Irregular Warfare Podcast - Land Forces, Irregular Warfare, and a New Strategic Landscape

Episode Date: July 30, 2021

The US military and its allies are faced with the challenges of shifting focus toward great power competition while still maintaining the ability to counter threats on the fringes. Where does irregul...ar warfare fit in this new strategic landscape? This episode explores the role of land forces within great power competition. Chief of Staff of the Army General James C. McConville and Dr. Peter Roberts of the Royal United Services Institute discuss the implications for land forces within this strategic shift from counterterrorism to a national security strategy oriented on great power competition, including the role of irregular warfare and shaping the environment as ways to deter near-peer competitors. Intro music: "Unsilenced" by Ketsa Outro music: "Launch" by Ketsa CC BY-NC-ND 4.0

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Starting point is 00:00:00 We've got to be able to chew gum and walk at the same time, and I think that's important. And as we come out of places like Afghanistan and Iraq, we are aligning ourselves regionally, and we are not walking away from irregular warfare. Deterring adversaries happens in very different ways, depending on who you're talking about. What might deter the Kremlin doesn't necessarily deter Tehran. What deters Pyongyang is not necessarily works in Beijing. They're all very different. Welcome to episode 32 of the Irregular Warfare podcast. I'm Laura Jones, and I'll be your host today along with Kyle Atwell. Today's episode explores the role of land forces in great power competition. for land forces of the strategic shift in focus from counterterrorism to a national security strategy
Starting point is 00:01:05 oriented on great power competition. They define success in competition as preventing a major war and spend much of the conversation discussing the role of irregular warfare and shaping the environment as ways to deter near-peer competitors. General James C. McConville is currently serving as the 40th Chief of Staff of the U.S. Army. A native of Quincy, Massachusetts, he is a graduate of the U.S. Military Academy at West Point and he holds a Master of Science in Aerospace Engineering from Georgia Institute of Technology. He was also a National Security Fellow at Harvard University. General McConville has commanded at multiple levels, including a tour as Commanding General
Starting point is 00:01:41 of the 101st Airborne Division, and has held multiple joint staff positions. Dr. Peter Roberts is the Director of Military Sciences at the Royal United Services Institute and is a visiting professor of modern war at the French Military Academy. In addition to researching, publishing, and lecturing on a range of military topics, Peter hosts the Western Way of War podcast. This episode will also run on his channel. the Western Way of War podcast. This episode will also run on his channel. Before earning his doctorate, Peter spent more than 20 years as a career warfare officer in the Royal Navy, where he served in multiple countries around the world. You're listening to the Irregular
Starting point is 00:02:14 Warfare podcast, a joint production of the Princeton Empirical Studies of Conflict Project and the Modern War Institute at West Point, dedicated to bridging the gap between scholars and practitioners to support the community of irregular warfare professionals. Here's our conversation with General McConville and Dr. Roberts. General James McConville, Dr. Peter Roberts, welcome to the Irregular Warfare Podcast. Thank you for being here today. Well, thank you, Laura. It's great to be with you. Nice to be here. Today, we're here to talk about the role of land forces in great power competition. General McConville, you recently released a white paper on competition and another on multi-domain operations, which addressed this question.
Starting point is 00:02:53 Can you start by outlining the characteristics of competition that you see as most relevant to the Army land forces today? Well, we find ourselves in the United States Army at an inflection point. We spent the last 20 years in places like Afghanistan and Iraq and Syria conducting what some would call irregular warfare type operations, counterinsurgency, counterterrorism. would describe as great power competition. But what we want to do, the characteristics of the competition that we see is that we must compete with competitors. And great power competition between China and Russia does not necessarily mean great power conflict. And quite frankly, it can't mean great power conflict. But the characteristics of the competition that we will participate in has a human dimension to it. And that's where land forces come into it. The fact that we need to have positional advantage, and that means the characteristics of having our forces with calibrated force posture in a place that we can provide reassurance to allies. posture in a place that we can provide reassurance to allies, and we can also put ourselves in a position for deterrence of those who may wish us harm. We also need to have a capabilities
Starting point is 00:04:14 advantage. So we're developing six modernization priorities that give us the ability to compete both below the level of armed conflict and above the level of armed conflict. And these include things like long range precision fires, future vertical lift, and some other capabilities that are going to give us the speed, the range. And we have a new concept we call convergence to bring this all together. That's going to give us decision dominance that will give us overmatch in this competition. I mean, I think it's fascinating that you talk about this inflection point. You talk to a lot of military leaders around the world at the moment, everyone's talking about this inflection point. Lots of them talk about it in terms of technology or capabilities, as you touched on the end. But I had a feeling from something that you said earlier,
Starting point is 00:04:56 right at the start of your answer there, you were talking about an inflection point in terms of ways of fighting. But it feels to me like it's not just about the ways that you're thinking about engaging with adversaries, but it's about the very ideas of the force itself. Have I got that wrong? Or is there something to that? Where do you see the inflection point? Is it this technology basis, or is it in the ideas? I think it's both. You know, we talk about, you know, one of the papers we talk about is multi-domain operations. And, have built our army basically from the 1980s. And if you go back, our concept for fighting was air, land, battle. Notice two domains, air and land battle. And what we've done over the last really 40 years since I came into the army
Starting point is 00:05:38 is we've incrementally improved those systems. And we've really developed that air-land battle concept that we've used in some of the more major conflicts that we're involved in. But the future that we see is an environment where we're contested in multiple domains. So not only on the land, which we've mostly been contested in, and not only in the air where we've probably been contested up to maybe 1,500 feet, we're going to be contested in the air. We're going to be contested on the sea. We're also going to be contested in cyber and space. And we're going to have to be able to operate in all these environments. So we're standing up, first of all, new concepts and new doctrine. We're bringing forward a combined joint all-domain command and
Starting point is 00:06:26 control system. Some people call it JADC2. We've actually added a C to it because we think we're going to operate with allies and partners, and we think that's extremely important. But we're also developing new organizations that are going to help us compete in this environment. A multi-domain task force. It really has two primary tasks. One is to provide long-range precision effects. And we talk about the precision effects. We're talking about an intelligence capability. We're talking about an information operations capability. We're talking about a cyber capability, electronic warfare capability, and a space capability, all within this organization that can operate below the level of armed conflict.
Starting point is 00:07:08 But also we are developing long range precision fires, hypersonic capability, a mid range capability that will have anti-ship capability and then a prison strike capability. So we see in the future we won't be outranged and we won't be outgurned. And this is going to give us the capability to penetrate integrated air and missile defense capability. Many of our competitors have established what they're calling, or we call, anti-access aeronautical capability that will maybe prevent us from using the systems that we need to use. So we are developing systems to help the joint force actually penetrate that capability. The other organization we've developed with good effects is the Security Force Assistance Brigades. And we developed those for each of the combatant
Starting point is 00:07:56 commanders. And they work alongside with organizations like Special Forces, who have always had the foreign internal defense capability. But what they are designed to do is work with conventional forces to develop their capabilities and capacities so each country can provide additional security and also be a much more capable partner. So that is all going on inside the concepts that we're discussing. So I was listening to the AFSOC commander speak the other day, and he got me thinking about the military being at this inflection point, as you say. Prior inflection points and strategic shifts have come about after great loss or failure. And we're coming into this one after 20 years of tactical battlefield successes.
Starting point is 00:08:40 So how do you think we transform for multi-domain operations and the army we need in the future after no motivating failure and an attached funding boost? Well, that's the challenge for the chief staff of the army is, you know, we want to win the first battle. Historically, some of the things I've read is this history of the army coming out of wars. We always bring the army down. We don't spend a lot of money in the Army. Every chief can tell you that story. It's very hard to come up with a compelling reason why you need to invest in an Army during peacetime.
Starting point is 00:09:14 And what we're trying to do is not fight the last fight better. We're trying to make sure we can win the next fight. In fact, we want to win the first fight of the next battle. And ideally, we want to show such credible combat capability that we don't even fight that first battle, that we have the overmatch that we need. And we see us getting that through speed, range and convergence within the joint force, which gives us the overmatch. You know, one of the projects we're working on is we call it Project Convergence, and we just are getting ready to do Project Convergence 21, which is going to be with a joint force. But we did it during 20 when we brought a lot of Army systems together.
Starting point is 00:09:55 And using the technology we have and taking advantage of artificial intelligence and taking advantage of being able to move data very, very quickly, we'll get lethal effects in tens of seconds, vice tens of minutes. And in the fall, we'll do the same thing with a joint force. And we're looking forward to that. So any sensor can pick up potential targets, work back to an integrated battle command system, and then get it to the right shooter or archer, however you want to describe it, the right shooter or archer, however you want to describe it, the right arrow. And so you can provide that capability extremely quickly. And then next year,
Starting point is 00:10:31 we'll actually do that with our allies and partners. So that's where we're going in the army. That's where we're going in the joint force. There's a really interesting part in that. There's so much going on there, particularly with the speed ranging convergence, which is really interesting. But it strikes me that all the things you're talking about, the organizational change, the institutional change, the equipment change, the ways of operating, all of this feels slightly reactive to the adversary. They seem to be driving the pace of change, whether it's their A2AD, whether it's their integrated air and missile defense, whether it's their decision making, which is faster than ours. It felt slightly reactive. Do you think that's true?
Starting point is 00:11:10 Or do you think that's misconstruing where you're coming from now? Well, I think it's a little of both. I think it's informed. I also think it's also the Western way or the American way of warfare is we want to use fires. And in this case, we're going to have very long range precision fires. And so we want to work with allies and partners. We always fight as a team. So we're developing systems that are going to allow us to do that. We want to be lethal and all the systems developing are going to give us a level of lethality that we have never had before. And it flows all the way down even to our soldiers. One of the systems that we're developing are going to give us a level of lethality that we have never had before. And it flows all the way down even to our soldiers. One of the systems that we're developing, we call it an integrated visual augmentation system. When it comes to night vision goggle capability, I argue,
Starting point is 00:11:57 at least try to make the analogy, it's very similar to what happened with our phones. We used to have phones around the wall, and then we went to cordless phones, and then we went to cell phones. But what happens along the way, there were other people that had transformational ideas that came in with a thing that we all carry called an iPhone. And the idea that maybe 20 years ago, if a young officer came into me and said, hey, I got a great idea, we're going to be taking pictures with our phone. We would have said, well, that's not a big, how could you possibly with this phone that we had that some people don't even know what it looks like anymore that I used to have. How could you possibly take a picture with your phone? How could you possibly navigate with your phone?
Starting point is 00:12:40 We used to have these paper things. I think you might be familiar. You're old enough that we call maps, you know, and we used to use those type things. So a lot of things are transforming, but what we're looking at is the focus of the Army is still going to always be the person. And what we are doing is equipping that person with cutting edge technology so that they can control maybe unmanned aerial systems, and they can get that feedback, and they can control maybe unmanned aerial systems and they can get that feedback and they can get data very, very quickly, which makes their decision-making process much better
Starting point is 00:13:11 and really makes them much more lethal on the battlefield, which is in the day really does matter. One really important follow-up to that, you're equipping the person brilliantly. There are lots of great graphs about how much more we're spending per person now on a frontline individual compared to what we used to do even during the Cold War. I mean, it's an enormous difference. Do you think that we're doing a good enough job equipping our people intellectually for the challenges? Right. We're in a war for talent, I like to say.
Starting point is 00:13:46 are trying to move, one of the components of our transformation is moving from an industrial age personnel management system to a 21st century talent management system. So, you know, some of the things we're doing in the Army right now is we've set up a software factory. And very interesting is we're going to have soldiers that are coding on the battlefield, because as you start to use artificial intelligence, you've got to rewrite Because as you start to use artificial intelligence, you've got to rewrite algorithms as you're moving along, because you expect a thinking adversary to change the silhouettes of their vehicles to do things that you need to change very, very quickly. The thing we've found in our system is we have tremendous talent throughout the army, but sometimes we can't see it because we manage our soldiers by two variables. You're a captain of infantry or you're a sergeant
Starting point is 00:14:34 of engineers. When we started this software factory, it was very interesting. And we got over 2,500 soldiers that had coding experience. Now, some of these had masters and PhDs in coding, but what surprised me, I met this young specialist. He was an E4 medic, and he was as good as the two majors that had PhDs in coding. And again, with the system we had in place, we couldn't see that talent that they had. And in many of these soldiers and officers, because we got them in the right place doing what they want to do in the army officers, because we got them in the right place doing what they want to do in the army, you're going to stay in the army and not go out and do something else. So we are in a war for talent. We need a whole bunch of different type people.
Starting point is 00:15:14 We need people that clearly understand technology, but they need to be able to use that technology in a lethal way. So there's room for everyone in this future force. So right now we're framing the competition problem set. And you mentioned that technology and new capabilities play a big role. A2AD seeks to limit our ability to project force in a potential future conflict. Talked about decision dominance. When we talk about the army and great power competition, how much of this is activities leading up to a potential conflict? And how much of this is preparing for the fight itself? Is preparation of the environment for the first battle one of the key roles for the Army? Yeah, I think it's both. There's a discussion
Starting point is 00:15:54 going on in a lot of the circles that we run in. So do we just focus on the conflict or do you start to take a look at the spectrum as we define the spectrum? There's certainly a competition type phase. And quite frankly, when you talk to our combatant commanders, we'd like to stay in competition and then it can move to a crisis type situation, which gets you close to conflict and then a conflict type phase. And quite frankly, a large scale ground combat phase is something that I don't think anyone wants, that any of our competitors or potential adversaries want. So the question becomes, how do you compete most efficiently? strength comes from a whole of government effort. It comes from having a strong military. It comes from having a strong army. And it comes from having strong allies and partners who share your same vision for the war. So from us, it starts with working very closely with our allies and partners, going to each other's schools. We find that the senior leaders that I interact with,
Starting point is 00:17:02 if they've been to our command general staff college, if they've been to our War College, they share very similar values and they understand the way that we're going to fight together. We find that when we train with our allies and partners, whether that's through special forces or that's through our security force assistance brigades, or that's exercises we do with our other units or it's state partnerships with the National Guard. They all contribute to building more capabilities and capacities with our partners. And we find that very, very important. The calibrated force posture becomes really important. And we believe that we will be contested on the sea and we'll be contested in the air. And quite frankly, we contest be contested on the sea and we'll be contested in the air and,
Starting point is 00:17:46 quite frankly, we'll be contested with some of the systems in place all the way back to the homeland. So having forward forces, having forward equipment, whether that's permanent or rotational or dynamic forces that are employed or having pre-positioned equipment, all that becomes extremely important. And then I talked a little about it before, having the right type of organizations forward that can help set the conditions. Some of that is setting the conditions for logistics. If we are attacked, they know that we can respond with credible combat power. That all comes together to set the conditions in the competition phase, hopefully to deter
Starting point is 00:18:25 any type of conflict. And if we do, and then we can't deter, then we're in a position to provide credible combat forces with our allies and partners. Peter, you bring a lot of guests on to talk about what the future of the Western way of war looks like. And you talk about what future conflict might look like. I'd be curious among your guests, do a lot of people think about preparation of the environment as a key function of the army in great power competition? Do they talk about irregular warfare? Or is it really focused on kind of high end capabilities and
Starting point is 00:18:54 kind of penetrating a joint force entry? I think more and more people are starting to think about how armies and land forces can shape the environment. And there's a more mature conversation that's starting to happen about it. And there's a more mature conversation that's starting to happen about it. And it's a difficult conversation, right? Because it takes us right away from what we've been content about doing, even if not particularly good at it, whether it's nation building or securities force assistance or whatever it is. Actually, when we start to talk about the ability to foment insurgencies, to train others, to undertake those things that we used to do really well, you know, the potential roles of sabotage and subterfuge that potentially some states might
Starting point is 00:19:29 need to undertake that would traditionally undertake more land forces. There's a conversation that's starting about that, but it's really how you transfer all these historical examples into the modern day and how that transfers to our values today, which is very difficult for leaders to do, both political and military, and people are having problem with the language. How do you talk about an army that needs to go in early, that needs to forward deploy, that needs to shape a battle space in a contest that is really dynamic, that is changing hour by hour? How do you equip people to take in all that data and change their plans on the hoof. I mean, for me, the experience I have with individuals on the ground is the quality of soldiers really allows them the ability to go
Starting point is 00:20:11 and do this. We should have some confidence in it. But it's still the language that I think leaders are having a real difficulty with in how they try and express this as a role for land forces in particular. General Conville, to build on that point, can you delve into the relationship between positional advantage and forming this global land power network with its aspect of partner capacity and relationship building and irregular warfare and how operations on the fringe will play into this strategic shift? You know, you can start to think about positionally as we developed long-range precision fires, and we're in a place where we can hold potential competitors' ships at bay. If they decide to do something within that
Starting point is 00:20:53 radius, that puts them at risk. That may make them think about what they might be considering to do. It's the same thing with positional advantage. If they know we have the ability to penetrate an anti-access air denial capability, that may make them think. If they decide to shoot theater ballistic missiles at us, and they know that we have the ability to not only shoot down their theater ballistic missiles with our integrated air and missile offense, but we also have the capability to return fire at a speed and range and precision that may change the dynamics of how they think. And so that's how I start to think about the positional advantage. And then even with the type of forces that you can put in place, it puts a potential competitor or adversary at risk in the idea that they can't just do something and have a fake complete. They have to think their way through
Starting point is 00:21:53 it, that we may respond. They're not quite sure how we're going to respond, but we certainly have the credible combat forces with us and with our ally and partners in place that have the speed and range and convergence to respond to what they're doing that, at least from where we see, can lead to the deterrence that we need to have. It's an interesting part of that, isn't it? Because lots of people think that various states want to take a chunk out of somewhere, as they've done before, and small deployments of formations are not going to be a deterrent. But the fact is that what you're giving them is a
Starting point is 00:22:31 porcupine. You're not giving them a small brownie that they can chew. It's something that they just don't want to do as soon as they start thinking about the consequences of their actions. And provided you can get to that point, it's really useful. But it's understanding how the adversary thinks about that, making decisions on force deployments that don't suit us and our force design, but really do deter the adversary. And of course, deterring adversaries happens in very different ways, depending on who you're talking about. What might deter the Kremlin doesn't necessarily deter Tehran. What deters Pyongyang is not necessarily works in Beijing. They're all very different. And in some ways, trying to find a single way of fighting, a single operational design for every theater just simply doesn't work. I guess, to me, this is the
Starting point is 00:23:18 thorniest issue that you've got to deal with, General, right? Is that actually, you've got four very different problem sets to look at. And how you divide up your effort between each of those is a really complex issue. And it must be a huge challenge. Well, I think, Peter, you kind of hit the nail on the head is we're not a one-option army, so to speak. We're not a one-conplan type army. We certainly have the ability to see what the intelligence situation is around the
Starting point is 00:23:45 world, but we always get that wrong anyway. So we need to be prepared to go anywhere at any time. And one thing that we really haven't brought into discussion, which I think is kind of different when you talk about some of the adversaries we've had over the last 20 years, I think it's very, very different when you're dealing with terrorists or you're dealing with insurgents than when you're dealing with other states. And what I mean by that is they have a zip code. And as a result, we know where they live and we know what they do. And I think that does change the dynamics.
Starting point is 00:24:15 And it also brings into this idea of information advantage or information operations. I think that's a very powerful capability that's out there. The ability to inform and educate other populations of what's going on, I think, is extremely important. And I think that's going to be even more important in the future. We see the power of social media or how something's described. It used to be that everyone was entitled to their own opinion, but not their own facts. I'm not so sure that's the way it is in the future. People can create their own facts and they can share those facts very quickly to a whole bunch of people that are on social media, that iPhone type capability. And anything that we do is what is the impact
Starting point is 00:25:01 in the information space and how do we maintain information advantage? Because at the end of the day, the nature is such that there's certainly a political dimension, there's certainly a human dimension. It's about imposing wills and the will of the people, both that are fighting with you and you're fighting against, matter. And the way to get to the will of the people is certainly through that information space. I just think this is really interesting. There's a moment here where information warfare, the engagement, the contest that we have in the information space at the moment doesn't feel fair because we're playing by rules and the adversary isn't. And yet suddenly where you come across an adversary where you're engaged in a fair fight, and it feels like our future adversaries, our potential adversaries, feel like they're
Starting point is 00:25:48 equipped to bring a fair fight to us. They seem very different spaces than we've been intellectually and materially engaged in the past 20, 30 years, right? We've been used to an unfair fight of conventional arms where we've had massive superiority, but we're in a different space now. And the reverse of that is true in information space. We should have, it feels to me like we have Silicon Valley, we have all the great tools available to us. And yet we feel as though, to me, we're losing in many ways,
Starting point is 00:26:14 the information war. Does it feel like that to you? Well, I think it's something that we definitely have to think our way through. And I think it's something we have to take serious. And, you know, we do have Western way of life, we do have American values. And I think it's something we have to take serious. And we do have Western way of life. We do have American values. And I think the American people expect us to live by those values. And so what I wrestle with is we've kind of thought through information operations. I think information warfare is a subset of that. And then even within information warfare, you have to start to break it down. within information warfare, you have to start to break it down. I think the American people expect from us, expect from the military to tell them the truth, to inform and educate. We're not doing
Starting point is 00:26:52 disinformation operations or misinformation operations. Certainly with the American people, we have an obligation to be first with the truth with them. We used to have things called deception in the army, where if you go back to World War II, Patton had all these, you know, fake tanks and all this stuff put aside. So how do you do that today in the information environment? So you start to show things that's global in nature. And you may want to have some situations where you're not going to share the truth with a potential adversary. You're not going to show where your troops are. You're not going to tell them exactly what you're doing because you don't want to give them that advantage. But that's something that we have to wrestle with.
Starting point is 00:27:33 And quite frankly, we're wrestling with right now is how to do that properly. So we maintain the values that the American people expect us, but we're also competing in some case and maybe fighting against in the future, those who don't play by those rules, those who play by no rules. And that does put us at a disadvantage, but we're trying to figure that out right now. It's interesting that we have a question on positional advantage, and that led to a discussion on information operations. And then you also mentioned, you know, counterterrorism in there at one point. And this kind of leads to the big question of where do we invest? You know, where do we invest in the pre-conflict preparation of the environment context? Right now, we're withdrawing from
Starting point is 00:28:13 Afghanistan. We may be reducing presence in kind of other irregular warfare or against non-state threats in areas such as Africa. Some have argued that supporting states with internal threats, such as counterterrorism, becomes a means of competing in great power competition. I'm wondering where you fall on where we invest in information operations, counterterrorism. Is the periphery still important or do we need to kind of reallocate our resources? I think it's still very important. I don't think violent extremist organizations are going away. I think we need to invest in there.
Starting point is 00:28:42 We happen to have best counterterrorist organizations in the world, and we got to keep them. And we certainly share relationships between those organizations with other countries. And many of our close allies and partners have great counterterrorism type organizations, and we work very closely together. And I don't see that changing. And we need to have that capability. And that is not going away. I see the difference that I see is maybe going back to the future in how our special forces operate. And I think what we're going to see is more building capacity. I think our special forces have done a fabulous job of developing that type of high-end capability in countries. I mean, you can see what special forces did with the commandos in Afghanistan. You see some of the other organizations in Iraq that they have done. And I think those capabilities are absolutely key for the future because there's many countries out there that have a terrorist problem.
Starting point is 00:29:44 Because there's many countries out there that have a terrorist problem. And if you look at it as, you know, whether it's stage one or stage two cancer, we need to solve it early on. And if we allow that cancer to grow, we will see strikes in the homeland. So I think that's extremely important. I think that people are going to operate in the gray space. And so we need to do a lot of work on, some want to call it foreign internal defense, or however we want to talk about it, we call it security force assistance or whatever that means is, but for allies and partners and partners specifically in some parts of the world,
Starting point is 00:30:17 we want them to have the capability and the capacity to do most of this security for themselves. I'll say this goes back to what you said. You said that we don't have a one mission army. We can have certain sub units within the army focused on certain tasks. You mentioned special operations forces. It seems like in public discourse, there is often a, hey, the army needs to prepare for counterinsurgency or the army needs to shift to great power competition. If I understand correctly, though, what you're saying is the army can do multiple things at once. Absolutely. We got to be able to chew gum and walk at the same time. And I think that's important. And as we come out of a place like Afghanistan, Iraq, we are aligning ourselves regionally and the special forces groups and
Starting point is 00:30:54 the security force assistance brigades are aligning themselves. They're working in those countries that quite frankly, that we didn't have the time to work very closely with in the past because many were on continuous deployments to Afghanistan and Iraq. So in some ways, we're going to have more capability to get after irregular warfare or developing foreign internal defense as we move in the future. We are not walking away from irregular warfare. The other thing I would suggest is, but we are training our conventional units and the same thing as we discussed with special forces, be able to operate in an environment where we are contested in every
Starting point is 00:31:33 domain. So things that we've gotten very, very used to having all our communication systems working, well, we've got to train where we may not have that. We've got to train where we may not have the positioning, navigation, and timing that we're used to that. We got to train where we may not have the positioning, navigation, and timing that we're used to having. We have to train where we're going to have more sophisticated competitors with unmanned aerial systems. And I would suggest right now that the unmanned aerial system is the IED of the next 10 to 20 years. And that's going to be something we really have to get after because from violent extremists to proxy forces to other state systems, everyone's got lethal, unmarinerial systems now. And that's something we're going to have to really learn to deal with.
Starting point is 00:32:17 As we shift gears into the conclusion of this conversation, what do you think of the overarching implications for policymakers and practitioners stemming from these competition papers and the overall strategic shift of the army i think one of the most interesting things that we've heard there is that whilst the u.s army is big enough to walk and as the general said actually for a lot of medium powers a lot of the u.s allies and partners they don't have that and they're going to have to make choices. And you can see this across Europe now where armies are striving to understand how much CT they have to continue to do, how much counterterrorism, how much coin they might be
Starting point is 00:32:55 insisting to do, or do they have to turn their entire special operations forces, their entire SF towards a new mission that's ready for some kind of great power rivalry, great power competition, and doing missions and roles that perhaps they were used to doing 50 years ago, but that's a couple of generations before anyone who's in the force right now. So it becomes some very real and conscious choices that have got to be made. And this affects then not just how they operate, but their importance and their centrality to the future operating environment. It cuts across their training. It cuts across how technologically enabled they are or dependent they are. And therefore, it impacts on the US
Starting point is 00:33:37 because it means some of them will be focused more on CT and less on the missions that we're talking about that future proof it. So there are going to be some really interesting choices that have got to be made, and they're not going to be made at the same pace that the US I think is making them. And to me, it feels like the US military is accelerating in terms of how fast it's changing, particularly in terms of irregular warfare. I think the rest of the West is taking some time to see that happening and is going to be lacking. Now, this isn't unusual, but what it takes is some political drive to change the land forces and armies towards a new direction. And I think that's something that's going to drive some of the narratives that are happening between the US and its partners over the next five to 10 years.
Starting point is 00:34:24 and its partners over the next five to 10 years. Do the European armies make these decisions in silos? Or do they kind of come up with a division of labor amongst them for who might focus in certain capabilities in a more cooperative sense? Or am I just being a little bit too idealistic? Kyle, it's one of the great arguments that has been happening in NATO and Europe for the past 70 years. It's the idea, should we specialize? Do we trust our neighbors enough to specialize? And the answer is we don't. The reality is that European neighbours don't trust each other and therefore you have so many armoured divisions and you have so many soft teams that are specialised in some things but not in others. And it's why we don't have, for example, an urban warfare training centre in Europe that would allow people to train effectively. But we don't do a division of labour particularly well,
Starting point is 00:35:00 so they are made in silos. Now, whilst the chiefs of the armies talk together the whole time, it's the political decisions on how they divvy up these tasks that make it very difficult for individual forces to make such decisions. It's not a military decision that they're able to make. I think if we take a look at the future, and Peter lays it out, I was just over for the conference of European armies with the chiefs and had a chance to discuss where we're going in the future. And what we want to be able to do is make every country ally and partner a valued member of the team. And that's why, as we talk about the transformation that we're going through in our army, and again, I argue that we do it every 40 years. We did it in 1940, right before World War II. We did it in 1980, quite frankly, when I came in the Army. And that's where most of the things that we have and where I sit right now in 2020 is I'm trying to set up the next 40 years so the chief that comes in 2060 can go ahead and lay it out. And
Starting point is 00:35:54 we are actually transforming at a very rapid pace. And as I talk to some of the leaders, they're very concerned. What they're most concerned with is really the command and control, the joint all domain. And I add the C to it. They want to make sure that they're not left behind. They want to be good partners. As Peter said, they don't have the capability to necessarily do everything well. So they are interested in what we think, but at the end of the day, they also are going to follow what their civilian leadership tells them to do. What we're trying to do is build a framework where they can fit in. Now, we just did a warfighter exercise with a corps, and we had a British and French division
Starting point is 00:36:33 working very, very closely. We found that very, very valuable because we were able to create some very significant effects working together. very significant effects working together. The thing is that we have got to have an army that can really work across the spectrum because what we're going to see is our competitors, our adversaries are going to look for where the gaps are. We've got to be a multi-dimensional army that can operate across the spectrum. And the way we need to do that is to get as many allies and partners that share the same values, that share the same vision for the world order that we do, so we can work together so we provide the most credible combat force that we can. And there's an interesting
Starting point is 00:37:17 point in there is that sometimes this isn't about capabilities or training. Sometimes it's about permissions and risk and willingness. So whilst we might be constrained, the US, perhaps the UK, perhaps France, might be constrained in how we employ our forces against a certain adversary, there will be those states that aren't. Now, they might not be as well trained or perhaps as well equipped, but they will have far greater political freedom to wage war in a way that our political masters won't allow us to do. Now, that gives us huge advantages as a coalition, enormous ones where the Estonians or the Lithuanians or the Latvians or the Romanians or the Macedonians or the Polish, you know, can go and do things that
Starting point is 00:37:56 just won't be allowed politically by us. And this gives us enormous freedom. It also makes us rather unpredictable adversary when people are looking at us. And that is always a great thing to be. Gentlemen, is there one takeaway you both would like to leave us with today? We've certainly looked at our history. We've certainly looked at what we've done over the last 20 years. And we're not trying to fight the last fight better as, you know, people always accuse generals. So we're always trying to fight the last fight better. And we're actually trying to win the next fight. And we are open minded going in this. We don't have all the answers. A lot of the things we're doing with Project Convergence is a campaign of learning and actually bringing systems out into some pretty rough areas like Yuma in the desert with 115 degrees. And you find out a lot about what can get done.
Starting point is 00:38:46 in the desert with 115 degrees and you find out a lot about what can get done. And the things that I've learned is things work very good in PowerPoint, but when you actually have to go and do them, that's when you get the real learning. When we put systems in the hands of soldiers and they have a chance to operate with that and they have a chance to work with the other joint forces and they work with allies and partners, that is the way ahead. And again, we are committed to transforming the army. So we're ready for the next 20 to 40 years. Well, I'd like to finish with a quote from the general, actually, which I thought was brilliant. It says, winning matters. We win with our people doing the right things the right way. When we send the US Army somewhere, we don't go to participate. We don't go to try hard. We go to win. There's no second place or honorable mention
Starting point is 00:39:25 in combat. I just think that really sort of sums up where we're going with this. And whilst we've had a great discussion that says, we've explained how we're getting there conceptually, we've explained how we're getting there with capability, we've explained how we're getting there with C2, even with allies, I have a slight feeling that perhaps intellectually, we might need a bit of a kick. And here is where irregular warfare sits at its heart. Irregular warfare relies on none of the above great stuff. It relies on people with great brains thinking in different ways about really big problems, being enabled, being empowered to go and make the right decisions at the right moment in
Starting point is 00:40:01 time, which gives us that piece of advantage that allows us to grab success from the jaws of defeat. Peter said it very well, you know, I mean, because the other thing that on winning matters is people first, and you get the people right, and then you win through your people. And I think that's really important. That's an attitude. And as we talk a lot about technology, at the end of the day, it's really about the people. The people are going to do the winning. And I think without the technology, we'll still win with the right people. Fantastic.
Starting point is 00:40:31 General James McConville, Dr. Peter Roberts, thank you so much for your conversation today. And thank you for being here with the Irregular Warfare podcast. And thank you, Laura. Great being with you. Thanks a lot. And thank you, Laura. Great being with you. Thanks a lot. Thanks again for listening to episode 32 of the Irregular Warfare podcast.
Starting point is 00:40:53 We release a new episode every two weeks. In our next episode, Andy and Shauna will have a conversation with Peter Bergen and retired Colonel Liam Collins about counterterrorism since 9-11. about counterterrorism since 9-11. Following this, Shauna and Abigail will discuss cyber as a tool of irregular warfare with Dr. Jacqueline Snyder, a fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University. Please be sure to subscribe to the Irregular Warfare podcast so you don't miss an episode. You can also follow and engage with us on Twitter, Facebook, and LinkedIn. If you enjoyed this discussion, please leave us a review on Apple Podcasts. Today's episode was a little unique as we produced it in collaboration with Peter Roberts, who runs his own highly successful podcast, The Western Way of War. Peter's podcast is essential listening for anybody with an interest
Starting point is 00:41:33 in military strategy. If you're not already a subscriber, we absolutely recommend you check it out. One last note, what you heard in this episode are the views of the participants and do not represent those of West Point, the United States Army, or any other agency of the U.S. government. Thanks again, and we'll see you next time.

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