-chafe thanks to four times more stretch than competing brands and their innovative horizontal quick-draw fly is a game changer. With over 30 million pairs sold, there are thousands of men out there more comfortable than you. Don't settle for less. Go to Tommyjohn.com today for 25% off your first order with code comfort. That's Tommyjohn.com code comfort. Tommy John. Comfort perfected.

This message is brought to you by the Capital One Venture X card. Venture X offers the premium benefits you expect, like a $300 annual Capital One travel credit for less than you expect. Elevate your earn with unlimited double miles on every purchase, bringing you one step closer to your next dream destination. Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide. The Capital One Venture X card. What's in your world? wallet, terms apply, lounge access is subject to change. See Capital One.com for details. This episode is brought to you by Spreaker, the platform responsible for a rapidly spreading

condition known as podcast brain. Symptoms include buying microphones you don't need, explaining RSS feeds to confused relatives, and saying things like, sorry, I can't talk right now, I'm editing audio. If this sounds familiar, you're probably already a podcaster. The good news is Spreaker makes the whole process simple. You record your show, upload it once, and Spreaker distributes it everywhere people listen. Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and about a dozen apps your cousin swears are the next big thing. Even better, Spreaker helps you monetize your show with ads, meaning your podcast might someday pay for, well, more microphones.

Start your show today at spreeker.com. Sprinker, because if you're going to talk to yourself for an hour, you might as well publish it. You're listening to. What are we waiting for? Well, what are you waiting for? One, two, two. Ready go. Investers Edge with Gary Culper.

And welcome once again to Investors Edge. I don't know. Am I in the third or fourth segment now? I've lost my spot today. I don't even know. Oh, good. In the news. Hmm.

You know, I really don't know what's going on with voters, ladies and gentlemen. These things I don't understand, I try to be careful, but Mandami in New York City gets voted in by the Jews. And just so you know, after he won, everything about him is the hate of Jews in Israel. Seattle, Washington, they put in a left-wing socialist as the mayor. She lives at home. She's in her 40s, and her parents pay her way. and they voted her in.

Hey Seattle, are you smoking something? What I am being told is the younger vote are leaning towards socialism because this is what I'm told. The offer of free things. This woman is called for cutting police funding in the past. I don't know what's happening to voters. I'm just such a freaking big believer in number one job of a leader of a community, a city, the country is to protect the citizens, and the funding of police is the stupidest idea I've ever heard.

But hey, Seattle, maybe it's just me. In the news, in case you don't know, Gavin News, the destroyer of California, By the way, when I say destroy it, you can't destroy California. It's one of the most beautiful states in the country. It's fabulous. People are great. It should be easy. But so should Chicago and Portland and all these cities that are being croaked on.

He's at a climate conference. By the way, he is the frontrunner for 2008. As of this second, I'm getting. guaranteeing it. People like him just hate you. Just remember what we have taught you and told you about these climate people. It has nothing to do with the climate. It has everything to do. They have to come up with something to scare the crap out of you, create a crisis and extract your dollars. That's all it is. In 1982, Al Gore was on Dan Rather and said, Florida is going to be underwater. That's 82.

18 years ago, he said we had 10 years to doom. He said 10 years, even though the Earth is 4.5 billion years old. You had Biden handing out billions to a bunch of cretons in the last few weeks of his presidency. They all created NGOs in Delaware for climate, even though they have no background in it. It's all a scam. If you ask one of them, okay, you want to work on the, what do you want to do? How are you going to stop the fires and the hurricanes and tornadoes? What are you going to do?

They're full of it. Looks like Gavin Newsom is going to be the chief full of it going forward. Be ready. But that's not my big worry. You know what the worry is. Regardless of what the president's telling you, his poll numbers are horrible. his approval numbers are horrible his rating on the economy is horrible it is he knows it he says it isn't but it is prices and the supermarkets are up and he's telling everybody prices it down it should be a

for the republicans to beat the marxist party next november but i'm telling you if these numbers stay i'm not so sure we will stay on top of it as i have said to you, I really should get down to Moralago or the White House. I can help them. That 50-year mortgage, all they had to do is give me 10 seconds. I would have scared them straight. No, but that went out. They keep talking the market is up. Well, it is. And you know what? My father let him rest in peace always said when it comes to markets, whoever is the president gets the credit. So the president gets the credit on that. But it's not equating to the voters box.

Democrats just kick the Republicans. You know what. It's not equating to the numbers. And I'm not a big believer in polls, but man, these numbers are extreme. They better get their act together, kids. They better get their act together. Politics is about marketing, not just money. We'll see how it plays out.

But I must tell you, more and more control freak socialist running cities New York City Seattle you got a nut job in Chicago fortunately somebody in San Fran took over much better mayor of San Fran much better

you know what he's doing he's fighting crime what a concept and this all matters and when all is said and done all of it matters. Yeah, I know markets are up, new high again today, but I'm thinking long term.

And I believe the leaders' country should set the stage for great. You put more people that stomp on your head and tax the hell out of you and regulate everything you do? Forget about it. Let violent criminals out of jail with no bond. Forget about it. You'll have a great evening, drive kids. carefully. I'll be on Fox Business Network noon hour tomorrow. Check that out. And when you get home,

do like we do. Quite simple. Make sure you hug your family. Make sure you hug your children. They will feel better. You will feel better. I promise next Wednesday, the Coltbaum family. Thanksgiving dinner for the Boys and Girls Clubs of Central Florida. We'll talk about it more tomorrow. You have a great evening. Good night all. Bye-bye. This has been Investors Edge with Gary Coltbaum on BizTalk. To listen to past episodes or to get in contact with Gary, go to Garyk.com. That's GaryKK.com. Guys, it's no use putting it off. The best time for an underwear

refresh is now. Tommy John underwear is designed for a perfect fit that stays put all day. Their zero-chafe thanks to four times more stretch than competing brands and their innovative horizontal quick-draw fly is a game changer. With over 30 million pairs sold, there are thousands of men out there more comfortable than you. Don't settle for less. Go to Tommyjohn.com. today for 25% off your first order with Code Comfort. That's Tommyjohn.com code comfort. Tommy John. Comfort perfected. This message is brought to you by the Capital One Venture X card.

Venture X offers the premium benefits you expect, like a $300 annual Capital One travel credit for less than you expect. Elevate your earn with unlimited double miles on every purchase, bringing you one step closer to your next dream destination. Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide. The Capital One Venture X card. What's in your wallet? Terms apply. Lounge access is subject to change. See Capital One.com for details.