It Could Happen Here - Gaza and the Board of Peace feat. Dana El Kurd
Episode Date: January 26, 2026Dana breaks down what’s being planned for Gaza, the so-called Board of Peace, and how this is a model for global conflict in the future. Sources: UNOCHA on ceasefire violations - https://reliefw...eb.int/report/occupied-palestinian-territory/humanitarian-situation-update-353-gaza-strip BBC on the Yellow Line - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ckgxl6zkenqo Aljazeera on the 20 point plan - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/16/us-declares-phase-two-of-gaza-ceasefire-but-what-did-phase-one-deliver The Huffington Post on Putin’s invite - https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/donald-trump-has-invited-vladimir-putin-to-join-his-gaza-board-of-peace-kremlin-says_uk_696e0478e4b0fb912e9948f8?utm_term=Autofeed&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook#Echobox=1768820090 Aljazeera on Board of Peace - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/18/trumps-board-of-peace-appears-to-seek-wider-mandate-beyond-gaza Who is Nikolay Mladenov - https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2026/1/15/who-is-nickolay-mladenov-the-diplomat-tasked-with-disarming-gaza See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Hello, everyone, and welcome to It Could Happen here. My name is Donna Alpert. I'm a professor of political.
science and a researcher of Arab and Palestinian politics.
Since I last recorded an episode, those in power have been very busy.
The world looks different from a month ago.
What would the assault on Minneapolis, the kidnapping of Venezuelan President Maduro,
the, as of this recording, possible invasion of Greenland, it's been hard for even the best
of us to keep up. As Nemek from the series Andor would say, the pace of repression
outstrips our ability to understand it.
And that is the real trick of the imperial thought machine.
It's easier to hide behind 40 atrocities than a single incident.
I will never not squeeze in an end or reference when I can.
Given that this is the state of the world,
what's happening in Palestine has largely slipped out of most people's feeds,
and certainly the media headlines.
But lots is happening.
Lots of dangerous things are happening.
and I'm going to take this episode to give an update about what's been going on.
Since the ceasefire was announced three months ago, 449 Palestinians have been killed by Israeli attacks,
and another 1,246 have been injured.
Over a hundred of those killed were children, according to UNICEF.
The Gaza Strip has been reduced even further,
with a new, quote, yellow line demarcating where Israeli troops will remain,
and where Palestinians are not allowed to go.
They literally placed concrete yellow blocks on the ground in Gaza.
And as the BBC notes from a report January 16th of this year,
Israel continues to push the yellow line further and further into what remains of Gaza.
The United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs notes,
quote, the Israeli military remains deployed in over 50% of the Gaza Strip,
beyond the Yellow Line, where access to humanitarian facilities and assets,
public infrastructure, and agricultural land are either restricted or prohibited.
In this context, and despite this context,
the Trump administration has declared that phase one of the ceasefire agreement is now over,
and that phase two will commence.
The US has announced the launch of the second phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement.
Special envoy, Steve Whitkoff, shared the news in a social media post,
writing that Phase 2 establishes a transitional, technocratic Palestinian administration in Gaza,
the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza.
He also wrote that it begins the full demilitarization and reconstruction of Gaza,
primarily the disarmament of all unauthorized personnel.
Whitkoff says the US expects Hamas to comply fully with its obligations,
including the immediate return of the final deceased hostage,
and warns that the failure to do so will bring serious consequences.
Now, this is the declaration, even though, really, aside from the return of Israeli hostages,
no part of the 20-point plan that the Trump administration put forward as the, quote,
peace plan, was realized on the ground.
Aid is being let in, but not at the levels that it's needed.
Attacks against Palestinians haven't stopped.
Nonetheless, phase two is apparently starting with the naming of members of the Board of Peace.
Now, if listeners will recall from a previous episode,
Trump declared himself the chair of this Board of Peace
that's supposed to bring peace to the Middle East,
and Tony Blair was tapped to run it,
much to the outrage of anyone who witnessed Blair's cooperation
and the destruction of Iraq.
Now, this Board of Peace is going to run the Gaza Strip
and it's quote-unquote technocratic government,
and it's going to make sure Hamas de-militarizes
and that Palestinians don't step out of line.
The Board of Peace is one aspect of the Great Plan,
great standing for Gaza Reconstitution,
economic acceleration, and transformation plan,
a plan that apparently will turn Gaza into the quote,
Riviera of the Middle East.
The Huffington Post reported January 17th
that Trump is setting a billion-dollar price tag
for any country that wants to participate on this board.
Members so far include Tony Blair,
Secretary of State Marco Rubio,
son-in-law, Jared Kushner,
U.S. Special Envoy to the Middle East, Steve Whitkoff,
Mark Rowan, the CEO of Apollo Global Management,
Israeli billionaire Yakir Gabay,
and a number of others along the same vein.
Among those Trump has invited include Vladimir Putin,
famously very interested in peace
and not at all in eradicating Ukrainian existence.
Trump also sent a letter to Victor Orban,
far right-wing president of Hungary to join the Board of Peace.
Orban has apparently accepted this invitation.
To remind listeners, Orban is one of Trump's models
for authoritarian takeover of democratic institutions.
Orban is also very close ties with Prime Minister Netanyahu and Israel,
despite his anti-Semitic politics.
Now, I thought the letter he sent to Orban
and to every other right-wing politician he's been inviting
was quite telling.
in the letter Trump invites Orban to join, presumably with the billion dollar pay to play,
and calls the Board of Peace a quote, bold new approach to resolving global conflict.
Reuters reporting on this issue quoted an anonymous diplomat saying,
it's a Trump United Nations that ignores the fundamentals of the UN Charter.
In fact, the Charter of the Board of Peace doesn't even mention Gaza.
So what is this bold new approach to resolve it?
global conflict. It's apparently a resolution to conflict that includes a neocolonial oversight board
run by white men to make sure the natives don't get too excited. Now, this oversight board is
intended to manage conflict, because let's be clear, this isn't about solving conflict,
at the expense of the people who have been facing the brunt of this conflict. So we should
take them at their word that this is going to be the way that global conflict is going to be
resolved from now on. This is the blueprint. Gaza is only the test case. And in this new form of
authoritarian conflict management, the world will operate without any pretensions under the premise of
might is right. And if the Gaza reconstitution, economic acceleration and transformation plan is
any indication, this plan is predicated on encouraging Palestinians to ultimately leave Gaza,
at least some significant segment of them. So not only
might is right, but ethnic cleansing is a more than fine way to resolve a dispute. And finally,
the plan is predicated on the idea that reconstruction is a business opportunity. So to review,
might is right, ethnic cleansing is a okay, and war is a prime real estate development opportunity.
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Now things get even worse when we bring
in the guy who's been tapped to be the director
general of this board.
Nikolay Mladenov is a Bulgarian
politician, an ex-UEN
envoy, who has been tasked with, quote,
arming Gaza, according to a report by Al Jazeera published January 15th.
He's the guy who's going to oversee the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza,
the technocratic government, which is run by a Palestinian bureaucrats,
and make sure that they stay in line during the reconstruction phase.
Somehow these bureaucrats are supposed to reconstruct Gaza while not being able to operate in most of it.
Anyway, Mladenov, this guy is really something.
He's a Bulgarian diplomat that worked as a minister for one of the most corrupt
governments in Bulgaria, a government that faced mass protest pretty persistently. He is part of a
right-wing populist party in Bulgaria. His father was also involved in politics, specifically in the
Bulgarian virgin of the KGB, before the transition from the communist regime. Since 2021, he's been
working in an Emirati institution, the Anwar Gargajh Diplomatic Academy, where he came out as a, quote,
vocal proponent of the Abraham Accords, the normalization agreements between Israel and
several Arab states. Now it all checks out, honestly, that this is the guy who's going to be
the Director General. The fact that this person is the one being chosen for face two of the
ceasefire, and the fact that he has this kind of political background should make clear that the
plan for Gaza isn't just a blueprint for the world, new levels of authoritarian conflict management
with no pretense, but also part and parcel of the U.S.-Israeli-Imarati vision for the region.
Now, this vision is one where Arab authoritarian regimes and Israel, with the U.S. supporting,
remake the Middle East into a, quote, modern, developed, tolerant Middle East,
essentially by pouring concrete over graves and building megacities on top of rubble.
Their vision of the Middle East is one that is authoritarian and contained, where citizens are subjects.
These subjects can have some social freedoms and maybe some accent.
economic opportunities, but should never think that they can have an opinion on anything that
happens to them. This is a vision where states like the UAE, the United Arab Emirates, can arm
militias to conduct ethnic cleansing in Sudan, and Israel can get away with ethnic cleansing in Palestine,
because ethnic cleansing and genocide are apparently a perfectly reasonable way of getting rid of
undesirables. Now, I'm not saying that this isn't how these states operated even before the genocide in Gaza,
and I'm not saying it wasn't how the U.S. allowed certain allies to operate, even before Trump.
Perhaps the writing was on the wall when Palestinians were indefinitely occupied and no one cared.
Or when Arzach was ethnically cleansed and Azerbaijan got away with it.
President Biden gave his blessing to the destruction of Gaza after October 7th after all.
But there used to be a pretense, a pretense of international law and a, quote, liberal international order.
There also used to be variation on these issues.
This type of authoritarian conflict management wasn't always tolerated.
In fact, Arab liberals who advocated for democracy would often say that the U.S. is different from China or Russia,
in that at least it was committed to democracy and international law and human rights rhetorically.
Even if there was hypocrisy, they thought that that space between reality and rhetoric could be leveraged and exploited.
But now there's nothing to be leveraged.
Authoritarian conflict management is the modus operandi of powerful states,
and according to Donald Trump's new doctrine, the Don Road doctrine,
each powerful state gets to do what it wants in its own sphere of influence.
In fact, not only is territorial aggression valid,
it's actually the way the world should work.
According to all of Trump's spokespeople and parts of his administration,
conquest is totally fine.
Here's Stephen Miller on Greenland, for example.
Under every understanding of law that has existed about territorial control for 500 years to control a territory,
you have to be able to defend a territory, improve a territory, inhabit a territory.
Denmark has failed on every single one of these tests.
So Gaza is indeed the blueprint for what happens to weaker states in war,
or what happens in this case to stateless.
people deemed undesirable and expendable.
Now, what are the Palestinians saying about all this?
The technocratic government, made up of Palestinian bureaucrats, is saying it's committed
to a reconstruction of Gaza that is rooted in, quote, peace, democracy, and justice.
The Palestinian authority, the largely illegitimate and undemocratic governance body,
that apparently governs the West Bank somehow and represents Palestinians,
they're putting out statements welcoming the Board of Peace and Trump's vision.
Maybe because they think this will earn them a seat at the table,
or maybe it's a way to sideline their main opposition Hamas
in whatever crumbs of Palestine they're allowed to control in the future.
Hamas has said in a statement that they also welcome the formation of the administrative committee
for the Gaza Strip to quote, achieve calm in Gaza,
while noting that they are working with mediators to get to the next stage of the ceasefire
and they accuse Israel of trying to break the ceasefire agreement.
The Israeli government, ironically, rejects any Palestinian involvement,
even at the technocratic level, and have vowed to take it up with their friend Trump.
And the Palestinian people?
Well, here is Gaza and journalist Hind Khadaray of Al Jazeera English.
And what has been the reaction in Gaza to that announcement of a move to Phase 2?
Well, just like you said it, an announcement, a symbolic announcement to Phase 2,
Palestinians do not see anything on the ground.
There is no change.
And despite all of that, we're still hearing drones.
As you can hear in the background, we also heard a couple of explosions since the early hours of the morning where demolishings are still going on across the Gaza Strip, especially after the yellow line.
But Palestinians are frustrated.
They're very disappointed.
They thought that phase two would give them the freedom of movement, that would give them reconstruction of Gaza,
would also give them a little bit of what they lost.
But on the ground, nothing happened, nothing changed.
What we know so far is there are 15 members that have been approved on to be ruling Gaza.
But there are a lot of questions and concerns.
How is this going to happen?
What is going to happen to the people here?
The reconstruction, the ruffaq crossing, thousands who need to get education,
and also people who need to travel abroad to either get their,
treatment, to reunite with their family. So there's a lot of questions, but mainly there's a lot
of frustration because there's nothing changing on the ground. People in Gaza are beyond exhaustion.
Everyone wants some path forward out of this nightmare. But I really don't think, for all the reasons
I described here today, that this is it. And we shouldn't let them, the Trumps and Orbanes and
billionaires of the world. Get away with the narrative, that they're peacemakers, and that
apparently this is all in the name of tolerance and peace. That's it for me today. Thank you for listening,
and hope you're all staying safe. It Could Happen Here is a production of Cool Zone Media. For more
podcasts from Cool Zone Media, visit our website, coolzonemedia.com, or check us out on the IHeart Radio
app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to podcasts. You can now find sources for It Could Happen
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just hateful messages online, there is a lot of harm and even just reading the comments.
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You know Roll Doll.
He thought up Willie Wonka and the BFG.
But did you know he was a spy?
In the new podcast, The Secret World of Roll Doll,
I'll tell you that story, and much, much more.
What?
You probably won't believe it either.
Was this before he wrote his stories?
I must have been.
Okay, I don't think that's true.
I'm telling you, because I was a spy.
Listen to the secret world of Roll Dahl
on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
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