Investor's Edge with Gary Kaltbaum - Vicious reversals [11.20.2025]
Episode Date: November 20, 2025https://garykaltbaum.com/The opinions you hear on BizTalkRadio, BizTV, or BizTalkPodcasts are those of the hosts, callers, and guests and do not necessarily reflect those of BizTalkRadio, BizTV, or Bi...zTalkPodcasts, its management or advertisers. The information on BizTalkRadio does not constitute a recommendation, offer, or solicitation to buy or sell any product or securities. Please consult a professional before investing.
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Investor's Edge with Gary Coltbaum.
Straight talk about you and your money.
Now from the BizTalk Studios, here is Gary Cultbaum.
And welcome once again to Investors Edge.
I'm Gary Coltbaum, your host.
A thanks for being with us today.
Glad you here, ladies and gentlemen, happy that you are listening.
It's November 20th, 2025.
It's a Thursday, and boy, we're glad the market's closed.
Hey ladies and gentlemen, as you know, serious talk and everything affects you.
We do markets.
Today, we're going to do markets.
We're not even going to get into anything else.
We're going to do markets.
As you know, you have been warned more than once by us on bubbles, no sales.
the concentration of money by the big institutions in one certain area,
encompassing a certain amount of names.
We have warned you recently about some of the things we have been reading
and also investigating ourselves that without getting too tough,
on the surface looks somewhat suspicious we're big believers here and I'm measuring my words
very carefully we're big believers about one plus one equals two we're big
believers is the fastest way to get something or to something is a straight line
We're big believers in norms.
We're big believers in precedent and history.
We're big believers in calling out the outrageous.
And we have seen some of that in recent weeks, if not months.
So first let's introduce.
I'm Gary Kaltbaum. This is Investors' Edge. Serious talk. We'll do markets today. Everything else goes to the back of the bus.
If you do not get this radio show in your city, we'll post it at garyk.com, also on our X feed. You should follow us on X.
If you don't. If you'd like to email us, just be nice. We'll also post it on podcast apps as well as the Biz TV YouTube channel.
We were out yesterday. In case you don't.
know we did the I think it's the 23rd maybe 24th it's not 22nd annual cult bomb
family Thanksgiving dinner for the Boys and Girls Clubs of Central Florida we had about
300 youth there last night had a blast it was really one of the best we've had and you
know what they did this time and I was very happy about it they told these young men and
women to dress like they're gone to a wedding and man they
you should see these girls and these young kids in dresses and the teenagers dressing in suits.
It was fantastic.
If you're in Central Florida, Four Rivers is who we engage with to serve, a great barbecue place.
And it was just a blast.
Of course, I caught the flu, and it's the cold and flu season.
And it's the cold and flu edition of Investor's Edge.
I gotta tell you I would rock today, but I'll be fine.
That's all.
Let's work backwards if it's okay with you.
We warned you incessantly, pretty much nagging, that there were bubbles in this market.
That somehow, you never know why.
Nuclear stocks, drones, robo-anything,
rare earth
quantum computing
Bitcoin mining
these stocks
not all but a lot of them
went freaking vertical
and a lot of them
not all
had no sales
we watched how one name
one name
went to a $25 billion
market cap imagine
25 billion dollar market cap with no sales and let me put this to you if you're buying the stock
when it had you're paying 25 billion dollars for a company with no sales it's gone from
193 to 88 and dropped another 14 percent today and it's just one they are ripping the
stuffings out of all these names now uh remember the
rare earth out of nowhere and this just happened like five or six weeks ago and we warned and why did
they go higher well in a frenzy of speculation oh the administration's talking rare earth and
china and this and that and we watch no sale stuff i'm looking at one right now that went from
13 to 44 bucks
13 to 44
and at 13
it's 13
it's got a $1 billion
market cap with no sales
it's back to
1220
and I can sit here
and go through about a hundred of them
and there's probably more that I don't even know about
so that's number one
number two bubble
and we kept
warning and warning daily
the hot IPO bubble.
They were opening up IPOs
hot.
They've all crashed.
And when I say crashed,
you think 50% are crash in six, eight weeks?
I would say so, right?
A crash doesn't have to happen in one day.
Here's one that's gone from 80 to 36.
It doesn't matter which name.
It's like all of them.
Here's one that's gone from,
oh, 57 on the first.
day, 28th today. So there's just another bubble. And we warned, and we hope you listen,
because no sales stuff sucks. We have this motto that ultimately, eventually, they all go back
to where they came from. We just don't know when eventually is. And it just so happened
the last six weeks. But there are other things that have been going on. We have been telling
you about, we always mention this, our left screen. We have a screen that is about six columns
long of technology stocks that have crumbled. Crumbled. And the list keeps getting bigger and bigger.
And we get asked, wait a minute, technology, I thought it's a bull market. Well, it's been a
bull market for select. I don't want to call it for you because it's 45,000.
50, 60, 70, I don't know.
They are just getting mutilated now.
Destroyed.
They're in bare markets.
Forget everybody else telling you otherwise.
They're in bare markets.
And some of them are just start Uber just topped out today on one and a half times average volume, breaking six months support.
That's just going to go starting its bare market now.
And I can give you a long list.
Not on my left screen yet is Pallantir.
That's starting, it's already down 20 some odd percent from the high.
But we mean bare market.
We mean the process goes on for weeks, if not months.
And then you have the favored.
What has been the big story that has been jammed down your,
throat every day. Artificial intelligence and let me tell you what I'm hearing as I watch
people. It's taking over the world. It's a bull market that's going to last five years,
if not longer. It's going to take away your job. You've been hearing that right? Artificial
intelligence and what we have seen. Recently, there's been about three,
30, 40, 50 names. Some of them lose money, but a lot of them have strong earnings. We're not complaining about their earnings.
But what have we complained about? One word. Concentration. The big institutions, the mutual funds, the hedge funds and all them.
The bubble in concentration. It doesn't have to be on the business. The bubbles in concentration. If these big funds,
sell everything and sell them down down to nothing and keep piling on the few what happens
up next we'll tell you what happens and then today this is the one only investors edge
hi I'm Gary Kalbaum hosted a nationally syndicated radio show Investors Edge we're not just
handsome radio people we manage investors money for a living specializing in fee-based
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We also provide a full range of personalized services,
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Investment Advisory Services offered through Colbomb Capital Management.
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It's time to switch on the integrator units and get the brain cells working.
You're listening to.
Hey, this promises to this.
be fun. Investors Edge. The last bastion of quality programming with Gary
Coltbaum. It doesn't get better than this. And look once again to Investors Edge. You know I promised
not to do anything else but I just got to tell you I just got an email from Kamala Harris
asking me to donate money. She spent $1.5 billion dollars threw it down the toilet and she wants
people to donate money still.
The grapefruits of these people.
It's amazing to watch.
Okay. So the artificial intelligence, everything,
and we have noted for you what happened in 1999.
Back then in 99, you had companies making all kinds of announcements,
mutual funds changing their name to internet fund,
companies adding dot com to their name and recently
everybody's making announcements about artificial intelligence
and you can tell the announcement did not need to be made
and was not material but in order to goose the stocks
a little worry but we've also told you recently
and we're doing a little fundamental stuff here
the numbers that are coming out of these companies on how much
they're supposedly going to spend and projecting four years from now are just outrageous.
Without saying they're going to happen or not happen, I'm no ersts than young, but I can add.
And I keep questioning one thing, how is there going to be return on investment for all this spend?
and one thing is stuck out like a gargantuan sore thumb.
Oracle announces a gargantuan number into 2030, and the stock is crashed.
And also, the insurance for their credit is going the wrong way.
And the bonds of companies like Corweave are dropping like stocks.
So the big market's not believing this.
Forget what I think.
And then we had, you know, the guy from the big short, his name is Michael Burry, made a ton of money betting against the mortgage-backed securities.
Well, he came out recently and made big bets against Palantir and Invidia.
And he's come out and basically stated he thinks the accounting is a joke.
The numbers are ridiculous.
And he talks about what we have said to you here that I worry.
about this vendor circular financing.
And that means, hey, I'm a company,
and, you know, I'm going to invest all this money with you,
but you're going to buy my products.
Now, I'm doing no accusing of anybody.
I'm stating a fact.
And if you go on the web,
they are Bury and a bunch of these other people,
put out these circles with all the names of these companies,
and it looks like just that.
but who knows
who knows
so I'm at my dinner last night
and I on purpose said
I don't want to see what Nvidia did
but as I get into my car leaving
I'm on Twitter
X and I see a bunch of people that I know are
against Nvidia
complaining so I'm figuring
Nvidia's up nicely
and I get home and yes
Nvidia was up nicely
not as big as I thought would be, but it was like 196.
196.
Closed it 186 in chain, so a nice move for a mega cap like that.
But then I noticed something.
I noticed something.
Accounts receivable skyrocketed.
Skyrocketed to the roof.
Vertical.
And what that means is they're not getting paid.
Not forever, but they ain't getting paid right now.
And knowing that a lot of these companies don't have the money
or have to get invested in buy Nvidia, you wonder.
And I'm looking at that last night and saying,
man, in the past, when the market saw a real spike in account receivables,
the stocks usually got hit.
yet there was a party and the Dow was up 700 points early on everything was lifting the NASDAQ at 23147 I'm adding up
170 the NASDAQ was up 580 lifting lifting everything even the NASDAQ was up 580 lifting everything even the weak
was bouncing and I was puzzled but I said to myself you know I hate these gaps I
don't like selling a big gap down I don't like buying a big gap up so I did nothing
and I also noticed everybody making fun of Michael Burry because he was
short a lot of these stocks they're making fun of them and as you know we don't
make fun of anybody here we think this business is hard years ago we learned
the lesson when we used to make fun of the guy on, you know, that show. But I got an email from
a very nice man that says, you know, it does not look good and does, so we've stopped.
The only person we even bring up here is Kathy Wood. And that's only because she keeps presenting
herself as the guru and she's down 60% from like four years ago. And her predictions are obscene.
That's it. Let me give you the final numbers today, which are amazing.
the NASDAQ which hit 23147 right around the first half hour hour finish at 22,078 down 1,070 points to be down 486.
the Dow that was up 700
46856 the 45752
1100 points from the high
and by the way we finished kind of on the lows
the Philadelphia all important Philadelphia
semiconductor index was at 6882
finished at 6352 dropped 5,000
530 points after being up 213.
This is one of the top five for me, days as far as movement.
I'll explain that up next and what the probabilities are.
This is the one only investors end.
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What's in your wallet?
Terms apply lounge access is subject to change.
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He's got to be pleased with that.
The crowd is just on his feet here.
He's a Cinderella boy.
With Gary Colbomb.
It comes highly recommended.
You're going to feel better if you talk to him.
So,
NVIDIA
Was it in 196 at the highs today
Closed at less than 181
Down $15
From near the open
It's like
360 billion of market cap
Unbelievable
And the next part
Do you know how I said
There were like 30 or 40 names
They all opened high
and got slaughtered and the names that got slaughtered were the ones that were strongest
early like the semiconductor equipment stocks are the ones that benefit from more stuff being done
and the bet at the end of the day is left stunned the stuff is going to be done huh big reversal
big volume it was not aunt Mary and uncle Bob selling I want to let you know and I want you to
listen carefully, you are going to hear. People say it's the computers and it's the algorithms.
That's a bunch of bull crap and it's an excuse. These are the big institutions, the hedge funds,
mutual funds that have owned so much of these stocks, so many shares that are in recognition
of whatever they are recognition of and their executives and portfolio managers,
getting together and saying, how many shares do you have? And you reverse today from being above
the 50 day to decently below the 50 day moving average. Remember what we tell you about breaking?
Typically invites. So get a whiff of some of this. How about KLAC, semi-conductor equipment?
was 1,200 on the open today.
Up 35 bucks, finished down $65 to $1,100.
Micron, well, that's just plain topped.
Down 25.
Remember what we told you, they're in the Redwoods?
Sandisk, down 50.
By the way, that was up 10 early.
50.
Crowdstrike, 22.
Celestica, 30.
The list goes on. It's gross. And I have no clue about tomorrow. They can bounce it or not. But by the close today, top of consequence, notice the little question mark. Now, as you know, we have been much more defensive. We've been telling you all this. How narrow things are. What have we been saying in the last week?
600 new yearly lows and no new yearly highs advanced declines a thousand up 3,500 down.
Well, you opened hot as hell today.
Advanced declines were as about as good as can be at the close.
1,073 up 3379 down on New York and 1,095 up 3468 down on the NASDAQ.
And new yearly lows, 651 on the New York and NASDAQ, even.
No, you're not even close to the new yearly lows of the indices.
Evidencing underneath the surface is what we've been telling you is how many more names
under big pressure in their own bare markets.
Simple as that.
That's the story.
I'm thinking.
I'm guessing.
on top of the unbelievable concentration
that has to be worked off eventually.
It always is.
Combining that with somebody woke up to
skyrocketing accounts receivable
and bonds of these technology companies getting hit
and the credit spreads,
whoopsie,
and Oracle announcing gargantuan numbers and going from this is Oracle 345 down to 214.
You think you got some waking up today.
And there's your story.
But I'm not done.
Crypto, another new low today.
Relative.
Not the lows of the year.
But you're heading there.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, micro strategy, down to 178.
from 457 in June
while the CEO's on TV this week
you know
Coinbase
oft mentioned
Just going from 402 to 238
Robin Hood
Down 12 today to 106
It's gone from 150 to 106
In three weeks
We just sold ours with a game
We should have made more than we made
But we sold with a game
I think we made four bucks
yby
the ice got thinner today
I have no clue about tomorrow
I know how government
works they're psychotic
so I wonder what the Fed's going to do
they're insane
and I really look
I say this with
all due respect
and you know what I'm about to say
is true you got a loose cannon
for president
on so many things and I've said to you
I just think there's too much of him every day.
You know what I think.
Keep taxes low.
Regulations low.
Fight crime.
Keep the border secure and get the hell out of the way and that's it.
That ain't happening now.
That's your story.
Very rough day.
Goldman Sachs today.
Get this.
It's a financial.
Hit 816 in the morning.
closed at $7.74. $42
reversal? It was up 30.
Finish down 12.
We've warned you also about the private equity mergers and acquisitions companies.
They're getting rocked.
Other financials getting rock.
MasterCard and Visa are getting rocked.
And you already know about all the avoids.
How many times did we say avoid the ADP paychecks?
jobs by the way just another thing job market came out today 100 and something thousand administration
was out what a great report no the report's not great 115 000 jobs not great 250 is good just letting you
know and i know they have to market to you and that's okay we've warned you about the housing and
housing related the lots most of the retail the non-a-i economically sensitive
recently the financials, restaurants we warned about.
There's been better action in the consumer staples, but they're not bullish.
We warned you about insurance.
We warned you about travel.
The managed care stocks.
We told you better action in the drugs and the medicals for whatever reason.
But there's just been a lot of weakness underneath the surface.
And that didn't help today.
Let me add one more thing.
You know, the semiconductors, the index has been strong.
I got most of the stocks in a bare market.
It's been the select few AI names that they came after today, led by the almighty Nvidia.
And I want to let you know I'm not accusing anything of anybody.
But I am reporting to you, man, I've seen this before.
That's all.
Wait a minute.
I saw this before.
What do they mean by?
And you know what the excuse is?
Well, they're not using debt.
Oh, yes, they are now.
Everybody in tech is raising debt to do the AI thing.
And as I have said to you,
where's the return on investment on the amount of money they say is going to be spent?
And by the way, that's a valid question.
If you are opening a lemonade stand and you're selling a,
a glass for a dollar, but it costs you a dollar 50.
Point taken.
Up next, we'll wind it up.
This is the one only investors edge.
Guys, it's no use putting it off.
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Tommy John underwear is designed for a perfect fit that stays put all day.
Their zero-chafe thanks to four times more stretch than competing brands.
And their innovative horizontal quick-draw fly is a game changer.
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Don't settle for less.
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That's Tommyjohn.com code comfort.
Tommy John, comfort perfected.
This message is brought to you by the Capital One VentureX card.
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like a $300 annual Capital One travel credit for less than you expect.
Elevate your earn with unlimited double miles on every purchase,
bringing you one step closer to your next dream destination.
Plus, enjoy access to over 1,000 airport lounges worldwide.
The Capital One Venture X card.
What's in your wallet?
Terms apply.
Lounge access is subject to change.
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This episode is brought to you by Spreaker.
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Symptoms include buying microphones you don't need, explaining RSS feeds to confused relatives,
and saying things like, sorry, I can't talk right now, I'm editing audio.
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The good news is Spreaker makes the whole process simple.
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and Spreaker distributes it everywhere people listen.
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You're listening to
What are we waiting for?
Well, what are you waiting for?
One, two, ready, go.
Investers Edge with Gary Culper.
And welcome once again to Investors Edge.
By the way, again, we did our Thanksgiving dinner last night.
It's Thanksgiving next week.
as we have stated to you
if able
consider to do something
for somebody you need absolutely nothing
from and it doesn't have to be big, doesn't have to be
mid, could be small.
Something, just something.
You will feel better than the person
you're doing something for, I promise you.
And this
all came from that line.
I don't remember where I heard it from.
I heard it from somebody else.
I don't remember.
But what happened was when I started
making a little bit of cake. My wife and I were one of the first people to do a make a wish.
We sent two young girls who, by the way, were dying. We sent the family to Disney World.
And the mom, we met, she was bawling her brains out to me and giving me hugs and she
wouldn't even let go. And that just made such an impact on me that we never stopped.
And we used to do Halloween parties at the Cancer Center at Jackson Memorial and holiday parties.
We came up to Central Florida and we started doing at the Coalition for the Homeless.
Once a month we did a birthday party for any kid at the homeless shelter, a birthday party.
Love doing that.
And then we met Gary Kane for the Boys and Girls Clubs.
and when we met with Gary, I asked him,
so what do you do for Thanksgiving?
We're not doing anything.
I said, now you are.
And that was that.
And we've been doing it for a very long time,
and it's an absolute blast.
And last night was special.
If you go on our X feed, you'll see a couple of videos.
Okay.
What next?
Well, few things.
Careful.
bare markets get no help from Wall Street.
In case you don't know, I'm looking to my left right now,
and let me just come up with names that maybe you do know.
Airbnb is in a bare market.
Celsius is in a bare market.
That's that drink.
Carvanna is in a bare market.
Checkpoint software is in a bear market.
Kava Group is not in a bear market, has crashed.
DoorDash, by the way,
DoorDash
Let me just tell you what this stock just did
From highs
285 to 187 in the last
Four weeks
Bear Market
Duolingo
Draft Kings
Equinex
GoDaddy
Garmin
HubSpot
Intuit
I'm coming up with names I think you know
Match.com
Service Now PayPal, Roblox, Roku, Synopsis, TKO, they own the WWE, Trade Desk, Uber that gave in today, Robin Hood, that core weave, Shopify, I'll just stop there.
those stocks are in bare markets and all the analysts continue to have buys and strong
buys until they drop 50, 60 percent and then they change it to hold, which I still haven't
figured out what that means. So just remember that. Also remember, all you're going to hear is
everything's okay. No, no. You got that? Today was not an okay day. For me, it's a top five
on how strong we opened and how weak we closed.
I've seen reversals before, but this one took some of that cake.
And at some important junctures, by the way, I didn't mention meta, bear market,
Salesforce.com, bear market, booking holdings, bare market, Adobe, a brutal bear market, Microsoft.
553 to 4.78. Let's see. 53 and 22. Not getting there. SAP, bare market.
Spotify just went 785 to 589. And they all have buys on them. Home Depot, bare market.
Just went from 427 to 332 in seven weeks. So we urge you do a little looking, do a little
watching and we're pretty decent at this just on the avoid side and I can tell you we got some
more avoiding today anything else going on well I told you Bitcoin gold was kind of flat today
bond market had a decent day yields came down but whoopi do excuse me oil prices down a little
but whoopi do I gather Europe and Asia are going to have a rough overnight more than likely but you
never know. And just
eat oils.
We've been saying to you there's a smattering
of oils that are strong they're coming in two
now. Whenever there's a group
of 200 stocks and 10 of them
are strong, we're not going to buy them.
You really want some
real group participation, ladies and
gentlemen.
Last thing I want to mention,
unfortunately Wall Street
has come out with some weird crap.
I didn't even know there was
something out there with the symbol MSTU.
It's double the performance of micro strategy.
It's gone from 31.5 to a buck 20.
I just want to let you know these doubles and triples and all that crap.
Careful.
That's all.
And they also came out with some other weird crap.
of writing calls on stocks and they're paying 100%
but they're not.
Be careful. I saw somebody touting that crap.
And that's it.
From the flu-ridden house,
you'll have a great evening drive carefully.
Nice to see a bounce tomorrow, but man, today.
When you get home, do like we do,
make sure you hug your family, make sure you hug your children.
They will feel better, you will feel better.
I promise they will be well.
Thanks for joining.
hopefully better tomorrow.
Tonight.
This has been Investor's Edge
with Gary Cult Bomb on BizTalk.
To listen to past episodes
or to get in contact with Gary,
go to GaryK.com.
That's GaryK.com.
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